Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas - AMA | February 2024
Episode Date: February 12, 2024Welcome to the February 2024 Ask Me Anything episode of Mindscape! These monthly excursions are funded by Patreon supporters (who are also the ones asking the questions). We take questions asked by ...Patreons, whittle them down to a more manageable number -- based primarily on whether I have anything interesting to say about them, not whether the questions themselves are good -- and sometimes group them together if they are about a similar topic. Enjoy! Blog post with questions and transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2024/02/12/ama-february-2024/ Support Mindscape on Patreon.
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Hey everyone, it's Cal Penn.
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Hello, everyone.
Welcome to the February 24.
Ask Me Anything in addition to the Mindscape Podcast.
I'm your host, Sean Carroll.
So things have been a little bit hectic here at Mindscape World International Headquarters.
They're not supposed to be hectic.
It's the beginning of the new year.
I'm not even teaching this semester.
I doubled up on teaching last semester so I could have a breather and work on my next book.
But it's been hard.
There's a lot of things going on.
And as a result, this month's AMA is a wee bit later than usual.
It's not a big deal.
The questions are eternal questions. It doesn't matter what week they appear on. And it might also turn out to be the case that it's a little bit shorter than the average AMAs. It's still pretty darn long by most measures, I got to say. So I was thinking while going through the questions for the AMAs, by the way, the AMAs are sponsored by Patreon supporters. So it's the Patreon supporters who get to ask the questions. And once in the lifetime of a Patreon supporter, you get to ask a priority question that I will do my best.
to answer in good faith.
You too, if you're listening to this and are not a Patreon supporter,
could be a Patreon supporter.
Just think how good that would make you feel.
You can go to patreon.com slash Sean M. Carroll,
chip in a dollar per podcast.
If you think that the hour that you spend listening to Mindscape is worth a dollar,
then going to Patreon and supporting is a nice thing to do.
Anyway, sadly, the number of questions I get,
well over 200 questions per month,
and nowhere near what I could actually do, even in a two or three or four hour AMA.
So I have to pick and choose.
And I was pretty brutal this time because I knew I wouldn't have a lot of time to do it.
So I was cutting out a lot of good questions.
And as I always say, that breaks my heart to have to do that.
In particular, I noticed that this month there were just a lot of questions about quantum mechanics and many worlds and things like that.
And I do try to keep the AMAs varied, right?
I don't want five questions in a row about the same topic, even if you're not.
if they're really good questions.
So one possibility, let me just throw it out there,
if the community, that is to say the Patreon community,
the folks who are paying for this,
if you all would like it to have a themed AMA,
so rather than literally just bouncing back and forth
between every topic, which is my preference,
that's what I actually do,
but if you, since you're the paying customers,
would like to have just this month's AMA
is nothing but quantum mechanics,
or this month's AMA is nothing but cosmology
or whatever it is, I would absolutely consider doing something like that.
So I'm throwing this out to the Patreon supporters out there.
Think about that, chime in in the comments, and we'll consider that.
The AMAs are different than the regular episodes.
The regular episodes, you know, I take suggestions, I'm very happy to get suggestions,
but basically my criterion is I want to do what keeps me interested,
whereas the AMAs are my attempt to give back to thank you the Patreon supporters
for supporting the podcast.
So I do want to fine-tune the AMA strategy to be whatever the Patreon supporters really want it to be.
So feel free to chime in about that, and we'll try to work it out.
You know, it's a process.
You have to trust the process, as someone famous one said.
And with that, let's go.
Linus Melberg says, if we are living in a simulation,
what if the exact same simulation were executed again?
So the exact same thing is simulated twice.
Would we be alive twice?
Well, the short answer is no.
The best answer is no to this.
There would be two people who are alive who are completely identical to each other.
This is exactly like the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics, right?
Where you have multiple copies of people.
If these people have not actually interacted with some particular quantum measurement
that branched the universe into multiple copies,
then they are completely identical with each other.
but they're not the same person, right?
The same thing happens if the universe repeats in time, as Nietzsche would have imagined,
or it's the same thing that happens if you live in a simulation, you run the simulation more than once.
There's no causal connection.
There's no memory from one to the other.
There's no influence that passes in either direction.
There's no communication or interaction of any form.
So these are two separate people, even if they are exactly the same people.
So two people are alive that are identical to each other, but that's not one person being alive twice.
Tucker Hyatt asks a priority question, priority question meaning once per life, you get to ask a question that I'm going to try my best to answer.
According to what is sometimes called David Hume's Problem of Induction, we cannot explain the regularity and persistence of the laws of physics.
Are you ever or always surprised by and even grateful for the apparent continuity of our existence?
You know, I don't know whether or not that's the kind of thing it makes any sense to be surprised by,
which, let me be super duper clear, it might be okay to be surprised by that.
There are many, many more ways for the universe to be irregular than for it to be regular.
So it's okay to have a vague intuition that the existence of regularities, which we call the laws of physics,
in the universe is something special and unusual.
but we certainly don't know. We have literally no right to expect to have any intuition
whatsoever about whether or not the universe is in some sense more likely to be randomly
scattered in its events versus orderly in its events. Where would that intuition come from?
Where would this measure on the space of possible universes come from? This is always a problem
for, well, on the abstract side, for vague theories,
of all possible worlds, like philosopher David Lewis, or for that matter, Max Tegmark would have
us believe in, or for scientists in the real world to bring it down to Earth and make it much more
tangible, who want to understand the world by proposing theories that may or may not be right
about the world. We certainly, in our everyday scientific theorizing, treat certain
possible sets of rules as more likely than others. They're simpler or more beautiful,
or whatever, what right do we have to do that?
You know, we get some right maybe from the fact that it has worked for us
scientifically for a long time, but it's not like there's some clear, crisp philosophical
reason why it had to be that way, some justification for the values that we choose
to put on different scientific hypotheses.
That's why I try to actually sort of be honest about this.
When we're talking about theories where there's multiple competitors to explain a certain
phenomenon and we don't yet know which one is right. Everyone is always going to bring in our intuitions,
our values in some way, and we have to be humble about whether or not those values are going to be
really all that determinant when it comes down to actually doing the experiments. So anyway, this is a long
way this sort of sparks a whole bunch of other interesting issues out there, Tucker's question,
but I don't see why it should be surprising that the universe is more regular. Or let me put it
this way. If there hadn't been any regularities in the universe, I want to say I would not be surprised
by that, but I can't even really say that because I wouldn't be here, right? There's a very real
anthropic thing going on where there's no observers around to talk about the universe if there's
literally no regularities that we'd recognize as the laws of physics. There's no persistence
of information from moment to moment so you can't learn and reason about anything. But that might
seem a little cheap. I guess what I want to say is, in the space of all possible universes,
I would be willing to admit that more of them don't have regularities than have regularities.
But maybe there's something I don't know about the space of all possible universes.
I think that that's just something that right now is way above all of our pay grades.
Aaron Perrin says, the more I learn from your podcast, the more I wonder if the universe is
an optimization similar to a Markov decision process. That is, particles are
selected from the wave function in a way that optimizes some currently unknown natural policy,
e.g. complexity. We see optimization processes in other places in nature. Evolution is one that comes to
mind. As an amateur, how would I take an intuition like this beyond the crackpot stage? I figure I first
need to do a literature review that I need to figure out how to test it and falsify it. What else? You know, I love
this question. I especially love the way that you've asked it, Aaron, because you're sort of on the right
track, even though the answer I'm going to give is, no, you are completely wrong about what it is
you have to do next. Let me first state that, without knowing any details, of course,
the idea that the universe is an optimization is completely plausible, except that maybe it's
trivially true, right? Whatever a system does, if there's any regularity, as we were just talking
about, if there's any laws of behavior, laws of dynamics governing the behavior of any system at all,
you can always cast those laws as a minimization or maximization problem.
That's just a mathematical fact, right?
Now, maybe it's interesting to decide what it is you're optimizing,
but the fact that a certain law of physics can be stated as an optimization problem
is almost content-free.
Okay?
Let me just mention that.
But more to the substance of your question,
what does a person who has an idea about the fundamental loss of physics,
but who is not a professional physicist, embedded in the research discussion and so forth,
what should they do to sort of raise the, elevate the level of their ideas to a more respectable
level? The first thing you have to do is not review the literature, figure out how to test it,
anything like that. The first thing you have to do is learn to understand and comprehend the physics
that we already know. If you haven't done that, no one is going to listen to.
you, no matter how good your theory might be. It's like saying, I've developed a new way of
designing a car engine. Someone says, how's it different than the existing ways? And you go,
oh, I don't know. I have no idea what the existing ways of doing car engines are, but I'm sure
mine is better. People are just not going to listen to you for that. Even if in the unlikely
event that you're right, they're not going to waste their time because probably you're wrong,
because you don't know what the possible worries are. You know, you propose a theory in someone
says, okay, is the Hamiltonian bounded below? Is it renormalizable? Is it local? Is there
violations of causality? And you're like, I don't know. How would I know what any of those words
mean? So what you actually have to do is learn physics, as it is basically learned by a typical
first-year graduate student in physics. So you need to know the basics of classical mechanics,
electricity and magnetism, statistical mechanics, quantum mechanics,
probably quantum field theory for the particular thing that you're thinking about.
And, you know, that can sound like a lot
because you also need to learn all the mathematical techniques
that go along with these different subfields of physics.
You probably don't need to learn general relativity,
maybe not even quantum field theory.
It depends on exactly how deep you want to go,
but maybe you have to learn those too.
It seems like a lot, but guess what?
literally hundreds and thousands of physics students do it all the time. So if you really think
that many, many physicists for generations have missed this great idea and you've had it,
then probably you're at least as smart as the average of the thousands of physics students
who are doing this all the time. And if you're really dedicated to developing this theory
and making people take it seriously, then you should be dedicated enough to learn these
subjects. I always encourage people to go to Gerard Ettoft's web page.
Ettoft is, of course, a famous physicist, Nobel Prize winner, one of the geniuses of the
quantum field theory era in theoretical physics. And he has on his web page a guide on how to
be a good theoretical physicist. And what it is is an overly detailed list of everything
you need to know, plus resources, textbooks, online notes, and things like that. So it's
all there. You can find it. In fact, the only problem with the Tufts version is that it's overcomplete.
He's way too ambitious about what he thinks you have to learn. To be fair, he's saying if you really
want to be a great theoretical physicist, this is what you would have to do, not if you need to
like just pass the minimum bar. But the point is you can find resources to learn all these
things in different places, and that would be the first step you have to take. If you really
want to take an idea that you have, which might very well be promising, and make it into a form
that is understandable and perhaps interesting to professional theoretical physicists. You have to speak
their language. You have to know what problems they're going to have in the back of their minds.
If you want them to respect your idea long enough to pay attention to it, then you have to
respect their training well enough to catch up just a little bit.
QBit says, in your solo episode about immortality, you mentioned the possibility of baby universes,
which come into existence a long time after the universe has reached its maximum entropy state,
and which are formed due to random quantum fluctuations.
I wonder if that kind of fluctuation is special, or if it occurs all the time in our universe,
just to a much lower degree.
Due to the lost microscopic information, such fluctuations do not seem to be governed by a unitary time evolution.
Is there even an idea, what?
kinds of laws we are talking about since the shorteninger equation no longer seems to apply.
Well, you're sort of half on the right track, half not on the right track here. Yeah, they happen
all the time. In the picture, for example, that was put forward by Jennifer Chen and myself,
well, we talked about the arrow of time in an internal universe. We talked about fluctuations
in a universe like ours and calculated a rate. I don't think we calculated it correctly.
And honestly, I know more now than I do then.
We could probably improve that calculation.
But who cares in some sense?
The actual number is not crucially important.
It's very, very, very, very unlikely
that you will actually have a random fluctuation
that will create a baby universe.
It would look to you on the outside,
if you were standing there in the room
and a baby universe was somehow created,
it would not be invisible.
What would it look like is a whole bunch of matter
randomly focusing in on some point in space,
making a little microscopic black hole, which then very quickly evaporated.
And that's like an explosion.
That's like a grenade going off in the room you're in.
So you absolutely would notice it, okay?
And yeah, it happens all the time.
It's just so very unlikely that we don't need to worry about things like that
when we're talking about what to expect in our everyday lives
or even in the entire history of the observable universe.
It's probably never happened even once.
Now, having said that, there's nothing about it that violates the Schrodinger equation,
etc. It's exactly the usual picture of quantum fluctuations, or, you know, let's take quantum tunneling.
When you have a nucleus that is unstable to alpha decay, that is to say, to spitting out a helium nucleus
and becoming a lighter nucleus itself, that can be thought of as a tunneling process.
To the observer, that looks sudden, right? Random. That's why random numbers seem to come into our
predictions about quantum mechanics. But if you're an Everettian, everything is perfectly
explicable in terms of the smooth evolution of the Schrodinger equation. There is a superposition
of states that look like a single nucleus plus states that look like two nuclei. One is a little
alpha nucleus and the other is the remnant, okay? And the amplitudes, the relative amplitudes change.
That gradually, the one that is multiplying the single nucleus gradually fades away, the one that is
multiplying all the possible ways to get two nuclei, gradually grows and becomes more important.
So were you to observe the system at any moment, there'd be a certain probability that you would
see it to decay and not decay. So it's all perfectly described by the Schrodinger equation up to
that measurement event, which then even an Everettian would say even that is completely
well described by the Schrodinger equation. So all of that is exactly the same story for baby
universes, right? There's a universal wave function that is a superposition of just one universe
plus a universe plus a baby universe, and for that matter, since baby universes cost zero energy,
zero charge, et cetera, there's also superpositions with two baby universes and three and four
and an arbitrarily high number. And the real wave function of everything is a superposition
of all those things, and the amplitudes and the superposition change with time, and there's
apparent branching because of decoherence and all the usual work.
So Schrodinger equation still holds up perfectly well.
I'm going to group two questions together.
One is from Ilya Lavov, who says in classical general relativity,
nothing special is felt by an observer free falling into a black hole at the event horizon.
But what do they actually see before and after the crossing?
Would it be just darkness ahead due to the light falling to escape the black hole?
After the crossing, would it also become dark to the left right of the observer?
And then Rob Gevola says,
what is your credence for there being a firewall at the event horizon of black holes?
These are clearly two very different questions, but they both involve the ultimate question,
what do you see when you fall into a black hole? Okay. So for the first one, this is easier.
So Ilya is very clear that we're talking about classical general relativity,
which is not the real world, but might be a good approximation of the real world. That's what we don't know.
So it's not that mysterious, honestly. When you're falling into a black hole and you're very, very close to it,
in front of you, that is to say, in the direction of the black hole, if you're falling face first,
it's black.
Nothing, no light is coming out of it.
It's a black hole.
So, you know, don't overthink it.
Don't think that, you know, because you read all this stuff about photon rings or gravitational
lensing or whatever, that somehow you would see anything from the black hole.
The black hole's health is just black.
You might see a stray photon that just got really, really lucky, but for the most part,
you see nothing at all.
And likewise, when you look back, when you look back, you look back, you.
of the rest of the universe, you see the rest of the universe, right? Now, you're going to see it
highly distorted, because as soon as you cross the event horizon, half of the rest of the universe
will have sort of been gravitationally lensed out of your view. So what you're seeing when you go
toward the black hole is a black region, a circular black region, which is the black hole that
grows and grows and grows until you cross the event horizon, it's more than half of what you see.
And if you turn around, you see everything else in the universe that can be sort of warped.
The light from everything else in the universe is warped by the black hole so that you can see it.
Okay?
So you see the outside world, and it's going to take up less and less of an angle as you fall closer and closer into the black hole.
Whereas what Rob is asking about is the firewall paradox.
This is a particular idea that says that maybe classical general relativity is dramatic.
radically wrong at the event horizon. In classical general relativity, you don't feel anything
when you see yourself crossing the horizon. There's no signpost there. Of course, you see the
black hole growing, as we just said, but there's no ping or there's no wall you slam into
or anything like that. Now, we talked about firewalls. Did we talk about firewalls? Did we ever
have a podcast directly devoted to firewalls? Maybe we didn't. I don't know. But we've mentioned
them, certainly in passing, in different podcasts.
The idea came from amps, Almeri, Marolf, Polchinsky, and Sully, James Sully.
And they pointed out that if you want to have black holes evaporate, so if you want to get information out of black holes, as many theoretical physicists do,
so not only do black holes evaporate, but they do so in a way that conserves information at the deep down quantum level,
A lot of that information is contained not just in individual particles, photons, et cetera, coming out of the black hole, but the entanglement between those particles.
Quantum information relies on entanglement between different kinds of particles.
So, they said if all the information gets out, all of the radiation coming out of the black hole is going to have to be somehow entangled with all the other radiation that has ever come out of the black hole.
In particular, the radiation that comes out early is going to have to be entangled with the radiation that comes out late.
Now, everyone knew that, that people would nod along if you said that.
Yes, that makes perfect sense.
But they point out something else that this idea that there's nothing that you see or bump into at the event horizon can be translated, you know,
if you just look in a very small region of space time as saying that it looks like empty space at the event horizon.
It looks like the vacuum, the Minkowski vacuum, if you have a big enough,
black hole that you're falling into. And in the Minkowski vacuum, those photons that will grow
into hawking radiation, remember the story of hawking radiation is that there are particles
going out, but there's also particles coming in that effectively have negative energy from the
point of view of the outside observer. And those sets of particles also have to be highly
entangled with each other. There's a very specific entanglement structure that those
ingoing and outgoing particles have to have in order for it to look like empty space,
to look like the vacuum.
The vacuum has a known entanglement structure, and there's a lot of entanglement there.
So those outgoing photons have to be entangled with the ingoing photons,
but they also have to be entangled with photons that are emitted at a completely other time.
That is not allowed by the rules of quantum mechanics.
You can be a little bit entangled with both things, but in these cases you can show they have to be sort of
maximally entangled with both things, and you can't be maximally entangled with both things at once.
So, Amps, Ulmeri, Marolf, Polchinsky, and Sully suggested that maybe there was not a vacuum
state at the black hole horizon, but rather a wall of fire that would incinerate you when you hit it.
Now, they were, in part, trying to be provocative by saying that, and they succeeded.
They did a good job on the marketing, and most physicists don't believe that there really is a
firewall there.
In fact, when we talked to people like Netta Englehart recently, not maybe, I guess it's not recently anymore, huh?
It's a while ago.
But Netta was inspired in her work on thinking about how to get information out of black holes by attempts to get rid of the firewall, right?
To allow the radiation that gets out to be maximally entangled with other radiation without destroying the vacuum structure of the radiation inside.
So that's a very promising way to get rid of those firewalls.
I actually wrote a paper myself with some students in postdocs back in the day, saying that in Everettian quantum mechanics, there is another way to get rid of the firewalls because secretly you've mixed up two different kinds of statements.
One kind of statement is about the wave function of the universe, right? The wave function of the universe is the one that is supposed to conserve information.
Any good Everettian knows that when you apparently make a measurement, when you have a spin and you pass it through a magnet and you see either spin up or
spin down, the whole wave function of the universe is just solving the Schrodinger equation,
but you see an apparent wave function collapse. That means that you see information apparently
being lost. There's a difference between what the wave function of the universe does and what
individual observers actually see. And we made the point. I think our paper was called
branches of the wave function need not—brances of the black hole wave function need not contain
firewalls. So we made the point that the existence of a firewall is a statement about what observers
see, because it's observers passing through the event horizon that will or will not see a wall of
fire there. That's not a statement about the wave function of the universe. If you can take the
wave function of the black hole and express it as a sum of things without firewalls, but in a way
that all the radiation gets out, then you avoided the firewall paradox. And I think that's right,
But of course, basically we're just pointing out a logical loophole in the original Amps argument.
We're not actually saying that nature takes advantage of that loophole.
That's a harder thing to do.
But anyway, the point I hope I'm getting across is most people don't think that firewalls are there,
but we're not 100% sure on what mechanism nature uses to actually get rid of them.
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Jim asks, my question regards the exploration to unify gravity with other forces at a
quantum level, find gravitons, et cetera. Why is it not satisfactory to simply consider gravity
as a separate aspect of our reality instead? Because they speak radically different languages,
honestly. You know, that's like saying, why can't we just add together the integers and the colors?
They're different kinds of things. They don't add together nicely. General relativity posits
that the basic thing is space time, right? Four-dimensional or higher-dimensional with some dimensions
hidden, something like that.
Quantum mechanics doesn't say that.
Quantum mechanics says the basic thing is a vector in Hilbert space.
I know that when you're first taught quantum mechanics
and you first come across the wave function of an electron, right?
It looks like it lives in space time because it's psi of X,
or X and T, or X's position and T is time.
So at every point in space time, the wave function of the electron has a value.
But as soon as you have two electrons, that's no longer.
longer true. The wave function of two electrons is not a function of space time. It's a function
of all the possible places where two electrons could be, the configuration space of a two electron
state. And when you have quantum field theory, the wave function is a very, very different
looking thing. So quantum mechanical wave functions don't live in space time. General relativity
says that space time is where things live. They are in principle, incompatible with each other.
I know people have tried, you know, okay, people have tried to somehow make it work, but trying
is going to do dramatic violence to either general relativity or quantum mechanics in some way
that is completely unclear to me. To be said another way, here's one way to try. You can just
say that general relativity is the more correct thing, okay, that there really is space time, that really
is there, and that the curvature part of Einstein's equation is just correct, it's just what
Einstein said, it's the energy and momentum part that is fundamentally quantum mechanical.
And for example, you could say that what you really mean by the energy is the expectation
value of the energy, the average energy in some quantum wave function. The problem is it's very
easy to imagine situations where the quantum wave function is a superposition of two things
very far apart from each other, not two things, you know, almost on top of each other. That's a very
non-classical-looking source, and it's completely unclear what to do.
Naively, if you just take the expectation value, that would mean that if you had a
superposition of a gravitational object here and a gravitational object there, you would
feel the force of gravity to be the sum of both of them, and you'd be pulled in between
them. Nobody expects that to actually happen. You'll be either pulled toward one or
toward the other, because basically you're collapsing the wave function of the universe by measuring
them. But that only makes sense if the wave function
the universe includes the gravitational field. It doesn't make sense if the gravitational field
is purely classical, so most people think that that's kind of a non-starter.
Robert Grenise, or Grenese, says, we hear a lot about the simulation theory. My most common
reaction is, if it is true, so what? It changes nothing about our existence, if it is true,
or if it isn't. Can we assume that the simulators have built a system that cannot be hacked
so we can never know or find the source? My question is, if it were true, then even
quantum physics would be made up. What does it then mean for many worlds? So I think there's some
interesting issues here, Robert, but they didn't quite congeal into a question. Yes, if we live in
a simulation, then all the laws of physics are made up. That is true, because the simulators
made them up, just like when you program space invaders, the programmers made up the rules
of space invaders. That would be exactly the same for our universe. What does that mean for many
worlds? I don't know. If the rules that the programmers programmed are many worlds, then it would mean
that many worlds is still the right way to describe the universe in which we live. If the universe
programmed some other version of quantum mechanics in, then it would mean something else. This is
always what happens when you start talking about the simulation theory. It is so ill-defined what the
rules are that basically anything goes. And you're at the end of the day, left without any special
expectations that differ in any way, I think, from ordinary physics, where we actually live
in the base reality. So let me put it this way. I can imagine a version of simulation theory
where there are literally no departures from our expectations between single universe,
we live in the base reality view, and the simulation view. That's possible. And if that's true,
then who cares? I don't really see what the difference is. Or I can see people making an argument
that I would expect something different if simulation argument was true than if we live in the base reality.
And if that's true, all the things that I expect would be different aren't different.
So in other words, the universe we see, if I'm trying to be honest about what I would expect it to look like
if we lived in a simulation, is very different than what it would be like in the simulation view.
So to the extent that we are allowed to be good basians and construct likelihood functions,
for what the universe should look like if the simulation argument were true,
it doesn't look like that to me,
so I don't spend a lot of time thinking about it.
Tim Converse says, I'm reading from eternity to hear.
Good for you, Tim. That is a wonderful thing to spend your time doing.
And I'm doing my best to understand the arrow of time
as a consequence of increasing entropy plus the past hypothesis.
If we were to construct a sealed and insulated box of gas
and let it come to equilibrium,
would it be reasonable to say that our normally perceived arrow of
time does not apply within that box. That conclusion would surprise me, as I would have expected
the arrow of time to apply throughout our observable universe, rather than being dependent on what's going
on in particular local regions. Well, that depends precisely, that depends on the precise meaning
of what you mean by the arrow of time applying within the box. If you are just imagining the box
and not letting it be observed or interact with the rest of the universe in any way, then I think the
right thing to say is there is no arrow of time in that box. You have reached equilibrium in that
box. There's no place for entropy to go. And indeed, if you were able to look at it without disturbing
it from outside, you would see the same thing from moment to moment. There's no arrow of time
in that box. If you think about possible interventions, if you think about possible ways that you
can interact with the box, then the fact that you are not in thermal equilibrium and you still have
an arrow of time comes into play, and now there's an arrow of time. If you poke a hole in the box
and the gas goes out, that's because the wider universe is not in thermal equilibrium.
So I think that, you know, you might want to say, well, what if I were living in the box
and everything was in thermal equilibrium? But that's not a logical statement, because
you would not be living in a box that was in thermal equilibrium, because people can't live
in thermal equilibrium conditions. So it makes perfect sense to say there's no actual measurable
arrow of time confined into the box, but the box is part of a wider environment where the arrow
of time is very clear and important. Fernando del Queto says, in your recent episode, AI thinks
different, you emphasize that LLMs very likely do not model the world, providing examples
as evidence. You argue that their apparent world modeling is merely a byproduct of their
proficiency in language processing enabled by a vast training corpus filled with diverse human input
and any semblance of modeling the world is just a mirage.
However, after a year of extensive usage, I have developed a strong sense that these systems
do in fact model the world in some way.
By excelling in language and compressing lossily this vast knowledge, LLMs must be modeling
reality in some way.
The language sphere intersects with the mental, which in turn intersects with the physical
and mathematical spheres.
Don't you think that your definition of modeling the world might be too stringent?
No, I do not think my definition of modeling the world is too stringent.
As I said very, very clearly in the episode, it is absolutely the case that large language models are able to talk as if they are human agents understanding the world.
That's because they're trained on things said by human agents who understand the world.
It's not that surprising that they're able to sound like that.
The question is, how do they sound like that?
What is the method that they use to sound like that?
Is it, in fact, to think like a human being, which means to have a model of the world,
which means to have categories in your mind like frying pan and ice cream and so forth?
And these categories have different features, and they interact in certain ways, and it's a model.
That's what a model is, right?
It's a little toy representation in some way.
Do they do that?
Or are they just learning that given certain?
sentences, certain tokens appearing in a sequence, there's a certain probability for
other tokens to appear next, right? So that's a question, and that question is not
answered by looking at large language model outputs and saying, wow, those sound very
human, or wow, those are very impressive, or wow, that sounds like knowledge, because
that would be true under either one of the two hypotheses. You have to specifically
look at questions that are designed to illustrate
whether or not there's actually a model working underneath, or instead, the system is just
sort of putting together most likely word combinations without ever understanding things.
That's why I chose those particular examples that I did.
So, again, I try to be clear.
I don't know.
On the one hand, it is absolutely possible that in practice, despite the fact that they were not
trained to do so, or let's say they were not programmed to do so. It is absolutely possible
that large language models have implicitly developed a model of the world. That is
secretly the way that they are able to sound so human. It's also possible that it's just a
mirage, that they have figured out how to sound human without having that model. That is the
question. It's not whether they can sound human, because we admit that they can sound human.
And it's how they do it.
So the point is not just that they sometimes make mistakes.
Of course, people make mistakes.
Large language models make mistakes.
That's not a big deal.
The question is what kind of mistakes they make.
So there was some philosophers on Twitter the other day.
We're joking because they were asking chat GPT or GPT4, right?
Supposedly the good one.
Who is the most famous philosopher whose name begins with the letter M?
and GPT4 says Aristotle, which is interesting because if you had asked GPT4, you know,
could you please summarize the view of the nature of motion in Aristotle's physics?
It would do a great job.
And you go, wow, it's so smart, right?
Because it's been trained on not only Aristotle, but other people talking about Aristotle and so forth.
So it sounds smart, but then you ask it, you know, who's a famous philosopher,
whose name begins with letter M, and it says Aristotle.
which is not true, by the way, not the correct answer. The point is not that it makes a mistake.
The point is that it makes a kind of mistake that would be nearly impossible to make if
the, if chat GPT, GPT4 rather, actually had some model of what it meant to be a word beginning with
the letter M, right? There's the kind of mistakes that you make if you have a model of the world,
but you're just not analyzing it very well or whatever. And there's other questions that if you have
model world, you know what these words mean in some sense, you would never make those mistakes.
And this is an example. So I don't know what to say, because all you've said, Fernando,
is that you've played with LLMs a lot and you feel differently. I mean, that's not really
evidence. I don't know what to do with that. I think that you can read the papers. There's been
papers in the technical literature arguing back and forth about this issue. And, you know,
as a, as a Patreon supporter, you know that in the reflection video, which I do for
Patreon supporters. I asked GPT4 what it thought about these issues, and it was very clear. It was like,
nope, we do not have a model of the world. We are just large language models looking at correlations
between words. That doesn't mean it's true because it makes mistakes, but it should make us think.
RFD says, let's say God exists. If we were to ask what was God's purpose, that seems like an easy
question to answer. But having literally done everything an infinite number of times is it
even possible for God to answer the question, what is my purpose now? And if so, what do you think
he would say? You know, I'll just be honest. I think all questions like this are meaningless.
Not that they're bad questions or dumb questions, they just make some assumptions that don't
fit together. I don't think that God is a coherent concept, okay? My reason for being atheist
is not that I think, if God existed, the world would be a nicer place. I just don't think that the
idea of God makes sense. God is supposed to be omniscient and omnipotent and omnibenevolent, at least
according to some conceptions of God. Of course, there's many different conceptions of God,
and they're mutually incompatible. That makes it harder to have a conversation about this.
But these ideas of omniscience and omnipotence, et cetera, aren't well defined. Sorry, you know,
we can, you know, if you say that God is perfect, let's, let's home in on that idea. God is perfect.
most traditional Western religious people would agree with. God is perfect, right? What does that mean?
I understand what it means to be a perfect sphere. You know, I can geometrically define what it means to be
a sphere. I can say that certain shapes are approximately spheres, but not exactly. A cube is
nowhere close to a sphere, and I can imagine what a perfect sphere would be like. But I can also
imagine a perfect cube. I cannot look at a perfect square, a perfect cube in a perfect sphere, and say
which is more perfect? There's no single measure of perfection, right? That's just not a thing.
To say that God just is perfect, not perfect at any particular task, but just perfect. That doesn't
mean anything. So when you say, if we were to ask, what was God's purpose, that seems like an easy
question to answer? No, I don't think that is easy at all. Purposes are.
are things that are attached to, we finite, imperfect beings.
We have goals, right?
We have things that we would like to bring into existence that don't exist now.
That's where our purposes come from.
For God, that would just make no sense, as far as I can tell.
I don't even know how to think about that kind of thing.
So my, you know, sorry for not being more helpful,
but my immediate response to questions like this is to just unask it,
to say, like, that's just not a well-defined question.
This whole God idea was a bad idea from the start.
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Anonymous says, my question relates to the morals of many worlds.
In one of your books, you clarify that the most moral thing to do isn't to just stay in your basement measuring quantum spins to duplicate the universe.
This is because each world has a weight.
However, you also clarify that we don't notice the universe branching because we split two,
keeping the ratio of our personal weight to our overall branches weight the same.
These two things seem to be to be inconsistent.
If the weight of our branch of the universe is irrelevant to our personal experience,
but the utility of our entire branch to be discounted by our branch's weight,
shouldn't the absolute number of these ratios, i.e. the number of branches,
be what matters for moral judgments and not the weight?
No, I don't think so, but honestly, I've not followed the argument that you're trying to make there,
so I might not be giving you a successful explanation here.
But yes, when you're in your basement, here's the thought experiment for those of you who did not read something deeply hidden.
You convince yourself that you're a utilitarian.
You want to maximize the utility of the world.
And you also think that the current utility of the world is positive.
Maybe we don't know exactly the number, but there's more good than bad in the world.
It's better that the world exists than not exist.
And somehow you've convinced yourself that in many worlds, when you branch the world into two copies, the way to calculate utility is just to add the utility of the separate worlds.
No weighting by the thinness of the world or the thickness, the amplitude squared of the worlds.
So then you say, okay, the way that I can be the best possible moral agent is just to make a lot of quantum measurements and branch the world as often as I can, because I'm making more and more universes.
and it would make people more and more happy.
There's more and more utility in the world.
Now, of course, because you're not an idiot,
you know that it doesn't actually make any individual person happier
because they don't even know.
You're in your basement making quantum measurements.
It absolutely has zero effect on any other person in the universe.
But you have somehow done some mental gymnastics
to convince yourself that you are morally pure by doing this.
So the argument in the book is,
how do you reconcile this?
Because you should count utility.
not just by adding up the number of universes
times their individual utilities,
but by weighting by the branch.
So if you have two branches that were
1 over square root of 2 spin up
plus 1 over square of 2 spin down,
you would weight them by 1 over square of 2 squared each,
that is say, 1⁄2 plus 1⁄2.
So if you have equal utility,
and then you branch them in two universes
with 1⁄2 times one utility
and 1 half times the same utility,
you end up with exactly the same utility you had
before, and it's completely invisible to the people in that universe. So to me, it's like completely
consistent. I'm not quite sure what to say. From the inside the universe perspective, the weight is
irrelevant, nothing's changing, and the number of universes is irrelevant, nothing is changing.
From the gods-eye view perspective, the weight is super relevant, and the weights are changing
as you branch the universe. So you just have to be consistent in which perspective you're choosing.
Ken Wolf says, my understanding of cosmic strings is that they are a theoretical artifact from the early universe that have not as yet, sorry, have as yet not been detected.
If they do exist as predicted, is there much we can say about their attributes, where they generate a gravitational field, electromagnetic radiation, or any other phenomena?
Yeah, absolutely.
And they are quite theoretical, I should say.
So, you know, when you say if they do exist as predicted, whether or not cosmic strings are predicted depends on unknown features of the laws of physics.
We don't know whether the fundamental laws of physics predict the existence of cosmic strings or not.
Okay, they're a hypothesis that we're thinking about.
Back when I was in graduate school, they were much more popular to think about than they are now because they were a competitor to inflation as seeds of the perturbations that grow into large-scale structure in the universe.
That is because, to answer another question of Ken's, yes, they have a gravitational field.
Indeed, everything has a gravitational field, so it's not surprising that a cosmic string would have one.
And if you imagine these cosmic strings initially kind of randomly scattered throughout the universe
and they move around and they push matter around, they could serve as seeds for galaxy formation,
structure formation on large scales, and so forth.
The nice thing is we think or we thought that we knew enough to make predictions about
what the patterns, the statistics of large-scale structure would be if it were generated by
cosmic strings or related relics of the early universe. And we also think that we can do the same
thing if the initial perturbations come from primordial times, such as inflation, and they're very
different. And we've taken the data now, in particular the cosmic microwave background data,
the antisotropies of the CMB were completely clear here. The antisotropies, we
see in the CMB are 100% compatible with primordial fluctuations like we would get from inflation.
That doesn't mean it was inflation, but inflation or something else that worked in the very, very
early universe. They're completely incompatible with the kinds of fluctuations you would get
from constantly regenerated perturbations such as you would get from cosmic strings.
That doesn't mean the cosmic strings are ruled out. It means the cosmic strings are not the origin
of large-scale structure.
Since we don't know whether they exist,
there are plenty of free parameters
you can play with.
So one free parameter is basically,
in fact, the single most important free parameter
is the tension of the string,
basically the energy per unit length
that the string has.
If that's just large enough,
it's interesting that, you know,
if you had grand unification,
so if you unified electromagnetism,
the weak force, and the strong force,
at the energy scale
that we think it should be unified,
at, and that Grand Unified Theory gave you cosmic strings, which is not necessary, but it was
absolutely allowed, then the amplitude, the size of density perturbations in the universe
is roughly what you would expect from the cosmic strings. That's why people were very
interested in the idea. But that idea didn't work. So instead, you can imagine lighter
cosmic strings, that is to say, cosmic strings with a lower tension, with less energy per
length of the string, and that would just not leave an important impact on large-scale
structure in the universe, and therefore it's not yet ruled out. It also makes them harder to find,
it makes them, you know, a little bit less interesting, but they could, as you also ask,
interact with electromagnetism. In fact, Ed Witten and others pointed out that cosmic strings
can be superconducting, which leads to very interesting electromagnetic effects. They might affect
magnetic fields in the early universe, so they might still play a role, but there's no
evidence that they exist, and there's no sort of need for them as far as anyone knows right now.
Matthew Wright says, how seriously do you think the idea of super determinism should be taken
when it comes to interpreting quantum mechanics? It sounds like some physicists, there are some
physicists who believe it to be a serious possibility for how the world works, and others who
consider it a completely implausible and even unscientific idea. You know, I don't know if it's
implausible or unscientific. I just think it's uninteresting to me, personally.
And that's for two reasons.
One is because of superdeterminism itself.
It just seems to be, you know, bending over backwards to do weird things.
So for those of you who don't know, John Bell, when he proved his theorems about predictions of quantum mechanics,
proved that there could be these non-local correlations between measurement outcomes
that you could get in quantum mechanics that would be very hard to reproduce in any non-quant mechanical theory.
And in particular, the kinds of correlations seem to be non-local.
Okay?
So it seems to be exactly as Einstein worried about that you measure something here,
and then there's spooky action at a distance,
and that seems to affect the measurement outcomes far away.
So different people who don't like this spooky non-locality
will try to wriggle out of this,
and superdeterminism is a possible way to do it.
And the way to do it is everyone agrees that,
the Schrodinger equation by itself is deterministic. There's no randomness there. And if you knew
the wave function of the universe at initial times, you could just evolve it. And we, both theorists
and experimenters as physicists, are part of the wave function of the universe. So Bell made an
assumption that we physicists can make any measurement we want to, right? In principle, we could measure
anything we want. We could rotate our measurement devices, our stern-Gurlock experiments,
measure spin along any axis, et cetera, et cetera, and he used that to prove his theorem. So superdeterminism
says, what if the wave function of the universe is set up to create certain physicists doing
certain measurements, but not other physicists doing other measurements. So in other words,
we don't have free choice about what measurements we're going to make because we're just part
of the wave function of the universe. And what if that initial determination, if I can put it
that way, of the wave function of the universe, were just the right one to make it look like Bell's
theorem was made at the predictions that it has for ordinary quantum mechanics. So then you can
have a local theory that gives you all the predictions that Bell's theory has. So I'm sure that super
determinism fans and advocates will not completely agree with my description of the theory because I'm sure there are bells and whistles and particular choices that I don't know about. But that just sounds weird to me. That just sounds like a very, very, very bizarre way of getting out of what is staring you in the face in quantum mechanics. So there's nothing about superdeterminism when it is explained to me that makes me go, oh yes, I need to learn more about that.
The other thing is that, you know, and I've said this before, I am not that interested in the foundations of quantum mechanics.
Because I think I know what the foundations of quantum mechanics are. I think that it's many worlds. My credence that many worlds is on the right track is not 100%, but it's sufficiently high and my lifespan is sufficiently short that I'm not going to devote my time to worrying about other possible models. I'm just not interested in.
super determinism. So it might be right. And if it's right, ultimately, the people who thought
it was right all along will absolutely have the right to laugh at me and make fun of me for not
paying attention to it when I should have. But you got to, you know, rolls your dice and
takes your chances. And I think that it's just much more productive to put my own efforts into
thinking about many worlds and its implication and how it fits in with other things we know about
physics.
Everyday human at iCloud.com says, short question, are you coming back to Mastodon anytime soon?
No, short answer.
So this is good timing for this question, actually, because, you know, Mastodon is a social
media site, which is one of the many competitors to Twitter that has sprung up.
And I did go on Mastodon originally, but it's just clunky.
I just don't like using it.
It's very, very annoying.
Let's just put it that way.
It's kind of like using Linux, if you know about that.
You know, there are people who love it, and it's good for them, and that's great.
If you like Mastodon, go nuts.
And don't try to convince me that I should like it because I just don't like it that much.
I am on Blue Sky, and that's why the timing for this question is very good, because
Blue Sky just opened up to a wide, to open, anyone can join.
Now, it used to be they were working out the kinks for various things.
it's still not completely settled blue sky.
It is basically a Twitter clone.
It looks like Twitter.
It works like Twitter.
It's a little bit better in some ways.
You have a little bit more control over moderation
and what you see in the algorithm
and things like that.
But, you know, there's different sort of multimedia embedded,
higher-level tech questions
that are not quite as put into in blue sky
as they are in Twitter.
But the vibe is way better.
And it's super easy to use.
I think that over and over again, people who tried to invent a Twitter clone, whether it was, you know, threads or spoutable or post or what have you, they tried to make improvements.
And what they didn't realize is the improvements were what they wanted, but not what other people wanted.
And so blue skies, it's just like Twitter, but better because there's, you know, less promulgation of racism and trolling and bad faith and things like that.
So I like it better.
The people who I enjoy following are more on Blue Sky now than they are elsewhere.
I felt guilty about inviting everyone to come to Blue Sky back when it was closed because
it felt like it was behind a walled garden or something, but now it's open.
They've opened it up.
Everyone can join.
That's where I'm going to be active going forward.
I don't promise to be super active.
I'm finding it hard to find any time to be active on social media at all.
but right now I only use Twitter to like say, hey, I have a new podcast out or hey, I have a new book out.
I'm just using it for promotional purposes. If I'm saying something amusing or interesting, it will be on blue sky instead.
Kevin O'Toole says, priority question. Bayesian inference is often claimed to be fully dependent on choice of priors.
However, it's less discussed that as the evidence piles up, differing credences converge, diminishing the significance of the prior choice.
For instance, two scientists with different beliefs about the odds of heads in a mysterious set of coins
would increasingly agree as they start flipping.
With a world of evidence and information, it seems plausible that even an absurdly broad set of priors
could be exposed to enough evidence to increasingly converge until it puts enormous credences on specific scientific conclusions,
like perception is mostly reliable and electrons exist.
Obviously, this process would not be computationally feasible, but if it were, do you think the credence that
this holistic basian process would arrive at would match with what is generally accepted in science.
Well, there's a whole bunch going on here. Let's try to pull it apart. You know, when you start,
when you say an absurdly broad set of priors, let's focus in. Let's say you have a particular
proposition, and you say my credence in this proposition is very, very, very, very small. Okay.
And then someone else says, well, I'm going to do some experiments. I'm going to collect some data.
what happens if I keep collecting data
for which the likelihood of that data
under this weird proposition is high
and the likelihood of that data under other propositions is low?
Then my absurdly low credence in this proposition
will indeed get larger over time.
And you're completely in a position
where you're just saying I have a small number
and I multiply it by a big number.
Is the answer big or small?
That's a completely ill-defined question.
unless you say really exactly how small and how big. It's absolutely the case that for any fixed small number,
there is another number big enough that if I multiply the small number by the big number, the answer is still big. Okay, that's true.
So no matter how small your initial credences are, there is an amount of evidence you can collect in their favor that will eventually bring those credences up.
But it might be wildly impractical to do that.
It might take longer in the age of the universe or something like that.
So this is very much a thought experiment kind of thing.
It's not a, in any sense, practical kind of thing.
The other thing is it's not at all obvious what all of your credence is
are supposed to be in this scenario.
You know, for science, we have to say not just I have one proposition, and I'm going to
calculate its credence, but to be a good Bayesian, you have to say, well, what are the likelihood
functions for all of the other possible propositions that are not compatible with the one you're
thinking about. That's a little ill-defined here, and I worry about these things where you start with
an ill-defined set of credences and try to draw strong conclusions from them. Certainly, the underlying
spirit is correct. It is actually, you know, among Bayesian, I don't know among people who
spend their time doing more profitable things, but among professional Bayesian, it is very well known
that the priors ultimately go away if you collect enough data,
that different people starting with different priors will converge on the same ultimate conclusions.
That's a well-known fact.
But to make that specific to all of science, if you just did all of possible things,
is a little bit ill-defined for me to actually reach any particular conclusion.
So the specific question you ask is,
do you think the credences this holistic Bayesian process would arrive at would match with what is generally accepted in science? Well, the words would arrive at are a little bit ill-defined. Like, after what period of time? After a finite period of time? If you tell me what finite period of time, I can always pick a credence so small that that would not lead to the right scientific conclusions, right? So I don't think that question is completely well-defined there. But if what you are trying to get
at is, are the currently accepted scientific principles of the world robust enough that very
different sets of reasoners starting from very different initial assumptions would more or less
converge on them? I think partly yes, partly no. I think it depends on exactly what your starting
point was, what your evidence was, and so forth, right? In our universe, we invented the second
law of thermodynamics before we invented general relativity.
And so there was a period of time where we knew about the second law, but we didn't know about
general relativity.
So if you ask that question then, they would think that Newtonian mechanics was right about
space and time, but they would agree with the second law.
Whereas, I can easily imagine an alternative history where general relativity was invented
before statistical mechanics in the second law of thermodynamics.
And so then if you ask that question to those people, they would think of general relativity,
as part of the generally accepted scientific principles.
So I think that even in the real world,
even if you just take history and imagine small alterations of it,
it's easy to pick moments when the scientific consensus was different,
and very plausible histories would lead you to that.
So I can't promise you that very, very different starting points
would lead to the same scientific consensus at any one moment in time.
I do think that if you had very...
So I guess let me back up and say this correctly.
I also think that the thought experiment is a little bit not quite matching what happens in the real world.
Because I think that something that is under-emphasized in my view is the fact that, sure, different people are welcome to different priors.
But in fact, people often pick priors that are pretty compatible with each other, even if they're different by, you know, small amounts.
They're not wildly, wildly, wildly, wildly different, right?
So that's why science works, not because people have wildly, wildly, wildly different priors,
but they just do an infinite amount of data collecting and eventually converge.
It's because, in fact, reasonable human beings kind of are similar to each other
and kind of have similar or at least compatible priors.
And it might take more evidence and more evidence to convince some people,
but the vast majority of people converge in a simple way.
So I think that the actual empirical success of science is both due to the effectiveness of gathering evidence and using Bayses' theorem,
but also because people are not completely incompatible with each other when it comes to their actual priors.
Eric Fast says, I enjoyed your solo podcast on artificial intelligence, and I agree with most of your points.
But I don't think I agree with the claim that AI doesn't have values.
One way we might define value is in the economic sense, a revealed preferences.
And then Eric goes on and says much more.
You can read that on the Patreon page, et cetera.
I don't think that's what a value is.
Yeah, I don't think that counts.
It's not sufficient.
That's part of what having a value is.
I mean, a value is a revealed preference.
But if I have a rock and I roll it down a hill and it reaches the bottom of the hill
and comes to rest after bouncing around a little bit,
the rock has revealed its preference to be at the bottom of the valley.
That is in no sense of value.
That is just not what we mean, right?
I mean, it's a revealed preference in the sense that you rolled the rock and that's where it went.
But it's not what we mean when we think about a human being having a preference for some set of outcomes
because the rock is dumb.
The rock just rolls down.
If you put a barrier up in front of the rock, it would stop rolling and it would do something different.
Whereas a human being, if you put a barrier, if they were trying to walk down a hill and you put a barrier up,
would try to get around the barrier if they actually had a preference for being at the bottom.
of the hill. You know, this is, it's subtle and I don't claim everything makes perfect sense or even
has been worked out, but when we talk about human beings and their values, we don't just mean
what they do. We don't just mean their revealed preferences. We mean a whole set of counterfactual
statements. We mean not only have they done this, but if conditions had been different, they would
have been done doing that. And the way to understand all of these things that they both did do and would
have done can be bundled up in a simple idea that they have some values, or they actually
have some goals or some preferences, however you want to put it, in a way that rocks falling down hills
do not have.
It's much easier to describe the rock with local laws of physics rather than with some teleology
the rock wants to be at the bottom of the hill.
That's a difference between human beings and rocks.
Where does AI fit in to this?
I would love to know.
I don't think that there's,
I think that the AI's way of thinking
is sufficiently different
and its way of being constructed
is sufficiently wildly different
than human beings
that values and revealed preferences
and preferences,
not just revealed ones,
are not the best way of thinking
about what the AI does.
And you could convince me I was wrong.
The way to convince me I'm wrong
is to say,
here is a set of behaviors of AIs
that is conveniently summarized
by this future goal-directed behavior rather than by some local sort of dynamical behavior like a rock rolling down a hill.
I don't think you're going to do that, and I could be wrong, but I don't think you're going to do that because AIs don't have biology.
They don't have an arrow of time. They don't have dissipation built into them. They don't rely on free energy being converted into entropy.
They're just very different things than human beings are. Again, and with all the footnotes, usually, that
this is the current generation. They could easily be, because they're just physical systems after all.
This is just a statement about the current state of the art. I do really think it's different.
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Ben P. Stein says, on the episode with Adam Frank, about detecting life outside our planet,
you made a very interesting comment that I've never heard before about Dyson Spheres,
but you went through it very quickly and I didn't fully understand your point.
Were you saying that Dyson spheres wouldn't be detectable?
Could you tell us more about why seeing them would be so difficult?
Well, you know, I wouldn't take too seriously what I was very.
trying to say, because it was just, you know, off the top of my head without sitting down
and doing the calculations.
But my point is that, you know, as we were just saying about what makes human beings special,
one of the things that makes human being special as living organisms is that they feed off
of free energy.
That is to say, free energy in the technical sense of a kind of energy that is low entropy,
energy, a kind of energy that can be used to do work, okay?
and that is characterized by being out of thermally equilibrium.
The sun is a hot spot in a cold sky.
That's what makes life possible.
That is very far from thermal equilibrium.
If the whole sky were one temperature, life would be impossible.
No matter what that temperature was,
was high temperature, low temperature.
If it was an equilibrium distribution all over the sky,
there would be no engine driving life.
So to me, when we start talking about Dyson spheres,
It sounds to me too simplistic to say, well, I surround a star, and then I come to its temperature, and I radiate at that temperature.
If the temperature you're radiating at is much higher temperature than that of the background radiation, then you are still, Cosmic Microway Background Radiation, you are still a hotspot in a cold sky.
There's still people who could live outside of your Dyson sphere and take the fuel.
that is being given out by your Dyson sphere because it's giving off a lot of free energy,
maybe not as much as the original star would have, but still it's giving it off.
And so if you're really into squeezing all of the free energy you can out of your radiation,
then you're going to keep squeezing it until the heat radiation you're giving off,
I think, is that the temperature of the cosmic microwave background?
And you sort of converted it into as a high entropy thing as you can convert it into,
There's probably loopholes there or fine print that I haven't thought of, but that would be my impression.
And if that's true, it still might be possible to detect them because maybe they're concentrated, right?
I mean, maybe the temperature of the Dyson sphere is the same as the microwave background, but it's just brighter than the background.
So it looked like a bright spot on the CMB map or something like that.
But I think that's different than what they're actually looking for, so I don't actually understand the argument completely.
C.J. says, suppose for a moment that your proposed quintessence field from episode 127 on the screwy universe turns out to be real.
If the quintessence field is creating positive vacuum energy, could there still be a negative cosmological constant that is overpowered by the quintessence field?
Or in that scenario, is the net effect considered the cosmological constant?
Yeah, so this is a good question that, you know, the answer is very easy, but we don't know what the right answer is.
The possible answers are very easy, but we don't know what nature actually does.
So the point here is, in episode 127, the solo episode, I talked about a particular form of quintessence,
which has an effect on radiation in the universe, causing its polarization to rotate in an effect known as cosmic birefringens.
And that's an interesting thing to look at, and there's even very slight hints in the data that maybe it is there, which is very exciting.
And one way of talking about this is in terms of a scalar field, just like for inflation in the early universe, you could have dark energy that is due to a scalar field, rolling down a potential.
Rather than just the cosmontal constant, which is the easiest and probably correct answer for what the dark energy is, the cosmotial constant is just a constant.
It's not rolling, there's no dynamics, there's no new degrees of freedom or anything, okay?
So it's either a cosmotrial constant or it's a rolling scalar field or it's something else that might be more exotic.
The thing about the rolling scalar field is it's rolling down a potential.
So you literally imagine a ball rolling down a hill and it has a height above ground in some sense, right?
There is the value of the potential which would be zero dark energy.
And for whatever reason, right now the scalar field is at a higher value of dark energy.
and that's what's making the universe accelerate.
But balls roll down hills,
and so typically the scalar field is rolling down the potential,
and so the amount, the effective amount of dark energy in the future
will be a lower number.
And so the question is,
will it be a number that is exactly zero,
or could it be a lower number that is still positive,
or could it even become a negative number?
And the answer is, absolutely all of these are possible.
We know so little about the constraints
on things like that. So when people, including myself, say that the acceleration of the universe
most likely means that it will accelerate forever, that is assuming that the right theory is
the cosmological constant. I think that that's the most likely way to bet right now,
but it's far from certain. So it's also very possible that you have a slowly rolling scalar field,
quintessence field, and it will roll down so far that the total amount of energy density
empty space will effectively be a negative number. And if that happens, the universe will recalapse,
and there'll be a finite lifetime, will be something closer to anti-Dissiter space than what we have
right now, which is closer to de Sitter space. So all these are absolutely on the table.
You know, my betting, my money is on the good old cosmological constant, but my interest is absolutely
in quintessence. Michael Massamy says, is general relativity emergent if and when
we have a quantum description of gravity, GR will not lose its power and usefulness to describe
the world, but is it at the most fundamental level? I think it might very well be. Like, we don't
know, is the short, honest answer here, because we haven't figured out quantum gravity completely.
In string theory, straightforwardly interpreted, in good old fashion string theory, let me put it that
way, general relativity is not emergent. It's a fundamental thing. There are spin-two
vibrations of the string that look like gravitons, and that is gravity. But string theory is also
given birth to the holographic principle, and in holography, you can very well say that there is a
different theory in one lower dimension that doesn't have gravity, but gravity is emergent from
quantum entanglement in that different theory with one higher dimension. That will be holography.
My collaborators and I have pursued a vision where general relativity is emerged in a different way
from entanglement in our good old three plus one dimensional space time. It's only going to be valid
in the weak field limit. That's why it's actually compatible with holography, but it's certainly
very much of the spirit that the fundamental stuff of the world is not space and time. It's the
wave function of the universe evolving with time, and general relativity emerges from that. So I actually
think that not only is it possible, but it's probably the right way to go to think of
generality as emergent, but we just don't know yet. We'll have to think about that.
Nathan says, I am a philosophical naturalist, and I am terrified of death. You have indicated
that you are at peace with mortality. Did this attitude come easily to you, or did you have to
struggle to obtain it? Well, I don't know exactly what I indicated, so let me try to be clear about
this. I am resigned to death. I am reconciled to a
it. I am my credence that I will die and cease to exist and have no after life, no life after
death, is very, very, very high, sufficiently high that even though it's not 100% it might as
well be. I'm not going to spend a lot of time worrying about the possibility of life after death.
That doesn't mean I'm happy with it. That doesn't mean that it doesn't make me anxious or sad,
etc. I would like to live a nice long life. You know, as I said in the episode on immortality,
solo episode I did recently, the people who were at the conference I was at Santa Fe largely
voted that they would not want to live 10,000 years. And I was absolutely in favor of living 10,000
years myself. So I think that when I come close to death, I want to think that I will
accept it and I will not, you know, go into denial or anything like that. But it is the end.
That's dramatic. That's something that is absolutely okay.
to take seriously, to struggle with in some way.
There's no use in struggling it.
There's no benefit that you get, right?
From fooling yourself or from imagining that there was something else going on in the universe,
we have to take reality at its face value.
And so I like to think that when it comes, I will do that with equanimity, but I can't
tell you that for sure, right?
Because I haven't faced it.
I haven't been in that situation.
I don't want to die.
I want to live a long time.
So we'll see what happens, but I know that it's not going to be forever, even if it does turn out to be quite a while.
And let me also say, you know, one of the reasons why it's hard is because there is nothing that it is like to be dead.
There's nothing that's like to not exist, right?
When we have our imagination, we can imagine the world after we're gone, and maybe there are some people who are sad,
maybe there are some people who remember us fondly and we have a legacy, maybe not, maybe we just disappear, whatever.
And our current state of thinking and coming to emotional grips with reality is affected by that imagination,
affected by that mental time travel, as we talked about with Adam Bully a while back.
And that's legit.
That's okay.
That's fine.
That is as it should be.
A lot of human life involves conceptualizing and imagining the future.
And the fact of death means that that comes to an end, right?
we can conceptualize it, but we won't actually be there to think about it. So different people
react differently to that. Different people feel very, very strongly about their legacy and their memory
and things like that. My own personal take is that I'm trying to maximize the, what goes on in the
world while I'm here, right? My happiness, the happiness of others, the value I get out of the world.
That's what I can do. Like, after I'm gone, if people want to remember me fondly, that's great. If they
don't remember me at all or remember me badly, you know, that's out of my hands because I will be
gone. I really think that putting the emphasis on what I can actually change by my actions
is the more healthy way to think and to go. But I'm not claiming this is any easy thing. There's
no simple nostrum here. This is a, you know, one or the fundamental issue of being a mortal
human being. Struggling with it is the most natural thing in the world.
James Allen says, what is the physical mechanism that gives rise to half-life in radioactive decay?
If I wait a certain period and half my sample is gone, if I wait the same amount of time,
why isn't all of it gone? Well, you know, that's a good question. It's a classic kind of question,
but that's okay. We can examine those here. This is going to depend, sadly, you know,
the exact right words to say will depend on what do you think about quantum mechanics.
Here is the right way to think about it.
Think about every individual nucleus in a radioactive sample.
Imagine that your sample is all radioactive nuclei of exactly the same kind.
And imagine that each nucleus is initially not decayed.
So you start with some sample, all not decayed nuclei.
Then what quantum mechanics says is that every nucleus obeys the Schrodinger equation.
And as we briefly alluded to before, that Schrodinger equation will say that each nucleus, the wave function of each
nucleus. We don't even need to worry about them being entangled with each other or whatever.
Each individual wave function will evolve into a superposition of decayed and not decayed.
Okay? So when you look at it, when you make an observation of that particular nucleus,
you will have a probability of seeing it either decayed or not decayed. And the thing is,
those probabilities are completely independent for every single nucleus. There's no, it's not like
there's a half-life of one minute and all of the atoms remain undecayed and then boom, at one minute,
they all are decayed, right? It's like at 10 seconds, 20 seconds, 30 seconds, there's a certain
probability that's going to be less than a half, if we're talking about the half-life,
that each individual nucleus will have decayed, but some of them will. You have a lot of nuclei
in there. So if you have a very large number of nuclei and there's a probability that each one
of them will decay, probably some of them will. And the,
those probabilities per nucleus are completely independent of each other. So at every moment,
you could ask the question, what is the probability that only one nucleus has decayed, only two
nuclei have decayed, et cetera, all the way up? And what you find is that, you know, the probability
that most of the nuclei have decayed is very small when you just start out, when you start
out very close to completely undecade, but it grows. It's always a probability.
So there will always be a point where half of the nuclei have decayed and half have not.
And then after you go past that point, there will still be a probability that each remaining nucleus will decay or will not decay.
And if you have enough of those nuclei, the time when it takes half of them to decay will actually be pretty well specified, right?
Each individual nucleus is hard to predict exactly when it will decay, but when you have large numbers of them,
the large numbers give you a pretty sharp view of what time that is.
Just like if you flip a 50-50 coin many, many times,
it gets very, very close to 50% after you flip it millions of times,
even though when you flip it four times, you can get a lot of fluctuations.
I hope that helps just a little bit.
Kyle Khabasares says,
when you started creating multimedia content such as podcasts and videos,
were you doing all the filming and editing yourself initially,
or did you have an editor help from?
the get-go, trying to figure out how to balance my own content creation interests with my professional
responsibilities. Well, the podcast and the videos are two very different things. But the answer is the
same, which is that no, I did not have any filming or editing help myself. It was all me doing the work
there. I did have help getting things set up in terms of equipment to buy and software to use
and things like that. I was certainly happy to appeal to people who know better than I do
about those things, and they were very helpful. But actually doing it, I always wanted to be me. So for the
podcast, that's not so hard. I think if you listen to early episodes of Mindscape, the audio quality
was not as good because I was still learning on the fly. Sometimes it just all miraculously came together.
Other times it was a little sketchy. It's more uniformly respectable now. But it's not that hard.
You know, you spend some time learning it and you do it. I think I would encourage anyone
to just figure out the basics of recording
and a little bit of massaging the audio
in a digital audio workstation of some sort.
I use audacity, but there's also a very good online tool now from Adobe.
You have to pay for it to get the real version now,
but it's an AI audio clean-upper, right?
It improves the audio quality of spoken word audio.
if you were recorded in an echoey room or with a cheap microphone or something like that.
It's not perfect, but if you have what would otherwise be unusably bad audio, it can save it sometimes.
For video, I'm not still a video person. I don't do a lot of video, but the little videos that I did for the biggest ideas in the universe was that was a pandemic project.
That was literally the time when it was not really going to be possible to get a lot of help.
I bought a green screen the day before.
Everything shut down, and I would not have been able to buy the green screen anymore.
So, yeah, that I also taught myself.
That's why the lighting is very bad in some of those original videos.
And again, it gets better.
I learn, you know, and that's also just part of the fun for me.
You know, I'm not sponsored by any big magazine or multimedia corporation or anything like that.
so I'm not doing it in a completely mercenary way.
I want to learn the skill.
I want to figure out what's going on, and that part has been fun.
But whether it's right for you is hard to tell.
Like, everyone is different, and I have no objections to people who are part of a bigger machine
where they have professionals doing these things, and that's completely okay, of course.
Kyle Stevens says, unlike many other podcasts, you never have had the same person on the podcast
multiple times.
Do you foresee ever having former guests return in the future?
You know, I go back and forth about this. I think the answer is no. I do not foresee that. Or let me put it this way. I sometimes fantasize that, you know, when the podcast is coming to an end, when I declare a season finale, no, a series finale for Minescape, then maybe I will revisit some of my favorite guests or even like panels with multiple favorite guests. Who knows? They could do anything. No rules when you're near the end there. But what I told myself at the beginning,
was there are a lot of interesting people to talk to. And, you know, I feel this way about doing
research, you know, as a scientist. When you're a scientist and you first learn to do research
as a graduate student, it's all hard because you don't know any of it, right? It's an enormous
not to learn to write a paper, to get a publishable result. It's very, very hard. You do a lot of work
when you're a graduate student to get up to that level. But then once you're at that level,
It is easy to either basically do the same kind of thing or to ring small changes on what you have been doing, and that's an easy rut to fall into.
And, you know, sometimes maybe in my life I've been guilty of falling into that rut, but I don't want to, so I want to nudge myself out of it.
That's why I'm thinking about, one of the reasons why I'm thinking about things like complexity and philosophy these days.
Likewise, for the podcast, it would be, I absolutely know that there are people who I've had on the podcast already who would love to come on again,
and who will be great. And I feel bad because sometimes they ask if they can come on again,
and I have to say, well, no, we have this policy. But the point is, I don't want to fall into the rut.
There's so many people out there who are super duper interesting, some of whom you've heard of,
and I just haven't gotten around to yet, some of whom you've never heard of,
and I only recently discovered and I'm trying to bring to you, right? And that kind of freshness
really keeps me interested. It's also much more work. There's a certain amount of work that goes into.
having people on the podcast who I'm not familiar with already,
and if I've had them on before,
then I, by definition, am at least a little bit familiar with them.
So am I going to get lazier with time and start having people again?
Probably not, but I'm not going to make any super-duper strong promises either way.
Richard Cashdan says,
many people believe that the Earth had an advanced civilization before ours,
so long ago that all hint of them was buried deep where we will never find it.
If the Earth had a previous civilization like that,
wouldn't they have used up all of the oil and natural gas so that we wouldn't be finding all the huge pools our modern civilization has used?
Well, I don't think that many people believe that.
I mean, some people maybe believe that.
It's certainly not a scientific consensus.
I think it's quite unlikely.
It was interesting that we talked about this a little bit with Adam Frank when he was on the podcast,
and he said that signs, you know, techno signatures of previously existing civilizations would be harder to find than you.
might think. Things do get wiped out. Your point about natural resources being used up is a
perfectly good one, but it's also a little presumptuous. It's presumptuous that, you know, they would
use the same kinds of technology that we would. Maybe they would. Maybe there's an argument that
it's just an obvious thing to do to dig up oil from the ground and use that. But maybe not. I really,
honestly, can't say for sure. Also, maybe, you know, plate tectonics, et cetera, has brought different
pockets of fossil fuels up to accessible parts of the Earth's surface than were there before.
I don't know that either. So I think it's very unlikely there ever was an advanced civilization on
earth. You make a good point that one, so as a Bayesian, let's put it that way. If you have a
proposition that there was an advanced civilization on Earth and you have forgotten temporarily
whether or not there is fossil fuel on the Earth now, the likelihood that the fossil fuels were all
used up if there was an advanced civilization is larger than the likelihood if there was not an advanced
civilization. So the fact that we have considerable resources of fossil fuels is, should decrease your
credence that there ever was an advanced civilization. I just don't know by how much. David Rabinowitz
says, in something deeply hidden, you object to Max Tagmark's quantum immortality thought experiment
by arguing it was the wrong way to evaluate the costs of dying. But this unintentionally
sidesteps what might be an equally interesting part of the question. Do you believe the quantum
immortality experiment would work? That is, do you believe someone playing quantum coin flip roulette
indefinitely would in fact find themselves miraculously surviving? And does every conscious
entity who ever lived and who had a possible survival trajectory under the laws of physics
believe they are still alive and or immortal in the thin but selected survivalist branches of the
wave function they occupy? I mean, yes, but in a completely
trivial sense. Every entity that has things that you would describe as beliefs also has the
property that they're alive. There are no dead people who have beliefs. So everyone who is alive
believes that they are in the part of the wave function of the universe where they're still alive.
That's true whether many worlds is true, whether it's truly stochastic, you know, any, any
alive creature thinks that they're still alive. That's all you're ultimately saying there. So I absolutely
believe that Tegmark's setup where if you have many worlds and you do some quantum coin flip
and one of you dies, one of you survives, leaves you with a large number of branches where
only some of them, a very tiny number of them, maybe only one, has an alive person on it.
And that alive person in that ensemble is the only one you can ask, how are you feeling about it?
I just don't think that before you do that experiment, you should be sanguine about the fact that
most of the branches are not going to have you on it anymore.
Tyler Haley says, I have a question about dark energy.
Should we think of dark energy as having substance like dark matter does?
The energy part of dark energy implies there is some sort of mass or momentum associated with it
by Einstein's relation E equals m plus p.
Sorry, E squared equals m squared plus p squared.
Tyler is indicating that he can't do the superscripts in the question.
No.
it does not necessarily imply that at all. That equation, the energy is the square root of mass squared plus momentum squared, is meant to apply to some things and not others. The things it's meant to apply to are objects, point-like objects, honestly. I mean, if you have something that has internal structure, then there's other kinds of energy that it can have, but objects that can be idealized as localized at some region of space, those are the ones that have. That's
have things we call mass and momentum. Why? Because those are things that you can push with your finger,
and the resistance to being pushed is what we mean by the mass. If the dark energy is the cosmological
constant, that is a property of space time itself. It is the energy density per cubic
centimeter of space time itself. It's not something you can push. It's not something that can
resist being accelerated. It's not something that has momentum. Okay.
So it has energy, but it doesn't have any of those other things because it's not the kind of thing that mass and momentum are associated with.
Now, we don't know whether the dark energy is a substance like dark matter or whether it's something different.
I've written papers on both sides, to be honest.
But if it's the simplest thing like the cosmational constant, then it is not a substance, really.
And there's certainly no a priori argument that it has to be anything like that.
Only normal person says, reading on the origin of time by Mindscape Guest Thomas Hurtog,
I was surprised that part of the book was interested in rehabilitating Wheeler's participatory universe into a real theory.
Is that concept something other theoretical physicists are interested in legitimizing,
or would the vast majority consider it to be unsalvageable?
I think the vast majority would just consider it to be too vague, to matter that much.
But, you know, deep issues of quantum mechanics and cosmology are places where things that other physicists have the luxury of ignoring suddenly become relevant.
I'm not a big fan of Wheeler's rhetorical flourishes when it comes to quantum mechanics and the observer and things like that.
I think it sort of obscures things more than it clarifies.
But here is a case.
You know, Tomas was trying to say something very, very simple.
specific, that the way we should think about quantum cosmology is to start with ourselves
and build outwards, rather than starting with the Big Bang and letting it vibrate forwards.
It's compatible, right?
I mean, these are just two ways of thinking about the same underlying physics, but they're
trying to make the case, he and Stephen Hawking, that certain cosmological puzzles make
more sense if we start with the fact of who we are in our observed universe or
around us and then ask how that fits in with the wider cosmos rather than pretending to be God
and saying, here's the whole cosmos, where are we in it, right? I don't know whether that's
the right attitude to have or not. I don't know whether it's just a family resemblance to what
Wheeler was trying to say or whether that's really what he had in mind all along. But, you know,
it's all ongoing research. I'm happy to consider these slightly fanciful ways of thinking.
Brian says, here's what I believe I understand from you.
The expansion of the universe is accelerating.
Here is my related question.
What is the acceleration rate?
Is it constant or is it different in different places?
Do we even know it?
So parts of this are easier to answer than others.
It mostly is constant.
I'll explain why mostly comes from in just a second.
As far as we know, it is not different in different places.
and we do know what it is if it exists at all.
So I say if it exists at all, here's what I mean.
Usually, when we talk about something accelerating,
what do you mean?
Accelerate.
You mean that the velocity is changing with time.
So if you use the phrase the acceleration of the universe,
that you might naturally think there's something called the velocity of the universe
and it's increasing with time.
But the universe doesn't have a velocity.
A velocity is distance divided by time.
What is the distance we're talking about here, right?
The universe has a scale factor, which gives you the relative distance between galaxies as a function of time.
So something that makes perfect sense is to say the scale factor of the universe today is two times what it was 8 billion years ago or whatever.
That makes perfect sense.
To ask what the scale factor is doesn't make sense.
That's a choice of units.
That's kind of arbitrary.
So the universe isn't really something to which we should attach the idea of an acceleration
in the conventional sense.
Why do we do so anyway?
Because that factor, the scale factor, that tells you the relative distance between galaxies,
is a function of time, and we can plot it, and then we can take its first derivative.
And we can take its second derivative and its third derivative.
That is to say, the rate at which the scale factor is changing,
the rate of which its rate of change is changing, and so forth.
And what we mean when we say that the universe is accelerating really is just
that the second derivative is positive,
that the rate of change of the universe,
the rate of change of the scale factor of the universe with respect to time,
is increasing.
Okay, so if you have to plot the scale factor as a function of time, it is not only going up,
but it is going up in this sort of accelerating-looking way.
What I've hidden from you in that is that if you say, okay, if it's going up, so it has a derivative,
what is the derivative? What is the rate of change of the scale factor?
But I just told you that's a meaningless question, because there's no such thing as what the
scale factor is. It's only relative to other things that it makes any sense.
If you look into the details in a cosmology book, the Hubble parameter, or the Hubble constant,
but it's really not constant, so we call it the parameter, is the number that physically is real
and does actually characterize the rate of expansion of the universe, but it's not the derivative
of the scale factor. It's the derivative of the scale factor divided by the scale factor itself.
So if you multiply the scale factor by two, you get a two in the numerator and denominator, and they cancel out.
So the Hubble constant, a dot over A, derivative of scale factor divided by scale factor,
that's a real physical thing, and we can actually measure that.
So now I hear you saying, okay, good.
What it must mean to say the universe is accelerating is that the Hubble constant is increasing.
No, it doesn't mean that.
Precisely because what the universe is accelerating means is that a dot is increasing,
but the Hubble constant is a dot over a, scale factor derivative over a, scale factor derivative,
over-scale factor. So if both A dot and A are increasing at the same rate, then the Hubble constant
is going to be constant. And indeed, that is where we're going. That's why I said the acceleration
rate is mostly constant. As we empty out matter and radiation from the universe and are left
with nothing but cosmological constant, we asymptote to a condition where the Hubble constant
does really become a constant.
But that doesn't really mean a constant velocity.
A Hubble constant being constant means A.
dot over A is constant.
Time derivative of A divided by A is constant.
So time derivative of A is proportional to A,
and I can solve that equation.
It's an exponential.
It's E to the T.
In fact, it's E to the H-0T, T,
where H is a certain fiducial value of the Hubble constant.
So constant Hubble constant
means exponential expansion,
which indeed is a curve
that looks like it's accelerating.
So all of this is just very confusing
because we choose to use vocabulary
that resembles velocities and accelerations
to describe the expansion of the universe
where that vocabulary really isn't legitimate at all.
Sorry about that.
I don't know what to tell you.
That's just what the conventions are.
Okay, I'm going to group two questions together.
Ryan Sage says,
I was hoping you might clarify the debate
about the recent Nobel Prize in physics
regarding local realism.
The anti-physicalists,
not Philip Goff surprisingly,
but Hoffman, Castro, etc.,
appear to be jumping all over this
as case closed, it's over,
but even the recipients of the prize
appear to still hold to realism
or think that their submission
is not evidence against it in a general sense.
And then Jay's Forbes says,
in your book something deeply hidden,
you talk about locality,
in such interesting ways. And I'm curious if you have, since writing the book, have anything to expand on regarding your ideas of locality and how you should think about what it is. I think it's an extra typo. There's a typo there, but that's okay, what it is. So both of these questions have to do with locality in quantum mechanics, and in particular the idea of local realism. It's a little weird. You know, the fact that people like Donna Hoffman, Bernardo Castro, et cetera, are celebrating the Nobel Prize as case closed.
for local realism is just bizarre.
I mean, it should kind of give the game away
that they're not really serious
because this is just, the Nobel Prize is great, right?
You know, the discovery of these Bell equality violations
that are predicted by John Bell
are just predictions of the Schrodinger equation.
They're quantum mechanics as it was written down
in the 1920s.
There's nothing new that has been done to quantum mechanics.
It's only testing certain predictions
of quantum mechanics.
in showing that they're right.
So what we learn from these experiments,
which were absolutely toward the forces of experimental physics,
is that quantum mechanics is right.
That's good. I'm very glad to hear that.
But if I already was a realist about quantum mechanics
and thought it was right,
then nothing in these experiments change my mind.
I'm a realist about the wave function in particular,
about the quantum state, I should say, the state vector.
other people are realist about other things, but all of these people have already priced in the Bell inequalities.
Like, whatever your particular favorite version of quantum mechanics is, it better be compatible with Bell's theorem,
or otherwise you would have given it up long before these experimental results came in.
So I don't think that there's anything new that happened with these Nobel Prize.
I mean, it's a very worthy Nobel Prize, but we already thought that these results were going to be there.
So if you've somehow changed your mind about anything because of these results,
then your mind was not correctly settled in the first place.
Now, as Jase gets to, the question of locality is still super interesting in quantum mechanics.
My take on it is different and idiosyncratic.
So I try to be clear about my beliefs versus the conventional wisdom here.
My belief about locality is not the conventional wisdom.
The conventional wisdom in quantum foundations goes something like this.
if you have the Schrodinger equation, or if you have what you might call unitary evolution of the quantum state,
according to the Schrodinger equation, that evolution follows local laws of physics.
The Hamiltonian, the thing that makes the wave function go, the thing that encodes what the wave function is doing,
is local in a very specific mathematical sense.
But then you have measurements, right?
Quantum measurements famously do not seem to be described by the Schrodinger.
Ereddian says, secretly they are, but you have to do extra work. But anyway, they don't
seem to be at the most naive point of view. So you can have locality of the dynamics according to
the Schrodinger equation, as you do in quantum field theory, but then non-local apparent correlations
in measurement outcomes. And that's what the bell inequalities point to. So it's interesting because
people who work on quantum foundations care a lot about the measurements and bang on about the non-locality,
in quantum mechanics. People who do particle physics in quantum field theory mostly care about the
Hamiltonian and the Schrodinger equation, and they're very proud of the fact that physics is perfectly
local. And they're both right because they're talking about two different things. I, my attitude,
which is very, very different, says, look, if the primary object of your theory is a vector in Hilbert
space, your question should not be, how in the world can we get non-local measurement correlation,
even though space and time have these properties.
Your question should be, why does physics ever look local at all?
The fundamental starting point of a vector in Hilbert space has no idea of space in it,
much less locality.
So the interesting question is not like, oh my goodness, how can you possibly do what
Bell's inequality says you should do in these measurements?
That's easy.
That's obvious.
That follows directly from the reality of the wave vector.
The hard part is, why does the Hamiltonian have the features that physics looks local when you're not making measurements?
I have some ideas about that, but the short answer is nobody knows.
Right now it's just a fact.
It's not incompatible.
You can just say that's a fact.
The Hamiltonian is local in some very well-defined sense.
Measurements are not, that has no relationship whatsoever to whether you are a realist.
Andrew Goldstein says,
what physical mechanisms lead to complexity emerging out of the whole universe?
The requirement of energy flow by non-equilibrium thermodynamics seems critical.
But how and why do molecules then emerge from atom cells, from molecules, and ultimately life?
Well, yeah, I don't know. If I knew that, I'd be rich, or at least I'd have a couple more publications than I do right now.
I'm thinking about exactly this question. I think it's a fascinating question. I wrote a paper with former Minescape guest Scott Aronson and others about this, you know,
a really very preliminary, tiny step towards answering this question.
But the short answer is we don't know.
So I'm trying to figure out what are the ingredients in the laws of physics that make it possible
that complex structures come into existence.
Right now, it's completely compatible with everything we know about the laws of physics,
but we can't tell you which aspects of the laws of physics would still allow for complexity
to emerge if they weren't there.
What are the necessary ingredients that go into this?
We're still thinking about that.
We don't even agree on the definition of complexity,
so this might take some time.
Claudio says the standard story about the non-locality of entanglement
says that two particles become entangled in the lab,
and one can be moved as far away from the other as one once and remain entangled.
Is the opposite also true?
If distance doesn't count, are particles capable of becoming entangled with particles
that are far away and not in their immediate surroundings?
This is a great question.
I should have kind of put it next to the other ones about locality and entanglement,
but it is a great question.
The short answer is no.
The opposite is not also true,
because that becoming entangled is a physical interaction, right?
So if I have two photons and I move them close to each other,
they interact and can become entangled with each other.
Or even two billiard balls.
And, you know, if I ignore the fact that the classical limit is pretty good
and describe the billiard balls using quantum mechanics,
when they bounce off each other, they would become entangled with each other.
But that's the local part of physics, right?
That's not a measurement.
The word measurement never appeared there.
That's just evolution of the wave function of all of these particles.
And so for the particles to interact and therefore become entangled, they need to be close to
each other.
They need to be able to interact.
Or slightly far away, but some field is bouncing back and forth between them, which
essentially is the same as saying they're close to each other.
Whereas measurements can happen no matter where the particles are.
So the point is you become entangled when you're nearby, then you move far away, or not.
That's up to you.
And then when you make a measurement, you're going to get some correlations because you were entangled.
Roland Weber says, could you please give us an update on puck, the outdoor cat you were considering to adopt?
Yes, I'm glad you asked this, Roland.
I'm always happy to talk about puck or the other cats.
So for those of you who are not around, back last fall, I think September or October,
Jennifer and I noticed a stray kitten out on our backyard, not much of a kitten, maybe six months old,
something like that.
And being the cat lovers that we are, we instantly felt it was our responsibility to take care of this little cat.
And we named him or her puck.
We didn't know whether it was a him or her.
Puck seems like a fairly androgynous name and also follows the shakes.
Shakespearean theme of Ariel and Caliban, even though it's from a different play.
And actually, if you're fans of the Sandman comics, Puck, the Shakespearean character, appears in there,
and there's a slight resemblance between the Sandman Puck and this little kitten Puck.
So we named them Puck.
We think now that it's probably a he, so I will refer to Puck as he, because for the simple reason that Puck has not gotten pregnant.
And by this time, you know, several months later, most female cats would have gotten pregnant by now.
But anyway, we thought that it was our responsibility to take care of Puck.
So we started leaving out food and water and shelter and things like that.
And Puck is a smart kitten.
Puck figured out very quickly that we were the food providers and began to hang out.
But this was September, right, or October.
And six months old cat, roughly speaking, meant that Puck had been.
never experienced winter in our best estimation. And so we got very worried that Puck was going to,
you know, either be hurt or just be uncomfortable in the cold outside. There was really no
option of bringing Puck inside with us because Ariel and Caliban are not sociable creatures.
Even a few years ago when we had little foster kittens who were the most adorable, lovable
balls of fluff, Ariel and Caliban had no truck with these other kittens. They did not want
other animals to be in their house. So the idea of bringing in a feral cat into their house was not
on the table. So what we did was, we do now live in a big grown-up East Coast house,
so we now have a basement that we've never had before in our lives. So we started coaxing
Puck to come into the basement by sort of leaving his food closer to the basement and then taking
some time and being in the basement, keeping the door open and putting the food inside.
And then we actually, this sounds quite ridiculous to people who are not cat people, but we
had a cat door put into our basement door. So a cat can come in and we can, we don't need to be
there. We can just leave the food there. And the cat can warm himself up. And indeed, Puck is smart enough
to instantly have figured out the cat door. I was very worried that Puck would not figure out
how to work the cat door, how to just squeeze his way in. But he thinks,
that out right away. So now we're in a very happy equilibrium where we leave food out for Puck
in the basement. He comes by, I think roughly a few times a day. He doesn't hang out. He's not
interested in sleeping in the basement or hanging, even in like the coldest days that were certainly
below freezing. He seemed to spend most of his time outdoors. He didn't love the snow. That's true.
but he certainly, let's put it this way, he was very skinny when we first met him.
He is chunked up quite a bit now because we fed him a lot of food.
For all we know, we're not even the only people in the block who are feeding him food.
The good news is our block is sufficiently large and sufficiently grassed over and
treeed over that there's no reason for him to ever cross the street.
So at some point we're going to have to trap him and get him shots and get him neutered
and things like that.
But we haven't done that yet.
We just want to keep him alive during the winter.
And honestly, right now, Puck's leading his best life.
He's having a grand old time.
He loves running around outside.
You know, it used to be like he would, he's very cautious.
I think that's why he's lived this long.
So he would stick very close by to the fence or to the house or whatever.
And nowadays, he just saunteres right out on the lawn or on the driveway, just like he owns
the place.
So he has a big winter coat in addition to his extra chunkiness.
So he's kept warm against the elements.
He gets to run around, play with the place.
the birdies, et cetera. I think the puck is having a great time. Dan Inch says, would the many
world's interpretation of quantum mechanics be affected much if we knew the answer to quantum gravity?
Also, is Ariel getting a nice shower every morning? So there's another cat question as well as
quantum mechanics question. Those are the best questions that we can get. That's when you're allowed
to have two questions in one AMA salvo there. So for Ariel, since we're on the cat theme, you know,
again, people who've listened to a long time know that Ariel, our female cat, liked to get showers in the morning,
which meant that, in addition, you know, the human would get a shower, but Ariel didn't like that.
That was too much water. But Ariel would like it when you would just make a little drip of a few drops at a time coming down from the shower faucet,
and she would sit under there, let it drip off of her, groom herself, drink the water, and the whole bit.
that lasted, you know, through when we moved from L.A. to Baltimore for a while we were staying in an apartment while our house was not yet free for us to occupy.
And she discovered the shower in the new place, et cetera. But for some reason, mysterious to me, she's less interested now that we're in this house. She does not like showers. Like she did occasionally walk into the shower and we did put on the drips. It just wasn't quite to her liking. She's a very particular cat. So we've given a
up on that. Now she drinks from the sink. So we have to turn on the sink and she'll drink from
that, but she's not actually getting wet. I don't know. Cats, I cannot predict their behavior
very well. It's almost as if they have free will or something. About quantum gravity,
I do not think that the right way to think about is to say many worlds would be affected if we knew
quantum gravity. I think it's the other way around. I think that I suspect, and this is just a
vague hope, this is not a very strong feeling, but I suspect that we will get insights into
quantum gravity from taking many worlds seriously, because many worlds in philosophy jargon
has a certain kind of ontology. It has a certain kind of notion of what is fundamentally real
that provides a very good starting point for reconceptualizing what we mean by spacetime and
quantum gravity and things like that. That's something I've talked about. I think that there's a
solo podcast back there if you look far enough on how space time maybe emerges from quantum
gravity, from quantum mechanics, rather, and that particular approach really is at least inspired by,
if not completely dependent on many worlds as an interpretation of quantum mechanics. For the simple
reason that every other interpretation that I know of takes space or spacetime or something equivalent to
that as a primitive object. It puts it that into the theory, and then it turns out that's difficult
to quantize that kind of theory. Whereas,
many worlds doesn't take space as a fundamental object. It takes the wave function as a fundamental
object, and space is supposed to emerge from that. If it does, you know, if you Google how the universe
emerges from the wave function, you'll find talks online by me, where I go into some of the technical
details about that if you're interested. Avonich Nara says, what do you think of the medicalization
of neurodivergent traits? Research suggests that up to 15 to 20 percent of the U.S. population is
neurodivergent. That fraction is it still reasonable to say that they are divergent, as opposed to the
norm being significantly misrepresentative of the population? You know, this is a very good question.
I have kind of philosophical perspectives on it, but what I don't have is an educated medical or
psychiatric perspective on it, so don't take my view too seriously here. What I think, you know,
thinking about it philosophically is that these categories of neurotypical neurodivergent, etc.,
clearly are socially constructed, right?
They're clearly invented by human beings.
Go back to the Sally Hasslinger episode
where we talked about the social construction of reality.
These are categories we invent.
That doesn't mean they're not real, right?
You can be real and socially constructed,
but we have invented these categories
to help us understand and account for
and explain the world that we see.
And as we learn more and gather more data
and are just more careful,
we can adjust the meaning of those terms
to fit the data
better. And so I absolutely think that there's a temptation to make the mistake of coming up with a
label, attaching it to something, and then mistaking that label for reality, rather than wondering
how well the label actually fits on the reality. So I think what happens with things like
neurodivergence, and for that matter, you know, different sexual behaviors or different social
behaviors or a million different kinds of human scale things, there is a norm, and that norm might be
literally the middle, but it might also just be what the dominant group likes, right? And we tend to
sort of measure everything else with respect to that norm. And then other things look divergent.
And then it might take a lot of work, a lot of work mentally and scientifically and philosophically
to say, you know, actually, no, we shouldn't treat that as the norm and other things as diversion.
We should just look at the different things that exist and talk about them for their own sake,
rather than labeling them as typical or divergent.
It's not quite on the specific example of neurodivergence,
but we talked about this with Joseph Henrik,
because remember he's the psychologist who studies weird populations,
Western, educated, industrialized, rich, democratic,
and an enormous amount of psychology research
has been done on these people,
and not only are these weird people not average,
not only are they not the majority,
They're not even typical. They're not even in the middle of most distributions. They're on the extreme of some distributions. So you get a very wrong opinion about human psychology by taking them as the norm, which professional psychology has done for many years. So I think that as a general principle, even though I'm not an expert on neurotypicality, neurodivergence, and the differences thereof, I think as a general principle, we are too quick to label some things as typical, some things as divergent, and we should be very careful about doing that.
Jay Pesky says, is complex system theory something you hope to truly dig into?
I was curious about what are the main aspects that draw you to it.
Been loving the guests and seeing how the work is applied to so many different fields.
Topics is exciting.
So, yeah, I'm trying my best to dig into it in a more serious way.
You know, it's a little bit different than being a student.
When you're a student, there's a couple things that are going on.
One is you have an advisor.
So you have someone to sort of guide you and pick the research programs,
that you're working on. And also you kind of have time to learn new things because that's your
job to learn new things when you're a student. Whereas as a professor, as an old person, let's put
it that way, there's a lot of things going on. You have to be an advisor to students and to postdocs
and make things happen and write books and do podcasts and whatever, and as well as doing the
research that is ongoing and trying to learn new things. So it's harder to focus, honestly. But yes,
I am trying to bit by bit, learn the basics. I'm hoping to teach not this year.
year, not this upcoming year, 24-25, but the next year, 25, 26, hoping to teach a course
in complex systems at Johns Hopkins, and hopefully by then I will have learned it. If not, I will
have to learn it in the process of teaching the course. And I have lots of ideas about questions
I want to ask within that field, so we'll see if I can make any progress. Tyler Whitmer says,
you've helped me get to a place of understanding fundamental physics and the philosophy of physics
way better than your average person.
But obviously, nowhere near the level
necessary to be a working physicist
or philosopher of science.
Do you think there are societal
and or scientific benefits
to having more of the population
at that intermediate level of understanding
beyond just the fun of learning
for the individual?
I think that there are, yes,
but I am kind of all about
the fun of learning for the individual, honestly.
Like, that's my primary motivation.
I think that, look, there are things we like to do.
Okay, I like to have this podcast. I like to do lots of things, so having the podcast is sometimes a time suck, but all else being equal, I enjoy doing this podcast. I could pretend that I was doing this podcast as a gift to the world, you know, as a public service. I'm spreading the word and educating people, et cetera, et cetera, and so forth. But honestly, I wouldn't do it if I hated it, if I actually actively disliked it. And like,
for more generally publicizing science and things like that. I do think that getting more people
to a better level of appreciation and understanding of physics and philosophy would make the world
a better place. But my evidence for that is not super duper strong. I can't honestly say that
that's perfectly clear. What is perfectly clear is that I enjoy doing it. I get reward from doing it,
and when individual people come to understand things better,
in part because of resources that I have given them,
that makes me feel good.
So I'm self-centered enough, selfish enough,
that that is what keeps me doing this kind of thing.
Leo Behi says,
you may be familiar with the story of FDC. Willard,
the cat who co-authored a physics paper with his owner,
the physicist Jack Hetherington.
Heatherington had apparently typed the whole paper using Wee instead of I
and needed a second author.
after the publication of the paper, FDC. Willard was invited to join the faculty at Michigan State University full-time.
Now that FDC. Willard has broken the glass ceiling for cats in physics, who do you think would be more amenable to co-authoring a paper with you, Ariel or Caliban?
I like all the cat questions this time around. So I think as a footnote, as a friendly amendment to this question, I don't think it's true. The story about the cat being a co-author is true. It's not, it's because in physics,
writing, in physics technical, professional publications, there is ambiguity about single author
papers. Some of them are written in the first person singular. Some of them are still written
in the first person plural. And the plural is very common, even among papers that only have
one author, but some journals are different and say, nope, if you have the plural, if you have only
one author, it should be first person singular. And so, yes, apparently this, this,
physicist did write a paper in the first person, plural, even though there was one author. The
journal complained, so he just added his cat as a co-author, kind of as a joke. I don't think that
the cat was ever offered a job to join the faculty at Michigan State University. That is
completely unlikely. No one, no one would be offered a job by people they never met, okay? So
you need to have more than one publication. You need to actually do interviews and things like
that to get a job offer as a faculty member. It was apparently said that Willard was invited to give a talk,
okay? That, I believe, because sometimes you will say, oh, you know, this paper was very good.
We've already heard from Hetherington, so let's hear from their co-author. That makes perfect sense
for me, but not being offered a job. As far as Ariel and Caliban are concerned, it's absolutely
Ariel who would be a co-author on a physics paper. And as I said before, you know, Caliban
lives in the moment. He's present-oriented. I don't think that his individual imaginative horizon
stretches more than a few seconds into the future. Is Caliban happy, then he's happy. Is he hungry,
then he's hungry? Like, that's all Caliban's thoughts stretch to, whereas Ariel definitely
contemplates different possible future. She's like, what would happen if I jumped up here? And
the usual cat behavior, where like, they ask you to open the door and you open the door and then they
sit there going, hmm, should I walk through this door or not? So I think that even though it's not
quite the same, Ariel is closer to having the imaginative capacities necessary to actually think about
writing physics papers. Paul Hess says, in response to a question from Brian Keating in October
2022, you once sent a message advising your younger self to be more proactive in shaping your
education to pursue your true interests early. Do you worry that if your younger self had taken
the advice for a more formal, well-planned educational path, you might have lost in uniqueness whatever
gained in pure educational quality. So to be, so maybe to clarify, I don't know if I read that as
clearly as I could have, Brian Keating is a cosmologist at UC San Diego who also has a podcast,
and I was on his podcast, and he asked me what advice I would give my younger self. I did not actually
send the message to my younger self. We don't know how to do that. We don't know how to travel in
time, et cetera. So that was a thought experiment. And the advice was not to have a more formal,
well-planned educational path, but in fact, you know, almost the opposite. Like maybe because I did not
grow up in an academic environment, didn't have, you know, role models who were academics or
or anything like that, but also absolutely in part because of my own personality, the way that I
pursued education, once I figured out I wanted to be a physicist, was pretty conventional, right?
It was pretty like, okay, what am I supposed to do next? I'm going to do that. I did not take as
much time as I might have to step back and contemplate alternatives. And I don't mean alternatives
like go to medical school or, you know, go to Wall Street or whatever, but even within theoretical
physics, like what research to do, what topics to focus on. I took the opportunities that were
right in front of me and easy to take because, you know, like Puck eating, becoming a little overweight
because he doesn't know as a feral cat whether the food will continue to appear. As someone who, you know,
didn't grow up with a lot of academics, I didn't know whether research opportunities would
continue to appear, so I took the ones that were immediately available to me. And what I would
like to have done is to, you know, have really thought deeply about what are the most interesting
possible topics to work on that I could, in principle, make contributions to. I think that's
always a good thing to think. I was just late to figuring it out. And I think I'm doing it now,
but I don't think I was doing it when I was 25 years old to the extent that I could have. So,
no, I don't think I would have lost in uniqueness whatever I gained in pure educational quality.
I think the opposite. I would have gained more uniqueness by taking a step back and thinking more about all the possible ways of doing good research, rather than just doing what I thought I could do quickly, inefficiently, and productively.
Robert Ruxendreske says, a following thought experiment. Satan comes to Earth, the typical thought experiment, and gives you two options. Either you,
flip a fair coin, and if it falls heads, Earth is destroyed. And if it falls tails, Earth gets
unlimited energy, diseases are cured, everyone's happy, and so on. However, there's an alternative.
You can measure the spin of an electron. Sorry, let me state that with correct emphasis. You can measure
the spin of an electron instead of tossing the coin with the same outcomes. Spin is up, Earth is destroyed,
spin is down, Earth gets unlimited energy, diseases are cured, and so on, with 50-50 probabilities for
the outcome. You are forced to do one of these two, either the coin or the spin measurement,
what would you do? I love this thought experiment. It's a great thought experiment because it's
putting legitimate pressure on a perspective that I've advocated in the past, which is that
in Everettian quantum mechanics, where there really are two alternatives that become equally
real, you should treat it, you should deal with it, you should act exactly as if you were going
to see actual stochastic events with real probabilities, not just you are going to apparently
see probabilities because you don't know which of the branches you're going to end up on.
So if I am true to my previously stated beliefs, I would say that both of those alternatives
are the same. The alternative of destroying the earth with a 50% chance and having 100%
chance of destroying the earth on one branch of the wave function and 0% chance on the other,
should be treated equally. And this is a good, this is what Dan Dennett would call an intuition
pump, because this is saying, okay, I have made the apparent differences between these two scenarios
as vivid as possible by literally having it not just be some minor reward that I calculate
the expectation value of, but literally destroying all life on earth, okay? Are you really going to
have the courage of your convictions and stick by it? After thinking about it, I think yes,
I would indeed have the courage of my convictions and stick by it.
I think the intuition here is pushing you in the following way.
You think to yourself, you know, in the quantum mechanics case,
one Earth will survive, right, on one branch of the wave function,
whereas one will surely end, and that somehow seems better
than a single Earth having a 50-50 chance of surviving or not.
Okay, and I get that intuition.
But let's modify the thought.
experiment by just a little bit. Let's imagine that you flip the coin, sorry, you measure the spin,
and then time passes, okay? Let's say 10 years pass after you do the spin measurement, and
Satan doesn't tell anyone what the spin measurement was, but Satan knows what the spin
measurement outcome was, and then on the, what is it, the spin down, spin up branch, Satan
destroys the earth, 10 years later. So what it seems like to the people in that branch is that
they've just been going around on their business, and now the Earth is destroyed.
And that seems bad, right?
And the fact that there's another branch of the wave function where they're getting unlimited
energy seems like cold comfort to them on this branch where you've literally destroyed
the Earth.
So I think that this is a case where our intuitions are being pumped, but are just still not
very good.
You know, it's not a super relevant case to real-world questions, but I do appreciate that we
should look at extreme, if we think we have some philosophical principles, we should put them to the
test in extreme circumstances. And I think that if I try to come up with the right thing to do
in this situation, I honestly cannot come up with a better procedure than treating the two
branches of the wave function with 50-50 weights in exactly the same way that I treat the truly stochastic thing
for the Earth. You know, the truly stochastic thing leads you to think, well, you know,
there's a real chance that the whole Earth gets destroyed. That's super bad. But there's also
a real chance that no one gets destroyed. And in the other procedure, when it's quantum mechanics,
and both worlds are real, there's a hundred percent chance that the whole Earth gets destroyed
on one branch of the wave function. So I think that our intuitions are not serving us
well in this particular case. But again, you know, I admit this is one of those things that I'm willing
to change my mind about under more pressure if the pressure really pushes me in some direction. Oh,
yeah, the other thing I wanted to say about this was, that's my particular view, but there are
absolutely legitimate alternatives. Go back to the podcast we did with Lara Buchak, where we talked
about risk and rationality. And Lara makes the case that it is entirely rational to factor risks
into your, to be risk-averse, but be rational at the same time. In other words, the rational
thing to do is not just to calculate the expected utility and maximize it. It's perfectly okay
to bias yourself in favor of less risky outcomes. That does not conflict with the basic principles
of rationality. And as I said in that, you know, live in real time on that podcast, thinking that way
might, I think, legitimately lead you to believe that you should act differently in many worlds than
in a stochastic world. So I think maybe the combination of those two things, believing in many
worlds and believing in some sort of risk-weighted version of rationality might actually give
you different outcomes than a truly stochastic world. I'm very open to that possibility,
though I don't really know for sure. I haven't really had a chance to think about it myself.
Okay, very good question.
Chris Kay says,
I was wondering if you're many years spent looking at life
through the lens of physics
and your vast knowledge about it
affects how you listen to music.
Do you feel you have more thoughts
than the average person
about things like waves
or the neuroscience of how we interpret sounds
while listening to music?
The short answer is no,
because I'm just not that kind of physicist,
you know?
Waves, sound, things like that.
These are very, very important for physics,
but it's not like centrally important to my particular kind of physics.
I do think that I have different questions about music,
not specifically because I'm a physicist, but because I'm a scientist.
And it's not about the science of how we perceive sound or anything like that.
What I'm most interested in is music theory.
Music theory is very well developed.
We have theories about why certain rhythms work well,
certain chord progressions work well,
why resolution is very important,
why certain scales sound good and how they evoke different moods.
I haven't seen very convincing discussions of music theory
in the sense of deriving it from fundamental physics.
I would like to know not just that major keys sound kind of cheerful
and minor keys sound kind of sad.
I want to know why that's true in terms of the mathematics
of what notes are generally found in the chords of major scales and minor scales.
right? I don't know. There's probably people who've done that, but I haven't found that literature. So I'm curious about that. It's not quite because I'm a physicist, but because I'm a scientist, I do have those questions that I would like to know the answer to. David Summers says, I know you were a consultant for the physics on Avengers End game, but there were no speedsters in that movie. If you were approached to give a plausible sounding physics explanation to an origin story of the Flash or any other speedster, how would you go about it? Is there anything that could be done?
with relativity that wouldn't have Einstein turning in his grave. I think it's very hard. I think that
the Flash, et cetera, pose a real challenge to people trying to make physical sense of things,
more so than most superheroes, more so than flying. Like flying I can kind of make sense of. But
the problem with the Flash is, you know, how do you go fast? You run. How do you run? You move your
legs. You push them against the ground. So really, going fast is just a matter of having stronger
legs, there shouldn't be any logical distinction between being able to go fast and being strong,
right, at the end of the day. So, but, you know, if I take my own advice to physics consultants on
movies, you have to imagine that this world is different than the real world. The world with
Flash in it is different. So in the Flash's world, moving fast is not just a matter of having
stronger leg muscles. It's a different kind of thing.
What kind of thing is it?
I don't know. I have not really thought about that.
You would have to pay me to think about that.
It's not something that is an easy answer.
Jim Cacelios, by the way, is a friend of mine
a physicist who wrote a whole book on the physics of superheroes.
I'm sure that he has written.
About the flash, I would pick up that book and check it out there.
P. Walder says, fine-tuning arguments are presented prominently
in Philip Goff's latest book.
In the past, you've acknowledged that fine-tuning is the best available argument for God,
but at the same time, you've indicated that it's a very bad argument. Can you explain what, in your view,
makes it a bad argument? Yeah, very quickly, there's a few things that make it a bad argument.
The primary one is one that we already mentioned earlier in the podcast, just that the idea of God is not well-defined.
The fine-tuning argument only makes sense if you can say that you're being a good Bayesian,
there's a likelihood function that the world looks the way it does if God exists,
and the world looks the way it does if God doesn't exist. I think that that, that like aesion
that likelihood function, the world looks a certain way if God exists, is just completely
ill-defined. I have no idea what that likelihood function is. We know what the world does look like,
and everyone ex post facto says, oh yes, this is exactly how God would have wanted it. I never
see a careful derivation that is convincing from first principles to say that God would have tuned
the universe in a certain way. But that's not specifically an argument about fine-tuning. It's just an
argument about the very notion of God. Forget even about the existence of God. I think when it comes
to the fine-tuning argument in particular, there's a bunch of things going on. One is we don't know
the extent to which the universe is finally tuned for the existence of life. We sometimes pretend that
we do. We say, yeah, if the laws of physics were very different, I can't imagine how life could
exist. But we just don't really know. We don't have a measure on the space of the laws of physics.
We don't know the conditions that would lead to the existence of something we recognize as life, and so on and so forth.
So at the level of a philosophically careful, rigorous argument, this is not that.
The fine-tuning just doesn't rise to that standard.
I think more importantly, if anything, the apparent fine-tuning, if you put aside that issue and say,
but I think it's fine-tuned.
I think that most sets of laws of physics would not allow for the existence of life,
the ones in our universe do. If anything, that's an argument against the existence of God,
not for the existence of God. And the reason why is because the very common problem with discussions
of God is that people say God can do anything, God is omnipotent, you know, omnipowerful,
and then don't actually take that seriously. Because the idea of fine-tuning is, if, let's say,
you know, we say if the neutron were a little bit lighter than the proton, then neutrons would be the ground state of matter.
Protons would decay away. We would have no atoms and therefore no life. Okay? Well, if you believe in God, you could have life anyway,
even if the universe were nothing but neutrons, because God can do anything. The only idea that would prohibit life from existing in a universe with nothing
but neutrons is naturalism. If you believe that life is nothing more or less than some
configuration of physical stuff, then maybe you have a chance of making an argument that without
fine-tuned constants, we would not be able to have life. But if God exists, we can have life
no matter what matter is doing. We can have individual neutrons be alive. God could do that. God
could attach your soul to a neutron, no problem. The only time you need finely tuned physics is if
God doesn't exist. So I think that the argument that God must exist because physics is finely
tuned is precisely backwards. Not to mention, of course, we have plenty of plausible,
even though not necessarily true, physics mechanisms that can account for the fine-tuning,
whether it's the cosmological multiverse or cosmological natural selection or something.
we don't know enough about the origin of the fundamental laws of physics
to say we cannot explain those apparent fine-tunings
through good old physics mechanisms.
So if I were religious, I would not rely on that particular argument very strongly.
I'm sorry, Yuha, I'm not going to get your name pronounced correctly.
Loitolin, I think, Yuha Loitolinan, says,
in a Doctor Who special last year, the TARDIS, or I suppose I should just say TARDIS,
ended up in a part of the universe
that light and matter had not yet reached.
The physical rules and constants
seem to be similar to ours,
since life forms and spaceships
kept their form and functionality.
I've never heard anybody speculating
about space without photons and matter.
Would current reasonably serious theories
allow a space without photons and matter
to have come to exist?
Yeah, absolutely.
And, I mean, in fact,
it's a little bit tricky
because we do think that empty space
has fields in it,
and those fields have quantum
states, so in that sense, there's always something, even in empty space. But we can imagine those
quantum states being in what we call the vacuum state, the lowest energy state, the state that is
the most analogous to what we would classly think of as just empty space. And indeed, that's not
only plausible or conceivable, it's going to happen. If you wait long enough, the universe is going
to approach the vacuum state that is corresponding to whatever value of the vacuum energy that we have,
So, yeah, you know, you don't need stuff in the universe for space and time to exist.
You can just have space and time.
Subhendu Harsh says, Elon Musk recently confirmed that Neurlink has been implanted in the first human being.
Today we make advancements in tech at all costs and by any means and by, and for the most part, that has served us well.
But is there a threshold after which we should begin to question this unbounded progress?
Is there a need to limit or at least democratize advancement in tech?
Well, just again a footnote here, there's no confirmation that NeurLink has done this.
There's a tweet that says the Neurlink has done this.
The tweet was not peer-reviewed.
We would like our standards to be a little bit higher for scientific accomplishments than that.
And the other footnote, of course, is that Neurrelink is way behind.
There are other companies that are much more advanced in the field of bring computer interfaces
that have done a lot, both invasive and not invasive, to interface.
brains with computers. So this is an ongoing field that is much, much bigger than that just one
company. Having said that, I completely sympathize with the thrust of your question that we
should be very, very careful. We should absolutely think about the consequences here. It's going to
happen. I don't think that that's even a useful question to address, because when, like you say,
when we have new technologies, we use them. That's going to happen. But we can use them in responsible
ways or less responsible ways. And I do think that the rate of technological progress is pretty
fast these days, whether it's brain computer interfaces or genetic engineering, synthetic biology,
AI, what have you. It's very hard to place rules in a sort of legal sense, put them in place in ways that
allow for innovation and yet keep us safe, because consequences are often undefed.
intended. It's just very hard to see what we should allow without hurting people. But that doesn't
mean we don't have the responsibility to try. I think we really should try to put rules in place
safeguards that prevent people from being hurt while still doing the scientific research.
Anonymous asks a priority question. So we're going to have to believe that Anonymous is true to
their word and never asks another priority question because Anonymous, you know, who knows?
But Anonymous says, what tips do you have for a first-year physics student aiming to become a theoretical physicist?
Well, I think that people ask me this, but my tips are pretty anodyne. They're pretty conventional. I don't think I don't have any super out-of-the-box tips. Take all the physics courses you can. Take as many math courses you can, but they are subservient to the physics courses. Physics is more important than math if you want to be a physicist.
The general thrust, and by the way, take other courses as well.
Take humanities and social science courses.
Those are important for becoming a well-rounded human being,
which even theoretical physicists should strive to be.
So take your academics seriously.
You know, it's sad, but not only learn,
but try to get a good grade point average as well.
Because guess what?
Someday you're going to be applying to grad schools.
They will look at your grade point average.
It's not the most important thing,
but it is something they will look at.
If you want to be a successful physicist,
you want to go to grad school,
you want to go to good one,
you want to eventually get a job,
you kind of have to play the game to some level.
You have to balance playing the game
of academic advancement
versus your own personal interests,
try to find that sweet spot
where you can do both.
But anyway, yeah, learn all the physics you can.
Don't necessarily wait.
You know, again, because of my personality, et cetera,
I waited sometimes, like,
I didn't think about learning this certain topic like quantum field theory or whatever until I could take the course.
There's no reason to do that. There's no reason to necessarily wait until a course is offered, right?
You can just learn it. You can take online courses. You can read lecture notes. You could buy the books. Go through them. Do the homework yourself.
Whether it's relativity or statistical mechanics or quantum mechanics or quantum field theory or whatever, learn more physics than your
courses are trying to teach you, okay? I would not put a huge emphasis on doing theoretical physics
research very early. I think that research is good to do, but it's way easier as a, you know,
first or second year undergraduate to do experimental or computer-based research than it is to do
real theoretical physics research. And that's okay. Just do that. You get to know what
research is like. And the last thing is, you know, go out there in, you know, go out there in
situations where you're not comfortable. Go to the talks that you don't understand if there are talks
at your university. Feel what it's like to be part of that community, because that's where you're
aiming to be part of the community. There'll be people asking questions, and you're like,
I have no idea what is being discussed here, but it will eventually the socialization will happen,
and you will become part of that. And it takes a long time and you'll be impatient, but it eventually
will take place. Flameproof asks, the latest
result from the dark energy survey seems to be suggesting that a flat Lambda CDM model where the
equation of state of dark energy is slightly higher than minus 1, currently measured at W is minus 0.8,
and is time varying? Could this mean that the current ideas about cosmic expansion could be
wrong or that a more complex model is required? It could, but I'm pretty sure that there are
error bars on these measurements, and to the best of my current knowledge, the error bars are perfectly
compatible with W equals minus 1. For those of you who are not slinging the lingo,
w equals minus 1 is the cosmological constant. If w is minus 0.8 or something like that,
there is a slowly decaying dark energy. So the question is not what is the best fit value?
The question is, is it compatible with the cosmological constant at, let's say,
a 3-sigma level or something like that? As long as it's not more than 3-sigma away from
the cosmological constant, I'm not going to worry too much about the current model.
Siddhartha says, in the blocked universe, the present does not have any privileged status over the past and future.
How does it explain why I, a configuration of particles, is experiencing now writing this question,
and not next Monday reading your answers or last Monday experiencing no AMA?
Well, you know, I've been asked questions like this, and I've tried to give answers.
I find that empirically, my answers are unconvincing to the people who ask the questions.
So I must be missing something going on in the minds of people who are asking these questions,
because to me the answer is perfectly obvious.
Namely, in the block universe, when you talk about I, me, myself, right?
What are you talking about?
There is a me at the moment of February 7th when I'm making this recording, 6.55 p.m.
There's a different me.
There's a different collection of particles doing slightly different things.
minute later. And there's an infinite number of these collections at different moments of time,
each one of them at a single moment of time. And each one of them thinks it's now from their
perspective. I see nothing puzzling about this. You know, of course, each different person
at that moment thinks it's that moment. What else would they think? There's no like metaphysical
mystery there to me. So I honestly just don't know what to say about this question. If that is not
clear, then there's something going on in people's minds who don't think it's clear that I have not yet
quite grasped, and that's my fault, not yours. Sorry about that. Harrison Brown says, does Eagles MC squared
imply that a fully charged battery is heavier than a spent one? You know, look, in principle, yes,
Eagles MC squared says that the mass of a, well, let's put it this way, the total energy content,
of a single object at rest
is proportional to what we call its mass,
and the proportionality constant
is the speed of light squared.
So that's what mass is in relativity.
It's the energy content
of a single isolated object at rest.
So a fully charged battery
has a wee bit more energy
than a discharged battery,
and therefore its mass is a little bit more.
But of course, the real world
is way messier than that.
There is a process by which the battery gets discharged.
There are chemicals, their molecules, and electrons moving around inside the battery.
A whole bunch of other things can happen.
Maybe like it absorbs some moisture or it heats up or something like that.
And the amount of mass that is equivalent to the energy in a charged battery is so incredibly tiny
that I'm sure it is a very, very subdominant effect compared to other things that would matter in real-world batteries.
So don't expect your load to be any lighter
if you have a backpack full of discharged batteries
than one of full batteries.
Philip Dobson says,
I have a question about the quantum arrow of time.
Does the Schrodinger equation have time asymmetry built in
or does a simple system evolve and branch
in both time directions?
Is there a special quantum past hypothesis?
I'm a little bit worried about the second part
of your second sentence there.
Does a simple system evolve and branch in both time directions?
The Schrodinger equation does not have an arrow of time built in exactly as Newton's laws do not have an arrow of time built in.
It's Laplace's demon all over again.
From any one quantum state, you can evolve it either forward or backward in time equally well.
No arrow of time in the Schrodinger equation.
But there's an arrow of time in the world because, exactly like you are suggesting, there's a past hypothesis.
The quantum state of the early universe was in a special kind of state where there were very few branches of the way.
function, and as the universe evolves and things become entangled, the number of branches goes up.
But that doesn't mean that a simple system evolves and branches in both time directions
precisely because there really is a special quantum past hypothesis that prevents that from happening.
All right, it's getting late, and I think my voice is beginning to go, so I do have several
questions left, but I'm going to have to try to give them slightly more compressed answers if we're
going to make through this.
Masterwork Tools says during the pandemic, our D&D game moved online.
The players complained that the dice rolls were unfair because it used a pseudo-random number generator.
So I recently wrote a dice roller that pulls entropy from a public feed out of a quantum computer
so people are making everyday scale decisions based on quantum flux.
We've joked since the 2016 election that we live in the crappy parallel timeline.
If I make an agreement with myself to turn this.
tool on until the next election when an anti-democratic candidate wins election, and turn it
off when the opposite happens, could that in principle be used to increase the thickness of
realities where democracy is more stable? No, it could not. Again, I'm sorry, I'm going to have to
keep the answers short here, but when you make quantum measurements, you're only taking the
branch that you're already in and subdividing it. The total weight to the branch that you're already in,
does not grow any smaller just because you make measurements.
It gets subdivided amongst more and more branches,
but the total weight remains constant over time in that branch.
So as long as you are not the one,
either aiding or undermining democracy,
your quantum random number generator has no effect on that.
Hans Nuttin says,
do you consider ever-edding quantum mechanics as a complete theory?
I've seen you tackle both unreasonable and reasonable objections to many worlds,
but would you consider these objections as in need of a new theoretical framework,
or are they mostly about fleshing out the philosophy and consequences of our ontology of the world
and explaining them in a clear way?
100% the latter.
I think that the Everett-Everity in quantum mechanics itself is complete.
It is the statement that the world is entirely represented by a vector in Hilbert space,
evolving according to the Schrodinger equation for some Hamiltonian.
That's the whole theory.
There's plenty of work to be done.
of the work is taking that theory and explaining how it can account for the world we see.
That is non-trivial work. It involves both physics and philosophy and maybe other ideas,
but the theory is there. It's our job to understand what the theory is trying to tell us.
Thomas Freeman says, how do you navigate having friends or family who are otherwise rational
or reasonable adults, but believe in astrology, human design, or other new age woo, pseudoscience?
easy. I'd let them believe those things. I'd let people believe whatever they want. If they want to force it on me, then I would begin to wonder why they are my friends. But you know, you have to decide whether or not someone is open-minded about things. Like if they have some new age belief, but they're saying, here's my new age belief. Why don't you share it? I have reasons for it. What are your reasons? And they would like to have a respectful dialogue, then have the respectful dialogue.
If they simply won't listen to you or are uninterested in listening to you, then don't talk to them about it.
It's actually pretty easy.
You shouldn't be annoyed about what other people believe.
I suspect that there is no person in the world who, if you knew all of their beliefs, would not be really annoying to you in some way or another.
I think that even your current self would be annoying to yourself 10 years from now or 10 years ago if you talked about each other's beliefs, because beliefs change over time.
So it's not a matter of whether beliefs are, you know, backed up by science or whatever.
It's a matter of like, are these the kinds of beliefs that people are open to talking about
and maybe changing their minds about?
Or are they just part of who they are, and we have to decide what that means for how we think about them.
A user named XLWRP-O-90 says, can Bayesian reasoning account for confidence?
There's a difference between describing 50% to a hypothesis due to a lack of evidence.
versus it being due to having lots of contradictory evidence.
New evidence should have less impact in the latter case.
Would a formula which factors in confidence explicitly be more useful?
I don't think there is much of a difference between those two things.
If you have lots of, between ascribing 50% credence to a hypothesis
because you know nothing about the evidence
and having a lot of contradictory evidence,
if you have contradictory evidence,
by construction, some of your evidence isn't very good because it contradicts the other evidence.
I mean, maybe none of your evidence is very good.
But by the very idea of having lots of contradictory evidence, you should be placing very low value on all of that evidence.
So I don't think the new evidence necessarily have less impact in the latter case
unless you have reason to believe that the new evidence is just as bad as the evidence you already have.
In which case, sure, it absolutely should have less impact.
But that should be, if you're a good Bayesian, built into your likelihood function, right?
Built into the answer to the question under this theory, how likely is it that we get this evidence?
If you're honest about constructing your likelihood functions, you always know that there's always a probability of getting evidence that seems incompatible with your theory just because your evidence is bad or weak or your experiment was not designed well.
That should be built into your likelihood functions.
You don't need to change the basic principles of basian reasoning.
Bryce Mitchell says, why do you not take the AI fast takeoff scenario seriously, i.e. rapid exponential
self-improvement. I don't give it much credence myself, but I don't think I've heard any critics give a reason for doubting it beyond saying it's ridiculous or fantastical.
Well, I don't think it is ridiculous or fantastical. I've just seen very little convincing evidence to take it seriously.
you know, consistent with my stance that current large language model types of AI are on the one hand very impressive.
On the other hand, not modeling the world, they're gaining their successes by piggybacking off of the senses, successes of human speech and human writing.
There is a natural limitation to that. They're going to run out of human speech and writing to train off of, right?
And that is exactly the kind of model, which is not going to improve by self-improvement,
because its objective function is not something out there in the world that can be objectively verified.
If you want to build a computer to play chess or to play go or whatever, self-improvement is absolutely the way to go.
Don't let the computer be trained on human chess games.
Make it just play against itself many, many times, because it's clear when you're
winning. You know what it means to win in a game of chess or not win a game of chess. But if the
game you're playing is, say true things about the world, then the model itself is not able to
evaluate whether it's succeeding or not, like it is able to evaluate that in chess. And empirically,
once these LLMs start being trained on LLM outputs, they get worse rather than better, because they're
losing touch with the human texts that actually gave them the plausibility in the first place.
So I think that fast take like exponential self-improvement lasting for a long time,
I just don't see the argument for it.
I mean, maybe it's there. I'm absolutely open to the possibility, but I see no strong argument
to expect it to actually happen.
Walter E. Miller says, what are your thoughts about the gigantic galactic structures discovered
in the universe, especially the big ring announced at the recent AAAS meeting?
Is the cosmological principle broken and is our understanding of barion acoustic oscillations incorrect?
Probably not and probably not are the short answers.
I don't know a lot of the details about the specific observation because I'm not that interested in it.
And the reason I'm not that interested in it is because it's probably not a big deal.
It could be a big deal.
There's absolutely some non-zero credence that this is a big deal.
but the basic picture of the Big Bang model and our basic understanding of large-scale structure and acoustic oscillations and things like that is really well established.
And some individual announcement of some observation at some meeting is just never going to be good enough to overthrow that.
Something like the discovery of the acceleration of the universe in 1998, that was a single result that made people change minds very quickly.
but notice two things. Number one, there were two teams that did it, so they could check each other's work,
and number two, there was instantly an obvious explanation, namely they discovered the cosmological constant.
If you just have some wacky observation that seems not to fit with the standard model and no good explanation for it,
there's no reason to take that seriously until someone else finds very strong, independent confirmation of it.
And I'm not impatient. I can wait. I suspect it will go away.
Paul Torek says, Tim Maudlin, citing John Bell, said on Robinson's podcast that when a wave function decoheres, any off-diagonal element will get as small as you like, leaving the separate worlds of many worlds.
But also, no matter how long you wait, there will be some off-diagal element that is as big as you don't like.
Translation for everyone else out there, what Tim is just saying is that the different worlds in many worlds are not exactly perpendicular to each other.
They're very, very close to perpendicular, but not quite.
So Paul's question is, is that true?
And does it mean that when we decoherer quantum superposition, all we can say is that probably
the measurement outcome will look like a collapse?
It is true.
And yes, we can say nothing more than that probable statement.
But you have to attach numbers to this to have any impact on how you think about things.
When I, what should I say?
when I take a pot of spaghetti with all the spaghetti sauce,
and I'm trying to take it in to the dining room table,
and I trip and it all falls on the floor,
there's a possibility that if I pick up the pot again,
all the spaghetti and all the sauce will just jump back into the pot.
So all I can say is that probably I will have messed up the floor
because I don't know for absolute certainty.
But guess what?
the probability of that happening is so small that I don't need to take it seriously.
And it's just as bad, if not much worse, in quantum mechanics.
The amount of decoherence is enormously big, and it's completely implausible that in any
realistic situation, you will get anything other than what looks like ordinary quantum mechanics.
Chris V. says, thought experiment, if you could scale yourself up to a proportion whereby a planet is roughly the size of an
could you conceive of discovering quantum mechanics or relativity or where the universe
seem quite different?
Well, do I have the book for you, Chris?
Volume 2 of the biggest ideas in the universe called Quanta and Fields is coming out in May.
And if you don't want to wait for it, you can actually just look at the video I did on scale
for the video series.
And I explain that there's no such thing as scaling yourself up.
So I'm not sure exactly what you mean by this.
I presume you mean making yourself of a scale where quantum mechanical effects are obvious around you.
That just doesn't quite fly because in quantum mechanics, there's a relationship between your mass and your wavelength, right?
The Compton wavelength of different particles depends on their mass.
So if you want to make something small, if you'll make Ant-Man small, you have a choice.
either you make his individual atoms less massive,
because you want to make Ant Man not only smaller in length and height,
you want to make him lighter, right?
You don't want a 200-pound Ant-Man being the size of an ant.
That would lead to problems.
So you need to make the individual particles that he's made of lighter,
but guess what?
That means their Compton wavelengths get all spread out,
and that means he's not the size of an ant anymore, or an atom, certainly.
He's all spread out all over the place.
Quantum mechanics means you can't just scale things and keep their physical properties the same.
So I don't think it's, I don't know how, maybe I shouldn't say it's impossible,
but I don't know how to have a human-like thing exist in a regime where quantum mechanical phenomena
are absolutely in your face and necessary rather than existing in the classical limit.
I haven't put too much thought into it, but I suspect that it's just not a way.
conceivable. Zay says in Descartes' fifth meditation, he uses the proposition that
something is made better by existing to support the existence of God. Disregarding any God
arguments, do you believe that something is made better by existence or exists more perfectly as a
concept? So, as you might guess, from an earlier answer, no, I do not think that something is made
better by existence or exists more perfectly as a concept, because I don't think that the notions of
better or more perfectly make any sense in these contexts. I don't know what number of
betterness to assign to objects so that they have a slightly less betterness when they don't
exist than when they do. I think that I can be better at running a marathon because that's
something quantifiable, better than another person or typically worse than another person, because
I'd be terrible at running a marathon. But that's a notion with respect.
to which I can judge betterness or worseness. There's a quantitative number that I can compare.
When it just comes to existence, something is made better by existing, you've just taken a concept
like betterness that makes perfect sense in a certain quantitative realm, and you've used it
in a realm where it makes no sense. So I would not agree with that kind of reasoning.
Astro Nobel says, according to quantum theory, the mass of the Higgs boson should be very high
of order the plank mass. Nevertheless, physicists were hopeful to
find the Higgs boson within the reach of the large Hadron Collider, and so they did.
Why did they expect what they didn't expect?
That's a very good question.
I'm sure that typical ways of talking about this can be confusing.
You know, the expectations are relative to different sets of knowledge, is the short answer.
If we do nothing about the world other than, there's something called the standard model
of particle physics, there's something called the Higgs boson, there's something called the
plank mass, et cetera.
Yes, indeed, you would expect the mass of the Higgs boson to be of order
the plank mass. That would be what particle physicists would call natural. I do think that there's some
more work philosophically to be done there, but okay, that is what they mean by that. But we do know more
than that, and we knew more than that long before we turned on the large Hadron Collider. We knew,
since the time of Enrico Fermi, that there is a particular mass scale characteristic of the weak
interactions. And as, what I mean by Enrico Fermi is, Fermi is the first one to have a theory of
the weak interactions back in the 1930s.
And so he is the one who calculated the weak interaction energy scale.
And then when the Higgs boson came on the scene, the sensible place to put the mass of
the Higgs was not at the Plank scale anymore.
Given that data input, conditionalized on the actual strength of the weak interactions,
the Higgs boson mass should be near the weak interaction scale.
And indeed, you can be a little bit more sophisticated than that and use other pieces of data
and so forth, so we had pretty much pinned down what the Higgs boson mass had to be in the real world.
But that was based on other data.
That is separate from the argument that in the absence of any data, you would have expected the Higgs to be up near the plank scale.
Josh Hartley says, imagine you were subpoenaed to appear in court to testify at a murder trial.
The defense attorney asked you if you thought that humans had free will.
There's plenty of evidence that you do not think so.
You immediately realize that the defense is trying to use your scientific credentials, expertise, and previous stance on free will to prove that his or her client was not responsible for the horrific crime that had been committed. How do you respond to the defense attorney's questioning? I respond by, I guess, I'm not sure if this is a legal phrase or not, but in my high school debate days, we would have said, hypothesis contrary to fact. In this case, the hypothesis is that I do not think there is free will.
that's not true. I do think that there is free will. I've said many times that I think that there is free will. I'm a
compatriot list about free will. I think that the people who are anti-free will just aren't taking
seriously what is the right way to think about it. I do believe that human beings obey the laws of physics,
but I also believe the human beings are not Laplace's demon. So the fact that we obey the laws of physics does not suffice to
help us predict what's going to happen. The right way to think about human beings is as agents
making decisions, and they can get praised or blamed for the decisions that they make, in my view.
Valor Up says, at what point has it become useless to talk about a theory if the theory is untestable?
I struggle with this thought in the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics.
So I don't know why you would struggle in that particular case, because many worlds is super-duper-testable.
Many-worlds is just the statement that the universe is described by a wave function and it obeys the Schrodinger equation.
That is 100% compatible with all the experimental data we have so far, and it would be instantly falsified if we get evidence that says that either there is something in addition to the wave function of the universe or that the wave function does not always obey the Schrodinger equation.
Both of these are very plausible experiments to do.
If many worlds had literally no impact on how we account for the world, then it would be uninteresting as a scientific theory.
But as I said before, I think it might actually be very impactful when it comes to
inventing better theories of emergent space time and quantum gravity, for example.
So I would say both make sure you understand the testability or otherwise of your theory,
and also think more about other implications the theory might have for the rest of science.
Dave Stern says, do you still have your electric car?
Yes.
I'm only answering this question because it's,
feels like there's subtext here, like the expectation is that I don't or something like that.
Yeah, we still have our electric car, a little BMW I3.
It's only, I don't know, it's a 2017, so I'm hoping to have it for another 10 years.
It's a perfect little car for driving around the city.
It's usually the car that we drive around.
I love that little car.
Bill Maggie says, if Newton had known that the speed of light was invariant for all observers,
do you think it's likely he could have developed special relativity or even general relativity?
Yeah, I have no idea.
General relativity, no, because he didn't know
differential geometry, right? He didn't even know
non-Euclidean geometry. Special relativity may be, but it
would have been a huge leap. You know, special relativity
in the real world was developed by many people, not just
Einstein, you know, from Maxwell through
Lorenz and Fitzgerald and Poincolet and Poincolet and
other people, up to Einstein and Minkowski, who really
sort of figured it out once and for all. So Newton would have
had to do the work of many geniuses. But maybe he could have. He was the greatest physicist ever
to do physics, so maybe he could have done it. I'm just not sure. He would have had the necessary
ingredients, I think, if he had really known that the speed of light was invariant and the
principle of relativity, you probably could talk yourself into special relativity, in principle.
Jeffrey Siegel says, as a philosopher, do you find the looseness of definition of words,
a strength or a liability. I find it frustrating when philosophers end up arguing about the definitions
of terms and how philosophical arguments may seem to differ based in someone's interpretations of words.
Well, the joke that I wrote in, I think it was in From Eternity to Here, is that physicists are always frustrated by philosophers
because they're always arguing over the definitions of words. Philosophers are frustrated by physicists
because they're always using words without knowing what the definitions are. And I think that both of those
are mistakes. It is a mistake for philosophers to imagine there is something called the right
definition of a word. We're allowed to invent definitions of words. Some might be more useful,
some might be more less useful, but there's not out there in the world a right definition.
There's a choice we need to make. So the right discussion to have is how should we define words?
And that's a perfectly legitimate discussion to have. It's very frustrating.
for people, whether they're physicists or anyone else, to try to make an argument based on a definition, based on a word, and not be willing to define what the word means, right? I think that should be just as frustrating as spending all of your time arguing about the definitions.
Dave Grundgeiger says, it seems like we're not so certain exactly how we've come to coarse grain things the particular way we do, other than and after the fact it works. If we were to try to write software from first principle,
to find useful course graining
in fundamental physics data,
I don't think we'd know how to start.
Are you aware of anyone who works specifically
on trying to find a fundamental theory of course graining?
Yes, I know people who are doing exactly that.
I don't know of any great progress along those lines.
There's a little bit, you know,
computer scientists do things like this all the time,
which is called the latent space.
If you have some variables of some very complicated system,
many, many, many variables,
if you analyze the data of what all those variables imply in the right way,
you can find that only a subset of those variables actually matters.
And that subset might not line up with the variables themselves, right?
Like maybe you have X, Y, Z, et cetera, and what matters is X squared plus Y squared.
And Z doesn't matter, and whatever is perpendicular to X, where it is plus Y, square, doesn't
matter.
So that's kind of a core screening, right?
you're asking yourself, what are the macro variables?
You're asking yourself, can we automate the process of finding the emergent structure?
There's no obstacle to doing that in principle, but in practice, it's much easier just look at the macroscopic thing and figure out what variables seem to be relevant.
Anonymous says, anonymous asks the question, I get the sense you don't think there's more than a Pascal's mugging chance, i.e. less than 10% chance, that we'll soon build.
super-intelligent AIs which are existentially bad. If we break that down into the probability of
X and Y is the probability of X times the probability of Y given X, is it mostly that there's
just a tiny chance we will build in super-intelligent AIs anytime soon, or that, given we build
super-intelligent AI soon, there's just a tiny chance it would be existentially bad.
I'm not going to quite be going along with the format of your question here.
I think that the question is ill posed.
I would ask the same questions about the word super intelligent applied to AIs as I would about perfect or better applied to objects that exist or to God.
What do you mean by that?
to just say the phrase, super-intelligent AIs,
presumes there's some unitary measurable thing called intelligence.
And there just isn't.
There's many different capacities that people can have
that kind of correlate with each other maybe a little bit,
but not very well, and that we informally relate to intelligence,
and therefore there's this strongly anthropocentric idea
that we can do the same thing
for AIs. But all of the evidence says that we can't, right? Some people would take being good at chess
as a sign of intelligence, but we know there are computer programs that are better at chess than any
human being and have no other intellectual capacities at all. So I don't know what super intelligent
is supposed to mean. Furthermore, as we said before, I don't think it's especially matters what
super intelligent means if the thing is not an agent with interests and values like human beings are.
Not to say there's not possible dangers there. I just think that it drives me a little baddie
that people can't stop thinking about AIs in the same way they think about people. They're different
kinds of things. That doesn't mean they're less impressive. It doesn't mean they're not dangerous.
It just means we got to take seriously what they are rather than putting them into the box
that we've constructed based on our experience with human beings.
David Maxwell says,
what do you think of the Bletchley Declaration and recent approaches by governments
to tackle AI from a policy, regulatory, social, and economic perspective?
Do you have a preferred position between the unsurprisingly more heavy-handed regulatory approach of the EU
versus that of the U.S.?
Well, you know, I think there's a bunch of things.
This is a very complicated policy question that is going on.
I don't have anywhere near the expertise to give you the right answer here.
I can give you vague impressions, right?
One of the reasons, again, I'm trying to keep the answer short.
One of the reasons why I could have said more about the previous question is I think that
the best way to mitigate huge existential risk kind of worries about AIs is just to concentrate
on mitigating the much more realistic short-term worries.
And then we'll learn more about what the actual worry.
are and how they play out long before we get to existential risk kind of questions. So I think that
we should take a kind of incremental approach, but it should be very fast, right? I mean, the pace of
the technological change is very fast, much faster than the timescales typically adopted by
governments or regulatory agencies. I do have some sympathy for the idea that overzealous
regulation can stifle innovation. But I'm not an issue.
idiot, and I know that companies who are building AIs are trying to make money, and therefore,
have a vested interest in not being regulated, and I would not take their word for it on the
right amount of regulation that there should be. Regulatory capture is a real phenomenon,
and we have to take it seriously. So I don't know how much regulation there should be. There
should be some, it should come quickly, and once it comes, it should remain nimble, right? Unlike, you know, banning
psychedelic, banning any scientific research on psychedelic drugs, and just keeping that ban in place for a long time,
good regulation has to be nimble enough to keep changing in response to the changing technology. This is
not something the governments and bureaucracies are especially good at, so I'm not especially
optimistic that whatever regulation we do get is going to be the best possible kind.
John Stout says Leonard's Huskin once said that at a fundamental level of particle physics,
entropy and thermodynamics are inapplicable. Can you address this? If I find the interview
that in a reply or comment to this question, I will quote his exact words for clarity.
Yeah, no, I think this is standard stuff. This goes back to Boltzman, okay? If I have Avogadro's number,
10 to the 23 or whatever, particles,
certain individual features of the particles don't matter.
They average out.
It's just like flipping the coin many, many, many times.
The idea of entropy and temperature and pressure
and things like that begin to apply
when you have a sufficiently large number of particles
that you can average over individual fluctuations.
Once you get down to having one or five or ten particles,
that makes no sense.
If I take the air in the room around me
and I chunk it up into little cubes
and those cubes are one micrometer in size,
every cube, even though it's quite small,
will have an enormous number of atoms and molecules in it, right?
But if I only have in the room five molecules,
then I probably have zero atoms in my little cube
and I can't do that averaging.
So there's nothing especially wild about this.
It's just a feature that things like fluid
dynamics, thistical mechanics, et cetera, are emergent in the limit of large numbers of particles.
Brandon Lewis says, I'm not sure I want to keep working in the software industry. In fact, I stepped
away from it back in 2020 after a little over 10 years. After taking care of some personal affairs,
I've been wondering what to do next. I'm thinking about going back to school to obtain a higher
degree, perhaps in chemistry or material science. Do you have any advice? You know, I probably not.
I certainly should not be the one giving advice about a chemistry or material science degree.
Let's put it that way, because chemistry and material science can both, in principle,
lead to fulfilling careers outside of academia.
My experience has all been inside of academia, and I really don't have – I need to be able to say some things about being outside of academia
because I have students who go there and I try my best, but I'm not the world's expert in these things,
not the ones to ask.
I think probably because of timing,
Brandon, you asked this question
before we released the most recent podcast
with John Scrantney talking about
the downside of STEM careers.
So listen to that podcast,
keep any of that in mind.
But otherwise, you know,
chemistry and material science
are fields where
you're as employable as you are
in other areas.
If those are the things
you're passionate about,
then I would absolutely be in favor
of pursuing them. Don't pursue them if you don't like them but just think they're going to lead to
good jobs. That's not the reason to do it. They could lead to good jobs, but you'd better like doing
them before you get those jobs if you're going to be happy later on. Pete Faulkner says, for some years,
I've had a layman's interest in quantum physics and cosmology and read fairly broadly across those
topics. Then about five years ago, I discovered podcasts in no small part due to mindscape and an online
course providers such as Wondrium. This changed my life profoundly. Now I enjoy plugging in to listen,
and have found that the best time for me to do that was to start going for long walks. Online
learning has changed me not from an intellectual standpoint, not just from an intellectual standpoint,
but by contributing to a far healthier lifestyle. Has any seemingly unrelated innovation
ever triggered such a profound, positive change in your own life?
Hoof, no. You know, I'm almost jealous of you. I love this. I love this.
idea of long walks, listening to not just podcasts, but, you know, audiobooks or lectures or whatever,
that sounds enormously rewarding and fun. It is not my lifestyle right now, you know, partly because
my day job involves exactly that kind of thing, so my leisure time is not going to be
that kind of thing. You know, I would, I'm much more likely to read a novel in my leisure time
that I am a science book.
Maybe that's not true.
Maybe just to count
reading science books as work,
but it's also pleasure at the same time.
It's a fuzzy boundary between them.
But specifically, the question about,
is there an innovation
that triggered a profound positive change
in my own life?
Yeah, no, not that I can really think of.
I mean, does the internet count?
I would think that for me,
I'm maybe in a minority
where the existence of the internet
has greatly improved by quality of life.
It's a weird thing.
I think that we as a society have not yet grappled with the fact that for many people,
it has made their lives worse.
Not just the Internet, but in particular handheld devices.
And young people are not a good mix, as it turns out.
And I don't know what we should do about that.
But for me, I look, I have a podcast.
I met my wife over the Internet because we both were writing blogs.
My life has been greatly improved by the existence of the Internet.
internet. Mark Smith says, how much credence you give to Neil Turok's hypothesis about the applying
CPP symmetry to the entire universe centered on the singularity? So there is an idea that Neil Turok
and others have pursued that there's a bounce in the universe. There's a moment in the middle of
the history of the universe near what you and I would call the Big Bang, and time sort of flows away from
that middle in both directions, which is similar in spirit to, you know,
what Jennifer Chen and I proposed with our multiverse and the arrow of time, but there's a couple
of very important differences. One is that, as Mark alludes to, Neil is trying to address
not just the cosmological history of the universe, but this underlying symmetry called CPT,
which is basically roughly an advanced version of time reversal and variance applied to particle
physics. And the idea is that you can sort of symmetrize the whole universe by considering both
sides of this initial bouncy thing, which is great. I mean, maybe, I don't know, I'm in favor of that.
I haven't thought about it very deeply. However, the specific examples that they're looking at
require a super specific, delicately, finely tuned condition at the bounce, which is a very typical
thing to need in ordinary general relativity. So the whole point of my paper with Jenny Chen was
that the bounce didn't need to be finally tuned.
It wasn't really a bounce.
It was just an eternal universe
where there happened to be one moment
that you would call the minimum entropy moment.
But there's nothing special about that.
It wasn't low entropy in any particular moment.
It says that entropy is an unbounded quantity.
At any time, it has some value,
and there's some moment in the history
when the value was the lowest it ever was,
and it increases in both directions from then.
But you didn't need fine-tuning to make it happen.
So we're sort of interested in different questions.
They're both interesting hypotheses, but they're aimed at different puzzles.
Rory Cochran says,
Re, your Christmas Immortality Address.
What is to stop humans or successor AIs manipulating the universe to prevent thermal equilibrium to sitter space from eventuating,
thus making immortality theoretically possible?
Just because we have literally no known way to do that, given the laws of physics, as we understand them.
If we have new laws of physics or discover new laws of physics, maybe that will become possible.
But that's not something that we even know what it would take to do.
Therefore, it's not something that I put on the table as a possibility.
Tyler Smucker says, what are your thoughts on homeschooling?
Can I give my kids a valuable education or will I be harming them by impeding their social development?
I think it's very, very specific to circumstances.
You know, you absolutely can get kids who are very, very,
very, very well educated through homeschooling. Malcolm McIver, previous Mindscape guest, was homeschooled
through his pre-college days. It just depends on who's doing that homeschooling. I suspect that a lot
of parents think they can give their kids a complete valuable education, but maybe don't know
quite enough to do that effectively, if we're really honest. And of course, there is the worry
about social development if you're not actually interacting with other students. I think
certainly in college or university, and almost certainly before then, the role of interacting with
your peers in the ultimate development of who you become is at least as important as what you learn
in classrooms, right? So I don't know. I don't have kids. I shouldn't speak to that. I think that
either thing can happen. I think that you should just try to be as responsible and honest with
yourself as you can be. Nikola Ivanov says, what physical? What physical?
mechanism drives the spontaneous symmetry breaking in gauge field theories. Well, it's just the fact
that entropy likes to increase. Ultimately, like no one else would say that except for me,
but it's ultimately true. Why do I say that? Because what everyone else would say is there is a field,
in this case the Higgs field, for example, that has a potential energy. And the potential energy
depends on the value of the field.
And the field, let's make our lives very, very simple.
Let's make that the field just has a real number for its value.
So it's between minus infinity and infinity.
And so there's some minimum value of energy that it wants to sit at, right?
And if the actual potential energy has the feature that that minimum value of energy
is not when the field equals zero, then in empty space in the vacuum state, the field will have a
non-zero value, and that can spontaneously break a symmetry. So it's just the fact that the field
wants to roll down to its lowest energy state. Now, why do I mention entropy? Because, of course,
we say things like fields want to roll down to their lowest energy state, but energy is conserved.
So what does that really mean? Of course, what it really means is entropy is higher when the field
is in its lowest energy state and its energy that it used to have, but it was not in its lowest
energy state has been converted into photons or other higher entropy excitations of other fields.
So ultimately, it's always because entropy wants to increase.
Sid Huff says, now that you've been here for a year or more, how do you like living in Baltimore?
What are its main pluses and minuses?
We really like living in Baltimore.
I think the single main plus is the real estate prices.
Very honestly, having come from L.A., which is a rather overheated real estate market,
We get a lot more house for exactly the same price.
We did not have to buy a more expensive house, but we got a much nicer house.
And the location is better.
We're right next to campus.
I walk to work every day.
It's a 10 or 15-minute walk, depending on whether I'm going to my physics office or my philosophy office.
And it's a very beautiful neighborhood with stray cats around that we can make friends with.
Plus, it's the East Coast, you know.
It's a vibrant lifestyle.
We're very close to other things.
We can easily go to Washington, D.C. or Philadelphia.
without too much extra effort.
We can go to New York or Boston or whatever.
There's a feeling of connection that is easier to get here than in California, for example.
But, you know, I love California.
I love the weather there.
Right now, the weather is terrible, of course.
It's raining to beat the band, as it sometimes does in the wintertime.
But overall, the weather in Los Angeles is better than the weather in Baltimore, okay?
Especially these days, clearly in the summertime, it's not the winters you worry about
anymore. The summers are becoming unbearable around here, and that's going to be an issue. Air
conditioning is important. We're going to upgrade our air conditioning system. And, you know,
Baltimore is like right on the edge of being a big enough city to keep me happy. It is a big
enough city to keep me happy. You know, there's plenty of places to go out to eat or go to music
or whatever. But there's not an overabundance. You know, if I were in L.A. or New York or
whatever, there's just so many things. I would never be able to get to see them all. In Baltimore, I get
the feeling like I can kind of go to all the places I want to go to, right? It's like right there on the
edge. So, yeah, pluses and minuses. And of course, Baltimore is an old East Coast city that has a lot
of poverty-stricken areas, and that's just bad. It's bad for the city. It's bad for the people
who live there. It sort of makes you sad to see that, and I feel bad about that. I don't know
what to do about it. But, you know, L.A. in its own way has an enormous amount of poverty and
homelessness, et cetera. So that's not really a direct, you know, it's not a really
difference between the two. There you go. Bob Ritchie says, in Carlo Rovelli's Helgo Land,
he's a bit dismissive of many worlds. In order to describe the phenomena that we observe, other
mathematical elements are needed beside the way function psi, the individual variables like
X and P that we use to describe the world. The many worlds interpretation does not explain them clearly.
Do you care to speak to this? Yes, Carlo should read my papers. I mean, I think that he's
right, and look, I'm good friends with Carlo. He was like, what, my second guest ever on
Mindscape. He's just kind of goofy when it comes to quantum mechanics. Most people are. That's okay.
I'm friends with them, just like everyone should be friends with their new age friends.
It's absolutely an issue for many worlds that things like X and P, position and momentum, are not
special. They're not part of the theory. The theory just has a vector in Hilbert space and a
Hamiltonian. X and P need to be emergent. But if you've been listening to Minescape for even a little
while, you know that the fact that something needs to be emergent rather than fundamental isn't
going to bother me. I'm just going to say, good, let's do the work. Let's see how we can get
X and P, position of momentum, to emerge out of the wave function. And rather than just saying,
ah, it's not there, I am lost, I don't know what to do. I will invent new theories of quantum
mechanics, you can sit down and do the work. You can ask why and under what circumstances
would I ever be driven to invent things like position and momentum out of a theory that was
just a wave function evolving in time. And guess what? You can answer that question. We've made
progress toward answering that question. So far, just one paper, Ashmeet Singh and I on quantum
muriology, but other people have written related papers, and we're making progress. It's so much
more fun to ask the question and try to answer it and make progress than to just say,
ah, I don't see how it can be done. I'm going to just invent elements of my theory that answer
the question without doing any work at all. Emmett Francis says, I find that mathematical physics
at its best can involve some surprising and clever tricks and manipulations. Do you have a story about
some of your favorite mathematical jiu-jitsu you pulled off in your research? Well, I guess it depends.
you know, like I've never been, it's weird.
When I was a first-year graduate student,
I took one of the required courses was applied math.
So there's an applied math department at Harvard,
and I guess it wasn't a required course for me
because I was an astronomy major.
Physicists were supposed to take it,
but it was basically like mathematical physics, right?
You know, complex variables, linear algebra, things like that,
series expansions, special functions, all that kind of messy stuff.
And like, weirdly, I was really good at it.
You know, when it came to finding a clever change of variables to do an integral,
I was like the best.
I was awesome at that.
Like, I could really, like, have this intuition about, oh, yes, make this E to the
cosine theta, and this integral will really kind of simplify itself.
But having said that, I don't like it, you know?
Like, that's not my style.
It seems like it's just kind of dry and technical.
and, you know, yeah, solving integrals.
And, you know, if any of you follow Seamus Blackie on Twitter,
he is a well-known guy for having been the pioneer of the Xbox,
but he was trained as a physicist, worked at Fermilab.
We follow each other on Twitter and things like that.
And Seamus is the kind of guy.
He just loves doing a good integral.
Like, that's where he gets his joy from.
And I just don't understand it.
Like, I could do it.
I haven't done in a long time, but I could do it back in the day.
So the kind of math that I typically use these days is different, and it's the kind of math that, I mean, for a long time, I was just using simple math, right? Like if all you're doing is cosmology in the Friedman equation, I learn that in grad school, and I supply it over and over again. These days, when I'm doing complexity in quantum mechanics, I need to learn more math. I'm learning new math, but it's sufficiently new to me that I wouldn't say I'm doing any advanced jiu-jitsu with it. The closest maybe
that I ever came. I mean, I've been involved on papers that did amazing mathematical things,
but mostly was my friends. If you want to dig into my old papers, there were some with Wadi
Taylor and Miguel Ortiz on two-dimensional quantum gravity, where we pulled off some wild mathematical
manipulations with generating functions and free variables, and it was a great time. And some papers
with Ted Pine on topological defects where we did homotopy theory, and that was actually,
I did a lot of that.
The homotopy theory was me.
But the one that I remember the most was actually my paper with Eddie Fari and Alan Gooth and Ken Olam
on time machines in two-plus-one dimensional gravity.
And it was almost an accident, and even here, I don't deserve super good credit for it.
But we were trying to understand whether or not in a world that was only two-dimensional space,
You could build closed time-like curves.
Richard Gott at Princeton had written down an exact solution to Einstein's equations that
looked like it did have closed-time-like curves.
And we were trying to ask, could you start with the space-time with no closed-time-like curves
and create them by manipulating the matter and energy in that universe?
And we had developed some pretty nice mathy manipulations with halonomy.
I don't even know how to pronounce these words anymore.
Yeah, holonomy, like if you take a vector and you parallel transport it around some curvature, it will rotate a little bit, and that's the halonomy of the vector.
And we realized that, you know, all these halonomy transformations are elements of the Lorentz group in 2 plus 1 dimensions, the group of Lorentz transformations, of boosts and rotations.
Okay?
So that much we knew.
And then I was giving a talk on this, and one of the people at the talk was Don Page, well-known.
cosmologist, theoretical physicist, and he offhandedly said that, oh yes, the Lorenz group in
2 plus 1 dimensions, that has the geometry of anti-desider space. And I didn't even, I had a vague
idea of what these words meant, but I was not aware of that fact. So I knew that groups could be
thought of as manifolds, and therefore they could have geometries. I did not know that the particular
geometry of this particular group was equivalent to that of a well-known space time.
This was long before people were doing ADS-CFT, so most people didn't even know anything about ADS
at this time.
This is like 1991 or something.
And so that tickled me.
I loved the fact that this Lorentz group had a geometry.
It was kind of like a space-time all by itself.
It was not the space-time we were concerned with, but it was another space-time.
And so I went back, and I thought about that, and I showed how this
very, we had what we thought was a proof, or at least an argument, that you could not build a
time machine in two plus one dimensions. And it was this long, complicated algebraic thing. Mostly
Alan Gooth had done it, and he even did some numerical simulations to verify that it was all
right and everything. But it was just not compelling. Like it was there, and we were kind of like
reluctantly going to write it up. And what I realized is that,
you could actually use this fact that the group of Lorentz transformations in 2 plus 1 dimensions
has the geometry of anti-decidder space to just draw a picture, a spacetime diagram of that group,
and draw some curves in that diagram, and instantly prove the result.
So this goes back, it's funny because I did say earlier in the AMA,
my dream is, you know, someday write a paper with no equations, just pictures, this is the closest
I probably will ever come. The paper we ended up writing has lots of equations in it, because we were
setting up the whole problem, but the actual important part of the demonstration is just a picture
that you can draw once you know that the Lorentz group in 2 plus 1 dimensions has the geometry
of anti-desider space. Does that count as mathematical jiu-jitsu? I don't know, but I was very
pleased with it myself. I'm still sort of coasting on that little victory there. Okay, two more
questions. Let's see if we can get through them before I lose my voice. Simon Sendleon says,
if the universe is something best described as the evolution of some Hamiltonian in Hilbert space,
by the way, sorry, it's not the Hamiltonian in Hilbert space, it's a vector evolving in Hilbert space
under the guidance of a Hamiltonian. But okay, I get the point. The question continues,
but the arrow of time is an internal property of this universe due to entropy in the second law
of thermodynamics, why are people so set on finding explanations or even causes of this universe
by focusing on the Big Bang and that which may have preceded it?
Well, look, we don't know whether the moment that we call the Big Bang or the vicinity,
whatever happened 13.8 billion years ago, we don't know whether that was the beginning,
like you imply in the question, that might have been the beginning or there might have been
something preceding it. But what we do know is it was kind of special, right? It looks. It looks,
like a very low entropy state in a space of states where most states are very, very high entropy.
That's a feature. That's something remarkable. It is literally worth remarking on that fact.
And so whatever the explanation is, it's going to have to account for that fact. That is the most
blatant thing that needs to be accounted for. So I don't know, ultimately, what the right explanation is,
but focusing on that seems to me to be a very sensible thing. I mean, what do you want us to do?
focus on what the universe was like yesterday. It was, by the laws of physics, the universe
yesterday is related to the early universe, but it's just much more complicated and messy yesterday.
The thing that seems to be most explicable and also has the power to then explain so much else
is the condition of the universe near the Big Bang. Okay, last question is from the great
deceiver, who says, I'm curious to know if you give any intentional time to silence.
however you might define it, either personally or in your teaching.
How important do you think it is as a theoretical physicist?
It does seem like a good number of scientific discoveries, at least,
have come about through various practices of quiet contemplation.
Yeah, mixed, I have a mixed response to this one.
I, in principle, am very sympathetic to the idea that quiet contemplation can play a huge role in scientific breakthroughs.
I do value walking in silence or even just, you know, taking a shower in the morning and thinking and, you know, not not babbling or anything.
But sort of actively being quietly contemplating is not something I am any good at at all.
You know, like sitting and either meditating or just sitting in a chair not doing anything.
That's just not going to happen.
I need a book or a piece of paper or an iPad or a phone or something.
whether it's watching TV, reading a novel, playing a game, writing a paper, scribbling,
writing some diagrams, doing something. So in order to do quiet contemplation, I literally need
to leave all the devices at home, get out, walk around. And I sometimes do that. But if I'm
honest, it's not something that I put a lot of energy into doing it. Who has time for that?
I mean, when I say that, of course, it's ironic. I should have time. I should make
time to do that. I agree. You're making me feel bad. Why are you making me feel bad after I've
talked to all these hours for this AMA? But look, you've got to make some choices in life about how to
spend your time. And I hope that you think the last few hours you have spent in a somewhat
rewarding fashion. Thanks for listening. Huge thanks, as always, to all of the Patreon supporters
of Minescape. I really appreciate it. You keep me going. See you next week.
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