Piers Morgan Uncensored - Piers Morgan Uncensored: The Boris Johnson no-confidence vote

Episode Date: June 6, 2022

Listen back to this extended special episode of Piers Morgan Uncensored that provided live extensive coverage to Boris Johnson's no confidence vote. Piers also reflects on the result with Former Pakis...tan Prime Minister Imran Khan - who was ousted from office after his own no confidence vote earlier this year. Watch Piers Morgan Uncensored at 8 pm on TalkTV on Sky 526, Virgin Media 627, Freeview 237 and Freesat 217. Listen on DAB+ and app. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:03 Well, good evening. This is Piers Morgan Unsensored for the next two hours, an extended version of our show because of the massive breaking news tonight. The no-confidence vote in Britain's Prime Minister, Boris Johnson. You're looking here at live footage from a helicopter over the House of Parliament, which tonight I can tell you are a hotbed of intrigue, gossip, backstabbing, malice, revenge and just about everything else. you could possibly wish for in a political bombshell moment. And if you go in even closer, you will see the windows of the 1920 committee room. This is where voting is probably just about finished now into the future of Boris Johnson. This is where 359 Conservative members of Parliament have filed in over the last two hours and cast their vote as to whether they have confidence in Boris or not. They include, by the way, Boris Johnson,
Starting point is 00:01:04 who's had to go and decide whether he has confidence in himself as Prime Minister, which given what he did, of course, with the EU referendum, where apparently he had a yes and a no plan, maybe he went in and wasn't short of the last minute. Do I have confidence in myself? But either way, we'll find out in about an hour. So about 9 o'clock, it will be breaking news as to what's happened. And there are three scenarios, really, Boris Johnson.
Starting point is 00:01:31 loses, in which case it's all over. He's an ex-prime minister, and for that to happen, 180 of his MPs will have had to vote against him. Or he's won comfortably with a stunning majority that no one's expecting, and he's saved for at least another year, because that's the time limit on when you can then go at him again if you're a rebel. Or what is much more likely in my estimation that we'll find out soon is that he wins but not by very much.
Starting point is 00:01:59 And that in many ways could be the worst scenario possible for the Conservative Party because that would mean this just carries on for weeks, months, until probably the inevitable departure of the Prime Minister. So those are the options. Let's go to talk to me to political under Kate McCann, who's buried inside the bowels of the palace of Westminster. And in London Bridge, presented to the news desk, of course, Tom Newton-Dunwell, welcome to both of you. Look at you both almost shaking with excitement.
Starting point is 00:02:29 Kate, Kate, more than Tom, I have to say. Because it doesn't get much bigger than this, Kate. We are literally now 48 minutes away from hearing whether Boris Johnson has survived this vote. Although my gut feeling, and correct me if you feel I'm wrong here, is it's likely that he has won the vote, but it may be he's not won it by convincing enough majority to actually buy his safety. I think that's the real problem that Boris Johnson faces now, peers, because even if he does win this vote, and his advisors today briefing us that just one vote is still a win, that's enough for them, the reality is that that just isn't true. And when you've got MPs like Deanna Davidson coming out to say, I can't back Boris Johnson, I voted against him, that is a real problem, because that's not somebody who's a usual suspect, it's not somebody who you expect to hear that kind of thing from. And it shows you that there is a real division. There's some wavering.
Starting point is 00:03:28 that has crystallized over party gates some of it goes a little bit further back than that and i think the big question is can borris johnson do anything now if he wins and we expect that he will to move his party forward and that will largely focus on policy some of that will be the leveling up agenda but a lot of that will be about taxation about the cost of living crisis about the how the prime minister moves forward now i have ben bradley here with me he's a conservative MP he's somebody who's very keen on the leveling up agenda somebody who's been a backer of of Boris Johnson all the way through this. Do you think he's done enough tonight, Ben?
Starting point is 00:04:02 Well, I hope so. I would like to think that colleagues like Deany you mentioned there, other red wall colleagues, would recognise where the votes came from in that 2019 election, because I think sometimes as MPs, we maybe believe our own hype a little bit. A lot of those people in my constituency too were voting for Boris Johnson in that election, and a lot of them still will. We all get emails from constituents who feel very strongly,
Starting point is 00:04:23 even in my own seat, 16,000 majority, there's still 15,000 people who have never and will never vote for me. So I think we sometimes need to recognise where those dissenting voices come from. The vast majority of people that I speak to in my constituency are very supportive. And I said, don't you dare let him go? But there is a real division in the party, isn't there? You know, you mentioned Deena there. That does mean that this isn't just a split of the usual suspects. This is a split that runs quite deep. How is he going to bring people back together?
Starting point is 00:04:45 I think if you looked at Deanna's voting record over the last couple of years, she's been fairly consistently rebellious in some of these things. So not entirely a surprise. But I think there is a big job to do to bring us back together. We hope, and the PM certainly says he hopes that you get through tonight and you draw a line and you move on. We'll see whether we're allowed to do that. But for the kind of agenda we want to see, that levelling up agenda that affects constituencies like mine, we've absolutely got to keep them and we've got to make it happen. Ben Bradley there saying that the right answer is to keep the Prime Minister in position.
Starting point is 00:05:13 He's hoping that the party can come back together peers, but I think it is a real difficult task, as you mentioned there. And that's what's going to be, well, so exciting for political journalists, not particularly for number 10 over the course of the next couple of weeks, trying to see if he can manage that task. the key number here, Kate, and what are we looking for? And this result gets announced in, you know, 55 minutes. What is the key figures you'll be looking at, thinking, right, he's survived. Obviously, we know if he's lost, but he survived or the number of the majority
Starting point is 00:05:43 is low enough for this to still be potentially terminal. It's a fantastic question, Piers, and it's one that nobody here agrees when you ask them the answer to it. I mean, Boris Johnson's own advisors say 180 is the number he needs to reach, that's when he's effectively won, 180 plus 1, that that would be a win for them, that they would see that as a success. I have to say, I don't think anyone else would necessarily agree with that. They will be looking for far higher. Maybe 220, 2.30, 240, when you start getting to 250, 260, that's quite high. That's quite ambitious. And I think what's happened this afternoon, this morning, there was a little bit of buoyancy from those around the prime minister saying, you know, it'll be fine. I think there's a bit of
Starting point is 00:06:26 self-doubt creeping in. And I know it's not particularly helpful for you or for anybody watching, but there is a growing sense that either Boris Johnson does much better than expected, and actually the quiet ones have gone his way, but all the quiet ones that we haven't heard come out on Twitter or make their views public, they go the opposite direction. And actually, things are much, much worse than he expected. I think in that case, and this is clearly a real problem, even if he does win by just one vote. But actually, either way, a confidence vote in a prime Minister, it's never a good thing, and it usually does spell the beginning of the end, even if it isn't immediate. So difficult either way, I think. And the truth is, a lot of those MPs are completely
Starting point is 00:07:03 self-serving, treacherous little weasels. He'll be saying one thing in public, and quietly going in and signing his death warrant. Well, look, your word's not mine, Pierce, and poor Ben is still here. He can still hear what you're saying. But, look, it's not necessarily not true. No, don't worry. I'll make sure he doesn't think that. But look, there are some Cabinet. Ministers, I have to say, who've been out and about milling around here behind me in central lobby throughout the day to day, being very publicly supportive, saying the Prime Minister is the right man for the job. But behind the scenes, they have some real concerns. Some of them saying to me, look, I don't understand why he didn't do more over the weekend to try and shore up support for himself. He apparently didn't make very many phone calls, didn't really make much of an effort. Others saying, yeah, look, there is a really deep problem here. And of course, those in the cabinet, there will be some of them who think maybe I could have a little tilt at this.
Starting point is 00:07:53 So how many of them, when they got into that ballot box, of course, a secret vote will have thought, maybe I'll just put my cross in the no-confidence box and see what happens, unleash a little bit of chaos. The difficulty, I think, for Boris Johnson, and your question really does betray it, is that actually his relationship with his party is transactional. And that transaction, when it benefits them, it works. If it doesn't necessarily benefit them and those by-elections are looming in the distance, if losses like that start to stack up, then that's a problem. And I think that's a big concern.
Starting point is 00:08:22 Yeah, I think the big problem is they're looking at their own positions, their own jobs, their own seats, and they're trying to calculate, is this guy going to lose me my job? And if enough of them calculate, I think you might, bang, he's done. It's as ruthless as that. Kate, we'll be back to you a little later. I can see you're literally buzzing with excitement down there. And talking about buzzing with excitement, actually, it doesn't look that exciting, does it? This is Downing Street right now, covered with some old bunting from the weekend.
Starting point is 00:08:51 looks sort of ominously quiet, almost like a funeral pyre this evening, doesn't it? Very quiet, very somber, a car has pulled up. This could be anybody. This could get exciting. Who's this? No, it's an Uber driver. It's his evening pizza.
Starting point is 00:09:11 We don't know who that is. But let's go to Lord Marland, who was a former minister, instrumental in the campaign to have Boris Johnson elected as mayor of London. And you think that this shouldn't be happening at all, Lord Marlon. Why is that? I think it's shocking.
Starting point is 00:09:26 I mean, we have all these major issues going on in the world, and the last thing we need now is the Conservative Party's self-destructing before our eyes with bitter argument and dispute, and throwing to the wind potentially a leader who's won them a massive majority. It's a complete disaster. I mean, he's also the only Prime Minister. He's the only Prime Minister ever to have been served with a fine by the British Police. for breaking a law, and indeed it's one of his own laws.
Starting point is 00:09:58 I mean, I just don't understand how any conservative who believes in integrity and probity in high office could be comfortable with that fact. Well, no one's comfortable with it. In fact, it's a shocking thing. But on the other hand, I'm very comfortable with the way that he's led the world in terms of Ukraine. And by the way, Ukraine is being bombed at every moment.
Starting point is 00:10:21 And, you know, he was on the telephone today to their leader. dealing with some very substantive issues. He's also had to deal with the COVID crisis. He's had COVID himself. He's had to deal with Brexit. He's had all manner of crises, which actually, by and large, he's handled extremely well. And of course, you quite rightly say there is public disgust
Starting point is 00:10:44 in the behaviour at number 10, which isn't just him. It is all manner of civil servants and people who are meant to support them. And I feel actually quite sympathy for these civil servants because they've worked all around the clock during the COVID crisis. Sorry, just to clarify, you feel sympathy for them that they all broke the law over 80 of them, including the bus. And they all broke their own COVID lockdown laws. No, no. Your marvellous are putting words in people's mouth.
Starting point is 00:11:14 No, I don't feel sympathy for them breaking the law at all. I feel disgusted by it, as all of us do. But the fact is they have worked all the way around the clock. No credits being given to that. dug slightly their own grave after performing a magnificent task. And now they are reaping the whirlwind. I mean, you make it sound like this was the inevitable consequence of their hard graph for the nation. Whereas I would argue that they systematically, in large numbers, broke the very laws that
Starting point is 00:11:45 they had laid down for the public, which meant, for argument's sake, to give one illustration that humanity the Queen, whose reign we've just been celebrating for four days, had to spend the funeral of her long-time husband and rock, Prince Philip, on her own because she felt a duty to obey these lockdown rules laid down by Downing Street. And then it turned out that there were not one but two illegal parties in Downing Street the night before Philip's funeral. And that's, I think, what has incensed people, is that they look at all this, they look at the volume of parties,
Starting point is 00:12:20 the volume of people working there who were fined by the police, they look at the Prime Minister being personally find himself, and they've drawn the conclusion that they think this is brazen, double standards and hypocrisy. And I want to play you the clip, just to remind you, and the viewers, of what happened when Boris Johnson finally came face to face with the British public, many of whom are royalist, monarchist, likely conservatives.
Starting point is 00:12:45 This is what happened on Friday morning at St. Paul's Cathedral. I mean, when that happens to a football manager, Lord Marlon, they normally get shown the door very quickly when their own fans turn on them. I mean, it's a conservative. You couldn't possibly watch that with anything, but a shudder, could you? No, but also your friends, the Sussexes,
Starting point is 00:13:21 got very heavily booed. Because they also lost the support of Middle England. Yeah, and I was with the royal family at the Braemar Games when Tony Blair and Sheree Blair were booed by the whole stadium. And in fact, I had lunch with a friend of yours today in both of them, who said, I used to get booed the whole time. Booing is quite normal for prime ministers.
Starting point is 00:13:43 It doesn't mean it's right, and it doesn't mean it's not the public venting their anger. Of course they're venting their anger, and justifiably so. But the question is, do you want 12 weeks of the Conservative Party tearing itself apart when in fact they should be governing the country and trying to get through these shocking crisis that confront us, energy crisis, inflation, cost of living crisis, and of course, the horrendous war on Ukraine, which is having the impact on our economy that is widely reported. That's my point. It's not the fact that he is right in doing what he's done.
Starting point is 00:14:24 It's not the point that he's right, that the civil servants are right in what they've done. I'm merely saying in their case, cut him a little bit of slack, but I quite understand that don't want to. What I'm saying is, is now the time to have this election, this 12 weeks of bloodletting, is it in the benefit of the Conservative MPs that want to do it? Because in the end, the voter will not put up with it and the Conservatives will win the next election, and probably rightly so. And who is going to deal with these crises? So be careful what you wish for. Well, I guess we'll find out tonight because he may well have already lost
Starting point is 00:15:07 for all we know. My guess is he'll win but the question is by what margin? And that margin, I mean, just finally for you, what is the tipping point for you? What would he need to effectively win by in terms of a small majority where you would think his position's untenable? Well, I think history relates
Starting point is 00:15:27 and your reporter said it brilliantly earlier that most prime ministers who have this vote of no comfort against them, they find it very difficult to manage the party thereafter. I'm not saying Boris can't, because he's got the energy and the vision, and actually he's got that X factor that the public like, and they forgive him for an awful lot.
Starting point is 00:15:48 But clearly it's going to be over 100. I would have thought that's the number. And it's not going to be easy from here on in. Lord Marland, I appreciate you joining me. Thank you very much indeed. Thanks for having me on. Well, we've got Adam Bolton and Tom Newton Dunn with us now. Adam Bolton, you've covered every election for the last 460 years.
Starting point is 00:16:16 How much trouble is Boris Johnson in? It looks like he's in pretty big trouble. I mean, all the signs from today's voting are that things haven't really gone his way. There hasn't been a strong number of Conservative MPs coming. out and expressing their support for him. And I think what you were saying earlier on, peers about this possibly being more of a shocker for him in terms of a result
Starting point is 00:16:40 is certainly the case. And I think if we get anything near to 50-50 in the vote, even if he were to win by a vote or two, he would be finished. We've got, I think, 150 odd Conservative MPs have said that they've voted for him. But we've also got some of the House. some of Team Boris coming out and telling journalists after the vote that Tory MPs are lying snakes.
Starting point is 00:17:10 So we shall have to see what the result is. Obviously, we're going to know within the hour. But I think this has gone extremely badly for Boris Johnson. I think the rapidity with which the vote was called after the Jubilee, they hope that would work in his favour. it doesn't look as if it does. So I think we are going to see a Prime Minister mortally wounded. And remember, if a third of Tory MPs or more vote against him,
Starting point is 00:17:42 by the standards of his own team, by the standards of Jacob Rees-Mogg at the time of the vote which Theresa May suffered and lost only a third of her MPs, he said that wasn't good enough. She should resign. And I think Mr. Rees-Mogg will be reminded very loudly of those comments, as indeed will Boris Johnson, who also implied at the time that she should step down,
Starting point is 00:18:04 even although she'd won technically. I'd just like to apologise to any snakes that were offended by their comparison to lying Conservative members of Parliament. Adam, stay with us, we'll be with you all night. It's going to be very exciting evening. Having a short break, we'll be back with our stellar panel here. I mean, it doesn't get better than these three.
Starting point is 00:18:20 Look at this. Look at this. Three beasts and the beauty. We'll be back after the break. How dare you? Three Witches of Macbeth. Welcome back to a special extended version of Piers Morgan Unsensor. I'm joined now by Tom Newton Dunn on the news desk. Tom, I just want to talk to you about potential successes.
Starting point is 00:18:53 Should Boris Johnson lose his job tonight or be forced out in the next few months? You go off today, a new poll. If Boris Johnson were deposed, who were Conservative members want to succeed him? It was quite interesting, I thought. A lot of runners and riders, not a clear favourite. Ben Wallace was at the top with 12%. Liz Truss, 11%, Jeremy Hunt, 10%, Penny Morden, 8%, Rishish Sunak, Michael Gove, 7%.
Starting point is 00:19:18 Pretty Patel, 6%, Tom Tuganhat and Nadim Zahawi, 5% and Dominic Raab, 4%. So, I mean, really, I would say any one of those with a spirited canter could actually end up as the leader. It's not clear cut at all. Yeah, I think you're right. This is what's so funny about this Comsons vote. We were talking through on our program in the last couple of hours as well,
Starting point is 00:19:41 is you effectively got a leadership challenge without an alternative leader in place. And I actually cannot remember a single political contest going down the years that's ever been the case. Even back to, you know, Thatcher, Heseltine, there was Heseltine in the wings, Major, Redwood, and all the Tory troubles sort of going forward. Theresa May, Boris Johnson was always sitting there ready and waiting. So all I can say is, if we do get a leadership contest out of all this, and it still is a big if, I'm a little bit on the offence with you. I think this is 50-50.
Starting point is 00:20:08 I would not put a single penny on this going either way at the moment. But if we do get a leachate contest, it's going to be absolutely intriguing because what we'll have is the heart and soul of the Conservative Party poured out all over the floor, all over the walls of our TV studios and everywhere else, as they absolutely thrashed out to really not just define who's going to be leader next, but what it actually means to be a Conservative, what on earth the Conservative Party is supposed to look like and shape up towards going into a general election, which is come next Sunday,
Starting point is 00:20:34 two and a half years away, next Sunday marks the exact midway point in this Parliament. So, you know, all right, they've got two and a half years to go, but actually, electorally, that's not very much time at all. It's not at all. Fascinating. Thank you, Tom. We're bringing in the panel. Grace, how are you feeling right now? Because obviously, you can't stand Boris Johnson. Are you presumably wanting gone? I don't feel that much better about most members of the Conservative Party, to be honest. And I think what Tom was just saying is, it's interesting and is true. You know, I am not 100 sure which way it will go. It obviously does seem
Starting point is 00:21:05 very close, perhaps closer than we would have thought earlier in the day. But two weeks ago, I think it was. You and I were sitting in this studio. We were discussing the Sue Gray report. And I think you asked me whether or not I thought that Boris Johnson was going to go. And I said he should go,
Starting point is 00:21:21 but I don't think that he will go. I don't think that he really knows what accountability means. I think that he basically has been, you know, spent his career in environments where he's been able to get through anything without so much. If he loses to might, and is it It's interesting. Only 157 or so Tory MPs have publicly declared their support. That's at least 20 fewer than at the same stage with Theresa May.
Starting point is 00:21:43 So whether that's significant or not we don't know, because we can't really trust them all. But that is a pretty worrying indicator, I would say, if you're 10 Downing Street tonight. Yeah. And what Tom was just saying about how there's no clear leader in place is a really important point. And what Kate was saying about how most of these MPs see their relationship with Boris Johnson as transactional. Obviously, that's true for most any MP generally and their political leader. The issue is that transaction goes both ways. Yes, they need Boris Johnson and Boris Johnson also needs them. The question that they have to then be asking is what's going to happen when Boris Johnson goes.
Starting point is 00:22:18 And as of the last election, the Conservative Party has been in this state of division, basically, between a group of MPs who believe it's their job to fight for the soul of the Conservative Party as this kind of free market, small state, austerity-driven project. And those who think, oh, actually, we need to kind of lose a little bit of that and go back to, you know, perhaps some more investment, get rid of all this austerity baggage, and fight lots of culture wars in order to broaden our coalition. Those two groups are going to go at each other in a very, very fierce way,
Starting point is 00:22:51 regardless of what happens in this context. Right. I mean, we saw it today, Isabel, with Nadine Doris immediately getting into a massive public spat with Jeremy Hunt, raising some good points, I have to say, in her tweet storm about his own record as health secretary in failing to prepare the country properly for a pandemic. But it was open civil war erupting on social media right of the heart of the Conservative Party. This is going to be the problem for whoever tries to take over, you've got to somehow bring all these factions together,
Starting point is 00:23:19 and you've got to still maintain the remain leave kind of, you know, cliques that are going on. It's not easy. You've got a potential recession, certainly surging inflation to deal. deal with. This is a bit of a hospital pass. It almost always is, though, isn't it? I mean, you mentioned the Brexit thing, which we all wished that we'd kind of left behind. But you're absolutely right. That is now going to become a real problem. You know, we've already seen one of Boris Johnson's greatest critics, Tobias Elwood, runs the Defence Select Committee, reopening the question of whether or not the UK should rejoin the single market.
Starting point is 00:23:57 Now, I thought his timing on that was a little bit dangerous. given his agenda is to remove Boris, don't now bring in the Brexit thing because it allows Downing Street to try to argue that, you know, this is all a big plot to unravel Brexit. Jeremy Hunt, one of the key rebels, also a big Remaena.
Starting point is 00:24:15 And I think that will, annoyingly, for everybody who just wishes that we, you know, this question had been resolved and parked, this is all going to bubble up again. Yeah. Sharon, what do you make of this? Because at the heart of it, really, is Boris Johnson and his staff at Downing running street, going partying, breaking brazenly their own laws, which everybody else had to follow.
Starting point is 00:24:37 And the reason I think it's cut through so powerfully with the public is that so many of them were not allowed to go and see dying relatives in hospital. I know people, including some in my family, who couldn't go and see people as they died from COVID in hospital. And then to find out that people making these laws were basically on the lash every week. Well, it was like Caligula at number 10. you know, puking, throwing wine up the wall. God only knows what was going on. But the thing is, he lied. He lied, he lied.
Starting point is 00:25:09 And surely somebody in his position knows it will, truth will always come out. No matter how long it takes, it always comes out and you look worse. So own it. That was his big, big mistake. He should have just owned it. The problem with Boris is,
Starting point is 00:25:23 he's lied through his entire career as a journalist and politician, and he's always seemed to fail upwards. So he got fired from the Times for inventing quotes. He got fired under Michael Howard for lying about an affair. And each time he's then become London mayor and then he's become prime minister. So the message he gets to himself is actually lying doesn't matter. And I think that's what's brought him down here.
Starting point is 00:25:46 That's the past. And the thing is, yes, he's quirky and he's this funny little character that England loved for a while. You know, he's this funny little guy. But the thing is, the guy has no vision. What's the vision of the Conservative Party? Where's it going? What's his long-term call-me all-fashioned for this country? Right, but don't we also want integrity in our prime minister? Well, of course we do. But that, come on, we're living in the rural world here.
Starting point is 00:26:14 Is it too much to ask? Yes, everybody lies. Everybody does what they have to do for power, power. We all know what goes on behind the doors. But the thing is, what the situation that this is, the situation that this is, country is in right now do you take the devil you know or the devil you don't know look he's not going to last long term i would keep that nutter in no i would i would keep him in until i would keep him in until there's a long-term plan for this country what are they going to do about the economy what are they going to do about the war the issue is the issue i think is once once
Starting point is 00:26:52 trust is broken with the british people very hard to then trust that point I'd use him. I would just use him. Yeah, but to tell us how he's going to rescue the country. If I was a Conservative MP, I would keep him in as well. And the thing that I would be thinking as a Conservative MP would be let Boris fight the next election.
Starting point is 00:27:09 Probably lose. Okay, but it will be a hung parliament. It won't be, there won't be a kind of stable government for particularly long. The Conservative Party get their brief period out of office. They get to sort their stuff out. They get to find a new leader. And they get to decide what they're living in. Let's take another look at Downing Street if we can.
Starting point is 00:27:24 Let's see what's going on there. Because it was Eerie quiet earlier. It's still pretty quiet. I guess they're all waiting, aren't they, for this earthquake to erupt in about 30 minutes. That's when we're expecting the result from Sir Graham Brady, who's the chair of the 1922
Starting point is 00:27:39 committee. We now believe that all the votes have been cast. And we know from when Theresa May went through this. It takes about an hour to count them and then to prepare the results. Here's down the street from above. Still nothing happening.
Starting point is 00:27:55 It's like a It's like a weirdly eerie, oddly, no partying. Can you notice? There's no one out there on the lash tonight, is there? No partying with the Prime Minister. We're going to have a little break. Come back and talk briefly about the Platinum Jubilee, which now already seems a distant memory
Starting point is 00:28:12 of national unity and joy in celebration. Didn't take Boris long to ruin that either. We'll talk about that after the break. We're continuing breaking news coverage from this dramatic night for British politics. Welcome back to Pittsburgh. And on Centson, you're looking over the top of the houses of parliament tonight, where all hell is probably breaking loose,
Starting point is 00:28:44 as we await the result of the no-confidence vote into Prime Minister Boris Johnson and rejoined by Talk TV's international editor, Isabel Oshod, socialist author Grace Fakley, and the talks host Sharon Osborne. My mother's just texted me for discussing the next Prime Minister tonight, and she is the voice of Middle England, I might add. Please mention Rory Stewart. He would be the only one in my eyes. he's not a member of the Conservative Party.
Starting point is 00:29:07 No, which in the self seems ridiculous. Jeremy Corbyn't the Conservative Party, for real. I can't imagine that. But Rory's true, it's an incredibly impressive guy, and yet he doesn't factor. Why? Well, because he was a Remainer. He's basically a lefty, that's why. I mean, you know, he just doesn't really meet the core offer of being a conservative.
Starting point is 00:29:24 Yeah, but if Middle England likes him. Oh, yeah, but they like him like a kind of little pet, you know. I don't know. Didn't he yomp across Afghanistan for two years? Yeah, we liked all of that. But, you know, yeah, not after he went to. It's a bit of moral fibre. We've got some MPs that we've spotted from our helicopter.
Starting point is 00:29:42 We think they're MPs. It might be completely random strangers who've decided to go down and gate crash the party. But there they all are. They're all out there. Obviously, obviously partying, which is what we expect from our politicians. They'll all be plotting, not partying.
Starting point is 00:29:57 They'll be plotting out there on the river, trying to work out what's going to happen here. And we're going to find out in about 25 minutes. I want to turn briefly to the last four days of the Platinum Jubilee, Sharon, because aside from Boris Johnson being booed, which may well have been a tipping point for many MPs to press the button on him today with this no confidence, it was also interesting to me that the Sussexes got booed.
Starting point is 00:30:23 Harry and Megga, what did you make of that? Well, it wasn't a total booed. Wasn't as big as Boris? No, nowhere near it. But very unusual for a member of the royal family to get any booing at that kind of event. Yes, but it wasn't anywhere near as bad as Boris. You could still hear the cheers above the booze.
Starting point is 00:30:40 Put it that way. I mean, should we re-muched into it? I just got the feeling they basically discovered on this particular trip that they've gone from A-list Royals to C-List. And that's how the royal family are now going to treat them. They won't be on the balcony. They won't be at the top events. And they can come and go if they want,
Starting point is 00:30:59 but they're no longer going to be working A-list important royals. No, they have lost their importance. They don't mean anything. The country wasn't that overjoyed. I didn't hear many people go, this is amazing. I don't think the country really cares very much. They didn't. And the thing that I must say is the country didn't react one way or the other.
Starting point is 00:31:20 It was, oh, they're here, okay. But the way they kind of came in and went was a huge signal that I don't think we'll see them here much. And what made me laugh, Isabel, was they arrived on a moment. massive private jet from California, these two eco-warres. Who was it, constantly preach? Well, well, it'll be, I mean, they've used... It'll come out.
Starting point is 00:31:40 They've used Elton's a lot. They've used the cloonies a lot. Who know? Somebody, right? But it's the utter hypocrisy, once again, preaching about carbon footprint, always using private jets. Same every time. Same. Yeah. And funny enough, it's the common link between all the people who got booed
Starting point is 00:31:53 was hypocrisy. The British public will forgive a lot of things, but they won't forgive brazen hypocrisy. To be fair on them, they did actually keep a relatively low profile. Didn't they? You know, you said they discovered their sea list. I mean, they asked to be taken off the list.
Starting point is 00:32:09 You know, they wanted to be out of the working circulation. So I think it could have gone worse. You know, I don't think they overshadowed it. No, no question. They didn't. People took pictures of them, but they did behave quite well. There was no impact. It made no impact.
Starting point is 00:32:26 I just want to play a clip, first of all, this is the Queen on the last, the closing moments of the Platinum Jubilee on Sunday. we weren't sure if she'd even make it. She was there at the start. I was by the palace when she came out on the Thursday. It was an amazing moment. And then she just sort of vanished from sight. And we thought that maybe we wouldn't see her again.
Starting point is 00:32:45 And then you suddenly saw the flag moving on the palace roof and you realized fantastic. And then you thought, go on, out you come. And out came the star of the show, the star of any show she's ever at. And she came out and I just thought, if we can listen to a bit of the sound here, I just thought this was so moving.
Starting point is 00:33:03 It gives you boosts me. That was a scene And then of course the crowd had burst into God Save the Queen which was incredibly evocative and emotional I felt Isabel, I mean, it's hard to overstate the importance of this Queen to this country or the impact that we're going to have when she's no longer here. Couldn't agree more. I mean, I found, I'm not a massive monarchist,
Starting point is 00:33:43 but I found the whole thing weirdly moving. And it is because it's sort of... feels like it's a bit of a goodbye. I know that sounds a little bit morechage. It's the last jubilee that we've better have for her. In reality, she is not well. We know that. And, you know, when the palace says she's experiencing some discomfort,
Starting point is 00:34:00 we know that really means she's in a very great deal of pain. And I think when she does, sadly, pass, there is going to be a huge amount of national soul searching. Yeah, I agree. You know, she has held everything together, real concerns about the future of the Union and the Commonwealth. I totally agree. Grace, I know you're not a massive monarchist.
Starting point is 00:34:19 In fact, you spent most of the weekend, according to your Instagram feed at a wild festival where you were painting your fingernails, fluorescent green. You're not a fan, which I thought was a tribute to what the Queen wore actually on the Sunday night. Clearly I misjudged you. But even as somebody's not that into the monarchy, can you appreciate what this woman has done for the country?
Starting point is 00:34:39 I have basically no opinions about them as people. I don't really follow the ins and outs of the monarchy. I don't think I should have to follow what goes on within this family, this dynasty that kind of rules our country from behind the scenes. What I do think, though, is that when the queen does sadly die, we will enter into a national conversation about whether or not this is an institution that we should have as part of our, you know, constitution as part of the way that our country works. It is very strange that we have a family whose, you know, marriages, weddings, births, dramas, we're all constantly invested
Starting point is 00:35:13 in understanding. So they're that kind of Kardashians or something. they're in charge of our politics, of our government, ultimately, this is our head of state. I think that when the Queen who everyone loves and who's been in charge for a very long time does go, and we have this array of pretty uninspiring potential successes, people are going to start thinking, is this what we really want? Right, but you are missing, in my view, the rising superstar of the royal family, and it's this little guy. He is.
Starting point is 00:35:39 Louis. He's amazing. Whose facial expressions over the four days got increasingly hilarious. and who clearly began to seize his moment. And in fact, the Duke and Duchess of Cambridge issued a statement tonight on Twitter, thanking everybody and saying that we all had a fantastic time, especially Louis.
Starting point is 00:36:00 Don't you think, though, that it gave people confidence that this is the family that will be here after the Queen is no longer here? And by the way, very deliberately, that last scene on the last night, and everyone was singing, God said the Queen, but she had chosen for that sort of iconic moment of the end of the... That last picture. This was the family she...
Starting point is 00:36:21 This is now the streamline royals. These are the two next monarchs, potentially three next monarchs, and that's the way it will be. But Charter has said for a long time that he's going to cut down the people who are actually on payroll and that represent the family.
Starting point is 00:36:36 It's going to be cold. And the thing is, I think that the royal family brings so much to this country. I mean, you look at all the people from all of the world. The tourism. They don't actually cost us anything. The great myth is they cost us money.
Starting point is 00:36:53 I think if we were going to make a kind of coherent economic argument as to how we construct our head of state, we could probably make a better one for saying, I don't know, have a presidential system or have some sort of... What? And we've got our own version of Joe Biden? Well, I mean, no, it wouldn't be the same as that. You would have a head of state.
Starting point is 00:37:10 I think I'd go wrong to have the queen. You would just be responsible for kind of real. I think I don't know that the queen. We've got a hold of there for the moment panel, but the science political editor, Harry Cole, joins me now live from the heartland of Westminster. Harry, good evening to you. What's going on?
Starting point is 00:37:24 Do you know the answer yet? No one knows the answer. They are currently tallying up the votes. I don't quite understand why it takes an hour to count's 360 odd bits of paper, but nevertheless, we should know very soon. But I will say, the mood has gone a little bit flat here. Some of those Prime Minister supporters who are looking chirpier, this afternoon. They're looking a little bit glum right now.
Starting point is 00:37:48 Whether that means they are expecting bad news or whether they are just exhausted after a day hammering the phones remains to be seen. And Harry, for you, what is the tipping point number where if he was to win the vote but get such a small majority, he would really be in terminal trouble? Look, I think anything that's sort of close to the 180 figure is going to be very hard work for even
Starting point is 00:38:18 the best spin doctors in the world to spin. And I think anything really around 150, 140, even 130 rebels means that Kirstama can stand up every single PMQs for weeks on end and say, more than a third of people behind you hate you and want you gone. And you just wonder, in the run-up to election, is that really viable for any Prime Minister? And if he isn't there anymore, you know, all the betting today is quite interesting. It's sort of spread across the board.
Starting point is 00:38:46 I was reading them out earlier. Ben Wallace, the Defence Minister, he's ahead at the moment. Is he somebody that you think could potentially come through? Well, I think anyone in the Cabinet is going to find it quite tough to distance themselves from Boris Johnson, should he be sort of deceremonally ousted? However, at a time of where we are in the electoral cycle and perhaps where we are with the situation in Europe,
Starting point is 00:39:14 with the war in Ukraine, perhaps it wouldn't be the first time that a defence secretary would be in the running, That said, I think there'll be quite a few people on the Tory backbenchers who think, actually, you guys were stuck with Boris Johnson all the way through, through thick and thin. Maybe it's time for some fresh blood and look to the back benches for an untested MP. But I have to say, that's never happened in really properly in British history. If Boris Johnson does lose or wins by such a meagre majority that he's basically toast, what do you think, Harry, has been the thing that's done him in?
Starting point is 00:39:50 No, I think there's two factors. One, his handling of the Partygate saga, as it now is, has been appalling. I think if he'd come out early on and said it would have been very painful, but come out and said, you know what, we didn't think it at the time, but we probably did break the rules and grovelled and grovelled. Rather than sort of have it eeked out of him for months, I think would be an issue. The other problem is for Boris Johnson, everyone thinks, oh, he's a relatively new MP. He's only been on the front line for three years.
Starting point is 00:40:17 If you think back, he's actually been at the forefront of British politics for 17 years. years now. And he has been a Marmite figure all the way through. Even when he was mayor of London, no people that hated him. Brexit obviously galvanised that marmightness around him. And actually, you have to wonder, he's a very lucky general at times, but even a cat runs out of lives at 9. And to be honest, I'd rather like Marmite characters myself. So I always think there's hope for Marmite. I can imagine. Harry, thanks for now. I appreciate it. Entrepreneur Charlie Mullins has joined us here, Mr. Giulio. Charlie, what do you make of all this? Should Boris Johnson stay or go? Well, I think he's going to stay. I think I don't think the votes are going to go totally against him.
Starting point is 00:41:00 I think he's going to be very close. But whether he's going to resign after that or not, but I think he's going to win this evening. But should he go? Of course he should go. Why? Well, because of the morally it's wrong what he's done there. And I don't think anybody's got any faith in him now. And public had just had enough of it all. I mean, I get that feeling. When I saw the booing going on at St. Paul's Cathedral, I just thought that was middle England really saying, you know what, we're just done with you, because it's been constant, isn't it?
Starting point is 00:41:26 I mean, you say about the booing, but he was smiling at that. He thought they were shouting out booze. Right. You know, but you're right, Lord. He thought they were saying boozy. Yeah. But, you know, I think that he brought this on himself and...
Starting point is 00:41:39 What are all your friends and employees that you've spoken to make of it? Oh, well, everybody's just sick and tired of it, and they just really want someone there that can be honest, someone they can trust, someone hopefully that can become a much better leader and win the next election. I mean, if he stays, I don't think he's going to get out voting tonight,
Starting point is 00:41:57 but if he does stay, I think it can't be far from him stepping down. Evidently, he's got more people against him now than Treason May, and, you know, you know, what happened with us? She stepped down. And more importantly, what was it like performing Sweet Caroline at the Patnam Jubilee? I've done it quite bad, didn't I really?
Starting point is 00:42:11 I thought you were great, Rod, yeah. Funny enough, Rod Stewart came out with a great line the other day. I'm just obviously comparing you to the great man, I'm sure you like the comparison. But he was saying the other day that only he and the Queen, they've got one thing in common. They've had the same haircut for 60 years.
Starting point is 00:42:26 It's always a great life. Yeah, not quite 50 years for me, but... Are you at Rod Stewart event? Well, what do you think? Well, of course you are. You must be right, of course. Who's not? I love Rod.
Starting point is 00:42:37 He's one of my favourite people in the world. I'm going to go to a break now. I'll be back with more on the break in his. We're very close now. 12 minutes away from finding out Boris Johnson's fate. He's doing what we're all doing. He's looking at the team. TV screen waiting and wondering.
Starting point is 00:42:51 Is he toast? He could be gone tonight. Pretty dramatic. So stay with us. Well, welcome back to Pierce Morgan Ossensor. This is inside the 1922 committee room. This is where it's all happening tonight. The 359 Conservative MPs have now registered their vote as to whether they have confidence in Boris Johnson.
Starting point is 00:43:19 That number includes Boris Johnson himself. We have to decide whether he had confidence in himself. But to join now by its cable, former leader, Liberal Democrats. Great to see you. Looking, I have to say, extremely rested, tanned, full of energy. Is that what happens after you stop being a leader? Yeah, retirement. What do you make of all this?
Starting point is 00:43:38 What's going to happen, do you think, in 10 minutes? Well, I'm a bit unfashioned by my views. I think Boris will win, probably. And I suspect his supporters brought this division on. They could have waited a few weeks. But now it's probably the best time to have it. There's some bad news coming down. The by election.
Starting point is 00:43:55 By election. There was momentum, the leader. up against him. So have the vote now, take it on. And then he's got a year's grace, probably. And, you know, we know he's a mal, you know, he's a politically very clever guy, great communication skills. He can possibly turn it round. Well, it's the ultimate slippery ear, isn't he? Yeah. Every time you think something is going to stick to him, off it slides, and he just barrels on, which in a way is a political skill. No, I would have some money on him, actually. Would you? Yeah. Interesting. Grace, I mean, he could.
Starting point is 00:44:28 He could just come through this stronger than ever. Because, of course, if he comes through with a reasonable majority, he'll claim complete vindication. He'll say party gate is now officially over. The rebels have tried. They will have to back off. They're going to have to just suck it up for at least a year unless they change the rules, which I think is unlikely.
Starting point is 00:44:47 So Boris would live to fire another day. That could happen. It could. And I think Boris himself has learned that he can basically come through almost anything. He can lie. He can get attacked. He can come through scandals. and survive.
Starting point is 00:44:59 I think partly that probably stems back to his upbringing. You don't go to Eaton and Oxbridge and come through the British establishment without knowing a little something about how to kind of come through scandals. But I also think it is just the fact that he has come through so many now. He seemed able to lie throughout his career.
Starting point is 00:45:17 He's deemed able to... I mean, really, if you look back over the last several years of the Conservative Party of this government, it's not just been the Partygate scandal. We've had the Green Sill scandal, which in my opinion was far, far worse. It exposed kind of corruption at the heart of the British state.
Starting point is 00:45:31 You had all this stuff about his wallpapers. You had everything that was going on during the pandemic. You've got now the massive cost of living crisis, which really should be what we're talking about. And he has just been able to basically cast all of this off. And consistently, you basically start culture wars, throw new stories onto the table, throw dead meat to journalists and say,
Starting point is 00:45:51 let's fight about something rather than talking about the issues that matter. And it could work again. Isabel, I mean, is he basically asking, version of Donald Trump now where truth isn't that important to his political success, because people factor in that he's pretty loose and free with it. Well, that's sort of what Sharon was saying earlier, but I think there's scales of lying, isn't there? And, you know, this man is a pathological liar. And at some point, I think the vote has become repelled by that. On the issue of the rules, the possibility of them being
Starting point is 00:46:23 changed, that's not as distant as you might think. There are an elections. elections coming up for the 1922 committee, they actually have it in their gift to change the rules. So that year that he's supposedly safe for, come September, that might not look quite so secure. Okay, well, let's go to talk to these political editor, Kate McCann again. Kate, we're literally maybe four or five minutes away now from getting this result. Are you getting any more feeling about where it may go,
Starting point is 00:46:50 or are we all literally in the dark here? Well, everybody is literally in the dark, because the only person who knows is Sir Graham Brady, who's the chair of the 1922 committee. My understanding is that he was going to drop the Prime Minister a line just before he announces that result at 9 o'clock so the PM can be aware of exactly what's happening. I think it's fair to say, as Harry was saying to you just before,
Starting point is 00:47:12 peers, it's fairly jittery here. Things have got a bit louder. People have started to come to camera points to react to that vote. But, you know, number 10 sources saying that the reaction of Deanna Davidson, we were talking about her earlier on, the Redwall MP, who said tonight that she is going to vote against the Prime Minister. She's going to vote no confidence, that that was a bit of a wobbly moment,
Starting point is 00:47:31 that that has worried them slightly. They are now very concerned about what other MPs might do, other so-called quiet MPs who haven't been as public about their views. They thought they could rely on her clearly. They couldn't. It may well be more the same. They're saying, for what it's worth, that a two-thirds result, so two-thirds of the party backing the Prime Minister,
Starting point is 00:47:47 would be a pretty good result for them, but also admitting behind the scenes that anything lower than that, any less than two-thirds of MPs backing the Prime Minister, is going to look very difficult indeed. I think there are wild ranges when it comes to how this is going to play out for him. But anything 150, 180 is starting to look quite tricky. I mean, I've got Vince Cable here. He's very bullish on Boris.
Starting point is 00:48:09 He said he'd put money on him surviving and thriving. Well, look, I think that's probably fair. I think Vince Cable's probably right. The Prime Minister may well win this vote, and he may well go on to move forward as the leader of the Conservative Party as the Prime Minister. But I think there is a question now about whether this is the beginning of the end, because remember those two by-elections loom, they are not far away. The promise he made today to his MPs in the 1922 Committee,
Starting point is 00:48:37 I'm a winner, I can do this again. If you back me, better times are still to come. Well, if they lose those two by-elections, that's going to look very difficult. And we've been talking all day long about the fact the 1922 committee rules say, if he wins this vote tonight, he's safe for a year. Well, I wouldn't bet money on that, because the 1922 committee earlier this year discussed changing the rules. So you could have two votes, one every six months. They could well do that if they want to, because, as I say, it's kind of.
Starting point is 00:49:00 convention, not rules. Vince Cable, I mean, you're a betting man and you would bet that he will survive this and carry on. But should he is a different question. No, from a national interest point of view, no. I mean, for reasons you set out earlier, you know, you've lost the trust of the public, you've made laws and not followed them, you know, you've treated the public as idiots. I mean, I think for the whole issue of public standards and ethics, the answer is no. But in terms of the Conservative Party, I mean, he may be the best best.
Starting point is 00:49:30 they've got. I mean, he's holding this coalition together. Right, but should any serving Prime Minister, who is fined by the police in this country, for breaking his own lockdown rules, should any Prime Minister survive even that moment? No, and, you know, from the wider public interest, obviously the answer is no, but this is not what the vote's about. I mean, they're choosing the best leader that they can produce. And, you know, he does hold this conservative coalition together. It's not at all clear who can do better. What happens if he survives this?
Starting point is 00:50:03 And then we discover that Sekeer Starrma and Angela Rainer get fined by the police for what they did with the curry and the beers, and they've already pledged to resign? Well, he may well. And that actually, in a strange way, may help the Labour Party. I mean, Stamber has done his work. He's detoxified it. He's got rid of the Corbynites.
Starting point is 00:50:24 And there are quite a few very talented people, mainly women. on their front bench who could a bit more charismatic than he is so actually that may not be a bad outcome for Labour. So it could help the party we've got six seconds away now from nine o'clock we were told to expect the result at nine o'clock
Starting point is 00:50:41 so here's Big Ben right at the heart of our parliamentary democracy it is nine oh six seconds and there's nothing come on say Graham Brady you've tormented us all evening where are you man maybe it's a tie
Starting point is 00:50:57 Oh, Vince Cable raising the spectre of it being a tie, which would be unthinkable. I have no idea what that happens in that eventuality. But the reality is we're now watching live scenes from Parliament and the 1922 committee. We are waiting to hear the result. People are back in. This looks like Sir Graham Brady has got his result, and we're about to hear it. Let's go live and just listening. Good evening.
Starting point is 00:51:23 I can report as returning officer that 359,000. ballots were cast, no spoiled ballots, that the vote in favour of having confidence in Boris Johnson's leader was 211 votes, and the vote against was 148 votes. And therefore, I can announce that the parliamentary party does have confidence. Well, there's the result. It's 211 in favour of Boris Johnson, but 148 in support. Conservative MPs voted against their own Prime Minister tonight, which I would say is an incredibly high number.
Starting point is 00:52:21 Let's go to Adam Bolton. Adam, your take on that result? Well, that's 58% of the votes in favour of Boris Johnson. So that clearly is just a little bit better than Mrs. Thatcher when she was forced out on 55%. But it's considerably worse than Theresa May, who got 66% of the votes cast. And remember, Jacob Rees-Mogg,
Starting point is 00:52:48 the cabinet minister now, said then that that was not a vote of confidence that she should resign. It's also less than John Major got. So this is a bad result for Boris Johnson. Of course, he lives to fight another day. And he probably, of his predecessors, Thatcher Major or May,
Starting point is 00:53:09 is more inclined to try, and fight it out. But obviously, 148 is bad news. I mean, we were hearing earlier on from the Boris Johnson camp that they were hoping to keep the number of rebel MPs below 100. Well, they've failed by a factor of 50% on that.
Starting point is 00:53:30 So what happens next? It looks like Mr Johnson will struggle on. It looks like there's going to be this issue of what happens to Kyrs-Sahma and Angela Rainey. If they resign, that will clearly put pressure on him, given his own behaviour, then we could have those by-elections. And if he loses both of those, Conservative MPs will appear to have gambled on a loser.
Starting point is 00:53:57 And, of course, at the end of this, if he's still there once the Standards Committee has looked into this, there's the whole question of whether he lied to Parliament. So it looks to me as if we're going to get the continuing agony. Boris Johnson and it does seem to me that with a third of his party not backing him, more than a third of his party, not backing him, 40% in fact, that he is heading towards a very difficult few months and it's very unlikely that he'll be able to move on and concentrate on all that government business his loyalists keep on telling us about, but he will stay.
Starting point is 00:54:37 Right. Just for recap then, so 359 Conservative members of Parliament, voted tonight and a vote of confidence in the Prime Minister. Here's the result from Sir Graham Brady. I can report as returning officer that 359 ballots were cast, no spoiled ballots, that the vote in favour of having confidence in Boris Johnson's leader was 211 votes and the vote against was 148 votes.
Starting point is 00:55:07 And therefore, I can announce that the parliamentary party does, have confidence. Let's go to Vince Cable. Vince, I mean, I would say 148 of his own MPs vowing against him. That's not a good night for Boris Johnson, surely. It's not a good night, except he has survived and we know that this, very unlike
Starting point is 00:55:31 the Theresa May dissidents who were united and knew what they wanted and were very organised and committed, his opponents in his own party are very fragmented. There's no clear attempt. So he has survived, and I would expect he will continue to survive. It may be bad news for the country. It's good news for Kirstowmary and Ed Davy. They've now got a week and they've got a wounded opponent now.
Starting point is 00:55:56 Ed Davies emerging as the sort of night and shining armour of British politics, isn't they? The only untouchable has not been tarnished by Partygate at all. Well, indeed, yeah. Isabel, give me a snapshot reaction to this result. I think it's the worst possible result, actually, for the Conservative Party, certainly for the country, great result for the Labour Party because this now, this agony will go on and on and on. Any idea that this has somehow put the issue to bed is absolutely for the birds. Think of all those people that have publicly come out today within the Tory Party for the first time,
Starting point is 00:56:33 blistering letters of no confidence. You can't take that away. They've put it in writing. That's not going to suddenly kind of evaporate because there's been some kind of consensus. There isn't a consensus here. It's just a majority and not a good one at that. Grace, you know, it seems to me, if you were using a shipping analogy, the boat has been holed and we're just not quite sure how quickly it's going to tumble to the bottom of the ocean. Yeah, I mean, I think, as I said before, Boris could quite easily, not easily,
Starting point is 00:57:03 but he could conceivably stumble through this. He could protect himself. He could basically just carry on as though nothing has happened, get to the point of the next election, be confident in the fact that there's no clear success. to replace him, as Vince was saying, that his opponents are not united. Whether or not this does actually end up being good for the Labor Party is, I think, a big question here, because we're going to have effectively several years of non-government. It's like all the news is going to be confined to what's going on within the Tory party,
Starting point is 00:57:31 and then the stuff that they chuck out to keep us busy chatting whilst they go about their business. The question is, can Labor construct a narrative about where we should be going? Because Kirstama has not done that effectively thus far. So unless he can actually say, what should we be doing right now, where should we be going as a country, how should we be solving the cost of living crisis, then it's not actually going to benefit Labor. We could end up going back to a situation like we had before 2018 of just hung parliaments and constant kind of procedural. I mean, if you are Labor, though, you might be thinking yourselves, let's just keep Boris there because that might be the best chance we ever winning the election. Joining me again is talk to these political editor to Kate McCann, who's with Tory MP and Boris supporter Mike Wood. I am peers. I have to add, just on those numbers, you're having a really interesting chat there with Adam about them.
Starting point is 00:58:21 Remember there were around 174 people on the payroll, so who were essentially paid or had an advantage to backing Boris Johnson. If you take a look at those numbers with the number who have eventually supported him, that only is around 35 additional. Now that's not great for the party. So as you say, let's ask Mike Wood about that because he is here with me. Mike, you obviously do support the Prime Minister. You can't be very happy with these numbers, are you? Well, I think I said beforehand that I thought that anything more than 210 would be a solid result. 211 is obviously in line with that. It's a majority. The party rules say that in order to replace a leader, you need a majority voting to have no confidence.
Starting point is 00:58:58 Instead, it's a clear majority saying that they have confidence in Boris Johnson to remain leader in a Conservative Party. And now he does need to get back to focusing on those important issues based on the country and the world of vote. It's a pretty whopping number, though. It's well over a third, higher than most people expected. The party were saying this morning they wanted to keep it under 100 rebels. They haven't managed that by a long shot. How on earth is Boris Johnson going to bring people back together now? Well, Kate, you were here at the time in the last leadership election.
Starting point is 00:59:26 You remember on that fifth ballot, when it was blindingly obvious that Boris Johnson was going to be in the final two, he still only got 51% of Conservative MPs. He got 160 Conservative MPs voting for him in that fifth ballot at a time when he was clearly going to be in the... final two. So he's built, there's a further 51 who supported him tonight. But that's not a great record, is it? If the Prime Minister says that he's had a good pandemic, he's made all the big calls right, it's not really great to only have added that
Starting point is 00:59:57 number of MPs and when over a third of your own party still think he's the wrong man for the job? Well, no, I think it's clearly over half of voted that they want him to remain as leader of the Conservative Party and as Prime Minister. There are a really big issue. facing the country at the moment that go well beyond some of the issues that have obviously been raised over the last few weeks. We need the Prime Minister to be supporting people with the cost of living, as he has been doing. We need him to be continuing to lead the Western world in resisting Russian aggression in Ukraine. And we need him to be focusing on helping our businesses, our schools and our NHS to rebuild after the COVID pandemic. That's the important work.
Starting point is 01:00:40 all the things that we're elected to do in December 2019. We need to build on that progress, remind people why they voted for a Conservative government with a clear majority, and I know that Boris Johnson is the best leader of the Conservative Party to deliver on that and the best person to lead the country going forward. Mike Wood, thank you very much.
Starting point is 01:00:59 There you go, Pearce. That's the argument of Conservative MPs tonight. It's Mike Wood at PPS there. Now, producer Victoria, is just going to nip in and get Anne Marie Trevelliang, who is the Trade Secretary, miced up. if you want to have a quick chat to her, because what's really interesting now is this number of MPs, this scale that was above what the party was really hoping to see, 148. That means that the next couple of days and the next couple of weeks are going to be really difficult
Starting point is 01:01:24 for the Prime Minister. We saw a hint of that today. He was talking in the 1922 Committee about a potential announcement on tax cuts, about focusing on policy going forward. But I think things are going to get very difficult for him now. And Anne-Marie Tervalian joins us here. You are the trade secretary. You're in Boris Johnson's cabinet. How does it feel tonight to know that that many of your own MPs don't support him? So I'm glad that we are the other side of the vote. I know that the Prime Minister spent all day listening to those colleagues who had those concerns. And he will have heard from them where those areas of policy were that they feel he needs to focus on. And as you say, there are some really big areas of policy that we want to drive forwards, both in the energy revolution and infrastructure. as we're really importantly tackling the cost of living crisis and making sure that we bring forward
Starting point is 01:02:14 policies that make a difference to all our constituents day in day out there is so much to do obviously we were elected on a very broad manifesto in 2019 the challenges of COVID and the emergency situation that we actually with and the prime minister led not only the UK in delivering a vaccine but the world in finding solutions demonstrating that he has that incredible capacity to push through in really hard situations i know that tomorrow morning he will be drawing together all those thoughts and really putting forward a package of measures and policy direction which are going to help the UK really move forwards at pace. I'm really excited about it.
Starting point is 01:02:46 So does that mean tax cuts next week then? I wouldn't dare speak on behalf of the Chancellor. You know, that would be an absolutely death sentence for anybody, but I hope very much that we will see the Treasury looking across the piece and broadly forward how we can drive forward. What is a clear conservative policy framework, which is to make sure that we leave as much of our hard-earned cash in the pockets of those who've earned it.
Starting point is 01:03:08 That's always been a conservative philosophy, and we need to make sure that we pay down some of the costs we've had to pick up through COVID. But I know that the Chancellor and Prime Minister will want to drive that forward in due course. I know that you're here in support of the Prime Minister. I know that you're going to say that he's doing the best job and that he can move forward from this. But the reality is going to be really, really difficult. Do you honestly believe that Boris Johnson can bring this fractured party back together and fight the next election? Yes, I really do, because he has always demonstrated that when we're in really difficult circumstances, where there are many, many confusing forces.
Starting point is 01:03:38 He has an extraordinary clarity. He has an ambition. He has a bold perspective and he has a confidence in the British people, which is reciprocated from them. And I know that going forwards now, this is past, this vote has passed. He will want to pick all that up and drive forward, make sure that we are delivering for all those
Starting point is 01:03:55 who voted for us back in 2019. Anne-Marie Jarelli, thank you so much for joining us tonight. So it is interesting to hear the views of the Cabinet. And the fact that Anne-Marie Jurelian is saying now that Boris Johnson has the confidence of the country, but he doesn't necessarily have the confidence of all of his MPs. I think it's going to be a watch and wait and see how he makes
Starting point is 01:04:12 it through the next couple of weeks. Yes, I think it certainly is, thank you, Kate. Let's bring back Adam Bolton. Adam, quick question. Given the scale of rebellion here, you know, 42% I think it is of Conservative MPs have voted against the sitting Prime Minister, could a senior cabinet
Starting point is 01:04:28 minister with leadership ambition break ranks and resign and what pressure would that put on Boris Johnson, if that was to happen now? Well, I suspect if they were going to do it, they should have done it today rather than after the result. It's possible that members of his cabinet might go to him and say, look, the game's up. We haven't got the support of two out of five, or you haven't got the support of two out of five of your parliamentary party. But it has to be said there's absolutely no sign that they are going to do that, because what Mr. Johnson
Starting point is 01:05:04 has done very successfully going through all the way back to Brexit, and then his own leadership has managed to govern in a relatively determined way with a very narrow margin of support within the country or within his own party. And it looks like he's going to continue to do that. And frankly, I can't think of the person in the cabinet who's going to stand up and not want to go in his slip. I mean, the closest we came to it today was Jeremy Hunt saying he wasn't going to support him. And, I mean, I think it's worth remembering that the day started not just with knowing that we're going to get a vote,
Starting point is 01:05:46 but also with the former Treasury Minister, Jesse Norman, writing not about the parties, but about current policy and describing current Boris Johnson policy as grotesque, illegal, ugly, provocative and unnecessary. So they're obviously a significant minority, and we must stress they are a minority within the parliamentary party, who are extremely unhappy with the direction of government, and who having come out in the open now and shown that this number of MPs don't like what the Prime Minister is doing, I think they will feel just as the pro-Brexit rebels felt during the Theresa May time, that they have open licence to rebel on any government policy they don't like. Right, and significantly, I think, with Mr Norman and his excoriating letters,
Starting point is 01:06:41 he's married to Kate Bingham, who was Boris Johnson's saviour with the COVID vaccine programme. So this is about as ferocious as friendly fire gets, I would think. Adam, thank you for now. Well, just to remind people who are tuning in, 359% of MPs have voted tonight about whether they have confidence in Boris Johnson. 211 said they do 148, 42% of Tory MPs no longer have confidence in their Prime Minister
Starting point is 01:07:09 which is a pretty startling number albeit Boris Johnson has won the vote so we'll be back after the break with more analysis and more reaction on this big breaking news tonight. Stay with us well welcome back to Piers Morgan Arn Center an extended version of the show tonight to cover the big breaking news on Boris Johnson
Starting point is 01:08:08 and this vote of no confidence. Well, it turned out there was a vote of confidence in him, but not as big a vote as he would have liked. So here's the result. I can report as returning officer that 359 ballots were cast, no spoiled ballots, that the vote in favor of having confidence in Boris Johnson's leader was 211 votes, and the vote against was 148 votes. and therefore I can announce that the parliamentary party does have confidence. Well, I'm joined now by former Conservative MPs, Anne Whittaker and Anne Soobridge. Now, welcome to you both. Anne Widdickham, your response to this result. Well, I now hope very much that the rebels will accept that they've lost
Starting point is 01:09:05 and not do what otherwise they might do, which is to continually rebel on votes in the comments. make his life difficult, he's got a year, he's got a year's grace. And that will bring us almost to the gates of a general election. And it's crucial now that the party puts this behind it and pulls itself together. If you ask me, peers, will they do that? Frankly, I wouldn't bet on it. No, I mean, you've got to say, though,
Starting point is 01:09:33 if 42% of Conservative MPs have no confidence in a Conservative Prime Minister, why on earth would anyone want him to stay to fight an election? I mean, he's going to get completely shellacked, isn't he? The Labour Party will be running that result every two minutes. Well, everything, as I've said, just depends now what the reaction, not of Boris's, but of the party is. Kirstama doesn't have to oppose at the moment. He can just sit there and watch us lose, because that is what is happening. And as I say, it is down to the party.
Starting point is 01:10:10 they've lost. Yes, there was a large vote, a much larger vote than is comfortable for having no confidence, but they have lost, and the party's got a straight choice. If it wants to win the next election, then it's got to go cohesively over the next two years. And if it doesn't, it will lose. And it's no good then blaming Boris can blame the rebels. Anna Subrey, I mean, when Theresa May went through all this several years ago, she actually won a much bigger percentage of the vote, two-thirds, I think it was, and she was still gone within a few months. Boris Johnson has not even scaled the dizzy heights of Theresa May's numbers.
Starting point is 01:10:48 What does that mean for him? Oh, this is a big blow. Big blow. And remember, credit to Boris Johnson, because he was the leader in 2019 when he got that big, huge majority, biggest majority since the days of Margaret Thatcher. And yet in a really short period of time, because of course we've had two years of the pandemic, so it's not been normal times, he now finds himself in this position.
Starting point is 01:11:18 And I think he's toast. There's no way back for him. But when you say that, Anna, just to clarify, how does he become toast? Because it's, this is, if you have any time for Johnson at the moment, you will have voted in favour of him. And there will have been Conservative MPs who would have given him, if you like, the benefit of the doubt, but have such a huge number,
Starting point is 01:11:48 especially on your back benches, because this thing called the payroll, that's people who've got government jobs, who you would expect to be loyal to the Prime Minister because they're members of his government. It's those backbenchers. And, you know, they go right across the party, the different wings of the party.
Starting point is 01:12:06 And so slowly, more and more people, you know, it's natural. They want to be on the winning side, and they will see the winning side as not being Boris Johnson. And remember, we haven't even had the two by-elections that are due on June the 23rd, both of which are going to be really bad news for Boris Johnson. So he's now contaminated by the stench of impending political death, and everyone will be keen to avoid it.
Starting point is 01:12:31 But if it's not Boris Johnson, as people keep asking, then who should it be? Who do you think would make a good leader of the Conservative Party and therefore right now a good Prime Minister? Well, I think one of the reasons that he has retained the confidence of the party or of the majority of the party is that there obviously is no successor,
Starting point is 01:12:51 but no obvious successor, nobody waiting in the wings as he was when Theresa was under pressure. But as I say, you know, there are two ways to lose the election. one is to actually just fall apart, which is what is going to happen if they go down the Anasubri course and just make his life difficult. If they fall apart, they will lose the election. The other way to lose it is quite simply to have the wrong leader at the wrong time.
Starting point is 01:13:25 And as far as the party is concerned now, it's got to decide that it's got to make Boris the right leader. They're only there because he was the right leader. He still can be, but he's got to get a grip. Pears, he's got to get a grip. Not only on the party on Downing Street, on his operation, on just the shambolic nature of his approach. The trouble is, you know, I interviewed him. Here's the trouble.
Starting point is 01:13:54 I'll come to Anna on this. I mean, I interviewed him for GQ years ago. And I said to him, you know, Boris, he wasn't even London mayor then. I said, look, I always tell people who think you're just a buffoon that beneath the buffoon exterior lies a brilliant, calculating, ambitious political mind. And he looked at me and he said, well, Peters, you really must consider the possibility that lurking beneath the buffoon exterior is a complete buffoon. And the trouble is, I think, for Boris Johnson, is the buffoon act.
Starting point is 01:14:23 I think a lot of people are sick of it because they're suffering financial hardship, they see the hypocrisy over the party gate, and they're just like, you know what, I'm just done with having a buffoon. A guy who lies, you know, every day of his life. No one can trust him. And you can kind of skate through a political career like that when times are good. But when times are hard like they are now,
Starting point is 01:14:46 I just think it's unsustainable. Well, the fact is he's got the confidence. Sorry, I'm sorry. Both your names begin with the same three letters. I'm going to go to Anna Subbury on that one to avoid confusion and then come back to you, Anne Whittaker. What? Peers, what can I say? Because you're absolutely right. And look, I'm not involved in politics anymore. I don't live in London.
Starting point is 01:15:11 I live in the East Midlands, which is where I was born and bred. And seriously, genuinely, people are feeling exactly what you've just said. They're just sick and tired of Boris Johnson. And it's all well and good for people like Anne Whittigham to say, oh, he needs to change this. The problem is Boris Johnson. If the Conservatives want, which they don't, to lose the next election, Keep Boris Johnson. If they want to win the next general election, the only hope they have is that they get rid of Boris Johnson.
Starting point is 01:15:41 But I agree with Anne, the alternatives are pretty ghastly too. What a mess the Tory party's got itself into. And it's primarily got itself in that mess because too many of the good people were basically turfed out by Boris Johnson and his crew back in 2019. It's a very different party to the one that even when Anne was in in the House of Commons, It's shifted to this nationalist, populist, right wing. And it's dreadful and it's bad for our country. All right. Final word to Anne Whedickham. Yes. There is a choice now.
Starting point is 01:16:16 Carry on trying to get rid of forests. Carry on being factionalised. Carry on being divided. Carry on with all manner of antics in the House of Commons and lose the next election. Or just now, calm down, accept the result and get on with it. I just wish they'd get on. with it. Do you know what I wish
Starting point is 01:16:37 is I wish, well, I just wish we had more people like you in the House of Commons, a pair of you, because you're always very lively, very smart takes on these things so I just wish that. That's what I personally wish. But thank you both for joining me. That's nice. Thank you. Well, I'm reading by my panel, and Esther Crack
Starting point is 01:16:54 is joined us, the Conservative commentator. You're not happy. Why? I'm horrified. I think this is just a terrible decision. I think this is a stain on the Conservative Party. That's just never going to go away. I know Anne was saying that, you know, the party must be united now or lose the next general election. I don't think there is a conservative party that can win with Boris at the head of the next general election. I personally will not vote for Boris. I would
Starting point is 01:17:17 rather vote for Green. I would actually rather vote for this chair I'm sitting on than to vote for him. I'm so disgusted. He represents everything I dislike about politics right now, the lack of integrity, the lying, the arrogance. It's just horrible. And if you're an actual decent, conservative MP and you're getting horrific letters from your constituents saying, I can't believe this is what your party's chosen to do. I can't believe that you are my MP and you're backing this man. It's horrible because there are people
Starting point is 01:17:45 in politics that genuinely want to do good. And you can't do good with someone like this at the head. I mean, he should have a sense of dignity and resign, really. And we've been saying this, right? He should, but he won't. And the fact that, you know, obviously the vote was still significant in the form of the minorities who are not happy with him.
Starting point is 01:18:01 But I don't think this is enough. He should leave. Here's the interesting thing about Boris Johnson is however grim it always looks somehow he wriggles out My oldest son's been tweeting away in the last two hours Jubilant that he's won Loves Boris because he ended lockdown Before most other countries
Starting point is 01:18:17 You know at the end of this last year Things that we've got this completely overblown He's a great character And we should all be queuing up to thank him I mean you are a very special family peers Full of unique characters Needless to say, I don't agree with him. But I think a lot of young people have...
Starting point is 01:18:36 I mean, the polls today show there's a generational issue about Boris. Young people find him a bit of a laugh and don't really care about Partygate, probably because most of them are breaking the rules themselves. And then he'd get everyone over 50, who was abiding by the rules, pretty much, who made a lot of sacrifices, maybe couldn't see dying friends and relatives, who really feel very strongly about it. Well, I mean, under 50s don't tend to particularly vote conservative, I'm not sure how much their sort of ambivalence
Starting point is 01:19:04 is going to really work in favour of the Tory party anyway. I mean, I watched, Esther, what you said there play out at an event on the Isle of White over the weekend, which is a very, in theory, a very Tory constituency, a big safe seat for the sitting MP. And I watched a live audience in front of a recorded programme. The hostility towards Boris Johnson was spilling over into hostages.
Starting point is 01:19:32 to the sitting MP who, on the face of it, has done nothing to deserve that. And that is what they're going to continue to get. And that's why this is not going to go away. Because I don't think that voters are suddenly going to say, this is all fine now, you know, let's all pull together. I suspect that Boris Johnson will try and do a reshuffle pretty soon. One has been looming for a while. He will try to regain his authority by moving the pack around a bit.
Starting point is 01:20:00 Will it work? Not necessarily. Not necessarily. I'm not even sick of people saying that the country doesn't really care about this. We want to move on. How dare you tell this country what we care about? This is a man who locked us down, who told us we couldn't leave our houses to do certain things. We weren't able to go to weddings.
Starting point is 01:20:14 We weren't able to see dying relatives. And he blatantly broke those rules himself. And we're being told that we don't actually care about that. That's obscenely offensive. What it means is you don't care that politicians put laws on the rest of us and then completely ignore them. If you don't care about that, I'm not sure. what you do care about. You basically don't care about the rule of law.
Starting point is 01:20:34 Funny enough, I interviewed the recently deposed Prime Minister of Pakistan, Imran Khan, today, and had a long interview with him, which we'll hear later in the week. But what was really interesting was he blames corruption in Pakistani politics for what happened to him and how he got unfairly done in. He's obviously try again, I think, to get his power base back. But he was very interesting about the rule of law in the UK
Starting point is 01:20:58 and the system that we have for holding politicians accountable. I don't know if we've got the clip, have we? Okay, we're getting the clip. But I don't know if we're interesting talking to him because you're thinking, in someone like Pakistan, corruption is rife. They don't have a system like our... We've got it here.
Starting point is 01:21:14 This is Imran Khan today. Prime Minister having a drinks get-together after work would not even have made news here. In one way, this is one thing which I feel that the reason why British parliamentary system works, whereas apart from non-anglossaxon countries, it doesn't work because of the very high level of moral standards you expect from your leadership.
Starting point is 01:21:44 In Pakistan, you know, the vote of no confidence against me which took place, the whole country knew that the going rate to buy my parliamentarians was a million dollars. Unless we raise a level of morality to what you have, in Britain, parliamentary democracy will not work. I thought it was really interesting. We're going to come back off the break, and Grace, I'll just pick up on what Imran Carr said there. You're watching extended breaking news coverage of the Boris Johnson No Confidence Vote.
Starting point is 01:22:11 Turns out that some MPs have confidence in it, and some of his MPs don't. So he's won, but it may be a peric victory. Stay with us until last night. We'll come back to our breaking news coverage of the Boris Johnson confidence vote, which he has won, 359 Conservative MPs. voted, 211, voted to have confidence in him continuing as Prime Minister. 148, a large number, voted against him. But he has survived.
Starting point is 01:22:47 And joining me now as SMP's Westminster Leader, Ian Blackford. Mr Blackford, your response to this vote. My heavens, peers, I have to say, I'm astonished at the scale of the rebellion against the Prime Minister, 140 MPs, a far worse result than, for example, Margaret Thatcher faced when she faced her difficulties, or Theresa May face. And when you think about it, this is a Prime Minister that can now only count on the support
Starting point is 01:23:11 of one third of the members of the House of Commons. I think anybody else in the position that Boris Johnson is in today would recognise that the game is up. He's lost the moral authority to lead. He's lost the support of a sizable percentage of his own party. He doesn't have the support of the House of Commons. He's a man that I believe has abused the Office of Prime Minister with his behaviour.
Starting point is 01:23:33 And the sooner he goes, the better. If he's not going to go tonight, I suspect that the pressure on him is going to mount over the coming period. But, I mean, we know Boris Johnson, and he's very unlikely to go voluntarily, and the mechanism for removing him has now been attempted, and he would argue has failed. The rebels have tried. They didn't get enough. He's won. He lives to fight another day.
Starting point is 01:23:54 How will the system stop him continuing? Well, first and foremost, Pierce, when you've got a situation, I mean, you and I understand how important loyalty to the leader is in a parliamentary party. But when you've got more than 40% of your own colleagues are prepared to vote against you, that is not a good look. This is going to make it extremely difficult for him to command a support and trust of his own party, never mind a House of Commons. It's a lame duck prime minister, and one that we know is going to face very challenging circumstances and by-elections in the weeks to come. So this is not going to go away. The Tory party will have to find its own mechanism.
Starting point is 01:24:31 But of course we have the privileges committee as well. I believe that the Prime Minister has not just lied to the House. He's broken the Ministerial Code. And we'll have to wait and see what happens. But this is not over. There are many hurdles for the Prime Minister to get through. We all know that he has had an ability to escape the clutches of those seeking to hold them to account. But in the end, this will end in the removal and the failure of Boris Johnson's premiership.
Starting point is 01:24:56 I mean, give me an honest answer, Mr Blackford. Is it at the stage now where you'd almost rather keep him in his... position because he's so damaged. No. Well, I understand why you say that. I understand why many people would say that, Pierce. But at the end of the day, I think this man is a disgrace to the office that he holds. Yeah, I get the point that some people would argue that for us, electorally, is an asset.
Starting point is 01:25:16 But I believe that this man is damaging our democracy to such an extent. It's in nobody's interest to keep him in power. When you've got a prime minister that broke the law, the first prime minister in history, everything that's gone on with his behavior, and his behavior will not change. He treats Downing Street, he treats Parliament as a personal plaything. We should be talking about what's happening with the cost of living crisis. We should be talking about Ukraine. But it always comes back to this man, Boris Johnson.
Starting point is 01:25:42 Ian Blackford, thank you very much for joining me. Thank you, Piers. We have a reaction now from Sakeir Starm. He's the leader of the Labour opposition party. This evening, the Conservative Party had a decision to make, to show some backbone or to back Boris Johnson. The British public are fed up, fed up with a Prime Minister who promises big but never delivers. Fed up with a Prime Minister who's presided over a culture of lies and law-breaking at the heart of government.
Starting point is 01:26:17 Fed up with a Prime Minister who is utterly unfit for the great office that he holds. Well, strong words there from Secir Starmes, the opposition leader, because he himself is caught up in an ongoing police investigation. an ongoing police investigation into whether he broke lockdown rules with beers and curries. And he's already said that he, along with his number two, Angela Rona, if they are fined by police, as Boris Johnson was, they will resign. So we're into pretty uncharted territory. Just bring back the panel. It's about me, strong words from Kirstama. If he does not get fined by the police, he's in a very good moral position on this, I guess. If he does, though, he's gone.
Starting point is 01:26:56 He is gone. And as Ian Blackford was saying, there are a number of hurdle still for the Prime Minister. I don't happen to think those hurdles actually count for anything because I don't think it matters what any report says now, what any committee finds. This is a Prime Minister that is always going to try and keep on brazening it out, which he's sort of managed to do fairly successfully so far. But, you know, he's in a really, really difficult position now in terms of his legislative programme. Right. I mean, Grace, he is, but we do know he's not going to leave voluntarily. And we know he's one of those guys that just barrels on through and hopes for stuff to happen,
Starting point is 01:27:33 which then distracts all our attention. He's got a track record of this. Yeah, I mean, this is how he's governed so far. It's been government by distraction, government by spectacle. This is the thing that he's, you know, we're just hearing from Anna Subrey that she thinks that he's transformed the Conservative Party into this nationalist populist project,
Starting point is 01:27:49 which, yeah, is all about fighting culture wars and he's done so relatively successfully. The big challenge that Boris Johnson and the Conservative Party now as a whole face is that there's a reason beyond Boris Johnson, as a person that some of these MPs have rebelled. And that is that they are concerned about the future of the Conservative Party as a free market, low-tax, austerity-loving party
Starting point is 01:28:12 because they see that their coalition has expanded. They've won some MPs in the north of the country where people rely on government spending, as we all do, rely on public sector spending to keep the economy afloat to create jobs, to boost investment. And there are a lot of MPs now, many of whom are in the running for leader of the Conservative Party who think that all that is terrible.
Starting point is 01:28:32 It's a betrayal of Conservative principles. We need to go back to cuts, cuts, cuts, cuts. We need to, you know, shrink the state, which, by the way, is never actually about shrinking the state. It's about cutting spending for the poor and cutting taxes for the rich. And get the Conservative Party back to its kind of Thatcherite, very unpopular position on a lot of these things.
Starting point is 01:28:49 That's not going to work electorally, but there are a bunch of MPs who are very, very committed to it. Esther, just quickly before we go to the break, if it's not Boris, who should it, be. Do you see anybody in the Tory ranks who you think exudes integrity, honesty, decency, the kind of things many people feel are sorely lacking? I'm not that hopeful, but, you know, the standard is so low. I mean, the bar is in hell, right? So I think, like, literally cucumber would have more integrity than Boris at this point. I don't really buy the excuse that there's
Starting point is 01:29:18 no one else. Find someone else, right? Find anyone else. And put them through the ranks because you cannot have this man. I mean, I see Ben Wallace, for example. I see Ben Wallace, for example. or Tom Tuganhat, people like this. I personally want, Pennymore maybe as well. I listen to people like that, and I think I hear people who appear to have integrity. I don't know enough about them to really assess it, but I don't think there's no one out there
Starting point is 01:29:43 who can restore trust. I don't think it's true. I think the bigger issue is not just a single person. It's about the party and the principles that underpin the party and the vision for the party. The current Conservative Party has no vision. It's not very conservative. Most of the current MPs wouldn't even fit into Blair.
Starting point is 01:29:57 government, right, because they'd be two left wing. So, I mean, there's literally... You're not wrong. This is the interesting thing, though, because we've got this idea that, okay, so there's free marketeers who want to go back to austerity, basically, and that's... There's a battle for the soul of the party. That would be an interesting, actually, political
Starting point is 01:30:11 discussion to have. We've got to leave it there for the break. We'll be back with a statement from Boris Johnson, and also the Shadow Justice Secretary, David Lamy, will be here live after the break. Stay with us. Downing Street live here. I'm joined by the Shadow Foreign Secretary, David Lammie.
Starting point is 01:30:37 Mr Lammy, thank you for joining me. Boris Johnson is calling this a very positive result, very inclusive result, time to move on from Partygate. It was all the media's fault for overspinning it, etc. Your response? I mean, come on, Piz. He's done worse than Margaret Thatcher did in 1990, worse than John Major did in 1995,
Starting point is 01:31:00 worse than Theresa May in 2018. All of those Prime Ministers went on to lose office. Yes, they said. staggered on, wounded, badly wounded. He's deeply wounded, deeply forward. Most of his backbenchers are not with him. That's what these numbers demonstrate. How can you go on to properly govern a country in a time of a cost of living crisis, huge rising inflation, real concern across the country? How can you do that realistically? I think everyone knows the game is up. Unfortunately,
Starting point is 01:31:32 the Conservatives should have taken the mantle and got rid of him tonight. They haven't done that and so he limps on but badly wounded at a time when the country desperately needs proper leadership. We could be in an extraordinary position where your own leader and deputy leader end up being fined by the police for the beer curry gate night and they've already announced if that happens they will resign but Boris Johnson who's already been fined by the police carries on. Well look this is the question of integrity. It's a question of integrity. It's a question of being trustworthy. We've been raising this in the Labour Party for months and months precisely because the electorate will be knock on their doors have been saying they don't trust
Starting point is 01:32:17 this guy for his rule breaking. How they're now meant to trust him, to fix the economy and solve the cost of living crisis that we've got. Of course they don't trust him. Keir has been absolutely clear that of course he would resign if he received a fine. I've got to say as a lawyer, I've looked very closely at the evidence. I've spoken to our the lawyers. He's not going to be fined. I don't actually think this should have been re-investigated in the first place. But there we go. He's been clear about where he stands in the ground. Whatever you say about him, his integrity is beyond reproach. What we've got here is a prime minister and people can't believe him. And that's the fundamental problem. Whatever you thought
Starting point is 01:33:00 of Margaret Thatcher, whatever you thought of David Cameron, whatever you thought of John Major, there wasn't this essential question of trust and lying in office. That's the test that Boris Johnson has consistently not met, and that's why his backbenchers have deserted him tonight. I mean, in a way, I've asked this question a few times in the last few minutes, but does Labour even want Boris Johnson to leave Downing Street now, given how damaged he is? It's not the fact that 148 of his own MPs have lost confidence in him,
Starting point is 01:33:34 one of the best vote winners you could possibly wish for? Well, look, you might say that, appears, and I understand why you might say that, but in a sense, I think this is beyond the partisan issue now. It's way beyond that. It's this fundamental question of trust and integrity in office. I've got the great privilege of being shadow foreign secretary. In the last few weeks, I've been in Australia, New Zealand,
Starting point is 01:34:00 I've been in Washington. And look, people can see. consistently raising the integrity of this guy. What's going on? They've seen the rule breaking. They're seen his vacillations over a period of time. The breaking up rules like the Northern Ireland pro, it's damaging. It's damaging for our image publicly out there in the world. That's why we need to move on with a new Prime Minister,
Starting point is 01:34:27 and the Conservatives really should have got rid of him tonight. David Lammy, thank you very much as joining me. Thank you. Well, any statement, Boris Johnson says it's a convincing result, a decisive result, and what it means is that as a government, we can move on and focus the stuff actually matters to people. I'm grateful to colleagues, I'm grateful for the support they've given me. And, of course, I understand that what we need to do now
Starting point is 01:34:49 is come together as a government, as a party, and that's exactly what we can now do. Isabel Oakeshott, your reaction to Boris Johnson's jubilence tonight. I was dreading his statement. It was always going to be those words, wasn't it? It's cringe. I can't... Honestly, it's just... I want to wince at all of...
Starting point is 01:35:04 of those words because none of them are true and you know he knows that doesn't he I was just thinking when we were listening to David Lamy there of a scenario under which Kirstama did have to resign has he actually said he wouldn't rerun I don't know what the Labour rules are on that
Starting point is 01:35:20 grace maybe you know well I mean quite clearly could rerun unless he decides to use that opportunity or people decide to use that opportunity to try and change the membership rules again or the leadership it's more the pressure it would then potentially put on the Conservative party wouldn't it if you had a leader of the opposition and his deputy potentially resigning on a point of integrity.
Starting point is 01:35:38 And then re-standing. Well, maybe. The best thing that could happen to the Labour Party, because if anything, there would be a party of integrity. The Conservatives can't even say that now. Potentially actually, Kirstama standing down and Boris Johnson standing down at the same time would be a very good thing to the Labour Party. It would actually also allow us to do what Boris Johnson has allegedly said he wants
Starting point is 01:35:56 to do, which is focus on the issues that matter. Rather than going back and forth about who's dead, who's alive, you know, who's stabbed her in the back. we could have a genuine conversation about how to tackle the cost of living crisis in this country, which is actually what people I think up and down the country are most concerned about. We're literally seeing people unable to heat their homes, unable to pay for food, and we've got this clown in office, diverting attention, away from those struggles. So maybe that is what we need, because clearly the leader of the country doesn't have an answer to those problems.
Starting point is 01:36:23 And to be honest, at this point in time, I don't have confidence that the leader of the Labour Party has the answers that we need to. I want you all to have confidence now in your predicting skills. I want to know who thinks people. Boris Johnson will still be Prime Minister and Tory leader by September when the Tory Party conference takes place. Isabel? Just, yeah, I think he will be, but not into the next election. Grace? I think he will be, and I potentially think that he'll be fighting the next election.
Starting point is 01:36:49 I think he'll be gone before the end of this year. You do? Yeah, absolutely. I've got a feeling he might be. If not, you will see me at Downing Street. Get out! Well, I think one may happen. You've got to remember the double whammy of two by-elections on the same day is quite unusual.
Starting point is 01:37:03 And if the polls are right and the Tories get completely taken out in both of those by-elections, that would put a lot more heat on him than there already is already. I think you have to remember that this is bigger than Boris Johnson. As I've said, multiple times today, this is an ideological question that the Conservative Party has to resolve, and fundamentally, they can't resolve it while they're in government. I think that's an issue.
Starting point is 01:37:24 Got to leave a bit there. Thank you. You've been a brilliant panel. Thank you very much, indeed, for being with me all night. It's been a fascinating night for British politics. Boris Johnson has survived, but maybe only for now. He's claiming, of course, total victory, which is what he would do.
Starting point is 01:37:38 But there are many people in his own party who think, not so fast, Mr Bond. That's it from us tonight. Good night. And remember, wherever you are, and this particularly applies to you, Prime Minister, keep it uncensored.

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