Pod Save America - Trump's A+++++ Affordability Message
Episode Date: December 12, 2025Donald Trump holds a campaign-style rally to hit his affordability message: making fun of the very idea of an affordability message, and telling parents to buy their kids fewer dolls. And when asked b...y Politico what grade he’d give the economy right now, he answers: “A+++++.” Jon and Dan discuss how Trump’s communications effort is landing and then turn to the rest of the news, including Indiana Republicans’ decision to reject a new Trump-backed congressional map, Trump’s jaw-droppingly low approval rating in a new AP poll, and Democrats’ continued fight to extend Affordable Care Act subsidies before they expire at the end of the year. Then, Rep. Adam Smith, the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee, talks to Jon about the administration’s seizure of an oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela and the illegality of the strikes on boats in the Caribbean—including what Smith saw when the Pentagon showed him the video of the infamous double tap strike.For a closed-captioned version of this episode, click here. For a transcript of this episode, please email transcripts@crooked.com and include the name of the podcast. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
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Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm John Favro. I'm Dan Pfeiffer. Dan Pfeiffer in studio for this momentous pod.
Oh, how lovely. It's great when Dan comes to town. We're all on our best behavior. On today's show, we're going to talk about how Trump is ending 2025 in a much weaker political position than he started. And what that means is we head into a big election year. We'll also talk about the big wins Democrats scored in Tuesday's elections and look ahead to the midterms, specifically the Democratic primary for Texas Senate in March.
which will pit Jasmine Crockett against James Telerico.
Then we'll answer the question that's probably been on no one's mind,
which women-hating Nazi influencer is actually a virgin.
A segment that will be followed by my conversation with a very serious member of Congress,
Adam Smith, who's the top Democrat on the House Armed Services Committee
and undoubtedly psyched that he agreed to appear on this show.
But let's start with the man who wants struggling Americans to know that he sees you,
He hears you, and he feels your pain.
President Donald Trump,
who launched a much-hyped and anticipated affordability blitz this week
where he humbly acknowledged our economic reality
and pledged to fight harder for the people who sent him back to Washington.
Here's Trump speaking to Politico's Dasha Burns
and then at a rally in Pennsylvania.
I wonder what grade you would give your economy.
A-plus.
A-plus, plus, plus, plus, plus.
The chief of staff, and she's fantastic, she said,
we have to start campaigning, sir. I said, I won. What do I have to do already? They said,
we have to win the midterm. It's a hoax. They use the word affordability. And that's their only
word. They say, affordability. And everyone says, oh, that must mean Trump has high prices.
You know, you can give up certain products. You can give up pencils. You don't need 37 dollars for your
daughter. Two or three is nice, but you don't need 37 dolls. More Trump. Get him out on the
trail, Dan. What did you think? Do you think of that performance? I'll say my message directly to
Susie Wiles. Why don't she have a staff? This was perfect. No notes, make no changes. The hoax thing,
it works. Hokes things works. It doesn't get enough attention, but rationing is a good political
strategy. More telling people how much of things certain things you'd have. Maybe get into what
they should eat or not eat. Maybe tell them to eat cake as an instance. Why do you think he keeps
bringing up the dolls? He's got a real fixation with the dolls. This is like the third time he's
done a ration the dolls message. Yeah, there's so many other. I feel like he's like used the number
37 before too. Yeah, I think he's, he, this originally was triggered by the report about increased
toy prices for the holidays and he just, you know, he keeps going back to the well. He doesn't have a lot of new
material here um and the pencils we're rationing pencils do people use pencils still they do
john i know the kids don't read anymore so i wasn't sure if they used pencil i thought pencils
went away a long time ago i mean i don't know i mean my second grader uses pencils i guess we
charlie and teddy use crayons cranes how many crayons do you get are we making those here
one per color of the rainbow anything we're not making here you don't get anymore right i don't think
we make crayons here it is wild that the man who just fired uh
an architect for his ballroom because he couldn't make it big enough and fast enough
as he's like gold leafing everything in the White House is telling people they don't need more
than four doll three dolls three dolls maximum if you were trying to find the best message to
lose an election this would be it I just it's wild um clearly he's excited to be there
you can tell yes he was very he's excited to be on this affordability tour
I wonder how many more we'll get.
It's December 11th.
It's like too soon.
I wish the affordability tour had started in like September of 2026.
That's what I would.
I wish we could get this event there because no one's going to remember this by then.
But like, do you think it changes?
I think we'll get more.
You think we'll get more?
I don't think it's going to get better.
I don't think he, I do not think he can give a compelling affordability message.
I think he is psychologically constitutionally incapable of doing that.
Because it requires him to admit that prices are high.
To admit prices are high means to admit fault.
Right.
He has never admitted fault in his life.
He's not going to start.
Now, there aren't a lot of 80-year-olds who all of a sudden develop introspection.
One other soundbite from the rally really hit home for me.
Can you guys play the clip?
I haven't read practically anything off the stupid teleprompter.
And then my speechwriters get, they're getting awards for some of the finest speeches.
And I haven't even read the, and the award for the finest writer.
in the history of speech banking.
Ross, where are you, Ross?
Are you here, Ross?
First time I've ever introduced him,
Ross, get over here.
I got a very low-key guy.
I'm so shy, I can't believe it.
There's a lot to unpack there, Dan.
There is.
First of all, what speech writing awards are his speech writers getting?
Are you just jealous because you never got one?
Yeah, where was my fucking award?
None of us got any award.
Maybe Lovick got it.
Maybe I didn't know.
He didn't.
Also, I cannot imagine anything worse than being at a rally with Barack Obama, where he introduced me because he wanted to let everyone know that he hasn't read anything on the prompter, never does, and he doesn't understand why his speech traders are getting awards.
Because that's the kind of stuff he said behind the scenes.
That's right.
Not publicly.
That was wild.
Poor Ross, whoever you are.
And you know what?
I have no sympathy for Ross.
No.
do we think that Ross is actually writing any of these speeches or they just go through the Stephen Miller LLM and then they get onto the teleprompter and then Trump sort of ignores the boring shit which is the stuff that Susie Wiles wants them to say some of the more fashy sounding shit which is what Stephen Miller puts in there and then he just does the weave is it extraly painful that Ross whoever he may be gets this award the same week we were snub for a golden globe yeah wow things it's very
We're really getting hit hard this week.
It's a tough week for us.
Back in Washington, Trump did get another, he got a little present.
He got another rate cut from the Fed, but it obviously wasn't enough for him.
He said the quarter point cut should have been twice that size and called his Fed chair, Jerome Powell, a stiff.
Man, he appointed.
On Thursday, he posted another whiny complaint blaming the American people's dissatisfaction with the economy on the American people.
always smart politics.
Here's the post, quote,
when will I get credit for having created
with no inflation, perhaps
the greatest economy in the history of our
country? When will people
understand what is happening?
When will polls reflect the greatness
of America at this point in time
and how bad it was
just one year ago?
I'm sure it was just a coincidence that the statement
came right after the release of a new AP poll
that has Trump's overall approval
at just 36%.
And his approval on the economy at just 31%.
That is the lowest it's ever been in either of his two terms as president.
67% disapprove of his handling of the economy.
Obviously, we don't like to put too much stock in a single poll,
but we're reading this one because it's fun.
And also, it is roughly in line with most of the polls we're seeing right now.
I think his average overall approval in the average of all the polls is 42%,
are not much higher. What do you make of it? What do you make of this poll? And is Trump in serious
trouble here? Or is this just copium? This is not copium, John. It is not. Wow. Like, even if you were
to say that this poll is a bit of an outlier that's a little worse for Trump, the other ones,
all of the polls are telling the same story. Trump is losing political altitude fast.
Voters are very unhappy with the economy. They are unhappy because prices are high. They
think Trump is not only not lowering the prices. They fully believe he is raising them. They
correctly believe that because of tariffs.
Yeah.
And they see him focus on everything else other than the number one issue, right?
CBS had this poll a couple weeks ago, which asked people, what do you want Trump to focus on most?
They said interior decorating.
They said high prices.
Interior decorating was a distant 900th.
And they asked him, what do you think he's focused most on?
What came in last there?
Inflation.
And so he, like, this is, he's in a very, very bad spot here.
And he is less popular than Biden was at that point.
And you get in the much less popular than Obama was at this point.
But all of those polls keep comparing Trump to this point in the first term of other presidents because we keep using this as a first term.
The real comparison point is second term.
And the comparison point here is George W. Bush.
And right about this time, George W. Bush takes a massive nosedive.
It never comes back.
And Trump, I think Trump's in real danger of that because he seems, has no interest in solving the problem that people care.
most about, and really no ability to do so. And he's not going to benefit from this looming
reelection campaign that will re-coeless his coalition, be out of opposition to the other
side. And so, like, he is- Or re-energize him because he doesn't have his presidency on the line.
Or his livelihood, or like his freedom, as he did last time. Nor does he fully understand clearly
how bad it is. Though, I don't know, that Thursday post where he's like, when, when are people going to
get it. It might be starting to creep in that he's not as popular as he was at the beginning of
this year. It is also funny that the only time he does focus on the economy or talk about the
economy, it's when he speaks about his most unpopular policy, which is the tariffs, which in
that in that Pennsylvania rally, he once again said, it's my favorite word. I love that word.
It's beautiful. The tariffs are making us rich. Like just he has become more out of, he's always
been out of touch, but he's become more out of touch than this last year.
than I've ever seen him.
Yeah, I mean, I think it's fair to say.
Like, he is obviously out of touch in the sense that he is a man who has a gold toilet.
Right.
But he has had, he's had a feel for people.
He's had a gut instinct for the grievances of a subset of Americans.
And that has powered his political rise.
Like, he was prescient on immigration and people's reaction of that.
He obviously understood the border.
But now he is not out traveling with people.
He's not talking to other politicians around the country as he travels.
He really only hangs out with.
rich tech billionaires and a bunch of obsequious staffers who were just tell them how
Grady is all the time.
And a few white nationalist freaks.
Yeah, who are.
That's it.
That's redundant with what I just said.
No, something is like in the Venn diagram.
I was going to say.
You got the billionaires.
You got the grifter, obsequious staffers who just want, and there's some overlap there.
Yeah.
And then you've got like the Stephen Miller.
Yeah.
And the, you know, the, the white nationalist.
But some of the, like, some of the white naturalists might be some of the, some of
tech people like this. Yeah, that's true. Elon Musk today did say that
these liberals are advocating a white genocide. So that's, yeah, I think he would probably
but I will say that like the other challenge he has is there's not a lot of levers for him
to pull. None, no. And he also needs an enemy and he needs a plausible villain in his
story. And the problem with affordability is he doesn't have a plausible villain because he
he can blame Joe Biden, but like that's not working because everyone understands that
Joe Biden is long gone from the White House and no one believes that it's Joe Biden's
economy anymore, very few people. Democrats in Congress aren't stopping him from anything
because we don't have power there. So he loses that enemy. And he doesn't want to go after
corporations or rich people because they're his only friends. And so it's like what I guess
Jerome Powell is his villain. Yeah. Like who what is it? What is it? What?
What do you even do if you're Trump?
I mean, you could change your message.
Change your, change your tariff policy, change your message.
You could take, you could rescind all the tariffs.
Now, that is not going to be immediately lower all prices.
Right.
It is, I think it's just worth just focusing on the fact that it is actually a tremendous political feat that most people blame Trump for the economy right now.
Because he did not, inflation was here before he got here.
Right.
But I think that's, I think it's mainly because of the tariffs.
Exactly because of the tariffs, which is, you know, I think we talked about this before, but voters give newly elected presidents a pretty long leash to solve the problem they were elected to solve.
When Obama was running, we were in midway into a re-election campaign and a majority of voters still blamed George W. Bush for the state of the economy more than Obama.
We are 10 months in, and because Trump said, thank you for electing me, I promise to lower your prices, my first act is I'm going to raise all your prices.
and voters took that seriously
and they immediately assigned
agency to him for all of their problems
and he and the Republicans
are paying the price for it right now.
Yeah, and it did just keep getting worse
because it was like, I'm going to raise all the prices,
I'm going to fire tons of people.
All you heard about the first couple months
was just him firing federal workers
and not everyone's a federal worker,
but still that's what you heard in the headlines.
Then there was the tariffs.
Then there was, you know,
I hate the idea of stopping premium
hike so much that I'm willing to keep the government
closed over it.
I don't think that helped him either.
There was, oh, there was passing his big legislation that was a giant tax cut for the rich paid for by cutting people's health care.
Yeah.
And let's not forget that.
It's really even a banner year for him.
The thing he's getting the most attention for is things like demolishing the White House to build a ballroom.
Right.
Decorating the White House in gold.
Katari Jet.
Don't get the Atari Jet.
The crypto scams.
All of this comes together.
And like this is their hope and prayer, like James Blair, who's the White House political director, I think, or Deputy Chiefs out, something like that.
He did an interview.
other day and he said things are going to get better because he said just because they should
commit a political gap every single day that the fundamentals in the economy are strong i heard that
yes which is for people to know a historically famous political gaff that john mccain made right
as like as lehmann brothers was collapsing in 2008 but the argument is one of the worst gaffes of the
2008 general election it's one of the worst gaffes of the last 40 years in politics it's up there
with 47 percent now i will say giving yourself an a
plus plus on the economy right here is worse than all of those combined. And that should be in
one million ads all the time. It's a thing that people will remember because as you and I know,
right, like there is this idea. I'm just going to diverge here for a second. Nice. I think I know
where you're going. Vibes based. I'm so. I'm so there. Like there is this very dumb idea
that really circulated a lot in the Biden presidency that the people's impressions the economy is
vibe based. And so if the president says the economy is great, voters,
then believe them and like the economy more and then like the president more. And this kind of came
because Trump talked up the economy in 2017 and people like the economy, but that's also because
the economy was good. And so you and I know this from looking at focus groups in 2009, 2010,
that when voters who feel true economic pressure and are truly worried about their financial
situation are told that the economy is better than they think it is, they want to flip the
fucking table over in the focus group. And so giving yourself an A++ plus plus, plus,
is just sticking your thumb in the eye of every voter.
And it's not to say that people's impressions of the economy are solely based on the economic
statistics as they are and that other considerations, vibes, if you will, don't play into
your perception of the economy. But when the person who's supposed to be in charge of the
country is the one telling you, the person that you put into office, or at least
are, you know, has been elected into office
and job it is to take care, manage the
economy, when that person
tells you, no, no, no, actually
everything's great, you're going to be
fucking angry. It's not going to,
for other people who said that like, oh, Joe Biden should
have just talked up the economy and it wasn't just
that Joe Biden should talk to the economy. All of us,
all of us were supposed to pretend, right?
I fledg it was fake. Democrats in Congress,
all of us, pundits, everyone, we were all supposed
to just talk up every day, talk
about the great statistics and that was going to make
everyone think. Well, Donald Trump is
doing that now, and it has been doing that for
last several months, and his
economic approval rating has taken
a dive, so I thought he was magic
in the first term, and Donald Trump was great at this, and he
was such a showman and a marketer. Why isn't it
working this time? Because it's based on people's
fucking perceptions of their own financial
position. Now you got me going.
It's also important if we find out that some families
are spending too much money on milk, we should score them on
Twitter. Or we
can't talk about gas prices because
those bad journalists, those
mean journalists stood in front of a gas station,
that had artificially high prices and nice.
You can maybe alter how people feel about the macro economy,
but the micro economy, how it affects your life.
And the idea of a vibes-based economy
are that you can tell people that reality is not reality
in a time of inflation is impossible.
Because every day, they go to the grocery store,
they go to the gas station,
they get the utility bill.
They see how their bank account changes.
In fact, it's harder than if there's high unemployment.
Yeah.
Because inflation affects more people
than unemployment.
not having a job probably affects you a lot more than having to pay a little more for groceries,
but it affects more people for sure.
Even in the peak of the great recession, the unemployment rate under Obama was like 10, 11%.
Yeah.
So which means the vast majority of people had jobs.
They had a existential fear of losing their jobs.
Yes.
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sponsoring this episode so on that note another jaw-dropping number in the api poll is trump's approval
on immigration uh where he's 22 points underwater 38 60 uh 38 approved 60 disapprove also a new
low for him also not stopping him from hammering his face
favorite issue in the most racist way possible.
Here he is again during that Pennsylvania event.
We had a meeting and I say, why is it?
We only take people from shithole countries, right?
Why can't we have some people from Norway, Sweden, just a few.
Let us have a few.
We always take people from Somalia, places that are a disaster, right?
Filthy, dirty, disgusting, ridden with crime.
The only thing they're good at is going after shit.
It's, it is a small point, but I think an important one that he and the White House and various Republican senators like Tom Cotton vigorously denied that story about him calling them shithole countries in the meeting for the last several years. And then he just, of course, admitted it.
Yeah, it's like justice for Josh Dossie, the Washington Post reporter who originally reported that. Right. It's like, did we, did we think that the Trump people were telling the truth back then? No, no, we didn't think it. But they're liars. It just, it's nice to know that they are liars that we're right.
about that.
Yeah, it's an interesting dynamic.
It's a difference between Trump 1.0 and 2.0, which is 1.0, all this was behind closed
doors, and they were embarrassed to say it out loud.
Yeah.
Here you hold a rally to shout at the top of your lungs.
Yes.
Meanwhile, Christy Noam appeared at a House Homeland Security Committee hearing on Thursday,
where she was heckled by audience members and left early right around the same time that
a federal judge ordered the release of Kilmar-Abrego-Garcia from the detention facility in
Pennsylvania, where he was being held while he awaits trial on very shaky human trafficking
charges. There was also quite a moment in that hearing with Nome where Seth
Magazineer, Democratic Congressman, was like, oh, how many veterans have you deported?
She's like, we haven't deported veterans. And then he pops up on a screen, has a veteran
who they just recently deported, legal resident. So, classic. He really wants, and you
could tell because this is the only part of the rally he got really excited about,
was doing the shithole country's thing. He could tell he was losing the crowd.
You could tell it was pretty boring.
They even had fucking charts up.
He knew the charts were boring.
He was like, oh, these charts are playing so well, so I'm going to throw up another one.
Then you could tell he got to the immigration stuff, which wasn't in the prompter, of course.
Bad News Ross.
Someone said the awards committee.
So he just went, you know, went rogue and started doing his racist shithole country's bit.
And you can tell he just really wants to make next year's elections about immigration again.
Worked for him in 24.
didn't so much work for him in 18, 20, 22.
You know, we just talked about how it's very hard for him to ever get to an affordability
message that matches how people are feeling.
And so I assume he will try to make next year about immigration, about crime, all his favorites.
What do you think about his ability to do that?
I think it's pretty limited because, you know, I think in the common imagination, we think
he made 2024 about immigration.
And immigration certainly was a part of that campaign, but I went back and looked at the exit
polls and more people listed abortion as a number one issue than immigration. Only 12% listed
immigration. Number one issue was actually democracy at 34%, which is a little strange. But
the basic point is the he he won, we didn't win that one. That's right. Well, I think democracy is
some people, they said they, it was a number one issue. They didn't say they liked it. Yeah, that's
right. Exactly. Um, it was a, it was an issue. The thing, I think it's going to be very hard for him
to make it bigger than the economy or affordability in the way shape reform. Just it would have to be,
the only, like, we were headed in 2022, inflation was about to be the most important issue.
And then the Supreme Court overturned Roe in June before the election that changed the dynamics
election. It would have to be something on that level to actually change how people feel
and to raise the science of immigration. I don't think it's just something Trump can do on his
own through rallies and truce. And even like White House policy proclamations have to be
something like sort of a massive national galvanizing event that would change that.
I also think, and he goes on to say this as he's talking about immigration, he's like,
my team told me, don't talk about the border because, you know, you already, why we already
fixed the border?
It's fixed.
And now I'm not even getting credit for it.
And the truth is, however he did it, like the border crossings are almost a zero.
And so in the past, especially when Biden was president, people's disapproval of Biden on
immigration was related to something real that was happening, which was an influx.
of immigrants that came to the southern border.
And then because of people like Greg Abbott and Ron DeSantis were transported to cities all over the country who then struggled with their own finances to try to care for a lot of these migrants.
And so it was a real thing.
Now, and the reason, so you see he's like on the border, he's still plus two in the AP poll, but then immigration is negative 22.
The deportation regime is a fucking flop politically.
I mean, it's horrific.
We've talked about that all year, like morally horrendous, but it is also deeply unpopular.
And it is something that is that almost everyone is aware of because I do think that these
videos that have been circulating social media and everywhere have been in people's feeds
and people's phones all year, and they're horrific because it's people see U.S. citizens,
legal residents, kids, even on documents and immigrants who don't seem like they pose any threat
whatsoever, just being tackled, abused, harassed, detained, tear gassed, pepper balls. I mean,
it's just a fucking disaster for them. Did you see Kyle Tharp's newsletter Canada care? He just
did a post where he went through the most viral events of 2025 political events. And
ICE and immigration is sort of right smack in the middle is one of the absolute biggest ones
because it is, it breaks through, it travels on social, people are aware of it. And ultimately,
Trump is doing a very bad job and going too far to solve a problem that people,
people really are not as focused on as he thought they were.
Yes.
And I would also say, like, if I was devising a message for a Democratic candidate, you know, like, 70% of it is, 75% of it is cost of living, health care, like, hammering on, hammering Trump on those issues, corruption, like, in that bucket.
But I would not forget to talk about what he is doing on immigration.
And how would you do that?
And I would talk about the deportations.
And I would talk about the U.S. citizens that are being rounded up.
And I would talk about the violence against protesters and with the people who have been disappeared.
And I think that it is people seeing the videos and they, I think that they are scared.
And also, Donald Trump and Stephen Miller are not going to give that part up.
And I don't think that we can be, I don't think it's going to work to be only economy while they're only immigration.
I'm going to have to join that fight and we shouldn't be afraid of it.
And I think these numbers bear that out, the fact that it went from one of his strongest issues and crime, by the way.
way was which for a while it was okay well people don't like the deportations but he still has he's
so strong on crime so we shouldn't talk about the deployments and the takeover of dc and all this
stuff that's unpopular as well also not saying it's like the top issue the thing we should
be talking about all the time but like it's a it's a big deal to people i saw over i don't know if
you saw this over last last week two weeks ago who knows there's that story about an immigration
naturalization ceremony yeah and it was it um it's happening all over the country according to this
report, but this one was at Fanual Hall of all places in Boston. And people are lined up and they
have now to become a citizen, the legal way, the right way. This is part of the challenge. It takes
years. You have to meet all kinds of requirements, pass all kinds of tests. And finally, these people
are waiting in line to take the oath to become citizens of the United States and federal agents
come and fucking pull them out of line.
And one of the clients that WGBH talked to,
which is the local affiliate in Boston,
she's a Haitian woman in her 50s,
and she's had her green card since the early 2000s.
She has been working to get her citizenship in this country,
done everything right since the early 2000s,
and she gets to the fucking ceremony and they pull her out of line.
You cannot tell me that if most people in this country
heard about that story, they wouldn't be fucking outraged.
I would put it at 70, 85%.
Maybe 70.
And so, like, I just think that those are the kind of stories
that I think Democrats should be telling.
Now, I think we have a lot of work to do ourselves
on, like, well, what would you do?
And what would your immigration system look like, for sure?
And I think that's, you know, more of a 28 issue
than a 26 issue, but it's out there.
But I would not run away from this issue.
Yeah, I don't think you...
There is this, I think, idea that...
you decide what the single best issue is.
And you only talk about that to the exclusion
of all those things happening on the planet.
And that just is not how the world works.
It's not how like you're going to go to,
you're going to ask questions at town halls.
You're going to be in a debate.
You're going to ask questions there.
You're going to have to respond to things happening
in your community as a candidate.
A lot of people are talking about our members of Congress.
They have to talk about all these things.
Like you just, this idea that like we've figured out affordability is the issue.
We're only going to talk about affordability to exclusion of anything else.
You bring up anything else.
We're going to say it's a distraction from affordability.
that's just not how humans talk and humans work.
The longer term issue here is that Trump's numbers suck on all these issues, but still
on almost every issue except health care, abortion, and climate change, generically,
voters trust Republicans more than Democrats.
Yeah.
And well, that's a, and affordability.
Yeah.
That one is like basically close to a time now.
Yeah.
Which is crazy.
But, you know.
I mean, there's a longer conversation in there, too, about Democrats being too reticent.
on calling for the tariffs to be repealed
for a whole host of very bizarre, outdated,
anachronistic political reasons.
But like that's part of it is that we have no...
Like, there's a simple answer
to how we would lower costs right away
that we're too many Democrats
are not running on.
And I think it's not, it's not,
this isn't an ideological thing
because I think that Democrat,
it's, I think it's a consequence of Democrats
just not knowing what we stand for
and what the basic universal values are
that drive our party.
because it's like we on immigration it's like people are afraid to be seen as too loose on immigration
like we don't want to be seem like open borders but then at the other side we don't want to be
too strict right and we're afraid to say anything about enforcement and so we're just sort of like
reactive same thing on on costs and affordability it's like well are there small things that we
can talk about because we don't know how far we want to go and we don't have any like big ambitious
as policies on affordability. And so, like, I do think that we kind of have to figure out,
like, what does the country we want? What does it look like if we take power? And not just
from, like, an individual policy perspective, but like, how do we feel about the economy
and affordability? Like, what should, what is, what is the American dream that is achievable
for people that should be achievable for people? And what do we want to do about that? You know,
like, we haven't had that debate. And I don't know how long. Well, I think that's what the
2028 primary is like it's just right now it's like what's the democratic well last time it was last
last time we did this I would say we did a great job last time yeah let's everyone uh talk about
how here's Bernie's Medicare for all plan and that's how every hell have everyone else talk about
how their Medicare for all plan is not as good as Bernie's then we'll all yell about it
well the thing is we then had a process that ended up in Joe Biden becoming the nominee and that
the party's position was that we're going to strengthen the affordable care right and then we had
but Joe Biden had a position on immigration that he ran on that was not necessarily the policy that
he governed on when he got there, although, you know, like, there will be a process here.
A nominee will emerge.
That a nominee will have positions that will then define the party for good or for ill.
The, I think there's a risk of overcomplicating this for 2026.
Like, what we are trying to show people is that we are going to be a check on Trump.
Right.
And we can't, we shouldn't promise too much because we can't be able to deliver.
Yes.
Even if we won the House and the Senate, we can't necessarily deliver anything.
But the one thing we can promise is that we are going to force a vote on repeal.
killing the tariffs.
Yeah.
Like that's one.
We could have a series of ideas of like how we're going to address corruption.
Like first vote is going to be get rid of to stop members of Congress from trading stocks.
Like we can have a bunch of things that we're going to do.
And voters aren't dumb.
Like they have given Democrats, they've given the opposition party's power all the time in situations like this, knowing that the president, like they want a check.
They don't necessarily want.
They're not expecting Kim Jeffries and the Democrats who solve all of their problems.
They want them to stop Trump for making their problems worse.
And after that entire 2020 debate on Medicare for All that led to simply an extension of bigger subsidies for the Affordable Care Act, maybe we can force a vote on actually extending those subsidies.
Maybe we can.
We actually went on it, which leads us to our next topic.
Great transition.
Yeah, of course, of course.
Unsurprisingly, it's the worst issue in the poll for Trump health care.
He's underwater by 40 points.
I guess that's what happens when you show people that, you know, you'd rather keep the entire federal government closed than help stop premium.
hikes that are set to go into effect in just a few weeks for 20 million Americans.
Some Republicans in Congress seem like they're belatedly coming around to the conclusion that
this could be a political problem for them in the midterms, but not enough to just vote for
the Senate Democrats' proposal to extend the subsidies for three years.
That vote failed on Thursday, as did all the Republican alternative proposals in the Senate.
There's some momentum in the House right now on discharge petitions to force votes on various
extension proposals. There's one proposal to extend the subsidies for two years. That's the
Republican discharge position. There's another proposal to extend the subsidies for one year. Both of
those come with new income eligibility limits and minimum payments. Trump's basically been a
passive bystander on all this, though Caroline Levitt said on Thursday, we'll all be hearing from him
on this quote very soon. I'm sure that will be constructive. What do you think about this? I
Hakeem Jeffries was asked about these discharge petitions and Democrats lining up behind it.
I think one of the, I think the one year extension one is, came from Josh Gottheimer,
Democrat from New Jersey, and now has like 62 people that have signed onto it.
But Hakeem Jeffries said he's not taking a position on these discharge petitions.
What do you make of that?
I think that Democrats, Republicans want a get out of jail free card here that allows them to take a vote to extend the Obamacare tax credits.
without ever actually having to extend the Obamcare tax credits.
So if I was Hakeem Jeffries, I would say Democrats are not going to put any
discharge petition over the top until the Senate passes a bill.
Or what if you say, or what if you say, or, and we want Donald Trump to say he's going to sign it.
Yeah.
Because he's the other part.
I mean, they could pass the House and even the Senate.
Hard to imagine Donald Trump vetoing.
I mean, that would be like honestly.
Maybe he could do it at the next rally.
Honestly, from a pure political perspective.
A plus plus plus plus.
That would be A++-plus-plus-plus move.
Just the thing you don't want to do is let 15 vulnerable Republicans to be able to take a vote because we force the vote.
They can't, the Republicans without Democratic help cannot get a detritian done.
There aren't enough Republicans to do.
So you need the vast majority.
Basically, you need the D-TCC's target list plus a bunch of Democrats to put it over the top.
And I don't think we should do them that political favor unless there, we know for sure that will result in people actually getting more affordable health care.
Yeah, like if Trump came out tomorrow and said, I'm for this extent.
that's circulating the House
and Thune's like, yeah, we can get that
done too. Then the Democrats
are like, sure, of course. Yeah, then Mike Johnson will bring it up.
Right. Then you don't need the discharge petition.
Right, right, right.
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So voters are already punishing Republican politicians for all this chaos and not just
in federal races anymore. On Tuesday, Eileen Higgins won the runoff in the Miami mayor's
race, beating the Trump and DeSantis endorsed Republican by 18 points. She will be the first
Democratic mayor in Miami in three decades. And in the Georgia legislative elections, I know
you were all paying attention to that. Democrat Eric Gisler flipped a statehouse district that
Trump carried by 12 points. Now the D-Triple-C, which is the House Democrats campaign arm,
says it's adding five more Republican-held seats to its target list for 2026. And a bunch of Democrats
deciding it's a good year to run for office are launching primary campaigns right and left.
We talked last week a little bit about how Jasmine Crockett was expected to jump into the
Senate race in Texas. She is now officially in. Colin Allred has dropped out.
meaning that Crockett's main opponent will be James Talarico.
Republicans are acting like they were dying to have Crockett in the race all along.
The Senate Republicans campaign committee actually tried to take credit for making it happen by circulating a poll favorable to Crockett over the summer.
Crockett responded to this on CNN.
Let's take a listen.
I am the one that the Republicans fear.
They can say that they don't.
But my governor cannot stop tweeting about me.
And I know that that is out of fear.
Because honestly, if they really wanted me as the nominee,
They would be quiet and just wait and hope to crush me.
They know my ability to reach people that historically have not wanted to participate in politics or had just given up.
So Crockett entered the race with a video that was just her sort of looking away from the camera as just sound of Trump attacking her played and she didn't say anything.
And then at the end sort of turns direct to camera and smiles.
and that's how she entered the race.
So very, you get the idea.
She also did an event.
She gave a whole speech and stuff like that,
like a rally with supporters.
What do you make of Crockett's entry in the race
and sort of that message
and how she's playing it so far?
Well, she has to win a Democratic primary first.
That message probably plays very well
in a Democratic primary.
It's also a great way to raise money
and get attention to things
that I think she will be very, very good at in this race.
I think the question for Jasmine Crockin
and James Hilarico, frankly,
is,
your plan to actually win? Because this is a state that Trump won by 13 and a half points.
There is no math to win this state that does not involve doing what Jasmine Crockett pledges
to do, which is to turn out Democratic voters and to find pockets of Democratic voters who do not
participate in the political process and bring them into it, but also winning over some number of
Trump voters, people who voted for Trump last year, who have voted for Republicans most of the last
decade who are frustrated by what's happening, who are mad about high costs or mad about
the ballroom, whatever else, who want to give a Democrat a chance. And so what is your plan
to do both of those things? Because you're going to have to do both to win. There's no other
option. And simply saying you're going to expand the electorate is not enough in Texas.
And it's not. And it's not historically how Democrats have come close. I mean, Beto talked about
it all the time in 2018. But a part of Beto's very close result, which was I think two and a half
points, we lost Ted Cruz by two and a half points, was actually doing, making some inroads
with Republican voters. And, you know, he did expanding the electorate as well. You do both.
You have to do both. And you have to do, you have to, and to win in Texas, you have to do an
incredible historic job at both. Yes. And I don't, I agree that it is a way to get attention
that, like, Trump hates me. And so, therefore you should, I just, I think it is a,
even in a primary, I think it's a, it's an argument that is,
And I'm not saying that's the only one she's making, but I think it's a limited argument, particularly in a midterm where, you know, it's 2026, Trump's leaving office in 2028. And, you know, the Democrats in Texas who've come close over the last decade have talked a lot about. Just one. Texas. Beto? I was going to say, yeah. Well, even like, I'm sorry, the ones who've, like, won the House races, right? Like Colin Allred and Lizzie Fletcher and people like that, they talk about Texas, the issues in Texas.
what people care about. Like, you really got to, it's, it can't be about you. It's got to be about
people. We haven't won a seat in Texas since 1988. Lloyd Benson's re-election. We haven't won
statewide in a couple of decades now. And I know that some people think, oh, Democrats are always,
you know, they're always thinking Texas is going to turn blue and they're out, Texas is always
around the corner and it's always, it's fools gold for Democrats. And like, I get that, but also,
we don't have a choice at some point because it is one of the biggest states in the union. We've
talked before about how in 2032 in the next census, it'll likely gain more electoral votes.
Like, there is no math for Democrats to certainly have the Senate, but also the White House,
without at some point playing seriously in Texas and turning Texas.
In Florida.
In Florida, I know.
Yeah.
Like, Democrats have to play.
Like, I think it is a very good thing that we're going to have a vigorous primary in Texas,
whether that was going to end up being Tala Rico and Allred, Crockett, Tala Rico,
all red, or now Crockett and Tala Rican.
I think that's very important.
That is good for party building.
We have to really play to win there.
We have to play the win there in the short term because we kind of need Texas, right?
Like maybe you can pull it off with Iowa or Alaska, if you're lucky.
But like we need two of four very hard states.
And so you got to, you want as many lines in the waters as you possibly can.
Now, over the long term, we cannot seed Texas and Florida forever.
We absolutely have to bring them, make them at least competitive.
Because if Republicans start with all of the.
upper Midwest, all the deep south plus Texas and Florida, they're always going to be three
states or so from winning the presidency every single time. And so we have to be able to compete
there. And that's going to mean investing money and time and energy, race after race after race,
even when we lose. And I do think, you know, I think Crockett and Tala Rico both have sort of
similar positions on the issues. I think like ideologically, and I could be wrong about this
and the whole, the race will play out, but they don't seem too far apart.
I do think that in a state like Texas, too, it is the style and approach to campaigning and to governing that is going to matter here.
And, you know, Tilarico was here.
I talked to him for offline and for Potsave America.
And he has, whether it works or not, remains to be seen.
He does have a theory of the case of like how he wants to reach out to people who may not vote Democrat.
And part of it is, you know, he's a man of faith.
He speaks about it openly.
And he's going to all these different places that are, the Democrats haven't won.
And I'm interested to see and hear from Jasmine Crockett what her plan to do that is.
She did say, you know, at one point she was like, I don't need Trump voters.
And then later she was like, well, you know, there's always, there was Trump Mamdani voters, you know, in New York.
And point taken, you know, the New York Trump Mamdani voters are a little different than Texas, I think.
But also, let's not forget, Momdani, like, he started his campaign by doing these on the street videos with Trump voters where he asked.
them why they voted for Donald Trump and did not scold them, was not patronizing to them,
and just had a conversation with them. And even though that he didn't change his positions
and he was still pretty firmly, ideologically left, he tried to approach that. And so I'm
interested to see if she does stuff like that. Yeah, that is good to be interesting. Because
like moderation is not always ideological. It's also temperament. Yeah. And Jasmine Crockett
and James Taylor were both like right in line with the media and democratic member of Congress.
For sure.
It's an official.
Like, she is, like, she is often grouped with AOC and Rashida Taleb and Ilhan Omar and members of the, or Bernie or wherever it was members of the squad because she is so.
Her style.
But her positions are, she is, you know, is not a, she's not a dyed in the wool progressive, like some of those other folks.
So it is really going to be their approach to this and their style.
Like, it truly is a fascinating test case.
And I didn't realize until I were meeting the other day that, um, it's so soon.
It's like the first big prime.
Early voting starts sometime in February.
Yeah, it's in March.
It's a March primary.
So that'll be one of the first big ones of the year.
We also have an update on Trump's redistricting push in Indiana,
which has involved the president, his administration,
and Republican congressional leaders pressuring,
and in Trump's case,
threatening Indiana Republicans with primaries and a loss of federal funding
if they don't gerrymander their maps to squeeze out a few more Republican
seats in time for the midterms.
Well, Trump has failed.
Right before we recorded,
the Republican-controlled state.
Senate killed the measure 31 to 19 with more Republicans voting against redistricting than
for it. Were you surprised? A little bit. I think the natural assumption over the last year is
that everyone bows, all these people bow to Trump, and particularly Republicans, right? They
can talk, whether it's the Freedom Caucus, it's the moderates. They can talk a good game,
but when push comes to shove, they do what Trump wants. And here you have a bunch of local
state senators from Indiana, a deeply red state, just telling Trump no.
And it really should be a moment of great shame for the law firms, the universities, the corporations, the folks at Warner Brothers, Discovery or wherever else who were thinking about doing what Trump wants.
Because you can stand up to him. And if these folks can do it, you certainly can.
Yeah. I think it is, I mean, it's obviously a big deal for the map. But I think that for this White House and for Trump, like, they cannot handle any defection, any defeat.
particularly, you know, from Republicans, right?
And you're not supposed to be disloyal.
It's the worst thing.
And now that this is out there and this has happened, the cracks are showing.
And like this combined with Marjorie Taylor Green and the Epstein files and all.
And it's like, it's all of a piece here.
And it's starting to become a real problem for them.
There is an emperor has no close moment here where people like Trump has been punching
above his weight when it came to his actual political influence for a long time.
Because he was elected with an incredibly narrow margin.
he was started as the least popular newly elected president in history.
He dropped faster than any other president, but yet Republicans kept following him based
sort of on the fumes of his previous political strength.
And now people recognize that here he is a guy less popular than Joe Biden at the same time
with George W. Bush style numbers, who's getting weaker, who's never going to be on the ballot again,
and that they have to chart their own course.
And it's not necessarily going to be the course that he dictates.
And that's a real, that is a change in both America.
American politics, the Republican Party, and Trump, because what has kept him afloat all this time
through every scandal, every controversy, everything else has been party fidelity to Trump.
And when that falls apart, he really loses a lot of his juice.
Yes. Now, the one caution here is I do think he gets more dangerous.
Oh, yeah. This is not about, no, I know you. But we have to keep saying that because I think
that as he gets politically weaker, that's the good news, but I think he gets cornered and he gets
dangerous and he still has quite a bit of power.
He does. Where it limits him is in some of the more extreme, like, steal the election sort of
things. Yeah, that's true. That's true. All right, last thing before we get to my very
serious conversation with Congressman Adam Smith about Trump's illegal strikes in the Caribbean,
we've been talking a lot on the show about Nick Fuentes, the dedicated white nationalist,
anti-Semite, misogynist, who famously had dinner with Trump and more recently was invited on Tucker
Carlson's show for a softball interview, setting off an intramaga debate about how nice they should be
to white nationalists. Fentes appeared this week on Pierce Morgan Show on Monday night, and it
yielded this exchange. Just to clear up one of the many theories about you, I've no idea what the
answer is, and you haven't got to answer. But are you actually attracted to women?
I am attracted to women. You're not gay? No. But I will say that women are very difficult
to be around. Okay. So there's that. And do you think they should have the right to vote?
I do not
No, absolutely not
I should stay at home
Well, yeah
Absolutely
See basically you're just a misogynist
An old dinosaur aren't you? Have you ever had sex?
No, absolutely not
Wow, says the guy who's never got laid
It's like a turn there
There's so much about that
Have you ever had sex? And it wasn't like
No, it was no, absolutely not
with the Christmas decorations behind him
that was bizarre
it was very strange
what did you make of that
I don't know what to make of that John
I really don't
that's that's the right
I guess that's the hard right
that's where the that's where the energy is
that's right
that's where the new masculinity is right there
I mean obviously that is who the whole party's fighting over
for some reason they can't bring themselves
to just be like no that guy
not welcome into the fault
it's actually helpful to see this clip
Because most people, people who listen to this, people like us, don't ever consume Nick Fuentes.
We just hear about the fight within the party over, the Tucker Carlson area, which they probably didn't watch or see clips up or anything else.
Then you recognize that this is the guy lording over the Republican Party is this dweeb.
And I also think people hear, oh, he's racist, white nationalists, and they think, oh, is it like when we hear Donald Trump say shithole countries?
And it's like, no, no, no, it's not that.
It is like pure, uncut, doesn't care, just says it and believes it.
and is a virgin
and is a virgin
just a white nationalist
in cell
who has a massively popular
radio program
radio program
what did I say
I just
you said radio program
he has a
I just transported myself
back to the 50s
where women stayed home
like they should
how's his leaflet business going
YouTube
whatever I don't know
he's out there
millions of people following him
crazy
platform, you don't know what it is.
Speaking of toxic
manifest fair influencers,
you see the time story
about the Tate brothers,
how Andrew Tate and his brother
were freed from Romania
after getting close
to Don Jr. and Baron Trump.
He gives,
Andrew Tate holds Zooms with Barron
presumably to give him dating advice.
They held the Zoom.
The third Tate brother,
one of the Tate brother's friends,
not real Tate brother,
but he's known as the third.
He's like a Tate brother.
He gives Barron dating advice.
But the Times, it's quite a story, the Times got a hold of text messages that Andrew Tate sent.
And this is from the story.
In a January 14th text message, Mr. Tate indicated, so basically we should say, before I read it,
what happened was the Tate brothers who have been accused over the years of rape, assault,
sex trafficking, just horrific stuff.
And finally, they were charged in Romania.
And the Romanian government said that while the prosecutor,
was building the case there, they couldn't leave the country.
They desperately wanted to leave the country.
To avoid prosecution.
To avoid prosecution.
They wanted to come to the United States.
So in a, this is from the time story, in a January 14th text message, Mr. Tate indicated
that help was on the way.
And this is January 14th of 2025.
I had word from the Trump administration that they're on top of things, Mr. Tate wrote
to someone close to him in a message reviewed by the New York Times.
Quote, I've been told I'll be free soon, but Trump needs to see me in Miami.
he added. And then the whole story is about how they got close to the Trump's.
And so basically Trump, like, obviously there's like this political element to the Tates and
the manosphere and all of that. But it's also like he freed his son's idol.
I just, how many just disgusting bad human beings are we going to find out the Donald Trump
part? It's like a variety of everyone that you could imagine. It's like, do you not like sex
traffickers? Well, he freed one of those. What about the people who stormed the capital?
he freed them. What about just a
your standard issue fraudster
who just like, you know, defrauded
hundreds of thousands of people and senior citizens
freed them too? What about the murder we brought
back from Venezuela and the prisoner exchange?
Yeah, there's one. Oh, what about the
drug kingpin from Hunter?
There was the, the, or the Honduran president
that was in league with the drug kingpins that was
sitting in federal prison here. Pardon him
as well. You see the Silk Road guy,
another drug dealer. Pardon him as well. A bunch of crypto guys.
Did you see that Trump, the Trump
Department Justice dropped the investigation against
the FIFA corruption people?
Right after Trump got his fake FIFA Prize.
He doesn't want to, he doesn't, anyone connected to the FIFA Peace Prize.
We don't want to, we don't want to see them, you know, get in any trouble.
It's weird.
His numbers on crime aren't doing so great.
If you have money, if you have connections, you get pardoned.
You can do whatever crimes you want.
But if you are just a regular American citizen who looks brown and happens to be near an ice raid,
you could go away for days and no one would ever find out where you are.
That's the Trump administration.
Cool country.
Yeah, well, we should change it in 26.
All right.
When we get back from the break, you'll hear my conversation with Adam Smith.
But two things before we get to that, in case you missed it,
Pod Save America is coming to New Zealand and Australia.
What do you think, Dan?
Have you ever been to Australia before?
No, have you?
I have.
Okay.
I won't with Barack Obama in 2014.
I didn't go on that trip.
You were gone.
Really one of the all-time great trips.
I'll tell you the stories later.
The fuck.
Okay.
Well, we're calling this one the hopefully just visiting tour.
And we said that's a little too close to home.
She's a little worried about that.
I, as Halley had the same response.
Anyway, I think it's like hanging a lanternar.
It's like we're being this public about it.
So it would be, I guess it would just be ironic.
Look at those Yahoo's who flew too close to the sun in Australia.
They did say it might happen and there it's happening.
Anyway, we landed in Auckland on February 11th.
That is the 11th of February down there.
We had some issues with the dates the way that we did.
I'm sorry about that.
Then there's three cities in Australia after that.
Melbourne on the 13th of February, Brisbane on the 14th of February, and Sydney on the 16th of
February. Tickets are on sale right now for more details and to grab tickets. Head to kirkat.com
slash events. Also, if you haven't checked out runaway country with Alex Wagner yet, what are you
doing? It's great. This week, she's enjoyed by three incredible guests to dig into the chaos at
the Pentagon. She talks to Senator Lissa Slotkin. She talks to Ben Rhodes. He heard of him?
No.
Yeah. And she talks to Nancy Yusuf, one of the journalists.
who gave up her Pentagon press pass
rather than deal with Pete Heggsett's new rules.
And so she talks about what it's like reporting
outside of the Pentagon walls.
It's a fantastic episode.
I just listened to it this morning.
It's so good.
So tune in to Runaway Country Now on YouTube
or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Congressman Adam Smith, welcome back to Pod Save America.
Well, thanks for having me. A lot going on in the world.
There is a lot going on. I want to get into some of the bigger questions around the Trump administration's military actions in the southern hemisphere and his broader foreign policy.
But since you're one of the few members of Congress who's actually seen the video of the second U.S. strike that killed two survivors of the first boat strike, I wonder what you can tell us about what you saw.
without getting into anything classified, of course.
Yeah, and by the way, this video should be released.
There's nothing classified about this strike.
I mean, they've released videos on almost 20 strikes now,
and they should release this one.
I think the reason they're not is because it doesn't paint a picture that they want people to see.
Now, look, I mean, you've got two people clinging to a capsized boat.
It's the bow of the boat that's still above water.
How much of the boat remains underwater?
Can't tell because it's underwater.
It's possible the boat is actually split in half.
at this point. Early on in the video, they're like pulling at it. I mean, whether or not they're trying to get it to flip over or whether or not they're just trying to get a solid hold so they don't fall into the water. I don't know. But by the end of it, it's clear. There's no tipping this back over. So they're clinging to the side of a boat. They have, they're clearly unarmed. They do not have any communications devices on them. And then about 40 minutes after the first strike, the second strike hits, kills them, and sinks the remainder of the boat.
And at one point they were waving, maybe, or?
Yeah, near the end, they were waving, and there was a lot of speculation about what that might mean.
To me, it's pretty obvious.
We had an asset in the air over the top of them.
It kind of looks like they saw the asset and just like two people in a desert island,
when they see something fly over, what do you do?
Right.
That seems the most likely interpretation of that.
So the Republicans who've seen the video have seemed largely satisfied with the administration's
explanation, at least in their public comments. Does that track with what you've heard
privately? And do you think they genuinely believe the strike was legal and right? Or are they
worried about pissing off Trump? They're clearly worried about pissing off Trump. As for the second
part, they don't talk about that. Certainly don't talk about it with me. I have not heard that.
I will say that if you want to look at the video and say, and there is an explanation, which we can get into that I've gotten from Admiral Bradley on a couple of occasions now, you know, if you want to say you buy that explanation, that's fine. But Senator Cotton in particular has really been saying things that either his ability to perceive events is severely limited or he's not being honest. This notion that, you know, I saw two people trying to flip the vote and continue their mission. You know, they were trying to communicate and get it. Yeah, no, that.
that was absolutely not happening. And then he had this line during his meet the press interview. I forget the exact word he used. He said something like they didn't look like they had been impaired in any way. I'm like, well, their boat got blown up, set on fire. Nine of the 11 of them got killed. And they're now clinging to a capsized small piece of the boat, hundreds of miles from anywhere with no help. I don't know. I think you could interpret that as somewhat impaired. So just the lack of honesty. Now, I mean, I suppose they could come out and say,
look, this is what we saw, this is what it was, we still think it's legitimate. But for the most
part, they've avoided getting into specifics and just said, no, we're good. Because if you
ask them about specifics, that's very difficult to defend. And what was Admiral Bradley's
explanation that you found plausible, even though you disagree with it? Yeah, and this is where we get
into the policy and what is a real huge problem. Something I think is really important for we
Democrats, as we look to 26 and hopefully to 28 and getting back into power, how are we going to
govern? Obviously, you know, cost of living, health care domestic issues, but national security
matters. And I know on this podcast, you've got a lot of people who are really concerned about
U.S. national security policy. So you start out with the post-9-11 world, which basically was
we got surprised by Al-Qaeda in a big negative way. And I think there's a lot of people who
weren't alive for that. If you weren't alive for that, you have a different perspective on it.
That was a terrifying moment. I was at the U.S. Capitol when it happened. And so how did this
happen? How can we prevent it going forward? You basically decide, okay, there are armed,
organized groups that are trying to kill us. So let's figure out who they are. And let's get them
first, basically, was the philosophy. And I'm not going to say I was in no way opposed to that
philosophy at the time. Now, what happened, though, was, okay, so it's al-Qaeda, it's Osama bin Laden.
He's coming for us. He's hanging out in caves in Afghanistan. Let's go get it.
But then they've got affiliates. They've got AQAP in Yemen. They've got al-Shabaab in Somalia. They've got al-Qaeda in the land of the Islamic Maghreb, which is basically West Africa. And then you've got ISIS. And then you've got subgroups. And it metastasized into this mission where an incredibly large number of people could be categorized as an enemy combatant, just like a division of armed troops coming across you in the battlefield. And that expansion got us in.
trouble. And we didn't basically get the read on that soon enough. And it metastasized into the
mission in Iraq and endless mission in Afghanistan, trying to think that we'd always kill just
one more person than we'd absolutely be safe. And that was a mistake. All right. Now, let's not
underestimate that post-9-11, we did stop al-Qaeda and we did stop any more attacks in the U.S.
But it went too far. Now Trump is taking that and just expanding it even further with this designation
of 24 narco-terrorist groups. Because once you call somebody a terrorist, then you can do whatever
you want to them. But really, anyone trying to traffic drugs as a terrorist in the same sense as
Osama bin Laden who was trying to kill as many Americans as possible? I mean, drug dealers are
awful, horrible, terrible people. We have a massive drug problem in this country, how to deal with
it as a policy we need to get after. It seems to be as much of a demand problem as a supply
problem, which lays out a whole bunch of different approaches. But if you say that anyone trying
to traffic drugs, anyone affiliated with a group trying to traffic drugs, is now as legitimate
a target as Osama bin Laden when he was trying to kill as many Americans as possible, you've just
dramatically expanded the power. And also, let's make clear, there's no congressional authorization
for this. Say what you want about the global war on terror. It had congressional authorization.
The president's doing this completely on his own, and for the most part, without informing Congress,
which brings us to the next interesting part of this. Why? What's he trying to accomplish?
Is he really just hell-bent to stop the scourge of drugs in America? But while he's pardoning the former
convicted, former president, convicted drug dealer from Honduras, also pardoning Ross Albrecht,
the Silk Road crypto guy who was convicted of laundering billions of dollars in drug money,
it doesn't seem consistent. So what I think he's trying to do is,
is assert power, dominance, go outside the law, what he's trying to do with the tariffs,
what he's trying to do with ICE terrorizing all of our communities, sending troops into our cities
to engage in domestic law enforcement, all the programs that he canceled against the law.
He's trying to say, law doesn't apply to me.
And I'm going to assert dominance, certainly over the law in the country, but also over the Western Hemisphere.
Let's not forget the plans to invade Greenland and Panama and X Canada.
This is the complete detonation of any principled foreign policy by the United States of America.
And I think there's plenty of people are going to be listening to this podcast who are going to say, well, when did we ever have principles?
We did.
We haven't upheld them as well as we should have.
It's gotten complicated and difficult.
We need to do better.
But Trump is taking us to a place that we haven't been since the end of World War II, which is the U.S. doesn't have principles.
It just has interests.
We're going to use our power to grab as much of the world as we can.
and the law doesn't really matter.
To me, that's what this is about much more than any desire to stop drugs coming into
the United States of America.
So there's a lot there, and I want to get to a lot of it.
But just to start in the more narrow sense of these, you know, labels these organizations
narco-terrorists, has a bunch of individuals labeled as narco-terrorists.
Have you gotten any answers as to why these organizations?
administration can't just do what the Coast Guard has done for the last forever and just
interdict these boats, particularly since I guess we just seized a Venezuelan oil tanker,
an oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela? Like, why can't you just do that with the drug
boats? We haven't gotten much of an answer. I mean, to the extent I've heard an answer,
it's like, well, that just wasn't effective enough. You know, so, and, you know, it's easier to blow a boat up,
than it is to seize it. But that's what's particularly disturbing going back to the second strike.
These two guys are sitting on top of a, you know, a ship, a boat that is not operative, is drifting
with the current. Clearly, in that instance, interdiction seemed like a pretty simple option that wasn't
chosen. So, no, I haven't gotten a good answer. And again, I keep coming back to this thing,
and I don't want to sound too like a conspiracy theorist or Trump is the evil, you know, bent on the
destruction of the world. But I do think a lot of it has to do with trying to expand his power
so that it won't be questioned, you know, kill these people, then I'm free to go from there.
I think it really, I think that's a lot of it. He wants to be unbound by norms and laws and
constitutions and all of that to do what he wants. So to the explanation that you guys got from
Admiral Bradley, was that more about, well, if the boat strikes themselves are legal,
then it follows that the second strike was the right thing to do because the order was to blow up the boats.
Yeah.
There's a couple of problems with that.
But yes.
And interestingly, as I literally just talked to him like an hour ago, I'm so calm commander, so it was not directly related, but we did talk about it.
And it's like, so first of all, is it the drugs that are the legitimate target or is it the individuals that are the legitimate?
target. You know, much has been made of, oh, the Washington Post saying that Hakeseth gave an order
to kill everybody, and that was clearly not true. It actually was pretty accurate. There were
11 people on this boat, and the order was, kill all 11, destroy the drugs. Now, when you say
kill everybody, it conjures up images of, you know, just blow up the apartment building, who cares,
you know. In this case, the 11 people who had been designated were in a pretty confined area.
you weren't going to, there wasn't going to be collateral damage. But he gave the order,
kill them all. Kill them all and destroyed the drugs. And yes, this decision on the second strike
flows from that. And is it really lawful without congressional authorization to just, and these
are affiliates. I mean, how directly linked, they're not the drug lords. They're not, you know,
the famous third person in charge of Al Qaeda who we were targeting constantly. No, they're 11 guys who
were, you know, foot soldiers in the effort. But yes, they targeted the drugs and that definitely
flowed into decision to say, well, and this is one part that I have my serious questions about,
but they claimed that it was possible that the drugs were still there underneath that portion
of the boat that still remained. I find that not terribly plausible in something I want to
investigate further. But, you know, if, and it's not clear either. Well, what if the drugs weren't
there?
Are these two people legitimate targets?
They say no, because this is the two people who survived a month later in October and they were just floating in the water apart from the drugs.
But why?
I mean, why if they're legitimate targets, you know, as humans, regardless of the drugs?
And that's why we need a lot more investigation and explanation of what this policy is.
Well, speaking of those other two survivors from another strike in October, clearly the policy had changed, something changed because they didn't blow them on.
out of the water. They didn't kill them. But I'm sure you saw the New York Times story from this week
that said when they rescued those survivors, the Pentagon lawyers reached out to the State Department
lawyers and asked if they could send them to Seacot in El Salvador or basically anywhere but
the United States where if they entered the United States and entered the U.S. judicial
system, then the administration would have to prove in court, might have to prove in court, that
there was evidence for the legal justification for the strikes writ large? What did you,
what did you make of that story? Yeah, no, I think it really underscores the point. They don't
know exactly what they're doing or the legalities behind it. And as I asked in one briefing about a
month ago, you know, so basically you need less evidence to kill them than you do to capture
them. And what sense does that make? But also they would say, and they have said, that
the policy didn't change, that the difference is that these two were afloat in the ocean, clearly
away from the drugs, there were no more drugs involved, as opposed to these two who were on a boat
that conceivably could have had the drugs still underneath the damaged boat. Yeah, I mean,
it's like, it's fine. That's not funny because this is a really serious business, but I'm a big
sports fan. So as he was explaining this to me, it reminded me of listening to people in a replay
official trying to figure out if an NFL receiver had, quote, completed the catch, end quote.
Um, you know, and when you're getting down into that level, there is one thing that I think
should come up over the top of it. We're talking about killing people. So let's air on the side of
not. All right. And I understand, all right, you know, if you're out in the field, in Iraq, with
roadside bombs going off, with people showing up with suicide vests. And is he, is, does the guy have a
vest? Does he not have a, those are much tougher calls. And I mean, you know, but we're talking about.
two guys, clearly unarmed in the middle of the frickin' ocean, all right, clinging to the
remains of a boat. Make the decision, no. These guys are clearly not a threat to anybody.
Let's not kill them. So you've been demanding answers. You've been trying to slow this down.
I know the annual National Defense Authorization Act passed the House yesterday with a provision
that would cut Pete Higgseth's budget, travel budget, if he doesn't turn over the footage of
the second strike. Do you think that'll work? You think you'll get the footage? Probably not.
The good thing about that is we got something in there that says the United States Congress
doesn't approve of what you're not doing, okay, of the fact that you're not releasing this.
That, to me, is a significant victory in this Congress with these Republicans. Now, I mean,
fencing his travel budget means it'll make.
it a little bit inconvenient for him. I don't think you'll change. Sorry, I know this is serious
business, but jokes occur to me. I've been joking that we should, we should have fenced his hair
and makeup budget. That would have really got it. That would have hit home. That would have
seen those videos. No, I mean, but I think that the point is really, it really is important.
The Congress said, look, you are not complying with the law. And that's the other aspect,
okay? Not complying with the law in terms of when you have the authority to kill somebody,
but goes beyond that.
This Department of Defense, I mean, Hague said didn't even keep secret information secret
and signal gate.
Then he acts like it's fine.
Of course we release, you know, the targeting information and the timing of strikes before they happen.
Who doesn't?
You know, it's just there is a lack of accountability and a lossness about this group.
And the one thing that sticks in my crawl more than anything is this whole Department of War nonsense.
He is not the Secretary of War.
He is the Secretary of Defense because that's what the law says.
And you don't get to just decide to ignore the law. And yet he is. You know, I was out at the Reagan
Defense Forum. Oh, he's the Secretary of War. He's the Undersecretary of War. No, he's not. That's illegal.
You know, we want the leaders of the highest level of our government to at least care with the law.
I mean, you've worked in this area before you know. I mean, there's arguments about it. Well, what can the
executive branch really do? But here, it's not a matter of argument. They're like, we do what we want. Don't talk to me about the law.
And I think that should alarm every single American regardless of your partisan affiliation.
Do your options for dealing with this administration get better if Democrats retake Congress in the midterms?
Like what additional powers would you have to either try to get answers from them on what's happening in the Southern Hemisphere, whether it's the strikes, whether it's whatever they're doing in Venezuela or anything else?
It gets better 1,000 percent. There are so many things we can do, but it requires the majority.
They are, sorry, a majority of the House. I mean, we're seeing the Republican majority fracture as we're passing repeated discharge petitions, which overcome the will of the current majority. But we need a majority of members to say, yes, we want that to happen. And if we have the majority, we can do that. I would also have subpoena power to get after these. I would have considerable more authority to fence larger chunks of their funds.
You know, it's not a panacea. Don't get me wrong. It's not like they make me king for the day if I become chairman again. We still have the Senate to deal with. I mean, hopefully we can pick up the Senate. That's a more complicated thing, as you know. But yeah, if we got one body or the other, we would have a lot more power to demand accountability. We'd still be a long way from it. Like, you know, George Will wrote a column a couple days ago that I thought was pretty good, which was it's hard to constrain the military powers of the president. That's why you have to be.
really careful about who you give the job to. And so certainly Trump being back in the White House
is a huge problem. But yes, if we had the majority, we would have considerably more power
to hold him accountable. What's your latest thinking on what they're trying to do in Venezuela?
Obviously, you know, got stepped up a little bit with the seizure of the tanker. So they decided
to levy some sanctions on Maduro's three nephews I saw today. Are you getting any more answer?
on this on, on Venezuela? Are they getting briefed on it? Like, no, we're not getting clear answers on
this. And when we ask about it, and I, you know, I was briefed by Secretary Rubio and Secretary Hanks out
a couple weeks ago and all but a bunch of brief, oh, no, no, no, no, gosh, Venezuela's all about the drugs.
We're not folks. We don't like Maduro. So, but you can see from what the president has said,
and the actions he's taken that he wants to drive Maduro from power. And he mentioned,
he mentioned Petro in Columbia yesterday. Look, you know, part of the fresh, Trump said what he was going
to do. And he's been very clear about this. And it's this 19th century way of looking at the world where
he wants to control and dominate the Western Hemisphere. And I'm going to tie this into Ukraine in
just one second in a very troubling way. And he thinks this is our area of control. And he wants to
assert that control. And Maduro's not playing ball. And you can see, you know, I can't pronounce
the guy's name in Argentina. But, you know, he's a Trump guy. So here, $40 billion. We love you.
in Honduras, you know, he's got an election, so he wants to influence that election to go his way.
So he pardons, you know, the, it's all about, do you pledge allegiance to Trump?
And right now, Maduro and Petro are not.
So he wants to try to force them out in the same way that he'd like to grab Greenland,
that he wants to control the Panama Canal, that he wants to annex Canada.
He has this vision of the world that it's the 19th century all over again.
It's really important if you, I forget, I've read something that was sort of the history
of international law.
And prior to World War II, we had international law.
And it basically was big powerful countries
were free to grab whatever territory they could.
They had to talk to the other big powerful countries
before they did it.
And there had to be some kind of like little understanding here.
And after World War II, we said,
yeah, that's not working out very well.
World War after World War after World War,
the last one killed like 75 million people,
damn near exterminated the planet.
Let's try a different approach.
Let's try sovereignty.
Let's try some international rule of law, the rules-based system.
And I know it's not perfect, and I know we violated it from time to time.
But there was a general notion that that's what you're trying.
Trump wants to get rid of all of that.
And that's why he's more on Putin's side in Eastern Europe than he is on Ukraine's.
Putin wants to grab Eastern Europe.
That's fine.
I got my thing.
He's got his thing.
That's okay.
I mean, it's the only explanation for why he's undermining Zelensky at every turn.
And I mentioned I was at the Reagan defense forum, the whole peace through strength thing.
You know, if we are, in fact, on Ukraine's side in that war, which we should be, then what Trump is doing is he's showing surrender through weakness.
I mean, who the hell goes into a negotiation and says, yeah, we'll lose it.
We're getting our asses kicked over here.
Ukraine can barely hold on.
So if he's on Ukraine's side, he's an idiot, but I suspect that he's really not.
That, you know, he's war in the sovereignty, smovranty, we big powerful men get to do what we want.
It also explains sort of his interactions with President Xi in China as well and why they're not, they don't seem to be taking China as seriously as a national security potential threat or at least competitor.
And I'd probably be worried if I was Taiwan with Trump in power.
But I mean, these aren't just people should know.
These aren't just like your guesses on what they're up to.
like they released their national security strategy
Trump and Hegzath
through the Pentagon this week
and it's very explicit
by talking about a Trump corollary
to the to the Monroe Doctrine
in which he does see
they do see themselves
as sort of like we get to run
the Western Hemisphere
and you know
it tracks with all of Trump's
weird respect
for all of the other
powerful dictators who happen to be right-wing
dictators, right? If you're more left-wing authoritarian, then he wants to oust you. But if you're more
right-wing authoritarian, then he's your pal. How are you thinking about a democratic alternative to
this worldview that both gives people a different vision than Trump's, but also demonstrates to people
that our party has learned from our own past mistakes when it comes to dealing with the rest of the
world? The two big things for me is, well, two, maybe three. Let me get started here. I'll see how many I'm
up with. But number one, let's get rid of the idea of dominance altogether. I think this is where we
made a mistake. And at the end of the Cold War, the end of the Cold War, corresponding with the
first Gulf War was really unfortunate timing. You know, the Soviet Union collapsed, and then we
showed up and, you know, took care of Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait like that. And so we got
into this, into our head, the idea that, oh, we can fix all of the world's problems. And, you know,
there were some who had malevolent reasons for that. A lot of neocons just wanted to
dominate for the sake of putting more money in their pocket for the sake of having power. But
there were a lot of people on the left that said, you know, we can stop hunger, famine, civil
war. We can go into a place like Libya or Rwanda or Somalia and fix things. We need to bury that
idea. We can influence events. And the U.S. should play a role. But we need to get rid of the
no pure competitor. We must dominate. Because it's just not going to happen. I mean, we live in a
multipolar world. It's not post-World War II when the entire rest of the industrialized world had just been
blown off the face of the map. We have competition. How do we manage that competition? So get rid of
dominance number one. Number two, partners and allies. We're not going to do this loan. We're not going
to meet our national security interests on our own. And Trump, of course, is busily undermining that
as well. But also, I think, you know, understand that the U.S. should play a role in the world.
And this is where I disagree with some of my friends on the left who have a very harshly critical
assessment of what the U.S. has been doing over the course of the last 80 years. I think the record is
more mixed, but by and large, the U.S. being engaged in the world in the right way is a positive
thing. If we disengage, then brutal, aggressive autocrats like Putin, like what Iran has done
in the Middle East, they're going to prosper. So I think we need to be engaged from a place
of humility, cooperation, and working together. And then the final piece of this is when this
rules-based international order was set up, the world was an entirely different place than it is right now.
I think we need to recognize that.
You know, Brazil, India, even China.
These are countries that have a bigger play and a bigger stake.
I don't want a confrontation with China, by the way.
Now, I think Trump's doing this for all the wrong reasons,
but the idea that we should tone it down and try to find some way to get along with China.
I took one of the first congressional trip to China two months ago and had high-level meetings over there.
We had a long way to go.
But the world is a better place in the next 50 years.
If the U.S. and China can figure out some way to peacefully coexist,
than if we're constantly bumping into each other. And I think that's a pretty decent framework,
is we got work to do, but let's try to have a rules-based international order. Now, when it comes
to human rights, when it comes to liberal democracy, we want to promote that. And this is where
I think Hague Seth fundamentally understands what a realist is. A realist basically believes that
liberal democracy, pluralism, greater freedom and opportunity for all is a better way to live,
but understands that we're not in a position to force the entire world to do that.
And we occasionally have to work with people who aren't going to meet that ideal.
So we're going to be realistic about that.
What Hague Seth and Trump are doing, it's not realism.
It's nihilism.
It's power.
It's no principles.
Only, well, the phrase, I forget who used it, was, you know, the strong take what they can and the weak suffer what they must.
That's the way the world was.
That's not the way we want the world to be.
So I think we need to work off of that framework and there's all kinds of different little pieces of it.
And that's something I'm working on because we got a win in 26. We've got to win in 28.
There's a whole lot of issues, like I said. I want to have a plausible national security strategy for our coalition, which our coalition is pretty much at each other's throats right now.
I want to try to have that conversation, get that figured out. So we're in a stronger position in 26 and 28.
I mean, it is, it does seem like zero-sum, a view of the world that is zero-sum politics, both abroad and, you know, it matches what they're doing here and the policies they have here, right? Which is just this, you know, the strong survive, survival of the fittest and the weak can just, you know, deal with it. There was one more thing, but before I let you go in the national security strategy, clearly this, you know, Western hemisphere, we're going to run the Western Hemisphere. It's in our sphere of influence thing.
It, you know, it's power for power's sake.
They also mentioned quite a few times mass migration.
And I do think that some of what they're doing in the Caribbean and Venezuela, like, you know, they want to say it's about drugs.
But really, I mean, you know, Stephen Miller was talking about blowing up boats back in 2018, reportedly.
And so I do wonder if some of this is meant as like a deterrent.
Like, we are going to stop the rest of the world from even attempting to come to the United States.
and partly in the national security strategy they lay out there like the error of mass migration is over
which seems sort of ludicrous to me and that like you can't really stop people from trying to migrate places
particularly as we're you know we have conflicts all over the world and climate change is going to
start pushing people uh you know towards other countries as well and so i wonder how you think
about dealing with mass migration the reality of mass migration knowing that
you know, we just went through four years of Joe Biden where we had some real border challenges
that in some ways led to another Donald Trump term. And now we have this national security
strategy and a domestic policy that is focused primarily on keeping immigrants out.
Yeah, that's a really good point. I hadn't thought about it quite that starkly. Thanks for
mentioning that because that factors into the thinking as well. Several different pieces to that.
I mean, first of all, and this is something I left out in the national security strategy,
development matters. If you don't want people to migrate, help make sure that all the wealth and
opportunity isn't concentrated in just a few places. Let's stop somebody. He said, well, don't get rid of
USAID. Don't starve hungry children to death across the world, actually engage in trying to create a more
prosperous world for them so that they don't have to migrate to survive as number one. Number two,
I do think we as Democrats, we do have to have some control on our borders. And I think that hurt us. We can't
take everyone who's desperate. We need to have a rational asylum system, a rational immigration
system. And, you know, certainly part of that is a pathway to citizenship for the undocumented
population that we have invited into this country and dependent upon their labor for decades to now,
you know, cast them out into the world as cruel, wrong, and bad for the country. But we do have
to have a border security plan. But the other part of this that I think is really important
that just screams out in that national security strategy is it's really racist.
racist, okay? Tip of the hat to Trump, you know, sort of like pulling off the mask in Pennsylvania
yesterday. Yeah, we want people from Sweden and Norway, not from those shithole countries. You know,
he just be said the quiet part out loud as the cliche goes. And I think that racism is a huge
problem because what does it mean to be an American? Well, you're an American if you believe in
the basic liberal democracy values here. It doesn't matter what you look. I'm not what religion you
have. That was sort of our principle. And now what Trump and these people are trying to say,
Now, American, you better be a straight white guy.
Well, we need some women, too, but certain designated roles in that regard.
You know, I don't think that's a message that's going to be unifying in the world if we pit, you know, races and religions against each other in a death struggle to the end.
I think, you know, migration shouldn't be based on religion and race and all of that.
You know, we do have to control it, like I said, but understanding this white Christian nationalist thing,
that's another connection between Trump and Putin, we've got to nip that in the bud,
because that fundamentally undercuts both our principles and our values, and it leads to a lot
more conflict. You know, if you tell the rest of the world, if you don't have the right religion,
you don't look the right way, then you're not going to be allowed to live. Well, they're going
to fight. So we better have a more inclusive world going forward.
Congressman, thank you, as always, for joining Pod Save America. Appreciate you coming on.
Yeah, I love what you guys do. I appreciate to give me the chance.
got a lot of work to do.
Got a win next year
and got to win in 28.
For sure, for sure.
Well, good luck out there.
Take care.
Thank you.
That's our show for today.
Thanks to Adam Smith for coming on.
Love will be back in the feed on Sunday
with a conversation with J.B. Pritzker
about the ice madness in Chicago redistricting
and the best and worst Star Wars movies.
I'm excited for this.
That was very important to him to love it.
Yes.
When he found out that J.B. Pritzker is a Star Wars guy.
I've never seen him more aggressively pursued
interview than after that. Yeah, well, it's also, like, because J.B. Pritzker likes gambling and
goes to Vegas and his big steakhouse guy. But, like, he's hitting all the stuff for Lovett.
Love it's very excited about this. When he was on the podcast in Chicago during the convention,
he told Tommy and I that he and his buddies do a Steakhouse crawl. Yeah, that's, I don't know whether he's going to be,
I don't know whether he's going to be the best president of the best presidential candidate. He might be
the best hang. Yeah, well, we'll see. So, we'll love it'll tell us.
Tune in Sunday for that. And, uh, and then we'll have a new.
Pod Save America episode for you again on Tuesday.
Bye everyone.
Bye everyone.
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