Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas - AMA | July 2021

Episode Date: July 9, 2021

Welcome to the July 2021 Ask Me Anything episode of Mindscape! These monthly excursions are funded by Patreon supporters (who are also the ones asking the questions). I take the large number of ques...tions asked by Patreons, whittle them down to a more manageable size — based primarily on whether I have anything interesting to say about them, not whether the questions themselves are good — and sometimes group them together if they are about a similar topic. Enjoy! Support Mindscape on Patreon.

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Starting point is 00:00:59 Hello, everybody. Welcome to the July 2021 Ask Me Anything edition of the Mindscape podcast, where we take questions from Patreon supporters of Mindscape. So if you're not a Patreon supporter, that's okay. You're permitted to not be Patreon supporter, but it's way more fun and fulfilling in your life. If you are, you can go to patreon.com slash Sean M. Carroll to sign up $1 per week or whatever it is to support the podcast and you get to ask AMA questions. And then I answer them and eventually everyone gets to listen. Sadly, not so sadly for me, but sadly for the AMA, there are so many people and so many good questions that I can't answer all of them. So it's asked me anything but I don't necessarily answer everything. Sorry about that. I do try to get a representative sample, right? So if there are themes that keep appearing,
Starting point is 00:01:53 I'm going to try to at least answer someone's question in that theme. And I think, you know, we've hit the point now where there's so many questions that I'm probably answering less than half. So really don't feel bad if your question is not being answered. It's not you, it's me, as I said before. I try to pick out the questions where it's not only a good question, but something where I in particular have something interesting to say about it. I will say, you know, I like to give advice to people who want to know how to get their questions answered.
Starting point is 00:02:21 You know, we say in the instructions, shorter questions are preferred. I know that some people seem to find that a difficult piece of advice to take seriously. But really, if you want to get your question answered, shorter questions definitely do help you have that happen. It's not enough. You can ask a short question that doesn't get answered, but it definitely helps me say, oh, yes, I could answer this in a very brief period. Also, shout out to the Patreon supporters who suggested that we finally get a merch store here at Mindscape, selling T-shirts and mugs and things like that. So we've set up one on T-Public.
Starting point is 00:02:56 You can find a link to it on the Mindscape web page, which is preposterousuniverse.com slash podcast. On the right hand side, there's a little link to t-shirts, mugs, and more. Get some designs there. Maybe more will be coming in the future. Who knows? But anyway, you want a sticker for your laptop that says Minescape, or maybe you want your mask to have the core theory equation on it. There is the place to go.
Starting point is 00:03:20 So with that, let's go. Eric Chen says, what's your take on Pascal's Wager? Do you think there is a simple explanation for why the argument fails? And if so, do you think you have a satisfactory account of how to make decisions to ethics when infinities are at stake?
Starting point is 00:03:52 So for those of you who don't know, to be honest, I'm not going to get this exactly right, Pascal's Wager, but the basic idea is, look, if God exists and God wants you to worship him and promises you infinite time, eternity of pleasure in heaven, right? then it's worth almost anything to get that if it's a possible thing.
Starting point is 00:04:15 Even if you think that God isn't very likely in your prior, the benefits of believing him and worshipping him apparently are so great that we should just do it. There's a 1% chance times infinity reward, right? You should go for it. So I think that there's two reasons. I'm probably butchering that by the way because I haven't looked it up recently, but that's the basic gist of the idea.
Starting point is 00:04:36 I think there's two things going on. One is kind of trivial, and one is a little bit more profound or difficult. The trivial thing is, you know, you could say that kind of thing about all sorts of different propositions with very, very different outcomes, right? I mean, there's a chance that God exists and would be really annoyed if you believed in him or worshipped him for the wrong reasons. And those reasons might include Pascal's Wager, and therefore God would send you to hell for eternal torment if you believed him for that reason. So that would be an argument to not do it.
Starting point is 00:05:11 And all these arguments are a little bit silly because, you know, how do you actually decide what the entire set of things are? How do we decide which religion to be if this is the kind of argument that we're trying to follow? So just out of the gate, I think that Pascal's wager is not a very good argument at all. There is, as Eric you say in your question, a more interesting sub-question here, which is the infinity question, right? If you believe, believe that more generally there's some kind of argument for maximizing something, utility or reward or likelihood of success or whatever, and there's something that is unlikely, but it's then multiplied by infinity. How do you deal with that? I mean, it seems to sort of pin the needle to
Starting point is 00:05:52 you should definitely take this seriously, even though a priori, it's very unlikely. And, you know, I think that that's an argument for not taking these infinities seriously. You know, I think this is not what you're asking, but this is one of the reasons why, heaven and hell are just kind of silly as concepts, right? I mean, it's the human inability to distinguish between infinity and a very big number. You know, we can imagine being happy or being sad, being rewarded, or being tortured for a brief period of time, even for a relatively long period of time on human scales. So we just say, what if it were infinite, right? What if that went for eternity? We don't sit back and ask whether that makes any sense. Like, could you really even
Starting point is 00:06:36 be happy for eternity. Like, is, is the idea of heaven a sensible concept to a human being? I doubt it, personally. I don't even think that it is something that makes sense. And, of course, a real religious believer would be, well, yes, you know, your human capabilities here on earth are not up to the task of comprehending the magnificence of heaven. And maybe that's true. But then that means I can't evaluate how seriously to take it here, if that's the question
Starting point is 00:07:04 I'm asking myself. So I do think that in other contexts, these questions of dealing with infinity are subtle, and I'm not an expert on how to do it. In this context, I just think that it's kind of a silly proposition you're being forced to consider in Pascal's Wager. Daniel Westwater says, given that there's more evidence for galaxies without dark matter, do you think it would be possible for the universe to exist without it? And what would it look like if so? So there's two things going on here also. One is the straightforward answer to your question, which is, sure, the universe could exist without
Starting point is 00:07:38 dark matter. I mean, maybe you have something more specific in mind than the existence of the universe. Like, the existence of the universe doesn't care if there's dark matter or not. You could have a universe that had other stuff in it or no stuff at all. As far as we know, at least, it might look different. I mean, maybe what you mean is that the universe would look sufficiently different without dark matter that stars or galaxies wouldn't form. and then maybe you wouldn't have life, and there'd be some anthropic argument against that kind of universe.
Starting point is 00:08:06 I mean, that's possible. We can certainly imagine arguments like that, and people have made arguments like that, in fact, in the case of dark matter. It's a little weak, you know, because I think what would actually be the case if you didn't have dark matter. I mean, sorry, to back up a little bit, the idea is that dark matter has no restorative force, when it becomes condensed into a region. So dark matter falls into a region under its gravitational pull, and there's no heat or pressure pushing it back like there is with ordinary matter.
Starting point is 00:08:42 Whereas, there's also no stickiness or dissipation. So if you had nothing but dark matter in the universe, dark matter would sort of clump together a little bit, but not too much because the dark matter particles just go right through each other when they begin to clump together. On the other hand, ordinary matter also clumps together a little bit, but not too much, because it clumps together, but then it heats up and pushes apart. So in some sense, it's helpful to have both dark matter and ordinary matter working together. So in the real world, it might have helped the formation of early stars that we have dark matter in our universe.
Starting point is 00:09:21 But that becomes a quantitative question, right? How much did it help? So you don't need that many stars in the universe to have one available, for life forming, right? So even if you might say, well, maybe there would only be one one thousandth of the number of stars in the universe if there weren't dark matter, that's still plenty to make life and things like that, as far as I know anyway. So I'm skeptical of those anthropic arguments also. But the real reason I wanted to answer this question or to address this question is because I do think there's an interesting point to be made here that people sometimes miss.
Starting point is 00:09:54 when we say, as you said, there's been news lately, if I'm getting it right, about finding galaxies that don't have dark matter in them. And of course, in certain circles, whether or not dark matter exists, and the role it plays in cosmological model building is a little bit sticky. So what I wanted to emphasize is the counterintuitive fact that finding evidence for galaxies without dark matter in them is evidence for dark matter. Now, why would that be true?
Starting point is 00:10:27 Why would finding the absence of dark matter be evidence for dark matter? Well, the answer is the alternative to dark matter is something going on with gravity, right? Something, some misunderstanding that we have and how gravity works on large scales when you get galaxy-sized things. But the thing about that hypothesis that something is going on with gravity is that it's pretty universal, right? if you're saying that the stuff of the universe is just the stuff we see and know about, the ordinary matter, the stars and gas and dust, and we don't understand exactly how its gravitational
Starting point is 00:11:01 field arises, but it arises from that stuff. Then you have, no matter what your theory of gravity is, an immediate prediction that all clusters of similar kinds of stuff, similar amounts of stuff, will have the same gravitational field, because that's that visible stuff that is creating, the gravitational field. Whereas, if your theory is, well, there's both ordinary matter and dark matter, then the dynamics of galaxies and sub-galaxies and clusters and things like that can be such that. You have two equal-sized collections of stars, one of which has dark matter associated with it, one of which doesn't. So that dark matter hypothesis, even though usually the amount of dark matter tracks in some weak sense the amount of ordinary matter. It has that extra degree of freedom that
Starting point is 00:11:51 lets you explain the existence of galaxies without dark matter and therefore just ordinary gravitational dynamics in a way that a theory that just modifies gravity wouldn't let you do. So the evidence for galaxies without dark matter is evidence that dark matter is on the right track. Andre Dino says, in your latest podcast with John Preskell, you touch upon the possibility that physical space and distances between objects or emergent phenomena arising from quantum entanglement. You say the following. It's not the entanglement between you and me that gives us the distance. It's the entanglement between invisible degrees of freedom in the space between us, which is a little bit hard to visualize. Can you expand on this?
Starting point is 00:12:30 Well, I can try. I did write a book, something deeply hidden, in which I talk about not only many worlds quantum mechanics, but also the emergence of space time. Part of the difficulty of this idea is that it is just a difficult idea. You know, we're asking you to grasp some purely abstract things. You know, I'm not saying that space time is made of little pixels or atoms or anything tangible like that. It's just made of abstract quantum mechanical degrees of freedom that have entanglement between them. It's hard to visualize. It's hard to wrap your brain around or to get your hands on it in some sense. So the idea is that there's a quantum mechanical wave function that can be expressed as quantum mechanics,
Starting point is 00:13:13 degrees of freedom with different amounts of entanglement between them and the different amounts of entanglement knit together to form a more or less smooth three-dimensional space time. So the amount of entanglement between these invisible space-time degrees of freedom has a very specific geometric structure that fits nicely together to form a smooth manifold. Now the huge question, and there were some other questions in the AMA that I cut out because they were a little bit redundant with one, so consider this an answer. The huge question is, even if the entanglement between these degrees of freedom can be like distances in space or space-time, does that mean that they are distances in space or space-time? Well, good question. You know, I don't know. That is one of
Starting point is 00:14:03 the things that we're trying to understand. When you say there's a distance between objects in space, or in space-time for that matter, you have some operational notion in mind. about what that means. What you're saying is that it takes a certain amount of time to get there if you go at a certain velocity or, you know, signals travel between this place and this place in a certain way. And so what you need is a dynamical theory of traveling, right? Distances don't mean anything really until you can travel from one point to another.
Starting point is 00:14:31 And so what you have to say is that the entanglement structure of these abstract degrees of freedom has an effect on the propagation speed of signals in this emergent space time. And there's some hints that something like that might actually be true and we're on the right track, but I would say we're very far from completely spelling it out. So to add to the difficulty that all this is very abstract and hard to visualize is the difficulty that we're not there yet.
Starting point is 00:14:58 It's a very preliminary idea. We don't have the full picture in mind, so I can't really tell you much more than that. Sorry. Richard Riley says, you told listeners a couple months ago that you won't be renewing your research, research professor contract at Caltech, and will focus instead on your podcast, Patreon, YouTube
Starting point is 00:15:15 work, and your other writing plus your Santa Fe Institute activity. Are you concerned that not being fully in the mix at Top Research University will make you drift away from the center of the physics cosmology world, a matter what else you may be doing? So there's two things to say about that. One is prior to, there's a prior question here. You know, I think either I am not clear or sometimes people jump ahead of what I say to extrapolate beyond what I say. So it is not true that I am leaving Caltech to focus instead on podcast, Patreon, YouTube. That's not true. What I meant to say, and I may or may not have actually said this, is the fact that I am doing well with the podcast and with Patreon and things like that gives me the freedom to contemplate
Starting point is 00:15:58 doing something like that. I'm not at all devoted to doing it yet. I don't know. My future options are quite up in the air. And in fact, you know, the possibility that I do land at a university as a professor is pretty high. There's plenty of universe, not plenty. There are universities who are in touch, let's put it that way, and would like to have me there. I need to think about how best to maximize the work I want to do. And so I don't know what that will be yet. So to get into the actual, that's the preamble, the actual question, is a very good one, right? You know, what is the benefit versus disadvantage of sticking around
Starting point is 00:16:41 top research university. I mean, I think there are clear benefits, and then there are also disadvantages, and so you have to weigh them. A clear benefit is that you're surrounded by other really smart people, doing interesting things, right? That's the single biggest benefit. There's sort of sub-benefits to
Starting point is 00:16:57 that. You have graduate students or post-docs. You can teach, and that can be inspiring. But the most important thing is that you're in a network of people who can both give you ideas and also act as reality checks on the ideas that you have. I think that overall, if your goal was to be a productive scholar, intellectual, researcher, having that network of people to talk to is just super duper crucially important, one way or the other. So being at a university
Starting point is 00:17:28 is the most straightforward way to have that. There's another way I can imagine having that by sort of bouncing around, right? Be part-time at a place like Santa Fe, visit other places. I'm spending this fall visiting Harvard, for example. So I could easily imagine, you know, being a gentleman researcher, scholar, bouncing around from place to place, visiting places, mixing it up with people, and the freedom to do that would be provided by the fact that I don't need to earn a living as a university professor, if that's the direction I go to. also there's sort of more down-to-earth benefits of having institutional affiliation. Having graduate students being able to hire postdocs, apply for grants is a much easier
Starting point is 00:18:16 thing to do and things like that. That part would, that really means that the Santa Fe, part-time faculty position that I have, it would be very useful if that were the route that I decided to take. those sorts of things become much more possible. And at the same time, then on the flip side, I should say, there are disadvantages to having a university position. It's work, right? You got to teach and you got to be on committees. And your, you know, my Caltech position in particular, which was a research professorship, since my research interests have shifted a lot and they don't really overlap with the people I'm affiliated with Caltech so much anymore to become less of a good fit. You know,
Starting point is 00:18:59 Again, what I said before is I love Caltech, nothing against Caltech. It's just not as good a fit for me as it once was. So I think these are good concerns. And, you know, it's certainly easier now to imagine being completely independent because you have the Internet, right? You can listen in on talks. You can, like the other great benefit that you used to have from being at a university is that you could go to seminars, right?
Starting point is 00:19:26 Seminars in colloquia or workshops that were near. nearby, people would come through and you could talk to them. Some of that is ameliorated by the fact that a lot of these things are online these days, right? So there's a kind of connection that doesn't require that physical closeness. But still, you know, as anyone who's actually participated in this knows, whether it's a workshop or conference or just your day-to-day job, a lot of the useful interactions with colleagues happen at lunch or at coffee or just, you know, sitting around talking, not necessarily in a formal context of asking questions at a seminar or something like that. So I'm a very big believer in the benefits of being at an institution like that.
Starting point is 00:20:09 It's just a complicated question, how to, you know, exactly balance things in a particular way, especially, you know, for someone like me, for a lot of people, you know, who just fit very, very naturally into a certain department doing a certain kind of research, and that's exactly where they're happiest. It's not much of a competition. That's obviously the right thing to do. For someone like me who really values the interdisciplinary kinds of things, the ability to say, well, this month I'm doing physics, next month I'm doing philosophy, maybe someday I'll do economics or bio physics or something like that.
Starting point is 00:20:43 The freedom is very, very helpful. So it's an important set of considerations to keep in mind. Okay, now I'm going to group some questions together, and I don't think I'm going to give a very profound answer to any of them, but there were a few of them, so I think that, you know, that boosts the chances of me answering the question when there are related questions, and they're all about art. So Anita Tomasik says, I wonder if there's any tendency among theoretical physicists
Starting point is 00:21:08 to prefer abstract art to figurative art. Chris says, what are your views on art? What is it? What is its purpose? How does it fit into the worldview? Is there anything deep about it, or is it just a pleasurable activity like eating a tasty meal? And Lana Salame says, who are some of your favorite artists out there,
Starting point is 00:21:28 whether it was in the fine arts, music, film, literature, even comedy. So I don't think that I have in any sense a deeply thought-out theory of art. I'm a big fan of art. And I take art in this case not to just be painting or sculpture or what are traditionally called the fine arts, but artistic things. So music, film, literature, even comedy, as Lana says. All these count, I think, in what we would. Well, I'm classifying as art for purposes of this discussion.
Starting point is 00:21:59 You know, I think that art is important. You know, Chris says, is there anything deep about it, or is it just a pleasurable activity like eating a tasty meal? You know, I think that eating a tasty meal can be pretty deep. You know, I think this is one of the pleasures of life. I think that that's all you did was eat tasty meals. If that's the only pleasurable thing you did, that would end up being pretty shallow,
Starting point is 00:22:22 just because it's kind of one thing over and over. again, and different kinds of artistic expressions do have different amounts of depth to them, right? You know, I love popular music, but a three-minute pop song can't quite have the level of depth and complexity that an opera can. I don't think that gives an opera any intrinsic objective superiority, but it gives it a different kind of experience. And, you know, likewise, tasty meals are good, but if that's your only artistic experience, then you're missing out on the literature and music and visual arts kinds of perspectives.
Starting point is 00:23:01 So I think that there's no, I'm not, you know, you shouldn't be surprised if you know that I'm not a moral realist to learn that I'm not an aesthetic realist either. I don't believe in the objective superiority of different works of art. I think that the important thing about art is its relationship to the experience
Starting point is 00:23:22 of the art. Different kinds of people experience different works of art in different ways. And if one person, whether it's me or someone else, sees or experiences a work of art and is deeply affected by it, whether it's by getting pleasure from it or being provoked to contemplate things in a new way or just feeling some ineffable feeling of transcendence, then that is completely valid. Even if someone else, doesn't feel the same thing at all. So I try very hard not to disparage works of art that I am individually not very much into, even if other people are.
Starting point is 00:24:03 You know, I think that discussions, yeah, there's an interesting philosophy problem here because we tend to, we judge things, and then when we judge things, we tend to attribute objective truth to our judgments. But in the case of art, I truly think we shouldn't. You know, even if you're reviewing, if you're a restaurant critic
Starting point is 00:24:23 or a music critic or an art critic or whatever, it's in my mind much more useful for someone like that to talk about the experience in a non-objectively judgmental way, right? You know, if you like this,
Starting point is 00:24:38 then you'll like that. Like so many things... I made this comment on Twitter a few months ago, I guess, about book reviews. Maybe it wasn't book reviews in particular, but reviews of anything. Book reviews, movies,
Starting point is 00:24:51 movie reviews, et cetera. There are so many reviews that say, you know, this thing, this object, this action, this cultural product, was a good example of X, but I wasn't in the mood for X, I wanted Y, therefore one star. And this is enormously frustrating, you know, as someone who's written books, and I can imagine it's just as frustrating for someone who writes movies or produces movies, right? You know, this movie is very depressing. I was in the mood for a comedy. I didn't like it. just say it's a comedy, or just say it's depressing. And maybe someone's going to be in the mood for that. And I think that would be the right kind of art criticism,
Starting point is 00:25:31 one that really illuminated the different possible ways that a work of art could influence you and then let people react to them in their individual ways. Is there any tendency among theoretical physicists to prefer abstract art to figurative art? I don't think so. I think that theoretical physicists have different attitudes towards art. Some physicists are pretty down to earth about it, right? They want a
Starting point is 00:25:56 picture of something on the wall. Others, yeah, absolutely do prefer abstract art. So I think it's an interesting question. I don't have any data that would lead me to say, or at least I haven't contemplated the question in a sufficiently systematic way to actually say whether there's a preference one way or the other that is more tilted for theoretical physicists than for other people. Sorry about that. Who are some of my favorite artists out there? You know, when it comes to the fine arts these days, I just can't name names. Some of my best friends actually are fine artists. Here in L.A., some of our very good friends are painters, and I love it, but I don't have any knowledge of the field as a whole. It's a whole huge world, right? I do like abstract art. I like
Starting point is 00:26:46 20th century art very, very much, but I also like, you know, the older art. So, you know, going to an art museum is generally a positive experience for me, no matter what kind of specialty it is. I do like beauty in my art. You know, I wanted to have some aesthetic sense. You know, I think one of the failure modes of art usually, although not always, because not everything is, you can't make these predictions objectively. But for me, whenever a painter starts including words, text into their art, it always makes it worse for me, because the visual experience opens itself up into different kinds of thoughts in different ways that might impact one differently, depending on the time of day or whatever, the mood you're in, whereas just putting a word there
Starting point is 00:27:38 is just such a blunt instrument as far as I am concerned. You know, I love words in their own context, in the context of literature, but you can only put a few words. onto a painting or whatever, and usually it acts to constrict and narrow the experience for me personally. So I started saying that because I'm trying to explain what kinds of artists I like when I go to museums or something like that. So look, if it's Rembrandt or Michelangelo, love them. They were amazing, Raphael, etc. Also, you know, Picasso, Kandinsky.
Starting point is 00:28:18 I have a Kandinsky t-shirt that I got when I was looking over things on T-Public when I was setting up my own t-shirt store, a brilliant Kandinsky T-shirt. I love, you know, the abstract expressionists, Mark Rothko, Jackson Pollock, Louise Bouchois with these amazing sculptures. So I like lots of different things and I can't even pinpoint. And many of these people are not alive because I'm not up hip on the contemporary art scene. Sorry about that. This is Riley DiVluka from a really good cry. I've been doing reformer Pilates for years and I always loved how it made me feel. But getting to a class, not so much.
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Starting point is 00:29:50 That's a big plus. And the fact that it didn't make a pun about moving? Also a plus. Organic Valley Protein plus ultra-filtered milk. Protein plus pasture-raised. Learn more at organicvalley.com. Manuel Bevon says In a 2014 World Science Festival debate on quantum mechanics
Starting point is 00:30:13 You said something akin to If a GRW turned out to be true I would probably retire from physics You wrote JRW but it's GRW Girardi, Ramini and Weber This is a theory of quantum mechanics In which wave functions collapse spontaneously all by themselves
Starting point is 00:30:32 And so sorry Manuel is asking Do you still think that today if yes, can you elaborate on why a little more than you did at the time? So to be clear, that was a joke. I would not necessarily retire from physics. In fact, it's almost a private joke that I probably shouldn't have said out loud because it's an illusion to Joe Polchinsky telling me years ago, like circa 1997 or six, that if they found the cosmoccial constant to be non-zero,
Starting point is 00:31:02 he would retire from physics because his reasoning was that the only good explanation for it as the anthropic principle. The anthropic principle is very ugly and dislikable, so he would retire. It was just a joke when he was saying it. We did find the cosmontial constant. He didn't retire, and we joked about that. So the point is just to emphasize the fact that, you know, we physicists want to find out the truth. We want to find out how the world really is, right? And then you're going to work to understand whatever that truth happens to be. But we're also human beings, and we have preferences. We have things that ahead of time we would consider to be more elegant solutions to certain problems.
Starting point is 00:31:37 So I think that the idea that wave functions just sort of randomly collapse with a strong arrow of time, they collapse in one direction of time, but they don't anti-collapse. And it's exactly tuned to be frequent enough to explain our experience of the macroscopic world, but infrequent enough not to show up in experiments that we've already done. oh, that just seems to be asking a lot. It just seems to be very awkward, okay? So I don't like it. And I think that there is a much better explanation
Starting point is 00:32:11 right there on the table, but I'm not going to retire from physics, even if it turns out to be true. I would suspect, this may or may not be true, but I would suspect that if it turns out to be true, there's a more elegant, beautiful thing underlying that that will be remaining to be found. Mikulaj Sabo says,
Starting point is 00:32:28 I've recently come across an old nautilus article that contrasted Neil deGrasse Tyson and Sam Harris as representatives of two very different but characteristic attitudes of public intellectuals. One is the very opinionated, the edgier, the better stands, and the other could be called the educator, never taking sides or definite positions. My question is, what do you think about the role and responsibilities of public thinkers in our society, and do you really think there is such a spectrum? And if so, where would you actually, where would you ideally want to be on it, and where do you think you actually are on this spectrum?
Starting point is 00:32:59 So I want to remove... This is an excellent question, and I mean, it was such a good question. I'm going to have to restrain what I want to say about it. I could talk for a long time. But I want to remove Neil deGrasse Tyson and Sam Harris from the question, because as soon as you name individual names, then they are fans or there are critics,
Starting point is 00:33:17 and they talk about those people, and I don't care about that. I want to talk about the underlying idea. So, because, you know, we all debate. there's a long-going debate about how to be a good public intellectual, what that means, whether that every era says that the public intellectual is dying, et cetera, and others will hold up their favorites. Okay.
Starting point is 00:33:38 So it's an important debate worth having. I do not think that this particular division into edgy and educating captures what it means to be a public intellectual. In fact, I would say that neither one of these categories really is. what I think of as public intellectual. So let me explain what I mean by intellectual in this context. You know, intellectual doesn't mean intelligent. You can be intelligent but not an intellectual,
Starting point is 00:34:07 or you can be an intellectual and not all that intelligent, really. And an intellectual is someone who is characterized by, in my mind, and people can disagree and it's a word, who cares about the definition. But what I mean by it is someone who seeks truth as the highest value. They want to find out what things are true, how the world actually works. And this can be contrasted. You know, the obvious contrast is with people who just kind of get along, right?
Starting point is 00:34:33 Like, you know, they don't work too hard to understand how the world as it is, but, you know, they have a pretty good view and they're going to get through the day, right? I mean, that's most people in the world. But there's another very important category that I don't want to downgrade in importance, which is activists, right? An activist has a goal. and that goal might not be the same as the truth, right? I mean, the goal might be a very good goal.
Starting point is 00:35:02 Feed the hungry, right? Cure diseases, you know, fix the political system in some way. These are very good goals. And when you have these goals, if that's your highest goal, that can get in the way of the goal of figuring out the truth and telling it. You would like to think, and it's probably often true, that these goals are in alignment. But not always, right?
Starting point is 00:35:26 Like if your view of how to make real change in the world is to lead a movement, whether it's being a politician running for office or just being the head of some more informal coalition, you might come to the conclusion that talking certain ways, saying certain things, making certain activities and so forth is more important than just telling the truth, or that there are some things that are true that you don't want to make public, right? I mean, because they get in the way of your goal. So I'm not disparaging that.
Starting point is 00:36:00 Activists are important in the world, but it's not me, and it's not an intellectual. The intellectual is going to say, look, I'm going to tell you what the truth is. I'm going to try to figure out the truth. And no matter what the implications are for what happens in the world, which is why, you know, informally,
Starting point is 00:36:16 I have a policy here on Mindscape that I don't invite active, politicians onto the show. Someone who was a politician and is now retired, maybe, okay. But once you're a politician, your goals are a little bit different than discovering the truth. And I will stand up for the importance of politics all the time. And I'm pro politics, but it's a different thing than being intellectual. So intellectuals are ones who care about the truth. And even, I mean, maybe you could add to that people who sort of have a process of finding out the truth, right? Like, not just they care about it passively, but they care about it
Starting point is 00:36:56 actively. They're, you know, taking steps to understand the world better, okay? And a public intellectual is one who does that in public, you know, who does that in full view of the world. Most intellectuals are not public. And again, that's fine. Like, I don't want most intellectuals to be public, frankly. Some of them are sort of a turnoff in the ways that they would talk about things, and there's no necessary connection between finding the truth and talking about the truth out loud in front of an audience. I think both are important, but I think they're different. So I think that there's room for people who are educators,
Starting point is 00:37:33 but that's different than being a public intellectual. An educator is someone who says, okay, here are some things we've figured out. I'm going to explain them to you. I'm going to teach you. I'm going to be pedagogical about it. This is an incredibly important thing to do, right? in some way, this is journalism, right?
Starting point is 00:37:52 All of journalism is, okay, there are some true things, I'm going to explain them to you, right? But to me, that's not quite being an intellectual, because an intellectual is saying, you know, we don't know what the truth is yet, we're trying to find it. So we're working in this process to learn about the truth, to consider different hypotheses, to make arguments. The real difference to me between an intellectual and an educational, and an educator is that an educator is basically hanging on to things we all more or less agree are right. At least, you know, the people are more or less in the mainstream agree these things are right,
Starting point is 00:38:30 you know, human beings are causing global warming. The earth is round, right? We evolved from other species. These kinds of things, not everyone sadly agrees are right, but there is pretty much a consensus. Whereas an intellectual is working at, you know, we're not sure. What is the right interpretation of quantum mechanics, I can't pretend just to be a disinterested educator where I talk about the right interpretation of quantum mechanics. I need to say, on the one hand, we don't know yet. There are people who disagree and acknowledge that and put that front and center. And on the other hand, I want to say, but here's why I think this one is true, right? So an educator would say, here are what people say about the interpretations of quantum mechanics. An intellectual would add,
Starting point is 00:39:15 and here's why I think this one is true, which means that intellectuals can be wrong sometimes. But it's a slight but I think crucially important difference. You know, in your question, or in this, you're quoting from this Nautilus article, I guess, you're glossing the idea of being an educator as saying never taking sides or definite positions. I think it's a slightly unfair way of saying it.
Starting point is 00:39:38 I mean, educators are saying, look, there's a lot of stuff we know about the world. That's interesting and important, and we're going to try to share it. That's a very, very valuable, important thing to do. It's just a slightly different thing than the intellectual engaged in an argument, right? Intellectuals are out there on the boundary between what we know and what we don't know, trying to figure out what is going on.
Starting point is 00:40:02 And the thing is that this activity of being intellectual, being devoted to the truth, and working out what the truth is, making arguments, listening to other people's arguments, responding to them and so forth, there's a tension there with the idea of being public, right? It's not completely opposed to it, but it's not completely aligned to it either, because let's face it, you're not that much of a public intellectual if no one's listening to you, right? I mean, you can call yourself a public intellectual because you're out there talking, but there's a difference between talking in a town square with a crowd gathered around you, versus talking the same talk in the middle of an empty field where no one's listening, right?
Starting point is 00:40:47 So to be a public intellectual implies that you want people to listen to you and you have some success in getting them to listen to you. And there you get into the question of, you know, the strategies or the issue of the strategies for engaging the public and getting them interested in gathering a big audience might also not be aligned with the strategy of telling the truth. And this is where the edginess comes in. the idea not just of edginess, but of contrarianism, you know, of being a heretic, being radical. To me, all of these ideas, being a contrarian, being edgy, being radical, these are anti-intellectual ideas at a very fundamental level. Not because you should never be contrarian or be a heretic or be radical or be edgy, but to valorize those things is not to valorize finding the truth. Right? Sometimes the truth is conventional. Sometimes the truth is the middle of the road. You have to be open to saying, well, you know, maybe people are right. And when people are right, explain why they're right. You know, I was invited to write a short piece for one of these edited volumes that John Brockman used to put together. John Brockman is the purveyor of the Edge website. And every year, he would have a question center that he would make into a book. So the question was, one year, what have you changed your mind? about. And I explained in my little short essay, like two paragraphs, literally, when I was younger,
Starting point is 00:42:17 let's say in college, I did valorize being a heretic, you know, going against the system, fighting the man. And so my little changing mind essay was being a heretic is hard work, because it's not good to just be a heretic for the sake of being a heretic. You have to be a heretic because there is some individual case where you think it's worth going against the conventional wisdom. And so I did change my mind about that. And I'm still willing to go against the conventional wisdom, but I'm much more reluctant to do it because I understand that there is a sort of romance to it, an attraction to it for that reason, both individually and for the purposes of gathering an audience, that is dangerous to the value of being in
Starting point is 00:43:07 intellectual, which is what I actually value. If your first goal is being correct, that's different than having your first goal being edgy. I remember when somewhere on the internet, someone mentioned that they had started listening my podcast, but they stopped listening and went to other podcasts because they were edgier. And, you know, with all due respect, my immediate response was good riddance. Like, you're not the audience I'm looking for if what you're looking for is edginess. My audience, I'm hoping, is in it for the truth. And we don't always know. what the truth is, which is why I will on the podcast try to have people I disagree with, but it's all part of the journey to find of the truth. And sometimes the truth will be in the
Starting point is 00:43:47 minority, the radical view. Sometimes it will be in the majority and just go along. And getting that balance right is difficult. So, you know, and anyway, I think that public intellectuals are crucially important because I think that it's more than just educating. It's, it's, it's, exhibiting the process of trying to figure out the truth in the case of questions that can be very, very hard. And that's messy. You'll be wrong sometimes. You'll talk to people who you disagree with, but I want to talk to people who I can engage with, and I want to sort of set an example for constructive engagement between people who disagree in different ways. And, you know, some people are not going to like that. It's not going to be some people's thing. And, you know, furthermore, I have my own idiosyncratic
Starting point is 00:44:38 things that I care about. You know, I am willing to be a bit more technical in the weeds, etc., than many other people who, in science communication anyway. And so that limits the audience that I'm going to get in some ways, but that's okay, because it's still a pretty sizable audience, right? Like, there are people I can reach with things like the biggest ideas in the universe or many of the episodes of this podcast. that I think want a little bit more than they usually get in the discourse. And, you know, they're not in it for the cheap thrills. They really want to hear the truth. And the truth is thrilling enough, in my view.
Starting point is 00:45:16 So I can carve out a niche. I'm never going to be, you know, the super-duper famous public intellectual science communicator or whatever. But I think my people appreciate what I am trying to do, and that's what is very rewarding for me. Okay. Sorry if that was too long, but you know, you pressed a button there. John Perry says, taking on board strands of various podcasts, what chances do you give to democracy winning out as the optimum model for national government, given the increasing economic dominance and military power of countries like China and the level of digital monitoring of individuals, etc., they're rapidly being able to achieve? You know, this is asking me in some
Starting point is 00:45:59 sense to predict the future, right? What chances do I give to democracy winning out, and I'm very bad at predicting the future. That's one of the things I will acknowledge is not my area, not my expertise. And furthermore, I think it's probably misguided to imagine there is such an idea as winning out when it comes to being the optimal model, optimum model for national government. I think that what we will see, here I just said I'm bad at making predictions, and I'm about to make a prediction, but it's kind of a milk-toasty prediction. My prediction is that we'll continue to see many different models. That the equilibrium around the world is that there will be some democracies, some authoritarian things, some socialist things, some more radical different experiments in different kinds of government, and so on.
Starting point is 00:46:48 What we can hope is to change the balance between these different kinds of things. I do think that, you know, China in some ways, in many ways, is a very natural world-leading country, right? It's a huge country, technologically advanced, speaks a common language, and they have a system of government that is very well adapted to rapidly doing things, right? You know, it's central planning. It's its ability to make choices and have them implemented very, very quickly. But of course, that same organization has huge disadvantages as well. You know, we talked with Henry Farrell a little bit about the fact that simply when it comes to solving social problems, there's a case to be made that, democracy is a better solution finder than authoritarian systems are. But also, you know,
Starting point is 00:47:37 there are a set of values that go together that both go into progress, whether it's technological or scientific progress or social or moral progress, and democracy, right? And Henry and I didn't talk about this, but I mean, this is more, like, if democracy is a good problem-solving measure, then that's a benefit. This is a bonus. That's a spinoff, as far as I'm concerned. What matters to me about democracy is that it puts power in the hand of individual people, and that power helps unleash their creativity, right? Even though science and politics are two very different things, the underlying values of allowing people to try different things,
Starting point is 00:48:21 to be creative, to go against the grain sometimes, are very, very important, both for democratic politics and for, experimental theoretical sciences, right? So there's a huge disadvantage that any authoritarian society puts themselves at in a world where scientific and technological progress are important. You know, China's a big economy. They're very, very good at making t-shirts and things like that. They're not as good as we are here in the United States or in Europe at scientific progress, at least not right now. Maybe they will be. But I think that part of the of it is the spirit of, you know, letting people be rebellious a little bit, goes, goes hand in
Starting point is 00:49:06 hand with the spirit of scientific advancement, right? You know, anyone who thinks that there is some lockstep scientific establishment that is working behind the scenes to squelch their ideas has never been to a physics seminar and listen to people asking questions. People are not in lockstep. People like to disagree. That's important. That's, you know, part of the, of the creativity. So, I mean, all I'm adding up to is I don't know. I don't know what's going to win out. There's a lot that goes in to these things and a lot of them are random. A lot of them are unpredictable. So I like democracy. I hope it wins, more places than it loses, but I can't be too sanguine about those things. Organic Valley Protein Plus, salt or filtered milk is pasture raised from cows that might take more
Starting point is 00:49:51 steps than most people. That's a plus. And it has 50% more protein and 50% less sugar than regular milk. That's a big plus. And the fact that it didn't make a pun about moving, also a plus. Organic Valley Protein plus ultra-filtered milk. Protein plus pasture raised. Learn more at Organicvalley.com. John T. says many podcasts often include scientists as guests to speak on controversial topics, but the term scientist is vague. Anyone can claim to be a scientist. So as a layperson listening to podcasts with scientist guests, how can I distinguish their credibility to speak with genuine authority?
Starting point is 00:50:33 What heuristics can we use to wait these opinions and protect ourselves against the fallacy of appeals to authority? Well, you know, appealing to authority is a fallacy, but it is not useless. It's complicated.
Starting point is 00:50:48 And I think this is the most important first step in answering this question, which is a very good question, is that it's complicated. So you use the word, which is the right one to use rather than clear-cut algorithm. You know, when you have people with different expertise and different credentials saying things that you
Starting point is 00:51:09 yourself are not an expert in, who to believe, who to trust, whose opinions to wait in different ways is a very hard question. And I think that it is completely valid to wait people, you know, not 100% or not 0%, right, to give medium-sized weights to a lot of different things, but there are things that matter more. So I think I've said things like this before. You know, Julia Gallif, when she was on the podcast, she and I talked about this. If someone is an world-redown expert in precisely the thing they're talking about,
Starting point is 00:51:47 count them more than someone who is not. That's kind of obvious. That's not really very helpful. But what does it mean to be a world-renowned expert? It means more than just, you know, you got a degree. Look, you know, I went to grad school. I have a PhD. I know other people who got PhDs.
Starting point is 00:52:04 Not all of them are super sharp, to be honest. Some of them are brilliant. Some of them are not. But it's a start. You know, someone with a PhD in economics, you should count more, in their opinions about economics than someone without any PhDs at all or any special expertise in economics. That's pretty obvious to do. but someone can claim to be an expert and maybe even have a PhD,
Starting point is 00:52:29 but if you want to get more into the weeds, what are they accomplished? What have they done? Have they written papers? Have they changed the field by having some good ideas that later turned out to be valid? What is their track record, right? This is the sort of second order questions you can be asking yourself. I think you correctly maybe allude to the idea that if you have a lot of,
Starting point is 00:52:52 a PhD in economics and are propounding on politics or biology or the environment, and who cares about your PhD in economics, right? I mean, that's not what's really going to give you expertise in this field. So you have to care about where their expertise comes from or where their credentials actually come from. And finally, people can be absolutely insightful and correct about ideas where they are not credentialed experts. So don't discount people entirely just because they're not experts in the field, but weigh their words carefully. That's why this is a hard thing to do. Again, what is their
Starting point is 00:53:35 track record in other areas? You know, if you're not a PhD in physics, but you're propounding on physics, what's your track record? What have you gotten right in the past? I'm completely willing to believe that there are people out there who don't have PhDs in physics, you have really interesting things to say about it. But I also know for a fact, there are people with and without PhDs in physics who say lots of spout lots of nonsense about it. So it's just a matter of, you know, keeping your bearings and not taking anyone too seriously if you don't know what their background and track record is. And even if their track record is great, they could be messing up this time. So, you know, and I know that's a wishy-washy answer, but that's the best
Starting point is 00:54:18 you can do, right? If there's a bunch of people, I guess, sorry, there is one other thing, is crucially important, which I take for granted sometimes. When people do proclaim things, when they say, you know, I think X is true, regardless of their credentials or their track record, the way they say it and the arguments they give in favor of it can also be used as a measure of how seriously to take them. In particular, the short version of this is, what is the evidence that they're giving you? that they appreciate why they might be wrong, that they understand the counter arguments to it, right? If they are just straw manning the counter arguments,
Starting point is 00:55:03 or if they're just sort of snarky and sarcastic, or if they show no sign that they even know what the counter arguments are, then you should discount what they're saying compared to people who go, I know what you're thinking, you're going to think it's not true because of this, but here's why it's true anyway, right?
Starting point is 00:55:20 And this kind of technique is just as true for research papers in the technical literature, in the professional literature, as it is for people expounding on podcasts and things like that. When people know why they might be wrong, it's much more worth listening to what they're trying to say. Because you can think that those people have thought through what the different arguments are rather than just falling in love with one point of view and stating it. Okay. Alexander Cordova says, when discussing quantum mechanics, the example it is always used is the electron. However, it's also stated that everything is quantum in nature at a small enough scale. Do protons, neutrons have wave functions as well? Sure, everything has wave functions. That's the easy part. Let me just explain a little bit about why the electron is always used as the example. It's sort of a combination of two things. One is the electron is as far as we know,
Starting point is 00:56:18 elementary. It is not made of other particles. So protons and neutrons are made of quarks and gluons, right? So that just makes things a little bit fuzzier when you talk about protons and neutrons. It's actually perfectly okay to, in some circumstances, treat protons and neutrons as fundamental particles. In other circumstances, it's not, right? You have to take into account that internal structure, so it becomes more complicated. Whereas electrons, as far as we know, just are fundamental particles, so that complication doesn't get in the way. The other is electrons are the lightest charged particles in nature. They are the lightest particles that have electric charge.
Starting point is 00:56:56 Electrons and positrons, which are the antiparticles. So what that means is that since electromagnetism is really the force of nature that makes everyday world go, electrons are doing most of the work, right? Electrons are easy to manipulate. Electricity is mostly the motion of electrons, because electrons are lighter than protons and neutrons. In principle, electrons going left is equivalent, protons going right, but it requires a lot more energy to get protons going right than electrons going left. So in practice, when you have electricity going down a wire, the electrons are doing almost all the work. So that's why they're used as the examples in quantum mechanics.
Starting point is 00:57:36 It's easy to manipulate electrons compared to protons or neutrons. But everything has a wave function. Don't worry about that. Paul Cousin, or Cousin, says, Tibo Giro, a French YouTuber, recently did an experiment on his philosophy channel Monsieur Fai, or Fee. I don't know how French people pronounce the Greek letter Fai.
Starting point is 00:57:57 I don't know how Greeks pronounce the Greek letter Fy, for that matter. He surveyed 12,000 of his viewers with carefully corrected thought experiments about free will and morality. As an example of an interesting and somewhat surprising result, around 80% were intuitive compatibilists. What do you think about the? idea of experimental philosophy. You know, I don't think it's philosophy. I think it's an interesting
Starting point is 00:58:19 thing to do, but it's a more like you're learning about psychology. You're not learning about philosophy. You know, I like to think that ideas in philosophy, whether it's free will compatibilism or anything else, stand and fall on the reasons for them, not on a poll, not on a popularity contest. I do think that anti-free will people sometimes fall in. into the trap of saying, well, you know, this or that, maybe pro-compatible as free will people, too. I don't know. But anyway, people sometimes fall into the trap of saying, that's not what the people really have in mind when you say free will. Okay. I don't know what the people have in mind. Like, that's not an important consideration for me. I'm just trying to get the most useful vocabulary
Starting point is 00:59:09 to discuss the world. I want to be right. And I want to sort of to figure out how best to characterize the fact that human beings make decisions, okay? I find talking about free will for that purpose is perfectly valid. If you don't, that's fine. And I honestly couldn't care less what the majority of people have in mind, as long as we can be clear. In fact, my strategy, it is not, it is completely failed so far, but the strategy I'm going to keep trying to plug away at is whenever someone really wants to have a discussion about free will, I'm going to say, you know, I tried this with Sam Harris. It didn't work with him either. I'm going to say, I'm happy to do that as long as we never use the phrase free will. Because as soon as you use the phrase free will, you have this incredibly long, tedious, boring, and completely pointless conversation about what do you mean by free will. So just don't use that phrase. If you can't agree on what it means, just don't use it. Use what words would actually convey the meaning that you have. And I'm perfectly happy to do that. All right. Connor Scott says, I know the shorteninger equation doesn't predict wave function collapse, but it definitely predicts wave function branching.
Starting point is 01:00:15 Sorry, does it definitively predict wave function branching in the case where there is no collapse? Is that something everyone can agree on? There are so few things that everyone can agree on in this game. They can agree on what the shortinger equation predicts in terms of, given some wave function and given some Hamiltonian, what does the shortinger equation say that wave function evolves into. But you use the word branching in your question. So, for example, if you have an electron that's in a superposition of spin up and spin down and you run it through Stern-Gurlock experiment where there's a detector and an environment and so forth, everyone agrees that the wave function
Starting point is 01:01:01 of the universe, if all it does is obey the Schrodinger equation, would evolve into a part that says the electron was spin up, it was measured to be spin up, and the environment noticed that, plus a part that said the electron was spin down, the detector measured it to be spin down, and the environment noticed that. I can't promise you that everyone is going to be happy to call those two parts of the wave function branches. There's an argument that goes into saying there's a reason why we should call this branches as to with decoherence and the independence of the future revolution of these two parts of the wave function. function, the fact they won't interfere with each other, et cetera. But everyone agrees that the Schrodinger
Starting point is 01:01:45 equation predicts that that's what a wave function should look like. That's why people who believe the Copenhagen interpretation or something like that don't accept the Schrodinger equation to describe quantum measurements because they don't believe in those two parts of the wave function still surviving that measurement event. Julian Reef or Rife, RIEI-F says, Carlo Rovelli wrote the following about many worlds interpretation in his new book, Helgoland. It is not enough to know the wave function in Schrodinger's equation in order to define and use quantum theory. We need to specify an algebra of observables. Otherwise, we cannot calculate anything and there is no relation with the phenomena of our experience.
Starting point is 01:02:26 The role of this algebra of observables, which is extremely clear in other interpretations, is not at all clear in the many worlds interpretation. What do you think about this criticism? Yeah, I think it's not a criticism. I think it's just a statement, you know, as a many worlds proponent. So I would agree with the claim the algebra of observables, the role of the algebra of observables is extremely clear in other interpretations, not, and it's less clear in many worlds. Why? Because in all the other interpretations, you put the algebra in there by hand. You know, you add extra superstructure. Whereas many worlds is the simplest, cleanest interpretation of quantum.
Starting point is 01:03:06 mechanics. So when it comes to things like observables, just like things like branching and probabilities and so forth, you have to derive them. They're emergent. You don't just put them in by hand. So it's less clear in many worlds because it's more work. And this is something where I think any fair observer would say this kind of feature of many worlds is both an advantage and a disadvantage of the theory. It's an advantage because rather than just positing something, people who believe in many worlds are saying, we can derive that thing. It's a disadvantage because maybe you can't derive that thing. Maybe you think you can, and you're just fooling yourself, and it's more work to show it, right? So, I mean, I take the worry very, very seriously. The paper I wrote just last year with
Starting point is 01:04:00 Ashmead Singh on quantum muriology tackles exactly this problem of showing. showing how the algebra of observables arises in the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. I think we have a pretty good explanation of why it does. So I'm not that worried, but I want to agree with the problem. And then I want to say, yeah, but we can solve it. And solving it is good, right? That's what we're here for. So by all means, criticize away, especially those criticisms that I have answers to.
Starting point is 01:04:33 That sounds good. Richard McLeigh says, I recently listened to a somewhat frustrating podcast on postmodernism and post-truth. What are your thoughts on the existence of objective truth? So I don't know why your podcast you listen to is frustrating. So I'm not sure what side it was frustrating on. Look, I believe in objective truth in the following sense. I believe in objective reality. I believe that there is a world that objectively exists out there, you know, that we're part of, okay?
Starting point is 01:05:01 and that there are certain statements we can imagine making about the world which would be correct and certain ones that would be incorrect about the physical behavior of that world. On the other hand, I'm more pro-postmodernism than most other scientists or physicists in particular, and part of it is that, you know, physicists are not that patient with a whole bunch of things. You know, physicists, I think this is going to come back later in the AMA also, maybe, but we talked already about intellectuals, and this idea of being intellectual, being devoted to truth, it is related to but not the same as being broad-ranging in the kinds of truth you care about, right? So you can be very, very devoted to finding the kind of truth in your
Starting point is 01:05:54 particular field and or your subjective interest and just less interested in other fields. That's a perfectly valid thing to do. Again, no one forces you to be wide-ranging in those ways. And in fact, a lot of the... Yeah, this will come back... I should have grouped these two questions together. We will come back to this later in the AMA. But a lot of the, you know, attitudes of physicists towards other fields are because they're different than physics, right? They go by different standards, they use different techniques, and so forth. And postmodernism in particular, pushes physicists buttons, pushes scientists' buttons in all sorts of bad ways. And also, just to layer on more throat clearing here, there's a lot of bad postmodernism out there. It's not hard
Starting point is 01:06:43 to find people just saying very, very silly things in the name of postmodernism. But I'm not interested in the bad postmodernism. I want to ask, is there any good postmodernism? Is that any useful? And I think that there is. There's a point. There's an insight, an essential insight in the postmodern project, which is that even if the world exists and is objective, we don't know it clearly and objectively and in an unmediated way, right? We are tiny, finite, biased beings. And so even though we exist in the world, the stories that we tell about the world, whether they're literally stories or whether they're highly developed and a highly rigorous physics theories are partial attempts to capture a bit of the world. And we should be very,
Starting point is 01:07:34 they're very fallibilistic, right? We should be willing to change them when new data comes in. And when it comes to physics, that insight is kind of trivial and not very helpful, right? You know, sure, well, if new experiments come in that tell us to change our theories, we should do that, right? but we're pretty sure that apples will still fall from trees, no matter what we learn about gravity, a hundred years in the future, or a million years in the future. When you turn it to things that postmodernists more typically care about,
Starting point is 01:08:06 which is the social world and supposed truths of ethics or morality or society or politics or literature or art, as we were talking about art before, then the fact that these truths are fallible and partial is much more important to keep in mind because you can be fooled much more easily when you talk about these harder areas than when you talk about physics.
Starting point is 01:08:31 Physics is easy. It's easy to do experiments to find out whether you're right or wrong. It is easier in other areas to fall into a trap that you think you got things figured out, that you have a way of talking about the world that is just correct even though you're actually embedded in a web of presuppositions that should be questioned, right?
Starting point is 01:08:54 And I think that's the usefulness of postmodernism, that postmodernism gives you a toolkit for questioning these presuppositions, for saying that, well, you know, I know that sounds like some objective truth about the world, but have you thought of this, right? That's the good variety of postmodernism. Post-truth, I'm not even sure what that means. I think that the phrase post-truth is almost always used as a slander against people you don't like, right? Like, I don't see anyone really who is, you know, positively in favor of post-truth. I don't see anyone making the case that truth is overrated and we should get rid of it. You know, not any sensible people.
Starting point is 01:09:35 Again, there's always crazy people out there. But the idea that truth is an idea that has outlived its usefulness is really not one that is gaining a lot of currency among smart people in the world today. Usually, the accusation of being posed truth is made against your enemies to say that they are distorting the truth in some way or another. And again, that absolutely happens, especially when it comes to politics and activism, right? When your first loyalty is to a political goal rather than an intellectual goal, then you will often end up distorting the truth. And everything I just said applies equally well, no matter which side of the political spectrum you are on. But I think it's a bit lazy and useless that particular accusation,
Starting point is 01:10:24 this post-truth accusation, because it misreads what people are trying to do, because I don't think that people describe themselves as post-truth, usually. So how they would describe themselves, which is always what I think you should be asking, what is the people who really believe this, what is their self-understanding? They might have different ways of finding the truth and judging the truth than you do. They might count different pieces of evidence and weigh them differently than you do. And that doesn't mean that they're not wrong in a real objective sense, but if they're wrong, confront them on why they're wrong. Be honest about it. You know, what is the evidence? Where are they going wrong? Where are they making the mistake?
Starting point is 01:11:07 To just sort of say, well, you're not even aiming for the truth, I think, is just a kind of lazy criticism that is rhetorically beneficial to your side. But again, it's that activist mindset rather than an intellectual mindset in my mind. And again, all of that, everything I just said is usually, but of course there's plenty of exceptions out there. This is Riley DiVluka from a really good cry. I've been doing reform of Pilates for years and I always loved how it made me feel, but getting to a class, not so much. Now I have a reformer at home. It has completely changed my routine. I'll do 20 minutes in the morning, sometimes in the evening, sometimes both. No commute, no scheduling around a class, no pressure to keep up with anyone else. It's just me moving in a way
Starting point is 01:11:50 that feels good that day. And it genuinely looks so beautiful and they have a foldable version too. So it just lives in my space, which makes it so much easier to stay consistent. Every Euroformer comes with over a thousand instructor-led workouts on the app so you can follow along or just move at your own pace. They deliver straight to your door within seven days across the mainland US. So if you've ever loved Reforma Pilates but struggle to make it part of your routine, this makes it so easy. Visit your reformer.com and use the code free month rental. Organic Valley Protein Plus, salt or filtered milk is pasture raised from cows that might take more steps than most people.
Starting point is 01:12:27 That's a plus. And it has 50% more protein and 50% less sugar than regular milk. That's a big plus. And the fact that it didn't make a pun about moving, also a plus. Organic Valley Protein Plus Ultra Filtered Milk Protein plus pasture raised. Learn more at Organicvalley.com. Casey Mahone says,
Starting point is 01:12:53 given that all branches of the wave function are equally real, there would be presumably some bizarre, unexplainable things happening in some branches, a car passing through a wall, an elephant appearing out of thin air, etc. Given the enormous number of times the wave function branches every second, is it possible that some of these freaky events
Starting point is 01:13:09 have occurred in the history? history of our own branch, thus accounting for some ghost stories or other bizarre phenomena. So, as I said before, whenever a question starts with, is it possible? The answer is usually going to be yes. It's possible. But look, you have to just ask this question a little more careful. You have to think it through. Yes, in the branches of the way you function in ever-eating quantum mechanics, some unlikely things will happen. And many things happen in the world. and you want to say, okay, there's a number less than one, the probability of some unlikely event.
Starting point is 01:13:45 And then there's a number of times that we look at events. Okay, so some big number, the number of times you look at events, times some small number, the likelihood of each unlikely event. And you want to say, therefore, when you multiply these two numbers together, is it likely that unlikely events happened? Okay. But you haven't quantified what either one of those are here. And roughly the answer is that the unlikely events are really, really unlikely.
Starting point is 01:14:11 So unlikely that even if a lot of events happen, you're not going to see that many very, very unlikely events. So in quantum mechanics, there are events like, I put the coffee cup on the table and it quantum tunnels right through. What is the likelihood of this happening? And you can say, like, look, there's been a lot of coffee cups put on tables throughout human history. Surely it should have happened. Well, no. if the probability, if the number of coffee cups that have been put on tables is, I don't know,
Starting point is 01:14:38 10 to the 20. That's way bigger than the actual number, but okay, that's a lot of coffee cups being put on tables. But the chances that the coffee cup tunnels through the table is 10 to the minus a million, which is a very, which actually overestimates the probability for it happening. So what this means is that, no, you can't just go qualitatively from some unlikely things are going to happen to probably they explain things.
Starting point is 01:15:03 It's way easier to explain ghost stories by saying people mistook what they saw late at night in the dark. That's a way easier explanation than invoking the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. Okay, David Frank says, if you were Darrell Mori, former Mindscape guest and president of operations for the Philadelphia 76ers, what would you do with Ben Simmons this offseason? I know not everyone here is a basketball fan, but I thought this was an interesting enough question to address because, you know, The reason why I thought it was fun to have Daryl on the podcast is because deciding what to do as a general manager in a basketball situation is it completely analogous to a whole bunch of other very real-world decision problems that we make. The difference is that in basketball or in other professional sports, just like in poker, which we've also talked about, the results are very quantitative and very quick, right? So you can be a little bit more careful about saying, well, you know, should I make this decision or should I make that decision?
Starting point is 01:16:05 In the real world, when it's like, should I get married or should I not get married, it's hard to know whether you made the right decision or not because it's hard to see what would have happened in the other choice. So Ben Simmons is the point guard, all-star basketball player, young players still 24 years old for the Philadelphia 76ers. He did not perform well in the playoffs this year. I think that is safe to say. He is a very polarizing figure among NBA fans because the basic thing in basketball, all you need to know is you put the ball in the basket to score points,
Starting point is 01:16:41 and the team that scores the most points wins. So that sounds like there's only one thing that happens is you put the ball in the basket. But the other thing that happens is that you stop the other team from putting the ball in the basket. But it's way easier to be quantitative and judgmental about people's ability to score,
Starting point is 01:16:59 to shoot the basketball, to put the ball in the basket, then it is other things, playing defense, passing, rebounding, and so forth. And the reason why Ben Simmons is so polarizing is because he's clearly super duper talented, but he's absolutely super world-class at everything but putting the ball in the basket.
Starting point is 01:17:19 The one skill set, especially for the point guard, the guy who runs the offense, the one skill set that is really, really important and very easy to see when it's on display is shooting the ball, and Ben Simmons is not any good at that. And some of it is, who knows why? I mean, some of it is psychological. Some of it is just that he wants to do other things and is actually quite smart about it. Some of it people claim that, you know, he shoots with his left hand, even though he's naturally
Starting point is 01:17:47 right-handed, which is true, but, you know, can you overcome that? So there's a lot going on. Simmons is very good at passing, very good at running, very good at defending. He's arguably the best defender in the NBA. How do you value a player like that? So that's a good question. Yeah, I really don't know. You know, I think that the reason why sports fans are sometimes very annoying to read online or even to talk to is that they ask questions like this. What would you do with Ben Simmons this offseason?
Starting point is 01:18:18 Knowing perfectly well, you know, the options are you keep having. him on the team, but you try to like smooth over those rough edges, get him to shoot more, get him better at shooting, et cetera, or you trade him. But to trade him requires another team to offer you something in return. And in fact, Ben Simmons is very valued around the league. People will offer you something in return, but they know, everyone else knows that he didn't do that great in the playoffs, that the fans are sort of grumbling about his playoff performance, et cetera. So maybe the other general managers are not going to offer fair value. You just don't know. You know, I'm a, as a basketball fan, I'm a fan. I'm not the general manager. I don't, I don't have a say in what
Starting point is 01:19:02 happens. So I tend to root for my players, right? Like, you know, it might be true. Look, I mean, the short version is, if you could get a trade that you could get Damien Lillard on the Sixers in favor of Ben Simmons, I would do it. I would sort of do it right away. I don't know if that's a possible thing to do. If we don't trade Ben Simmons and keep him on the team, then I would actually be perfectly happy with that. He's a really, really good player. I don't want to trade him for worse players just for the sake of saying that we did something. So we'll see what happens. You know, I'm glad I'm not Darrow Morey in this particular case, but it'll be an interesting offseason, Sixers fans. I'm going to group a couple of questions together here. They're all about expanding
Starting point is 01:19:47 space. So one is from Nuzzly-Fuzzly-Torsten pill of the satanic temple. I think some of you people are editing your names just to get me to say them out loud in these AMAs. Question is, it's my understanding that the universe has a kind of resolution of plonk size. As the universe expands, is the plonk size ever so slightly increasing to, or is the universe increasing the amount of, to put it in a cutesy way,
Starting point is 01:20:11 plonkeys? William Garrett says, since matter, including ourselves, is mostly empty space, and the universe seems to be expanding? Are we expanding with it? Is subatomic space expanding similarly to outer space? And then Paul Hardy says, I read an article suggesting that inflation theory might mean that space has been expanding forever.
Starting point is 01:20:30 I've also heard that space might not be fundamental. Are these two ideas contradictory? So there's a bunch of ideas that are similar in these three questions, even though they're different. One thing that I do want to emphasize is that don't believe that the universe has a resolution of the Planck scale. That is not the right way to think about the Planck scale. So the Planck scale is a measure of length. There's also the Planck time, Plank energy, Plunk mass, etc. that you get
Starting point is 01:20:59 from combining Newton's constant of gravity, Planck's constant of quantum mechanics, and the speed of light. I think that the correct way to interpret that is if you have processes in physics that in some sense are happening at the Planck scale. So in other words, things that are squeezed down into lengths smaller than the Planck length or processes that happen faster than the Planck time or collisions that exchange more than the Planck energy, right? In any one of these cases examples, then you will have to take into account gravity, relativity, and quantum mechanics because all those constants are in that formula for these different
Starting point is 01:21:43 length scales. What does it mean to take into account gravity, relativity, and quantum mechanics? Nobody knows, really, okay? It does not mean that there's little pixels of plonk volume or anything like that. Maybe that's true, but maybe that's not true. We don't really know enough about quantum gravity to actually say. So the question about, you know, is the plonk size increasing? No, it's not.
Starting point is 01:22:08 As far as we know, it's a formula in terms of these constants of nature and those constants don't seem to be changing over time. There's a different version of this question that is related to what Paul says. I've also heard that space might not be fundamental, are these two ideas contradictory? So if space emerges from quantum entanglement of degrees of freedom, of abstract degrees of freedom,
Starting point is 01:22:34 as we were talking about earlier, then there's actually a really nice way of thinking about the expansion of the universe, namely that there's a certain number of fundamental degrees of freedom that come together to form, to describe any one region of space. And what happens as the universe expands is not that more space is created,
Starting point is 01:22:55 which would be this sort of traditional classic way, classical way of thinking about it, but rather more degrees of freedom are becoming entangled. So you imagine, you know, there's a collection of quantum mechanical degrees of freedom. They're all entangled with each other and making up space or space time. And there's a separate bucket of degrees of freedom
Starting point is 01:23:13 that are not entangled in some well-defined way. There's subtleties and there's math there that I'm glossing over, but hopefully the image comes through. And that what you mean by the expansion of the universe is more and more of these unentangled degrees of freedom are becoming entangled, and space appears to expand. I actually wrote about that in a paper that I wrote with some other collaborators
Starting point is 01:23:35 called quantum circuit cosmology. It was a very vague suggestion at the time, so we don't have any, you know, tangible things to do with that picture, but it's very attractive to me in terms of understanding the relationship between entanglement and expanding universes. And then for Williams' question about is the universe expanding, are we expanding or subatomic space expanding? No.
Starting point is 01:23:59 That's easy. No, it's not. Because, and I think I said this elsewhere, but the fact that space is expanding is an exaggeration. parts of space are expanding, and in fact, when you go really deep into the math of it, it's impossible to attach definite ideas of where space is expanding and where it isn't. What it is possible to say is that this particular galaxy is further away from us now than it used to be. It takes longer for light to get there and to get back.
Starting point is 01:24:32 But within a gravitationally bound system, like a galaxy or a planet or a person, There's no expansion of space going on. It's only the regions in between the galaxies that are actually expanding. Okay, then there's a bunch of questions about entropy, and I think I'm going to group them into three groups, entropy questions. The first is these two questions, one from Ken Close, who says, you've demonstrated entropy by mixing cream and coffee. They're interesting swirls before we reach maximum entropy,
Starting point is 01:25:05 but I tried the experiment, and about a day later, the cream had risen to the top. The mixture had been unmixed. I don't think you should leave out your cream and coffee for over a day, but I do know what you're talking about, Ken. And then relatedly, Richard Graff says, my understanding from discussions on Minescape is that there are two definitions of entropy, one subjective that measures an observer's knowledge of a system, and one objective that measures the disorder of a system. How are these two definitions related? So let me answer the second one first. There's actually many different definitions of entropy, more than just two. But there is a fundamental distinction, and I wouldn't put it exactly the way that you did, but I know why you're putting it that way.
Starting point is 01:25:48 So one way of thinking about entropy is, as you say, characterizing our observer's knowledge of a system. So if you have a system that could be, given your knowledge, in any one of several states, right? I mean, you can think about the cream and the coffee, for example. You're not knowing exactly where the individual atoms are of water or molecules of cream or coffee, etc. So you can rearrange them to get a system that looks the same. So you assign some probability distribution to all the specific microscopic arrangements of the atoms. And then from that, there's a formula that Boltzman and Gibbs and others developed to calculate the entropy.
Starting point is 01:26:31 Okay. So that is manifestly a definition that is talking about your knowledge. There's another way, which is also subjective in a very real sense, but seems more objective, which is, before you look at the cup of coffee, decide ahead of time what you're able to see. Okay. So there's certain things you can observe about the system, certain things that are macroscopically accessible to us, and chunk up the set of all. all microstates into macro states, saying that if two macro states are in the same macro state,
Starting point is 01:27:10 then they must be observably indistinguishable. They look the same to you. Okay. So that, once you do that, once you decide what your observables are, then you have an objective chunking of the space of all possible states into macro states. And then what you can say is, you can assign. an entropy, which is basically the size of a macro state. It's actually the logarithm of the size of a macro state. Given that you know that the system is in a certain kind of macro state, you can assign an
Starting point is 01:27:41 entropy to it no matter what you know about it, no matter what you know about the micro state, okay? So it's not that you don't, even if you know the microstate, if it's in a big macro state, you can still assign a large entropy to it. So that's kind of quasi-objective, quasi-subjective. The subjective step was you defined macro states. The objective part is once you define that, there's an entropy that you can associate with every microstate. How are they related in the obvious way, namely that if your subjective knowledge of the system
Starting point is 01:28:16 is precisely that it's in a certain macro state and nothing more. So then you put a probability distribution on all the different microstates, which is equal probability for every, possible microstate in that macro state and zero probability for not being in that macro state. And then the two entropy formulas coincide. They give you the same answer. So they're compatible in that sense. Now, Ken's asking about the cream and the coffee. And that's because this, of course, very, very possible. You don't even need to use cream and coffee, right? Try to mix oil and water. Do your best. They quickly unmix, much less than a day it takes. And that's just because, you know,
Starting point is 01:28:55 we're being a little sloppy about the detailed interactions of the different molecules in the system. Okay, so for cream and coffee, it's even more subtle, but oil and water work better. Oil molecules often have a hydrophilic component and a hydrophobic component. So given all the different ways, given a certain energy in the system, it will often happen that secretly, the highest entropy states have the oil in the water separate. from each other. Likewise, for the cream and coffee, when you're in a gravitational field and so forth and the molecules have different weights, it can be the case that the highest entropy states at a certain temperature and so forth are what the cream and the coffee are separate
Starting point is 01:29:41 from each other, because they're different kinds of things. So a better example would be if you had, you know, red balls and blue balls in a big box of gas with their masses and their interaction property is exactly the same, but just different colors, then they would really want to mix together. So all of these typical things are just supposed to be ways of getting you to get your brain around the idea of things mixing together. But when you use, as is often true, in the real world, actual substances, the real physics can be more complicated than that. Okay, the next group of questions about entropy, Travis Hink says, PBS Space Time did a video explaining how the growth of quantum entanglement
Starting point is 01:30:24 drives the inexorable increase of entropy we see in the macroscopic world. My question is, why was there an initial state where the particles were not maximally entangled? Nicholas Weiberg says, is there a close relationship between quantum coherence and the increase of entropy? Both seem to be related to the arrow of time, and both seem to involve statistical system descriptions. Michelle Vincenzi says, did the Big Bang create the multiverse, or was it already going?
Starting point is 01:30:51 If it was already going, would it be right to assume that we got different big bangs in each universe or even universes with no big bang at all or some completely different process. And Kathy Seeger says, in your conversation on the podcast with Max Tegmark, you both agreed on giving more credence to an Everettian multiverse than to a cosmological multiverse to exist. I wondered if when the Big Bang started off, the universal wave function also kicked in right from the start. Wouldn't it be likely that branching already affected very, very early states of the evolving universe, and therefore in the process creating multiverses in the cosmological. sense. So hopefully the connection there is clear. Those are four questions. Sorry about the length
Starting point is 01:31:29 there. The first two were explicitly about quantum entanglement and entropy. The second two were about the initial conditions of the universe, and that's very related to this question of entropy. So very quickly, you know, Travis, you say that PBS spacetime did a video explaining how the growth of quantum entanglement drives the inexorable increase of entropy we see in the macro world. I don't think that's true, actually. As I said just for the previous question, there's more than one or more than two definitions of entropy. And indeed, one of the other definitions of entropy
Starting point is 01:32:06 is a strictly quantum definition that John von Neumann invented. A fourth definition is from Claude Shannon in the context of information theory. But quantum entropy, sometimes called von Neumann entropy or entanglement entropy, has to do with the entanglement between different quantum systems. And the formula for that entropy turns out to be the same as the formula
Starting point is 01:32:28 that Boltzmann invented in a completely different classical context. But the point is that quantum entropy exists and it's important for things like decoherence. This is Nicholas's question. Quantum entropy of one system increases when that system becomes entangled with the outside world. And of course, the most famous example, that is decoherence, when you become entangled with the environment, your total entanglement goes up, so your total entropy goes up. So to Nicholas's question, is there a close relationship between quantum decoherence and the increase of entropy? Yes, that's it. Quantum decoherence necessarily increases the entropy of a system, as long as you don't like collapse the wave function and reset, that can lower
Starting point is 01:33:12 the entropy. But to Travis' question, that quantum entropy is a form of entry, but it's a different form of entropy than the classical entropy. When you're mixing cream into coffee and you say entropy goes up, or when you shuffle a deck of playing cards and you say entropy goes up, that has nothing to do with quantum entanglement right there, okay? That's just a classical notion of entropy. So these are different notions of entropy, both very important. And then your question about the initial state, you know, why did everything start out unentangled? This is related to the later two questions. And the answer is, I don't know. No one knows. That is a big, big question.
Starting point is 01:33:51 In fact, we're going to have a podcast coming up about this soon. But the point being that that's a major unanswered question in cosmology. Why did the early universe have a special state which can be described as low entropy or maximally entangled? I would like, no, I have theories. You know, I proposed a model with Jennifer Chen 16 years ago now or something like that, where baby universes help understand it. but I don't know if that's true or not that it's one of my favorite ideas
Starting point is 01:34:23 but it's an open question so to Michelle or Bichelle, sorry I don't know, question would it be right to assume that we got different Big Bangs in each universe and then Kathy's question is related to that is there branching that gives you different parts of the multiverse so these are questions about
Starting point is 01:34:45 the fact that the early universe had a special initial state. That's just an empirical fact. Mostly an empirical fact. There's some subtleties there. Sorry about that. But it's a fact. It's a true thing.
Starting point is 01:34:56 The initial state of our observable universe seems to be special. Let's put it that way. And the cosmological multiverse is a different conceptual idea than the Everettian many worlds. Everettity, many worlds are caused by branching of the wave function,
Starting point is 01:35:14 and they're literally full copies of the whole universe. that can happen right in this room, right away, right, when I measure a spin or something like that. Whereas the cosmological multiverse is an essentially classical concept that says that far away, there are regions of space where conditions look very different,
Starting point is 01:35:32 so different that you might as well call it another universe. But you're right, you're both right in this implication here, which is that these two notions can be connected. Imagine that you have a wave function that branches, so you're creating an Everettian, many worlds kind of situation, but different branches have different local laws of physics. Now, normally, that's not what happens, right? That is not inherent in the many worlds interpretation at all.
Starting point is 01:36:00 But it could happen if the events that are causing branching are the kinds of events that lead to the cosmological multiverse, namely bouncing around from one vacuum state in a landscape of possible vacuum states in a more modern theory like string theory or extra dimensions or something like that. So this was an idea, and you can look up, I don't remember what it was called, but I did a blog post about it years ago. This idea was actually pursued in two different papers that came out near the same time, one by Yasunori Namura and one by Leonard Suskin and Raphael Buso.
Starting point is 01:36:35 And both of them pointed out that you could sort of combine the many worlds idea with the cosmological multiverse and say that in different branches you had effectively different parts to the cosmological multiverse. I think that's right. That sounds right to me. It didn't, you know, take the world by storm because it's not clear what to do with it, exactly. It's not clear that you solved any problems
Starting point is 01:36:59 by pointing this out. It seems to be a true feature, but it doesn't help you explain why the early universe had low entropy or why our universe looks the way it does. But maybe it's, you know, something to keep in mind when you're thinking about cosmology and entropy
Starting point is 01:37:13 and the Big Bang and the multiverse and all that. stuff. Okay. I have one more group, the third group of entropy questions. One is from Nick G. who says, where does entropy and the second law of thermodynamics fit into the fundamentalness hierarchy? Is it just an emergent phenomenon that isn't exactly written into the source code of the universe? Or is it something deeper and more fundamental? And Paul Torek says, Nick G's question about where entropy fits into the fundamentalness hierarchy inspires my question. Do we even need a fundamentalness hierarchy, or is it just a matter of which order of presentation of
Starting point is 01:37:49 facts we find explanatory, and or which statements of laws and boundary conditions are simpler, or is the latter all that is meant by fundamental? So let me talk a little bit about my view of this fundamentalness hierarchy, and then hopefully that will illuminate both questions. The idea of a fundamentalness hierarchy is an old one. I mean, at least Auguste Comte, who I think was mostly interested in sociology, talked about this over 100 years ago. And it's also very natural. We sort of take it for granted all the time. You know, you're a human being. You're an individual, an organism all by yourself. You're a part of bigger structures. You're a part of a society. You're part of the whole earth. And you're also made of smaller structures. You're made of organs.
Starting point is 01:38:34 Your organs are made of cells. The cells are made of molecules, made of particles, etc. So there's kind of an obvious hierarchy, and I do think it's more or less subjective. in that big things are made of little things in the universe as we see it. Now, I don't think that that's necessary. If we sit back and think about all the different possible laws of physics that we could imagine, ways the universe could be put together, is it necessary that no matter what kind of source code we started with, would we always end up with some kind of fundamentalness hierarchy?
Starting point is 01:39:10 No, I don't think that's necessarily true. true. It's a feature of, there's a couple of ingredients that go into it. The most important of which is locality, right? That there is something called space, that there are objects located in space, and they tend to bump into each other when they're nearby, and not when they're far away. That's the fundamental feature of the world that didn't have to be there. There are other ways of thinking about worlds which wouldn't have that feature, but that enables this feature of conglomeration of small things into bigger things. But there's an additional feature over and above that, which is that there is something
Starting point is 01:39:48 real about treating collections of many small things as things in and of themselves, right? So in other words, we take the world and we divide it up into things, and that's sort of a, not an innocent move. You can question, why do you divide it up into this set of things? So I forget exactly the example that I've heard, but the collection of atoms in your body come together to form you, and it makes sense to talk about you. Why? Well, because it has some causal role in the world. I can make statements like, you went there, you did this. If I tell you this, you will act in a certain way. There's a higher level theory of where you fit into things, right? Whereas if I make some collective object, consisting of your left foot and this cup of coffee and that oak tree out there, that's an object I can define, right? But it doesn't have any role in the world. There's no theory in which that collection of things has an autonomous existence or useful way of talking about it.
Starting point is 01:40:57 So there is something real, even though it's convenient for us to talk about these higher-level emergent phenomena, there are right and wrong ways of doing it, right? There are better and worse ways of dividing the world into objects. And that goes back into Nick's question. The second law of thermodynamics is not fundamental. If you were Laplace's demon or the quantum mechanical equivalent thereof, if you knew exactly the micro-state of the universe, you wouldn't have to do any of this coarse-graining
Starting point is 01:41:28 or thinking about our ignorance. You wouldn't have any ignorance. So you wouldn't have any entropy to deal with. but the fact that there is a useful concept called entropy that has causal explanatory power, right? We can explain things going on in the universe by talking about entropy, increasing, et cetera, means that there is some reality to that concept. So it's not fundamental, but it is real, right? That's what I, that's my point of view on emergent phenomena more generally.
Starting point is 01:41:56 So hopefully that helps with those questions. Okay. Ooh, enough about entropy there. Allison says, could Krasnikov tubes permanent superluminal tunnels in principle be used to construct galaxy-sized telescopes? I don't know, I guess, maybe. I presume I had something in mind to say about this question when I kept it in the list of things I'm trying to answer. But, you know, this is the kind of thing. I mean, maybe this is what I wanted to say.
Starting point is 01:42:31 the space of speculative ideas that naturally suggest themselves to human beings is very different and potentially unconnected to the space of speculative ideas that could be true. In other words, you know, the way I think of it is, you know, think about old science fiction, right? 100-year-old science fiction. They got some things right. Space travel is true, right? We all now have portals. communication devices. But they missed other things, right? They missed the fact that we don't have faster than light travel. They didn't miss that, but, you know, many of them just let themselves, helped themselves to faster than light travel, whereas no one really invented the internet or something like that, and very few went into sort of modern synthetic biology or things
Starting point is 01:43:22 like that. So our ability to predict real world scientific advances is uneven. Why? Well, one of reasons why is because the kinds of advances that it's easy to predict are taking things we already do and imagine we can do them better. We already, 100 years ago, could travel. We could fly, we had cars, we even had airplanes, right? We could make, you know, small things that go through the air, so it's just easy to extrapolate them to faster things and things that go further away, etc. Whereas a conceptually new category, like the Internet, is harder to imagine. So when you say, you know, permanent superluminal tunnels, they're not going to exist, honestly. Like in the real world, that's just not going to happen.
Starting point is 01:44:09 If you did, but they're the kinds of things that we are tempted to imagine because we can already go pretty fast and it's easy to imagine going arbitrarily fast. I don't exactly see, you might be getting at some issue with a telescope question. I'm not quite sure why a superluminal tunnel would help us build a telescope. scope, but I just did want to say, that's not the way that I would spend my money, honestly, if I were thinking, or even spend my time thinking about possible future technologies. Okay, Michael Lesniak says, I first became familiar with you on science channel shows like through the wormhole, and I'm curious. How did the interview process for shows like that go, who contacted who, and how come I haven't seen you on any more recent shows like that?
Starting point is 01:44:55 Well, for the recent shows question, I think that, I mean, maybe this actually goes So the first part of the question, the process is very informal about being contacted. Like someone looks you up. In fact, yeah, let me back up and explain how these shows are very often made. Different shows are made in different ways. Like a PBS show, a Nova show, will very often be based on a book or something like that. When Brian Green does his elegant universe books or something like that, then turns them into a Nova series, he's very involved in what is going on. But for history channel shows or science channel shows or science channel shows or.
Starting point is 01:45:29 Discovery Channel shows. The process is different, and often it's not a very good process. Through the Wormhole was one of the better examples, but here is the basic process. The TV network hires a production company to make a show through the wormhole or the universe or mysteries of the universe or whatever. The production company hires a director or a producer to sort of be in charge of the particular show, and that director or producer, What does that mean? You hire some people who are TV writers. They work for the production company,
Starting point is 01:46:07 and their job is to come up with an episode, and maybe there is some brainstorming among some people about what the topic of the episode should be. Let's say the black hole information loss puzzle. And then this writer or, you know, production assistant or some other sets of people, the producer themselves, goes on the internet. Google's around, looks for,
Starting point is 01:46:29 for experts, especially looks for experts nearby. This is why living in Los Angeles is very helpful if you want to be on these TV shows and says, you know, who can I talk to about this? And so they will sketch out, you know, from Wikipedia and other things, you know, other videos they see on YouTube. They'll sketch out their idea of what the good things to talk about are and get some ideas of who they might want to talk to. And then they might call you up and interview you and decide whether they want to have you on camera or not. But the point is that, none of the people involved in that are scientists, right? They interview the scientist once they get on camera,
Starting point is 01:47:07 but the writing and the organizing and deciding what to do on the show is rarely guided by people who are knowledgeable about science. And so the individual segments are often perfectly respectable, but the overall vision of where to go is not there, because there's no one really scientifically informed guiding it. They don't hire a scientist to do that kind of, of thing. And that sometimes leads to embarrassing things. Like I was once doing a demonstration for one of these TV shows about dark matter. And I think I've told the story before, but I was asked to,
Starting point is 01:47:43 you know, spin a light bulb above my head. And they were going to put special effects in there, so the light bulb would light up, et cetera. And this was supposed to be dark matter. And so I asked, am I representing the dark matter and the thing zooming around me is supposed to be like a star or something that is feeling my gravitational field. And the people filmingly honestly didn't know. There have been so many steps in between when someone came up with the idea for this analogy and when we got to filming it, the meaning of it had been lost, right? And that can happen sometimes. But in other times, the shows turn out really well. If you get the impression, I think it would be better if a lot of these shows took the scientific side more seriously and
Starting point is 01:48:25 actually let scientists be involved. But that would involve money. things like that. So who knows whether that will ever happen. Why haven't I been on any more recent shows like that? I have been on a couple, but not that many. Partly, you know, it's just small number statistics about when you get invited. Partly, there's a pandemic. Partly, I've been busy. So sometimes I've had to say no when I get invited to do these things. It's a weird thing. You know, you reach a lot of people, but you don't have a lot of control over what's being said. As I get older and grumpier, I like to have more control over what's being said. Paul Hess says, is a nation of millions of people conscious?
Starting point is 01:49:03 Rough answer is no, I don't think so, but it's an interesting question, and you can ask it at different levels of precision. I think that if you look into things like integrated information theory, I-I-T, this idea of Giulio Tnone and collaborators, where they try to actually answer this question precisely. They propose a measure that is quantitative. They can sort of pinpoint the level of emergence at which you would call something conscious. The idea of being, they say you have a mob of people. If they're just acting randomly and differently than each individual person is conscious, but sometimes you get mob behavior where in some sense it makes more sense to attach the locus of consciousness to the mob, rather than to any individual inside it.
Starting point is 01:49:51 I don't think that that's very helpful in the case of a nation of millions of people. We do it all the time. We do the equivalent thing because we attach beliefs, desires, attitudes, psychologies to countries of people. But it's often just a shorthand for what should be a more nuanced way of talking about things. We don't have the once-and-for-all definition of consciousness. So I'm not quite sure if we can carefully answer this question at all. but I think that roughly speaking, my answer is tentatively no.
Starting point is 01:50:24 Okay, Jeff B asks a priority question. Remember, the priority questions are, once in your life you get to answer a priority question, I promise to answer it to the best of my ability. Sometimes my ability is not very good, so be careful about how you ask your priority question. So Jeff's question is, the question boils down to how a waving field
Starting point is 01:50:43 ends up getting detected as a dot on a detector screen. Your previous answer was basically local interactions plus decoherence. This makes sense to me, but only under the assumption that the dots are somehow given special treatment during wave function branching.
Starting point is 01:50:57 Otherwise, I could imagine the wave function branching so that each branch saw something other than a dot appear on the screen, a circle, triangle, whatever. My understanding is that these dots are special
Starting point is 01:51:07 because they are pointer states that are stable under decoherence. So my question becomes a bit meta. Why are these pointer states, why are these the pointer states and not something else? Our world would probably look very different if the wave function branched differently, but it seems that there has got to be some
Starting point is 01:51:23 underlying ontological reason for why it branches in this particular way. So I think the answer is, I mean, it is because of locality plus decoherence, but you're right that there's more steps to that story a little bit. You know, you have a gun shooting electrons or something like that at a screen. In principle, the wave function is spread out over different points, but in fact, when you see the screen light up, it's at one point. It's not at either the whole smeared wave function, nor is at some weird shaped subsystem like a circle or triangle or whatever.
Starting point is 01:51:57 Why is that? Basically, the reason is that what pointer states are are parts of the wave function, which have the property that once they're there, once you're in them, they don't keep getting extra entanglement with the rest of the world. Remember, entanglement is a special kind of quantum mechanical interaction.
Starting point is 01:52:20 Like, if you take a basketball and bounce it on the floor, the basketball does not become entangled with the floor because the whole basketball interacts with the floor in exactly the same way. If you had a basketball that was in a superposition of, let's say, spinning and not spinning, okay, and then you bounced that on the floor, then the spinning part of the basketball wave function would bounce in one direction, and the non-spending part would bounce in another direction. So those two parts of the wave function would separate. They would decoher, because they would become entangled with the rest of the world. That would be an interaction that entangles them.
Starting point is 01:52:58 So the point about the electron or whatever hitting a detector screen is that think about the ways that that part of the wave function interact with the rest of the world. The electron interacts with the detector screen, and then it leaves a dot. or leaves an impression that you can see by looking at it, right? There's some change in the color or the brightness or whatever of the screen. So you can imagine tracing out a circular pattern on the screen, but in fact, all of those parts of the circle interact differently with the world. They all give out what amounts to a photon, but photons moving in different directions
Starting point is 01:53:40 because they're coming from different angles on the screen. all of the parts of the wave function where the electron hits in the same point interact in the same way with the rest of the world. That's why it is a pointer state. A much more vivid example is something like Schrodinger's cat, where it's alive plus dead or awake plus asleep.
Starting point is 01:54:00 If you want to buy t-shirts from the merch store at Minescape, you can get an awake plus an asleep cat on your t-shirt. The awake-and-asleep part of the cat's wave functions interact differently with the rest of the rest of the rest of the same thing. of the world because they're in different macroscopic positions. So it's that position that comes in in all the cases, whether it's the basketball or the cat or the electron hitting part of the screen,
Starting point is 01:54:25 different positions where the interaction happens lead to different kinds of entanglement with the rest of the world. And that's why pointer states tend to be the subsets of the wave function that are sort of macroscopically coherent, that describe something definite in space. And in the case of an electron hitting a screen, that's going to be hitting at a point in space, hitting at a point on the screen.
Starting point is 01:54:52 Claudio Slamovitz says, I read a biography of Fred Hoyle, and he strikes me as a fascinating figure. He seems to have made important contributions, especially on nucleosynthesis. He also had controversial, later debunked views such as the steady state universe. How is Hoyle perceived in the physics world,
Starting point is 01:55:08 an underrated genius or a crackpot? I think he's perceived as a rated genius. You know, his insistence for the steady state universe was quirky and, you know, lost him some favor. But look, there were other people who hung on to that steady state universe long after Hoyle went away, and they definitely should have known better. If you're sort of the originator of an idea, then I think a lot of people will cut you some slack for hanging on to that idea a little bit longer. but they would prefer it if you change your mind. That would be better. But I do think that everyone agrees that Fred Hoyle did a lot of great things in theoretical physics and astrophysics, especially nucleosynthesis and the origin of the elements.
Starting point is 01:55:54 You know, there is a book that just came out by Paul Halpern contrasting Fred Hoyle and George Gamov. So George Gamov, in some sense, was the champion of the Big Bang version of the story, and Hoyle was the champion of the steady state version. They all had collaborators, and the collaborators are important. So I don't want to brush them apart, but these are the two big personalities in this game. And, you know, they were both part right and part wrong. You know, ultimately on the Big Bang story, Gamob was right.
Starting point is 01:56:23 But then you want to explain where the elements come from. The Big Bang didn't help that much with that. It gets you helium, but it's not enough. And then stars and supernovae are necessary to get the heavier elements. And some people, you know, rightfully hesitated to say, well, the real story involves a little bit of this and a little bit of that. If you remember the podcast we with Simon Deo talking about why certain kinds of explanations are favored over others, the ability of one thing to explain many things is rightfully thought of as a good feature for an explanation to have. And this makes people a little bit leery, wary, I should say, a little bit wary when the rightfully thought of as a good feature for an explanation to have.
Starting point is 01:57:04 when the right explanation seems to involve disconnected unrelated things. But that's really very often true in the real world, that you need to invoke disconnected unrelated things to explain everything you see in the world. And for the formation of elements in the universe, that is very, very much the case. But people appreciate, I think, these days, the contributions of Fred Hoyle as well as Gamov and others.
Starting point is 01:57:29 Peter Solfest says, after rereading the big picture, I was wondering about strong emergence and quantum field theory. Is it theoretically possible or mathematically consistent to construct a quantum field, which only interacts with other fields if they are sufficiently complex? So I'm glad you're asking that because I'm literally writing a paper about it right now. You know, to be honest, not going to much details, but I'm finishing up a paper. It'll appear soon on consciousness and the laws of physics. And it's always dangerous when physicists start talking about consciousness.
Starting point is 01:58:01 I get that. But I'm not saying that much actually about consciousness. All I'm saying is something I've said before, but I'm saying in a little bit more detail, namely, whatever is going on in consciousness. Don't try to explain it by changing the laws of physics. That's not the way to look. The laws of physics are pretty well established, and we know a lot about them. Don't add things to it to change the laws of physics just because you want to understand consciousness. There's other strategies that are much more promising. And in particular, there's this question of, you know, locality and strong emergence. And basically, let's say it this way. You know, we know that even if you think there are other things in the universe, there are atoms in your head. Okay? There are electrons and protons and neutrons in your brain. And what happens to those particles in your brain is certainly somehow related to consciousness. Okay? Maybe it's the whole thing. Maybe it's only a part of it. Maybe it's epiphenomenal, but it's, somehow related. And so one attitude is, sure, you have a theory, the core theory, which tells me if I have an electron surrounded by certain other fields, how it behaves. But maybe that works at CERN, or maybe it works, you know, at your laboratory table. But who's to say that's the correct set of rules for describing what an electron does if it's in a human brain? If it's embedded in that very complex system? Well, the answer is,
Starting point is 01:59:33 everything we know about the rules of effective quantum field theory says the electron could not possibly care less whether it's embedded in a human brain. Electrons interact locally. The only thing that affects what an electron does is the values and the derivatives of other fields at the same exact location
Starting point is 01:59:54 as the electron. You know, and in fact, the other atoms A human brain seems like very complicated and dense, but the particles in the human brain are kind of far apart from each other by particle physics standards. So we would expect, and it's just an expectation, it's not a law of nature, but our expectation is that the behavior of those electrons
Starting point is 02:00:16 is perfectly local. So if you want to come up with a model where somehow the dynamics of individual electrons change because it is in a complex system like a human brain, You're welcome to try. I've tried, not because I think it's true, but because, you know, to sort of try to shoot it down,
Starting point is 02:00:35 and I was not able to either come up with a model where it worked or to come up with a proof that you couldn't come up with a model where it worked. I can say with confidence there's zero expectation of anything like that happening except for your desire to make the human brain be somehow special. So I wouldn't worry about it too much,
Starting point is 02:00:52 but I can't tell you that it's absolutely impossible. Andrew Jay says, Laplace's demon has perfect knowledge of microstates for a single instant of time as well as the full understanding of the true laws of physics and can therefore predict the future and retrodict the past is the demon then limited to predictions computations only for microstates if that's the state if that's the case then isn't the demon essentially clueless about predicting any future that might be meaningful to people um i mean this is a slightly deflationary answer but uh i don't know what laplace's demon can do or cannot right uh the demon knows all the, he knows the exact micro-state of the universe and the laws of physics and has the computational power to both predict and retrodict. Is that all the demon knows? I don't know. I don't see what limits the demon. You know, presumably if the demon has that much computational power,
Starting point is 02:01:44 which is a lot, maybe they're also able to figure out what the emergent properties are. You know, there's no obstacle to that in principle. So, you know, the demon was made up. It was a thought experiment, you could make up a version of the demon that's able to do that or a version that isn't. Maybe the substantive part of the question is, could you imagine knowing the whole micro-state, could you imagine, in principle, knowing the whole micro-state and not knowing the sort of ways to chunk it up into emergent higher-level things? If that's the question, then the answer is yes, absolutely. It's like if someone gives you, well, if someone takes, I don't know, Mac OS, right, an operating system or Linux or something like that,
Starting point is 02:02:26 and translates it into binary, the assembly code into binary, and then prints it out as a set of ones and zeros, and hands it to you without telling you what it is. Could you figure out what it is? I'm predicting the answer is no, even though all the information is there. You don't have the ability to know, oh, yes, that's MacOS, a 2018 version or something like that. there's a whole other layer of conceptual insight that it takes to do that.
Starting point is 02:02:53 So if that's what you mean, then we can at least imagine a microstate version of Loplas's demon without implying a macro state version. Orrin Harris says, in your last AMA, you invoked David Lewis's possible worlds to explain your position on the principle of sufficient reason, saying that the fact that we live in one world rather than the other has got to come down to a brute fact. I found your response surprising because Lewis's modal realism provides a reason for apparent brute facts, and that reason, self-locating uncertainty, is the very same invoked by yourself in answers to why do we find ourselves in this branch rather than the other in ever-retying quantum
Starting point is 02:03:26 mechanics. The anthropics that provide the reason for apparent brute facts in the MWI are the very same mechanism by which brute facts can be explained in Lewis's model, which is an example of a metaphysics that at bottom satisfies the principle of sufficient reason by being maximally symmetric, not reifying one brute fact over any other. Can you expand on why you don't accept root fact explanations of chancey outcomes in quantum mechanics, but do accept them in a seemingly similar situation. So there's a lot going on here, and I kind of, I like the question more than I think I have a great answer to give. I want other people to think about the question, if it makes sense. You know, I am very fond of self-locating uncertainty and also of David Lewis's idea.
Starting point is 02:04:14 I think it's his idea. I'm not even sure it's his idea. Well, his way, he is the one, he's the person from which I got the idea of thinking about uncertainty about the laws of physics as self-locating uncertainty in the space of all possible worlds, right?
Starting point is 02:04:31 There's just a way of thinking about the fact that we don't know what the laws of physics are. We can imagine different worlds with different laws, and then saying that we don't know what the laws are is the same as saying
Starting point is 02:04:42 we don't know which of those possible worlds we live in. But there is an important difference. So I think that, you know, if I get into the nitty degree of your question, I don't understand the claim that Lewis's model satisfies the principle of sufficient reason. I think it depends on what you mean by a reason. What can I say? Even in the quantum mechanics case where I think I do understand things, there is a version of me that sees the electrons spin up, a version of me that sees the electrons spin down. The one of me that sees the electrons spin up, do I get to say there is a reason why I see it spin up? And the reason is, well, because there's another one that sees it spin down and they're symmetric.
Starting point is 02:05:23 I don't know if that really qualifies as a reason. You know, maybe it does. And maybe that's an ambiguous question to which there's no perfectly good answer. So maybe that's part of the set of assumptions we would have to dig into here to give you a satisfying answer. But the other thing is that I'm not a modal realist. I am an Everettian, and I do believe in the different branches of the wave function, but I don't believe in the reality of all the possible worlds.
Starting point is 02:05:47 I'm happy to use the set of all possible worlds as a way of thinking through our uncertainty about laws of physics and about questions of causality and things like that. But I don't, therefore, attach to them reality. Okay. So to me, it seems most likely there is a universe, even if it's a big Everettian multiverse, it's still one universe in some sense, with laws of physics. And the question about why those are the laws of physics, rather than others, does not come down to self-locating uncertainty in a set of real,
Starting point is 02:06:19 actually existing worlds. It's a different kind of thing. So I don't have the similarity, the analogy there, the parallelism between modal realism and Everettian quantum mechanics. For those of you who are interested, Alistair Wilson, who is a philosopher, has tried to develop that parallelism. He tries to claim that we can think of Everettian branches of the wave function as Lewisian possible worlds. I don't really get on that train, but it's an interesting way to think about the question.
Starting point is 02:06:49 Saraz Rajan says, the universe is amoral, and the prospect of a no consequence after death could either be liberating or disappointing. Liberating as in, this is the one life we get to live, so live it as you please, satisfy your brains, whims, and fancies. Disappointing as in, no matter what legacy or
Starting point is 02:07:07 goodness I leave after my death, it is not going to be of any used to be, to me, I'll be non-existent. Do you have a different take on this matter? So I think neither one of those is exactly how I would put it. You know, the fact that life stops at death and there is no afterlife is going to be disappointing to those who place the value that they have in their lives on something that happens or continues on after their debt, right? You're not here anymore. So as far as your concern, and there's no enjoyment or disappointment to be gained in what happens after you die. So having a legacy and things like that, there is a, well, I was going to say it's irrelevant,
Starting point is 02:07:52 but there's a crucially important exception to that, which is that you might very well now care a lot about the prospect of doing something that even lasts after your death, and that's perfectly valid, right? So to take pleasure in establishing something now that will only pay off after you're dead, there's nothing wrong with that. Even though you won't be around to appreciate it, you're appreciating it now. That's perfectly 100% okay. But if you really thought that somehow you needed your life after death to care about what happened after you died, then I got some bad news for you.
Starting point is 02:08:28 That's not going to happen. Now on the other side, you say, this is the one life we get to live, so live it as you please and satisfy your brain's whims and fancies. That's just a non sequitur in my mind. There's only one life we get to live, therefore live it as you please. It just does not logically follow. You need some extra premises that you've smuggled in there. I think you only get one life to live, and therefore what you experience in this life, and the impact you have on other people's lives are the things that matter, right?
Starting point is 02:09:02 The things that matter are not the experiences you will have after death, because there are no such experiences. But the experiences you have here on Earth matter. They go far beyond your brain's whims and fancies. I mean, that's a sort of an intentionally belittling way to put it. You know, everything good that you do in the world and experience in the world are things that are happening here in the world right now. And so that's okay, right?
Starting point is 02:09:32 I mean, my attitude is just that is what matters. The stuff that you see, the stuff that you experience, this is a perfectly legitimate basis for caring and mattering in the world, and it is, in fact, what actually exists, which is good. Sam Hartzog says, If memory serves, I was introduced to Robert Forward's Dragon's Egg novel by a recommendation on some form or another. If so, thanks, I love this book.
Starting point is 02:10:00 Probably that's true. I've definitely recommended that. It's not one of the world's most famous science fiction books, but I like it, so I do sometimes recommend it. The question is, have modern field theories ruled out the complex ultra-fast nucleonic interactions that give rise to the neutron star's chemistry? So in the book, there are living beings that live on the surface of the neutron star, that live in a sort of organic life that is not based on chemistry, but more nuclear physics. So I don't know is the short answer to this question.
Starting point is 02:10:32 I haven't read the book in a long time, and I haven't thought about life on a neutron star. in any careful way, my simple guess would be it is completely incompatible with what we know about nuclear physics. And the basic reason is there's not a lot that can happen in nuclear physics. You know, the reason why chemistry is interesting is that you can make atoms, but you can hook atoms together in arbitrarily complicated ways, right? The center piece of life is DNA. And the great thing about DNA is it's an a periodic crystal, as Erwin Schrodinger predicted, even before it was discovered, which means it can be as long as you want without ever repeating itself, right? Information can be contained and passed down from generation to generation in the form of this
Starting point is 02:11:25 quasi-stable molecule, and there's no limit on how complicated in principle it could be. Whereas if you're just making things out of neutrons, or even neutrons and protons, good luck with that. There's not arbitrary complexity that you can get there. As far as anyone knows, as far as I know, as far as anyone that I know knows. So my guess is that's just not possible. That's just not how nuclei work. But I haven't thought about it very carefully. Jim Murphy says, you've said before that you were convinced space is not fundamental, but less convinced about time. How can this be the case if space and time are just two aspects of the same thing? Well, maybe they're not. That's how.
Starting point is 02:12:06 But so the reason why that's a short, not very clever answer, but the reason why I wanted to talk about this question is it raises an interesting issue for people who want to develop theories beyond the currently existing theories. And this is part of what we talked about with Lee Mullen in the podcast. You know, there are things we know, things we don't, how do we choose, what kinds of directions to move in? So something that is a major triumph of 20th century physics is space and time or just two aspects of the same thing, space time. And what I'm proposing, not just me, but what is being proposed is that we can think about emergent space time in a way that treats space and time differently, just like Newton would have treated them differently. So in some very real sense, it's a step backwards. And you can ask, is that, you know, a strike against this approach? And I think the answer is yes. I think that if there were no other strikes, that are, argument, you know, you're losing some progress that had been made by physics is a perfectly good reason to be skeptical of this approach. So if this approach is right, not just my approach
Starting point is 02:13:17 to immersion space time, but if the specific version of it in which time is fundamental, but space is not. If that's true, then time and space are fundamentally different in some way, and the fact that they seem to be two aspects of the same thing is kind of an accident that emerges in the big macroscopic low energy universe. Is that kind of a robust natural thing to happen, or is it a special weird thing? That I don't know. Okay. But it is part of the challenge of this approach that you would have to explain why it emerges
Starting point is 02:13:48 in that way. Alex Borland says, I have a question about the simulation hypothesis. Imagine that humanity managed to simulate a universe complex enough to contain intelligent life. If that intelligent life started to study their universe and tried to see, its physics, at what point would you give them credit and say they had cracked its fundamental laws? Would it be, once they had figured out all the equations our supercomputer was running, or would they have to discover a deeper level of reality such that the programming language
Starting point is 02:14:16 they were written in or the hardware they were running on, etc.? And actually, now that I think about it, I'm going to group this question together with another one from Crather Luca, who says, last month in your AMA you mentioned that eventually our knowledge will bottom out. I interpreted this as saying that eventually progress stops because we reach some cold, hard facts. I agree there probably is a place where things bottom out, namely reality. However, how can we ever hope to know that we've reached such a place? So Alex's question is, if you're in a simulation, how do you know that you've reached the bottom level? Crather-Luca's question is, how do we know if we've ever reached the bottom level? Yeah, we don't. We'll never know
Starting point is 02:14:55 that kind of question. You know, I think that this is a, no one ever promised you a rose garden when it comes to science. So I do think that given that I'm not a modal realist, given that I think that not all possible universes really exist, there are some fundamental features of our world. And by the way, when I say that all of these things
Starting point is 02:15:19 are very tentative, like I'm not absolutely wedded to these things, I'm willing to change my mind about them, but I'm just saying where I am right now. There are some facts about the universe that are explained by nothing deeper than that's the way it is. Brute fact, okay? Cold hard fact. But we don't know which features are like that
Starting point is 02:15:42 and which are not. You know, the mass of the electron. Actually, the mass of the electron is dimension-dependent. So the ratio of masses of the muon and the electron, that's a dimensionless number, okay? is that an accident or is there some deep explanation for it, for example? Why are the fundamental laws of physics quantum mechanical? Is there a deep reason for that or is it just a thing that we just have to accept?
Starting point is 02:16:07 I don't know. So, and I don't think that there's anything wrong with not knowing or even knowing whether you will ever know. So the attitude that I would advocate taking is it's perfectly okay to try to answer those questions, to try to say, okay, why quantum mechanics, why relativity, why the mass of the electron, things like that, why does the universe exist at all? What's not okay is to insist that there must be an answer that would make you happy in terms of some other features of the universe, right? Rather than saying one of the possible options is, that's just the way it is. So I would advocate keeping the cold, hard fact, option as an option, while not necessarily, uh,
Starting point is 02:16:52 ruling out the search for other possible answers at the same time. And that, you know, there's no point at which you say, okay, now I know for sure, but that's just science. You know, that's just how science works. There's never a point you reach in which you can say, I'm completely sure. All right, now grouping together a few more questions, because these are all in a very different, now for something completely different, questions about the podcast. So Jesse Rimler says, I'm continually impressed by the variety and quality of your guests. Could you tell us a little bit about your methods of discovery. As an author, do you receive advanced copies of books?
Starting point is 02:17:27 Russell Wolf says, in a recent AMA, you talked about how you always take recommendations for podcast guests, but don't like to make any promise about whether they will appear. I was wondering if you could say anything in aggregate about how often a listener recommendation results in a guest that you otherwise weren't considering. And finally, Seth says, would you ever consider a podcast where you go into detail about your day-to-day process for producing a podcast? I really love how accessible you seem and how you don't make it seem like what you do is magic.
Starting point is 02:17:56 Yeah, what I do is certainly not magic. And in fact, Seth, I don't think it's that worthy to go into a podcast to talk about my day-to-day process because it wouldn't take that long. I will tell you what my day-to-day process is in as much detail as anyone would ever want to hear. You know, I do have to find guests. So this goes to the questions asked by Jesse and Russell.
Starting point is 02:18:18 The way I find guests is a wide variety. of different things. You know, sometimes people, Patrions or people on Twitter or comments on preposterousuniverse.com slash podcast or on the Reddit, there's a subreddit, Sean M. Carroll subreddit. They make suggestions and I take them all seriously. Like if I don't, never heard of the person, I'll Google them or whatever. I get a lot of suggestions. So if your suggestion is not followed up on don't feel bad. I can't possibly do everyone. Sometimes I get a suggestion.
Starting point is 02:18:51 I do ask, invite that person and they say no, right? And so I don't, I don't ever want to, this is the biggest single reason why I don't want to say who I'm considering, because I totally respect people's decisions not to appear on the podcast. I don't want to sort of shame them publicly for not appearing on my podcast. That's not going to happen. They have every right. Anyone, if I ever invite you to be in the podcast, feel free to say no. I get it.
Starting point is 02:19:15 I say no all the time when I'm invited to be. be on other people's podcasts, especially since I have my own podcast now. There's only so many, so large a fraction of my time that I'm willing to spend talking on podcasts, and 98% of it is talking on my podcast these days. But there are other places where the guest suggestions come from. Yeah, I mean, you're asking about do I get books, so many books, both because I'm an author, and I have the podcast, and I had the blog, and my wife Jennifer is a science writer. We get a lot of free books. And this makes me feel very bad to say it because when I was in college or grad school, you know, I would just spend hours in the bookstores, lovingly looking over all these
Starting point is 02:19:59 books that I will never own. And now books just appear at my house. And I have to actually give many of them away without ever reading them because there's too many. And they didn't ask for them, right? They just appear. And so that's a terrible position to be in. But, you know, so be it. So very often And so I don't know why people send me unsolicited copies of books. You can just email me and say, would you like a copy of the book? That's a much more cost-effective measure. Many times, if a book is coming out, now that I have a podcast, the PR person, either for the individual author or for the publishing house, will email and say, would you like to consider this person for the podcast? Or the author themselves will email me saying, would you like to, could I appear on your podcast? And I love it. Both
Starting point is 02:20:47 cases, whether they themselves or someone in their orbit suggest someone for a podcast. I like being suggested, people for the podcast, as long as they do not mind if I say no. Again, I get way more suggestions than I can possibly take up. So people who want to argue with me, when I say, sorry, it's not fitting into my schedule right now, and they say, no, but did you consider this? That gets annoying. But usually that very rarely happens, actually. Most people get it. There's a, there's a limit on how much you can possibly do. And in fact, you know, this is not too surprising in the case of a long existing podcast. We're actually, now that I realize it, we're almost at exactly at the three-year mark for Mindscape.
Starting point is 02:21:30 So we've existed for three years. Yeah, yes, birthday. I have invited people to be on the podcast and they've said no. And then a year later, their publicity person says, would you have my author on your podcast? and usually I will say yes. But, you know, I get it. You know, life circumstances change. Sometimes people say, well, you know, I ordinarily would like to, but right now it's not a good time.
Starting point is 02:21:54 All that is fine. You know, I totally get it. And other times, I just want to have a topic. You know, there's some, a person or a topic that I'm interested in. So no one suggested them. And I go out and find them and, you know, have them on the podcast. So all of these work. As I've said before, you know, I want people who have something interesting to say,
Starting point is 02:22:13 something that is worth listening to. I'm not in the debunking business. I don't want to debate or argue with people. Even if I disagree with them, I want to hear what they have to say and learn from it and the audience also. But within that very, very broad category, I want diversity.
Starting point is 02:22:29 I want all sorts of different people. I want people in different topic areas. I don't even want to have two of the same field in a row if I can avoid it, right? Sometimes you can't avoid it. Sometimes it works out okay. But I want a diversity of fields, a diversity of perspectives,
Starting point is 02:22:43 I want some old people, some young people, some famous people, some not so famous people. The other thing is, you know, you do want people who can be good on a podcast. And that's a whole other skill set. You know, like I said, in another context, you can be really good at the intellectual side of things and not the public side of things. So I want people who can articulate what they're doing. And so usually it's easy to, it's possible anyway, to suss out that criterion, but not always, you know. And so I think, you look, overall, I've been very very good. very, very happy with the total set of people that I've had on the podcast. I look back at the list
Starting point is 02:23:19 of people we've had and, you know, some have been more successful than others, but I'm like, wow, look at all these people who appear on this podcast. That's pretty good. So happy with that. Okay, then to continue on with Seth's question about the producing the podcast, we set up a time. I do try to make sure that they have a microphone, right? And annoyingly, there's this thing where the programs I use to actually do the recording, which is usually Zencaster, but there's some other programs. This is like a website that I send the guest to, and I also go on, then we can talk and record. They keep fiddling with it and like removing browsers that work. So it used to be that Zencaster worked on all browsers. Now it's only on Chrome, which is very annoying. Anyway, once we can all set
Starting point is 02:24:05 that up, set a date, send them the Zencaster link. We both appear, and we talk, and I record it, And then, you know, I record it into audacity, which is, so I, well, I record it, that's not exactly true. I download the audio files from Zencastr, and then I, up, I, I import them into audacity and edit them. So audacity is a free audio editing program. And I don't do much editing. Like, I try to clean up, you know, I know that not all the audio is equally good, and
Starting point is 02:24:35 usually that's just because the person on the other end is in a very echoy room or, you know, very noisy microphone or something like that. And it's, it's, you try to clean it up, but you can't. You know, this is very, very difficult. But I do a little bit of that. And then, you know, I remove the coughs and whatever to the extent that I can. And then I record an intro and I upload it and it goes on the internet. And the whole thing, you know, it doesn't take that long, to be honest, you know,
Starting point is 02:25:02 it's not NPR, as I tell my guests. I don't put a lot of incidental music in there. I don't do a lot of editing of, like, cutting and pasting to put the conversation in a better order or anything like. that, what we say is 99% of what you hear, roughly speaking. So because, you know, as I know, as I've said, it's not, it's not what I want to mostly do from an hour and hour basis. The other than, sorry, I guess the other thing, the other major aspect here is that for some guests, I really have to catch up a little bit on what they're doing, right? I have to read their stuff or, you know, listen to them, give a talk or something like that, do research.
Starting point is 02:25:43 And that's a different amount. You know, obviously if I'm doing John Prescoe talking about quantum computing, I know enough. I don't need to do a lot of research ahead of time. But for other people, you know, I need to do some. That does take time, but that's part of the reason I'm doing the podcast. That was part of my self-motivation to nudge me into reading some of these books and learning some of these ideas that I wanted to for a long time. So other than that research aspect, the whole recording, organizing, editing, publishing takes a day, roughly speaking.
Starting point is 02:26:19 So one day a week, not including the AMA, which is a whole other thing, but one day a week I can get the podcast out, which is about the maximum, to be honest, that I would want to devote to this, unless I became like a full-time podcaster. But given that there's other things I want to do, writing books and doing science, right? One day a week is a pretty big commitment, actually, but it's not overwhelming. And that's why I'm usually doing these AMAs on weekends and so forth. So I think that that is almost everything there is to say about how the podcast gets done. Gregory Mendel says a priority question. Consider that you measure an electron spin along an Axis A in St. Louis. Spin up, you go to Los Angeles, spin down, you go to New York.
Starting point is 02:27:06 Your spouse subsequently measures the spin of the same alarm. electron along axis B and goes to Minneapolis if the spin up and to New Orleans if the spin is down. So if A equals B, I think you and your spouse are in this state, which is a superposition of, I went to L.A., my spouse went to Minneapolis, plus I went to New York, my spouse went to New Orleans, because they're measuring the same spin as I am along the same axis, right? So they're always going to get the same answer. It's just a single electron, not two entangled electrons. Now, the question continues, your best friend calls you and observes your location. Your spouse's best friend calls and observes your spouse's location. The friends correlate their
Starting point is 02:27:51 results, and they repeat for axes' combinations, yours and your spouses of A, B, A, A, C, and B, C. So these are different axes along which we could measure the spins. Question, is Bell's Inequality, and then he writes out Bell's Inequality, violated as per quantum mechanics, proving that you and your spouse were in two places at the same time or not. So, Gregory, I feel bad because I know there's a priority question, but I don't understand what it is you're asking. In the original formulation, you said that A was equal to B, but then later in the question, you seem to be leaving them as independent variables, where we have A, B, and C, B, different axes. So let me say things that I think are true, and hopefully they will provide
Starting point is 02:28:36 an answer to your question, even if it's not exactly matching on to the setup that you gave to the question. If you do this kind of experiment, so I presume you're saying that you're asking this question in the context of many worlds, you know, otherwise, if it's not, if it's just a Copenhagen question, then quantum mechanics is quantum mechanics, and you're going to get the predictions of quantum mechanics coming out true. Now, the short answer is, in many worlds, quantum mechanics, is still quantum mechanics, and you're going to get the predictions of quantum mechanics, namely you will violate bells inequality. Yes. But just to be clear about what happens, if my spouse and I measure electrons along different axes, then in general, there will be four branches to the wave function. So in your original setup, there's just two branches, one of which I go to L.A. and she goes to Minneapolis, the other one of which I go to New York and she goes to New Orleans. If they're not the same axis, there's going to be four branches.
Starting point is 02:29:36 is me, L.A., and her either Minneapolis or New Orleans, me, New York, and her likewise, right? So the total, and you have to do this many times to actually measure a probability, right, to even define what you mean by the measured outcome of the probability in axis A, axis B, etc. But given that understanding of what actually happens in many worlds, all the ordinary predictions of quantum mechanics are completely true, including the violation of Bell's inequality. And there's never true that we were in two places at the same time. We were in two different places on different branches of the wave function.
Starting point is 02:30:16 Okay. But that's just the wonderfulness of many worlds. You can get all of the quantum mechanical predictions out of this situation perfectly well. So maybe I'm missing something subtle that you're asking that question, but I hope that set of true things I just said about many worlds helps helps answer it. P.U. spelled P.I.U.
Starting point is 02:30:37 says priority question. If you could ask an all-knowing entity, any three questions about the universe we live in, what would they be? Again, I'm going to apologize because it's the priority question, but I don't have a great answer. I want to know what the laws of physics are.
Starting point is 02:30:53 Okay, can I answer? See, that's the problem with these all-knowing entity questions. Like, are they a generous, charitable entity who would interpret my question in a useful way? if so, I would ask what the actual laws of physics are, right? And hopefully that would include a knowledge of the ontology of the universe, what the universe is, in addition to how it behaves, right, the actual laws of physics. Then I might ask a cosmological question about, you know,
Starting point is 02:31:20 well, actually, my second question would be, are there objective moral truths? Because I'm pretty sure the answer is no, but if the answer is yes, which would surprise me, but I'm open-minded, then my third question would be, well, and what are those? But if not, I would probably default to a third question of something like, what happened at the Big Bang or what happened, what is the history of the universe? Like, I mean, how long can the answer be, right?
Starting point is 02:31:44 Like, tell me everything that happened to history of the universe would be a question you'd be tempted to answer, but to ask, but then they might go on for too long, so you would want some algorithmically compressed version of that question to be asked. Greg Fife says, at this time, what is your Bayesian assessment of the possibility that the Fermilab G-Mas-2 result actually demonstrates new physics? If it does turn out to be new physics, do you have any view on what that will most likely turn out to be? So remember, we talked about the G-minus-2 result in my solo podcast from a few weeks ago, the muon magnetic moment experiment at Fermilab. I think that right now I'm in a place that says it is less likely to be new physics than not. And that has nothing to do with the actual experiment or the experimenters, and more to do with we've been down this road before, right?
Starting point is 02:32:40 There's been a lot of claimed anomalies in the standard model of particle physics. None of them have really panned out. Remember, if I'm remembering correctly, and hopefully you also do, the situation with the Fermi lab results, is that the experiment is pretty clean, like they really have measured the magnetic moment of the electron, of the muon, rather. The difficult thing is the theoretical prediction,
Starting point is 02:33:03 because in that calculation, there are contributions from strongly interacting particles, right? Quarks and gluons. And those are hard to get right, and it turns out there are two different theoretical predictions for those contributions. One of them, the one that is the one that was used in the analysis
Starting point is 02:33:26 gives you that discrepancy that they claim between theory and experiment. But there's another calculation done with lattice QCD which actually kind of agrees with the experimental result. So if you're looking for a way that the result might actually not be new physics, it's pretty obvious what it would be that the theory prediction is just a little bit off.
Starting point is 02:33:48 For what it might could be, if it is new physics, I don't know. I don't have a favorite example of what it might turn out to be. I think that there'll be an embarrassment of riches. So I don't even have a strong candidate for what the most likely thing is to be. The next two questions I'm grouping together and they're kind of related to that one because they're about virtual particles and quantum fields. So Cooper says, Quantum Magazine ran an article about the results of a recent muon G-minus-2 experiment, which included this quote, the particle you thought was a bare muon is actually. a muon plus a cloud of other things that appear spontaneously. I've always imagined that quantum foam is something that exists everywhere, regardless of the local presence of any real particles. This quote, however, makes it sound like virtual particles only exist in clouds around real particles. Is the quantum foam something the particles travel through,
Starting point is 02:34:41 or is it something is created by the local presence of a particle? So it's both, is the short answer. The longer but more accurate answer is that the whole picture, of the quantum vacuum as consisting of these particles popping in and out of existence is deeply misleading, still a remnant of our insistence on thinking of the world as something visualizable and classical rather than quantum states of fields, which it really is. But to get to the essence of your question, in quantum field theory, oh, I'm sorry, I forgot to ask the other question. The next question by Peter Whaley is, it's my understanding that particles like photons
Starting point is 02:35:21 are perturbations in the electromagnetic field. My question is, what makes the disturbance in the field if it's particles, what came first? The chicken or the field? Okay, so I'm going to answer that implicitly while I'm answering Cooper's question. The world has made of fields in the quantum field theory limit anyway.
Starting point is 02:35:40 Gravity is probably a different story, but what we're talking about here in particle physics, there are fields that you quantize, and there's a quantum state called the vacuum. which is the lowest energy state of your quantum field theory, and particles are excitations into higher energy states of the fields in that quantum field theory. And when you ask what is the quantum vacuum, I mean, there's a simple, dumb, but correct answer,
Starting point is 02:36:07 which is it's the lowest energy state of your quantum field theory. But in fact, there's another way of thinking about the vacuum state, which makes it much more complicated and interesting, which is to think about it in terms of what the field are doing. So what that really means is if I probed the field, if I poked at it and said, what happens, or if I measured the value of the different fields at different points in space and time with different resolutions, et cetera, there's a very complicated structure to what's going on even in the vacuum, even in what you and I call empty space. And you can think about, you're not
Starting point is 02:36:43 forced to, but you can think about that structure as arising from virtual particles, hopping in and out of existence. Again, all of that is just in empty space. But now, let's go to a non-vacuum state, a state with a little bit of an excitation, a particle traveling through the vacuum. There are already all of these virtual particles in the vacuum in this picture, but now there's also a real particle,
Starting point is 02:37:10 and the real particle interacts with the virtual particles. So you can think about it either way. You can think about it as the real particle is traveling through a pre-existing cloud of virtual particles and interacting with them and being affected by them. Or the real particle traveling is just spitting out and then reabsorbing virtual particles and then being affected by those. Those are two perfectly good ways of thinking about it either way, right? So you will often hear physicists who know the math underlying this.
Starting point is 02:37:44 They'll talk about it either way, depending on... what is most convenient for the purposes they're talking about at the time. And, you know, this is something you should always keep in the back of your mind. Physicists who do quantum field theory, et cetera, blah, blah, blah, are constantly translating math into words. And the language is never perfect. The translation is never exact. So much of the time, not all the time, but much of the time,
Starting point is 02:38:11 when you hear two things that sound a little bit incompatible, it's just that the words that are being used for the translation. are slightly different in the two different cases. Okay. A person who has named themselves anti-de-shitter space is asking a priority question. In your podcast with Max Tegmark, he proposes the mathematical multiverse, in which our universe is just one of many mathematical structures, all of which are equally real. As a non-physicist, I often wonder how ideas like this arise.
Starting point is 02:38:41 When a physicist proposes an idea like this, does it originate from some physical intuition, an attempt to be original or something else? What credence should we or can we assign to theories that are not testable? You know, I think the general question of where new hypotheses in science arise is a good one and a hard one. It's a combination of psychology and sociology and science, right?
Starting point is 02:39:08 You know, where does creativity come from, for that matter? I don't think, you know, when you say an attempt to be original, that's sort of, there's a positive valence to that and negative valence. You're not going to propose a theory that's not original, because someone already proposed it, right? It's not that it's not a good idea, but they've already proposed that one. So it's not that you're attempting to be original, but you're attempting to get to the truth.
Starting point is 02:39:30 And maybe the ideas that currently exist, maybe none of them is the truth. So you want to be original in the sense that you're proposing a new idea that has some non-zero chance of being true. That's a perfectly valid motivation to have when you're doing these. As to why you pick the specific hypotheses to look at, yeah, physical intuition has to come into it. And again, it goes back to what Lee Smolin and I discussed, and I just talked about right now, different in Simon Deo and I discussed, different people bring different intuitions to the table or different commitments to different precious principles, right? One of the great things about Lee Smolin is he's more upfront about what his most important,
Starting point is 02:40:14 principles are. I don't agree with his principles, but they're his principles, and he's clear about them, which I think is a good thing to be. In terms of assigning credence to theories that are not testable, I don't know. I mean, I don't think that's a very good philosophy of science attitude to have. You know, we should be Bayesian's. We should say, we assign priors to different hypotheses about the universe based on whatever criteria it is that we use to assign priors. And priors need not be universally shared. You're entitled to your own priors, but not to your own likelihoods. Different people value different things differently. Simplicity, fruitfulness, comprehensiveness, and those will affect their priors. But then we all agree on how the priors
Starting point is 02:40:59 are updated when we get new evidence. We try our best to say where the likelihood of that evidence would be under the different theories assigned to the priors, and we move forward from there. But the evidence can take on different forms. Sometimes it will be experimental data. Sometimes it will be new theoretical insights. Sometimes it will be realizing that, oh, this theory is actually more complicated or more vague than I thought, right? That counts as new evidence that you can use to update your priors. So that's the way I'd like to think about thinking about evaluating theories rather than just saying this very, very crude idea, this is testable, this is not.
Starting point is 02:41:41 more complicated than that. Eli Graham says, priority question. It seems to me that quantum physics and the philosophical movement of phenomenology, Husserl, Heidegger, Merleau-Ponty, etc., appeared and developed at about the same time in the same intellectual climate. Do you think quantum physics and phenomenology influenced each other? So when I first read the question, my answer that I was tempted to give was, nope, they did not, at least in the direction of phenomenology
Starting point is 02:42:10 in this sense of continental philosophy phenomenology influencing quantum mechanics. What influenced quantum mechanics was black body radiation and the spectrum of the hydrogen atom and things like that. But that would have been bad. I'm glad I didn't just give that answer because the true answer is I don't know.
Starting point is 02:42:28 And in fact, it's perfectly possible that there was influence in either direction. And I just don't know the history of it well enough. But, you know, I did realize, I forget what I've said this on the podcast, but I did amusingly, I think I tweeted it. I was for some weird reason reading about Taoism. And one of the web pages I was reading about it mentioned that Neals Bohr was knighted or got, you got some sort of honor in Denmark. And as a result, he got to design his own coat of arms. And he decided to, in his coat of arms, include the
Starting point is 02:43:12 yin-yang symbol because he was thinking about complementarity in quantum mechanics, right? Particles versus waves or position versus momentum, two things that cannot be simultaneously described at the same time, but are both different aspects of the same underlying thing. The point of all that is that these people were highly educated, right? This is back when the center of physics, was still in Europe, not in the United States. And these people all had philosophy educations, different levels of sophistication, but nevertheless, it would not be at all impossible to imagine
Starting point is 02:43:47 that ideas being put forward by the philosophers of the time did seep into the space of possibilities that were being considered to explain the data by physicists. So I don't know what the answer actually is, but I'm willing to imagine that there was a connection there. Anonymous says, are you optimistic or pessimistic that the USA and the world will meet the required greenhouse gas reduction targets in time? If pessimistic, do you sometimes think about whether you, as a smart person with a large network and a large audience, could do more to steer it in the right direction, e.g. with your choice of guests or the question you asks, etc. So I'm pessimistic that we're going to reach our required greenhouse gas reduction targets.
Starting point is 02:44:36 You know, it's very, the track record is not encouraging, right? I mean, some governments are into it, some are not. Those governments change with times. You can never predict 10 years from now what different countries are going to be doing. However, then you ask, you know, could I do more to steer it in the right direction? Well, it's hard. Like if I really thought that there was something I could do fairly straightforwardly that would have a noticeable effect on the direction of the world and climate change,
Starting point is 02:45:05 then I would do it. And we've had people talking on the podcast about climate change. Naomi Oreskes, Michael Mann, Ramaz Nam. But I suspect that in terms of the question, we should do something or we shouldn't, I suspect I'm mostly preaching to the converted here, right? I suspect that most people, not all, but most people listening to this podcast, appreciate the importance of the dangers of climate change and the importance of doing something about it. I mean, it makes me think about authors with Twitter accounts, and I know that I'm one of them, but, you know, when an author has a new book out, they can't help.
Starting point is 02:45:47 But on their Twitter account, just talking about their book all the time. And I get it. They're trying to reach new people and make them by the book. The problem is they're reaching the same thing. people over and over again. They're not reaching a new set of people with every tweet. Likewise with me in the podcast. I have my audience, but it's the same audience.
Starting point is 02:46:03 Every time I say this thing, saying it more and more often reaches a point of diminishing returns very strongly. And honestly, what is it that people can do to help with climate change? Like I've said this before, here in the United States, which is the
Starting point is 02:46:19 conditions I know best, the single most effective thing you can do to help fight climate change is get Democrats elected into office. We have strong political polarization in this country where if party A takes a position, party B reflexively takes the opposite position.
Starting point is 02:46:37 And Democrats, roughly speaking, are on the side of trying to do something about climate change, and Republicans, roughly speaking, are not. That's much more, and any individual person can't do that much on those directions either, but it's more than, you know,
Starting point is 02:46:52 recycling or turning off your light bulbs or even driving a lightbulbs or even driving an electric car is likely to do. I think that these are problems that require systematic solutions, not valorous individual choices. And the way that the systematic solutions are going to be implemented is through governments. Get a government in place that wants to solve the problem.
Starting point is 02:47:11 And then, you know, once that's done, then you can tweak it, right? Like, even if a government is more, even if a political party is more devoted than the opposition party, it still doesn't mean they're as devoted as they should be. so you can still try to pressure them once they're in office. Okay, Charles Hertz says, priority question. One of the touted benefits of the concept of inflation, cosmological inflation, not economic inflation,
Starting point is 02:47:36 is that it solves the horizon problem. I know some people like Roger Penrose don't believe in inflation, and I think that you've said in the past, you're 50-50 on it. Suppose that evidence, empirical or theoretical, is found that clearly to your satisfaction completely discredits the concept of inflation. can you speculate on what other kinds of processes or events might then need to be brought into play to solve the horizon problem? That's a very good question, and the short answer is no. I don't have any good second option, right?
Starting point is 02:48:08 And, you know, I don't like the horizon or flatness problem. That's something maybe you can talk about on the podcast. I have blogged about it before. I don't, the early universe is in a finely tuned state compared to our natural expectations of what it might be. That is a statement that I agree with. But how to characterize what the fine-tuning is, I don't think that either the horizon or the flatness problems are very good ways of doing that, as I've written about before. But it is fine-tuned, and the universe is smooth at early times. That's really the problem.
Starting point is 02:48:38 Why is it smooth? Inflation would make it smooth if it began, and my problem with inflation is I don't know why it ever began in the first place. But whatever thing caused inflation maybe to begin, whether it's some feature of the wave function of the universe, some quantum gravity thing, or some other dynamical mechanism, maybe it could have skipped the step of leading to inflation
Starting point is 02:48:59 and just given us a big, smooth universe. When I say big, I mean like a centimeter across. When you take our observable universe and you extrapolate it back in time, it reaches the expansion rate was the plank scale, if there's no inflation, the expansion rate was the plank scale, scale, or let me say it this way, when the expansion rate was the plank scale, the size of our
Starting point is 02:49:25 currently observable universe was about a centimeter across or a millimeter or something like that. And the problem is, even though that seems small for our whole observable universe, it's an enormously big size compared to any particle physics length scale, like the plank scale or the proton mass or whatever. So that's why I say make a big universe that is smooth. I mean a centimeter sized universe. That's one of the wonderful things about inflation is that you could plausibly begin the universe a plank size across and then inflate it up to be a centimeter across
Starting point is 02:49:56 and make our universe that way. But we don't know if it's true or not. And I don't even have any second favorite option. Sandro Stuckey says, my question is about MOX principle. I've heard it stated as something like the large-scale distribution of mass influences your rotation frame,
Starting point is 02:50:12 rotation reference frame, or mass out there influences inertia here. These don't make sense to me. It seems to me that even if there were no stars and planets out there, I could still feel the difference between myself spinning and remaining at rest. So, Sandra, I'm here to help you, because I know the answer to this one. Mock's principle is wrong. That's the answer. Mock's principle, and you know, you're not at fault for having heard it stated in different ways
Starting point is 02:50:40 because Mach never was very clear about it, and other people tried to make up statements that would be a principle that more or less corresponded to his ideas, and they were never completely in agreement. But it was an inspiration for Einstein, when he was inventing general relativity, the whole idea that there was a relationship
Starting point is 02:50:58 between matter and energy in the universe and space time in the universe. Okay, that was the very general idea that helped him go all the way to general relativity in which the curvature of space time is influenced by matter and energy. But the actual idea that the reference frame that counts as rotating versus non-rotating, for example,
Starting point is 02:51:23 is somehow set by matter far away, is just not part of general relativity. Once you're at general relativity, you don't need Mach's principle anymore. Like you're intuiting here or implying, there are solutions in general relativity without matter in them at all, and yet there's still a difference between rotating and not rotating.
Starting point is 02:51:43 So forget about Mach's principle. It was historically interesting. It's no longer relevant to modern physics. Okay, I have two questions about free will and the block universe. Siddhartha says, are libertarian free will and a block universe mutually exclusive? We can only have libertarian free will if the future is yet to be determined, while in a block universe the future is already set in stone, are these ideas compatible? Redbeard says, what distinguishes the block universe from someone at the end of time with a knowledge of history?
Starting point is 02:52:15 I ask because one has nothing to say about fate or free will and the other has been interpreted to preclude free will. Is there a philosophical difference between me knowing my history at the end of my life and the block universe view of my life? So, of course, I'm going to interpret both of these questions as asking about libertarian free will, which is the idea that we human beings are not completely subject to the law of physics, to the laws of physics. Somewhat we are, our centers of mass are subject to the laws of physics, but our choices made in our brains are not. And I think this is a silly idea.
Starting point is 02:52:52 I think that we are subject to the laws of physics. And in fact, I'm not at all sure what the idea even means. As I've said before in other contexts, if a human being was found to be behaving in some way, that was clearly in violation of laws of physics, what I would do is change my idea what the laws of physics were. And then I would come up with some better laws of physics that included that human behavior. I wouldn't just say, oh, there are no laws that can explain this.
Starting point is 02:53:21 Laws might involve probabilities or whatever, but I'm honestly not sure how to even define what might be meant by libertarian free will in a way that would make it a sensible notion that you could oppose to laws of physics-based universes. Okay, having said all that, I think that most conceptions of free will are mutually exclusive with the block universe. The block universe comes about, well, you know, okay, it's going to depend on what do you mean by a block universe.
Starting point is 02:53:58 Oh, yeah, it is going to depend on what you mean by a block universe at all. I mean, the original idea of the block universe was in a deterministic, context, okay? So it was really where you thought that you could be Laplace's demon, know everything about the universe now, and from that extrapolate what would be in the future. So, Siddhartha, as you said in the, I might not have read this correctly, but you said in the question, the future is already set in probabilistic stone. You can't say that. It's set in stone means it's deterministic. You can't be set in probabilistic stone, okay? So usually the block universe idea goes hand in hand with being truly deterministic. There are subtleties there, like if you're a
Starting point is 02:54:39 many worlds person, the wave function of the universe evolves deterministically, but the apparent evolution that is actually observed by individual observers is not deterministic. So you have to finesse it a little bit. It's not a block universe with a single space time. It's a block wave function. It's a single wave function that is determined there. But anyway, if there are laws of physics, probabilistic or not, then there's not libertarian free will. Libertarian free will is the ability to violate the laws of physics. So those ideas are mutually incompatible.
Starting point is 02:55:17 To Redbeard's question, someone at the end of time with knowledge of history, I'm not quite sure what the relevance of a person at the end of time with knowledge has anything to do with it. the idea of the block universe really it matters that the future of the block is in some sense inherent implicit in what is going on right now so the block universe is more than just the idea that you wait infinitely long and then you get a universe okay like everyone agrees with that like even if you're not a block universe person if you're a presentist you can believe that you know you wait until the end of time if that's a sensible concept, and then you say what happened. You write a history book.
Starting point is 02:56:01 The Block Universe idea is really, like I said, it goes hand in hand with the idea that the future is implicit in the present. And in that case, you don't need to know about what the future is going to be, and it's a case that is distinguished from cases where
Starting point is 02:56:19 either you have indeterministic laws of physics or you don't have laws of physics at all because you have libertarian free will. In those cases, the future is not fixed in terms of the present, and so the Block Universe's idea doesn't quite fit as well, even if a person at the end of time would have all the knowledge of it. Okay, not quite sure I did a very good job explaining those things, but hopefully the essence came through.
Starting point is 02:56:45 Alas, poor York says, the connections between physics and philosophy are fascinating, and yet it feels to me fairly crucial to a scientific temperament, sorry, and it feels to me fairly crucial to a scientific temperament, yet my physicist colleagues seem to relish a wholesale rejection of the entire broad tradition of philosophy. I'm often trying to get these friends to take philosophy beyond a vague impression of Karl Popper and politics other than naive technocracy seriously. I was wondering if you had any thoughts on where this antagonism comes from and how to counter it,
Starting point is 02:57:18 as it seems quite pervasive and popular among famous scientists who should know better. Yeah, you know, I think this is a good question, especially because it doesn't seem, so number one, I agree that there is, broadly speaking, some hostility in physics circles to philosophy. In some, that's a very overly simplistic statement, but there's some truth to it. But it doesn't seem to be constant over time, right? As I just said, 100 years ago, the people who you identify as the leading physicists of their generation were deeply interested in philosophy. and philosophy questions. And they would have thought it bizarre
Starting point is 02:57:56 to think otherwise. Certainly in the past, if you go to Boltzman or Maxwell, much less Newton and Galileo and Laplace, these people could barely see the difference between physics and philosophy, right? So it's a somewhat recent phenomenon. And it's not entirely wrong
Starting point is 02:58:14 to co-locate the phenomenon with the transition of the center of the world of physics from Europe to the United States. So there is a cheap but maybe somewhat relevant fact that Americans have a different attitude about these things than Europeans did. Americans are more direct, pragmatic, gung-ho, get it done, don't ask too many questions. And that is an attitude that actually fits very comfortably into modern physics, right? which is kind of ironic.
Starting point is 02:58:50 The idea, because, you know, physicists think about weird things, wave functions of the universe, superstrings, the multiverse, whatever. But given that subject matter, physicists tend to be pretty down to earth about it. You know, they want to know what is the payoff. You know, if you're familiar with pragmatism, right, this American philosophical tradition of pragmatism, which not exactly accurately, but, but. to give you some of the flavor of it, is sometimes acquainted with the notion
Starting point is 02:59:20 of the cash value of ideas. The pragmatist vision of truth of an idea was, what usefulness does it have in the bigger picture purpose that I have? So if your bigger picture purpose is predicting the outcomes of physics experiments, and your view of truth is essentially pragmatic,
Starting point is 02:59:42 what is the cash value of these ideas, then you can see how you would be, pointed in the direction of ignoring philosophical questions, to the extent that those philosophical questions didn't help you predict the outcomes of physics experiments. Now, I don't know if this is actually historically accurate. I don't know how valid this is as an explanation for the hostility of modern physics to philosophy, but maybe it has part to do with it. How to counter it? You know, part of it is, there's a whole other thing going on. which goes back to our discussion of intellectualism, which is that there is a difference between
Starting point is 03:00:23 being devoted to a particular field of intellectual inquiry and being devoted to intellectual inquiry for its own sake, right? Just like there's a difference in politics or in society between there's a difference between being devoted to making sure that your group gets the rights and privileges that it should be afforded versus being devoted to the idea that all groups should get the rights and privileges that they should be afforded, right? And in the case of intellectual effort, again,
Starting point is 03:00:57 it's perfectly valid either way. You can get a lot of progress just by being narrow-minded and sticking, or at least narrowly focused, let me put it that way, and sticking to the interests of your sub-discipline. And so the other thing to keep in mind is not America versus Europe and physics and philosophy, but just the hyper-specialization of the academy, right?
Starting point is 03:01:18 As knowledge has grown to be influential and productive as a knowledge producer requires increasing specialization. And so being appreciative of the perspectives and values and techniques of other fields is generally becoming devalued, right? And it's not just physics and philosophy. You can pick out other subfields just as well. So, you know, and I say this, and by the way, you should take everything I say in these discussions with a grain of salt, because I have a dog in the fight. I am very, very devoted to interdisciplinary discussions.
Starting point is 03:01:58 I am very, very frustrated by the fact that the rest of the academy does not share my interest in these things all the time. many administrators or whatever talk a good game when it comes to interdisciplinary engagement. But the way that we do the organization of universities in the modern world is department by department. And departments are self-perpetuating. The hiring and promotion of new professors is at the 98% level done by the professors in a department that already exists. So you can say, oh, wouldn't it be nice to hire someone who crossed over departments, but it's really hard to do in practice. And this leads to the increasing siloization of the academy.
Starting point is 03:02:48 And so that's a whole other thing that probably feeds into this. But look, everything I'm just saying right now is vague anecdotal speculation. These kinds of questions are hard, and to do them seriously, you have to do some real work in, I don't know, history, sociology, of academia, and that is not my area of expertise, I'm afraid. Sorry, the other part of the question was how to persuade them to think otherwise. You know, there's two angles to take. You know, one, sorry, point zero is, is it worth trying to persuade them that philosophy is interesting or useful?
Starting point is 03:03:31 Just like people on the other side of a political divide or any other. highly polarized divide, you first have to decide whether the person you're talking to is open-minded. If they're just devoted to their position, then don't waste your time, right? But I think there are a lot of people who are dismissive of philosophy or other areas of intellectual inquiry more generally who just don't know anything about them but might be open-minded if they did. So then the two points I wanted to make about that are, number one, point out that there are some tiny parts of
Starting point is 03:04:05 physics, where philosophy is important, but point two, most of physics and most of philosophy are separate, but nevertheless valid. So in other words, it is simultaneously true that if you're doing something like
Starting point is 03:04:24 thinking about the measurement problem in quantum mechanics, thinking about the role of probability in cosmology, thinking about the origin of the arrow of time, these are very, very valid, obviously, interesting physics problems for which philosophy has a lot to say, and philosophy really is useful. At the same time, there are plenty of physics problems for which philosophy is not useful. That's just obvious. So there's like no necessary connection between physics and philosophy.
Starting point is 03:04:50 If you want to calculate a Feynman diagram, you don't call a philosopher. And at the same time, there's a lot of philosophy questions that have no impact on physics, morality, ethics, aesthetics, right? They're intrinsically interesting in their own right. even though I want to stand up for the usefulness of philosophy to certain circumscribed parts of physics, that's not why I think philosophy is interesting. Philosophy is interesting because philosophy is interesting, just like physics is interesting, because physics is interesting. That's the attitude that I would mostly push on.
Starting point is 03:05:24 But there are other people who are going to be more persuaded by the fact that, oh, if you want to understand the nature of entropy in the era of time, you better talk to some philosophers, because they have been more clear-headed about those questions than physicists have, traditionally and recently. Frederick Kloch-Kloch-Loritz says, I've heard you mention that many worlds doesn't have any philosophical implications. I think what you mean is moral or ethical implications, but I get it. How about a case where a person is given the choice to sacrifice themselves to save humanity? If the person believes that this universe is all there is, they would be inclined to sacrifice
Starting point is 03:06:00 themselves, because the alternative is the end of humanity in a final and absolute sense. But if they knew that there was a near-infant amount of other worlds where humanity would continue on, then the person wouldn't have to worry as much about destroying humanity because this is just one world out of many. Well, so I think that doesn't work. There is, as I said in something deeply hidden and elsewhere, there is a version of morality in which many worlds does matter. It's basically sort of a non-linear version of morality. If you don't care about the average value of things, but you put an absolute value on things.
Starting point is 03:06:35 Like if you put an absolute value just on, if you were a utilitarian, for example, sorry, no, utilitarianism doesn't work. What works? If you think that there are some things that could happen that would be sort of absolute evils, so evil that it didn't matter no matter how many other good things happened.
Starting point is 03:06:54 So it's the opposite of being utilitarian. If there were certain things that you never, ever, ever, ever, ever want to occur, then you would try in the many worlds interpretation, not just to make them unlikely, but to make them sort of impossible in any world, right? Am I getting that right? I don't think I'm saying this very, very correctly. But the point is, I can imagine cooking up very sort of artificial sounding versions of moral codes that would, it would in fact be influenced. by many worlds. Oh, yes, I remember. Okay, yes. Sorry, I'm getting the example wrong. Here's the
Starting point is 03:07:36 example that I came up with in something deeply hidden. Imagine that your highest value was equality. In other words, you don't care how rich people are, and we're just going to use money as a proxy for a value in this case. You don't care how rich people are. What you care about is that they're all equally rich, right? And then someone comes up to you and proposes a thought experiment. No, proposed a real experiment. They're a multi-trillionaire, very, very wealthy, and they say, we'll measure a spin of a particle, and if it's spin up, I will give every human being a dollar.
Starting point is 03:08:12 And if it's spin down, I will give every human being $2. Okay. Now, in ordinary quantum mechanics, you would say, sure, take that. I would let you do that. I get either a dollar or $2, and so does everyone else. Everyone benefits. If you were a utilitarian and you believed in many worlds, then you would also say, yeah, sure. You know, in one world, everyone gets a dollar and everyone in the other world, everyone gets two dollars, all good.
Starting point is 03:08:39 But if for some reason you had this cockamamie moral theory that says that inequality is intrinsically bad even across the multiverse, then you would say it's bad that in some part of the multiverse, people get one dollar and in the other part they get $2. And therefore, I will not let you do this experiment at all. everyone gets zero dollars, that keeps them equal, right? Okay. That's a very, very silly moral code, I think, but it is an example of how in principle many worlds could matter. Now, I don't think that works for the example that you're giving in this sort of given the choice to sacrifice themselves to save humanity. So, I mean, you didn't phrase the way, the thought experiment in a way the quantum mechanics has anything to do with it.
Starting point is 03:09:28 So if you're just given, if someone holds a gun to your head and says, you know, I have a trigger that will destroy the universe and either you let me kill you or I do the trigger and everyone dies. You know, by the way, if everyone dies, why not just sacrifice yourself? I don't see the, you know, you're not getting advantage out of this for not sacrificing yourselves. But okay, let's say that you were sort of cowardly and didn't want to do that. There's no quantum in there. There's no branches of the wave function in there. There's one branch. And in that branch, you will either save the humanity or not.
Starting point is 03:10:04 Okay. So what you need to imagine is that there's some probability, that some quantum probability that the universe is sacrificed, right? So would you sacrifice yourself to give the population of the earth a 50% chance of dying or being saved versus not sacrifice? Sorry, yeah, I think the right way to do it is if you sacrifice yourself, there's 100% chance that no one dies. If you don't sacrifice yourself, there's a 50% chance that everyone dies, right? And a 50% chance they don't, because then you can actually have something to weigh against the different occurrences and different branches of the wave function. So, but in that case, I would argue, you know, just as I argued in the book, it's the analysis. is exactly like a single world in which there's just a probability of it, right? So for me, and maybe not for other people, depending on your moral code, but for me, there is no difference between a scenario in which there's a branch of the wave function in
Starting point is 03:11:16 which everyone lives and an equally sizable branch in which everyone dies, and a 50-50 chance in a single world of everyone living in anyone dying. So that's a vivid difference conceptually, but I think it doesn't make any difference to me actually in the actions I would take to save the world. Because for exactly the reason that if you're going to be, if you're going to believe in many worlds, then you believe that for people living in that universe,
Starting point is 03:11:47 their experiences are exactly the same as people who live in a single universe where these things happen with a certain probability. So it's very much like the quantum suicide experiment where you say, well, you know, if I die in a certain branch, I don't know, I only experience life in the branches where I'm alive. That's not valid analysis in my mind,
Starting point is 03:12:09 because, as we said before, in a different context, right now, before the experiment is carried out, I care whether I'm going to survive or not. If there were a classical world and someone says, you know, would you mind if you were killed instantly and painlessly, I'd say yes. And the fact that I won't be around to regret it is completely beside the point. I would regret right now the prospect of no longer existing. And that's just as true in the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. Now, others might disagree. Okay. So again, this is stuff where it requires thought
Starting point is 03:12:47 because the metaphysics of Everettian quantum mechanics is very different than our usual way of thinking. So by all means, think hard about this. I'm not going to say that I've given you the final answer, but that is how I think about it. Hilbert Spaceman says, what would constitute experimental evidence that Schrodinger's equation does not always hold? For example, why isn't every measurement of a spin evidence of this? Well, the answer why every spin measurement is not evidence of that is that in many worlds, Schrodinger's equation does always hold, and yet it predicts exactly what we see in spin measurements, right? So clearly by itself, that is not evidence.
Starting point is 03:13:26 What it's evidence for is that in our branch of the wave function, we cannot explain what happens by assuming that we see the whole result of the Schrodinger equation holding. We're only seeing part of the result. But what you would need for evidence that Schrodinger's equation doesn't hold is to see wave functions violate the Schrodinger equation without being observed, right? without being measured, without being decohered, without becoming entangled with the rest of the world.
Starting point is 03:13:55 When we, in the real world, do a measurement, we entangle things with the rest of the world. You can do experiments where you wait for things to violate the Schrodinger equation, even though they're not being observed. And, you know, if a wave function spontaneously localizes, that would have experimental impacts. Energy would not be conserved in a very obvious way, for example. So, you know, you need to be careful that you're not secretly disturbing the system, but that's always going to be the case when you're trying to do a careful physics experiment. You need to be careful. Fred Alexander says, would you consider allowing one of your Patreon members to interview you for a Mindscape episode?
Starting point is 03:14:36 I would consider it. I'm not sure. You know, what I, what I, what makes me pause about that is not that it's not an interesting idea. but I'm not sure if it distinguishes itself from what we're doing right now with the AMAs, right? Like in the AMAs, in some sense, you're getting an interview of me from 100 different Patreon members, each asking one question each. So I'm not sure there's a lot of value added to that, plus there would be set up involved. But again, like many other things, I have enormous appreciation for the Patreon supporters here.
Starting point is 03:15:15 if there is a huge well of support for an idea like that, I would take it seriously. Let's put it that way. DMI says, doesn't the Re-Schleider theorem resolve the black hole information paradox? And there's a longer, if you want to go to the website and go to Patreon and look at the question being asked, there's a much longer explanation of what he means by that. The re-slider theorem is basically just the idea that, well, it's stated in a particularly fantastical sounding way, but what it comes down to is the fact that in a quantum field theory, every little bit of a quantum field in one location of space shares some amount of entanglement,
Starting point is 03:15:56 even if it's a very tiny amount, with a bit of the quantum field in the vacuum state, this is all for the vacuum state, at any other point in space. So you pick two points in space, take a small region around them, a cubic centimeter or whatever. There are fields inside them, and it is a feature of the quantum vacuum state that they are entangled. Maybe only a little bit of entanglement, but there's some entanglement between those quantum fields. And as a result of that,
Starting point is 03:16:23 the Reischlider theorem says, if I project onto the field in one region of space in exactly the right way, I can turn the rest of the wave function of the universe and do essentially whatever I want. Okay. Now, that's a little bit misleading because of the verbs in there
Starting point is 03:16:43 don't actually correspond to things you're actually allowed to do. So if I have to make things simpler, just take a single particle, right? Which is spin up plus spin down, an electron that is in a superposition of spin up and spin down. And I measure the spin.
Starting point is 03:16:58 What happens when I measure the spin is there's a probability I will see it spin up and a probability I will see it spin down. And after I can describe that by saying I projected onto the spin up, part or the spin down part. The problem is that you can't ahead of time decide which thing to do. In other words, if your electron is in a superposition of spin up and spin down, you can't say ahead of time, I'm going to measure it and get spin up. If you could, then you could do superluminal
Starting point is 03:17:32 communication between Alice and Bob having entangled particles, right? I mean, I think this is the thing that people implicitly suspect you can do. when they think that entanglement leads to superluminal communication. If Alice and Bob have two particles and they're entangled in opposite directions, so they're anti-parallel, then the correct thing to say is, Alice measures her spin, it's either up or down, Bob measures his spin, it's either up or down. They're correlated if one is up, the other's down, but they don't know. Neither one of them know the answer that the other one got, right?
Starting point is 03:18:06 if Alice was able to measure her spin in a way that guaranteed that she could get spin up, then Bob could measure his spin, and he would always get spin down, and if he did that with 100 spins, he would go, aha, they're all spin down, Alice is sending me a message, right? But Alice can't do that, so typically they'll get 50-50 on both of them. So likewise, in the Rie Shlider theorem, there is something that can happen in the cubic centimeter of spin, space that you look at, that in principle, if that thing happened, would cause the rest of the state of the universe to change in an incredibly dramatic way. The example it's often given is you could make the Taj Mahal appear on the moon, okay? But you can't force it to happen. You can't
Starting point is 03:18:54 choose to make that happen. There is a thing that could make that happen, but it's incredibly extraordinarily super duper unlikely. That's why these things don't ever happen in the real world, Okay. So the question about resolving the black hole information paradox, if I tried DMI to understand your longer version of the question, but maybe like everyone else I'm misunderstanding it, the Richeliter theorem implies that there is entanglement between degrees of freedom inside the black hole and degrees of freedom outside the black hole. That's true. But that doesn't help you get information out, right? That's the point. The point is you want to get the information. about the quantum state of systems out of the black hole. And if you just believe the most naive version of what happens in space time, the part of the quantum state that is inside the black hole hits the singularity and disappears.
Starting point is 03:19:51 And what you're left with outside is a mixed quantum state that has just had the information about what fell in erased, right? It's the equivalent of, you know, Alice falls into the black hole. Bob has a spin, and after Alice falls in in the black hole evaporates, Bob's spin is 50% up and 50% down, but the exact entanglement with Alice's spin is just lost forever.
Starting point is 03:20:17 So that's the information loss puzzle. So Reisch Lider relies on the fact that there's entanglement, but that's not nearly enough to help you get the information out, roughly speaking. Rebecca Lashua says, on the internal inflation Wikipedia page, it says the inflationary phase of the universe's expansion lasts forever throughout most of the universe.
Starting point is 03:20:39 Does that mean that some finite distance from the Earth, there's a patch of space time undergoing exponentially fast expansion or are the parts of the universe undergoing inflation disconnected from our universe in some way? Yeah, usually, you know, eternal inflation is not perfectly well understood,
Starting point is 03:20:55 so there's details in different versions of the scenario, but roughly speaking, the idea is that, that, yes, some finite distance away from the Earth, there should be a patch of spacetime undergoing exponentially fast expansion. In fact, in most versions of this, most of the volume of the universe is undergoing exponentially fast expansion in eternal inflation, if eternal inflation's happening at all.
Starting point is 03:21:21 They are usually outside our causal horizon. So it's not that they're disconnected physically, but we can never get there. You know, we could never get there even if we started the speed of light and moved right now. Gillis 15 says, although the events were detected by LIGO and Virgo in 2020, a new paper just released confirms for the first time a black hole neutron star merger. Would the black hole be able to tear apart the neutron star as the star spiraled in, or would the neutron star cross the event horizon hole?
Starting point is 03:21:52 So this is an interesting astrophysical question, and I'm addressing it not because I know the answer, not this is a little bit too down to earth for me, but I think that part of the excitement of this, my impression from reading the popular articles about this particular event is that we learned something about this particular question. You know, it's complicated. Neutron stars are messy, black holes are non-linear
Starting point is 03:22:21 and there's a lot going on, and Einstein's equations are hard. So you might guess that it's plausible, either way that the neutron star is mostly swallowed whole or that it is gradually torn apart. If you are really good at doing simulations, you should be
Starting point is 03:22:38 able to make a prediction ahead of time, but I don't know what the state of the art of those simulations is. It seems, from what I understand, the fact that we didn't see an electromagnetic counterpart of these particular events implies that
Starting point is 03:22:54 to a very good approximation, the neutron star was swallowed whole. And if you see little pictures, little animations that they made, that's basically what happens. The neutron star comes very close to the black hole and then disappears very quickly. So I think that's what happens, but I don't know if that's always what's going to happen, or if this was particular to the cases of these particular end spirals. Again, I'm not enough of an expert to know. Naive Bazium says, how would a good Bayesian reconcile the following hypotheses?
Starting point is 03:23:25 Number one, reality is real. Number two, reality appears real because Descartes' demon is tricking you. Three, reality appears real because you're a Boltzmann brain. Four, reality appears real because you're in a brain simulation. Five, reality appears real because of literally any other ad hoc tomfoolery example. So you can't. You can't really reconcile those, but you have to deal with them in some way. So I think that, I mean, there is a strategy that more or less works, but I'm not going to pretend that this is a situation where all the eyes are dotted and the T's are crossed, that I understand exactly what's going on or at least have a good set of advice to give you.
Starting point is 03:24:10 So for those of you who are not familiar with all these different phrases here, this is the idea that either the reality you see around us is basically real. There really is a desk in front of me, a microphone, a computer, and so forth. or that somehow we're in what we call a skeptical scenario. Somehow that there is a kind of reality that is very different than the apparent reality around us, but you are being fed in illusion. Okay? So this is different. So there's a subtle difference,
Starting point is 03:24:42 but I want to emphasize the difference between something like the difference between the manifest image of the world and the scientific image of the world. So the fact that there's a table in front of me in a microphone, et cetera, none of these words, table, microphone, appear in the standard model of particle physics. The whole classical world I see around me is a very tiny slice of the real world, if you believe in the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics. So those are both senses in which there's a difference between reality and what you see. But in both cases, that's just
Starting point is 03:25:17 because you're seeing a small part of reality. And you're still seeing part of reality. What you're seeing is part of reality, even though it's not all of it, okay? That's not what's being talked about here. What's being talked about here is the idea that there's reality and there's what you see, and they're very different because you're being misled or tricked in some way. And so it's not that hard, going back to Descartes, who is a master of this, it's not that hard to imagine skeptical scenarios that are so convincing that no experiment you could do would reveal that what you were experiencing was not reality, right? Maybe a very good demon is tricking you, or you're in a simulation, or brain in a vat, or whatever. I think that's possible. I think that is something that is
Starting point is 03:26:03 on the table. Maybe we are being tricked. But as a good Bayesian, this is the question you're asking, what does a good Bayesian do in this case? You have to discount it. I mean, I think a good Bayesian says, look, if I can take what I do observe and explain it in a variety of different ways, and some of those are simple and coherent and self-contained, and others are awkward and artificial and complicated and weird, I'm going to pick the simple ones. I mean, there's just nothing added
Starting point is 03:26:35 by imagining that we are a Boltzmann brain or a simulation or being tricked by an evil demon. So I think that's the way to go in the real world. You want to make sense of the world. And so the way that I talked about it in my paper on my Boltzmann brains are bad is that to exclude the Boltzmann brain possibility by just setting the prior credence on it to a very, very, very low number keeps us in a cognitively stable situation. If you say, I'm not a Boltzman brain, then you can make sense of the world. If you say, well, maybe I am a Boltzman brain, then you can't. make sense of the world, because you have no reason to trust any of your experiences of the world.
Starting point is 03:27:20 So it's not a useful hypothesis on which to put a lot of credence. That would be my argument. Now, having said that, the little niggling problem that should worry you is, as a good Bayesian, you should never set your credences in any physically possible scenario to exactly zero. because if you did, then no future evidence would enable you to find that hypothesis. You've set it to zero and you multiply by zero every time you update, right? So I do think good Bayesian should keep some non-zero credence, even for these skeptical hypotheses. What if the demon reveals themselves and says, huh, I was the demon who was tricking you, right? Then you want to be able to update and go, ah, a demon was tricking me all along.
Starting point is 03:28:10 So at the same time, I think you want to set these credences to very tiny numbers, but not to zero. And how do you do that? What do you mean very tiny? Do you mean one in a million? One in 10 to the million? I don't know. I don't know what those things are. Fortunately, I don't think there's a lot of credence for any of these scenarios.
Starting point is 03:28:30 So I don't need to worry about it that much. But I appreciate the importance of this kind of question in principle. Fabian Rostalin says, Regarding vegetarianism. You're the only person I've heard making a reasonable argument for the justification of eating animals, namely their lack of ability to anticipate their future, their mortality, and so on. The philosopher who got me convinced of veganism morally put forth the name-the-trade argumentation style of reasoning about these issues, namely that if a certain trait or lack thereof
Starting point is 03:29:04 is sufficient for killing or eating another being, it should be so regardless of the species of that being, example, it's okay to eat animals because they're not as intelligent as humans, should then also conclude in, therefore it is also okay to eat humans with equal intelligence to an animal. Do you agree with this reasoning? If or if not, why? So I don't really agree with this reasoning, but let me give a little stage setting here first. You know, I am a moral constructivist. I think that what we call morality is sort of a systemization and codification of our moral inclination. of our deep-sitted feelings that certain things feel right, certain things feel wrong, plus our rationality, the idea that we would like to take these feelings and systematize them
Starting point is 03:29:53 into a set of consistent principles, right? And sometimes our inclinations might be inconsistent, incoherent, and we have to do some work. Like, what do I really care about? And we might also want to talk to other people and get more insight into possible ways to be good and bad,
Starting point is 03:30:09 and that would also change our minds. So I don't think that there is a simple and direct road from our moral feelings to morality, as in moral philosophy, but that is the starting point. And because of that, morality is not objective or cut and dried or rigorous or universal. Different people might come up with different kinds of morality.
Starting point is 03:30:34 So all of that is to say that the answers to these kinds of questions might be different. from person to person, rather than me giving you the once and for all final answer, even in my own mind. Having said that, so in my mind, when we come up with rules like you shouldn't eat humans or whatever the rules are, you're coming up with rules. So you're inventing rules to fit the inclinations you have.
Starting point is 03:31:01 And to me, it makes 100% perfect sense to apply those rules on a species by species basis. rather than on an individual by individual basis. You could decide to apply them on an individual by individual basis. That's a different set of morality, and then you and I could sit down and talk about the implications of that choice, but it's not my choice, and I don't think it's the choice that most people would have. And part of this is why, even though I'm not vegan or vegetarian myself,
Starting point is 03:31:33 I have 100% respect for people who are. As a moral constructivist, it would be very, it would be a little bit hypocritical to me if I said, well, you're just wrong, you vegans, right? If you think it's wrong to kill animals and eat them, I get it. You know, you're totally valid in that. If you think it's wrong that I kill animals and eat them, you know what? I even get that because I'm not a moral relativist. I don't think that everyone or every society gets to make up their morality. I think it's perfectly valid to do your best to come up with moral rules and then apply them to other people, right? I think that because that's perfectly, even if they're not going to come up with the same rules, the rules that you come up with
Starting point is 03:32:17 have, you know, are what you think is moral and not moral. So it's okay if you judge me badly. I get that. I'm going to try to, well, both, of course, think through my own moral reasoning and then also sit down and reason together about what our collective rules should be about whether eating and should be legal or illegal and so forth. And hopefully we can have reasonable conversations about that. But I think that this particular issue of, you know, this assumption that, or maybe not assumption, but claim that it is somehow incoherent or inconsistent to apply rules to species rather than individuals is completely arbitrary and ad hoc.
Starting point is 03:33:03 You know, I'm applying my rules. I'm telling you what my rules are. I apply them species by species. and that seems perfectly sensible as a thing for me to do. Okay, I'm grouping, we're reaching the end here, but I'm grouping together a couple of questions. This is about faster than light travel. So Moshe Fader says,
Starting point is 03:33:21 the two largest and most popular science fiction franchises involving space travel, Star Trek and Star Wars, share as part of their basic premise the common science fiction assumption that their methods of near light speed and fast-and-light travel somehow exempt them from relativistic time dilation. So that got me worrying,
Starting point is 03:33:38 wondering about wormholes. If they could be made traversable and you could use one to cross the galaxy and return, would the temporal effect of relativity still apply, even though you had never moved to relativistic speeds?
Starting point is 03:33:51 And then Damon Winston-Bird says, I have to go to Alpha Centauri and I don't want to spend years getting there. I hop in my Al-Cubier drive, which is the kind of warp-drive solution to the equations of general relativity, invented my Miguel-Cubierre,
Starting point is 03:34:04 and get there in only one year. After taking care of business there, I hop into my faster and light out Cubier drive, and I'm home again after another year of travel time. Did two years pass on Earth as I traveled? So these are slightly different scenarios, wormholes versus warp drive. The wormhole case is actually a little bit more straightforward, but more visualizable or conceptualizable, let me say it that way, but the answers are the same in both cases. In both cases, you're effectively moving faster than the speed of light. Why do I say effectively?
Starting point is 03:34:40 Because locally you're not, right? In both the warp drive case, the Alcubier warp drive case, and in the wormhole case, what you're really doing is stretching space time, warping space time in such a way. Actually, interestingly, what you're doing in the Alcubier's warp drive is literally warping space time around you, even though the idea far postdates the phrase warp drive. So I wonder, I have no idea why. warp drive is called warp drive. I think just because it sounds cool and fast.
Starting point is 03:35:12 But the idea that you get it by actually warping space time is probably not what they had in mind, but it actually fits very well. Anyway, in both cases, you're looking at a space-time curvature setup, a geometry of space-time
Starting point is 03:35:29 that is different than just flat space-time that you get in special relativity. And this lets you... And you've done it in a specific way, that you can compare two different ways of traveling between two points in space. One way is by just going in what you might think of
Starting point is 03:35:48 as a conventional path, right? Not being in the warp drive, not being in the wormhole. And then it takes you a certain number of years to get where you're going, certain number of years to get back, from the point of view, the people who stayed home. Or you can get there to the same point by traveling through this tunnel in space time,
Starting point is 03:36:06 either in the warp drive or in the wormhole. So then the question is, forget about time dilation. That's not really quite the right way to think about it. The question is how much time elapses in your reference frame, according to your clock, as you're traveling between this point and this other point, either in the wormhole or in the warp drive. And the answer is, I don't know. The answer is it depends on the details of the wormhole or the warp drive.
Starting point is 03:36:34 So it is completely plausible that they're synchronized. in such a way. Plausible might be an exaggeration. Conceivable is a better word, maybe. So the warp drive is a little bit fuzzier again, but the wormhole is a pretty direct thing. There's a distance you travel through the wormhole, okay? There's a distance you travel back, and there's also a time that it takes to go in the wormhole, and a time it takes to come back. And I could easily imagine setting up my completely fictitious wormhole system such that the time that elapsed on my watch as I travel through the wormhole and travel back is the same amount of time as a lapse to the people back home, okay? And presumably I could do the same thing with
Starting point is 03:37:18 the warp drive, although I haven't actually gone through the equations in that case. So in other words, I think it is completely conceivable to set up a system of effective faster than light travel that works like Star Trek and Star Wars do, that actually in the of everyone's minds. They haven't quite graduated from Newtonian absolute space time to relativity. And they think that there is something called the simultaneous things going on, on Alderon and Tatine or whatever. And that's the narrative frame of reference of the movie.
Starting point is 03:37:55 Okay. You could imagine something like that. It's not what would naturally pop out of a realistic space time geometry, but you could imagine it. So, you know, you want to make movies, go ahead. All of these are really cowboy movies at the end of the day. You know, when you say you're in a starship, really you're in a covered wagon going far away. And that's how they really think about things.
Starting point is 03:38:19 That's the right way to conceptualize why they have the adventures that they do. Okay. Anonymous asks. In episode number 62 with Kate Jeffrey, you both talked about how physicists are essentially certain that the universe won't last forever. and about how some of the processes that will cause the universe to wind down. You also talked in general about how ironic it is when knowledge about physics
Starting point is 03:38:42 stays stuck in ivory towers, when the explicit purpose of studying physics is to discover new knowledge for society. I'm curious about how the knowledge that the universe will definitely permanently end has impacted society and culture, or whether that's an example of something the public really ought to know more about.
Starting point is 03:39:01 So just to be super clear, the sense in which I think it's pretty clear. It's never definitive, never 100%, so I don't want to say that. But it's overwhelmingly likely that the universe will end is not the time will end. It's that the ability of the universe to increase in entropy will end, right? There's a sort of limit about what we can do as we travel from low entropy to high entropy.
Starting point is 03:39:26 There's only so far we can go. As you can illustrate, by the way, in a Minescape T-shirt. We have a T-shirt showing the curve of entropy versus time as well as complexity versus time. It's not the most physically accurate graph. I just drew it in a little program, but it gets the idea across. Anyway, so it's not the time will end, but the arrow of time will end. We'll use up the fuel that we have to keep the universe going. That's what I was talking about with Kate in that episode.
Starting point is 03:39:55 And with another Kate, with Katie Mac, we talked about different physical ways the actual universe might end. which is a slightly different concept. But it's an interesting question you ask about whether or not this idea of the heat death of the universe. That's really what Kate Jeffrey and I were talking about, the running out of entropy. Does that have an impact on society? Well, you know, because it did when it came about, right?
Starting point is 03:40:21 When people first started talking about this in the late 19th century, early 20th century, it did leak into the popular imagination. And I'm going to get it wrong. I want to say Henry Adams talked about it and other people who are not physicists. You know, they caught on to this. I mean, arguably Nietzsche, in his idea of eternal recurrence,
Starting point is 03:40:46 was at least indirectly affected by this discussion going on in physics before they knew about the Big Bang and things like that. And Thomas Pynchon, more recently, has absolutely written about, related concepts. But okay, it's still not there in the everyday life of popular culture. We don't talk about it too much. And maybe it's just because people don't care. I mean, we're talking a very, very long time scale. And, you know, Zach Wienersmith, the cartoonist, was talking on Twitter just today because he's writing a book on future space travel. And he says one of the things
Starting point is 03:41:26 it is frustrating about talking to the real gung-ho space geeks is that the timescales of interest to ordinary people and to the space geeks are very different. So when Zach will say, look, all this talk about terraforming planets, it's just unrealistic. We shouldn't worry about that. This is not on the horizon. And the space geeks are like, no, no, no, it's completely plausible.
Starting point is 03:41:49 We'll absolutely do it. Implicitly, Zach is thinking within the next century or two, and the space geeks are thinking within the next million years or two, right? And so that difference in implicit timescale matters a lot. Real people have difficulty thinking even 100 years in the future.
Starting point is 03:42:09 So when you say that the sun will burn out in 5 billion years and the last star will burn out in a quadrillion years and the last black hole will evaporate into Google years, their lives are not affected by that very much.
Starting point is 03:42:23 They are amused for a minute and they go back to their everyday lives. And you know what? They're not wrong. I think it's an interesting thing to think about, but I'm not really sure that it has a huge impact on how we should live our lives here on Earth.
Starting point is 03:42:36 Linium Mizjara says, what would physics look like today if Feynman hadn't invented his diagrams? Well, there's two answers to that. One is it would look the same because someone else would have invented them. I mean, Feynman diagrams are great, But like most other inventions in theoretical physics, someone gets there first, but other people would have gotten there eventually.
Starting point is 03:43:03 So I think it's overwhelmingly likely that someone would have invented diagrams, Feynman diagrams. It's just too juicy, too useful, too helpful. And physicists like drawing diagrams. So someone would have invented them eventually. Maybe we'd be calling them Weinberg diagrams or a toft diagrams or something like that. Witten diagrams. But the other answer, the other version of the answer is, and maybe this is the implicit thing, what if nobody had invented Feynman diagrams?
Starting point is 03:43:33 I think that somebody would have, but what if they hadn't? You know, Julian Schwinger, who shared the Nobel Prize with Feynman and Tobinaga, basically did the same calculations that Feynman did without the diagrams. And famously, you know, the joke was that because they were kind of rivals, Schwinger refused to use Feynman diagrams for the rest of his career. I think that's not true.
Starting point is 03:43:57 I think he did actually use diagrams. But he had a way of doing the same calculations purely algebraically, purely with equations, right? So you can imagine a world in which we did the same calculations, but it took longer. They were harder to do because there were a lot more difficult math
Starting point is 03:44:15 and the conceptual clarity wasn't there. Maybe there's a different kind of conceptual clarity that would have been there since we wouldn't be as stuck with visualizing particles, literally moving on lines, which is what we were invited to do when we think about things in terms of Feynman diagrams, even though it's really the quantum fields that are going on. So I don't know if there would have been very big differences in how physicists think about the world. But anyway, I do think of the diagrams. We're going to come at one point or another.
Starting point is 03:44:46 Richard Kajdan says, suppose I ask a priority question today. and then during the next month I run the universe splitter app, a bigly number of times, to pretty much guarantee that I end up on a different timeline. Can I submit another priority question next month? No. You cannot. Because I don't know. What do you mean end up on a different timeline?
Starting point is 03:45:07 You know, if you ask a priority question today, then all the future versions of you are ones that descended from someone who asked a priority question today. You can't undo the past by making measurements with the universe splitter or any other quantum mechanical measurement process. Sorry about that. If you could, I'd be writing papers about that. That'd be a very important thing. Okay, the very last question, this has been a long one today. Lewis B. says, how sure are we that things like hawking radiation are literally true, are likely true? My understanding is that the prediction of hawking radiation rests on both quantum mechanics and general relativity, being useful, approximations in the vicinity of a black hole's event horizon. But isn't the entire problem, those theories don't play well together, in particular in regimes precisely like a black hole?
Starting point is 03:45:58 Where, if anywhere, would you no longer trust these theories to be useful? So again, there's sort of a narrow version of this question and a broader one. The narrow version is, do we have good reasons to trust general relativity and quantum field theory in the event horizon of a black hole? And the answer is yes. So you're saying, you know, aren't black holes exactly where we should not trust quantum field theory or general relativity, but that's not quite true. The singularity near in the future when you get into a black hole, that's where you shouldn't trust general relativity. The general relativity says all the equations are blowing up, the curvature is infinite, I have no reason to trust things anymore. But near the event horizon, the curvature of space time can be small,
Starting point is 03:46:49 especially for a big black hole. So that's precisely a regime in which you should trust general relativity perfectly. And in fact, here's the tiny reason why you might be skeptical of that argument I just gave. So the argument I just gave was based on the idea that general relativity becomes untrustworthy when the curvature of space time becomes large. And that's actually not true near the eventorized of a black hole. The curvature of space time can be small. In quantum field theory, there's an analogous statement. When do you trust quantum field theory?
Starting point is 03:47:28 Well, when it's close to the vacuum state locally, and you only have a small number of particles. And again, near the eventorizing of a black hole, you should be able to trust quantum field theory. It's nearly the vacuum. If you fell into the black hole, you wouldn't even notice, unless there are firewalls or something like that, in which case all bets are off, but let's assume that there are not. The problem with what I just said is exactly the black hole information loss puzzle, namely that both general relativity and quantum field theory, by all rights, should be trustworthy near the event horizon of a black hole, but taken together, they lead to the information loss puzzle. And so that leads many people to say that somehow, in a subtle way,
Starting point is 03:48:15 one of them is wrong near the event horizon of a black hole, probably quantum field theory in some subtle way, right? There's some kind of non-locality that allows information to be transferred out of the outgoing event horizon. But so even if that's true, we think that if you looked at a black hole, the, even if you think that information gets out in the radiation, you wouldn't be able to tell whether radiation is getting out just by looking at it. What you'd be doing is saying that the black hole is really analogous to classically setting a book on fire, right? If you classically
Starting point is 03:48:56 just set a book on fire, let it burn, in principle, all of the information in the book is contained in the outgoing heat and light and ash and dust and so forth. But you can't tell. by looking at it, right? You can't recover what was in the book once it's burning. That would be the case if you could actually look at an evaporating black hole. You would see the Hawking radiation. In principle, all the information is there, but in practice, it just looks like a black body. You can't get it out, okay? So that's what we expect to have happen. Now, the other aspect of your question that I wanted to raise here is, in principle, in general, in other circumstances, how much confidence should we have in our theories
Starting point is 03:49:43 when they are being extrapolated into regimes far beyond where we've actually tested them? This is a very good question and a very hard one, and I don't have a good answer for you. If it weren't for Black Hole Information Loss, we'd be really pretty confident, confident in quantum field theory in a wide variety of circumstances. And we think that black hole information loss is special because gravity is so important in that case. So in practice,
Starting point is 03:50:15 we are pretty confident in quantum field theory in cases where gravity is not nearly black hole strength. Okay. That's why I can say that the laws of physics underlying everyday life are very well understood right now, because we live in an environment which, there are no black holes nearby. So the usual reasons why we trust quantum field theory are likely to be valid. But maybe not. And then this is, again, something that we need to be cognizant of. I think personally that the extrapolations we do of known laws of physics are extremely likely to work when we get to black holes because, you know, there's nothing that breaks down. the things that seem to break down are things that we see exactly what is breaking down,
Starting point is 03:51:05 the information getting out, right? And in other cases, in other contexts, other questions we want to ask about it, it seems perfectly benign. But then there are other cases where we're extrapolating like into the early universe. And there people are a little bit sanguine, I think, about talking about ideas like inflation or bariogenesis or other things that rely on extrapolations. far beyond what we've tested in a laboratory, because they're often not simply relying on robust features of quantum field theory, but they're relying on specific features of specific
Starting point is 03:51:43 quantum field theories. And those I don't have much faith in at all when we're extrapolating them to the very, very early universe. So I think that in general, you know, the physics that we've currently established is so good that we do become a little complacent about a extrapolating it into regimes that we haven't explicitly tested yet, and we should be a little bit more humble about that. That doesn't mean all things go, and anything can go, and we shouldn't have any faith at all. We should have a credence that we should keep under control, and the credence might be large, but it's not 100%. So this issue of where in general we should think our current favorite theories are valid, or they're applicable, the domain of applicability of a theory,
Starting point is 03:52:31 That's a good one that I think both physicists and philosophers should think harder about. We haven't really nailed that one down, which makes it the perfect question to end on, something we don't know the answer to. There you go. Okay. That was a lot of words. Thank you for sticking with me here. Thanks for asking the questions. Thank you for supporting the Mindscape podcast.
Starting point is 03:52:50 I really do appreciate it. Come back with more questions next month. Bye-bye. Are you awake? I am now. Much wrong. My back is. killing me. This mattress is too soft. Yeah, but I'd like it soft.
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