Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas - 247 | Samuel Bowles on Economics, Cooperation, and Inequality

Episode Date: August 21, 2023

Blog post with transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2023/08/21/247-samuel-bowles-on-economics-cooperation-and-inequality/ Economics, much like thermodynamics, is a story of collect...ive behavior arising from the interactions of many individual constituents. The big difference is that in economics, the constituents are themselves complicated human beings with their own goals and limitations. We can still make progress by positing some simple but plausible axioms governing human behavior, and proving theorems about what those axioms imply, such as the famous supply-and-demand curves. The trick is picking the right axioms that actually do apply to any given situation. Samuel Bowles is a highly regarded economist who has helped understand the emergence of political hierarchy and economic inequality, often drawing on wide-ranging ideas from game theory and evolutionary biology. We talk about how people evolved to cooperate, and why nevertheless inequality seems to be ubiquitous. Support Mindscape on Patreon. Samuel Bowles received a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University. He has taught at Harvard University, the University of Massachusetts at Amherst, and the University of Siena, and he is currently Director of the Behavioral Sciences Program at the Santa Fe Institute. He has been awarded a Guggenheim Fellowship and the Leontief Prize, and is a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is one of the developers of the CORE Econ project. Web page Google Scholar publications Wikipedia Amazon author page

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, everyone. Welcome to the Mindscape Podcast. I'm your host, Sean Carroll. And you know, economics is always tough for me to cover here on the podcast. I love it. I think it's fascinating. It's also kind of intimidating and difficult. I don't think that there's any other field which is simultaneously as quantitatively rigorous and deeply involved with the complexities of social life as economics is. It's a story of theorems and results, but also one that is supposed to apply to the real world. And as we all know, economic theory has both successes and kind of dramatic failures. Happily, today's guest, Samuel Bowles, is super easy to talk to. I don't do that much talking in this particular podcast because Sam is so good at explaining what he's thinking about. And it's very, very interesting stuff about how to think about the role of human beings within economic systems, but also going backwards, what thinking economically can teach us about human beings, how human beings actually behave, not just the simple toy models of very oversimplified
Starting point is 00:01:11 economic models. Now, Sam has been a longtime collaborator of previous Mindscape guest, Herb Gintes. Sadly, Herb passed away back in January at the age of 82, but he and Sam have been working together since their graduate school years in the 1960s. It's a fascinating story. I have the impression that if Sam were here to tell you his biography, it would last many, many hours and be super fascinating. He's led quite a colorful life.
Starting point is 00:01:38 But one part of that story is that Sam and Herb Gintis were asked by Martin Luther King to help him study up on economics, to ask a bunch of questions about economics and inequality in 1968, just before the Poor People's March, just before Martin Luther King was assassinated. And apparently, the story goes, that the two of them, Sam and Herb, were kind of chagrined that their expert training in economics, I think they were still graduate students at the time, was completely inadequate to answer these questions about inequality.
Starting point is 00:02:16 So they really started thinking deeply about these questions that were being ignored by mainstream economics. And they both taught at Harvard for a little while before being stolen away by you, by UMass Amherst who hired a group of people. There was this famous radical group of economists that UMass Amherst hired, and they worked together for a long time. Herb and Sam wrote a quite well-known book called Schooling in Capitalist America about how the educational system interacts with and serves our capitalist system of economics.
Starting point is 00:02:52 And certainly both of them, Sam included, are, I do. identified as members of the left wing of economic thought. But as you will see, as you will hear anyway, in the podcast, Sam is scrupulously fair when he describes the contributions and the shortcomings of different aspects of economics. He's very, very quick to give credit to the free market, to Adam Smith, even to sort of 20th century neoliberal economics. But he thinks that we can do better. He thinks we can go further and we'll talk about that. But also, this particular conversation is not very political, to be honest. We're really thinking about how to analyze systems economically, what we learn about human beings by doing experiments
Starting point is 00:03:40 that are informed by economics, by thinking about game theory and interactions. Why are human beings as cooperative and altruistic as they sometimes are? In fact, a much more recent book, maybe the last book that Sam and Herb wrote together is called A Cooperative Species, Human Reciprocity and Its Evolution. And there's a very short motto for the lesson of this book that you will have to listen to the podcast to hear about. But we human beings were complicated. Sometimes we're kind of selfish, self-interested, as Adam Smith assumed for the purposes of his models. By the way, as Sam points out, Adam Smith didn't think we were always perfectly self-interested. Just that's a good starting point for the model.
Starting point is 00:04:24 Sometimes, though, human beings are kind of nice to each other. Sometimes. How do you fit that into the model? What does that have to say? How can that help us? How can we use these insights to tackle some of the global large-scale problems we have today? All that and more in this episode. So let's go.
Starting point is 00:05:00 Sam Bowles, welcome to the Mindscape podcast. Great to be here. So I'm going to start off from my perspective a little bit. You'll forgive me. but there's at least a cliche or a stereotype or a story that economists kind of love physics, right? There's even physics envy. Number one, is that true? And number two, does it come from somewhere, respectable?
Starting point is 00:05:22 I think we used to love physics. And we loved physics in the 30s and 40s of the last century because some economists, Paul Samus, notably, borrowed a lot of ideas from physics. and use them to formalize ideas of economic equilibrium and some of the basic ideas which hadn't been mathematicized yet. I was fortunate to be in grad school in the early 60s, and so I was part of the wave that mathematicized the standard canon in economics. And of course it was very exciting,
Starting point is 00:05:58 and we got to do things that were mathematically pretty simple, but seemed powerful and seemed like a real advance over the more narrative approach to economics which it held sway prior to then. When I say used to, I would, I say that because there's another analogy in the physical sciences, which is to biology. And it's interesting that Alfred Marshall, founder of the neoclassical School of Economics, which I would say has recently been deposed as the Convention in Economics, Alfred Marshall used biological analogies. He wanted to think about growth and decay and copying and so on. And that view has also now become quite prominent in economics. Now we know how to do constrained optimization. We start to think about, well, how do systems move as a whole? And we want to get away from just thinking about the stationarity of something in equilibrium, but what does it do? when it's not an equilibrium, or maybe if there is not an equilibrium to which the system can be
Starting point is 00:07:08 attracted. So I think we are really borrowing analogies from lots of fields. It's also true, by the way, that other fields have borrowed analogies from economics, so it's probably well-known to most scientists that Darwin got his idea of natural selection from Thomas Malthus, the economist. And in fact, he said, I'm just applying Malthus' ideas to all species. So there's been a lot of fruitful interplay. But I think none of the physical science analogies really work perfectly in economics. And the real problem is that people, when they act, are trying to accomplish something. They've got an objective.
Starting point is 00:07:53 Their intentionality really matters. and very often we find ourselves running up against the intentionality of somebody else. So we have these interactions which are, you can model them as if they were particles or as if they were alleles in a biological setting. But there's an intentionality part of the story that isn't well captured by non-thinking particles or genes that are only said to as if optimized, but they're not really thinking about optimizing and trying to do so. So the subjectivity of human beings, our intentionality, brings something new.
Starting point is 00:08:34 And it's only in the last 30 years that we've begun to see just how different that is. And so we've been moving away from some of the more physical analogies, making economics more of a social science, if not the social science that it was 30, 40 years ago. The role of intentionality is very important. I wouldn't have put it that way, but I get where you're coming from. You know, I recently had David Crackauer on my podcast, and we disagreed a little bit on the definition of complexity because he put, I guess, what he would call teleonomy front and center. He thinks of complex systems as systems which have goals, right, which have interests, which I guess is the same as what you're saying about intentions. Whereas physicists maybe think about systems that are so intrinsically simple that they just bump into each other.
Starting point is 00:09:18 They don't have goals when they go about it. Yes. Murray Gelman, a founder of the Santa Fe Institute where we're having this interview today, said, think how hard physics would be if particles could think. And yes, that's right. And so I think the reason why in economics we've had this big boom in game theory is because game theory is the, basically the applied math of intentional interactions in which each party recognizes that what they get in a pay, in an interaction will depend on what the other does, and the other person also knows that. So to summarize, a strategic interaction is mutual interdependence recognized by both parties.
Starting point is 00:10:02 And I think that's like society. I mean, there was a great dissertation by a great economist, Irving Fisher, and he included in his dissertation a hydraulic model of the economy. And that was obviously a physical model. and gravity was doing the work of optimization there so that the water in the various parts of the model and lifts that was impeded, the water found the similar level and so on. Now, there are all kinds of models like that in economics in which the metaphor really is transportation, things moving from here to there. But in recent years, some economists, myself included, have been more attracted to the idea that economic interactions are more like a conversation. So we should really be thinking about linguistics.
Starting point is 00:10:51 That is, I'm having a conversation with you, and in saying what I'm saying now, I'm anticipating your response. And very often I'm having a conversation with somebody with some intention that I would like this person, you know, to agree to go to see a film with me or to agree to work on a paper and so on. But I'm anticipating what that person's intention is to end, of course, in endless regress. So I think as we move forward in economics, metaphors like language rather than transportation. And metaphors coming not from biology or from physics, but actually from society itself, from the way that we intentionally interact, will come to the fore. But it's really raising hell with the standard theory in economics, because once you recognize that people are not just interacting with nature like Robinson,
Starting point is 00:11:45 Crusoe. We have, it's actually a different story. And so economics is being fundamentally rewritten and has been so of the last 30 years. Well, that's very, very interesting. But for those of us, including myself, who are not surrounded by economics all the time, let's remind us what is being replaced, right? I mean, there is this tradition going back to Adam Smith, I guess, of thinking about collective behavior and individuals do what they want for their own sakes.
Starting point is 00:12:14 and that comes up with something good for society. Yes, that's right. But let me go back to Robinson Crusoe. Sure. In an economics textbook, you don't lose anything if you represent most of the models as a single individual interacting with nature. Robinson Crusoe on his island before Friday, the enslaved person showed up. And the reason for that is the way we represent choice, we have an individual,
Starting point is 00:12:40 and he or she is facing a set of prices. So there's a vector of prices. and that's given, and then the person decides what they'll buy or sell. They've got some goods or some capacities to produce, and they're looking at that vector, and they're optimizing against that surface. Now, that's no different from Robinson Crusoe and his island. The surface is Robinson Crusoe's island. And it's remarkable how many, many results in the standard paradigm of, say, three decades ago
Starting point is 00:13:10 can be represented as if it's just one person operating on a number. Island. Now, of course, that was pretty easy to mathematics because it was basically just constrained optimization. And when I began teaching advanced microeconomic theory at Harvard, I was just teaching constrained optimization with lots of different clothes on, different, you know, applications. Now, there were some very powerful results of that. And it was really, there's some quite remarkable ones. The most remarkable probably is Adam Smith's invisible hand. Everyone knows that Adam Smith said that society would be led as if by an invisible hand to outcomes which everyone would appreciate as a good outcome, even though people might be completely self-interested and have no
Starting point is 00:14:05 interest in the well-being of others. Now, that is a radical thought. Yeah. And it's a very surprising one. It's very difficult to teach that to undergrads. They think it doesn't make much sense. And that's why we think of Adam Smith as a great thinker. Now, a few provisos. Adam Smith didn't think for one second that people were entirely selfish. He was simply saying, like many political philosophers did, let's think of a constitution, let's think of a way of organizing our society, which would work even if everyone was basically a jerk. So jerk-proof constitution. So jerk-proof constitutions is what classical economics was all about. Now, of course, that view, the invisible hand, has now been applied to public policy in a number of areas, in some cases for the better,
Starting point is 00:14:57 in some cases for the worse. There are some areas in which it works very well, and there's some areas in which it doesn't. And I think one of the main tasks of policymaking over the last couple of centuries, has been trying to figure out which areas may be buying and selling shirts is an area in which it works pretty well. In some other areas like hiring and firing employees and labor or the use of land or perhaps how we devise our money and monetary instruments, there are many areas in which we know it doesn't work very well. Now, but that's not the main problem with the theory. The fact that the invisible hand turned out to have a rather limited realm of application was, of course, that's just how science progresses. We figured out
Starting point is 00:15:47 through actually mathematical analysis, partly the work of Kenneth Arrow, another founder of the Santa Fe Institute, that the domain over which the assumptions of the invisible hand would work was really quite restricted. But that wasn't the problem. I don't think economists were ideologically wedded to the idea of the invisible hand. Many people were. Conservative people liked it. But economists, for the most part, it was something that we thought about. We thought it was a remarkable hypothesis. And we explored its application. I think the problem is that there were some results of that theory that we just didn't observe in the world. That is, it had a prediction problem. Now, the most obvious prediction problem was about supply and demand.
Starting point is 00:16:34 I sometimes ask people in a public lecture, I say, with your arms, please show me one thing you've learned in the economics course that you've taken. And inevitably, a good number of people cross their arms and say supply and demand. And I say, yes, that's it. That's what you learn. And of course, what you also learned is the answer is where the lines cross. And that's where supply equals demand. Now, this is a powerful theory. and as I said, it might work for shirts, but it certainly doesn't work for labor.
Starting point is 00:17:07 That is, for people searching to find work and people searching to find employees, because we know we typically have a substantial fraction of the population that is unable to find work. It differs from country to country, but it's always there. Now, a major change in economic thinking took place during the Great Depression, because obviously when you have a quarter of the labor force, employed. That's too big a problem to just ignore and say, well, it's due to frictions or it'll fix itself or whatever. And that's when we had a big innovation. John Maynard Keynes came along and said, no, actually that model doesn't work for the labor market. We have to have a different
Starting point is 00:17:48 theory for that. Now, Keynes didn't explain exactly why it didn't work. He observed that it didn't work. And he proposed an alternative. By the way, Paul Samuelson also said the same thing. in his introductory textbook written right after the Great Depression, he taught about supply and demand rather briefly, and he basically said, don't try this on the labor market. You're going to have to have a different theory for that. Now, it took a long time to figure out what was wrong with the standard theory,
Starting point is 00:18:21 but what it comes down to is that how you get the supply and demand model to work is that you have to assume something about how we transact our business. And what seems like a really small point turns out to be of mammoth importance, and it's this, if we're transacting something, like, say, a shirt, and I agree to pay $30 for the shirt that you have, and you give me a box, which is said to have a shirt in it, and I get home and there's no shirt, or it's not the shirt that you said, I can get my money back, and probably pretty costlessly. So that's what's called a complete contract. A complete contract means that everything that you and I care about in this transaction is actually going to be taken care of by the law.
Starting point is 00:19:12 And it's not exactly you call 911, but you do get redress if the contract isn't met. Now, again, it works for shirts, and it works for a whole lot of other things. But now think of what it doesn't work for. if you were to employ me to work on some project, let's say, and you offered me an hourly wage or a salary, what you would have done is you didn't purchase my work as a researcher. You purchased my time. So you're essentially renting me, but you're not renting my talent. You're not renting my ideas.
Starting point is 00:19:51 You're just renting my willingness to come to your research institute and sit there at the computer and appear to work. Now, the problem is to get your project and you need me to get the work done. And so to see why that's an incomplete contract, your promise to me to pay my salary, that's a complete contract. That's enforceable. My agreement to show up at your place, that's also enforceable. My agreement to work is not enforceable. Now, this is where the game theory comes in. Because if I'm at your institute, and it turns out, after a couple of months, you notice that I haven't been getting any work done, and you find out that I've probably been just communicating with my friends, there's really nothing you can do about it. Well, there's one thing you can do about it. You can terminate my contract.
Starting point is 00:20:43 And that's about all you can do in a liberal society. I mean, philosophically liberal society. You can't beat me. You can't imprison me. But you can say, okay, that's it, Sam. you're out of here. Now, that's roughly the way it works. That's, I mean, that's part of the motivation of an employee. Now, in order for that to work, you know, as my employer, that you should have offered me a wage or a salary superior to what I would get if I'd been fired. Otherwise, I wouldn't care.
Starting point is 00:21:17 You know, you'd come in and say, Sam, you're out of here, and I'd say, make my day. I'll go across the street to the research institute over there. And that would be the case if supply equals demand. Because if supply equals demand, it means there is, there are, there are, there's nobody who wants work who doesn't get it. That means you can cross the street. Well, now, of course, people finally figured out that that's why the supply and demand model didn't work. Cains knew that it didn't work, but it took until the 70s or 80s for a whole bunch of writers to figure out, oh, the employers are actually paying more than the minimum because they want to get the person to work. Now, that fact that they're paying more than the minimum is tantamount to saying that there have
Starting point is 00:22:04 to be other people out there just like me who could have my job. You could replace me with that person. They're just like me, but they don't have the job. Now, that opens up a lot of new things we could think about. I'll come in a minute to how the same problem applies in a credit market and so on. But let's continue with employment. So you're now paying me a lot more than I could get somewhere else. And what that means is I'm afraid of losing my job. That also means that you can essentially tell me what to do, for example, work hard, Sam. You can tell me what to do with the expectation that I'll do that thing, which I wouldn't have done otherwise, and perhaps which I wouldn't even want to do. Now, a situation in which one person can threaten someone with a
Starting point is 00:22:59 sanction, some cost, to get them to act in a way which is advantageous to them when the reverse ability isn't true, that I couldn't threaten you. I mean, that's pretty close to what we mean that A has power over B. So all of a sudden, a whole bunch of non-economic things get front and center in economics, like the exercise of power by private actors. And another thing comes in which economists have long tried to rule out, let the sociologists deal with the question of social norms. We don't really care about social norms. I don't care about what you think or what you value. But obviously, you do care about my social norm because you can't watch me all the time, and you know that threatening to fire me isn't going to do the whole job. So you kind of
Starting point is 00:23:48 hope that I share your love of science. Or maybe I just share an obligation to work hard because I said I would. So you start to care about sociological and value characteristics of me. Now, So what that means is that economics, which had been really pretty intolerant of insights from other disciplines, now it really needs to go to the political science people and say, well, okay, this power is being exerted. What do you know about that? And maybe the sociologists or anthropologists can help us out on why do some social norms emerge and survive and so on. So the idea of the contracts being incomplete, which seems like a small legal distinction, has actually really shaken the whole house. And it leads in a different direction from the old theory. Well, it's very frequent in math and physics that when you take a theorem you've proven and then slightly violate one of the assumptions, you get completely different results.
Starting point is 00:24:52 Yes, in fact, that's in the 70s and 80s when I started working on this. I knew that I was going to get radically different results. And so I changed as little as possible. So I adopted all of the standard assumptions of perfectly competitive economy, no monopolies, no, nothing fancy. Just the fact that there's something that one party to an exchange wants to get, but they can't secure by means of a contract. And then the whole house comes crumbling down. And it was kind of fun. Well, and just going back, because I am a physicist to how physicists would think about this,
Starting point is 00:25:32 it's not just that elementary particles don't think, but the economic actors, you're pointing out, they have goals and intentions, they also have a theory of what the other economic actors have in mind and their goals of intentions. And they also have this ability of sort of counterfactual reasoning. If I were to do this, here's how I would be punished and everything. And so even if we treated human beings as kind of perfectly modelable, those models are going to be way more complex than any physics theory would have to deal with. Yes, and I think most people, myself included some years ago, didn't really appreciate just how hard those models get. And I think that my students, my advanced students, after a semester of working with me, they really wish they could go back
Starting point is 00:26:21 to Robbins and Crusoe because at least we know how to do the math with that. It's a simple question. But I mean, suppose you have an interaction like this. You and I are going to interact. I don't know you. I've never met you. And we're going to interact in some way that we're going to produce something jointly and then we're going to share the benefits. Maybe it's a partnership or maybe we're a couple sharing a household or whatever. We're some kind of partnership. Now, my attitude towards you is that if I think you're a pretty good guy, well, then I'm willing to work hard, and I don't mind the benefits being shared with you, but only if you're going to reciprocate that. So now, imagine I started off thinking that you were a pretty good guy, and so
Starting point is 00:27:06 I start off and I work pretty hard. Well, then you pick up from that, that I'm a pretty good guy, and that reinforces your view, and off we go, and we have a very productive partnership. But notice also, it could have gone the other way, if we'd come to work the first day, and neither us had done much for the project. And you don't have to think too hard about this. It could have gone, there are very, very many equilibria of this problem in which we don't really know how it's going to happen. And so, I mean, I've found, for example, just doing the math is hard just with two people. Yeah. And sometimes you turn to simulations. And so the students learning this, they understand that, look, we're talking about a view of society in which it's fundamentally more complicated
Starting point is 00:27:55 than economics has realized in the past. And that's great because it really is fundamentally more complicated. But it has some implications. For example, economists, myself included, really love to prove theorems. But I think we're going to be the last discipline that really realized on theorems. Because we use theorems because we constructed an artificial world. world in which relationships were simple enough that theorems could apply. Now, once you get outside of that world, there are a few things you can say, some pretty clear propositions that are true,
Starting point is 00:28:34 but for many, many important problems, when you do the math, you can do the math. It's not that the math is hard. It's that you don't understand analytically what it means. You don't get intuitions by this massive expression it may go on for a page or two. And therefore, you have to start experimenting with discovering there's some surface that you're exploring. You want to know what it looks like. And you use agent-based models or other kinds of simulation methods. So it's changing a lot. But I think I hope it's also having the effect of making economists a bit more modest about what science can do.
Starting point is 00:29:12 That is, we really are facing. with deep uncertainties and deep inadequacies of our understanding. And we shouldn't be teaching students that, you know, we've got this tool for understanding society. We have a box of tools that help in some cases, in some cases really quite amazingly, and in other cases, are quite powerless to give us the kind of analysis that we really would need. The other thing I wanted to get on the table about the old school way of doing it is there is a back and forth between description and prescription, right?
Starting point is 00:29:46 I mean, you've talked about how in the neoliberal way of thinking about things that comes along with, I don't know whether it's customs or morals or whatever, but there's an idea of procedural fairness, an idea of freedom to do things, et cetera. Number one, is that true, am I exaggerating? And number two, do you therefore see it changing? No, you're absolutely right about what's called a neoliberal economic paradigm. It's not primarily an academic paradigm, but it's a, it's a, it's a, it's a, It's a policy paradigm, a way of looking at the world. And this is very interesting, I think, to your readers or listeners, one of the reasons why this conservative political movement was so successful was that it integrated very powerful moral intuitions about liberty, self-determination, and so on, a set of ethical principles with a model of the economy in which,
Starting point is 00:30:46 which if you left people to themselves and gave them the liberty, the economy would work out pretty okay. And so that was, I mean, I have to also give the, what I call the neoliberal school credit because, I mean, very often people say, why were they so successful? And on the left, you'll hear people say, well, they had all these think tanks and they had all this money and so on. And I don't think that's the case at all. I mean, yes, they did have a lot of money, but left-of-center scholars, intellectuals, have a lot of universities which also support them.
Starting point is 00:31:23 I think they did some very good economics, and they relied on really powerful economic arguments, starting with Friedrich Hayek and coming onto some of the more modern people, who really fundamentally posed a set of arguments about why some favored left alternatives wouldn't work very well, and why market. worked, if not optimally, probably better than the alternatives. And so, in other words, there were some real economic theory advances. I mentioned Hayek because his central idea, which is that information is local and limited, is very important to understanding why some favorite leftist ideas like central economic planning wouldn't work very well, because the planner could never know enough. But interestingly, Hayek's ideas about information are also the key idea behind why contracts are incomplete. The reason why the contract between you and me is incomplete is because you can't know what I'm doing all the time.
Starting point is 00:32:26 And even if you did, your observation that you don't think I was working hard enough would not be admissible in a court of law as a way of recovering wages because it would be your word against mine. No, no, no, I was really working hard. And so I think the, I mean, it's so ironic that as Hayek, who wrote about information to show why central planning wouldn't work, also initiated this new wave of economic theory, of which I am a part, which takes information as being a key problem in economics. And we have gone on to show that an economic theory which recognizing Hayek's, which recognizes Hayek's insights about information, is really very, very, very, very, very. different from the economic theory favored by the neoliberal school because it shows, for example, that supply doesn't equal demand in many cases. And if supply doesn't equal demand, then the invisible hand argument of Adam Smith is wrong. Then we have, as I said earlier, the uncomfortable fact of the private exercise of power, sometimes immense powers of employers over employees and
Starting point is 00:33:34 and so on. So as Hayek and Information Economics opened up a whole new arena. But yes, indeed, that was what the neoliberal's pushed. It was a coherent set of economic theories and moral principles. And I think we can conclude from that that anything which is going to replace the neoliberal paradigm as a policy paradigm has to do something like the same thing. That is, it has to have a model of how the economy works that is a good model. It's that it predicts outcomes and it helps us understand the workings of a modern economy. But at the same time is one which recognizes the importance of things that people who are opposed to the neoliberal prescriptions would think. So, for example, if you think that there is something questionable about the exercise of immense powers of one individual
Starting point is 00:34:34 over another. If you think that's something which we should interrogate from a democratic standpoint, is that really okay? Is it even okay from the standpoint of liberty? If that's on your mind, well, then you better have an economic theory which shows that, oh, yes, that kind of power really is consistent with an equilibrium in the economy, even ideally. You can't get rid of it as long as you have employees and employers and so on. So I think the challenge facing economics today is to find a set of economic theories as economic models, economic concepts, which represent the economy in a way which we recognize empirically, both experimentally and in other ways,
Starting point is 00:35:17 but which also give us space in which to express and recognize the kind of moral dilemmas that are there in the economy for everyone to see, but which economics has been a bit blind to because of the particular assumptions about what humans are like and how we interact. One of the blows to the neoliberal paradigm was the financial crisis back in 2008. Am I going to guess right to say that we can interpret that as being due in part to this information and completeness issue?
Starting point is 00:35:48 Yes. I mean, I think that what happened there is clearly a case of taking a market, of financial markets in general, treating it like it was an ordinary market for shirts, something in which the standard model works okay, and then deregulating it in such a way that you were almost certain to have speculative bubbles and instability. So that was a case of applying the neoliberal medicine to a problem in which it didn't work. And it so obviously didn't work, and it so obviously caused a lot of havoc to people that, you know, everyone was saying, well, what went wrong and why didn't you guys get it? I mean, the queen went to the London School of Economics, and she
Starting point is 00:36:41 scolded them and said, how did you guys get it so wrong? And they kind of shefishly had to answer and try to explain how they got it so wrong. And I think from there, there was just an openness to thinking, well, I wonder what was wrong. And if we were wrong about that, Maybe we're wrong about some other things. I think there are a couple of other things which we're also building up. And one is growing inequalities. Somehow, since the 80s, the U.S. economy, most of the high-income economies have been coming significantly more unequal, both in wealth and in terms of income. The U.S. is an outstanding example of this, a bit extreme compared to other.
Starting point is 00:37:29 others. But people care about inequality. They care about the suffering that inequality inflicts on the people who are less well off. And I think there's a sense that, well, our apparatus wasn't really allowing us to ask questions about that. A lot of the inequality comes from the things which we said that didn't exist, like unemployment. And if supply equals demand, we couldn't even talk about one of the problems that people face, which is finding a a decent job. And I'm virtually certain that the other thing, in addition to the financial crisis and inequality, is climate change. Climate change is frightening everyone. And, you know, if we go back in economics and look at the last time we had a big change, it was the Great Depression. That did. Keynes and then Paul Samuelson, his great textbook. And so what that did is that, you know, that whole configuration of events, we had a big economic problem that the standard paradigm didn't explain very well. We had some new economics that did seem to explain it pretty well.
Starting point is 00:38:43 And moreover, we had a set of social movements, trade union movements, in some parts of the world, communist movements, which were challenging the status quo. And so there was a sense of urgency that we had to address these problems, both because they were urgent and they were causing human suffering, but also what was on Samuelson's mind was the Cold War. And there was an alternative to capitalism, which was, of course, communism, which was doing at the time quite well, had not had a great depression like the capitalist countries that had and so on. Now, so, you know, when I think about, well, where are we in economics today? Are we at a similar moment? I sometimes call it a Samuelsonian moment for Paul Samuelson. I don't know.
Starting point is 00:39:32 We surely have a set of new problems that economics is not equipped to deal with in its conventional form. The ones we just mentioned, financial instability, climate change, inequality, and some others' future of work. we have a set of theories that have been being constructed, not by a great thinker like Keynes, but by literally hundreds of mostly economic theorists and others, developing this idea of the economy in which markets don't necessarily clear, people are not necessarily selfish, and equilibrium is not the only state the economy will be in, and so on. I don't see a set of societal movements pushing for change that would require us to adopt this kind of new view of society. If I were a bit more utopian, what I'd say is this.
Starting point is 00:40:33 In a well-organized society, given the fact we have these new problems and this new knowledge, we should put the two together and implement them. And I mean, that would be a good idea. But obviously, there are a lot of people benefiting from the status quo, just the way it is. And so you're not going to implement a whole new set of ways of understanding things and new sets of policies and so on without organizing a fairly significant set of social movements in the U.S. and around the world and so on, which will be calling for change. If that happens, then I'm pretty sure that will want to adopt the new economics because otherwise we won't have the tools to fix the problems.
Starting point is 00:41:19 One of the things you've been working on to try to develop this new economics is a better model, more realistic model of the individual actors, right? I mean, if Adam Smith says everyone can be self-interested and things are still okay, nevertheless, not everyone is always completely self-interested. So tell us how we can try to understand that better. Well, oddly enough, we take off from Adam Smith. He wrote a book not as famous as the one in which he announced the Invisible Hand called The Theory of Moral Sentiments. Moral sentiments to Smith in his 18th century language were simply caring about other people, caring about their well-being.
Starting point is 00:42:00 And he said, you know, we often just care about other people without expecting anything in return. And he also emphasized that one of the things we take very seriously is our own dignity. And it's many students will remember from Smith that he said, he's talking here about self-interest. He said, it's not from the benevolence of the butcher, the baker, and the brewer that you put your dinner on the table, but it is from their regard for their self-interest. and in everybody's text, including mine as an undergrad, I underlined that. In fact, I put an exclamation point next to it because I thought that might be on the exam. Anyway, it was a pretty important idea.
Starting point is 00:42:49 It's not their benevolence, it's their self-interest. And so this then was a sort of groundwork for thinking of how the economy works. But when I went back to look at that a couple of years ago, I found something amazing, which is the very next sentence in Smith's book is he said, Nobody but a beggar would rely on the benevolence of others for their dinner. So Smith's argument about self-interest and the market and so on, it had nothing to do with efficiency. It didn't really have much to do with the invisible hand, really. It had to do with the market as being a way of organizing society.
Starting point is 00:43:29 It's consistent with people being dignified and having equal dignity. Well, then you look today, I mean, that was Smith's idea. I mean, the alternative to the market was a kind of feudal society in which some people were said to be naturally superior to others and capable of ordering them around, where you had tremendous gender differences in the rights and freedom of people, not to mention the people who were enslaved and so on. So, you know, the idea of interacting in markets, you know, had a great. appeal because you had the right to say no. Now, running that forward, of course, we have a slightly different view. I mean, I remember thinking and watching with horror as some, during the COVID epidemic, early on, there was women working in a meatpacking factory in the Midwest in the
Starting point is 00:44:25 United States, and they were frightened about going to work as well they should have been. And they were ordered to go to work, or they would be fired. Well, and of course, there you see an exercise of power by the employer placing these women in grave danger, a danger, by the way, that the employer himself was not exposed to because he could easily keep himself away from crowded circumstances and so on. Now, just watching that, you think, oh, there's something wrong here. Now, the idea that people are self-interest. it has a funny history to it. Smith didn't think it was true. He just said, let's see how it would work if it was true.
Starting point is 00:45:14 Many other people who've tried out this idea of, let's see if we can get laws and regulations that can't be foiled by selfish people and therefore design a constitution for people as if they were selfish. They've said immediately, but that's not really what people are like. Now, a predecessor of Smith, David Hume, he went so far as to say this, in designing a constitution, we must assume that everyone is a knave, he used the old word, everyone is a knave and has only their interests at heart. And then he went on to say, by his avarice, we shall rule him for the greater good.
Starting point is 00:45:58 So the idea of harnessing the avarice of the selfish person is a big idea in economics. Now, interestingly, Hume in the next sentence said, it may seem odd that an axiom which is true for the design of constitution, namely the knave idea, wouldn't be true if you observe society. So this idea of designing a nave-proof constitution has a big history in economics. Now, it's always difficult as a teacher. You know, you teach students, well, this is what we think. And the students think, well, do you think I'm like that or you like that? And, you know, there's a lot of confusion. No, we don't think that we're just assuming that and so on.
Starting point is 00:46:43 Psychologists have always been a bit dismissive of economists in the score because psychologists do experiments. And they've been doing experiments, you know, since the 50s on this. And, you know, they found out a lot of stuff. for example, in the early 70s they found out that people care a huge amount about self-determination. So that, for example, I mean, this is a wonderful one, if kids are playing and some are painting pictures and some are doing other things and whatever, then the ones who paint pictures, if you pay them a dollar for their picture, oh, Johnny, what a nice picture. And then in a control group, the ones who painted to say, oh, Johnny, what a nice picture, but you don't pay them. anything. And then you look and see what happens later. It's extraordinary. Even two weeks later,
Starting point is 00:47:31 the ones who were paid for their pictures have stopped painting. They're not painting anymore. Really? Yes. Now, the interpretation of that experiment was kids. These are actually little kids. They're elementary school kids. Kids have a sense of self-determination. What the psychologist said is the payment is what they called in their technical language over-justification. It provided another reason why I did it. Maybe I just did it for the money. Oh, if I did it for the money, but they're not paying now, well, I guess I'll play in the sandbox instead. Now, it wasn't until the 90s. The economists started doing experiments. And I have to say, I think the experiments that economists did were actually better than the psychological experiments. They're better for two reasons. One is, by the time the 90s came around, we all knew game theory. So we knew how to design a lot of, an experiment, which clearly isolated one set of incentives and supposed to the other and so on.
Starting point is 00:48:31 So we were trying to use experimental behavior to back out from the experimental behavior a function called the utility function, the thing which the individual is maximizing, which would explain that behavior. So that all of our experiments had, you know, for us, the Holy Grail was reverse engineering what must have been the thing which was being optimized. That was a pretty good idea. And the other one is, we always paid, we always played for money. That is, you basically, those economists, count on them. I mean, you know, they, and so we had, if we were dividing up a pie between me and you and I get to do anything I like with it, it wasn't hypothetical. It's actually $100 or $10, and in some cases, much larger sums. And now, those experiments,
Starting point is 00:49:21 some of which my team did, a team of which I was a part around the world, they were really remarkable. What we found was that in the experiments that we conducted, the entirely selfish, consistently selfish person was really a minority. Very few people acted selfish in the way that economists had assumed. And what we had was a bunch of other kinds of behaviors. I mean, some people were kind of unconditional. altruists and sort of Mother Teresa types. Other people were, I'll be generous with you,
Starting point is 00:50:00 but if you're not generous to me, I'll be vindictive towards you. There's some kind of really tough reciprocity. We also found out, which didn't surprise us, but it's very distressing, that people are very group identity oriented. And so we found out a lot of things that were not in the economic model. And then one of the things we've been doing for the past 30 years is saying, okay, well, suppose this field called behavioral economics, suppose that those findings are true. How should economics be different if people really do care about others? Not all the time, not when they're shopping, but perhaps when they're interacting with neighbors and perhaps when they're interacting with the people they employ or with their employer or with their loved ones and so on.
Starting point is 00:50:47 radical idea that people could care about the welfare of others. Yes. Now, I mean, the problem in doing these experiments is, you know, after we did this experiments, we were pretty excited and pretty proud of ourselves. And so we'd go around and decide sometimes lecture in anthropology or sociology departments. And I would announce this newfound knowledge that I had that not everybody is entirely selfish. And they would say, well, tell me something I didn't know. Now, I pushed back pretty hard on that because I do think that the kinds of experiments we did,
Starting point is 00:51:22 the design of them, the fact that they were for real payoffs and so on, meant that we did have a much more solid set of findings about the importance of altruism and the importance of reciprocity and the importance of another thing that comes through in the experiments. People really are fair-minded. They not only don't like it when they're treated unfairly, they don't even like it when they're advantaged from being unfair treatment. And so I think that's made a difference. But I was never very good at designing experiments. I mean, I had ideas about what we'd like to find out, but the actual design of a good experiment is it's a real skill.
Starting point is 00:52:08 and I of course participated with the team in doing this, but I pretty quickly moved on because my interest in sociobiology led me to ask an obvious question, which is how could a species ever evolve with a substantial fraction of its members being altruistic? And this wasn't just a hypothetical question that came to me, a reaction that I had when lecturers, was often from economists and from biologists. Well, look, I don't know about your experiments,
Starting point is 00:52:43 but what I do know is that natural selection cannot produce an altruistic species. And the reason for that is pretty obvious. Altruism is defined as benefiting somebody else at a cost to yourself. Now, in a population genetics model, the benefits and costs are fitness. So if I'm contributing to the fitness of some other at a fitness cost to myself, then my share. of the population, an altruistic type, will fall and the non-alturists will grow. That reasoning is correct, by the way. There's nothing wrong with that reasoning, and it's a pretty good definition. So I went to work on what was a substantially new project, which is, well, I was pretty convinced that we were altruistic. It might not be that we're genetically altruistic, that we're altruistic
Starting point is 00:53:34 for cultural reasons, but it's pretty surprising to find it so universal. because we had done experiments with hunter-gatherers in the Amazon, with herders in Mongolia, with farmers in India, with truck drivers in America, and so on, not just students or, you know, canned populations like you have access to. So a lot of what I've been, of what I worked on was studying models to ask the question, could humans possibly have become altruistic from a genetic standpoint, that it's genetically predisposed towards helping others? And that comes down, that's an empirical question. It surely could have been the case. I mean, here's a narrative about how it could have
Starting point is 00:54:24 happened. It's true that in any group, the altruists would be doing poorly because they'd be helping others and not getting help. But a group, that was composed mostly of altruists would do very well as a group, for example, in competition with another group, if the other group had no altruists. It doesn't have to be a matter of warfare, but suppose the two groups came into conflict. Well, the altruistic group would all be willing to help each other. They'd all volunteer for military service or to go into combat. The non-altorists would all be, you know, after you, Alphans. And then there would, and so, So all you have to have is a past, a period of time in our past in which small groups competed for resources, either during environmental crises or because of just doing military competition.
Starting point is 00:55:21 And then that could be an environment in which if groups were different enough genetically, then and if the ones were the altruist won and the ones that not altruist lost, that could more than. that could more than offset the fact that within every group, the altruists would always be losing a little bit. And so I developed a set of mathematical models, and I did, actually, I learned population genetics, and I did some research on the genetics of hunter-gatherer groups as a way of trying to figure out what we might have been like in the place to scene prior to the change in temperature about 11,000 years ago in climate. And somewhat to my surprise, I found that. humans possibly, well, certainly unusually, possibly uniquely as a species, were capable of constructing institutions and living in a situation because of our technologies and so on,
Starting point is 00:56:18 such that this process called a group selection could actually be a very powerful evolutionary force. And so we end up, I think, with a, now we have strong experimental evidence that we are generous in many circumstances. We have models and data which suggest that that might even be a genetic predisposition. And of course, we know there are many cultural reasons why we'd be taught to be that way. So I think, you know, that's my corner of some of the research that I've done about the question of what human beings are like. And, you know, if you're thinking of a new economic paradigm, you have to come down on that somehow. You can't say we're selfish and really smart.
Starting point is 00:57:01 I mean, you know, the bumper sticker for my paradigm is people are a lot dumber and nicer than economists think. I guess we'll take that, dumber and nicer. Maybe that's a good trade-off. But obviously you're wading into treacherous waters here because biologists have debated for a long time over whether what levels of selection there are, right? I mean, there's Hamilton's principle. I'm willing to do altruistic things for my close relatives, not for my friends. far relatives, but the idea of group selection, where I'm just in a group and I'm willing to sacrifice for them, even though maybe they don't share so much of my DNA. Do you think that this
Starting point is 00:57:38 economic viewpoint on it has strengthened the case for that, even in biology? Well, I think that it's strengthened the case for group selection properly modeled in the Hamilton way. That is, I think Hamilton's way of modeling individual-based selection with individual. is competing for fitness is the right way to model any evolutionary process. I mean, we can improve on what Hamilton said and wrote. I think that group selection was in the doghouse for a long time among biologists for two reasons. One is they didn't think it was empirically likely that genetic differences between groups would be large enough so that one group winning and the other one losing would make enough of a difference to offset the within group
Starting point is 00:58:28 erosion of the altruists. But there was another reason, which is that the idea of group selections seemed to be that people were doing things for the group, and was the groups that were being selected and not the people? Group selections are a rather unfortunate term, because it looks like the unit of selection is a group. Now, there are models in which you can have the unit. of selection being a group. And they're not nonsensical, but some of the ideas about group selection
Starting point is 00:59:05 and the groups being selected didn't make a lot of sense formally and mathematically. So there were both mathematical and empirical reasons. Ultimately, it's individuals who are reproducing. That's right. And, you know, people like to express that in terms of the genes reproducing, but it's the individuals who bear the genes. And so I'm fine with an entirely individual-based model of the evolutionary process for human behaviors. And that's what I and now many other people have shown. That is, as long as the groups are different enough genetically, then the process works.
Starting point is 00:59:44 Now, what does that mean? Well, if they're different enough genetically, it means I am actually more closely related to the people in my group than I am to a randomly selected member of the population. If that were not true, group selection couldn't work. So the connection to kin selection is that this is kin selection writ large. It could be people who are quite dissent really related to you. But all it takes is that the groups are more like kin than the random population.
Starting point is 01:00:17 I think, you know, again, in my mind, kin selection got a bad name because it was a good theory, Hamilton's theory. but people interpreted it to mean that our generosity extends only as far as our immediate family. And of course, we observe that's not true. It's not just our sisters and brothers and parents and kids. And so I think that actually, I think the biology of the evolution of human behavior has really made huge advances. And it's interesting now that, for example, group selection has become a much more widely accepted. idea, partly because E.O. Wilson endorsed the idea of group selection before his death. And his status, of course, helps a lot. I guess when we talk about game theory and its use in these
Starting point is 01:01:11 analyses, well, what I have in mind, which is completely unaffected by actual knowledge of what is going on, is something like, you know, I have a population of a lot of people, they interact pairwise with other people, and they all have strategies, and there's payoffs for their strategies, and maybe they're mixed strategies rather than pure strategies, and I could run some giant simulation and find equilibrium distribution of strategies. Is that anywhere close to what you actually do? That's right. I mean, I would add there's a missing part of that, which is how does the population fraction of strategies change? And all you have to add to that is the idea that, people who are, that is, strategies that on average have higher payoffs are going to grow.
Starting point is 01:02:02 Yeah. Now, the higher payoffs there could mean greater fitness if it was a genetic model. But it could also be a cultural model in which people who do better get copied just culturally. So non-smokers actually seem to be pretty happy and they live longer. maybe they're more likely to marry. Maybe non-smokers kids are more likely to copy their non-smoking than a smoker's kid would copy their smoking and so on. So, I mean, you can take this idea of what's called in mathematics a replicator equation or replicator dynamic and then say it's payoff monotonic.
Starting point is 01:02:42 All that means is that the fraction of that strategy will go up if it's above average and go down if it's below average. and that's just a standard formalization of natural selection with fitness, and all you do is change it to any kind of copying. So then you have a cultural model and a biological model. The math is the same at the most abstract level, but then obviously if it's a cultural model, then you might want to amend it a little bit. You might say, well, payoffs are one thing, but I'd like to take account of the fact that people also tend to copy things which are most common in a population. So fine, then it's very easy to amend the cultural fitness equation to include two weighted terms. One is the payoffs and the other is how many others in the population there are.
Starting point is 01:03:31 And once you realize that you do, you have a machine there. It's just a mathematical expression that you can add stuff to that's pretty intuitive. And we know for each of those things, there's probably some truth to it. You copy people who are doing well. You copy the majority. You know, we've, you know, so that's basically the standard, the way the standard models work. And, you know, there's some big puzzles, you know, because there are things that are culturally successful that are biologically disasters. And, you know, I mentioned smoking.
Starting point is 01:04:05 You know, people, you know, annually convert to smoking and yeah, and people die. Or consider cities. Until two centuries ago, cities were a biological. disaster and a cultural success. I mean, death rates in cities were higher than in the countryside, and yet people kept flooding the cities, and the way we got cities was the cultural selection process was swamping the biological one. And, you know, so, you know, we really need to see, I mean, a good sociobiology is one which takes the cultural and the genetic, or biological, together. And what I said is mathematically that it's not hard to do.
Starting point is 01:04:45 we need, I mean, as in many areas, we think, oh, this is very complicated, very advanced, very novel. It isn't any of those things. It's standard theory that just we need to know more facts. I guess one of the issues with any system that depends on cooperative behaviors is that there will be free riders, right? People who skate by on the goodness of others. And maybe a slightly depressing implication of what we're talking about here is, sure, there will be some fraction of free riders, but as long as there's a little bit of, not too many of them, the group as a whole will do okay? Well, that's certainly right. And the last thing you said is true, as long as you're not too many of them.
Starting point is 01:05:27 Now, it's interesting to see how societies really deal with free riders. And let's go back in history and prehistory and think about maybe 100,000 years in which biologically modern humans were primarily foragers, that is, mobile hunter-guards, gatherers. We have very good reason to think that they shared food. That's in part because they acquired food in very large packages. That is large game. They didn't have a fridge. So obviously they're going to share the food. They rarely got, and got their prey. I mean, I've actually hunted with hunter gatherers and the group I was hunting with the hit rate, the likelihood of getting something was extraordinarily small, maybe once a month. So you've got a share.
Starting point is 01:06:15 Now, in those societies, of course, there's somebody who says, well, okay, I'll share at the pot, but I won't go hunting. Well, the free rider problem must have been there, and they found ways of dealing with it. What we know from modern ethnographic studies is simple things. Like, for example, you eat in public. You eat in public, so everybody knows, you know, who's getting the stuff from the pot. And the other thing is, again, from modern ethnographic studies, the free riders are not treated well. They're joked about. They're ridiculed.
Starting point is 01:06:50 And eventually, if they insist, they're actually physically punished. So now, what can we learn from that today? Well, let's think about public goods or any kind of common thing which we have. We've studied in experiments. How do people contribute to these things? And they're always free riders. So in what's called a standard public goods game, that's just a prisoner's dilemma with a lot of people.
Starting point is 01:07:18 So it's an end-person prisoner's dilemma in which it's in everybody's selfish interest to not contribute, but it's in the interests of everyone if everyone contributes. Now, in those games typically, if you play them consecutively, you know, over many periods, people start off hoping for the best. They contribute a fair amount to the public good. But then they notice that other people aren't contributing. And then they think, well, the only way I have to do to avoid being a sucker is I won't contribute. Now, if you stop the game after, say, 10 rounds and you say, okay, from now on, you're all going to see the contributions of the other members, not by name, of course, but just by some symbol.
Starting point is 01:08:05 And you can take some of your payoffs that you've already won. And for cost, you can actually punish the people who are, you can punish anybody. We don't say they would punish. And we would never use the word punish. We'd just say, you can pay, you can pay one euro to reduce the payoffs of this, of anybody else by two euros or something like that. And what happens is extraordinary. They punished like crazy. And so in the second set of ten rounds, the, the, the, the, the,
Starting point is 01:08:39 amount contributed, which had gone down almost zero, goes up much, much higher, up to 80% or something. And by the end of the game, almost everyone is contributing. Nobody's punishing. And so now let's think about that. I mean, there's a lot to unpack here. The most obvious thing is this. The second game has a public goods game contributing to the public good, but then it has punishing, but punishing is also a public good, because if I punish this guy, everyone benefits if he or she shapes up. So in the first public goods game, it collapsed, and they all ended up doing nothing. But in the second public goods game, the combination of what's called the public goods game and the punishment game, everybody punishes a lot until it's not necessary.
Starting point is 01:09:28 Well, that's interesting. Are we genetically or culturally predisposed to be really irritated at free riders. If given the opportunity, we're willing to actually pay out of our pocket so as to punish them, well, it turns out that we are. And so now we can think about, oh, in other experiments, by the way, we've found out that even if the target of the punishment won't even know about the punishment, until after the game is over, people want to punish. Now, that's crazy because they can't possibly affect their behavior.
Starting point is 01:10:12 Makes it feel good. They just want to punish the free riders. So we know a lot about the punishing of free riders. But it's typically done better if it's done by peers who share your situation and for whom it seems like an altruistic act. So imposing punishments from the top often backfires. You know, we found out, for example, that during the COVID epidemic, mandating vaccines incurred a very hostile response, whereas your neighbor is saying, you know, I really feel a lot better if you'd go and get vaccinated was more effective.
Starting point is 01:10:48 Now, so when we think about this, what I think is that we're missing out in terms of our resources for making society better. Typically, we have two tools. We go with the state and we have markets. And then the state basically has a set of regulations and laws, which it implements based on elections if you're in a democratic society. Those are obeyed because of some notion of obedience to the state or maybe fear of punishment. The markets have their own ways of implementing things through buying and selling stuff.
Starting point is 01:11:26 And those things, the buying and selling is motivated by, self-interest or some combination of self-interest and other preferences. But it strikes me that if we look at what works in society, we're missing another dimension. I mean, the debates that we have are really, imagine a line running from state over on the left to market over on the right. And then there's a tug of war between Democrats who are trying to pull it over towards the state and Republicans are trying to pull it over towards the market, or at least that's the way Republicans used to be. And now, when I say there's something missing, I guess the expression I
Starting point is 01:12:08 would use is community or civil society. That is, that's the place where people gossip about each other, where they appoint the finger. That is, you have an opinion of your neighbors and you express it. That's the place where, you know, how do communities work? Well, they work through people really caring about each other often in negative ways. For example, a lot of our communities have to do with wanting to live in a relatively homogeneous place and, for example, having a racist or homophobic attitude towards other people. So I don't put community here forward as a normative ideal any more than I see the state and the market as a normative ideal. It's just an arena in which our moral ideas and are very high-level information.
Starting point is 01:12:57 because we're neighbors can be brought to bear so as to control things like free writing and, you know, perhaps make possible a more effective company or more effective cooperative enterprise of some kind because you have a group of people who actually we know what each other are doing and we praise each other and we occasionally sort of deride each other if we're not doing a good job. That's how a well-functioning economy has to work. And that's increasingly the case today. Because if you think of the economy at the time of Adam Smith or for that matter of Karl Marx, producing steel and textiles and grain and so on, those were mostly things which you can measure.
Starting point is 01:13:41 You know how much grain was produced and you can tell pretty much how much textiles this person made and so on. And you can sell this stuff. The stuff can be packaged. So it's sometimes, why am I contrasting this to today? Well, look at the work of today. A lot of work today is just like what we're doing. It's people talking. We're expressing ideas.
Starting point is 01:14:05 We're entertaining people. We're doing cultural production. But much more than that, we work in restaurants. We're waiting on table. We're engaged in the care of the old and the young, the teaching of people. that is the vast majority of people in the modern economy are doing the things I just mentioned. In the United States, one in seven works in manufacturing, mining, and things which have smokestacks, and you would think of as being on the cover of your economics textbook.
Starting point is 01:14:36 So most of the things we're doing are really hard to measure. And what it means is that in most of what we're doing, contracts don't really work very well. And for the same reasoning, neither do government fiats, because, Because for the same reason that you can't contract for my work effort, the government can't force me to work either. And the government can't force me to be a good citizen. And they can't force me to be tolerant of my gay neighbor or of my Republican neighbor and so on. So it's having a decent society requires that we mobilize all those things we've learned about free writing. and to bring to bear the kinds of moral pressures that people have,
Starting point is 01:15:21 and to find a way also to minimize the repugnant moral pressures that often go along with the word community. Let me just ask one question which is sort of looming in the background here. We're in a situation in the world where we have these kinds of challenges that are larger in scale, maybe than we've used to be thinking of, either global scale things or long-time horizons, whether it's climate change, or future pandemics, nothing that I can think of in the sociobiology or even our local cultural norms equips us to deal with those kinds of things. Do you have either more prescriptive
Starting point is 01:15:59 things to say or just some room for optimism there? Yes, I do. That may surprise you. And it will surprise you even more, the analogy that I'm going to use as the basis of my optimism. I think we can learn from nationalism. Nationalism. Okay. That we should be optimistic about the possibility of a more global mentality. Let's go back and think about what nationalism did. Now, by the way, to start with I hate nationalism, I think it leads us to be narrow-minded, to hate outsiders, and so on. But I want to talk about the constructive role that nationalism had. I'll take the case of Italy that I know quite well. the Italian language has existed for a very long period of time. And in that sense, Italians have existed, but Italy didn't exist.
Starting point is 01:16:48 The people from Naples didn't really talk to or care about the people from Milan. And the people from Milan were quite disparaging about the people from the South. And even little communities actually spoke somewhat different dialects and so on. There was no sense in the world that a person that a Neapolitan, and would be willing to risk their life on behalf of a person from Venetia or a distant place like that. What nationalism in Italy and in France and the United States did is it created a sense of togetherness of an us that is really remarkable. Now, France and Italy is not so remarkable, really. What about the United States?
Starting point is 01:17:32 The us of Americans, just take a picture. Look at it. Look at the people who are willing to essentially go to bat for each other. there are grandparents, maybe spoke different languages, were in different countries and so on. Nonetheless, that has happened. Now, what do I learn from that? Well, one thing I learned is that kind of us and them sentiment is the basis of many wars and many horrors that have been imposed on humanity.
Starting point is 01:18:00 But it also means that as a cultural animal, human beings are capable of overcoming the past differences, the old antiquated us and thems for a larger us. Now, whether or not it's, I mean, and I think it's possible for us to extend that to others in other countries. Now, whether it's possible that we do that soon enough to essentially minimize the risk of warfare and also economic disasters in parts of the world, it's hard to say. But I think we have that, capacity. I worry more about our capacity to feel the same way about future generations. That's because, of course, what we say is, well, can't you imagine your grandchildren and your great-grandchildren? But yes, but we're talking about a very long future when we talk about
Starting point is 01:18:58 climate change and the need to preserve a livable planet. But I think, I mean, there is generally is good news in the sense that if you go back to where economics was 30, 40 years ago, we were still back in the dark old days of homo-economicus, economic man, the one who was really smart and selfish. And, you know, I don't think anyone believes that anymore. Not even economists don't believe it. And I even think among biologists, there is an interest in the conditions under which a species may become even genetically predisposed to care. Now, If we can care about someone in Bangladesh or someone in Norway, distant place, of course, we can also care about somebody who may live 200 years from now. But I think it's a little harder to imagine that, and I think we're going to have to work very hard to achieve that.
Starting point is 01:19:55 But being dumber but nicer is at least one step in the right direction. I have to agree. It sounds good to me. So Sam Bowles, thanks so much for being on the Mindscape podcast. Okay.

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