NFL Stock Exchange: An NFL Draft Podcast - 134. 2023 NFL Draft Possibilities With 1-18 Draft Order Set
Episode Date: January 12, 2023Hosts Trevor Sikkema and Connor Rogers update the 2023 FL Draft order following the NFL's regular season finale and discuss scenarios and possibilities now that picks 1-18 are set ...
Transcript
Discussion (0)
This episode is brought to you by our good friends at NFL Sunday Ticket on YouTube TV.
I'm sure by now you've all got back into your Sunday routines, but they could be even better.
With NFL Sunday Ticket and YouTube TV, you get the most live NFL games all in one place,
every game, every Sunday. And you can even watch up to four different games at once with MultiView, one of my favorite inventions of this decade.
It's exactly what you need to catch all the action.
Make your Sundays more magical.
And also, YouTube TV is great.
I got it this year.
It's awesome.
Sign up now at youtube.com slash BS,
device and content restrictions apply.
Local and national games on YouTube TV NFL Sunday
ticket for out-of-market games excludes digital only games welcome to the NFL Stock Exchange
podcast in this episode we're taking a look at the locked finalized draft order for all non-playoff
teams now that the regular season is over in the NFL so we finally have the 2023 NFL draft order
somewhat set 1 through 18 so we got a lot
of teams to talk about, especially a new team picking at number one. So many scenarios, so many
positions, so many team prospect pairings that we go over here in this podcast, and it's just the
very beginning. I'm Trevor Sycamore. With me, as always, is Connor Rogers. Let's ring the bell. Welcome to the opening bell of the NFL
Stock Exchange podcast. I'm Trevor Sikama. That is Connor Rogers joining you guys a day late.
And we recognize that. You know what? That's hand up. That's on us. No, no, no, no, no.
It's not on us.
It's on me.
It's not on us.
You're a good soldier.
You're a good sport.
Full transparency, I was under the weather,
and I didn't have my flu game in me.
I just didn't have it in me.
So we're here for you.
I guess almost a daily.
I know we're going to get this thing out as soon as we can so
don't let trevor fall be fall for me i will take the blame and we're here and we're ready to do
this thing it's a partnership it's a partnership that's right that's what when somebody asks me
who my partner is i go trevor sycamore i love hearing that does that mean we have the valentine's
day gifts okay now it's weird sorry uh all All right. Well, today on the podcast, whether it was coming out on its regular scheduled day or
whether you were listening to it right now, the topic was always going to be the same.
And that is because the regular season is over in the NFL, which means we have the locked
and loaded 2023 NFL draft order for the non-playoff teams.
Now, that is not to say that this will be the exact order when we get to the first pick at the end of april we're going to dig into plenty of those scenarios
here in a second but we want to discuss it as the order is finalized we do that every single
wednesday we talk about the what ifs now it's less of a oh what if this team team picks here
now it's a what are they going to do here so a little bit more solidified scenarios, tongue twister there, that we get to discuss here.
And Connor, I'm excited, man.
This order, I feel like could not have turned out any better from a content perspective,
all through respect to Houston Texans fans who my heart is with you.
But my God, is there going to be some incredible content over the next two or three months?
I mean, you got it all.
You got the potential number one pick auction you got the team at number two that needs a quarterback you got the
team at number four that needs a quarterback you got clean slate in arizona at three you know like
what are they gonna what are they gonna do totally clean slate at three you got seattle and the lions
teams that are trending up still picking
in the top 10 because they have the broncos and rams picks raiders obviously probably moving into
a new era at quarterback falcons i think the same thing although we'll see how they plan to move
forward with ritter carolina there's so much drama here um so much drama here and there's you know as oh every draft has there's a lot of talent at
the top so it's it you're right the order fell perfectly for the nfl draft analysts and the nfl
draft podcast in this world yes it's going to be a beautiful next couple of months as we get to talk
about everything that is possible with this order i'll just read it off to start us off here i'll go
1 to 18.
Just so you guys, if you haven't seen it or if you're following along,
maybe you got tank-a-thon of the NFL draft order up as you were listening to this podcast.
Chicago Bears, they did it.
They ended up getting the number one overall pick.
Weren't sure.
We were not sure that was going to be the case.
It felt like we had Houston at number one for what?
Three months, Connor?
I think we did.
It felt like it was a three-month steady.
Houston's at one.
Bryce Young in every single mock draft.
Now he gets to open it up a little bit.
Chicago picks number one.
Houston picks number two.
Arizona Cardinals pick at number three.
Indianapolis Colts, four.
Seattle Seahawks via the Denver Broncos,
they're picking five.
Detroit Lions via the Los Angeles Rams at six.
Vegas at seven.
Atlanta at eight.
Carolina at nine.
Philly does end up with that top 10 overall pick
because New Orleans' selection is at number 10.
So Philly gets that one.
Tennessee's sitting at 11.
Houston's second first round pick comes in at number 12,
where Cleveland would have been picking.
Your New York Jets are at 13.
New England's at 14.
Green Bay, 15.
Washington Commanders at 16.
Pittsburgh Steelers at 17.
And the last non-playoff spot goes to the Detroit Lions 14, Green Bay, 15, Washington Commanders at 16, Pittsburgh Steelers at 17.
And the last non-playoff spot goes to the Detroit Lions for their second selection in the top 18.
Connor, we touched on it a little bit on the Monday show for the What Matters Most when we discuss what matters most from Chicago's result and Houston's result.
But now that we're going full draft focus, looking at the draft order,
what's the thoughts with Chicago here?
What's on the table for them?
What are some early scenarios you might like
from their perspective?
We'll talk about a little bit later in the order
teams that could be trading up,
but what's your favorite perspective,
favorite attack right now for the Chicago Bears?
The balance of getting a great player at a premium position of need in
Will Anderson or and why I said balance the lead it the package of picks because somebody will call
to get into this pick many many will call you're right whether Houston uh nibbles with the idea of flipping here.
You heard Chris Ballard say, what was the quote, Trevor?
We'll do everything or anything we can.
Whatever the words were, it was aggressive.
It was something you do not see from a GM in the draft world.
I was talking with Mike Renner about that a little bit this morning,
and Mike was like, that was a little shocking, right?
And I'm like, well, what else is the guy going to say?
They're sitting at four.
Their roster is good, and quarterback's been abysmal for them.
It's not like it's a secret.
It's not like they're calling up Chicago or Houston or, I don't know,
whoever it's going to be, and they're trying to keep it hush-hush
that they're moving up for a quarterback.
I think everybody knows it, and I think ballard just uh was kind of reading the
elephant in the room if you will so with that being said what jumps out to me is that one in
three are the leaping spots right you know you need to get in front of houston well in the simplest
terms you need to get to number one so you you have the pick of the litter. I think for the majority of teams, that'll be Bryce Young.
But then, you know, you need to get to three because the Colts are at four.
I mean, Trevor, this draft, here's what's crazy, right?
All right.
This is like the what matters most of the draft show.
We are now in a position where we live in a world
that if chicago and arizona trade their picks quarterbacks could go one two three
in this draft there is a world where this draft goes bryce cj levis And if you're the Colts and you know that,
that means the price goes up.
Because you can't sit there at four and go,
Anthony Richardson?
You cannot do that.
So I guess the ramifications of how everything fell
is that the stock of the quarterbacks went up without having them to
do anything more on the field, in my opinion. Yeah, I think we went into this draft class.
Certainly, if you go back to some early mocks that we did in like September or August,
and I think you and I both would have said this is not going to be one of those quarterback classes
where you've got
three quarterbacks going in the top five we didn't think that was the case lo and behold the
desperation to go get a quarterback and i will say like cj stroud looking as good as he did against
georgia certainly helped um the media it's it feels like the media narrative of the nfl really
loving will levis is pushing that higher than we thought we We knew that Bryce Young was going to be in the conversation.
Now it really does feel like those other two are there.
And for a guy like Richardson, yeah,
I think that somebody might take a chance on him in the top 10,
but obviously that's a different kind of conversation.
It's Chicago for one.
I will say this. The fact that we are even entertaining a Chicago Bears taking Bryce Young at number one overall
tells me that maybe a lot of the, well, the NFL is not going to be unanimous on Bryce Young,
might not be as strong as we initially thought it was.
It really might not be that every team that every team in the NFL has this different opinion of Bryce Young. And I, and I'm just kind of trying to read the tea leaves here, but I feel like Bryce
Young is going to be regarded as a better prospect than necessarily this. Well, some people just
won't like him. I think the majority of the NFL is going to say that dude's special, right?
You look at the size, you look at how much of an outlier he would be.
He would be like one of three quarterbacks who would ever be that size in the NFL.
And I think the other two weren't even picked before the first three rounds,
whatever the stat was, but some stat like that was crazy.
So Bryce Young would truly have to be an outlier in his own tier
to be good and succeed with his measurables.
But guess what? Bryce Young was in his own tier in college good and succeed with his measurables. But guess what?
Bryce Young was in his own tier in college football over the last two years.
Bryce Young was the best quarterback in college football straight up for the last two years,
whether it was escapability, decision-making, ball placement, just processing, creating,
everything.
He was in his own tier.
So though I do think the Bryce Young, draft Bryce Young, and then trade Justin Fields or do things like that,
while I do think that's kind of crazy right now,
the fact that we are even having that discussion makes me believe
that there's not going to be as much parity within these quarterback rankings
at the very top as maybe we were led to believe a month ago,
a month or two ago whatever it was
i think that it's firmly going to be bryce young and for any of those teams carolina
indianapolis las vegas shoot you want to throw the new york jets the washington commanders the
tennessee titans whoever else in there atlanta falcons if you want bryce young i still think
you got to get to one and then i didn't even I didn't even include the Houston Texans in that.
Houston Texans are sitting there at two.
If Houston wants Bryce Young,
they got to figure out how to do a pick swap.
I don't think they can sit there at two
and think that some other team is going to trade up
for Will Levis or CJ Stroud,
and they might have Bryce Young fall to them.
If you want Bryce,
the price is still that number one overall pick.
Which leads me to, number one, I agree, because logic,
you go back to logic, and logic is that Bryce Young
is the best quarterback in this draft,
and it might not be close, to be honest with you.
There seems to be a sizable gap from Bryce to the next guy.
Another scenario on the table to me is if you're Houston,
you know, everything's warm there.
They fired their last two coaches.
Nick Casario is still calling the shots.
You got to get it right.
Is there a world, I guess I'll throw it to you, Trevor, for your opinion.
Is there a world where if you're Houston, knowing all of these things,
but you have so many holes on that roster,
where you try to dive
into the veteran quarterback market pretty aggressively and then go, you know what?
We'll take Will Anderson at two if Bryce Young goes number one. And I know it's hard to sit there
and punt on taking a quarterback, but do you think about trading for Derek Carr
and getting the best player in the draft instead as insurance
if Bryce isn't there?
I think that's something you have to seriously consider
when you just look yourself in the mirror if you're Houston now.
It's not exciting.
I'm trying to think of a scenario where that would make sense for Houston.
And off the top of my head,
the only one that really makes sense,
because when you look at that Houston roster,
it's not,
I don't want to say it's terrible.
You just got to understand where it is,
right?
They're not in a winning window.
They're about to trade Brandon cooks and Brandon cooks is pissed,
right?
Who do you have a wide receiver?
You hope you're getting John Metchie back,
right?
But like,
all right,
even if you get Metchie back,
you got Metchie back. You still got holes in the offensive line you got Damian Pierce cool but you need better years from Jalen Petrie you need more consistency out of Derek Singley
Jr. like you need more guys up front to disrupt the passer you need better linebackers right
that roster is just so far away so the only place where I could think that maybe makes sense, say if Houston's in a Bryce or bust world,
is if you trade for like a Zach Wilson.
Yeah, Carr shouldn't go there.
I don't think any traditional veteran,
like when we think of veteran quarterbacks,
what are you thinking of?
Jacoby Brissett, Derek Carr, Jimmy G uh aaron rogers tom brady if they become available
right i don't really think any of those quarterbacks make sense for the houston texans
the only one that would is is if the jets are willing to move on from zach wilson which i i
don't know if they would be for like a third round pick to get him on to just get him off the roster
get a pick for him.
He doesn't have to be in the locker room anymore.
They don't have to hear about Zach Wilson.
They don't have to answer questions about,
about Zach Wilson.
Whoever comes in to play quarterback doesn't have to have that over their
shoulder,
whatever it is trading for a guy who is young and has promised that you
might say to yourself,
eh,
we get a home run.
You know,
if we,
if we're just,
if we were bunting and we somehow get a double out of it because of just luck,
then maybe that makes sense.
Or maybe you look at San Francisco's situation.
If your job is on the line and your next quarterback decision,
are you making that prayer?
Because I'm not.
I think Nick Cicero, whatever quarterback he acquires next is his choice of, if I don't win some damn games next year, I'm done.
And that's ultimately why I don't think they go this route at all.
I don't think you can even go a veteran route
because the roster's not good enough for a veteran to come in
and play well right away, right?
I mean, even look at Tom Brady,
how poorly it felt like Bradyady played at times this year and
that bucks roster is nice they didn't play well but it's a lot better than yeah what he's got
then what he would have going on in houston same thing with the packers right packers at least have
an incredible run game nice young receivers to lean on so what i don't think a veteran quarterback
really makes sense there i think that's's why Houston's in a really interesting spot because they're positioning at number two.
You would tell yourself,
okay, they don't have to give up very much.
All Chicago is doing is moving down one spot.
Houston's just moving up one spot.
But at the same time,
you're not just betting against
what would be the regular value to move from two to one.
You're also betting against however desperate the Indianapolis Colts get, how desperate the Las Vegas Raiders get, how desperate the Carolina Panthers get.
And I specifically look at four and nine.
I specifically look at the Indianapolis Colts and the Carolina Panthers, two teams that can't hide it.
They need a rookie potential superstar quarterback that is where both of these franchises are good luck they cannot
leave the first round without a quarterback and if they're gonna take one which one do you want
you want Bryce so Carolina's package to move from nine to one might be crazy.
It might be three firsts, right?
We're talking like three first round picks,
maybe even a little bit on top of that, some picks later.
You know what I'm saying?
Easily.
Easily.
I think that's probably where the conversation starts.
You look at the Indianapolis Colts.
Maybe the Colts are saying we will not be outbid
for a potential Bryce Young at number one.
And what if the Colts said, we'll give you four and two other first round picks.
So now all of a sudden, Chicago is sitting at a spot where they could still go from one to four,
knowing that a quarterback is going to go with one of those spots,
knowing that a quarterback is probably going to go number two to Houston,
and guaranteeing themselves Jalen Carter or Will Anderson anyways,
and that's a deal that they would probably rather take.
That's the play.
Then Houston sitting here and saying,
okay, we'll give you a second and a third round pick
to just move up one spot.
They go, no, because we could still have the guy that we want on defense
and two more picks first round picks from the Colts next year that's the problem for Houston
it's not just viewing this as a yeah they're only one spot down they don't have to give that much
to get up they are going to be bidding at least I think against super desperate teams especially
those two so that was that's my that's my Houston Texans rant. No, I think you're on it.
I think the Colts going up to one right now
is the most realistic scenario.
And then it comes down to what Houston ultimately will do.
And this is a draft right now that after a guy like Jared Verst
decides to go back to school,
the prime talent at the top has dwindled. Olu Fashani went back to school. He would talent at the top has dwindled.
Olu Fashani went back to school.
He would have been the top tackle in this draft.
Jared Burse went back to school.
He was edge two from the show.
So you're looking at this situation and you're going,
okay, let's assume three quarterbacks go in the top ten, right?
Let's assume Will Anderson and Jalen Carter go in the top ten.
What are the other five spots, right?
One of the tackles, I think.
Probably.
Skowrowski's kind of this wild card.
He's a guy I could see being drafted later
than we initially expected.
Just because of the length.
Picking six to 10 kind of stinks this year.
It absolutely does because it's all the same, right?
Equivalent of talent.
There's not like a, yeah, there's not like a home run that you're super cool with.
And that's not always the case with draft classes. Like, right.
Some draft classes you get to number 12 and you got studs.
Oh, Micah Parsons and Rashawn Slater. Yeah.
Yeah. Well, that year was really, really good.
But yeah, I just think that this draft is going to be, Oh, Micah Parsons and Rashawn Slater. Yeah. Yeah. Well, that year was really, really good.
But yeah, I just think that this draft is going to be,
it's going to be very exciting because it's going to,
you're going to be dealing with desperate teams. You're going to be dealing with a handful of desperate teams who also know
that, who know that pick six through 10,
you might get a good football player, right?
I'm not saying the guys who are going to get picked six and beyond aren't
going to be good football players,
but compared to years of the past,
Patrick Chetan,
a JC Horn,
like even like a Drake London coming in right away and play those kinds of
players.
I don't know if you're going to get those kinds of impacts.
There's not this guarantee that they're going to work out.
Six through 15.
Like you said, could be the same.
Here's the players I think of.
Miles Murphy, Ryan Brzee, Paris Johnson, Christian Gonzalez.
Yep, I'd agree.
I would throw Devon Witherspoon up there right now.
Oh, man.
Witherspoon going that high would be awesome.
I don't know if he's going to, but that'd be cool.
I think he could find his way into the top 15.
Okay.
I feel like I missed some real obvious ones here.
Oh, Tyree.
Tyree will go in the top 15.
Tyree Wilson, yeah.
Depending on where you have Quentin Johnston, maybe.
Yep.
And then the fringe guy is Michael Mayer.
No, I would tell you the fringe guy is Bijan.
Absolutely.
Because I kind of think Bijan's going top 15.
And if I look at this order, you and I talked about this last time we did a mock.
If you look at this order, where are you putting Bijan Robinson?
A lot of places that you would put him, fans would be like,
no, I don't want our team to draft that guy there.
That's why I don't see him in the top 15 15 it would have to be a trade-up who in
the top 15 is taking him i connor i don't know but you and i but we talk about this all the time
we think it's gonna happen we think it's gonna he's just too good of a football player right
yeah christian mccaffrey went eight leon Leonard Fournette went four. Zeke Eulalia went five.
Saquon Barkley went two.
No,
you're right.
You're right.
B.
John,
he's going to go high.
He goes,
imagine he goes three to Arizona.
I mean,
you look at me like that because you're like,
ah,
there's no way a new GM.
God,
Arizona is all of a sudden really interesting.
New general manager,
new head coach. Kyler Murray's not
playing next year, and they're about to trade.
They're about to trade DeAndre Hopkins.
J.J. Watt retired. I was just about to
say, one of their best players on defense, probably
the best outside of Buda Baker. J.J. Watt's
going to retire. Who do you have?
Even if you bring Zach Allen back,
you need defensive line. You need
linebackers. You need cornerback help. You need now wide receivers if you're moving on back, you need defensive line, you need linebackers, you need cornerback
help. You need now wide receivers. If you're moving on from Hopkins, you need a dynamic
running back and you need better interior offensive lineman. If you take a running back
or as great as B. John Robinson is, I think Arizona is also a sneaky team to trade down, right? Sure, it makes a lot of sense.
Because, you know, if Chicago trades the pick,
let's say Chicago trades the pick to,
I'm not going to use Indianapolis for a reason.
Carolina, use Carolina.
Okay, Carolina gets from nine to one.
We go quarterback, quarterback,
and then all of a sudden Arizona's sitting there at three.
Indianapolis sitting there at four.
The home of Will Levis.
And they're sweating.
They know they need a quarterback bad.
They need to go get one.
Arizona could manipulate Indianapolis at four.
Arizona could manipulate the Las Vegas Raiders at seven.
Arizona could even get very fun with this tennessee at 11 washington at 16 right the further back you go the more future
picks you get to acquire and arizona is not really in the business of competing right away
which also brings up an interesting conversation that uh Palazzolo and I were having on Monday.
Would Arizona entertain trading Kyler?
Kyler just signed the big deal.
I was going to say, can you?
But I think you can.
Okay.
I think it's, I believe it's not as crazy.
Now they probably call Brad Spielberger.
Right.
I need it.
I need to live text Brad on this show.
So he signed a five-year $230 million deal.
Where is the bonuses?
Okay, he's got, yeah, he's got a bunch of bonuses there.
He is 97 mil of dead cap next year.
So you know how dead cap money works with trades, right? Where the dead cap is essentially the accelerated bonuses that are on the contract, I believe,
if I'm understanding this correctly.
I think you're on it, yeah.
So if you are trading Kyler Murray for next year, one, you weren't even planning on really
playing him anyways because he was recovering from injury.
Two, you then have that entire year where you just eat all the dead cap from Kyler.
All of it.
And you're not competing anyways.
You could trade him because the problem is, Connor,
if you're trading DeAndre Hopkins,
how soon are you competing if you're the Cardinals?
Murray is coming off a major lower body injury.
He's going to be 27 years old next year.
So the next time that you're really going to get Kyler Murray
is going to be 28 years old with three years left in the deal.
Is that going to be enough for you to have a winning window
knowing that he is $45 million, $55 million, and $43 million on the cap?
So you're saying it trade them.
I'm saying you.
Yeah.
So let's have fun with this.
Eat the 96.5 million next year.
Right?
Yep.
And hire Jeff Saturday.
So you tank for the number one pick.
Sure.
Next year.
Yeah.
That's the move.
That's the move. That's the move.
What Arizona Cardinals legend would you hire for the tank job?
Kurt Warner.
You just bring Kurt back?
I think he has too much pride.
He's a very prideful man.
Yeah, you're probably right.
They made a movie about him.
That's true.
They did make a movie about him.
I know.
It's funny.
I want to find a fun fun one like where it would be
larry's too easy fitzgerald's yeah larry's too easy he's got another very larry's very
like very intelligent too where i think he's like no no you're not doing that to my legacy
just uh just have patrick peterson retire after this year and then just give him the headset next year.
Who are Arizona Cardinals legends?
Darnell Dockett.
Yeah, but isn't...
How about Darnell Dockett?
It could work, I guess.
I'm trying to find a really good one.
Man. it's tricky
you said get Patrick Peterson the head says
that's pretty funny
that's pretty funny
didn't he like hate Steve Keim or he had something to say
about Steve Keim
so Patrick Peterson comes back
no he hated Kyler
yeah he said
I don't want to misquote him.
Yeah, you don't have to.
We don't do that on this show.
He said something about Kyler, and Kyler quote tweeted and was basically like,
bro, you have my number.
Right here.
You could have said it.
We were teammates.
You could have said this to me.
And it was a little odd.
As we are recording this show, Arizona has requested permission from the Saints
to speak with Sean Payton.
So they are not following our advice.
They are running it back and trying to win.
And they might trade...
Well, they tried to hire Sean Payton.
You can't trade the third overall pick for Sean Payton.
God, no.
No, no, no, no, no, no, no.
That'd be absolute blasphemy.
No, that'd be terrible.
I couldn't think of a worse trade besides the Russell Wilson trade.
Three for Sean Payton would be abysmal.
That's something.
That's really...
To just take over a bad roster with no offensive weapons.
And no draft pick.
No draft picks and a hurt quarterback.
That's due.
Dude, if I'm Sean Payton, I'm not even taking it.
No, he can't go there.
He can't go there.
No.
So anyways, that was fun.
It's like equivalent of me requesting permission to speak to like,
I don't know, Margot Robbie as the third co-host of this podcast.
I need people to let us know if we're wild.
I want people to...
I mean, we're absolutely unhinged,
but it's still interesting.
Well, that's why they listen to the show.
That's the Wednesday episode.
We're not here for the lukewarm scenarios.
Like we said, I think it was last Wednesday,
we just hit record on the Wednesday episodes.
We look at the draft order,
and then we just start talking. Oh, I mean, yeah. That's where it went. We just hit record on the Wednesday episodes. We look at the draft order, and then we just start talking.
Oh, I mean, yeah.
That's where it went.
We just floor it without seatbelts.
I'm going to – don't do that.
Don't do that.
People out there.
It's a podcast analogy.
Listen to the – yeah, yeah.
Listen to the podcast while you're driving.
You keep that seatbelt on.
Here's a question for you.
Do you wear your seatbelt in Ubers?
Yes.
Oh, I don't.
It's a bad habit.
It's a really bad habit.
No, yeah, I do. Well, I think, and it mainly stems from, I just don't trust a lot of people.
You should not.
Who aren't me when driving.
I agree. You're doing the right thing like even friends family whatever i am i am a i am a seat belt on at all times kind of a person
like even if we're even if we're crammed into whatever the second row of whatever vehicle you
are in like even if we are the honda odyssey i will i will go to put the seat belt on and the smart
yeah i'm you know i i had a like a come to jesus when i was in vegas on a work trip and i noticed
my co-workers buckling up in the uber and i was like oh i'm really bad at this and we're going
like two blocks away still yeah it's my it's my New Year's resolution. Wear my seatbelt in Ubers.
That's good.
I want that for you.
You're in New Jersey and New York.
You need to do it.
I'm in literally the worst driving places in America.
I know it's fearless up there, but...
It's stupid.
I need you to make it through at least this draft season.
Yes, just one more.
That's what I'm saying.
Well, hopefully a lot more than that,
but I'm going to have you look at the draft order
of some teams that maybe we didn't talk about.
I'm going to read an ad from our friends over at DraftKings,
and then I'll kick it back to you.
Folks, the NFL playoff picture is locked in,
and our go-to place for wildcard round action
is DraftKings Sportsbook,
an official sports betting partner of the NFL.
To kick off the road to the Super Bowl,
new customers can bet just $5 and get themselves 200 in free bets instantly.
What a great deal.
Plus, all the new and existing customers can get a no-sweat bet each day of the wildcard round this upcoming weekend.
Just place any NFL bet of your choice, and if it it loses you'll get a free bet back of up to
ten dollars action so good why bet anywhere else this playoffs sports betting just became legal
in ohio where i'm at at pff's headquarters and i've been loving it man i've been loving using
draft kings i've been loving looking up different types of parlays different types of prop bets i
mean i've been all over the place for this stuff it It's been a lot of fun. And I will say, you know, I know it's a new year.
I know we're only 11 days in, but your boy's in the green.
So if you guys aren't on it, get on it.
Download the DraftKings Sportsbook app and use the promo code PFF.
So new customers can bet those $5 on any NFL game
and get 200 in free bets instantly.
Only DraftKings Sportsbook with the promo code PFF.
Minimum age and eligibility restrictions apply.
See show notes for details.
All right, Connor, I'll leave it up to you, my friend.
Where are we going next?
So I'm thinking this is a good time to kind of evaluate where runs begin, right?
In the top 20.
So I look at two areas of this draft that have potential for
runs because they're a little deep in their top uh section of the draft i look at corner and i
look at tackle offensive tackle right offensive tackle good correction yes definitely so for me i i think those include christian gonzalez witherspoon porter jr i think keely
ringo's in for a little bit of a tough process he seemed like a top 15 guy for a while he might
be trending towards the back end of round one it's gonna be good i still think he'll be like a top 25 pick don't you
we had him in like the top 15 no it's definitely a little bit of a slide for him there's no doubt
about it the the it felt like during the early parts of the draft process we looked at keely
cornerback from georgia for those of you that don't know and we went wow wow, 6'2", 210 pounds, can run a 4'3", 4'4", 40-yard dash.
That is a big, tall, fast man that can play corner.
Love that.
And he does play really well on a vertical plane.
When guys try to open up and really just get up the sideline on him,
he can flip the hips, stay hip-to-hip with him,
and really have some great recovery speed.
But as we saw against Marvin Harrison Jr. with Georgia versus Ohio State if you are shiftier if you are somebody
who can really set him up to make him flip his hips and change direction he's just a bigger
corner he's not as smooth in that regard so that's kind of updating a little bit of what we thought
of him when he was a top 15 top 10 projection and now seeing him more as like, okay, he's not this unbelievably rare athlete
where the change of direction is as good as long speed is.
So you just kind of got to adjust where teams might be prioritizing him.
So I do think that's a good call out by you.
So the tackle run would be the group of Paris Johnson,
Peter Skowronski, Broderick Jones.
You might see Darnell Wright find his way into that conversation.
You could even see somebody like Osiris Torrance as a guard,
not looked at as high as an ABT,
but looked at as a first-round interior player,
which is a really big accomplishment.
So, Trevor, where do you think in the top 18
those two runs could begin
vegas needs offensive line right i mean like vegas you look at seven if you go
seven's got offensive tackle potential atlanta colton miller's been really good but i know
you're saying you need someone else someone else though. You need someone else. That's the trick.
That's the trick.
Yeah.
Tennessee desperately then needs offensive line.
Okay, so here we go.
I found it.
I mean, this is what it is.
Tennessee, Houston, New York Jets, 11, 12, 13.
I would probably tell you that all three of those teams top need
at that point in the draft is going to be offensive tackle.
And then you have Washington at 16, Pittsburgh at 17.
Both of those teams need offensive tackle as well.
So 11, 12, 13, 16, 17, 11 through 17,
we could have a major run on offensive tackle.
So there it is.
It's funny because you could say Tennessee for corner as well.
Yeah, I'm trying to think for corner.
Atlanta could use a corner.
Oh, no.
Duh, the Eagles at 10 if Bradbury walks in free agency.
Yeah, but that's kind of what I'm saying.
Like, eight, we've got corner potential.
Ten, we've got corner potential.
Eleven.
And then 16.
But I think that corner run is actually detroit at six
if they love a corner and want to take a corner at six i think they're probably
going to stick on the trenches but six eight ten eleven is where we could really see a pretty
heavy corner run i think i think you're on it i would agree with those
trying to think of some other ones but i think that's i think you're on it i would agree with those trying to think of some other
ones but i think that's i think that's about it i mean those though yeah that's something that
interests me is the runs in this draft you you have you basically drafts go like this on a very
surface level quarterback blue chip players runs of the top position groups. This class is going to be that to a T.
Quarterback, the Jalen Carter, Will Andersons of the world,
tackle and corner.
And edge.
But edge is much more scattershot because Will Anderson go anywhere from
one to four.
Jared Burst went back to school Tyree Tyree Wilson can go anywhere from
five to twelve Miles Murphy same thing but then you right you get into the range of
it's a scatter shot edge pass rush I feel like corners and tackles will go you could have three and five picks that's i i absolutely agree with you edge rusher probably is the case as well but like you mentioned
like edge gets deep though you know edges you could have you could have three edge rushers go
off the board and you could still be like yeah all right we're i mean we're chilling we got some
other edge guys to be able to choose lorries out there no one's like all i mean i could sit here all day and list off names
if you listen to the edge show right right um here's here's something i want to bring up
what's the most fun thing philly can do with 10 draft b john robinson well i'm i'm telling you to expand your mind think bigger the thing that
comes to my mind immediately trade 10 and wherever your other first round pick ends up being
the three for jalen carter and go draft Jalen Carter or Will Anderson.
Just go draft one of the two.
Yep.
What does it matter?
The team's already great.
Offensive line's already good.
I mean,
you're right.
I mean,
I guess it kind of depends,
but if you just trade,
if you trade both of your first round picks,
it's fine. Cause you still have a second round pick,
a third round pick and a seventh round pick.
So you,
so you would still then have three, I think top 100. I think their third round pick and a seventh round pick so you so you would still then have
three i think top 100 i think their third round pick goes in the top 100 but maybe it's just
outside the top 100 three impactful picks and then you know you got two actually they have uh
they have two seventh round picks so you still got some things to work with in in day three you
don't have to head to the beach quite yet you still get that day to draft stuff i love that
man i think that's a great
strategy for philly and you know what's interesting about it is you can realistically do it from a
salary perspective because say we know they're picking 10 let's say they pick 28th 28th is 2.5 million on the cap. 10 is 4.06.
So we'll estimate it at 6 point,
almost 6.6.
He's doing math folks.
Alive.
Pick number four,
Trevor is about 6.6.
So it's equal.
It works.
Just saying,
man, that feels like the most fun thing that philly could do
with 10 is package 10 and whatever their uh next pick is and you know like how he would do that
that's not this isn't like yeah fantasy scenario stock exchange i was thinking this could happen
i was thinking about this earlier how Howie has been a general manager,
unless I'm really forgetting something,
that is always, you know, you're trading back,
you're acquiring more picks,
you're getting future draft capital,
you're continuing to stay in the driver's seat,
if you will, controlling first rounds each and every year
since they traded away Carson Wentz.
And I feel like eventually
you're going to have the opportunity
to where jumping up drastically is kind of what you need.
If you set your team up in the right way by taking multiple swings during free agency for your first round picks, all that stuff.
The investment in Jalen Hurts obviously is a second round pick turning out to be their starting quarterback.
That accelerates everything.
That's the glue that makes the last couple of years stick together.
But now they're in a situation where they can trade those two first round picks they don't sure they could
draft at 10 and 32 and draft some really good football players that will help their team in
the future but instead they could just go get an absolute animal of a will anderson or a jalen
carter and i don't know i just feel like that a... They're at that point in time of their plan
where they can afford to do that.
They can afford to get that aggressive.
And of course, Arizona going back from 3-10
and then getting an extra first-round pick too
would be huge for Arizona.
I'm with you.
It is one of the most unique scenarios.
And the pro quarterback market
is going to flip this thing upside down i can't say it enough
like so somebody in the top 15 is going to have jimmy g somebody in the top no let me rephrase
this somebody in the top 16 will have jimmy g derrick carr i'd include washington um you do
that'll take them out of quarterback i as the days go by i should whisper this
i don't know if lamar jackson's gonna be a raven next year i don't know brother
it's get it's finally reaching like i won't laugh at this anymore i won't laugh at it you're saying
when people tweet out stuff about him maybe yeah i somewhere else. Yeah, I mean, it's unprecedented to think of a 26-year-old MVP
actually being on the move from a great organization.
And now I look by and I'm like...
I still think they franchise tag him.
I mean, absolutely, you have to.
Yeah.
Because you have to protect yourself.
But, but... you have to yeah because you have to protect yourself but but you've seen some good-looking
jets jersey swaps and oh no don't you dare yeah and you just you know you look at me
he was not having it he said you are not screenshotting me not on this day not
that would be one hell of a way to end the nameth curse oh yeah we got lamar jackson
that'd be yeah i mean wait is the name of nameth curse just haven't had a quarterback since yeah
i mean nameth guaranteed they'd beat the colts in the super bowl when they were massive massive underdogs they did it and outside of a test
of early year here wait sanchez sanchez dude stop it the dude the sanchez what do you mean
by the way the sanchez oh my The Sanchez. Oh, my God.
We can get out of here just given your...
We're obviously going to talk Jets plenty on this show.
But just preliminary early thoughts with them at 13.
I think that it's a good spot if they want offensive tackle.
That's where my mind is able to go.
It feels like a really good spot for them.
But is that at the top of your list do you
have a short list right now with different positions what do you think i know your mock
draft had them had them taking paris johnson um i shortly after on badlands so that was that's
where my head is at it's just the perfect if he makes it there i just that's no guarantee
anymore either but it's right not Tackle comes to mind for them.
I mean, I know I keep pointing to it, but versus going back to school,
really, it does have a ripple effect down the board.
So I'm with you.
Tackle, and you nailed it where you have that unique run
of Tennessee, Houston, Jets.
It feels like for the Jets jets then being the last one you're kind of looking at
like one of skaronsky paris johnson or broderick jones will be a new york jet i think if i was
picking today yeah so yeah so we'll see but yeah unless they uh unless they trade that pick because
we know it's you know i didn't say't say DEFCON 1, but it's,
Joe Douglas has to be more aggressive than he's been in this offseason,
and we'll see what they do with that pick.
Yeah, Jets are one of, obviously, many teams that are worth monitoring
of how they're going to handle their moves at quarterback
and then vice versa, you know, the draft class
and how they go about using free agency capital
um draft capital all that good stuff there's so many things to dig into obviously we couldn't get
to all of it here on this one show but that was our initial thoughts as we have looked at the
locked draft order following the regular season we've got the non-playoff teams
in their specific spots let us know what you guys think. Tell us about your favorite team.
If they're picking in a certain spot already,
one through 18, let us know what you're targeting.
Some positions, some players. We'd love
to hear from you. We'd love to hear your thoughts
on other scenarios
that we might have discussed. Maybe some scenarios
that we didn't discuss for your teams or other
teams around the NFL draft.
Obviously, with Chicago having that number one overall
selection, the possibilities are endless, if you will.
So let us know if you're watching this on YouTube comment on the YouTube
channel, we're always reading the YouTube comments.
So make sure that you guys do that.
If you want to hit us up on Twitter at Tampa Bay,
Trey at Connor J Rogers, you can hit us up on Instagram as well.
We're reading all that kinds of good stuff there.
We got one more show coming up tomorrow as we're going to talk about the
final we're finalizing the class, you know. Before we get back to some of the rankings,
we do want to touch on now that the national championship is finished.
It's finished before it even began, I would say.
Now that that final game of the college football season is over, we're getting these final
declarations from players. Are they going back to school? Are they staying? And we're kind of really
starting to shape out what this draft class is going to be like. So we going back to school? Are they staying? And we're kind of really starting to shape out
what this draft class is going to be like.
So we're going to highlight some of the players
that have already said
that they're returning back to school.
Some of the guys that have declared
some of the highlights there.
And then of course,
get into some of the all-star bowl invites as well.
So we're going to be talking about that
on tomorrow's episode.
But Connor, you got anything else
before we get out of here?
No, you nailed it.
Excited to jump in tomorrow.
The draft world is going 100 miles an hour right now as these guys had to make decisions. But, Connor, you got anything else before we get out of here? No, you nailed it. Excited to jump in tomorrow.
The draft world is going 100 miles an hour right now as these guys had to make decisions.
Class is really shaping up as we went through today.
There's a lot of different scenarios at hand for teams as well.
I know we'll get back into rankings next week.
We'll get back into fixing franchises.
And I think we haven't announced our playoff situation as well
because we did what matters most for the regular season.
But I think the beginning of the week will be heavily covering the playoffs as well.
Yeah, well, it'll be a little different.
It'll be kind of like what matters most emphasis wise,
but we'll throw some other things into the Monday show
just because we won't be covering as many games.
So we'll have some time there to get to talk about it.
Shoot, maybe we'll open up to there to, uh, to get to talk about it. Shoot. Maybe we'll
open up to some listener voicemails, right? Like right after games, right after the playoffs,
get to hear you guys' thoughts and maybe just, uh, talk about all that stuff. We'll keep it.
We'll keep it pretty open. We'll have a game plan moving forward, but, uh, we're making,
we're going to make sure that we slingshot you guys into the off season, hit the ground running
into draft season. Hopefully this is one of the podcasts that gets to stay in your rotation all draft season
long because we're going to be having some incredible content for you over the next couple
of months.
I'm Trevor Sykema.
That is Connor Rogers.
Thank you guys so much for listening to the NFL Stock Exchange podcast.
See you tomorrow. Thank you.