Pod Save America - Can Trump's Health Care Cuts Be Stopped?
Episode Date: June 3, 2025The health care of 10 million Americans is at risk as President Trump's massive tax cut legislation makes its way to the Senate. Will Majority Leader John Thune be able to cobble together a bill that ...the "Medicaid moderates," budget hawks, and hardliners can all agree on? Meanwhile, Stephen Miller freaks out at ICE leadership for failing to detain and deport enough immigrants, corporate America begins cutting ties with law firms that bent the knee to Trump, and Democratic presidential hopefuls begin testing the waters. Jon and Lovett embrace the schadenfreude, discuss the lies Speaker Mike Johnson is peddling to win over his Senate colleagues, and evaluate Senator Joni Ernst's "we're all going to die" message to her constituents. Then, Jon talks to Senator Brian Schatz about putting an end to Democratic navel gazing and fighting to stop Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill."
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Listen wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to Pod Save America, I'm Jon Favreau.
I'm Jon Lovett.
Tommy is on vacation.
Lucky him.
Mm-hmm.
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Okay.
On today's show, we're going to cover Stephen Miller screaming and firing people at ICE
for not rounding up enough immigrants.
ICE, not tough enough for Stephen Miller.
Big companies deciding that they'd rather hire law firms that haven't bent the knee
to Donald Trump and potential Democratic presidential candidates starting to test the waters with
speeches and super PACs.
I'm also going to talk to our friend Brian Schatz, Senator from Hawaii, about the party's plan
to fight Trump's tax cuts for the rich
and healthcare cuts for everyone else.
But let's start with the White House response
to yet another anti-Semitic attack.
This one in Boulder, Colorado,
where a man unleashed a homemade flame thrower
and Molotov cocktails on elderly Jewish people
who were marching peacefully in honor of the hostages
still held by Hamas.
12 people were injured, some seriously, and the guy already confessed he was apparently
planning the attack for a year and told police he would do it again if he could.
He's being charged with a federal hate crime, but because this is Donald Trump's America,
that's not the end of the story, because the perpetrator is an Egyptian national who entered
the U.S. on a tourist visa, applied for asylum, and then overstayed his visa while waiting
for his asylum claim to be heard.
So Trump's first post on the attack said that the guy came in under, quote, Biden's ridiculous
open border policy, which isn't true since his tourist visa appears to have originated
in 2018.
Trump went on to say, quote, this is yet another example of why we must keep our borders secure
and deport illegal anti-American radicals from our homeland.
Thoughts on the attack and Trump's response.
So it's the second anti-Semitic attack in as many weeks.
This one left people horrifically burned.
The previous attack left two people dead.
That one was perpetrated by a citizen, so it is not an immigration issue.
This one is perpetrated by someone who is not a citizen and who is here illegally, so
it is now an immigration issue.
As you said, he came in under a tourist visa.
There's some reporting that he may have been also on a work visa that expired in March
of this year, so it very well may turn out that he entered when Trump was president and became an undocumented
immigrant when Trump was president now.
The fact that that is the case doesn't make Trump administration policies responsible,
nor the fact that Donald Trump has been far more focused on border security and images
of the border, because that's what's in his head, then people overstaying their
visas, which is an incredibly common problem in a big part of the population of undocumented
immigrants.
So we're left with sort of this sort of messy set of facts.
Donald Trump is going to lie about those set of facts.
His spokespeople are going to lie about that set of facts.
And the end result is we have a big, messy, broken immigration system. When a terrible crime like this happens, it is evil,
it is awful.
If it turns out that there were steps
that should have been taken along the way
that could have prevented it,
then we should learn from that and figure that out.
But the knee-jerk effort to turn this into an indictment
of Biden policies versus Trump policies,
so far it's just not borne out by the facts. Just not at all.
I know.
I found myself like digging through the timeline
and type of visa and why did he get the work permit?
Because, you know, he was waiting for his asylum claim
to be heard and while you're waiting,
even if you overstay your visa,
it's okay to stay here with the work permit.
And then I'm like, you know what?
What am I fucking doing?
Like crime is bad.
When people commit
crimes or terror attacks like this, the police should have every available tool
to apprehend them as they do right now, immigrant or not immigrant, citizen or
non-citizen, and it shouldn't have to, like we shouldn't have to have every
single crime now turn into a debate about the person's immigration status. In
fact, the government has vetted people
who are coming into this country
more than your average American citizen
who may commit a crime or may commit an anti-Semitic attack
like the last two anti-Semitic attacks
that have happened this year that we know about.
So like, what are we doing?
What we're doing is they are exploiting this,
Trump and Stephen Miller,
they're exploiting this horrific anti-Semitic attack
in order to justify an immigration crackdown
that is getting more extreme and dangerous by the day.
And by the way, that's affecting people
who not only aren't criminals,
but people who are here legally,
who have legal status and are legally allowed to be here.
We have a broken immigration system.
There are people who have come here that were undocumented the day they got here.
There are millions of people who came here by overstaying their visas.
That is a policy problem.
We also built an economy on the backs of undocumented people.
That is a policy problem.
If you want to make a claim that undocumented people are more dangerous
or more violent, if you want to make a claim that people that have overstayed their visas
are this sort of violent contention in our society, you can try to do that. It's not
borne out by the evidence. Now, if your political views tell you that even though, yes, immigrants
do not commit crimes in the United States at a rate higher than citizens, or
undocumented immigrants do not commit crimes at a rate higher than legal immigrants, but
any crime by an undocumented person is an indictment of this entire broken system and
therefore we must deport everyone who's overstated a visa.
We must do an incredibly violent and cruel and widespread crackdown on everybody, even
though the vast majority of people who are here legally,
illegally are here because they're trying to build a better life.
They want to get jobs and we built an economy on the backs of undocumented and documented
immigrants to be honest.
And if that's the policy proposal you want to put in place, propose it, put it forward,
right?
But instead they just want to take a specific case, a terrible, evil fucking case of anti-Semitism
and turn it into an immigration story.
By the way, when there was that shooting
a week and a half ago, and it turns out to be a citizen,
it can't be an immigration story.
So now it's a leftism story,
or it's a story about this other group of people
we also don't like.
When there's a terrible shooting at a softball game
in Congress, that's also gonna be a political story. But when you have kind of right-wing violence, when you have people goaded
by racism, by xenophobia, those mental health issues, those are lone wolves.
Lone wolves, yeah. Of course, Stephen Miller has been all over this too. His first tweet about the
attack said, quote, no more hostile migration. Keep them out and send them back. He then followed
up with a second tweet.
In case people didn't read the first, I guess, just a couple hours later that read,
um, suicidal migration must be fully reversed.
Suicidal migration.
He doesn't really talk about what suicidal migration is in the tweet, but.
Yeah, it seems like it's just, this is a person from Egypt.
And so it's sort of vaguely like a suicide bomber.
I, yeah.
Or just that, you know, migration of people who do not assimilate, who in Stephen Miller's mind
don't assimilate into our culture is suicide for America.
I could be part of it too.
I don't know.
And then, but it's like, this is not a migration stra-
This is somebody who overstayed a tourism visa
and who applied for other kinds of visas.
Again, we're gonna get more detailed.
We'll find out the exact fact of it.
Like, what is your policy on that, right? I saw, you know, JD Vance was sort
of set an off's hand comment, if you're visiting for the World Cup, you better leave after.
Right? But as far as I can tell, like what they're not, this has not been a focus of
this administration.
Matthew Feeney Miller showed his true colors based on a report in the Washington Examiner
about him losing his shit on ICE agents for not detaining
and deporting enough immigrants.
He basically calls a meeting in DC and everyone,
all the field offices, everyone in ICE has to like
come to this meeting and he is apparently livid
that the agency is behind schedule on deporting
a million immigrants this year.
And in this meeting, he told all the people there, all the top ICE administrators, quote,
you're not doing a good job, and quote, you're horrible leaders.
When they told him that they were focusing on going after immigrants with serious crimes
on their record, which is what Tom Homan and Donald Trump and everyone else has been saying
on TV, what they said during the campaign, Miller reportedly said, quote, why aren't you at Home Depot?
Why aren't you at 7-Eleven?
Two top ICE officials were later fired after that meeting, reportedly because ICE isn't
hitting the White House Stephen Miller target of 3,000 arrests per day.
Then over the weekend, Miller went on Lara Trump's Fox News show to deliver his typically
chill criticisms of our immigration and legal systems.
Let's listen.
These district court judges have precipitated a constitutional crisis.
The craziest, most liberal lawyer seeks out the craziest, most liberal judge out of the
700 and says, I want you to shut down this executive branch policy
Nationwide for the entire country the people of Florida
Consent to be ruled by the judges San Francisco scammers and grifters in Washington DC are getting rich
The illegal aliens are getting rich the criminals are getting away with everything the illegal aliens are getting rich. The criminals are getting away with everything. The illegal aliens are getting rich.
What are you fucking talking about?
Because they're just getting all those beautiful hotels
in New York City.
Yeah, I don't know.
What are you talking about?
He just, he's not even trying to lie well anymore.
He's not even trying to lie even like,
not even a baseline of believability here.
We certainly suspected that all the talk
from the Trump White House about focusing
and prioritizing the worst of the worst
and the criminals was bullshit.
But it's clarifying to have Miller confirm it
to all these ICE officials.
Apparently he said,
he said, what do you mean you're going after criminals?
Why not go to the 7-Elevens?
Why not go to this?
And then one ICE official said in the story,
quote, Stephen Miller wants everybody arrested.
That's why he's mad.
Yeah, so there's a couple things
that are interesting about this.
One, he goes on television and says,
these judges are stopping us.
These judges are stopping us.
But that's not what's stopping them here, right?
That's not what this is about, right?
What's actually, what's interesting to me about this is he's going
directly to these field directors and saying, why aren't you deporting more people? And
what he's hearing back is the kind of reality of governing, which is limited beds. The Homeland
Security Investigations Division doesn't feel it's their responsibility to do some of these
sort of street arrests. The enforcement and removal officers feel like they're overburdened and there aren't
enough beds.
And so the truth is, and this is what we've been saying, right, that they go on television
or they post how judges are stopping them, judges are stopping them, judges are stopping
them from using the Alien Enemies Act.
Judges are stopping them from deporting people without a hearing to foreign prisons.
But no one's actually stopping them from using their power to do the deportations and removals
that they're legally allowed to do under the law.
What's stopping them is just governing, their inability to govern.
And so then you end up with, this is I think the second point, this incredibly strange
meeting, right?
A White House senior official going not just
not with the secretary of Homeland Security there,
apparently, Kristi Noem is there kind of.
Playing the good cop.
Yeah.
And for the first time.
Really strange.
She's like, you're doing okay, but you could be doing better.
Right.
But, but I mean, this sort of fucking, you know, a little fucking, you know,
worm shouting at these field directors and ICE officials
who I am sure were pretty fucking heated to be having to take this from, you know, Trump's
lackey, who's not a member of law enforcement, who's not any kind of national security or
law enforcement official in his past.
So that's deeply strained and really incredibly political.
Right?
Like it's no, there's inconceivable to imagine
a senior advisor of the Obama administration
going directly to a group of field directors at ICE.
Also, it really unlocks why they are going after
all of these people who have legal status, our kids,
our families, our people who've been here for 20, 30, 40 years, their whole lives.
Because after yelling at them, they fire two top ICE officials, right?
And now he's telling them you need 3,000 arrests per day.
So if you're, say you're an ICE federal agent who doesn't love arresting immigrants, right?
Which is being generous, right?
You're just trying to do your job.
You're a civil servant.
You've been there through the Obama administration,
Biden, Trump.
Now, your job depends on arresting,
making sure that you hit these numbers
and arrest all these people a day.
Of course people are gonna get swept up in this
that are either American citizens,
legal residents,
kids, dream, all of it.
It's very much like it's like evil Alec Baldwin
in Glengarry Gann Ross standing up in front of everybody
saying, you know, first place gets Cadillac,
second place steak knives, third place you're fired.
And the third piece of this, which is just, again,
like just deeply strange to have,
so you have Donald Trump who is trying to turn divisions
of our federal government into his personal minions.
It's not the American military, it's his military.
It's not America's Immigration Customs Enforcement Bureau.
It's his, right?
It is actually quite strange to have a quote in there
from an administration official saying,
if they don't get better, then everyone will know
they're just not good at what they do.
They can't perform at the level of expectation.
And it's like oddly, it's just strange.
It's just strange tack for them to be taking.
And it clearly is like a message
they're sending directly to the agency.
Yeah, I thought for a while that,
I mean, I do think part of this is a lot of these roundups
that they know are going to get people angry,
are designed to send a message to keep immigrants away, right?
And I think that's still partly true,
but I also think they just,
they really want to hit that million number
and they want to make those arrests
and they want to do it however they can.
And that's why we're getting,
that's one of the reasons we're getting
these just horrific stories.
I mean, just over the last week,
like there was this Missouri mother,
she's from Hong Kong, she's been here 20 years,
she's got three kids, she was scooped up by ICE,
she's in a jail somewhere, kids don't see her,
and she's from this like very rural,
Trumpy community in Missouri.
And all these people are like, what?
No, she's like an upstanding citizen.
She's the best person and she works so hard
and everyone loves her
and she goes to her kid's soccer practice.
And this isn't, these aren't the people
I thought we were deporting
and no one can figure out how to get her out of prison.
Greg Sargent did a podcast talking to her
and her lawyer
that was out today. And she's like, you know, my daughter, she's seven. She said, mom, please come home. Nobody tells me bedtime stories anymore. I miss you. I need you. Like this, this is what
they're doing. There was a Massachusetts high school kid, high school senior honors student
in the band, going to volleyball practice, scooped up on his way to volleyball practice. Now he's in
jail somewhere. He's 18 years old. He's with, he's like shackled his hands and his feet
or shackled, he's in this crowded cell
with all these older men.
And again, everyone in the community is like,
he is the best kid.
Here since he was five.
Here since he was five years old.
Five years old from, his parents brought him here
from Brazil when he was five years old.
That's not fucking his fault.
And he's been here all this time.
It's the, like the, it's the play, they run on,
this country is overrun, it's been an invasion.
We're overrun with criminals,
we're overrun with gang members, not true.
They can never hit this number
by just going after criminals.
And when the rhetoric meets the reality,
they don't obviously ever say, well, we actually overstated this. The reality has to when the rhetoric meets the reality, they don't obviously ever say, well,
we actually overstated this.
The reality has to meet the rhetoric.
And so that is why we see people, if you touch the immigration system and they could deport
you, they need to hit their quota, they need to hit their number.
And it's going to increasingly touch the kind of people that people didn't understand would
be targeted by this, even though people were saying that, right? Even though it's a bit naive to pretend that Trump didn't understand would be targeted by this, even though people were
saying that, right?
Even though it's a bit naive to pretend that Trump didn't tell us what he was going to
do.
But that's why I think you see the outrage in that town.
That's why you see it.
And there was an ICE raid in San Diego that went after the staff of a popular restaurant.
You saw people on the street being furious, standing in the way of cars.
It led to the ICE having to, or the local cops that were part of it,
I'm not sure, just use like crowd dispersal and like, I don't know what they were using,
but they were allowed to get people out of there. And I think you're going to start seeing more and
more of that. And I think this gets to what we'll talk about in a second. But I do worry
about this sort of vicious loop we're now about to be in when ICE views itself as being under siege, right?
Not able to hit these numbers because they were never realistic, while the public gets
increasingly angry and views them less and less as their representative.
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JVL wrote about this at the Bulwark in his newsletter on Monday about the fact
that these guys are all a lot of them are wearing masks now, a lot of these ICE agents.
And he points out that there are only two kinds of countries where law enforcement wears
masks, authoritarian states and failed states.
I read the piece, I'd love to say it's alarmist.
Don't think I can.
Yeah.
So Congressman Dan Goldman, who's a former federal prosecutor, worked with law enforcement
for years.
He talked to ICE officers about this, and he said, why are you wearing masks?
And one replied, because it's cold.
And Goldman responded, well, would you say that under oath?
And the guy walks away.
And he's a member of Congress.
He's a representative of Congress and of the people in his district.
And there's, I think, a couple of things going on because I don't think this person who has
them, I don't think an ICE officer has a mask on, says, I have this mask on because I'm
part of a fascist takeover of the government, right?
It's two things.
It's one, it's a culture that flows from Trump, which is Trump doesn't believe he's accountable
to Congress.
He doesn't believe he's accountable to the people.
These guys work for him. And they know, right, I can say whatever I want he's accountable to Congress. He doesn't believe he's accountable to the people. These guys work for him.
And they know, right, I can say whatever I want to a member of Congress.
I can arrest a member of Congress.
I can get into a quarrel with a member of Congress outside an ICE facility,
even though that person is just doing their job.
And I know that I'll be fine because Trump doesn't give a fuck about those people.
And if anything, me showing this kind of toughness and intransigence on his behalf
will only earn me more respect.
So this is good.
I'm protected by doing this.
But the other piece of it is there's a kind of siege mentality and I think this comes
from right wing media which is like America is a decadent and declining country where
we forgot what's important and how to keep ourselves safe and how to do what it takes.
We're not tough enough. Empathy is a weakness.
And so if I show my face, even if I'm doing what's right for the country,
even if I'm doing what my president wants to keep Americans safe and stop this invasion,
I might be canceled. I might be publicly vilified.
People might come to my house because you can't trust the American people anymore,
not the ones that don't agree with me 100%.
This is, it's not about protecting Americans or working for Americans anymore.
I have to keep myself protected because it's only the Trump administration that understands
the stakes here.
Yeah.
Their response to the mask thing is, oh, well, they're getting harassed and doxed and they
need to wear masks because of that.
It's like, okay, well, and Dan Goldman points this out in that piece. He's
like, so the Trump administration is banning masks for protests. So you can't wear a mask
protesting the government, but you can wear a mask if you are the government and arresting
and cracking down on not just immigrants, not just undocumented immigrants, but like
you said, members of Congress or anyone. New York, I don't know if you saw that New York
magazine had this piece about the American citizens
who've been detained by ICE, not just in this administration, but it's happened for decades.
But the difference is other administrations and even the first Trump administration at
times when they realized it was a mistake would let the person go.
We now know that this administration, even when it
admits a mistake in court, is not rectifying the
problem.
They point out in that story, if you're an
American citizen and ICE detains you, they'll say,
are you a citizen?
You're of course going to say, I'm a citizen.
Maybe you have an ID.
Maybe you have a social security card.
Maybe you have, do you have your birth
certificate or your passport on you?
Probably not.
But even if you did,
they were saying that the agents usually suspect
that the documents are fake.
So they don't take your word for it
by just giving the passport.
So then they take you in.
So now you're detained.
And because of the backup and judges,
and there's not enough time and resources
to have these trials on a speedy basis,
as Stephen Miller complains
about.
Now you're sitting in detention for weeks, months, and you just can't get out, even if
you're an American citizen.
And this is like, this can happen.
And this can happen if it's an accident.
And now think about like alien enemies and all the other stuff they're doing.
Like it just, it goes to a very dark place very fast.
I mean, I think we're already there, but.
Yeah.
But look, they're going to start this bill that's mostly being debated around Medicaid
and taxes because that is the lion's share of what it does, puts a lot of money towards
giving ICE the ability to ramp up detentions, to ramp up deportations. And that is an agency
that feels unaccountable to the people, that is being spurred on by someone like Stephen
Miller on behalf of Donald Trump to do deportations at any cost
that is willing to lie to the public
about the people they're deporting is incredibly dangerous.
Americans will get caught up in this
and they will get trapped.
Do I think, like how bad does that get?
How long are they held?
We don't know.
We don't know.
It doesn't seem like we want to find out.
Yeah, I would hate to find out.
In other regime news, there was a fun update.
This actually is fun, in the Wall Street Journal,
about how big companies are starting
to cut ties with law firms that capitulated to Trump,
or are at least starting to steer more business to firms
that have refused to bend the knee.
The list of companies reportedly includes Oracle,
whose executives have made some pretty significant donations to Trump over the years, also Morgan Stanley, McDonald's, Microsoft.
One lawyer for Citadel, the hedge fund founded by Republican mega donor Ken Griffin, recently
told major law firms that their fund likes to work with lawyers who, quote, aren't afraid
of a fight.
We also learned a couple of weeks ago that our old friend Karen Dunn and some other partners are leaving Paul Weiss
to start a new venture together after Paul Weiss capitulated and
You know meanwhile courts have blocked all the Trump
Executive orders against law firms who dared to challenge them or refused to capitulate and they're just carrying on
Yeah, it's pretty great. The
Always you think Paul Weiss isiss and some of these other firms
are regretting their decisions right about now?
I hope so.
I hope that what it looks like is a kind of fit of peak
at the very beginning of the administration
when people didn't know what it would look like to say no.
Yeah. Right?
And kind of this, there was this moment
right when Trump comes in, it's before we're seeing
the inevitable chaos and failures and lying and obstacles in the court.
I think it's Derek Thompson who talks about this, that this also happened in part in the
first Trump term, which Trump makes a lot of crazy decisions and then unmakes a lot
of crazy decisions and then un-makes a lot of crazy decisions.
I think the also watching what happens after you capitulate to Trump has played out and
it doesn't play out well.
I talked about this with Adam Schiff on Love It, Relieve It, and you make this deal with
the devil, it doesn't work out.
That's the whole thing with deals with the devil.
And it was really reassuring to see a bunch of their clients
walk away from these firms,
not because they're partisan Democrats,
but because it's just fucking embarrassing, right?
Like if you're looking at sort of a media organization
that has capitulated to Trump and one that hasn't,
who are you gonna trust more, right?
Whether you're a member of the audience
or you're gonna somebody who's gonna work there.
You think 60 minutes is higher
than a lot of journalists right now?
You think they're gonna a lot of applications? And so of course you want a lawyer that's gonna be there. You think 60 minutes is higher in a lot of journalists right now, you think they're gonna have a lot of applications.
And so of course you want a lawyer
that's gonna be willing to fight,
especially when the executive orders
are so patently unconstitutional.
So it's such a clear violation of the First Amendment
and a bunch of other amendments on their face.
I've talked to a couple lawyers who are in firms
that focus mainly on litigation,
and they made a good point, which is like,
some of the firms that have capitulated
are firms that do a lot of corporate mergers,
a lot of that kind of work.
And the firms that haven't tended to capitulate
are the ones with a lot of litigators.
And the reason is because when you hire a litigator,
that's what they do, they fight in court.
And you don't wanna hire a litigator
who's afraid to fight. That's like the whole reason They fight in court. Yeah, and you don't want to fight You don't want to hire a litigator who's afraid to fight
That's like the whole reason you have a litigator
Of course it does
Yeah
We've talked about this before this speak to kind of like the different Tebermans of certain kinds of lawyers and like there's like it
Just embarrassing. Yeah wants to be part of an embarrassing
You're a law firm. You're a fucking law firm. You exist like you exist to fight on behalf of your clients
Yeah. All right. Let's talk about the state of the opposition.
Democratic activists held a bunch of gatherings this weekend
in South Carolina and California,
the kind that usually attract political leaders
who may have ambitions beyond their current office,
let's say.
Sure enough, Maryland Governor Wes Moore
showed up in South Carolina,
where he talked up his family's history in the state.
Tim Walz visited both states in the same day.
Wow. Tim Walz, going states in the same day. Wow.
Tim Walz going for flying from South Carolina
to California and he promised to quote,
bully the shit out of Donald Trump
at his South Carolina stop and also said
that he supports keeping the state
as the first primary contest in 2028.
Not to be outdone, Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy
announced a new super pack on Monday
to oppose cuts to Medicaid and organize young people
focusing for now on five states that happen to include Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania.
What do you think?
Too early for this shit or is it good to have potential Democratic contenders out there
right now?
Oh, I think it's great to have them out there.
I don't even know what it means to be too early.
They're going to give them political speeches.
That's how I feel.
My only feeling about it is that it all,
it just feels like it's from another era
that you pretend you're not running for president.
And maybe some of them won't, right?
Actually, it is the case that some people
really may decide not to do it.
But if you are considering it,
I kind of like the saying, you know what,
I'm thinking about it.
We have a lot of work to do before then,
but I'm thinking about it because I do think
kind of moving past the footsie era of presidential politics.
And then it's to me less about the like,
is it too early?
It's not just, what are they saying?
How do they wanna fight back?
What do you think the best strategies are?
Did you get a chance to listen to any of Westmore?
Yeah, I thought it was good.
I thought so too?
Yeah.
I would say that he had a real emphasis on,
the argument he wanted to make is that
the Democratic Party
needs to be one of action.
I think his line was,
gone are the days when the Democrats
are the party of no and slow,
we must be the party of yes and now.
And so, you know, it wasn't like too heavy on specifics
about what that means in the current context,
but he did have his record in Maryland,
which is a very impressive record to talk about.
I found it interesting that when he's talked about
what they got done in Maryland, the first
thing he talked about was crime and how homicides and crime are way down in Maryland, which
is interesting.
And then he talked a lot about sort of jobs and opportunity and wages there.
It's felt like until now that the potential 2028 senators have been out there a bit more.
Maybe that's just the nature of their jobs while the governors have been a little bit more restrained.
I also think the governors have a more thorny challenge,
and we see this with Whitmer,
I think we see this with all of them,
that they're trying to govern.
Some of them have Republican legislatures,
some of them worry about natural disasters,
and other times when they have to kind of work with Trump.
We saw Whitmer kind of delicately try to figure out
how to bring money into the state
and she ends up smiling for the cameras
right before Trump says he's gonna pardon the people
who fucking tried to kill her.
So it's challenging.
It's challenging, but I do think it's meant that like
the governors haven't been as sort of strident and out there.
And then you have, I think J.B. Pritzker gave a great speech
that was sort of an exception
in terms of the tone of the governors that felt more like what we've heard
from some of the senators.
But beyond that, to me, I think Wes Moore is the one
who said this, that we shouldn't be talking about 2028
because we have too much to do in 2025.
And I think there's some truth to that,
but at the same time, how you fight in 2025 and 2026
is really important to whether or not
you're the right person
in 2027 and 2028.
I liked Westmore's speech.
I thought it was solid, especially because it was interesting
that it wasn't like too Trump focused at all
or too focused on like exactly what's happening
in Congress right now, which I think is probably
the right thing to do since most Americans don't give a shit
or like aren't paying attention.
That also has a quality where you're like,
when could this speech be given?
Yeah.
You know, it could be given at another time.
But I was like, great, I want to hear more from him.
And then Walls was saying,
maybe it's time for us to be a little meaner.
Yeah.
And that he said, nobody votes for roadkill
based off that New York Times story
where Anat Shankaro-Sorio, who's a friend of the show,
was talking about how in focus groups it comes up
that Democrats are like deer in headlights.
And so, Wal said, yeah, deer in headlights.
Well, no one votes for roadkill.
Actually, that's funny.
I think that's true.
I think that's true.
There's, yeah, we look like we got the,
we talked about this when we were with John Stewart
and his pod, which is that we got the stink on us.
We do have the stink.
I like that Murphy is starting his super pack, with John Stewart and his pod, which is that we got the stink on us. We do have the stink.
I like that Murphy is starting his super pack,
at least starting off now,
by donating to like grassroots orgs and not candidates.
I always think there's like,
you got a super pack from a candidate
and it's like, I'm donating to a slate of,
slate of city council people in South Carolina.
Right, no, look, this is, it's like.
And they're all gonna do that, I'm sure.
You gotta do that, that's just politics.
But it was nice that it's like an organization
that's gonna raise awareness around the Medicaid cuts
and that's good, good for Murphy.
Yeah, it's great.
You know what, the more the merrier.
I just like, anybody, I like,
how do we figure out what Democrats are supposed
to sound like, how do we figure out who's the right person
to lead the times of this story about these guys
running through South Carolina.
And the question in everybody's mind is,
who's gonna be the person who can win?
And they're all going down there to prove
that they're the person who can win.
Nobody knows who can win.
Nobody knows who the right person is.
We're gonna figure that out by hearing
what they'll actually do,
how they'll talk about taking the fight to Trump
and these other Republicans.
So I'm glad to have more.
The more people out there every day, the better.
Yeah, I agree.
Yeah, I agree.
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I heard James bit through a pipe.
Yeah, he did.
Also, he solved the Riemann hypothesis.
Oh, the Riemann hypothesis?
I saw you Googling.
It's the Riemann hypothesis.
Which I obviously know about,
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Yeah, but we were just talking about the
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Speaking of strategy,
Lauren Egan at the Bulwark reported on Sunday
that some Democrats are pushing the main Democratic pack
working on Senate races to put its money
behind the independent candidate in certain key states,
mostly red states, purple states,
saying it's our best bet
for preventing another Republican majority.
The idea is that the investment would happen quietly,
or at least it was going to be quiet,
and potentially later in the cycle.
So the example of this would be, you know, Dan Osborne,
the independent candidate who ran in Nebraska, and, you know, Dan Osborne, the independent candidate who ran in Nebraska.
And you know, if Democrats at the end there, some Democratic super PAC, you know, funneled
a bunch of money to help Dan Osborne out.
What do you think about this plan and the potential trade-offs?
So it's funny.
I think that like what you're saying of like, you know, okay, so we get these independents
to run, all right.
They run on kind of popular democratic politics, right?
But against the Democratic Party or in some way shows their kind of independence from
the Democratic Party.
And we all are very quiet about it.
And then right at the end, we dump a bunch of money, but that so they don't get the stink,
our stink on them.
So they don't know that they don't know it's from us.
And I say that it's like, okay, that can make sense in certain circumstances.
And I agree with the argument that we cannot fix what is broken with the Democratic brand in these places between now and 2026,
especially when a lot of what is broken with the Democratic band is, yes, self-inflicted,
but some of it is just living in a world with a massive right-wing propaganda apparatus that has been pumping people with kind of
inoculation against becoming a Democrat for a very long time.
So in that way it makes sense, but it also,
it all feels like it's treating people
like they're a little bit stupid,
because is what people want a person
who doesn't have a D next to their name.
Yes.
So, yes, I think like- Unfortunately. yes, I think like, well, I think
that's like, I think probably yes, but also
right, you know, there's a point that tester
makes that could a Democrat who seems independent
win, could an independent become tainted
like a Democrat?
Absolutely.
So I just, I think in the end it's like, if
we're going to have a chance in some of these
places, yes, we need independent minded people who are able to have a brand that is distinct
from the tarnished National Democratic Party brand.
Can that be somebody running as an independent?
Yes.
Is it possible that it's the right kind of person running as a Democrat?
Absolutely.
Yeah.
I think, to me, this is less about whether some democratically aligned super PAC dumps a bunch of money in at the
end. It's less about the money and more about the composition of the race, right? So if you have a
democratic candidate running in Nebraska, which is a very red state, uh, outside of Omaha, and then
you have a Republican candidate, and then you have an independent candidate.
The independent candidate's the only one
with a real chance there, right?
The Democratic candidate's probably not gonna win
in Nebraska, and so do you wanna make sure
that the Democrats are helping get it down
to a two-person race between the independent
and the Republican by saying, it's okay,
we're not gonna field a Democratic candidate,
or at least we're not gonna support that Democratic candidate because we think
we have a better bet with the independent candidate.
Now, everything depends on who the person is,
what their positions are, et cetera, et cetera.
But you talked about the Democratic brand,
like it is most damaged with the people
who pay least attention to politics.
And so for the people who pay least attention
to politics, but still vote, they are thinking R next to the name.
That must be a Trumpy person.
D next to the name.
They must be losers.
And, and there's this independent person running and maybe I'll take a look at
the independent person and then who knows the independent person could have many
democratic positions on many issues and maybe have a few more conservative
positions on a couple issues, right?
To win in that state or not, who knows?
But I mean, I like the idea.
I think who cares about the party label and the brand?
Like it's worked for Bernie Sanders for all these years
and he's, that's why it's not an ideological thing either.
Right?
Like you can have a set of positions
that doesn't necessarily put you on the far left,
on the center, right?
Like you could just have a mix of positions
and just run as an independent.
Yeah, no, I agree.
The thing I care about least is like,
well, they're not a Democrat
and it's gonna rile the Democratic base,
which I remember when,
that was like one of Hillary's lines towards the end.
It was like, well, he's not even a Democrat, you know?
And it's like, who gives a, I don't care about that.
I really don't, I never did, I still don't.
And so I don't care about that specifically.
I just- Being too cute by half. And so I don't care about that specifically. I just...
Being too cute by half.
Yeah, it's being too cute by half.
And of course, it's also kind of like,
hey, we're gonna start talking about it
a year and a half before the election,
or we start running into trouble
when all these candidates that you needed to be independent
start getting tagged as Democrats,
kind of running in disguise.
It was like in the run up to the Osborne race.
They're all gonna have to run around with like a big button
on with a picture of Schumer's face and a big red X
through it.
For sure, for sure.
Hey, no bad ideas in a race tomorrow.
But I remember like in the Osborne thing,
like everybody was trying to be,
trying to make sure they didn't like make it seem
like they were too much behind it,
like try not to talk about it, don't nationalize the race.
And maybe that can work.
Don't go on Pages of America. Don't go on Pages of America.
Don't go on Pages of America.
Listen, a lot of people are hearing that.
And it seems to be something,
and I don't know where that's coming from,
but we've got to nip that in the bud.
Wes Moore, Tim Walls, come on.
Come on.
We love you guys.
Yeah, get on here.
Anyway, I think it's an interesting idea.
I think it's worth bringing up,
talking about it too much is a lot,
but I think that it speaks to the deep problem
with the Democratic brand that may not just be
about specific issue positions,
but like the totality of all the baggage
and all the shit for the last 10 years.
Yeah, and I do think like, you know,
we should probably be doing two things at once,
which is one, figuring out how to elect independents who will caucus with Democrats
in places where the Democratic brand is toxic.
But you can't say that.
Caucus with whoever they like.
And caucuses with whoever they like, yeah.
While at the same time asking ourselves
why it seems almost impossible to elect a Democrat
who has popular positions, even in states
that have expanded Medicaid, that have raised
the minimum wage, that have voted to legal expanded Medicaid, that have raised the minimum wage,
that have voted to legalize weed,
that have voted in favor of unions,
why the delta between Democratic policies
and Democratic politicians is so vast.
And where do we have agency there?
Where are we victims of the media there?
Where is it that there needs to be some kind of,
that the leaders of our party
need to make some kind of break with the past?
What does that look like?
It's a big, hard question, but we should be doing that too.
All right.
Quick check in on Trump's massive tax cut legislation.
I'm going to talk about it with Senator Schatz in a bit, but thought we would get into it
first.
It's now in the Senate's hands.
John Thune is trying to cobble together a version of the bill that can pass the Senate
where he can only lose three Republican votes.
He's already got Rand Paul and Ron Johnson threatening to tank the bill over the fact
that it'll add a few trillion dollars to the deficit and a group of other senators who
are worried about the fact that it'll cause more than 10 million people to lose their
health care coverage.
Most of the other Republicans in Congress are pretending neither of those facts are
true.
Here's what Mike Johnson said on Meet the Press over the weekend.
The Joint Committee on Taxation, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, the Tax
Foundation, the Penn-Warton Budget Model all say this will add trillions of dollars to
the deficit. Are you really telling the American people this will not add one penny to the
debt and deficit? You can guarantee that?
I am telling you this is going to reduce the deficit.
Do you only believe the CBO when a Democrat is president, Mr. Speaker?
No, this is very easy to explain.
The CBO sometimes gets projections correct, but they're always off every single time when
they project economic growth.
If the bill becomes law, the top 10% of households would see an increase in resources, but the
bottom 10% would see an increase in resources, but the bottom
10% would see a decrease in resources.
Why are you comfortable with that?
No, that's not, no, that's simply not, it's not, I'm not comfortable with that.
It is not true.
It is true.
It is true.
It is true.
So there's a, there's a big group of them.
They're just lying through it.
And Trump, Trump's there too.
Trump, you know, he was just posting, uh, today, no cuts to Medicaid.
He's been saying that no cuts to Medicare, Social
Security, Mike Johnson did this with Welker to meet
the press.
He was like, absolutely no Medicaid cuts.
It's we're not cutting Medicaid.
It's just work requirements.
But of course he's someone's one of the Republicans
said it's, it's, it's your choice if you want to
key have Medicaid, because if you're just trying to
work, then you're just trying to work, then
you're fine, even though they have hundreds and hundreds of, how much are they saving?
Almost a trillion?
Anyway, even though they're saving nearly a trillion dollars, $800 billion from Medicaid
cuts.
And by the way, only a portion of which would come from work requirements, even if you take
what they're saying about work requirements at face value, which you cannot.
That is, work requirements will hit a bunch of people who will be hit only because the
paperwork requirements will be onerous and people will screw up and lose their healthcare.
That's their plan.
That's the bureaucratic plan.
Then why, Speaker Johnson, does the bill include a multi-trillion dollar debt ceiling increase
that you also
believe is essential and has to be passed by August because it adds to the debt?
Why right now are Republicans debating internally in the Senate how to get out some of these
Medicaid cuts because you have members of the Senate Republican caucus who have said
they will not go along with benefit cuts to Medicaid, which you have to figure out how
to get rid of because they are currently in the bill.
Yeah. Senator Warnock, Raphael Warnock from Georgia, put it well. He was like, remember,
these aren't work requirements in the bill. These are work reporting requirements.
Right.
And it's the reporting that is going to kick people off because when you actually get into
it, these are like websites that go down all the time and they're in like suddenly it's
a, it's, you have to fill out some paperwork
You have to drive to an office and it's just ridiculous
And you know again, they tried it in Arkansas 18,000 people who should have been eligible most of them working
Almost all of them working or with a really good excuse why they're not caregiving etc
Disability lost their health insurance almost immediately. So it's just like it's designed to kick people
Yes, it's designed to be able to lose Yes, it's designed to kick people lose their healthcare.
About 8% of the people,
it would be ostensibly to target 8% of people on Medicaid.
It would hit members of the other 92%.
That is the only way to make sense of the money.
The only reason to do it, right?
This is, it's again, like all their logic always breaks down.
Are tariffs meant to do this or meant to do that?
They're at cross purposes.
It can either raise money or it can get manufacturing back.
You can either be using work requirements
to make Medicaid cheaper by making it cheaper
for the government to pay for tax cuts for the rich,
which means people will lose their benefit.
That's the only way it makes sense.
If it's saving money,
it's because people are losing their healthcare
or it's not really a cut.
There's just, it's in cross purposes.
Right, right.
So, you know, lying about it,
it seems to be the most popular strategy.
But then there was Joni Ernst.
And I know you and Dan talked about this a little bit
on Sunday's show, but she's at a town hall.
One of her constituents asks her about the Medicaid cuts.
And she basically says, well, there's,
she actually says, quote,
we're all going to die.
Yeah.
Well, we're all going to die.
We're all gonna die.
In the long run, we're all dead.
Which was rightfully the front page of the Des Moines Register.
So someone probably told her
to try to clean it up a little bit.
Didn't really clean it up.
Here's her video, not really apologizing for it.
I made an incorrect assumption that everyone in the auditorium understood that, yes, we
are all going to perish from this earth. And I'm really, really glad that I did not have
to bring up the subject of the tooth fairy as well.
The tooth fairy joke?
Yeah.
I don't even understand it.
I mean, I understand it, but it's really lame.
Yeah, I think she's saying,
oh, are you all children?
You also believe in the tooth fairy.
You must also believe in the tooth fairy.
You have not yet come to understand
the nature of life on earth.
Yeah, because the objection with the comment was-
Was that we didn't know we were gonna die.
That she revealed that we're all gonna die.
That was the objection, not that she compared,
oh, well, we're all gonna die to if losing your health
insurance due to our cuts maybe kills you or whatever,
we're all going to die.
Right, the criticism, to put it plainly,
was in saying, well, we're all gonna die,
you're being cavalier about people's healthcare,
something that they really rely on.
A lot of constituents rely on,
they're worried that you're lying about this bill
and supporting something that will actually hurt
a lot of people, including people who rely
on lifesaving medical care through Medicaid,
and that if you take that away,
people might die prematurely
because they can't access the medicine
that they need to live.
And she said, well, we're all gonna die,
which felt cavalier and glib because it was.
But also points for honesty.
Right, it was, that was.
Of all these people lying on the Sunday shows,
no cuts, no cuts, she's just like,
well, we're all gonna die.
Yeah, listen.
Thank you for your honesty.
And look, if in that, there's more savings there, right?
Cause there's social security savings.
Yeah, the death panels.
Right.
They're finally coming around to the death panels. We were trying to push that in Obamacare forever.
They made us take it up.
They take all of our best ideas.
Ugh.
Let's jump back to the Hawks,
to the Ron Johnson's and the Rand Paul's.
On Face the Nation this week, Rand Paul said that,
including him, there were at least four Republicans
in the Senate who were willing to block this bill.
Meanwhile, I talk about this with shots,
but Politico is calling them the Medicaid moderates.
We'll see how long that lasts.
But there's Markowski, Collins, also maybe Jim Justice,
also Jerry Moran from Kansas.
I think there's someone else in there.
Anyway, so you get a bunch of people
who don't like the Medicaid cuts.
Like you said, they're cross purposes.
Do you think this holds?
So it's very-
How does little Donnie T wriggle out of this one?
It's very- first of all, nobody knows right now, because none of it makes-
Here's the challenge in figuring out what's going to happen.
For anything to happen, somebody right now, or many people right now, are lying.
That's the only way.
Well, they're all lying.
They're all, but what-
Most of them, except Joni Ernst.
Well, it's more that what I'm saying is what, in order for any bill to pass, a group of
people have to be lying about the thing that will cost them their vote, right? And so what
Rand Paul is saying is, I won't vote for this because it includes a multi-trillion dollar
increase in the debt limit. Okay? And then you ask him, okay, well, what if they just
took that part out?
And he's like, well, we should vote on that separately.
But if the bill is still as expensive, then it's basically the same as voting for the
debt limit increase because Democrats will vote for that anyway.
So it's really about the cost inside of the bill.
Okay, fine.
So you need something that raises the deficit less than this bill, even though you must
believe Mike Johnson is lying because he's saying there's no deficit increase the you clearly
recognize that there is okay was gonna go over to holly and the medicaid
moderates
they're saying they want to remove these they're okay with work requirements
they've they've they've gotten their heads around that but they want to get
rid of it was only by the way uh... it's not a majority of the of the medicaid
savings in this bill so they want to get rid of a bunch of other stuff there's
co-pays in their other cost cutting other ways of shifting the cost of the states they want to get that of a bunch of other stuff. There's co-pays in there, other cost cutting, other ways of shifting the costs to the states. They want to get that all
out of there. What does that do? It makes the bill cost even more, right? And what have we heard from
the House Republicans? They will not entertain anything that doesn't fully extend the Trump
tax cuts. So I don't know how it's, it's not resolvable based on what the public argument
currently is. It involves some group of people
eating a bunch of shit.
Who are those people gonna be?
Is there enough people to eat enough shit
for whatever comes out of the Senate
to make it out of the Senate and make it to the House?
I don't know.
It's fascinating because House members,
especially House Republicans, they're used to eating shit.
They enjoy the taste at this point.
Yeah, they've gotten, yeah, that's right.
Just close your eyes and picture a steak.
It's like a hook, you know?
But the Senate is like, you know,
is Rand Paul really afraid of Donald Trump?
Not as much.
Maybe Ron Johnson.
Although, does Ron Johnson run again?
I don't know, he might not run again, right?
Like this might be his last term.
So it's interesting.
And then Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins
also don't really care about pissing off Donald Trump.
They already have.
So that's like four right there,
even if all the other ones fall in line,
which you could imagine that happening.
But again, to get like, it's just hard to,
unless they maybe like push the Medicaid work requirements
back like, oh, it doesn't take place till 2029, 2030.
So they get some of the Republicans to say they're going to do it,
but it really doesn't do it.
But like either way, what's really funny about this is
the easiest way to solve the math problem is to,
I don't know, you get a trillion dollars by not fucking
extending the tax cuts for people making over a million
dollars and you'd get even more money by just raising
taxes just a little bit on people making over a million dollars. Well'd get even more money by just raising taxes just a little
bit on people making over a million dollars.
Well, that's inconceivable.
But the fact that even-
Think about all the ways that they could fix this math problem and make sure that they
have something that is paid for, that reduces the deficit and does some cuts to government,
maybe cuts that we wouldn't agree with, and then also just raises revenue.
There's a solution.
Yeah, all the way.
But yeah, and by the way,
also what Rand Paul was mad about is that there's
a bunch of money for padding the military budget
that he's not in favor, there's a bunch of money
for immigration he's not in favor of.
Like there is a, yes, there is a path
that they're willing to entertain
allowing some of the Trump tax cuts to expire,
but that's the project, that's why they're here.
That's why all of this, that's what led us all to this.
Wonderful moment. To this moment.
Wonderful moment, can't wait.
All right, when we get back from the break,
you'll hear my conversation with Senator Brian Schatz
about how Senate Democrats are planning to push back
on that tax bill.
But before we do that, you all have two opportunities, two.
Two.
To see John Lovett in person this week.
If you're in LA, you can come see our big pride show
on Thursday, June 5th at Dynasty Typewriter.
We've got Adam Rippon, Clea Duvall, Joel Kim Booster,
Brendan Scannell, Darby Lynn Cartwright, Alexis Bevel, Sabrina Wu.
So that's a really big pack show.
And then I'm red-eyeing right then.
Wow.
Then on June 6th, on Friday night,
I'll be live in DC with Tim Miller and Sarah Longwell
from the Bulwark for Free Andri,
a fundraiser at World Pride at the Lincoln Theater.
We'll be raising money to help bring Andri Hernandez Romero
back to the US after he was denied due process.
All proceeds will go to the Immigrant Defenders Law Center, which is the organization fighting in court on behalf of Andres and others like him.
Before the show, Vote Save America is going to be doing a big event with the Human Rights Campaign for protests.
We'll be at the Supreme Court with a bunch of other special guests.
So come see us Thursday, come to the events Friday.
You can RSVP for the protest and grab tickets for both shows at crooked.com slash events.
Wow, red eye, red eye to show.
You might need one, are you gonna get Elon's little
pill bottle with all the loose pills?
Oh, well, sorry.
Hey, you know, you don't need a tech billionaire
to get a doctor in LA that understands your needs. Hahahaha. POD Save America is brought to you by ZipRecruiter.
Summer's here and seasonal businesses are hiring
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Nice to be back. Happy birthday, John.
Thank you so much. Appreciate it.
Is this a good time to get a job?
I mean, I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter.
I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter. I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter. I'm not a big fan of ZipRecruiter. Brian shots. Welcome back.
Nice to be back.
Happy birthday, John.
Thank you so much.
Appreciate it.
It's been too long since we talked.
This is great.
Yeah, nice to see you.
Wanted to get your perspective on Trump's economic plan, which hands a trillion dollars
to the 1% of Americans who make over a million dollars and cuts about a trillion dollars in healthcare
and food assistance for everyone else.
It's now the Senate's turn to try to pass
this shit sandwich.
Republicans can only lose three of their senators.
I imagine the 47 Senate Democrats are already united
in opposition to this thing.
What else can you guys do and how are you thinking
about the strategy? Well, this is outside in. You know, sometimes it's an inside baseball strategy, but this has to be
outside in. This has to be that we generate enough public pressure. And as we get closer
and closer, people start to realize how crappy this bill is. It's not sort of your run-of-the-mill
tax cut bill. This thing really throws at least 14 million people off of their health care.
And then with the loss of the Affordable Care Act subsidies, you're talking about many,
many millions more who are going to pay, I mean, hundreds of dollars additionally per
month, as soon as November, because these rate cases have to be filed by the end of
July and the middle of August for next year's rates. So even pretty soon, people are going to pay hundreds and hundreds of dollars extra.
And of course, everybody knows that it cuts nutritional assistance.
And for what?
Not for deficit reduction, not for other investments, nothing that people actually are clamoring
for even on the conservative side of the aisle. Nobody is asking for tax cuts other than the people who are benefiting from them,
who are, you know, a pretty small percentage of people.
But this is tax cuts that will benefit primarily people who make $4 million a year or more.
And God bless them. I'm happy for them to be successful.
But they're actually not asking for a tax cut.
And that tax cut definitely should not be funded
by reductions in healthcare for regular people.
Politico has a piece about what they're calling
the Medicaid moderates, Collins, Murkowski, Josh Hawley,
Jerry Moran, Jim Justice, all Republican senators
who they report aren't fans of the level of Medicaid cuts
in the House bill, if not
the some of the cuts. How real do you think their opposition is?
Pretty real until it's not, right? I mean I think they genuinely don't want to
enact this, but the question is whether they will stand up for their
constituents and against Donald Trump. When he makes those phone calls and
says, listen I need this from you, it's getting in the way of our friendship,
then you know very few people have demonstrated the willingness
to sort of stand up.
But I think the reason for optimism here
is that this, two things.
First of all, this bill could not have been designed
purposefully to be more offensive to more people, right?
I mean, this is like, if you got a bunch of democratic
pollsters and said, I want you to go into
the lab and come up with the least popular piece of
legislation. This is pretty close to what it would resemble.
So this thing is not popular and we are on the popular side of the
most important issue that is facing the country over the next
month or two. That's number one. Number two is we won a fight
like this in the first Trump term.
We did not have the votes. We had already lost the House and the Senate and the presidency,
and they thought they were going to kind of mow us down. And it was started with united opposition,
and then to a huge grassroots movement, which included people on the left, but also people
on the center and center right who care about rural hospitals,
who care about the health of our agricultural industry, who care about nutritional assistance.
You know, evangelicals are pissed off about this. And so we do have a chance to kill this bill.
We really do have a chance. All we need is four senators or four house members to kill this bill.
Their math problem is really challenging because you've got a bunch of people demanding that
these cuts get even steeper and even more ridiculous.
And then you've got a bunch of people who are demanding that they get to be less severe.
That math doesn't add up.
And the only solution they have is to bullshit both sides and then have Donald Trump essentially
bully his way into a bare majority.
They have a chance.
They hold some decent cards.
But I sort of like our chances too, because I just do see a mass movement.
And it's not just the people who care about the rule of law, although they're included.
It's not just liberals, although they are included.
It's also just regular folks who are like, I thought I was voting for this dude to reduce
the price of stuff.
And this guy is affirmatively going out of his way to increase the price of energy, of
food, of health care, and everything you buy at the Walmart, the Costco, and the Target.
And so I just think there are some people, not all of them, a lot of MAGA people who
will do whatever he says.
But there are a lot of voters out there who did swing in the direction of Trump
because they thought he was gonna make things cheaper
for them and this is like,
it's such a turbocharged version of doing everything
that he promised not to do.
So it seems like our eternal challenge in the Trump era
is to get attention and coverage of these kinds of debates over
cost of life issues, healthcare, taxes, anything that affects people's economic wellbeing,
because they just don't break through as easily.
And especially in this term when Trump is doing so many things every day and taking
up so much attention with all of the very sort of horrible things
he's doing. You guys have ideas on how to help make sure this breaks through and then
what can people who want to help make sure it breaks through do? What's the best way
for people to get involved in this debate?
So I got one do and I got one don't. And both of those dos and don'ts apply both to everybody
out there in the world and Democratic elected officials
The first thing is we need to spend however long it takes until this bill is either
Defeated or passed talking about one thing and one thing only which is that they are going to increase the cost of everything
healthcare food
energy
Consumer goods in order to shovel big tax cuts to the wealthiest Americans and we need to talk about only
This that's the one thing that we need to do better on and there are lots of outrages in this bill that I could kind
Of delineate but then we're off message. We need to talk about the thing that is maximally impactful
Not the thing that you know scratches my particular itch about the bill, right?
That's the first thing we need to do is just talk about this bill
The second thing we all need to stop doing is talking about ourselves talking about the Democratic Party as some
Institution that if we just get enough op-eds written or sub stacks written or podcast. I'll do respect podcasts
Podcasts conducted or floor speeches or MSNBC hits if we just dial it exactly right? We're gonna unlock
floor speeches or MSNBC hits, if we just dial it exactly right, we're going to unlock popularity. What we need to do is start being the party of action and less navel gazing.
And even when people act moderate or progressive, they like to talk about themselves as if they
are observing themselves.
See I'm a progressive, not like those moderates.
See I'm a moderate, not like those pro- who gives a shit?
They're about to cut Medicaid,
they're about to increase the cost of energy and food and healthcare. We need to focus on one thing
and one thing only, which is killing this bill and we can do it. Yeah, good luck. Look, you're right,
you're right, and it's hard. I mean, but like, I'm a pundit, I talk about this shit all the time.
I feel like in the way, maybe it's our fault too, but in the last couple of years, especially the last year since the election,
a lot of democratic politicians, Pfeiffer calls this reading the stage directions.
There's a lot of like, here's what we're supposed to be saying and we're going to say this more
because we're told by the polls, we're supposed to say this. And it's like a lot of analysis,
as opposed to just like, this is how I feel about this and this is what it could mean for you.
And I'm going to try to go fight it.
Well, and it's just, I'm now thinking out loud completely, but like it's a little bit of
a symptom of the fandom in politics, like politics is just like your fantasy football
team and you just kind of root for them, but it's not a participatory question.
And then there's a kind of aspect of it where even if you're on the field, you're like Draymond
Green who's a basketball player slash podcaster about basketball.
And so I just feel like we need to get out
of our own damn heads, look at that bill,
not think too carefully about it,
call it a piece of shit and try to kill it.
So we were talking earlier
about the anti-Semitic attack in Colorado,
which Trump and Stephen Miller are of course blaming
on Biden's immigration policies
and using to justify their crackdown on all immigrants.
Miller tweeted suicidal migration must be fully reversed. They seem to be getting even more extreme on this issue,
which doesn't seem possible in the next day. It's something worse. They're ignoring the courts,
they're ignoring public opinion in the vein of let's talk about what we can actually do. What else can be done here?
I mean, how are you guys thinking about this?
I think, well, let me just start with the anti-Semitic attack from a day ago and the
one in the previous week.
As Jewish American, as an American, this is terrifying stuff.
And this is terrifying stuff. And this is terrible stuff. And everybody left, right, and center
needs to sort of have a complete sentence where you're not
pivoting from the question of anti-Semitism in America,
which is a very real threat, to whatever else it
is that you want to say, right?
As a throat clearing exercise before you say,
and that's why something, something pro- before you say and that's why
Something something pro-israel or that's why something something pro-palestine. Let's just acknowledge that anti-semitism is a vile
Poisonous thing that appears to be on the rise and we now see it in three dimensions So I want to just stop now a new paragraph
Regarding what Stephen Miller and the Trump administration are doing
is they are using it to justify immigration crackdowns that have nothing to do with anti-Semitism
and of course, an assault on free speech and the rule of law and higher learning generally.
But the challenges in politics that you don't usually have enough time to
say both things without it sounding like you're just using one thing in order to talk about
the thing that you've always wanted to talk about.
And I think whether you're part of the kind of pro-Palestinian peace movement or you're
more hawkish about Israel, like we should all be able to agree that anti-Semitism has no place in public life
in the United States of America or anywhere.
And that anti-Semitism is never justified by disagreeing
or agreeing with the actions of Hamas or the PLO
or the IDF or Prime Minister Netanyahu.
And so I just feel very strongly
that we kind of have to take our time on this,
and to try to find the maximum number of people who can agree
with some basic premises about our shared humanity.
Yeah, no, I totally agree.
And it seems as though that the Trump and Miller can't do that
because they are already using it to see they're already exploiting the issue
to carry out their deportations agenda.
Well, you get the, I mean, you get the,
I got members who I like on the Republican side,
I'll talk to them about antisemitism
and they immediately, I don't want to say inexplicably,
but like weirdly, like as an interpersonal reaction,
it's kind of weird, because they'll immediately go to,
hey, I'm one of the biggest supporters of Israel
you've ever seen.
And I'm like, that's like, no, no one says that to a Chinese American, right?
No one says that to a Puerto Rican American.
Like, no, you just don't immediately pivot to the sort of place of origin in such a way
where you are conflating support for the government of Israel with opposition to anti-Semitism.
It does get complicated because of motivations and because of generations of history and violence,
but I just feel like that has become a shield and a sword
on behalf of people who wanna kind of wield it
against liberals, generally speaking.
Yeah, do you guys have any other tools
on the deportation stuff?
Just because I feel like they're in open defiance
basically of multiple courts, including the Supreme Court.
They are losing the public opinion war on this issue even.
And it doesn't seem to matter, right?
Like the deportation forces are getting bigger.
They're taking high school kids, little kids.
People have been here for years and years and years.
People have legal status.
And you know, I scream about this all the time
and everyone raises awareness.
I know you do, we all do,
but I'm like, are we just gonna,
is there nothing to do but just wait
and hope that Democrats take back Congress
and then we get Trump out of the White House?
And do we just have to endure
a brutal immigration deportation regime until then?
I mean, I think local governments can do some things. I think nonprofits can do some things
to protect people on the ground. Obviously, you don't want to get into a kinetic situation
with law enforcement, but just physical presence and observation Can very much help to diffuse situations and keep everybody safe, but you know
Look most of the lawsuits Trump I think is one four percent of his lawsuits in the in the federal district and circuit and supreme court
So we are winning on that level compliance is as you've mentioned spotty
But one of the things I promised myself I would do in the second Trump term is not
bullshit someone that there's some magic button that is available to us that we've just like
not yet revealed for lack of courage. I'm not sure what the legislative branch can do.
And I'm not sure that this will change until our government changes. We can, like I said,
work with nonprofit partners, work with litigation partners, of course work in the
legislative context, but there is no law that we're going to
pass to constrain these people in the short run. Mike Johnson
is in charge of the House of Representatives. Yeah. How's
your race for Democratic whip going and why do you want the
job? It feels like it requires dealing with some pretty big
personalities and taking a lot of shit for things that aren't and why do you want the job? It feels like it requires dealing with some pretty big personalities
and taking a lot of shit for things
that aren't necessarily your fault.
For some reason, I like that.
I mean, the state center president from Hawaii
used to say 90% of politics is social work.
And so when you think about the caucus, 47 of us,
it's like case management.
It's understanding the needs and the assets and the aspirations of each person.
I just like that part of politics.
I think it's especially interesting in a place, look, you can be pissed at Senate Democrats
as a collective, but they're individually a bunch of very impressive people. And if I can help to maximize the use of everybody's talent geographically, on the ideological
spectrum in terms of personal background and all the rest of it, that sounds fun to me.
And I think I'm pretty good at it.
So it's going reasonably well.
I don't have anything news to report other than this is a job that I think fits my disposition
and personality.
And I'm hoping I can do it.
What's your level of alarm right now, now that we're this many months into the Trump administration?
You seem determined and not too freaked out, which I like, but I'm feeling a little,
I'm feeling both frustrated, exhausted, and just sort of like, what happens next?
What do we do? We've been yelling about this for over a hundred days now
And I don't I don't know what it would you know, I guess we just have to wait for the midterms
I think it's a grind right like and I think that people should not mistake my you know apparent
Calmness for for being naive about the threat to the United States itself. I think it is real
My sort of role model this sounds ridiculous, but I'm just talking disposition.
This guy's an actual hero.
As I watched him, I thought, oh, that's how you should conduct yourself in a crisis.
It is President Zelensky, because that man does not look freaked out and has every reason
to be freaked out.
Everything he cares about, everything he's responsible for on a daily basis is in jeopardy.
And yet he understands that the best way to lead out of that is to not have your hair
on fire and lose your cool.
That doesn't mean you lose your determination or have some lack of seriousness, but it
does mean that people like me have to be able to communicate clearly, keep everybody else
alert, alarmed, but still calm enough to make strategic choices.
And so that's the attitude I take.
It doesn't mean I don't have moments of, whoa, I should.
And you know, the times are very weighty right now.
So my level of alarm is quite high,
but my level of determination is higher.
Last question, I'll let you go.
You aren't posting as much, I've noticed.
What's going on there?
I didn't even know that.
So my posting habits, there's correlations
between how much I'm traveling, how much I'm exercising,
how much I'm surfing, how much I'm sleep patterns.
So this was not some conscious political choice.
This was just, I don't know.
I don't know if you've-
What's going on in my life.
You're a fellow poster like me. And I was just, if you've, what's going on in my life. You're a fellow poster like me.
And I was just, I'm like, what's your secret?
I don't know if you suddenly, you know,
developed some healthier habits.
No, no, no, no, no, no, no such luck.
Okay, good.
Just wanted to make sure.
Senator Schatz, thank you as always for joining
and appreciate you coming on.
Thank you, happy birthday.
All right, everyone.
That's our show for today. Thanks as always to Brian Schatz for coming on. Dan and I will be back with a new show on Friday. Bye, everyone. Friends of the Pod community at crooked.com slash friends or subscribe on Apple podcasts directly from the pod save America feed
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