Pod Save America - It's One Ballroom, Donald, How Much Could It Cost?
Episode Date: May 8, 2026Congressional Republicans plan to spend $1 billion in taxpayer money on Trump's ballroom, claiming the money is necessary for "security" — and creating a huge political problem for themselves. The p...resident and his cabinet make a show of ignoring the pain Americans are feeling at the gas pump, as the US and Iran circle around an underwhelming peace deal. JD Vance's 2028 stock slides as Republican voters turn their attention to Marco Rubio. Dan and Jon discuss the latest, including how Democrats should respond to a new wave of Republican gerrymandering in the South and a new report from The Atlantic that Kash Patel has been handing out personalized bottles of bourbon while on the job. Then, Tom Steyer stops by the studio to talk to Lovett about his race for California governor.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
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Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm John Favron. I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
On today's show, the JD versus Marco Primary is heating up, and we'll talk about which one of
them will win the ultimate prize of defending Donald Trump's dogshut approval rating to an angry
electorate in 28. Speaking of which, we'll also talk about Republicans voting to spend $1 billion
of your money on Donald Trump's ballroom, Trump's revenge on the Indiana Republicans who blocked
his gerrymandering scheme, and the latest with Jay Edgar Boozer, who's been handing out custom
engraved bottles of bourbon and threatened to polygraph FBI officials when one bottle went missing.
love it talks to Tom Steyer, one of the leading Democrats in the California governor's race,
about his vision for running the state. Also, before we start, if you're a friend of the pod subscriber,
which if you aren't, you should be, you can buy tickets for this year's CricketCon starting Tuesday,
May 12th, special presale just for subscribers. But if you're not a subscriber, because you hate
pro-democracy, independent media and love listening to podcast ads, then you can buy
Crooked Con tickets a week later on May 19th. So get that extra week.
weekend because they're going to go fast. Either way, it's going to be a big fun party right after
the midterms, November 5th through 7th in Washington, D.C. So go to crookedcon.com for more details,
including how to become a friend of the pod subscriber. I'll give you the detail right now.
Cricket.com slash friends.
Here's the thing. We're going to be together and we're going to be drinking. We're either
going to be celebrating or drowning our service, but we'll be doing it together.
Yeah. You can still have a party if it's a, you know, I mean, it's still a party.
It's not a happy party.
Somewhere.
It's going to be a drunk party.
There's karma out there and I don't want to anchor karma.
Okay.
All right.
Well, there you go.
Okay.
We are recording this on Thursday afternoon.
And as of right now, the U.S. and Iran are still discussing a one-page memo that would
reopen the Strait of Hormuz, pause the war that's already supposed to be paused, but really
isn't for another 30 days, during which time the two countries would try to reach a permanent
deal where Iran gets billions of dollars in unremontal.
frozen assets if they pinky promise not to build a nuclear weapon and commit to an inspection
regime that sounds a lot like Obama's Iran deal that Donald Trump pulled out of. The background
music for these negotiations is Iranian boats firing on U.S. Navy ships in the U.S. carrying out
new strikes on an Iranian oil port. It's unclear. It's a little fog of war going on, but as we're
recording, there's sort of explosions everywhere. There's reports of explosions in Tehran as well.
also who the fuck knows what's going on.
Trump officials say this doesn't count as restarting the war,
but they also might restart the war,
just like they also might restart Project Freedom,
which is Trump's half-ass plan to guide traffic through the straight,
which was canceled earlier in the week after an incredible one-day run.
Project Freedom.
Not even a full day.
They didn't make it 24 hours.
I know I was being generous.
It's like bankers' hours.
Meanwhile, the CIA reportedly believes,
that Iran still has 70% of its ballistic missiles,
75% of its missile launchers,
and can withstand the U.S. naval blockade
for, quote, at least three to four more months.
That is according to the Washington Post.
What do you think, Dan?
Is Trump still holding all the cards?
It's hard to fathom a bigger cluster fuck than this.
Like, it's just such a shit show.
It was such a bad idea, obviously.
it's been so poorly executed since then.
It's so chaotic that at the same time that I was reading the New York Times story today
on the one-page memo.
And everyone's very specific that it's one page.
14 points on one page, I guess small-type.
We don't even know what.
You're going to put the margins over it.
You've got a 0.5 margin.
Maybe you got a point-t, what's the font size?
Are we 14?
Yeah, we don't know.
Got to be.
If we're fitting 14 points on a one-pager, it's a lot.
I mean, but what are those 14 points?
So it's one page.
I'm reading that.
I get a newsload on my phone.
that the United States has struck Iranian oil ports.
Like, what is happening?
And then we're fired missiles back and forth.
They've attacked U.S. ships, apparently, we think, at this point,
the American ships had to retreat because they were damaged.
We think at this point.
But do not worry, the peace negotiations are still headed down the path.
And they're still circling around this one-page memo,
and a ceasefire could begin any minute,
or I guess a peace deal could begin any.
minute, which is what they've been saying for a month now. So just as a thought exercise, I'm going to be
generous again here. Let's imagine that the negotiations, the latest round of firing and attacks,
that that dies down, negotiations resume, they get a deal, and then 30 days from now, they reach a
more permanent deal. And it's the best deal possible for the United States. Which is the Obama deal,
which is basically an approximation of the Obama deal. Yeah. What that would,
do is basically you'd ship out all the uranium, the enriched uranium from Iran. Some report said possibly
to the United States. So you'd ship out all the uranium. Now, they didn't have any uranium when
Trump came into office because of the Iran nuclear deal, but they did produce a lot more enriched uranium.
They did enrich a lot more uranium in the years between Trump pulling out of the Iran deal and Trump
deciding to attack them. But anyway, so you get rid of all the uranium. And then you, you
You have new limits on uranium enrichment and the nuclear program.
And some of the hawks might argue like maybe they're a little more stringent.
But the same kind of inspections regime, maybe like a little bit more enhanced.
But again, it is the whole deal is we're going to inspect it.
There's going to be spot inspections.
The UN can go in there any time.
So we're going to keep an eye on them, which, again, that was the Obama deal.
And in exchange, we're going to unfreeze billions and billions of dollars of assets.
Again, that was the Obama deal.
And so that is the best, best, best case scenario.
In that scenario, what was, what did it cost us?
Well, it cost us 14 American lives, hundreds of now thousands of lives in Iran,
in Lebanon, across the Gulf.
It cost us, God knows how much money, both in...
at least $25 billion.
I was going to say both in the direct money we spent on the war and the harm to the global economy and to the U.S. economy in higher energy prices.
It also, we also spent, like, we're talking about Iran having 70% of its ballistic missiles, 75% of its missile launchers.
What kind of weapons do we have?
How many weapons, how many missiles do we launch now over this war for absolutely fucking nothing?
our global standing in the world, our allies, trust in us.
I don't know.
I could go on and on and on.
But it doesn't seem like we would have gotten much from this best, best, best, best, best case scenario.
And even under your best, best, best case scenario, which was very generous of you and your generosity is appreciated at the highest levels of the White House, I'm sure.
The likelihood that the Iranian people rise up against the regime for a more pro-American.
American democratic version of Iran is much less likely than it was before this because, I don't know,
we started blowing up their country and bombing girls schools. So that seems unlikely.
And let's say we, let's say we did. We did. We did. And a bunch of his top guns. So
that is made a world of where I feel safer already. Right. Because clearly, um, that has decapitated
the regime and they haven't been able to do anything since then. Oh, oh, wait. Yes. And then, but even before we
get to your future approximation of the Obama-Aran deal, let's just say we agree on the 14 points.
We get that done.
And the straight opens.
Even if you open the straight today, the United States government estimates it'll take six
months to clear it of mines.
The impact on oil prices around the world and gas prices in United States will remain for
six months to a year, at least.
The economic damage will not be undone.
the tail effect of all of this on food prices because of fertilizer on the supply chain will continue
for a long period of time.
And so this is not like you solve this problem because Trump is trying to solve this problem
because the midterms are coming.
The political problems that come from the damage to the economy are not going away anytime
soon.
And for the American people who are struggling, which is the more important issue here, relief is
not coming when the 14.1 page memo is agreed to.
Yeah.
And then what do you think is going to happen when if the memo is agreed to and Trump announces that he should get the peace prize again and everything? And then gas prices continue to drift up from now until November. You think people are going to be, you think that people are upset now. Just wait a little October old is round. And the war has been in the rearview mirror for a couple months. People are like, what the fuck? Why am I still paying $5 gas, $4 gas? Speaking of which, oil futures have been on a real ride. Thanks to all the dueling scoops and siren emojis.
But gas prices, which are a little more stable, were at a nationwide average of $4.55 a gallon, 10 cents higher than Monday.
And the Trump White House is, of course, working overtime to make sure people know and understand that they feel their pain.
Let's listen.
Credit card spending is through the roof.
They're spending more on gasoline, but they're spending more on everything else, too.
We want to encourage all Americans to take a road trip, whether you're going to go two hours or two days.
I thought oil prices would go to $200, $250.
It's at $100 now.
But even if it went to $200, it would have been worth it.
I understand.
Just an incredible showing from all three of those gentlemen, but I do have to say, Kevin
Kevin has it like, yeah, no, it's true.
People are maxing out their credit cards because of high gas prices.
But in fairness, everything else is fucking expensive too.
Is like, do you think it's possible that Kevin Hassett is secretly working for the Democrats?
Do we have a plant in there?
We would never hire someone that's stupid.
Is this what Ken Martin has been spending all the money on?
I think it is more likely that I guess there's two options when it comes to Hassen.
One is he's the dumbest economist alive.
And the other one is that earlier this year he placed a massive bet on Kalshi on Democrats' stake in the House.
Because he's doing everything possible.
Like he is just or maybe he just.
He just wants to be in as many.
campaign. Maybe he has a bet with this film about how many Democratic campaign ads can he be in.
Because every time he goes on TV, he's trying to be in another one. Maybe it's like a bet with
Scott Besson, because every time Besson opens his mouth, it's almost as bad. I think Besson's in the lead
right now. But Besson gives, like, Kevin Hassee gives off Dufus vibes, while Besson gives off the
vibes of someone who would use his private equity fund to buy your house and evict you. Yeah. Besson gives
off the vibe of someone who's like never gone to a grocery store or gone to a gas.
and filled up his own tank of gas.
I mean, which is a terrible thing to say about a soybean farmer, but there's a bigger issue here,
I think, beyond just the incompetence of these individual spokespeople is they are, like,
this is the trap Trump is set for himself, which is they, you cannot admit that things are bad,
because to admit things are bad is to admit that Trump failed.
And you can never admit that Trump is fallible.
And so since you can't admit things are bad, you can't lay out your plan to make them better.
So instead, you just have to walk around every single day and stick your thumb in the eye of every swing voter and seem just radically out of touch with reality.
It's just like this is why the affordability to all of that was doomed to fail because they are incapable of offering a message because they're incapable of acknowledging the reality that American people feel every single day.
I would say that's all true, but they are doing an extra special good job of poking the American people in the eye on this.
Because, like, you think about the Biden administration, and we criticize them at the time when they would go around being like, oh, people say they're hurting, but like, you're looking at gas prices in an expensive neighborhood.
And actually, listen to the inflation rating.
It's actually good.
And all of their comments, while they weren't really effective at making people believe something different than their eyes were telling them, they were at least geared towards trying to tell people that things were getting better.
And that is being, that's being overly generous.
I know, I'm again, I'm feeling very generous today.
What is going on with you today?
But again, like, I can't imagine if like Ron Clayne or I can't even remember who the economic, like Jared Bernstein were out there being like, yes, it's true.
It's true.
People are spending a lot of money and maxing out their credit cards on gas, but also everything's expensive.
Yeah.
I mean, like, in fairness to like the individual spokespeople would do a better job than Biden himself, who would be like,
the lowest unemployment rate in history.
Yeah, they did have that thing where they were like,
everyone's turkeys are five cents cheaper this Thanksgiving.
Things are getting better.
It's just, you look, everyone, if you're ever in the White House,
if you ever run a democratic campaign,
you ever get to the White House and the economies are a little rocky,
don't do that.
Just don't do that.
If people are upset, people are going to be upset.
Just tell them you're going to fight harder.
That's it.
That's all you got to do.
Still not going to help you necessarily,
but it's not going to make it worse.
This is making it worse.
Stop digging.
Stop digging, exactly.
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slash PSA. So as this is happening, the two men most likely to be the Republican nominee in
28. We're out there trying to explain the war, everything else. J.D. Vance was in Iowa on
Tuesday, ostensibly stumping for a vulnerable Republican House member, but probably testing
the waters for 28 to see if there is anyone out there who likes him. Let's listen.
What is this, what is Zach? You're going to have to help me out with her name here. I lost my
page here. Okay. All right. Okay, there we go. Sarah Trone Garrett. There we is. I'm on the
wrong page here. Crushed it, sir. Yes. Doing great. Shane Goldmacher.
from the New York Times was at the event.
And he noted in his story that a bunch of people volunteered to him
that they actually really like Rubio and not just fans,
sometimes over Vance,
which is something that our friend Sarah Longwell has been noting
in her focus groups as well.
Rubio happened to be taken over the White House Daily briefing.
The very same day, Vance was in Iowa.
I know you would love it talked a bit about this on Pod Save America Only Friends.
How do you access that, John?
What is that? Tell me about it.
Well, it says right here, you can subscribe at cricket.com slash friends if you haven't already.
It's an extra special biweekly episode of Pod Save America.
So if you love Pod Save America, subscribe.
Rotating cast of characters.
It was you in love it this week.
And I know you guys talked about this, but we're going to talk about it again, particularly because...
With different takes.
Different takes.
Well, there's one answer from Rubio.
You guys didn't talk about that has gone viral from that press conference.
And it was a response to, you know, a kind of question.
that we all know and love of the, what gives you hope variety.
Here's what Mark Urubio said.
I mean, my hope for America is what it's always been.
I think it's the hope.
I hope we all share.
We wanted to continue to be the place where anyone from anywhere can achieve anything,
where you're not limited by the circumstances of your birth,
by the color of your skin, by your ethnicity,
but frankly, it's a place where you are able to overcome challenges
and achieve your full potential.
I think we have a lot to learn and be proud of in our history.
It is one of perpetual and continuous improvement.
where each generation has done its part to bring us closer to fulfilling the vision that the founders of this country had upon its founding.
Now limited by the circumstances of your birth, unless you were born to someone who is not a citizen of the United States,
in which case my administration is currently trying to make sure that what it says in the Constitution that you're guaranteed to be a citizen is no more.
Other than that, other than that tiny exception, yes, as far as your dreams can take you.
So that went viral. All the MAGA folks are loving it. Rubio's official Twitter account released
essentially a campaign video of that answer with a Superman-type theme song playing in the background.
What do you think of the Rubio boomlet, Dan? What's what is what is the path from from here to Marco Rubio accepting the Republican nomination in 2028 while J.D. Vance is just sad somewhere.
Let me see. I would like to see J.D. Vance sad somewhere, but I don't want to see Marker Rubbo happy. So I'm not really sure how this plays out. I think the Rubio boomlet, as you have deemed it, has more to do with J.D. Vance sucking than Marco Rubio shining. Like, Rubio does benefit from comparison. He's in a cabinet. In the land of the blind, one-eyed man is king. Yes. He is. You're not supposed to say that for a whole bunch of reasons anymore. But anyway, that's an old thing.
Well, I wonder how am we doing this podcast with next week?
Anywho.
Don't ask if we're leaving it to everyone.
We're leaving it.
He's in a cabinet.
Let me try to do this in a way.
He's in a cabinet with Pete Hankseth, RFK Jr., Lyndoneman, Sean Duffy.
He looks serious compared to those unsurious people in the land of the insurious.
the serious man is king, the mildly serious man is king.
Sucks. That sucks.
Well, you know what? We got to make adjustments, John.
And so, like, I think, like, he looks more serious than these people.
And Levin, I talked about his performance of the briefing compared to Pete Hackseth.
He looks like a real person.
I think there is one giant problem for Marco Rubio.
Marco Rubio's greatest legislative accomplishment, perhaps his only legislative.
of accomplishment was to work hand in hand with Barack Obama and Harry Reid to pass a bill
to provide a path to citizenship for millions upon millions of undocumented immigrants.
You mean Marco Rubio also fluent in Spanish who spoke in Spanish at that briefing, which to me was
quite impressive. But let's check in with the 40% of Republican voters, 50% of Republican voters,
who still absolutely love Donald Trump
and want him to be more restrictionist on immigration
and more xenophobic.
I worked in the White House when Marco Rubio
helped Barack Obama pass that very important bill
to give a path to the amnesty bill,
as some called it at the time.
When he helped with the Obama amnesty bill,
I was there.
Every single day in the office,
I was appreciative of Marco Rubio's help.
Today, to this day, I just sent him a thank you card again the other day.
I am available for speaking to, I will talk to anyone about the very important role he played.
I am available if you need me in Iowa, New Hampshire in the coming years to come speak with and share the gratitude I have with Marker Rubio for the work he did.
His sincere beliefs, his the hard work, the way in which he really was, Barack Obama's whisperer on the hill.
Yeah.
I'm happy to tell the stories.
This is a man who believes that borders are just lines on a map and that they don't really, they don't really capture.
like what it is to be an American, which is, as he said there, it's a place where or anyone can come
and become anything, which is that, you know, Mark or Rubio believes that, that speech could have
been given by Barack Obama right there. And I think, I think the reason is because they are,
when you get down to it, kindred spirits. Like what Rubio used to say, I'm told I wasn't there,
was we're not Republicans, we're not Democrats, we're all members of the Uniparty. So, you know,
it is like, I think that all of these, and, and I have heard this,
now, I know that Sarah has heard this in her focus groups. I've heard this from, like, people I know,
people have encountered, but they are all the same people who are like, you know, maybe Spencer Pratt
should be mayor of Los Angeles or people who were like, let me see, they're either, they've got
finance careers, they've got tech careers, they liked Elon Musk for a while, they thought that
was interesting. They were kind of looking at Ron DeSantis in the last primary and thought maybe he had
a really good chance way too late. And that group of people,
is influential in terms of their megaphone and their money, but they are not the MAGA base.
They are not the MAGA base. And I think that right now, I agree with you that it is more about
J.D. Vance's weakness than Marco Rubio's strength. Because right now I think Marco Rubio is a bit of a blank
slate for people. And they are just... Well, not when I'm done with them. But they are, they are, I mean,
and we do this, we've done this with Democratic candidates all the time. But you sort of project all your
hopes and dreams of what you want in a candidate on Marco Rubio? Because right now, when you see
Marco Rubio, he's not fucking tripping and falling on his face every five seconds like the rest of
the duffices in the administration. You know, and he does seem like a serious person.
He ran a absolutely miserable 2016 campaign. Oh, my God. Remember? The voters met him. Chris Christie
like murdered him on stage. Yes. Yes. And as I pointed out to the other day, he ended his campaign
losing a dick joke war with Donald Trump
and then cried
because he was so upset that Donald Trump
would have access to the world's most dangerous weapons.
Also, like, how does, I mean,
I could very easily see a scenario
where it ends up Vance Rubio.
In fact, I think that could be
one of the likelier scenarios.
Like, I don't, can you see a scenario
where Rubio is like, you know what I said,
I wasn't going to run against J.D. Vance,
but change my mind, I'm going to do it.
I find that hard to believe.
Maybe there's a scenario where J.D. Vance is so thoroughly embarrassed that he just sort of slinks away and decides not to run at all.
Although that seems impossible to imagine.
Unless Trump tells him, unless Trump tells him, you're not it.
Yeah.
I mean, if Trump put his thumb on the skill and was like, I want Rubio to be.
But even privately, you know?
Yes.
Then I can see that happening.
Yeah, it'll be interesting.
But I think if you're Rubio, you're like, I'm just going to go along and, and, and, and,
take the adulation from the, from the people who think that I would be better than the current
situation we're in. And maybe he runs with J.D. Vance and then thinks if J.D. Vance loses,
then Rubio is instantly the frontrunner for, uh, what is it, 2032. Yeah, I think he could
consolidate every single one of the Nikki Haley voters. And I think it'd be great for him.
I mean, Rubio's natural, all five. Rubio's natural energy is cuck. Like I just, it's just,
he's, like he is. Yeah. Like, that is like that is. Like that is. Like, like, that is.
sitting in that big cuck chair.
Yeah.
That means also that's, you know what?
When I go to Iowa to tell these stories, I'm going to bring that chair with me.
I'm going to sit in that chair to tell the stories of Marker Rubio's work.
And read the immigration bill that he authored.
Yes.
Yes.
Just read it out loud.
You know, the Obama library is opening this month.
I wonder if there's an annotated copy in there with all of Rubio's notes.
I hope there's an exhibit.
I hope Marco Rubio features prominently in the library.
This was fun.
All right.
Trump, meanwhile, seems like he's trying to make it as difficult as possible for either Vance or
Rubio to win a presidential election, thanks to their association with him.
Here he is discussing his plans to change the color of the reflecting pool on the national mall,
stage a UFC fight at the White House for his birthday, and of course, built his ballroom.
I said, you know, I built all these swimming pools, and they're phenomenal.
So I have some very good contractors.
I think that I'd like to recommend a color.
It's called American Flag Blue.
I said, that's the color I want.
As you know, in June 14th, we're having a big fight.
A lot of people haven't seen this yet.
This will be the greatest show on Earth is at night.
That's all lighting and cover.
I was in a position being a builder and having built many ballrooms and many other things.
I'm good at ballrooms.
That's the entrance to the new ballroom that's being built, which everybody,
which everybody likes, especially since last Saturday.
the evening they like it even because it'll have a thing called security.
That was those were all just this week, just this week as the, as the war has erupted again
and they're trying to get a ceasefire and gas is going through the roof. That was all this week
in his remarks. And good news, Reuters just reported that the White House is expecting to get
the 400 million dollar jumbo jet, the Katari royal family personally gifted to Donald Trump
just in time for America's birthday.
Happy fourth.
Here's a $400 million
$100 million Qatarie jumbo jet
from the Royal family.
The $400 million you paid for,
you the taxpayer, to upgrade the security on the jet,
i.e. remove all the listening devices
the Qataris put in it.
So so far Trump's whole Versailles
on the Potomac vibe
has been yet another weight
on his approval rating.
But now he's tossing
the anchor at Republicans in Congress, who are stunningly about to vote on whether to spend
$1 billion, our dollars, taxpayer dollars, on Donald Trump's ballroom, which they are claiming
is necessary for security reasons. Do you think Republicans running in competitive races are
excited about signing their own political death warrants? This is the most insane thing.
I have ever seen a party do in election year.
They don't have to do this.
Like, they chose to do this.
They volunteered to do it.
And at a time in which they've already voted to close rural hospitals, they've already
voted to kick people off their health care.
They've voted to kick people off their food assistance.
They've said we don't have money for education or childcare or anything else.
But we have a billion dollars for a fancy ballroom where Trump can whine and die in the
Epstein class. It's like this is like a stimulus program for political ad makers. Like it is
insane. I hope they vote today. I was just thinking about that. Like in this, I wonder what you
think about this. And in this like media information environment, like it is, right, it is like a buffet
for ad makers for Democratic ad makers that they've like never seen before. And I think in an environment
like that, like you want to go with like one ad over and over again. And like all you need, like I really
think and someone can go test this but like all you need is an ad that just has like image of him talking
about the ballroom and then rural hospital closing image about him talking about the fucking arch that he's
building and uh people talking about high gas prices people at the pump image of him talking about the
fucking reflecting pool and then uh people like you know and then war and like you know flag draped coffee
like there's just this is this is so simple there is nothing else that people need to
do, but just like one 60 second ad that like shows the corruption embodied in Donald Trump talking
about and Republicans with him talking about all of these, you know, the arch, the whole thing.
And then and then all the struggles people are going through. And that's it. That's the only thing you need.
You need the vote. You need like if they actually vote. Oh, the vote. Yeah, yeah, yeah.
It is, it has to be there is money for all these things that don't help you. And there's no money for you.
And worse than that, they're going to take your money and they're going to spend it on this dumb, fancy shit for rich people.
Like, it is an absolute gift. And I think the ball, like there's so many things, right? And you're right. Like in this media environment, like, how do you keep track? The ballroom has the ability to be the equivalent of the whatever was, the $600 hammer, the toilet seat, all the things in the Reagan era because one, it's so absurd. It's so ridiculous. And it has the advantage of the fact that every.
Every time Trump opens his mouth to breathe, he talks about the ballroom.
So it's like it's like the one, like it's all, we always talk about how Democrats don't have the media firepower to make something that is bad for Trump news all in our own.
Here's the thing where Trump is doing it every single day.
And so he himself is raising awareness of the ballroom.
So it is like we are pushing on an open door here.
But also all of these Republicans running are in competitive races are inevitably going to end up in a debate.
And I think like every single, if you are a Democratic candidate and you do not make that Republican that you're running against in a debate, like own the ballroom, talk about the ballroom, talk about all of the corruption, I'm like, what are you doing?
You know?
I mean, I just think that is the easiest, easiest layup.
I don't care if the question is about some local fucking issue.
Bring it back to the ballroom and Donald Trump.
Just do it.
It's wild we went from a $200 million corporate funded ballroom, which was corruption, but at least that we weren't.
paying for it to a $1 billion ballroom that we're all paying for.
Well, it's funny because it's literally the worst of both worlds for them.
Because half the ballroom is being funded by corporate donors that now get special access
to the White House and special meetings with Donald Trump.
And then the other half is paid for by us.
It's just like.
Yes, it is, I've never, I've never seen.
It's like, it is like they want to lose.
It's like Mike Johnson hates his job so much.
He has to get, he wants to unburden himself with responsibility of the speakership.
It's a wild experiment.
It's a wild experiment.
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So one reason Republicans may not defy Trump's insanely unpopular demands.
His primary threats still work, as we found out Tuesday in Indiana,
for people who don't remember.
Last year, Trump vowed to punish Indiana legislators who voted against gerrymandering the state's maps.
It turns out he did.
Trump's primary challengers ousted at least five of the seven state senators he targeted,
who were helped by photos posing with Trump in the Oval and about $8 to $10 million of ads against their opponents.
Tennessee Republicans saw this and decided they would not be Trump's next victims.
On Thursday, the governor there signed into law new maps that would chop up the lone congressional Democrats'
Memphis area district. Republicans in South Carolina, Alabama, Louisiana are also contemplating
new maps before the midterms, although it's less clear if these states will succeed.
Former playbook author and journalist Rachel Bade called Trump's victory in the Indiana
primaries a, quote, major flex and said that it showed, quote, that if you mess with the bull,
you'll get the horns. Agree or disagree? I would take a cold shower if I was her.
Like, was this a win for Trump?
Yes.
Had these incumbent senators defeated the Trump-back primary challengers, would have been a massive defeat for Trump that probably would have led this show?
Absolutely.
But we have to put this in perspective.
This is the incumbent president of the White House with the full backing of his political operation in the MAGA movement that spent $9 million to defeat five state senators.
Also, like, so Trump, Trump is above water in Indiana.
His approval is like, he's like plus three in Indiana, which is.
That's bad.
Well, I know, it is bad, but like, you still.
Well, he's also probably plus 75 in a Republican primary in Indiana.
That's what I was going to say.
So then you get to a Republican primary.
Then you get to a turnout in a Republican primary, which some of these state senators
that won, won with 7,000 votes, 8,000 votes.
That was about it.
So we're like talk about a low turnout Republican primary in Indiana.
I fucking hope so.
I hope he could win.
It's been like $10,000 a vote.
Exactly.
Yes.
It's so crazy.
It's like I would have been shocked.
I would have been shocked if those senators held on.
I mean, the real test comes in two weeks in the Kentucky primary with Tom Massey.
Oh, yeah.
That's the one.
That's more of a test for sure.
We also have also in two weeks, I think.
I think the Louisiana primary, unless that's in the next couple weeks, we have the Louisiana
primary.
We're at Bill Cassidy, who Trump is primary.
But that is a three-way race.
And so the Trump's chosen candidate probably will make the runoff, probably won't break
the road.
So that one's hard to see.
But Cassidy might be toast anyway.
But Trump still has sway in the Republican Party.
Of course, he's the incumbent president.
He just has less sway than he used to.
Also, you know what?
I'm happy for him to have all the sway he wants.
Well, not so you get to the next question.
Because he has a 35% approval rating.
And if a bunch of Republicans want to tie themselves to Donald Trump and his approval rating as they head into the midterms, best of luck.
Yeah, except in one, very notable exception, which we'll get to in one second.
You mean where redistricting is headed right now?
Yeah.
I mean, the benefit for Trump here is a lot of these members do not in the states that have already voted, filing deadlines are passed.
a lot of the state of legislators would prefer to not take these extraordinary steps to redraw the maps in the favor of Republicans.
And if they had any hesitancy to do so, the D&M primary will send a message that they better do it or they will suffer the consequences in their 2020 primaries.
Like that is the, we're more likely to end with Republicans maximizing to the extent they can the advantages given to them by the Supreme Court decision.
after Indiana than we were before.
Now, is that going to add up to a ton of seats?
That's an open question.
But, like, if you did not want to do this in South Carolina was one place where they did not want to do it,
they may end up doing it now because of this.
Yeah.
And really, you're talking about South Carolina and Alabama and Tennessee, which we just talked about.
Tennessee already did, basically.
Because Louisiana was always, Louisiana was always going to go whether, whatever, whatever they thought about Trump,
because that was the state involved in the case.
and Alabama still needs a court to lift an injunction, so they're waiting on that.
South Carolina could go, and then that's about it.
Like Mississippi is already thinking they're going to wait until 2028.
Georgia already said no.
So, you know, you're right, but it's not like, I would, I'm personally more nervous waiting
for the Virginia State Supreme Court to rule on the referendum, because that to me is a,
that's a, that's a, that's the four sweets.
Yeah, we lose that four-seat swing, then Republicans will end up with a significant, not
insurmountable, but a significant advantage in the midterms.
I still think even if we lost Virginia, I still think Democrats would be favored to take the
majority, but the margin by which we would do so, I think, would be much narrower, thus making
it harder to hold in 28.
So obviously, we can see this and just, you know, worry about what might happen, what might
not happen.
Is there anything Democrats can do about all of this in the short and medium term?
Yeah, I mean, what we're watching right now is incredibly.
infuriating to watch in Tennessee a state with a significant black population just
carve up Memphis one of the city, one of the blackest cities in America and ensure it
has no democratic representation. That, I mean, it's infuriating and it's defliting. And that's
ultimately the goal, right? The people who do gerrymandering and voter suppression want you to
give up. They want you to feel like your power has been taken away so that you stop using your
power. Like that's the ultimate win here. And so we obviously cannot let that happen. And here are
just like three things. And none of these are satisfying. Let me be specific, none of them are
satisfying. But here are the things where we can focus our energy right now. The first is we have to
redouble our efforts to take the House and hopefully the Senate in 26. The reason for that is we need
that is the foundation for the governing coalition that we will have in 2029 with the Democratic
to actually pass things like a ban on partisan gerrymandering to do real electoral reform to make
our system more small-de-democratic. The second thing, and this is critically important, is we have to
pour our time, our money, our resources into state legislative races because there's going to be
efforts to redraw the maps in 2028, in 2030, and most importantly, in 2032 after the next census.
So we have to have as much power as we possibly can to draw the maps in as many places,
even in states where we can't take the majority.
If we can get close to the majority, we can have potentially an influence on how those maps are
drawn.
This is absolutely important.
This is where the future of American democracy is going to be absent some sort of ban on partisan
gerrymandering is going to be decided in state legislative races and in governor's mansions
for the map redrails.
And we're going to live in a cycle of perpetual map redrawls.
The last thing here is we have to put pressure on the blue states where we have the ability
to fight fire with fire, Illinois, Maryland, New York, in states where we have control,
but where we have put in place because we like good government,
bans on gerrymandering like in Michigan,
we have to put pressure on our politicians to look for ways like they did in California,
like they did in Virginia,
to undo those bans to be able to compete here
because we can't live in a world of unilateral disarmament
and we cannot accept any democratic politician that does.
It's a good list.
I like that.
I do think that the good news is some of these Democratic governors have signaled,
I know that Kathy Hokel has in New York that as we look to 2028, they're going to redraw the map.
They just couldn't do it in time for 26.
All right.
Last thing we have to talk about before you hear, Love at the conversation with Tom Steyer.
As you know, FBI director Cash Patel has been in hot water since a story in the Atlantic in mid-April, sourced to more than two dozen people about Patel's, quote, conspicuous inebriation and unexplained absences.
Patel filed a defamation lawsuit against.
the magazine and the writer, Sarah Fitzpatrick, seeking $250 million in damages. MS now reports that
Patel is also having the FBI investigate Fitzpatrick as part of an effort to uncover the leakers,
which is unprecedented when the information involved isn't classified, though the FBI flatly
denies that this is happening. The Atlantic also doesn't seem to know this is going on,
according to their statement, but that is the reporting. Fitzpatrick and the Atlantic responded
by publishing another banger.
Apparently Cash has been
gifting people
customized bottles of Woodford Reserve
engraved with the FBI
shield and Cash's name
spelled with the dollar sign for the S, which is
the parking triggers me the most.
It's perfect. It's just perfect.
A lot of the FBI insiders source in the story
said the bourbon freebies make them
really uncomfortable, yeah, no shit,
because they are a clear violation of FBI
regulations around alcohol.
A bureau spokesperson said that cash reimburses the cost and that, quote, the bottles in question are part of a tradition in the FBI that started well over a decade ago.
Though they declined to elaborate on that tradition.
And Fitzpatrick writes that when she ran that by a former FBI official, quote, he burst out laughing.
What do you think about this?
Also, MS now, Carol Enig and Kandellan reported right before we started that Cash is in full panic mode about his job.
and he has been ordering polygraphs of more than two dozen former and current members of his security detail and other staff over all these stories about him being J. Edgar Boozer.
No one has ever tried and failed harder to be cool than Cash Patel.
It's like his every...
What about J.D. Vance? He hasn't really tried that hard, I guess.
No, he has not true. He's barely, he's barely tried at all. I've even seen him once try to be cool.
He tries to call Jeff once in a while. He tries to tell Mattel is handing out like he, cash
Mattel's entire life is defined by being stuffed in a locker once. And he is handing out
bottles of bourbon to people who think he's ridiculous. And he put a dollar sign in his name like
he's Kesha. Like, what are we doing? Is that what it is? I don't know. But it's like to see,
He thinks that's...
He's cash.
Get it.
Cash.
He thinks it's cool.
Don't like.
No, I get it.
I get it.
He thinks that makes it cooler.
Can you imagine if that jackoff like gave you a bottle of bourbon with his...
And some of them are signed too.
So they're engraved with his name.
But if you're lucky, you get an actual signed version of it, which the Atlantic Reporter was able to buy online.
I think she got it on eBay.
And it was sold by someone who,
got it at an event in Las Vegas where he spends much of his time in the poodle room at the top of
the fountain blue is what happens. The poodle room is such a funny term.
Such a funny. Yeah. Do we know what kind of bourbon's in there? It's Woodford Reserve,
so it's just, you know, it's Woodford. It is. It's Woodford. And then they had to contact Woodford
reserve and they're like, look, we don't, you know, a lot of people engrave our stuff and it happens
after we already sort of send the bottle out.
That's great.
I think it was you and I when I talked about, like, I still place a bet on that he's out by the end of the year.
Was it me and you?
Yeah, yeah, I think that's right.
Yeah, I think we, you said after the midterms.
You can't be running around handing out bottles of bourbon, being so drunk, allegedly, that your security detail, who you're now polygraphing.
had to like send in a SWAT team to get you up in the morning because you wouldn't wake up.
And then just just panic that you can't get into your email thinking it means you're fired.
And now you're giving everyone polygraph tests.
I mean, that is, that shit is wild.
Yeah, I mean, we put a mid-level congressional staffer whose main job as podcaster in charge of the FBI.
The FBI.
And it's like, I think people under, because you see like, you know, Pam Bondi getting
fired at DOJ, obviously, Justice Department, very important. You see, you see, like, Christy
Gnome at DHS, you see Pete Heggseth at DOD. But it's like, when you're the head of the FBI,
like these are, these are like the top federal law enforcement officials in the country,
in the world, really. And it's kind of a hands-on job. It's not like you're the secretary and
you got a bunch of people underneath and your job is to go be on TV and do the TV thing. And then, like,
whole places around itself. Like, you're the fucking FBI director, man. This is a, it's the worst
place to put in someone this unbelievably unqualified and, and seemingly has plenty of,
plenty of issues. Like, truly mind-blowingly was confirmed by the Senate. This was not just
someone that Trump picked and installed in there. The United States Senate had hearings with him.
Tom Tillis introduced it, by the way, at his hearing. He's selling, he's selling merch. He's still
selling cash merch on his website.
I wonder, like, how many units is he selling of cash merch every month?
Let's just, let's just do the hypothetical here.
So let's hypothetically say that you're Donald Trump and the people around him.
You're like, you know what?
I know it doesn't make a ton of sense.
But I think cash should be at the FBI.
It's been his dream.
He's always wanted to be cool.
This is his best chance.
I'm going to do this for him.
And the gratitude, because Trump is a, you know, a very generous person.
And he wants to help people.
So he wants to do this.
So then the idea would be like, yeah, we kind of know he's not fully qualified for this job.
So we're going to surround him.
With a strong number two.
And there's only one man who can do it.
Another podcaster.
Another podcaster.
Another podcaster.
It's like, what are we doing?
Anyway, I feel safe.
I feel safe.
I'm going to sleep well tonight.
All right, Dan.
When we come back, you'll hear Love It's conversation with California gubernatorial candidate, Tom Steyer.
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Joining me now, he is currently running for a governor here in California to succeed Gavin Newsom.
Welcome back to the pod. Tom Steyer.
John, it's nice to be back with you.
All right.
Let's start with this.
California is losing population to states like Texas.
What is your diagnosis as to why that's happening?
I think it's clear, to be honest, John.
California's too expensive for Californians to live in anymore.
And it starts with housing, but it certainly includes healthcare.
We pay twice as much for electricity as the average in the United States for America.
And of course, gasoline prices are going, you know, crazy all over the country, but including California.
And in addition, I think what we're seeing from the Middle East is that we're going to have a big rise in food prices in the fall.
So let's talk about the gas tax here in California because I think it gets at something that I feel is a bit missing from the debate.
I watched the debate last night.
Boy, rowdy.
So California has one of, if not the highest gas tax in the country.
We spend more on roads than any other state.
We also have the worst roads in the country.
And I hear you talk a lot about the ways in which you want to change the tax code and raise revenue.
But I'm curious how you view the role of governor in getting costs like that under control.
anytime you're running an organization, you have to demand accountability.
And if you're running an organization, I think it's an old statement that if you can't measure it, you can't manage it.
So to a very large extent, if you're going to be running the state of California and demanding that the roads be maintained well, so you're going to measure maintenance, how are the roads, and you're going to measure how much it costs to maintain them, then that's something that people are going to have to manage to. And it's a question of accountability and control. And I think it's quite clear in California in multiple places that that's not a system that's existed. It's not a system where people have.
been able to do that. And that's a management task. You know, this is, the governor is an executive
function. And so, yeah, you have an organization to run and you have an organization like every other
organization in terms of how you, you know, manage that through the people and how you manage that
through the numbers. So can you talk a bit about your experience in management? Because you
started a hedge fund in San Francisco in 1986. You were an investor.
my understanding of what your role would be as somebody who is running a hedge fund is you are investigating
companies, you're looking into companies, you gave me even feedback to companies, but you're not running
organizations directly. You're running your smaller organization that's finding different companies
and businesses and evaluating their management as opposed to directly doing it yourself.
Okay. Let me give you a different view on that than the one you just put.
I'm asking. I'm asked. That's my impression. And basically what you're saying is being an investor
is doing an analytical job and a decision-making job,
but not a management job, is your point.
But the truth is, if you're running an investment business,
you have a choice very early on.
Are you going to be the person who runs the analysis
and the decision-making, a la Warren Buffett?
Or are you going to manage the organization,
which involves all the normal things about management,
hiring people, measuring people,
holding them to account, building teams, and doing strategy?
And that's what I did, honestly.
So very early on, it became clear to me that my job was to actually, I had to make that choice.
It was a very clear, distinct choice.
And my job became managing people.
And if you look at it, I've started a lot of organizations.
And all of, you know, if we registered 1.2 million Californians, which we did, that's management.
You know, if you start a bank that is a nonprofit community bank to try and go to the places commercial banks won't go and replace.
them so that you can serve underserved communities. That's management. You know, the truth of
the matter is there are people like Warren Buffett, and if you've ever been to visit him in Omaha.
Haven't had the pleasure. Let me describe it. Okay. It's kind of like this room. It's him and an assistant
that he's probably had for 50 years in a room, and he really is an investor. Do you think it's fair
that my assessment of what you're talking about on the campaign trail, you seem to me more excited
or interested or passionate about closing tax loopholes on corporations, reforming the tax code,
bringing in revenue to pay for the things we need, then you are on the actual kind of reasons
California. California has the highest per capita or one of the highest per capita spending of any
state in the country. Texas is much lower. We're so losing people.
to these states. So like, I feel you saying we have, we have this affordability crisis. We need to
raise revenue. I don't hear as much about how important it would be to figure out why California is so
expensive in the government. Why the government is so. Yes, why the government is. Okay, so, but let me put
it through this way. I have run organizations and I'm somebody who will go line by line.
And I will be a good steward of people's tax money because I understand very fully that
Every dollar we save.
Every dollar we don't spend is a dollar we can spend on educating a kid.
It's a dollar we can spend on health care for people who need it.
And so actually, if you look at the people, I started an organization from zero.
If you think I was not minding my pennies and actually measuring where they're, I didn't have a salary.
I didn't get paid.
I knew that I had to be careful.
And in every one of the things that I've done, I've had to be.
serious about making sure that the money that is used is well used. And I think that if you look at
somebody who's run organizations that had to be careful about money, I'm the person who's done that.
And I feel like being a good steward of the money is critical. I will also say that for everybody
who says they're going to fund the growth in the, you know, the in services from waste, fraud, and
abuse. We've seen that movie. It's called Doge. It failed. And by the way, Betty Yee was the
controller of the state of California for eight years. She's endorsed me. Betty is a highly
competent, very smart, professional person. She told me she found $7 billion of waste fraud and abuse,
which is a lot. But last night on the debate stage, I think that Steve Hilton said it was $540 billion.
dollars. Look, we've seen this movie in Doge. It failed completely. Will I be a good steward? And look, to me, John, this is a question of, are you going to set higher really good people? And are you then going to give them systems that enable them to oversee this and watch it and be good? Yes. Are we going to do that? Yes. Am I aware that the internal information systems of the state of California are
several generations behind the time.
That's me being nice.
And so do I, is that something that I will take seriously?
I'm telling you, if you go around this state,
you can see that people are suffering.
And the idea that I'm going to, I will not be profligate with tax dollars
because every dollar that we save, every dollar that is misused,
every dollar of waste, fraud and abuse, I believe is the term.
is just money that we can use for people, and I will not take that lightly.
And so, you know, let's say you're going through the budget, you're looking for places to save.
If we spend more per pupil than other states, we don't get good results for it, we spend more on our roads.
You're also talking about reforming parts of the tax.
So that clearly need reform for people that are not from California.
We have a rule that was passed by referendum that makes it very hard to change, that really limits property taxes.
And it really, if you bought a piece of commercial real estate in the 70s, you're paying
extremely low rate on it.
You want to close that loophole.
But that money would then go into the...
Well, can I challenge some of your assumptions?
One of the things that people think is what you just said, which is that we spend a lot per pupil
and we don't get good results.
We have gone from being the number one education state in the United States to somewhere in the 30s.
In the 30s based on per pupil adjusted for cost of living, but that includes all the ways in which California is expensive because of how we're already mismanaged.
Which is what I'm going after.
But my point is that we are still spending a lot per pupil and not getting good results.
It's just you have to adjust it based on all the other ways California is fucked up.
But if you're thinking about it from the standpoint of education for a second, you're thinking about it in terms of, you know, cost.
But let's talk about it in terms of how education is going in California and why we're not getting good.
results. The truth is getting good results is a pretty straightforward thing and people like to make it
too complicated. And I used to think, you know, some different things. But the truth is that by far biggest
determinant of student success is how good the teachers are. And getting good teachers is not magic. This is
not like we need to conjure up, you know, something. The truth is you have to hire people who are
really good. You have to support them and help train them. And then you need to retain them.
when they've gotten to a level where they're a huge asset to the state.
And we aren't doing that because you can say it's a lot of money compared to other states.
But it's not a lot of money if you have to live in California.
Right.
Which is why I'm talking about bringing down housing costs, which is why I'm going crazy on health care costs,
which is why I'm saying we're going to go after the electric monopolies and reduce electricity costs,
which is why I'm saying I'll do a windfall because it's like we need to drive down those costs
so that we're competitive with other states and we also need to make.
sure that teachers being paid enough so they can live in the district so we can hire really good
people. We should spend the money to train them. And then we need to retain them. And, you know,
it is true that if you step back and look at the 50 states, then the teachers look well paid
compared to the teachers in Mississippi. That is true. But the costs in Mississippi are much,
much lower. And the teachers are most often living outside. These are the reason we're having
trouble. It's very hard to hire teachers in California because they can't live on the salary.
Well, we had that, you know, there was a strike in San Francisco and people were mocking.
the teachers for going on strike because of what the salaries look like in real numbers,
but of course it's because San Francisco is so unaffordable. Let's talk. I want to finish,
I want to ask one more question about schools and I want to get to housing. So in January,
Governor Newsom proposed reform. So we have a convoluted system in which the Board of Education
and the Department of Education are separate. Do you support those reforms to have more authority
go up to the governor? I support reform. I'm going to answer your question with a different perspective.
I never, I don't understand why that's not an easy. I support.
Yes, you're spending so much money to be governor.
Don't you want to be powerful?
Streamlining the system.
One of the big issues in California, in education, but much more broadly, is coordination
of multiple agencies doing the same thing.
And therefore you're talking about in terms of hiring more people.
I'm talking about it, and let's take it to the fires.
We're in Los Angeles.
The fires in Altadena and Pacific Palisades.
There are an awful lot of agencies trying to.
to do the right thing. There was the city, there was the county, there was the state. There was
no coordination. You're asking, what I said is I want to reframe your question to do you believe
in much clearer, simpler lines of authority? Do you believe in not overlapping, you know, agencies,
doing the same task with different rules that people have to live up to, which is expensive,
but it's much more than that.
It actually prevents things from getting done.
Right. Well, that's why I'm surprised.
If you asked me the question, I'm saying, under those circumstances, of course I'm in favor of that.
But it's like, it's a bigger question than just the question you asked about education.
Well, this one reform is just about let's consolidate some of these authorities because one of the things that happens in the wake of fires is because the account.
Because the responsibilities are diffused, the accountability is discus.
And this is a proposal by the governor to make the accountability.
And that's my point is.
It's a bigger question than just education is all I was trying to say.
Yeah, yeah.
And in every case, this is a, you know, it's critical.
I was talking about response to fire because it was so poorly coordinated, clearly.
But it's also true in terms of housing.
Very much so when you talk about all the different agencies for permitting.
You know, it's like, okay, overlapping, contradictory, expensive, time-consuming.
Yeah, a big thing about housing is it takes.
a really long time to get it done.
Here's why.
Yeah.
And so you're asking me, do I think it's better to simplify and actually coordinate so that,
in fact, the people who are at the end of the decision tree get faster, clearer decisions
that are not contradictory?
Why, yes, I do.
That's a management task.
So let's talk about housing, because you've been saying something that's confusing to me,
and I just want to understand it, which is one reason mayors oppose additional housing is
because...
This is a critical point.
It becomes an unfunded mandate for schools and health care.
care in their areas. But at the same time, because of our property tax system, new homeowners,
new builds are one of the ways in which you can get the property tax number back up. And we have
rules in California that require local funding for schools in part based on population. So I don't
understand what's unfunded about it. Because what's really happening for the cities and counties is
they used to rely on what you described accurately as real estate taxes, local real estate taxes, for all that stuff.
But nowadays, they rely very much on the state to send them money.
So when the state says we want you to permit 20,000 houses here and build them,
they are then relying on the state to send them the money in large part.
I take your point, but in large part, they're relying on the state to send them the money to fund that.
And that's why they put in the big fees.
you know, in some places in California, I think including some places around here, the fee to build a house is up to 20% the cost of the house, which is amazing.
And but they're doing it for, and I don't, it's not like these are wicked people who are somehow trying to rip people off.
They are literally terrified that they're going to put themselves in a position where they cannot take care of people.
They cannot educate people.
I think it's a little.
There's yimbism.
Well, it's like, this is a sort of magnanimous fear for the,
future, they're listening to the constituents who are trying to fight housing in their communities.
There's a YIMB part of this for sure. But there is also very much a money part of this.
There really is. And I think that the money part I am obviously sympathetic to because they do have to provide those services.
The YIMB part, I understand one size doesn't fit all, but the truth is we need to build houses.
But why?
But why is a new apartment or a new home more of a liability than an old apartment?
or an old home in a community when the only difference would be the property tax rate,
and that property tax rate is lower for the old homes.
I understand that.
But the truth is they don't have a choice about the old home.
Like the old home exists and people live there.
So that's just...
Well, I'm saying being mayor of an empty city would be very sort of a streamlined job,
but it's still...
Like, that's I don't get it.
But I think that they're looking for something different.
If you look around California over the last 30 or 40 years,
every city has wanted to attract business.
Business pays taxes.
Business doesn't use services.
Every city or county has tried to push back against housing because housing is expensive because
of the people who live there.
And so that's been the issue.
And it's been the issue since 1978.
So how much of it in terms of getting this, because you're in favor of SB 79, which I appreciate,
how much of the role of governor is about putting rules that localities can't break?
Like how much of this is collaborative?
How much of this is like?
It's both, of course.
I mean, you know, because what you're saying is, do you order them to do it or you work with them to do it? And of course, the answer is both. Like, you've got to have, it's got to be a relationship. It's got to be something where you collaborate and work together. It is a partnership, but you've got to have some kind of stick at the end of the day.
So, honestly. I'm not, because there is, I'm not a fool. The Yimbi people have endorsed me. But the truth is, the reason there's a YIMB movement is because there's a very strong NIMB movement.
Yeah. So you, so you put a lot of.
of your own money into this race is also money being spent against you and I was looking at who's
funding these sort of ads and they have you know their usual mysterious names and some of it makes
sense to me right like I the the utilities because you have a a proposal to go after the utilities
but I was surprised to see that the the realtors have put in money against you and if you're
someone who's saying I'm going to build a million houses I was surprised to see and and some
and a builder's group is against you and
I think the realtors, I do understand. I think they're worried that I actually am going to protect renters.
I think the realtors are much more about, am I, in fact, going to protect renters from, you know, spikes and cost?
And am I going to push against landlords, you know, when I think that they're being abusive?
But presumably, the realtor's interest is transactions and having properties turnover.
And there's a misaligned incentive here because,
of our silly property tax rules, when we put in rules that make sales more expensive, we ultimately
can in some ways reduce the property tax revenue because properties don't get sold. If realtors make
money on properties changing hands, are they getting something wrong in spending against,
are they just wrong about it? Well, let me say this too, John. I'm curious. Do I think that I'm bad
for business? Hell no. Do I think that I'm going to raise taxes on billionaires and big companies?
Yes, and I've said it explicitly. But do I think that I'm the person,
race who understands business by far the best, yes. And I think if you look at the things when I've
taken on these corporate special interests, I've done it on behalf of working people, I've raised
billions of dollars for education and health care without charging Californians a penny, and I haven't
hurt the economy one bit. My goal here, I always say it, is shared prosperity. You can't share something
you don't have. It's critical for us that actually we compete really well around the world,
which we do, we're half the growth in the United States. That's critical for us. We have to be
a very successful dynamic economy. We have to be. The issue we have is we are that, on average.
The problem is most of the people in this state can't afford to live here, and we have the highest
poverty rate in the United States of America. And so when I talk about shared prosperity,
I'm not joking, but it starts with prosperity, and I'm going to push very hard. Look, if we bring
down housing costs, okay, that is great for everybody who needs to buy a house.
everybody who needs to rent. Okay. It's also great for everybody who is an employee because their
costs are much lower. If I talk about bringing down electricity costs, is that great for every family?
Heck yes, that's putting money in every family's pocket. Oh, by the way, every business is pocket.
Did I mention that? I don't need to talk about it. But if you go into the Central Valley,
you know, you have to use a lot of electricity to use water and farming. You know, you have to irrigate
and you have to move the water to where it has to go. California farmers pay three times.
as much for electricity to move water as Texas farmers.
I want to bring that down.
It's a business thing as well as a human thing.
In everything I'm talking about, healthcare, it is eating up businesses.
It's eating up every family.
You know, to be fair, the teachers who struck in San Francisco couldn't pay their
health care bills.
That's what they were striking about.
Healthcare.
Really, and I went on the line to ask them, because I was like, how come you guys
are striking you who haven't struck in 60 years and they're like we can't pay health care.
We're paying one to two thousand dollars a month for a family of three. We can't do it.
And so when I'm talking about bringing down health care costs, yes, that's absolutely for every
family in this state. It's also for every business in this state. I want to make, I want to make sure
we're competitive with everybody internationally and nationally. I want this state to lead.
I also want us to be shared. I want this to be a state we're proud of where we say we
compete our ass off, we succeed, but you know something we don't leave people by the side of the
road. We're the state that takes care of everybody in the state. So let's talk about health care
because I'm curious about how you see us getting towards a single payer system. Because when I
look at what your critique is, you talk a lot about the ways in which we have a for-profit system
that tries to provide the least amount of care for the greatest cost. At the same time, in California,
roughly half of the insured are insured through the public system and half of the people in the
private market are insured to the non-profit part of the private market.
Most of our hospitals are non-profit.
And so in a lot of ways, you can talk about the profits of like an anthem or a for-profit hospital system,
but majority of what we're spending, we are spending outside of the for-profit system.
So how do you get to a single-payer system?
The great thing about a single-payer system is it does take out the big problem.
from the health insurers, it does give you an ability to negotiate with everybody.
And so, you know, that's not what people think about.
But the truth is, when you look at the costs that we're spending that are so much higher
than single-payer systems, it's because we don't have an ability to negotiate and bring down costs
across the board.
So it starts with the health insurers, but it goes way past that.
And the fact of the matter is, honestly, there'll be a lot of work on this to get the details
right. And that, you know, is going to be, as you'll remember from 1994, there's a lot of work on
this to get the details right. But the truth is, we don't have a choice. And that's what I keep saying
to people. They keep saying it's a lot of brain damage, which it is. But, you know, you sound like
you've done a lot of work to think about all these questions, including this one. Not as much
you think. No, I'm kidding. I'm going to give you a B. Okay. No, I'm teasing. But the truth is this,
if you look at how much we're spending on health care and how what the trend is,
it's not supportable.
It's honest to God, not supportable.
And so if you're sitting here this year and saying, well, we can, you know, if we cut this
and we cut education and we do this and we do that, then we can make the budget work.
But the truth is we're really, it is eating up every family.
That's why the teacher struck.
It's really eating up business.
It is.
And it's eating up the budget of the state.
don't have a choice. And if you look at the numbers, I can send you the numbers. It's one of those
things where you sort of go like, oh, God. You know, not, people say, why would you want to do this?
It's a lot of brain damage. It's very difficult. You know, there'll be lots of, you know,
towing and froing. All true. But we don't have a choice. And that, and we really don't have a choice.
And there's, for everybody who says, which people did say on the stage last night, we're just going to do
it better. It's like, the reason I changed my mind on single payers, people have told me that for so
long. And it's like you keep telling me everything they said on the stage last night that we're
going to do to bring down costs. I heard 10 years ago. Yeah, I guess what I like to be cynical for a
moment. Like I believe in Medicare for all. I was infuriated by the Democrats in Congress when I
worked for President Obama who stood in the way of a public option and then even a Medicare buy-in
for older people, which would have helped the whole system. But when I look at a state like California
and say, like, actually, we do have a choice.
We have a, like, for example, in our Obamacare exchange, it's actually a bright spot.
We were able to negotiate less of a rate hike than even in a place like Texas.
We're able to compete on this one lever.
We have a better public system than states we're losing people to.
If I'm trying to say, all right, we need California.
We have, you're right, we're this massive and growing economy.
We're half the growth of the country.
have a high unemployment rate, right? We need to figure out how to get people who are working for
businesses, which means they have insurance already, to make an affordable life here. A single-payer
system isn't necessarily something they're looking for. It's not their biggest problem.
The cost of health care is what they're saying. Right. I'm just-
Their problem, then it's their employer's problem. Right. And that's the truth. You know,
there's no way to get around what's going on in health care. And it's overwhelming. And,
Honestly, you know, I was spending time with the nurses yesterday, and they see this up close, the people who don't get care because it's too expensive to get care until it's really a disaster.
The people whose lives get blown apart by getting sick.
All the stuff that they see on a daily basis, human tragedy, where in fact a simpler system at lower cost would enable us to deliver.
And John, I don't think we have a choice.
There are a lot of things where you can say, Tom, this is a common.
complicated problem with a lot of players and a lot of interest with high emotion. Agreed.
But if you look at it, we honestly don't have a choice if we think that health care is a right.
Look, obviously, there's another attitude, which is the Trump attitude, which is let's kick people.
Yeah, Medi-Cal. And it's not a right. And in fact, you know, we'll go back to the system where
people don't get care or they get care at the emergency room. And obviously, what I'm trying to
to do with California something different. Look, we are a really rich, successful, powerful state.
We need to show what this 21st century looks like. We need to show what actually we can do as a
democratic state to show. We have to show what we stand for and what we have to stand for as
healthcare is right. That has got to be unquestioned. And then the question is, and we have to start,
you were saying, am I going to be a good steward of money? Yes, that's what this is.
is. This is saying we're going to provide that at a price that we can afford. And that's going to
involve a lot of work, but that's the way it goes. And in housing, are we going to drive down the
cost of housing? Yes. Is it going to be a lot of work? Yes. And that's the way it goes. And we're
going to take on the electric monopolies. And they don't like it. And they're spending tens of millions
of dollars against me. But you know something? They keep telling us that twice the rate of everybody
else in the United States is cheap and we should just grin and bear it. That is not true at a time
when electricity prices around the world are plummeting and ours are going up.
So it's like if you want change, you've got to take on the status quo and it's hard,
but somebody's got to do it.
And that's why I'm running for governor.
So you have a little drawing on your hand, which is meant to tell you to be honest at all times.
Is that the idea?
What does it mean?
Sincere.
It's sincere, honest, do your absolute best because you can't control the outcome.
So, you know, Katie Porter put you on the spot.
in the debate last night over this billionaire tax that's on the ballot.
And I feel like she thought she was putting her on the spot because you're a billionaire
who's spending a lot of money on this race.
This tax is, I think, widely viewed as kind of bad policy.
And she thought you'd be, wouldn't want to say you're against it, but wouldn't want to say
you're for it.
But then you just said that you're for it, which I think caught her off guard.
That was my read of it.
But you don't think it's a good policy to have a one-time surcharge as part of the budget, and yet you said you're for it.
That's, I think, what was confusing about the exchange.
Okay, here's what I said.
I said, if it's on the ballot, I'll vote for it.
Right.
But going forward, we need to do more because it's – so I said two things.
Because it's a one-time thing and because it doesn't distribute the money throughout, you know, all the needs of Californians.
It just puts it into one part of the budget, which is health care.
Yeah.
But are you worried at all that –
California already has a progressive income tax.
We are already a high tax state.
A huge amount of our state budget comes from the wealthiest earners because of our corporate tax rate,
which is also one of, if not the highest, in the country.
I am all for reforming the tax code, and a lot of this does flow from the property tax issue.
But at the same time, if we are going to shift more of the tax burden towards the top and we see wealthy people leave the state,
the critique would be you're going to start to see that revenue need to come from somewhere else,
which means you're going to start moving it down to the bottom.
I feel like you're coming out in favor of this tax because it's sort of the wages of being a billionaire in the race.
And so you kind of have to say you're for it, even though long term you don't think it's a good idea.
That's my take.
I got it.
But let me make this point.
If you actually look at how the richest people in this state make money, it is not the way you're describing as being taxed.
You know, the income tax is based on income, right?
But we have a cap gains rate in the state as well.
Yeah.
And in order to get capital gains, last I checked, you have to sell.
Okay, so you're basically saying the way you pay tax as an individual in this state is either to get a wage, a salary or a bonus, or to sell your stock in something at a gain.
Those are the two things, right?
Dividends, yeah.
Yeah, but these stocks don't pay dividends, to be clear.
But actually, that's not the way this works.
Because if you actually are one of these people who starts, which I've said repeatedly,
I'm in favor of a new brilliant idea company and the thing blows up and you end up being
worth a ton of money, you're worth a ton of money on paper, right?
You own stock.
So now, John owns $10 billion worth of stock in a crypto company.
Okay.
You haven't paid any times.
You know, whatever you're being paid is.
a salary relative to your worth is de minimis, right? If anything. But what you have is a whole
bunch. And so let's say, but you know, the truth is you want to buy a big house or whatever
the hell you want to buy. Let's not get into, you know, all that name calling. But you want it.
Okay. So do you sell your stock? No. You don't sell your stock. You borrow against your stock.
So now you still have $10 billion worth of stock, but you have $100 million of dollars of
debt against the stock, which you still own, and you've paid zero tax. So the question is,
in the real world, when we're seeing this explosion of wealth, which we're seeing in companies
that do not pay dividends, thank you very much, because none of them do. The way they pay dividends
is by buying in shares, because it's single tax. Dividends are double taxation. That's single
taxation. That's been true, oh God, for 50 years. No one pays dividends. That's
that because it's taxed. So instead, okay, now you have your $10 billion. You've never paid any tax.
So the question is, actually, is this such a bad idea? As I said, it's a one-time thing for a long-term
problem. It doesn't go far enough and it doesn't spread the money fairly. But the truth is,
it's a step forward, which is what I was saying. So no, I'm not being cynical and dishonest.
I'm saying, look, is it perfect? I said it wasn't perfect. But I said if it's on the ballot, I'll vote for.
And that was the truth.
I hear that.
Do you worry all about the, like, we have extraordinary wealth at the top.
We have higher unemployment.
We have people fleeing the stake because of affordability.
If we start trying to solve the problem by taxing at the top more than we already are, which we are a high-tech state, we will start to see even that bright spot, which is some of the biggest tech companies of the world are based here, some of the most profitable businesses in the world.
were based. You're not hiring enough.
Look, so if the people leave, that's one thing, right?
Yeah.
You now are worth $10 billion and you don't want to pay any tax on it, ever.
So I'm moving to Florida.
So you're moving to Florida. You now live in Florida. I'd like to point out to you, John.
I'd rather be a millionaire in California than a billionaire in Florida. You know what I'm saying?
Me too. But the thing that is that I do take seriously is the idea of businesses leaving,
because what I said to you is, everything I'm doing is to make us more competitive from a
standpoint, every single thing. So if businesses leave, that's a different thing.
And last night on this stage, if you'll notice, they mentioned four businesses that had left, right?
Tesla.
Elon Musk.
Palantir.
Palantir?
Salesforce?
No.
Oracle.
Charles Schwab.
Anything that comment about those companies that you've noticed?
You tell me.
Come on.
The Trump people?
Is that what you're saying?
Every one of those guys is a right-wing person.
And that's why they left.
They didn't leave just because of their fears about tax.
taxes. They didn't leave because, you know, somehow this people may leave because of this tax
because this is about billionaires. But the corporations that left don't like what California
stands for. Ellison, Oracle. Musk, Tesla, Charles Schwab, who actually I have a lot of
respect for, but is a long-term, strong Republican, and Palantir, which is, oh, my God.
So in answer to your question, do I care, I want us to be the best place to have a business.
I want it to be the best place to start and grow a business and I'll do any, I will, if you listen
to what I'm saying, everything I'm saying includes the prosperity part of shared prosperity.
And I will be a dog about that.
And I want to make the point, we are going to, everything I'm saying is we're going to support
businesses because that's where we get employment.
And that's how the state grows.
And we're part of, we're the place that imagines and builds.
future. So let's talk about Hollywood for a second and thank you for your time. I think we've gone a little over.
Have we? You've been very prolix I noticed. What am I? Prolix. What's Prolix mean?
I'm kidding. It's talkative. Oh, I've been talking. I feel like, I don't know. I feel like, am I talking too much?
No, I'm just giving you a hard time. John. Okay, thanks. Thanks for saying that. So on Hollywood,
speaking of like sort of what has made California powerful and sort of a beacon of our economy.
and our culture. We've seen jobs in flee from LA. We've seen them free from California. They've
gone to other states. They've gone to other countries. It is outrageous to me that American film and
TV studios find it more affordable to shoot in London than they do in Los Angeles. We've just increased
the tax breaks and they're trying to do some reforms. What would you do both sort of as a leader
with the power to convene and on a policy level
to ensure that California remains the home of film and TV production.
So let me say, I agree with your premise.
This is a critical industry for this state and this city.
Absolutely.
And people are not out competing us by being better.
They're out competing us by buying the business.
And that can't happen.
And so I've said, look, first of all,
one of the things that makes me feel better is the tax credits that we give
for every dollar we get back a dollar in 14 cents.
So this is not like a cost.
This is actually an investment
that returns a pretty darn good investment
to the state of California.
And I think this is a critical industry for us.
So I don't want us to lose
because other people are giving more tax credits
than we are.
And therefore, we lose all of the...
Once we've lost this ecosystem,
which is the best in the world by far,
we're not getting back.
It's way harder to rebuild a business
than to continue a business.
Just, I mean, that's just...
true. And so I think it's really critical that we support it through the tax credits.
Secondly, I want to make sure that there aren't regulations in this city and this state that make
it hard to shoot production. And particularly for small productions, I want to make sure that there
aren't regulations about, you know, how you're supposed to do it and all the things you're
supposed to do before and that are very expensive. That means you can't do it here. I want to
make sure that people can compete here fairly because we're going to win. And we have to, you know,
you were saying, you know, am I worried about business leaving?
I want our businesses to win.
I am competitive, John.
I am on team, California.
That's the team I'm on.
I want to win, and I want to win as a team, and I want to have it so that we sit here
and go, this is how you're supposed to live.
Really smart people working their ass off.
And let me say this.
I don't think everybody who works in sort of the high, fly-in, fancy jobs noses.
The people who work at low-paid jobs work their ass off.
They kill themselves for very low wages.
They are very skilled.
They are very sincere, hardworking, you know, high integrity people.
Seriously.
And so I'm not joking about it.
When I say, I'm on team California, I'm really on team California.
But everybody's on the team.
And certainly the entertainment industry is absolutely on the team.
So I'm in a fight like hell to make sure that they can succeed and that they can stay here and help build the state that we want.
Last question, because I do want to touch on it because I think it does matter to people.
And you spent like 147 million so far of your own money on this race.
You're watching it closer than I am sure.
Well, I hope somebody should be watching.
That's a lot of money.
120 million on ads.
You know, you have that you have put yourself near the top of the field.
But when Swalwell drops out, a lot of people.
that support him seem to have gone to other candidates like Becerra, you sort of stay there.
And it's not about the polls.
There does seem to be a reluctance to see someone who is using their personal fortune to try to
buy their way and to name recognition and into politics.
And there's something ugly about that in a democracy.
And even if you view yourself as someone who would be a great governor and so therefore are willing to pay that.
expense, you have to see it as a system that rewards people that made vast sums of money
often in unsavory ways, including yourself, who can then turn around and try to kind of paint
themselves in another way for the public. What is your response to people who feel that sense
of discomfort with a billionaire running for office? Look, I think there are two things you're talking
about. One is the one you're talking about, which is just money in politics. And the other one is
how people feel about billionaires.
Because it's both.
So let's start with the easy one.
People are skeptical of billionaires.
Me too.
We've seen people be incredibly arrogant, selfish, self-interested,
obnoxious, you know, unfeeling.
Yes, I agree.
I'm skeptical too.
And it's also true that the way that money works in American politics
is completely out of control
and has been at least since Citizens United in 2011.
But it's also true that right now the way this system works is through money.
It's just through money from big corporations who are protecting their bottom lines.
It's through billionaires who absolutely don't want to pay tax.
And they are absolutely willing to support, including people from Palantir,
including people from all the companies we were talking about,
even though they aren't here anymore.
They're willing to support people who promise they'll never tax them.
So the idea that somehow we have this democratic system that exists and everybody has a, is not true.
And the question is, do we need someone in this system who's willing to go after the corporate special interest that actually run this state?
Which is why they're coming after me because they like it and their profits are based on their control of this state.
I don't know if you saw it, but I think yesterday in committee in Sacramento, the head of WUSPA, the Western states, Petroleum,
Association said he thought it was the fiduciary duty of oil companies to take advantage of the
Iran War and gouge Californians as much as possible. So in answer to your question, do I think
somebody has to take on these corporate special interests? Do I think somebody has to stand up for
working people against billionaires? I do. And if there was someone else doing it, I would be fine.
But if you actually want to change something, sometimes you have to change it. And, you know,
They are spending tens of millions of dollars against me because they think I'm sincere, too.
And I am.
And so do I think that that's something that needs to be done?
I do.
And if someone else were doing it, I'd be fine.
Really?
I'd go back and I asked a bunch of people if they'd do this before I decided to do it.
You don't think Katie Porter's willing to take on special interests?
You don't think Manhattan is taking on special interest?
I think there are other people in the right?
Do I think Matt Mayan is taking on?
Are you serious?
No.
Or Becerra is taking on the interest.
Well, he's a reformer, maybe not taking on the special interest.
I'm asking you.
He's taking money from the oil companies.
He's taking money from the people who are against single payer.
No, he is, that is clear.
They're participating in a system that's broken.
They're not billionaires, right?
I agree.
But you're asking, are we going to change the system?
And I'm saying, well, the people who you're projecting.
It's a Katie Porter.
You don't think Katie Porter has hostile.
If she were doing better in the polls, they'd probably be spending more against her, too, right?
I mean, she's hostile to special interest, but she doesn't have your money to get ads up, right?
That's a real thing.
So the question is, can someone win and do this?
That is the actual question, John, not can someone be good-hearted?
There are lots of good-hearted people who I would be happy if they won.
The question is, can someone actually do this?
And as you pointed out, for a while, apparently, Eric Swalwell was leading in the polls.
And Eric Swalwell, it's, I mean, it turned out that there were, you know, bigger issues.
But all along, there was.
no question that he was truckling to every interest in this state. That was his goal and, you know,
he, and they were thrilled and he was in the lead. So when you talk about, is there someone who will
take on the special interest? You know, I think to describe it, Javier Berser, is a reformer. I'm sorry.
I didn't say that. Did I say that? If I did, I didn't just say that. I'm just saying, someone has to do
this job and, you know, actually do it, not try to do it, not, you know, give it a nice college try and
then go off and, you know, play Pinochle.
Somebody has to actually do the job.
And that's what I'm trying to do, really hard.
Tom Steyer, this is a great conversation.
Thanks for talking to me.
Really appreciate it.
I miss Long Island.
That's our show for today.
Thanks to Tom Steyer for coming on.
I'll be back in the feed on Sunday with a conversation with Senator Raphael Warren.
Bye, everyone.
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