Tech Brew Ride Home - Is Avocado… Toast?

Episode Date: March 13, 2026

Meta’s big new AI model is delayed because they still can’t get to state of the art. The social media addiction trial is winding down. All the video apps are going to end up looking exactly like o...ne another eventually. And, of course, the Weekend Longreads Suggestions. Meta Delays Rollout of New A.I. Model After Performance Concerns (NYTimes) Lawyers in landmark social media addiction trial make final appeals to the jury (AP) Peacock expands into AI-driven video, mobile-first live sports, and gaming (TechCrunch) Disney+ is rolling out its TikTok-like ‘Verts’ short-form video feed (TechCrunch) Weekend Longreads Suggestions: Why ATMs didn’t kill bank teller jobs, but the iPhone did (David Oks's Blog) James Mason in a cave with a cat (Joel Morris's Substack) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:01 Ready to soundtrack your summer? With Red Bull Summer All Day Play, you choose a playlist that fits your summer vibe the best. Are you a festival fanatic, a deep end DJ, a road dog, or a trail mixer? Just add a song to your chosen playlist and put your summer on track. Red Bull Summer All Day Play.
Starting point is 00:00:19 Red Bull gives you wings. Visit redbull.com slash bright summer ahead to learn more. See you this summer. Welcome to the TechBoo ride home for Friday, March 13th, 2026. I'm Brian McCullough today. Meta's big new AI model is delayed because they still can't get to state of the art, apparently. The social media addiction trial is winding down. All the video apps are going to end up looking exactly like one another eventually.
Starting point is 00:00:48 And of course, the weekend long read suggestions. Here's what you miss today in the world of tech. Sources tell the times that Meta has delayed the launch of its big avocado AI model to at least May over performance concerns and also discuss temporarily licensing Gemini to power its product. in the meantime. Quote, Mark Zuckerberg, the chief executive of Meta, said in July that his company's new artificial intelligence models would push the frontier in the next year or so. Now Mr. Zuckerberg, who has invested billions in the AI race, appears increasingly unlikely to hit that deadline, three people with knowledge of the matter said. Meta's new foundational AI model, which the company
Starting point is 00:01:33 has been working on for months, has fallen short of the performance of leading AI models from rivals like Google, OpenAI, and Anthropic on internal tests for reasoning, coding, and writing, said the people who were not authorized to speak publicly about confidential matters. The model, codenamed Avocado, outperformed META's previous AI model and did better than Google's Gemini 2.5 model from March, two of the people said, but it has not performed as strongly as Gemini 3.0 from November, they said. As a result, META has delayed Avocados released to at least May from this month, the people said. They added that the leaders of META's AI division had instead discussed temporarily licensing Gemini to power the company's AI products, though no decisions
Starting point is 00:02:14 have been reached. How Meta's AI model performs is being closely watched in the competition over the fast-evolving technology. Google OpenAI and Anthropic are widely regarded as ahead in foundational AI models, which are the basis for developing new chatbots, video generators, coding tools, and other products. Being at the forefront of AI development also helps companies recruit technologists and keep up a stream of experimentation. It takes time to improve AI models and META can still catch up to rivals, AI experts said, but a longer timeline has set in at the company with Mr. Zuckerberg tempering expectations for avocado in the past few months. I expect our first models will be good, but more importantly, we'll show the rapid trajectory
Starting point is 00:02:54 we're on, he said, on a call with investors in January. Mr. Zuckerberg bet big on new AI models after META's previous model, Lama 4 fell short of expectations last year. To prevent further setbacks, the company invested $4.3 billion in the startup scale AI in June and made its chief executive Alexander Wang, 29, its new chief AI officer. Over the summer, Mr. Zuckerberg and Mr. Wang leaned toward making Meta's new model closed, two people with knowledge of the matter said. Mr. Wang has also clashed with Chris Cox, Meta's chief product officer and Andrew Bosworth, the chief technology officer, over how the new AI model should improve the company's advertising business. Last week, Meta said in a note to employees, which was reported earlier by the Wall Street
Starting point is 00:03:35 Journal, that it would create an AI engineering team under Mr. Bosworth that would collaborate with Mr. Wang and the AI division. Rumors soon swirled that Mr. Zuckerberg and Mr. Wang were on the outs. Meta moved quickly to squelch the talk with a spokesman calling the idea totally false. On threads on Monday, Mr. Zuckerberg posted a selfie of him and Mr. Wang with the caption, meanwhile, at Meta HQ. Meta's leaders are already thinking big about future AI models. Its next one will be named after an even larger fruit, watermelon, and, and quote. That social media addiction trial is winding down, so we might have some headlines there
Starting point is 00:04:17 soon, quoting the Associated Press. Closing statements in the trial began Thursday at the Spring Street courthouse in Los Angeles, lawyers representing the plaintiff, a 20-year-old woman, and those representing the two defendants, Meta and Google-owned YouTube, made their respective cases to the jurors. TikTok and Snap were also named defendants in the lawsuit, but they each settled before the trial began. The case, along with two others, has been selected as a bellwether trial, meaning its outcome could impact how thousands of similar lawsuits against social media companies are likely to play out. Jurors will begin deliberations Friday morning. The plaintiff identified as KGM in documents, or Kaley, as her lawyers have called her during the trial, says her early use of social media addicted her to the technology and exacerbated depression and suicidal thoughts. Throughout the trial, meta argued that Kaylee faced significant challenges before she ever used social media.
Starting point is 00:05:09 The jury's only task, a meta-spokesperson said, and a statement Thursday is to, quote, decide if those struggles would have existed without Instagram. Not one of her therapists identified social media as the cause, end quote. Lewis Lee, an attorney representing YouTube, emphasized that when Kaylee and her mother went through the process to file this lawsuit, they originally did not bring any claims against YouTube. Kaylee was an adult when they filed the case and attested under oath that she did not have any claims specifically against the video platform.
Starting point is 00:05:37 Lee also spoke about how the company had created goals several years ago related to respecting users, time, attention, and overall well-being. Both he and another executive also outlined specific safety features and guardrails the respective platforms have available for people to monitor and customize their use. Lee said Kaylee and her family did not use YouTube kids, its safety mode, or any of their other available tools. Jurors must decide if meta and YouTube's negligence was a substantial factor in causing Kaylee's harm, but it does not have to be the only factor. Since it is a civil case, only nine out of the 12 jurors have to agree on each count. They will decide the case against each platform independently, and the judge advised them to treat it as if it were a separate lawsuit.
Starting point is 00:06:19 Jurors will also decide the amount of damages Kaylee should be awarded in the event they find either or both of the platforms liable. Lanier advised them to think of one question as they potentially decide on that amount. What is a lost childhood worth, end quote. All the streaming video apps are all becoming just like all the others. Peacock has added a new feature to its app that uses AI to curate personalized vertical video playlist narrated by a generative AI avatar of host Andy Cohen. Quoting TechCrunch, based on what the streamer previewed at a press event yesterday, Peacock's mobile app is about to look a lot more like a mix of TikTok, a casual gaming hub,
Starting point is 00:07:07 and a streaming service. From an AI-powered Bravoverse, vertical video experience narrated by a digital avatar of TV host Andy Cohen to vertical live NBA broadcasts and mobile games, Peacock is rolling out several new features designed to keep viewers entertained on their phones even longer. The biggest reveal was a new feature called Your Bravoverse aimed at viewers deeply immersed in Bravo fandom, home to addictive reality franchises like The Real Housewives and Vanderpump Rules. The feature pulls short-form clips from more than 5,000 hours of Bravo fans. Bravo footage and stitches them into personalized playlists. The best part, arguably, is that your guide will be a generative AI avatar of Andy Cohen, the famous reunion host for the Real Howl's Wies
Starting point is 00:07:50 franchise. Users will start the experience by selecting their favorite Bravo shows and iconic moments. From there, the AI builds a personalized stream of clips. Then Cohen's avatar acts as the narrator, introducing moments, connecting storylines, and even surfacing new shows viewers might not have watched yet. Behind the scenes, Peacock says the system uses computer vision to identify key storylines and moments across its library. AI agents trained on Bravo fan behavior helped determine what viewers care about most, while the platform stitches clips together across seasons and franchises. The result, according to Peacock, is more than 600 billion possible viewing variations, end quote. And Disney Plus is rolling out VIRTS, its new short form video feed
Starting point is 00:08:33 to U.S. users on its mobile app, featuring clips from movies and TV shows on Disney Plus, quoting a different tech crunch piece. Following the success of TikTok and Instagram Reels, Verz is designed to boost daily engagement and reach mobile-first viewers, all while increasing discovery across Disney Plus's catalog. Users will be able to access the feed through a new icon in the app's navigation bar.
Starting point is 00:08:54 As users swipe through the feed, they can add shows to their watch list or jump directly into the show or movie. While Verts is starting as a way to showcase clips from content on Disney Plus, the company says it will eventually feature content from creators that reflects are fandoms, plus other storytelling formats, across types, and personalized experiences.
Starting point is 00:09:13 Disney says early testing in August on both Disney Plus and ESPN showed that VERT drove additional engagement. The company believes this engagement can be attributed to its advanced algorithm that powers the recommendation engine for VARTS, making content personalized to each user. Disney's investment in the algorithm for VARTS makes sense as TikTok's success can be attributed to the effectiveness of its recommendation algorithm. Disney Plus isn't the first streamer to explore vertical video as Netflix launched a vertical feed last year that lets users scroll through clips from its original titles. By introducing short-form video content, Disney Plus and Netflix are targeting younger users who are accustomed to watching quick clips on their phones
Starting point is 00:09:50 rather than long-form content like TV shows and movies. If they can capture a user's interest, there's a chance that they will go on to watch the full TV show or movie that initially hooked them, end quote. No one goes to Hank's for spreadsheets. They go for a darn good pizza. Lately, though, the shop's been quiet, so Hank decides to bring back the $1.1 slice. He asks Copilot in Microsoft Excel to look at his sales and costs and help him see if he can afford it. Co-Pilot shows Hank where the money's going
Starting point is 00:10:25 and which little extras make the dollar slice work. Now, Hank says, line out the door. Hank makes the pizza. Co-Pilot handles the spreadsheets. Learn more at M365Copilot.com slash work. It's peak pollination season, and my business is scaling fast. To keep the nectar flowing, I need a phone plan with top priority data speeds.
Starting point is 00:10:47 That's why I chose GoogleFi Wireless. My connections stay strong even when the hive is buzzing. Plus, unlimited plans started $35 a month. Now, that's a deal that doesn't stay. Explore Google Fi Wireless plans today. Plus taxes and government fees. Google Fi Wireless is not subject to data traffic deprioritization during times of high network usage. Ambition comes in all shapes and sizes.
Starting point is 00:11:12 At First Citizens Bank, we work. with your goals because we're built for what you're building fit for your ambition for citizens banking. Yamava Resort and Casino at San Manuel is California's number one entertainment destination for today's superstars. Catch the Jonas Brothers return to the Yamava Theater stage on April 30th, the powerful vocals of Demi Lovato on May 17th, and the signature Southern Country Rock of Eric Church on July 19th. Tickets on sale now at Yamavaheater.com.
Starting point is 00:11:44 only a Yalava resort and casino, celebrating its 40th anniversary. U.N., must be 21 to enter. In the long reads today, another essay on AI that makes an interesting point. You know how you hear all the time that ATMs, when they came out, didn't kill the job of bank tellers. Well, this piece from David Ox says, while that is true, it avoids the fact that the iPhone did end up killing the bank teller sector. quote, by the 2010s, people had begun to notice that there had been no mass unemployment of bank tellers, but there was an ironic element to that. At the exact moment that people started talking about how technology had not displaced bank tellers, it stopped being true. In the 2010's bank teller employment entered a period of prolonged decline. This was not a product of the financial crisis that peaked in 2008.
Starting point is 00:12:40 Bank teller employment was roughly the same in 2010 as it had been in 2007. And the decline was not rapid, But gradual. It continued even as the banks returned to full health as the Great Recession abated. First, there was a severe decline that started after 2010, then a slight recovery at the end of the decade, and then a collapse during the COVID years from which bank teller employment has never recovered. In 2010, there were 332,000 full-time bank tellers in the United States. By 2016, there were 235,000. By 2022, there were just 164,000. This was not a long-delayed ATM shock. The ATM had reached full saturation long before. It was, rather, the effect of another technology, one that had nothing to do with banking. It was a product of the iPhone, which enabled mobile banking. The rise of mobile banking removed any real reason to have bank branches. Visits to bank branches declined dramatically throughout the 2010s, and banks aggressively redesigned the banking experience around the digital interface. The number of commercial bank branches per capita peaked in 2009 and has fallen by nearly 30% since,
Starting point is 00:13:50 with most of the decline occurring in wealthier areas that were more likely to adopt digital banking first. Between 2008 and 2025 Bank of America, which at some point surpassed Citibank as the second largest deposit bank in the United States after Chase, closed about 40% of its branches. Online banking had been around since the 1990s, Bank of America's CEO said, but the iPhone was a game changer that effectively allowed customers to carry a bank branch in their pockets. And so as the bank branches disappeared, so did the tellers. The ATM had been an innovation within the existing world of physical banking, and thus its replacement of the bank teller could inevitably only be partial. As long as people were still
Starting point is 00:14:33 visiting the bank branch, it was useful to repurpose tellers as relationship bankers. But when branch visits declined, that stopped making sense. The iPhone represented a wholly different way of banking and within it there was no real need for the bank teller, and so a large institution like Bank of America was able to reduce its headcount from 288,02010 to 204,000 in 2018. The lesson is worth stating plainly. The ATM tried to do the teller's job better, faster, cheaper. It tried to fit capital into a labor-shaped hole, but the iPhone made the teller's job irrelevant. One, automated tasks within an existing paradigm, and the other created a new paradigm in which those tasks simply didn't need to exist at all. And it is paradigm replacement,
Starting point is 00:15:23 not task automation that actually displaces workers. And conversely, unlocks the latent productivity within any technology. That's because as long as the old paradigm persists, there will be labor-shaped holes in which capital substitution will encounter constant frictions and bottlenecks. This has, I think, serious implications for how we're thinking about AI. People in AI frequently talk about the vision of AI being a drop-in remote worker, AI systems that can be inserted into a workflow, learn it, and eventually do it on the level of a competent human. And they see that as the point where you'll start to see serious productivity gains and labor displacement. I am not a denier on the question of technological
Starting point is 00:16:03 job loss, but I'm skeptical that simply slotting AI into human-shaped jobs will have have the results people seem to expect. The history of technology, even exceptionally powerful general purpose technology, tells us that as long as you are trying to fit capital into labor-shaped holes, you will find yourself confronted by endless frictions. Just as with electricity, the productivity inherent in any technology is unleashed only when you figure out how to organize work around it rather than slotting it into what already exists. We are still very much in the regime of slotting it in. And as long as we are in that regime, I expect disappointing productivity gains and relatively little real displacement.
Starting point is 00:16:39 The real productivity gains from AI and the real threat of labor displacement will come not from the drop-in remote worker, but from something like Dwarquish Patel's vision of the fully automated firm. At some point in the life of every technology, old workflows are replaced by new ones, and we discover the paradigms in which the full productive force of a technology can be best expressed. In the past, this has simply been a fact of managerial turnover or depreciation cycles, but with AI, it will likely be the sheer power of the technology itself, which is really wholly unlike anything that has come before. And unlike electricity or the steam engine, will eventually be able to build the structures that harness its powers by itself.
Starting point is 00:17:20 I don't think we've really yet learned what those new structures will look like, but at the limit, I don't quite know why humans have to be involved in those. Though I expect that by the time we're dealing with the fully automated organizations of the future, our current set of concerns will have been largely outmoded by new and quite foreign ones, as has always been the case with human progress. But however optimistic I might be about the human future, I don't think it's worth leaning on the history of past technologies for comfort. The ATM parable is a comforting story, and in times of uncertainty and fear,
Starting point is 00:17:52 we search naturally for solace and comfort wherever it may come. But even when it comes to bank tellers, it's only the first half of the story, end quote. That was from David Ox's blog, but this piece is from Joel Morris's substack. It asks the question, why, in a pub right off of Trafalgar Square in London, is there a painted picture of the actor James Mason holding a cat inside the caves of Lesko? This is one of those delightful digital-era detective stories that is just so much fun to unravel. No bonus content for you this weekend. Talk to you on Monday. Did you know if your windows are bare, indoor temperatures can go up 20 degrees?
Starting point is 00:18:48 Turn the temperature down with blinds.com and get up to 50% off custom window treatments like solar roller shades and more during the Memorial Day mega sale. Whether you want to DIY it or have a pro handle everything, we've got you. Free samples, real design experts, and zero pressure. Just help when you need it. Shop up to 50% off site wide and huge savings on doorbusters right now. now during the Memorial Day mega sale at blinds.com. Rules and restrictions apply.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.