Pod Save America - AOC Loses to the Gerontocracy
Episode Date: December 18, 2024House Democrats choose not to elevate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, arguably the party's most compelling messenger, to Ranking Member on the House Oversight Committee—instead selecting 74-year-old Gerry... Connolly, a committee lifer with no national reach. Jon and Dan discuss the magnitude of this missed opportunity, House Republicans laying the groundwork for an FBI investigation of Liz Cheney, whether Democrats should play ball on government funding, and a new effort to clamp down on progressive fundraising spam. Then, longtime immigration advocate Cecilia Muñoz stops by to talk with Jon about how Democrats found themselves out of the mainstream on the issue, and how we can win back voters' trust without compromising our values.
Transcript
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Welcome to Pod Save America, I'm Jon Favreau.
I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
I know what you're thinking.
Dan and I together on a Wednesday, not a Friday.
Is there a polling emergency?
Turns out only for Ann Seltzer.
Yes, yes.
We are here together because Friday's episode
is our annual Pundee show, where all four of us
debate the worst takes of the year, including ours.
Then we're off for the holiday break.
So Dan and I thought we'd do one last normal episode here
in the very abnormal year of 2024.
Are you as excited as I am, Dan?
John, I was just so worried that my takes
were just gonna be stuck in the fridge for weeks
and I had to get them out before they started to smell.
I know, well, you don't put them on social media
as much anymore, so.
I know I should, but.
Because you're smart.
Because you're smart.
I watch what happens to you on social media
and it's an object lesson.
You're a walking, scared, straight
for your own podcast offline.
Canary in the coal mine.
Okay, so we are gonna talk about how house Democrats
voted to a Passover AOC for the top job on the Oversight Committee, and whether it says anything about
the party's broader strategy over the next few years. We also potentially have some good news.
There's reportedly an effort afoot to stop Democratic fundraising spam. How about that?
And then later you'll hear my interview with Cecilia Muñoz, a 20-year veteran of the immigration
fight about why she thinks Democrats lost their way on the issue and how we can build
a majority for real reform.
But first, we have talked a lot in recent weeks about Trump's revenge tour and how
scared his critics should be.
Looks like we're starting to get our answer.
On Wednesday, House Republicans released a 128 page report that unsurprisingly tries to pin the
blame for January 6th on Democrats instead of Donald Trump. People will be
surprised to learn that. But Republicans quote top finding was this quote former
representative Liz Cheney colluded with star witness Cassidy Hutchinson without
Hutchinson's attorney's knowledge.
Cheney should be investigated for potential criminal witness tampering by the FBI and
might have broken, quote, numerous federal laws.
Cheney called the allegations, quote, defamatory and said that no reputable lawyer, legislator,
or judge would take this seriously.
Someone who is taking it seriously,
Donald Trump, who posted at 3 a.m.
a statement that started,
Liz Cheney could be in a lot of trouble.
So this is obviously bullshit,
and we know that it was Cassidy Hutchinson
who reached out to Liz Cheney, not the other way around.
Cheney talked to her in her
capacity as a member of Congress, not a lawyer. And most importantly, when Republicans criticized
Cheney for this meeting months and months ago, maybe years ago, they merely said that she had a
quote, ethical responsibility to have Hutchinson's lawyer present for the meeting. Didn't say
anything about any laws being broken. But that of course was before Donald Trump and Cash Patel, the person he
wants to run the FBI, campaigned on locking up Liz Cheney and the rest
of the January 6th committee.
Dan, how serious do you take this threat, not only for Cheney, but
for all of Trump's critics?
Incredibly seriously.
This is exactly how it happens.
You get a pretext for an investigation run by a bunch of political cronies who
will do what the authoritarian wants.
We see this happen all over the world and Trump told us it was going to happen.
He appointed the people who would follow through on the things he told us he was
going to do, and now they are doing it.
It's incredibly dangerous.
I also think it's interesting that they singled out Cheney.
She's a former member of Congress and they didn't single out yet.
All the other members of the January 6th committee.
And I think part of that is like that, that what's scaring me most about it is
that it is a concerted strategy to not like if they came out and said, we're,
we're, we're going after every member of the January 6th committee
and all the staffers and we're investigating all of them,
you know, then you would have more of an uproar,
but to like go after one person who's not in Congress
anymore and is now just a private citizen,
shows that they're really, they're gonna try to do this
so that it doesn't garner a lot of attention, I think.
It feels like we're on the cusp of something very dangerous
and most people are unwilling to reckon
with just how dangerous it is.
So Senator Chris Murphy from Connecticut agrees,
he had a compelling, if alarming thread on all of this.
He painted a picture where Cash Patel and the DOJ
charged Cheney, right?
Cause they have the power to do that.
And then are the courts going to save her?
Judge is going to save her?
Well, they can find a jurisdiction with a
MAGA judge to try her.
And then Murphy tied it to Trump's larger
effort to stifle dissent by he's now
officially sued Ann Seltzer in the Des Moines
register.
He is of course, intimidating media outlets.
ABC News we talked about on the last show,
settled for $15 million.
Murphy talks about how Trump has, uh, and his new potential FCC
commissioners threatened media outlets, take away their broadcast licenses.
Uh, it's threatened other lawsuits against media figures, media outlets.
Whether or not any of this succeeds is beside the point,
Murphy points out, because now, you know,
everyone will be scared to say or write anything
that Donald Trump doesn't like,
including put out a poll where he's not ahead
or his approval rating is low.
What did you make of Murphy's threat?
Once again, I think he nails it.
The suing of Ann Selzer in the Des Moines Register is stupid.
Like even the most maga judge I think is gonna struggle
to find the harm that Donald Trump suffered
from a bad poll in a state that he eventually won
by more than he won in 2020 and 2016.
So that's just, that is pure idiocy.
It's almost, it's so dumb.
It's almost a cause for relief
about how he's gonna proceed down this path
because he's clearly easily distracted.
But I think it's important to understand,
and you guys talked about this, I thought very well
as it relates to the ABC News settlement,
is you have two problems with media outlets
that Donald Trump is exploiting here.
One is, like ABC, most of them are run
by much larger corporations that have many interests
before the government.
And particularly in these, whether it's
Comcast owning NBC, or Paramount owning CBS,
or Jeff Bezos owning The Washington Post.
And the news business is such a minor part,
and often a money loser for these larger entities
that they are not going to take on water
on the businesses they care about
to get on Donald Trump's wrong side to the Fed.
If ABC News was on its own, a independent company,
it would have fought that case to the very end.
But because Disney has a million items of business
before the government, they don't want to be in a fight
with Donald Trump for the next year.
For a part of the business that is so small that Bob Iger suggested selling it at a loss
a few years ago.
And then the other media companies don't have the resources to fight these lawsuits.
It is amusing that he's suing Ansells.
He's also suing the New York Register, a struggling newspaper that's part of a struggling newspaper
chain that does not have the resources
to do that in any way, shape or form.
And it used to be, there used to be an old saying that was, you never pick a fight with
someone who buys ink by the barrel, right?
You never pick a fight with the press because they will beat you in the end.
But the press itself can barely afford to buy ink by the barrel right now.
And so they don't, they can be, many of these companies, many of these newspapers or local television stations
or other outlets could be bankrupted by just the idea
of fighting an absurd lawsuit against Trump.
Yeah, there was a New York Times story as well today
that sort of dug into why Disney decided to settle.
And they listed a couple of reasons.
One, as we've been saying, and you just said that,
you know, $15 million for
Disney is like Trump change compared to, you know, what they would have to
potentially pay if, if, if Trump won and, and they just didn't need the headache.
And so it's, it's, in some ways it's a business decision and it almost, almost
makes sense as a business decision.
Right.
But then they were worried about a jury in South Florida and a judge in South
Florida, because that's, you know, MAGA territory now.
So they were worried that they wouldn't get a fair hearing.
And then they were worried reportedly that it would go all the way to the
Supreme court and you know, you've had Clarence Thomas on the Supreme court.
And others say maybe the Supreme
Court precedent on press freedom, like the foundational case Sullivan, that allows the
freedom of the press and has the standard of actual malice for libel and defamation suits,
that maybe it could get overturned. And I think that just shows not only like
how screwed we are with Trump and what he's doing,
but with the fact that the judiciary has, you know,
been tilted so far right over the last several years.
Yeah, and just another point on why this was a business
decision for ABC is the way they structured the settlement
as a tax write-off, because it's a contribution
to Trump's future foundation, which just notable,
ABC News is giving $15 million to fund a monument
to the most anti press president in American history. But they get to write the taxes off.
So that's cool. I mean, it was interesting to me that, that, that Senator Murphy did this thread
because he said, you know, he's a US Senator Democrat. It's not like us talking about it on Pod Save America.
I sort of wonder, there's a lot of people sort of
sounding the alarms, raising awareness for all this.
Like, I don't know what to do about it.
But you know, like, I mean, there's obviously,
just thinking about Cheney again, right?
I think this is obviously another argument
in favor of Biden issuing preemptive pardons,
not just for Cheney, but for other members of the January 6th committee and staff, as
well as potential Trump targets the Department of Justice.
But I think there's like a broader strategic question here.
We have talked a lot since the election about how Democrats in the broader pro-democracy
movement can't just spend our time being defenders
of institutions and that we have to talk about things that directly impact voters' lives.
I can't imagine a fight to defend Liz Cheney or ABC News or the Des Moines Register fits
into that category, but I think we would also agree that a show trial against one of Trump's opponents or
lawsuits that are completely frivolous and baseless against media companies is crossing
a pretty dangerous Rubicon.
So what do we do?
That's a very tough question, John.
I'm not going to lie.
I know.
It's something I'm thinking.
Because I wanted to use the example because I feel like we've all become very comfortable
to be like,
Democrats can't defend the status quo
and we can't defend institutions
and we gotta be for the party reform, blah, blah, blah.
And then something like this happens, it's like,
okay, so do we just say, well, that's pretty scary,
but I'll see you later.
I think the, we all, you cannot see that you can't walk away
from a such an important fight.
You absolutely cannot do that.
And because walking away from that fight, even if you can't win it from such an important fight. You absolutely cannot do that. And because walking away from that fight,
even if you can't win it,
even if you have limited levers to pull
as Democrats do here,
sometimes in politics,
often times in politics,
fighting and losing is better than not fighting at all.
And I would put this in that category.
I think there are three parts
of what Democrats would do here.
The first is we have to do everything we can
with the limited power we have to fight Trump.
Vote against his nominees,
use legislative tactics that we have
to try to expose them to longer debates
or a longer process or more investigation or whatever it is.
And use our bully pulpit as small as it may be.
Second, we have to focus on how we get more power.
And that is to realize that the most important thing
that Democrats can do over the next two years here
is take back the house in 2026.
That is a very doable thing.
And that, so take back the house in 2026,
focus on state legislator and the governor's races in 2025.
But wherever we can get power, we have to get power
because that allows us to create additional bulwarks
against Trump's offenses here, get power, we have to get power because that allows us to create additional bulwarks against
Trump's offenses here, but also sends a message to other Republicans about the dangers of Trump,
if the voters are rejecting it at the ballot box. And the third thing we have to do is we have to
not just be against Trump, we have to be for stuff. That's the one thing that got lost in the last
resistance is that we opposed everything Trump did. We thought our best strategy and it was a successful strategy in the moment was to shine all the spotlight on
Trump, let him show the public why he was unfit and dangerous, and then reap the
rewards. That was sufficient to win the House and the Senate and sneak through a
very very close White House victory in the middle of a pandemic, but it's
clearly not enough to win again. It's not enough to actually
build a governing majority in this country. And so we have to have an agenda. And it is within that
agenda that we must demonstrate that we are not defenders of the status quo. That must be an
agenda that is populist in broadly defined populist economically, but also populist in the sense
that in the classic term of we are reformers of government, right?
We are looking to get to deal with corporate influence,
money in politics, concentrated wealth.
And if we can do all of those things, we have a shot here.
Well, I completely agree.
And on that note, I also think it matters
how we frame these fights when we take them on.
And so what does the average person care about the Des Moines register or ABC
news backing away from Trump?
What do they care about Liz Cheney on trial or someone at the DOJ or
Merrick Garland or whoever?
Well, Donald Trump over the next couple of years is hanging around with a bunch of
billionaires and they are going to try to enrich themselves at every possible chance.
They're going to take every possible chance to
enrich themselves and they're going to try to
screw everyone else, take away your health care
so they can pay for tax cuts for rich people,
all kinds of corruption.
You're going to have to pay more in prices and
they want you not to know about it.
They don't want any critics.
And then when they do this, when there's, when
the, when the press tries to report about it, or
when someone tries to complain, a democratic politician or anyone else, they want to throw
them in jail or they want to sue them. And so they want a country where they can get away with
whatever they want and enrich themselves and screw you and have no one find out about it.
And I do think that like just it's subtle and it's nuanced,
but I think how we frame these fights matters.
And so that it's not necessarily
about our democratic institutions under attack,
but it's about Trump trying to get away with a lot of shit
with a lot of, with Elon Musk
and all of his billionaires around him.
Yep.
Let's talk about Democrats
who were dealing with their own congressional drama.
On Wednesday, House Democrats voted to give
74 year old Jerry Connolly of Virginia,
the top Democratic spot on the Oversight Committee,
instead of 35-year-old Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez,
widely regarded as one of the party's best messengers,
certainly the one with the biggest reach.
The vote was 131 to 84.
Connolly has been a longtime member of Oversight,
which is primarily responsible for investigations,
though he did sadly announce in November
that he has esophageal cancer.
This means the Democrats will be replacing
61 year old Jamie Raskin,
who will now be the top Democrat on judiciary,
with someone even older.
Though, as Connolly ally, Congressman Don Beyer said,
Jerry's a young 74 cancer, not withstanding.
It's quite a quote.
Dan on last Friday's episode, we were both encouraged by reporting that
AOC basically had the votes to get the gig and we're pretty excited about it.
What do you think happened?
Nancy Pelosi.
Oh man.
Reportedly Nancy Pelosi was lobbying for Jerry Connolly, a long time ally of hers,
in part because he is an ally of Pelosi,
but also because I think she believes in the seniority
system, which I'm sure we'll talk about.
And it's one of the most bananas
decisions I've ever seen in my life.
It's just such a misunderstanding of how,
of what matters in politics.
Picking seniority over the ability to deliver a message
is exactly how we've gotten this mess to begin with.
It's how we end up with the gerontocracy
of leading the Democratic party
that cannot communicate clearly
or in any sort of modern way
that it reaches the actual voters who decide elections.
Can I just say Nancy Pelosi obviously has still,
even though she's not speaker anymore,
a lot of sway over Democrats, but she's not speaker anymore or minority leader in this
case.
181 Democrats voted for Connolly.
And you know, if you're sort of a younger, newer Democrat to Congress, is it really like
lobbying from Nancy Pelosi that's going to sway your vote?
Like, do you think there was anything else at play here?
I look the someone, a very experienced Capitol Hill person once described to me the politics
of leadership elections in the house as akin to how decisions are made in high school student
government elections, where it's all about cliques and friendships
and relationships and there's no collective interest
at play here and I think that's part of what happened here.
Obviously when they first came into Congress,
there was a lot of tension between AOC
and members of the quote unquote squad
and other members of Congress.
They're, you know, I think that there is a,
there are people who do value seniority
because at a time in which almost when 90 some percent
of incumbents get reelected all the time,
you can rise to power simply by staying alive.
I mean, if you just stay,
a lot of people will have not
and will have not had a competitive election
since their first primary
and are not gonna have another one
for the foreseeable future.
And so they can one day become the ranking member
or the chair of something
simply by exercising and eating well. I mean, I think this is crazy as do you, but let's give the
arguments for Connolly their due here because there's plenty of Democrats talking about why
the party did what it did. Retiring representative Annie Custer, who heads the centrist New Democrats
group in the house, said some of her vulnerable members had concerns about AOC's record of supporting primary challenges to her colleagues, even though AOC promised to stop
doing that as part of her campaign for the role. There also was a fear apparently about her going
too hard at divisive cultural issues. According to Politico, Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, age 84,
made the case for seniority on behalf of Pelosi.
And basically his argument was being senior shouldn't mean you automatically get the job,
though it should at least be a tiebreaker between qualified candidates. Congressman
Lloyd Doggett, age 77, said, I think that there are challenges in totally abandoning the seniority
system here because if seniority is not
the rule, money becomes the rule.
What do you make of all those arguments?
It's like I said.
Seniority is essentially a participation trophy
for members of Congress.
You just have to be there, and you eventually get something.
I think there is value in experience,
particularly leading substantive committees
in the majority, someone who knows what they are doing.
Do I really care if the chair of the Ag committee
is an amazing communicator or not?
Not really.
No one's ever gonna see that person on camera.
You would have to go searching for that person.
There is one role that where communications matters
the most, or two roles, I guess, where communication matters the most, two roles, I guess,
it were communication matters the most in Congress.
And it is on the judiciary committee and the oversight committee.
And so let's use our brains and try to think strategically about who we
should put in those positions.
I'm sure there are members who are mad, who are friends with Elliott
Engel or other people who have lost primaries who are mad at AOC and other people who support the primaries. I'm sure that's the high school lunchroom
politics at play here. But the idea that somehow she is a problem for vulnerable Democrats is
insane. You think NRCC is going to just forget she's a member of Congress and not run ads against her. It is true that Jerry Connolly is unlikely to show up
in any ads against vulnerable members of Congress.
That's because no one's gonna know who he is.
He will never get attention.
I was gonna say, like, I have nothing negative
to say about Jerry Connolly because I, like 99%
of Americans have no idea who he is.
It is almost impossible for a member of Congress
to get sufficient attention to actually be heard
by voters who decide elections.
There is a list of one member of Congress
in the Democratic caucus who meets that test, and it is AOC.
The best job for someone who can actually get attention
is to be the ranking member on the oversight committee
when these fucking MAGA goons are using this committee to
try to do things like gin up charges against Liz Cheney.
Yeah.
And AOC, she, she is good at what she's like, what she says is the, is good.
Like she has a good message.
She's good.
But what is even more important than that, cause there are a lot of
members who are pretty good messengers. What distinguishes her from other people is she can message is good. But what is even more important than that, because there are a lot of members who are pretty good messengers.
What distinguishes her from other people is she can actually get attention.
She understands how to communicate in a modern way.
The fact that Republicans hate her and are triggered by her is a plus
because it means that there will be conflict around the thing she says,
which means they will get more coverage.
It just, it is, we are just making a decision to not be heard.
And that is exactly how we got into this mess.
Politics is a war for attention.
AOC can get attention.
She has proven that when she has attention,
she can deliver a more compelling message
than most people in the party.
But she's going to be denied that
for a series of very dumb, self-defeating reasons.
I will say two things here too.
I think there is some angst among a lot of house Democrats
that I think is quite misplaced,
where I think they're like, oh, squad,
unpopular with the broader electorate,
DSA, all that kind of stuff.
I would say that AOC, particularly over the last several years, I'm not going
to say she has moderated her message or anything like that, because I do not think that, but
I think she has been very smart, especially in recent years on which battles to pick,
how to talk to voters, open to people who have different opinions.
I think that like, she's just, she's very, very thoughtful.
And she's like, really?
I mean, I was always impressed with her, but she's impressed me even more
the longer she's been in Congress.
So that's number one.
Number two, I think from her perspective, whether she's the top Democrat on
oversight or not, she's going to get hurt, right?
Like there can be a fucking five hours of hearings on C-SPAN that no one will ever see.
And if AOC picks up her phone and does an Instagram live,
she's going to reach more people.
And she's still going to be on oversight, right?
Cause she was on oversight before.
And if they're fucking smart, Jerry Connolly
and others on oversight, you know, during these hearings,
she'll be given plenty of time to speak.
So that'll be okay.
What really bothers me about it, right?
Is that it just, this gets to your point.
It reveals a mindset among Democrats
that they are missing,
that attention is the only thing that matters right now.
Or not the only thing that matters,
but attention is the first thing that matters.
Because if you cannot get attention in this media environment, your message cannot be heard. And if your message
cannot be heard, you cannot persuade people. If you can't persuade people, you can't win.
If you can't win, you can't cover. So like, I think that the Democratic Party has still not figured
out how important it is to get attention and what is required to get attention. And even if you're a more moderate member, what's required to get attention
is not, I've heard some of them think just yelling and screaming about
Republicans and, and, and in showing the most outrage and this or that, like,
look, it's tough.
You've got to be creative.
You've got to talk like a normal fucking human being, uh, and not like a
politician who's been there for 40 years.
And by the way, I don't just want to make it an age thing.
There's old politicians who know how to communicate.
There's young politicians.
And there's plenty of young politicians who are
unbelievably boring and do not just to be very
honest.
So it's not necessarily about age, but everyone
needs to know that like, if you cannot get
attention and attention is not like putting out
your press releases and giving your board and press conference and doing something at the whatever, like
then you're just not going to be heard and we're just not going to win.
So even though Democrats don't control the White House or Congress, we may actually have
more leverage to fight back than people might think.
As we've mentioned before, Speaker Mike Johnson will have an incredibly narrow margin in the
House next year, which will require nearly every House Republican to support him on nearly
every vote, if Trump and Republicans want to get anything done, at least legislatively.
And right now, Johnson is already struggling to get that support.
He is currently trying to pass a bill to keep the government funded for just three months,
given up on a full year. He's just trying to do three months.
But all the usual MAGA troublemakers in his caucus are once again threatening to oppose the bill
because it's not crazy enough for them. Unfortunately, one of those MAGA troublemakers,
unfortunately for Johnson, one of those MAGA
troublemakers is now Doge Master Elon Musk,
who weighed in with a tweet saying,
this bill should not pass.
And another with a photo of a huge stack
of printed out papers that are supposedly the bill
with the caption, ever seen a bigger piece of pork.
It's also funny by the way, that, uh, Fox and
friends broke this news about Elon Musk to Mike
Johnson, uh, live on air and Johnson had to say,
well, I know where Elon stands on this and he
knows where I stand and fake called me last night.
And he knows what, what a tough spot I'm in.
And we just need to wait till Donald Trump is in
charge next year and
then everyone will get in line. But the question is what Democrats will do, not just in this fight,
but in next year's funding fight, the fight on taxes, immigration, energy, all the fights that
are coming up in Congress next year. Do Democrats use their leverage to extract concessions from
Johnson, in this case in exchange for helping him keep the government open?
Or do Democrats just sit back and let Republicans fail?
Because, you know, like I said, even if he gets the votes for this three month funding bill, which he may in the end, he's going to have to do this many, many more times when Trump is president.
What do you think Democrats should do here?
more times when Trump is president. What do you think Democrats should do here?
My understanding and my understanding
equates to my having read Punchball this morning,
is that Democrats actually did a pretty good job
of getting a bunch of concessions from Johnson
in this bill.
Like Johnson understood that he was going to need
a bunch of Democrats to vote for this, to get it passed,
and he's given them a bunch of things.
If we wanted to play good,
but probably like kind of hackish politics right now,
we would make a giant issue of the fact
that there is a pay increase for members of Congress
in this bill, the first one in 15 years.
Yeah.
And that is deeply unpopular.
And I am willing to bet that this was a,
I'm just guessing here, so don't hold me to this,
but I'm guessing that this was sort of a bargain struck
between all the leaders.
Because remember this is the thing,
every member wants, no one wants to say it.
And when members run for leadership,
they often say they will support pay raise,
and substantively, we should actually pay members
of Congress more.
But if you wanted to find an issue
that would galvanize people against the Republican Party,
the pay increase would be one of them,
even if it is not the most
substance-responsible thing we would do.
And we should say why there's an argument
for paying them more.
And it comes from like some Democrats, liberals,
progressives, and it's because basically
we have a system now where because members of Congress
are paid the salaries they are,
you have to be like independently wealthy,
which especially many members of the Senate are,
in order to run for Congress,
because a lot of these guys,
it doesn't matter that they have a low salary for Congress
because they're rich otherwise.
But if we want people to go to Congress
who are working class,
who represent the incomes of most people in this country,
then it needs to be a little more attractive as a salary.
And if people, it just, I would just add one more thing.
That is that people will look at that salary and be like,
that's a lot more than the median American makes.
It is, yeah.
That is absolutely true.
But you also have to have two homes in this situation.
You have to maintain a residence in your district
and you have to have a place to sleep in Washington state,
which is why some people actually sleep in their office,
but that's probably not particularly viable.
They particularly for people with families. Yeah, but anyway, so that's some people actually sleep in their office, but that's probably not particularly viable, particularly for people with families.
Yeah, but anyway, so that's one thing that's in there.
But I was gonna say going forward,
so let's get through the, if this bill,
as I understand it, pretty good for Democrats,
then we should do what we can, get across the finish line,
take the wins we got in here, and then next year,
we should be, Hakeem Javid should hold all his votes until
he gets what he wants for the, at least for the first few months, it's going
to be a one seat majority, most likely.
Presuming that Trump's nominees, uh, get confirmed and head to that and leave the
house.
So until those special elections happens, he wants a one seat majority.
And so we use all that leverage possible to get as much as we possibly can.
Or, you know, I look, I am usually- Are you calling for a shutdown?
Are you about to call for a shutdown?
Are you gonna shut down the government?
I'm not gonna shut down the government.
But just for discussion purposes, right?
Okay.
We've talked about shutdowns and what Democrats can do
and using their leverage in the context of
Trump's president, Democrats control the Senate, Trump's president, Democrats control the House, We've talked about shutdowns and what Democrats can do in using their leverage in the context of
Trump's president, Democrats control the Senate, Trump's president, Democrats control the House, Biden's president, Republicans in the Congress.
We are now going to have a situation where Republicans control everything.
They control everything. Every level of power they are in charge of. The House, the Senate, the White House.
Donald Trump has more power than any president has ever had. Got a Supreme Court that he has shaped.
And I wonder if next year when some of these bills come up,
I'm thinking of especially like the tax bill,
which I'm sure most Democrats will vote against anyway,
but again, you can imagine a scenario where, you know,
the tax bill is gonna be a must pass bill, right?
Because the Trump tax cuts are set to expire next year.
And so Trump wants to, of course, double down on his tax cuts, not just renew the tax cuts, but also like make the corporate tax rate even lower, give a bigger tax cut to corporations.
You could imagine a scenario where, because Mike Johnson may need
democratic votes, that we extract some concessions and get some good middle class tax cuts, right?
Beef up the middle class tax cuts.
Or you can imagine Democrats saying, look, you guys run Washington.
You have all the votes.
You have powerful Donald Trump here.
And we're not going to sit here and help you gut people's healthcare, take away their health insurance so you can give tax cuts to
rich people. Like you find the votes for that because we're not, we're not going
to stand for that.
This is important distinction you're making. I was answering that question in
the context of government funding.
Well, I mean, I think, I think it depends on what's in the funding bill too.
But if that funding bill, which I imagine it will be under full Republican control
is gutting a bunch of priorities for Democrats and it's going to hurt a lot of people.
They throw like Medicaid funding in there and they got Medicaid funding or they got
the subsidies for the ACA that Democrats got to do.
Instead of getting like compromising so you get a little bit more of the subsidies and
maybe you save a little bit more of the Medicaid cuts.
I also think you could be like, look, they wanna fund the government.
They wanna pass something
that's gonna keep the government open,
but screw people who are gonna lose their fucking healthcare.
Go for it.
You find the votes.
So let's take these things.
This is relatively and surprisingly interesting
conversation about congressional strategy.
Just trying my best.
I'm trying my best.
So let's do the government funding first.
Now the way this is gonna play out,
there's obviously gonna be some house versions of the bill.
The Democrats are gonna be terrible
because they're gonna have to keep going further
to the right to get every person from Barry Lauder Milk
who I discovered existed yesterday to, you know.
He's the one who put out the report to target Cheney.
Yes, it's an amazing name.
But what eventually will come back is a bill
that got at least seven Senate Democratic votes.
Oh yeah.
And so they're like, in that case,
and that is probably a Thune Schumer negotiation
to get something that gets a sufficient,
a large number of senators
that then comes back to the house.
And then that is something that is probably,
unless something has gone horribly wrong in the Senate,
is something that we would probably be okay with,
or as okay as we could possibly be
in comparison to a shutdown
when the Republicans control all the levers of power.
Now on the tax bill, this is incredibly important.
No Democrat should vote for the tax bill.
Certainly coming out of the House.
Absolutely, we should say none.
Not a single one.
Now, there may be one person who breaks,
but that should be, we have to treat this like
Harry Reid treated social security privatization in 2005,
which I know is an incredibly-
You write it, you get the votes, you pass it,
it's on you.
We're not gonna be there, we're not there,
we're not negotiating everything, you go do it.
And let's see if they can actually get it done.
But we are, do not give them anything for this.
And this is incredibly important because we want to shine a light on the fact that Donald Trump ran to cut costs and one of his first acts is going to be
cut taxes for the richest people in America.
No, I, yeah, I just look, I've been, I've been thinking about this because
you can see even with the government funded, that's correct on the tax bill for sure. Even on the government funding bill,
you can see a situation where Democrats are like, well, we want to, uh, we want to work with
Republicans where we agree and, and, you know, extract some concessions and then stand up where
we don't agree. And then Republicans end up keeping the government open, but they do a bunch of bad
shit in the funding bill and Democrats go, well, we got this concession and no one knows because no one pays attention
to Congress.
And all the people maybe understand about Congress right now or Washington in general,
forget about Congress, is, oh, Donald Trump controls all of Washington.
Donald Trump's in power and anything that goes wrong, it's Donald Trump's fault.
But in order for that to happen, Democrats have to be like, yeah, no, they're doing it
all themselves.
Sorry to harp on to keep talking about this because I am shockingly interested in it, But in order for that to happen, Democrats have to be like, yeah, no, they're doing it all themselves.
Just sorry to harp on to keep talking about this
because I am shockingly interested in it,
but we cannot consider keeping the government open
and a give to us.
Right.
That is their job.
Which they have done in the Biden era.
With the debt ceiling, the keeping the government open,
that is not a give to us because we care about
people's lives, that is a give to us because we care about people's lives.
That is a gift to them because they run Washington.
Yes, totally agree.
All right, finally, we like to cover good news
when we see it, which isn't all that often right now.
Something that caught our eye this morning,
a piece from our friend Sam Stein at the Bulwark
about more than 100 Democrats pushing for reform at ActBlue.
ActBlue is the main online engine for small dollar donations
to progressive candidates
and causes and Democrats and all kinds of the whole broader democratic universe.
It is also, these Democrats argue, a key culprit in all of the fundraising spam and grifty
no-name appeals that drive us all crazy in our text messages, our emails, everything.
Some of the changes this group of democratic operatives and staffers all want to
see. No more solicitations from shady groups pretending to be official party entities when
they're not. No more outlandish promises of a 500% match if you give now and it's so urgent,
you must give now by the deadline. They also want to see changes to the ways ActBlue sells or shares
donor information. What do you think? I think this is the least we can do on this.
I mean, in fairness to full disclosure here,
I talked to the organizers of this effort several times
over the last couple of months.
I think this is incredibly important.
Good job.
There are, all I did was read the things
that the very good work they did.
And I just, primarily as someone who has complained loudly about abuses of the fundraising system
by democratic organizations, and particularly
Scampacks, which there are a lot on our side.
This is very important.
The problem always is there's a collective action problem
where the DNC, like even where if the DNC
or the presidential nominee or the individual senators
were responsible in how they use their lists, everyone else isn't, right?
And the most donors don't, they're not like counting,
like Hakeem Jeffries has only emailed me three times,
but something called Turnout Pack has texted me
7,000 fucking times, no matter how many times I hit stop,
it never works.
It's just the Democrats, it's all the Democrats.
And ActBlue is the one place where you can actually
have levers to pull to affect
all of this. And so this is all very good stuff. We should do it. It is, it's just, it's so sketchy
when you get like Barack Obama has spoken and it's like a quote from Barack Obama and like it makes
you think that Obama or Michelle Obama or Joe Biden or Kamala Harris has endorsed this pack,
whatever it is you've never heard of
from people you've never heard of
and you've never seen them expend money
in any way, shape or form.
And so this is a very challenging problem.
This is a set of reforms that can make things better.
It doesn't mean that we're gonna stop getting annoying texts,
but we may get fewer of them
and the ones we get may be better aligned
with actual organizations
that are doing the work we want done.
Yes, I would go beyond this too.
I mean, yes, let's get rid of all the scam packs
and have not as many of those texts.
But we gotta really think about the people
who are writing these fundraising emails,
these texts, like that strategy from the campaigns themselves.
And by the way, from the campaigns themselves.
And by the way, sometimes the campaigns outsource it
to like some digital fundraising, you know, firm
or whatever else, like just the language that's used.
I mean, I fucking start from scratch here.
It's like some of the appeals seem ridiculous.
Like I, we believe, and we've done this through,
you know, vote, save America here,
but like we believe that there is a way to help,
you know, direct people's donations
and figure out where to give that's smart
and where it's needed,
even in a way that like makes sense to people
that doesn't sound like a bot blowing up your phone
and is actually like a real fundraising appeal
and maybe even use some humor
and maybe you just sound a little more authentic.
Like I just think that the entire business
of democratic digital fundraising,
like it could use a real overhaul
and that goes just beyond the scam packs.
I don't wanna depress you,
but they do these things because they test them rigorously
and they work, right?
They are AB testing.
Yeah, well, you know, I know.
I know they test the open rates.
And so when they say like,
Maddow segment freaked me out.
And then everyone like opens the fucking thing.
And I get that, but like, I don't know.
I think that the testing is different from the like,
okay, it's gonna get some money,
but how many people is it gonna turn off?
No, it's all short term, right?
It's all short term.
It is about- That's exactly right.
No one is thinking,
because all these campaigns only care about their list
through election day, so they will burn it to the ground.
And all they care about is their list.
They don't think about the fact that the people
on their list are on 700 other lists.
And so when you're burning your list to the ground,
you're affecting all of your other Senate colleagues
or the DSCC or whoever else.
And these are good questions that we should ask the DNC.
Not that the DNC is in charge of all of this,
but they do have some influence here.
We can talk to them about how they're thinking about this
as part of the DNC chair race coming up.
It's a good idea.
Okay, when we come back from the break,
you're gonna hear my conversation with Cecilia Muñoz
about what it's been like to watch from the inside
as the immigration conversation
drifted farther and farther to the left.
Quick plug before we do that.
I know a lot of us have holiday trips coming up,
maybe long flights.
If you're traveling or you just need to escape
from your family for a bit, I don't know why that would be.
A reminder that you can binge
Crooked's award-winning limited series.
Podcasts like Dissident at the Doorstep
about the shocking transformation
of a Chinese civil rights activist into a MAGA figurehead,
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and our most recent, Empire City, the untold origin story of the NYPD, about the secret
history of America's largest police force, which was named one of the top podcasts of
2024 by Time Magazine, Vulture, and the New York Times.
You can find all these limited series at Cricut.com slash limiteds or wherever you get your podcasts.
When we come back, Cecilia Muñoz.
Joining us today, she spent two decades focusing on civil rights and immigration at the nation's
largest Hispanic advocacy organization before overseeing all domestic policy in Barack Obama's
White House, the first Latina to do so, Cecilia Muñoz.
Welcome back to Pod Save America.
Thank you so much.
It is good to see you.
Good to see you too.
You wrote a piece in the Atlantic called How Democrats Lost Their Way on Immigration with
Frank Sherry, an advocate like you, who ran pro-immigrant organizations for more than three decades and also advised the Harris campaign.
I think the piece is very much worth a read, and I want to talk to you a little bit about the piece itself.
But first, for people who don't know your background, can you talk a little bit about what led you to immigration advocacy and ultimately the White House?
Yeah. So I'm the daughter of immigrants and the wife of an immigrant. And I've been working on
immigration really since I was a graduate student, first as providing services to immigrants.
I ran a legalization program back in the 80s, which is the last time we legalized undocumented
people in significant numbers.
And so I've kind of been doing policy and advocacy
ever since.
It's kind of fundamental to who I am.
In your piece, you and Frank write, quote,
we believe that immigration has become
a losing issue for Democrats over the past decade
because elected leaders have followed progressive advocates
to the left beyond the political space available to them.
Voters feeling unheard and frustrated
may have squirmed at Trump's racism and radicalism,
but they also saw him as someone
who took the problem seriously and was trying to address it.
Now I've seen, I shared the piece,
you can imagine a lot of response.
I'm sure you're getting a lot of response to it.
I've seen a lot of activists and a few immigration reporters argue in response,
wait a minute, Biden relied on some Trump era policies to keep out the huge influx of
migrants and asylum seekers during his first term. And then Kamala Harris ran on a border
proposal so tough that it was written by a conservative Republican. So how does that qualify as elected Democrats following progressive advocates to the left?
So I think it's pretty well understood that the Biden administration was slow. I think voters saw
the Biden administration as being slow to respond to the situation at the border.
I'm obviously close to the folks in the Biden administration.
I know they worked incredibly hard.
I think they ultimately landed on some, some pretty thoughtful policy and policy,
which turned out to be pretty effective in the end.
But by the time they got there, it was too late to persuade voters that they were
serious and they had endured by that point, years of hammering away at how much of a
crisis this is and, you know, all of the crazy, tough ways that
Donald Trump was going to address it.
And the thing which is uncomfortable, I think both in the advocacy community and therefore
uncomfortable for the administration, was saying out loud that they believe this was
a thing that needed to be controlled.
It is really, really easy to push back on immigration enforcement. I spent a lot of
years of my career doing it as well. It is really hard to have a vision for how
enforcement should happen. And politically, for a Democrat in office,
it's a world of pain if you stand up and say this is how we should enforce the law. But at the
end of the day, especially because the situation at the border is unlike anything we have experienced
before in our history, I think the public expects their leaders to have a theory of the case for how
to do it and to be assertive about it. And I think the, I have a lot of praise for the Biden administration and a lot of
affection for the Biden administration.
But I think it was pretty clear that he didn't want to talk about this issue
until he had to, because it's a world of pain.
But at the end of the day, I think we need to accept that the American public
expects its officials to bring order and fairness to the border.
And I think if we can be persuasive that we can bring order and fairness to the border,
the American public is also prepared to be really to be generous.
And that's why in the Obama years, the comprehensive immigration reform frame won the majority
of the public by a lot, had tremendous public support.
And that's why we argue a balanced approach that includes a theory of the case for how
to manage the border, along with a path to permanent status for people who are here illegally
and openings and legal immigration.
That's a balance which I think can win the public.
But for the time being, we have lost the public on this issue. Democrats have lost
the public. And that's a catastrophe. So what do you think President Biden and Vice President
Harris could have done differently over the last four years to deal with the border in a way that
more Americans would have supported? I think ultimately the policy formulation that they landed
on is a really good one. We know that it's effective because actually the pressure at the border, the number of
folks entering unlawfully has gone down, but they didn't start talking about it until too
late.
So I think an aggressive approach that said from the beginning, we recognize that this
is a challenge.
Here's how we're going to handle it in the region, in the hemisphere.
They actually adopted a lot of really solid policy to give people
the ability to get to safety without making the dangerous journey to the United States.
They created mechanisms to move people
from entering in between ports of entry and channeling them to ports of entry.
They got a lot of pushback for doing that,
but ultimately that allowed them to regulate
how many people can come in a day.
They got there, but they got there kind of late,
and they were, I think, reluctant to make a forceful case,
in part because if you, if Democrat makes a forceful case,
there's, you get a lot of pushback from,
from within the family.
And so I think the mistakes were not so much policy mistakes.
They, I think started from the point of view
that they did not want to talk about it.
I think the sense was any day that this is the thing
in the news that we're talking about is a bad day.
And I think that was the mistake.
It's funny because last night as I was preparing for this interview, I sort of went back on the whole timeline
of everything that happened in the Biden administration around immigration.
And because, you know, some people are arguing, look, they use Title 42, which Trump had used right from the beginning of the administration.
Title 42 is a public health provision that allowed both the Trump administration and
Biden administration to turn away migrants and asylum seekers because of COVID.
And so they had that in place.
And then after that was taken away, then they tried to do the border bill.
And then after that, they finally arrived at the executive action that essentially
closed the border,
that resulted in many fewer crossings.
But when I look back at Biden's statements and speeches and remarks, there was almost
nothing.
I mean, when he announced a new measure, he would talk about it, but not much in the state
of the unions, not any kind of big immigration speeches. And it does seem like even as we talk about what the right message or wrong message was
there just wasn't much of a message at all and
On an issue that ended up being you know
the number two issue from for most voters and not just Republican voters that seems like a
Missed opportunity to say absolutely
I mean the the the argument that Frank and I are trying to make in the piece that
we wrote is that Democrats should lean in. And I think that the instinct that has taken
hold is to run away from the issue. But there is history that demonstrates that when the
frame is who's going to be tough, this is Donald Trump's frame,
right? Who's going to be tough as opposed to not tough, that we have a hard time competing with
that. But the frame that works for Democrats is leaning in and with an approach that actually
solves the problem. When the frame is fix it versus chaos, Democrats tend to do well. And we have been
having this debate on Donald Trump's frame for way too long.
And the way to move it back to our frame is to lean in and with a theory of the
case on how to address this.
And I think the good news is the policy part is available.
It's, it's right.
It's not, this isn't an intractable problem.
This is a problem with policy solutions, but we have to be willing to talk about
them and embrace them and they include enforcement, which is uncomfortable.
But obviously that's preferable to what we're all about to endure.
Over the next four years.
Yes.
And I want to get to that, but first I want to go back for a second because I
think a lot of our listeners, a second because I think a lot of
our listeners, a lot of Democrats, a lot of people who've just sort of been involved and paying attention to politics sort of started at 2016 when Trump won. And I think the history and
the context is really important to this debate to understand where we've been. The most common
reaction when I shared your piece was activists on the left who said something to the effect of, well, you and Cecilia, you both worked for the
deporter in chief, so we don't really trust you on this issue. Can you talk a little bit about the
politics of immigration when you were in the Obama White House, sort of your reaction to,
you know, the deporter in chief criticism and what you guys in the
policy part of the White House had to deal with there.
Yeah.
President Obama had the kind of balanced approach that Frank, Sherry, and I are advocating for
in that he had a theory of the case that included an approach to immigration enforcement, but
also a path to citizenship for undocumented
people and expansions to legal immigration. And that was from the public point of view,
the desirable policy, right? 70, 80, 85% of the public supported that approach.
He also had a theory of the case on how to conduct immigration enforcement. I think it's a fair
criticism to say that it took us too long to land
on the right approach. There was a lot of trial and error from 2010 when we really started tweaking
how enforcement happens to 2014. But essentially, the premise was you have to conduct immigration
enforcement, but how you do it matters. And instead of concentrating on people in the interior who have been here for a long time,
the priorities should be new arrivals,
people who haven't set down roots yet,
and folks with serious criminal convictions.
And ultimately, that's the set of enforcement choices
that makes sense, that's also the most humane.
But because the removal numbers were high and the removal numbers were high because there were a lot of new entrants
that the Obama administration removed. He got named by my former boss, the deporter-in-chief,
and that has stuck. What happened in the advocacy world from that era onward is that folks moved to
the left and focused very heavily on immigration enforcement. So their request to Secretary
Clinton when she was running was to move away from immigration enforcement. She did. She
did an interview with Jorge Ramos, which essentially backed away from the kind of enforcement infrastructure that President Obama had outlined.
It was enforcement, immigration enforcement was barely mentioned in her platform at all.
They extracted a promise from Joe Biden when he was running to do a moratorium on enforcement, which he did, which he announced, but which ultimately did not withstand legal
scrutiny.
And the candidates that were running for the Democratic nomination were all asked about
decriminalizing border crossings.
The entire conversation moved to the left, away from immigration enforcement, and created
the impression that Democrats were not serious about imposing order and fairness at the border.
And I think that has cost us very, very dearly. It's not a comfortable subject.
Look, I'm a Latina, I'm an immigration policy expert. It is a very uncomfortable subject.
But honestly, John, the reason that Frank and I wrote this piece, I feel very strongly, I am not convinced we're going to be able to take our country
back from the autocrats if we don't get our arms around this issue. What's
happening at the border is happening at a scale that the country has not seen
before ever, and it is not a short-term emergency. It is the beginning of what's
coming because of climate change and other things. If we do not have a theory of a case for how to do this in an orderly way that allows us to welcome folks, but with
conditions, I really fear for our ability to take the country back from the autocrats.
Yeah. And I know you and Frank have both made this point, but look, the job of, as you know, very well,
the job of an advocate and an activist is to push on politicians, right?
Yeah.
It's also the job of the elected leaders to take in that advice and that pressure, but
also do what's best for the country and for their other constituents and to continue to
garner support so they can govern.
The moment that I sort of realized that things had really shifted in a way that could potentially
down the road be troubling is in that 2020 primary.
Now you know this because how many speeches do we work on, immigration speeches in the
Obama White House, where Obama would always say,
we are a nation of immigrants, we are also a nation of laws.
And then he would say, we really want people
who have been here in the shadows for decades,
who were working hard and paying taxes
and contributing to the community and have families here,
we wanna give them a pathway to citizenship.
And we wanna say that if we're gonna give you this path, then there's a lot of
other people who are going through the legal processes to become immigrants.
And so you'll have to pay a fine, get to get to the back of the line.
And then we'll give you the pathway to citizenship.
So he said that all the time and there was no controversy around that at all.
At least the way he said that.
And then, in one of the primary debates, Joe Biden uses that language about getting to the
back of the line.
And there's this outcry that it was offensive,
that he shouldn't say this.
He had to meet with immigrant groups and, and
Latino groups, and he had to like apologize and
do these round tables.
And I remember thinking like, this was like so
s just standard language.
And also now, after we just went through this last election,
and we heard from so many people in focus groups and voters
and just, you know, interviews, Latinos, immigrants,
recent immigrants, who are saying,
look, the one thing that bothers me is it took me years
to become a citizen in this country.
And now someone just came over the border last week
and suddenly they get all these benefits and I'm still been waiting for
citizenship for 10 years. So I do I wonder why why do you think the
immigration activist community sort of went this route after after 2012 I guess?
I think a couple things happened as I mentioned they focused very heavily on
enforcement and that became kind of the
center.
The situation of undocumented people, which is work well worth doing, and the risks of
immigration enforcement to them became kind of the focal point of the move to the left.
And we stopped having a conversation that included advocates and folks who were governing or folks
who were seeking to govern about how can this actually work. And advocates instead landed in a
place where they focused on the trade-offs that were part of the comprehensive immigration reform
model, right? The getting to the back of the line, the fact that some people legalize but not everybody,
and decided that that was trading off a benefit for some people at the expense of other people,
and that they in fact tossed out the entire comprehensive immigration reform model and began
really to focus pretty heavily on enforcement. And then of course, there was a heck of a lot of terrible to respond to in the Trump years.
Yeah.
And that, I think, the response to Trump, I think,
contributed to the singular focus of where the advocacy
community landed.
And look, that is heroic work.
It was incredibly difficult work, incredibly emotional
work.
They took people's children. And the advocates that I'm talking about were at the front lines of addressing
that. I have nothing but respect for that work and for the people who do it. But the, when you were
describing, you know, the job of advocates is to push and the job of people who are governing is to
govern. When we do it really well, all of those people's jobs is also to be in a
conversation about what the policy solution is to the problem at hand. And as an advocate,
you are of course pushing for the best possible outcome, but you're in the conversation.
And that conversation has really broken down. And as a result, Democrats don't have a working theory of the case that they can say out loud
about how to address the border situation.
And that's tragic because this democratic administration
is actually kind of doing it pretty well,
but we can't talk about it because of the,
you just, you get shot at.
Well, you mentioned that a lot of this was sort of in relation to the response
to Trump when he won the first time.
I think the reason why it's so important now is because there's going to be
another Trump term and another potential reaction from Democrats.
He seems pretty intent on carrying out mass deportations.
He's threatened to use the military, especially in blue states and sanctuary
cities that may refuse to help ICE.
He will try to end birthright citizenship.
He seems ready to go far beyond only deporting undocumented immigrants who've
broken the law while in this country or pose a threat to public safety or, or
just arrived here recently.
We're looking at deportations of people who've been here for decades, who work and pay taxes
and contribute and have family who are US citizens.
How do you think Democrats should react this time around?
And what lessons do we learn from last time, knowing that this time could be far more extreme
than what we saw last time?
Yeah, it's going to be worse.
We know that.
Maybe not in all the ways that he has promised, but because some of the stuff he wants to
do is going to be pretty hard for him to do, but it's going to be worse.
I think the thing we didn't do as well as I would have liked last time is have a consistent
narrative that makes it clear that there is a goal that
generally the American public agrees on, which is to bring order and fairness to this system.
That goal is valid.
We didn't say that.
But there's a right way and a wrong way to go about achieving it.
And we're about to see a lot of what the wrong way looks like.
The harms of what the Trump administration is about to do, the greatest
harms are likely to be visited on children.
I think we're likely to see workplace rates, for example.
We saw those in the George W.
Bush era.
What that looks like is kids go to school in the morning and when they come back at
the end of the day, their parents are gone.
So those kinds of, we know, we know that that's what happens. We are sadly,
tragically, about to be able to tell the story to the American public about what
it costs those families, what it costs those kids, what it costs those
communities, and what it costs all of us. That narrative should also include that
this is the wrong way to go about accomplishing the country's goals, but there is a right way.
And the goal is not the problem.
It's how we're going about trying to accomplish it.
To lay the predicate for that frame that I was talking about, that Democrats need to
own the, we're the ones who know how to fix challenging problems.
These guys create chaos and harm and they harm really vulnerable people
that most of the country, I hope, believes we shouldn't be harming. But we have to lean
in and we have to be prepared to say that the goal that the American people want, which
is an orderly and fair system, is legit.
Yeah. My fear is that they are going to start by, they would love nothing more than
to pick fights with blue state governors, mayors over deporting undocumented
immigrants who are threats to public safety.
Uh, and you know, obviously this is a tiny percentage, but they have made
these folks famous in the last campaign,
and they would like nothing more than for Democrats to react with outrage to the deportation
of either recent arrivals or people who have, you know, broken laws and potentially violent
criminals here in the United States. And I do wonder like how we, part of what I think this conversation requires is us to
sort of have the discipline and wherewithal to think about when these horrific stories,
much like the ones you just mentioned, when that happens, that we lift up those stories
and that we don't necessarily overreact when they try to deport violent criminals that they should deport
because I think that they're going to try to make this about what they've just made
the last campaign about.
Yes, and try to force us into a position of appearing to make the argument that no one
should ever be deported ever.
And that's not good policy, is not where the public is, and it's not where we should be
either.
But you're right that it will require, I think, discipline to not have this debate on Donald
Trump's terms, but to swing the debate back to our terms because we need to win elections
and we need to get this policy challenge addressed.
Yeah.
Well, to that point, I mean, we are so, last question on this, like we are so far
from having the votes to pass comprehensive immigration
reform.
And, you know, if the filibuster is still around,
we would need 60 votes in the Senate.
I don't even know how Democrats get 60 votes in the Senate
at this point with this map.
If we get rid of the filibuster, we still need 51 votes.
That's still a challenge at this point
when you look at the states that are up in the next two elections.
What do you think a Democrat running for president in 2028 can realistically promise?
And what should they run on knowing that part of the challenge has also been
Democrats running on comprehensive immigration reform making these promises and then they get into power. We don't have the votes
Can't pass immigration reform because of the Republicans and then they get into power, we don't have the votes, can't pass immigration reform
because of the Republicans
and then Democrats get blamed for it.
Yeah, no, it's an enormous challenge.
It's not a short-term thing.
We're not gonna fix this in the short-term
because Congress is a catastrophe.
I think it starts with having a vision
for what needs to happen
and being able to persuade the American public that that's the right vision.
Look, I think the, we have, honestly, the debate is happening around the extremes and
I think the public really wants there to be a center and we need to provide it for starters
and create the momentum so that it's safe for Democrats to have a conversation about enforcement
and safe for at least some number of Republicans to have a conversation about the kind of immigration
system that we want to have.
I fear that we are now in a situation where the kind of permission structure to allow
us to get to that conversation requires that we successfully manage the situation at the border. I think that is true
now in a way that was not true a decade ago when, you know, in the Obama years when we passed
immigration and comprehensive reform through the Senate. The situation at the border was not then
what it is now. And the country expects it to be addressed. So I now think that has to be kind of the primary piece.
But I also think if you can be persuasive that that is manageable, and I do believe that's possible,
then I still believe the American public is prepared to have a conversation about a
pathway to permanent status for the people who are here on temporary statuses or without status at all.
status for the people who are here on temporary statuses or without status at all. And even an expansion of legal immigration. I mean, the great irony is the business community knows we need
immigrants. They know we need more of them. It's not just that we will be cooking our own goose
economically if we deport people who are here now. It's that we're going to need more generous
immigration for the long term, and the business
community knows it.
They're just terrified of saying anything out loud.
So we need to make it safe again to have this conversation.
But I think as an advocate or a former advocate or whatever, I don't know if the advocacy
world would embrace me any longer, but we need to do a better job of listening to where
the public is. As a
Latina, honestly, I think we haven't even done enough listening to where our own
community is, as this election shows. And we have to fix that. And that requires
some humility. I think it requires some listening and willing to make some hard
hard policy choices in order to get to the outcomes that we need.
And honestly, I really think the fate of democracy in the United States depends
on this.
Yeah, no, I, I completely agree.
And it's not just something that's happening here.
We're seeing it all over the world.
Um, as, as we're seeing mass migration, especially from the global south to the
North. And so I think a lot of countries in Europe are dealing with this exact same thing.
So this is not just a United States problem.
Cecilia, thank you so much for joining.
Thank you for writing that to try to start this conversation, have an honest conversation.
I know not easy for you as someone who cares so much about immigration
and has been an advocate for so long,
but I'm really glad that you and Frank
started the conversation as contentious as it may get,
because I think we need to have it.
So thank you and it was good talking to you.
Thank you so much, appreciate it.
All right, that's our show for today.
Dan, Tommy Lovett and I will convene on Friday
to hand out this year's Pundies, our awards for the very worst takes and tweets. Talk to everyone then.
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