Locked On Patriots - Daily Podcast On The New England Patriots - Breakthrough: Drake Maye's Unbelievable Stats | Hidden Concern?

Starting point is 00:00:00 Another week brings more outrageous numbers from Drake May. And after the rewatch, we have one concern regarding the franchise quarterback. This is Locked on Patriots. You are Locked on Patriots, your daily New England Patriots podcast, part of the Locked on Podcasts network, your team every day. What's happening? And I am your host, Nick Cattles, born and raised in New England, been covering the paths for the past 16 years, also co-host of the Greg Bedard Patriots podcast with Nick Cattels and a sports talk show host veteran. On today's episode, we have some significant takeaways after our rewatch, including one defender who continues to disrupt offenses. Also, we'll tell you how the rookie side of the offensive line did against the Tennessee Titans.

Starting point is 00:00:56 But first, the number one story continues to be Drake May. We appreciate you joining the show, making us your first listen for being an every day. The Lockdown Patriots podcast is a proud partner of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day. And don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe if you're watching slash listening on YouTube. Today's episode is brought to by a Fandul. Right now, new customers can bet just $5. And if your bet wins, you get $300 in bonus bets. use across the app. I love rewatching these games, taking a look and learning things that I might

Starting point is 00:01:33 not have learned the first time around in real time. I will tell you, during the rewatch, Drake May had some high-level throws. We discussed them in the live post game. Those throws that we discussed, yes, they remained high-level throws against the Tennessee Titans. Here's another note from Drake May's Sunday. He had zero turnover worthy plays. Again, this continues a fantastic trend for Drake May. He is not putting the football in harm's way. Zero turnover worthy plays is a fantastic week from 30,000 feet for your quarterback. And it's rather obvious when you watch these games that staff, Josh McDaniels, Mike Vrable, everybody else, the players even, there is ultimate trust in Drake May.

Starting point is 00:02:25 They believe he's going to make the right play. They believe he's going to make the right decision. Now, I'm going to hit some outrageous numbers through seven weeks for Drake May. But coming up in a few minutes, I'm going to actually give you a concern from the rewatch that I had. It might be a nitpick, but I do want to get into in a little bit a concern I have after watching Patriots Titans regarding Drake May. But let's start off with the great news because it's deserved it.

Starting point is 00:02:56 Drake May has been fantastic. His pro football focus overall grade through seven weeks is 87.3. Now I looked at the quarterback rankings from 2024 and I wanted to stack up that overall grade compared to those numbers from last year and see where Drake May would have ended up. Drake May's grade so far from pro football focus at 87.3, so far that would put him sixth in 2024 in quarterback ranking. So pro football focus, I know, very polarizing. It's just one set of numbers that we use from time to time here on the podcast. I get it. You're not going to agree with all of the analytics. But just looking at the pro football focus overall grade, Drake May, if the season ended after seven weeks,

Starting point is 00:03:45 weeks. He would have been the sixth highest ranked quarterback in 2024. Fantastic. Fantastic growth. Fantastic improvement. And did you know that Drake May's deep passing grade is a 99.9? That's absolutely ridiculous and borderline comical. We've got some more crazy numbers for you regarding Drake May in what he's. he's done so far this year. Doug Kide posts Drake May's 24.8% completion percentage over-expected versus Tennessee ranks in the 99th percentile of quarterbacks with a minimum of five plays in a game.

Starting point is 00:04:32 His completion percentage over-expected was almost 25%. That's bonkers. Mark Daniels posted, Drake May is the first quarterback. I want you to truly appreciate. what I'm about to share thanks to Mark Daniels. Drake May is the first quarterback in NFL history with five games with an 80-plus completion percentage in his first two career seasons that's from the NFL. He is the first quarterback in the history of the game that has ended five games with an 80-plus

Starting point is 00:05:08 completion percentage in his first two career seasons. Now, before the Monday night football doubleheader, I will let you know that Drake May is number one in the NFL and expected points added. He's number two in the NFL and expected points added per dropback. He is number one and this shouldn't surprise you given the first number I gave you from Doug Kide, the completion percentage over expected. Drake May, number one in all of football. And Drake May also is the third best when it comes to. passer rating before Monday night football's doubleheader.

Starting point is 00:05:46 This is all through seven weeks. Greg Bedard posted that Drake May, when you look at the top 15 completion percentage over expected games this season. So take all of the quarterbacks through seven weeks, short two games coming up on Monday night. When you look at all of the quarterback play and you take the top 15 completion percentage over expected games this season. season. Drake May has one third of those games. He has five. One, two, three, four, fifth. Jalen

Starting point is 00:06:21 Hertz has two. That's it. Those are the only two quarterbacks that have multiple performances in the top 15 of completion percentage over expected. And Drake May has more than doubled the guy who's in second place. I mean, these are just astounding numbers. And it's not just his ability as a passer. It's his ability to run with the football. The dual threat ability is real. And Drake May this year is attacking defenses as good as any quarterback in the league when it comes to running with the football. Chad Graff from the athletic. He writes, again, this is before Monday night football. Drake May ranks fifth in rushing yards among quarterbacks. Third, in rushing first downs among

Starting point is 00:07:11 quarterbacks. He is first in rushing third down conversion percentage among quarterbacks. He's been great on third and fourth down and some of that story has been his ability to convert on third downs thanks to his legs. But that leads me to my biggest nitpick

Starting point is 00:07:27 from Sunday in Tennessee and a concern that I have. Drake May has to continue to get better at balancing when to run with the football or stay engaged as a passer. It was an emphasis in the off season. I think, for the most part,

Starting point is 00:07:46 Drake May has done a very good job of doing just that. But in Tennessee, there was a little bit of slippage. I'll give you some examples. During the rewatch, checking out the All-22, first quarter Patriots, first drive of the game, second and 11 shotgun formation, Drake May scrambles. When you look at the All-22, when you look at the rewatch,

Starting point is 00:08:06 there's no pressure on Drake. there's no reason he should be running and drake may actually has two receivers that are open he's got stephan digs on an out route he's got austin hooper on a crossing route now drake may scrambles even though he had those two guys open but he does get 12 yards so again you got to balance it didn't have to run could have stayed away from getting hit if if he threw it to digs or if he through it to Hooper. He runs, but he does get 12 yards and gets that first down. Second and six, same drive, under center, play action bootleg. There's nothing going on here. May actually makes the right decision. Drake May runs it out of bounds. That's a situation

Starting point is 00:08:51 where nobody's open. He runs it out of bounds. He doesn't take an unnecessary hit. Second quarter, the Patriots' third offensive drive of this game. Jeffrey Simmons, by the way, he is now out. Not to ever return to the football. ball game. First and 10 under sensor play action. Drake May has a great pocket standing in the pocket. There's no pressure. Stefan Diggs is open at the sticks. Drake May decides to scramble. Now again, this is the balance. The good news is Drake May scrambles. He gets 21 yards on that first down. The not so good news is he takes a shot because he doesn't slide. Now he slid more than he didn't on Sunday. But again, he takes some unnecessary hits. If he stands in the pocket and he finds

Starting point is 00:09:39 Stefan Diggs open at the sticks, he might end up with a few less yards, but Drake May doesn't take the unnecessary hits. And then the toughest one, third quarter, right out of halftime, Patriots up 17, 13, first drive of that third quarter. First and 10, under center, play action, bootleg. Efton Chisholm and Hunter Henry, they allow a pressure. But May, Drake May can step up into the pocket, but instead of stepping up into the pocket and remaining a passer, he again decides to tuck and run. He scrambles for six yards. Now, that's good. You know, six yards on a first down, not terrible. But if Drake May stepped up into the pocket, evaded that pressure to his right and stepped up into the pocket, a la la the play to Ramandre

Starting point is 00:10:26 Stevenson in Miami when he evaded the pressure, stepped up and hit Ramandre Stevenson down, close to the boundary for that big 50-plus yard reception. If he does that against Tennessee, Mac Hollins would have been open. So if Drake May steps up and makes that throw, he hits an open Mac Hollins. Now, here's the toughest part of this. He runs.

Starting point is 00:10:50 He runs. And he ends up smacking his head on the back of the turf. So that was one of those plays where you would have much rather seen him throw the football to Mac Hollins, then tuck and run to get six yards because he smacks his head on the turf. This is a tough balance, and I'm not saying every time he runs is a mistake. Sometimes it's necessary. Sometimes it works out.

Starting point is 00:11:15 Sometimes it works out better than a pass, like the 21-yard game. But he has to make sure he's balancing this. He has to make sure he is protecting himself. All right. There's one specific issue for Will Campbell and Jared Wilson after this rewatch. We'll tell you what that is. issue is and give you the O-line e-vowl from Sunday coming up next. This is Lockdown Patriots, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day.

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Starting point is 00:13:35 Like our players, Mazda, they sweat every detail because when you make every move count, impossible becomes irrelevant. Mazda move and B-moom. As great as Drake May has been, and he has been pretty great as we talked about in the first segment, the Patriots will need good offensive line play if they want to truly make noise in 2025, not just get to the playoffs, but maybe win a couple of games or at least a game in the playoffs. So how did the offensive line look on Sunday? Let's start with the rookies, Will Campbell, Jared Wilson on the left side. Ups and downs. Ups and downs for both rookies

Starting point is 00:14:15 against the Titans. I would say more downs than ups given the situations versus Tennessee. And the biggest issue, the biggest issue, and Mike Vrable touched on this during his Monday press conference, the biggest issue for Jared Wilson and Will Campbell are the stunts and the games that defenses play up front, twists and stunts. Those types of games that a defensive line can play have driven at times Will Campbell and Jared Wilson crazy. So let's look at Will Campbell. We'll start there. My rewatch, I had Campbell for four or five pressures on Sunday. Three of those pressures, quick pressures, not good. That's two and a half seconds or less. So he gave up three quick pressures, a total of four or five. He gave up a sack. He had a

Starting point is 00:15:09 false start. And by the way, if you rewatch this game, Will Campbell, I think had four or five false starts. Only one was called. I don't know how he got away with it. But he kept beating the snap. He did it four or five times. Let's give you some examples of tough plays for Will Campbell. In the second quarter, Patriots, their third drive of the game. It's a second and ten. It's a shotgun play action. And Campbell gives up a quick pressure. Now, this doesn't hurt the offense because somehow, some way, Drake May makes an incredible throw to Kashan booty. You probably remember this one. It's when the defender is in the lap of Drake May as he's throwing the football to Kay Sean Booty, they get 14 yards and pick up a first down,

Starting point is 00:15:58 but that will Campbell quick pressure. That can't happen because you're fortunate that doesn't turn in to a pick or a sack or a fumble by Drake May. It's an individually great play by Drake May, but can you consistently expect that when your quarterback is getting hit? I wouldn't. Same. Same drive.

Starting point is 00:16:20 Third drive of the game. Third and goal. shotgun formation. Both Will Campbell and Michael Wenu give up quick pressures. May can't step into the throw, but again, Drake May bails his offensive line out, which has been a storyline through the first seven weeks, and he throws it to Austin Hooper,

Starting point is 00:16:39 who makes an insane touchdown catch. We all remember it in the corner of the end zone. Now, maybe Austin Hooper doesn't have to make as insane of a catch if Will Campbell and Michael Wenu do the job and don't give up the quick pressure. but Drake May can't necessarily step into that throw so he has to rely on Austin Hooper to pull out a Randy Moss in the corner of the end zone. Then we get to Jared Wilson.

Starting point is 00:17:02 I had Wilson for three or four pressures at least. I had him for a couple of quick pressures, and he gave up two sacks on Sunday. First quarter, first drive of the game, third and six, shotgun formation. Jared Wilson gets beat by Jihad Ward. It's a sack. Patriots end up with a field goal.

Starting point is 00:17:20 third quarter second drive of the second half for the Patriots third and seven shotgun formation Jared Wilson again gives up a quick pressure slash sack Drake May has no shot to do anything but I will say those were the downs but as I said there's downs there's ups there's downs there's ups there's downs some of the good first quarter second drive of the game for the Patriots second and six under center pitch left to Ramandre Stevenson, you get a good push, good initial push from the offensive line. Jared Wilson makes a great block, a great block on the second level. Ramandre Stevenson cuts it up for 16 yards. Third quarter, first drive of the second half of the Patriots, it's a third and eight.

Starting point is 00:18:06 This was a fantastic, a terrific play by Will Campbell. So it's third and eight, shotgun, and the Tennessee Titans run a little bit of a stunt. And Will Campbell does a fantastic job of using his quick feet, his athleticism to just get enough of the pass rusher to bump him off his path, allows Drake made a step into the pocket, and he hits Stefan Diggs for a big play of 20 plus yards. That is a significant play by Will Campbell on a third and eight. And the Patriots were deep in their own territory. So there's some ups, there are some downs, mostly down. against Tennessee. Now, the rest of the offensive line, Morgan Moses, I think, is just stabilizing right tackle. I thought he was really good against Tennessee. I only had him down for one

Starting point is 00:18:57 pressure, and I had him down for a clean first half and past protection. I thought Morgan Moses was really good. Garrett Bradbury, he probably wants three snaps or so back, some pretty rough snaps. He gave up a sack. He gave up a pressure. Devandre sweat was a problem a couple of times for Garrett Bradbury, which is not necessarily shocking. As we know, Garrett Bradbury, if he's going to struggle, he's going to struggle against bigger dudes. Yeah, breaking news to Vandre Sweat would be considered a bigger dude.

Starting point is 00:19:28 Michael Wenu, the roller coaster. I had him for three pressures. I had him for two quick pressures. We talked about one of them just a few moments ago. I would say Michael Wenu did not have many, oh my God, moments in a bad way. We've talked about that. We talked about it, I believe, last week on the show where, you know, Michael Wenu, every week has two or three plays where he just gets absolutely blown up and destroys any momentum for the offense. That didn't necessarily happen against Tennessee, but he still gave up a number of pressures.

Starting point is 00:20:01 I had him for three again, two of those quick. And we have to remember the context. Tennessee did not have Jeffrey Simmons in this game after the first two defensive possessions, two defensive drives for the Titans. I mean, the Patriots, they get through their first two drives. Simmons leaves with a hamstring. He never comes back. We also have to remember that going into this game, Tennessee did not have Femiola Dejo or Arden Key two of their pass rushers.

Starting point is 00:20:28 So they had three guys who are pretty pivotal to this defense, especially Jeffrey Simmons, who is the most crucial piece, not in this game after the first two Patriots drives. And the offensive line still had some of these issues. So they got to clean some things up. out. There was pressure on Drake May in this game, and it wasn't a situation where Drake was stepping into the pressure an awful lot. A couple of other notes about pass protection. Ramandre Stevenson was really good in Blitz pickup. There were a number of times where

Starting point is 00:21:00 Ramandre Stevenson canceled out a blitz, really good from him. I wish I could say the same about the tight ends. Austin Hooper, Hunter Henry, they have had issues this year. They continue to have issues on Sunday and past protection. But I will say overall, if you're taking the 30,000 foot view, the past protection, the offensive line is so much better than it was in 2024. All right, I don't feel as bad, maybe slightly better, about the early defense for the Patriots, as I did on Sunday. Find out why and get some more of our rewatch takeaways next. We continue with today's episode of Lockdown Patriots, part of the Lockdown Podcast Network, your team every day.

Starting point is 00:21:49 Let's talk about Fandul. Fandul has an offer that you don't want to miss. Right now, new customers can bet just $5 and get $300 in bonus bets if you win. That's right. Check this out. Pick a bet. Put down five bucks. If that bet hits, you'll unlock $300 in bonus bets to use across the app. You know, I've been talking about it. I love how Fandul gives me so many ways to play. You can build parlays. You can try player props and even follow the live lines during games. It makes watching football even more exciting when you've got a little something riding on the action.

Starting point is 00:22:23 Whether you're a casual fan or love diving into the stats, Fandul makes the game day experience so much better. Again, right now, new customers can bet just $5 and get $300 in bonus bets. If you win, pick a bet, put down five bucks. If it hits, you'll unlock three. hundred dollars in bonus bets to use across the app so what are you waiting for visit fandul dot com to download the fandul app today and get started nick why do you rewatch these games why do you watch a game over again why do you watch all 22 because it opens my eyes to some of the stuff that i missed in real time and sometimes i feel a little bit differently than i felt

Starting point is 00:23:06 immediately after a game sometimes i feel significantly different than i feel significantly different than after the game initially. And there are a number of takeaways I want to share with you from my rewatch. Number one, I'm not going to sit here and tell you that the defense at the beginning of the game was awesome. I'm not going to sit here and tell you that the Patriots defense does not need to be better at the beginning of the games. They absolutely do.

Starting point is 00:23:27 They need better starts. I would love to see a first quarter with no points on the board. The Patriots also need to get better pressure when they have four-man fronts. all of that stuff is true. However, I do feel slightly better about their early defense against Tennessee. I feel slightly better than I did in real time. Let's start with this. Cam Ward actually threw a couple of dimes in the first quarter. He made a couple of really nice throws. First and 10, a critical play, first scoring drive for the Titans first and 10

Starting point is 00:24:07 shotgun formation ELEC I O Manor has a crossing route now Carlton Davis falls down in man coverage I don't expect Carlton Davis to go

Starting point is 00:24:23 took us over tea kettle I cleaned it up a little bit I don't anticipate Carlton Davis to go took us over tea kettle often okay So he just falls down. That's 20 yards. That's not necessarily Cam Ward.

Starting point is 00:24:38 But Cam Ward does have a throw that I want to talk about on the second scoring drive. But the first scoring drive, you've got Ellick I.O. Manor crossing route. Carlton Davis falls on his took, took, and you end up giving up 20 yards. Other than that play, when your defensive back just fell down, which again, doesn't happen consistently. the Tennessee Titans had an 11-yard pass to the tight end in the flat. They had two runs that totaled three yards, and they had an incomplete pass, Marcus Jones, in coverage. So other than Carlton Davis falling down,

Starting point is 00:25:15 the Patriots defense gave up a total of 14 yards on that drive. Then you get to the second scoring drive for Tennessee. First and 10, under center. you have a three-yard run. Keon-white, Christian Ellis, do a good job. They wrap up. Second and seven, here's the throw I want to talk about from Cam Ward. Second and seven, if the Patriots can come up with an incomplete pass here,

Starting point is 00:25:43 force an incomplete, do something, right? You're looking at third and long, and who knows what happens. It's a second and seven, and the Patriots have good coverage. Now, Robert Spillane is a little bit late. He's a little bit late in his coverage. but he actually recovers and watching the end zone shot from behind Cam Ward of this throw on second and seven this was such a ridiculously tight window that Cam Ward fires the football into and somehow some way I mean it is a terrific throw it was one of the best throws of the day

Starting point is 00:26:21 including the throws we saw from Drake May so second and seven good coverage Cam Ward a crazy tight window throw to convert and get that first down. And then, of course, later on, you've got a first and ten. You've got the shotgun play action. And Marcus Jones gets beat. Craig Woodson gets spun around. Chimray Dike gets the touchdown catch. We all remember the big play, the explosive.

Starting point is 00:26:47 But Marcus Jones doesn't get beat very often. He's been one of the better cover corners for the Patriots. He's had a terrific season. Craig Woodson's young. So you kind of expect a mistake here and there. and you can give up a big play because of it. We talked about that before the season kicked off, but you don't often see bad coverage for Marcus Jones.

Starting point is 00:27:07 So Marcus Jones gets burnt and Craig Woodson gets spun around. And that's, again, you can't have it happen. But I don't anticipate Marcus Jones getting beat regularly. And I don't anticipate, you know, sometimes you get a tip your cap to the quarterback. And Cam Ward on second and seven, that is a tip to cap type situation. And then when you look at the third scoring drive for Tennessee, when they get, you know, another field goal, 32-yard drive to 32-yard drive, including a third and three where Van Jefferson beats Christian Gonzalez.

Starting point is 00:27:44 And I would not expect Christian Gonzalez to get beat very often, especially against a receiver like Van Jefferson, just not the best rep from Christian Gonzalez. But I'm not doubting Christian Gonzalez's talent. and that was like a 15-yard catch. So the Patriots, I mean, 32 yards on that third scoring drive, they had like 34 yards in the first scoring drive. It's not like Tennessee was racking up 75, 80-yard drives on the Patriots defense. So I feel slightly better. I don't expect Carlton Davis to fall on his face.

Starting point is 00:28:19 I don't expect Christian Gonzalez to get beat very often. I don't expect Marcus Jones to get. toast very often, you know, and then you got the quarterback making that ridiculous throw that I talked about. And he had another one or two great throws in that first quarter, first quarter and a half. So looking at it in totality, some unusual things happened, some bad luck happened, some bad play happened, and some really good play by the quarterback happened. All right, Christian Barmore was a beast in this game. He had at least four or five pressures. At least, at least he was a nightmare he's taking on double teams he's beating some of these double teams

Starting point is 00:29:00 he's creating opportunities for other players like when he takes a double team and harold landry late in this game loops around christian barmore and gets a sack that is thanks to christian barmore and harold landry even points to christian barmore and gives him credit immediately after that sack christian barmore has been great and he was really good on sunday the run game of the run game early on uh i think was very effective because for the first time in a while we saw tennessee defense they were playing too high safety and we've talked about this a little bit defenses have been loading up against the run through the first six weeks the patriots drake may he has seen a lot of one high safety now if you look at some of the

Starting point is 00:29:44 numbers drake may uh you know the one high safety stuff last year gave him some problems so the one high safety look is all about taking away the run and putting it on the quarterback. But because Drake May has been playing so well, Tennessee actually came into the game and they played much more too high safety than Drake May has seen, especially early in games. And a lot of that yardage, that first drive and a lot of the yardage that you saw in the first half in the run game was against two high safety looks. Now that changed in the second half, but the Patriots against two high safety were effective. They also had good initial push from the offensive line. They had some good blocking

Starting point is 00:30:26 on the second level. I mentioned Jared Wilson during the second segment with a great second level block. And I thought Ramandre Stevenson was really good in the first half. He had tremendous patience. He had excellent vision and he ran strong, hard, angry. had really good finish. Now, the second half run game was a little bit different. Tennessee went to one high safety, especially when the Patriots got up by 18. So Tennessee started to stack the box more and that impacted the Patriots run game. Tennessee was also more aggressive in the second half, run blitzes. And Austin Hooper was atrocious in run blocking. There were, you know, two, three, maybe even four occasions where Austin Hooper just was not nearly good enough.

Starting point is 00:31:10 and that's been a problem. Tight end blocking, sometimes wide receiver blocking. And the offensive line was also more inconsistent in the second half in the run again than they were in the first half. So, you know, a combination of factors, but we have to keep an eye on the one high safety versus two high safety. Because if Drake May continues to beat defenses when they play one high safety, you know, or rather, let me start over there. If Drake May continues to beat defenses when they play one high safety, I was right. They're going to have to go to two high safety. And when you go to two high safety, that should get the run game going.

Starting point is 00:31:48 So that's the cat and mouse game that defenses are going to have to play against Drake May and the Patriots. If Drake May keeps cooking defenses in that one high. All right, that wraps up this edition of Lockdown Patriots. Thank you for making us your first listen and for being an every day. Reach out to me on Twitter at Nick C Radio. and don't forget to throw a comment in on the YouTube channel, hit that like button, throw a comment, and subscribe. And for your second listen, get a double-dosed Lockdown NFL podcast with Tyler the Madman, Roland and Tony Wiggins.

Starting point is 00:32:20 Find Lockdown NFL on YouTube or wherever you listen to podcasts. Have a great day, and we will see you tomorrow.

Locked On Patriots - Daily Podcast On The New England Patriots - Breakthrough: Drake Maye's Unbelievable Stats | Hidden Concern?

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