Morning Brew Daily - Meta Agrees to Historic $18B Settlement & NYC Has More Tech Workers Than SF
Episode Date: August 27, 2026#920: Meta settles a major case that alleges its platforms can be addictively harmful for teens. Nvidia has become a banker to the AI boom. Bill Gates expresses his concerns about the pace of AI and s...ociety’s ability to govern it in an essay. NYC passes SF as the country’s biggest tech hub. Iceland has a ridiculously low murder rate. Japan’s Prime Minister defends her habit of working from home. Learn more at https://go.amex/morningbrew Subscribe to Morning Brew Daily for more of the news you need to start your day. Share the show with a friend, and leave us a review on your favorite podcast app. Listen to Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.swap.fm/l/mbd-note Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Good morning, Brew Daily Show.
I'm Neil Framman.
And I'm Toby Howell.
Today, meta settles for $18 billion in a landmark moment for social media.
Then Bill Gates is sounding one of the loudest alarms yet when it comes to AI.
It's Thursday, August 27th.
Let's ride.
If you miss the solar eclipse in Europe a couple of weeks ago,
tonight brings the next best thing, a lunar eclipse.
Beginning at 9.23 p.m. Eastern, the Earth will travel between
the sun and the moon casting a shadow on the moon's surface, covering 96.2% of it at the peak.
It should be a pretty cool sight because the Earth's shadow on the moon will make it appear reddish-orange
in what's been dubbed a blood moon.
Best part is it'll be visible from the continental U.S. if the skies cooperate.
Don't skip your afternoon coffee, though, because the eclipse will heat up around 10.30 and peak at 1212 a.m.
Neil, I've been saying this.
There are more eclipses this year than ever before.
It seems like every single week there's some celestial body passing in front of another one.
Am I crazy or are there more this year?
You're not crazy.
It's not necessarily more this year, but the reason that there is two in the past couple of weeks
is because solar and lunar eclipses do come in pairs.
There's usually one eclipse and then two weeks later when the sun or when the moon goes
from a new moon to a full moon, we get another eclipse.
And there's just fortuitous math the way these celestial bodies appear in the sky
because of size and distance.
It's pretty crazy the way this works out.
The sun is 400 times farther away from Earth than the moon is,
and the sun is also 400 times bigger than the moon.
So it cancels out.
You know, you do your second grade math there,
and these orbits look the same size in the night sky.
Of course you knew the actual answer to why there's been more.
Do you know why it turns red, though?
No.
It's not that exciting, but sunlight's obviously made up of a spectrum of colors,
and our atmosphere actually absorbs most of the yellow and blue parts of this.
spectrum. The only one that skirts by is the red part, which is why it gives the moon a blood
red hue. There you go. And now a word from our sponsor, American Express. Neil, I am all go.
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Facing potentially $200 billion in damages from a sprawling lawsuit,
META decided it was in a settling mood.
Just over a week into the trial,
the social media giant reached a landmark settlement with 48 states,
agreeing to pay up to $18 billion in penalties over 10 years,
and make key changes to Facebook and Instagram to make them safer places for kids.
It's among corporate America's largest settlements ever.
Attorneys general hailed the deal as a historic win.
DC's AG Brian Schwab called it a, quote,
monumental public health victory for young people,
saying the safety features meta is required to install
will fundamentally and immediately change
how young people use Instagram and Facebook.
In a statement, meta called the settlement
an important step that aims to set a new industry standard
for kids' safety on the internet.
We want to get this right for parents and teens, the company wrote.
But the fact that meta came to the negotiating table
instead of seeing the trial out
shows how fraught its predicament is.
This year has brought a wave of trials.
compared to big tech's big tobacco moment, where mounting backlash against social media has
resulted in significant legal peril for major platforms like meta. This case in California was seen
as the climax, acme pinnacle of the social media reckoning. Dozens of states had come together
to accuse meta of hooking kids onto its apps using addictive design features, then misleading the
public about the harms. They were seeking about $200 billion in damages and ultimately ended up
with 18 of that. Toby, for almost a decade, we've been wondering whether the push
back against big tech would amount to any material consequences or reforms.
That was finally answered yesterday.
$18 billion to normal people sounds like a lot of money, but META can pretty easily afford it.
One, it's $18 billion spread over a decade.
So it comes out to $1.8 billion per year.
But only 70% of that $18 billion is guaranteed that META will have to pay.
The remaining 30%, which we'll get into, depends on whether YouTube and TikTok make similar
concessions of their own. Meta generated $32 billion in operating cash flow in the June
quarter alone. So relative to its overall cash generation abilities, this settlement is not
particularly expensive, which is why actually some were confused as to why the stock didn't
do much yesterday. There's a lot of other factors feeding into why meta stock is not exactly
loved on Wall Street right now, but it did briefly go up, but end of the day, right around
flat. Jim Kramer to cite, you know, a market watcher said, wow, this stock is hated because
I would have thought that this was great news because of how small the settlement was in
comparison to how big it could have been. Yeah, let's talk about those two phases that you mentioned.
Super interesting, very unique settlement here. We have two parts. One is the 70% that meta will pay
out over a decade. That's $12.7 billion. And then the other 30% is contingence on two different
conditions that are met. It's if YouTube and TikTok, which are completely separate companies,
implement similar design changes that meta is about to do like a one-hour daily limit,
night mode so you don't get push notifications at night and age assurance measures. And then also
YouTube and TikTok have to pay the 30% match. So they also have to pay about $5 billion for
this to unlock meta's additional payment as well. So meta is really tying this.
to broader changes within the social media industry.
They want their competitors to do the same because their argument is that, look, we can make
the changes, but then kids will go to other platforms and nothing will have changed.
They're also taking out major ads and major newspapers, pushing YouTube and TikTok in this big PR
campaign to make these changes as well.
So very interesting, very unique settlement where we're seeing this in two phases designed to
change the overall industry.
I think the real consequence isn't the monetary penalty.
It's the fact that meta is forced to change how its apps operate.
The important distinction here is that those features that you mentioned, those overnight
time limits, those blocking notifications during school hours, those will be on by default.
And that is always the big question mark when it comes to social media change.
If features are on by default, it forces you to go through into the settings and manually
toggle that I'm off.
That is a lot more friction than before versus if you had to opt in.
It's the opt in versus opt out debate.
So the fact that you have to opt out is the thing that people think will bring real change here.
Meta has been very reluctant to ever put these safety measures in a place.
You go back to 2020 Adam Messary, the chief of Instagram, announced plans to hide Instagram like counts.
That was something that's been in the works for a long time now.
But ultimately backed away from the plan because he did not want to reduce the amount of time people spent on Instagram.
I mean, Instagram's entire business model relies on your attention scrolling so they can sell you ads.
Any decisions that you make that reduces that intention is bad for business, which is, again, why this feels like a big step forward because these are attention blocking measures that are now on by default when it comes to kids and their social media.
Yeah, just to sum up.
So if you are a kid under 18 or you're a parent, here are the exact features that meta is going to change because of the settlement.
there's going to be a two-hour daily time limit, no access at night as default, no notifications
during school hours prompts every 15 minutes of continuous screen time being like, hey, you've been
using this for a while and more robust parental controls. To sum this up, I think there is a wave.
There's no denying that there's a ton of momentum building against big tech. We've seen a number of
countries limit social media to under to over 16. Australia was the first, but then Britain,
Canada, Denmark, Indonesia, and New Zealand are all following suit. Meanwhile, META still faces
thousands of lawsuits that have been filed by school districts and individual plaintiffs going
ahead. There's been a lot of comparison about big techs, big tobacco moment, this moment for
meta compared to this moment for, say, Philip Morris. Well, when they reached the settlement back in the
90s, that wiped out, that shielded them from all future lawsuits. This one doesn't, so
meta still has a lot of legal wrangling still to go.
At 5.30 a.m. yesterday morning, the infamous market soussayer Jim Kramer tweeted out,
I sense a monumental day. What had Kramer up early and ready to roll on a seemingly
random Wednesday? Well, you can't fall to man for getting excited for the biggest company
in the world to report its third quarter earnings. Nvidia lived up to the expectations, Mr.
Kramer foisted upon it and more. It reported nearly $100 billion in revenue and emphasized
there is more growth to come. Invida is the market bellwether and investors pay attention not
only to the numbers they report, but their guidance going forward to see if the AI freight train
has enough fuel to keep chugging along. And on that front, Nvidia sued any worries.
Wall Street had been expecting its revenue to grow 45%. But Nvidia said,
no-uh, how does 70% growth in the next fiscal year sound to you?
Incredibly, we are seeing demand acceleration even at our scale, it's CFO said.
CEO Jensen Huang followed that up by assuring everyone that, quote,
the AI infrastructure buildout is at full steam.
Now, of course, when the AI trade is popping up most of the market,
it's almost not enough to be amazing.
You have to be spectacular.
Nvidia's stock had closed lower for seven straight days leading into earnings,
but finally rose 7% as investors breathed a sigh of relief.
Still a sigh of relief begs the question, relief from what?
Despite Nvidia beating expectations 16 quarters in a row,
its recent moves from chip seller to data center financier has some people nervous.
Nvidia has assembled a $500 billion credit line for various financial firms
to help its customers better afford its chips,
raising concerns of circular financing.
Neil, yesterday was a perfect microcosm of the predicament Nvidia fides itself in.
It's not just enough for it to report great numbers quarter after quarter after quarter.
It's become the AI Lorax forced to speak for the entire industry.
Not exactly a surprise that Nvidia is making $100 billion, nearly $100 billion in a quarter because
paid attention to big tech earnings a few weeks ago.
Each one of them came up and said, we are going to spend like $200 billion this year on
AI CapEx from meta to Amazon to Google.
And most of that spending is going to Nvidia.
And so, NVIDIA is reaping the rewards, but that also is becoming a bit of a risk,
a bit of a liability because those hyperscalers, those big tech companies,
account for about half of NVIDIA's revenue.
And this transformation that you're talking about for NVIDIA to become the more of the bank of AI,
it's trying to attract new customers.
And these customers are often smaller than meta.
They're smaller than Amazon.
And Vindia stuff is expensive.
So what they're doing is unlocking a lot of financing so that these small,
companies, these less credit-worthy companies, can start buying their chips. It's called
vendor financing. It's been using the telecom. There was a bubble, you know, back in 99 and 2000.
So we'll see how this plays out. But it's been a very, very fascinating transformation because a lot
of people just can't afford Nvidia stuff. So they're saying, here, we're going to help you get
financing for that so that you can buy stuff from us. It really just shows how you become a victim of
your own success. Whenever you do something great in this life, people go, all right, well, what's the
next thing that you're going to do? And right now,
there's very little concern about demand around Nvidia's chips.
Like quarter after quarter, they have proved that this is durable.
People are going to spend, these hyperscalers are going to buy Nvidia chips.
So what are investors concerned about?
They're concerned about circular financing, but they're also concerned about China.
Invidia still isn't counting on any money coming out of China going forward.
It expects zero data center revenue from China next quarter.
So that's concern number one.
Number two, we've talked a lot about how memory prices have been going up.
That hurts Nvidia as well.
They're saying that their gross margins are going to fall going forward because they also have memory as an input cost.
And then number three, they kind of have competition emerging from their own customer base.
Open AI and Anthropic are both working on their own custom chips designed around their specific AI needs.
Jensen Huang kind of shrugged it off and say those are very specific to their needs.
We are still the general computing platform that a lot of people are going to use.
but those are the question marks that are now hanging above Nvidia.
Not so much is their demand for their chips.
Moving on, Bill Gates is scared of the pace of AI progress,
and he wrote a nearly 6,000-word essay to voice his qualms.
His main point, the people building AI understand how dangerous it could become,
but the financial incentives are so great it prevents them from saying so publicly.
The private versus public disconnect comes from Gates' own experience in the technology world.
He points to three technological turning points he has lived.
through. The first was back in the 80s, seeing graphical interfaces, which convinced him that
personal computers would become the future. But then he puts seeing chat GPT and Claude
in action right up there alongside computers as the other seminal tech moments of his life.
It is with that context in mind that Gates launches into his darkest fears, namely that
AI differs from other tech revolutions of the past. Most tech proponents argue that new
breakthroughs may destroy some jobs, but will create even more new ones. Gates, however, looks at AI,
as quote, utterly, absolutely, completely, totally different.
For starters, most technology doesn't bring with it the threat of bioterrorism in the same
way AI does. Gates also thinks mass unemployment is possible because AI doesn't just affect
a single industry but all parts of the economy, leaving lots of people vulnerable to job losses.
Gates has some solutions in mind.
One, have government's taxed AI usage, making it more expensive to replace a human worker with
AI. And two, make some jobs off limits to AI in what Gates dubbed human reserved roles,
which he'd apply to jobs like caregivers, for example. Neil, plenty of room here to critique the messenger
given Gates's public missteps in recent years and his position as one of the richest people
in the world. But what do you think about the message itself? I would like to lobby Bill Gates to
make podcasters human reserve jobs too. What stood out to me is, is this the same guy from the three years ago?
because he also wrote something about AI three years ago, and he said, look, maybe AI job disruption is going to be bumpy, but it would be a manageable transition. People would work more efficiently. It's going to bring about huge gain. So he was pretty optimistic about the technology not too long ago. And now here he writes this nearly 6,000 word screed saying, quote, I am in a state of shock that I'm sort of the first one saying, this is crazy, this is insane. I'm just deafened by the silence.
So this is a person who has spent a lot of time in the tech industry doing a complete 180
on what he thinks AI is going to bring to humanity.
I can't help but think about the position of these stories in our show lineup today.
We just talked about Nvidia saying that absolutely we are seeing AI become useful.
We're seeing this mass adoption.
Like growth is going to continue full steam ahead.
And then you have Bill Gates saying like, wait a second, the economic usefulness of this technology
does not offset the question of whether it is ultimately good for society.
So that was his big thing.
He was trying to make the argument, too,
that he is uniquely positioned to make this argument because he has worked in technology.
He understands it.
He also doesn't have any financial incentives.
You might roll your eyes on that one because he still owns a lot of Microsoft stock.
But he was saying that I can be the person to sound the alarm right now,
even though all these other companies are just kind of blinded by the economic benefits
that they will reap rather than what it will actually mean for society.
Fascinating how this debate is playing out because Anthropic CEO Dario Amadeh has been criticized
by many in the tech world for being too doom and gloom about AI.
He's come out and said, I think that 50% of white collar jobs are going to be wiped out.
And people are saying, what are you doing?
Like, you're trying to sell this product to people.
You can't say this is going to be the end of all humanity.
It's going to wipe out 50% of jobs.
So he's got a little more quiet.
Wyatt on that respect. Bill Gates is saying, look, I actually agree with you, dude. Like,
you should also speak up. And then we also have Mark Zuckerberg, on the other hand, the CEO of META saying,
launching this new optimistic AI message over the past couple of weeks saying, I think AI is going to be really good for humanity.
Just really interesting how this messaging is playing out. Then you have the whole data center issue where people, you know,
nine out of ten people hate data centers. And that is going to be an existential threat for the growth of a
AI industry. So here's Bill Gates coming in saying, look, if you think the data center thing is
bad, you need to be regulated because the backlash that is coming when everyone loses their jobs
because of AI will make the data center backlash look like basically nothing.
All right. We're going to take a quick break and come back with Neal's numbers right after this.
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Welcome to Neal's numbers, the segment where I share three stats in the week's news that will have your friends nicknaming you, Claude.
For my first number, what would you say is the tech capital of the United States?
Because it's not as clear cut as you might think.
According to the latest tech talent report from CBRE, New York has overtaken the San Francisco Bay Area as the region with the highest tech workforce by total headcount.
The New York metro area grew its tech talent to over 394,000 between 2022 and 2025.
an 8% increase, while the Bay Area's tech workforce shrank by 6% to around 375,000.
The reason New York is now on top is it's got a more diversified industry based in San Francisco,
and those industries, banking insurance, real estate, have gone all in on artificial intelligence,
bolstering their tech teams to reap the efficiency benefits of the AI age.
J.P. Morgan's CEO, Jamie Diamond, said recently,
I think we will be hiring more AI people and fewer bankers in certain categories,
and it will make them more productive, while Goldman Sachs is building a so-called digital factory floor
to automate the repetitive tasks in finance.
All right, so New York now has the edge in talent.
However, when it comes to following the money, all roads lead to Silicon Valley still.
The Wall Street Journal reported that companies in California have raised around $366 billion in venture funding since the start of the year.
That is more than three times the amount of the other 49 states combined.
Startups in New York and second place raised just.
27 billion. I think it's so funny that New York has become this tech capital because of one thing.
They want to put AI into production inside their highly regulated businesses rather than simply
experiment with the technology. That is mainly what's not mainly, but that is a big portion of
what's going on in San Francisco is that you have these researchers who just want to go down
the rabbit hole for the sake of going down versus in New York. They're like, wait, this can make us
2% more efficient. Let's hire every single person we can.
So that's, I think, the biggest disconnect.
But you are right to say that San Francisco is not this wilting daisy in the tech world.
It's not, it's clearly attracting all of the venture dollars.
And it really hasn't even lost the AI-specific crown either.
They still lead in raw number of AI specialists, not just broad tech workers.
AI represents 26% of all SF tech job postings versus just 17% in New York.
So still very much the AI center of the universe.
For my next number, the Prime Minister of Japan,
is kind of a hermit. At the very least, she loves working from home. Since entering office last
October, Senei Takaichi has not left her house at all on a majority of weekends and public holidays
Niki reported last Friday. Compare that to Japan's previous three prime ministers who spent a
maximum of just 16% of non-weekdays entirely at home. Bloomberg dug into her schedule even deeper,
finding more proof she just wants to be left alone. As of July, Takaiichi met with finance
Minister officials 50% less often than the previous two PMs while holding the fewest cabinet
meetings of any leader since 2012.
It's not like she's playing video games.
Last month, Takaiichi celebrated on social media that she finally got five hours of sleep for
the first time in a while, with zero to three hours being the norm since becoming prime
minister.
However, all this alone time has become a bit of a political problem, and opposition leaders
and media figures have called attention to Takaichi's homeberg tendencies.
A few days ago, she defended herself on X, writing,
work conducted at the official residence, such as meetings held there, are not reported as part of
the Prime Minister's daily schedule, but from my perspective, it's also a workplace.
Zero to three hours of sleep? I will never complain again. The other story that is going viral
around her hermitness is the fact that she befriended a cockroach when she moved into the official
residence for the Prime Minister, she said that, one, I have never accounted her ghosts because
there's absolutely rumors that this residence is haunted, but she did encounter a cockroach,
but before killing it, she was like, wait, wait a second, what if this is part of the long
cycle of reincarnation? She befriended the cockroach. Eventually they had someone come in and kind of
spray for bugs, and she added, I was relieved, but somehow felt a little lonely, a little sad because
she no longer had her cockroach buddy. For my final number, Iceland has virtually no murders,
yet crime is its favorite literary genre.
In a delightful article,
the New York Times notes that Iceland,
with a population of 400,000 people,
has virtually no murders.
It was major news when the number of homicides
doubled from two before 2020
to about four in the years after.
According to some surveys,
it's the safest country in the world.
But whatever crime they lack for in real life,
Icelanders make up for by devouring crime fiction,
which has become the most popular type of literature in the country.
One Icelandic crime writer,
who also happens to be the former Prime Minister,
told the Times there are more fictional murders in Iceland every year than real,
adding, which is good.
So what draws the people of Iceland to violent stories they simply cannot relate to?
One factor may be an embrace of the broader Nordic Noir Heritage,
as anyone who's read Girl with the Dragon Tattoo knows,
the people who live in these northern European countries like Sweden, Finland,
and Iceland, love a good murder mystery.
But maybe more influential are the Icelandic sagas sometimes described as
Icelanders' second Bible.
These stories from as early as the 13th century
are still taught in high schools and describe
bloody Norse feuds and romantic rivalries
themes that echo in modern day crime
thrillers. Still Toby, you kind of have
to admit it's odd. There's only
been one serial killer ever in
Iceland, Axler Bjorn, and he
died in 1596.
These Icelandic authors crack me up
because they're like, we have such poor
source material. It's a poor poll
from. One said the typical Icelandic
murder is two drunk guys
in a kitchen. That's how most of the murders happen. You just get into a brawl. So it's not exactly
exciting for authors. So these authors get creative. They have started calling up a full-time forensic
pathologist 24-7. They're like, how does a body react if it is decaying in lava? And at first,
the pathologist was like, this is kind of fun. Like, I love being the expert here. He started teaching a
course on it. But then eventually he was like, all right, it's getting too much. It's gotten too
gory for me. Stop calling me. Just make it up, guys. Like, it's fine. It's a book. You're allowed to
inject fiction into a crime fiction. He says, why not? You can say whatever you like. So just a very
funny thing of them begging for any morsel of material. And the one guy saying, dude, just make it up.
It's fine. All right, let's sprint to the finish with some final headlines. Yesterday brought
images that seemed directly lifted out of an apocalypse movie. Massive floods on the border between
China and Nepal swept into towns and villages with unimaginable force.
obliterating everything in their path, including people, at least 168 people have been killed in Nepal,
and over 1,000 more are unaccounted for from 50 different countries.
Viral videos showed peaceful scenes and then, wham, a wall of water bigger than you've ever seen
with a force you can't even fathom engulfing the frame.
Researchers across the globe were trying to piece together how this large of a flood could have occurred
because weather officials said there's been no significant rainfall in the area.
they're zeroing in on one leading hypothesis that a huge chunk of ice with a width of 2,000 feet
snapped off a glacier high in the Himalayas and plunged almost 4,000 feet to the valley floor
where it was atomized into water sparking the deadly deluge and mudslides.
These videos are unfathomable. They're around social media right now, but watch them at your own caution.
There are still 341 foreign national missing as well, including 47 Americans.
stories are coming out too about near misses.
One tour guide told a local outlet
that they were planning on going into a port
in the affected area,
but switched last minute to go see
a weather station on a mountain instead
and actually were able to watch the flood happen
in the valley below.
It's truly unfathomable stuff though
and we're thinking about everyone affected.
Finally, the best two-way player in baseball right now
is a 12-year-old.
Kinley Rasmus has rewritten
the Little League World Series record book
One day after tying the tournament's strikeout record for a girl,
she broke the all-time hits record for a girl with her fifth,
helping her Phoenix City Alabama team beat Tacoma Fortitude to advance in Williamsport.
There are only two girls playing in this year's tournament,
but Rasmus is putting together one of the best performances by any player there.
The baseball gene runs in her family.
Her dad, Corey Rasmus, pitched four seasons in the majors.
Now, unfortunately, Phoenix City ran into Hamilton, Ohio Buzzsaw yesterday
and lost its first elimination game.
But remember the name Kinley Rasmus?
And remember the name Monet Davis?
Because I remember how huge she was?
That was-dominated.
That was really electric.
Now she's tied for the most strikeouts
in the Middle League World Series history for a girl.
Well, Monet Davis actually plays centerfield
for the Los Angeles Queens
in the women's professional baseball league.
Did you know this was the thing?
Starting on August 1st,
they're trying to bring back
the most successful women's baseball league
since just the years after World War II, one folded in 1954.
And they're playing right now in Springfield, Illinois.
There's four different teams, and they're jockeying for position in the playoffs,
which start September 9th.
So that is happening.
And the reason a lot of people know what's happening is because this video of the first
ever national anthem sang at the Women's Professional Baseball League spread across
social media when it happened.
And I encourage you to go look that up because it is,
I'm not going to say anything about it,
but it's a very unique national anthem.
So that is what Monet Davis is up to.
Awesome to see girls succeed in the Little League World Series.
Unfortunately, they're out, but Ohio was just too good.
I watched that game.
They were peppering it all over the ballpark.
All right, that is all the time we have.
Thanks so much for starting your morning with us.
Have a wonderful Thursday.
To share your thoughts on the episode or anything else,
send an email to Morning Brew Daily at morningbrew.com
or DMS on Instagram at MBDAily Show.
Let's roll the credits.
Emily Milliron is our supervising producer. Raymond Lue is our senior producer. Our producer is Olivia Graham and our associate producer is Olivia Lake. Technical direction by Nina Miller. Hair and makeup also doesn't really leave their house. Devin Emery is our president and our show is a production of Morning Brew. Great show today, Neil. Let's run it back tomorrow.
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