Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas - AMA | December 2021
Episode Date: December 15, 2021Welcome to the December 2021 Ask Me Anything episode of Mindscape! These monthly excursions are funded by Patreon supporters (who are also the ones asking the questions). I take the large number of ...questions asked by Patreons, whittle them down to a more manageable size — based primarily on whether I have anything interesting to say about them, not whether the questions themselves are good — and sometimes group them together if they are about a similar topic. Note that there will be no January AMA, for purposes of a holiday break. Enjoy! Support Mindscape on Patreon.
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Hello, everyone. Welcome to the December 2021. Ask Me Anything episode of the Mindscape Podcast. I'm your host, Sean Carroll. The podcast episode is being released a little bit before December comes along because it's the Thanksgiving holiday here in the United States. So I'll be traveling for that and then traveling for a workshop directly afterward. I wanted to get to your AMA questions before I started traveling rather than waiting until afterward. So you know that, or long-time listeners know, that I do,
take vacation for real over the Christmas holidays slash New Year's holidays. So there's two weeks
when I will not have a real podcast episode. And I will try to do a holiday message, short,
brief, you know, thanking everyone for their support kind of thing just before the holidays.
And there will be no Ask Me Anything episode for January. So no Ask Me Anything episode with questions
asked at the end of December, answers given at the beginning of January. So this is it. This is the
last Ask Me Anything episode for this year, the next call will be near the end of January.
Again, those of you who are longtime listeners know if you want to ask a question for the
Ask Me Anything episode, the important thing is to support Minescape on Patreon.
You can go to patreon.com slash Sean M. Carroll, and you sign up there, dollar or whatever
you want per episode of Mindscape, we'll get you both ad-free versions of the podcast, as well as
the ability to ask questions for the monthly.
Ask Me Anything episodes. It used to be back in the old days when it was just a few of us around the
fire that everyone who asked a question got it answered. We've grown since then. Can't be
quite the same anymore. But I do try to pick the best questions in terms of things I can give
interesting answers to. Do not feel bad if you ask a question that I don't get around to it.
It's me. It's not you. Don't worry about it. The other thing, of course, is I'd like to remind
people. We have a
web page for the podcast,
reposterousuniverse.com
slash podcast.
And all the Mindscape episodes are there.
You can search them. There's a wonderful little search
tool. You can search not only the
titles and my show notes, but also
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podcasts, transcripts that are paid for
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And of course, you can also get links
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web pages, their publications, their
publications, whatever it is. And the final thing, which I never remember it to mention, but I always
remember it when I'm not recording, is that we do appreciate reviews of the podcast on iTunes
and elsewhere. You know, getting good iTunes reviews helps you get more visible to other people
who might like to listen to podcasts. So as good as the podcast is, don't hog it for yourself.
Share it around. Share the word. That Minescape is a good thing. Let me see. Anything else? Nothing else right now.
have a lot of packing to do. There is a trip coming up and a lot of questions to get to. So let's go.
Joy Colbeck says, why are black holes bald? This is, of course, in reference to the famous
statement by John Wheeler that a black hole has no hair, an idea that was semi-rigorized by
Roger Penrose into the no-hair, what we call the no-hair theorem, but a mathematician would not really
call it a theorem. It's not been proven yet. Because, of course, you don't.
know the ultimate laws of physics yet. What does it mean to prove something unless you have some
good axioms? Now, what you can do is assume some laws of physics, like it's just general relativity
plus electromagnetism. And then you can prove a no-hair kind of theorem that says that once you make a
black hole, unlike a planet or a star, which has all sorts of interesting features on it,
all black holes settle down to a uniform configuration. It's always the same kind of configuration,
given the mass, the charge, and the spin of the black hole. There's no.
other hair on a black hole other than that. It's not like you have continents and oceans or something
like that like a planet does. So why is Joy's question. You know, why questions in physics are
always tricky. Depends on what assumptions you're going to start with here. But the way I like to think
about the black hole situation is it's entropy. It's usually entropy that is at the heart at these
kinds of questions. Black holes have the highest entropy that you can fit into a region of fixed
size. They are in some sense local maxima of entropy. And what that means is, operationally, that
they're all going to look alike. That's a feature of high entropy states, is that they're not
that interesting. Think about blackbody radiation. Think about taking an object, a relatively
heat-proof, melting-proof object, okay, so an object can sustain some high temperatures. But it
doesn't matter what it's made out of. It doesn't matter what color it is. It doesn't matter what
shape it is or anything like that. Put it in a tight oven, tightly sealed oven at a very fixed
temperature and let it come to equilibrium. So let the entire object inside come to the same
temperature of the oven is and then open the oven. What you will see is that the object is glowing,
giving off radiation. And the radiation it gives off and the way it gives it off is
completely independent of the material it's made out of, of the color it is, of the shape it is,
or anything like that. That is because it has come into equilibrium with the thermal bath that it is in,
and it has a fixed temperature now. Given its shape, etc., it's in a maximum entropy state,
and that means it's featureless in terms of the radiation it gives off. And black holes are the
same way. Black holes, as Hawking taught us back in the 70s, give off thermal black body radiation,
another sign that they are maximum entropy states.
So maximum entropy things, you know, given their macroscopic constraints like the size,
the mass, the charge, the spin, et cetera, the whatever quantum states are inside the black hole
are as uniform and high entropy as they can possibly be.
That is why black holes are bald.
Now, that's a very different explanation than you would have gotten back in the late 60s,
early 70s when they first started talking about this stuff, because they were not thinking about quantum states or entropy. They were just thinking about classical general relativity. And it's a feature of classical general relativity that if you make a black hole, it can have bumps and wiggles, but those bumps and wiggles quickly radiate away. That's what happens, for example, when two black holes in spiral, like we see at LIGO or something like that, all the individual idiosyncrasies of the specific state that went into making the black hole are radiated away in the form of gravitational waves, and the black hole
settles down very, very quickly. So that's just a feature of classical general relativity,
but in some sense, it makes a little more sense to us once we understand the quantum underpinnings
of that and the fact that it's evolving towards a maximum entropy state. In fact, this was the
inspiration, right? There was a noticeable set of similarities between black hole mechanics and
thermodynamics. That's what eventually pushed Hawking in Beckenstein to show that there is an
entropy and a radiation coming out of black holes.
Preston Justice says,
A couple of months ago, my professor called your poetic naturalism
pop philosophy.
He is a philosopher and did not mean this condescendingly,
but what is your response to that?
I understand that your books are written for a very wide audience
to target those of us who are non-physicist,
but you also give us the math and make us work
and put in the work for your philosophical inquiries as well.
So how would you distinguish real philosophy from pop philosophy?
I also follow the work of David Wallace and Love Your podcast,
with him and know you have been associated with him for some time. I assume you have him and many
other philosophers to consult with whenever needed, right? So I almost didn't answer this question
because, you know, I don't want to feel like I'm just defending myself or something like that,
but I think this touches on a much bigger and really important issue. So I will sort of try to
address it directly, specifically, and then go on to the general thought here. Look, I don't care
if someone calls poetic naturalism pop philosophy. The book, the big picture in which I wrote about,
poetic naturalism is a popular-level book. No question about that. It is not a technical,
philosophical tone. It is not written in the style that you would find professional philosophical
writings appearing in. Professional philosophy would be much more careful about not just
name-checking all the great minds and other people who've thought about these issues,
which I did a little bit, but nowhere near comprehensively. It would also be much more careful.
typically professional philosophy, especially in these days, tries its best to go through every single possible permutation of the argument in front of you.
In fact, this can be frustrating sometimes as a scientist who likes philosophy.
Sometimes philosophers seem to be content with just listing every possible answer to a question rather than telling you what is the right answer.
As a scientifically oriented guy, I just want to get the right answer.
And so that's the spirit, both as someone who just wants the right answer
and someone who is writing a book for a popular audience,
that's the style in which all that was talked about in the big picture.
Now, what I do care about is whether it's right or wrong, right?
If the characterization of it as pop philosophy
was in some sense meant to imply that it was not serious,
that it was wrong somehow, then I would like to know why it's wrong.
then just labeling it pop philosophy is kind of meaningless.
That is just then, you know, what Carl Bergstrom in the podcast episode we did here,
labeled bullshit gatekeeping, you know, making sure that the interlopers from outside your discipline don't come in.
But, you know, I did talk to plenty of philosophers while writing the book.
I've gotten very good responses from philosophers since then.
Some philosophers have used the book as texts in their class.
Others disagreed with the book, which is fine.
That's what I care about.
care about either people agreeing with it or disagreeing with it less than whether it's called
pop or serious. But the bigger picture question, which this touches on, is, you know, there's
sort of two dimensions along which, you know, we're plotting our discourse here. One is the disciplinary
dimension. There's science, there's philosophy, there's history, there's et cetera, et cetera. And the
other dimension is the sort of academic versus popular dimension, right? And so when I'm writing about
philosophy, I'm both being interdisciplinary, you know, crossing over a disciplinary boundary within
academia, but also writing for a wide audience, not writing a sort of technical thing. And so the big
question is, where do we place our trust? You know, forget about me, forget about my book,
but when we're reading some book or listening to some source, maybe it's a YouTube video or a
podcast or an article in the New York Times. But it's by some person, and we're not individually
experts in the area that they are writing about. How do we judge how seriously to take them?
That's a really hard question. We would like to find some simple algorithm for thinking about it,
but there is no such simple algorithm. We have to really kind of think carefully in each individual
case. Now, certainly you would like to say that if someone is a credentialed expert in a certain
field, and that's the field they're writing about, then you take them a little bit more seriously.
You don't take them just at face value.
You don't say, well, they must be right because they're an expert, because experts disagree with each other sometimes.
But you would put more weight on someone who is writing about exactly their field.
But you also know that even people who are experts sometimes say silly things, even within their own field.
I know physicists who say silly things about quantum mechanics all the time.
Some physicists would say I say silly things about quantum mechanics all the time.
So you can't use that as a completely reliable guide.
I am a huge believer that people in academia should write for both wider audiences and for other academic audiences in different fields,
while keeping in mind that the process of doing that is necessarily going to open you up to making mistakes and being criticized, right?
So I think that there's some kind of attitude that says that if you're an expert in field X,
you just should not talk about any other field other than X.
And I think that's a terrible attitude.
How in the world are we going to make progress if different fields can't talk about and to each other?
But I would take a philosopher talking about physics less seriously than a philosopher talking about philosophy
and vice versa for physicists talking about philosophy.
So I think you need to really take, you know, attempts for people to talk outside their credentialed area of expertise with a grain of salt, but there are techniques we can use to decide who is trustworthy and who is not.
And these techniques have more to do with the person talking than the thing they're talking about.
Like once you know that they're not exactly in their expertise, you shouldn't completely dismiss them, but you should ask questions about how credible they seem.
So, I mean, what does that mean?
Well, you can ask, do they seem to be familiar with the field they're talking about, even if it's not their technical area of expertise?
When they're talking, do they seem to be overly sure of themselves?
Are they very clear about what is known and what is not known?
Are they clear about what they're trying to say with confidence versus speculating about?
Are they willing to be wrong?
Are they fallibilistic?
Or are they just sort of bombastic?
Are they clearly trying to be sensationalist or contrarian just for the sake of being contrarian just to sell books or get clicks or something like that?
Versus are they trying to work through difficult issues in good faith to the best they can, right?
So all of these are things that you can think about and try to take seriously.
At the end of the day, you have to judge it.
Whether someone is, you know, if you're an expert in philosophy or physics or anything else,
when you read my book or anyone else's book,
you've got to judge how seriously you want to take that.
At the end of the day, that's what matters,
you know, whether or not the ideas are worth something,
not whether or not they're popular versus academic,
philosophy versus physics, or anything else.
Regular Epistivist says,
can you give a very simple explanation
about the difference between primordial gravitational waves
versus gravitational waves from inflation?
I mean, the zeroth order explanation is no.
There is no difference.
there's not that much to say. But there is a tiny difference, depending on how exactly you want to get
into it, namely, gravitational waves from inflation are a subset of all possible primordial
gravitational waves. So inflation is this idea that in the super-duper early universe, the primordial
universe, the universe underwent a phase of exponential super-fast expansion. And due to quantum
fluctuations, that would naturally generate some gravitational waves that could leave an imprint on the
universe. Cosmologists have not found evidence for such an imprint yet. There was a moment a couple
years ago when we thought maybe we had, but that went away. It turned out not to be right. So inflation
predicts that there should be gravitational waves, but it's silent on exactly how strong they should be.
So it's very possible that inflation is correct, and yet we don't ever find the gravitational
waves predicted by inflation. It is also possible that we do find them, and that would be evidence for
inflation. It is also possible that we find gravitational waves, and yet they come from something
other than inflation. And that's tricky because, you know, if you don't know what the specific
model is, you don't know whether it predicts gravitational waves or not. So in other words,
I can imagine primordial gravitational waves that are not from inflation. I just don't have any
specifically good scenario to make them. I know there are all sorts of bouncing in cyclic scenarios
and things like that. I find these generally
utterly unconvincing for completely
other reasons, so I don't even know
personally, you know, which
of them would predict primordial gravitational
waves and which would not.
Okay, I'm going to group
some questions together here.
Three of them. Perry Romanowski
says, how do black holes interact
with dark matter? Does it fall in? Are there
dark matter black holes?
Adam Berger says, since dark matter has
mass and therefore generates gravitational
force, can it form heavenly bodies?
Can it form black holes?
And do we have a short-chill radius for that scenario?
And Chris Chautard says, in the Lambda CDM model,
could it be that dark matter black holes can form?
So I don't know why there were simultaneously a bunch of questions about dark matter black holes.
Maybe there was a news article or something or a tweet that I missed out there.
But, you know, the short answer is yes, sure, dark matter can make black holes.
But in the real world, it's much, much, much less efficient.
than ordinary matter.
The point is that ordinary matter is not dark.
It couples to electromagnetic radiation,
and dark matter is dark.
It does not couple to electromagnetic radiation.
And what that means is that
when dark matter particles come close by,
they just go right through each other.
They do not dissipate.
You know, when atoms bump into each other,
they can lose energy by bumping into each other,
temporarily getting excited,
and then kicking off a photon, right?
by radiating.
Radiating that energy away, they lose energy.
So when a bunch of atoms, or individual ions or electrons or whatever, come near to each other,
they can stick together.
They can clump.
They can coalesce.
And black holes are very, very, very dense.
To make a black hole, you have to put a lot of mass, a lot of energy into a very, very small region of space.
Even though there's more dark matter in the universe than ordinary matter, it's not condensed.
It is thinly spread throughout the universe, and it has no forces acting on it that want to condense it.
I mean, there's gravity, but the problem is you have two dark matter particles.
They pull each other through their mutual gravitational pull, and they come right by and they go right past each other because they don't stick, because it's only gravity, and gravitational waves are far, far too weak to make that happen.
So in principle, you can make black holes out of dark matter.
In practice, it doesn't really happen.
Now, there is a loophole there.
It is possible that in the early universe, ordinary matter and dark matter coalesce in the same place, right?
So the dark matter might be a little over-dense in a region where the ordinary matter also is, and they both condense together.
And even though the dark matter just goes right through and the ordinary matter can stick, if the ordinary matter is going along with the dark matter and it gets so dense that it makes a black hole that will trap some of the dark matter in the black hole.
So dark matter can contribute to the formation of black holes in the early universe,
and there's some theories that that's actually important astrophysically.
But by itself, it would be very hard, you know,
if ordinary matter we're not helping it along,
it would be very, very hard to make a dark matter black hole.
Not impossible, but not easy either.
Relatedly, here's another question from Marian Marconi,
is the dark matter transparency a matter of scale, energy, or magnitude mismatch in our tools?
similar to the circle and point metaphor.
If we only use a point as a probe,
we can never find the circle.
This is an interesting question.
So I think I get it.
I think I get what you're asking.
Let me try to rephrase it.
You know, we say the dark matter is dark,
and the easy way for that to happen
is the dark matter doesn't interact
with photons at all,
with electromagnetism at all.
It's neutral, right?
It's therefore dark.
But I think the question being asked here
is, can we imagine?
Imagine that for some reason, dark matter is transparent to certain wavelengths of light, but not to other wavelengths of light.
I think that the short answer is that in easy models of dark matter that you would write down, that's hard to make work.
Because basically, think about it this way.
You know, in particle physics, a particle is either electrically charged or it's not.
Now, in the real world, we can make condensed collections of particles that are either transparent or opaque.
We can make a piece of wood or a piece of glass, and one of them will stop light from going through it, and the other one will not.
But the individual particles, if you just dispersed them, all these particles are charged, and they will interact with photons very, very readily.
And if they're not interacting with photons, if they're not charged particles, it's hard to be.
to make them stick together, like we just said, and form substances, okay?
So the reason why ordinary matter can either be transparent or not to different wavelengths of light
is because of the sort of chemistry and condensed matter physics of it
when they come together to make different arrangements of atoms and molecules,
not because of the properties of the individual particles themselves.
And we don't think the dark matter does come together in that way.
So we think that the dark matter particles are either charged or they're not.
If they're charged, they would not be dark.
They'd be visible.
You could see them.
And if they're not charged, then they're going to be dark no matter what you want.
So I don't see any simple way to make dark matter particles interact with certain wavelengths of light, but not with other ones.
There might be something more clever that I'm not thinking of right now.
Like maybe the dark matter particles are not charged, but they have an electric dipole moment or something like that.
I don't know.
that would be a more complicated model that I would have to think about.
Parenthetically, I cannot help but mention that there is the possibility of dark radiation.
So not only dark matter, but dark photons, dark light, right?
This is an idea that I wrote about with some students, well, one student, Lodi Ackerman,
and one postdoc, Matt Buckley, who is now a professor at Rutgers,
and my colleague at the time at Caltech, Mark Kamenkowski, who's now at Johns Hopkins,
We wrote a paper.
What if there was an entirely different copy of electromagnetism
that only coupled to dark matter, not to ordinary matter.
And interestingly, it can work.
It's possible.
But still, that would not affect how dark matter interacted with ordinary matter,
or the ordinary visible radiation.
Sorry about that.
Linneumizhara says,
how can an electron have zero size if it has mass?
You know, so the first answer I want to give is,
Why not? Who says that you need to have size, to have mass?
Like, you're clearly kind of visualizing some very classical kind of lump of clay kind of model for the electrons,
but, you know, elementary particles are not like that.
The better answer is electrons don't have zero size.
I know people say that they do, but electrons are wave functions.
And now I'm just going to assume that my version of quantum mechanics is the correct one,
my many world's version of quantum mechanics.
If you think that the wave function is really what is going on in the world,
whether it's in many worlds or any other version of quantum mechanics,
then electrons don't have zero size.
You cannot localize the electron wave function to a point, okay?
You can get an approximate theory of how electrons behave
by starting with the classical theory of a point particle and quantizing it.
That's the reason why a physicist will sometimes claim that electrons have zero size.
But that's just because they're not taking quantum mechanics seriously, right?
I mean, the quantum theory doesn't have any memory that you made it from the classical theory of a point particle.
It is in some sense as if when you measure the electron, it has no spatial extent, right?
You can measure it to an arbitrary precision, its position or something like that.
But that's a feature of the measurement process of quantum mechanics,
not an intrinsic feature of the electron itself.
So real-world electrons do not have zero size.
Therefore, it shouldn't bother you that they have mass.
Pete Harlan says,
what are your options for typesetting equations
in the upcoming biggest ideas in the universe book?
Despite Donald Knuth, equations in Kindle books seem to fall into two camps.
Static graphics that don't scale and look terrible in dark mode
or in line text formatting as in Suskins the theoretical minimum books
that is unreadable? Is there an option for an author that properly accommodates electronic books?
So the only reason, I have no idea what the answer to these questions is. They're good questions.
The reason why I'm reading it out loud is because I had never even thought about this, but you're right, of course.
So implicitly in the question, you're asking about the electronic editions of books. Believe me, it's hard enough to get the paper editions published.
You know, a publisher, like my publisher, Dutton, who has done all of my books so far, all my trade books so far,
and every one of my trade books has like one or two equations in it, right?
So they know how to type set an equation.
But this book has a lot of equations in it.
The biggest ideas in the universe books coming up.
And it's going to be a little bit tricky to make sure that everything is italicized correctly,
formatted correctly, numbered correctly, all of that stuff.
and I was already fretting
just about getting the paper edition
done correctly.
And you're pointing out correctly
that we're going to have to think again
about the electronic edition.
So I don't know what the answer is.
I do know that my publisher
tries really hard.
You know, they don't brush off these concerns.
So they will try.
And now that you've put the idea into my head,
I'll at least make sure
they're warned ahead of time
about that question.
All right.
Bjorn Engstrom says, if Jeff Bezos were to give you all his money, say, $250 billion,
what would you spend it on and you can't keep any of the money for yourself?
What project or causes would you fund?
I'm very sad I don't get to keep at least $1 billion out of $250 billion.
I mean, you know, this seems like you're giving me a lot of work to do,
and I get no recompense for it at all.
But, you know, I don't have a simple answer to this kind of question.
I think when you're talking about that scale of question, so here's how I interpret the question.
how to be a good global citizen in the case where you have a huge amount of money.
Okay.
So not just like what is the one single thing you would do.
I think there's more than one thing worth doing with all that money.
And therefore, you need to sort of set up a system for divvying out different amounts of money to different kinds of causes.
And I also think that, you know, it's still worth giving money to some causes, even if they're not the single highest priority cause that you can think of.
Like things like solving global poverty or educating people worldwide or just building roads and infrastructure around the world.
Like these are the most obvious things to do.
Health care for people around the world.
Like these are things that I probably couldn't get done for $250 billion, but you could make a dent in it.
I think that's well worth doing.
But then, you know, what about like supporting graduate students in theoretical physics?
Or, you know, supporting local libraries or, you know, blood drive.
or things like that. Those are also worth doing, even if they might not have a sort of saving lives
per dollar kind of aspect. What about supporting arts organizations or other good charitable things?
I think that all these things are worth doing to some extent. So I would want to, you know,
have a foundation or something like that. Try to have a lean and mean foundation that did not soak up
a lot of the money itself, you know, less than 1% of the total. But with, you know, only a hundredth of a
percent of $250 billion, you can still fund a pretty good foundation.
And or, you know, maybe, I don't know, put it in the bank and live off the interest, not live
off the interest, but give money off the interest. And like I said, I would want to sort of dole it
out to many different things at once, starting with the most high impact things in terms of
saving lives and making the lives of poor people around the world better, but also setting aside
some for other aspects of life, cultural, scientific, educational aspects, and so on.
Geek God says, the scientific method consists of going back to the drawing board with your theory
if the data doesn't support it, not to just postulate the existence of supporting data.
How does it then make sense to say that dark matter and dark energy exist, just because we
don't see the amount of matter we expect to see as per the theory?
Shouldn't we say instead that the theory is wrong?
Well, what theory are we talking about here?
I mean, is the theory general relativity?
You know, general relativity doesn't make a prediction all by itself for what the rotation
curve of a galaxy should look like.
It depends on how much mass is in the galaxy.
So the theory is the combination of the theory of gravity plus the theory of what is
causing the gravity, the mass, the energy, so forth.
And when we say there's dark matter and dark energy, it is precisely that the theory is wrong.
That is what we're saying.
We said we had a theory, namely that the matter that you see is everything there is, plus general relativity is the right theory of gravity.
We made a prediction.
It came out wrong, and therefore that theory is wrong.
But adding more matter, dark matter or more dark energy or whatever, is just as much changing the theory as changing the theory of gravity.
And of course, cosmologists have tried to change the theory of gravity.
I've tried to do it.
It just doesn't work.
It doesn't fit the data.
So we're very interested in fitting the data.
And dark matter and dark energy fit the data really, really well.
That's why they're the popular way to go in these particular situations.
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So Michael asks a priority question.
Remember the priority questions, you have the rule that I made up.
which says that every person gets to ask a priority question once in their lives,
and I will always try to answer the priority questions.
So I can't guarantee I'm not, I answer roughly these days half of the total questions that are asked.
I answer half the total questions that are asked.
But if you ask a priority question, if you get that one try, I will do my best to answer it.
Sadly, there's no follow-up priority questions.
So if I don't answer it in a way that makes you happy, sorry about that.
I can't really tell you what to do.
Anyway, so Michael's question is,
How fast are we moving, hurtling through space if we are still, say, sitting in a chair?
If we are still, aren't we moving at the speed of the Earth's rotation?
While at the same time the Earth is also traveling at a certain speed,
hurtling through space, which is traveling through space, which is expanding at a certain speed and so forth.
If one were, he's, so now Michael is anticipating the answer here.
If one were to say something like, how fast are we moving relative to what?
I would then wonder, what is the speed of the expansion of the universe relative to?
So the correct answer to the first part of the question is relative to what?
I mean, that's what relativity says.
There's no such thing as the speed with which you're traveling.
There just is no such thing.
You really have to accept that.
It's not just like a fun little motto.
There's only the relative speed between different objects.
And so there's no such thing as the speed that you're moving at when you're sitting on a chair.
You always have to say relative to what.
And then you say, what is the speed of the expansion of the universe relative to?
But the answer there is that the expansion of the universe,
does not have a speed.
It just doesn't.
It has a rate.
You can ask in a certain period of time
by what percentage will the scale factor
of the universe expand.
But that is not a quantity
that is measured in meters per second.
It does not even have the units of speed.
It has units of one over time.
And that time is roughly speaking,
the time scale for universe to double in size.
So that's not a velocity
that is relative to something else.
that is a rate of increase in some quantity,
which can be perfectly well-defined.
So it's a different kind of thing
than the velocity with which you're traveling through space.
Jeremy Ditman says,
I'm wondering about your views on the future of scientific progress,
say 100 to 1,000 years from now,
and whether or not major advances on big problems,
quantum gravity, rules of complexity, emergence, etc.,
would ultimately be taught to the equivalent of high school students in the future.
That's a good question.
You know, you can certainly imagine what people would have said if you asked this question 500 years ago.
And they're like, yeah, you know, you might come up with crazy new theories, but they won't ever trickle down to high school students.
But these days, we do indeed teach high school students natural selection or Newton's laws of motion.
You know, we don't teach them Maxwell's equation.
We don't even teach them Boltzman's equation for entropy or anything like that.
So there's plenty of things over 100 years ago that we do not teach them.
And so the short answer is I don't know.
I can see it either way.
I would imagine that some things that we learn over the next 100 or 1,000 years will turn out to be both so fundamental and so readily understandable that it is completely possible to teach them to high school students and we will end up doing that.
I can also imagine that the things we learn just remain a little bit too esoteric in the sense that to really understand them, you would need to have a lot of background.
You would need to do a lot of prerequisite work to learn how to manipulate equations or some abstract mathematical concepts or something like that.
So I think it'll be a mixture of those things.
It's hard to be more definite than that because I don't know what the scientific advances are going to be, right?
I mean, I don't really think that high school students are going to be doing a lot of, you know,
tensor analysis or something like that, like you need for general relativity.
They could, in principle, I could imagine, but, you know, it takes a lot of work to learn the
background concepts to get up to that point.
So I don't think it's simply a matter of as time passes, we compress these ideas into
earlier and earlier educational stages.
but there might be some brand new ideas about emergence
or about space time or whatever
that are actually simple enough to teach the high school students.
I just don't know.
Chris Mortlock says,
is the process of acquiring knowledge limitless or limited?
Do you think it's possible
as civilization could ever acquire total knowledge
with no further branches of scientific discovery possible?
No, I don't think that's possible.
You know, I think that it is possible
to know the laws of physics,
I've said many times that we know the laws of physics that are relevant to our everyday lives,
but that we don't know the laws of physics outside our everyday lives.
We don't understand quantum gravity or dark matter or what happened to the Big Bang, etc.
I think it's possible that we could know them, however.
So I certainly imagine that someday we might either know all the fundamental laws of physics
or at least have a theory that purports to be the fundamental laws of physics
that is both completely consistent and fits all the data.
You always want to keep open the possibility
you're going to have to revise your ideas later on down the line, right?
So even if it is the correct theory, you're not sure.
But here's why I don't think you'll ever know all the laws of science,
broadly construed,
is because you can always just get more detailed, right?
You know, a human being cannot carry in their brains
enough information to completely describe another human being.
Because by a complete description, you would mean the position and the momentum of every single atom in that other human being.
And there's just not enough room in your brain to hold all that information, right?
So that's why we coarse-grained and do higher-order approximations and things like that.
So we might have theories of psychology and sociology, et cetera, that are really, really, really good, but still are based on incomplete information.
And so I think there will always be more we can learn because there's just, you know, until we are ourselves,
as big as the universe, there's an obstacle and principle for us to understand everything
that is happening in the universe, right? And that's why none of us is or ever will be Laplace's
demon. Kondol Menda says, Kudal, I'm sorry, Kunal Menda says, do you tell your guests what
do you intend to ask them before a podcast? How much have they typically prepared their answers?
Very little. You know, look, most people who I talk to, they have a spiel, right? They have something
they like to talk about that is kind of pretty obvious. So we don't need to do a lot of negotiations.
Sometimes there are people who, you know, I've certainly done a lot. Like when you talk to Dan Dennett,
he's done a lot of different things. You talk to Roger Penrose. He's done a lot of different things.
And so you might want to say, well, okay, let's pick this to focus in on. And I do generally
say that ahead of time in the invite letter, but I also offer them the opportunity to say,
actually what we should talk about is this other thing. But that's it. It's really just a couple of
sentences back and forth. It's certainly not the case that I tell them the questions I'm going to ask,
since I don't know those oftentimes before we even start the interview. Like I have a kind of bullet
point outline at best and then try to work from that. But you want the interview to be not overly
planned. I think that in my very early days of podcasting, I planned too much. You know, like I really
had my questions plot out ahead of time, which is no good way to do it. You know, you want some points
you want to hit. But the specific questions and the specific
give and take has to come organically out of the interview. And again, most of the people
who I have, it's not their first rodeo. They've done this before. So they're pretty good at
offering answers that sort of makes sense. I do try to have, you know, as I said before,
I like diversity along many axes, and one axis is youth to age and seniority, right? So I have
some famous senior people, and I have some younger people relatively just starting out. And
unsurprisingly, young people just starting out are less practiced at, you know, hitting the sweet
spot of long enough answers to, you know, give some meaty details without just giving a little
mini lecture every time, right? So that's a skill you develop over time. That's okay. I'm happy
to play a tiny role in exposing certain young, promising people to a wider audience and giving
them a chance to sort of hone their technique at addressing these questions in real
time like that. Frank Lehman says, do you think Twitter is a net good or negative for physics and science
more broadly? It seems that for every positive interaction one has on the social network, there are
10 others that confirm its reputation as being a hell site. You know, look, I don't know whether it's
a net good for physics or science. Like, that's very hard to tell. You know, most physicists and
scientists don't use Twitter. I think that you can get a very distorted view of the
world by taking Twitter too seriously as reflecting what is going on in the wider world.
Okay? And that's just as true for, it's even more true for physics than it is for something
like politics or sports or whatever. And physicists are the worst. Like physicists don't
use social media at all compared to other things. And there's a broader point here that, you know,
I've said before, but it's worth emphasizing that both the people who come to mind when you say,
a physicist in the modern world,
and the issues that come to mind
when you say, like, what art physicists
care about in the modern world
are completely different
in the public sphere and in the academic sphere.
There's some overlap, but it's
kind of small, this overlap.
So, you know, the things that get talked
about in physics departments among physicists,
there's a certain set of issues,
a certain set of people who are looked up to
as, you know, wise voices
that we should pay attention to,
certain set of questions that we care about.
And they're not utterly unrelated to what we talk about on Twitter and elsewhere in public,
but they're very different.
And so I kind of sometimes got to roll my eyes, you know, when people give their lists of the top five physicists alive today.
I mean, look, if I appear on that list, then you know the person is not credible.
I'm a good physicist, but not anyone's idea of one of the top five physicists alive today.
But people, you know, very naturally attribute slightly more importance to their favorite public figures than they would do to professors who they've never heard of.
Anyway, the point about is Twitter good for physics or for science?
You know, one thing about Twitter is it's optional.
They have not yet made it compulsory.
They've not yet made it mandatory.
If you yourself find Twitter to be dragging you down, then just don't do it.
That would be my advice.
Like, I use Twitter and I like it, and I'm not trying to make light of the fact that Twitter can be a downer.
Because there's a lot of people on there who with the best of intentions, I mean, some obviously have bad intentions, but forget about those people.
But even with the best of intentions, there are people who use social media to highlight problems in the world to point out injustices or mistakes or falsehoods.
or misinformation.
And if you're just being reminded
of that aspect of the world all the time,
even if all the people you're listening to
are ones you agree with, it drags you down.
It just weighs on you.
You need to have some joy in there.
My own tweeting, I'd like to try to, you know,
mix in me railing against the injustices of the universe
with, you know, more fun, uplifting, enlightening things as well.
And you get to pick who you follow on Twitter
right? So if you're constantly being bombarded with things that bring you down, then you have to ask why you're following the people who are doing that to you. And if you just can't avoid it, then you have to ask why you're on there at all. I think it's obvious that Twitter is a wonderful source for broadcasting information. Like some people like to have conversations on Twitter. They like to go back and forth and discuss things. And I just have no interest in doing that. I don't mean to insult anybody. But when I tweet something and someone responds to it,
chances that I will respond to their response are almost zero because I just don't think it's
useful for that. It's a broadcasting medium. If I want to learn about, you know, when the
LIGO experiment found evidence for gravitational waves, that news spread on Twitter faster than anywhere
else, right? That is the kind of thing Twitter is super-duper useful for, linking to things
that are longer, more careful things, but not for having in-depth conversations about things.
So I find Twitter very, very useful and helpful for that,
but different people's mileage will vary.
Paul Torek says, in Everettian quantum mechanics,
individual branches get thinner over time.
Their amplitudes get smaller.
So they make smaller and smaller contributions
to the total energy of the universe.
Suppose we fashion half the mass of a solar system
into spaceships and toss a quantum coin.
Heads we send out the fleet,
tails we set a few more decades to improve the ships.
We observe tails.
Do we expect the local curvature of space time to be reduced as our other branch siblings fly away,
resulting in a lower all-branches local mass energy density?
So in other words, in case that thought, I edited a little bit, so it's not entirely Paul's fault here.
But in case that wasn't clear, imagine we do a quantum experiment where there's two different possible outcomes,
and in one outcome, we send off a lot of mass, and the other one, we don't.
Would we feel a different gravitational field?
No, we do not.
Otherwise, I mean, to say that we would is to say that the existence of this other branch of the way function in the universe would be observable.
I mean, that would be great.
That would be wonderful.
But within each branch, the laws of physics of ordinary classical physics are more or less obeyed.
So the matter that is in the branch, you know, when you say the Earth, just do a simpler version of your thought experiment.
say that there is a spin you're measuring 50-50 chance to be spin up or spin down,
and you have a bomb that destroys the Earth with 50-50 probability, right?
And you live, you find yourself, you do the experiment,
and you find yourself on the branch where the Earth is not destroyed.
Does the Earth suddenly get half of its mass disappearing?
No, that is not what happens,
because the mass exists within each branch.
And the branching does not change the amount of mass in a single branch at all.
modulo, a little tiny effect, which is what I wrote about in my recent paper with Jackie
Lodman, that of course, if the two branches, the two branches can be slightly different in
energy, as long as their average is the same as the energy that you had before.
But there's a difference, and this is just why it's, this is what, the math is again,
completely crystal clear about this, completely unambiguous.
There's a difference between the energy you perceive from within a branch of the universe
and the contribution of that branch
to the energy of the whole wave function of the universe.
The energy you perceive from within a branch
doesn't change no matter what's happening
on the other branches.
Richard Graff says,
I'm reading and enjoying Chin's Lue.
Sorry, I can never pronounce this person's name.
I'm sorry, Mr. Liu.
Chin Chin Lew's three-body problem series.
In it, a character describes a proton
in a high-dimensional space being unfolded,
into a lower dimensional space.
One of the results is that the object's size
grows immensely large in the lower dimension
and increasingly so as it unfolds
into even lower dimensions.
Does this unfolding concept
and the described size increase
have any mathematical or physical validity
or is it just a clever literary device?
I don't know, is the short answer?
You know, whenever you have something like
a physics process
translated into a science fiction novel,
two things are happening.
One is the novelist will ignore the laws of physics in favor of telling the story they want to tell,
but also number two, even if they're obeying the laws of physics, they're not writing down the equations.
They're using metaphorical descriptions to try to give you a feeling for what is happening.
So nothing in those words corresponds cleanly and crisply to anything that I know about that could actually happen in the real world.
the closest is the idea of living on a brain, B-R-A-N-E,
which is sort of a sub-space of a larger, higher-dimensional space.
So we see a three-dimensional world around us.
It is possible that that three-dimensional world is a three-dimensional brain,
back construction from the word membrane,
so a three-brain embedded in a four-dimensional space
or five-dimensional space or something like that.
and there are particles, the reason why we don't notice the extra dimensions is because the particles of which we are made are stuck to the brain.
Now, as far as I know, there's no sensible theory in which something like an electron or a proton can be stuck to a brain and then escape and then, you know, fly off into the extra dimensions.
Particles and fields either are or are not stuck to the brains.
But, you know, maybe you could, I mean, what you can imagine happening is two particles annihilating,
two particles that are stuck to the brain can annihilate and change into particles that are not stuck to the brain.
And that just appears to us on the brain as missing energy.
Energy would disappear from our observable universe.
Only the observable universe, not the real universe, has nothing to do with quantum mechanics here.
But that is a possible thing.
So I think that's the closest thing that I can think of that is an analogy to that particular existence.
in the novel. Paul Hess says, can you explain the relationship, if any, between entropy and
weak emergence? I begin to think about this when Anil Seths described weak emergence as higher
level behavior that cannot be predicted from the lower level components without exhaustive
simulation. An exhaustive simulation sounds to me like it represents information that is not
compressible, and in computer science, they use the idea of entropy to talk about how compressible
something is. Does it make any sense for me to think of entropy and emergence as related
concepts. Yes, I think that they are related. In fact, I would go so far as to say that we're not
sure, or at least I'm not sure, and I've done a little bit of work on this. I don't think we can
completely articulate right now what the relationship is. Because frankly, I think that our,
despite the fact that we babble about it all the time, I think that our understanding of how
emergence works is pretty primitive and not very general. You know, we've looked at it in
certain cases, but, you know, the general theory of when and how one description,
emerges from another one is very primitive, I think, very underdeveloped.
So here is the sense in which entropy does, well, there is a sense potentially which entropy
is related to emergence.
And there's a trivial sense in which that's true, namely the following.
What if we were in equilibrium?
What if we were in the highest entropy state it is possible to be in?
Then there would be no emergence.
Entropy would not be increasing.
But also we'd be in equilibrium.
Everything would be, you know, whatever configuration it would be in,
presumably smooth and featureless.
And so there'd be no stuff to be higher level objects in the emergent theory, right?
In the real world, emergent things like human beings or whatever
are constantly increasing the entropy of the universe.
Now, that's not perfect or exact what I just said,
because another example of emergence is, you know, the Earth moving around the sun.
the Earth can be described by its center of mass, coordinates,
and it doesn't need to be increasing in entropy for that to happen.
It's true that the configuration of the Earth plus the sun is very low entropy
compared to thermo equilibrium,
but it's not increasing in entropy in any noticeable way.
That increase in entropy is not playing an important role
in the emergence of the Earth as just a point mass going around the sun.
So that's why it's why it's.
complicated. That's why it's hard. So I do think there is a relationship. One more fact about
that. So we don't have the general theory. I can just throw out facts and you can make of them
what you will. There is a relationship to this word that you use compression. The whole idea
of emergence is that there are many, many states that you could imagine specifying in the underlying
microscopic theory that look the same, that correspond to the same state in the macroscopic theory.
So for the Earth moving around the Sun, there's 10 to the 50th particles in the Earth.
There are many, many ways to arrange them so that the center of mass position and velocity of the Earth is the same.
And so that's a compression, right?
The whole idea of emergence absolutely takes advantage of the compressibility of the microscopic theory in some way.
And whenever you compress there's an associated entropy, you can ask about how many ways are there to arrange the microscopic constituent.
so as to make the macroscopic thing,
and the logarithm of that is going to be an entropy.
It's not like necessarily the thermodynamic entropy, et cetera,
but it's related.
So I think that this is all a very rich vein to imagine mining
as we work towards a better understanding of emergence going forward.
Brendan asks,
how would you apply Bayesian reasoning between a deity
and an advanced alien being?
If an entity suddenly appeared and performed actions
that defied our current understanding of physics,
how would you update your Bayesian probability?
I think many people will be quick and wait heavily for a deity,
but it wouldn't be completely unreasonable
to think an alien race millions or billions of years more advanced
to perform things that we think are not possible.
Yeah, that's a very good question.
I think it would depend on the specifics, right?
Like is the, well, okay, let me be even more fair than that.
I'm not at all sure that the deity concept is even,
coherent. So I would tend to put low prior probability on the deity idea. Number one, because it requires
violating our understanding of the universe works, right? Whereas aliens do not. Number two, I think that a lot
of our ways of talking about godlike creatures come from starting with our ways of talking about
ordinary human beings and exaggerating them.
exaggerating them so much to talk about them being infinitely bigger or better or more powerful.
But I don't really think that move is very rigorous or very easy to make sense of.
There's a standard line about God being omnipotent and omniscient and omnibenevolent.
And there's standard objections that say, well, you can't be all of those things
because if you were perfectly good, you wouldn't let all this bad stuff happen in the world.
And there's clever theological moves and maneuvers you can use to get around that conclusion,
but the simple conclusion is the whole idea was just half-baked from the first, from the start.
So my immediate priors would be mostly on highly advanced technological civilization rather than deity.
But I'm willing to update them.
You know, let's talk to these people.
I don't see why an infinitely powerful being would talk to me,
or hasn't talked to me yet but would start?
You know, there's a million ways in which the concept doesn't quite make sense to me.
But, you know, if they claimed that there was some reason that they could demonstrate,
that they were more supernatural than natural,
then I would give them the chance to do that and see what happened.
Kathy Seeger says, I've read an article in Wikipedia about dark fluid theory
in which they aim at unifying dark matter and dark energy.
The theory proposes that dark matter and dark energy are strong.
strongly linked together and can be considered, can be considered as two facets of a single fluid.
At galactic scales, the dark fluid behaves like dark matter, and at larger scales, its behavior
becomes similar to dark energy. What do you think of it? So I don't know exactly what is
being referred to here. There's sort of more than one idea that has been labeled dark fluid in
some sense. This is a natural kind of thing. Look, I already talked about dark radiation and
dark photons. Like, once you invent dark matter and dark energy, you're going to start inventing a lot
of different dark stuff just to see how much you can get away with. I certainly think that any of
these sort of more elaborate, Baroque theories should be giving much lower credence than the simple
theory, because we have a very simple theory for dark matter and dark energy. Dark energy is a
cosmological constant, and dark matter is some cold, weakly interacting or non-interacting
massive particle. Those are two very, very simple ideas that fit all the data, you know, up
to your usual collection of tiny anomalies, like we talked about with Priya and Adirajan
before. There's a tiny anomaly there in the gravitational lensing. There's other anomalies here
and there. But with astrophysical anomalies, you know, there's a lot of phenomena that you're
observing. Occasionally, you'll find an anomaly and occasionally it will go away. So
there's no super strong killer evidence against that very, very simple theory. So it's worth
trying to invent better theories, because, you know, there's absolutely open questions.
about the simple theory,
but until there's really a very well-motivated
and empirically successful version of them,
I would not put too much credence in them.
I know that Justin Corey at the University of Pennsylvania
has a very interesting theory about some superfluid dark matter.
I don't think he's trying to explain away dark energy
in the acceleration of the universe,
but he's trying to explain the behavior of dark matter
in galaxies and clusters,
and he says he can do that in a very specific way.
way. I think that kind of thing is promising. The particle physics behind it is a little
clunky and unnatural, but if you can really explain something astrophysically, maybe it's
worth it. It's certainly worth at least thinking about it. I'm in favor of work going forward
in these directions. Sam Hartzog says, do mathematical functions like integrals, differential
equations, et cetera, have some kind of metric tied to them to represent something like
how many independent bits of information
are required to carry out meaningful operations.
It occurred to me that a notation like
tensor calculus allows you to write things
pretty concisely and wondered if there's
any kind of metric for hidden computational complexity.
So I debated whether to answer this question or not
because it kind of violates my rules.
It's a good question,
but I don't have anything interesting to say about it.
I mean, the short answer is no, as far as I know.
There's not a kind of metric
a metric on this space of operations you need to do
to perform a certain operation,
to transform a certain function or something like that.
There are certain very restricted domains
in which you can do something like that.
And that's what made me think of it.
So in particular, let's say you're doing quantum mechanics,
and let's say that you're doing quantum mechanics
in a finite dimensional setting.
So not finite dimensions of space,
but finite dimensions of space, but finite dimensions of history.
Hilbert space of the quantum mechanical space of possibilities.
So in particular, let's be even more specific.
Let's imagine you have qubits.
Let's imagine you're doing something like a quantum computer.
Okay?
So you have a bunch of qubits, and you're going to act on them.
And it's very much like a regular computer.
You act on bits in a regular computer using gates, right?
And gates, not gates, XOR, whatever.
If you've studied computer science, you know, there's a set of things you can do
with two bits to turn them into one bit or another two bits or etc.
Similarly with quantum information and qubits.
And so if you have a set of qubits and you have a set of allowed gates, right?
So you have gates that can act on these two qubits one at a time.
And so you can't just act really nilly on any two cubits, but there's a set of cubits like maybe
the qubits are arranged in a line or they're arranged in a lattice on a two-dimensional plane
something like that, and you allow gates to interact on nearest neighbors, okay?
Then you can talk about the complexity of the resulting quantum state
or the amount of entanglement in the resulting quantum state.
So you start with a quantum state that is completely unentangled,
and you act on it pairs of qubits at a time with your allowed gates, okay?
And then there's a simple metric on how complicated your quantum state is,
namely, what is the smallest number of allowed gates that will get you
to the state you want to get to
from some given starting point.
As you might gather
from that explanation,
it's a very, very specific
situation you're looking at there.
It's very far away from a general theory
of transforming one function into another
or one vector into another or anything like that.
So I think that's the state of the art
as far as I know.
Because if you don't make those restrictions,
let's say you just start with one quantum state
and go to another quantum state,
and you say, without restricting on the set of gates I can use and whatever,
in principle, how many steps does it take me to get from one quantum state to the other?
And the answer is always one, one step.
If you really cleverly pick your operation,
you can always go from any one orientation of a vector in some vector space
to any other orientation whatsoever.
So I think the general theory there is going to fall short
unless you make some other choices about what operations are allowed.
then maybe you can make some progress.
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Tise Jansen says,
You've convinced me of ever-edying quantum mechanics.
So much, I can't see any problems with it.
I listened to the podcast with David Albert twice
and read something deeply hidden twice,
but I still can't see the problem with probabilities.
And then he goes on to explain, you know,
what his issue is with the problem of probability.
So rather than reading your issue with the issue,
let me just do my best to say how I interpret David's objection.
to many worlds.
You know, the way that I think about
the origin of probability in many worlds
is via self-locating uncertainty.
Chip Stevens and I wrote a paper about this
to try to formalize it, et cetera,
based on ideas that other people used,
Lev Weidman, Vortexurek, and others.
And the basic idea is
when you measure a quantum system,
or when a quantum system is measured,
it doesn't need to be a person or even an apparatus,
but when a tiny quantum system decoheres,
when it becomes entangled with,
this environment and therefore the wave function of the universe branches into multiple copies,
I know I can predict ahead of time with certainty that there will be a version of me on every
one of the copies, okay? And it happens very rapidly. This splitting of the wave function happens
far more rapidly than any one of those copies are aware of. So after the splitting, there are many
copies of me, or just two or whatever, some number, and none of them know where they are. That's the
self-locating uncertainty. So is there a way for those people, those future versions of me,
to assign a credence to being on one branch of the wave function of the universe versus another?
And Chip and I argue that if you, you know, if you try to answer that question in some sensible way,
there is only one possible reasonable answer, which is the born rule of quantum mechanics.
You assign a probability or a credence to being on any one branch that is given by the amplitude
of that branch squared. And David Albert would like to say, no, I have a reason.
another perfectly reasonable possibility, as he says in the podcast, namely, I have no clue.
And that's his attitude.
He says, like, I don't, I can't, you can't force me to say, well, what is the most
reasonable probability measure to put on this?
Because there's n copies of me.
They're all in identical situations.
How can they say anything at all about the probability of being on one branch or another,
especially because none of them can observe the amplitude of the branch that they are on.
You can ahead of time predict, you know, you can set up the initial quantum state so that you know what the branch amplitudes will be ahead of time.
But once you're on a branch, it's just a branch.
You don't know what the amplitude is sitting outside.
It has no effect.
The amplitude doesn't change the dynamics of your branch once you are on it.
So David just says the alternative to choosing this sensible born rule,
of credences is not to choose credences at all, just to say, I don't know what branch I'm on,
and therefore I cannot predict anything. So I think the mistake there is there's two,
well, there's two, it's not even a mistake. It's an attitude. You're allowed to take it. So it's
not a mistake. You're allowed to take that attitude. I think it's not the right or best attitude
to take for two reasons. Number one is there is an obvious probability measure to use. It's not like
we're completely clueless. Like everyone agree.
on what the obviously correct one is if you think that there is one.
Okay, and that's the born rule.
Like, as I often say, there's never any possibility that it would be the wave function cubed
or the logarithm of the wave function.
It's always going to be the wave function squared.
That's the set of numbers that add up to one and are conserved over time, okay?
But the other is, more importantly, that there is sort of a normative reason for choosing a set of credences,
normative in the sense of it's a judgmental thing.
It's not forced on you by the world,
but it's something that you want to do
if you know what is going on.
And it's the same normative reason
that we want to correctly describe physics at all,
that we correctly want to have a theory
of how the world works.
When you are going to jump off of a building,
you have a theory of what's going to happen
when you jump off the building.
You can't say, well, maybe I'll fall down and hurt myself
or maybe I'll float off into the sky,
both are possible, right? So who knows? I mean, they are both possible. If you really strictly go by the meaning of what possible means. It is possible that this time you will fly up into the sky rather than go down to the ground. But you don't give it equal credence to the idea that you will go down to the ground because you're trying to understand the world the best you can. You have some experience with the past. You have some rules for assigning credences to different possible worlds that you're.
you could live in. That's a kind of self-locating uncertainty. You don't know what the laws of physics
are in the world you're in. There's a world, a possible world, where the laws of physics say that
gravity is attractive and you will fall down off the building. There is a possible world where the
laws of physics say the gravity is attractive right up until the moment you jump and then gravity
becomes repulsive. It's possible, right? You assign very, very low credence to that world,
and there's reasonable reasons to do that. They're not metaphysically certain. You're not metaphysically certain.
You could be wrong, but it's the best you can do under the circumstances.
That's how I think about the Everettian probabilities.
You're there on a branch.
You can just decide not to assign credences at all.
I can't stop you.
It's a free country.
But it's not the best way to do the best job you can do of understanding how the world works and where you are in the world.
And once you accept that, then you're going to put the born rule credences on those branches.
Okay.
I'm going to group two questions together about zombies.
Oh, many of you know, I should have mentioned this, but in case you didn't know, I did a podcast, a long podcast, with Philip Gough and Keith Frankish.
Philip, of course, has been a mindscape guest before. He is a promoter panpsychism in the theory of consciousness.
And Keith is on the opposite side of the consciousness debates. He's also a philosopher. He's a proponent of illusionism.
He doesn't think that qualia, in the strict philosophical sense, are even real. They're just illusion.
So we talked about why I'm a physicalist about these things.
And it was a useful conversation.
We talked about zombies a lot.
And then I wrote a follow-up blog post on the zombie argument for physicalism if you're
interested in that.
So this is partly what is instigating these questions.
So one is from Keith.
I don't think it's Keith Frankish.
It's a person named Keith who says,
I enjoyed your blog post on P-Zombies for physicalism and visit on MindChat.
Mind chat is the name of the podcast.
and P-Zombies are philosophical zombies.
So for those of you don't know, a P-Zombie is the idea that we could imagine exactly two different, again, two different possible worlds, one of which I have real human beings, and they have all their conscious experiences and all this stuff, the real world as we think and we know it.
But I also, according to this thought experiment, could imagine a different possible world made of the same kinds of matter, right?
same kinds of quantum mechanics and electrons and protons and neutrons,
et cetera,
obeying exactly the same laws of physics,
doing exactly the same things,
but no consciousness,
okay?
And the people who live in that world,
I would call them zombies.
And so, sorry, I'm departing from Keith's question here,
but I'm giving you background if you don't already know.
So the zombie argument is the idea that because, in principle,
I can conceive of the same exact physical collection of matter
with and without consciousness,
consciousness must be something other than some way of talking about the physical behavior of that collection of matter.
Of course, I would say that that's begging the question, because you can only conceive of those zombies if you believe that consciousness is not physical.
If you believe that consciousness is just an emergent thing to talk about describing the underlying physical behavior of matter,
then you cannot conceive of zombies because the same exact physical.
collection of matter, behaving in exactly the same way, would be conscious under that definition.
Okay. That is the argument that goes back and forth. So Keith's question is, I followed up the
reasoning for most part, but I really get hung up a bit upstream. As a fellow physicalist,
I don't really get how a P zombie is even conceivable, or maybe my notion of conceivability
is too strict. And then another question from Graham Clark that says, do you think that a philosophical
zombie is actually conceivable? Your argument against panpsych is.
seem to indicate that, but I wonder why the zombie concept hasn't been rejected.
Yes, so I think you're both correctly putting your fingers on something that I didn't make very clear my blog post.
The answer is, zombies are not conceivable.
That's what you have to say, if you're a physicalist who thinks that consciousness is just weekly emergent,
that's just what I said.
If you think that consciousness is just a way of talking about the collective behavior and higher-level ways of talking,
about a collection of particles, doing a certain things,
then there's no way to remove consciousness from that,
and therefore zombies are not conceivable.
So I wrote that in the paper that I wrote.
I wrote a paper for the Journal of Consciousness Studies,
writing a philosophy paper that was responding to Philip Goff's ideas,
but I didn't make that very clear in the blog post
because I was in a rush by the time I finished it.
It was already too long.
So yes, the punchline is,
that taking the zombie argument at face value, as it is usually given,
only works if you assume ahead of time that consciousness is not physical.
Otherwise, zombies become not conceivable.
So that is the correct way to think about it, yes.
Alejandro Gonzalez says,
Let us suppose we discover that consciousness is a fundamental property of nature,
which I know you're inclined to think is emergent.
What could the implications be of that for the current understanding of physics
and the model of the universe we have now?
just entertain us with some plausible possibilities if there are any at all.
Well, this is hard to do because I don't think it makes sense.
I don't think it's true anyway.
And part of the reason why I don't think it's true that consciousness is a fundamental property of nature
is that I haven't seen even the slightest gesture toward a serious theory of that.
I mean, you can attach words to the existing theories of quantum field theory or whatever
and say, oh, it's all made of consciousness.
but I don't see any operational meaning
to how that is supposed to happen.
As I emphasized in the podcast
with Philip and Keith
and in my blog post and elsewhere,
either you change the dynamics
of the particles and fields we know about
or you don't.
That is true about anyone's theory of consciousness.
You either do that or you don't, okay?
And if you don't, then I just don't see what it matters.
There's just no implications of that idea.
And if you do, show me the,
equations. Show me exactly how the equations that we think work are wrong. Show me what the additional
parts of them are. I mean, that's what you do if you are a physicist inventing a new theory of
gravity or new model of dark matter or explanation for the hierarchy problem. You show us the
equations and we can work out from them what the implications of those are. And I don't know what
those would be for a theory of consciousness as a fundamental property of nature. So I truly don't know.
I'm not trying to, you know, be coy about it or anything like that.
I'm just not even sure how that would work.
I think that, you know, there's sort of a feeling that people have,
that consciousness can't be just physical stuff because of their introspection,
but I don't know whether that feeling actually leads anywhere sensible in terms of how the universe works.
Krether-Luca says, regarding your theory on the arrow of time,
in last month's AMA, you mentioned something along lines of,
I don't necessarily think my theory with Jennifer Chen is true,
but I think that there's a non-zero chance that it's true.
However, I know of no better theory regarding the arrow of time.
If you believe you have the best theory,
isn't the rational thing to do than to regard it as true?
We can never truly justify our beliefs,
so what other reason can we have for believing something is true
besides it being the current best theory of some part of reality?
So, no, I don't think that's exactly right.
You know, I think that for me to say it's the best current theory,
requires that I should give it, in this case,
it's not really a theory of the arrow of time so much as.
The theory of the arrow of time is entropy increases
because of Boltzmann's explanation for what entropy was,
plus the fact that the entropy near the Big Bang was low.
That's the arrow of time.
But then the question is, why was the entropy low near the Big Bang?
That's what I and Jennifer Chen had a theory of.
And I still think it, as far as I know,
is the best theory that I've heard of.
So I think that what that requires
when it be self-consistent is,
I give more credence to that theory
than to any other theory.
However, the total number of other theories
might be very large,
and there might be a large amount of credence
I give to some theory
and the set of theories
no one has articulated yet, right?
It's a little bit different
than to say something like,
you know, my theory in many worlds is,
my credence in many worlds is 95%
or something like that.
That's a situation where, you know, we have several competing theories.
We know what they are.
We can articulate them pretty clearly.
And they're all in some ways successful, and I can judge them against each other.
Whereas for something like this, we have no really good theories, including my own,
because there's a lot of un-understood physics that is involved in our own theories about, you know,
how baby universes could be created or something like that, how you calculate a measure to talk about probabilities.
and make predictions and all of these things.
So there are no great theories.
Our theory, I think, is the most promising one
among the not very good theories.
And in that situation, you should still give
a hefty amount of credence to, I just don't yell yet.
We haven't thought of the right answer.
So I would not say that I believe it's true,
even if I think it's the best theory currently out there.
Terim Shahab says, what is energy?
In high school, they would always say energy
is the ability to do work
and then define works in terms of energy.
also heard it described as bookkeeping. Is that all it is, or is it more meaningful? Well, it's
certainly not the ability to do work. That's not a good definition, because there are forms of
energy that literally are defined as the kinds of energy that can't do meaningful work. You know,
the heat, the thermal energy in an equilibrium system is in its highest entropy state. You can't do
useful work with it. That's what free energy is. Free energy is the energy that is available
to do work. Non-free energy is the energy locked up in the equilibrium high entropy configuration.
Okay, so it's not that. But what is it? You know, there's different definitions, and I think that
the favorite one and probably the right one, even though it doesn't make a lot of instant intuitive
sense, is the quantity that is conserved because the laws of physics are independent of time.
You know, if you think about, and this is easiest to sort of gain intuition for by thinking,
of the converse. What if the laws of physics were not invariant over time, right? So, you know,
that would be like masses of particles or strengths of forces or something like that, just changing
as time goes on. And as you might imagine, if I have a particle moving, you know, just in a straight
line according to Newton's laws, but its mass is changing, then if momentum is conserved,
the velocity of the particle would be changing, even though it's mass,
because its mass is changing.
Whereas if momentum is not conserved,
but velocity is conserved,
then its momentum is not conserved over time.
And in neither case is the energy conserved over time
because basically,
intuitively, and this might not be exactly correct,
but intuitively, it's kind of like
something is pumping energy into the system
by changing the mass of the particle.
So because we live in a world
where the particles have more or less constant
masses, the forces are more or less locked in with their strengths, and so the overall laws of
physics are basically constant over time. There is no extra thing, umph, impetus put into the
system, and we call the quantity that is conserved because of that symmetry energy. Now, this is a
hand-wavy way of saying a much more rigorous result, NERDER's theorem. M.E. NERder proved that whenever
you have certain kinds of classical mechanical systems,
that have a symmetry, that symmetry is associated with a conservation law.
Momentum is associated with the fact that things are
translationally invariant in space. You can move in either x, y, or z directions. The laws of physics don't change.
So you have three conserved quantities, the three components of the momentum vector. And you also have
translations in time, and the quantity that is conserved with respect to that is energy.
It's not a very intuitive definition.
I know that, but that is what the mathematical definition is,
and it matches up with our intuitive definition of, you know,
some combination of potential energy and kinetic energy and heat and stuff like that.
Horstvoist says,
What is your Bayesian prior of finding compelling evidence of biosignatures in the atmospheres
of exoplanets in the next couple of decades?
Oh, this is a great question because it's specific enough to make sense,
like one should have a Bayesian prior about this,
but it's really hard to know what it is.
I'm going to put it low.
I'm going to put it at, let's say, 10%.
And the reason why this is difficult
is because, of course,
we have a certain, we have two pieces of information.
I don't even want to say data points,
but two pieces of information.
One is life exists here on Earth, right?
We're flourishing here on Earth.
The other is we haven't
seen already, sort of in an in-your-face kind of way, life elsewhere, either elsewhere
on other planets in the solar system or aliens flying by and saying hi to us from elsewhere
in the Milky Way. So those are two pieces of information. You have to reconcile with each other.
The easiest reconciliation is that in some sense, life elsewhere is rare. And of course,
as a selection effect, we're only going to exist where life exists. So the fact that we exist
here on Earth is not really telling us that much.
But there are lots of steps along the way from no life at all to an intelligent civilization
on another planet.
And any one of those could be a bottleneck that explains why we haven't seen other
intelligent civilizations yet.
So it might be that there's no life, but it also might be that life is everywhere.
It's ubiquitous.
It's very common, but it's always only single-cell or something like that, not very
technologically advanced. That's why it's very hard to make a good Bayesian prior. So I'm going
to put it at 10%. Don't ask me to justify that. I might change my mind if we learn more about
chemistry or geology or something like that. Robert Ruxendrescue says, a few days ago, Elon Musk
responded to a Bernie Sanders tweet about the rich paying their fair share to society by commenting,
I forgot you're still alive. So I asked Elon Musk if he thinks living in a world where one man has
$1 trillion and the other people die of hunger is a good world. What ensued was a ton of attacks
from the sympathizers of Elon Musk calling me all sorts of things from communist to idiot. My question is
this, where do you think all this aggressiveness and rich man idolatry is coming from? Why are people so
aggressive? Why are people so obsessed with money and why are people so rude and violent? Well,
I'm not going to give you a fully blown theory of why people are rude and violent. I think,
you know, this is a difficult question. And one point to keep in mind is that, you know,
you have an extremely strong selection effect here.
It's not that people are rude and violent
just so that you poked a certain hornet's nest
that has some very rude and violent people in it
and you got a reaction that was kind of predictable,
to be honest.
Now, why those people exist at all?
You know, it's a more complicated psychological question.
The reason why I wanted to address this question is
I think that, you know, we have a weird relationship
in modern society with the concept of super-rich
people with billionaires or whatever, in part because we have a lot of inequality in society,
and it's getting to be too much inequality. We have both very ostentatiously wealthy people
and a lot of people who are struggling. We have a societal system that makes it really,
really hard to climb out of very, very low-income situations. It's just too easy to get into debt,
to spiral downward, like life is much more expensive for poor people than it is for rich people
in a very real sense, because as a fraction of whatever income they have,
there are fixed costs that rich people can just laugh off and poor people can't.
You know, parking tickets are a big deal when you're poor,
and what you do is you end up not paying them and then they grow, right?
Or overdraft fees on the bank.
We literally charge you money for not having enough money.
whereas a rich person doesn't care about parking tickets, right?
Like they can let that off and still go make more money off of their investments or whatever it is.
And that kind of system that has this built-in stratification dynamics to it is troubling if you don't have a lot of economic and social mobility built in.
So I think that people are upset for a lot of good reasons.
And other people are aspirational.
Other people want to be those rich people, right, who are very, very successful.
So I don't, I think that they're, the conversation about wealthy people has become too polarized, honestly.
Like, they're just people, you know, like, I know Elon.
I'm not, we're not best buddies, but I've met him.
I argued with him on Twitter about extraterrestrial life and talking about the previous AMA question.
And he said nice things about my book, so that's good.
I think that he's a person.
Like, I know lots of people who are quite wealthy and there's good ones and bad ones,
smart ones and dumb ones, good ones and evil ones.
I think that it is possible with respect to Elon Musk to both say, you know, to criticize him,
to say we don't like how Tesla workers are treated or the ability to unionize or something like that
or the fact that he doesn't want to pay his fair share of taxes,
while also recognizing that he has almost single-handedly done more to change the world
than almost anyone else I can think of
by really converting a whole industry
from gas engines to electric cars.
That was unthinkable a short time ago.
And without Elon, that probably would not have happened.
So I think that people are complicated.
I think that we should develop the mental capacities
to have nuanced views of human beings.
And when it comes to rich people, that's becoming harder.
People either want to worship them, like you say,
to hero worship them or to vilify them.
and I'm not in favor of either one of these.
I don't want to hero worship anybody.
I have a general theory of not hero-worshipping people.
You know, I don't worship Richard Feynman or Albert Einstein or Martin Luther King or Ruth Bader Ginsburg,
whoever you want to pick.
I think that's just a bad idea.
People, you can admire people for what they've done.
But hero worship involves extending that admiration to, you know, a general feeling that they're good people
just because they did this one good thing.
And that's just setting yourself up.
for disappointment.
You know, a person can both change the world and be bad in other ways, and you have to be able to accept those nuances there.
In fact, Liam Cofi Bright, who was on the podcast.
When I first invited him on the podcast, I wanted to talk about this because he has a whole spiel about how we should have no heroes, which is very interesting and compelling.
We got distracted talking about truth, but you can look that up on his website.
But I don't want to villainize.
villainize? Yeah, villainize
rich people either.
You know, I'm reminded of
Alexandria Ocasio
Cortez, AOC.
Remember she went to the Met Gala? This happened a few
weeks ago or months ago. So she went to this
gala full of rich people and she wore a dress
and on the back of the dress was written
Tax the Rich. Okay? And now
do me a favor, just for a moment,
put aside whatever preexisting feelings you might have about
AOC or the tax system or the Metcala or whatever.
I want to make one very small specific point, okay?
People objected on the basis that it was hypocritical or somehow there was some tension
between the fact that she was at a party full of rich people and had a dress that said
tax the rich, okay?
And I objected to this objection.
This makes no sense.
This is not in any sense hypocritical or even slightly tense.
it is no contradiction whatsoever to hang out with rich people, have a party with them, and have a good time, and also think they should pay more taxes.
Those two things are completely compatible with each other.
The only reason why you might think that they're incompatible with each other is if you think that the fact that rich people should pay more taxes is a reflection of the fact that we don't like them, that they are bad or they are evil.
and that's why we want to tax them more.
And I don't think that at all.
Like I said, rich people are just people.
They're the same span of abilities and virtues that other people have.
I want to be rich myself.
I want everyone else to be rich.
That's what I want.
I don't want to get rid of rich people.
I want everyone to be rich.
That's the thing I think that we should be aiming for.
But I also want the current rich people to pay more taxes
because rich people are part of society and benefit from society in very, very obvious
ways. Of course, you can inherit money, and then we can talk about the justice of that. That's a
perfectly good set of questions. But if you made money to become a billionaire, it's not because
you worked really hard at your job in Walmart. No Walmart worker ever saved up enough money to
become a billionaire. That has literally never happened. What happened is you either invented a system
or you participated in some existing system to arrange for a billion people to give you a dollar each.
roughly speaking at the end of the day.
Or maybe, you know, 100 million people gave you $10 each.
There's different ways to work it.
But the point is that the only way to accumulate a billion dollars is if a lot of people send
you their money.
It only happens if you're embedded in a system that allows that to happen, a system with
people but also roads and education and commerce systems and, you know, the whole supply chain
that we talked about with Christopher Mims a couple of episodes ago.
and it is completely fair for society then to say, in return, give us some of the money.
We set up a system that allowed you to make this money.
Now, we want to keep the system working.
Give us up some of the money.
Asking rich people to pay taxes is not a bad thing, okay?
It's certainly not unnecessary.
Even if you think it's a bad thing, you shouldn't mix it up with some distaste for the idea of rich people at all.
I think that's just entirely misguided, and it's a reflection of this idea that
every intellectual disagreement has to become a moral, emotional stance.
And I think that's a bad attitude.
So anyway, I got very far away from your question, Robert.
Sorry about that.
And I probably haven't even answered your question,
but your question provoked me to say some things.
And that's how I treat these AMAs these days.
DeVij Moncad says,
I was thinking that borrowing some physics jargon
can bypass some of the free will discussion pitfalls,
at least among physicists.
In particular, do you think that the apparent conflict of the phrase
could have done otherwise with determinism can be avoided by separating the off-shell and the on-shell
descriptions. I was tempted to think of this way when I read the classic freedom of the will
and concept of a person paper by Frankfurt, which I think is essentially formulating the concept
of free will as the existence of degrees of freedom for the human will, albeit in a different language.
My guess is no, my first guess. Like maybe there's a theory to be developed here that you want to go
and develop.
But that is not the way that I think about free will.
Even if I were to restrict myself to physics jargon,
I don't think that's the main point.
So for those of you who don't know the physics jargon,
think of a particle moving through the air, right?
You know, you all know the classic example
when we learn classical physics, Newtonian mechanics,
you throw up a ball with a certain velocity,
and given the acceleration due to gravity,
it travels on some kind of parabolic trajectory,
and you can calculate what that trajectory is.
Okay? So the fact of the ball moves along a certain trajectory, both its position as a function of time and its momentum as a function of time, obey equations of motion. That's how we say it. And there are reasons, which I'm not going to go into from particle physics, that when you obey the equations of motion in that way, we say that you are on shell. You are on the mass shell. You are obeying certain equations. It's more complicated than that, but I'm just trying to get you the essence of it if you don't, are.
already know. Whereas off-shell means you don't necessarily obey the equations of motion.
We can imagine all sorts of trajectories for a particle through space that don't obey the equations
of motion that the real physical particles would obey. So what DeVis is getting at is,
even given some fixed initial conditions, we can distinguish between the actual behavior of the
system that obeys the initial conditions from, sorry, that starts with those initial conditions
and obeys the equations of motion
from some more arbitrary, random kind of motion.
But I think that that's not the right distinction to make
because I think that the point is that
we don't know the initial conditions in the real world, right?
Like, if the world were just a simple harmonic oscillator,
if that was the whole world,
or if the whole world were just a few planets
moving around the sun, there'd be zero reason
to talk about free will in any sense
because you can just see what happens
and it's pretty clear and you can predict what's going to happen.
The reason why free will, if you believe it is, if you're a compatibilist, if you believe it's a useful concept,
is because human beings are so complicated that we don't know their initial conditions.
So we don't know what they're going to do.
So we invent concepts to describe both their current state and their possible future actions.
And those concepts involve things like reasons and choices and deliberations, okay?
And this is part of how we talk about human beings.
And as I've said many times before, even the most devoted free will skeptic uses those words.
It can't help but talk about human beings.
Free will skeptics are constantly trying to persuade you to behave in certain ways,
which is slightly incompatible with their underlying metaphysical view of the world,
but that's why it's easier to be a compatibilist.
And the formulation of free will as I could have done otherwise,
I think is completely consistent with a deterministic universe
and everything obeying the equations of motion.
In other words, you don't need to go off shell to explain it,
because the point is you don't know what the initial conditions are.
You know some basic macroscopic coarse-grained features of the system,
but not all the microscopic details.
So to me, the question of could you behave differently?
The reason why free will skeptics get it wrong in my view
is they formulate the question,
could the system have behaved differently, as if we had exactly the microscopic information about the state?
And in that case, the answer would be no. The system could not have behaved differently, but we don't have that information.
So the right question to ask is, given the macroscopic information we have about the system,
in the space of all possible microscopic configurations that fit into that macroscopic description,
are there some that would act this way and are there some that would act that way?
And if the answer is yes, then that corresponds in the higher level vocabulary to you could have acted differently.
That's where I think is the right connection between free will and the underlying laws of physics.
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Chris says, what do you think are the most important things to know?
Not in science, but in life in general.
So this is not going to be very clever or original, but I'm going to give a sort of a teach you how to fish kind of answer.
Like, I don't think there's a set of facts that are the important things to know.
I think the most important things to know are how to learn things, right?
Techniques for gaining new knowledge.
Because then rather than just giving you some knowledge, I think you should have,
if I teach you to learn things, then you can get knowledge for yourself.
So I don't know what those things are.
I mean, basically, the answer is along the lines of techniques for gathering information about the world,
converting them into models and hypotheses,
testing them and being a good scientist about it, okay?
In the broadest possible sense.
So I'm going to include, you know,
human relations and things like that
in that set of things.
You know, the theories that I'm talking about developing
are not just theories for how people behave,
but, you know, your theories for how you should behave,
how to get ahead,
how to live a meaningful life,
to develop purposes and how to matter
to other people and be nice.
those are all things you need to learn, and so that's what I would hope that you would start out by knowing.
Napoleon's corporal says DNA passes on physical traits, and the specific genes that carry these traits can be identified.
But what about behavioral traits? Can we identify genes that result in things like the herding instinct that Sheltie dogs have been bred to have?
The broader question here is how can any physical thing influence something like behavior?
Well, I don't know any specific examples of DNA base pairs that are correlated,
or even the genes that are correlated with specific behaviors, but 100% they exist.
Yeah, I mean, that is absolutely something that neuroscientists and psychologists, et cetera,
geneticists do figure out.
And I'm honest, I'm not quite sure what you mean by how can a physical thing influence something like behavior.
What else influences behavior?
You know, the behavior of the ball is influenced by the fact that I throw it, right?
Physical things influence behavior.
That's the, you know, behavior is a way of talking about what physical things do, I think.
So I'm not even quite sure what you're worrying about there.
Alexander Bates says, do you believe there are certain traits or paradigms that separate scientific theories from pseudoscientific ones?
Or do you believe all theories have the same capacity to be scientific and what makes them
so is their agreement with the data.
No, actually, I think, you know, I don't think there's a hard, fast line.
You know, people would love it if they could find a single way to demarcate scientific theories from non-scientific theories.
And there's a name for this, the demarcation problem.
I don't think that it's going to be quite that easy.
I think it's more of a sliding scale.
And I've famously pointed out that Karl Popper's attempt to answer this question by talking about falsifiability.
is not up to the task. I don't think anything is up to the task. But I do think that
Popper was onto something, as I often say, and people ignore that part. What he was on to
was there are two properties that good scientific theories tend to have. One is that they're
definite, that they're incompatible with some things. A good scientific theory is not one-size-fits-all.
A good scientific theory says that some things happen and some things don't. And the reason why this
is philosophically not crystal clear is because when you talk about falsifiability, then you're
taking this ontological feature of the theory. Some things happen and some things don't.
And turning it into an epistemological theory, I can see some things happen or not see them
happen and learn about it, right? And that's where things get fuzzier, because if the things that
happen are other universes, then they might very definitely happen or not happen, but you can't
observe them. So that's where it gets a little bit messy.
nevertheless, the basic idea that a scientific theory is definite, that it says certain things happen
and certain things don't, I think is absolutely part of scientific theory. And the other thing
that I think Popper was right about, you know, in his direction that he was trying to move in is
we ultimately judge scientific theories empirically. We do not intuit our way to the right
answer, or at least we don't intuit our way to knowing that the answer is right. We have to
test them against the data. So scientific theories are not ideas that had to be right, right?
They're not deductive arguments from a priori principles to correct answers. They are
hypotheses that are tested. Hypotheses that we put forward and we assign the credence to, and then the
credence goes up or down on the basis of observations and collecting and collecting new data about
the universe. So I don't think that there is a sense.
simple, clear dividing line, but I think that these two properties of being definite and being
amenable to empirical testing are two parts of being a good scientific theory.
Liam McCarty says, why do you think some ways of solving a given problem are easier than other
ways? I'm sure part of it has to do with human psychology, but I'm wondering if there's more
to it than that. For example, arguably Feynman diagrams are more efficient than Schwinger integrals,
and Newton's laws are more efficient than Einstein's field equations in a particular regime.
Perhaps we could define such notion of efficiency for problem-solving approach or physical theory.
Maybe there are complexity classes of the sort here, not for different problems, but for the same way of solving a single problem.
So this is similar to the previous question about a metric on the space of operations on functions or something like that.
I'm sure that human psychology plays some role here.
I mean, human beings are specific arrangements of stuff and specific ways of thinking,
so it would be weird if the specific kind of thought process that went on in human brains
had nothing to do with why some problems are harder and some are easier.
But having said that, I think we tend to overrate that aspect of the issue.
You know, I think that there are some aspects of problems that are just hard.
This is, you know, if you just say the initial question you asked is,
why are some ways of solving a given problem easier than other ways?
This is very closely related to complexity classes.
Complexity classes are about how many steps it takes to solve a problem
rather than different ways of solving the problem,
but complexity classes are usually about the minimum number of steps it can take.
And this is a pretty objective fact, right?
if it takes a certain number of steps to solve the problem,
it doesn't matter whether it's a human being doing it
or a dolphin or a computer.
Okay?
So I think that we tend to not credit enough
the fundamental aspects of the problem,
and we tend to leap too quickly
to some particular fact of human psychology
when we think about these things.
But the basic question that you're asking,
why are some ways easier than others,
I'm not going to give you the right answer.
I don't even know how to formulate
what an answer would look like,
but I will, again, make the point
that it probably has to do
with the features of the problem
more than the features of the human brain,
most of the time.
P. Walder says,
is the interference pattern observed
in Young's split, yeah,
Young's slit experiment
to be considered as evidence
for the many worlds' interpretation of reality?
Nope, because the double-slit experiment
is predicted by any decent
interpretation of quantum mechanics,
so therefore it literally cannot possibly count as evidence for many worlds.
I mean, you might think that the explanation for it in many worlds is nicer or more attractive or whatever,
but, you know, as a Bayesian, what is the likelihood that you will get that data,
given the theory, is equal in many worlds or bomy mechanics or any other respectable theory of quantum mechanics?
Because if you didn't predict the double-slit experiment correctly, you would not have gotten off the ground.
No one would have paid attention to you.
Lucas Derhashing says, I've been recently looking into some of the cosmic speed limit
postulated by Minkowski.
It's quite interesting to find out that we all move through space time at the speed of light.
My question is, if we would completely stop moving through space, how fast would time go by?
So I think that I'm going to disagree with your middle sentence there.
We do not move through space time at the speed of light.
I don't know who said that.
I'm not even sure what it means.
And, you know, how fast does time go by?
It always goes by at one second per second.
That's the only speed at which time can possibly go by.
And that's true whether you're speeding or staying still or in a gravitational field or not.
There's no such thing as the speed with which we move through space time.
The idea of a speed is the amount of distance we travel as a function of time.
That's what speed is.
So it just doesn't apply to going through space time.
It's a different kind of thing.
And I'm not going to go into many details here,
but this is just something you have to wrap your mind around
when you really get into what is meant by special relativity
and the interval in space time
and why the twin paradox works.
I will recommend reading the book that I just wrote
and will eventually come out like a year from now
that explains these things in great detail.
Or failing that, you could just check out the videos, right?
On the biggest ideas in the universe.
Marco Touser says,
My question is, how is an electron's wave function different from the electron field?
Do you picture them differently in your mind?
Well, they are different.
They're very different, in fact, but there's sort of a limit in which they become kind of similar to each other.
And that limit is where the field is only vibrating enough to give you a single electron.
And honestly, there's technicalities that arise with electrons that make me reluctant to talk about that.
It has to do with the difference between fermions and bosons.
and it's harder, although not impossible,
to talk about the electron field
in sort of classical visualizable terms
because of the exclusion principle,
because you can only have one fermion,
like an electron,
doing the same thing at the same time.
It's easier to talk about a bosonic field,
like the photon field or the Higgs field
or something like that.
But the point is that when you have the quantum field,
which is the more fundamental thing,
then you have a wave function of that quantum field,
and the single field can describe any number of particles, right?
It's not just one electron or one whatever, Higgs boson or photon,
it's any collection of these things can be described by the wave function of that single field.
But then when you boil it down, when you say,
okay, I'm only going to be interested in configurations of the field
or wave functions of the field that represent a single particle,
then there's really no difference between the,
wave function in the field kind of dissolves.
Not exactly.
I mean, certainly in the case of the electromagnetic field,
it does not dissolve very well
because the electromagnetic field is a vector
and it's real valued.
It is not a complex valued scalar number
like the wave function is.
But my point is, the only useful thing
I'm trying to say here is that
the wave function of the field
is a much bigger, grander thing.
It can describe not just one particle at a time,
but any collection of particles,
including the creation of not.
of particles. That's one of the crucial features of quantum field theory. So the single electron
is sort of a limit that you get. And then in that case, the distinction between the electron
wave functional and the electron field becomes a little bit harder to distinguish.
Dan O'Neill says, what are we? I like these big questions. When I think of the four-dimensional
space time of relativity theory and how the passing of time is just an illusion, I think we
must be the braided world lines of all the particles that have made up our bodies over the course
of our lifetimes. Then, when I remember the questionable status of a particle in quantum mechanics,
I think we must be an intricate interrippling of quantum wave functions. But then, when I remember
the problem of the wave function collapse and the solution posed by many worlds, I try to picture myself
as a massively complex branching bush of wave functions in an unpitrably vast multiverse. Ignoring
immersion properties, is this what a human being is? If so,
do you see it as a remarkable, perhaps beautiful phenomenon even at this fundamental level?
So there's one problem with your question, Dan, which is you say, ignoring emergent properties,
is this what a human being is? But a human being is emergent property. There's no human beings
in the fundamental ontology of the world, right? I mean, if you're a modern particle physicist,
you would say the fundamental ontology of the world is quantum field theory. If you're even more extreme
like myself, you would say it's just a vector in Hilbert space, it's a single quantum wave function.
But either way, there's no human beings there, right?
Human beings are concepts that only make sense at the higher emergent level.
So you can't say, tell me what a human being is, but don't talk about the higher emergent level.
That's just not fair.
And it's also crucial to actually answering the question more seriously, because, as I said, in different contexts, you can always take,
the purely microscopic point of view and just never talk about higher-level emergent concepts.
And this is what you would do if you were a Laplace's demon, right?
If you literally knew the exact micro-state of the universe and how it evolved over time,
you wouldn't need to talk about these higher levels.
You know, you wouldn't need to describe the Earth going around the Sun as just its center
of mass and its center of velocity.
You would talk about every single particle in the Earth.
Why not?
You have access to it all.
If you have that fundamental microscopic description, you can purely talk in that language.
So the question of what is a human being is, by its nature, a question about the relationship of the higher levels, including the ones that have human beings as part of them, to the lower levels.
And there might not be a unique answer because it might depend on exactly which levels you're comparing to each other.
So, you know, it's perfectly okay to talk about human beings in a single world at a time.
You know, you can be convinced that the fundamental theory of reality predicts that there are copies of you being made all the time,
but you can still talk about the one that is in, the world that you're in right now.
That's okay, and you don't need to worry about all these other ones.
There's certainly, once they've branched off, they're not you anymore, right?
They are descendants of your past you, but they are not related to your present you in any useful way.
So I think that to correctly tackle this, I'm not giving you the right answer to this question because I think it's a tricky one and probably not a unique one, but to think about this question in a useful way requires taking seriously and biting the bullet about these higher emergent levels. You can't really get around them.
Chris Murray says, near the end of the biggest ideas in the universe, Q&A number nine fields, you introduce the re-schlider theorem. Can you make an educated guess as to what a person on a space station would see?
if they looked up at the Taj Mahal being created on the moon
from acting on the fields somewhere on Earth.
So the Riesch-Leyder theorem is a reflection of the fact
that in quantum field theory in the vacuum state,
the fields in any one region of space
are entangled with fields everywhere else
in any other region of space all throughout the universe, okay?
At least if you're truly in the vacuum, which maybe you're not,
and if it's just Minkowski space, which we know we're not.
But anyway, something like that is,
is likely to be true.
And because of that, because of that entanglement,
you know how if you have two particles
that are owned by Alice and Bob,
and they're entangled with each other,
making a measurement on one particle
tells you something about
what the other particle is going to be doing,
even if you don't know it immediately,
might take time for any information
about what is going on
to go back and forth,
but something happens.
The difference is that in quantum field theory,
even in one small region of space,
you don't just have a spin that is up or down.
In quantum field theory,
you literally have an infinite number of things
that could be going on in one region of space.
You have fields that could take on literally any value.
There might be a probability
that they take on certain values or certain other ones
if you were to observe them, and there is.
But every value is represented, okay?
It's an infinite number of possibilities.
And this is one of the reasons
why I don't think quantum field theory is right.
That's kind of a lot to put into one tiny region of space
and infinite number of possibilities.
So this infinite number of possibilities
is entangled with infinite numbers of possibilities
at every other region of every other point in the universe.
So the Riesch-Lyder theorem says that
when you make a measurement
on the quantum fields in some region of space,
one possible outcome is to bring into existence
somewhere else in the universe,
literally anything.
In the Alice and Bob with spins case, by measuring your spin up or down, you bring into existence that the spin is either up or down, whereas it was for Bob's particle, even though it wasn't a superposition.
In the quantum field theory case, empty space can be thought of as a superposition of all sorts of crazy things, and you don't notice it because it's in the superposition that gives you a minimum energy.
But in principle, there is a measurement outcome that corresponds to bringing into existence a copy of the Taj Mahal on the moon.
That is why the Reischlider theorem is sometimes called the Taj Mahal theorem.
And so the question is, what would that look like?
You know, the honest question is it could look like almost anything because that's part of the theorem, right?
Like on the one hand, you bring into existence the Taj Mahal on the moon.
On the other hand, there are some photons that travel from the Taj Mahal to you.
And guess what?
They could be anything because you could bring anything into existence.
You know, the whole point of the theorem is you're supposed to suspend your interest in the probability that any of these things actually happen.
You're just proving rigorous mathematical theorem about what could happen.
So what could you see anything? Literally anything.
But the probability that you see anything at all is going to be very, very small.
The probability that Taj Mahal exists at any, it comes into existence, is extraordinarily small.
This is absolutely a case where, just because something in principle could happen, I wouldn't worry about it.
in any realistic way.
Nate Wadoops says,
standard sirens came up in an episode
that I listened to last month.
What are the forces that come together
to tune them to standard behavior?
I mean, why do they all act the same
rather than being random sirens?
So the point of standard sirens
is you're imagining two black holes
that are coalescing, okay?
Just like we observed it in LIGO or whatever.
The point is, in a typical LIGO event,
what you don't know is the redshift
because you don't have any
visible light coming from them.
To get a redshift, you need visible photons that have spectral lines that you can ask how
redshifted they are.
So what you're really looking for is the special subclass of events that have both
gravitational waves and electromagnetic radiations.
You can measure a redshift to them.
And then the point is that you can figure out the distance, if all goes well and you get
enough data in principle.
In practice, this hasn't been done yet, but they're working on it.
the point is that you can follow the whole in spiral, right?
So it's not just you see a blip,
you see a wave that grows over the course of a few seconds
and then chirps, okay?
And so you see both the total amount of time it takes
for that to happen, and you see the frequency, right?
You see the space between the different peaks
in the amplitude of the wave and how it develops over time.
So that's actually a pretty good amount of information.
And from that, if all goes well, you can discern the actual masses of the in-spirling black holes.
And so you can predict the amplitude of those gravitational waves.
And therefore, you compare that to the amplitude you actually observe, and you get the distance.
Okay. So the reason why they're standard is just because there's all that's happening is gravity with two black holes.
There's not a lot of degrees of freedom, not a lot of weirdness, right?
It's not like a star that can have different chemical composition inside or being a different environment with different accretion disks or anything like that.
It's two black holes that have two masses.
That's literally almost all the degrees of freedom.
It's not quite because they can be tilted and they can be spinning, so it's a little bit more complicated than that.
But in principle, you can work all that out.
And there's certain special cases where you have reason to believe that it's even simpler than that.
So you can have more confidence in your reconstruction of what the masses.
were, and therefore the amplitudes, and therefore the distance to the thing.
So really, the ultimate answer is you're looking at a very simple system, two black holes
that are obeying very simple direct set of equations, the equations of general relativity.
Most things in the world are not that simple.
It goes back to the very first question in the AMA.
Black holes have no hair.
There's not a lot of details when it comes to describing black holes.
Teresa Robeson says, in your opinion, what are the couple of the most indispensable
science magazines for the layperson?
to read, to keep abreast of recent scientific research and advances.
Yeah, I don't know.
Honestly, like, my science, my popular science input comes actually mostly from Twitter
because they follow science journalists and scientists on Twitter,
and when something interesting happens, they link to it.
And so then I will click on it, and it might be wherever it is.
So I don't, like, regularly go to the homepages of magazines or subscribe to magazines.
The magazines I subscribe to are like the New York Reviews.
books or something like that, right? Like not specifically science or physics magazines.
I will put in a plug for two of my favorites. One of them is Ars Technica, because my wife
Jennifer writes for them, so you can trust them, absolutely. And the other, of course, is
Quanta. Quanta magazine does a very, very good job at modern physics and math and so forth.
If anything, it likes math a little bit too much. So if you don't think there's enough math
in your popular science diet, I would definitely check out Quanta. But the great thing about
Quanta is they really care about the ideas. They're not, it's not a, you know, excuse to write
profiles of scientific heroes or, you know, things like that. It's really about sometimes
quite abstract ideas in math and physics. They tackle things that other science outlets will
not tackle. If you, you know, the firewalls paradox, if you ever heard of the firewalls paradox,
in black hole physics, Jennifer actually wrote an article for Quanta about that. It was the first
article about the firewall problem to appear in the popular media because everyone else was
afraid of doing it.
But Quanta, but Jennifer would tackle it and Quanta would publish it.
So it appeared there and the New York Times came along a few months after that and then it
caught on even more broadly than that.
Michael Schillingford says, pre-Socratic philosophers used to debate whether reality was made up
of discrete things, e.g. atomism or stuff like water.
I've recently seen a similar argument centered on particles and fields.
which ontology is correct between things and stuff, or is it a defective debate?
Yeah, you know, I think that there's, it depends. What do you mean here?
So there's the question of the ultimate ontology of the world, which I've recently written a paper saying it's a vector in Hilbert space.
That's what I claim that is our best current understanding of it.
But to get there, you know, we work through various levels of description.
And there's absolutely on much more solid ground.
a level of description, which is the quantum field theory level.
So I will take your question to be, at that level of quantum field theory,
at the best tested version of fundamental physics we currently have,
what does the fundamental ontology look like?
And unsurprisingly, given that it's called quantum field theory,
it's a theory of fields.
But it's a theory of the quantum theory of fields, not the classical theory.
Okay, let's take that.
But it is definitely not a theory of particles.
And, you know, this is a case where physicists and philosophers kind of think about things differently,
because philosophers think there is a debate about whether or not the fundamental ontology is more particle-like or field-like, and they debate it.
Physicists, for the most part, know it's all fields, and they just think it's fields, and it's not really much of a debate.
And part of it is because the difference is you start with the quantum theory of particles,
and you can kind of bootstrap your way up into a quantum theory of fields
by insisting that the particles can be able to interact with each other
and annihilate and create and so forth.
So many body physicists do that.
Not many body physicists, but many body physicists.
Or you can go the other way.
You can start with the theory of fields, quantize it,
show that you get particles out in the low energy perturbative limit.
So it seems like they're on an equal footing in some sense.
But if you take the field perspective seriously, there are non-perturbative effects.
A particle is a tiny fluctuation in a quantum field.
And so it's an appropriate concept to think about when the field is nearly quiet, right?
It's a tiny perturbation around that quiet vacuum state.
But sometimes fields do big things, collective things that are not tiny perturbations
in any sense. They do non-perturbative things. Like when the Higgs boson field rolls from a value of zero
to its non-zero expectation value in the vacuum, that's a big non-perturbitive thing. That's easy to
understand from the field theory perspective. It's almost impossible to make sense of that
if you thought the world were fundamentally made of particles and not of fields. So for those reasons,
particle physicists tend to think that really the world is made of fields. But there could be something else
underlying the whole thing, as I said. Okay, Gregory Kusnik says, should parents lie to their kids about
Santa Claus? If they want to, I don't care. You know, there's bigger problems in the world to worry about,
for one thing, but I think that there is a danger that people can fetishize always telling the truth a
little bit too much, okay? You know, I try to be a reasonable person about this. I care about the truth,
But that doesn't mean that there is some sort of Kantian principle that says that you should only ever tell the truth and never lie, no matter what the consequences might be.
If someone just got their haircut and says, don't you think it looks nice?
Just say it looks nice.
Who cares what you actually think, right?
If they say, should I get my haircut in this way or that way and it hasn't yet happened, then, you know, by all means, be honest.
But if it's already there and they're just looking for some reassurance, not really a judgment or an opinion or a helpful fact that they can use to make a decision, be nice. Say the nice thing to them. Likewise, if your kid is five years old and is excited about Santa Claus, tell them Santa Claus is going to come and give them presents. That's fine. You know, most people who I know who grew up in this sort of same environment that I grew up in, we all thought that Santa Claus was real when we were very, very young kids. None of us were seriously brain damaged or psychological.
logically impacted by the realization eventually that it wasn't true.
And if you don't want to tell them that Santa Claus is real and you want to tell them the truth,
go ahead and tell them that too. That's also fine.
Narun Narasimhachar says,
do you see a problem with basing day-to-day epistemology ethics and other essential aspects of human life
on very rigorous calculi, e.g. Bayesianism or utilitarianism?
while it is possible to do due diligence to these calculi in academic research,
implementing them in their pure form in our daily lives
require impractical amounts of thought, computation, and possibly knowledge.
Are there philosophers who seriously work on developing
heuristic-only versions of such calculi?
This is calculi in the sense of plural of calculus, by the way, in case you're wondering,
that are both feasible for everyday use and robust against variations in the user's backgrounds, etc.
I mean, basically, yes, I do agree.
with the thrust here in the following sense.
And I think I've said this in other contexts,
but I think that in many ways,
the fact that human beings are bounded, finite beings,
computationally and informationally circumscribed,
is really, really important.
We don't either have the time or the capacity
to do perfect reasoning about anything.
We will always be using heuristics, et cetera.
And, you know, this fact has been put to use in psychology and things like that.
For example, remember the podcast with Carl Fristin, who thinks about the Bayesian brain and the free energy principle.
And the free energy principle is a way to sort of make sense of what the brain does,
thinking that it's trying to be a good Bayesian reasoner, but it doesn't have perfect resources to do that.
So the free energy principle is sort of a shortcut to do Bayesian reason.
updating to get a picture of the world. And I absolutely think that in the real world, there are
going to be constraints on how precise we can be and how precise we can reason. Another relevant
podcast episode is the one with Elizabeth Anderson, where she talks about ideal theory. This is an
ongoing debate right now in moral and political philosophy. How useful is it to figure out how to be better,
morally or politically, by first imagining how to be perfect,
what would be the ideal society, et cetera, and then moving in that direction.
That's a feasible thing to say, right?
If we knew what the perfect society was and we know what our society is now,
we could say, good, let's move to make things closer to the perfect society.
I think that would work.
What Anderson says and what other people would argue is there's no such thing as the ideal theory
because, you know, as the real society changes or as conditions change, you might learn more,
change your mind about what you want society to be. It's much more feasible to talk about how we can
start with where we are and make things a little bit better than to start with where we are
and say, well, over there is the perfect thing. Let's move in that direction. I think a similar
thing is probably true for more everyday life kinds of things. You know, how should I choose what to do
from day to day or even make big picture decisions about getting married or choosing a new job
or having kids or something like that. There will always be heuristics involved. And the short answer
is I don't know of detailed philosophical investigation, but focused on exactly that feature
of day-to-day decision-making, but that's not to say it's not out there. It might just be out there
and I'm not aware of it. Emmett Francis says, any thoughts on some strategies for maintaining
good mental health as a graduate student or as an academic more generally. From my experience as a
current PhD student and from talking to other grad students, I know a lot of us struggle with
imposter syndrome, anxiety from the pressure to publisher perish, etc. I don't know if I have great
thoughts on strategies for that. I'm very sympathetic to the issue. I like to say, I think that
graduate school should actually be fun. I mean, there's no question it should be a challenge.
It should be pushing you to your limits, but in a healthy and rewarding way.
Very few people go to graduate school in something like theoretical physics for the fame and fortune, right?
They go into it because they love the material, the topic, the subject matter.
And if that love is squeezed out of you by being in some sort of psychological pressure cooker,
then it's not doing what it's supposed to be doing.
There are absolutely abusive advisors and mentors and lab PIs, et cetera, that if possible you should stay away from.
So this is one of the things you should take very seriously when you're looking at possible graduate schools,
not only which is the most intellectual powerhouse, but of the potential advisors, of the places you're looking at, do they treat their students well?
You know, what are the reports back from the students who are there?
Having said that, there's certain things that are always going to be true about the graduate school experience.
Not only is it hard to learn the things you need to learn to be a successful PhD,
but usually you enter graduate school hoping to become a professor.
And there are not that many professor jobs.
It's a very tight market, and there's just nothing to be done about that.
There will always be more people who want those jobs than there are jobs.
It's like being a concert pianist or a professional.
basketball player. You know, there's a lot of people who want that, and the competition is
is very stiff to do it. You know, in some sense, as difficult as graduate school is, it's a lot
easier than trying to make a living as a Hollywood actor, because at least graduate school,
postdoc, et cetera, is a clear-cut set of steps that you can go through, and it's either
up or out, right? Either you succeed, or it's clear you should get a job doing something else.
Whereas if you're an actor, a musician, et cetera, you can struggle for years.
and never know, and it might be the tomorrow.
You get a big break.
It's a lot more random and a lot less structured.
So hold on to that as a little shining beacon of hope.
But otherwise, you know, what can I say?
Other than not choosing abusive advisor, even if you choose a really nice advisor,
people can still put pressure on themselves.
Like you say, there's imposter pressure, imposter syndrome.
There's the competition to eventually get jobs and things.
like that. I don't have good advice there. I'm really don't, and I'm sorry because I think that
I care a lot about the mental health of students. I try to make my own students, you know,
if anything, I don't push my students hard enough because I know that it's hard, and I let them push
themselves. And that's a tricky thing as an advisor. Like, for one thing, by the way, you get no
advice on how to be an advisor. No one teaches you how to do it. So it's a hard thing to do because
you have a tremendous impact on the future lives of your students when you're an advisor
and you have no training and how to do a good job at it.
And one of the things that's crucially important about being an advisor is that different students
need different kinds of advising.
Some students are better if their advisor is hands off and they let them do their own thing.
Others really need to be guided.
Others need to be constantly encouraged.
Others need to be told, you know, nope, you're slacking off.
try to do better, and it's hard to know ahead of time what the right strategy is.
So even if your advisor seems to be taking the wrong strategy, don't necessarily blame them
because they're not experts in this game either.
You know, I think that if I'm going to give one piece of advice,
when it's not very helpful, I know, but I'm going to give it anyway,
which is to just do your best not to lose sight of whatever that little bit of delight
and passion and wonder,
it was that got you in to this field in the first place.
Like if you went to grad school because you didn't know what else to do,
then I don't know what to tell you.
But I think most people go to grad school
because they're really passionate about the material.
They want to learn about this stuff
and hopefully increase the total amount of human knowledge about this stuff.
And that's what to keep in mind,
not comparing yourself to other people
or worrying about the job market or whatever.
Getting a PhD, whether or not you get a job as a professor,
down the road is an intrinsically worthwhile endeavor. It's, you know, it's like climbing a mountain,
right? It's an obstacle there that is maybe a little artificial, but is a sense of accomplishment
upon doing it. And it's better than climbing a mountain because you learn something that is
really useful for other purposes. I don't want to disparage mountain climbers. Sorry about that.
But, you know, you get something out of it that is both a sense of accomplishment and something
a little bit more tangible. So, you know, it's always the comparisons with other people that get
you in trouble psychologically here, right? I'm not good enough. I'm not going to get a job. My
advisor is mad at me. It's always those things that get you in trouble. The material, the learning,
and, you know, keep reminding yourself how much more you know now than you did two years ago, right?
It's remarkable because at any one moment from week to week, it's easy to lose track with the fact
that you're learning a lot. But then you look back a couple of years, you're like,
boy, I didn't know anything two years ago.
And that's, you know, that is a wonderful time of your life.
You know, you're really learning to go from being a student to being a researcher
when you're in graduate school.
And that's just a singularly wonderful thing to get to do.
So imposter or not, you know, don't forget to be glad that you're in this wonderful position
to really take advantage of the intellectual life that humanity has been able to cultivate for,
a few of its people and not too many of them.
Jeff B. says, I was reading about
Lord Calvin's idea that different atoms are
just different types of knots in the ether.
Although this is obviously false. Can we think of
string theory as a quantized
and relativized upgraded this idea, or is there more to it?
Well, there's definitely more to it, but maybe
there's a family resemblance there also.
I mean, there's no ether, so that part is wrong.
And they're not knots. You know, strings
are generally not knotted.
they're generally either single line segments or circles.
They're not tied topologically interesting ways around each other.
If they did, they would just untie right away.
So they're neither knots nor the ether, but I know what you mean.
I mean, they're vibrating one-dimensional things, and the kinds of vibrations are what
specify, what kind of particle it is, what kind of field it is, etc.
So that's the family resemblance.
But, you know, there's no direct intellectual lineage from Kelvin's idea to
string theory. As you may know or may not, string theory arose in a really backwards way, right?
They were trying to understand the strong interactions. Well, there's a couple of different
threads that came together. People were trying to understand the strong interactions. There were
certain patterns in the observed particles out there that particle accelerators were giving us,
and people were trying to fit them to different functions and make predictions and so forth.
and Veniziano came up with a formula that said, you know, he could predict some of these patterns of masses and spins in the observed spectrum of particles.
And then other people, like Leonard Suskin is one of them, and from a very different angle, Yoshiro Nambu was one.
And Goto, his collaborator, pointed out that by starting with one-dimensional strings and quantizing them, you could derive this Venetiano amplitude.
And they were still trying to understand the strong interactions, and it failed.
didn't work for the strong interactions.
There's a little bit of lingering remnant of it in the fact that you take two quarks
and stretch them apart, like a one-dimensional string of gluon field stretches between them.
So there's something slightly stringy about the strong interactions.
But what we now call string theory is a completely different version of that that gives us
gravity and things like that, and hopefully everything else.
But the strong interactions come along for the ride rather than being the central point.
none of this has anything to do with what Kelvin was talking about.
So it's at most a family resemblance rather than a direct relationship.
Casey Mahone says,
I sense a stigma in our culture against being single.
I'm starting to find that I may be the kind of person that would just prefer to be alone,
but people seem to view this as childish.
They wonder how you can really be an adult if you don't have a partner to build something with.
Do you sense this stigma and do you think that it is justified?
Well, I certainly don't think it's justified.
I get what you mean.
There's both sort of a deep sense and a shallow sense.
The shallow sense is a lot of our society's social activities are constructed around the idea
of being part of a couple, right, or a family, right?
You know, go to dinner with your loved one or whatever.
Or, you know, show up a table for two or, you know, two people, hotel room or whatever it is.
You know, we group society's functions around the idea that either now or someday you're going to be a member of a couple.
That is true.
And then I think like you're hinting at, there's sort of a deeper thing going on where people judge you, right?
It's not just we've built structures to make it easy to be part of a couple, but it is assumed that you want to be part of a couple.
And if you're not, it's because you failed in this universal goal.
It's not exactly the same, but there's a close analogy with the idea of being sexual versus being asexual.
Remember, we did a podcast with Angela Chen, where she talked about how difficult it is to realize that you're asexual,
that you just don't have that kind of relationship between love and lust that most people have.
And society is not built to deal with you and judges you to be bad.
if you don't fit in. This is what society does. Society takes the fact that human beings are very
diverse, looks at the most common ways that human beings are, and judges those to be correct,
and judges all the other ways to be wrong. And this is a flaw in how society works,
but it's hard. Hopefully we're getting better at it, et cetera. There's a lot of resistance to change
along these directions. So it's certainly not justified. Like, I mean, there's softer but related
prejudices against, you know, not having kids, for example, right?
It's assumed you should want to have kids. That's just what you want to do. Getting married,
et cetera. What if you're in a couple and you don't get married? What if you're in a couple for
the same couple for 50 years, but don't get married? People will look at you funny. What can you do?
Be proud of who you are in your individual peculiarities rather than worrying about them.
It's not the biggest kind of prejudice out there in the world. So I get that you might feel like
you're being judged, but lots of people are being judged for different reasons,
and you just got to tell society to suck it up and deal with it,
because you are who you are, and you like it that way.
Robert asks a priority question.
If our current formulation of quantum mechanics hasn't appeared to answer what happened
at her before the Big Bang, the black hole firewall, and singularity questions,
is it better to think of the wave function as a complete description of quantum mechanics,
or that it needs to be modified to account for these mystery,
You know, so good.
This is the, this gets to the issue of quantum mechanics as a framework versus a theory.
You know, quantum mechanics is not a theory of physics.
It's a framework in which you develop theories of physics.
Just like classical physics is not a theory all by itself.
You can have the classical theory of gravity, of electromagnetism, of the simple harmonic oscillator,
whatever.
Likewise, you have the quantum theory of, you know,
simple harmonic oscillator,
electromagnetism, gravity, whatever.
You have different versions of all of these different specific theories,
classical versions and quantum versions.
So when you struggle to understand some particular quantum mechanical phenomenon,
it is possible to ask, you know, is this a case
where it's not just we haven't found the right model within quantum mechanics,
but that quantum mechanics itself is not up to the task.
Maybe. I mean, in some sense, that's what Stephen Wolfram would say, right? If you remember our podcast with him, I don't see that at all. I think that quantum mechanics, number one, there's no experimental problem with it at all. In other examples of times where we've had to throw out a theory or improve upon it, there's always been some experimental evidence that it wasn't quite fitting. But number two, I don't think that we've tried hard enough. Like, it seems to me to be extremely premature.
to say, well, we haven't quantized gravity yet, therefore quantum mechanics is wrong.
We just haven't tried hard enough to quantize gravity, honestly.
Like, I know there's a lot of people out there working on quantum gravity,
but most of them are still starting from some classical theory in trying to quantize it, right?
I don't think that taking the quantumness of it seriously has been tried nearly hard enough.
So that's why I am not in favor of doing that.
Quantum mechanics as a framework is extremely robust and successful.
And there's also the small data point that people have tried to change it and failed.
It's really, really hard to modify quantum mechanics in a way that doesn't immediately run afoul of something you know about the world, like, you know, the speed of light limit or something like that.
So you're welcome to try, but there's no experimental evidence that says you have, have to, and there's a lot of theoretical hurdles to overcome if you're going to give it a shot.
Anonymous says
Regarding the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics
Is information conserved in the same way that energy is conserved?
Yes, in fact, precisely the same way.
Namely, in many worlds,
both information and energy are exactly conserved
in the wave function of the universe.
They are not exactly conserved
on individual branches of the wave function
where observers find themselves.
And this fact is very, very well known,
when it comes to information.
It is less well appreciated when it comes to energy.
But I think, as I mentioned earlier in the AMA, it is true.
Energy can vary a little bit from branch to branch of the wave function.
Seth says, did your discussion with Sylvia Earle on the ramifications of consuming animals
change your view of the morality of animal consumption?
I think I might have edited this badly because we were talking specifically about sea animals, right?
not land animals. So the short answer is no. Sylvia Earle had very meaningful and important and
interesting things to say about the health aspects of eating seafood, both your individual health
as a person and the health of the planet, right? I mean, there's the issue of, you know,
overfishing and ruining the resources that we have in the oceans. That's very, very important.
And I think we should take that seriously. And there's the extra issue of, you know,
of the point she made, which is kind of very obvious in retrospect, but I had never really thought about it before, that unlike, if you're a meat eater as a human being and you eat land animals, most of the land animals or even most of the birds that we eat, so chicken, pork, beef, whatever, these are themselves vegetarians, right? Herbivores. They, they, cows eat.
grass and wheat and things like that, okay? They don't eat other animals. We don't eat,
you know, jaguars and crocodiles
that much. I guess we do eat crocodiles sometimes. But anyway, most of the animals that we
eat for our daily diets are themselves herbivores. So when
chemicals that we human beings nastily or thoughtlessly put into the
environment go into the environment, you know, they might, there might be some bad
poisonous chemicals that fall onto plants,
and then the cows eat them, and then we eat them.
But it's relatively sparse, all things considered.
Whereas the fish that we eat are themselves carnivores, right?
The fish we eat generally eat other fish to live,
and those fish eat other fish, et cetera.
And what happens is a focusing and a concentrating effect
that all the bad chemicals in the oceans
are consumed by the little fishies or the plankton or whatever,
and they keep getting consumed by bigger and bigger fish,
and they don't go away, right?
So they get concentrated in,
the fish that we eventually eat. So seafood can have a much higher level of these toxic chemicals
than our land food can. I think that was Sylvia Earle's biggest point about the health
aspects of eating fish. And so I think it did certainly make me think twice about the health
benefits of eating seafood. Because if you think just if you don't think about the toxic chemicals,
then seafood is thought of as a healthy thing to eat, right, compared to bacon or hamburgers
or pizza.
But when you do think about those chemicals, then it changes your mind a little bit.
And so, yeah, I think maybe it may be a little bit less eager to eat seafood and count it as a health move than I otherwise would have.
Okay, I'm grouping two questions together.
Let's see if I can remember why.
Sid Huff says, you've mentioned a few times on previous AMAs that you had a distinctly non-academic upbringing.
Do you think it was extra difficult for you to succeed?
so well academically because of that? Have you ever felt imposter syndrome? The sense that you don't
really know enough, aren't really capable enough to be where you are, that somehow you manage to
fool everyone so far. And Jim Murphy says, do you have any advice about developing discipline?
I am always impressed by how much you were able to do without seeming exhausted at all.
So, yeah, I was reluctant to answer both these questions because I don't like to talk about myself
personally that much. I like to talk about, you know, my ideas and so forth. But, you know, look,
these are decent questions and maybe we can help other people by talking about them together.
And I especially like Jim's question about how impressed he is about how I'm able to do so much without seeming exhausted at all because, man, I am exhausted all the time.
And I'm very happy to hear that it doesn't seem that way.
You know, especially, yeah, I'm really good at just saying yes to request to do things that have deadlines in the future and then being in trouble when the deadlines get here.
and it can be very exhausting.
And, you know, there's a lot of things I want to do.
You know, there's like so many books I want to write and papers I want to write
and, you know, things I want to learn that I don't yet know
that I could easily imagine living for another 200 years
and not doing nearly everything that I want to do.
So there's a kind of rush to get things done in some sense.
But at the same time, at some point, you want to enjoy life.
And I'm actually not that bad at enjoying life.
Like, I'm not a workaholic who sort of deprives
one self of, you know, leisure time or anything like that.
But then that just contributes to the fact that you're working really hard when you're not having
the leisure time, when you're not watching movies or basketball games or whatever it is.
And I'm not especially disciplined either.
Like, you know, I feel like I waste some time and I'm very productive at other times.
I'm fortunate enough when it comes to writing or doing science that, you know, I can go in bursts,
right?
And different people work in different ways.
But I'm the kind of person who can be really unproductive.
for long periods of time, and then a burst of activity and get a lot done. And, you know, so far,
so good, kind of good, you know. Like I said, I'm not one of the world's five best physicists,
so maybe it could be better if I were productive all the time, but, you know, I've done okay,
and I'm appreciative of the fact that other people seem to appreciate some of the things that I do.
That makes me feel good. But as far as developing discipline and having some technique or something
like that, no, no, I really, I really don't. I muddle through as best I can. Like,
I'm always, like, people who write books are always asked about, like, their writing process.
You know, like, do you wake up at 6 a.m. and meditate and then, you know, write for an hour and then answer emails.
And that's just not my life at all. Like, every day might be completely different process-wise.
Like, I need to write when I'm inspired to write. When I'm ready to write, I can't force it on some schedule or in some routine.
Maybe it'll be better if I had a routine and did that, but I just don't.
As far as Sid's question goes, imposter syndrome was never the right way.
to say it. You know, I think like I'm, like I said, pretty good at physics, but not as good as the absolute best people in the world. And I think that is correct syndrome. That's just, that's more or less accurate. I don't feel like I'm imposter. I think that there are people who I'm better than at and people who I'm worse than at. I didn't construct that sentence very well because, like I said, I don't like talking about myself. But, you know, I, I, I don't. I
I am an odd duck in some ways.
You know, I obviously, I have a podcast.
So if nothing else, that makes me very unusual in the set of all theoretical physicists.
And I write physics papers, which makes me very unusual in the set of all podcasters, even about physics.
So, you know, it's always been an awkward fit.
And I've never been, you know, a big, non-academic family, big public high school, middle of the road, Catholic university, etc.
it's always been, you know, me trying to find my own ways in ways that my environment didn't always train me for in the best ways.
It was certainly never something where this was all expected to happen.
And for better or for worse, I just wanted to do things in my own quirky ways.
Like when I was at Chicago, I eventually got denied tenure at the University of Chicago.
And I'll be very honest that I worked hard and wrote papers, and some of those papers became super highly cited.
but I didn't like devote myself to getting tenure.
I didn't just say like, I didn't live in fear of not getting tenure.
I just thought obviously it will get tenure.
What's the problem?
I'm doing good work.
I'm writing good papers.
What is the thing to worry about?
And in retrospect, that was pretty dumb on my part, right?
But it is, you know, how I live my life.
I would like to do things like I would like to do them.
And I've been extraordinarily fortunate enough to mostly get away with it.
That was one example where I did.
can get away with it in a very big and loud and noisy and impactful way. But otherwise,
I've done okay. So I don't think it's imposter syndrome. Like I've never, like, I know that there
are people who are better at physics than I am, but I don't think that's like a psychological mistake.
I think that's just true. And I admire those people and I try to learn from them rather than feeling
like I don't belong with them, because I do think I'm better than them at other things.
And there's probably people who are better at than I am at everything.
But I don't, yeah, those people I don't want to do that often.
I'm lucky enough that for most people, even if they're better at me, at 99% of the things I care about,
there's one thing that I'm better at them.
Maybe it's just like playing poker or, I don't know, making stir fries or something.
There's got to be something, right?
So that's how I avoid getting too much imposter syndrome in my life.
Einar Venmere says, priority question.
Why is the uncertainty principle not enough to explain the collapse of the wave function at measurement in quantum physics?
A measurement of a quantum property means to amplify a phenomenon from the microscopic atomic domain to the classical domain.
To amplify means to add a substantial amount of energy to the microscopic domain to make it noticeable in the classical domain.
When adding energy to one of a superposition of quantum states, the object being measured will have an uncertainty in its energy.
This is determined by the added energy.
The uncertainty in energy will imply an uncertainty in the last.
lifetime of the superposed state through the uncertainty principle, causing the superposed state
to decay quickly into one state. No, so I don't think it works at all. Sorry about that, Iinar,
for many reasons. For one thing, to amplify a microscopic quantum superposition to a macroscopic
quantum superposition has nothing to do with energy whatsoever. You don't need to put energy
into this system at all. The classic example is Schrodinger's cat, right, where you amplify the
superposition of a decaying nucleus to a superposition of a cat. But the point is not that you put energy
into the cat. The awake cat and the asleep cat have the same amount of energy, roughly speaking. It's just
that they're in a macroscopically, a superposition of two macroscopically different things. And that's
absolutely typical of quantum mechanical superpositions. There need not be some large energy difference
between the two parts of the superposition. So you need not add any energy at all to put things into a
superposition. That's one thing. Second thing is, you say at the end, you know, there's uncertainty
and energy that implies an uncertainty of lifetime, and the superimposed state will decay quickly.
But that's already assuming an answer to the measurement problem. Superimposed states don't
decay quickly. They evolve according to the Schrodinger equation, unless you have some theory of
the measurement that then collapses the wave function onto one thing or the other. That's what we
call a decay. So when you observe a Geiger counterintuitive.
click because some nucleus decayed, that is a measurement of the system that has collapsed
the wave functions. You need already a theory of the collapse of the wave function before you can
talk about that. Finally, in some very real sense, the uncertainty principle is not about
measurements at all. Okay? So you really, in principle, can't bootstrap your way up from the uncertainty
principle to a theory of the measurement problem. Because the measurement problem has to do with the
fact that there is a set of processes under which wave functions appear to not obey the Schrodinger
equation. They appear to collapse, right? And so either they don't obey the Schrodinger equation,
or they just appear not to because, as Everett would say, you're not observing the whole wave
function. But the uncertainty principle isn't about that. It's not about the measurement process.
It's about the existence of quantum states without even measuring them. Certain quantum states
just don't exist. There exist no quantum states where there is a perfectly, the technical way of
saying it is you cannot be in an eigenstate, a state of perfect determination, of both position
and momentum at the same time, because there are no states like that. And I did not use the word
measurement anywhere in that statement that I just made. There are consequences for measurement
of the uncertainty principle, obviously. That's not surprising. But it's fundamentally a
statement about the fact that there's a relationship between momentum and position that if one
is perfectly fixed, the other one is perfectly uncertain. That's it. Nothing to do with measurements.
Blake Brasher says, on a somewhat recent podcast, you mentioned that we shouldn't think of the
nucleus of an atom as being composed of discrete protons and neutrons, but rather as a swirling
mass of quarks without any distinct boundaries between the quarks. Does this mean that the neutron stars
are actually giant blobs of quark soup,
or is it also wrong to think of a neutron star
as being the same thing as an atomic nucleus?
You know, this is way too down to earth physics
for me to really be an expert,
so I believe that the answer is yes.
It does mean that neutron stars
are actually giant blobs of quark soup.
And this is a part of the weirdness of quantum mechanics.
There is going to be a lowest energy wave function
for a certain collection of up-and-down quarks
that is also feeling of gravity, you know, if it has enough mass to have an appreciable gravitational
field, such that that lowest energy state looks like a neutron star. So it's not that there's
individual neutrons pumping up against each other because there's a lower energy configuration
than that, and the system will settle into that. At least, that's what I think, on the basis
of my basic physics knowledge, but I don't know nearly enough about the details of neutron stars.
You should ask a real neutron star person, or maybe even Google it. I honestly don't know.
Simon Kit says, priority question, is the discussion in research of consciousness an example of strong emergence?
As much as I struggle with the strong emergence concept, I find it hard to have a coherent picture of endeavors to understand consciousness that don't involve some top-down causal power.
I can't imagine a race of philosophical zombies having this field of inquiry.
What could possibly be causing discussion and research into the nature of consciousness, if not consciousness itself?
No, I don't think it is an example of strong emergence.
So, you know, you've already undermined your own question when you say,
I can't imagine a race of philosophical zombies having this field of inquiry.
Remember, by definition, zombies behave in precisely the same way as non-zombies do.
So every book that a non-zombie would write could also be written by a zombie.
Every discussion, every field of inquiry, every passion, every passion, every passion, every passion,
defense of the redness of red and the experience thereof would be done by a zombie just as much as it would be done by a conscious person. And this is why I don't think that people who advocate the zombie thought experiment really think it through for exactly this reason. But I don't think that, you know, strong emergence is a slightly ill-defined concept because it's kind of defined negatively, right? You say that I have a
a theory and of small constituents making up a bigger system, and I have a theory of how the small
constituents behave, and if I put that theory of how the small constituents behave on a computer
and simulated it, what it would predict for the collection of all those constituents is different
from what happens when I actually physically get those constituents together. In other words,
It's just a statement that your theory of the small constituents is insufficient, is incomplete,
is not enough to say what happens when all these constituents come together.
That's strong emergence.
As I talked about in the podcast with Philip Goff and Keith Frankish, there's no room for that
if your microscopic theory is the standard model of particle physics.
Particles don't have, particles behave locally in space, and they respond locally
to what fields are doing at the same point in space where the particles are.
So there's no, nothing, no way within that theory, unless you want to change the laws of physics,
which is, you know, good for you.
Try to do that.
But if you don't change the known laws of physics, strong emergence is not going to happen
from the level of particle physics to the level of human beings.
The question you're asking is, you know, I think you put it best in the final line.
What could be causing discussion and research into the nature of consciousness, if not consciousness itself?
Well, sure, the research is being done by conscious creatures.
There is no school of consciousness research that is populated by researchers who are not themselves conscious.
That's true.
But this is not something that is in any way in conflict with the idea that conscious creatures are just collections of physical particles,
obeying the laws of physics, right?
Your brain is a thinking machine, and it's thinking about itself, among other things.
And, you know, there's a very good article recently in, whof, where was it?
I don't know, but I tweeted it out.
It was by Jan Ann Ismail, previous podcast guest.
And the reason why I tweeted out, tweeted out not only because it was a good article,
but because the headline on the article was abysmally bad.
The headline was something like, you know, physics is wrong.
Human beings play a crucial role in the cosmos.
And of course, Jan Ann would never say something like that.
And those words are nowhere to be found in the actual article.
what she was saying was there is a problem, well, not a problem even, but a feature of how we describe the world that needs to be taken into account the fact that we are in the world.
So it's a self-reference problem. It's not a problem of incompleteness of the laws of physics, but it's a problem of, you know, one of these famous philosophy problems of a, if you're able to completely predict the future, right?
right, if you're a prophet, or if you're Laplace's demon.
But then if you know what's going to happen in the future, because you can predict it,
what happens if you do something else?
What happens if you violate the prediction, right?
This is always the problem with time travel stories or profit stories or whatever.
And the answer is that, you know, real physical systems are not completely accurate predictors about the future.
They model the universe and they do their best.
And Janann's point was that in that model of the universe needs to be a model of use.
Because you can affect the universe. But your model of you is always going to be crude.
You don't have enough capacity to model yourself perfectly, right? I mean, this is my way. Now I'm
translating. Now I'm riffing on what Janan said. But that's the basic point. So, but that's not an
obstacle to describing yourself at all. There's an obstacle to describing the world perfectly,
given that you're in it. But we never tried to describe the world perfectly. As we talked about earlier in
the AMA, we use heuristic.
We use coarse-grained descriptions of the world, and they're always going to leave wiggle room.
That's why there is something that is useful to call our ability to make choices and have volition and have
free will in the world. But there's nothing about any of that that makes you think that it would be
impossible to describe all that in terms of purely physical motion of matter, as far as I can see.
Okay, I'm going to group two questions together. James Nancaro says,
why don't we know the actual size of the universe?
I understand that it may be our observable universe
is only what we can see,
and there is likely matter further away beyond our horizon,
but doesn't the microwave background or early universe
nucleosynthesis allow some scaling of the universe's total size,
that is, does the proportion of primordial hydrogen and helium
determine the total amount of matter,
the bigger of the universe, the more time for cooking up more helium at the start?
And then Alexander Marash says,
Alexander, sorry, Alexander Marash.
I think you mentioned in one of the previous AMAs
that the universe, while obviously being super small at the beginning
and during the inflationary epoch,
could have been infinite in size right after inflation ended.
I heard Professor Alan Goode saying many times
that our universe could have been the size of a big marble
or a baseball at the end of the inflationary period.
Taking this piece of information on board,
did I get your point wrong?
More broadly, when we say that our universe could be infinite in size,
either right after inflation or today, I get confused. Do we mean our universe, which as Pergu's opinion,
was once the size of a marble, or some other broader reality? Okay, so there's a couple of different
things going on here. One is, you know, cosmologists are often sloppy when they talk about
the universe. You would think that they would be precise when talking about the universe. It's their
job. It's what they do for a living, but in fact, they're sloppy. Sometimes when you say the universe,
you mean the collection of everything, absolutely everything, the whole shebang. What we see,
what we don't see the whole bit. Other times, we just mean our observable universe. In fact,
it's probably more frequent when a cosmologist talks about the universe and says, oh, there's
10 to the 88th particles in the universe. They mean our observable part of the universe. They mean our
observable radius of the horizon that we're able to see out to. So that is the part that when we
say the universe at the end of inflation was the size of a marble or a baseball,
That's what we're talking about.
We're only talking about the observable part of the universe.
We're not necessarily talking about the whole thing.
The whole thing could be either pretty much that size
and be a little bit bigger but not too much,
or it could be infinitely big.
We just don't know.
There are theoretical models either way,
and there's zero experimental data
because we can't see outside our observable universe
by the nature of what it means to be the observable universe.
So all of the things that Alan Gooth was saying,
about the size of the universe
refers to the observable universe.
My statement,
so you said,
the universe was super small
at the beginning
and during the inflationary universe,
but could have been infinite in size
right after inflation ended.
So I didn't say that,
or if I did say that,
I certainly didn't mean that.
What I might have said,
what I have said sometimes,
is that at the moment of the Big Bang,
which is a hypothetical singularity,
which is really just a way of saying there is no singularity.
We just don't know what's happening,
but if you just naively trace the equations backward,
there's a singularity, and that's the Big Bang.
It's impossible to define the size of the universe at the Big Bang
because there's a singularity.
It just means your equations are breaking down
and you don't know what's going on.
But at any time after the Big Bang,
the universe could have been infinitely big.
That's completely compatible with everything we know about general relativity.
So the Big Bang could be the beginning of,
of an infinitely big universe.
It doesn't need to start at some finite size and expand.
Okay?
So it's nothing to do with inflation whatsoever.
That's just a feature of general relativity,
that the whole universe could come into existence infinitely big
when it's there.
And that's not our observable universe, of course.
Our observable universe was marble-sized or whatever it was.
And then for James' question,
I got mixed up there in the middle of your question
because CMB and nucleosynthesis and things like that,
all these data points we have from the early universe,
they are completely independent of the size of the universe.
They have nothing to do with the size of the universe.
What they have to do is with the local density and expansion rate
and temperature of the universe.
So the CMB and the nucleosynthesis result from
microfysical processes of protons and neutrons fusing
or electrons being captured by nuclei, things like that, right?
Things that happen in points in space.
and they depend on the local conditions, the temperature, the density, et cetera,
but they don't know how big the universe is.
The CMB and nucleosynthesis would happen exactly the same way
in a finite-sized universe and an infinite-sized universe
with the same temperature and density everywhere.
Okay, Thomas Prunty says,
in your podcast with David Wallace,
you guys had a bit of a disagreement
about how to think about the low entropy of the Big Bang.
He said something like the early universe had as high an entropy
as it could have given that it was uniform,
and you said that uniformity is a huge constraint.
I don't see why uniformity could be surprising or need explanation.
It seems like a very simple and sensible boundary condition.
I understand that it's low entropy when gravity is considered,
but I don't see how that implies that it's unlikely in this case.
What am I missing?
Well, you know, in some sense, this is all just fuzzy talk.
Like, you know, what should the universe be?
What should be surprising?
What demands explanation, right?
Like, who are we to say what the universe should be?
should look like or be surprised by. But I don't think that the fact that something is simple,
sorry, let me be a little bit more definite than that. Simplicity is a very useful thing to
keep in mind when thinking about laws of physics, right? Dynamical rules that tell you how systems
evolve over time or something like that. We found empirically through the history of science
that looking for such simple rules is a very fruitful endeavor.
But it's completely different in my mind to think about conditions or configurations that the universe can be in.
That's not something where we have any good reason to think, a priori,
that the configuration of stuff in the universe should take a simple form.
I don't see why that should be true, right?
I do see why it should be a high entropy form, and the answer is because they're more,
ways to be high entropy than to be low entropy. If you just sort of randomly consider all the different
ways the universe could be, many, many, many more of them are going to be high entropy than to be
low entropy. So that's not to say the universe can't start out with a low entropy, but it says
if it does start out with a low entropy, there should be some reason why. There should be some
explanation. That's a clue that there's something about the dynamics of the universe that you
haven't figured out yet. And so, you know, when David says the, or, or,
early universe had as high entropy as it can, given that it was uniform. That's true, you know,
in some sense. It's not exactly true, but it's pretty darn close to be true. But that doesn't say
that that statement is completely independent from whether or not the fact that the early universe is
uniform suggests that we need to think more deeply about what was going on or should just be
the stopping point. I don't see why the fact that the early universe is uniform should in any sense
be something where we go, oh yeah, well, what else could it have been? That's a natural start.
point. The obvious thing to think about is, as Hugh Price likes to point out, if you imagine a
collapsing universe, if you run the clock backwards, a collapsing universe does not become
more and more uniform as it collapses. It becomes lumpier as it collapses. So that's the
arrow of time. You know, it's a very, very unusual, weird, finely tuned configuration for the early
universe to be so uniform. Bejan Warner says, here's a question on the relationship between
quantum mechanics and chaos theory. To what extent is the principle of sensitive dependence on
initial conditions apply to quantum systems? Does this framework matter at all, or is there something
about quantum systems that make this not an interesting thing to ask? This is a complicated
question, actually, and I'm not even an expert on it, so let me try to restrict what I say to things
I'm pretty sure are true, okay? There's a whole subject called quantum chaos. And here's the
reason why it's a non-trivial question, because in class,
classical chaos. Classical systems are often chaotic. Not always. There are non-caotic classical systems, but you don't need to work very hard to get a classical system that is chaotic. Like you put a couple of pendulums and hang them from each other, and you get a chaotic motion for the triple pendulum, as it is called. But quantum systems are a little bit different because the reason why classical systems can be chaotic has to do with the non-linearity of the interactions between them.
What I mean by that is linear is when everything just depends on the variable you're looking at to the power 1, right, X to the first power.
As soon as something depends on higher powers, you know, X squared, et cetera, that's nonlinear.
And the difference is that when you have a linear system, if you perturb it a little bit, it moves a little bit, and that's it.
A small perturbation leads to a small difference in what is happening.
But when you have a non-linear system, a small perturbation can grow very rapidly.
And that's where you get chaos.
That's where you get sensitive dependence on initial conditions,
because the tiny perturbation you give it can feed on itself and grow very, very quickly.
In classical mechanics, the fundamental equations of motion are often non-linear.
In quantum mechanics, the Schrodinger equation itself is linear.
Okay?
The Schrodinger equation has a wave function as its fundamental variable, and the wave function appears to the power one on both sides of the Schrodinger equation.
One side is the Hamiltonian, which is asking how much energy is there, and it says H operating on one power of psi, the wave function.
The other side is the time derivative.
How fast is the wave function changing, acting on one power of the wave function.
So the kind of evolution that is chaotic in classical systems
naively doesn't appear at all in quantum mechanical systems.
The wave function itself does not evolve chaotically, full stop.
But of course, in quantum mechanics, we have a classical limit, right?
And this is where it becomes a subject that requires study
and papers written about it and why there's a whole thing called quantum chaos.
Because even though the wave function,
evolves linearly and non-chaotically,
the classical observables,
the classical limit of that wave function,
you know, gives rise to classical mechanics.
The quantum, the triple pendulum
that is a chaotic system
is a classical limit of some quantum system, right?
So there has to be some classical limit
of this quantum system
that does behave non-linearly and chaotically.
Okay?
So there is an interesting thing to talk about,
which is this relationship
between the underlying behavior of the wave function
and the emergent classical world
and the emergence of non-linearities in that classical world.
So I'm not going to say anything specific about that,
but that is an interesting intersection,
overlap to talk about.
Okay. Andrew Vickersdap says,
many recent Minescape episodes have looked at the fallibility
of human thought processes,
and how susceptible we all can be
to bias, manipulation, and irrational ideas.
Given that we understand this problem today
much more than we did say 20 years ago,
and given the exponential growth and misinformation,
the average person is now exposed to,
do you think that the jury system,
in its current form, is still a fair way
to decide criminal trials?
In particular, do you have any thoughts
on the jury selection process in America
and whether or not it helps or hinders the justice system?
That's an interesting thing to put together.
The jury system that came out
hundreds of years ago,
it was thought to be important that people were tried by a jury of their peers.
Now, there's well-known issues there because only, you know, property-owning white men were considered people at the time in terms of who got to vote and who got to serve on the juries and all that stuff.
But nevertheless, the idea was that it was a participatory part of the democratic process that deciding guilt or innocence should not be led to a professional elite,
but should involve the participation of the common people.
In part, a reflection of going way back to ancient Greece.
In Socrates's trial, everyone in Athens who wanted to be part of the jury could be part.
They all came and they all voted if they wanted to.
We don't do it quite that badly.
But by the way, for those of you who are not in the U.S., in the U.S., there is a right to trial by jury.
We say there's a right to trial by jury.
In fact, it's only for sufficiently serious crimes.
Like, if you get a parking ticket, you do not have a right to trial by jury for that.
But just because there's a right doesn't mean people take it.
In fact, jury trials are a tiny percentage of all of the legal actions going on in the legal system at any one point.
You know, sort of the big-ticket corporate legal procedures don't even go to trial, right?
I mean, you can sue somebody, but they're used.
usually just settled out of court after it becomes clear who will win at court.
And even in criminal defense situations, you can easily just have a judge trial.
You don't need to have a jury trial.
It's something that the defendant can request under appropriate circumstances.
So juries are not a big part of the criminal justice system overall.
I certainly appreciate the problems with the fact that people who appear on a jury are not
going to be, you know, experts, right? They're chosen specifically not to be experts. But I think that,
and I'm not, so I'm not an expert on this, but here's my feeling, and then, you know, real experts can
let us know. There's both good and bad aspects of that, okay? I mean, one aspect that is good
is just the fact that it is participation, just the fact that it is a reminder to the people on
the jury that they play a role in the government, that the act of government, that the act of government
their country, including judging people's guilt or innocence in a court of law, is not purely
the domain of some distant elites. It is something that everyday citizens have some role in doing.
So there's some civic virtue kind of aspect to it that way. And then the other, from the other
side, from the point of view of the defendants, et cetera, you know, I think it's the case.
that usually juries take their jobs pretty seriously, right?
You know, it's an interesting phenomenon.
And I talked about this with Astra Taylor when she was on the podcast,
the political system called Sortition,
where it's government or if not the whole government,
at least certain decisions being made,
not even by voting, but by just a random selection of people
are chosen to sit and think about an issue.
So not the guilt or innocence of some criminal defendant,
but, you know, a law.
right? Should this be a law or not? So sortician says we're going to pick some random
representatives from the population, let them sit and think about it. And what do you find is that
when people are put into that situation, they usually take it really seriously. That doesn't
mean they're good at it necessarily. They still have their own biases, et cetera. We're not always
very good at making sure that all of the representative voices are heard on juries and things like
that. But there are some surprisingly uplifting features of that kind of situation. So
So clearly juries do the wrong thing sometimes.
That's absolutely true, 100%.
But I'm not at all convinced.
I don't know enough to have any strong feelings about,
but certainly I'm not at all convinced
that we would have a better system overall
if we didn't have juries.
Like judges and lawyers can be bad too, right,
even though they are professionals.
So I would need to see actual database,
evidence-based studies
that are trying to be very fair
about whether or not juries overall make things worse or better.
I really don't know.
Brandon Lewis says,
do you imagine that you will use quantum computing in your research
once they become available to you and mature enough to be useful?
And if so, what kinds of problems would they help you to solve?
I mean, probably not is the short answer.
You know, the research that I do is very pencil and paper.
I do some minor computer simulations,
like in the paper I wrote with Ashmeet Singh on dividing up quantum.
systems into subsystems.
We did a little example, right?
A little toy example with some simple harmonic oscillators and we put it on a computer and simulated it.
And in principle, on a quantum computer, that would be way more efficient, right?
That's what quantum computers are really good at is simulating quantum systems.
And so in that sense, some of my research projects would be good fits for quantum computation.
But I'm a little skeptical that you're going to get very powerful quantum computers like that,
at least in an affordable way anytime soon, by which I mean like my research career.
Okay. I'm a little skeptical that, you know, we're going to build up a lot of qubits and have
just so much capacity that people are going to have quantum laptops or something like that.
You know, I'm not at the level of using supercomputers even right now.
So I don't think that will ever get to the level of needing a quantum computer for my research
more than people who are really doing, you know, quantum field theory simulating on a quantum computer.
quantum computer or chemistry on a quantum computer. Those are the kinds of things that would be
higher priority than little old me. Peter B says a priority question. You've discussed before how the
many worlds of quantum mechanics may be just the other side of the same coin as the cosmological
multiverse. I'm still struggling to understand this idea. I can understand how I am in a superposition
with other versions of me in the quantum multiverse, but how can I be in a superposition with other versions of me
trillions of light years away? Or are you saying that these types of multiverses
redundantly contain the same set of events, but they're still distinct from each other?
Well, this is a subtle thing. So I guess I've discussed it before, but probably not very
often because it is a very subtle thing. I have a blog post about it that goes into more detail.
This was an idea that, you know, however many years ago, before these two papers came out,
two papers came out, one by Yasunarina Mora and the other by Rafael Buso and Lenny Susskind.
And they both were along very similar lines, drawing a connection between the cosmological multiverse and the many worlds of quantum mechanics.
And before that, if you would ask me, I would say, no, they're obviously very, very different.
They have nothing to do with each other.
But the missing ingredient, which is highly non-trivial, is the idea of horizon complementarity, okay, which is a little complicated, but this is a priority question.
So it was good that you put priority question in here, because otherwise I might have skipped over it because this is complicated.
to explain. But the idea is the following. Due to Suskin and some of his collaborators,
first in the context of black holes, you know, they were trying to understand the black hole
information loss puzzle. And there's certain features of classical black hole physics that are
a little bit puzzling, not super puzzling, but a little bit counterintuitive at face value.
If you throw something into a black hole, right? You know, the famous thing to say for the
information loss puzzle is throw a book into a black hole, the information falls in, it
disappears. Classically, that would be fine, but quantum mechanically, it evaporates away. How does the
information get out? But we all know, because there is something called gravitational time dilation,
that from the point of view of the outside observer, at least in some approximation where the book
does not have its own mass or something like that, but the book, you don't see the book disappear
past the event horizon, right? What you see is the book move more and more slowly as it comes close
to the Eventorisen. The book doesn't feel that way. If you were writing the book, if you fell in
with the book, you would just pass right through the Eventorazen. But from the point of view of an
outside observer, it just seems to slow down and approach, creep up closer and closer to it.
So Suskin and Friends said, well, maybe there's like a souped up quantum version of this,
which says that there's one thing that is going on in the world, but there are two different
ways of talking about it that depend on which observer you are. There's the observer that falls in,
and everything is just perfectly normal.
And to the observer far away,
all of what falls into the black hole,
all the information that falls into the black hole,
is somehow stuck on the horizon.
Okay?
And this is an incompatible picture,
but that's why it's called complementarity,
because you get to choose.
You can't describe it both ways at the same time.
You can either describe it from the point of view
of the infalling observer or the distant observer,
but not both, okay?
There's a version of this idea.
that works for cosmology.
If you're in an accelerating universe
like we're in, right,
then you have a horizon around you.
That horizon approaches a fixed size.
And so the horizon complementarity view of cosmology
would be that there is no outside universe.
This is kind of a, there's different versions of this idea.
I'm telling you the most radical,
hardcore version, okay?
The most radical version is there's the universe
we see from inside,
and what you and I think of as the external
universe, all of its information is just on our horizon. There's nothing more to it than that,
okay? But that includes everything that you might have been tempted to say is outside our
observable universe. It's all just encoded on our horizon, and that's a finite amount of
information that you need that would ever be relevant to describing the outside world. Okay.
What does that have to do with many worlds and the multiverse? Well, it would seem that taking that
idea at face value rules out the multiverse, right? You're saying that there is no universe extending
infinitely far away. There's just our horizon. But now, remember, there's the many worlds
interpretation of quantum mechanics. And in these cosmological theories of the multiverse, what
you're imagining is there are quantum mechanical transitions between different vacuum states
that would look like different local laws of physics. So much like a decaying nucleus, or let's say
just pick an individual neutron out there in space.
A neutron can decay, we say, into a proton, an electron, and antineutrino.
In a correct many-worlds version of that story, we say that the neutron wave function
evolves into a superposition of a neutron plus proton, electron, and antineutrino.
In a very similar way, the universe evolves into a superposition of our vacuum state
plus other vacuum states.
And in all of them, according to this version of the story,
there's a horizon, and the horizon has a certain size,
and that's the whole universe.
So what this theory says is that the cosmological multiverse
still exists in the presence of horizon complementarity,
but it exists because of the many different branches
of the wave function.
All the different parts of the universe,
where there's different local laws of physics,
are sitting on top of each other at the same point in space,
in some ill-defined sense,
but all the branches of the wave function
describe individually finite-sized cosmological horizon-sized patches.
Okay?
That's the story.
So you can sort of instantiate the cosmological multiverse
in one patch of space-time
by evoking the many worlds of quantum mechanics.
That's the idea.
Is the idea right?
Yeah, we don't know.
We have no idea.
This is, you know, doing our best to draw conclusions from sketchy assumptions about how both gravity and quantum mechanics work.
So it's possible, but I couldn't tell you whether it's right or not.
Matt Hickman asks a priority question to it, can I have another priority question, please?
Nope, you can't.
That's the whole idea of the priority question.
You only get one.
So you should use it wisely or you should have used it wisely, however you want to parse that.
Rebecca Lashua says, you've mentioned in the past that if you weren't a theoretical physicist,
you would consider being a theoretical computer scientist.
Are there any particular results in the theory of computation that you find interesting or aesthetically pleasing?
You know, it's very vague because I'm not a theoretical computer scientist,
but I find fascinating, you know, the restrictions on computability and computation.
And as we discussed before, in the AMA, all of the structure that sort of comes
to life because of our boundedness and finitude, right?
And this has to do with emergence and things like the FI.M. working on.
So in John Conway's Game of Life, that famous cellular automata with the black and white squares on the checkerboard,
there's a sense of emergence in that game, right?
Because there are structures like gliders and glider guns that you can talk about as individual phenomena
without specifying the specific details of every little black and white square.
So, you know, in some sense, in some sense, theoretical computer science has something to do with artificial worlds.
And you can study general principles of dynamics or emergence or things like that in the context of these artificial worlds.
And then worry later about applying it to our world.
As a physicist, I kind of got to worry about our world.
That's my job.
But as a theoretical computer scientist, you are less constrained.
So I think that's the kind of thing I'd be interested in.
But, you know, who knows?
Maybe I would be doing artificial intelligence or something like that.
It's a whole new, brand new world that we're inventing in that whole field.
So many, many interesting questions out there.
Peter C. Harris says,
Do you have any thoughts about the 1619 project and the New York Times decision to endorse it?
My understanding is that the person leading the project is a brilliant journalist but not a historian and historian, Peter correctly wrote.
Sorry, I mispronounced it.
And that many historians, including African-American,
American ones say the project contains significant historical errors. Isn't this roughly
analogous to a science journalist creating a project that endorses the Copenhagen
interpretation of quantum mechanics and having that project endorsed by the Times, even though
credible rival interpretations such as many worlds exist? Should a newspaper of record even be
making such endorsements? I think the short answer, I try to give the short answer to long
questions first. So the short answer is no. I don't quite agree with where you're going here.
And I don't even think that it's correct to formulate it as saying the New York Times has endorsed this.
The New York Times published the 1619 project, just like it publishes, you know, op-ed pieces and book reviews and news articles and a whole bunch of other things that it published.
And certainly it rose to the level of being publishable in the New York Times.
But I think that the framing is a little bit off, I would say, at least my opinion versus your opinion, I would frame it a little bit differently.
The 1619 project made a lot of claims, and some of them were mistakes.
That's not surprising to me at all.
You know, like any big project, I've written books.
You know, as someone who writes books, a couple of mistakes will creep into those.
That is by itself not really determinative anything at all.
I do think there's a slightly more pointed critique you could make that maybe some of the mistakes they made were, you know, the direction of the mistake.
was influenced by an underlying political perspective that they had.
I think that's a better criticism to make that they, you know, erred, there were systematic errors
and not just random ones, let's put it that way.
And that's okay.
It's a perfectly good criticism.
But to me, that criticism completely pales in comparison to what they're trying to do,
to the bigger picture point of view of what they're trying to do.
Look, any society, any country, any nation, tell stories about itself.
history is a set of stories that we choose to tell.
The number of facts about the past that we could potentially write down is infinitely big.
The whole thing about history is we pick some of those facts to focus on and to tell as stories and to relate to ourselves.
And unsurprisingly, countries, nations, tend to tell more or less flattering stories about themselves.
They tend to gloss over the parts that are a little bit less flattering, right?
Like Japan doesn't really like to talk about what happened in Manchuria at the beginning of World War II.
They don't really like to talk about that, right?
France, you know, I have friends who are French who really are genuinely puzzled about why other people from European nations don't like Napoleon.
I mean, after all, Napoleon just brought civilization to them and the rule of law shouldn't they be thankful to Napoleon?
British people are genuinely puzzled
that people around the world
mind that they were colonized.
Again, weren't they just bringing
peace and love to them?
They don't get it.
Because we tell these stories about ourselves
that, you know, in China,
any idea about Tiananmen Square
has been scrubbed clean, right?
And the United States is no different than that.
The United States tends to,
in its sort of history lessons, et cetera,
teach a sanitized version of the real history.
You know, there's plenty of examples.
The Trail of Tears is a terrible, awful incident
in the United States history,
which is not put front and center.
Certainly when I was in high school,
maybe it's different now.
Maybe a more well-known example
is the controversies over Columbus Day, right?
By any even halfway objective judgment,
Christopher Columbus was a terrible, terrible person.
I mean, he was a genocidal, rapist, racist maniac.
And he also, you know, had some ships that, you know, traveled across the ocean.
I mean, even that his Spanish sponsors got completely tired of him by the end of it.
But no objective historical account of what Columbus did would paint him as a hero.
But, you know, there's a story in the United States that, you know, discovered America.
and we brought civilization to it.
And this is not, you know,
just from hundreds of years ago.
I remember when I was growing up,
we had Schoolhouse Rock,
which was great, mostly.
Schoolhouse Rock were these little cartoons
you would watch on Saturday mornings
that would teach you about different educational things,
sometimes about grammar or science,
but sometimes about history.
And there was one called Elbow Room,
about how, you know,
when the colonists came from Europe to the United States,
they needed elbow room.
They needed space.
So they basically spread across the country and everyone was happy.
That's a story that we're telling that leaves out certain aspects of the story,
namely like all the indigenous people who were killed, right?
And their cultures wiped out in the process of that expansion across the continent.
And the idea of slavery and its role in the whole history of the United States is one.
that absolutely we don't always face up to in the United States.
And so the goal of this 1619 project was to put slavery front and center
as an aspect of what was being thought about at the founding of the United States.
And did they go too far sometimes?
Did they over-emphasize the role of slavery and why the American colonies
chose to declare their independence from Britain and so forth?
maybe, very plausibly, I'm not a political expert there.
But look, the point is, it's them versus the world.
You know, it's not like they're the only history of the United States has ever been written.
They're going up against every other single history of the United States
where the role of slavery has been under-emphasized.
You need a correction in these situations.
And so good for them for moving in that direction.
You know, I think that this is part of being honest, being,
factual and evidence-based is that you have to look at your potential biases. And this goes for
countries just as well as it goes for individuals. You want to tell a story of your past that
makes you look good, right? And this, again, for societies as well as for individuals. And the United
States has been just really, really, it's consistently failed to examine.
the role of slavery in the history of the United States.
You know, we talk about the Civil War.
Plenty of people in the South still think, you know, that the South was, that the Confederacy
was virtuous in one way or another.
And they try to tell themselves stories about how it really wasn't about slavery and things
like that.
And so, you know, I am perfectly willing to criticize factual mistakes that are made by the
1619 project or anywhere else.
But the project is well worth.
taking seriously. You know, we need to examine our flaws. And again, this is part of being honest and
truthful and factually based. We need to be able to face up to the parts of our history personally and
nationally and humanly that make us the least comfortable. It's not always an easy thing to do,
but, you know, I applaud them for pushing us in that direction. Paul Cousin says,
the last episode with Tidei Dene Bradley was fascinating.
In it, you discussed the philosophical question of whether it could be conceivable
to find all of the semantics and the statistics of the words alone.
Would it make the idea more realistic if we include in these statistics
all the sensory inputs that humans receive from the world while experiencing words,
in which case a machine will be strongly limited in its abilities to understand language
unless we provide contextual sensory information as well in the data set?
What do you think?
again, this is something where I don't have thoughts that are necessarily a very expert level, okay?
This is the kind of question that people take very, very seriously in AI robotics, language studies, linguistics, etc.
Semantics, semantics.
So, but let me just say that, you know, maybe in principle you would get a different view of the role of language and how it was used.
if you coupled it to observations of the outside world.
So you look at not only what words are being said,
but in what context those words are said.
What is going on in the world around you,
what data you have in front of you, when you say those words.
Sure. I mean, that's more data, right?
So it gives you a better view of the world.
But it also sort of pulls the rug out
from underneath the dramatic claim that is being made,
which in some sense, there's a claim being made,
which is that you don't really need that extra information.
And that claim could be true or false.
But the idea is that there is enough information just in the relationships between words and how they appear,
that it greatly constrains the possible meanings of those words, even if you don't know what the person is looking at or talking about or whatever.
So, yeah, you might be able to get even better understanding by adding more stuff in.
But the question is, can you get a really, really good understanding without it?
I think that's the issue that is the issue that is trying to be.
be addressed by this research. And again, the answer might be yes or no, or yes, sometimes,
and no other times. But that's what they're trying to do. Naive Alam says, which genre of music
do you consider to be your favorite? Do you have any interest in opera, say, by Wagner,
Strauss, or Mozart? So I'm pretty ecumenical in my musical taste. Like, I like music overall. I like
all sorts of different kinds of music. But, you know, classical music is something where I'm not an
expert. Like, I know that there are layers there.
that I am not sufficiently discerning or familiar enough to really talk about or judge in any
reliable way. So I'm very happy to go to the opera and enjoy it, but I'm not going to claim
to be appreciating the nuances that a real expert would be able to experience. You know,
somewhere between jazz and classic rock are my favorite genres of music. You know, I grew up
in the 70s, I guess, my formative musical years.
70s, early 80s, and I like the music of the 60s and the early 70s and in popular music-wise.
So, I mean, that's my bread and butter.
And then later on, I discovered jazz and would go to jazz clubs.
And I really do love jazz, probably, you know, maybe a little bit more even than rock and roll.
But, you know, everyone from Mingus to Thelonious Monk to a whole bunch of people, there's a reason why I went to Marsalis as one of my first podcast.
guests. But, you know, I'm not, I don't, I'm not very judgy about music. I'm not, you know,
it would be weird since I'm not even a moral realist for me to be an aesthetic realist. I
don't think there is a fact of the matter about what music is good and what music is bad.
Music is what moves you. Well, what matters about music to me is what moves you personally.
Like, you can like and enjoy the simplest, dumbest bubblegum pop music as far as I'm concerned. I don't,
not think any less of you for that. I don't think it's wrong to like that. Okay. If it brings you
pleasure, then that's great. And there's no special accomplishment in liking the weirdest,
most challenging music. Like, it's good if you like it. That's cool, but doesn't make you better
than anybody else. You know, liking John Cage is not intrinsically superior to liking
Britney Spears or whatever it is, whatever comparison you want to do. Alex Borland says,
do you have any favorite restaurants in Boston, especially in Chinatown?
So, you know, I debated whether to answer this question because the answer is no.
I don't have any really super favorite ones.
Like, but I wanted to just remark on the fact that, you know, look, I love Boston.
This is where I'm spending some time here, and I spent eight years of my life here living here.
The restaurant scene, man, it's just not up to stuff.
Sorry, you know, before this, the two cities I lived in, or in between when I was here for grad school and postdoc.
And now the two cities I lived in the longest were Chicago and Los Angeles.
both of which in their ways are amazing food towns. Weirdly, Chicago is great for fine dining,
you know, for like three-star Michelin-star restaurants kind of things. Alinia, which is arguably
one of the world's greatest restaurants is there, and there's plenty of other restaurants
sort of in that stratosphere for, you know, getting dressed up a little bit, spending a lot of money,
Chicago was just amazingly good. And it's not even a lot of money, to be honest. Like, there are cities
that are a lot more expensive than that. Whereas Los Angeles, the sort of street food
ethnic food, you know, a variety of different cuisines and different mixtures is unprecedented in my
experience. And of course, there's other cities, you know, New York and San Francisco and whatever
that have amazing food scenes and in their own ways, New Orleans and Austin or other places
around the U.S. And Boston is fine. It's okay. But, you look, I live in Chinatown right now,
live for a couple months.
And, you know, I'm surrounded by dumplings.
So many dumplings.
So many hot pot restaurants.
A few noodle restaurants.
And they're fine.
There's a little bit of variety.
There's a Malaysian place that is the, of the ones I've sampled,
this Malaysian place is definitely the best.
But it's not like transcendently good, right?
It's not like you're going to get in the San Gabriel Valley.
And if you're in Los Angeles, probably the,
I've been to a couple of fine dining restaurants here in Boston.
and they were fine, you know, but not as good as you get in Las Vegas.
In Vegas, you get really good fine dining, much less Chicago or New York.
And, you know, probably the single best restaurant experience I had was a place called Ruka, near Chinatown, near downtown crossing, which is sort of like a, it belongs in Vegas, honestly.
Maybe it has an outpost in Vegas.
It's like a hip Japanese-peruvian fusion place.
And that's the kind of, you know, recipe for.
disaster if you do it badly, but they really do it well. Like the cold sesame noodles and the
rolls that they had were really, really top-notch. I got to give Ruka some kudos there,
or U-K-A if you're near Chinatown in Boston. Justin Bailey says, what do you think is the most
credible explanation for why we experience a single reality in a branching universe? So I think
this is one of those like sneakily difficult but really fascinating questions, actually.
You know, if you, so I'm more hardcore about quantum mechanics and many worlds than even most other many worlds people are than like more than David Wallace is in a sense that I think that the ultimate way to think about reality is a pure quantum vector, not something that sort of is based on some preexisting classical precursor theory. So to me, the, there's work to be done in explaining why the world looks classical at all, more work than for most people who,
who sort of presumes some classical superstructure hidden in how they define the correct theory of the world.
Like they put in space and fields or particles or whatever.
I think that all those have to emerge somehow from the wave function.
So it's a tricky question, why we experience a single reality.
So first you have to say, why, I mean, there's different levels to this question.
One is, how is it that a classical-looking world can emerge from a question?
quantum mechanical underlying structure.
And I think that there seems to be a lot of prerequisites to that.
You know, the underlying quantum structure has a lot of properties that are necessary to allow
for a classical limit to exist.
So when you say single reality, sorry, let me back up, there's just too many things going
on here with this question.
So let me finish that thought I was making.
Only certain quantum theories will have classical limits at all.
Okay.
That is one fact, and we're still trying to investigate that and understand it better.
The other, which I should have said first, is that the word we is sneakily important in this question you ask.
Why we experience a single reality, okay?
So, you know, again, if you were the quantum version of Lepas's demon, you could just talk about the wave function in the universe.
You wouldn't need to talk about branches or anything like that.
But Everett's insight is that when the branching happens, what occurs on one branch has no effect whatsoever on what occurs on other branches.
So that is a subset of a sort of deeper principle, and I'm not sure what that deeper principle is.
This is why I think this is a good research level question to ask.
How, given some big theory of everything, do you divide it up?
into subsets which interact with each other in some interesting way
so that they would count amongst themselves as a separate world.
Okay?
We have examples, you know, in the case of many worlds,
when there's decoherence, it's pretty clear.
You can sort of point to the reasons why things that happen
on one branch of the wave function will not affect things that happen on another branch.
In the cosmological multiverse, it's also clear,
because forget about all the craziness we just talked about,
about horizons and complementarity and things like that,
in the naive picture of the cosmological multiverse,
where something is just trillions of light years away,
you can't get to it.
So that's a pretty straightforward reason why you can't interact with it,
and therefore you're part of a separate universe,
self-contained kind of universe.
But the general theory of that, I don't know.
I don't know what the general statements are
about when to divide things up into different universes,
which you would call, like, I cannot treat myself and the table in front of me as part of two different universes,
because I can easily interact with it and affect it, and it can affect me, right?
But I don't know the general theory of that.
So that's point zero.
Point one is the way that individual branches of a quantum wave function become separate worlds in this sense is by being classical,
is by being well approximated by the rules of classical mechanics, right?
Like, we got along for hundreds of years in human history,
describing the world with the rules of classical mechanics pretty well, right?
We didn't need to know quantum mechanics.
Quantum mechanics imposes itself in unavoidable ways,
only when we get down to the level of individual particles or atoms, right?
Why is that?
You know, why are there classical limits to the world,
and why do we need there to be classical limits to call it a single world? Okay.
And then finally, so there's the question of, given a quantum theory, how do you get a classical
limit out of it that you would call a single world? Then there's a very deep question of,
why does the quantum theory of our universe have the properties that are required to give you a
classical limit at all? Why are we allowed to have a classical limit?
I don't know that one either, right?
That's another set of rules that we don't have written down yet.
So all this is very difficult to answer stuff.
So the vague answer to your question is there is some feature of the real world that is fundamentally quantum mechanical,
but is amenable to an emergent higher level description as a series of parallel classical approximations.
Why that's true or under what conditions it could be true are things that we don't really know very well.
Josh Charles says, when thinking about the far-flung future, do we have an idea of how much matter would escape going through the process of entering a black hole and being radiated back out?
So I think what you mean is, if you just let the universe evolve for a long time, some matter is going to fall into black holes and then be radiated away eventually, and some maybe won't.
You know, I'm sure this is a very answerable question if you really sat down and thought about it very carefully.
You know, there have been papers written by Fred Adams and Greg Loughlin about exactly these kinds of questions about the ultra-long-term fate of the universe.
And I think the question is that most matter falls into black holes if you wait long enough.
Some matter was just like flung out into the space in between the black holes.
But, you know, our galaxy, for example, most particles in our galaxy are gravitationally bound to the galaxy, right?
They're not just passing through on hyperbolic orbits.
And what that means is if you wait long enough, they will spiral in to the black hole at the center.
Now, you wait a very, very long time.
And the spiraling in is caused both by mixing between different parts of the stars and gas and dust in the galaxy,
by the emission of gravitational waves, by just cooling off and emitting photons, by a whole bunch of different things.
Plenty of things won't fall into black holes.
Plenty of photons will never fall into black holes.
But I think most of the actual massive particles in the universe will eventually get there.
That's my belief. Don't ask me to do a calculation to test it.
Zach McKinney says, how do you see differences in seemingly esoteric, philosophical, and metaphysical
questions such as the nature of consciousness or free will, translating into concrete and
consequential differences in how people approach real-world problems and conflicts?
Well, you know, they do and they don't. I think some do and some don't. I think there's an obvious way
in which these deep philosophical, esoteric questions do have an effect on real-world outcomes,
namely meta-ethics.
So we have ethics, which is your view of what is right and what is wrong.
We have meta-ethics, which is how you justify your view of what is right and what is wrong.
So if you say, do unto others as you would have them do unto you, that is an ethical precept,
if you say there are universal rules that everyone should follow, that is a meta-ethical
precept, and then the do-undue others is the actual rule that you say everyone should follow.
Or if you say you should be consequentialist, that's a meta-ethical precept,
and then if you say, here are the consequences that matter, and here's how you add them up,
that is a specific ethical way of doing things.
So here's a meta-ethical perspective.
do what God tells you to do. And I think if you had that metaethical perspective, which many people
in the world do, by the way, you might end up with different ethics than people do who are more
naturalist about it. Theism versus naturalism is a really important philosophical question with
very obvious practical, real-world consequences. I've used this argument with friends before that, you know,
Because a lot of physicists and philosophers, they tend to be atheists, right?
They tend to not be theists.
They tend to be naturalists.
Not all of them.
There's obviously many counter examples, but many, most, are atheists.
But they don't talk about it a lot.
You know, they don't draw a line from their scientific or philosophical viewpoints to a public declaration of atheism or naturalism.
And I, you know, I try to say that, look,
what we do for a living as theoretical physicists or philosophers or whatever, this is sort of the
implicit issue in your question from Zach. It doesn't have a lot of impact on people's everyday
lives, right? You know, whether or not it's Bomey in mechanics or Everettian mechanics or
Everettian quantum mechanics, right? You can go through your life pretty much okay. But the one
example where it does have an impact is in whether God exists. That has a big difference. And then
And you can sort of fill in the gaps, fill in the details about how that might affect people's behavior in the real world.
And then also, you know, even if you specialize to people who are naturalists, I don't think that naturalists have done a good job of telling people how to live.
Or if you don't want to be quite so prescriptive, of suggesting ways that we can find meaning and purpose in our lives, even without God.
There's some cliches that we bandy about, but really when you get right down to it,
it's not quite as convincing and full of a story.
And it could be and should be.
But, you know, we're still, we've abandoned these sort of underlying philosophical justifications
for a lot of the choices and modes of life that we've had throughout human history
without actually changing the modes because we haven't really thought through
what the implications should be of this new view of the fundamental
nature of reality. Look, again, you know, I'm quoting a lot of old podcasts here, but go back to
the very first week of podcasts I did. And I talked to Anthony Pinn, who is an atheist theologian
at Rice University. And also, he's black, and he cares a lot about how the black community
is very religious. And he thinks that they should be more atheist, but he gets why they're not.
And he says, look, you know, you have that black people,
get something out of going to church, out of being part of a religious community. And you can't
just tell them that the force of reason is against their belief system. You have to give them a
soft landing. You have to tell them how they can live just as fulfilled and rewarding a life without
that religious superstructure. And you haven't, he says, you atheists, who includes himself
and myself among them, you haven't done that.
So I think that even within naturalism or atheism,
there's still a lot of work to be done
in doing exactly what you are asking about.
What are the everyday consequences of this view of the world?
I mean, how in the world can you imagine
changing your completely deepest fundamental nature of reality
without any consequences for how you live your everyday life?
Surely there must be there.
We haven't done a great job of explaining what those differences are.
All right. And the very last question from Sam Buck is, now for something completely different,
what's your favorite kind of sandwich? And so I'm going to, you know, I helped myself to a few
flattering questions earlier. Actually, I started with an insulting question, right, about the professor
telling me that it was pop philosophy. But then there were some flattering questions about how
it was disciplined and things like that. So I wanted to end with a self-deprecating question
because I do not have a sophisticated theories of sandwiches. I think that's, I think that
that's too bad. Maybe I should have a sophisticated theory of sandwiches. But like my favorite
sandwiches are kind of the, you know, down to earth everyday sandwiches, like a good tuna melt
I like. There's, of course, the famous question about whether hot dogs are sandwiches, right?
But if they were, if you, I don't have a strong feeling about whether hot dogs or sandwiches,
but if they were sandwiches, they would absolutely be some of my favorites, like a really good
hot dog. I know a lot of people have never had good hot dogs before. That is part of the Chicago
culinary scene is their hot dogs.
Like, again, you know, the East Coast, as much as I love it and I grew up here, you know, in Boston or in New York, for that matter, the street level food is, whew, like, you know, the hot dogs just sitting there in the lukewarm water or the pizzas that they make in the morning and then the pizzas sit there cold for hours and they will reheat a slice for you.
And I'm like, how do you live like this?
This is just terrible.
In Chicago, you grill that hot dog when you order it, and then it's a good hot dog.
It tastes completely different.
Even in O'Hare, even in the airport in O'Hare, I can get a really good hot dog.
Better than I can get on the streets of New York by far.
Anyway, cheese steaks, grew up in Philadelphia, love a good cheese steak.
I like sandwiches.
I like the idea of sandwiches.
I like them in pita.
You know, one of the best hot dogs I ever had was in Paris, of all places, like in a baguette with really good French mustard.
But I don't have a good
sophisticated theory of sandwiches.
I couldn't tell you why certain sandwiches are good
and certain sandwiches are bad.
They're easy, they're good comfort food,
you can get a lot of variety in every bite.
It's a good system.
I'm pro sandwich.
I can go that far,
even without telling you what the best one is.
And with that, we'll call an end to the AMA,
the final AMA of the year 2021.
What a year it was in many ways.
Thank you once again, as always,
for supporting the mindscape.
podcast. I appreciate it very, very much. I hope you're getting something out of it. I am constantly
kind of amazed that people will go with me on this journey through so many different questions
and so many different fields talking to so many different people. It's great fun and great
privilege to me, and I'm glad you're coming along. So take care, and for those of you who
have holidays in front of you, have good holidays, give thanks, be well. Free is great, but only if
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