Proven Podcast - Predictable Revenue, Endless Income - Collin Stewart
Episode Date: January 15, 2025Collin Stewart joins this episode to share his journey from humble beginnings as a "geeky sales guy" to becoming a sought-after expert in achieving product-market fit. With a career spanning multiple ...startups and countless lessons learned, Collin's insights are a must-hear for anyone building a business from the ground up. Through candid stories and hard-won wisdom, Collin reveals the mistakes many entrepreneurs make when trying to scale too soon, as well as the key strategies for finding product-market fit. He explains why understanding your customers' pain points is non-negotiable and how early-stage founders can use customer development to turn insights into revenue. Collin doesn't just talk theory—he provides a clear, actionable framework to help entrepreneurs identify real market opportunities, validate their products, and scale sustainably. His emphasis on listening to the market and aligning growth with timing offers a refreshing perspective for founders navigating the challenges of early-stage business. Whether you're an entrepreneur searching for direction or a founder ready to scale smartly, this episode is packed with value. Collin's practical advice, combined with his no-nonsense delivery, will leave you inspired to rethink your approach to product-market fit. Key Takeaways: * Why product-market fit isn't binary and how to measure it effectively. * The dangers of premature scaling and how to avoid them. * A step-by-step guide to using customer development as a foundation for growth. * Real-life lessons on creating products the market can't live without. Head over to https://provenpodcast.com/ to download your exclusive companion guide, designed to guide you step-by-step in implementing the strategies revealed in this episode. KEY POINTS: 2:01 - Common Mistakes: Collin highlights frequent entrepreneurial pitfalls, including ignoring market signals, rushing to scale, and failing to truly understand customer needs. 9:32 - Premature Scaling Risks: The dangers of scaling too early are laid bare as Collin explains why investing in sales teams or development too soon can drain resources without delivering results. 12:11 - Understanding Product-Market Fit: Collin breaks down product-market fit as a spectrum, where success depends on identifying market needs and crafting a solution that directly addresses them. 14:19 - Market Need Importance: Collin emphasizes that strong market demand—not personal passion—is the foundation for sustainable business success. 19:00 - Customer Development Process: A step-by-step framework for engaging with customers, uncovering their pain points, and refining your product to meet market demands. 35:00 - Outbound Sales Timing: Collin discusses the importance of timing outbound efforts to align with market readiness and long-term sales goals. 37:26 - Long-Term Thinking: Founders are urged to adopt a mindset of patience, focusing on sustainable growth and avoiding the trap of short-term gratification.
Transcript
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Welcome to the proven podcast where it does not matter what you think, only what you can prove.
Everyone treats customer development like research that comes before revenue.
Colin Stewart has cracked the code on turning customer development conversations into paying customers.
The show starts now.
All right, everybody, welcome back.
We're going to talk about something here on this podcast called Product Market Fit amongst about 15 other things.
But before we get into that, Colin, welcome to the show.
Thanks for having me on, Charles.
So for the audience that doesn't know you and they haven't figured out kind of who you are and what you do,
let's catch everybody up.
What is it that you do better than anyone else?
That's a good question.
I probably say that point where you are trying to find a product opportunity
and then getting it to your first couple of customers.
I've done that a number of times.
I've helped a number of companies do that.
I've spent 12 years building, running an agency,
helping, well, six years doing an agency,
six years doing it for myself.
We could basically use the agency to bootstrap a couple of SaaS companies into existence and made some huge mistakes and learned a lot along the way.
But I'd say finding those first, finding that first market opportunity and then figuring out how to transfer, transition that into your first customers.
You mentioned that there's a bunch of mistakes along the way, which I think all of us do.
So before we get into the strategies on how to do it right, let's talk about some of the ways that people just do it wrong or some of the mistakes you've made along the way.
Well, initially, like I came from sales.
And when I walked into the accelerator incubator, co-working space where I started, it's called Launch Academy.
I think it was the only person that came from sales.
Like everybody else was product and engineering.
And I was the obnoxious guy who was always on the phone talking to people.
And I remember engineers being like, why is this guy?
Can I swear?
Yeah, absolutely.
No.
Okay.
What the fuck?
Why is this guy always talking to somebody?
Like, doesn't he actually do any work?
And that was kind of the thing.
the perception and I came to it because I had come from sales and I was trying to figure out
how to do customer development. But I had spent 10 years, 12 years in sales as the geeky sales guy.
And so when you're the geeky sales guy and you're the youngest on the team, you naturally
get pulled into every CRM project. And I got into sales because I had, I was in marketing and
I found a way to write a copy and paste a macro from stock overflow and basically automate my job.
And then I was sitting there. And I couldn't, I was playing solitaire and I was.
almost got fired because I was playing solitaire because it was the only thing on my computer that
would run and I couldn't do anything else. And so after almost getting fired, the sales guy across
the hall is like, hey, I got some coal calling. Here's a list. Come join me. And so he sat me down and kind of gave
me the spiel and I started cold calling. And so that's kind of, that was my entry point into sales.
And as you were going through that and you kind of entered into sales from playing solitaire.
And I love that you started as the geeky sales guy because I started as the geeky IT guy that
ended up being able to bridge the gap between the business owners and tech, because tech couldn't
talk human and human couldn't talk tech. And I was like, I got to find a way you get these guys to
talk to each other. So it's a similar path. But in this situation, you talked about a bunch of the
failures that people do when they're trying to, you know, get it and do that initial launch.
What are some of the failures that are classic mistakes people do?
Well, I think because I had spent so long in sales and I'd been involved at so many CRM projects,
I'm not, I think, I know. I considered myself an expert. I'm an expert in CRM. I've set up a bunch.
I'd been using Salesforce since 2005, like early, early, early Salesforce.
So I had a very large opinion of myself.
And so when I came, when I read, you know, all the books on customer development and
get out of the building and interviewing people, I think I took the term customer validation
a little bit too literally.
I had sketched out my idea and I went and did.
I put the effort in and I interviewed 50 people and went, look at my idea.
Isn't it great?
Not quite in those words, but that was the effect.
And I see this in a lot of other entrepreneurs where I wasn't open-minded enough to hear people actually saying, we don't want another CRM.
Like, your idea is interesting.
You have a valid insight, but we don't want that insight packaged as a CRM.
We want it as part of Salesforce or working along Salesforce.
And I couldn't, it was like a belief that I had.
You know, like some people have these beliefs that they just are not willing to change.
And this was one of them.
It was like, no, no, no, I'm going to, I believe that I'm smarter than everybody.
I'm this deep jobs of CRM.
And I am going to break this thing wide open.
I'm going to take on Salesforce.
And obviously it didn't work.
I eventually, I had a mentor sit me down.
And I'm Canadian.
And he said about the meanest thing you could say as another Canadian, which is, I can't
wait until you're working on something where you have a chance of being successful.
That's pretty rough from another Canadian because you guys are some of the
nicest people on the planet. So that's pretty rough coming from another Canadian. And so was
Roger. He was another entrepreneur. He was founder of the co-working space and I had another
couple projects on the go. And he's somebody who I'd gone to who I respected and he respected
me. And he's like, it was just, he was frustrated because I wasn't like getting it. And I think
that was the moment I kind of cracked me up and said, ah, I got to stop and like reconsider a whole
bunch of things. And the first piece was opening my mind to actually listening to customers.
I was kind of doing customer development right, but I compared to how I run it now, it was totally
wrong. And I was coming into it with ill intent, not ill intentions, but just totally close-minded
about the process. I was coming into it, knowing, feeling like I knew everything I already needed
to do, needed to know. And I was just there to check the box of like, hey, I've talked to 50 people.
So those are some of the stakes that you made. You know, your firm,
and what do you guys do and how you guys are connected?
Who are the people you serve?
And before they get to you, what are some of the mistakes that they normally come in with as well?
So we typically serve entrepreneurs, founders that are trying to build their first go-to-market channel.
They've got initial product market fit and they're trying to figure out how do we get out of founder-led selling
and then kind of scale up the team.
And, you know, maybe they've got in the earliest cases, they've got a couple of customers in the later cases.
they've been selling and they've got up to a million in ARR.
And typically what they come to us for is outsourcing.
They say, hey, I want to, I've got this thing.
I want to get this sales thing off my plate.
I want to get this lead gen thing off my plate.
So I want you to outsource for me.
And I think why we get so many people sending us referrals is they know I'll tell
people I think it's a bad idea, if I think it's a bad idea.
And when we work with more established companies, there's a really narrow niche of where
outsourcing is a really great fit.
You know, it's specifically, if you don't want to build a huge team,
there's no political capital to hire new folks.
Hiring is really costly from a, not just from a monetary perspective,
but bureaucracy and budgets and all that.
Everybody's got cap-ex, op-ex, and all the different budget things.
For companies that are not looking for extreme growth
or aren't going to be, are going to be roughly the same size next year,
plus a little bit, outsourcing a great fit.
for an entrepreneur, for a founder who's building their first team,
outsourcing is a terrible fit most of the time.
Because one, nobody can build anything better than the founder.
I don't care if you and I sit down,
you know, if I sit down in your company and try and build a team
and you try and build a team, even if I built that team 100 times before,
you know your company, you know your customer, you know your market,
10 times better than I will.
I'll eventually get there and all the advantage of knowing the tactics and things.
But if we had to side by side, like, you're going to do a better job.
Now, you alongside me working together, we'd probably do an even better job than
either of us on our own.
And I think that's where, that's kind of the conversation we tend to have with entrepreneurs
is trying to talk them out a premature scale, you know, having two customers and, you know,
10K and monthly recurring revenue and then trying to invest, you know, $100,000 in, or $500,000
or $500,000 or million in billing out a sale development team.
I'm like, let's back it off a bit because you're not, it takes a long time to realize and achieve the value from that.
And so I, one of the things I end up talking most frequently with founders is, pardon me, quantifying product market fit and then trying to find a way to time your go-to-market investments so that it kind of, it aligns with your fundraising strategy of, you know, if you got 18, if you got, you know, I've had this conversation a bunch in the last 60 days.
It's January 9th as we're recording this.
And in the last 60 days, people have been coming in planning for 2025.
So many people have come to me and said, I think I had five people in one week.
I said, I want a sales development team.
I'm like, okay, cool, let's talk about it.
Like, what are you trying to achieve?
I need to raise in next summer.
And I was like, okay, and what do you want to achieve with that?
Like, well, I want to have an SDR team and I want to have pipeline coming from it and X and Y and Z.
I'm like, okay, well, let's look at the actual math.
And like, if we started today, say January 9th, and, like, well, I want to have to be able to
six months, you're not going to have any close-wined deals, right? You're going to have spent a
bunch of money. You're not going to have got a lot of value. Now, some people will. But when I'm
talking to somebody about timing and when they're trying to, and when I'm trying to help them plan,
I'd like to assume the absolute worst. And then if something better happens, great. And so in
four of the five cases, the entrepreneurs needed to hit a raise and they had a cash crunch coming
if they didn't hit a couple of sales, you know, in the next six months. And investing, you know,
an additional upping their burn, $20, $30,000 a month to hire a bunch of salespeople
that weren't going to produce value for 12 to 18 months.
And not that they're not producing value at all, but they're not going to produce value
at the right time, right?
It just wasn't aligned with the timing of what the founders are looking for.
And so that's a lot of the conversations I have is trying to help them figure out,
okay, well, if we can't do that and I don't want to get stuck here forever, what does it
I do?
And so how do I go from, I've got my first few,
to how do I build that into 10, 20, 30 without investing in a huge sales development team?
I love that you come in and you have a real honest conversation with people because so many
times that they come to me and they're like, hey, I want to scale and I'm like, oh, that's adorable.
What do your systems look like?
They're like, well, I don't let that mean.
I'm like, all right, if I took you and I duct tape you a chair and I put you on a boat in the middle
of Greece for the next six months, what does your company look like?
Can it still survive?
Can it still work if it doesn't interact with you in any way, shape, or form?
And most people are like, no.
I'm like, then you're not ready to scale yet, princess.
You've got to put some systems involved.
So before you do sales, you brought this up a couple times.
And probably what I'm one of the most excited to talk about with you is product market fit.
It's something that people just don't talk about.
They'll talk about, you know, when you're doing your raising rounds and you're bringing in funding and you're doing all of these different things.
But very few times do people, unless you've already lost your first meal or two, are you sitting down and talking about product market fit?
For the audience who has no clue what this is, walk me through on if I'm an elementary school kid, what's product market fit?
product market fit, the way I see it is kind of the strength of, I'd say, the size of the opportunity that you found.
If you and I were going to start a printer company, a copier company, there's probably not a huge market for it.
I mean, there is a massive market for it, but it's saturated.
There's Xerox and Canon and probably some other ones, right?
But there isn't a giant market need.
But if we started something that was, if you found something,
where there is a huge amount of unmet needs,
where there's all these customers that are really frustrated
with the way that the current solution works,
and it's costing them money.
It's costing them time.
It's causing them pain, right?
To me, that is the beginning of product market fit.
That is the market side, right?
It's the huge amount of unmet needs.
The product side of product market fit is how well your product meets those needs.
And I think together they kind of create this,
multiplier effect on your revenue efforts.
So say you and I
we're going to go and start that copier business.
We're going to do some cold outbound,
do some cold calling, some knocking on doors.
It's going to be, let's call it one out of ten effective.
It'll work, but it won't be as effective
as if we were doing something else.
Now, let's say we start this other business
and say, I don't know, we found a big market opportunity.
There's lots of pain.
That pain is costing them money.
We're going to do the same.
We're going to put the same amount of effort.
into cold calling, cold email, and knocking on doors,
chances are we're going to get 8 out of 10 or 10 out of the result.
And that's not because you and I magically better,
it's because there's a greater market need.
So to me, product market fit is not something that's binary.
It's something that kind of exists on a bit of a spectrum from weak,
which is like selling copiers into a world where copiers and everything exists already,
to selling something new and helping people with new pains and challenges that are unsolved.
And when you do that, people tend to not just be more receptive, but they tend to tell their friends.
And the transition from like when I was selling Voltage CRM, I got a decent salesperson.
I'm a better salesperson now than I was back 12 years ago, 13 years ago.
But even back that, I was decent.
I had one customer with Voltage.
That was my first company, the CRM company.
When we pivoted to Carr, we were just doing the like Wizard of Oz style beta where I'm like, nothing's going to work.
Everything's going to be manual.
It's me behind a curtain running spreadsheets and mail merges.
I interviewed 50 people for voltage, and I ended up with one customer.
I interviewed five people with CARB.
I interviewed more people than just five.
But the first five people I interviewed with CARB turned into seven paying customers.
I was confident I could only handle five, and two of them bullied me into taking one of their friends.
Because they needed it, they're like, no, no, no, no, James needs this so bad.
I talked to Mac and he was just telling me about this.
You've got to help him.
And like, to me, that's the definition of market poll is I was telling people I couldn't do more.
And they're like, no, no, no, no, you're going to do it anyway.
And what I love about that is you didn't put your idea and your dream and your passion before the market.
You went to the market first say, hey, what does the market need?
And I'm going to have this conversation with the market.
I think that's one of the mistakes that most, if not all entrepreneurs make is that like, hey, I've got these
amazing cookies from my grandma. And they're the best recipe ever. And I love this. And I've
such a great idea about selling these cookies. And your entire audience is a bunch of diabetics.
They're not buying your cookies. Sorry, it's not going to happen. So identifying a pain in the
market and then seeing how you come to it is more important than the opposite. You know, one of my people
that I work with, he talks about all the time. I was like, what's your next business? He's like,
I don't know. Let's see what Google Trends is doing today. And I'm like, are you serious? He's
like, yeah, I'm going to see what everyone's searching. And I was like, no, no, no. Because that made more
sense to be because then the market's pulling it. So when you run into that situation,
and if you've got an entrepreneur who you and I do have more frank conversations with
entrepreneurs than most people will, where they have something that clearly isn't a product
market bit and they want to hire you and they want to scale, how do you handle that,
for lack of a better term, come to Jesus moment. We're like, listen, nobody wants your grandma's
cookies other than you. This is what I recommend. Or do you just say, hey, I'm not, I'm not
your guy. I'm not going to help you out.
I mean, the only time I'll say, hey, I'm not your guy.
I can't help you out is that people are so close-minded about the conversation
that they're not willing to open up and have a genuine conversation.
Because people are hiring us for consulting and coaching work.
And it's just, I don't want to waste people's money.
So if we're just going to argue about, you know, you have product market fit.
You don't have product market fit the whole time.
Like, it's not, I'm not interested in taking your money just like just for the headache.
If somebody is open to it, like we just took, took on.
one client where I've been telling for two months, then I'm like, hey, your product market fit is not
strong. He wanted to hire me to outsource. And I was like, dude, I could take six months of your money,
but it's not going to produce anything for you. I'm like, you're welcome to do that. But as the founder
of this company, I'm telling you it's a bad idea. I was like, so what do you want to do? And I was
like, I was very open and very candid about what I thought of Bucci even, the timing. And then when it
came down to it, you know, we dug into, what are your numbers? You know, what is the, how many
referrals are you getting out of your customers, right? How many, when was the last time you
talked to your customers? How many, how many customers that started using it are still using it,
are upgrading, are adding licenses. And I've got a bunch of questions where I can ask it,
kind of triangulate and help them see that like, hey, this is, this is maybe not exactly
the one and only thing that they need to do.
Because chances are, the company started with a strong insight.
I'm not one of those that can just look at a Google Trend page and me like,
okay, I'm going to start a company in here.
I have to care about the customer, about the industry, about the change that I want to make.
Otherwise, I'm just not very good at it.
And so I find that I empathize with folks that get so caught up in their idea that they're
like, no, this is the only way.
but when we
when you're going
like what I was doing at voltage
and I was like hey this is
this is my insight
which was CRM wasn't a sales
productivity tool
and so the
what I wanted to do about that
was build another CRM
what I need to what I do with the founders
I work with is help them back up
to like what is that core insight
right your application of that insight
may not be 100% perfect
but the insight is probably very good
so let's talk about the insight
and let's talk about all the different things
you could do with that insight.
And when I can get people to back up and kind of open up, right, then they start to realize
that I trust them, that I understand that there's a real insight there.
Because telling them, hey, you don't have product market fit is a conversation killer.
Because there's all these, like, there's these beliefs wrapped up.
And like, I'm only an entrepreneur because I've got this product market fit.
And I have all these, like, my ego and my self-worth and all these things are built on top
of, like, whether or not I have product market fit or not.
And so the introducing product market fit as a spectrum and the idea of like, hey, let's strengthen it.
You've got something.
It's got to be better.
And then we use the process of customer development to go and find how do we make this better and then eventually turn those conversations into customers.
Because that's one of the biggest mistakes.
The second biggest mistake that folks make is not selling to the people they do their customer development interviews with.
How would you go through that process of selling the people that do that?
I mean, when you talk about, hey, they don't do that.
That's a huge mistake.
How do you get your clients to pivot and actually start doing that?
Slowly.
The way it's worked for me in the past is because I came to that,
I learned customer development as a salesperson.
And when I was learning it, I couldn't help but notice that this is basically like
the first half of a really good sales call, right?
A great sales call, you're just talking about pain.
You're talking about the shape and size of the organization,
their goals, their dreams, ambitions,
etc. talking about what hurts. The difference between customer development and sales, I mean,
the difference is basically with sales, you've got something that can solve the problem. With
customer development, you don't quite have that yet. And so I'm just trying to bring slowly the
sales process back into that. And the way I do it is gradually and coach people on is to do it
gradually. Because if you come after that first call and you say, hey, cool, I've got this thing I'm
building. I want you to give me $9.99 a month. You know, what do you say? You're going to alienate
people. They're going to feel like, oh, this is a bait and switch. You're not actually here to learn. You're here to try and sell me something. So I basically parcel it out into four steps where you start with exploratory customer development. That's where you're coming in with zero opinions about the market and you're just trying to learn and explore and find a gap. Then once you've found a gap and it seems to be shared by you've got kind of a persona that you commonly, if you talk to that it's going to be their top, you know, two or three pains. Then that's when I start to move to focus interviews.
And when I do move to Focus interviews, I go from super wide customer development or super wide and kind of audience to like a very narrow audience.
So if I was doing something for, you know, product managers, you know, I might start with like the entire product and engineering organization.
And then as I narrowed it down, like, okay, you know what, I'm going to focus on product managers that are just doing a, that own a product that has a PLG sales motion.
Right.
Like that's a very, very specific.
So I go to Focused and the goal of Focus customer development interviews.
is to basically confirm that if I talk to 10 of these folks, 80% of them are going to share this pain.
And then once I've kind of hit that barrier or once I've hit that milestone, the next step is basically a paper prototype to say, okay, this is because that's the kind of market side of things.
That's the finding a gap.
Then the next piece of product market fit is finding if you can solve that gap.
So the next step is a paper feedback.
And so I say paper because I'm a horrible drawer.
And I find you can spend hours in tools like balsamic and figba, et cetera,
but if you just sketch it out on paper,
you can give people a rough idea that said, like,
if I built this, would this solve that problem specifically?
Right.
And then if enough people say yes,
then I'll go to my co-founder, CTO and say,
hey, I think we should build something like this.
And then I'll come back to those folks and say,
hey, remember that paper prototype?
Look, it's like janky code now.
is this is this going to solve like the problems we talked about right yeah and they're like close enough
and then cool like great at this point what i've been doing is everybody i've talked to i started an
exploratory i've invited them to the next stage of focused right at the end of every call i always
book the next one right and so i've gone from hey is there a problem here to yep there's a problem here
hey let's talk about specifically what are the what are the different ways you experience this problem
How does that impact you?
How does it impact your job?
How does it impact your boss?
Your company's financials.
Then, hey, if I built this thing, would it solve that problem?
Yes, great.
Hey, look, I built this thing.
Does it solve that problem?
Yes, great.
Cool.
At this point, I want to let's have a, can we book a conversation to talk about what this
would look like if we implemented it in your organization?
And that's the lead in into now you're in a sales call.
And so there's no selling in the first four interviews, but it's all building towards
this last interview.
you invite them into a formal sales process.
I mean, you don't have to use my exact language,
but that's the process that I followed,
and every company I've started,
every founder I've worked with,
gets their first 10 to 20 customers
out of their customer development process.
And it sounds very similar to the brand awareness process,
where the person goes from a completely brand unaware
all the way to, you know,
where's the coupon?
I want to buy your stuff type of thing.
So it's a very similar process.
When people come to you and they've already pushed through
through a lot of it's going to be brute force.
When, you know, if you're making your first, if you're just under your seven figures,
you've just made your first seven figures, I've always learned that, you know, people can do
that through brute force.
They can just through sheer determination, just put the hours in.
If you put your shoulder in hard enough, you probably could get there.
When those people have come to you and they are a good fit for what that you want to do,
and there are a good fit for your agency and what you do, what are some of the questions
when you go through that process and you learn about them and you say, okay, we got
your pain.
This is what your audience is doing.
got it. You're kind of where we can help you scale and really take off to that next growth.
What are the questions and some of the things that you sit down with them and say, hey, this is great.
You've got this awareness. You've met with your customers enough.
When someone does want to bring you one, what are some of the things that you normally ask them?
So, okay, great, you're a match for us. Mazzle. Now what we do.
Yeah, I mean, it's usually about what their future plans look like and see if we actually fit into those plans.
you know, if somebody's at just made it to a million bucks and they are like profitable by a dollar
or if they're two customers a month and they're bootstrapped and they're just paying themselves,
like there's not a lot. There's a ton that we could do to help, but there's not a lot that
would make sense. You know, if you're at 10K MRR, you don't want to invest five of that
in consultants to help you get to 20 unless you got a big bank account. Right. And so the
fundraising strategy, like the finance strategy of like, do you want to be,
be this time next year, do you want to be here plus 10%, here times 10, here times 5? And that kind of
helps calibrate because the speed at which you grow, or the speed at which you need to grow,
is going to be vastly determined by your financing strategy. And your revenue strategy should
follow your finance strategy. And I think that's what got a lot of people tripped up in 21, 22,
you know, pre-22 money venture. I wouldn't say it was free, but it was readily accessible.
Yeah.
Yeah, everybody had a sales development team.
And I think in 22, 21, 22, sales development had a really bad rap because, oh, it's not profitable.
But with the reality of the situation was there was all these companies that were using it to hit top line growth numbers, but not profitability numbers.
So they were investing, like if you look at the Key Bank does a survey, Pacific Crest started the survey in 2015 or 2016.
when they started, the average SaaS company,
so let me ask you,
in 2016, how much do you think a SaaS company was paying
to acquire $1 of annual recurring revenue?
Wouldn't even have the slightest idea.
Wouldn't even have the slightest.
They're 92 cents.
Okay.
So you were paying, investing in sales and marketing only,
92 cents to acquire a dollar.
By the end of 2021, it was like a box 70.
I can send you the links.
It was a buck 65,
buck 70,
something like that.
So,
and this is just your sales
and marketing costs.
This is an accounting
for engineers and servers
and all the other overhead costs
that go into it.
So when you think about that,
if you're a SaaS company
and you're selling contracts
that are one year only,
you're still in the hole.
You have to hit a three,
you have to hit 18 months
just to break even on your sales
and marketing costs,
not let alone to be profitable.
And so if you're not hitting
three to five year
customer lifetime, there's no chance in hell you have for being profitable. And I know that's not
the point of a software company, especially in the early days, it's rapid growth. But all of these
companies were investing so heavily. And this is just the average, right? Like, that's the crazy
thing. It's like there were companies spending a lot less and there was a company spending a lot more.
So, you know, you know, as part of that dataset, there was companies spending $5 to acquire a dollar
of ARR. And like, those are the companies that lost sales development teams.
Right. And rightfully.
When you look 100%.
You look at, I think, Zendesk, or not Zendesk.
Parker Conrad's new company.
Not Zendifitz was his old company.
His new company is Ripple.
Okay.
Rippling?
I watched their CRO at Saster last year.
And they're one of the fastest growing companies,
software companies, like large software companies.
they have hundreds of SDRs,
and they're getting,
I think they're forecasting like 60% of their revenue this year
to come from sales development.
So everybody who's saying sales development isn't working,
obviously it just wasn't profitable for them at that price
or the way that they were doing it.
And I think the biggest piece for that, for them,
is the strength of their product market fit.
The crazy thing is,
I know a bunch of people that work at Rippling
that start that we're either at
at Zenefits or you know early days
I interviewed a few hundred people
a few hundred sales leaders on my podcast
and so I've had a chance to meet some of these folks
and I know they've got really smart folks in there
but what I've seen some of what they're doing
and what they're doing is what was standard like five years ago
but they're getting or sorry what they're doing is like
what was standard five years ago
and they're getting like 10 years ago response rates
so like their response rates
are 5 to 10x better than most SaaS company benchmarks right now.
What do you think is the cause for that?
What's driving that?
Strength of product market fit.
They have products that fit really well into the market.
They're really well established brand.
And they have something that people need.
They're disrupting a fairly large industry.
So when someone comes in, and I think I'm probably repeating myself on this one,
but I think it's so unbelievably important,
when people come in and they don't have the right product market fit,
when they're trying to push a boulder of a tree,
when they're going into that,
I've always had people sit down and say,
okay, what do you really want?
Do you have this company that you love and you're so excited about it
and you're willing to work 100 plus hours a week as an entrepreneur
to make, you know, nothing, but this is your passion, this is who you are?
Or is your truth that you just want to have $50,000 a month
on multi-recurring income where you're not involved in any way, shape, or form,
and you can go become a shore erosion technician,
which means you watch the beach erode in front of you
when you're drinking mitis.
What is your true?
What do you really want to do?
And most entrepreneurs have never had that.
Most entrepreneurs run into situations,
we're like, well, my father was a doctor,
therefore I'm going to be a doctor.
I'm the fifth in the line who is this paper-making factory.
I'm going to do this.
Having to come to Jesus' conversation
of what do you really want to do
is something that I run into all the time
when we're brought in,
when people are brought into yours
And they actually are, when you do have that match between passion, you know, and your past and purpose and profits, when you have those alignments.
You know, you've mentioned your podcast.
One of the things that you come across, like, hey, this is the most valuable insights when you're running into those situations, when you're running into Project Market Fitonite hitting there, or when you're trying to hire the, you know, what you guys do out there.
What are some of the things you're like, hey, this is, I wish people would know this before they started anything.
Yeah, I mean, to kind of go back to what I was saying before, I wish they knew they could go back to their customers, the people that they interviewed in the customer development process and sell to them.
And take it step by step.
Don't obviously jump into it.
But I think, like, imagine you invented the fire extinguisher.
And let's allow me a silly analogy that, like, you interviewed 100 people that were currently on fire.
And let's imagine even sillier that they're still on fire three months later when you built the fire extinguher.
Isn't it kind of a jerk move not to go back to them and be like, hey, remember all the pain you told me and all the burns and all the fire and the flames?
I've built this thing. Do you want to put yourself out? Like, even if fire extinguisher isn't that good, they're going to say yes.
I mean, it's the opposite of that is, you know, don't sell ice to Eskimos. This doesn't make sense as much on that level.
So making sure that you have a market that is just banging at your door that they really, really want it.
And I think it's listening to customers that we just don't do that well anymore because we're in our own ecochambers.
And then just making sure that you're not overinvesting until you have really strong product market fit, until you have really confirmed.
Because the most frustrating customers I've had have been really good software companies that had great products where the founder wanted to open up a new market.
But they didn't tell us it was a new market.
Right.
I had a conversation with a customer last year and I think we worked with them for like nine months.
we booked like 60 some odd meetings for their team
that like showed up and entered pipeline
so their salesperson had 60s 63 appbats
it was pretty good
and none of them closed and so they let us go
and I was like okay well let's talk about this
and like why and I was really
because for me it was less about the money
and more about the like I want to figure out what went wrong
and we dropped the ball
yeah and what the sales rep eventually blurted out at the end
was, oh, well, we actually target all of our business is in this industry.
And we've been targeting this slightly adjacent industry that unless you know deep about,
unless you're like fairly educated about finance and how it works, it is different enough for
it to be its own industry and all of our case studies are irrelevant.
And so he had a tough time closing them.
And I was like, okay, one, that kind of sucks.
Because like we could have been focused on the original industry in the first place.
and the benchmarks that you're going to expect
going after an industry you're established in
and have strong product market fit versus a new industry
and you have to figure out your market message fit,
all of these things and how to sell to these folks
is going to be totally different.
And then on top of that, just the timing of outbound,
nine months, they had a two-month sale cycle.
So you expect nothing for the first three months of outbound.
You're going to start getting some meetings
in the next three months.
So you're six months in and like you've got some meetings.
When I say meetings, I mean like opportunities that have entered pipeline,
you'll get meetings earlier than this, but the quality improves pretty dramatically as you go along.
But most people aren't ready to buy.
And so if you're going to talk to, you know, 10 people every month, like one out of 10
are going to be in a buying state because you're reaching them and, you know, you're reaching them cold.
They're not coming to you saying, oh, I've got this pain.
And so most people discard those nine folks that they talk to.
like, oh, they don't have a project in the next 90 days.
They're not worth my time.
And that's what this company was doing.
I was like, guys, you're, you just met, you know, 60 folks.
You pulled six good opportunities out there, but there's 55, 56 that are going to close
in the next year.
You just have to keep working them.
And the sales, the sales guy didn't, didn't listen to me.
And that's probably the second, the next most frustrating conversation is with, I have with
old customers that worked for us or worked with.
us two years ago, shut us down after a year because it wasn't profitable. And then the
following year closed a bunch of deals from outbound. And now they're frustrated that they didn't
keep going. Yeah. That's the, it seems like a scam artist thing to say. You know, hey, there's
been no results so far. But trust me, it's going to come. And it's just, it's one of the reasons
why I think outbound agencies and the industry as a whole gets a bad rap is it takes time. Because
you're reaching people in all different buying modes.
I think the conversation is only 3% of the market is willing to buy from you at any point.
So, and those are high numbers, I think, when we talk about that.
And one of the things that people talk about all the time is it really comes down to,
do they want your product?
Can they afford your product?
Will they actually buy your product?
And the last one for me, which I didn't realize was, do you actually want to work with
them if they do buy your product?
And that was a challenging thing for me because the first thing I ever did was I was an IT guy.
And I was okay, they clearly want it.
They clearly can afford it.
They're clearly going to buy it.
I never asked myself, did I want to work with people at that level?
What's what they were doing?
I think that was the biggest first mistake I ever did once I did get into,
hey, I can close this.
I had a great product market fit.
This is, I'm going to crush it.
And then I was like, how many days, how many times a day do I want to get called up with,
you know, my printer doesn't print?
And I ask them, do they have paper in the printer?
And they're like, no, why doesn't it print?
I'm like, do you have paper in the printer?
And they're like, no, why doesn't it print?
I'm going to kill you.
So you're having repeated conversations like that over and over.
It's just, oh, I think it's also, you know, that same naivity exists in people when they hire and they do outbound.
So they're going, hey, I put a seed in the ground.
Why isn't it a pineapple?
I'm like, well, you just put it in the ground.
This is going to take some time.
You got to figure out where they are and they get into doing that.
And I don't think people, people overestimate what they can do in a year.
And they really underestimate what they can do in about five years.
So I'm just having that patience.
And some of the stuff is going to take.
It's very rare that you show up and say, hey, I've got this widget.
Here we go.
Let's close.
At the market, we sold out within 37 seconds.
It's just, that's, it's this instantaneous culture that we have right now that just
doesn't work for reality.
And I wish people were having more of a reality conversation that you and I are having.
What are some of the other way?
Oh, yeah.
Yeah.
What are some of the other realities that, you know, you sit down and you get to kind of open
your client's eyes up to and say, hey, here's what's actually going to happen.
I know you don't want to hear it, but this is what's actually happening.
And my job is to make sure that you can feed your kids.
So let's have a real conversation.
Yeah.
I mean, I think when I sit down with founders, almost the first place I go is the pipeline,
especially if they've got customers and they've been trying to sell and they've been prospecting.
And I can usually chop up like a pipeline.
Like the last time I did it, I think the guy had 30, 50, 30, 40, something like that,
opportunities in his pipeline.
and we did a pipeline review
took a couple hours
and we chopped it down
to like three good ones.
So they went from like
oh yeah we got to close like
to this month
and two next month
and three the month after
and I was like
not with a pipeline like this.
Yeah.
And then everyone's like
okay so I need outbound
I'm like but outbound's gonna be
the helper six months from now
right?
You have to turn the crank yourself.
There's nobody,
there's no getting out of this
there's no spend some money and buy
Like maybe there are other demand gen channels.
Ads can turn on pretty quickly,
but it still takes time to build those things, right?
And I think what founders don't realize is there's this big giant handle called customer development,
talking to customers, and going back to people you've talked to before and kind of inviting them to the next stage,
that they just got to grab the handle and turn.
But I find most founders I work with, they're pretty sloppy about their pipeline management.
You know, you look at somebody's pipeline, you're like, oh, so what is that deal?
Well, why is this one here?
What does that stage mean?
They're like, oh, okay, cool.
I'll go three down and be like, okay, so does this person meet that?
Oh, no, they're actually back.
There's no shared definitions.
There's no qualification framework.
There's no ability to test.
And it's really interesting working with when I'm doing this with engineers,
because there's a thing called a unit test when you're writing code,
where basically some people do test-driven development where you write the unit test first,
and then you write the code that will complete that test.
and having a good sales pipeline review
and having good definitions
are kind of the unit tests
where you have this regular recurring thing
that will say,
basically confirm that you are passing the tests
on all of the things in your pipeline.
And that's something that not a lot of people do,
especially founders that are solo
or are taking on the revenue side of things solo,
they don't have anybody who can call bullshit
on that op really belongs here or doesn't belong there.
and when you're forecasting revenue to hit in Q1
off of hope and miracles and magical unicorn dust,
like it's not going to go very well.
I don't think enough people have the conversations
that you and I are having,
or even this level of conversation that you have with your clients,
which is like, let's have a real talk.
I really authentically want to try and help you out of this.
But some of this is going to be okay.
And it's the conversation like,
sometimes I'm going to be a hammer,
sometimes I'm going to be a hug.
But we need to have a better conversation.
because I'm not going to smoke up your butt and just take your money because that's just not who I am.
But I do agree that in your industry, a lot of people kind of get that bad rap because they don't do that.
They'll just take the money and run with it, which is why your industry is saturated with just not a great rap.
One of the things that you have coming up is kind of a preview.
You've written a lot of this stuff down and you kind of collected all of your ideas and your thoughts.
Can you tell me a little bit more about that?
Yeah.
Our company started because of a book.
So my co-founder, Aaron, wrote predictable revenue based on his time at Salesforce.
And that book has been, has brought us, you know, so many customers and kind of helped start.
It was the inspiration for me getting into doing carp.io.
And it's over 12, 15 years old by now.
And so, you know, since we've, I don't know, for the last five years, I've been talking about writing a book.
but I didn't want to write predictable revenue too.
And so I started an email newsletter community
where I talked to founders and just been sharing the ideas.
A lot of the stuff we've been talking about today
in our conversation today.
And I've been sharing it out weekly as a method
for helping kind of battle test some of the content
that's going in the next book.
And as we sit today, I'm looking at my final draft.
I'm handing in the third round of substantive edits
which is book geeks speak for like I'm almost done writing
and then people are going to start checking spelling and grammar
for the book that's going to come out in October.
It's called The Terrifying Art of Finding Customers.
And it's going to be a founder's handbook for
going from product market fit to getting those first customers
and then basically leveling yourself up out of that sales role.
So when you wrote your book, you're talking about spelling and grammar.
I have no idea what that is.
What is spelling?
I'm kidding.
I wrote my book in nine days.
And there's still people writing today.
They're like, you do know there's misspellings.
I'm like, yes, I know.
I decided to get it out.
I was working on something.
I love that you've taken this idea where even in your book,
you take this approach of, we're going to get test this,
and we're going to battle test this,
and then we're going to test it again,
and then we're going to get feedback,
and we're going to test it again.
And we're in January right now.
You're talking October.
We already know 2025 is going to be interesting and entertaining.
Yeah.
You're still taking the time out to sit there and say,
I'm going to battle test this.
So you practice what you preach in every way.
Now, you mentioned earlier that you've got a podcast and other ways for people to track you down.
Tell me more about that.
Yeah, there's the predictable revenue podcast.
We're probably 370 episodes deep at this point.
And we interview founders and sales leaders talking about revenue.
The early stuff really focused on sales development, sales leadership tactics.
And lately we've been more focusing on founders in their early revenue journeys and mistakes made and what they learned along the way.
Gotcha. If someone wanted to get like an early preview of the book, do they just have to wait until October like the rest of us?
I'll shoot you a link, but the Founders Edition newsletter is where you can go and if you give it your email, you can see all of my posts dating back from.
I think I started almost a year ago, maybe December of the previous year.
So you can go see all the back posts and you can kind of see the book evolve through there.
So that's the best place to check it out.
Awesome. And then how do people track you down?
because a lot of this stuff is stuff that are not freight conversations that most people are doing.
Most people are going to both smoke up your butt.
And you're one of those few people.
That's one of the reasons I want to have you on is like, you're just going to be honest.
And you're going to say, listen, this is what's actually going on.
This is what's actually going to move the bottom line.
And I'm going to have a real conversation with you.
And that's very rare in our world.
And across most worlds right now, everything is just fluff and BS.
With what you're doing, what you have going on?
How do people track you down?
What's the best way to get in touch with you?
Best way to get in touch is email.
Colin with 2Ls at predictablerevenue.com.
I post on LinkedIn, but I really don't enjoy LinkedIn as a platform.
I'm not a huge social media guy, so I do check my DMs and my inbox on there somewhat
frequently, but I'd say email is the best way.
And when people reach out to you, how do you want them to reach out?
Are there questions you want to have in advance, or what is the best way for them to engage
with you?
Yeah, I mean, if you listen to this and you had a question, or if you wanted to, if you disagreed
to something I said, or if you were asking,
you want more information on a resource,
or you want to have a candid,
honest conversation with me.
Just drop me an email.
Love it.
I really appreciate you coming on
and teaching people from a place of,
not just experience, but authenticity.
It's one of those things that's very rare.
You've done it.
You've proven you've done it.
You've had this honest conversation.
I really appreciate you coming on.
All right.
Thanks for having me on, Charles.
It's been good talking to you.
Your customer development interviews
are your first sales calls in disguise.
The market doesn't care about your timeline.
It operates on its own schedule.
and your job is to align with reality, not force it to bend to your wishes.
