Pod Save America - Trump Is Falling. Are Democrats Rising?

Episode Date: May 5, 2026

Just like the ceasefire with Iran, Trump's standing in the polls has effectively collapsed, but Democrats aren't performing better on the generic ballot. Jon, Lovett, and Tommy discuss why, and what ...Democrats can do about it. They also react to the latest chaos in the Strait of Hormuz, the Trump administration's effort to blame the demise of Spirit Airlines on Joe Biden, and whether Republicans really might convince John Fetterman to switch parties. Then, Jon talks to Strict Scrutiny's Melissa Murray about the recent court rulings on mifepristone, new threats to safe and legal abortion, and Melissa's new book "The U.S. Constitution: A Comprehensive and Annotated Guide for the Modern Reader."Friends of the Pod subscribers on Apple Podcasts will receive today’s ad-free episode a few hours later than the regular release due to a technical issue. Thanks for your patience!For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast, episode title, and episode date.

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Starting point is 00:01:35 I'm Tommy Vitor. On today's show, we'll talk about how the Iran war has reignited as gas prices reach record highs, all while Trump's approval continues to crater with just six months left until the midterms. But could Democrats blow it? Of course we could. We'll talk about all the reasons why, including redistricting hiccups, Republicans wooing John Federman, and Ken Martin crushing it at the DNC. Then I talked with strict scrutiny's Melissa Murray about the appeals court ruling on Miffitt Pristone, new threats to safe and legal abortion, and Melissa's new book explaining the Constitution for you, the modern reader. Thank you.
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Starting point is 00:03:06 Absolutely. And we'd love it if you did. All right. The ceasefire in the Iran war has basically collapsed and oil prices are spiking again after Trump rejected Iran's latest offer to deal with the straight of Hormuz before tackling the nuclear issue. the president then announced Project Freedom, his expertly crafted plan to have the U.S. military, quote,
Starting point is 00:03:25 guide commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz, which almost immediately ran into the minor issue of Iran launching missiles and drones at said ships from small boats, despite Trump repeatedly assuring us that Iran's military capabilities have been destroyed. Iran also resumed attacks on the UAE and Oman. The U.S. sank Iranian boats on the strait, and Maradi officials said they're expecting imminent U.S. and or Israeli attacks. on the Iranian mainland.
Starting point is 00:03:50 And off we go. Trump, who continues to tell us that he holds all the cards, address the latest flare-up at a White House event on Monday. Our country's booming now, despite the fact that we're in a, I call it a mini-war,
Starting point is 00:04:03 can't let Iran have a nuclear weapon. We hit all new highs, and I said, we have to take care of business because we can't let that happen. So we did a little detour. And it's working out very nicely. Everybody was wrong. They thought that energy would be at $300,
Starting point is 00:04:17 $300, right? $300 a barrel, and it's like at 100. They give me fake polls. They tell me about polls and this. You know, it's interesting. They did a poll on the war with Iran. And they said only 32% of the people like it. Well, I don't like it. And I don't like war at all. They said 32% of the people are against President Trump. Well, when you explain it, like, is it okay for Iran to have a weapon. It wouldn't be 32%. But even if you said that, there'd be a 32% because the polls are fake. We watched that in our office and it went on like that for about five hours, I think. Just it was, it was a drone. It was an intermittent, speaking of drone attacks. I mean, there's just like an unbelievable like monotone taking us through in and out, weaving back and forth
Starting point is 00:05:06 between Iran and the economy and the weave. I know. I said it and I regretted it. But the guy from Pondstars briefly showed up. And he was gone. We were back to the spiel. It's weird. So Trump keeps telling us he's holding all the cards? What kind of a card game do you think he thinks he's playing? Not a winning one. Yeah. So this plan, it's not the Navy ships are physically escorting other ships through the Strait or Hamoos. Guiding you sounds like, we'll give you directions and wish you luck. Like what, right, based on what happens today? Because they're calling it a coordination effort to guide ships with real-time information, safety guidance, and coordination. So like, I don't know, GPS. What is this? So, but as we saw today, Iran is very willing to take shots at these vessels.
Starting point is 00:05:45 they're willing to take shots at other targets in the region. The Pentagon can't guarantee that the straight-ohr moves is in mind. So it seems like once again more of a PR effort. They roll out over the weekend ahead of markets on Monday. But it didn't work this time because the price of gasoline shot up again. The average price is at $450 per gallon now in the U.S. But you've seen analysts say like there could be a break at some point pretty soon in the global economy and get us to $7 or $8 a gallon. So he just seems stuck here.
Starting point is 00:06:10 There's a lot of troops stuck in the Gulf trying to figure out what's next. Iran is not going to backtrack. The bet seemed to be that we can create enough pain for a round that they buckle and they capitulate. I still think that's a flawed strategy because the IRGC doesn't give a shit about their own people and they have all the guns. But yeah, yeah, in 10 days, Trump's supposed to go to China, which is by far the most important meeting of his entire second term so far. And now this is dominating the whole agenda, not the trade deal or anything else you want to get done. It seems like we're now begging China to help put pressure on Iran to open the straight, which is exactly where you want to be. Right.
Starting point is 00:06:43 Love it. He said also today in that event that we just saw, we're in, what he's like, what is this? We're only in like the sixth week. And it is the 10th week of war right now. Yeah, well, time flies when you're trapped in a conflict you thought would last a few days because you have advisors who like to drink in the morning. Allegedly, the straight of Hormuz was open. there was a question around Iran's nuclear program.
Starting point is 00:07:13 Now the straight-Harmuz is closed, and there's a question about Iran's nuclear program. I don't know what kind of card game you're playing, where whatever number of cards you're holding, the situation keeps getting worse and worse all around you. I don't even know if he has a couple of twos. Right, yeah, I don't know. And I also like, you know, he's holding all the cards,
Starting point is 00:07:28 but he's playing Uno. The point of Uno is to have no cards. They literally tweet it that. The more cards you have, the worst you're doing. Also, if you're holding a bunch of wild Uno cards, cards, the game's over, my friend. You've won. You've won the game of Uno. Play those cards. Yeah, he's calling the blockade the greatest
Starting point is 00:07:45 military maneuver or one of the greatest maneuvers in history. Then he sent a letter on Friday saying that we're actually no longer in any kind of a conflict. So don't worry about that. It's all resolved because we're saying that we haven't fired on each other in a while, but they're still sinking ships. He's saying if you attack our ships, then we will then destroy you. But then Iran has to go around and then fire at the ships that are in the straight because they can't legitimize that threat because they have to prove that that threat is empty and we just keep doing this over and over and over again so people know the the straight isn't like green light go red light stop it like this requires confidence among the different commercial vessels that are going through the straight before they actually
Starting point is 00:08:31 go through the straight so trump just shit posting or telling everyone that that like everything's fine and we're guiding ships and this and that. Like, what do you think happens when there's a few more explosions and boat? Even if we're knocking down some of the drones and we're, you know, apparently we sunk six boats today, small boats. We're doing this. Even if we do some of that, what do you think that's going to do to the confidence of these ships and the companies that own the ships going through the strait?
Starting point is 00:08:55 They're still not going to do it. These are hundreds of millions of dollars of oil and a tanker. Like the scariest thing imaginable, having an RPG shot at your giant tanker full of oil. Yeah. I mean, there's no way these insurance companies are going to cover it where the captains are going to go through. And also, yeah, Pete Hagseth last week was trying to claim that they were no longer in hostilities. So the War Powers Act didn't apply. Well, so much for that argument, pal.
Starting point is 00:09:17 Yeah, also, I just, I feel as though the Iranians are a bit like squirrels. Like, I don't think they know where the mines are at this point. So it's like, you know, you work on a commercial vessel. You're not in the military. You took a job. It had tradeoffs. One of the tradeoffs wasn't, I'm going to get blown up in the fucking straight-ohor moves. It's like, I do this for money.
Starting point is 00:09:35 I'm not in the oil business for the love of the game. And again, these ships have to be insured and who's going to give insurance on these ships? It also doesn't seem like the Iranians are taking Trump's threat that they will be, quote, blown off the face of the earth very seriously if they target U.S. ships right now. No, I mean, obviously they'd probably prefer not to get bombed. Who wouldn't? But, you know, I suspect most of the Iranian leaders feel like they took the hardest punch that the U.S. and Israel could deliver and that they are still standing and that the world sees that. and that they survived it. And so the experts I've talked to,
Starting point is 00:10:05 they're not really sure what targets Trump could hit now. I guess we could go back to like the war crime bucket, hit all the power plants, hit all the bridges. Maybe we talk about a tactical nuclear weapon, but that's just going to lead to mass civilian death and suffering and make their reconstruction harder. I don't think it's going to material change the thinking of the IRC
Starting point is 00:10:22 because, again, they have the weapons. They're in control and it's existential. And they're willing to send, I mean, it is just despicable what they're all, like what they are doing is despicable, closing the straight-of-war-moos. They are sending people on small ships to their deaths for the purposes of, like, extracting economic pain from other countries.
Starting point is 00:10:39 Like, that is what they are doing right now. Yeah. And it's, of course, causing all kinds of havoc here at home. As you mentioned, Tommy, as you all saw over the weekend, Spirit Airlines formally ceased operations on Saturday. And, I mean, that is a sort of a fancier term for just, it just shut down. Just no longer there. Nobody at the counter.
Starting point is 00:10:57 Not like we're not selling tickets anymore. Like thousands of flyers stranded. everyone with a future spirit ticket screwed. They said in a court filing on Monday that, quote, recent geopolitical events resulted in a massive and sustained increase in fuel prices. Driving isn't much better. Average prices are now $4.45 a gallon, above $6 in many places, highest level since the pandemic,
Starting point is 00:11:20 all-time record high here in California and Washington State. And then experts are saying we could hit a national average of $5 a gallon by Memorial Day. I know some of you crass political types are trying to link these things. things to the new forever war that Trump started. But here's Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, trying to explain just how wrong you all are. To be really clear, yeah, I feel places I've gone up. This story was not written because of the Iran war.
Starting point is 00:11:48 This story was written years ago because of what Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, and the DOJ under Biden, what they did to prevent the merger from happening. What do they want, a nuclear Iran? In the Democrat role, the alternative is to have a nuclear, Iran, I recognize that prices have come up, but they will start to go down immediately once the straight issues are resolved. We are cognizant that the, that this short-term blip up in prices is affecting the American people, but I am also competent on the other side of this. Prices are going to come down very quickly. I think the Iranians are starting to believe their own propaganda.
Starting point is 00:12:26 Good button on that one. I just love the argument now that they've reached, which is like, Yes, yes, prices are high now, but just think of what will happen when the war is over. It's very, it's, it's amazing like the parallels to how, like, when Trump's up there saying, like, my foreign policy is not popular, but actually, if it was described properly, people would be more receptive to it. Like, he's doing Biden. And then his people are out there going, actually, these are longer term causes of inflation. It's not because of this. And it's not because of that. And it's going to be okay. the ways in which they're out there trying to kind of spin this, it's just amazing how much it sounds like the way Biden was spinning this. I also think for so long there has been this thought that like, well, you know, it seems bad and people are saying it's going to be bad,
Starting point is 00:13:12 but, you know, the prices of oil kind of gone up and down and then they had come down recently, and maybe it is going to be fine. But of course, it seems like right now it's all catching up. And it's not just the hostility, in the Gulf that have reignited on Monday, it's just like finally the supply issues for oil and not enough oil going through the straight for the last 10 weeks is finally hitting oil prices and gas prices here, especially really hard.
Starting point is 00:13:40 I mean, the price of jet fuel is nearly doubled in the last two months. The FT reported that global airlines have cut two million seats from their May schedules in the past two weeks. So you get planes increasing prices, the airlines are increasing prices, they're downsizing aircraft to be more efficient. And the routes are all screwed up. And so I said Delta cut 3.5% of its flights to save fuel. Luthonza cut 20,000 flights between May and October.
Starting point is 00:14:03 So, like, I don't know. I'm no expert on, like, airline mergers. I know they're all blaming Biden for blocking this merger. But even if you blame Biden for blocking the merger, Spirit had gone into bankruptcy twice. And they asked the Trump administration for a $500 million bailout, which they were denied. Could have done that.
Starting point is 00:14:18 Also, you see that Trump initially tried to blame it on Obama. And said Obama blocked a merger with another airline that actually went out of business in 1986. I missed that. Yeah. Yeah. You just feel the smoke on the planes, too. That one didn't quite fly. So Spirit Airlines sucks.
Starting point is 00:14:32 Like, not my favorite to fly, but having them in markets was a really good thing because it pulled prices down. And there's a study that showed that markets with Spirit or discount airlines in them have 21% lower fares as compared to markets without them. So this sucks for all those. So there were two mergers on the table. One was with Frontier, which is another ultra low cost carrier, and there was JetBlue. JetBlue offered more money. The CEO of Spirit at the time said, we shouldn't do the JetBlue one because it's not going to get approved. And it wasn't going to approve because it was clear that if JetBlue were to acquire Spirit, all those ultra-low-cost routes would go away, which would eliminate something.
Starting point is 00:15:07 Look, monopoly law, antitrust law has been really neutered. But one of the ways it was neutered was to say you had to show what the effect would be for consumers specifically. And there's all kinds of other effects that haven't been seen as important. But even JetBlue's on internal documents said this would cause cost. rise for consumers, their own plans were basically to stop, to make spirit part of JetBlue. If Frontier and Spirit had merged, you'd have one bigger ultra-low-cost carrier. And there might be problems with that, but you would still have the competition that Tommy's talking about.
Starting point is 00:15:36 The act, like, the CEO was aware of these regulatory problems. The judge who did it was a Reagan appointee. This was just a clear-cut case where the judge came in and said, the law is the law, and this would hurt consumers. And there was a famous quote, if you remember from the time, which is like something I don't have in front of me. I lost it, but it was something the effect of Spirit may not be everyone's cup of tea, but it has customers who love it. I don't know who those insane people are, but it served a purpose. And so when it didn't get approved,
Starting point is 00:16:03 oh, one other point about this is Spirit could have said, hey, if you don't approve of this merger, we're going to go out of business. And in fact, there's a provision in antitrust law. This is called the failing firm defense. And they could have said that at trial. In fact, at the trial, the CEO said the opposite, testified the opposite, that we have turned around. and things are going well in spirit now. And so didn't invoke the failing firm defense when they could have. So this whole argument now made by Republicans and the fucking tech finance doches on Twitter that like this was all Elizabeth Warren's fault and Pete Buttigieg and the Biden DOJ that only JetBlue had been able to buy spirit, then they could have turned around this failing company and blah, blah, blah. That's not what the CEO was saying at the time, under oath.
Starting point is 00:16:49 And by the way, maybe if the shareholders had not had dollar signs in their eyes. and decided to merge with Frontier instead of JetBlue would have been a bigger airline that could have survived this. Like stepping back, you know, one way to prevent airlines from going out of business is just to have one giant one, one giant airline that you allowed all these guys to consolidate into bigger companies
Starting point is 00:17:08 can weather financial difficulties more than others. It's not saying that like a market with competition is not without tradeoffs, right? Like there are all kinds of examples of bigger companies are able to kind of weather financial difficulties more than smaller ones. The purpose of having antitrust. law is you weigh the cost and the benefits on behalf of consumers in a market that's competitive.
Starting point is 00:17:27 And by the way, there is more turnover and more abilities for some companies rise and some fault. That's the nature of having a free market economy in which you protect against monopoly. But in this specific case, it just doesn't apply because the judge who did it was a Republican and the deck was stacked against it from the beginning. The other thing you don't say people pointing out is that like JetBlue is also hurting. And they've lost money now for the last six years in a row. they've cut routes. There's a real argument that the merger could have led to two failed airlines instead of just
Starting point is 00:17:57 one. JetBlue would have taken on three plus billion dollars in debt if they merged with Spirit. They're having trouble right now. Like, we don't know what would happen. But like it's not like it was a clear cut case where JetBlue buying Spirit and taking on $3 billion in debt as it's now cutting roots and losing money is like a big win for JetBlue either. Yeah. All their costs went up.
Starting point is 00:18:15 It's just like what's just a dumb thing we're even arguing about? Like obviously jet fuel costs is a huge driver here of the problem. What are we talking about? Yeah. Potta of America is brought you by article. Article makes it effortless to build a home that lasts without the boutique markup. Their curated collections of mid-century coastal and Scandy furniture are designed to mix and match perfectly. So you can create a cohesive designer look that will stand the test of time.
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Starting point is 00:20:40 To get a free AG1 flavor sampler and a bottle of vitamin D3 plus K2 in your AG1. Welcome Kit, when you're a G1. first subscribe, a $72 value. That's drinkag1.com slash crooked. Drinkag1.com slash crooked. So all this comes as we are now officially six months out from Election Day. And the political environment just keeps getting worse for Trump and Republicans. A bunch of new polling has Trump's approval down to the high or even mid-30s.
Starting point is 00:21:10 And is absolutely brutal on specific issues like inflation and Iran, which Trump himself acknowledged. Clearly, he's been reading the polls as we saw in that clip. But on Monday, Politico's playbook reported on a few reasons that Republicans are still optimistic that I thought could be a useful frame for us to discuss whether we're getting too high on our own supply of opium here. The first is the redistricting war, which we've been saying Republicans have basically lost, but maybe not. After the Supreme Court's decision to further gut the Voting Rights Act last week in Calais, a few southern states are attempting to redraw their maps before the 2026 midterms, even though it may require the legally dubious move. of pushing back the dates of their primaries or filing deadlines. Ron DeSantis signed Florida's new proposed map into law on Monday,
Starting point is 00:21:56 though that will also face legal challenges. And even though Virginia Democrats won their redistricting referendum at the polls the other week, people are a bit nervous that the Virginia State Supreme Court hasn't yet ruled on whether it's constitutional. Where do you guys think the math stands at this point? So if you look at the Cook Political Report, they basically have 192 seats that they marked a solid Democrat 11 seats likely Democrat 14 lean Democrats that's 217 seats that are probably going to go to Democrats then 16 rated toss-ups but 13 of those are held by Republicans and three by Democrats they're
Starting point is 00:22:29 defending a lot more that is good for us but it's not great like that's not mopping up that's not an ass kicking and then to your point like the redistricting fights complicate things they'll probably net four seats from Florida they could states that might move before the midterms include Louisiana see Alabama and South Carolina that would all create more Republican seats. There will be lawsuits that complicate all of this. As you said, Virginia is up in the air. You know, longer term to 28, some blue states could redistrict in ways that benefit us back. But it just, it feels closer than it should be with Trump at a 37% approval rating to me. If you get the, if you give the four seats from Florida, you get four seats potentially from this redistricting and then you lose the four that
Starting point is 00:23:17 you were going to gain in Virginia. That's a 12-seat swing that you could potentially see, but nobody really knows. I don't know. I've seen like different people are nervous about the Virginia redistricting just because there's been no ruling yet, but at the same time, they've ruled against some of the other objections. So I'm not sure if it's just Democrats are nervous or if there's a legitimate chance it gets thrown out. So I'll go through the likelihood of some of the recent developments that we saw. So Louisiana is like the most likely where we're going to, where GOP will pick up some seats because the case was about Louisiana, the voting rights case. And so, So the most likely result there is the Republicans get one to two extra seats in Louisiana.
Starting point is 00:23:54 That is, there will be lawsuits there, but that is the most likely since it was directly impacted by the Supreme Court. And the governor literally declared a state of emergency and delayed their primary, which should be happening right now. And they've kind of kicked it to July 15th or until the legislature moves faster. So yes, that process is very much rolling. So, yeah, the only thing that can stop that is lawsuit succeeding, but who knows, right? Tennessee wants to get a seat, wants to pick up a seat, the Tennessee Republicans. but they would basically be eliminating all Democratic seats in a black district, majority black district that has existed for decades.
Starting point is 00:24:26 And their challenge is they have a timing issue since the candidate filing deadline has already passed in the primary is August 6th. And because they're dismantling the only black district that has existed for decades, under the weird ruling in the Voting Rights Act, you could still have a Section 2 case there. and at the very least, you could have litigation that would take a while to play out. So, like, Tennessee's not a sure thing. But their special legislative session starts this week.
Starting point is 00:24:55 It does. Yeah. So they will have to change the primary date. They will also have to retro-act... The reason that it's more of a legal challenge there is they will have to retroactively change the candidate filing deadline that has already passed, which Louisiana doesn't have that problem. Louisiana is just going to move the whole primary again.
Starting point is 00:25:10 Louisiana has a problem, some people have already voted. Right. Well, that is, yeah, so there's that. Alabama could get a seat, is going to try to go for a seat. They have a bigger problem, which is they need SCOTUS to act on a separate case first and revert to old maps, not draw a new map. So the VRA thing was like, oh, if you're drawing new maps, whatever. They would have to get then the Supreme Court to act immediately, lift an injunction
Starting point is 00:25:33 and go back to a 2023 map that the Supreme Court itself had already ruled was wrong. So they have a bigger hill to climb. South Carolina, very, very hard. and it doesn't seem like the appetite is there, but they're going to try. But I think the timing issues for South Carolina are even worse. And in Georgia, Kemp has already ruled it out. So Georgia is not going to go. So here's the Virginia problem.
Starting point is 00:25:56 The worry there, I was looking into this. So the Virginia State Supreme Court is not like, it's not partisan like other courts, where it's not like elected directly. It's a point, the legislature appoints the seats on the court and there for 12-year terms. So it actually has a slight, small seat. conservative lean right now, which is why everyone's a little bit nervous about how they're going to rule. They did allow the referendum to go forward in the first place. But the issues now is people are raising procedural issues in the legislature, not necessarily the referendum itself. It was
Starting point is 00:26:29 procedural issues to like, there's some people are a little worried now because they're not, it's not like a liberal court. And it's not a very conservative court. Like Florida, everyone thinks, even though this could be a blatant violation of the Florida Constitution, the Florida court is right-wing enough that like Florida is going to just say sure and give Ron DeSantis four seats. If it was like New York or California, we would probably the referendum would be fine. But because of the weird makeup of the Virginia court, I think that's why people are nervous there. People are nervous about it. Yeah. Yeah. That's what's happening there. So all told like if Virginia and Florida both survive, it's basically we net out at Republicans picking up three seats in the redistricting war.
Starting point is 00:27:07 net. And if, you know, and then beyond three, you get like maybe five to seven depending on whether you get Louisiana plus Tennessee plus Alabama. So you're saying, sorry, so it is net three across the entire redistricting fight. We've just been fighting over the last year. If Virginia survives and Florida survives. And then there's a potentially plus four to Republicans through this, the post-VIA thing. So that got it. So basically the floor is much worse for Democrats after this. The ceiling, it all depends on sort of Virginia. And then if you go out to 2028, a bunch of states could move. Oh, yeah. Ben, that's a real bad. Illinois could decide to go nuts and be a 17-0 Democrat state. Like, California could redistrict again. You could crack a bunch of Democratic districts,
Starting point is 00:27:51 spread those voters all across. You could do it in New York, Maryland, New Jersey, Washington, Oregon. The problem is if they, Republicans move in 2026, we can't move until 2028. Yeah, I mean, just the, I guess what I'm getting is the overall estimate for how much the Supreme Court voting rights ruling will impact things. They're all over the place, depending on where you look. Like, it's like from a dozen to two dozen seats could be impacted to help Republicans. And then Fairfite, the Stacey Abrams group looked at a bunch of districts that Democrats could change to help us. So it's just like it's a mess. It's impossible to know what's happening. None of this is good for democracy. No, I mean, you could someone just sort of posted this map as like
Starting point is 00:28:29 a kind of a joke, I guess, but it's not really, which is you could end up by 2028 or beyond. where if it's a red state with a governor and a legislature that is majority of Republican, there are no Democratic seats left. And if it's a blue state with a governor, then there's no red seats. Good stuff. Red seats left. Great. So that's just talk about polarization.
Starting point is 00:28:49 Yeah. On Louisiana, Trump posted on Sunday, quote, we cannot allow there to be an election that is conducted unconstitutionally simply for the convenience of state legislatures. If they have to vote twice, so be it. Any idea what he's actually saying there, love it? So it's unclear who the they is there. Does he mean the legislators have to vote twice as an approved new maps? Doesn't totally make sense.
Starting point is 00:29:10 If this is because Louisiana is already voting, and that's why there's some question as to whether the election could proceed. I think that's what it has to mean. Now, who knows what the Supreme Court will do? But the idea that, look, the Supreme Court, this court is a huge fan of unleashing chaos and then being like, we can't believe what's happening. We can't believe what your people are doing with our very obvious and simple ruling. But I do think it's a possibility that the Supreme Court would intervene in some way to
Starting point is 00:29:35 say we cannot have a bunch of states throwing out their maps and having people revote and all this chaos in the run-up before an election is a tradition of not disturbing election as it's already begun. And I think that's what Trump is worried about. Yeah. And it does seem like they're even, that's why when I was talking about Tennessee, it seems like they would be more likely to do that in Tennessee even than Louisiana because the Tennessee thing is really like throwing out the filing deadlines, doing a new primary, eliminating all the districts. It's like a really, it's a pretty. Yeah, There's supposed to be Supreme Court precedent. It's called the Purcell principle that says you should not be changing elections or the election rules right before an election.
Starting point is 00:30:13 Republicans often use that to screw Democrats procedurally. Hopefully it should protect everyone from like really terrible things happening right before an election or people getting disenfranchised. But I don't know. We'll find out, I guess. Yeah. So net net I would say I think however this ends up, I still think Democrats are favored to win the house. but this definitely could put a dent in the number of seats that we pick up, even if we do get a majority.
Starting point is 00:30:42 So that's the House. Let's talk Senate. We've been talking about how the path to a Democratic majority and the Senate has been getting more realistic by the day, even though it would require defending every Democratic seat and then flipping for Republican seats. But there is another potential wrinkle that JVL at the bulwark and Jonathan Martin at Politico just wrote about. John Federman, specifically the rumors that were. Republicans are trying to persuade him to switch parties or at the very least become an independent,
Starting point is 00:31:07 which would deny Democrats a Senate majority, even if they pick up four seats. J.Mott reported that Trump has offered via Sean Hannity to totally get behind Federman and raise a lot of money for him if he makes the switch. Fetterman told J. Mart he's, quote, staying a Democrat and that he'd be a, quote, shitty Republican. What do you guys think specifically, is there anything Democrats can or should be doing about this possibility? Just imagine a Democrat making this offer via Rachel Maddo. It's so crazy.
Starting point is 00:31:40 It's just like the loss is over us at this point because Hannity is so biased. But I mean, this story, look, the details are like Federman finds the online left really annoying. He's gotten close to Senator McCormick. Look, we've all been there. We've all been there. He's close to his wife, Dita Powell,
Starting point is 00:31:54 Goldman Sachs executive turned meta-ex executive. And then Katie Britt and her husband, as you said, Trump is offering him money and political support. It's not really clear what Federman once politically. It's like nowhere in this article. I think, look, hopefully the best case that Fetterman knows this conversation gives him leverage to get something, TBD. I don't know the guy. I like find it very weird that his thing is just like being super pro-Israel now. And like,
Starting point is 00:32:18 that's fine on policy. If you believe in Israel and his right to exist and his right to defend itself, but he seems to take pleasure and trolling people that are worried about civilian casualties or the death toll. Like obviously this war is not good for anyone, not for Israelis, not for Palestinian. But it's more than just Gaza. Like, Federman also never seemed to criticize Trump, which is an odd political choice when Trump's approval rating is rock bottom. He jumped out after the correspondence dinner to like start defending the ballroom, which again, he's even more unpopular and even more stupid. So I don't know. It's like some of this just sounds personal. Like Jonathan reported that Federman spends hours hanging out with Republicans in their cloakroom,
Starting point is 00:32:55 chatting them up. I get that all personal, all politics is personal. I get that when people annoy you, you can get pushed out of their tribe. Presumably you run for office because you have beliefs and you want to do things to like turn those beliefs into policy or law. Maybe he does not. But I just, it's terrible. It's a tough situation.
Starting point is 00:33:15 I think we should all just, you know, it does remind you that constantly annoying the shit out of someone is not going to get them to come your way. But it doesn't mean anyone needs to like not say what they believed in. Yeah, there's opposed by like the Monroe, County Democrats that said he's a traitor to Democrats, traded to Pennsylvania's, traitor to those who work tirelessly to elect him. And that's a defensible statement on some of these issues, but according to Federman's, you know, by Federman's count, he votes with Democrats 93% of the time. He's pro-gay,
Starting point is 00:33:46 he's pro-union, et cetera, et cetera. He's taking these heterodox views that I find strange. And he's doing it in a state that is not more red than an Arizona, for example. We have people that have been much stronger against Trump. Now, the stab that I saw that I found, like, I didn't, first, it couldn't believe it made sense mathematically. It was a Harry Antonin posted this, that Federman has had a 108 point drop among Democrats. I was like, what do you mean? It means he's gone from plus 68 to minus 40 among Democrats. Now, I don't know if Federman's going to run again in 2028, but it's very clear that he will have a huge problem if there is a primary challenge, and there almost certainly would be, given how weak he would be in a Democratic primary.
Starting point is 00:34:29 The question is how to keep him on side until then. And I do think that's really, really important. Even Federman says in that piece, if Democrats get to 51, who do you think the 51st vote would be? And he's referring to himself. So he's seeing what Power Mansion had, what Kirsten Cinema had. And he clearly enjoys being at the middle of things in a way that sort of feels vaguely familiar. So I don't think there's anything wrong with being incredibly critical of,
Starting point is 00:34:55 John Federman, but we have this way on our side of deciding that someone isn't on our side and then making it true. And I don't know that it's a balance, right? Because of course he should be criticized and of course he should face pressure to do the right thing when it comes to, say, like voting for on Trump nominees, for example. But I do think we would rather have Federman caucusing with us if he ends up being that 51st vote, then we would rather have J.D. Vance making all the decisions. Yeah, just like we'd, I'm sure we would all rather have Joe Manchin in the Senate right now. still. And now he just retired. But like we have Jim Justice who's voting with the Republicans all the time. Joe Manchin pissed us off endlessly, but still voted with Democrats most of the time.
Starting point is 00:35:35 Joe Manchin was in the Senate right now. We'd only be needing, we'd be talking about picking up three seats and not four. We also wouldn't have had any of the investments that Joe Biden made in the in the inflation reduction act at all because it wouldn't have passed. I do think there's basically two points in the piece that I thought were worth it. One is that 93% number. And, And because Federman has been going around publicly and privately telling people he votes with the Democrats 93% of the time, right? So that's on his mind. And then you guys have been summarizing this, but I loved the way J-Mart wrote it. He said, he's like, I've seen this a million times.
Starting point is 00:36:10 The more one drifts from their political tribe, the more they're scorned and mocked by that tribe. Often in personal terms, this only prompts the person drifting away to accelerate their turn and adopt the language customs in some positions of the other tribe with an I'll show them determination. soon they're identifying somewhat or entirely with the new tribe, the path only goes in one direction. Now, you can say that that is incredibly immature, bad, whatever, like, fine. It's life. We have this guy until 2028. It's going to be in the Senate until 2028. That's the deal.
Starting point is 00:36:37 And do you want him to stay a Democrat after 2026 or not? Because if he stays a Democrat after 2026, then we have a Democratic majority leader. And that means we're blocking Supreme Court appointments, all this other kind of stuff, or at least we have a chance to do that. If we don't have a Democratic majority, then we have two years. of just John Thune as leader, right? And so then it's like, do you, now, does that mean Democrats need to compromise their positions where they disagree? No, of course not. But like, you don't have to be a dick to him. Like, just for the fun of it and keep pushing him into the other side. Yeah, it's a strange balance. And it's like, it's very clear from the piece in previous
Starting point is 00:37:10 reporting on Federman that he's way too online and it like reads all the criticism and like takes it to heart and get pissy about it. The good news is he says in the piece, he knows that Trump demands 100% loyalty. Yeah. He knows what will happen to you if you don't. give it to him like Bill Cassidy or Tom Tillis. But again, the weird thing to me is like, in the olden days, John Fetterman would want a thing, an earmark for a bridge in Philadelphia or Pittsburgh. Like, what do you want, dude?
Starting point is 00:37:36 Very unclear. Do you just want to troll people over Gaza? Is that like your animating thing? Like, I understand like sort of taking positions where you punch left and punch right sometimes and that can be good politics. It doesn't seem like it is currently in Pennsylvania for him. So I'm just sort of, I'm just confused by this.
Starting point is 00:37:51 And again, we're not having a conversation. right now about the 28 Democratic primary in Pennsylvania and whether anyone should support John Fetterman. That's not what this is about. This is about from now until 2026 when he will be in office no matter what. Do you want to push him into the Republican Party or not? Yeah. Or do you want, not to push him in, but do you want to do whatever it takes to stop him from getting into the Republican Party? Like the fact that that he can see to being a Republican, he's already flirting with it in his mind, even though he's sort of publicly saying that he's not considering it all. But actually Trump's Republican Party is so kind of unful.
Starting point is 00:38:22 pleasant for anybody who's heterodox should tell us a little bit about how we should be dealing with people like this. You know, stepping back also, like, we hear all the time about how, like, we need to be a big coalition and that we don't have people have to have all the same points of views. Like, we need to be a party that kind of like embraces all these people. Turns out that was just something we said, love it, after 2024 and we lost and it doesn't seem like a lot of people mean that. And it goes both ways, by the way. It does go both ways. But part of it is like, okay, like, he has taken positions that we think are wrong on immigration and ICE. He's taking positions that a lot of people in Democratic Party view are wrong on, say, funding Israel's military,
Starting point is 00:38:57 like argue against those. Fine, but that when people reach a different conclusion and don't vote with you 100% of the time, what happens the next day? And it can't be that they're all traitors. It just can't be because... Or that you're a bad person. Or that you're a bad person. Well, I remember, I mean, speaking of broadening the tent, we can bring up Hassan Piker, but I remember, like, the fight I had with Hassan on the pod, not the last pod, but the one before, the bigger fight was when he was like, yeah, you know what Joe Biden should have done to Joe Manchin, he should have, like, you know, threatened his daughter within a DOJ investigation. And it's like, whether or not you think, first of all, you can argue whether or not that's a good
Starting point is 00:39:30 idea from a legal and constitutional perspective. But beyond that, like, do you think that would have scared Joe Manchin into voting the right way? Or do you think that would have maybe said to Joe Manchin like, fuck you people, I'm leaving and I'm going to the Republican Party? Because it's human nature to be like, oh, you're going to yell at me more and threaten me. Like, fuck you. I'm going to go take my toys and go to the other party. Yeah, also, we do know that in the Republican Party, if you don't do everything Trump says, it ends with him telling a mob to hang you with the capital. So the downside risk is a little greater on their side. Need a bigger rope for Federman than for fucking Pence. But you can see from the... It's a big dude compared to Pence. It's a really good point.
Starting point is 00:40:07 You can see a buttress that fucking, what do you call it? What's the thing you hang people from? Gallo. Gallows. You can see from the piece, too, like Katie Britt and, and what's his name, Dave McCormick, they're like working overtime to be nice to Federman because they think to themselves, oh, if we're nice to him, then maybe he'll do this. It must be so obvious. Yeah. Oh, you have one on once with me again. One would hope. It's okay, Katie.
Starting point is 00:40:30 No, no, Katie Britt loves me, loves hanging with me. Great hang. I'm John Federman. Potsave America is brought to you by ZipRecruiter. Sometimes when you're trying to hire somebody, you're not just looking for somebody who's qualified, but also somebody who's genuinely interested in the role. When you find somebody like that, it makes all the difference because you find somebody who's both has the right. right skills and the right experience, but also really wants to be part of what you're doing. That's what we're always trying to find.
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Starting point is 00:42:20 until a state-funded agency refused to work with them because they're Jewish. Amy Madonna, a Catholic mother of three, was rejected because she did not agree to an evangelical Protestant statement of faith. Fatma Marouf and Bryn Esplan were turned away because they're a same-sex couple. If you believe religious freedom should protect everyone, we need you to join the fight now. Visit atu.org slash crooked to learn more and become a member today. This fight is far from over and every one of us has a part to play. So in the category of Democrats being Democrats, there's also some new concerns swirling
Starting point is 00:42:51 about the DNC after Ken Martin's stellar performance on this very show last week, After you threw him off that ship in the harbor like Osama bin Laden's corpse. Is that okay to say? Look, he was a bit testy, I think, about his decision to not release the 2024 autopsy despite promising to do so, as well as the state of the DNC's finances, which are not great. Over the weekend, Lauren Egan at the bulwark reported that some DNC members have recently considered trying to force Martin out, but that effort was, quote, put on hold after members failed to identify an alternative candidate willing to step into the role.
Starting point is 00:43:24 sort of like trying to be the new Ayatollah, I guess. Party members are also trying to force a resolution that would put constraints on Martin's spending and how he handles the budget. I can confirm the bulwark reporting. I've also talked to DNC members and others around the DNC who have said that there's real conversations. There's been real conversations about trying to potentially oust Martin. What do you guys make of how big of a problem this is? What is the – here's why you don't understand.
Starting point is 00:43:53 what do we want the DNC to do between now and November, right? And it seems to me like at this point, this November. This November. We wanted to raise a ton of money, right? But even then, the DNC has very little to do with the midterms. So if we succeed in the midterms, Ken Martin's going to say, see, you're all a bunch of bedwetters and I'm amazing and look at what the DNC did. That's going to be wrong because the DNC doesn't really have a lot of to do with the midterms. If we fail at the midterms and people say, oh, this is why Ken Martin's off, that's also not, doesn't really hold one.
Starting point is 00:44:23 because it's just the DNC plays the biggest role in presidential elections. So this is a, this is a 2028 issue, not a 2026 issue. Look, his performance in that interview was shockingly bad. And like, obviously I'm biased here. I'm like, I'm a host of the show. I'm your friend. I'm friends of Ben Wickler. But like, I didn't go into the interview feeling like, oh, I have beef with Ken Martin. I was just kind of like, what does this guy have to say? And I came away feeling like he was insulting my intelligence. Because like on the autopsy debate specifically, the 2024 DNC autopsy and why they haven't released it. Nothing in that report could be as bad as the series of news cycles about spiking the report or going back on your promise to release it. Nothing. Nothing. And despite what he said,
Starting point is 00:45:04 like, no one expected there to be a silver bullet in there. I did hope there would be a granular look at the efficacy of like voter contact, door knocking phone calls, ad spending, like, issues that in hindsight move voters. If vendors or like, you know, various individuals spent money poorly, should name and shame them. But now we don't have any of that. And everyone is filling the void left by the lack of information with their priors. Right. So the DNC defenders say, I was all just inflation or Biden was too old. And the left says it was all Gaza. And we just argue in circles at infinitum. And it just sucks. It's a terrible setup. And there was a DNC member saying on Twitter that the truth is the autopsy report just never really got done or never got completed and never will be.
Starting point is 00:45:49 and that's why it wasn't released. And if that's true, that shows a lack of candor in previous statements and the interview with you that is really bad and a problem. And so then the fundraising, like the fundraising is not good. There's a bunch of big donors on the sideline who will not give to the DNC. I know that from personal conversations with them and we can't pretend otherwise. So like this process about pushing them out or selecting someone new, like I don't know how that would work. I also, I don't think you can constrain, like you pick someone to leave the
Starting point is 00:46:19 You pick them to lead the DNC. You can't constrain how they spend money. If you're at that point, you should get a new person in there. This person needs to be able to spend money. So I just, I came away shocked that, like, a political professional struggled that badly in just answering questions that I feel like were asked in good faith and could have been answered better, but just it was a mess. It is now accepted as a fact that the DNC covered up the autopsy because it showed that Kamala Harris lost because of Gaza. That is like on the whole parts of the internet, that is just a known thing that we all know about the fact of this report. Now, there has been reporting that that played a role. And I would like to know what that information is, but it just speaks to the damage done by either not finishing the report or not. And like the way in which saying you're not going to release the port and not finish the port go hand in hand is this thing kind of just sort of slowly like kind of ends with. with a whimper, we're probably not gonna put it out. Like the work, you know,
Starting point is 00:47:13 everyone kind of slows down, the meetings get canceled, and all of a sudden there's no report and nothing to release. And so, like, part of the problem is, there's no way to answer for that at an interview now, because what should happen is go back in time,
Starting point is 00:47:25 aggressively finish the thing, and get it out the door. Yeah, what I have heard, and like Tommy said, there was a DNC member on Twitter who said some of this, but then I've heard it from other people. Yeah, I've heard it from others too.
Starting point is 00:47:38 Lots of other people. citing just the tweet that Ken Martin had his his friend Paul Rivera who was unpaid which is why Ken was telling me then he was like oh we didn't spend hundreds of thousand dollars on it and I was like oh it's a free report and he was like well so he he got this guy to do it the guy went around and talked to people didn't even talk to all the right people a lot of people weren't interviewed at all did a shitty job and Ken the whole time was like just letting him do his thing and then when he came back and didn't have any of the good information, then they just wrote up the report what they had. It was a garbage report and then Ken realized they couldn't release it. And so instead of
Starting point is 00:48:18 either saying, like, this was a bad thing, I'm going to try another. We're going to try another archetypes. You were going to hire someone else. We're going to do it right. Has apparently just decided to not be honest about it. Yeah. I've heard that from much of people too. I can't confirm that it's true or not. It would certainly. We've heard from a lot of people who are like in the know. Yes. But it certainly does a better job explaining why you, would endure this torturous series of news cycles about a thing rather than just dump it out over Christmas or something and just like move on. I've also talked to people who have raised money at the highest levels for Democrats for a very long time. And they said that the finance situation
Starting point is 00:48:55 is a disaster. And they're like, he can talk about state investments and this and that. The problem is he is spending more money than he is racing. That is very simple. And it is a mismanagement of funds. And so even if he was raising a lot more money and having more success there, if you're spending more than you're raising, it's still a problem. And to all of his talking points about investing in state parties, the portion that they're investing in state parties still, even if you take all that money, that nowhere near makes up the large gap between the fundraising and the spending that's going on at the DNC right now. So there is a mismanagement. Since that interview, I've heard from DNC members, from people inside the DNC, current. and former officials and heard from donors. And then those people have told me they've heard concern from party leaders,
Starting point is 00:49:44 former DNC chairs who were very upset about this. And no one knows what to do because I guess, Tommy, to your point, like the bylaws make it very difficult to actually oust Martin. And so people are sort of wondering what to do now. And look, I think Amanda Lippman, our friend who runs for something, you know, she made a good point about this. She put a video about this on her Instagram. the real challenge here is building trust in the Democratic National Committee ahead of 2028.
Starting point is 00:50:11 Because what the DNC does ahead of 2028 is they're going to set the primary calendar, which is obviously going to be very contentious because depending on which states go first, that's going to help different candidates. They are going to set the debate qualifications and who qualifies for debates. And so we are going to have a raucous primary in 2028. And the, you know, the supposed to be the referee of that primary is supposed to be the DNC. And I do think that, like, it's incumbent on all the candidates who are going to run in 2020 in their campaigns to, like, speak out publicly and get some transparency, more transparency than we've gotten from Ken Martin on what the rules are going to be, how the process is going to go, make it transparent, whatever happened to the fucking autopsy. And, like, what's your plan to be financially viable in 2028?
Starting point is 00:50:56 Because it is important for the DNC to have money ahead of the presidential election in 2028. Yeah. I guess the thing is, I agree with all that. It's like right now, the most important thing is that like every conversation we're having about the Democratic National Committee, like it is important to our going forward. But for right now, it is like about Democratic Party problems that ultimately will have no impact in what happens in 2020. And that doesn't mean we don't have to have this fight in this conversation right now.
Starting point is 00:51:25 The thing I think I know, because to that point love it like the folks I were talking to said like their biggest worry is 2026 happens. we do well. And then Ken Martin's like, see you are all wrong, a bunch of bedwetters and blah, blah, and we're moving on. And then suddenly you're in the primary in the 2028 primary, which happens like right after the midterm elections. And by then it's too late to solve the problem. Right. The question, right, is the fight over who would be DNC chair plus the sending money all over the world combined with the, the, either the inability or refusal to release the autopsy. You have together created this storm. And the question is, what are the, those are due very
Starting point is 00:51:59 specific problems, right, that like they may carry knock on effects into the next year, but they don't actually speak to whether or not he would be able to do those jobs, right? Like what he would do to run the party in the next year. But like what I took away from this is like when we saw him at that party, I had always seen Ken Martin in these kind of like talking point mode interviews, which I found generally frustrating, but not more or less than any traditional politician. But at that meeting, he was so intense and direct. like in a way that I'd never seen in a kind of public-facing way.
Starting point is 00:52:33 It was like, oh, like, there's the real guy. He's like an operator, like an actual kind of like hard-nosed guy who's like pretty upset about bad coverage, pissed about it, thinks it's unfair, wants to argue about it, wants to make his case. And I thought, like, oh, that's like an interesting kind of version of this person that I hadn't seen because publicly he does a kind of more traditional democratic politician thing. And I think what I took away from the interview overall is like the era of that kind of talking point is over. Like, don't talk down to people like this.
Starting point is 00:52:57 It doesn't fucking work. Certainly not solving your problem. It was direct, but he's also very, it's very defensive. And what you've heard from DNC people and people in the Democratic Party is that the relationship building element of the job, which is also important for the Democratic National Committee chair, is lacking in a bit. And so it's very insular and he has not reached out to people, especially people who supported any of his opponents in that race, you know, which is tough. But also, like, his whole point was like, we're looking forward, not backwards. And it's like, well, none of us want to wallow in the past. but it's about learning from and correcting mistakes.
Starting point is 00:53:30 And like, look at the Democratic Party right now. We have not learned from and corrected a lot of mistakes. Like remember when voters are like, hey, you have a gerontocracy problem? Have we solved that beyond removing Joe Biden from the ticket? Absolutely not. Whenever he's, sorry. But he's doing this like Bill Belichick, we're on the Seattle. We're on the Seattle thing.
Starting point is 00:53:49 It's like, we want to figure out what we screwed up last time and fix it. And like, it just was very, it's very frustrated. And his repeated point about lessons, we're releasing the lessons, the lessons, I encourage everyone to go on to the DNC website and sign up for the 200-page lessons report and see what it is because it's not really a lot of lessons. A lot of it is lessons from success in 2025 and then like various case studies from different groups that are just sort of pasted into the document like our friends at Swing Left who did a lot of that research door to door when they were, which is great. We love it. But like that's not that's not an autopsy of 2024. No, it's not. Whenever someone says, like, we got to look forward, we can't look towards the past. And it's like, okay, where do you learn from? Because I only, I face the past. The future is actually, in a lot of ways, behind me, I only find out what's going to happen there when it becomes the past. The present is infinitely small. So I tend to live in this present that I can't really quantify. And everything I know, 100% of it actually comes from the past, which is interesting. So I don't know how you're supposed to learn from the future as before you've gotten there. So I think the passes a good place to look to find answers. I find. I find.
Starting point is 00:55:01 Anyway, it's an issue. It's an issue. Looming over all these issues, though, is the fact that even though Trump and the Republicans are polling horribly, the Democratic Party isn't popular with voters either. Laxha Jane at the argument had a piece last week pointing out that the collapse in Trump's approval ratings has not yet resulted in Democrats gaining by a corresponding amount on the generic ballot. So basically, in their analysis of polling, Trump has gone from negative. negative 16 to negative 22 between July and April, but the Democratic generic ballot advantage has gone from plus six to plus six. And yet some Democratic candidates are still polling quite well against their Republican opponent, so that's good. Even in purple states, maybe the most prominent example here is John Ossoff in Georgia, who has also gone all in on a corruption message. Here's his latest very good, very viral video.
Starting point is 00:55:51 We're told a story. Work hard. Play by the rules. and you'll thrive. No matter who you are or where you start, the grind will pay off. But for too many, this story just isn't true. The problem is a corrupt and failing political system. The problem is that the people's elected representatives don't represent the people.
Starting point is 00:56:13 They represent the donors and special interests. Corruption is why things don't work for ordinary people. To fix it, we have to own. understand it. Corruption's impact isn't abstract. It shows up in our daily lives. Take prescription drugs. So he goes on there to talk about how, you know, when Bush passed Medicare Part D, which the prescription drug program in 2003, that's what stopped the United States government from being able to negotiate for lower prices with the drug companies just like other countries do. And that like, I remember talking about this when we were like back in the Senate, Billy Towson, who was the
Starting point is 00:56:55 head of the House committee there, then left Congress to go be the lobbyist. The pharmaceutical companies. And then, you know, then he used that to tell the story of how in the Biden administration, you know, he helped lead the fight in the Senate to actually let, you know, lower prescription drug prices for a lot of these, for a lot of these prescriptions, which I thought was the way he told it was a more effective and better story than I ever heard from the actual Biden administration itself, even though they were very responsible for the win. But what did you guys think of that video and also just whether Ossoff's message is,
Starting point is 00:57:25 should be a model for other Democratic candidates. I mean, I think the corruption message is really powerful because it's true. And it also gives you a why to explain why things are so broken. You're not just blaming the other side. You're blaming something more tangible. And I think it also speaks to the moment, which is that voters are furious. They want to burn down the system. That was true in 2016.
Starting point is 00:57:47 Trump effectively channeled that fury. I think he's lost those voters now. But those voters are probably even more angry, right? Because they're pissed off about prices and inflation. So Obama ran against Washington, Bill Clinton winner ran against Washington. And also, I think when you run it too, Trump did too. And when you run on that kind of message, hopefully it creates a mandate to actually change some of the things that we're talking about in there. But it also does let us tell a story about Trump that it isn't just like he's bad.
Starting point is 00:58:13 Because I think what Trump has done to like personally charge the corruption in government is so far beyond Billy Towson becoming a farm lobbyist. It's like, good old days. His kids follow him around on foreign trips and they make real estate deals in foreign countries afterwards. We all watch, remember the Board of Peace event? Yeah. It was something like Egypt when the president of Indonesia was like, hey, Donald, should I call Don Jr. or Eric to cut a deal, right? Remember this?
Starting point is 00:58:39 They're making billions off their crypto interests. They even sold half of it to this Amarotti back company. Eric Trump is advisor to a robotics company because he's a big robotics drone genius, apparently. You got a $24 million Pentagon loan at Maria Bartaromo. was like, hey, congrats Eric. Well, well done on that. Don Jr. advises Kalshi and Polymarket, which these Trump officials are using to bet on shit they are doing with insider information. Jared Kushner is negotiating with Russia, Ukraine, Israel, Iran, all these Gulf countries. 99% of the money he's raised in his investment fund is foreign. He's trying to raise
Starting point is 00:59:13 $5 billion more from mostly foreign interests. He was doing so at the sideline of an event at Davos. He has not filed a personal financial disclosure for him. So like this story, it's very real. It tells itself if you have some time and you have the ear of the person. And I think Ossoff has done a better job prosecuting that case than most because he's consistent. And one thing he says in that video that we didn't play and I hear him say in the stem too is, and look, both sides do it. Both sides do it, which is the scale of it on the right and especially with Trump is just exponentially
Starting point is 00:59:48 greater. But like, it is important to voters to acknowledge that like, yeah, Democrats aren't fucking perfect on this either. Yeah, I think there's two questions. It's like, what is the source of America's ills and then what is the best message going into the midterms? I like the corruption message is great. I think this video is great. Electing Democrats are corrupted by the money in politics because we're all people and money corrupts. And it has made it so that Democrats, when in power, do less, make less change, make more compromise. It takes more to get certain votes because those people are either, either they're explicitly in their own minds trying to protect their
Starting point is 01:00:28 donors or they've kind of convinced themselves they believe what it's financially best for them to believe this happened when we're passing Obamacare. Everybody blames Joe Lieberman for killing the public option, but actually it was a bunch of Democrats in the Senate when we had 60 votes that stood in the way of having an option for people to get public health care like Medicare because of lobbying because of fear of negative ads because Joe Lieberman had a bunch of insurance companies in his state. But even more after that, Joe Lieberman personally stopped a Medicare buy-in for 55 plus that would have made a huge difference for everybody. And he did that because he had donors in his state. And even though he was retiring, he did it at their behest. So these
Starting point is 01:01:07 things do make a difference, and it is both sides. But like, we're in this mess. Why is this corruption tolerable? It's because Republicans are excusing it. Barack Obama wins in 2008. He is punished in part because he is paying for the consequences and economic fallout of the previous Republican administration, Joe Biden and Democrats are punished because of this mismanagement of the pandemic and the economic fallout that came after that pandemic. But when you elect Democrats, they tend to do things that are more popular or more economically progressive. And when you elect Republicans, you end up with tax cuts for the rich and deregulation. It happens every time. Most of what our politics is is about obfuscating that for people. I think in a world in which people don't generally believe that
Starting point is 01:01:47 instinctively and they come to doubt and mistrust Democrats for reasons having to do with economic mismanagement, but also because of a whole ecosystem that exists to make Democrats look extreme and silly. And because some Democrats have taken stupid and embarrassing and unpopular positions, I think it is smart to have Democrats making an argument like this. But to me, the goal is for each Democrat to make the best argument they can, tell the best story because nobody votes for generic Democrat. They vote for the Democrat on their ballot. And then how we address our broader problem with the electorate where people mistrust us, don't believe us on the economy. But they don't believe that we'll do what we say in the economy and they still believe we'll do what we said in 2020 and everything else.
Starting point is 01:02:23 That to me is a fight. We're going to have to fight in the primaries in 2028. Yeah. I mean, to the broader question of that lecture raises in that argument piece about like why Democrats aren't gaining on the generic ballot by as much as Trump's approval is following. I do think there's probably a number of reasons. Oh, definitely. But I do think that there is just a a severe lack of trust. in the Democratic Party and the Democratic brand that comes from, I mean, it comes from decades, but it also comes like specifically from everything that happened in at the end of the Biden administration. Joe Biden running is part of it. You know, Laxha points out the Democratic position on crime is a big part of it,
Starting point is 01:03:06 or at least what the perception of the Democratic position on crime is, which was unfortunately hurt by the defund the police discussion, which, of course, you know, you didn't have Democratic candidates saying defund the police, but enough activists were that the perception became that Democrats want to defund the police. Most Democrats didn't, but if you did, of course. You did, and those were the voices that were elevated by some, often by the other side. Yes. I think some of the positions on border security and immigration contributed as well. There's some cultural issues as well. So like, there's a lot going on. But I think even beyond all those individual issues, because I do think if you take an unpopular position on an issue because you really believe in that position and you sell it and you
Starting point is 01:03:48 say, I'm sorry that I'm not on your side on this, but this is just what I believe. That is one thing. There's a perception that Democrats are just like, maybe I'll be on the side of this issue, but then maybe I'll change if somebody's unpopular and the wishy-washiness, which is another version of corruption that's not just money. It's power and fame corrupting as well, right? Like I like my position of power and I don't want to lose it. And so I'm going to say whatever I think is popular. There's lack of faith in the political system generally. which I think spreads to everyone. And I think on the Democrats, to look inward,
Starting point is 01:04:16 I think that voters had high hopes for Obama that they didn't feel we're met, right? That's an area where we all look inward. On the Biden administration, like, this is why it's so annoying to see Hunter Biden running around and blaming everyone but himself for his father's political standing because he did more to nullify
Starting point is 01:04:32 the Democratic Party's position on waging this corruption message against Trump than literally anybody else because of his scummy business dealings. And yes, there are nothing compared to what Don Jr. and Eric Trump do on a given Tuesday, but still, he was a huge problem. And that's why it's so, like, galling to hear him out there. But yeah, I mean, I think there was a broader trust thing with Joe Biden where we as a party were like, no, no, no, he's not too old. He's totally fine.
Starting point is 01:04:55 And then he ran again and voters firmly rejected it. Then there were the pardon issues you were talking about. That said, I do think like, like, I'm worried about us not doing better in the generic ballot rating, but we have no leader. We have no standard bearer. That's a huge part like we are, yes, we are off sides where the electorate is on some issues. Like the Washington Post just had a poll out this weekend. It found 53% of voters think Democrats are too liberal, but a similar number thought the Republicans were too conservative, right? So like people just maybe don't like the other side. What gives me some hope for the midterms? I think they're going to be a referendum on Trump and the party in charge. I also think it's a turnout election. And if we can turn out our far more
Starting point is 01:05:31 motivated base, then we will win. And then that same post poll, 73% of Democrats say voting this fall is more important than previous midterms versus 52% of Republicans. So our side is, considerably more motivated to go out right now. I have now heard from a few people who've just asked me advice on, like, who to support, what Democrats to support, where to put their money, their time. And a thing that I keep hearing is, you know who I want to support this time around because of the state of the politics of the party? First time candidates, new candidates. And there is something. And like the, this is where like the Joe Biden issue and the Ken Martin issue are somewhat connected because there is a like, don't piss on our.
Starting point is 01:06:12 our leg and tell us it's raining kind of thing where you look at Democrats and it was very obvious that Joe Biden was too old and then a bunch of people in the party were like, no, no, he's fine. Everything's great. The debate performance was fine. No big deal. And then Ken Martin's like, well, we told us you would release the autopsy and you're not releasing the autopsy and he's like, we are releasing it. We have been releasing it. You know, just like, it's like when you're, when someone tells you something that is obviously seems dishonest because we all have eyes and ears, like you lose a level of trust in that person in that institution that's hard to get back. you know and i think that's that's part of the issue as well yeah i think that's right the age thing is a
Starting point is 01:06:47 stand-in though for because like if you look at who were the people that were the most behind joe biden even towards the end it was actually it was it wasn't ideological even like bernie and aOC were the ones that like we're behind a lot of progressives actually but but people really know what bernie stands for they really know what aOC stands for and i don't think a o'c or bernie particularly pay a political price for that position in part because their deeper kind of values are so clear and what also to me is doing with these kinds of anti-corruption mess with the story he's telling is he's trying to have a kind of an ideologically broad story that kind of can represent a vision for what Democrats stand for, what they care about. And to me, what I worry about, what does it mean to care
Starting point is 01:07:26 about corruption? Because if we can win, and then all of a sudden we're talking about whether not to do hearings, right, there's going to be a ton of pressure from polling when you, because when you ask people, you know what the polling going to say, do you want people to look backward? Do you want people to look forward? Oh, I want people to go forward. Do you want people to investigate Trump or do want them to focus on issues that are affecting your family. I want them to focus on issues affecting my family. And I worry that that, the kind of like simple reading of what the polls will certainly say will lead people to think, oh, we shouldn't, we got to just focus. I'm not focused on what Trump did. And we got to, that was bad. And I hate it. You know, I've always been against it. But we got to focus
Starting point is 01:07:56 on my plan. And I get that. But one way you prove to people that you really care about something, that you really stand for something, is you say, look, we got to get to the bottom of this for the future. We got to do this even if the polls say it's bad. We got to make sure we root out this corruption to protect our country from a future Trump, whatever it sounds like, but we have to be willing to actually like kind of put real, kind of put our shoulders behind an actual anti-corruptant agenda when we're in power. Yeah, I agree. All right. When we come back, I'll talk to strict scrutiny's Melissa Murray about the latest rulings on abortion medication, the Voting Rights Act, and her new book. That's right when we come back.
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Starting point is 01:10:05 Melissa, welcome back. Thanks for having me. Congrats on your new book. Thank you. It's going to be coming out on Cinco de Mayo. I think the best thing to do to celebrate is to pour salt all over it, lick it, maybe do some body shots. I don't know. What do you think? You know, people will be hearing this on Tuesday on Cinco de Mayo and I'm going to be doing that then. That's why I'm going to grab my copy. I mean, Taco Tuesday, Taco President, Cinco de Mayo. This is perfect. The book is the U.S. Constitution, a comprehensive and annotated guide for the modern reader. I want to ask you a few questions about that. But first, I just want to start with a little legal news. Specifically the latest legal news on Mitha Pristone, the abortion medication responsible for about. 65% of abortions in the U.S. Can you walk us through both what the Fifth Circuit ruled on Friday in the Louisiana versus
Starting point is 01:10:58 FDA case and what the Supreme Court did on Monday? Sure. So let me roll back a little bit. Some of your listeners will remember, and if there are strict scrutiny listeners, they'll definitely remember that there was a case a few terms ago in the court called FDA versus the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine. And I had such a hard time with the name of this case because I kept saying, hypocritical medicine. It's something of a Freudian slip for me. I was going to say, yeah.
Starting point is 01:11:24 Right. So these are a group of pro-life doctors that were challenging the FDA's approval of Mepha Pristone. And that case was argued before the Supreme Court, the court in an unexpected decision in advance of the 2024 election, said that there was no jurisdiction to hear the case because the doctors who were part of the Alliance for Hippocratic medicine lack standing, which is to say that their professed injuries because of the FDA's approval of Mifapristone were too attenuated to actually sustain federal court jurisdiction. So the case was thrown out, although the court obviously didn't answer important questions regarding the FDA's approval of Mifapristone, its authority to approve Mipha Pristone, nor did it weigh in on the absolute, like,
Starting point is 01:12:11 ridiculousness of some of the claims that the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine were making. In any event, A new group filed a lawsuit this time in Louisiana. That was honestly the biggest surprise that they didn't go back to Amarillo and Judge Matthew Casmeric to file this case. They instead filed it in Louisiana. And last Friday, the Fifth Circuit issued a decision on the case where they effectively issued a nationwide ban on Nipha Pristone, basically saying that the FDA had not done when it needed to do in approving it and that there were questions regarding the FDA's approval
Starting point is 01:12:50 of Mipiphrastone that required staying the distribution of the telehealth aspects of the protocols for distributing Mifapristone. So I just want to emphasize, like the Fifth Circuit did this, but they got a real assist from the Trump administration. So the Trump administration has been at great pains to stay out of abortion, likely because they recognize it's a really bad. issue for them. The whole idea of women dying and parking lots doesn't sell well even in the red states. So the administration has been pretty hands off on abortion and reproductive rights. But the FDA under Secretary Bear Juice, aka RFK Jr., has been making some statements about Miffra Pristone. Though, for example, they've challenged or questioned whether the FDA's approval
Starting point is 01:13:41 of Mifra Pristone was appropriate. They've challenged or said that. some of the requirements for distributing Mifapristone via telehealth or through the mails should be questioned or re-examined. So in making those kinds of statements and concessions about the efficacy and safety of Miffa-Pristone, the administration basically laid the groundwork for the Fifth Circuit. And indeed, the Fifth Circuit cited many of these statements from administration officials at the FDA in making its decision. So they relied on those statements. So this wasn't issued by the Trump administration. They didn't put a ban on Miffra Pristone, but they certainly gave the Fifth Circuit a glide path for doing so.
Starting point is 01:14:20 So the Fifth Circuit basically had this nationwide ban that went into effect on Friday. They issued it at around 4 o'clock central time, 5 o'clock in the east, and it is a nationwide ban. And on Monday, the Supreme Court, through the circuit justice, who is assigned to the Fifth Circuit, like, this is Justice Alito, so interesting. Yeah. He stayed the ruling. This is obviously important because a stay means that Mifiproston is now available again on a nationwide basis. But one of the things that our friend of the pod, Steve Vloddick, noted in his substack and on blue sky,
Starting point is 01:15:02 is that Justice Alito will issue stays in cases with actually. come to him on an emergency basis. But in cases where he's more sympathetic to the causes, the stays are usually indefinite for cases where he's not particularly sympathetic to the causes or the issues underlying the case, he makes the stay time limited. And in this case, it was a time limited stay. So this sets up a schedule for briefing and whatnot. And, you know, this will be back before the court, but the stay will not be finite. There's going to be a timeline on this. So in this new case, I noticed the manufacturers of Mithopristone filed a brief that basically says Louisiana's standing theory is an even more attenuated version of exactly what the court already rejected. Do you buy that argument and more to the point, do you think the court will? Well, I do buy the argument. Again, the arguments that were made and rejected by the court in FDA versus the Alliance for Hippocratic medicine talked about, you know, like you have.
Starting point is 01:16:04 have to, like when people are using Mifapristone, the doctors are denied the aesthetic privilege of watching babies born. It was just like, okay. So it's like really fanciful stuff. And I don't know that it's that much better here. I mean, they're basically arguing in very fetal person forward terms that the state of Louisiana is prevented from protecting unborn life because Mifapristone is available nationwide and can be distributed via telehealth. and through the male. Hard to make that as a specific injury to Louisiana specifically. You know, there's also a discussion of the whole question of the safety of Mipropristone,
Starting point is 01:16:47 and they note that there are two people in Louisiana who suffered ill effects from the use of Mipropristoon, but they also say that, you know, over, you know, thousands of women have been using Mifapristone since Roe v. Wade fell in Dob. So, I mean, make that make sense. you know, thousands of women are using it to women experience ill effects. Therefore, it's a safety concern. And that's one of the predicates under which they're bringing this lawsuit. So I don't buy their claims of injury.
Starting point is 01:17:18 I don't know that the court will be as skeptical this time of those claims as they were when this case first came or a case like this came before the court. Again, when FDA versus the Alliance for Hippocratic Medicine was before. the court. It was right before a really consequential election. It was just after the Supreme Court overruled Roe v. Wade and Dobbs. I think the court knew that the galvanization of abortion fervor was not great for the court, also not great for the Republican Party. I don't know if they're thinking that the same kinds of popular conditions exist right now. The abortion question for a lot of people may have fallen to the wayside right now.
Starting point is 01:18:04 Just because the administration hasn't done anything explicit or obvious as an overture toward abortion rights, people are worried about other things, the economy, the war in Iran, on and on and on. This might actually be a moment where the court is like, you know, nothing to see here. No one's paying attention in the way that they were between 2022 and 24. And this could be the moment. I mean, even if the court buys the standing our government. this time around.
Starting point is 01:18:33 It wasn't a big line of legal reasoning in Dobbs that the states must decide this. This cannot be a federal issue. And if they rule against Miffa Pristone here, doesn't that make, isn't that just a national, effectively a national ban on all abortion medication? Look at you making constitutional claims, John Favro. It's almost like you read Brett Kavanaugh's concurrence, let the state's disqual. what they want, federalism for everybody. Yeah, I guess. It's true that this question certainly could be decided on federalism grounds, like Louisiana has made a choice for itself. And certainly they could address the question of the importation of Mipipipristone into its
Starting point is 01:19:22 borders for use by Louisianaans. But the broader question of a nationwide ban, like, that seems to be a question that's asked and answered by the whole concept of federalism, whether this court will do that. I mean, it's basically the bottom line is, will this court be principled about its prior stances on questions like federalism, the sovereignty of individual states, including blue states that may want to allow for access to abortion? And just, or whether they'll just do what they want to do because they can and they have a super majority of six. And when you have six, they let you do what you want. Let's say, let's take the optimistic view and say that Skodas does the right thing here.
Starting point is 01:20:07 The Trump FDA. Are you Kate Shaw? What's going on here? Don't worry. I'm going to bring us back to our earth soon. This is more of just an exercise. The Trump FDA, as you pointed out, is still doing its own review of Miffipristone, prompted by a debunked Project 2025 report.
Starting point is 01:20:27 So is there a case to be made that the legal fight is maybe beside the point at this stage? Like, could we just see the FDA itself, you know, cause us to lose telehealth and mail order Miffa Prestone either way? So any agency action, I'm sure, would be challenged by reproductive rights groups, reproductive justice groups. So certainly the FDA could move ahead of this case and go forward. And again, the whole question in the timeline of this case may be upended. like whether this is an emergency appeal that was made to Justice Alito in his capacity, a circuit justice. So that's sort of while the litigation is pending. But the next step for this litigation anyway would have been the Supreme Court. So this is an initial stay. There's
Starting point is 01:21:11 going to be a question about whether the court takes this up. Something could obviously happen at the FDA that possibly could moot this case. But I think anything the FDA does would likely to be challenged. But it does seem like this is a tricky one in which, if, if the court rules for Louisiana, like, what does that mean for someone in California or New York or Massachusetts trying to get a Mitha-Pristone prescription? I think it depends on how this decision writes. You know, if this is a decision that takes seriously the question of federalism, as you alluded to earlier, then there is probably an opening for someone in California. It just may limit the importation of Mipiphristone to states that have very roe
Starting point is 01:21:57 robust restrictions on abortion. It wouldn't necessarily, depending on how it's written, it wouldn't necessarily prevent people from Louisiana from leaving the state unless Louisiana wrote a law that made it impossible for people to leave the state, although I think that could be challenged on constitutional grounds regarding the right to travel. Brett Kavanaugh mentioned that and his concurrence in Dobbs as well. So there are a lot of open avenues. I think one thing that is really interesting and deeply implicated by this case and the questions it raises is what happens to physicians in blue states who prescribe Mithopristone and then the prescriptions are going to people in other places, whether it's Louisiana or whatnot. And those are big questions and likely to implicate
Starting point is 01:22:44 the spate of shield laws that have been enacted in the wake of Dobbs that haven't really been been tested at the Supreme Court yet. Let's move to another cheery topic. The other big court ruling from the other week is Calais, which was about the Voting Rights Act. It was a six-three decision, again with our friend Alito, writing for the majority. What did the court do there? And what is the actual practical consequence going to be, do you think, over the next two, four, six years? Well, what did the court do there? So what does the court tell us it's doing?
Starting point is 01:23:21 And what does the court actually do? It may be two very different. things, and maybe we should parse that for a little bit. The court in that case said that it was doing no more than realigning the terms of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 with the jurisprudence that it is issued. Anytime the court says it's realigning something, it's pretty much either eviscerating it or overruling it. So they are presenting this as a kind of modest change or update. But as Justice Kagan said in her dissent, it is effectively the evisceration of Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act. And to understand what she means by that, I think you have to understand
Starting point is 01:24:03 the procedural posture of this case and what the case was actually about. One thing to note here was that back in 2023, the court took up a very similar case called Allen v. Milligan. It was about Alabama's congressional map that was drawn in the wake of the 2020 census. Alabama, essentially, packed its black citizens into one district. That map was challenged as an impermissible racial gerrymander under Section 2. A lower court agreed it was an impermissible racial gerrymander, and it ordered Alabama to draw a new map with more representation for African Americans. And so Alabama drew a map with two voter opportunity districts where minority voters would have the opportunity to elect the candidates of their choice. Fast forward to October term 2020.
Starting point is 01:24:51 but June 2023 when the court issued its decision in Allen v. Milligan, the map that had been drawn, the second map with the two voter opportunity districts, had been challenged as itself an impermissible racial gerrymander because they were thinking about race when they were trying to remedy the racial discrimination of the initial map, which seems right. Like you have to think about race if you're trying to vindicate the interests of minority voters after the state has screwed over the minority voters with the first map. And the court in that case said, this map is fine by a six to three vote. So they upheld the new map with the two minority opportunity districts. Subsequently, the same thing happened in Louisiana.
Starting point is 01:25:34 So it's a virtually identical case. Louisiana draws its maps after the census. It makes one opportunity district for black voters, even though black voters comprise about a third of the Louisiana electorate. A court says it's an impermissible racial gerrymander orders the state to draw two new districts. The state does that. A group of non-African American voters challenge the new map with the two opportunity districts as an impermissible racial gerrymander on the view that in trying to remedy the discrimination done by the first racial gerrymander, the state has now engaged in more racial discrimination. And the second round of racial discrimination is racial discrimination against white voters.
Starting point is 01:26:16 And in the decision that was issued last week, Justice Alito said, yeah, that sounds right. Even thinking about race in the context of trying to remedy past racial discrimination is itself a racial violation. So this is basically applying to the context of voting rights, the same logic that this court has used in the context of affirmative action. Like the Constitution does not see race at all. If you're even thinking about race, even if it's for remedial purposes, that is suspect and should. should be invalidated. And if you are going to use race as a remedy, the only context where it will be applicable and permissible is in circumstances where you can prove intentional discrimination, which is really, really hard to do, especially in the context of voting where, and especially
Starting point is 01:27:04 in the South, often race and political affiliation run together. So most Black voters in the South are going to be Democrats. So if Black voters, say, hey, listen, you just totally diluted our voting power. This is a racial discrimination issue. It's a racial gerrymander. The state just has to say, no, we were doing this because we were trying to consolidate partisan advantage. And that's probably true, but it doesn't mean it's also not racial discrimination. The court says, full stop, you've got to have absolute proof that this was intentional racial discrimination. Most states are not dumb. Most state officials aren't dumb. They're going to figure out how to do this without making it look intentional.
Starting point is 01:27:46 and they're going to keep doing it. And that's really the danger of this case. We're going to see more and more districts being drawn in ways that disadvantage minority voters and voters of color. We are going to see more and more states try to consolidate partisan advantage. Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee reportedly said that, you know, this decision leaves the state legislature of Tennessee
Starting point is 01:28:08 free to make Tennessee a red state in perpetuity. All of this is unbelievably anti-democratic, but it's also deeply, deeply anti-multi-racial democratic, right? Like, this is how you kill a multiracial democracy. So how did the court differentiate its ruling in the Louisiana case from its ruling in the Alabama case where I believe Roberts and Kavanaugh voted with the liberals in that case? Well, I think part of how they did this was that they created a new question to be asked.
Starting point is 01:28:39 So the case, Louisiana versus Kelle, was actually first taken up in October term, from 2024. There was oral argument. The court was expected to issue a decision by June 2025. In June of 2025, it said, wait a minute, we're going to hold this case over till the next term. They ordered another set of oral arguments. And then they instructed the litigants to answer a new question that the litigants didn't even ask. So this is a question the court was supplying. And the question was whether the use of race in the context of remedying this racial gerrymander violated the 14th and 15th amendments. Nobody asked them to brief that. Nobody wanted that. The court wanted it. And they wanted to get to that question. And part of how they're distinguishing is because of that question and the unique
Starting point is 01:29:23 circumstances around that. So that question was not even asked or answered in the Alabama case. And this was just a way to, okay. Cool, cool, cool. If the goal was to just gut section two, which it functionally does, why dress it up in the way that Alito did? Is that just his style? Or do you think there was a strategic reason to do that? Well, I think there's two strategic reasons. One redounds to the benefit of the court. The other redounds to the benefit of non-African American litigants. Let me explain the court benefit first. This is a court that for almost every year that it has had a conservative supermajority has overruled some precedent. So Roe versus Wade in 2022, the affirmative action precedents in 2023, Chevron in 2024. I think if they had, I think if they had, actually gutted the Voting Rights Act, basically overruled jingles, which was the jurisprudence
Starting point is 01:30:19 that really laid out the factors for drawing these minority, majority minority districts. That would have raised some eyebrows from a lot of people who think this court is really on one and probably needs to be curbed. So there's that issue. I don't think the court could say we're just completely throwing out the Voting Rights Act. And for understandable reasons, It would have really galvanized, I think, popular antipathy against the court. The other thing, though, that's simply preserving Section 2 does is that it leaves Section 2 available to be used by non-African-American litigants every time a state tries to remedy. So blue states trying to draw opportunity districts, now non-African-American litigants can come in and say, that violates my right. So in California, for example, this new redistricting effort that is being done to counteract what is happening in Texas and in other red states, if non-African American voters say that the state has drawn this for the purpose of consolidating racial minority groups political power, then all of a sudden you have a Section 2 claim that can be brought.
Starting point is 01:31:34 And that the court is probably going to look at. And they're probably not going to think that it's an effort. to consolidate partisan advantage. They're really going to focus on the racial aspect of it. All right. The happier news, your new book, which when people hear this, will be out called the U.S. Constitution, a comprehensive and annotated guide for the modern reader. Obvious question first. There are a lot of books about the Constitution. Why this one? Why now? First of all, this is for the modern reader. And I don't, yeah, like, I think about it. Who are you? If you're a modern reader, this is for you. If you're Sam Alito, it's probably not for you.
Starting point is 01:32:09 not a modern reader. Why now? Because I think we need to engage with the Constitution, perhaps now, more than ever. This is a document that was meant to be read. It was meant to be debated. And if you ask most Americans, I think very few people have read the Constitution cover to cover, in part because some of it's just really boring. Trust me, I read it. And I wrote about it. And I was like, there were times. I was like, whoa, article one's really long. But I did it so you don't have to. And I go through and I explain what. every single clause is doing, what it's for, what they were animated by when they decided to include it. There's all kinds of really fun stories about the Constitution that you probably didn't even
Starting point is 01:32:50 know that are in this book and detailed here. Ordinary people who make claims on the Constitution and manage to affect constitutional change. That's important to know right now. We live in a world where we act like the Supreme Court as the final word on our rights. And I guess that's kind of true, unless we take seriously the idea that we can be constitutional change makers in our own right. And in fact, there are people in our history who have done exactly that and have changed the Constitution and made it more responsive to we the people. Talk about the project of explaining the Constitution to a general audience, the modern reader, if you will, in a moment when it's meeting is this contested. So this is not what I would have done on strict scrutiny. So one of the things my editor,
Starting point is 01:33:38 and I talked about at length was whether this was going to be as forthright about my particular take on things as we are on strict scrutiny. And we decided that maybe it was just better to sort of explain things, really focus on the history of certain things and do a kind of one group says this, one group does that in order to give people of all stripes the tools that they need to dive deeper, draw their own conclusions. And I think that was probably the right choice. I think there are certainly some places where my own views come into play and shaping the book. Like, for example, one of the things that I felt very strongly about was being absolutely forthright about all of the ways in which slavery is literally all over the original constitution, even
Starting point is 01:34:22 though the document never says the word. But there are all of these compromises, not just the three-fifths compromise, but lots of different compromises about whether or not this is going to be a free nation or whether we're going to allow half the country to own people. And, And that literally shapes this document. It shapes some of the amendments that we have. And it certainly shapes the way this country tries to knit itself back together after the American Civil War. So those are choices. You do such a great job of making the Constitution and the law feel sort of real and alive to people who do not have legal degrees.
Starting point is 01:34:59 You do that on strict scrutiny. You do that on TV. And now in this book. what's one thing you want just a regular layperson with no law degree, maybe like myself, who picks this book up and reads it to sort of walk away understanding about the Constitution, both in what the founders intended when they wrote it and what it means today. Well, let me say two things. One for the reader like you, who doesn't have a law degree,
Starting point is 01:35:26 and maybe one for the reader like John Lovett, who thinks he has a lot of degree. And for you, John Favreau, I'm going to offer this origin story about the project itself. So there was a time, you'll remember this time, when I was in these Twitter streets quite a lot. And I really was. And Twitter was fun back then. It used to be fun. It used to be fun. Anyway, I was in the Twitter streets.
Starting point is 01:35:51 And Luther Campbell, you may know him as Luke Campbell. I am from Florida. And I grew up in the 90s in the Dirty South. So I know Uncle Luke as the lead rapper of Two Live Crew. And he was out here in these Twitter streets talking about all of the things that Joe Biden should be doing. President Joe Biden should do this. President Joe Biden should lower the price of gas. He should do this.
Starting point is 01:36:11 He should do that. And I was just reading this litany. And I was like, wow, Uncle Luke has never read the Constitution because Joe Biden can't do any of these things. Like, oh, my God. And that was sort of the origin story of this project. I think I wanted Uncle Luke to know what the president can do, especially now. that he's running for Congress. I really hope he'll buy this book and read it because if he's going to be an elected official, I think this is critically important right now for him. He is the audience.
Starting point is 01:36:36 He is the primary audience for this book. Maybe not primary, tertiary, perhaps. I mean, I think any, I think this is a book for all Americans. This is the document that scaffolds our government and indirectly our lives. You should know what it says and what it doesn't and what it authorizes and what it does not. You should know that this is a trauma-informed document. When these guys sat down to write the Constitution, they were going through it. They had this period, this colonial period where England was literally on their necks constantly. So they wanted to have rights and they wanted to be able to have a society where they were free to do things. But then they'd also just had this revolutionary war against the biggest global superpower in the world. And they were basically trying to fight them
Starting point is 01:37:17 which was a government that was made up of like friendship bracelets. And they were like, we actually need a strong central government, but not one that's so strong that it becomes despotic. Like, that's the tension. And they try to structure this government that is limited. And we need to remember that. And this is now for John Lovett, this is a government right now that doesn't feel that limited. And in being unlimited and even excessive in certain ways, that's not in keeping with what they were trying to do and what we have continued to try to do. And what this book reminds us is that there have been times where the people have just said, I'm not having it. I'm not doing this anymore. I want something different.
Starting point is 01:37:56 and they've actually stepped up and they've made constitutional change. Fantastic. I'm excited to read this, especially as we head into America's 250th birthday. I think it's probably a good time to take a look at that constitution and see where we started and where we are now. I think the 1776 commission is going to love it. You think Trump's going to maybe hold it up at the White House in one of the UFC celebration? I think it might be in the gift bag, the swag bag.
Starting point is 01:38:25 The book is the U.S. Constitution, a comprehensive and annotated guide for the modern reader. Everyone go pick it up. Please. I know from talking with you and being a strict scrutiny fan that it's going to be fantastic and you're going to learn a lot and you're going to enjoy it. So take a look. Melissa Murray, thank you as always for joining Pod Save America. Thank you for that great windup. All I will add to it is we'll be wild. Thank you for having me. Bye. That's our show for today. Thanks to Melissa for coming on. Dan and I will be back with a new show on Friday.
Starting point is 01:38:56 Pods of America is a Cricket Media production. Our show is produced by Austin Fisher, Saul Rubin, McKenna Roberts, and Ferris Safari, with Reed-Jurlin,
Starting point is 01:39:08 Elijah Cohn, and Adrian Hill. Our team includes Matt DeGroote, Ben Hethkoat, Jordan Cantor, Charlotte Landis, Carol Pelleave,
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