Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas - AMA | June 2025

Episode Date: June 2, 2025

Welcome to the June 2025 Ask Me Anything episode of Mindscape! These monthly excursions are funded by Patreon supporters (who are also the ones asking the questions). We take questions asked by Patr...eons, whittle them down to a more manageable number -- based primarily on whether I have anything interesting to say about them, not whether the questions themselves are good -- and sometimes group them together if they are about a similar topic. Enjoy! Blog post with AMA questions and transcript: https://www.preposterousuniverse.com/podcast/2025/06/02/ama-june-2025/ Support Mindscape on Patreon.

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Starting point is 00:01:01 Hello, everyone. Welcome to the June 2025. Ask Me Anything. edition of the Mindscape podcast. I'm your host, Sean Carroll. Recording this, a week before the AMA goes live, because we have a busy week here today in Baltimore this week. This is the week of the first inaugural ever natural philosophy symposium to be hosted here in Baltimore, organized by Jan Ann Ismail and myself, the two of whom constitute the Natural Philosophy Forum at Johns Hopkins. So it's a three-day conference. It'll already be over by the time you're listening to this. Hopefully it wasn't a disaster. I'm hoping for great things. If you're not able to go, then that's okay. We're going to record everything. It'll be on YouTube at some point. We have an excellent crew of young Hopkins students, film students, who are doing that work. So it should be a very good record of what happened during the symposium. You know, we're trying to make natural philosophy a thing. In other words, we're trying to let people understand what it means when we say natural philosophy, that we're not doing history. We're not talking about Galileo and Newton and whatever,
Starting point is 00:02:11 even though we use the same label. We're doing what they would have done. We are trying to move our understanding of the universe forward in ways that are scientific, that are based on data, but that are also philosophical, that are reasoned very carefully through, that are patient with all the underlying questions. And it's not just philosophy of physics, we're doing here. We have people in consciousness, in AI, in biology, in social sciences, in complexity. It's quite a number of areas of science that have significant overlap with philosophy, and we have an all-star lineup coming to talk about them, some really great scientists and really great philosophers. Of course, we've chosen the ones who we think can get along, can
Starting point is 00:02:56 get interested in the questions that each other think are interesting, so hopefully it'll go well. We'll let you know how it goes. One tiny optimistic note is that Nima Arkani Hamad, who is one of the speakers, told me that his title will be two cheers for shut up and calculate. Neema, of course, is a hard-nosed physicist, but the good news is that he has previously given a talk called three cheers for shut up and calculate, but he tells me that his stance has softened. So we'll see exactly what that means. It makes me optimistic for what's going on. The other news, of course I want to tell you is that I did appear on the Pears Morgan uncensored show on YouTube. It's not on TV anymore.
Starting point is 00:03:39 It's on YouTube, but that's perfectly okay. Talking with Eric Weinstein. Not a productive conversation. No real reason for you to ever watch it. I'm just letting you know because it's out there. My goal was to reach out to people who are wondering whether or not it's true that the physics establishment is ossified and unable to listen to new eyes. ideas. So I sort of tried to spell out on the one hand why physicists think the theories that they
Starting point is 00:04:07 think are interesting are interesting based on physics arguments. And also, if you did hypothetically want to make an impact on physics as an outsider, what it is you would have to do. So I try to be constructive in that way. Halfway through, Eric just went completely nonlinear and went on an unhinged rant of personal insults against me. So I was remembering why I don't usually do this kind of thing. But, you know, it is important to occasionally do this kind of thing. I'm not going to do exactly that ever again. But there's a reason why I did it. I wanted to reach audiences that I wouldn't ordinarily reach. And as you know, if you listen to Minescape, science is in a terrible position right now here in the United States and throughout the world. The funding is completely being
Starting point is 00:04:51 cut. And it's not, you know, Eric's fault in particular, but the movement of which he is a part which lowers people's respect for an understanding of academics. It's not just science. It's all of academia and all of higher education. If you start to think of it as a conspiracy to keep out the really interesting ideas, then you're not going to mind when it's brutally cut. So I wanted to, you know, try to reach those people in some way if I could. Who knows, whether I actually succeeded or not. I don't think it did especially good job. You know, there's two ways. to be in that kind of mode, you can either just be totally enamored with the fighting and the pugilism and the shouting of invective and things like that. And that's never going to be
Starting point is 00:05:38 my style. I'm interested in talking about the substance. But if that's going to be your style, then you should try to be super duper diplomatic and peacemaking. And I'm not good at that either. I let my disdain show through sometimes in sarcastic or snarky comments. So, you know, I gave it a shot. There you go. That's the best any of us. can do. Finally, little tiny piece of news is that I had the pleasure, an unusual thing, of giving the commencement address for the master's degree ceremony here at Johns Hopkins. That was a lot of fun. It was very nice to be invited. And it's also a challenging gig. I realized when I thought about it, you know, you want to say some platitudes to the graduates,
Starting point is 00:06:17 etc. But also we are in a weird time right now. You can't just let the collapse of higher education and respect for science and things like that, go unmentioned when you're giving a commencement address. But also, I don't think you want to raise a fuss. It's not like you're a student. There's these stories now of students who are talking about Gaza and the Palestinians and are being punished by their universities, if they mention that in their commencement addresses, which is completely terrible and embarrassing for those universities. They should feel bad. good for the students. I'm totally on their side. But I'm not a student. I'm, you know, there is a guest and the focus should be on the students, and I'm not there to raise a ruckus
Starting point is 00:07:02 or upset people in the audience, even if it would be good for them. But I could sort of glancingly allude to the situation we're in while sort of exhorting the students to try to make things better. Sadly, for me, the same week here nearby, not at Johns Hopkins, but at the University of Maryland, the commencement speaker was Kermit the Frog. And Kermit kicked my ass in terms of being a good commencement speaker, I got to say. Like, you know, Kermit was both inspirational but also funny and interesting. And, you know, that's okay. Kermit is a pro.
Starting point is 00:07:34 He's been around. He has really polished his delivery in these situations. So I can't really get upset if Kermit did a better job than me. I can only aspire to be as good at this as Kermit the Frog. And finally, of course, this is an AMA episode. So thank you, as always, to the Patreon. supporters of the Mindscape Podcast. They're the ones who make it possible. If you want to ask AMA questions, you could be a Patreon supporter of the Mindscape podcast. Go to patreon.com slash
Starting point is 00:08:02 Sean M. Carroll, kick in a few bucks. Join the group. And you can get your name read out loud by me if I happen to pick your question. Wouldn't that be fun? So with that, let's go. David Wright says your interview with Brandon Fidelson triggered a lot of great insights into the nature of what we believe is true and how we confirm our hypotheses. My question is, how do we distinguish scientific truth from common sense? Both are based on socialized priors. Common sense is not filtered for relevance bias and other fallacies mentioned in the interview. Is this a good way to look at this distinction? Honestly, I'm not fond of invoking common sense at all in these discussions. People try to do it. I've known very, very smart people who say that science is really just common sense.
Starting point is 00:09:02 sense made a little bit more rigorous and careful and objective. I don't think that's the right framing for this way of talking, because common sense has good aspects and bad aspects, right? Common sense has good aspects in that, you know, it's sense. It's trying to be at least reasonable about what the universe is, but it has bad aspects in that it's common. It's what is right in front of your face, and what is right in front of your face is not always the best scientific way of thinking about the world. I mean, common sense might lead you to Aristotelian physics, but it's not going to lead you to Newtonian physics, even with extra layers of being careful and testing hypotheses and things like that. So I do think that it's better for me. I prefer to think
Starting point is 00:09:50 in terms of the manifest image, scientific image version of these things, that is to say, or the folk physics versus scientific physics version of thinking of these things. that is to say all of us have some model of the world, right? I mean, Judea Pearl, back when we talked to him and Alison Gopnik, when we talked to her, emphasized how children, little babies, are constantly modeling the world. They're trying to figure out the causal map of reality. If I do this, what happens, right? And we all carry that in our minds, in our brains, in our brains, when we go through life.
Starting point is 00:10:27 We have expectations for what will happen next, features of how the world fits together in different parts and so forth. And is that common sense? I don't know, but I think it's a little bit better than common sense. I think the way to think of it is not as common sense as the sort of epistemological flavor, you know, a way of thinking. Rather than that way of thinking, I'd like to think of the physical model that we have in the manifest image of the world, because common sense can mislead us in all sorts of ways. You know, common sense does not tell us that the Earth goes around the sun, right? It tells us the opposite thing. Science is not just common sense plus hypothesis testing precisely because science remains open about the hypotheses
Starting point is 00:11:16 until they are tested. Science says even if a hypothesis seems to go against common sense, let's think very, very hard about what its predictions are and then compare them to what we observe. You know, there's a famous story. I've told it already. I'm going to tell it again. Everettians love this story about Ludwig Wittgenstein and Elizabeth Anscombe. Elizabeth Anscombe was one of Wittgenstein students, and she meets Wittgenstein on the grounds of, I think, Gessamerge University, and Wittgenstein is like staring up into the sky, and Anzcombe says, what are you looking at? And he says, well, I'm wondering why people ever thought that it made more sense to say the sun goes around the earth than the earth rotates. And Anzcombe says, well, I suppose it's because it looks like the sun
Starting point is 00:12:09 goes around the earth. And Wittgenstein says, what would it have looked like if the earth were rotating? It would have looked the same thing. But it kind of fits in less well with our common sense, right, even though the predictions are the same. So to me, that's more sciencey. The The science aspect of things is really taking seriously what the predictions of a theory are and using them to compare with the data rather than some consonants with our commonness, our common sense. The reason why Everettians love this, of course, is because when you say the world is just a vector in Hilbert space, people say it doesn't seem like that, and you can say, well, what would it seem like if it were, and then you can make an argument that it really is.
Starting point is 00:12:56 So I don't really think that there's a direct line from common sense to science. I think that there are two different things. Jonathan Peretz says, it seems like most working theoretical physicists are sort of okay with loss of information as a result of quantum measurement. However, when it comes to black hole information loss, it's considered a bigger puzzle for some reason if I get the right impression.
Starting point is 00:13:15 Why is that, and isn't there a sense in which the formation of honking radiation due to virtual particle pairs and all that, constitute a quantum measurement also. Not really. That last part is not really right. If you take a quantum mechanics course, you'll get a version of what I'm about to say. If you read a real book, a careful book like John von Neumann's book about the mathematical foundations of quantum mechanics, you'll get a clear version of this. In traditional textbook quantum mechanics, there are two different ways for the world, the quantum system, to evolve. One is when you're doing a measurement, and one is when you're not. When you're not doing a measurement,
Starting point is 00:13:55 you're just obeying the Schrodinger equation. It's what's called unitary evolution. When you are doing a measurement, the wave function collapses, you get a measurement outcome. There's a probability given by the Bourne Rule. And so why I'm rehearsing this, most, many of you have heard this before, but in textbook quantum mechanics, there is a sharp distinction between what the system does when you're not measuring it and what it does when a measurement is performed. So hawking radiation is not a measurement. That is something that happens according to the unitary laws of physics, even when you're not measuring it. Now, we can argue about what a measurement is. The good news is that in realistic situations, in a laboratory or something
Starting point is 00:14:36 like that, it doesn't matter. We all agree. If you want to really, really care about what measurements are, that's going to depend on what your particular favorite formulation of quantum mechanics is, and that is going to affect whether or not, or I should say, how much you care about the possibility that information is lost. In the traditional textbook version of quantum mechanics, information absolutely is lost as a result of quantum measurement, and it is not when you're not doing quantum measurement, okay? So the problem with the black hole is that if you take seriously sort of the best version of a guess as to what, what happens, I guess is not the right word. If you take seriously Stephen Hawking's calculation of what happens when black holes evaporate, then information is lost even without any collapse
Starting point is 00:15:28 of the wave function or measurement being performed. So that is one reason why physicists are a little bit bothered by that. You know, it's one thing to say that information is lost when you do a measurement. It's another thing to say that the laws of physics lose information even without a measurement being done, because we have the measurement problem. Even if we don't, sit here advocating our favorite solution to the measurement problem, we sort of circle around measurement and say we don't completely understand that, so maybe information is lost, or maybe it's not, because under certain formulations of quantum mechanics like bomea mechanics or many worlds, it's just not lost. Under other formulations, like spontaneous collapse models, it is
Starting point is 00:16:10 truly lost. And so people are comfortable doing that and then worried about why, even without a measurement, information seems to be lost in black hole evaporation. Of course, I'm actually a little of the opinion that people are cheating a little bit here for exactly the reason I think that you're asking the question in the first place. Like if you allow information loss in one kind of category, even if you say, well, we don't understand it perfectly, we'll understand it later. Why not in the other category also? But, you know, none of these arguments is airtight. These are all suggestive. Like some way, sometimes how it's put is quantum mechanics by itself without including the measurement, just the ordinary unitary evolution preserves information and general relativity
Starting point is 00:16:59 by itself preserves information. So it would be weird if the combination of them to make quantum gravity didn't preserve information, didn't conserve information. That's a bad argument, actually, because it's completely plausible that quantum gravity does not conserve information, but the separate limits that we're commonly looking at of quantum mechanics of small objects and classical gravity of big objects do conserve information. So I think this is all sort of suggestive and hand-wavy.
Starting point is 00:17:30 It does go beyond that. I should give more credit. People have tried to be very explicit about what the consequences would be if black holes destroyed information. So there's a famous paper, I'm going to get it not exactly right, maybe Bankstein, Peskin,
Starting point is 00:17:47 some subset of those people wrote a paper claiming that if black holes destroyed information, then tiny plankscale virtual black holes inside Feynman diagrams would lead to macroscopic destruction of information, and you would have noticed that a long time ago.
Starting point is 00:18:04 I think that's controversial, people don't quite agree, but it's of a piece with a general expectation that when you break something fundamental about your theory, there might be all sorts of other unanticipated consequences, so it's safer to imagine that our cherished beliefs are not broken unless we absolutely are forced to accept them. Mark Slight says, I love to talk with James
Starting point is 00:18:28 Ladyman and now proudly wear the structural real list label and talk about it with everyone I meet. Not really. You seem to want to leave room for some kind of non-structural existence or properties, perhaps even leaning in the direction that is probably something like that if I don't misread you. Am I correct to assume? that you would have to commit to being an epiphenomenologist, sorry, I don't know how to pronounce this, epiphenomenalist about this. It seems to me that I'll talk about the non-structural supervenes on the structural relationships and how they unfold. Therefore, if you respond to this, your response will be exactly the same whether the non-structural exists or it doesn't. Does
Starting point is 00:19:04 that make sense? I don't know whether that makes sense or not. Even though I am happily talking about it frequently, I'm still not 100% sure how to distinguish between what exists. and what doesn't exist. I have some half-hearted ways of thinking about that, but I'm not wedded to them. But you're right. I do sort of both want to be a structural realist and a kind of more materialist realist at the same time. And the reconciliation is simply that I think we don't know the fundamental material structure of reality. We're trying to learn about it. We're trying to come closer and closer to it. But part of the motivation for being a structural realist was the idea that if our theories in physics, in fundamental physics,
Starting point is 00:19:49 keep getting better, and we keep completely overturning the previous ontology along the way, you know, from Aristotle to Newton to relativity to quantum mechanics, how can you be a realist about anything if you're going to throw it away later when a better theory comes along? What is it that you're realist about? And the structural realist answer to that is that there are commonalities shared by quantum mechanics, relativity, Newtonian mechanics, even Aristotle. We're all predicting the motion of the planets in the sky more or less the same way, right? That is a pattern, a structure that is preserved as you go past these different theoretical improvements. And so the structural realist says, even if I don't know the once and for all
Starting point is 00:20:34 final ontology of reality, there's still something that I know and that something that I know is real. And I completely buy that. I'm not even sure if I'm saying it the way a James Laderman or a real structural realist would say it. This is my way of saying it. So yes, I completely buy that. I also believe that there is a bottom, that there is some one true theory of reality, even if we don't know it yet, and we might be very, very, very far from knowing it yet. I have no idea. Without that one true theory of reality, I don't know why we would be able to be so confident that these structures exist, or at least not confident, but I don't think we would have a good explanation for why these structures exist so robustly. I mean, to me, this story of relativity,
Starting point is 00:21:19 quantum mechanics, Newton, et cetera, is true because these are different patterns within the one underlying reality. So I think that there is a world that exists and that world exhibits structures, and it's those structures that we have a more direct grasp along the way to getting the once-and-for-all final theory. I'm going to group two questions together. Paul Saldera says, in your recent episode with Karen Lloyd, both of you talked briefly about the possibility of life evolving more complex cellular structures while in this underground biosphere.
Starting point is 00:21:53 If this did happen and complex cellular structures formed underground first, what is this due to our estimates of life forming on other planets? Karen seemed to say that life is likely to be. much more prevalent than we first thought, do you agree? And Robo says the Karen Lloyd episode is definitely in my top five. The passive life forms that she described, just hanging around, waiting for some chemical reaction to happen nearby, strains my worldview, resulting in an update of my priors for life being found in other worlds, maybe during my lifetime, that her presentation have a similar effect on you. On the one hand, I want to sort of prevaricate about this question. On the one hand, yes,
Starting point is 00:22:29 I think that the evidence that we get from studying these life forms in extreme conditions adds a little bit of hope to thinking that life can exist on all sorts of different conditions, even if maybe flourishing would be an exaggeration, right? I mean, Karen was very clear that life could right now presently exist on Mars, even if there's not, you know, abundant running water or things like that, because the timescales for this kind of underground life, these intraterrestrials, they can just persist a long time but move and metabolize very, very slowly, just leaching off of the tiny energy gradients and occasional stray electron
Starting point is 00:23:13 and nutrients that fall down from the surface and things like that. It adds to our catalog of conditions under which life can exist. But on the other hand, I think that our catalog of the conditions under which life can exist, it has no reason to be complete at all, right? I never thought that we knew where life could exist and where life could not exist. I was always very suspicious of this discourse about Goldilocks zones and things like that that always seem to be very, very heavily oriented toward life as we know it, which is obviously a little distortive in the space of all possible life. So on the one hand, this absolutely is a new and interesting way
Starting point is 00:23:56 for life to exist, new in some sense. It's been around for a long time. But it doesn't dramatically change my credences that life could exist elsewhere. It's just an interesting, specific place that life could exist. Okay, again, I'm going to group two questions together. Sean Bentley says, any update on science funding in the U.S., for example, NIH research grants, etc. In your estimation, has the situation gotten any better, any worse, or about the same since your solo episode a few months ago? And Kyle Stephen says, the doge cuts to government grants seem to have fallen out of the news cycle. What direct effects are we seeing now that a month or two has passed? So it is very depressing to me to hear
Starting point is 00:24:36 someone say that the doge cuts have fallen out of the news cycle. They've not fallen out of my news cycle because they affect my life rather directly and dramatically. I'm very well aware of them. So the fact that to someone else they have fallen out means that the real world out there is not being kept up to date on these things. To Sean's question, it's become much, much worse than my solo episode a couple months ago, because the solo episode was prompted by the idea that they were going to lower the overhead rate on grants from the National Institute of Health, from the NIH. So that's clearly it was prefiguring much worse things to come, but it was one relatively localized thing. So the grants themselves, the actual grants
Starting point is 00:25:19 that have been given out might imagine to become the same or to stay the same level, but the overhead, the indirect costs, which go to the universities to keep up the infrastructure and the buildings and things, were going to be cut. So that would have been disastrous all by itself, but it was just the NIH and it was just indirect cuts. Since then, the cuts have spread to all the other agencies, and it's not just indirect costs or overhead costs. It's everything. It's the very basic things. So the New York Times, just a couple days ago, had a very nice graphic, an article with some graphics, explored the cuts to the National Science Foundation, the NSF. So there's many different
Starting point is 00:25:58 government departments that give science funding. NIH is one of them, National Institutes of Health, but NSF, National Science Foundation is another one. There's also a Department of Energy, etc., etc. The NSF, the National Science Foundation, is the most broad-based one. It gives money to all sorts of different scientific disciplines, and so it's a good test case for what the current government thinks about this. And it's being a devastated. The overall grant so far funded for the National Science Foundation from this year versus last year. They're comparing what is actually happening. So these aren't promises. This is what is actually happening in 2025 versus what the average spending was between 2015 and 2024. So the
Starting point is 00:26:43 an almost 10-year average before. The NSF funding is down 51%. So they're cutting half of the money spent on science by the National Science Foundation. If you want some specific examples, it's not just woke DEI initiatives. Here's physics. Physics is down 85% in the National Science Foundation. Graduate education, in particular, funding for graduate students, is down 100%. It was cut to zero in the most recent budget. Of course, they're cutting things like equity and things like that, but chemistry down 57% math down 72%, materials research, down 63%, biological infrastructure down 68%, chemical engineering down 71%. I mean, it just goes on and on and on.
Starting point is 00:27:33 The Office of Polar Programs that does science at the South Pole is down 88%. Earth sciences is down 80%. It's a complete destruction of American science. I don't know how to state it nearly as loudly and as alarmingly as it could be. It's not even the kind of thing that is going to be judged in its effects over the course of weeks or months. It's going to be judged over the course of decades because talented students, both from the United States and elsewhere, will not want to stick around the United States in this situation. Even if they wanted to, there's not money to support them.
Starting point is 00:28:11 talented or promising programs in health and materials and chemistry and whatever are going to be shut down. They are being shut down. Test animals in biological laboratories are being euthanized because they can't afford to pay them, to feed them and to keep them. There's a real danger that the Roman Space Telescope is not going to be launched. I mean, just over and over and over again, this is going to be completely devastating of say goodbye to the idea that the United States is the world. leader in science for decades to come. Even if Trump only lasts four years and they immediately replace him with, you know, 20 Democrats in a row doing their best to refund science, it will take that long to rebuild trust, to rebuild infrastructure, to rebuild the knowledge base,
Starting point is 00:28:58 and that optimistic scenario is unlikely to come true. So that's the world in which we live right now. In terms of me personally, what is it affecting? You know, I have no friends who have had grants cuts. The university overall is suffering because we have less money and therefore searches for new faculty members have been cut. Postdoc searches have been cut. The number of graduate students we can have have been cut. It's devastating. What can I say? I can't yell about it enough. What if your savings worked harder? At Skyla Credit Union, our high yield purpose savings account earns up to 5% APY. So every dollar you save does more. Saving for a trip? An emergency Fund? Or just peace of mind?
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Starting point is 00:29:56 Hey, everyone. It's Cal Penn. I'm the host of Earsay, the Audible and IHeart Audio Book Club. This week on the podcast, I am sitting down with Ray Porter. The narrator of Andy Weir's audiobook Project Hail Mary, massive sci-fi adventure about survival and science, and what happens when you wake up alone very far from Earth? I really had to make a decision because I caught myself getting that frog in my throat and starting to get teary as I'm narrating some of these sections.
Starting point is 00:30:27 And it's like, okay, yo, yeah, yo, is this indulgent? And I really thought about it. I was like, no, at this point it would kind of be betraying the trust, the author and the listener have in telling this story if I don't go through it. But there's places in this book that deeply emotionally affected me, and I left it on the mic. That's great. Because it served the story. People will say like, oh my God, I cried at the end.
Starting point is 00:30:51 It's like, yeah, dude, me too. Listen to EIRSA, the Audible and IHeart Audio Book Club on the IHart Radio app or wherever you get your podcasts. Therefore, I'm going to move on. Albin asks a priority question. Remember that Patreon supporters can ask one priority question during their lifetimes, and I have to trust them that they're only going to pick one, and I will do my best answer it. So Albin says,
Starting point is 00:31:15 I've been really into integrated information theory after your podcast with Christoph Kock. From what I understand, the consciousness we experience comes from the Phi Max, which is the most integrated and complex information. Each subsystem of the brain can also have its own value of Phi. So here's what I'm thinking. Could this dominant phi simply be the result of evolution and natural selection? Maybe evolution shaped our brains in such a way that the best suited vi controls the body and remains dominant, while all the other five values from subsystems are suppressed through the same evolutionary process. Assuming our brains are made up of many overlapping and non-overlapping sets of subsystems,
Starting point is 00:31:52 is it possible that there are multiple consciousnesses inside us, and the one we currently experience just happens to be the phi max, with nothing inherently special about it. It would be similar to the many worlds idea, but apply to consciousness. I don't think it's at all similar to the many world's idea. Sorry about that, Alvin. But otherwise, I'm on your wavelength a little bit here.
Starting point is 00:32:13 I would tweak the nomenclature a little bit. I mean, I think it's pretty respectable to believe that within our brains, there are subsystems. There are modules that are doing different tasks, and somehow they come together to make our highest level conscious experience. Of course, that's all the work, right, figuring out how they come together at that higher level. Daniel Dennett talked about this in our discussion with him a while ago, and we've had other people talk about similar things. Whether or not you want to call those subsystems kind of lesser consciousnesses, I'm not so sure about that.
Starting point is 00:32:56 My impression, and I truly don't claim to be an expert here, it's not something I looked into beyond the occasional podcast episode. My impression is that the point of IIT is not just that consciousness is phi max. But for those of you did not listen to the episode, phi is this number you're supposed to be able to calculate in given some interacting system with information flowing back and forth between it, and you can calculate it for different subsystems of the system and for the system itself, and also for a super system.
Starting point is 00:33:26 like bigger systems of which the system you care about is embedded inside. And the argument is that consciousness is located at the peak value, because this phi measures the integrated information. And in many different people, for example, there's a lot of information, but it's not that integrated. In different subsystems of your brain, there's not that much information. It's in a single human brain that you have the most integrated information, and therefore that's what we identify as a single individual content.
Starting point is 00:33:56 agent. So my impression is that the claim is supposed to be that that is the conscious agent, that the IIT is not saying, even if there are other subsystems of the brain for which there is a phi, the fact that they're embedded in a system with a larger phi means that they themselves are not conscious. It's only the top level that is conscious. You can argue about that. I'm not saying that's true, but that's my impression about what it says. But I think that in that case, that's probably the right way to think. I wouldn't want to, you know, if you have a car and it has an engine, it has wheels, and a chassis and things like that, all these things are not mini cars, right? They're all parts that contribute to the carness of the whole. I think that's probably a closer
Starting point is 00:34:43 analogy to what is going on in your brain than to think that there's a whole bunch of, like, many things getting together in kind of a parliamentary thing and then taking votes. But, you know, I'm not an expert on this, so that might be completely wrong, or there might be some intermediate sense in which there is something like consciousness in the subsystems. That's something I just don't know too much about. David Sotolongo says, I'm curious about your political philosophy. One facet of that would be, assuming you're not an anarchist, is what do you think the aims of government ought to be. For example, a classical liberal might say the only legitimate aim of government is to protect people's natural rights, while the utilitarian would say that the aim of government is simply
Starting point is 00:35:24 to improve people's lives. What do you think? Yeah, I think, I mean, perfectly obviously good question. I am not either one of those, a classical liberal nor utilitarian. I certainly think that, I mean, my political philosophy is that government is the organized expression of our collective will. That is to say, there are things that a society wants to have done that are naturally group level in some sense, right? Like you want roads, okay? I as an individual, I'm not going to go around building roads in my neighborhood. Number one, I don't have the capacity to do that.
Starting point is 00:36:06 Number two, there's a lot of other people who will benefit from it. So we come together to cooperate and say, as a society, let's build some roads. But in the real world, you don't want to have direct democracy for all these questions. you don't want every detail about the roads to be voted on by everyone in your community. So you pick some representative leadership. Walla, you have a government. I think that is a perfectly legitimate thing to have, a government that does the things that you want done collectively. Whether it is national defense or education or health or social welfare things, many things that the government can actively do over and above the sort of classical liberal view of,
Starting point is 00:36:48 simply the Knight Watchman State where you're just protecting people's natural rights. Now, the goal of that, of specifically what the government is supposed to do, I would not phrase in utilitarian terms because I do think that it is best, the best kind of government will acknowledge the existence of absolute rights that individuals have, and that is very anti-utilitarian. Any utilitarian worth their salt thinks that there aren't any natural rights. because whatever an individual might want, it is always possible that the greater good is going to deny them that.
Starting point is 00:37:28 So I think that having – I mean, this is exactly the argument that the people in the United States had when they were writing the Constitution, and people pointed out, well, you need a Bill of Rights in the Constitution because all you're doing in the main text of the Constitution is saying what the government can do and how the government does it. You're not saying what the government can't do. And I think that Jefferson and others were absolutely correct to say, you need a list of things the government is not allowed to do. And those are rights that are kept by the people.
Starting point is 00:38:01 So that is not a utilitarian way of thinking, right? The utilitarian would just say, there aren't any rights, there's whatever gets the greatest good for the greatest number, even if some individuals have to be sacrificed along the way. You can argue whether in practice governments live up to this goal, but I think that's the political philosophy that you were asking, I'm sorry I didn't actually give you a full-blown political philosophy, but maybe I don't have a full-blown political philosophy. Those are the hints in the direction that might help you figure it out. Julio-Contio says, has your fame as a podcaster slash physicist benefited Villanova? No. To the extent that I have any such fame, I doubt that anyone at Villanova or many people at Villanova even know about it. You know, we now have a Pope who went to Villanova, okay? So I am not high up there.
Starting point is 00:38:48 on the list of people that Villanova benefits from. There's various sports figures. I mean, the NBA conference finals right now has the New York Knicks in it, who has half their players are from Villanova's basketball team. So I am not high up there on the list of famous people that Villanova benefits from. The new Pope, Pope Leo, was an undergraduate of Villanova, a math major, as well as something else. He was majoring something else.
Starting point is 00:39:16 He's identified with Chicago because he lived there and was the Archbishop there or whatever. But Villanova was his undergraduate education. He's an Augustinian. The Augustinian order is the monastic order that governs and runs Villanova. There's only like two Augustinian universities in the United States. There's many, many Catholic universities that are run by the Jesuits. So the Augustinians have always had like a younger brother kind of syndrome vis-à-vis the Jesuits and education.
Starting point is 00:39:45 So Augustinians are super duper proud that they have given rise to the new Pope. So we'll see how that actually turns out. I have no prior knowledge of who this guy is. Elias says, do you feel like the personality of your guest influences your interviewing? Things like, do you get along on a personal level? Did you know them before? Et cetera? I mean, inevitably, yes.
Starting point is 00:40:07 I'm sure it does. But I don't quite think that personality is the dominant axis along which to think about this. I've had really good podcast interviews with people who I have known before and with people I've never met before and vice versa, right? There's almost no correlation that I notice between whether I know someone from before and how well the podcast goes. I mean, generally when I'm saying this, I should mention, I think generally the podcasts go well. So I don't think I've had any truly, really bad disastrous duds. But, you know, I do think that knowing someone is helpful because you have a gauge of, of how good of a speaker they are and what they know and things like that. It's always kind of a
Starting point is 00:40:47 crapshoot when you go in with people who you don't know at all. But it's not about their personality so much as their interviewing style or conversational style. And I know that's related to personality, of course, but it's a different thing. Some people just give really short, clipped answers, and that's the worst, honestly. Even if they're super clear, you know, it's a podcast. have over an hour to fill. You shouldn't think of it as simply filling, but I guess what I mean is you have the room to expand and elaborate on things in a podcast. That's one of the nice things about it. I think a lot of people, even those that have a little bit of media expertise or experience are used to be on the radio and they only have five minutes, right? At most, five minutes
Starting point is 00:41:37 is long for a radio segment. So they got to bang out their answers right away. And sometimes they don't adjust to the more leisurely pace of the podcast world where they can elaborate on things a little bit. Other people, as you know, elaborate at great lengths and it's harder to have an actual conversation because they're giving their potted little mini lectures. It's all good. I mean, it's all different ways of being successful, but I do think that some people sort of vibe with the podcast spirit a little bit better, and I don't think it's quite a personality thing, but it's definitely a thing. Michael Bright says, I'm picturing a single photon fired from a laser in the vacuum of space. I understand that you can't see the photon
Starting point is 00:42:17 unless it's pointed directly at you or bounces off of matter, but that's not my question. My question is, is this single photon traveling as a wave that is spreading out in the electromagnetic field in all directions? And if so, does that mean the single photon, if you were to observe it, can be anywhere in a sphere that is expanding in all directions at the speed of light? This is a question that comes off is pretty straightforward, but is actually quite subtle for the following reason, quantum field theory. Quantum field theory is the reason this is a subtle question. You start with the electromagnetic field, you quantize it, and just like starting with the electron or the quark or whatever, what comes out in terms of the structure of the quantum mechanical wave function of the electromagnetic field for small variations, small flux, fluctuations, small field values near the vacuum state is a collection of particles. Okay?
Starting point is 00:43:13 This is something that any reader of quanta and fields, volume two of the biggest ideas in the universe, will be very familiar with. When you quantize a field, the low-lying states look like collections of particles. So you have to take both of those seriously. On the one hand, it's a field that you're quantizing. And in situations that are not very close to the vacuum state, the fieldiness might be super duper important, like the Higgs field, filling all of space. You need to take it seriously as a field.
Starting point is 00:43:43 But if you're just thinking about single photons, then you can really think of them as single photons. You can think of them as particles, and you can ask about the quantum mechanics of those particles. You don't need to think about the electromagnetic field. You can think about a quantum particle or a collection of quantum particles. And so rather than thinking of, I mean, of course it is related to the electromagnetic, field. Don't get me wrong. We've not erased the electromagnetic field, but when it's just a couple of particles, it's better to think about a set of photons than it is about the electromagnetic field. And so what you're really asking is when the photon wave function is emitted by, I don't know,
Starting point is 00:44:22 a hydrogen atom undergoing a transition or something like that, does it spread out in a spherical pattern until it's observed? Yes. Generally it does. Not always. You can make other cases, like if you make a laser, you can make very highly collimated, pointed photons. But a laser is also in the classical regime in some sense. But at a single photon level, typically, if you solve the Schrodinger equation, it would be emitted from in all directions. And therefore, yes, when your telescope detects a photon that was emitted by a quasar, billions of light years away, until you detected it,
Starting point is 00:45:04 its wave function was spread out all throughout the universe. And I know that's weird, but there's a whole, there's many, many, many, many other photons whose wave functions were spread out all throughout the universe that you didn't detect, and they were detected somewhere else. So the story kind of hangs together, but it's just very different than how we actually think about things, because we think about things in ways that are false but good enough for government work. Jake Rigby says, does the past hypothesis describe a fine-tuning problem, and if so, how is it or could it be related to the classical, cosmological fine-tuning problems?
Starting point is 00:45:39 Yeah, I think very much. It is exactly a fine-tuning problem. In fact, I think it's the correct fine-tuning problem. It's the one that matters. I'm not exactly sure what you mean by the classical cosmological fine-tuning problems, but there's three that were identified by Alan Gooth in his original paper on inflation. Identified, I don't mean he identified them. He talked about them. They had previously been identified. The horizon problem, the flatness problem, and the monopole problem. The monopole problem is a special problem that only exists if you already believe in grand unified theories. Let's put that one aside because maybe grand unified theories aren't right. The horizon problem and the flatness problem were identified by Bob Dickie and Jim Peebles. And I think that Gooth, as a postdoc at Cornell, went to a talk by Dickie,
Starting point is 00:46:28 where he heard about these problems and that got him thinking about them. So the flatness problem says the overall geometry of the spatial slices of the universe could be zero or it could be positively curved or it could be negatively curved. If there is any small curvature away from zero at early times, that curvature grows relative to the matter and radiation parts of the universe. And therefore, why isn't it huge right now? Who set the flatness of the universe to be so close to zero or the curvature of the universe so close to zero at early times? The horizon problem is a little bit trickier, but it says if I look back at the cosmic microwave background radiation, and I say in the conventional Big Bang story without inflation, I look at a point in one direction, I get its temperature, it's 2.7 degrees Kelvin. I look at a point on the opposite side of the sky, also 2.7 degrees, Kelvin.
Starting point is 00:47:23 But if I look at the past light cone of those two points that I'm observing, those two points have non-overlapping past light cones. that their past light cones only go backward to the Big Bang. And they hit the singularity, and then they stop. So there is no common causal past to those two points, and therefore, how did they know to be at the same temperature? There was no influence from that one side of the universe to the other until we observed it with the same temperature. So how did it know?
Starting point is 00:47:54 Of course, it's kind of not surprising, it's not at all surprising that the local temperature at the moment of recombination, when you make the microwave background is the same, but you don't observe the local temperature. You observe the local temperature filtered through expansion and redshift and all that stuff. So really what you're asking is, why did the universe start expanding
Starting point is 00:48:15 at exactly the same time into regions that were never in causal contact? That's the horizon problem. I think that both of these problems are sort of ill-posed in the usual way of talking about them. The flatness problem is, I think, just a fake problem. If you look more carefully at the set of all possible universes,
Starting point is 00:48:35 almost all of them are spatially flat, so that's not really a problem at all. The horizon problem is definitely a problem, but it's not the problem they say it is. What it really is is just a smoothness problem. Why is the universe so smooth even if it's not given time to equilibrate? But that's a bad way of putting it because even if it were given time to equilibrate, it wouldn't be smooth either, right? It would get lumpy because gravity is important. What it's really a problem about is why is the entropy low? That's the problem. That is actually the fine-tuning problem that the early universe faces.
Starting point is 00:49:08 So Roger Benrose and some other people, including myself, have been trying to make this point for a long time, but no one will ever listen to us. I'm used to that. Eric DeVigi says, do you think that there might be biological factors that determine whether not a given life form can develop mathematics? Just as there are certain biological factors that determine whether or not a life form can develop language? Or do you think the same set of variables would determine both? Oh man, I don't know. I really have no idea. I suspect that there is not a unique set of biological factors. I mean,
Starting point is 00:49:41 there obviously are biological factors in the sense that human beings can develop math and bacteria don't, right? There's a biological difference between us. So in some cheap sense, sure, there are biological factors. But I tend to think that if you generally become smart enough, you will develop mathematics in some very vague sense. So you might become smart in the way that an octopus is smart or the way that a human is smart. It's not necessary that you will develop mathematics. I don't think that octopuses have advanced mathematics. Maybe they would get there if we gave them another billion years to think about it. Maybe they just don't need it. Maybe their evolutionary pressures do not push them in the direction
Starting point is 00:50:23 of developing mathematics. So I think that there's... is some kind of threshold you pass when you become, you know, I don't know, touring complete or something. I honestly don't know how to say it precisely, but you become a logical thinker and you're able to do a whole bunch of things. I'm sure that there's more to be said about it than this, but these are just my uneducated guesses. I think that it would be very, very interesting. I'm trying to do the opposite of poo-poo your question. I'm literally saying I don't know the answer. you know, for language, there's just a much closer connection between the abstract capacity and our biological physiological capabilities, right? The shape of our throats and our tongues and things like that, not to mention the capacities
Starting point is 00:51:12 of our brains, and maybe even things like the capacity of our hands to grasp objects. All of these could come into developing language. For developing math, I think it's much less clear how that happens. so I'm skeptical that there's anything specifically biological, but I'm very open to the possibility. Rob Greiber says on a recent popular podcast, Jan 11 talked about the featurelessness of black holes, how they can be fully described by just three factors,
Starting point is 00:51:39 their spin, their charge, and their mass. In that sense, she went on, black holes are just like electrons, which can also be fully described by just a few factors, and therefore you can't say this is my electron, but rather they are all the same. Setting aside the question of locations, This got me thinking about the comparison.
Starting point is 00:51:55 Are black holes really comparable to, or can be thought of as objects like electrons, or due to hawking radiation and quantum mechanics, are black holes more like a process and less like a particle? Ooh, that question got very deep there at the end, because the naive answer, sorry, not even naive answer. The simple answer is, yeah, black holes are kind of like particles. I even mentioned just a few minutes ago that you can imagine including black holes as virtual particles, in Feynman diagrams. Usually, the effects would be negligibly small of doing that because they're so massive. Like the smallest mass black hole is the plank mass, which is huge compared to particle physics mass scales. But if you have some very delicate thing like information conservation that you're
Starting point is 00:52:41 going to ruin by including these black holes, then they could show up even though their effects could show up, even though they're very massive. So I think that particle physicists tend to think that black or, yeah, some kind of particle-like thing. But now you're saying, like, are they more like a process because they can decay? Well, the longer story is that, yes, there's a very real sense in which that's true, but there's a very real sense for which that's true for any unstable particle. Okay? In quantum field theory, unstable particles don't actually have their own part of Hilbert space
Starting point is 00:53:21 to live in. They're basically made out of other particles. You should start your quantum field theory with your set of stable particles, and then, you know, if I say that a muon can decay into an electron, a neutrino and an antinitrino, that's saying that the quantum state of the muon can be built out of the quantum states of the electron neutrino and antinitrino. So I don't need a special quantum state just for the muon itself or for any other unstable particle. This is something that particle physicists know when they take quantum field theory, but something like the muon that lives long enough can be treated as very particle-like. I mean, we're thinking of building a muon collider, for goodness sake, right?
Starting point is 00:54:06 So even though it's sort of not a completely stable particle, it's not sort of one of the basis elements in Hilbert space, it's particle-like for all intents and purposes. A neutron is the same way, but its lifespan is, measured in minutes, not a millisecond, microseconds, like for a muon. So when you get to particles that have very short lifespans, like a top quark or a Higgs boson, or more commonly in particle accelerators, you get all sorts of briefly lived combinations of quarks, right? Unstable mesons and barons and things like that. And these are known as resonances because they appear in particle physics calculations. They give a little bit of extra lifetime to a certain
Starting point is 00:54:54 particular combination of quarks, not ever long enough to be seen in a particle physics detector, but long enough to affect the probability of other things being seen. So in a very real sense, a black hole is like a neutron or a muon or one of these unstable mesons. It is a semi-stable, but not perfectly stable macroscopic configuration that can be treated very much like a particle to the same extent that a muon or a neutron can. Matt Haberland says, you mentioned that you would prefer a simple majority vote
Starting point is 00:55:30 to the electoral college system. What else about the Constitution would you change? That is, for what other aspects, would you have preferred an alternative? Well, I certainly don't have a fully blown out, blown up, blown out? fully thought out. I don't know why, yeah, maybe the sort of violence of the present political moment in time has made me think of blowing things up rather than thinking
Starting point is 00:55:54 them through. I don't have a fully thought out view of what the Constitution should be like. I mean, I'm very impressed that the Constitution that was made 250 years ago or a little bit less has done so well in the sense of lasting so long. Clearly, the opportunity to change the Constitution over time has helped quite a bit. But also, clearly it's not perfect. I would be very, very much against anything like a constitutional convention, as I said before, for the simple reason that I don't trust the people who might end up being in that constitutional convention. If he really had the right people doing it, you could probably do a much better job than the constitution we have right now, but I would
Starting point is 00:56:37 place close to zero credence that we would have the right people in there. Politics has changed quite a bit since the American Revolution. But I can imagine certain changes I would like to make. I think that a lot of them, you know, for very natural reasons, came out of the historical moment that they were proposed in. You know, there were worries about dominance of the bigger states versus the smaller states and the slaveholding states wanted to protect their ability to keep doing that because they knew that there were abolitionist sentiments in the north and so forth. and so many compromises were made that we don't need now, and in fact are actively harmful right now. The Electoral College is one of them. I mean, the Electoral College is clearly a failure.
Starting point is 00:57:22 Nobody in their right mind, if they're thinking carefully, can think the Electoral College, as it is currently set up, is a good idea. The whole idea originally of the Electoral College was that you would vote for some smart people who would then pick the president, right? That's clearly not what happens. That's nowhere close to the actual current system, which is just that, states have a usually majority winner takes all allocation of a certain number of electoral votes. No one had that system in mind. The ex post facto justification for it is that you want small states to have a voice just like big states that has completely failed, just to be super clear here, because what matters is not whether
Starting point is 00:58:06 you're smart or big in the natural college, but whether you're close to 50-50 between one party in another, whether you're a purple state. Red states don't matter, whether they are big or small, blue states don't matter, whether they are big or small, and there are examples of all of those. This is just a dumb system. There's no reason why Pennsylvania and Ohio should get that much attention, while California and Texas get almost no attention, and not to mention Idaho or Kansas, right? That just is a bad way of doing things. So I would absolutely get rid of the Electoral College. I would get rid of the Senate, or at least dramatically change the Senate. There's no reason for the, I mean, the states, what constitutes a state in the United States
Starting point is 00:58:48 is more or less entirely arbitrary. And there's just no reason why a more or less empty state should have as many electoral college votes as a highly populated state. Sorry, the same representation in the Senate as a highly populated state. So that's the same kind of thing. Otherwise, you know, I do think that the Constitution does a pretty good job. I think that it could be much more clearly spelled out, you know. The American Constitution, for better for worse, is really short.
Starting point is 00:59:18 I remember I was at a summer school, I was teaching at a summer school in Europe in the early 2000s. And it was weird that I was there. I was there with Bob Wald, who was at the time I was a professor at the University of Chicago. and so we were talking about relativity and cosmology. But most of the school was dedicated to politics and international relations. And there was a guest lecture by Stephen Breyer, the American Supreme Court Justice. And he was chiding the Europeans, and I think for good reason, because they at the time were thinking about the European Constitution. And the European Constitution was this, the proposed one, I don't know what its current state is,
Starting point is 00:59:58 but it was this completely impenetrable, massive document where they tried to like, figure out everything that could ever possibly happen in the world and give you a ruling on it, right? And Breyer was making the point which I completely agree with. That's not what a constitution should look like. That's what the code of laws should look like. The constitution should be lean and mean. The constitution should give you just some general principles. Okay, completely on board with that. Nevertheless, I think the American constitution is way too vague on all sorts of things about the relationship between the judicial, legislative, and executive branches. And what happens as a result of that is that the power struggle between these two branches,
Starting point is 01:00:43 these three branches, shifts back and forth and to and fro, depending on the particular political moment that we're in. I think a lot more explicitness about what the executive branch is allowed to do, what Congress and the courts are allowed to do, and what they're supposed to do would be very, very helpful. So I wouldn't necessarily be in favor of a dramatic overhaul of the Constitution. I think you could tweak it a little bit. The electoral systems definitely could be overhauled. I mean, I would love to see a very different electoral system, maybe involving something like rank choice voting or something like that. I guess the big question that I have ideas about, but I haven't really completely thought through, so you shouldn't trust those ideas, is, is this whole experiment that the United States is doing
Starting point is 01:01:32 with a separately elected head of state, the president, a good idea versus a more parliamentary system where you have members of parliament choose the leader of the party and then the leader of the world if that party gets into power, leader of the country, if that party gets into power. I do think that the fact that we have a single presidential system separately elected is a huge reason why the United States is and always will be dominated by a two-party system. It's almost impossible to get a third party in there. And I suspect, I believe that this has a lot to do with political polarization, especially the polarization in our representatives in government. The difference between Republicans and Democrats in Congress is way more clear and stark than the difference between Republicans and Democrats in the United States. I think that's a flaw of the system.
Starting point is 01:02:27 It's just that I don't quite know how to fix it. I haven't thought about it. I think a real political scientist would know better than me. You became a nurse to make a difference. Now it's time to expand your impact. Antioch University offers flexible online and low residency masters, postmaster certificate, and doctoral programs. for nurses across Southern California. From family nurse practitioner
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Starting point is 01:03:05 Alexander Kodratzky says, I think working with audio has given me an intuitive understanding of the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle, something that is fundamental to all waves in general. In audio, we can visualize sounds as waveforms, equivalent to the position space wave function, or snapshots of the frequency spectrum on an analyzer, equivalent to the momentum space wave function. An instantaneous sound like the transient of a drum hit occurs as a sudden
Starting point is 01:03:30 peak at a specific moment on the waveform, and will have a broad range of frequencies in the analyzer. A steady sine wave will extend through time on the waveform, but have a single peak in the analyzer. There's a natural trade-off between the two extremes, and every audio engineer has an intuitive grasp of this. Is this the Heisenberg Insertity Principle in action in sound waves? Almost it is. Yes, it is very, very close to the Heisenberg Insertity Principle, because what you're calling the position representation and the frequency representation is exactly like you say, just the position representation and the momentum representation in quantum mechanics. So once you know that that is a true fact about the relationship between the
Starting point is 01:04:14 position and momentum, then the Heisenberg uncertainty principle is simply that fact that you mentioned about waves, that a wave that is spread out in position can be isolated and localized in momentum and vice versa, but you can't isolate and make something precise and localized in both at the same time. However, you know, just, I don't want people to think that Heisenberg was cheap about this. The really important step is to say that momentum is kind of like the frequency domain, right? Like, where did that come from? I mean, it was sort of implicit maybe in what Louis DeBroy did with matter waves, and indeed it sort of grew out of that. But that's the big conceptual step. In classical physics, position momentum are just two completely
Starting point is 01:04:59 independent things. They're not two different aspects of the same underlying wave. That's the real big leap that gets you to the uncertainty principle. Miles Jenkins says there used to be a place somewhere in the world where you could go and see the official standard meter or a kilogram locked in a glass case. Now, of course, all the standard measures are derived from physical constants. But what about the laws and equations of physics currently accept it as authoritative? Is there anything like an official central register that can be referenced? Or is it like the English language, where cat being spelled C-A-T and not K-A-T isn't chiseled and granite in some great hall of truth? It's just overwhelming preponderance of usage. It is much more like the
Starting point is 01:05:40 latter. There is no compendium of currently accepted laws of physics because, I mean, what would it be? Like, who is currently doing the accepting? Like, is the second law of thermodynamics? Does that count? Or is it only particle physics and gravity and fundamental physics that count? You know, you can find the currently accepted equation of the core theory in various places that I've written, including the most recent book, Quanta and Fields. But it's not, you don't need an official, central register for that to be kept. You can just, you can get it on a t-shirt if you want it. But there are other laws, right? There are laws at higher levels. Is F-Equels M.A.? Currently accepted law of physics? I mean, we teach it to all of our students. We also know it
Starting point is 01:06:23 doesn't apply in certain regimes. Even Einstein's general theory of relativity isn't quantum mechanical, so there's some breaking down of it. You see where you would get in the trouble, basically like that. Instead, what you have is the actual belief systems of working physicists. That's the closest you have, and that's more or less analogous to the usage of language in English-speaking world. Unlike, I take it, that in French or other languages, there is an academy that is in charge of saying what counts and what doesn't. We don't have that in English or in physics. P.T. Milo says, in explaining your lack of enthusiasm for idealism, you point to the unexplained coincidence of all this widespread agreement by subjects right down to the equations.
Starting point is 01:07:05 Does this mean you are unmoved by an anthropic favorite explanation of all this conciliants, i.e. the most likely world in which complex questions can be asked is also a world where the myriology includes a hefty minimum dose of useful universal consistency accessible across subjects. Couldn't it be that fundamentally relational worlds don't achieve the requisite consistency and stability to make these sorts of inquiries in the first place, unless they are rooted in a bed of sufficient but emergent universality? So if I understand what you're saying, I think I'm on mostly the same wavelength as you here. I do think that, well, let's put it this way.
Starting point is 01:07:46 Maybe it's too strong to say that I think it, but it makes sense to me to think that some amount of coherence and consistency in the behavior of the world is a prerequisite for the existence of intelligent life and therefore is anthropically demanded. But remember, to make the anthropic principle be something non-trivial, it's not enough to say, without this feature, we wouldn't be here. You also have to say, there are different parts of the world where that feature doesn't hold, right? If you say that there is a multiverse in some very expansive sense, in some places there is consistency and coherence of the laws of physics, and other places there's not, then I would certainly say that, okay, the explanation for our observed consistency is something like the anthropic principle. But if you don't have a theory where those other parts of the universe exist, then you just have a brute fact about our universe
Starting point is 01:08:41 that you do have this consistency, and that requires some different kind of explanation that is not anthropic. Then it's just lucky that we have that feature of the world to allow us to exist, but it's not truly an anthropic explanation for it. Also, I'm not quite sure what this has to do with idealism. I mean, idealism, I'm not an idealism expert, so I'm sure that the idealism experts have different views on this, but to me, the most straightforward version of idealism is, you know, our minds or consciousness come first and the apparent physical world come second, and I would think that different people would have different versions of the physical world that they would conjure into existence, and there might be some minimal overlap for people to be
Starting point is 01:09:26 able to talk to each other, but there wouldn't be the exquisite, perfect, precise overlap that we get from doing experiments in physics, the results of which most people don't even know about, right? So how did they come up with them in their idealistic projection of reality from their minds? I don't know. Again, I'm sure the real experts in idealism have ways of dealing with this. I'm not that interested because I don't think that, I don't give a lot of credence to idealism be on the right track. Peter Bamber says, in an answer to an earlier question, you said that the typical velocity of a dark matter particle is about 300 kilometers per second. We don't know what kind of particles they are. We don't know what their mass. We don't know their mass, though we have
Starting point is 01:10:04 an expected mass range, and some alternative theories posit they don't even exist. How can we estimate their typical speed? That's a great question, actually, in part because it's an insightful question, in part because I know the answer to it. It comes down, actually, to the principle of equivalence, if you want to think about it that way. It's true that we don't know the mass of the dark matter particles. There's a huge range of possible masses. It turns out the mass doesn't matter for figuring out the answer to the question, what is the typical velocity? And it's only the typical velocity. There's obviously a range of different velocities. Basically, you imagine that it's cold dark matter, right? It's not warm or hot dark matter, because warmer hot dark matter would have had some
Starting point is 01:10:45 non-trivial velocity in the early universe, but cold dark matter is essentially starting at rest, and then it just moves in the gravitational field of whatever structure forms in the universe after time. So you have something like a galaxy or a cluster of galaxies, and you can apply the virile theorem. The virile theorem says that, roughly speaking, it says that in distribution of particles moving under the mutual gravitational attraction, there is a constant of proportionality relating the average kinetic energy to the average potential energy. So basically you have approximately equal values of kinetic energy and potential energy for a system that is roughly in equilibrium, and the galaxy counts as roughly in equilibrium. So you might think, okay, there's a given potential energy, but the kinetic energy depends on the mass of the particle, 1.5 mv squared. The point is that the potential energy also depends on the mass of the particle in exactly the same way.
Starting point is 01:11:45 They're both proportional to the mass. So that fact cancels out. There's no dependence on the mass, and if you know the gravitational potential in which the particle is moving, you will know its average velocity. This is not actually very surprising when you think about it. You know, the Earth moves around the Sun at a typical velocity. If the Earth's mass were different, it would still have the same velocity moving around the Sun. So that's where we get this number, approximately 300 kilometers per second. That has to do with the virile velocity of a typical particle and the gravitational potential.
Starting point is 01:12:19 of the galaxy. Friedrich says, during my physics education, I was surprised by how unwilling physics and math professors were to use modern, proven methods to increase the usefulness of lectures and seminars. Very little interactivity, antiquated ways of presenting a complex topic and no idea of how much we students retained.
Starting point is 01:12:39 We have an excellent department of physics education within the same building, but especially the theoretical physics professors stonewalled against all kinds of constructive criticism and relied on their simplistic model of the brain in how learning works. Does that match your experience? How much potential is left untapped due to antiquated teaching methods? Well, I have to say, I think there's two things going on here that kind of point in opposite directions. One is I'm a little skeptical of the methods advocated by
Starting point is 01:13:07 education departments, because in my experience, they're often imagining a certain kind of learning experience, which may or may not be relevant to what the particular class has in mind. I remember I taught a course when I was still a postdoc at MIT. I taught a course in general relativity out of which my general relativity textbook eventually grew years later. And I think the course was very good. The students seemed to learn a lot. They seem to like it. Many of them have gone on to become professional physicists.
Starting point is 01:13:37 But it was a big lecture course, right? It was like 50 students in the class. There's not that much more I could do than stand at the board and lecture and give them problem sets to do. And I told this to someone who was in the physics education. side of things, and they said, I remember, that's not even education at all. You weren't teaching them anything. And they said, well, you know, it should be a flipped classroom, should be more interactive, and that's just not appropriate for a large lecture course in general relativity. They need to learn the symmetries of the remon tensor more than anything else. And of course, that's not all
Starting point is 01:14:08 you need to do. The lecture is never enough. You need interactivity, but the interactivity in a large course like that takes the form of doing problem sets, which I encourage. students to do with their classmates and talk about it. And of course, there's office hours and recitations and the whole bit. So on the other hand, I do think that there are ways to teach better. And I do think that sometimes the education specialists really do put their fingers on ways to teach better. And then guess what? Physicists just, or not even physicist especially, professors don't want to be bothered. You know, professors are not chosen for their dedication to teaching. That's not why they get.
Starting point is 01:14:48 hired. And this is a bit of an issue because students, of course, want the professors to be dedicated to teaching. But students don't want to go to the colleges where professors are chosen to be good teachers. They want to go to the colleges where the professors are famous researchers, right? That is a tension that you have to learn to live with. If you want to go to the universities where the faculty is chosen for their scholarly expertise, most citations, you know, most influence on the field or whatever it is, then you can't be surprised. You can be upset if you want, but you can't be surprised when they're not really dedicated to teaching. Some will be, some will absolutely be open-minded and thinking about what are the best ways to teach. I've seen
Starting point is 01:15:33 all sorts of innovative attempts tried. Sometimes they work, sometimes they don't. But there's controversy over what the best way to teach is in any particular system. So I think it's a combination of those two things. I think that there is over-claiming sometimes on the part of the people who are specialists in physics education, and I think there's underappreciation at times on the part of those who are actually given the task of doing that physics teaching. Anonymous asks a priority question. In the block universe view where all moments in time are equally real, there still seems to be an additional degree of freedom, the present we experience. Why is now now? What distinguishes this particular slice of space time today from all
Starting point is 01:16:14 others. You know, I've heard questions like this before, and I truly don't get it. I think that there must be some under, I don't want to read anything into the questioner's mindset, but there must be some underlying belief in some essence of personhood, of soul or something like that that travels through time and experiences different moments at different times. To me, the answer is obvious. The me, who's experiencing the world at noon on Saturday, could only be experiencing the world at noon on Saturday, because that's who I am. There was a me that was experiencing the world at 11 a.m. on Saturday, and that person experienced it then. It's like saying, why is the number 7?7? Why is the number 7? Not 8? I just don't quite understand how that could be
Starting point is 01:16:59 a question. There's nothing that distinguishes this particular slice of space time from all the others other than the people who are in that slice of space time. Sam Hartzog says, as physical theories progress from emergent to fundamental, the amount of information needed to specify as state grows astronomically. Given that we're progressing from a broad, generalized approximation to a precise solution, this burgeoning information requirement is in some sense trivial. But it nonetheless brings to mind parallels with algorithmic compression. Is there a more than trivial connection here? Have past, or precedent collaborations between data slash computer science experts and theoretical physicists yielded anything interesting from the perspective of the physicists? Or,
Starting point is 01:17:39 as this type of collaboration traditionally yielded one way insights, namely data scientists, taking inspiration from physical theories to develop more efficient compression methods. I think it's probably more of the latter, but I'm not sufficiently embedded in those communities to give you a very accurate point of view. You're absolutely right that one of the features of emergent phenomena is you're able to make predictions or at least make statements relevant to the theoretical context in which you're working on the basis of much less information than you would at a more microscopic level. And I do think that there's been a lot of work on figuring out when that is possible,
Starting point is 01:18:18 the kind of different ways in which it can be possible, etc. The computer scientists, the data scientists, are much more down to earth. They're like, give me a big data set. I will find some sub-manifold in which all the action is taking place, right? The simplest example is principal component analysis, where you have a vector space and you have a distribution of points, and you can say, well, most of these points are embedded or aligned along some direction. They're not uniformly scattered through the space,
Starting point is 01:18:47 so we can simply parameterize them by where they are within that subspace, not in the whole space. But you want something much more rich than that, thinking like a physicist, you want not only to know what variables matter, but then how those variables enter into dynamical equations or other sort of physical relations. my impression is that that is an undeveloped area right now. I've been talking to people here at Hopkins who are interested in it,
Starting point is 01:19:12 so we're thinking about it, but I don't think that there's any body of work that you point to, and here's the textbook that tells you how to do that. I don't think we're at that point quite right now. Ilya Lavalb says in your previous AMA, you discussed Norton's dome, and asserted that we cannot get such a non-deterministic solution in quantum mechanics due to the linearity of the Schrodinger equation.
Starting point is 01:19:34 Does this mean that there cannot, in principle, be a quantum system whose classical limit is precisely Norton's Dome? If true, might this be interesting in its own right? Well, for those of you who don't remember, Norton's Dome is a specific example of a classical mechanical system, highlighted by philosopher John Norton, where it's a dome, okay, with a very specific shape of the rate at which the dome curves, with the property that if you imagine a particle, a perfectly frictionless, spherical ball, obviously, sitting at exactly the top of the dome, then there's a solution to the equations that says the particle sits there forever. There's also a solution to the equations. It says at some arbitrary time, the particle starts slowly moving in some direction, and that direction is arbitrary, and that time is arbitrary, so the system is non-deterministic in the usual sense of doing things.
Starting point is 01:20:27 I pointed out that this is not going to be, there's no equivalent to this in quantum mechanics, because quantum mechanics is linear, it doesn't, all of the solutions are completely deterministic according to the Schrodinger equation. So the question is, does that mean there cannot be, in principle, be a quantum mechanical system whose classical limit is precisely the Norton's Dome? That's not exactly what I would say. I would say there cannot be a quantum mechanical system that stays in the classical limit and acts like the particle on Norton's dome.
Starting point is 01:20:55 So if you put some wave function on the top of the dome, the wave function already has some spread, right? If it had zero spread, then it would start spreading right away. So more typically, it would have some spread to begin with. And then the whole wave function would start spreading down the dome. But what that would mean is that the wave function would no longer be localized at the top after some period of time. It wouldn't be localized in any particular direction around the dome. It would be spread all over the place. So what happens is the quantum system stops behaving classically.
Starting point is 01:21:27 But, you know, to some extent, that's not dramatically different than any other quantum system. There's nothing really special about Norton's dome here. If you just have a wave function moving in a potential, they very often spread out all over the place. So I don't think there's anything, it's teaching us anything dramatically new about quantum mechanics. I'm going to group two questions together. One is by Scott Collins, who says, what do you think is behind the anthropomorphic language around artificial intelligence. Journal articles use terms like deception, faking, honest, helpful, even terms like goals, alignment, rewards, and motivation are freighted with a lot of misleading
Starting point is 01:22:02 human meaning. Is it just how humans communicate, or maybe AI companies see conjuring the threat of AGI and conscious AI as lucrative? And then Fred Brunner says, what kind of criteria or concrete tests would convince you that an AI system has reached AGI? Could you share an example or two of what such a test might look like. So maybe you can see the connection between these two, or maybe not. For the first one, why I think that the anthropomorphic language is so popular is something I would be loath to speculate on. At least, I'm happy to speculate it on, I shouldn't say it that way. I would be loath to decide what the right answer was, because I don't think I have enough data. But you can imagine various different reasons why it would be possible. Certainly, the fact that
Starting point is 01:22:48 these models are being created by companies that eventually want to make money and think that one of the ways to make money is to cast their AI models as human-esque in various ways, means that they're developing models to have the ability to sound human, right? That's not surprising at all. But on the other side, that's sort of the supply side version. The demand side version is people kind of naturally put things they experience into the boxes that they're used to using to organize their experiences. So when we see human beings acting in certain ways, and we assign terms like deception or motivation or whatever to those actions, then when we see other systems acting similarly using the same words, et cetera, it's very, very difficult to resist using exactly the same
Starting point is 01:23:46 existing words. It might be more philosophically rigorous and correct to invent a new vocabulary to describe the same words coming from a large language model as when they come from a human being, but very few people are going to do the intellectual effort to do that. So I don't think it's actually conjuring the threat of AGI, even if the companies just want to sell you, I don't know, a toaster that is intelligent enough to stop toasting when the toast is done, it still might help them to make your toaster sound human. I really don't know about that. To Fred's question about the criteria or concrete tests for reaching AGI, I don't think that there is such a thing as AGI. I think that that's the wrong way to think about it. I mean, again, there's this idea,
Starting point is 01:24:30 since we're human beings, that there is a level of intelligence that human beings have, and computers will reach it or won't reach it. But that's just the wrong way of thinking. It's not that computers don't have the capacity or ability that human beings can, it's that those capacities and abilities are very, very multifaceted. Computers might become much, much better than us at some things, like playing chess, well, much less good at us than other things. Like right now, it's still difficult to subtract two, three-digit numbers with a decimal point and get the right answer in certain language models, right? So I just think that looking for AGI is the wrong kind of thing. You should appreciate, and I just say this over and over
Starting point is 01:25:13 again, so I don't know what good it does, but you should appreciate the large language models or any other form of computer program for what they are good at rather than trying to test them against human beings, okay? Which is not to say that they won't someday get better than human beings at everything, that's fine, but still recognize and understand what they are good at and how good they are at it, and that will help a little bit prevent you from anthropomorphizing these programs overly. Brian Ravich says, I've been learning about Feynman's path integral, and while I don't fully understand it, one of the concepts sparked another question in my mind.
Starting point is 01:25:51 If a photon travels all possible paths, but most destructively interfered leaving just the direct route we see, couldn't this concept apply to other particles? Specifically, is it possible that phase cancellation of particles could be an alternative to the many world's interpretation. Instead of branches of reality, could it be that the other potential realities phase cancel out instead of manifesting in another universe? It might be possible, but it is not true. That's not actually what happens. The language used here is very similar, so I know why you naturally draw a connection between them. The many paths or many histories or many trajectories that a quantum system takes certainly sounds a lot like the many worlds of
Starting point is 01:26:33 quantum mechanics, right? But in fact, they mean very, very different things. Remember earlier when we talked about the difference between unitary evolution, the evolution that a quantum system does when you are not measuring it versus the outcome of measurements. The Feynman-Path integral is all about unitary evolution. It's just a way of rewriting the Schrodinger equation. It's just saying if I have a quantum state and I let it evolve according to the unmeasured evolution equations, then I will get a certain answer at the end of the day. It's colorful to think of it in terms of a sum over all the paths, and there's nothing wrong with that, but those paths have nothing to do with separate worlds or anything like that. Why? Because they don't decoher from each other. In the
Starting point is 01:27:19 many worlds interpretation, decoherence, that is to say, becoming entangled with the environment around you is the thing that we, in common language, refer to as a measurement. So the splitting of the worlds happens under a measurement or under when the system becomes decoherent. But the Feynman Pathenic role is typically used precisely when you're not becoming a decoherent, precisely when you're just keeping all of the information in the quantum system and following its evolution as an isolated system. So the words sound the same, but they are put to use in very different contexts. Eli Reims says, in your does time exist podcast episode, you mentioned that if the observable universe is finite, then according to Poincre recurrence theorem, after a very long time,
Starting point is 01:28:03 the universe will return to the same state as it was before. But I'm curious that if the galaxies continue to accelerate apart due the expansion of the universe due to dark energy, how could this recurrence happen? Well, this is a very subtle question, actually, so I'm going to give you the answer, but it may or may not be a satisfying answer. It has to do with the dark energy. It has to do with the vacuum energy. If there were simply a universe expanding forever but no dark energy, then you'd be right. Then the universe would just cool off. It would settle down, and there's no reason to ever think that would there be any point of every occurrence. And classically, if there were no such thing as quantum mechanics, the same thing would be true even with dark energy,
Starting point is 01:28:45 even with a cosmological constant. There's the cosmic no-hair theorem. You would empty out and become cool and cold and dark and desolate, and that would be a... forever. But you have two things. You have dark energy, which let us imagine is vacuum energy, is the cosmological constant, and then you have quantum mechanics. The reason why the cosmological constant is important is because even empty space has an on-trivial energy density with the cosmological constant, and this gives rise to curvature of space-time, which gives rise to a horizon. So there's something called the decider horizon, because decider space is that ultimate answer when you have nothing in the universe other than the vacuum energy.
Starting point is 01:29:26 We are approaching an emptier and emptier universe. It will take many billions of years to get there. Don't worry. But at some point, you have a horizon around you and otherwise empty space. But Stephen Hawking taught us back in the 1970s in collaboration with Gary Gibbons, he said, just like black holes have horizons and radiate, desider horizons also radiate. They have a temperature. And you interpret that temperature as being part of an indication that there's an entropy. That entropy, in turn, indicates that there are a finite number of degrees of freedom inside the horizon of the universe. Now, are there extra degrees of freedom outside the horizon? That we don't know.
Starting point is 01:30:07 Classically, the answer is obviously yes. In quantum gravity, we don't know enough to say right now. So plausibly, the universe only has a finite number. of degrees of freedom quantum mechanically, even though classically it just expands forever and cools off. And that would mean that quantum mechanically, there is a recurrence theorem that says it could come back. Now, if you detected some fuzziness, some lack of complete confidence there, yes, there is a lack of complete confidence there. These are things that we don't fully understand, but we would like to understand what the implications are of all the different
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Starting point is 01:31:41 Per serving, not a low-calorie foods and products contain allulose. See nutrition info on hero.com for sodium and sugar candy. Hey, everyone, it's Cal Penn. I'm the host of Earsay, the Audible and I Heart Audio Book Club. This week on the podcast, I'm sitting down with Ray Porter, the narrator of Andy Weir's audiobook Project Hail Mary, massive sci-fi adventure about survival and science, and what happens when you wake up alone very far from Earth? I really had to make a decision because I caught myself getting that frog in my throat and starting to get teary as a I'm narrating some of these sections and it's like, okay, yo, yeah, yo, is this indulgent? And I really thought about it. I was like, no, at this point, it would kind of be betraying the trust the author and the listener have in telling this story if I don't go through it.
Starting point is 01:32:32 But there's places in this book that deeply emotionally affected me and I left it on the mic. That's great. Because it served the story. People will say like, oh my God, I cried at the end. It's like, yeah, dude, me too. Listen to Earsay, the Audible and I Heart Audio Book Club. on the IHeart Radio app or wherever you get your podcasts. Sean Miller says in your paper on emergence you incorporate historical influences into the emergence relation
Starting point is 01:32:59 by assuming Markovian evolution where they are encoded within the present state. While this approach offers structural clarity, I wonder if it sets aside a crucial aspect of how emergence unfolds, particularly in evolving systems like those found in biology. Specifically, in life, key emergent events are not just characterizable by the static properties of a map between established levels, but by biological systems developing and stabilizing new modes of compressing information over the course of evolution. So my question is, do you view the evolution of these novel compressive regimes and the corresponding redefinition of informational relevance that they entail as a separate issue
Starting point is 01:33:35 concerning the origins or dynamics of emergence distinct from your classification of the resulting structural relationships? Or could this perspective potentially enhance your classification scheme, perhaps by providing a mechanism for understanding the stability or functional significance of certain emergence types like type 1 or type 1B or type 2. Honestly, I just don't think that this, I mean, what do you say is completely true. Biological systems through evolution certainly do develop new ways of informationally compressing their knowledge of the world around them and their own activities. I don't think that's a challenge to anything that we say in the classification system. even physical systems undergo phase transitions, and they themselves can be subject to different methods of compressing their relevant information. So that's fine. That's just saying that your theory
Starting point is 01:34:24 of a higher-level emergent thing changes over time. The actual entities that you have that might be relevant to describing the world at any one time might be different after such a phase transition than they were before such a phase transition. So I think that that's fine. I think fits in perfectly well. It might not be the most convenient way to think about things. It might be that you gain insight by thinking about the past history of something. But given that the laws of physics are actually local in time as well as in space and everything else is based on the laws of physics, if you have some system in the current universe and you want to say what is the relevant information about that system to predict its future behavior, that relevant information has to be located
Starting point is 01:35:13 in the system at the present moment. It can be a memory or a sort of a fossil or a implication of things that have happened in the past. But if there's something that happened in the past that leaves no memory, no trace on the present instance, then it won't help you understand the dynamics or the behavior of the present system. So that's why I don't think you need to go beyond the Markovian paradigm, even though it might be a useful way to think informally. Jamie says you often say about anthropic reasoning that we need to think more carefully about the possibility of being a typical observer, and that rather than modestly assuming we are probably typical, we might be immodest to assume the typical observers are like us. Can you please do a slightly deeper dive than usual and show us how to approach thinking more carefully about this issue of typicality?
Starting point is 01:36:02 When we can use it and when and how it might mislead us. Love to hear connections to Boltzmann brains, too. Well, I'm sad to say I don't completely know. I don't really have a fully blown... I'm working at it. I would like to have a fully blown theory of how to correctly reason anthropically. My tentative place is that you should only assume
Starting point is 01:36:23 your typical within the set of observers who look exactly like you. Now, the word look is doing work there. So I don't mean that they are exactly like you. They might be located elsewhere in the universe. They might have different microstates. inside them, but their macroscopic setup is exactly the same. This is completely true, for example, in many worlds, when you have two different branches of the wave function, the two
Starting point is 01:36:44 different versions of you on the different branches are at least at the start going to be completely macroscopically indistinguishable. It's also true for Boltzmann brains. There will be not, I don't need to compare myself to a disembodied brain floating in the empty desolate cosmos. I can compare myself to other copies of things that have fluctuated into existence. that look like they're in the room I'm in right now, right? Those will fluctuate into existence also. So among those sets of macroscopically identical observers, I do think it's perfectly okay to think of yourself as typical, but I don't think it's okay to pretend to forget who you are in the universe. I think that you should only be able to help yourself to empirically verifiable data.
Starting point is 01:37:30 I don't think that you're allowed to say, I'm going to assume I'm this observer and not that one, even though from their own points of view, they're perfectly identical. I think that that sort of God's eye view is cheating a little bit in cosmology. I'm going to group the next two questions together. Edward Crump says loosely stated, Alex Valenken says that particles from vacuum energy overcame energy barriers to initiate the Big Bang. This would suggest something present before the Big Bang.
Starting point is 01:37:58 What is your opinion? And Thomas Scabbart says, If our universe arose from nothing or quantum fluctuations in the quantum foam in the bulk, then does this not mean the time existed before the Big Bang? Even virtual particles exist for a brief time. Therefore, there is a passage of time without there being a universe. Am I wrong in this assumption? So look, these are questions about which we have no complete answers. We have no definitive agreement between physicists on what's going on. We're talking about the quantum mechanics of the universe that involves gravity, but also
Starting point is 01:38:29 we're talking about deep conceptual questions about the emergence of time. Okay? If you're Alex Valenkin, who is a very, very respected cosmologist, one of my favorite scientists out there who's done amazing work, he has a theory of quantum cosmology going back to the 80s that was sort of one of the rivals of, there was a proposal, of course, from Stephen Hawking and James Hardle, the Hardle Hawking No Boundary Way Function of the universe. There was a separate proposal by André Linday and a proposal by Alex Valenkin. I think Valen and Linday were more or less similar in their outcomes. But all of these are working within what you might call traditional quantum cosmology. And traditional quantum cosmology says you take gravity, you consider the
Starting point is 01:39:17 gravitational theory of a closed universe, so spatially closed, like a sphere or something like that, simplifies some of the math. You do quantum mechanics to it, and you end up with the Wheeler-Dewitt equation. And the Wheeler-Dewitt equation says the universe, the quantum state of the universe, the wave function of the universe, does not evolve with time. Okay? You can, the argument between Belenkin and Linday on one side and Harle and Hawking on the other was about what the wave function is, what its mathematical expression looks like, but the fact that it doesn't evolve with time was common to them. And that's a problem if you think that the universe evolves with time, which most of us do. So the answer is, of course, the time is supposed to be emergent,
Starting point is 01:39:59 and having that actually work out as tricky. As I've explained otherwise, I've had a as I explained recently in the emergence of time episode. So I can't tell you the truth, because the truth is not agreed upon or maybe even known about this, all I can tell you is what I think, what I think is that all these folks are talking about are wrong. I think that when Alex Valenkin says that there was something, some quantum state of the universe that then tunneled, he calls it the tunneling wave function, that then tunneled into the universe that we see, I don't think that's a very sensible picture at the end of the day. When did it tunnel? When did it decide to tunnel? I think you're right. And Edward is right to wonder, like, how could this be possible? That needs to be something before the Big Bang, even if it's just a quantum state. And I guess Thomas is saying the same thing. So maybe there is some correct understanding here where these words, like there was some state of the universe, that was not directly recognizable in terms of conventional space time, et cetera,
Starting point is 01:41:05 did pre-exist the Big Bang, and then there was a moment at which it underwent a phase transition into the expanding hot-dense universe that we know about, or to an inflationary universe, perhaps. Maybe those words work, but they would only work as an approximation. I don't think that they're the deep thing going on. So I think that we very much need a better understanding of what it means to say the time emerges before we can give the real answer to these things. Graham Stodden says on a 19th of May BBC Newsover program hosted by Martin Griffiths and in firm opposition to the UK government's recently passed legislation to exempt tech firms from copyright laws, Sir Elton John made the comment that he felt betrayed that government MPs had rejected proposals to force AI,
Starting point is 01:41:55 tech companies who disclose what materials they were using to develop their programs. He stated that a machine is incapable of writing anything with a soul in it, and that this development is George Orwell times a thousand. What is your position on these two statements? Well, I don't love any of those two, either one of those two statements, really, although I do kind of sympathize with the conclusion that Sir Elton reaches here, which is that the AI programs are absolutely profiting off of the creative efforts of other people who are not getting compensated for their efforts. So I don't think it's true that a machine isn't capable of writing anything with a soul in it, because I think that we're machines, basically. And I think there's
Starting point is 01:42:35 not that much of a conceptual difference between a human being and a machine. The kinds of machines that we have right now are very different than the kinds of machines that human beings are, but I don't think that it's fair to say that a machine is incapable of this or that. Machines are capable of lots of things, and we should be open-minded about that. And I'm not sure why he says this development is George Orwell times 1,000, other than George Orwell set a bunch of warnings that we need to pay attention to, and maybe this is one of them. I don't know exactly what he had in mind there. I do think that, you know, it's completely obvious that AI companies make money or plan to make even more money off of the work of other people
Starting point is 01:43:19 without paying them back. And basically, their argument for it is, but paying them back would be really expensive. Well, yeah, okay, maybe that's very possible. But when I see these video generation things, and there's this, just for the last couple days, there's been this discourse on social media about replacing screenwriters and directors and directors of photography and things like that, because it can all be AI. But clearly you've trained these AIs on works done by actual human directors and screenwriters and actors and so forth. So it's just hiding all of those contributions under layers
Starting point is 01:44:02 of technological mixing and matching, but it's still absolutely there. And I think that it's perfectly legit for those creators, those artistic creators, especially whose creative works are being used to train the AI to ask for some slice of the pie, such as it is. Now, you can be subtle about this. I don't think you need to be like over, over emotional about it. There are other things that are free out there in the public domain that I think it's perfectly okay if AI trains on and then that's okay. But yeah, I do think that Sir Elton has a point overall. Paul Kent says, which sci-fi novels shaped or ignited your early or later scientific interests and thinking? You know, honestly, my scientific interests early on when I was a kid were ignited by popular science books, not by science fiction books. I did read a whole bunch of science fiction, and maybe it had some effect. I don't keep track of all the effects that my early reading had. And I tend to doubt other people who claim to have had epiphanies from reading something. And it's probably more of a story that seems to be dramatic that they like telling later on, so I don't want to go down that road. I've read. a lot of stuff, so who knows what inspired me to do one thing or another. But I certainly read a lot of
Starting point is 01:45:21 nonfiction books about physics and cosmology, and that's really what got me excited. The science fiction I like, there's a bunch of sort of classic science fiction authors. Robert Heinlein was always my favorite, but I read a lot of Anne McCaffery, Ursula Le Guin, Rogers Salasney, a bunch of different people. And most of them were not trying to, to do anything scientifically dramatically different. I mean, Heinlein sort of tried to do usually things that stuck within scientific plausibility, but he certainly had fun writing stories about time travel or whatever that were brain twisters and were fun to read.
Starting point is 01:46:06 The one exception, I guess, which I certainly mentioned before, is by Robert Forward, who was an engineer of some sort. He had a scientific background, but he wrote a couple of things. novels, and my favorite one was Dragon's Egg, which was about a life on a neutron star. It's about human spacefarers, find this neutron star, and it was a long time ago, but don't ask me to remember all the details, but there's little primitive life forms on it, but because there's also gravitational time dilation, and, you know, everything is made of very, very tiny things, so the neutron star life, they're not made of neutron.
Starting point is 01:46:47 the crust of a neutron star is not made of neutrons. In the center, it's neutrons, but on the edge that there's other things going on. I don't know whether life on a neutron star is plausible, but it would be very different in very obvious ways if you knew the basic physics of it. And Robert Forward did, and that's what he wrote a story about. So the primitive life forms developed super duper quickly compared to ordinary human beings. So I thought that was thought-provoking in a way that was directly related to science. I really like that. Taylor Gray says, at what point if ever have you considered yourself an expert in physics?
Starting point is 01:47:21 I am quite experienced in my field, but I'm not sure I'd ever call myself an expert. There always seems to be more to learn, room to grow, et cetera. I'm curious on your thoughts. Yeah, I think, I don't know if there's a sensible answer to this question. I don't know if it matters, whether you can call yourself an expert. What does it mean to call yourself an expert? I think that you're an expert if you can help other people learn more, right? So there's various degrees to being an expert. A high school algebra teacher is an expert in high school level algebra. They might not be an expert in what a professional PhD mathematician would call algebra. I do remember once when I was either late in grad school or early as a postdoc, and still, you know, despite the fact that I should have, by that point in time, I wasn't yet sure how to think about my own scientific field of expertise.
Starting point is 01:48:10 Because, you know, I had written papers on general relativity, on modified elizabeth, on modified, electromagnetism, on topological defects, some things on magnetic fields in the early universe, like a bunch of things that in the general bucket of field theory, cosmology, and gravitation. But that's too wide a bucket to have as your specialty. And I was at the summer school, and, you know, the students, of course, sit around at night after dinner just like chit-chatting. And someone asked a question about Big Bang nucleosynthesis or something like that, and I answered it. And later, one of my friends at the school came up and said, you know, that was really
Starting point is 01:48:48 impressive. Your speech on Big Bang nucleosynthesis. That was like very clear and helpful, and you clearly know your stuff. And I thought to myself, oh, I guess maybe I'm a theoretical cosmologist. Maybe that's what I am. I backed track on that later because there's other things to do. But I think that that, you know, sometimes you find that you're an expert just because someone else says, wow, you seem to have demonstrated some expertise. Thanks for doing that. Chris A says, why don't cloud chamber tracks violate the uncertainty principle? So the question here is because when you see a particle go through a cloud chamber, it leaves a track, right? And it leaves a track that looks pretty narrow and is also bending because you put the magnetic field in the cloud chamber.
Starting point is 01:49:31 And so if you know what kind of particle it is, and therefore you know the mass of the particle, by knowing how much it bends, you can figure out more or less the velocity and the momentum of the particle. So it seems like you are measuring both the position and momentum of the particle. Now, I'll confess, I had an answer to this question when it came up, but I did have the thought flick across my brain. This is the kind of question that maybe you could ask a large language model. It's like exactly as well-posed enough to be maybe they'll give you the right answer, but also slightly vague enough that maybe they'll stumble. So I asked, I don't know, one of them, I forget.
Starting point is 01:50:11 I think it's the OpenAI one, the chat GPT. I think I have access to the, I believe I have access to the most advanced model thanks to a very nice Minescape listener who granted me access. So I can use that. And indeed, interestingly, chat GPT, O3, I guess, or whatever it was, kind of got it halfway right. It didn't get it completely right. For one thing, it gave like four different answers.
Starting point is 01:50:36 And I told it, I'm like, why? Why do you need four different answers if there's one answer that is right? And, of course, like you'll notice if you ever use these things. It was like, oh, yes, you're right. I should have been more specific. Anyway, I think the real answer, basically, is that it's a crude measurement, right? The uncertainty principle isn't pinning you down to being completely unable to measure positions and momentum. It's just that there's some uncertainty in it.
Starting point is 01:51:03 And the track in a cloud chamber is at least as uncertain as the width of the little track. which is not trivial on subatomic scales, right? It's a big macroscopic thing. So I think that as a matter of practice, you're not pinning it down nearly enough to actually be in danger of violating the uncertainty principle. The interesting point that Chat GPD made was that you're also not at any one moment
Starting point is 01:51:28 measuring both position and momentum at the same time. You're measuring position over and over again at different times, and you can keep track of the time, keeping track of the curvature or the path, et cetera. So you can infer what the momentum was, but you're not actually, strictly speaking, measuring it. That one, I don't know whether that one is right or not. I think, you know, the words all sound good, but I worry that it's weaseling out. I'm not sure that that's the right answer. I think I like my answer better. And then I gave a couple
Starting point is 01:52:00 other other answers dealing with decoherence and things that are completely irrelevant. So, you know, don't trust these things. Use them, but don't trust them. Anyway, the is not going to get in your way of doing macroscopic uncertainty level measurements. Kent Linkletter says, I understand that the entropy of a black hole is based on the area of its event horizon, and this would be directly related to its mass. Does it matter if the things that fall into it have high or low entropy? No, it does not matter. That's one of the joyous things about black hole entropy. For one thing, even if it mattered, it wouldn't matter in the following sense. The entropy of the black hole is way bigger than the entropy of whatever you're throwing into it.
Starting point is 01:52:42 So if you have some Avogadro's number of particles and you're throwing it into a solar mass black hole, that Avagodro's number mass collection of particles might be in a zero entropy state or a maximum entropy state. It's not going to affect the black hole entropy very much at all. All the matters, as we talked about before, for the black hole is mass charge and spin. So from that gravitational point of the entropy of the thing you're throwing into it is much, much less than what its entropy would be if you turned it into a black hole. And so by turning into a black hole, all you're doing is equilibrating it. You're raising it to its actually most highest entropy state. It doesn't matter whether when it fell in, it started with low entropy or high entropy.
Starting point is 01:53:28 It will eventually go up to that equilibrium value. Tim Giannizzo says Einstein was apparently influenced by Mach's principle, which said that a spinning object in space would feel a centrifugal effect only because it spins against a background of other matter in the universe. If there were no other matter, it would be impossible to spin. However, Einstein seems to revert his view on this during a 1920 Leiden Lecture, where he suggests it is possible to spin against a background of space with no other matter. He even goes as far as to resurrect the term ether, though it has a different properties to the ether that relativity originally disproved.
Starting point is 01:54:03 What is the modern view on Mach's principle? Is this informed at all by the CMB rest frame? Well, the modern view of Mach's Principle is that it may have had some historical use to Albert Einstein, inventing general relativity, but it's not actually part of general relativity. In fact, one of the things I was proud of is when I wrote my textbook on general relativity that was published, I guess, in 2005, it might have been the first complete textbook on general relativity to not even mention Mox Principle, because I think that Mach's Principle confuses people. And the reason why it confuses people is because it was certainly part of Einstein's thinking
Starting point is 01:54:39 when he was inventing general relativity, but it truly doesn't show up in general relativity. But on the third hand, there are certain special cases where something like Mach's Principle is true. It absolutely is possible to measure the spin of something with no other matter around. That's just true in general relativity. Newton's Bucket experiment shows you that has nothing to do with the existence of matter far away. But there's specific cases like the CMB where nevertheless there is matter in the universe, and you can measure some things like your motion relative to that. The microwave background gives you a rest frame.
Starting point is 01:55:19 Is that mock principle? No, not really, but it's kind of mock adjacent, and so sometimes people talk about it that way. I don't advocate talking about that way. I advocate just forgetting about Mach's principle if you're a physicist. Take it very seriously if you are a historian of physics. Michael Long asks, assuming humans have a measure of agency over some of the energy that flows through them, what is your hope, sorry, let me phrase it this way,
Starting point is 01:55:44 what is your hope for the energy you direct into the microphone? I suppose this is a way of asking, what are my aspirations or reasons for podcasting or otherwise talking to microphones at various times. Yeah, I mean, that's a very good question. I'm sure that I've talked about it before. I have lots of different levels of aspiration for talking to the microphone. Mostly, if I'm very honest, it's because it's fun.
Starting point is 01:56:10 I enjoy it. Having a deadline every week can be a little oppressive sometimes. There's not always a lot of time to do it. But I get enjoyment out of talking to the different people that I have on the podcast. That's the major motivation for me doing this. The fact that other people enjoy it is something that actually gives me the motivation to take it to the accomplished extreme. Like, you know, everyone would have a good time talking to different people, but I get to actually force myself to do it by having the podcast and coax people into being on the podcast by having an audience for it. So I think that that works pretty well.
Starting point is 01:56:50 I do hope that people get something out of it, not just my enjoyment out of listening to people and learning things, but listening to me and to them in conversation or me here just in the AMAs. I hope that people learn something. And this is all sort of obvious, so I'm not dwelling on it. I also think that it's, I do, the higher level aspiration is to model a certain way of thinking. being. You know, this is going to sound grandiose, but recent discourse in the media and social media has been about whether or not the left side of the political spectrum of the United States needs its own Joe Rogan, because Joe Rogan has been very successful in gathering a huge audience and having a lot of influence, especially young people, especially young men. And he endorsed Donald Trump, and a lot of them are conservative, coded in various ways. And I think it's a silly discourse very much because the actual Joe Rogan is not the conservative Joe Rogan. He's not conservative by any ordinary sense. His political views are a weird mix of things. The last
Starting point is 01:58:03 person he endorsed before Donald Trump was Bernie Sanders. So the, I don't know, these people, these consultants, political experts just insist on seeing things through a one-dimensional lens of political versus, of liberal versus conservative, left versus right, and the real world is much more complex and multifaceted than that. And Joe Rogan is a certain way of living with pluses and minuses, a certain way of approaching the world and dealing with it and struggling with it and asking questions about it. And there are other ways to do it. And this wasn't my goal when I started the podcast. Sorry, let me say it this way. The goal was not and never has been specifically in contrast with either Joe Rogan or anybody else, okay? But I do think that as a scientist,
Starting point is 01:58:56 as an academic, as someone who is open-minded, I think, and interested in many different things, you know, I want to let people know by example that this is a way of living, that loving science is a way of living, but also loving other areas of knowledge is a way of living, even if science is your main thing, talking to different people respectfully while not talking to any old person. You know, the fact that I try to have people on my podcast who I really think have something to offer, not that I just want to debate with them is an important aspect of it, respectful disagreements and things like that, but also respectful agreements. I mostly have people on the podcast who I want to learn something from.
Starting point is 01:59:38 And I think that, you know, this goes back, I've had experiences this way, like when I debated William Lane Craig about religion. You know, the location of the debate was the Southern Baptist Theological Seminary or whatever it was called. It was not an audience that was predisposed to be on my side, but just by being up there and not being scary, it has a much bigger impact than any of the actual intellectual arguments that you give. A lot of the people in the audience have grown up thinking that atheists are just bad people, right? And just going up there and being sort of friendly and nice and, you know, holding your ground in terms of making an argument about the substance is important, but also you don't need to be a jerk about it. You can just sort of give your point of view and let other people think about it. And I think it may be there is something to be said for being that kind of person. I don't always measure up to it. Heaven knows. But I aspire to do it, and that's a good thing to sort of try to be in front of a large public audience where people can learn that that's a way to be. And also, of course, I'm not, like I said, I'm not always good at it. So I can learn to be better at it. I can learn to be a better podcaster, a better questioner, a better thinker, and all of those things. And letting people see that in motion maybe does some good for the world. As I've said many, many times,
Starting point is 02:01:05 I don't think that every scientist should have a public profile. I think there's plenty of scientists who are fine just doing their research. I think that the field needs to have a public profile. So some scientists need to be out there talking to the public. And also there need to be people whose profession is science communication, science journalism or whatever it is. That's a slightly different thing than being a scientist who is talking to the public. Like as a scientist, when I talk to the public, I get to talk about what I think is interesting.
Starting point is 02:01:37 But as a professional journalist, you have to be a little bit more objective and step back and think about what is the most interesting thing in the world, what is the most important thing, and translate it into a way that people can understand. So I want a very rich ecosystem of different scientists, some not talking to the public, some talking to the public, some talking to the public, some talking to journalists who then talk to the public. All of that is important. so I play my tiny little role in that giant ecosystem. Albin says two new theories have been in the spotlight recently, the dark photon theory, and one named Gravity from four one-dimensional unitary gauge symmetries and the standard model.
Starting point is 02:02:15 Do you think there's any real meat in those ideas? I have no idea what the second idea is, gravity from four one-dimensional unitary gauge symmetries. I mean, that sounds wrong, but maybe there's something missing in the description that doesn't come clear to my brain, so who knows? maybe. The first one, the dark photon theory, is one I'm very fond of. I wrote one of the early papers, wasn't co-author on one of the early papers on dark photons in cosmology. The idea of
Starting point is 02:02:41 dark photons is that you have ordinary photons, which come in quantum field theory from a certain gauge symmetry and very well understood, giving rise to electromagnetism. But what if you have another gauge symmetry that does not directly interact with ordinary matter, but only, interacts with dark matter. So you'd have a whole separate electromagnetism, dark electromagnetism, and separate particles associated with those, dark photons, etc. This is an old idea. It goes back to at least the 1980s. Nothing new there, but there's various problems with it right away. I mean, the biggest problem is that the dark photon and the ordinary photon tend to mix with each other. So you get right in immediately in trouble if you don't sort of turn off that mixing. So usually what people
Starting point is 02:03:29 do is to give a mass to the dark photon so that it's allowed to mix with the ordinary photon, but you wouldn't notice if it's too heavy. That's something you can absolutely do, and I think that it rubs me a little bit the wrong way, that nomenclature, because the photon's masslessness is really important to what the photon is. I think once you give it a mass, you should call it something like a dark z boson or something like that, rather than the dark photon. The paper I wrote with Mark Kameyankowski and other people was on real dark photons, dark. Dark. radiation, massless dark photons. And we just turned off the mixing by hand. And the interesting thing was that the idea that dark matter interacts with a whole new kind of electromagnetism
Starting point is 02:04:11 is much less constrained than you might think. I mean, you might think that you would have noticed by now. There would be dark atoms and dark chemistry and all that stuff. It is easy to get rid of that, but it's also easy to allow it to exist. You know, and that's, again, full employment for particle physicists. You get to imagine models what can be accommodated in current knowledge of the universe and what has already ruled out, stuff like that. It's a lot of fun. Why not have a new force interacting with dark matter? It's a little baroque, and, you know, it's not the most promising thing in the world, but it's a possibility, and you don't know how to look for it until you do the theoretical work, trying to understand what its effects would be. So people are doing that. I love it. I'm glad people are doing it, because that helps guide our experiment. and observational searches for new things.
Starting point is 02:05:02 Peter Schuller says, when one says that quantum gravity, as we understand it, breaks down at extreme gravities, is it analogous to how Newtonian physics breaks down compared to relativity? It's almost always wrong, but the error is so small as to be practically irrelevant
Starting point is 02:05:14 until you get to the extremes. Or is there somehow a sharp dividing line where quantum gravities, we know it, is completely right until you reach some threshold. Well, I think it's the other way around. Quantum gravity is always right. The question is, where is classical gravity? gravity, right? And the answer is the former of your two options there. Classical gravity is always
Starting point is 02:05:37 an approximation. It's never exactly right. The Earth moving around the sun is described by a wave function. There is some uncertainty in the position and momentum of the Earth. It's just that that uncertainty is so incredibly low that you don't notice it. So there's no threshold at which the quantumness of gravity is supposed to turn on. AJ says there have been some recent books, Ross Duthat and I don't know how to pronounce Ross Dutthat's name, sorry. Ross Dutthat and Francis Collins that have taken the fine-tuning argument for the existence of God seriously that have gotten some popular exposure on other podcasts or media. What is your best or most accessible argument against the fine-tuning argument? I'm on record as saying the fine-tuning argument for the
Starting point is 02:06:20 existence of God is the best argument that is out there for the existence of God, but it is still a very bad argument. And it's a very bad argument because the people who use it generally aren't being good basians about their probabilities. They say, well, if God existed, this particular feature of the world would look like that. Therefore, this particular feature of the world does look like that. Therefore, that is evidence that God exists. But you have to play the game consistently. You have to say, well, what other features of the world would you require if, would you expect to be true if God existed? As soon as you open yourself up, to being honest about what you would expect the world to look like if God existed.
Starting point is 02:07:04 If you're really honest, you find out that the world would not look anything like the actual world that we observe. Most obviously, because God wouldn't treat us like this. If God actually cared about us, God would give us much more explicit help here on Earth, even if that help is purely in the form of instructions on how to behave better, okay? God has been very, very cagey, almost as if he doesn't exist. But there's also a much more scientific objection to the fine-tuning argument that you can get out of it, but only at great cost, and the objection is the following, that I've made many times before. The fine-tuning argument says that the particular arrangement of matter and cosmological structure
Starting point is 02:07:50 in the universe, plus the particular choices of the laws of physics, like the fine structure constant or whatever, the cosmological constant, all seem to be delicately tuned in such a way as to allow for the existence of life. If you change various constants of nature by a large amount, physics would be dramatically different, and it's much harder to imagine life existing. Okay? So, for example, if the neutron were slightly lower mass than the proton rather than slightly higher mass, you wouldn't have any atoms. Everything would just be neutrons. It would be much, much harder to have chemistry or life. There you go. Is that a fine-tuning argument? If the cosmological constant were
Starting point is 02:08:29 anywhere close to its natural value, there would be no time in the history of the universe to make galaxies, and there would be no life. There you go, another fine-tuning argument. Okay. But what is actually being allowed by these fine-tunings? These fine-tunings are allowing for the existence of complex chemical reactions, right? That's what you get by having atoms. That's what you have by giving the universe enough time to form galaxies and things like that. In other words, the thing that these tunings are allowing, is precisely the existence of physical structures that have the form of living beings. If you actually believed in the existence of God, you wouldn't need to think that you needed such structures. Everyone who believes in the existence of God really sells God short a lot of
Starting point is 02:09:18 the times in terms of what God could do. Typically, and again, not always, but most people who believe in God are also not physicalists about consciousness, right? They think that there is some spirit or some essence of life or the soul or something like that that is not purely physical. It would be weird to be a theist, but otherwise be purely physicalist about life and consciousness, right? So, consciousness is not something that is merely an emergent outgrowth of the chemical reactions or physical processes in your body if you are a theist. So why do you need to fine-tune at all? You don't need to set up a universe that allows for complicated chemical reactions if consciousness is not beholden to complex chemical reactions, right? Now, of course, like, and I already hear
Starting point is 02:10:12 the theist objecting to this because there is a very typical theist move. You will wait to see what the universe is like, and then you say, yes, that's just how God would have wanted it. So since you know that in the real universe, consciousness is associated with complex chemical reactions, you come up with a reason why that's just how God would have wanted it, right? Just like for the existence of life in the universe or human beings in the universe, you don't need a universe with a trillion galaxies in it. You could easily do it with a universe with just one galaxy, a relatively tiny galaxy, stars in it, okay? And the the theists will have to say, yes, but it's easier for God just to do
Starting point is 02:10:53 the big bang and make the whole universe. It's all very ex post facto and very unconvincing. So I think that if you're a good basing about these things, even with the fine-tuning argument, the data are pointing you in directions of physical understandings of why things are the way they are, not theological ones. Tom Mallory says, I got a PhD in chemistry, I couldn't find work, and I spiraled mentally. I ended up in a bad way, drinking. and using drugs. I'm sober now and doing okay, helped in part by finding and following positive inspirational role models like yourself. I have thrown myself into my work and research, taken up running, teaching myself a foreign language, and find time to practice playing the piano
Starting point is 02:11:31 every day. I love all that I do, and sober life is infinitely better than using slash drinking. However, I still find that despite the love I have for my work and hobbies, occasionally I feel exhausted by doing it all and worry that I can't maintain it and I don't want to end up in that dark place again. My question is simply, how does someone so prolific like yourself find time to keep up with everything and never seem to tire of it all? It's quite remarkable. Is it just discipline when you're not feeling it, or do you love what you do so much that you're always feeling it and never tire of it? That's a great story, Tom. I'm glad to hear that you've come all this way. I mean, teaching yourself a foreign language, learning to play the piano, taking up running. These are amazing things that a lot of people
Starting point is 02:12:09 would be very proud of doing regularly, so good for you. In terms of me being prolific and do I ever get tired of it, I get tired all the time. I'm tired right now as I'm speaking to you. There's a lot going on and it's exhausting. You know, I like many other people, nothing special about me here, I have a thing where there's a lot of things I enjoy doing and I commit to doing them and then it's too much and I got to do it all. And so honestly, I get things done just by having deadlines that I have to meet and a feeling of guilt if I don't meet them. I am usually good at meeting them, but not always good. You know, I have a book due. I got to finish that book. I have a podcast that has to come out every week. I have to start teaching quantum mechanics in the fall, so I need to think about how to do that the best. Just a bunch of things that, you know, the deadlines come up. The calendar keeps ticking away. And I very often say I should agree to do less things that would burden future me. But on the other hand, it's absolutely true that every individual thing is rewarding and fun for me. So I'm in a very, very, very fortunate situation as a human being where most of the things that I have to do, even though they do tire me out, represent things that are individually enjoyable, whether it's the podcast or teaching or writing the book or whatever.
Starting point is 02:13:30 So I'm very lucky that way. Not everyone is that lucky, and I absolutely recognize that. So, you know, there will always be dark nights of the soul, and you have to deal with them. But, you know, human existence is complicated and multifaceted, and there will be ups and downs, you know. And when you have it down, you have to realize there's going to be an up. It's not going to happen automatically, but you can make the ups happen. And it sounds like you're really doing that, and so I hope you can continue. It sounds great.
Starting point is 02:14:01 I'm going to group two questions together. Adam Small says, I always hear that it's supposed. basically a given that information can't be destroyed, so hawking radiation is very important. But how can we are so confident that a black hole can't destroy information, given that our physics breaks down at the singularity or smaller than the plonk length, which I assume they crush everything in a space smaller, hence the singularity? And then Babyfoot says, in your view, what is the metaphysical nature of information? So I'm grouping these two questions together because that Babyfoot's question,
Starting point is 02:14:33 the metaphysical nature of information, is relevant to Adam's question about how we're so sure that black holes can't destroy information. First, we're not sure that black holes can destroy information, as we talked about at an earlier question. We have reasons to believe it, but you're never sure about these things, so you remain open-minded. You try to figure out. You know, the black hole information loss puzzle is a puzzle because it is physicists asking themselves, given what we think we know about gravity and quantum mechanics. How can we arrange things so that information is not lost because we think that other principles of physics lead us to believe information shouldn't be lost? But maybe it won't work. You know, we're trying. We had talks here on the podcast with people like Netta Englehart, Rafael Buso. We've discussed these things,
Starting point is 02:15:21 but the final answer is not quite yet been written down. So stay tuned on that. But more importantly, I think that the phrasing of Adam's question gives rise to this idea, or at least stems from this idea that information is kind of a thing, like a bit of information, like takes up space. And that's an interesting implicit assumption because in a sense it does, you know, because information is tied to physical things. This is where we need to answer Babyfoot's question. What is the metaphysical nature of information? I know that in physics there's a motto that information is physical, which is a way of saying that manipulating information requires physical capacities. You generally increase entropy or you require some energy or whatever
Starting point is 02:16:10 it is. You can't just push around information without physical goings on. So the way that I like to think about it, though, is rather than saying information is physical, I say that information is a way of describing physical stuff. It's the physical stuff that is real. So when you say, you know, I'm crunching things down to the singularity, you're not crunching information, really. You're crunching stuff, whatever it is. Maybe it's just an abstract quantum mechanical wave function that you're crunching. And that's in a regime where we don't know what's going on. That's why it's interesting. But it's not like there's information bits that are the physical things you're pushing around. We have bits, quantum bits, qubits, and we attach information to them in the way
Starting point is 02:16:54 that we describe it. This sounds fuzzier than it really is. Energy or momentum are exactly the same thing, right? There's not energy out there in the universe separate from stuff. Energy is a property that stuff has, and so is information. Okay, that's the metaphysical nature of information. It's a property that is attached to physical stuff. As far as Adam's question and the singularity is concerned, so number one, we're not so confident, but number two, the interesting thing about the black hole information puzzle is that it doesn't require understanding what's happening at the singularity. As long as you think, and maybe it's not true, but as long as you think that information is completely preserved from the time before you made the black hole to the time after it evaporated,
Starting point is 02:17:43 the puzzle about how the information gets out is there regardless of what happens at the singularity, because the information is coming from just outside the event horizon, not from the singularity. So that's why people are so interested in the puzzle. It seems to be a puzzle that cannot be resolved just by playing with physics near the plank length or near the singularity. Marie Roskew says, I recently rewatched the 2024 Philosophy of Physics Workshop on YouTube, and at the beginning you said that you sometimes promise to give a talk on a subject
Starting point is 02:18:17 you haven't yet done the research on and hope it will be done. Sometimes it is, sometimes it isn't. I wonder how this strategy has worked for you. Yeah, this strategy has become more common later in life, honestly. You know, when I was younger, I would wait until I actually did some research to promise to give a talk on it or whatever. These days, one of the, you know, going back to the previous question, one of the ways I keep myself motivated to do some work is to say, all right, I promise to give a talk on it. I guess I better think about it. It doesn't always happen that I get a satisfactory answer because you can't really predict the pace of progress in theoretical physics or philosophy for that matter. So I think, you know, it's, again, I have a lot of things going on, so I need to motivate myself in various ways. So in some sense, it's been useful to promise to give talks on things and then be forced to follow up on them. In another sense, you know, I kind of wish I could be more responsible and just do the work first and then give talks on it later. I mean, it's like the last four years of my life have been very disruptive, moving across the country, starting a new job, starting up the natural philosophy.
Starting point is 02:19:25 V-form, teaching a bunch of courses that I had never taught before, trying to finish a bunch of books. A whole bunch of things have been going on, so I'm a little bit less responsible about getting the work done before the talk than I have been, but I hope to return to a level of responsibility that I used to have back in the day. Rory Edwards says, I'm coming to the end of my PhD in experimental neutrino physics and plan to transition to a more hybrid role in medical physics. I still love to learn about fundamental theoretical physics like foundations of quantum mechanics. Of course, I can continue to read textbooks and watch lectures for my interests, but what are your thoughts and recommendations for keeping up with research and developments
Starting point is 02:20:02 and continuing to learn in pure slash fundamental physics as more of a hobby for a non-lay person? Well, I think it's, you've had a good start. You're listening to this podcast. That's something. You know, I think it very much depends on exactly what you mean by keeping up with research and developments. This podcast, for example, makes no pretense to giving you the latest scoop on anything at all. This is a much more slower time scale, big picture, think about things, kind of podcast. I wish actually, you know, this is a hint for folks out there who are physics oriented and thinking about starting a podcast. I mean, a really good top-notch podcast that really was, you know,
Starting point is 02:20:48 physics news of the month, or an in-depth dive to the most recent interesting physics, story, that would be fascinating. I would love that and definitely promote it myself if it were done well. You know, you have to actually put some effort into it. But if you want to go further than that, there's lots of books, there's lots of papers, there's lots of online courses and things like that. It's, I'm just going to say it's hard. And I can't give you much more specific guidance than that because there's a very, very large amount of stuff that gets. it's done at the research level. I mean, you could just go to archive.org where all the papers appear, and you could find your favorite subcategory, HEPTH for formal theory, HEPPH for phenomenology,
Starting point is 02:21:36 astro-PH for astrophysics, or whatever, and you could subscribe to daily mailings, right? You could get abstracts in the mail that are the most recent research in that area. And I mean, that's something that many people do, who are professional physicists. And then you don't need to read every paper, but you would get links to every paper. And you can read the titles, you can read the abstracts, you get a feeling for what is going on in the field, and then you could actually read the papers that you thought were interesting. It's overwhelming, though. It's a lot. A lot of, you know, when you've reached a certain age, as I have, you depend on going to seminars or going to conferences
Starting point is 02:22:13 to hear what people are talking about for a feeling for what people think is interesting, and also having your students and postdocs tell you, oh, don't miss this paper, this is a good one, right? as well as just keeping track of the papers online, because sometimes your eyes glaze over, I will confess. You know, there's a lot of university departments that put all their seminars online. So that's one way to, again, get a feeling for what issues are interesting.
Starting point is 02:22:42 It's not just, here's a million papers, read them all. There are themes within the papers. Oh, there seem to be a bunch of papers on something to do with islands and black coal information, what is that about? You know, you can absolutely catch on to those kind of trends by following it. And it's a little bit of work. You know, it's a little bit of work for all of us. You're basically saying, how can I do a hobby, something that people do also as a full-time job? Of course, if you're not trying to do the research end of it, just reading up on
Starting point is 02:23:13 what is happening, then it's a little bit easier, but it's still a lot. So, I mean, I absolutely encourage you to do it, but I'm not going to fool you that it's not a lot. stuff to keep up with. Peter Solfest says, how would you think through determining the amount of federal funding for science at a high level? The recent proposed cuts are worrying, but in a larger sense,
Starting point is 02:23:34 I realized I don't know how to think through this. The marginal cost of most science is pretty small compared to the federal budget, but at some point spending would clearly be too much. More money than scientists or in the limit, 100% of the US GDP would clearly be too much. Do you have any thoughts on how to rationally get to an actual top-line figure?
Starting point is 02:23:50 You know, I hate to be kind of boring about this, but I think that the best way to do it is pretty close to the way we've been doing it until the last few months. That is to say, you have layers. You have layers of expertise with different amounts of knowledge about the constraints and the promise of different things. At the very micro level, if you just want to hand out grants to specific researchers, and, you know, you're faced with grant applications. in quantum information from me and from Scott Aronson and from John Preskill, who do you decide who to give money to? That has to be in the hands of experts. And that's exactly what something like the National Science Foundation does.
Starting point is 02:24:33 They impanel a bunch of other experts who are not involved in the research proposals, and they rank them and they give out money. And then at the higher level, at the level of the NSF organizational structure, there are debates about, okay, so how much money goes to quantum information? versus how much money goes to particle physics, how much money goes to biological physics, whatever. And in all those cases, they get input from experts, but then there have to be some higher level people who decide who is making the best case. What is the promise of the science that we're being offered? What has been the track record of results? How effective is the actual set
Starting point is 02:25:14 of proposals that we're getting? How convincing are they? And so forth. And then at even higher level, you have to decide how much money to give the National Science Foundation. And that's going to be Congress. It's not supposed to be the president. I know that we're like throwing out all of the laws of the country right now, but the law is say it's supposed to be Congress deciding this. And Congress, of course, is not a bunch of people who are experts in science policy, but they have staffs.
Starting point is 02:25:39 They have committees who are supposed to get information from the experts and process that information and make decisions. Obviously, there's no clear algorithm for doing that. You're saying science would be good, but of course other things would also be good. How do you even compare them to each other? I think that it would be very, very easy to make the case that science is underfunded in the United States, even before the recent cuts, because, number one, the return on investment from science is huge, giving money to universities to do research in many, many ways, gives back multiple dollars. to the nation, both in terms of new scientific breakthroughs, but also in terms of just the
Starting point is 02:26:22 local economy at the university or in the town where the university is located. Spending money gives you return back at an enormous, hilariously large multiplication factor. And the other thing is you could look at the cutoff, like look at who is getting funded, who is not getting funded, are the people who are not getting funded promising to do pretty good research if they had been funded. I know in my areas, the people who are, who are not getting funded. I know in my areas, the people who don't get funding are often really good. I've been on the panels for NSF, for DOE, for NASA, giving away grant money. And it was just tough because we had very famous scientists who had done amazing work throughout their career, and we couldn't fund them
Starting point is 02:27:03 because this specific grant proposal wasn't quite as promising as somebody else is. I think it's very easy to make the case that there's a lot of good funding, a lot of good science that is not getting funded in the current system. So that's the case I would try to make. Kevin's disobedience says, having read your books, you've definitely raised my credence for many worlds from effectively zero to something closer to 60%. But my concern is still with the Bourne rule. Are you satisfied with rational decision theory as an explanation? You get the right answer, but it seems kind of ad hoc. For me, this is the weakest part of the theory, especially because you already know the answer you want to get. So Kevin, I don't know if you're Kevin or you're
Starting point is 02:27:44 just disobeying Kevin, Kevin's disobedience, but I don't think you've read my books closely enough because I don't think that the decision theory argument is the most convincing one. I think that there's an argument based on self-locating uncertainty that is a more convincing one. But I also agree that they're not 100% convincing. And the reason why I think they're not 100% convincing, even though they seem, I think these arguments seem extremely reasonable to me and I accept them basically completely, they do require leaps of metaphysical imagination. What we're asking you to do in these arguments is a kind of reasoning that is very different than what we have to do in our everyday single universe experience lives. And that's always a place where you can get tripped up,
Starting point is 02:28:29 right? Especially because, as you know, you know the answer you want to get. But as I always emphasize, once you look into the math and the logic of the born rule and many worlds, the correct answer, the Bourne Rule, is really the only sensible answer you could possibly get. There's no chance that you're going to say the wave function cubed is giving you the probability or anything like that, or even the wave function itself. It has to be the wave function squared. The only argument is not between the wave function squared versus some other probability distribution. It's between the wave function squared and you can't get probabilities out at all. And I think that the case to be made that you can get probabilities out at all is very, very good. So I'm not really worried about it myself, but I feel
Starting point is 02:29:16 for the people who are worried about it, that I don't think that they have quite gotten to the right place in their thinking through the issues here, but I suspect that given enough time, they would do so. Ben Lloyd says, any thoughts on the Sixers getting the third pick in the NBA draft? I'm excited. We couldn't capture the flag, but we still have some great options to add to our team. Yeah, you know, I have mixed feelings about the whole thing. You know, I have to say it's been tough this year being a Sixers fan, for those of you who are not basketball fans, you don't know or care, but the Sixers came into this year with enormous hopes and, you know, pretty good odds, like the, you know, it wasn't just us talking ourselves up. We had a great team as far as the judgment of the rest of the
Starting point is 02:29:59 world was concerned, but then an unprecedented set of injuries just hit the team. All the best players were injured for many, many games, and so we did terribly. The Sixers did, I say we. And as a result, we finished near the bottom of the league rather than near the top, and we got a good draft pick out of it. In this year's NBA draft, usually it's hard to completely rank players, because players are very different, but so people try to put them into tiers, right? You know, there's the first tier, the second tier, the third tier. For what it's worth, The consensus this year is there's a very clear first tier that only has one player in it, Cooper Flag from Duke. That's why Capture the Flag is what people say.
Starting point is 02:30:42 And there's a pretty clear second tier with Dylan Harper from Rutgers University and only one person in the second tier. So then the third tier has a lot of different people in it. And guess what? The Sixers are picking third. So on the one hand, they get their choice out of that tier. On the other hand, that tier seems to be a couple steps lower than the other two. So we'll have to see how it goes. You know, I guess my frustration is not that there were injuries.
Starting point is 02:31:06 That is frustrating, for sure. But the discourse around the team and the sport, et cetera, is really terrible because people act as if injuries are some kind of moral failing, right? Or even judgmental failing. Like, oh, the team was constructed badly because they did badly. No, they did badly because they got injured. And, of course, there's a probability that you will get injured and you can take that into account. but you got to do the best you can. And I was completely on board with the team-building strategy that we had before the season started.
Starting point is 02:31:39 Everyone has gotten their surgeries in the meantime, and we're hoping everyone comes back at full strength. And I think it's completely possible that the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA championship next year. It's also completely possible they have a losing record again because that is in the nature of injuries. that it can be a boom or bust cycle, we'll have to see. Anonymous says, do you view what Brutus and the Roman Senate did to Caesar as heroic or villainous? Can actions like theirs ever be morally justified? Well, I 100% think that their actions can in principle, actions like that can be morally justified. There can be times when you have to step out of the legal framework to do something
Starting point is 02:32:23 because the legal framework is being distorted by autocratic influences. And in the case of Julius Caesar, declaring himself to be the emperor of Rome, that is certainly arguably a case where that is absolutely happening. I certainly don't know enough about the details of Caesar and Brutus and so forth to know whether in that particular case the assassination was morally justified. But I am a believer that that can in principle be morally justified. The sad news about it is that it's individuals who have to make that decision and individuals are terrible of making those decisions. and that's why I think there should be a huge presumption against doing things like that. You better be rock, solid, certain that not only is it the morally right thing to do, but the practical implications of what you're doing are the right thing,
Starting point is 02:33:10 and that you are willing to take whatever consequences for that action might happen, no matter how terrible for you, they might be. So not recommending ever doing something like that, but I can imagine philosophically in principle it being morally justified. Robert Ruxendrescue says if the many worlds interpretation and inflation are correct, shouldn't this mean that since the decay or stop of inflation is a quantum process, there are potentially infinite branches in which inflation stopped after 0.2 seconds, after 1.7 seconds, after 1,000 years, and so on.
Starting point is 02:33:44 And we live in one of those branches and observe one of potentially infinite ways in which the cosmic microwave background could look like. In other words, a sort of inflationary anthropic principle. Yeah, 100%. That's absolutely possible. Basically, this is just the many worlds way of saying eternal inflation. Okay? Eternal inflation in the usual way of thinking about it is different regions of space have a probability of inflation continuing for a while versus ending. And if space is big enough and expanding fast enough, there will always be some region in which inflation continues. the many worlds version of it is to say, even in a single region, you have branching into different regions into different branches where inflation has ended at different points. In fact, if you want to
Starting point is 02:34:33 look up a blog post I wrote a number of years ago called, are the multiverse and many worlds the same idea? You know, I've often said, and people do try to say, that there is a difference between the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics and the inflationary multiverse. In many worlds, there are different branches that are next to each other in Hilbert space in the cosmological multiverse. There are different regions of space where conditions are very different. But there were two papers that came out, one by Rafael Buso and Leonard's Huskind, both former Minescape guests, and the other one by Yasunori Namori at Berkeley. And they both pointed out that if you sort of combine ideas from inflation and also horizon complementarity,
Starting point is 02:35:16 which is a way of saying that you shouldn't think about space time outside our cosmological horizon. You should only think about what's inside and on the boundary. Then basically the quantum state of the universe for any one observer is a superposition of many different parts of the landscape, of inflationary possibilities. So you get this kind of anthropic multiverse even for one observer, or even for one region of spacetime, if that even conceptually makes sense. And of course, this is exactly what bothers people like Paul Steinhart, who was one of the pioneers of inflationary cosmology, but now worries that it doesn't predict anything because it predicts everything. I'm not nearly as worried as Paul is because I think that that's just a question for which you need to have the right probability distribution.
Starting point is 02:36:06 Like, yes, it predicts everything, but it doesn't predict everything with equal likelihood if it predicts that some things are common and other things are uncommon, then that's fine. We just deal with probabilities. And that's probably because I'm used to doing this in the case of many worlds. So I'm just, I don't think that we know the right probability measure in the case of inflation quite as well. But if you dig deep into the paper I wrote with Charles Seabins about probability in many worlds, there's a little section in there on cosmological probabilities that at least moves towards answering that question. Daniel Crespo says, can you explain more why life is a generator entropy. I can try. I'm not sure what the word why means there. I mean, most things are generators of entropy in the world. Not everything. You know, the earth going around the sun,
Starting point is 02:36:55 it doesn't really generate any entropy. It's a very sort of clean kind of thing. But the sun itself generates a huge amount of entropy. You don't need entropy. Sorry, you don't need life to generate entropy. Any dissipative, any process with friction or air resistance, etc., is going to increase the entropy of the universe. Life in particular needs to generate entropy because it is an example of a system that is not in thermal equilibrium, and it's also not in mechanical, stable equilibrium. In other words, there's a difference between the Earth and the Sun. Okay, the Earth is solid, basically because the atoms and molecules in the Earth support each other, through their pressure.
Starting point is 02:37:44 And you don't need any motion. Like, everything can be completely static. If the Earth's core cools off and the temperature goes to zero, it will still be solid, right? Whereas the sun is a very different thing because the sun is kept up by burning fuel, right? Its pressure, the hydrodynamic equilibrium inside the sun is maintained by that energy source at the center in the form of nuclear fusion, which creates entropy. So when the sun stops burning its nuclear fuel, it's going to collapse. Well, it's going to puff up first, and then there's an elaborate story of the end of a stellar
Starting point is 02:38:16 lifetime, but eventually it will collapse to a white dwarf. And that's because it is currently maintained in kind of a quasi-stable state by generating entropy. Life is like that. I mean, life is obviously much more complicated, but life is an example of a system that needs fuel from the outside world to keep its processes going. And in the using of that fuel, it degrades the energy from a low entropy state to a high-endrope. entropy state. It needs that fuel to repair itself. It needs that fuel to generate memories and thoughts. It needs that fuel to sort of turn its, you know, it needs that fuel to do everything that
Starting point is 02:38:56 life does, to locomote, to gather other fuel and food, to sense the world, to process the information. All of these processes involve the generation of entropy. So I'm not sure if that's answering your question, but life is deep into the regime where generating entropy is fundamentally part of what it is. Ryan Cobine says, I've heard Copenhagen interpretation-like statements by public intellectuals a few times in the last few months. For example, Ross do that on conversations with Tyler from February, quote, I deny that you can have a measuring stick without a process of consciousness. The measuring stick without a process of consciousness is itself just a ruler. Absent your consciousness, a ruler is a collection of atoms and molecules cut out of a tree with some
Starting point is 02:39:46 markings on it. In order for the ruler to be an instrument of measurement, you have to be perceiving it and to be conscious of it. What do you believe to be the best way to respond to these kinds of statements when made face-to-face, when made in face-to-face conversations? I have a notion of something's wrong with this, but I don't feel my understanding is solid enough to be coherently, to be coherently educational. Well, the problem is with this statement, The problem with responding to this statement is, as stated, it's just a bunch of assertions, right? In order for the ruler to be an instrument of measurement, you have to be perceiving it and be conscious of it. Why?
Starting point is 02:40:21 I mean, if I have a camera, video camera recording something and it records a ruler being put next to something else, is that a measurement or not? And the question becomes, what do you mean by measurement? If your definition of measurement is it needs to be recorded by a conscious agent, then it's a vacuous statement. Yes, then you need consciousness to do a measurement. If you have a more objective notion of measurement, then clearly you don't need a conscious agent to do that.
Starting point is 02:40:52 I mean, that statement didn't specifically invoke quantum mechanics, but so you're right, you know, it's Copenhagen-like without actually being quantum mechanical. But so you have to make this choice. Are you just defining measurement to be only as perceived by conscious creatures or not? If you are, then that's fine. but that doesn't mean that consciousness is anything special. Conscious creatures can still be perfectly physical,
Starting point is 02:41:15 and they can do the measuring. Nothing mystical or ineffable about that. But I think that it's just better to define measurement in a more objective way that needn't assume consciousness from the start. Steve Bonner says, I recently watched a talk you gave about a year ago, Saturday morning physics, where you speculated that distance could be an emergent property of entanglement,
Starting point is 02:41:36 and this could happen even in totally empty space. Two points in empty space are said to be clear, together if they're heavily entangled, and for their part if they're not. But how can two points in empty space be entangled? For things to be entangled, don't there need to be things? Yes, there do need to be things in order for things to be entangled, but the idea of a thing becomes rather abstract in quantum mechanics. One way of saying it is you need a degree of freedom in order for there to be things that are entangled. We don't know the fundamental degrees of freedom, out of which nature is made, but certainly even in quantum field theory, where we do have a pretty good idea of what we're claiming to exist,
Starting point is 02:42:16 empty space is not empty. I mean, it's not featureless, is what I should say. There are quantum fields in empty space. And one way of thinking about this question at a level where we do understand what's going on is to talk about the amount of entanglement between the modes of quantum fields in different regions of space time, even in the vacuum. The vacuum is just the lowest energy state of a quantum field theory, but that doesn't mean the quantum fields disappear. It means that they have a certain state, which is the vacuum state. This is confusing because classically, you can say, okay, maybe I have an electric field, and the vacuum state of the electric field is the electric field equals zero, right? There's no electric field there in some sense.
Starting point is 02:43:02 But that sense is not the right sense. That's not really the really rigorous way of talking about it. When the electric field equals zero, even classically, it's still there. There is an electric field, and what I mean by that is you could poke it, right? You could perturb the electric field, and suddenly it would not be zero anymore. So we don't say that there isn't an electric field there. There was always the possibility of electric field that was just equal to zero. Once you're doing quantum mechanics, the whole story becomes even more subtle,
Starting point is 02:43:33 because it's not even true that the electric field value is zero, quantum mechanically. You have to be careful and talk about the state of the electric field, and that state is going to be some particular field with a wave function, etc., etc. Where you to measure it, classically, if you measure the electric field, when the electric field is in its vacuum state, you get zero. Quantum mechanically, you will get some distribution of values around zero, but they will not usually be or always be zero itself because of the nature of quantum mechanics. So anyway, the point is, even empty space has stuff in it in quantum field theory. There might be a deeper explanation where quantum field theory is not the right way of thinking about things,
Starting point is 02:44:14 but there are still quantum mechanical degrees of freedom, which if you like, you can say are in empty space, but would be even more accurate to say which make up empty space at the emergent level. It's the quantum mechanical degrees of freedom that are more fundamental. Empty space is something that emerges out of that. picture that I was sketching in the lecture, those degrees of freedom have an entanglement structure, even if there's no particles or non-zero fields, there's still entanglement between the amount, between the degrees of freedom that make up empty space itself. Alex Dubrow says, as a materialist, I believe there is an objective physical world governed
Starting point is 02:44:54 by consistent laws, but neuroscience shows that everything we experience is generated by an internal model in the brain, and even our sense that this model corresponds to reality is itself part of the model. Nothing exists for us outside of the model. Can it? Do you think materialism taken seriously requires us to acknowledge that we can never directly access the objective world and that all evidence for its nature is filtered through this recursive model? And if so, what implications do you draw from that realization? Well, I would deny that neuroscience shows that everything we experience is generated by an internal model in the brain. I don't know about you, but I have eyeballs and ears and fingers, and I interact.
Starting point is 02:45:34 with the outside world. And a much more accurate way of saying it is there's a constant flow of information between my brain and the outside world. It's not like my brain is doing all the work and coming up with a model of reality, right? My brain absolutely comes up with a model of reality, but that model is influenced by the outside world. Now, you say, let's see, where did it go, requires us to acknowledge that we can never directly access the objective world. I think the words directly and objective are doing an enormous amount of work there. Why do we need to access things directly? Of course, everything is mediated by something else. That's fine. But as scientists or even as rational human beings, we try to make the best model of the world given the data we
Starting point is 02:46:21 have. You know, we were able to come up with the idea of quarks inside protons and neutrons, even though we never directly access quarks. Why? Because we say, well, if quarks were in protons and neutrons, what would the implications be? And then we go looking for those implications, and we find them, and they're all true. So we say, I think my theory is right. I think that there are quarks out there. At a somewhat less rigorous level, this is how we make pictures of the world in our brain. We say, well, if things were like this, these things would follow, and then we interact with the world, where those babies pulling on things and seeing what happens. And the objective outside world is absolutely playing a crucial role in my model
Starting point is 02:46:59 of what's going on. I don't know about anybody else's. Tom Arabia says, who was your pick for NBA MVP, Yokic or SGA? SGA is Shea Gilgius Alexander, who is a young player for the Oklahoma City Thunder. Have any favorites to win East Western Championship? Cheers. I'm completely unqualified to say who was the MVP this year. I was just not following the NBA closely enough, both because I was busy and because the Sixers were terrible. So I really didn't see these players play. I'm not going to say who won.
Starting point is 02:47:31 But I mean, by now, SGA has already won. So congratulations to him. Nicola Yokic, who is clearly one of the best basketball players alive or ever, for that matter, has won a few MVPs already. So I think that people want to spread the wealth a little bit. So I don't really know what the objective call would be there. Do I have any favorites to win the East-West and Championship? So right now, for those of you don't know, it's New York Knicks versus Indiana Pacers in the East, Oklahoma City versus the Minnesota Timberwolves in the West.
Starting point is 02:48:01 and Indiana is up to one and Oklahoma City is up to one. And I think that I would just vote for the people who are ahead right now. I'm not going to pretend to have any special insight. In fact, I will anti-pretend to have special insight. In the West, I thought that Oklahoma City would clearly romp through the playoffs, and they more or less are. They struggled with Denver a little bit. But they're, I think, a really, really good team, even by historical standards.
Starting point is 02:48:30 In the east, I didn't think any of the teams were that good, but I thought that Cleveland was the best, and they flamed out very early. I thought that Indiana had no chance, and they're doing the best. So what do I know about basketball? I can say that my boy, T.J. McConnell, former Sixer, now plays for Indiana, so I'm rooting for him. I would love Indiana to win, even though I didn't give them much of a chance at the beginning. Connor Kostick says, in conversation with Monica Harris, you were quick to dismiss the idea that chairs could be sentient. Fair enough, I agree with you. But I got the impression that she had a different perspective on that to you. This discussion, however, moved on another direction. Remembering how Andy Clark made the case for the extended mind, one might be able to easily rule out chairs on their own as being sentient,
Starting point is 02:49:11 but perhaps it's not so straightforward to rule out chairs as ever being part of a mind. Do you think that inanimate objects like chairs can ever be part of something we would recognize as a mind? You know, sure, in principle, it could happen. I think that you need to make the case that that is the best way, to carve up the world. You know, this is the thing that the mind, the idea of minds, in my view, as a materialist, as a physicalist, are not part of the fundamental architecture or reality. They're part of the emergent higher level.
Starting point is 02:49:40 So you tell me what your picture of the emergent higher level is in which the idea of a mind includes a chair. And I will tell you mind in which it doesn't include chairs, and we'll see which maps on better to what actually happens out there in the world. I'm open-minded about this. I do think that there's a case to be made that you can think of pocket calculators or smartphones as part of your extended cognition, sure, or even pads of paper and pencils. The question is, how useful is that?
Starting point is 02:50:12 Is it better to think of them as that rather than merely just aids to the actual mind, which is in your brain? I don't know. I'm open-minded about that, like I said. But you'd have to make the case that that's the best theory that we have. Gregory Egan says, has the extrapolated size of the universe changed since recent JWST revelations? Nope, not really. You know, the James Webb Space Telescope has found galaxies earlier on in the history of the universe than we might have guessed, but that's just very normal science-y, right? Like, okay, we found some galaxies forming early. What that means is not the universe is bigger. It just
Starting point is 02:50:50 means galaxies formed faster than we thought they did. Okay, that's interesting and we'll try to figure it out. The size of the universe doesn't really depend on the earliness of galaxies. It depends on, if anything, the Hubble parameter and the total amount of stuff in the universe. And as you know, from our recent talk with Marky Mankowski, as well as earlier talks with Adam Reese, et cetera, there are serious worries about things like the Hubble tension, the possible evolution of dark energy. We don't know exactly, but look, all of this is 10% level stuff. Okay? These are small tweaks on the size of the observable universe. When I'm I was your age, we had a factor of two discrepancy. Some people thought the Hubble constant was 50,
Starting point is 02:51:31 other people thought it was 100. Now we're arguing over, is it 68 or 72? Okay, so it's a much different world in which we live in. There's not going to be any radical overthrow of what we think about the size of the universe. Casey Mahone says, have you watched the show Severance? What do you think of all the philosophical questions that the show poses about identity and consciousness? Yeah, this is a great question. Actually, David Chalmers on Twitter, I think, you know, ask the question, do we think that the inies and outies are separate people? So for those of you who have not seen severance, they can see to the show is that you can have a job, you go to work, and they basically sever a version of you that works inside, and you call that the innie,
Starting point is 02:52:14 from the version of you that lives the outside life. And so you have your old ongoing consciousness as an outy, and you live your life, and you go to work, and the outy doesn't know what happens inside the job. And the iny has no memory of what the Audi was like or what they did or who their marriage partner was or anything like that. And there is some magic process in the elevator when you go to work that flips you from Ine to Audi and back. Of course, this is problematic for all sorts of reasons. But we're just asking the philosophical question, are they two different people? I think they're clearly two different people, right? I mean, why would you say you're the same person if you have two different ways of talking, sets of
Starting point is 02:52:55 memories, all that stuff. It's interesting because, of course, as happens in the show, you can imagine trying to unify them again. And then what would that mean? Is one the boss, you know, should you share the experiences? Are they both real? Can you cheat on your partner? If your iny does something your Audi doesn't know about? These are all questions that the show has a lot of fun with. But let me just point out that one of the reasons why these questions are hard is the any and outy different person is because they're not real world, right? Because we have never in human history actually dealt with a question like this. So if our notion of what a person is is an emergent higher level thing that we develop through the experience of the world,
Starting point is 02:53:39 that notion is just not equipped to deal with these situations, and that's okay. We shouldn't expect to have a clear-cut answer to some of these questions because we're being faced with situations we've never dealt with before. That's okay. We shouldn't say here's the right answer. We should expand our space of what is possible and how to think about these things. And I think the show does a good job of encouraging us to do that. Rob Adkerson says, how do you combat the despair of knowing most people don't or can't understand even the basics of your work? I have to deny the premise of this question, because number one, I think that most people can understand the basics of my work, and I would have no despair if they couldn't.
Starting point is 02:54:21 I don't see why that would be a cause of despair. If anything, it's exactly the opposite. I am astonished that as many people are interested and try to understand the basics of my work as they do, for example, all of the lovely mindscape listeners out there listening to this right now. Most other human beings here on Earth, that's okay. I don't think that having an effect on most other human beings is the point.
Starting point is 02:54:46 You know, I enjoy doing my work. I enjoy talking about it to other people. Some people seem to be interested in it. I think that's all great. Nick Jay says, is entanglement a binary concept, i.e. things can either be entangled or not entangled, or is there an underlying entanglementness, i.e. things can be more or less entangled.
Starting point is 02:55:05 It's definitely the latter. Entanglement is not binary at all. You can have two quantum systems, and they can be a lot entangled or a little entangled, or anywhere in between. There is a maximum amount of a number. entanglement that depends on the size of the systems, and there's a minimum amount of entanglement, which is zero, but anything in between is completely allowed. And in fact, a lot of people in
Starting point is 02:55:27 the world of quantum information theory put a lot of thought into thinking about, well, how should we think about what happens when you have three systems that are entangled with each other, or multiple systems, multi-partite entanglement is something you need to worry about. Igor Kopelov says, I'm a bit confused by relationship between geometry and topology in general relativity. My understanding is that the geometry of space time
Starting point is 02:55:51 is determined by solving Einstein's equation, but is the topology also, or is it something you're given separately? Like, space could be flat and infinite or flat and wrap around. Is that determined by the evolution over time, or do you assume you're doing GR in one topology or the other to begin with and go from there?
Starting point is 02:56:08 Largely, it's the last, the latter. You assume that you, you have a topology and you have an initial geometry, and then you can solve the equations to see where you go from there, as you said. There are, however, some constraints, and this is a fascinating aspect of differential geometry or even differential topology, if you want to call it that, that if you have local conditions, so if you have not just curvature on a manifold, although that counts, but more generally some knowledge of what a function is doing at a particular their location in space and the derivatives of that function, and you have some reason to believe
Starting point is 02:56:45 that there are conditions that are true at every individual point, those conditions can add up to a constraint on what is allowed topologically globally. So if you think about a two-dimensional sphere, right, at every point on a two-dimensional sphere, by which we mean the surface of the sphere, the inside of the sphere is called the ball, the outside, the boundary is called the sphere. So in every direction, there's curvature, right? On the sphere, it's sort of curving away from you uniformly in every direction. And if that's true at every point on this sphere, then the sphere, or any surface that has that property must be a sphere, is the right way to say it. It can't go on forever. If you have positive curvature greater than or equal to a certain amount, your manifold
Starting point is 02:57:31 must be topologically compact. Whereas if the curvature on average is zero, then it may or may not be compact. So it does not determine the global topology or even any constraints on the global topology. You can have an infinitely big flat surface or you could have a tourist or something like that that is also flat. So there are some relationships between topology and geometry, but it's not an absolute connection. David Whitaker says, is the concept of simultaneity meaningless or could one imagine an event taking place in a distant galaxy light years away at exactly this moment or in the next moment? Does that have to be? any meaning. It has meaning, but it's subjective. It doesn't have absolute meaning. That's the lesson of
Starting point is 02:58:15 relativity versus Newtonian absolute space time. In Newtonian absolute space time, the idea of an event taking place in a distant galaxy at exactly this moment is something that is perfectly well-defined and agreed upon by everybody. There is a fact of the matter about whether or not something is happening at this moment very, very far away. In relativity, there is no fact of the matter about whether something is happening at this moment very, very far away. But an individual can make choices about how to divide up space-time into space and time, and subject to those choices, you will have an answer to the question, what is happening at exactly this moment at a galaxy very far away.
Starting point is 02:58:59 A different person might make different choices, and then they have a different coordinate system, a different way of slicing space-time into space and time, and to them they will get a different answer to that question. So whether or not something is happening at the same time in a distant galaxy is relative to how you're deciding to slice up space and time, and that is not objectively chosen.
Starting point is 02:59:22 Rue Phillips says, what are some of your favorite nonfiction books or subjects to read about? I'm curious more about your guilty pleasures rather than highly technical books for your work. Well, for nonfiction books, I guess I don't have a lot of guilty pleasure in the nonfiction category, maybe the occasional biography or history book. But honestly, nonfiction books, most of my interest in nonfiction, you can pretty much work out by who appears
Starting point is 02:59:50 on the Mindscape podcast. This is the stuff that I'm interested in. Or, you know, there's stuff that I'm reading, again, for work for the future projects like physics of democracy or learning about complexity or things like that that have some impact on Mindscape, but it's not exactly the ratio you might think. Most of my guilty pleasures are fiction books, both genre fiction and literary fiction, science fiction, mysteries, contemporary fiction, it's just, you know, whatever seems to grab me in any one moment in time. Tim Converse says, I enjoyed the Matt Strassler episode, enough so that I followed up and read Waves in Impossible C. Strassler really delivered on his project of giving new intuitions on well-known physics using words only. I was startled by one explanation,
Starting point is 03:00:33 though, because I hadn't seen it elsewhere. He explains the rest mass of the proton with reference to the high velocity of its internal components, and then says that this velocity is a legacy of components' velocities from when the protons were formed, a quote, now trapped forever inside these droplets, protons and neutrons, quarks, gluons, and antichorks still dash around at speeds at or near the speed of light, colliding again and again. The bedlam of the Big Bang is caught within never to escape or fade away.
Starting point is 03:01:00 What do you think of this explanation? It is poetically evocative, but I'm curious whether you recognize it as a mainstream view. I think, no, I don't like that explanation at all for two reasons. One, it does, as Tim says, give the impression that there is some relic remnant of the conditions near the Big Bang, which is just wrong. A proton that you made Abinicio today would have exactly the same things going on in it as a proton that was left over from the Big Bang. But secondly, I just don't like to talk about quarks dashing around near the speed of light. I understand what Matt's trying to do. He's trying to give some visceral or visual understanding of what is fundamentally a quantum field theory problem. But my way of talking about it is just to admit that it's a quantum field theory problem and point out that the quantum state of the quark fields inside the proton is 100% static.
Starting point is 03:01:58 It is not changing from moment to moment in time. There is nothing dashing around in any sense. I think that that is a leftover from our view of the world is fundamentally classical, and we try to force quantum phenomena back into these classical boxes. It leaves us with a wrong impression, in my view. Eric Stromquist says, have you ever read or studied the philosophy of Nietzsche, certainly a naturalist, although perhaps not a poetic one, or if not him, Arthur Schopenhauer, or if not him, any of the existentialists? If you have, what is your view of it?
Starting point is 03:02:29 I certainly wouldn't claim any expertise on these guys. read little bits and pieces of many of them. I've read more Nietzsche than Schopenhauer. I even supervised an independent study course the two undergrads did here at Johns Hopkins on Nietzsche. They had a specific idea about using the will to power to think about dynamical changes in living systems that involve science as well as philosophy, so I was an appropriate person to supervise them. And certainly other existentialists, indeed, remember, we had some. sky cleary on the podcast talking about existentialism. So that is something I think is interesting. I have mixed feelings about it. I think Camus is my favorite. He was the best writer, I think,
Starting point is 03:03:14 among them. Simone de Beauvoir, obviously hugely important for feminist philosophy. And Sart and also Kierkegaard, as well as proto-existentialist like Dostoevsky and so forth, all have something interesting to say. I do, you know, wonder about the emphasis on authenticity that the later existentialists had, Sartre and Beauvoir especially, I'm not so sure about authenticity as one's lodestar in these circumstances. I think that maybe we need to accept the more theatrical and dramatic aspects of human life. But I think it's important to think through these issues. You know, I kind of am sad that these days Western philosophy has less emphasis
Starting point is 03:04:01 on these day-to-day living questions than it used to have back in the heyday of existentialism. Jesse Rimler says, roughly speaking, the progressive left in the United States splits into two major camps. First, accountable capitalists, who emphasize antitrust and consumer protections inspired by thinkers like Brandeis,
Starting point is 03:04:20 and second, Social Democrats, who focus on expanding universal programs via a welfare state and the nationalization of industries and socialization of wealth, inspired by what exists around the world, especially the Nordic models. Interestingly, Nordic countries like Norway and Finland have highly prosperous, more egalitarian societies, and more sector concentration due to state ownership. What do you make of these approaches? I think that, you know, there's a lot of different possible, I think you shouldn't be wedded ahead of time to a model, right? I think you should try things out and see how they work in the world. You should be an empiricist about these things. I am actually a fan of market for in the right circumstances.
Starting point is 03:05:04 You know, we've talked about markets a lot on the podcast. If you go through it, Sam Bowles, Brian Arthur, Donne Farmer, Duran Asimoglu, Henry Farrell. We had lots of talk about markets in different ways. And I think everyone who's a professional economist think that markets are good for some purposes. The question is how much you constrain the markets and how much you put protections on there because markets absolutely can be bad in some cases. So I'm not really in favor of nationalizing industries unless those industries are specifically conceptualized as social goods,
Starting point is 03:05:45 communal goods, as we were talking about before, the job of government. I mean, I think that I don't want to privatize the railroads like they did in England. I don't want to privatize national defense or the roads or education or anything like that. I think that these are things that serve a much broader communal purpose than an individual purpose, and so it's perfectly sensible for government to do them. I would like more nationalization of health care and elderly care.
Starting point is 03:06:13 I think that those are two things that here in the United States we do very, very badly at. But I don't want nationalization of like the steel industry or the communications industry. I think that here are cases where a little competition is a very, very good thing. I don't want to privatize the post office, but I do want to keep most media outlets perfectly private. It's okay to have a public broadcast system. That's a good and important thing, but mostly I want to let things be private and let the market decide what is good or bad, as long as there are protections for people who are not being well served by the market forces. Jeff H. says, if you grant our universe is simulatable in principle, would we be none the wise,
Starting point is 03:06:57 if it were, were it, like a record, rewound and replayed, paused for a trillion years, were played and reversed, need to play at all? What of that other album, self-defining, internally consistent universe, volume two, gathering dust on the shelf, never to be placed atop the turntable? Should we hold a certain prejudice against the inhabitants of that vinyl? You know, I don't know. On the one hand, yeah, a simulated universe is just as real as anything else. But again, you're asking a question, and I'm not. pooh-pooing the question. I'm just saying I don't know. You're asking a question that is super far outside of our experience, right? So it's very, very hard to really have confidence that your
Starting point is 03:07:38 answer to it is on solid ground. If our universe is being simulated outside, but there is no observable impact of that on our universe, then I don't see what point it is to be thinking about it. As long as we are being run on the simulation and things are still going on as they do, do, then we get to exist and treat it as we ever would. If there is some higher level intelligence that gets to pause the simulation and restart it later like we would do with a video game and we don't notice, then I don't think it matters to us here as long as we never notice. Mark says, are there lessons from the controversy surrounding MIT's depublishing of the paper artificial intelligence, scientific discovery, and product innovation beyond a cautionary tale?
Starting point is 03:08:26 scientists, whether top or lower third, are not immune to the foibles of human nature and are susceptible to of design AI sycophancy, perhaps particularly vulnerable given their intense focus on their subjects and their hard-earned pride, characteristics that are not necessarily compatible with self-awareness. I worry that when a top scientist is pleased with their interaction with AI, they might miss that they are looking at a disguised mirror of what they themselves have created. So for those of you don't know, a graduate student at MIT in economics, submitted a person, paper. It seemed to be an amazing result. It showed that the use of AI in various materials science laboratories greatly enhanced the productivity and creativity of those laboratories.
Starting point is 03:09:10 Turns out, he fabricated the entire thing. He fabricated the entire thing, ironically enough, using AI. So, in fact, he lowered the overall productivity of the world by making people worry about this. I don't, I haven't been following it closely enough, maybe, but I don't think it was depublished. I don't think that's quite the right way to say it. The paper was submitted to a journal. It had not gotten to the point where the journal had judged it yet before they realized that it was falsified and they withdrew it. Some economists had read the paper because you read papers before their referee. That happens all the time. That's fine. And they were very excited about it, which you should be excited about it if you didn't know was fake, right? It was a very
Starting point is 03:09:53 exciting result. Apparently, there were some claims that you should have known it was fake because the results were too good to be true, but sometimes that's what the community is there for. The community judges these things, and someone is relevantly knowledgeable enough to say, oh, this must be fake, and then you look and do it more carefully and realize that it is. I found a paper that I mentioned on Blue Sky that was about cosmology. I found that on the archive, and it was very interesting. It was literally about Boltzman brains and Anthropic principle and other things I know something about. And I'd never heard of the author and there was no institution listed. And eventually I realized the whole paper was AI generated. No harm,
Starting point is 03:10:33 no foul, because who cares about these papers other than people like me? But it's going to be a problem going forward. This was not, the paper I found was not attributed to an existing researcher. So it was not like someone was trying to build up their CV or anything like that. I have no idea why it was done, honestly. And I have no idea how many other papers like that there are. It does speak to why it's so difficult for people on the street to, quote, unquote, do their own research, because, you know, at first glance, the paper looked completely sensible to an expert like myself, but then at second or third glance, it looked suspicious. But you have to really be trained to know that it looks suspicious. So I certainly worry that it's not a problem with scientists per se or their self-awareness or anything like that. I think that fabrications by AI are going to become more and more as time goes on. I mean, the paper that I saw, it would not have been that hard to tweak it so that it was completely unrecognizable as a fake. It wasn't a great paper. It wouldn't have, like, made a big splash or anything like that. The paper from the MIT student got a lot of attention
Starting point is 03:11:40 because had it been correct, it would have been very, very important. This one that I found was completely ignorable. But we're going to be faced with all that. And I don't think it's a scientist problem. I think it's a world problem. Separating out the wheat from the chaff, the true from the fake is going to become a harder and harder thing to do. Sudo-nymm says, do you have a personal line that if a U.S. administration were to cross it, you would either leave the country or make fighting to reverse it your primary focus, even to the detriment of your career? No, I really don't. I don't believe in such lines because I think that one's judgment can change over time, right? Again, as I've said before, I am very unlikely to ever leave the United States for those reasons, but it's always a
Starting point is 03:12:23 possibility. I'm more a stay-and-fight kind of guy, even in the meager ways that I can be counted as fighting to some extent. So we'll have to see. You know, things could get very bad. If there's literally imminent physical danger to my family, then I would absolutely consider it, but, or if I become homeless or whatever, or careerless. But up until then, I would rather be here and at least raise a ruckus, if not actually literally fighting. Johnny says, I'm trying to understand the Boltzmann brain thought experiment. Is there any insightful conclusion from it that we can put our finger on? Yeah, I think the conclusion is very, very straightforward.
Starting point is 03:13:04 You're imagining being a cosmological theorist. You're comparing the likelihood of different cosmological models. If your model predicts the overwhelming abundance of Boltzman brains, then your model is no good. And you throw away that model and try to develop a better model. That's it. That's the end of it. How you get to that conclusion is tricky and people disagree, but I think that's the right conclusion to draw. Nanu says, if supersymmetry does not explain why our universe didn't decay to a lower energy level universe, what would, from your perspective? I'm not sure why I'm not sure exactly why you're invoking supersymmetry here. There is a relationship between
Starting point is 03:13:44 supersymmetry and vacuum energy, namely that in straightforward implementations of supersymmetry, the vacuum energy has to be either zero or negative. So if the vacuum energy is positive, as it appears maybe to be in our real universe, that it certainly means that super symmetry has to be broken. Maybe it means that supersymmetry isn't allowed at all. This is something that is clearly, that is actually still being debated among the people who think about these things. But without supersymmetry, it's still perfectly possible that our universe is in its lowest energy state, or at least the vacuum of our universe is in its lowest energy state. You just have a lot more freedom in that case.
Starting point is 03:14:25 Supersymmetry, because it's a symmetry that mixes internal symmetries of particles with spacetime symmetries, has something to say about what the vacuum energy is allowed to be, whereas most symmetries just don't. So if you don't have any supersymmetry in your theory, then generally the vacuum state can have whatever energy you want, and you can make it perfectly compatible with the universe as we know it. Jonathan Goodson says, I heard you opine that within 50 years,
Starting point is 03:14:54 many worlds will emerge as the dominant interpretation of quantum mechanics. Yet over the past 50 years, the number of different interpretations has increased significantly and no major contender has yet been ruled out. As N. David Merman remarked, new interpretations appear every year, none ever disappear. What would need to occur for many worlds to buck that trend and emerge as the clear winner, and why did you predict the resolution will occur in
Starting point is 03:15:15 this century? You know, I might be wrong in my prediction, but that is my prediction, and I think that these processes are gradual. I don't think that there's any threshold you cross and suddenly everyone says, oh yes, it must be many worlds. I think that what will happen is there is now, here in 2025, a lot more attention being paid to quantum foundations than there was 50 years ago. So that will lead to more progress. And the way that progress will happen is people will think deeply about the different models and their implications, and they will both look for experimental tests of them, and they will ask how those models fit in with other things we think are true in physics, whether it's quantum gravity or particle physics or atomic physics
Starting point is 03:15:58 or whatever. And certain things will fit better and better, certain things will fit worse and worse, and I do believe that the progress will be made, you know. Maybe it's wrong that it'll be 50 years, maybe it'll be 200 years. I don't know, for sure. But at the rate at which I see progress being made, I'm optimistic that it'll be 50 years. Peter Lloyd asks a priority question, which is, why do you act so dumb whenever you discuss consciousness? So, again, I will deny the premise of the question. I do not think I act dumb when I discuss consciousness. And I think that if you think that I am not actually dumb usually, but you perceive me acting dumb when I'm discussing consciousness, I think your first guess is that there is at least some reason for me to be having the opinions I do that maybe you have not quite understood.
Starting point is 03:16:47 That's not to say you have to agree with me, but I think that I try very hard when smart people are saying things I don't agree with to try to understand why they would say those things. That doesn't mean I'm going to start agreeing with them, but understanding why they say those things is very important. I try to be perfectly clear about why I have the opinions I have about consciousness. You're welcome to disagree with them. So I don't think I'm dumb.
Starting point is 03:17:10 Maybe I'm not clear. That's always certainly possible. Ed said stuff says, in your interview with Eric Topal, you expressed skepticism about AGI, which surprised me, given your physicalist worldview. From a physicalist perspective, human intelligence emerges from physical processes. So, in principle, shouldn't similar processes be replicable in machines? Yes, 100% they should. You know, I'm sorry I don't exactly remember what I said in that particular interview, but I try very very. very hard to say the same thing over and over again.
Starting point is 03:17:42 Somehow it doesn't always come across. I am skeptical about large language models achieving AGI. I am also skeptical about using the concept of AGI as a useful benchmark for progress in artificial intelligence more broadly. But I will say over and over again that there are zero barriers in principle to some kind of computational architecture doing everything that human beings can do. Similar processes should absolutely be replicable in machines. David Kudaverdian says, could you please explain in the example of a hydrogen atom emitting photons why we observe photons with specific energies?
Starting point is 03:18:25 Is it because the electrons wave function is in states with definite energies, or do we as observers collapse the wave function into an energy eigenstate? What is so special about the energy operator that we so often speak of its eigenstates and observe them in experiments. Well, we speak of lots of things. Energy eigenstates are one of the things to talk about. It's the last part of your question that really puts the finger on it.
Starting point is 03:18:48 Why do we observe them in experiments? The point about quantum mechanics is that there are things that we call observables, right? We can observe position, momentum, energy, whatever. They are incompatible in general, so that if you observe position, then you have not observed momentum, as we were talking about before.
Starting point is 03:19:06 And we need to make a choice about which of these observables we're going to observe. And what that choice comes down to is a choice of the physical apparatus doing the observing. Okay, so what is the physical process by which we made that measurement? For a oscillation in the electromagnetic field, we are often observing it by having that oscillation be absorbed by some process with a discrete energy spectrum. Sorry, I said some process, by some system, by some physical object with the discrete energy spectrum itself. And so the actual interaction, you have to go to the details, is not a simple thing. I'm sort of talking words around it, but there's math behind this. The actual interaction between the electromagnetic quantum wave and the physical system entangles
Starting point is 03:19:58 states of definite energy in the photon with states of energy, definite energy in the system, and we say that we have observed the particular energy. It is also true that in the case of emitting atoms, it is very often the case that due to interactions with the outside world, the atom that we're talking about starts out in the state that is close to a state of definite energy. Probably not exactly there, but it's close to there. And therefore, when it undergoes a transition, it undergoes a transition of definite energy. It will undergo a transition gradually, so usually that transition is a superposition.
Starting point is 03:20:37 If you catch it in between the start and the end, it is typically in a superposition of the different energies. But then by making the observation, you collapse it, or if you want, you branch the wave function of the universe into one where the transition either has happened or hasn't happened. But anyway, long with an answer to say that it's because that is the measurement that we choose to do by choosing our physical measurement apparatus to be sensitive to certain properties. Julian Voidal says if the quantum wave function is not a function of space, how is it that the atom or anything really is not empty but rather filled with or by the wave function? Excellent question, because this points to the kind of thing we do all the time in quantum
Starting point is 03:21:20 mechanics or in explaining physics more broadly is that we cheat. We simplify a little bit. The quantum wave function in general is not a function of space, okay? the reason why it's not a function of space is because of entanglement. If I have two particles, then the quantum wave function is a function of the position of both of those particles. It's a separate function of x1 and x2. If x1 is the position of particle 1 and x2 is the position of particle 2. So that's not a function of space. That's a function of space two times, which is a different thing than space. However, for many practical purposes, in the case of an atom or something like
Starting point is 03:21:59 that, there is not a lot of entanglement, or at least the entanglement is there, but it's so subtle you don't need to worry about it because of identical particles and things like that. But for all intents and purposes, a particular atom, a particular electron in a particular atom can be said to have an unentangled wave function all by itself. Then, when the wave function of a single particle is unentangled with anything else, then the wave function is just a function of space. Okay, so we use that simplification to allow ourselves to visualize the shape of the wave function of a certain electron. If you push hard on that concept, you'll have to admit it's not completely accurate.
Starting point is 03:22:40 Jeff B. says, last month I asked something about measuring field configurations, and you said something like, in practice, we don't measure the field configuration everywhere at once, nor do we measure precisely at one point. But I'm still wrapping my head around what this means in a real-world physical experiment. and how I should imagine fields interacting with a cloud chamber to give the impression of particles. In ordinary quantum mechanics, this makes sense to me, since the particle has a wave function of position, but it no longer makes sense to me if the particle really is smeared out in a field. Well, I would advocate doing, I should have grouped this with the earlier question.
Starting point is 03:23:15 I think that the right way to get conceptual clarity on this is to recognize that the wave function of a field, when you are specifically interested in relatively low-energy quantum states, looks exactly like a wave function of a set of particles. That is how particles appear out of quantum field theory, whether those particles are quarks or electrons or photons or gluons or whatever. So it is 100% okay to think about the wave function as, depending on the positions or momentum, whatever, of a set of parts. particles, okay? That's okay. So when you do the experiment, you can ask, what is the wave function
Starting point is 03:24:00 of the set of particles? Maybe it's a superposition of different numbers of particles. That is something that the field handles perfectly well. But this is the miracle of what is called FOX space, and I talk about it in quantum fields, that the set of quantum states of fields, as long as they're not too energetic, looks like a superposition of zero particle states. plus one particle states, plus two particle states, etc. So if you can train your brain to think that way, you'll have a much easier time understanding this kind of question. Finally, I'm going to group two questions together
Starting point is 03:24:35 for the final question this month. P. Walder says, in principle, do you think that advances in neuroscience, accompanied by technical advances such as Neurrelink, will eventually lead to thoughts being brought into the public domain and therefore moving thinking from subjective to the objective domain? and Lukash Hunolt says, given recent advances in brain computer interfaces, do you think that in 10, 20, or 50 years will be sharing our thoughts directly with our friends,
Starting point is 03:25:02 the government, or an AI system, and what's your take on such scenarios? I've always considered this to be a dystopian idea, but given human curiosity, I doubt they could resist the temptation. I think these are super good questions. I do recommend that you go back and listen to the podcast episode I did with Nita Vaharani. she is a lawyer slash philosopher, but she has been looking into digital privacy in the age of brain computer interfaces. Should our innermost thoughts be private? The good news is that exactly the thoughts that are the most innermost and the ones that maybe you don't want other people to know about are the ones that are hardest to access via brain computer interfaces. That's a little bit of silver lining on the cloud.
Starting point is 03:25:47 but I think that both of these questions are, you know, leaning in the right direction of being worried because on the one hand, there's enormous possibility of useful, fun, provocative new technologies out-of-brain-computer interfaces. On the other hand, there's enormous prospects for abuse. And human beings, just like with AI, you know, we very often vote for convenience
Starting point is 03:26:16 and usability over safety and privacy. So it might be a thing, like if you go back to the podcast with Daraan Osamoglu, where he was thinking about literally the economic impacts of new technologies. Now we're talking about the privacy impacts of new technologies, but I think that the analysis is a little bit parallel, a little bit similar, namely that the initial effects can be really bad, really disastrous, like, you know, workhouses and terrible factories at the Industrial Revolution. But then the public fights back a little bit, right? You know, they organize and they make unions
Starting point is 03:26:55 and whatever, and they put in protection for workers, and things get better. So, yeah, I think that that's the kind of thing that will happen. That's my guess. My guess is we will have some terrible, terrible things happening with brain computer interfaces as well as some wonderful, wonderful things, and it will take time to sort out how to put protections on things to keep our innermost thoughts where we want them. So that's actually an optimistic take. I mean, the optimistic take is we will eventually sort it out and we'll keep our thoughts private, and I think that's good. There is a dystopian version, which I don't like to think about, but, you know, hopefully we're at least having the conversation enough, maybe we are, maybe we're
Starting point is 03:27:34 not, to be aware of what the challenges are and the worries about them and hopefully we take care of them. All right, that's it for this month. Thanks for sticking with me with this month's AMA. Thanks for supporting the Mindscape Podcast. Wish me luck at the upcoming Natural Philosophy Symposium. Very excited about that. I'll report back on how it went later on. Talk to you next time. Bye bye-bye. And I wear Ashtro. To me, that means I know who I am. I trust what I like. I don't second-guess it. I show up bold, intentional, and fully myself every single day. My style is timeless. Its beauty grows and gets stronger with time. Ashtro isn't just what I wear. It's how I express who I am, unapologetic, confident, whole. I know who I am. I trust
Starting point is 03:28:41 what I like, and I don't second guess it. I'm a black woman and I wear Ashera. Discover your style at Ashero.com. That's ashro.com. What if you could have even more and more and more help to pursue your goals? At LPL Financial, we offer more ways for advisors and their clients to thrive. So what if you could? Paid advertisement. Investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal, LPL Financial LSC member FINRA SIPC.

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