Pod Save America - 80-Year-Old Man Loses War
Episode Date: June 16, 2026Trump ends his war against Iran without accomplishing any of the goals he set at the war's onset. Jon, Tommy, and Lovett discuss how real the deal to end the war actually is, how it's playing out in M...AGA world, and its implications for the economy and the midterms. Then, they react to the corruption at the UFC fight at the White House and Gov. Gavin Newsom's announcement that he and his wife are being targeted by Trump's Justice Department. Finally, Sen. Mark Warner talks to Tommy about the situation in Iran and Trump's nominee for Director of National Intelligence.
Transcript
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Welcome to POTSafe America. I'm John Faber.
I'm John Lubbett.
Tommy D. Tor.
On today's show, the U.S. and Iran have signed a memo to end hostilities, allegedly, for now.
We'll talk about it as well as the implications for Iran's nuclear program, Israel, and our own midterm politics.
We'll also dig into Trump's 80th birthday celebration, which involved the much-anticipated White House UFC fight and lots of opportunities for him and his pals to make more money.
Gavin Newsom just announced that Trump's goons at the Justice Department are investigating his wife in a bid to derail his potential.
presidential campaign. We'll get into what we know about that. Then Tommy talks to Senator Mark
Warner about the Iran situation and what the Senate can do and why he's pushing his colleagues to
confirm Trump's new pick for DNI. Before we start, please consider subscribing. If you haven't
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All right, let's get to the news.
The Iran war appears to be over and Donald Trump has lost.
U.S. and Iranian officials have signed a memorandum of understanding, short-handed as an
MOU, that extends the ceasefire another 60 days, reopens the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for
ending the U.S. naval blockade of Iran and kicks just about every other issue to the next phase
of negotiations, including Iran's nuclear program and economic sanctions relief. Iran has certainly
suffered significant casualties and damage in this war, but Trump's war didn't topple the Iranian
regime, destroy its military or ballistic missile capabilities, and Iran's support for proxies
like Hezbollah or eliminate its nuclear program. By the way, those were all of the objectives
that Trump and Marco Rubio laid out way back in February and March when this whole thing started.
Other than that, mission accomplished, which seems to be a face-saving agreement that lets Trump pretend he won,
which he did shortly after arriving in Europe for the G7 on Monday.
The deal's outside, and the strain is already partially opened.
As you know, they're doing a little hunting for a couple of mines.
These ships are starting to go out now on Friday.
It'll be completely opened.
It's not like the Obama document, which was just a terrible document.
I think it's going to be free sailing.
We do want to see if we can straighten out the Lebanon thing.
Where were they, by the way?
That's the least presidential backdrop I've ever seen.
I don't know.
I assume they're somewhere in France if he's with Macron.
It's like they're on a porch or somewhere.
Yeah, I don't know where they were.
Anyway, the Obama document was terrible, and we do want to straighten out Lebanon maybe.
Lemonin. So the administration says the full text of the MOU won't be released for another day or two. But based on the details that have been reported, how does the deal look beyond the headline summary that I gave? You know the old Mike Myers thing? Like, you know, the soup nuts or neither soup nor nuts? Like, it's like, this is the replacement nuclear deal. It's not nuclear. We know that. But it's not really even a deal because presumably in a deal, both sides would have to concede something. And I can't figure out what a
Iran has conceded. I know what the U.S. gave up, right? I know what were, you know, there's a massive
fund that they could get access to, sanctions relief. They may get a bunch of cash. They get a ceasefire
in Lebanon, which they want to try to constrain. Iran seems to have agreed to the nonproliferation
treaty had already agreed to and to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which was open 109 days ago.
So this is not a deal. This is the U.S. surrendering in order to reopen the negotiation.
it stopped when it bombed Iran.
It's a deal to temporarily deal with the fallout from the stupid war we started
in hopes of maybe getting a full nuclear deal to accomplish our goals.
I mean, you laid it out.
I mean, Trump described his goal as he did a video statement right after they started
the war.
He said, we're going to destroy their missiles and raise their missile industry to the ground.
We're going to annihilate their navy.
We're to ensure that the region's terrorist proxies can no longer destabilize the region or the
world then attack our forces.
And we'll ensure that Iran does not obtain a nuclear weapon.
I guess we like, it's the Navy.
The Navy thing. Maybe you get one for four there.
Yeah, we took out your Navy, but they saw the Strader-Hormuz close, so that doesn't seem good.
So, look, this is hard to message because this was the best deal available to Trump and for the world because it ended the war.
And we were seeing economies in Asia collapsing.
We could still see a global famine because of what was happening.
But Trump accomplished none of his goals.
And I think we should, we have to message that.
And Iran now knows it can shut down the global economy at any time by closing the Strait of Hamos.
and they could get hundreds of billions of dollars in sanctions relief.
Like, this is a disaster.
And the Trump and Netanyahu actively tried regime change by killing the Supreme Leader.
Trump was for it when it seemed like it might happen.
But the net effect is there's now a younger, more hardline Supreme Leader and a more entrenched IRGC running the show.
And the United States looks like we're unreliable and weak.
I thought it was very funny that in one of his truths about this, Trump was.
like, I hereby declare the straight open. And then you look at some of the fine print,
or at least some of the reported details. And before the war, the straight was controlled by no one.
It was an interdictional body of water. And now it will be controlled by Iran and Oman together,
apparently. And so you don't really hear Trump talking about that, although he is saying,
it's toll free. It's toll free. Like the calls that we used to make back in the 80s and 90s.
Sounds like it might be toll free for 60 days. And then Iran has plans to slap up.
a toll on that shipping. Yeah, they've said that they can charge fees. So that seems to be,
even that seems to be in dispute right now. Yeah, also, you know, Trump is saying that it'll be
fully open by Friday when they signed the agreement. But when they were last talking about what
the deal would look like, it was going to take 30 days to potentially remove the mines that are in
place. And I don't know if I were, if I were an oil tanker, I would definitely want to go after several.
Yeah, I wouldn't want to be first. Yeah, a lot of like, no, no, after you. After you, Exxon.
No, no, no, after you.
Every restaurant opening gets delayed.
You know, like when you do a remodeling, it takes a lot of...
Yeah, let me get the kicks out.
You want to be the third or fourth oil tank.
For sure.
Maybe fifth or six.
Can I read you guys one quote?
This is from a senior administration official.
I'm pretty sure his name rhymes with Haiti Prant.
One of the really cool things and interesting things about this entire process
that we actually have a direct relationship with a number of people at the highest levels of the Iranian government.
You know you could have just called them and not killed like their whole.
whole family. So the war was literally the friends we made along the way? Yes, that's what we learned.
It's like, hey man, I know it's hard to make adult friends, J.D. Vance. It's the male loneliness crisis.
It's unbelievable. With the Iran war. Um, where's the, there's some back and forth on the sanctions
relief too. So it's like first it was, uh, we heard some reports that there'd be 12 billion in
sanctions relief right away with another 24 billion coming later depending on what Iran does. And then
Iran's asking for like a pot of $300 billion that they might be able to access down the road.
Now it seems like there's no sanctions relief right away.
But it's also like where was the money coming?
This is like it would be unfrozen assets, right?
Yeah, there's a much of unfrozen money that is the Iranian's money sitting in banks in Qatar, for example.
Then there's all this talk of like up to a $300 billion investment fund that will come from Gulf countries.
I think the truth is no one knows.
Iran's real money is going to come from slapping fees on ships that go through.
through this trade or her moves going forward and sanctions relief is my guess.
Selling all its oil again.
Yeah.
Yeah, well, they've already claimed that the docu sign is done or however they did it over email.
What is, release the text?
Why not?
If the Iranians have seen it and signed it and we've seen it and signed it, there's no secrets
between us.
So to me, like, I can't think of a reason why Iran wouldn't want the text out there.
It seems to me that Vance and Trump are trying to spin this thing until we see the text
and everybody loses their fucking minds.
Maybe there's something about Jeffrey Epstein in the text.
Oh, yeah.
Look at me.
Does he negotiate this thing?
There we go.
Boy, that would be, what a surprise that one.
Trying to connect a conspiracy.
Trump was always going to say whatever deal signed was better than Obama's Iran deal.
You were saying, Tommy, this morning, that the comparison is apples and oranges.
Yeah.
In the case of the apples, there was a deal that went into force and that worked for a couple of years,
according to Trump's own top national security aids.
In Trump's case, there is no deal.
There exists a framework to talk about possibly getting to a deal.
And just to remind everybody with the JCPOA said, the preamble of the JCPOA said, quote, Iran reaffirms that under no circumstances will Iran ever seek, develop or acquire nuclear weapons.
So whenever Trump says, look, they said they're not going to get nuclear weapon, that was already enshrined in the JCPOA and also enshrined in another treaty called the NPT.
We don't have to belabor that.
But to make sure that Iran could not get a nuclear weapon, the JCPOA said Iran had to reduce its enrage.
capacity by two-thirds, I meant like taking down or shipping out or shuttering out all their
centrifuges. They had a cap enrichment at 3.6% purity, 3.67% purity. They had to ship out 97% of their
stockpile and allow the IAEA to inspect all of their nuclear sites and then agree to not build a new
enrichment facility for up to 15 years. Republicans were always mad about the sunset provisions
in that agreement, but it was working and it worked. And it sounds like Trump is maybe at best
going to get a similar deal after launching this disastrous war that he could have gotten if he just
tried to renegotiate. Yeah, we need a president without sunset provisions. That's what it's okay.
It's the problem. Yeah, it does seem like now that the blockade will be over and the straight is open,
like it's not like there's a lot of pressure on Iran to, you know, get something out of these negotiations.
It's just if they want sanctions relief, which I'm sure they do, then maybe they make a deal. But they've also been going on quite
a long time without sanctions relief, so it doesn't seem like there's a forcing mechanism here.
So Israeli and U.S. officials are both saying that Israel's withdrawal from Lebanon is not part of
the agreement. Iran and Pakistan are saying an end to all military operations in Lebanon is part of the
agreement. Trump has also been publicly attacking Netanyahu over the last few days for launching
strikes in Lebanon that nearly tanked the deal. He told Axios that BB has, quote, no fucking
judgment. So this chapter of the conflict seems unresolved.
What do you guys make of the Trump BB dust up and where this goes from here?
That was in an interview in which Trump said that Israel launching those strikes delayed the deal from going through.
And then after the deal goes through, in which Iran and Trump are claiming Israel is bound,
Nanyahu says he doesn't see eye to eye to Trump and they retain all their prerogatives to defend Israel from attack.
And so I don't understand what is supposed to happen over the next 60 days and how you get to the end of 60 days without Trump threatening further military escalation to get to a deal or Israel threatening military escalation or there being some kind of a fight in Lebanon.
Because in his first comments about this, Nanyahu said plainly, we reserve the right to prevent Iran from having a nuclear weapon that will continue to be our position regardless of an agreement.
Yeah, every time Netanyahu wants to try to blow up talks or prevent a deal, he just bombed somewhere in Beirut.
And he tried that move again here. And it seems to have pissed Trump off. And actually, I think probably sped up the deal.
I do think it's hard to overstate how negative the reaction to this deal is in Israel right now.
I follow this one Israeli political security analyst who was in the IDF for 25 years.
And he ran the head of the Iran branch for Israeli military intelligence at one point. So like, you know, pretty hardline guy.
He described the deal as a political insecurity catastrophe for Israel because,
the nuclear issue is unresolved and the fact that Trump lost the war will likely defer future presidents
from taking military action against Iran, what you're just saying there about the lack of stick now
for the Iranians. And it also, it seems like Iran will end up stronger because they will have
all these financial incentives and there won't really be a credible deterrent anymore because
no president's going to want to touch this stove. And so this is a huge hit for Netanyahu himself. He was
Mr. Iran. He was Mr. Security. He was the guy who could manipulate Washington. Now he's none of those
things. He's got an election coming up, and here's what some of his opponents are saying.
Avigdor Lieberman said, a catastrophe from Israel's perspective. That was one quote.
Yair Lepid, the moderate, this is one of the most shocking failures of Israel's foreign
insecurity policy period. So I think I'm also watching whether or not yet tries to blow this up.
I mean, they're currently occupying. The forward operating line for the IDF right now is six miles into
Lebanon. They say they're not going to retreat from that, but they're also going to get shot at by
Hezbollah. So I just, I'm not sure how this is going to.
go, but he needs to be careful because he needs Trump's help both politically and in terms of
security support going forward. But also, you can imagine from Trump's perspective that he's
thinking, okay, I got this whole thing done. If the negotiations over the nuclear program don't
really go anywhere, no one at home is really going to care or notice and I can just move on.
Bebe, though, for everything you just said, Tommy, clearly is not done with Lebanon and Hezbollah
and is now feeling all kinds of pressure to continue that.
I'm sure Trump thinks, well, Bibi can do whatever he wants now.
I'm washing my hands of this.
Like, I don't want to deal with it.
But Iran knows that the best way to get the U.S. back into the conflict
and to draw us back in is to close the straight again.
So, like, you can imagine that, like, B.B. goes into Lebanon,
and then there's another, and then Iran, you know, fires to help Hezbollah,
and they go back and forth.
And Trump wants to stay out of the whole thing.
but Iran, of course, knows that it can get us back into the whole thing just by closing the straight again.
And so, like, Trump's dream, I'm sure is like, let these people fight it out.
I don't care anymore. I want to wash my hands of this.
Like, I just don't think it's going to be that easy.
Also, Hezbollah can launch missiles at any time to draw Israel back into the conflict and draw criticism from the world because Israel's escalating the conflict in response to Hezbollah.
Part of what Iran has been doing is using Hezbollah to make this conflict also about Lebanon, which it successfully did, right?
because now Israel, because now, you know, Iran can call off Hezbollah for a short period of time
while demanding Israel adhere to a ceasefire in which it's perpetually under threat from Hezbollah in the north.
So it's just a, the stupidity of this war, we will just be living with it for just a very, very long time.
Yeah, I mean, the Iranis have said they've made clear that if the Israelis hit targets in parts of Beirut,
they will fire back directly at Tel Aviv.
And that's the linkage they created in the two conflicts.
And I think it's a very dangerous place for Netanyahu to be.
Because people, especially northern Israel, feel like they're living under constant threat
from Hezbole of bombardment.
They are.
Yeah, it's totally fair to feel that way.
But in terms of as a security measure, this is just backfire.
It's fired spectacularly for Nanyahu.
Let's talk about how the memo is playing in Maga World, which has been divided over Iran.
Bloodthirsty Warmonger Lindsay Graham raised some eyebrows when he tweeted that while he was
pleased to hear the straight will be reopened.
He's, quote, somewhat concerned with what the Iranians.
Iranians are saying about the MOU, believes that Congress must have the final say on any nuclear
agreement, and quote, it is imperative that the architect of the deal, Vice President Vance and
his negotiating partners, end quote, be part of presenting any final deal to Congress.
So what's that all about, you think? And have you guys seen any other noteworthy reactions from
either the anti-war maga faction or the Iran Hawks?
Saw John Bolton criticizing it.
Lindsay Graham being unable to criticize Trump because Donald Trump cannot fail, he can only be failed.
It's so pathetic.
You want to hang this around J.D. Vance's neck because he's easier to criticize.
You feel like give a little bit more.
You're just not scared of the guy.
It's all sort of the usual pathetic Lindsey Graham.
The anti-Iran hawks are losing their minds.
I interpreted Graham's comments, both as wrapping this thing around J.D. Vance's neck,
but also maybe suggesting that this would be subject to.
a 67 vote threshold in the Senate, which means it would be dead.
Or, yeah, treaties require two-thirds vote.
The JCPOA was not treated as a treaty.
Thus, future presidents were not bound by it.
So maybe that's the argument here.
But like Mark Levin, the Fox News host, is losing his mind on an hourly basis.
He's getting in fights with like the national security team.
The neocon think tanks are losing their minds.
There's one called FDD, the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy,
which is just this garbage human beings.
you know, propped up by right wing billionaire money
who do nothing but push for wars that they
nor their kids will ever fight in.
I haven't heard APEC way in.
That's, they've been sort of suspiciously quiet.
So, but the hawkish wing
of the Republican Party is furious.
They know this is a capitulation.
They know Trump lost.
They're just trying to figure out how to undo it.
I hate to break it to Lindsay Graham
and maybe J.D. Vance, but I don't think Congress
will be viewing any kind of deal anytime soon
because I just can't imagine a deal actually getting done
at this point.
You can see Graham going to
after Vance is, like you said, because you know, it can't criticize Trump, but also it's kind of like
a warning shot to J.D. Vance, about 2028. And it did make me think that if this goes, as we think
it's going to go, and the Iran Warhawks are all pissed off, someone's going to try to launch some
kind of a more pro-war campaign in the Republican primary against J.D. Vance that is destined to
fail, by the way. Tom Cotton or somebody. Yeah, but you could see Lindsay.
Yeah, they want to kind of hold J.D. Vance up as like, beware, beware. We're going to.
We're going to come after you in a primary with our hawks, which is like, oh, I'd be so scared.
Yeah, yeah.
I really know that's going to work, but you can see that.
You can see that.
Maybe like Ted Cruz, who's also I saw thinking about a presidential campaign again.
Amazing.
Amazing stuff.
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I want to touch on all the political implications of all this for the midterms and beyond.
And there's a question of how long it will take for high gas prices and other straight-related
disruptions to end, a question of whether Trump and Republicans will be able to just move on
from Iran and pretend like it never happened, even if the next phase of negotiations hasn't led
to a deal by November.
And then there's the question of what Democrats say about any of this over the next few
weeks and months.
Tommy, you want to take the – I know you have some thoughts on the last one, especially.
Yeah, I think being a Democrat in this situation is very hard because we are trying to be
responsible. And, you know, if a Democrat was cutting this deal, if Barack Obama was making this
agreement, Republicans would say, you're weak, you're a coward, you lost, you know, rinse,
repeat on Fox News ad nauseum. And it's a simple and powerful message, you know, strength versus weakness.
Our job is harder because, again, ending the war was the best of a bad set of options.
But we need to explain why Trump starting the war has made us worse off as a nation because I think
we just need to kill in finally this neocon argument that you can bomb your way to peace. We heard this
in Iraq. Somehow it wasn't discredited then. Now we're at war with Iran and it's just a nightmare.
And so, again, it's repeating that we failed on the core objectives and just arguing that we could
have gotten the deal Trump will potentially get after the 60 days of negotiation without ever going
to war. The original sin was not in 2018 just trying to renegotiate the JCPOA.
And I think Democrats need to be more full-throated in support of diplomatic solutions to problems,
stop being afraid of their own shadow on this stuff
and more full-throated about why regime changed wars
in the Middle East were a disaster.
I thought we'd all gotten there, but apparently not.
The good news is this war is extremely unpopular,
like shockingly unpopular.
60 days from now is, what, like mid-August?
And so two possibilities, well, a whole range of possibilities,
but two possibilities are there is a deal,
in which case Trump will do everything you can
to make it seem like he did this amazing move
to start the war to get us to a position to negotiate the deal.
And that'll be about selling, that'll be about us telling just the story of how we got here
and how stupid and dangerous and bad it was.
And then the other is, God only knows the kind of chaos that could happen in the next 60 days,
you know, there's algae in the, he drained the fucking reflecting pool to paint it blue,
but the algae's back.
He's not, you know, he does not have some magical ability to avoid the realities of the world.
And like the, I think I, we will, it will be so close to the election by the time we either get to a deal or don't that we will be able to, I think, make it a big part of people's dissatisfaction with the economy, the high cost of living and everything that will carry on for weeks from now, if not months from now.
It's also like the straightover moves is not a valve you turn on and off. It's not like gas is now flowing. It's like oil futures prices can go down quickly, but tankers will now have to come out and then future tankers will have to go back.
in, load up their gas, and then transit it.
Like, I think there already reports that these oil and gas companies are kind of moving
cautiously because they don't know.
Like, this isn't a final deal.
There's no agreement.
There's no nuclear agreement.
Trump is threatening to go back to war.
And so I just don't think this is going to be resolved quickly.
It was like months probably.
I think even under the best case scenario, gas prices come down between now and November,
but they don't end up where they were before this conflict started at all because it's just
going to take time, even the most conservative economic estimates.
are saying that. I also think for Democrats, you go out there and it's like, Donald Trump just spent
the last year embroiling this country in a war that he lost that cost us upwards of maybe $100 billion
and then however many more billion dollars people paid in higher fuel costs. And he hasn't seemed
to have learned any lessons, nor have the Republicans in Congress. And if you return a Republican Congress
to him, they're just going to create more war. They're going to jump into more wars. He's still talking
about Cuba. He still has Greenland on his mind. Like, the guy is a bloodthirsty maniac, and so are the
Republicans in Congress who approved it. And do you want them to spend even more of your money
on more war and making the, like, what did this war get us? It got us nothing. Nothing.
Nothing. It just cost, it got us nothing and it cost us a lot. We, we, 14 people die,
thousands of people dying in the region. And it made us less safe. It didn't make the country any
safer. The, you know, when we talk about like, you know, like, you know, like, cost being higher,
And it's always very abstract.
People's lives were ruined by the fact that suddenly their fuel went up,
where they suddenly didn't have access to raw materials.
Like this had a huge ramifications for the global economy that we felt for a very long time.
And by the way, everyone who's just predicting, oh, this is when gas prices will go down.
This is when oil prices will go down.
The market says what the oil is worth right now.
The market says what the gas prices would work.
If people thought and knew that the prices would go down, they'd already be down.
People have no idea what the future holds because we're dealing with fucking maniacs and
complexities of reopening the straight and all the rest.
Nobody knows what gas prices will be in September or October.
If they did, that's what the price would be.
Yeah.
So one funny footnote on the timing of when the Iran agreement was announced, the Iranians
didn't want to do it on Trump's actual birthday.
So they waited until it was Monday in Tehran just to be as petty as fuck, which got
to hand it to him, I guess.
Yeah, I guess.
It was, they literally used the time change to keep both Trump and the Iranians happy.
So then Trump could say he announced it on his birthday, but the Iranians.
can say, no, we didn't. Because it was
Monday here. It's about your
80th birthday. It's adults who
care about their birthday. Everything being about Trump's
fucking birthday, it is all so embarrassing.
The Iranians feeling like they can get one over
on Trump by kind of holding it to not sign it
technically on the birthday is stupid, but it's
in response to dealing with a guy that clearly wanted
the fun of signing the thing on his fucking birthday.
What you happen? We have a world run by tyrants.
They're all just little petty bitches.
It's unbelievable. So dumb.
Of course, none of this stopped Trump from celebrating
the deal or himself. He threw a loki
party at the White House Sunday night where the South Lawn was transformed into a Vegas-style
UFC arena that hosted a cage match attended by 4,000 lucky guests and broadcast it to Paramount
plus subscribers. The $60 million event paid for by the UFC and other sponsors was truly
surreal to watch. Here's some of what it looked like. I'll just sort of narrate this for those
of you who are just listening. There's Trump and Dana White walking out of the oval.
There's a flyover.
I love a good flower.
And here's an actual eagle.
It's cool.
Also pretty sick.
There's the fight.
One of the fights.
Yeah, there's a couple.
There's a little evil-knievel action happening.
This is one of the fighters walking out from the Oval.
Moshell Obama is a man.
Yeah.
Even the crowd's like, you're a dick.
And that was Josh Hokit, who won the heavyweight fight.
He has apparently said that before.
This is like a bit of his.
He said it before in a fight.
He put it on his Instagram like last year.
And so, you know, I don't know if that makes it better or worse.
It's a far right mega thing.
They've been saying it for a lot of times.
But for him especially is what I'm saying.
So what did you guys think of the fight?
So I feel like everybody combined a bunch of things.
Like one was just the brazen corruption of the whole thing and having Bud Light's sponsorships
on the White House lawn and the crypto stuff and all the rest.
the fact that Donald Trump made this event about him and not the country. I think that's a big part of it.
If this were a Democratic White House that also had poetry slams and readings by Pulitzer Prize winning journalists and other kind of sophisticated events.
And then one day Barack Obama was like, guess what, we're going to have motorcycles jumping over each other on the South Lawn.
I mean, that's great. Having an eagle fly around and land on somebody's arm during America celebration, that's great.
All these sort of busy bodies on social media being like, a Thornton Wilder once visit.
of the White House. Like, guys, guys, can you, can you please not be a bunch of prissy stuck up people?
People like fucking motorcycles. I have no problem with that. That is entertaining. And it could
be on the White House lawn. Zero problem with that. It is the corruption and then making it about
him and it being a right-wing maga thing. Like, that is the problem. Yeah, like, presidents hold
events on the South Lawn. Sometimes it's a concert. Sometimes it's a dude in a bunny suit rolling
Easter egg. Sometimes it's a cage fight. It's like it is what it is. That but didn't bother me either.
the corporate sponsorship stuff that we're going to get to a minute is where it gets really gross.
But just politically, I don't know that it was smart for Trump.
I think UFC fans will love it.
Trump super fans will love it.
Regular people that are pissed about inflation are just to be like, what are you doing?
How are you spending your time this way?
Reuters did a poll.
Just 16% of Americans said it was appropriate for Trump to hold the ultimate fighting championship event for his 80th birthday.
Well, 46% said it was inappropriate.
The rest for like, whatever, I don't care anymore.
So whatever, it is what it is.
But also, like, there's a lot better sports to watch this weekend, the next one, the NBA championship.
There's a million World Cup games.
The Stanley Cup finals were on.
Like, I was doing other things.
I don't have Paramount Plus, so I couldn't even watch it.
We have Paramount Plus for some kids programs.
And it was, so I watched the whole thing.
And I tried to watch it as someone who was just like, okay, what if I was not really paying attention to politics?
What would this look like?
And, like, first of all, the production value, outstanding A plus.
It looked great.
Like, the whole event looked really cool.
there were like and look there are some UFC fighters who have commented publicly about how this is like a gross thing to do and cynical for the president to make it all about him and the and we're going to talk with the corruption and all that the parts that made it more about Trump were the parts that you're like what is this you know and first of all the fights weren't that great which like I'm not a UFC person but it was like all of them were kind of quick and over first round knockouts yeah and they were like knockouts but it was just like it's just like the number of times it pans
to Trump and then it talked about Trump and then like, then there's Mark Zuckerberg and then there's
the president of crypto.com and all this kind of shit. And so like all of the accoutrements around it
were like could get really annoying. But the fight itself and the way it looked with the White
House in the background, like looked pretty cool. Well, this is where like you will, we'll talk,
we'll talk about their corruption. But this is where you can't separate the fact that he is
so corrupt from the event itself because Donald Trump is trying to steal the like patriotism
and excitement and prestige of America's birthday
and kind of put it on himself.
But the end result is really just he gets his stink
on like the White House and the event itself.
Because if you didn't know that this was so partisan
and so corrupt and such a boondoggle
and such favoritism and just so much corporate interest,
then like maybe it wouldn't be so terrible
to have a flyover or to have Marines standing behind a fighter,
whatever.
It may not be the kind of thing I would normally want to watch,
but it wouldn't be so despicable,
but to use the military and to use these symbols for such a corrupt practice, I think is why the whole thing becomes so sorted and ugly.
Yeah, I will say.
Walking the fighters out through the Oval and the dip room and having all like the Marines there saluting the, like, it was that, that part was like a little much.
Well, it's just because it's a for profit event.
And because it's a for profit event and the whole America 250 thing too, because it's like whatever president is is leading the country when it's America's 250th or.
275 or 300, whatever, you get to do your own thing, right?
But they sort of went out of the way to make it feel exclusionary to anyone who wasn't
MAGA and just in the way that they did the event, right?
Like they could, and not just by being a UFC fight.
You could have done a UFC fight that still seems welcoming and unifying to most of
the country.
This is where we're like, we're back to where Trump was in the first term where he was
always taking pictures in front of the desk.
They're fucking tourists because they know they don't belong.
And so they walk through this gold-plated room.
room that looks like has a gold fungal infection and kind of they show through these fighters walking
through all the rooms. It like a bit like the kind of, it reminds me of like when like human beings
in some apocalyptic future stumble upon a museum and they're walking through looking around being
like, who built this? How was this even here? Like that's sort of the feeling of it to me.
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It would have been entirely possible for Trump to throw himself a $60 million UFC birthday party
without also turning it into an orgy of corruption.
that would take all the fun out of it.
First, the broadcast itself.
Dana White originally said that the fight would be free on CBS, now owned by Paramount,
but it ended up on the $9.99 per month Paramount Plus.
Instead, Paramount is, of course, owned now by Trump ally David Ellison,
who had a front receipt to the fight two days after Trump's DOJ approved his latest acquisition
of Warner Brothers Discovery, which includes CNN.
I think there was also like a brunch or a judge.
dinner for David Ellison that weekend too. Big party for that. So everyone is celebrating the big
merger. As for Trump himself, ahead of the fight, the president quietly purchased between 15,000
and 50,000 worth of stock in TCAO holding group, which owns UFC. Which is nothing for him, but like
optically so stupid. You know what I mean? Just don't do that. It just doesn't care anymore.
There were also some tweets that appeared to be between Eric Trump and UFC commentator, Daniel
Kormier looking for inside information for betting on the fights. The Kormir is saying publicly that
his account was hacked. Not to fear, the fight still offered plenty of opportunities to make the Trump family richer.
Take a listen.
watching that at home. That's what I was like. It's just, it's too much. If you didn't catch all of that,
one of the official sponsors of the event was the Trump's family crypto operation, World Liberty Financial.
We've talked about this a lot here. For this event, they created a 250,000 bonus pool for the fighters,
which is to be paid in their stable coin, USD1. And then you heard there was also a sponsorship
plug there for Trumpcoins.com, which is selling commemorative medallions designed by President Trump
at prices up to $12,000 a piece.
Coin-heavy event, huh?
Real coin-heavy.
Just an idiot tax.
Whoever's buying these fucking coins.
Reacting to a bunch of these stories,
the White House said that Donald Trump only acts in the best interest of the American
public and that his assets are in a trust managed by his children.
So what's the problem, guys?
Jesus Christ.
I mean, politically speaking, Trump should be furious that this thing was on Paramount Plus, right?
That limits the distribution.
That hurts him, right?
This is his propaganda event.
Why is it not seen by more people?
So you're like, okay, I get what Paramount Plus got.
they got to add subs to get people to buy this.
What's a kickback?
I'd like to know.
The crypto stuff is disgraceful.
Remember, like, the USD1 is their stable coin.
Remember that Trump's got the Emirates to use their stable coin in this transaction when they
invested $2 billion into Binance that, like, made it the seven biggest stable coin in the world?
And then Reuters did this big investigation of the Trump family crypto assets.
They found the Trump family has made $2.3 billion in profit.
And then, of course, on the other side of that, you have like a million retail investors
who've gotten fleeced
and have taken $2.3 billion in losses.
So this is just an ongoing, you know,
show of the way they're using crypto
just to, like, ring money out of their followers.
I find the Eric Trump,
what's his name, Daniel Cormier thing,
makes no sense.
Like, Eric Trump, so those stories,
he DMed the guy said,
hey, is this fight rigged because I want to bet on it?
And then Cormier's like, no, I got AI hacked.
What does that mean?
You posted the tweet?
It didn't make sense when Eric said he deleted it because it was fake, but then why would he have posted it?
Eric Trump was the first time I believed it might be true was when Eric Trump posted it.
Yes, me too.
And then Daniel Cormier, he was asked about it at the fight and was just like, that's crazy.
Why would anyone believe that?
And then he like tweeted, are you all stupid?
Why would you believe?
But like, you posted it.
It's interesting because if you look at the exchanges that they posted or the DMs that they posted, it's very, it's not like, it's not as obvious as like, hello.
Are there any fights rigged?
I would like to bet on them.
Like, it was like, hey, how's it going?
And he's like, oh, I didn't expect to hear from you, man.
It's good to see you and your family at the fight.
Can't weigh.
He's like, hey, you place any bets?
And then he just keeps going.
He's like, all right, fine, I'll get to it.
Any of the fights rigged?
Who knows what's real or what's fake anymore?
Anything could have happened.
Could have been hacked.
Someone could have done it.
I don't know.
Yeah, well, this is the problem with these people being.
And they don't tell the truth.
They're corrupt liars.
They're corrupt liars who, it is completely believable to me that it's fake.
it is completely believable to me that it is true.
You have no credibility as human beings.
I would not be surprised in either direction.
You are completely morally vacant operators who are profiting every day off the office.
We can't take your word for it.
Maybe we'll never know the truth because everyone around you is a liar.
But that's the price of being so dishonest, I guess.
Celebrity attendance at the event was mostly limited to the MAGA billionaire sector.
In addition to David Ellison and the crypto.com CEO, MMA enthusiast and masculinity.
advocate Mark Zuckerberg was in attendance.
Maybe not quite out of Dulles baggage claim yet were executives from Anthropic, who apparently flew to the capital last minute to meet with the Trump administration on Monday.
On Friday, the administration slapped export controls on the company's top AI models, which forced Anthropic to take Fable 5 and Mythos 5 offline.
Anyone want to talk about what this is all about with Anthropic and whether it has anything to do with their earlier dispute with the Pentagon?
This to me, actually similar to the Eric Trump thing, it's because we know that they pick this fight with Anthropic a few months ago, it's actually hard to know what's true. If you read the details, there does seem to have been a legitimate concern with access to the models that were raised by Amazon and others. But then it appears the administration, which has a vendetta against Anthropic, maybe went too far in its reaction. And now the executives have to fly to D.C. to make nice because it's not about what's in the interest of the Pentagon or the country, but it's about person.
personal relationships and ego. And so they have to figure out how to smooth things over. And it is
just very hard to tell the difference between penalizing Anthropic because it's now an enemy of
the administration versus actually stepping in because there may have been an issue or if it's
somewhere in between. Yeah. I mean, so there was a concern about Anthropics model and the ability for
it to find cybersecurity vulnerabilities and exploit them. So they limited the distribution. And then
these researchers at Amazon got access to Fable Five, which is like,
it's like mythos with guardrails
that they released to the public.
They were able to trick it
essentially into giving them restricted information
and then the Amazon CEO
tattled to Scott Besson about what happened.
Now normally like...
That's what you did. Normally I'd be like
actually that's good. That's like how the system should work
because you want sort of a circuit breaker there
in some way to prevent the distribution
of these models to bad actors.
What the administration did was they cut off access
for foreign users.
But yeah, I mean, it just, the thing that was so odd about this is all the little Trump propagandists went to Twitter and they tried to dance on Anthropics grave.
And they gave all of us reason to think, oh, actually, this is just part of this ongoing pissing match between Anthropic and the Pentagon.
And because Anthropic doesn't want to create autonomous killer drones or be used in bulk mass surveillance of American citizens.
Yeah, it was hard to read between the lines and the Axiost story about it, too, which is also it's like,
you know that the Axiosauri kind of came mostly from the administration.
And there's some administration official on background saying, like, the real problem is they don't know how to,
Anthropic doesn't know how to communicate with this administration and the ideological differences are really getting in the way.
And it's like, what does that have to do with a potential security vulnerability that you're saying was the root of the problem here?
What does the ideological differences in communication have to do with anything?
Also, if you know that, if you have insight enough to know that they're not communicating effectively with you,
then it seems you know what they're trying to communicate.
Just call them.
Yeah.
Hey, like, you're not being nice enough in how you're handling me.
You have to, if you want me to do what you want, you better, you better be a little bit
more sensitive to my issues and my needs.
Inanthropics preparing for an IPO.
It seems like a great way to damage them in advance of that.
Yes.
Yeah.
But for what it's worth, we should say Dana White and a bunch of other participants at the
White House event condemned the comments about Michelle Obama, which was nice to see.
Now, the right thing to do would be Donald Trump to call Michelle Obama and say, I'm so sorry,
that was disgusting, but that will obviously.
But the White House sports person wouldn't even make a just sort of brush bastard.
They refused to apologize.
In the moment, you can actually see Rogan's face
as soon as he said it and Rogan was sort of like,
you like backed away like, oh, God.
Do you see what small as tie was?
It was like a half of time.
It went to hear.
You could tell that like the, yeah,
the Dana White's the people.
And Donald Trump was like, yeah.
Like Donald Trump was probably like, yeah.
He probably loved it.
He's reposted stuff like that in the past.
Well, the guy then gave his like medal to Donald Trump,
the guy who made the comment and Donald Trump accepted it.
So it's just like, you know.
Trump posted a video of the two of them, those apes.
Yeah.
Sort of six months ago.
Through the looking glass on that one.
One more corrupt date that broke, as we were preparing to record this,
Gavin Newsom said in a video Monday morning that he and his wife are being targeted by Trump's DOJ,
saying that federal agents have been knocking on the doors of their family friends and former employees in Newsom's words.
He said they're digging through, quote, years and years of documents and, quote,
abusing the grand jury process, trying to, quote, look for crime.
Then there was this line.
Donald Trump isn't just coming after me because of my mean tweets.
He's coming after me because I'm coming after me because I'm.
considering running for president. He then went on to attack Trump on corruption for several minutes.
We didn't get a ton of detail from Newsom's statement other than the DOJ seems to be focused on Jen, his wife.
I saw some takes about how this will be great for Newsom's potential presidential campaign and fundraising, sure.
But it also seems like a fairly chilling preview of what's to come in 2028 for any Democrat who runs for president.
I don't know. What do you guys think?
Yeah, look, it's nice to say it's great for fundraising before we know any of the details about what the charges can.
be how serious it is, what they're trying to do. But I know that anybody, even if it does make
them get some attention, is excited to find out that there's a grand jury trying to indict you.
And, you know, we have gone from Pam Bondi, who was as like a pliant and willing to do Trump's bidding,
as you could imagine, until we got to Todd Blanche, who somehow even worse. Trump just put his
personal attorney in charge of the Southern District of New York. We have a completely politicized
Department of Justice unlike anything we've ever had before in our history. And part of the job will be
not only preventing those things from impacting our politics directly, but also figuring out
how to create guardrails and fix it in the future once Trump has gone. Yeah, as much as I can
understand the kind of galaxy-brained political takes, like the human take is Gavin Newsom sits down at dinner
and it's like, hey, honey, this is going to help me in the early states? Like, what are we talking
about here. It's like horribly chilling for your wife to be potentially prosecuted by the Department of
Justice. Even if she did nothing wrong, it's scary. It'll cost them money. It'll cost some time.
Yeah, look, the maximally cynical view is that Trump is doing this because he thinks Gavin's
talented and a possible competitor to the Republican Party and wants to take him out of the race
preemptively by going after his family. Maybe it's all on the merits, right? There was a Gavin Newsom's
former aide who was just prosecuted. Maybe it's coming out of that. What we know is Trump has
So openly called on his attorney general to go after his enemies.
He just tried to install Bill Pulte, a man with no national security experience as the director of national intelligence solely because that man has shown a creativity in using his access to information to go after Trump's critics.
So it seems like part of a pattern.
Yeah, I mean, it is the cynical view.
It's also the like everything we've seen from Trump over the last decade leads you to believe that whoever he thinks is leading in the race for the Democratic.
nomination, he's going to look to see if there were any kind of possibilities for investigation,
right? Like, that's all it takes, too, is, so yeah, so Gavin Newsom's former aide, right, who
ended up, you know, being convicted or taken a deal or something based on activities that
preceded her time working for Gavin Newsom at all. But doesn't matter, you know, like Jen Newsom has
some kind of a nonprofit and is there questions about the nonprofit and the payments? Like, any
any thread that Trump and his administration can poll on any of these potential contenders,
they will. And probably knowing that they can't actually investigate all of them at once when
they're all on the primary stage together, they're going to go after the people who are leading
in the polls. And really, I think the only way you're going to avoid investigation from Donald
Trump is if you were last place in the polls and suddenly surprise everyone and then win a race and
then, you know, then they'll get an investigation going pretty fast. But that's how it's going to go.
We need like a junior soprano to be the kind of, to be the face of the operation while Tony's running things behind the scenes.
I saw Ben Jacobs on Twitter was like, this is a good case for Hunter Biden being the nominee since he was already already pardoned.
Can't be investigated again. Don't get many ideas. Sorry flooding himself for this. But that, I mean, it is, it's, it's pretty. It's to me it was like a preview of even now where we're like, okay, Democrats could do all in the midterms. Everything's fine. Like we're heading to 2028 and the idea that this is just going to be.
some kind of a fair fight. And even if there's a lot between Donald Trump refusing to leave the
White House or running for a third term and then everything going swimmingly and nothing happened.
There's just a ton of room between them. I think we just can say, whoever is the Democratic nominee,
regardless of what investigation will launch for the primary, there will be an intensive effort
to try to paint them as a corrupt criminal between sort of, say, sort of June and the election.
they will use all the power at their disposal.
They will try to muddy the waters.
And by the way, part of this is,
this is why selective prosecution is so dangerous.
We live in a free society,
and we know that if you start digging into anyone's finances, taxes, history,
you can try to drum something up.
You can find a discrepancy.
You can find something that you can use
to bring to a grand jury.
Like, that is what it is so dangerous to have a DOJ like this.
And you know that the client right-week media,
if they find anything,
they will say, well, look,
this is this was a legitimate investigation. They found this IRS discrepancy. This needed to be punished
and without sort of any understanding of how dangerous is to have people being chosen as targets
to look for crimes. Did Gavin front run this? Yeah. Yeah. So the Times story did, I wonder
if they had a call from the Times saying we're running this and they got ahead of it or how this
went. Because I do, the Times story does have some of the some Newsom officials on background in there.
And it also has some officials, I guess.
from the Justice Department as well, though the Justice Department won't comment officially,
obviously. They also said that it was like started by federal officials in California, not in
Washington, the investigation. But I do think that it was, we haven't talked about like the politics
of this, but I thought it was smart that Newsom got out ahead of it and was able to frame it as
Trump coming. Yeah, I mean, like it just shows how much communications have changed over the last
decade or two, because normally when there's some sort of criminal prosecution or
investigation, you don't say anything. You let your lawyers speak or you don't comment and you don't
want to put anything else in the public domain. They view this as a PR battle, which tells you,
they probably feel confident about the legal side of things and they just want to get ahead of the
political fight. I also think this is going to be a collective action problem because everyone's
interests are obviously not aligned here, but the other Democratic, and no one's announced yet,
so it doesn't work right now. But as we get into this, like all the other Democratic candidates,
it's someone gets targeted like this, even if it's your potential rival, you got to go out and say that it's absolutely bullshit and stick up for them.
I think all get stuck up for each other.
Yeah, I think that's also free, by the way.
Like, I don't think there's a lot of equity for Pete Buttigieg saying.
Like, I think Trump has a point about Newsome.
Like, I don't think there's a lot of votes in that.
There's a difference between waiting to get asked about it and saying that and then coming out strongly.
Yeah, that's true.
And saying it's going to be a fucking problem.
What about going down to John Bolton's prison and singing him some sort of song through the bars?
We shall overcome.
Yeah.
Is he, where is he right now?
Because I saw he's a comment.
He cut a deal, right?
He's cutting a deal, but he could, I don't think it's gone through the process yet,
but I think he could get up to five years, even with this deal.
He was like,
I thought it was just money.
I thought he was just paying money.
The reporting I read was fine potentially up to five years.
And hopefully for his sake that there'll be some leniency.
But like, the dude was like sending emails to himself and to his wife and daughter with classified
information.
It was like the dumbest thing you could possibly do.
Look, I've said this before.
I'll say it again.
I hate what Donald Trump has done to the DOJ.
I will not be angry.
if James Comey goes to prison.
Wow.
I will be angry.
I'll be, listen, I'll obviously be upset about the injustice,
but I'm just saying he'd use a couple nights behind those bars
to think about what he's done.
I'm just, he's so tall, and he's made so many mistakes.
I think it's morally reprehensible.
I don't think it's a good thing.
I'm just saying he, I think he'll think a lot about what he does.
His posts, everything he does,
I think that has been an imprisonment all of its own.
Sure.
I don't think he needs to show actual inside of a job.
JL cell.
Just saying.
No worries,
a bulwark exclusive.
Stare up at that ceiling.
Run that tin cup across the bars, James Comey.
MSNBC reports that the Trump administration has been pressuring DOJ officials to come up with a case against Gavin Newsom.
Of course.
Yeah, I mean.
So there you go.
All right.
When we come back, Tommy talks to Senator Mark Warner.
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My guest today is vice chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee and the senior U.S. Senator from
Virginia. Senator Warner, thanks for doing the show. Thanks, Tommy.
So we are speaking on Monday afternoon, Pacific Time.
We're still waiting with baited breath to see if we'll ever see the actual text of whatever.
Donald Trump negotiated with Iran about the straight-of-Hormuz.
What do you know about this digitally signed memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran?
What do you make on sort of the leaks and reporting on it so far?
I know Zippo.
I know nothing more than you.
And I think, frankly, even my Republican Senate friends have not seen any of this.
You know, we do wonder whether this was time for his birthday or to try to affect the markets today.
We do know, I think this is less than what it appears.
And, you know, we knew at some point Trump was going to declare victory.
And the sooner we get out of this war of choice, the better.
But if, as, you know, I hate to kind of like suck up, but if you look at your tweets today, you know, you are absolutely right on all four of the goals that Trump laid out.
We're not close to any of them.
Yeah, it sounds like we maybe have an agreement to have more talks where they will try to get to an agreement that's about the nuclear program, the ballistic missiles, support for proxies, et cetera.
But it's all forward-looking as far as I can tell, right?
Yeah.
You know, the things we do know are this.
The regime is more hardcore now than it was before.
The new leader, since we killed his dad, his wife, his kid, more hardcore.
We do know that the Iranians have been masters for years at trying to hide the ball on their enriched uranium.
And the idea that we're somehow going to get this without troops on the ground or by some international agreement, God willing, but I'm not going to hold my breath.
The fact that the DoD and Hegsef misrepresented how much we had taken out of the Iranian ballistic missiles, obviously not the case since they're still shooting them off.
and that doesn't even count their drones.
And then we've taken what was an international open gateway of passage, straight of Hormuz,
and Iran will have something to say on a going forward basis.
None of that makes us, none of that makes our Gulf allies.
None of it even, frankly, makes Israel stronger than when we started 107 days ago.
Yeah, I mean, Senator, I noticed in the run-ups of the war, the Iran hawks trotted out of the new talking point,
which is that Iran could create a ballistic missile arsenal that was,
so great that it might be able to prevent the U.S. and Israel from taking out their nuclear
infrastructure in the future. So I do want to ask you about the state of that ballistic missile
inventory and their capacity to manufacture new ballistic missiles. What do we know that you can
discuss publicly? Well, we know that we have degraded some. It's both the missiles and their
launchers. We took out some of them. The earlier estimates, and I can say this because it's in the
public that we had eliminated 70, 80, 90 percent are just factually not true. And they have had
many of the launchers as well are still existing. They can obviously reconstitute some of these missiles.
We have not been able to blow up how all that started. And these missiles are significant,
but again, we took down many of them. But as we go into this war of choice, what we
have done, and this is the part where the Iranians, I think, will come back, unfortunately,
and bite us is they have been dribbling out their missiles. We have been using both with the
missiles and the drones, very expensive interceptors that cost, you know, two and a half million
dollars apiece. And they have bled down our supplies, our supplies, Gulf allies, even Israel
supplies, so that if they have anything close to what we presume, they can continue to bleed that
down and at some point we won't have the capacity to take them out. One of the reasons why it was so
insane that we didn't take the Ukrainians offer in December where they were going to say, we will
give you our anti-dron technology, which they have the best in the world, which could have at least
taken down the Iranian drones. Right, right. And you mentioned the new sort of set of leaders.
I mean, the previous Supreme Leader of Iran was quite well known. He'd been around for a while,
as were a lot of the senior members of the IRGC and the Iranian military, then Israel and the U.S.
killed a lot of them.
Now Iran is led by this new crop of leaders.
The Supreme Leader's son is apparently really wounded in hiding, but presumably more hardline
than maybe his father since we killed his dad.
We killed his wife.
We killed his kids, I think, reportedly.
Now there's a new crop of younger IRGC generals who seem to be more firmly entrenched.
Trump keeps saying that the new crowd is more pragmat.
What do you know about the new crowd?
There is absolutely zero evidence
that anybody in the new crowd is more pragmatic,
that is more westward leaning.
They may live in fear,
and I think we have put fear of God in them,
but the idea that they're more willing to make a deal,
there has been no evidence to date
that I've seen in any intelligence on that.
And matter of fact, the structure in Orion
was the always,
They have a government and they have a former military that's a little bit separate from the IRGC.
The one thing that is the case is that the government, which was sometimes more moderate and the more
traditional military, they have lost power in this last 108 days.
So IRGC, more radical, more in power.
Excellent. A big win for us.
What we think is maybe the outlines of a future deal would require Israel to honor a ceasefire in Lebanon against
Hezbollah as well. Do you have any confidence that Netanyahu or Hezbollah will honor that
ceasefire? Because it seems like Netanyahu has a pretty decent political incentive to blow up the deal
given the initial response to it in Israel. I have no confidence that B.B. who's got his own
political problems. And I think in many ways has really hurt Israel's reputation in the region
and around the world. And in the, again, tragedy on top of tragedy,
I think there was a moment in the fact that Israel is negotiating with the Lebanese government.
If we could have actually put some oomph behind that and help the Lebanese government,
who does have a military actually disarm Hezbollah,
the people of Lebanon might have come out of this better.
They are not now.
And instead, you've got the Netanyahu government bombing,
not only the Shia, but unfortunately Drews, Christian and Sunni villages in the South.
And my fear is pushing some of the Lebanese, you know, back into the hands of Hezbollah.
Yeah. And it sounds like Israel has not agreed to pull its troops out of Lebanon. My understandings
are occupying, you know, up to sort of six miles over the border. I'm just wondering how
an ongoing occupation is not likely to lead to renewed, if not increased conflict.
Was that called a softball question?
Yes.
You know, it's like, yeah, and we've seen, you know, Bibi's got his own.
political problems. He's under indictment. He has to maintain this far right agenda. And my fear is
not only Lebanon, but what also is taking place, and one of the reasons why I voted against
even giving any more bulldozers to Israel, the other tragedy that's taking place is what's happening
on the West Bank as the Israeli settlers, frankly do awful things to some of the Palestinian villages.
Yeah. Just big picture. I mean, I'm struggling with how to talk about this as a Democrat because I think the best option available to Donald Trump was ending the war as soon as humanly possible for a variety of reasons, but especially because I was worried that this was going to lead to a famine in places like Sudan and mass starvation and death because fertilizer and fuel just wasn't getting through the straight.
At the same time, I don't think we should give Donald Trump a pass for launching this catastrophic unnecessary war because all the outcomes he might get through.
this negotiation process you could have gotten just by talking to them in the first place and not
bombing them. So how are you thinking about how to talk about this? Tommy, it is such a, that is a very
fair question. I don't want to, Trump gets no credit for this war of choice in where we are,
and that doesn't even count the $100 billion of assets we've lost in the region. It doesn't cost
the $60 billion of increased gas prices. It doesn't cost the, the effect. It doesn't cost the, the,
of in Sudan and elsewhere.
But I'm not going to, you know, but the question is, I'm not going to just blast him for ending
it because ending it was, you know, this disagreement will not stand the test of any scrutiny.
You know, I'm not going to give him credit, but I'm glad he ended it rather than continued
where what could have led to even a worse circumstance.
So I actually think on this one, the, there is no way even.
a Trumpian figure can turn this to anything other than what it is, is that we, America and
our friends are in worst place than we were at the end of February.
Yeah, agreed with you there.
Switching gears a little bit.
So Trump tried to install a man named Bill Pulte as the Director of National Intelligence.
I'd love to hear your thoughts on why you think he made that selection, whether Pulte even would
have met the statutory requirements for the job.
I should say he yanked Pulte's nomination after Democrats in the Senate said, hell no, no way.
And did that selection make you even more worried about how Trump might have used the intelligence community?
Absolutely.
Bill Pulte is a third generation rich kid who literally got thrown out of his own family's company.
Right.
And then, you know, taking what would be a relatively benign oversight of the mortgage, Fannie and Freddie, was able to take private information about Lisa Cook at the Federal University.
reserve, Adam Schiff on my colleagues, and weaponize that. I do think figures in the White
House tried to prevent Trump from doing this, but as always the case, Pulte, or whoever speaks
to the president last, he got him put in. And I am, you know, and this came at a moment in time
when we have to reauthorize something called Section 702, which is a critical intelligence
tool that the Biden's, Obama's, everybody supported.
And we've used our leverage to say, you know, we're not going to reauthorize 702 if Pulte is there.
Now, my concern, frankly, is 702 has got enough bills and whistles and audits that if he misuses that, it will be, I think we'll find it.
I'm more concerned about the fact that this guy who doesn't even have a national security clearance suddenly gets the keys to 18 agencies,
maliciously or not gets exposed to things that could be a huge security risk.
And our challenge right now, and this goes down the rabbit hole, you know, Trump has finally appointed somebody else, someone who, you know, I've worked with at times. I still need to ask him, Jay Clayton, who was the former SEC head and the current U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of Manhattan, you know, I want to make sure he's not going to interfere in our elections and, you know, basic constitutional rights. But if we delay getting him in, Pulte could still serve and there's nothing we
can do as an interim for a few days. And, you know, I think the Democrats in the Senate will have to
decide, do we waive to get this through? He will get confirmed. I hope the sooner or the later
so that we don't have Pulte in this office, hopefully ever. Oh, so that's why you're trying to fast-track
Jay Clayton's nomination to try to shrink the amount of time that Pulte could be in that job?
Yes, sir. And again, and it's like, and the irony, and here's the thing, you know, I had huge
problems with Tulsi Gabbard, the current. She was going to stay until the end of the month.
Pulte tried to fire her. Right. And they advanced her leaving date till this coming Friday.
If she would just, I never say I want to say Cabbard stay. But if she would stay until the
beginning of July, we could get it done in two weeks. Right. Whether we get it done in one weeks,
we'll be frankly up to my Democratic colleagues who, you know, they can vote against Clayton.
They can, you know, vote against 702. But please, let's separate.
right, keeping Pulte out of the job, and the, you know, the renewal of Section 702.
Yeah, I'm with you on prioritizing keeping Pulte away from all of that information.
I do want to ask you about FISA Section 702, though, because for those who aren't familiar,
this is the provision that lets the intelligence community get information from American
telecom companies to turn over the electronic communications of foreign persons located outside
of the United States without a warrant. And civil liberties advocates have long been concerned about
702 because of the potential for abuse and also because communications to and from American citizens
and those foreign persons are often captured in the process without a warrant and could be reviewed
by people investigating them, the information. So in the past, I have mostly felt like on balance
that Section 02 was defensible for a variety of reasons. It is the thing that, you know,
national security professionals will tell you is the most important tool in their toolkit.
But I'll tell you, after the Pulte selection, I no longer have confidence that Trump won't use
all of these tools to abuse his authority. So why am I wrong? Like, why am I wrong that Democrats
should fight this? Well, first of all, Section 702, which has had prior abuses, we've gone through
three rounds of reforms. The FBI used to be very callous about how it used it. They went
from only 60% compliance to 98% compliance on making sure that appropriate checks and balances
are dealt with, number one.
Number two, my concern with Pulte is so great, not about 702, because there are enough
reporting that he will at least be discovered.
Now, that may not assuage you, but there will be an audit trail, whereas he could try
to get other information that doesn't have near the same office.
audit trail. And then I do think there is a, one of the things that it took me a long time to
wrap my head around this. So you've got two Russian spies. What in Moscow, one in Paris? They're
talking about these. They keep mentioning this guy, Tommy. And we don't know from listening
whether Tommy is collaborating with the Russians or someone the Russians are going after to see
if they can hack into Tommy and actually be a victim. Right. And the idea,
this is the part that I don't think people fully understand. If we want to look at who else Tommy has called,
because we've got Tommy's name, we've got his number, we can only look at, you know, the numbers,
but not the content. If you want to look at the, you know, and say on an email, like Tommy sent
something to Mark, if you want to look at the content, you have to get a warrant. But the idea that
you could get a warrant because there is the circumstance that this could be an active live
terrorist event and you don't know whether Tommy's about to go do a bomb, the idea that you
could get a warrant when you only know the name when 20% of the time, 15 to 20% of the
times Tommy is the victim, not the bad guy. It is, it is, you know, at the end of the day,
I've come down that this is such an important security tool. President Obama supported,
President Biden, Trump, it is 70% of what we was in the presidential daily brief.
But I understand people have feel the other white.
And we have added additional requirements that if it's a politician, if it's a religious figure,
if it's a media person, you have more hoops, if it's somebody where information might be
about their constitutional rights because you're out protesting ICE, you can't use it there.
it will never be for friends like Ron Wyden who is a hardcore civil libertarian
we're never going to I will never satisfy him I do think there will be at the end of the day
you know somewhere around 15 20 Democrats that will still say absent the problem because
here's my problem this goes away God forbid something happens and Donald Trump then says
we wouldn't have had this incident if we had this tool and the irony just
Just one last point on this is I don't think Donald Trump actually even supports the provision that much because it took until like six weeks, seven weeks before the bill expired that he even came out and formally said he supports it.
Right.
Well, wouldn't the actual like kind of existing authorities not expire for almost another year if there wasn't a reauthorization?
That is again, where the rubber hits the road.
There is the ability that this authority is certified once a year and it would be maintained until March.
Right.
When this came up under Biden, what we heard from the telcos, and this is mostly telcos and the Googles and the hyperscalers, they said to Biden's security team, if this expires, we are no longer going to participate because we don't have indemnification.
This expired on Friday night.
So we're now into an area where, you know, who is right?
Will they continue to participate or not?
One of the telcos today told me, thank goodness, that they will participate.
The others, we don't have an answer.
And what is insane to me is, I'm the freaking vice chair, which former chair of the intelligence,
I should know whether they are participating or not.
Right, right.
And in a normal world, the Justice Department, if we still had real lawyers, would have tried to get an injunction to try to force them to continue.
you to participate until it was litigated out so we don't end up with this gap. My understanding,
they've not even filed suit yet. So we will, there will be this gap, hopefully not too long,
but we will find out whether the concern I had that they won't participate without indemnification
is true or not. Okay. Just as long as I'm treating you like my deep state therapist, I mean,
is it wrong to focus on the DNI when Cash Patel is just as unqualified and has more authorities
to conduct, do things that are abusive against Americans via the FBI?
Well, I have gone through a long litany of Cash Patel abuses and mistakes,
and he should not be there.
The DNI does get keys to all 18 agencies.
Frankly, the DNI, to go nerdy again, that whole role needs to be slimmed down,
probably re-examined.
It came out after 9-11, well-intentioned, but grew too much.
But no, Cash Patel scares the hell out of me.
And what also scares the hell out of me is we have seen intelligence professionals in other
agencies. The NSA, which is our spying organization in terms of listening in, you know, they fired
the guy who, Tim Hock, who was there who was a career professional because Laura Lumer went after him
or the head of the Defense Intelligence Agency told the truth about the first bombing of Iran a year ago
where he said, yeah, we whacked him pretty good, but we didn't alliterate their nuclear program.
obviously the truth or we wouldn't be back in on this.
So you've got plenty of,
I got plenty of reasons to keep you up at night
in terms of concerns.
Have you ever seen Cash Patel chug a beer?
The guy doesn't spill a drop.
Let me tell you, man.
Just on video, although I will,
I won't even, I'm hesitant to say this,
but there's some colorful videos online
about Mr. Palti as well.
Oh, I've seen one of those.
The gentleman before him seems to be having a good time.
Senator, thank you so much for doing the show.
maybe when we learn what's actually in this deal, we could talk again.
That'd be nice.
Love to.
Thank you, Tommy.
Appreciate it.
Got speed.
Take care.
That's our show for today.
Thanks to Senator Warner for coming on.
We'll be back in the feet on Friday with a special episode, The Three of Us and Dan will
be recording in Chicago at the opening of the Obama Presidential Center.
Fun.
Nice.
Talk to everybody soon.
Pots of America is a Cricket Media production.
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