Pod Save America - BONUS: Could Trump Still Lose the Nomination? (Live from New Orleans!)

Episode Date: November 13, 2023

Guest host Tim Miller joins Jon, Jon, Tommy, and Dan live from New Orleans! A fired-up President Biden campaigns in Illinois, but Jill Stein enters the Presidential race and Joe Manchin announces that... he won't seek re-election, making it harder for Democrats to keep the Senate—and possibly the White House—in 2024. State Rep. Mandie Landry and Public Service Commissioner Davante Lewis join the show to talk Louisiana politics. The hosts debate whether Donald Trump really has the GOP nomination on lock. Then, in the home state of porn-monitoring Speaker Mike Johnson, Lovett debuts a new game: Covenant Eyes Are Watching You.Recorded at The Joy Theater in New Orleans by permission of MVNLA Owner, LLC.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 What's up, New Orleans? Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau. I'm Tim Miller. I'm Jon Lovett. Tommy Vitor. I'm Dan Pfeiffer. We have an outstanding show for you tonight.
Starting point is 00:00:40 Your state representative for right here in New Orleans, Mandy Landry is here. Your state representative for right here in New Orleans, Mandy Landry is here. Louisiana Public Service Commissioner Devante Lewis is here. And we're so lucky to be joined by our pal, author, bulwark extraordinaire. Local. Local. Local, Tim Miller. Yeah, good stuff.
Starting point is 00:01:06 All right, let's get to the news. Fresh off a very good election day for Democrats this week. Yeah, clap for that. Joe Biden held a rally at a car plant with United Auto Workers after he became the first president to join a picket line for a strike that led to historic wage increases. I thought Biden had a little extra pep in his step at this rally. He made a few jokes about his age and then went directly after Donald Trump. Well, let's take a listen.
Starting point is 00:01:34 I've never been more optimistic about America's future than I am today. And I know I only look like I'm 30, but I've been around a long time. That's not too much to ask. You okay? I want the press to know that wasn't me. But my predecessor, the distinguished, anyway. We know. When my predecessor was in office, six factories closed across the country. Tens of thousands of auto jobs were lost nationwide.
Starting point is 00:02:18 And on top of that, he was willing to see the future of electric vehicles to China. He said if America invested in electric vehicles, it would drive down wages. It would destroy jobs. It would spell the end of the American automobile industry. Well, like almost everything else he said, he's wrong. Tim, what did you think? Good way to handle the age thing? Right way to go after Trump?
Starting point is 00:02:40 What do you think? I thought it was pretty good. I noticed you guys didn't show the dance that he tried to do. I didn't see the dance. What dance? It was a little stiff. It was a little stiff on the dance. I don't know about the dance. What did you think?
Starting point is 00:02:50 I was just happy when I saw that that was a UAW t-shirt. Because at first I was like, is that like a red Jimmy Carter sweater? And then I realized he was wearing a t-shirt. I was like, this is good. They got him on the primo adrenochrome now. That's the good stuff. It's working. Right in the veins. right in that eye vein.
Starting point is 00:03:07 I thought it was pretty good. Look, I like all the manufacturing messaging. Here's the thing. This guy, the college-educated whites, hopefully Donald Trump's going to do the job for him on that demo, right? And so he's got to lean into this. That speech wasn't for them. Right, he's got to lean into this, right?
Starting point is 00:03:22 And he has to try to um minimize the gap with working class voters you know he's struggling with that across races and so he just got he should do this he needs to live in manufacturing plants he's got to do you know that picture of him with uh with ron desantis where like he's hugging the biker and desantis is like in the big boots and he looks sad yeah like that's got to be the whole campaign just like hang out with bikers and manufacturing dudes and that's that's the deal yeah i mean i like later he said um you know when you guys were in the fight i was here trump went to a non-union shop and attacked you like i think it's in addition to a good economic message it's also him getting on the side of
Starting point is 00:04:02 people like i'm for you donald Trump doesn't give a shit about you which I think is a good message good contrast with Donald Trump because I think one thing people do believe about Donald Trump is that he only cares about himself the thing that I found most interesting about this was when he talked about the plants closing under Trump there's been this big debate in our party like how do we narrow the historic gap on the economy we the Biden and Democrats face with Trump? Is it highlighting Biden's accomplishments? Is it highlighting the Trump tax cuts for corporations? Is it talking about Republicans cutting Social Security and Medicare? And there was a sort of a private
Starting point is 00:04:32 Democratic poll circulating earlier this summer that showed that the most effective way to do it was to talk about the plant closings under Trump, and especially the ones where Trump said, I'm going to keep them open like the Lordstown plant in Ohio, and then it closed anyway. And so it is very notable to me that that polling has clearly made it to the White House, and that Biden is saying that. Because that does sort of get at what people do have concerns about Trump. He's kind of full of shit, that he was focused on all the wrong things while he was in there. And so that's where the plant closing works better. Because you're really trying to navigate this sort of like pseudo businessman image he has. And this gets at what people have actual concerns
Starting point is 00:05:11 about him about. Yeah. Unfortunately for the president, his party's electoral and policy successes haven't prevented a growing list of potential candidates from weighing primary or independent challenges against Biden. Dean Phillips just hired former advisors to bernie sanders and andrew yang uh the latest sarah palin and sarah palin oh and steve schmidt yeah of course i forgot about that yeah uh the
Starting point is 00:05:36 latest new york times poll has rfk jr polling at 25 in the three-way race against biden and trump now that cornell west is running as an independent, Jill Stein just announced that she's going to be running for the Green Party nomination. Who said her name three times? Shame on you. And Joe Manchin has now decided he won't be running for re-election to the Senate,
Starting point is 00:06:01 but intends to travel the country, quote, to see if there's an interest in creating a movement to mobilize the middle and bring Americans together. Tommy, what the hell does that mean? And will you be joining that movement? I watched that video. It was sort of like a folksy centrist mad libs
Starting point is 00:06:22 who was very hard to follow. Here's what I think about joe manchin he definitely he drove us all crazy for a year a year and a half forever when joe biden was trying to speak for yourself tommy he's trying to pass the infrastructure bill he was trying to pass the bill back better bill joe manchin made it very hard i think that when you look back on that um his opposition to the child tax credit extension is indefensible and borderline unforgivable. That policy lifted three million kids out of poverty. And Joe Manchin somehow got it in his head that if the child tax credit funding would be used by the parents to buy drugs, which is based on nothing and is, you know,
Starting point is 00:07:05 funding would be used by the parents to buy drugs, which is based on nothing. And I'll leave it to you to interpret that kind of comment. But his vote did help deliver the IRA, the biggest investment in clean energy ever. I think if we're being honest, in hindsight, some of his concerns about the most expansive versions of Build Back Better and the potential to cause inflation, you might have had a point. Ooh, Tommy. You might have had a point. I'm Tommy. You might have had a point. I'm going a little bulwark for Tim here. You're getting Paul Ryan-filled over there.
Starting point is 00:07:27 I like that. That's right. But at the end of the day, West Virginia is what, plus 39 Trump state? That seat's probably toast. So we're going to miss him. Now, I don't know what he's going to do on his centrist, no-labels, rump springa.
Starting point is 00:07:43 I hope he has a good time. I hope he meets some good people. My, my guess is that he ultimately realizes, oh yeah, I prefer decrying partisanship in green rooms rather than actually a party building and running for president in a bunch of States. Also, it's worth remembering that no label says they want a Republican at the top of the ticket, so he'd have to be the VP. And also, he's 76 years old, which makes him young for this field. Youngest candidate in the field. Young generally, so I don't know. I will miss him in the Senate, but not that much. I think only Joe Manchin can come up with a plan to simultaneously
Starting point is 00:08:24 cost the Democrats the Senate and the White House white house yeah that is true what does anyone think that joe mansion is going to be uh polling well as a third party candidate for no labels does anyone well i mean we've seen there's like the first poll and they're showing them getting what like you know uh he was getting 10 10 10 which is enough to destroy the country, but probably not enough to make him happy. But if I knew how to make Joe Manchin happy. Love it. We should talk about that. You'd be on a houseboat. We should. We should with the Senate implications for the Democrats, because I do think that's a big. So. So this is a stone cold bummer.
Starting point is 00:09:04 We have a 51 seat majority with Joe Manchin. There are seven competitive seats. We now need to keep all of them. So if Joe Manchin is out, we go from 51 seats to 50 with Kamal Harris breaking a lot of ties. I was told by the DSA that he'll be replaced by a far left. Yeah. Real true progressive in West Virginia. Is that not going to happen?
Starting point is 00:09:24 And no bad ideas in a brainstorm. I wrote them... But so in order to now for Democrats to keep the Senate majority, John Tester has to win in Montana. Sherrod Brown has to hold his seat in Ohio. Ruben Gallego has to win in Arizona.
Starting point is 00:09:39 And we need to win in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, and Michigan. Before this, we could have lost one. Now we need to win them all. If we do lose one and want to retain the Senate, that requires a pickup either by defeating Ted Cruz in Texas or Rick Scott in Florida, both of which are very difficult to do because they're both so charming and charismatic. The other piece of this that sucks is Joe Manchin was going to be someone Republicans were going to have to fight to beat. And now they don't have to do that anymore.
Starting point is 00:10:08 They go from a place where they would have to spend money to a place where they probably don't. That's money that they can dump on John Tester or Sherrod or in Nevada or elsewhere. So it just made our job of retaining the Senate harder. That being said, these things are going to move together. And if we were in a, you know, being in a position to win six and being in a position to win seven look a lot alike. It's just it's harder. Yeah, I think the way to think about it is if Democrats hold all the Senate seats now that we are defending, if Donald Trump wins, Republicans control the Senate. Because at best now, it's 50-50.
Starting point is 00:10:47 And so then if Biden wins re-election, then great, Kamala Harris breaks the ties. But if Donald Trump wins re-election, the best we can do now is going to be a Donald Trump presidency and a Republican Senate. And Tucker Carlson breaks the ties. And Tucker Carlson breaks the ties. And that means that Republicans in the Senate will start getting to appoint judges. That means if there are Supreme Court vacancies, Donald Trump wins. There's a Republican Senate. Clarence Thomas retires.
Starting point is 00:11:11 Alito retires. Suddenly they get two more Supreme Court justices. So the importance of making sure that Joe Biden and a Democrat win the presidency and making sure that Donald Trump loses is even more important now that Joe Manchin has decided to retire. I would make one. Yes. One more just note on Joe Manchin. I think it's it's worth noting that when Joe Biden put out a statement and his statement was extremely kind to Joe Manchin. And that's been his tack whenever Sir Joe Lieberman comes up. That's his tack when Joe Manchin comes up.
Starting point is 00:11:39 He talks about how Manchin not only supported IRA, but also a veterans bill, a gun safety bill, a few other things, and voted for Katonji Brown Jackson. And I think one lesson of the last couple of years is that Joe Manchin, booing him is ineffective. He's clearly just extremely ego-motivated. And we've got to fucking figure out a way to praise this guy into getting out of this thing.
Starting point is 00:12:07 We've got to hug Joe Manchin. Joe Manchin loves this fucking country. And he will do anything to protect her. And we all know that. And that's why we know, ultimately, for the sake of the middle, he will do everything he can to help Joe Biden. And we all know that, right? Because booing him at his houseboat seems to radicalize him.
Starting point is 00:12:29 Somebody clip that. Beautiful houseboat. It's a beautiful houseboat. I think the Wall Street Journal reported this, that there's now an effort. It's not an effort led by no labels, but it's a different group. They're leading a draft mansion romney movement uh i think i think i think mansion will be president and romney vp or vice versa romney vice versa yeah yeah uh tim are you leading that effort did you want to make that announcement
Starting point is 00:12:56 asking uh i actually um just for the sake of the content i have something prepared right now underneath this beyonce shirt oh no it's romney mansion 2024 and i'm gonna do it in the hopes that I have something prepared right now. Underneath this Beyonce shirt is Romney Manchin 2024, and I'm going to do it in the hopes that John Lovett gives me a pile driver. No, no. I would love to. I mean, Joe Manchin actually is pretty good. I mean, he's been a West Virginia senator. He's been all right.
Starting point is 00:13:19 I know not a lot of cheers for Joe Manchin being pretty good, but he has been pretty good. He's any better than the alternative. Cletus Van Ivermectin is going to replace him. Joe Manchin is a pain in the ass that I am sad is leaving the Senate. He did the gay marriage. That was pretty good. Because without Joe Manchin, we would not have saved the ACA.
Starting point is 00:13:38 We would not have had that vote. We would not have had the Inflation Reduction Act, the largest government investment in climate in history. We wouldn't have had all these judges. He is Act, the largest government investment in climate in history. We wouldn't have had all these judges. He is a pain in the ass. He has infuriated us. I get that, but we needed him.
Starting point is 00:13:51 Yeah, and here's the thing. These rich people that have these fucking delusions that Mitt Romney and Joe Manchin might be there, it's because they look at the race and they're like, people aren't happy. People don't like Trump and Biden. The thing is, what they don't understand is that this election between Joe Biden, a normal center-left Democrat, mainstream Democrat,
Starting point is 00:14:10 and a racist lunatic who is a game show host who wants to end the country, does not call for somebody in the middle ground. If the election was between two far ideologues, if it was Rashida Tlaib versus Mega Mike Johnson, right? Then maybe like Romney and Manchin could work if one of them had a personality transplant and then they could like bring together
Starting point is 00:14:33 like bulwark Republicans with Biden Democrats with like independents who don't want, who like voted for Trump but don't like Mike Johnson's like Bible salesman vibe that he gives off. Like that could like work work in that alternate world. That's not the world we're in. So the only people that would go for some normal alternative third party
Starting point is 00:14:53 are people that already have a normal candidate, Joe Biden. And so it's a big fucking problem if Joe Manchin gets in. Big, big problem. Dan, I think polling third party and independent candidates seems relatively useless until we know who's going to be on the ballot in which state. From that perspective, which of these potential candidacies do you think poses the biggest threat to Biden? It is both the no labels candidacy and the Green Party candidacy of most likely Jill Stein. No Labels candidacy and the Green Party candidacy of most likely Jill Stein. No Labels is already on the ballot in 12 states.
Starting point is 00:15:30 Most of those are states that are not consequential to presidential election, but they are on the ballot in Arizona and Nevada. The Green Party, because Jill Stein, because the 2016 election never stops leaving us, did so well in 2016, they have guaranteed ballot access in a number of states, including the not-so-consequential states of Michigan and Wisconsin. And then they are both on the ballot in Oregon, which is a state which should not be competitive, but has a very weird history with third-party candidates
Starting point is 00:15:53 and could possibly become competitive with the both there. RFK Jr. and Cornell West are on the ballot as of right now nowhere. Getting on the ballot is quite expensive and arduous. Let's not cheer yet. It requires, you know, in some states getting valid signatures from up to one to one and a half percent of the
Starting point is 00:16:10 electorate. And that in order to do that, you have to get sometimes like two to three times that number because valid signature means you have to have the correct signature, the correct name, the correct address that matches the voter file. It's very challenging. You would think that would be impossible for RFK Jr.,
Starting point is 00:16:25 but within hours of announcing his independent candidacy, his super PAC, which could do ballot access for him, raised $11 million, which is definitely not suspicious at all. And so we're going to have to keep watching this, but we already know that if there's a Green Party candidate and a no-labels candidate on the ballot, four of the six battleground states...
Starting point is 00:16:43 Doesn't RFK kind of help us, though? Aren't we going for RFK? We hope. I'd rather not test the proposition. Yeah, I'd rather not now. And I just want to say to everyone here, you could have been at a strip club. But we're going to talk about ballot access. Ricks, I hear good
Starting point is 00:16:59 things about Ricks. Not my cup of tea, but just something to think about for after the show. This is just for anyone. What's going on with Dean Phillips? He's now got former advisors to Sarah Palin, Bernie Sanders, and Andrew Yang on his team. Does everyone still think this is going nowhere?
Starting point is 00:17:17 You either die a Bernie bro or you live long enough to work for Dean Phillips. That's the deal, right? It's this guy Jeff We, who worked for Bernie. He was pretty controversial at the time, so I don't know that I'm worried about it. I mean, hiring Andrew Yang's top guy, Andrew Yang's candidacy was kind of based around
Starting point is 00:17:36 universal basic income, as Dean Phillips supported that. I don't know. Did any of these staffers matter? Do any of us matter? Let's not get at the premise of the entire podcast, but... I don't know. I'm like, Mean Dean didn't do much for me beforehand.
Starting point is 00:17:53 It's not a good sign when your top advisor has a higher name ID than you do because of his fucking wheels-off YouTube rants that he gives. It's not a great idea, right? I feel like there's, it's a lot of people who wish the world wasn't as it was
Starting point is 00:18:08 for different reasons. I think there are a lot of people that when push comes to shove want Biden but younger, but that has not been on offer. And then there are people that want a Democrat, they want center-left Democratic policies,
Starting point is 00:18:20 but from politicians who haven't been attacked and maligned for years by Republicans. They want someone who has not been rendered unappealing to a swath of the country, not because of anything they did, but because of a vast apparatus that makes those people seem unappealing. That's the Andrew Yang thing, right? Like basically, you look at what Andrew Yang wants, he wants a center left figure, but not somebody that the Joe Rogan types don't like. Well, why don't the Joe Rogan types like them? It's not because of anything they did, it's because
Starting point is 00:18:44 there's a whole machine that exists to destroy them.? It's not because of anything they did. It's because there's a whole machine that exists to destroy them. And that's not the world we live in. And so basically we're fighting these kind of fantasies and narcissism and like ego trips. You know, Joe Manchin wants to fight for the middle. He's personally responsible for the most progressive thing Joe Biden ever did,
Starting point is 00:18:59 as you said. So it's all just a bunch of people kind of, I think like venting anxiety and spleen and egotism. And cashing checks. And cashing checks. I look at that group of people and I think it only matters if Dean Phillips starts adopting policy positions
Starting point is 00:19:15 that you can see from that group of people. It's not really a left-right thing. It's a top-bottom thing. And if Dean Phillips starts being like, okay, all right. I fucking challenge you to walk down Bourmin street right now and find a single person who knows who the fuck dean phillips is oh that's true this is all ridiculous that's all preposterous tim and i doing a podcast called top bottom yeah there it is there that's what i was thinking when tim said
Starting point is 00:19:40 that i was i'm thinking like if he went like anti-establishment you know anti-war right like populist anti-dc but like i don't think dean phillips has it in him to do that gelato magnate dean phillips but it's also you know it's 2023 people reinvent themselves all the time and if you see like jeff weaver there and an andrew yang person you kind of think maybe that's where they're going sure that's all i'm thinking tim it's also possible that just to just to close this out a lot of voters just might stay home right they might not go for a third party they might not go for a third party candidate into party independent candidate they might just say i'm not voting at all any thoughts on that i'm concerned about this so young progress young progressives don't listen to the bulwarks i asked you if i could talk about
Starting point is 00:20:19 this here uh in the hopes that i could reach some of them some because i was i was having trouble sleeping the other night i was on tiktok and i had these like several angry people in their dorm room talking about the moral obligation to vote for cornell west was served to me by the chinese and this this was giving me some concerns and i started like hyperventilating into a paper bag and i was like is this really happening and um and so i just do we have a camera I can look into? No, hopefully not. You're getting pointed out. Yeah. Hey, hey. So I've been spending the week with Steve Bannon, young, young progressives who don't think that there's a difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump. And here's here is his plan for the next term. He wants to release all of the January 6
Starting point is 00:21:00 prisoners and let every MAGA domestic terrorist know that they will get pardoned no matter what they do. So that's a little concerning. He wants to deport 10 million people and bring back the kids in cages. He wants to restart putting people back into Guantanamo. He wants to indict his political opponents and he wants to do mass firings to the federal government.
Starting point is 00:21:20 So that's not a great policy agenda. No. You know what he's calling it? What's that? The MAGA policy agenda. What's that? what? You know what he's calling it? What's that? The MAGA policy agenda. What's that? It's from the river to the CPAP machine. Jesus Christ. Oh, my God. Oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:21:33 So it should be something that you should be alarmed about. Bye, everybody. Young progressive. I can't even. Welcome to the bulwark, John Lovett. I can't even. Welcome to the bulwark, John Lovett. So anyway, young TikTokers,
Starting point is 00:21:51 if you want to protest Joe Biden, that's fine. If you want to vape, if you want to be pansexual, all that's great. But please, for the love of God, do not put these fucking lunatics back in there. I'm very concerned about it. I'm very concerned. It's not about sticking it to Joe Biden He's not going to care
Starting point is 00:22:08 It's about hurting yourself It's about hurting the country Every one of us is going to have to live With the consequences of a second Trump There's stated policies We're going after trans people We're going after immigrants We're going after political opponents
Starting point is 00:22:22 I think the five of us would count Despite us being cis white guys. And so maybe not at the top of the list. And then we're going to let the kind of mega domestic terrorists roam free. That's a concerning kind of combination. That's a concerning combination. This is not the most important part, but far be it for me
Starting point is 00:22:38 to give communications advice to the one-time top message guy in the Republican Party. But I would offer... I'm sorry. Donald Trump only beat us by 46 points. I just feel like I would have offered some real context to I spent the week with Steve Bannon before telling that story. Was it Palm Springs or was it a cruise?
Starting point is 00:22:57 Yeah, well, I was in the basement of the Breitbart Embassy and then went to Vegas together. Okay. Went to Vegas together. Yeah, it was interesting. There's a single mega Vegas hotel now. We'll talk about it back. The Trump Hotel?
Starting point is 00:23:09 No, not the Trump Hotel. I mean, Tommy's a big War Room listener. He was live. You didn't see me? No, I didn't see you. Sorry. Well, we don't want a second Trump turn. That's the moral of the story. When we come back, Devante Lewis.
Starting point is 00:23:24 He's awesome. Joining us now is Louisiana Public Service Commissioner and a rising star in Louisiana politics, Devante Lewis. Thank you for being here. Nice to meet you.
Starting point is 00:23:52 We've been hanging out for about an hour backstage. We actually know each other now. We're friends. We're best friends. So the thing about Devante is he's a young elected official, very impressive person to be doing this job at his age. But he got into politics like 20 years ago. He was organizing for Barack Obama in high school. You ran for school board at age 18. What got you at like 17 years old to think like, I got to get involved in politics? What started
Starting point is 00:24:21 all this? Well, the craziest thing is my grandfather forced me when I was like 15 to watch one hour of the news every day. And so one day it was 2004, with Barack's keynote address to the Democratic National Convention in Boston. And something after that, I was like, oh, I gotta get involved. And so after that I was like oh I gotta get involved and so after that I just felt like I needed to do something in my community so got involved did a lot of stuff and then like running for office a lot of people thought I would do but it was something never I wanted to do but um like when I ran for school board at 18 the school board president dared me to do it. He came to my AP government course, and we were debating policy.
Starting point is 00:25:09 And then he stopped me, and he said, well, Devante, if you think you can do this job so well, why don't you run for office? So on graduation day, when I walked across the stage, got my high school diploma, I gave him an index card, and I said, I'll see you on the campaign trail. And that's how I ran for office the first time I love that so I did not know that you watched the O4 convention speech and that gave you like the bug that gave me the bug we were all just in Chicago last weekend
Starting point is 00:25:36 with sort of an Obama campaign reunion and the way that community is like rippled into politics is very inspiring cool so you are now a Louisiana Public Service Commissioner. You're one of five elected officials tasked with overseeing all the utility companies in your state. What does that job entail? And then what kind of added responsibility do you feel serving in this role in a state that has such a terrible record on environmental justice to the
Starting point is 00:26:03 point where there is a region called Cancer Alley. Yeah, so the Public Service Commission, we regulate all of the public utilities. So water, wastewater, electric, gas, sewage, pipeline, waste haulers, common carriers. We also have prison phone call rates moving truck companies tow truck companies and so my district encompasses of course here in new orleans but all through the river parishes in baton rouge so i have cancer alley um is the district that i represent 971 000 people here in the state of louisiana and when we talk about environmental injustice this is the area that you have to focus on in the country.
Starting point is 00:26:46 Black and brown people are 21 times more likely to be exposed to air pollution in my district. When you think about Shell, Shell is a multinational corporation. They only have four petrochemical refinery plants in the United States. Three of them are in my district. Wow.
Starting point is 00:27:03 So when you think about environmental injustice, my district is one of the poorest in the nation, has the highest rate of industry users, but also hurricane, natural disaster prone. And so the message that I said when I was running is that if we invest in climate justice here, not only in my district, we do it in the country because I strongly believe that we can turn America's cancer alley into America's climate answer alley if we do everything right. I like that. So, I mean, you alluded to this. I mean, New Orleans is on the front lines when it comes to the impact from climate change. No one in this room needs to be reminded what a hurricane can do to a city. Your neighbors in Texas went through a terrible winter storm and a subsequent power outage that killed hundreds of people and tragically ruined Ted Cruz's vacation. Sorry, Ted.
Starting point is 00:28:02 and tragically ruined Ted Cruz's vacation. Sorry, Ted. What do you think, I mean, you're an expert in this stuff. What do you think this city in this country needs to do to prepare our utilities, both to transition from where we are now to this green energy future we want to be at, but also to become more resilient in the near term, knowing that weather's getting more extreme,
Starting point is 00:28:22 like hotter hots, colder colds, et cetera? I mean, I think the first thing we have to do is put people over profits. I mean, let's be very clear. Intergy has never cared about the people of Louisiana. So, I mean... But that's the important role about commissioners. I think when we talk about the decarbonization
Starting point is 00:28:44 of the United States, oftentimes we have failed to look at utilities as on the front line. We've rewarded utilities by basically making investments that profited their shareholders, their dividend owners, but not actually making our system more resilient, sustainable, reliable, and affordable. more resilient, sustainable, reliable, and affordable. And so I think in this moment, especially here in Louisiana, what we have to do is finally say that climate change, one, is real. So I hope Governor Landry hears that message and knows that, that I'm going to fight him every day to tell him climate change is real. But it's also actually good for business. I mean, when you think about this,
Starting point is 00:29:26 the people that are screaming for renewable energy because they're trying to showcase is actually the industrial users. And so like in Louisiana, I think it's an unknown fact that 60% of all the energy consumed in the state of Louisiana comes from an industry user,
Starting point is 00:29:42 not from a commercial user, not from a small business, not from a small business, not from a residential, but from these big refineries. And so if we're going to actually talk about the future of Louisiana, we have to talk about energy policy. And that's why I ran, and that's what I'm trying to do. Right on. Another issue that I know you focus on a lot in your campaign is the price of phone calls for folks in jails and prisons and maybe there's people listening to me right now saying what are you talking about tommy and why are you asking like the utility commissioner guy about this but can you explain the problem here and why how it falls under your purview and what you're doing to
Starting point is 00:30:24 kind of address this? Yeah. So the Louisiana Public Service Commission, we regulate the rates that it costs for an intrastate phone call between for those who are calling people who are incarcerated. And so when we think about this question, I mean, like Louisiana used to be the incarceration capital of the world. We are now battling Oklahoma to be second. I don't know if that's a great task. I mean, I don't know if I want to follow Oklahoma in anything, but I guess if we're going to beat Oklahoma at something, at least we can beat them in prison phone call rates.
Starting point is 00:30:58 But when we think about this, I just want to remind people that the average income of a person incarcerated prior to being incarcerated is around $20,000 a year. So when we talk about our average phone call rate for incarcerated families, the data showcases that a person incarcerated would spend over half of their yearly income just to communicate with their loved ones. Who's getting paid off that? Oh, these are the sheriffs and these are the telecommunication companies. So it's profitable for them to keep people in jail? Oh, absolutely. The sheriffs get a big kickback.
Starting point is 00:31:35 And so the sheriffs have been the biggest opponents. I tried to just do a study review of our prison phone call rates about four months ago, and the sheriffs called every one of my opponents, excuse me, to talk about this issue. And so what we see is that the sheriffs get a kickback from ensuring that people cannot communicate with their loved ones, but then they want to go and talk about recidivism and they want to talk about the rising effects of crime when we know the biggest reduction of crime is simply allowing people to talk. I think it's a human right to have human interaction. Why are we charging you to talk to your daughter or your son or your mother or your family when we incarcerate you? And so my goal and my quest is to make prison phone calls free,
Starting point is 00:32:27 and we're going to keep doing that. I mean, I imagine when you're talking to folks about this, like anyone who's had a loved one or a friend in prison gets it. But like, there's, look, fighting for incarcerated people is not great politics, right? As we look around, right? There's a lot of people demagoguing crime and other issues. I mean, when you talk to folks about this goal and this plan, are they, like, do you think they support what you're doing? I think some do. I mean, what I would like to remind people is that we actually need to put humanity back in the society
Starting point is 00:32:58 and actually care about one another. So you cannot talk to me about the crime in New Orleans if you don't want to talk about the effects of what Louisiana does to incarcerated people or how often we try to incarcerate somebody and so what I like to do it and the way I talk about it is ensuring that we recognize that the same way that you want to call your mother when something happens, someone incarcerated wants to do the exact same thing. And so why should they not only be incarcerated, but also suffer from the lack of seeing if their child got a great grade on their report card or if their mother had an issue or what's going on in their family. And we are
Starting point is 00:33:42 literally pushing people into poverty simply to communicate with their loved ones on the outside world so when they are released, that they have that connection to their family. I find it baffling that we're fighting this, but oftentimes it's just that the Louisiana sheriffs think they have a lot of power and it's time to break it. Yeah. Yeah, it seems like keeping people kind of connected and tethered to the outside world is a big part of rehabilitation. Oh, absolutely. I mean, I think it's extremely important. But the reason why we do it here in Louisiana is because we give our sheriffs a big pay cut for taking state prisoners.
Starting point is 00:34:18 So anytime someone is incarcerated, we do not have enough beds in the state penitentiaries. So what do we do? We send them to local jails they make profit off of it so they want to keep people incarcerated because that's the way they make their money terrible system yeah boo that that's forgotten all right happier subject so you are the first black lgbtq person elected to any political office in louisiana at any level. What was it like that night, breaking that barrier? What did it feel like? And what do you think it says about the future of Louisiana politics? Well, that night, I don't really remember because there was a lot of tequila. So if anybody was at my victory party, they know exactly what we did.
Starting point is 00:35:18 But for me, it was a moment to showcase that when you center people, right, there's oftentimes in politics, everyone tells you what you should be, how you should run, what you should do. And the way that I ran my campaign was I was going to be Devante 100 percent. You're going to like me. You're going to love me, you're going to vote for me or not. And what I think this moment showcases is when we actually speak to each other, when we speak to our common values, our common goals, our values, people will put aside their preconceived notions about you if they know you care about them. And that's what I did. And I think in this moment, it is showcasing that you do not have to bend to society's pressures. You can be who you want to be, live your life,
Starting point is 00:35:54 and showcase that if you care about each other, we can make the world a better place. And that's what I'm trying to do. You can run as you, is my takeaway there, which brings me to my next question. The Democratic Party in Louisiana had a tough time of late. Yeah, very tough. Trump won the state by more than 18 points in 2020. The recent governor's race didn't go great. We thought we might be talking about a runoff tonight when we scheduled this. How do you think Democrats get back on their feet in Louisiana? Well, I think Democrats get back on their feet if they grow a backbone and stand up for what they
Starting point is 00:36:32 believe in. I mean, too often times, Democrats in this state are afraid of Republican voters. Instead of speaking, when we look at the data analysis, right, a Governor Landry elect won with less votes than Bobby Jindal did in his re-election campaign running against a no-name teacher. So that tells you there is an apathetic view in the state of Louisiana. And I remind people all the time that the biggest voting block in Louisiana is not the Republican voter, it's the non-voter. So if Democrats actually talked about the issues that the biggest voting block in Louisiana is not the Republican voter, it's the non-voter. So if Democrats actually talked about the issues that people cared about, instead of going and trying to be Republican-lite, we can win. So I think the message for Democrats is stand up for
Starting point is 00:37:17 the poor, stand up for the working poor, stand up for black and brown people and women and LGBTQ people and our families and our children. And if we speak truth to power, instead of trying to chase power, we can actually get in power. And so I think that's our message to now is to be true to the values that we hold and fight for the people that we care about instead of trying to find every single way to showcase to the Republicans that we will be a good partner to them. Because let's be very clear, they've made it an assault. They're coming after black and brown people. They're coming after the city of New Orleans. They're coming after LGBTQIA plus people. They are coming after what we care about. And it's a question for the Democratic
Starting point is 00:38:02 Party in the state of Louisiana. Will we stand up for the people or will we try to be Jeff Landry's friend? And I'm going to fight for the people of Louisiana. I feel like I might have been a little more cynical about the Democratic Party's chances of winning in Louisiana before the last election day where we saw, you know, Ohio voted issue one that enshrined abortion rights into the Constitution. You've got Governor Beshear in Kentucky running strong, running on abortion access and winning that race. Like, were there takeaways for you guys,
Starting point is 00:38:38 the lessons learned about what you want to do next? I mean, I think the lessons learned is, one, we have to organize and mobilize people all the time, right? I mean, we can't wait till two days before the election to start talking about democratic values, that we have to start that. I think the message that we saw across the country is that when you actually run on the platform that we care about, the people that we care about, we can win. And so I think we got to get back to organizing and organizing is why people care about an issue, what issues they care about. And then mobilization is reminding them about the issues
Starting point is 00:39:10 that they care about. And so I think the takeaway for Louisiana is that now that we are pretty much at rock bottom is, I mean, I don't know how lower we can go. I don't know. I don't know what else the Republicans can take from us is to finally say like what do we have to lose? I mean I don't like quoting 46 minus 1 but I think he's right when he says what the hell do we have to lose? Let's just fight.
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Starting point is 00:40:12 Last year, we collaborated with Kari Yuma to create No Steps Back sneakers, and we can't believe they have now designed a second limited edition collaboration with us, the Love It or Leave It sneaker. Yeah, you bet. And guys, I have John Love It right here with me to talk about it. They're great, all right? They talk about it. They're great. All right? They're beautifully designed.
Starting point is 00:40:27 They're very cool. Look, if you like Love It or Leave It, you should get them. But even if you don't, and look, there are a few people out there that don't. You'll like them too. I want to see the Venn diagram of people who don't like Love It or Leave It but do buy the sneakers.
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Starting point is 00:40:58 Just head to cricket.com slash store. That's cricket.com slash store. So we just had a third Republican primary debate in Miami this week. You almost missed it. I did, man. I didn't watch.
Starting point is 00:41:13 You didn't even know it was happening. Seems like the early consensus among pundits and some polls is that Nikki Haley did well. Ron DeSantis still can't smile. Vivek Ramaswamy, still an insufferable asshole. So annoying.
Starting point is 00:41:30 If you didn't catch the debate, don't worry. Neither did the frontrunner, Donald Trump. He was a few miles away at a rally where he promised to carry out the biggest deportation of immigrants in history on his first day in office. Then he did an interview with Univision where he defended his child separation policy
Starting point is 00:41:47 and again threatened to indict people who've pissed him off. Let's listen. We have tremendous support from the, I call Hispanic, Latino. You have lots of different terms, but it all means the same thing as far as I'm concerned. They're just great people, incredible people. Right now you have coming through Mexico the largest group of people, call it caravans, that was the name that I came up with. I never get credit, I don't think
Starting point is 00:42:13 I get credit for fake news, I don't think I get credit for any of these names, but I think I came up with most of them. It could certainly happen in reverse. What they've done is they've released the genie out of the box, you understand that. If I happen to be president and I see somebody who's doing well and beating me What they've done is they've released the genie out of the box. You understand that? If I happen to be president and I see somebody who's doing well and beating me very badly, I say, go down and indict them. Mostly, that would be, you know, they would be out of business. They'd be out.
Starting point is 00:42:38 They'd be out of the election. Poor guy comes up with the best nicknames. No one gives him credit. Genies come out of a fucking lamp. Yes, thank you. Thank you. At least a bottle or them credit. Genies come out of a fucking lamp. Yes, thank you. Thank you. At least a bottle. Pandora comes out of a box. No, it's her box. Evil comes out of the box.
Starting point is 00:42:54 Trump's campaign. He's running again. There's a buried lead there. It's like if someone's going to come in and they're going to run against me, he can't run again. It's a good point. I was thinking about that. Or can he? I also think he lives in a kind of permanent narcissism present like in his mind when he thinks about a grievance it's happening again someone running against me he's always living inside of it it's a nightmare space that's why
Starting point is 00:43:18 he was so good on twitter it is interesting they of course asked the campaign What about the fact that Donald Trump just said he was going to indict people Who he doesn't like as president And they said oh he's just throwing out a hypothetical That's what the campaign said But they didn't rule out that he would do that Bad hypothetical Despite Nikki Haley's blockbuster debate performance
Starting point is 00:43:40 The 538 polling average Has Trump ahead by 42 points nationally 42 42 points in the national polls, they don't matter. 28 points in Iowa, 30 points in New Hampshire, 30 points in South Carolina. Those are the averages right now. We are just about two months out from Iowa. Here is the question. Is the Republican primary already over? We are going to try something a little different and have our own debate about this question. We're going to split into two teams,
Starting point is 00:44:11 make our best case, and hopefully leave the stage without a Nikki Vivek moment. So, arguing that for all intents and purposes the Republican primary is over will be me and Tim. Boo. Arguing that polls don't vote, people do.
Starting point is 00:44:29 Is going to be Dan and Tommy. What was that shit? And moderating this debate. I'm going to fucking moderate. So now before we begin, I want to poll the audience. Because we're going to poll again at the end. Let's understand where we're at as a team, what we're up against here. If you believe the Republican primary is for all intents and purposes over, please applaud.
Starting point is 00:45:00 If you believe that this is America and anything can happen, applaud. That's what I'm talking about. I'd say that was a lot of applause for Trump to start. All right. So that's where we're at to begin. To make the case that this primary is not yet over, Tommy, why don't you kick us off? Thanks, John. I'm a data-driven guy.
Starting point is 00:45:27 You know what I mean? People at Crooked Media, they come to me, they're like, Tommy, can I get some facts? So I got some facts. Because facts, they don't care about your feelings, Tim. And so I want you to think about three numbers. The first is the number 17. That is the number of points
Starting point is 00:45:43 that Dukakis was ahead of George H.W. Bush in the summer of 1988. You know who won that race? Bush by eight. Fact number two. Number number two. What's 17 plus eight? 16. That's how many points John McCain, Tim's old boss, was behind Rudy Giuliani in 2007.
Starting point is 00:46:05 He was also losing to Fred fucking Thompson. You know who was a Democratic nominee? John McCain. My last number for you guys. That's what I meant. He was the Republican nominee for president. The last number for you all, the number 303. for president. The last number for you all, the number 303. That is the number of electoral votes that Harry Truman won in 1948 when people like Tim and John were saying Dewey defeats Truman.
Starting point is 00:46:36 They were putting it on the front of newspapers. And so here's what I'm trying to tell you guys. This race is consolidating before our very eyes. Did you watch the debate the other night? Tim Scott basically quit the campaign on stage. That is true. I'll give you that. He gave up to go be with his girlfriend. Oh my god, we didn't talk about Tim Scott's girlfriend tonight.
Starting point is 00:46:57 The fake Ramaswamy annoyed the 3% of voters he had left. Chris Christie is running out of gas. Ron DeSantis is a high-heeled joke. So, here's what's going to happen. Nikki Haley is going to exceed expectations in Iowa. Then she's going to go to New Hampshire, get all the never-Trump vote,
Starting point is 00:47:16 and get the unaffiliated voters, because in New Hampshire, it's like a pseudo-open primary, and you can get folks from the other side. Then she goes to her home state, and she's going to steal the deal and win South Carolina. Now, these guys are snarling at me because they...
Starting point is 00:47:32 Very polite so far. You know, Duke Favreau and Lord Miller over here, they love a coronation. You know what I mean? When Dan and I were watching Rocky and Miracle, they were watching The King's Speech. I'm sorry, but you're going to have to wrap it up. Downton Abbey.
Starting point is 00:47:49 Sir. And so the last time I checked, we live in the United States of America. Oh, God. And anything is possible. And we can beat Donald Trump. All right. Audience, audience, audience, audience.
Starting point is 00:48:02 We'd like to hear from the candidates. John, you want to go next? I mean... Tim's got his mic on like a trigger. Yeah, no, no. I'll just respond to my neocon friend, Tommy. He's a big Nikki Haley fan. Look.
Starting point is 00:48:22 You're scum. Wow. Hey, hey, hey, hey, hey, hey. Get my name out of your voice. Tough. Want that one back. Majority of Republican primary voters like Donald Trump. They liked his presidency.
Starting point is 00:48:38 They believe he won the last election. They don't care about his 91 felony counts. They think he can easily beat Joe Biden. Why would Republican voters choose someone else at this point? Millions of dollars have already been spent on advertisements. Millions of people have watched these boring fuckers across three debates now. Huge organizations have been set up in the early states by these campaigns. The race has barely moved.
Starting point is 00:49:04 He is 40-something points is 40 something points ahead 30 points ahead in the early states a few republican candidates have made the case to voters that donald trump is a threat to democracy those candidates are polling in last place mike pence has dropped out um the last candidate with a lead this big was george w bush in 2000 he went on he went on to win all but seven states. And at the time, George W. Bush hadn't been president already. Donald Trump has been president already. He is beloved by the Republican base,
Starting point is 00:49:34 and they think he won the last election. He's still alive. It's over. It's over. Wow. Powerful words. Dan? I'm going to make three points here First I don't really appreciate Jon Favreau's
Starting point is 00:49:49 Don't wet the bed 2016 type messaging here Two In the world that anything is possible Donald Trump's a 77 year old Do you have video of John before the 2016 campaign and what he said? Because if so, if you put that up on screen, I'll switch to it.
Starting point is 00:50:10 That would have been good. That has been erased from the internet. Unfortunately not. Point number two, Donald Trump's a 77-year-old obese man with the diet of a college freshman at 2 a.m. Anything is possible. Nothing is over with Donald Trump in this race.
Starting point is 00:50:25 Death. Death is a with Donald Trump in this race. Death. Death is a possibility. Point number three. No, no, no. Shame on... No. You're applauding possibilities. We're cheering for actuarial tables.
Starting point is 00:50:39 Being accurate. That's it. Point number three, and I know this one is close to Tim Miller's heart, is that Donald Trump has been running for the Republican primary for a combined between 2016 and 2020 for over two years. In that time, he has never once faced a sustained strategic attack. All of the candidates around him have been attacking each other and hopes to be second. So it is an untested proposition.
Starting point is 00:51:20 And while I may not share Tommy's enthusiasm for Nikki Haley, I do think that there is a world where Nikki Haley surges. Ron DeSantis. What? They're anti-Trump, Dan. No one knows what they're shooting for. I was like, what? You promoted that I was going to be here. There are going to be at least three neocons out there in the audience. The neocons, see, originally the neocons only had one seat, and they took a second, and
Starting point is 00:51:37 then they took a third. So we're Nikki Haley Sergis, Ron DeSantis Sergis, which takes some from Trump because most of Trump's second choice voters are Ron DeSantis. Nikki Haley, as Tommy said, beats expectations in Iowa. Sure did. Wins in New Hampshire, wins in South Carolina, and there we go. So, Tim, your name was mentioned. Care to respond? I mean,
Starting point is 00:52:06 Tommy's first number was 17 and Donald Trump's winning by 42. So that's a first place I'd start. The name that... Devastating.
Starting point is 00:52:14 I have two points. First is the name that Tommy mentioned, which I agree with, which would be the plausible person that could beat him, I guess,
Starting point is 00:52:21 in a total fantasy world where we're all doing mushrooms together would be Nikki Haley and Tommy Vitor just endorsed her, officially ending her campaign. So that's kind of a big problem. The people in this room like Nikki Haley, let me tell you, I don't think
Starting point is 00:52:35 that's a good sign for her in the Republican primary. That was Chris Christie's problem. Okay. Alright. But I'd like to close with telling you about a town called Lafayette. Do we have anybody here from Lafayette? What are you, fucking Bill Clinton? What is this?
Starting point is 00:52:50 Yeah. I had to visit Lafayette. Oh, my God. I had to visit Lafayette a couple months ago. Get to the sentence about the fucking politics. Thank you, Tom Friedman. I was in the Cajun Dome, and there was a GOP meeting there. It was the day after the first debate, and a lady with an accent comes on stage, and she was like,
Starting point is 00:53:13 Y'all, who do you think won the first debate? And two people in the crowd go, Trump. And then everybody goes, Trump! Trump! Trump! You guys might not recall, but Trump did not attend the first debate. And after this meeting, I went out into the
Starting point is 00:53:33 lobby, and I started interviewing people, and I was like, who are you for in the primary? Trump. And I found a young person, looked like they went to college in Lafayette, and I was like, who are you for? And he looks around, and he goes, well, we're a Trump party. And I was like, yeah? He's like, so I'm for Trump. Then the girl next to him goes, but I like who are you for and he looks around and he goes well we're a Trump party and I was like yeah he's like so I'm for Trump then the girl next to him goes but I like Nikki Haley and she whispers and I was like but who are you gonna vote for and she goes well Trump and so in all of your fantasy plans where Nikki Haley overperforms and finishes fourth in Iowa
Starting point is 00:53:59 and then second New Hampshire and she went South Carolina Then she has to come to Louisiana and the vote will go to Lafayette. And the last Louisiana poll had Donald Trump 75, Ron DeSantis 8, Nikki Haley 2. Well, that's... I got a fourth number. It was a powerful... Oh, zero. The number of times you won Iowa, pal. It's getting dirty.
Starting point is 00:54:24 Okay, we finished. Take dirty Okay We finished Moderator six Take control We finished a gentleman six I was trying to be One of those moderators That disappears And not make it about myself
Starting point is 00:54:33 But by the way Not my style But you can't play that role That well Yeah not my style Huge mistake Back to me Dan
Starting point is 00:54:39 If Trump is winning by A lot of points a lot of points but he always tends to be around 50 sometimes a little bit over, sometimes a little bit under what is your argument that if let's say we lived in a world where a bunch of people dropped out because they've been embarrassing themselves
Starting point is 00:54:56 Tim Scott goes off to just young love picnics and walks in the park merry-go-rounds and so forth Ron DeSantis goes back into his sort of ooze cave or whatever he does at night. But anyway, you end up with just Nikki Haley. Do you really believe that if the... Ron DeSantis' people like Trump.
Starting point is 00:55:18 If Ron DeSantis leaves, they're for Trump. That's what I was going to say. I would like to ask the question to John. Because I know how you'll answer. But you don't believe that there could be an anti-Trump majority that could align behind one alternative? Because all the data suggests there is no anti-Trump majority in the Republican Party.
Starting point is 00:55:40 There is about 30% of Republican voters on a good day who do not like Donald Trump who are ready to move on. Then there's about 30 of republican voters on a good day who do not like donald trump we're ready to move on then there's another third who love donald trump but are like willing to consider other options and then there is the the trump base right it's one of the options that they're willing to consider an indian woman who that's uh right who is uh who they think is a neocon dc even though she hasn't served in dc but like served at the un right like you can actually see this for donald trump right you can actually see this now with vivek right who is attacked her at the debate and then after the debate started doing the whole like she made a bunch of money on the board at boeing like
Starting point is 00:56:22 they're gonna now do to Haley, Vivek, Trump, the Maga World, what they did to DeSantis, establishment shill, DC politician, Rhino, all this bullshit. Trump is the one true God. They'll just turn it on Nikki.
Starting point is 00:56:40 And could she consolidate the bulwark crowd? Absolutely, for sure. But that's not enough to win a republican primary at this point if only if only tim doesn't there isn't there some weakness in the fact that donald trump despite his popularity among republicans never can seem to get that much higher than 50 exactly that that's sort of where his ceilings that tell you anything no why not why not i mean, it's still pretty good. I mean, he's winning by 42. That's kind of a lot.
Starting point is 00:57:09 I don't know. But isn't some share of the people that are in that 50% people that would be open to an alternative? Well, sure. Yeah, but they like him. So it's not as if in his popularity rating. This is the thing. This is what everybody wishes, right? And I wish it.
Starting point is 00:57:21 I would love for this to be the case. But it's like if you ask Republican voters, do you have a favorable opinion of donald trump his number is well over 50 it's like 80 or 85 yeah right so they like him so there's a percentage of people that like i like him i like the cut of his jib but you know i like the whole whale stick that he does but like maybe i'd consider somebody doesn't that tell you that like between the there's there's the people that like him that aren't for him, that the people that love him that would bleed and die for him and have.
Starting point is 00:57:49 And then there's a chunk of people that are worried about hostages, as you call them. But there is a chunk of his support, right, that are people who, like him, want to be president but might have electability concerns, might have chaos concerns, right? Is that wrong? Am I wrong about that? I think they had those concerns at one point um but at this point
Starting point is 00:58:09 they're they're consolidating around them and you just have to look at the numbers yeah sure can i have a rebuttal yeah yeah sure okay first you know who's more popular among republican voters than donald trump no one ron desantis higher favorability rating in ohio in Iowa, in New Hampshire. Yes. Point number one. So why aren't they choosing him then? Can you please stop interrupting? The vague. It's over there. Two, no one has made an argument against Trump. Your hair needs to be way higher. There has not been negative ads run against Trump.
Starting point is 00:58:36 Not in 2016, not in 2020. So let's at least test. The negative ads backfire. These people are in a cult. I'm going to get control. I will turn off your microphone. Dan is speaking. This debate should have been moderated by Tucker
Starting point is 00:58:50 Carlson, Elon Musk, and Joe Rogan. The last time I checked, we live in America and you don't cut Dan off. What are you applauding? Shame on all of you for doing this in New Orleans. Do you even believe this? Eventually, you all are going to vote.
Starting point is 00:59:11 I'm going to say you have two choices. You can vote for Donald Trump or the American ideal of possibility. Donald Trump is spending a lot of his time not not in Iowa, but in a courtroom. Can you make an argument that given that there's, that your belief that nothing is over till election day, do you think that there's a possibility that these indictments start to have an impact and start to shift people towards an alternative? Shut up, Tim. Shut the fuck up.
Starting point is 00:59:42 All I see, all I see is possibility. And when you look at... Because we live in America. And the Iowa electorate is a very intensely conservative Christian evangelical community. The very popular governor of Iowa, Kim Reynolds, just endorsed Ron DeSantis. So, yeah, there's a lot of room to run.
Starting point is 01:00:05 Did anyone see that news? I didn't see that news. By the way, Tim was laughing at you like he's salt of the earth. Like he's not a gay libertarian from Oakland. But he gets what Iowa's all about. Shut up, Tim. In the realm of possibility. Look at what Cedar Falls, okay?
Starting point is 01:00:22 Let's not forget that in 2016, Ted Cruz beat Donald Trump in Iowa. And if Ted Cruz can beat someone in Iowa, anyone can beat fucking Donald Trump in Iowa. Unfortunately, we're just about out of time. Before
Starting point is 01:00:42 we go, let's see. Everybody feel good about their arguments? I just want to say that if Donald Trump did die, I don't think it would be... I'm just saying, if that happened, I don't think it would be out of the question that the Republican Party would still nominate the corpse of Donald Trump. From the courts.
Starting point is 01:00:59 I think we would call that a win-win. Hold on. If Don died junior, junior would clearly be the favorite. I think we would call that a win-win. Hold on. No, no, no. If Don died junior, junior would clearly be the favorite. If he died. Clearly. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:01:13 Well, on that note, where we've landed at this debate is Donald Trump more powerful than death itself. Surprising to us as our final point, obviously. But Donald Trump moving sands up through the hourglass. Listen, it's time to vote. If
Starting point is 01:01:37 you now believe the Republican primary is over and Trump will win, please applaud. If you believe that this is America and nothing is over till Trump will win, please applaud. If you believe that this is America and nothing is over till it's over, I'm prepared to tell you what happened tonight. This is why Donald Trump won in 2016. People cannot be trusted.
Starting point is 01:01:57 Because as Tim has clocked, this debate has been won by Dan and Tommy. Wow. Wasn't even close. I've hired Sidney Powell. We are going to challenge this. Two things that aren't
Starting point is 01:02:12 dead, Donald Trump and persuasion. We'll be right back. Oh my gosh. Oh my gosh. Please welcome to the stage, your representative, Mandy Landry. Thank you. first I want to apologize for having you do this interview immediately after whatever that was and also this is what happens
Starting point is 01:02:53 when you have a show on a Friday night in New Orleans so I want to start you're obviously very popular in this crowd about they literally just saw my face all over Uptown for six months. Well, it worked. Whatever it was, it worked. You are a progressive in a very Republican state. What is that like and what keeps you going fighting for progressive values in this world? So first of all, I have a unicorn district.
Starting point is 01:03:27 That's what I call it. They are fully supportive. We have the same views. And part of that reason is when I ran in 2019, I said, I'm going to run as myself. These are my views. If the district doesn't want it, I'm going to go on with my life. And before I did that, I pulled. I knew they were progressive.
Starting point is 01:03:44 90% pro-choice, 90% gun safety, 90% legalized weed, probably 99 by now. And the more I do that and talk about that, people come out of the woodwork, especially in the rural areas. A lot of younger LGBT people. I hear from trans members now because of last year. And I know that there are people out there who look to Devante and me and they say, we need more of you. Keep talking. You're giving us some hope. And this last election, they came out in force for me. Half this audience, probably. Tommy asked Devante about this, but I'm going to ask you as well.
Starting point is 01:04:22 2023 was a great election year for Democrats all across the country. We reelected the governor of Kentucky. Abortion rights became part of the Constitution in Ohio, expanded the legislatures in Virginia and New Jersey. Louisiana was a very stark difference, right? With most of the statewide candidates not getting the 30%, as Tommy mentioned. We originally scheduled the show thinking it would be happening during a gubernatorial runoff.
Starting point is 01:04:45 Maybe we were naive, but here we are. And what is your take on what happened in this state that makes it different from what's happening everywhere? Even in Mississippi, where we didn't win the gubernatorial race, Brandon Presley, the Democrat, outperformed expectations, came closer than previous Democrats had come. So what's happening here in Louisiana? So I think there are – I think – I was thinking about this since we talked about it. I think it's a combination of national and local. National being from my point of view, being down here, the National Democratic Party just left red states for dead. Like there's been no investment.
Starting point is 01:05:17 They just kind of left us there. When I tried both times to get help from national pro-choice organizations, they're like, you're tier four. I said, well, I'm going to be tier seven if you don't help. So I think there's been no investment in Presley's near win might help us all. But from a local level, our state party is still run by old school people. It's a clique patronage system. You have to kiss the ring. You have to be part of the group. And they don't want people who come in through the side door like Devante and me. They
Starting point is 01:05:52 want to pick the people so they control you. And if you had told me that existed before I won, I would not have believed you. There's a deep state here for sure. But they're getting worried. They're really getting worried because they see people like this who are so mad about it and we're growing. Abortion was the issue that drove Democratic success in 2022, drove Democratic success in 2023. It's a little more complicated here for the Democratic Party. I know it's an issue you worked on before you got into politics. Can you talk a little bit about how maybe the party has mishandled the issue and what can be done here to sort of galvanize what we know to be
Starting point is 01:06:35 a pro-choice majority, not just in blue states, but in red states like Louisiana? Yeah. So what you're describing is the larger argument in the state Democratic Party that for a while now they've said we need to go for the moderate or the conservative whites. And then some of the rest of us in cities were like, no, your progressives are energized. They want to do stuff. Those conservative white voters are gone. There are Trump voters. The few of us or the few who remain are not going anywhere either. The few of us or the few who remain are not going anywhere either. And it is difficult here. I mean, our new speaker of the house was one of the architects of the abortion situation here. We were ground zero for abortion for 40 years.
Starting point is 01:07:16 They tested everything here. But what we've seen since last year in polling down here is that has started to shift. Even in Louisiana, when it finally happened, people were like, oh, shit. Like, wait a minute. If my wife is dying, I can't bring her to the hospital. They're going to tell us to wait in the parking lot, which has happened. People were horrified that there was no rape and incest exception. So we're going to be behind on that, but it is happening everywhere. And what role did the outgoing Democratic governor's position on abortion have?
Starting point is 01:07:48 Do you think that dampened enthusiasm among Democrats? Am I about to get you in trouble with this? He endorsed against me in this election, which pissed off everyone in this room. Okay, we're going to get to that. It was very frustrating because both times he ran against horrible Republicans. And it was very, very frustrating to go all out. I mean, I volunteered for him.
Starting point is 01:08:14 Everyone in here probably helped him because he was a good person. He was smart. He was going to do Medicaid expansion. But he loved guns and hated reproductive rights. So it was very hard. And we thought maybe he would soften over the time. He gave the impression that maybe it was going to be about a personal choice. And instead, he signed the trigger ban last year. He did not have to sign it. It
Starting point is 01:08:36 still would have became law. And the letter he put out was full of lies. And yours truly responded to it publicly. And he didn't have to do that he could have been more compassionate about it and you think that dampened enthusiasm among democratic voters i think it just made people more deflated even like oh this is happening and he can't even throw us a bone by saying it's too far and we knew it was happening i still refuse to believe it until the day it happened but it was a large part of the last session. We had another member who wanted to charge women who had an abortion with murder.
Starting point is 01:09:12 And that finally woke up my colleagues and they said, oh my God, we're going to be so embarrassed if we do this. That's what they cared about. And as you mentioned, the Democratic government endorsed your opponent. You have left the Democratic Party, become an independent, come back. What is that? A couple questions on that.
Starting point is 01:09:30 One, do you think perhaps it was in an election where most Democrats did not get 30% of the vote, it was a good use of the Democratic governor's time to endorse your opponent? And what made you leave to become an independent and then come back? I mean, those two questions are, are together almost the same question. Um, it was him, it was the Congressman, it was the former Senator and they had this little girl who was in the clique and wanted to join and all this money and I was a pain in the butt and getting popular and saying things publicly. Um, I think part of the reason he did that is I'm mouthy. I've been responsive to him about abortion. I've talked back to him publicly about abortion.
Starting point is 01:10:12 He cut pandemic unemployment a month early, a quarter billion dollars he left on the table. And it was a month before Hurricane Ida. And I was part of the lawsuit that sued him. So a lot of things he did not like. And yeah, they spent their time, all of them. I mean, the congressman was on Claiborne waving signs for the 27-year-old running against me. Because they didn't care. They already knew Sean was not going to win.
Starting point is 01:10:38 Now I look back on it, did they know he wasn't even going to make a runoff? They just laughed at, he's a good man. And they just laughed at him with no help. Nothing. And talk a little bit about the decision to become an independent and then come back. What brought you back? My friends and House Democratic leadership, they said, we want you to come back.
Starting point is 01:10:56 We're going to help you. And it's going to be extremely hard if you don't come back. And with House Democratic leadership, it was before session. And they said, you do a lot. We need you back. I do a lot, like we need you back. I do a lot of policy and they wanted me to come back but leaving was similar
Starting point is 01:11:09 to everything I've talked about. I mean, my party worked against me last year when I ran. The state Democratic chair did it. She's a whole other story. Will you tell that story here? I've said it many times publicly,
Starting point is 01:11:23 she's incompetent. Everyone in here is very familiar with what's been going on. Negligent, she early this year decided she might want to run for governor. And she did this weird commercial. She didn't even say she was a Democrat. And then she shot a clay pigeon. It was weird. She hasn't raised any money. She didn't recruit any candidates, although apparently she helped recruit the person who ran against me. She hasn't raised any money. She didn't recruit any candidates, although apparently she helped recruit the person who ran against me. She helped recruit a candidate who ran against someone else she doesn't like.
Starting point is 01:11:53 It's just provincial patronage politics. But that's kind of what happened last year. And I was like, well, why should, there was other things too. They did stuff to Devante. Gary Chambers got screwed. Everyone here loves Gary too. There was just a lot that happened.
Starting point is 01:12:09 We love Gary. Is there an effort to try to retake the party apparatus? We've seen this happen in other states around the country where there's been sort of this atrophied establishment ineffective party apparatus being taken over by the sort of younger activists that
Starting point is 01:12:24 have been brought. Obama was elected. A lot of people who work for bernie sanders did in other states what's happening here it yes it has started and we have a lot of faith in it um after what happened to sean and then you know a lot of your liberals and progressives around the state were watching my race because there were hardly any races around the state and got mad about it and started saying what can we do what can we do so our um State Central Committee, which is the I call it the legislature of the state committee of the state party. Those elections are up when our presidential primary is in March, I think. And so we'll be voting on those members. There's 210 to two for every house district. And then they vote for the chair and the executive board.
Starting point is 01:13:04 210, so two for every house district. And then they vote for the chair and the executive board. So there's been a lot of organizing and talking and people who've been around for a while say, look, four of you don't run because if the bad guys run one and we run four, you won't win. And so it's people who are having to learn campaigns in the process. And I think we'll do pretty well because we came pretty close the last year election um but we need we need a lot more people organized and focused on it and i think we can do that but it's going to be this is going to be a decade of growing you know as davante said in this conversation with tommy like this is we've hit rock bottom here right like that's what this election was talk a little bit about the path back right you say it's a decade right it's the demographics
Starting point is 01:13:46 are not exactly the same but we've seen progress in states like georgia where there was a decade of organizing that brought the democratic party back was able to win statewide elections a lot's changed in politics but it wasn't that long ago that louisiana had two democratic senators democratic governors a long time what do you see is the path back, as long as it may be? What should the obviously very enthusiastic progressives in this room hold on to for hope as we move forward here? How do we get there? Basically what Republicans did for decades is go into some of these areas, drop $10,000 on a school board race, $40,000 on parish president in the middle of nowhere.
Starting point is 01:14:25 There's towns, little towns that the mayor is the mayor of 500 people. We saw Republicans build their bench for decades. And then those people became congressmen and governors and they went to the Senate. We can do that. Races are outside of, well, outside of mind. Races in Louisiana in the rural areas are totally cheap and affordable. And we can start doing that because there's been none so far. We have a lot of active people who want to do more. We just don't have any sort of structure on the ground, and that is not expensive, but it takes a while. And I think there's a lot more enthusiasm now after we saw what happened here.
Starting point is 01:15:00 And we were all looking at Mississippi very closely, and that was amazing what he did so you mentioned the National Party has abandoned Louisiana and a lot of red states right and even in Mississippi Brandon Presley because of the governor's race was quasi-competitive at least for a while got some assistance from the Democratic Government Association if the DNC folks here the Democratic money folks were here what would would you say to them to get them to invest in Louisiana? Help us start on the ground with some of these small races. We need to start early for recruiting. We need organizers, young people, retired people, union members. But we need to
Starting point is 01:15:42 come up with a plan. And we need them to help us come up with a plan. We don't have that many people here, although we have Linda Woolard in the audience, who has mentored so many of us, but we need 50 Lindas to get on the ground and teach people, and I think they can provide that to us, because once they teach a few of us, we'll have a few more, and we really need to go in the far-flung few of us, we'll have a few more. And we really need to go in the far flung areas and tell people we're here and just tell them what the elected positions even are in those areas. And it's largely about motivating the people who do not vote, right? Yeah. And we have, what do we have in the state? 26, 27% who are no party. We still have
Starting point is 01:16:23 some Democrats, the legacy ones, that basically vote Republican. But that's a lot of it. Our turnout is always low. We have the off-year state elections, which, from what I understand, are sort of made that way or designed that way on purpose.
Starting point is 01:16:41 It's not an accident it's here in Mississippi. That's a choice. But Virginia, too, which is interesting. Just final word for the folks here. What would you say to all the people here who are maybe stung by the elections here, but want to keep fighting? Well, I have heard from half of you by now. A lot of you are interested in the DSCC, but there are other groups you can join. There's Vote, there's Step Up, there's Power Coalition. There's a lot of reproductive rights groups.
Starting point is 01:17:08 Live Louisiana is here. There are groups out there that you, but you have to dig a little. Like there's not just gonna be a show up and Habitat for Humanity and Build a House Day. You have to research and look around and contact people and to see like where you might fit and maybe be willing to go in outside areas. This happens around the country though. And it's similar here
Starting point is 01:17:31 that California, New York and the blue States are like, why do you live down there? And I said, well, why don't you move down here? Like we, we need the help. And Tim literally did. So yeah, I mean, he can stay. But that's similar here. And I understand that you have someone who doesn't quite fit in in Ruston or Monroe, and they come down to Baton Rouge or New Orleans, and it's hard to tell that person, please stay there and change your neighborhood. But that's important, too.
Starting point is 01:18:01 All right. Please give it up for Manny Landry. Thank you so much for everything you've been doing. You're welcome. New Orleans, you've given us so much that is good. Jazz, beignets, the idea of getting drunk while also walking around. Unfortunately, the can't all be bangers in the Bayou State also
Starting point is 01:18:21 spat out the house's new speaker and most boring looking maniac, Mike Johnson. This week, all of us learned against our will that Johnson and his 17-year-old son are each other's so-called accountability partners. Using an app called Covenant Eyes to monitor each other's porn intake, to review what else we've learned
Starting point is 01:18:40 about Louisiana's lousiest, I've assigned each of my co-hosts their own accountability partner in a game we're calling Covenant Eyes Are Watching You. Covenant Eyes They're watching you. Perfect.
Starting point is 01:19:00 Here's how it works. John and Dan are one cent of accountability partners. Tommy and Tim are another. Each teammate must guess the other's responses to facts about Mike Johnson. But here's the twist. No matter what, they must not jack off.
Starting point is 01:19:20 Okay. Oh, wow. Oh, wow. Dan should have the whiteboard to begin okay all right here's how this works basically newlywed game deal with it uh john yes which of mike johnson's claims about himself does dan consider the least believable dan i'm to read you
Starting point is 01:19:45 two claims. You write the one that you believe less. Okay? Claim A, that he and his wife have no bank accounts with more than $5,000 in it.
Starting point is 01:19:56 What? Even though he makes $223,000 a year and she works. And lives in Shreveport. Claim B, that he can't even remember his many comments
Starting point is 01:20:07 about how homosexuality should be criminalized and that he genuinely loves all people regardless of their lifestyle choices. Which claim do you find less believable? Don't let me sure John can't see.
Starting point is 01:20:18 Dan is writing it down. All right, John, what do you think? What do you think Dan finds less plausible? The things he said about gay people. That is correct. Bigoted claims. Bigoted claims.
Starting point is 01:20:32 One point to John and Dan. I know my accountability partner. Lovett, can we hear the song one more time? In a game we're calling, Covenant Eyes are watching you. Covenant Eyes, they're watching you. Can we explain the origin of that song? Here's what happened. Last night, I did what I always do
Starting point is 01:20:52 when I have an important show the next day and I'm on an airplane. I had an edible and two drinks. And that's where my best ideas happen. And so I sent a note to this wonderful production team saying we should make this game called Covenant Eyes are watching you. Best ideas happen. And so I sent a note to this wonderful production team saying, we should make this game called Covenant Eyes Are Watching You. And people need to sing into their iPhone,
Starting point is 01:21:10 Private Eyes Are Watching You by Hall & Oates, but replace the private with covenant. Then today I received a phone call. And the phone call was, we can't do that. Because of copyright law. And I said, fuck that. Because of copyright law. And I said, fuck that.
Starting point is 01:21:30 And then Olivia and Ben and Ari and Elijah went into a bathroom. And Phoebe. And Phoebe was there. Phoebe was in the mix. And they formed a chorus. And they got on key. And they got on pitch. And they got on beat.
Starting point is 01:21:41 And they made this beautiful work. I would just say, as a legal strategy, saying that someone warned you about a legal violation and then announcing to a crowd, fuck that, it's not a good move. We'll cut that part. We'll cut that. We'll be adding that out of the pod. Oh, no, Hall and Oates are sending me
Starting point is 01:21:58 to cease and desist letters? What will I ever do if both Hall and Oates are mad at me? Will I get unbelievable? Tim and Tom. Yeah. All right, Tommy, I have before me two. Tim should have the whiteboard to begin. Sorry.
Starting point is 01:22:20 Tommy, I have before me two god-awful Mike Johnson quotes from 2004. Okay. Which one makes Tim want to make out with his husband right in front of him? All right. Right in front of Mike? Right in front of Mike. Okay. Which, right.
Starting point is 01:22:37 Quote A. Did you write this question after the edible? This was written by a team. Quote A. Homosexual relationships are inherently unnatural and the studies clearly show are ultimately harmful and costly for everyone. Or quote B.
Starting point is 01:22:53 Experts project that homosexual marriage is the dark harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy that could doom even the strongest republic. Okay. Let me know when you're done, Tim. I'm finished. I suspect... I suspect Tyler might agree with B,
Starting point is 01:23:14 so I'm going to go with A. See, this is why Tyler is actually my accountability partner. And if Tommy had my phone, it would shock the conscience. B, Dark harbinger dark harbinger very sexy wow dan which of the following real blog posts on the covenant eyes website would john be most eager to read post a what does the bible say about masturbation? Or post B, when Jesus used technology, what's getting the click? I mean, to be honest, offline John would never read a blog post, but...
Starting point is 01:23:55 Yeah, all right. He's still on his phone at the urinal. It's not cured quite yet. Once in a while, if there's a good tweet. Huh. I would say A, masturbation. A, masturbation. That's correct. That's the one John wants to know more about.
Starting point is 01:24:17 Well, according to this game. The technology referenced in the blog post is a towel and a basin full of water, which seems to go back to post A. Tim, which item on Mike Johnson's dog diaper of a resume does Tommy find most worrying? Which is more worrying? A, the time he played a leading role in efforts to overturn the 2020 election, or B, the time he tried to make Kentucky taxpayers pay for the Ark Encounter creationist theme park, including dinosaurs riding on a life-size Noah Ark? That's really hard.
Starting point is 01:24:56 What does Tommy find more worrying? Okay. I know about what you find really hard. We're accountability partners. Because they're accountability partners. What's your answer, Tim? What's your answer, Tim? My answer is A.
Starting point is 01:25:10 I went with B. Wow. Listen, if you think there's a fucking dinosaur on the ark, that's way worse. The end of democracy? Dinosaurs on the ark. The dinosaurs aren't in the Bible. You talked about that. Well, you know what that sound means it's time for the lightning round oh boy i'm gonna ask a
Starting point is 01:25:32 question the first team to answer correctly wins a point plus a string oh no we're not doing that that's it they win a point there is still no masturbating here we go call it out if you know it. Johnson is the least experienced house speaker in 140 years because he's only served how many terms? Three. Incorrect. He's now in his fourth term. Shit.
Starting point is 01:25:53 Does Mike Johnson blame abortion or the teaching of evolution for school shootings? Evolution. You're both right. It's both. Points in both directions. We're calling that a tie. I have the quotes here, but who cares?
Starting point is 01:26:09 What is the name of the podcast that Mike and Kelly Johnson co-host where they present thoughtful analysis of hot topics and current events from a Christian perspective? The Next Level. Not enough people clapped for that. To my point that you should change the name of that podcast. Yeah, we really do need to
Starting point is 01:26:25 change the name. What the fuck does the next level mean? It doesn't mean a goddamn thing. Next level. I can never, I listened to it. I can never remember how to fucking find it on my own
Starting point is 01:26:33 goddamn phone. Change the name. It's a much better name. It's like a Super Mario podcast. It'd be singing Hall and Oates theme. It'd be much better. You're right.
Starting point is 01:26:42 JBL can't sing. The correct answer is Truth Be Told. Bonus point, how many episodes are there? There's like 14. Zero. They've all been erased. 69. Nice.
Starting point is 01:26:53 Is that right? That's not right. It can't be true. Mike Johnson, a man who disclosed no assets on his annual financial disclosure report required a federal lawmaker. He had no bank accounts with more than $1,000 personally, and his wife have no bank accounts in total of more than $5,000.
Starting point is 01:27:12 How much does he make a year? $222,000. You got it. Point to Tommy. He's been thinking about running for Congress. How much am I going to make? Four minutes ago. You got to listen.
Starting point is 01:27:23 You got to listen. For the record record he used to he used to make 174 I believe but made another 30 doing what becoming a speaker no no no
Starting point is 01:27:33 he got another 30 he was doing giving people advice in there it was like family advice he was teaching online courses
Starting point is 01:27:40 for liberty fucking university he also his wife gives people like Christian counseling. Yes, yes. And that's another piece of income that they have.
Starting point is 01:27:49 Mike Johnson's wife, Kelly, compared homosexuality to which two things on her now removed website? Bestiality. Correct. One more. And... Oh, incest?
Starting point is 01:28:02 No, incest. It's incest. Nice, Tim. Nailed it. Yeah. Way to Tim. Thanks, baby. A way to go from the crowd. Go Tigers. Go fucking Tigers.
Starting point is 01:28:17 Good pander. Last question. What did Johnson once suggest was to blame for the fall of Rome? Gay sex. Gay sex. It was gay sex. Some blame for the fall of Rome? Gay sex. Gay sex. Yeah, it was gay sex. It was gay sex.
Starting point is 01:28:27 Some credit to the fall of Rome to not only the deprivation of society and the loss of morals, but also to the rampant homosexual behavior that was condoned by the society. Seems like he thinks a lot about the Roman Empire and gay sex. And who doesn't? I know I do. And I got to say, man, you know, you guys, Tommy did great on the debate. Thanks. As did Dan.
Starting point is 01:28:51 John and Dan won this game. Yeah, we did. Tim, you're walking over there. You shot the moon on the games tonight. And that's Covenant Eyes are watching you. Covenant Eyes, they're watching you. Wow. That's our show for tonight. Thank you, Devante Lewis. they're watching you. Wow. That's our show
Starting point is 01:29:06 for tonight. Thank you, Devante Lewis. Thank you, Mandy Landry. Thanks, Tim Miller. Thanks,
Starting point is 01:29:11 New Orleans. Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. Our producers are Olivia Martinez and David Toledo. Our associate producer
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