Tech Brew Ride Home - Mon. 03/18 – Apple To Partner With Google For AI On iOS?

Episode Date: March 18, 2024

I did NOT have on my bingo card Apple turning to Google to power its first big foray into modern AI on its hardware. Even while a new Apple AI model might be pointing to breakthroughs in AI reasoning.... One of the biggest e-sports competitions in the world has been hacked by cheaters. And some pretty bearish news for the VR industry. Links: Apple Is in Talks to Let Google Gemini Power iPhone AI Features (Bloomberg) Apple researchers achieve breakthroughs in multimodal AI as company ramps up investments (VentureBeat) xAI open-sources base model of Grok, but without any training code (TechCrunch) Musk’s Grok AI goes open source (VentureBeat) Massive ‘Apex Legends’ Hack Disrupts NA Finals, Raises Serious Security Concerns (Forbes) Sony Hits Pause on PSVR2 Production as Unsold Inventory Piles Up (Bloomberg) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:24 GoogleFi Wireless is not subject to data traffic deprioritization during times of high network usage. Welcome to the Tech meme right home for Monday, March 18th, 2024. I'm Brian McCullough today. I did not have on my bingo card Apple turning to Google to power its first big foray into modern AI on its hardware, even while a new Apple AI model might be pointing to breakthroughs and AI reasoning. One of the biggest e-sports competitions in the world has been hacked by cheaters and some pretty bearish news for VR. Here's what you miss today in the world of tech. Well, this is a bit of a record scratch moment that breaks a bunch of narratives all at once. Mark German's sources are telling him that Apple and Google are in active talks to use Gemini, Google's AI model, to power some new AI iPhone features this year. Apple apparently also has been holding talks with OpenAI to use its models. Quote, if a deal between Apple and Google comes to fruition, it would build upon the two companies' search partnership.
Starting point is 00:01:32 For years, Google has paid Apple billions of dollars annually to make its search engine the default option in the Safari web browser on the iPhone and other devices. The two parties haven't decided the terms or branding of an AI agreement or finalized how it would be implemented, the people said. A deal would give Gemini a key edge with billions of potential users, but it also may be a sign that Apple isn't as far along with its AI efforts as some might have hoped and threatens to draw further antitrust scrutiny of both companies. Apple is preparing new capabilities as part of iOS 18, the next version of the iPhone operating system based on its own AI models. But those enhancements will be focused on features that operate on its devices rather than ones delivered via the cloud.
Starting point is 00:02:18 So Apple is seeking a partner to do the heavy lifting of generative AI, including functions for creating images and writing essays based on simple prompts. Since early last year, Apple has been testing its own large language model, the technology behind generative AI codenamed Ajax. Some employees also have been trying out a basic chatbot dubbed Apple GPT. But Apple's technology remains inferior to tools from Google and other rivals, according to the people making a partnership look like the better option. But a partnership between the two Silicon Valley giants would likely draw the eye of regulators. Google's current deal with Apple for search is already the focus of a lawsuit by the U.S. Department of Justice. The government has alleged that the companies have operated
Starting point is 00:02:59 as a single entity to corner the search market on mobile devices. The pair has justified the arrangement by saying Apple believes Google's search quality is superior to rivals and that it's easy to switch providers on the iPhone. While the talks between Apple and Google remain active, it's unlikely that any deal would be announced until June when the iPhone Maker plans to hold its annual worldwide developers conference. It's possible that the companies don't reach an agreement or Apple ultimately chooses to go with another generative AI provider like OpenAI. or Apple could theoretically tap multiple partners as it does with search in its web browser. Other generative AI providers include Anthropic, which offers a chatbot called Claude, and quote.
Starting point is 00:03:42 Yeah, I don't know how to parse this in about a million different ways. Does this indicate desperation on Apple's part? Are they really that far behind in AI? I mean, given the obvious opening, this would create for regulatory scrutiny that would lean me in the direction of desperation, but maybe it's what Parker Thompson said on threads, quote, even before LLMs, it felt like Apple was making bad strategic decisions with regards to data slash ML while getting high on their own supply of privacy propaganda, so it's good to see them getting sober quickly as this gets serious, end quote.
Starting point is 00:04:19 Dar Obisangio said this on Mastodon, quote, 2024 is the year Apple faced its limitations, first giving up the dream of competing with Tesla in EVs, and now conceding it can't compete with Google and OpenAI in generative AI. This means iOS users end up winning as we get actual cutting-edge features and not Siri warmed over, end quote. To counter my regulation thoughts, though, this is James Titcom on Twitter, quote, this would suggest Apple and Google are pretty confident that U.S. courts aren't about to break up their $18 billion per year search arrangement, end quote.
Starting point is 00:04:54 quote, Max Wolf has an interesting point. Quote, neither Google nor Open AI's infrastructure could handle the potential scale of Apple's user base, given the scaling issues both companies are having. Even Google doesn't have enough GPUs, end quote. Dan Ives thinks this is a stepping stone thing, i.e. Apple leverages Google for a while before going all in on its own stuff. Quote, this potential Google's strategic partnership is a missing piece in the Apple AI strategy and combines forces with Google for Gemini to power some of the AI features Apple is bringing to market.
Starting point is 00:05:28 For Apple, this will give them the foundation slash blueprint to double down on AI features, end quote. And that does lead to an Occam's razor thought that is also compelling, as summarized by at Kaka-She-111 on Twitter. Quote, well, I guess they are not ready with their own model of Siri AI, who would have thought, and they must present a generative AI. If not, investors will punish them, end quote. Yes, there have been plenty of articles in recent weeks about how Apple's stock is underperforming the NASDAQ 100 by the largest percentage in years. Remember, revenue at Apple has been hitting a wall in all sorts of various categories. Investors are looking for some new revenue lever to be pulled by Apple, but are also super hot on AI right now, which Apple is not giving them. So,
Starting point is 00:06:19 What if Apple knows it simply can't deliver anything compelling in terms of AI on its own this year? And instead of seeing Wall Street punish the stock, it's just doing this quickly as a, you know, break glass in case of emergency holding pattern. Which makes the fact that this surfaced over the weekend even more interesting. Apple researchers quietly posted to archive MM1, a series of multimodal LLMs with up to 30 billion parameters that they say achieves state-of-the-art performance. in multiple AI benchmarks, but also might lead to future breakthroughs, quoting Venture Beat. Apple researchers have developed new methods for training large language models on both text and images, enabling more powerful and flexible AI systems in what could be a significant advance for artificial intelligence and for future Apple products. The work described in a research paper titled
Starting point is 00:07:15 MM1 Methods Analysis and Insights from Multimodal LLM Pre-Training that was quietly posted to archive.org this week demonstrates how carefully combining different types of training data and model architectures can lead to state-of-the-art performance on a range of AI benchmarks. By training models on a diverse dataset spanning visual and linguistic information, the MM1 models were able to excel at tasks like image captioning, visual question, answering, and natural language inference. The researchers also found that the choice of image encoder and the resolution of input images had a major impact on model performance. We show that the image encoder, together with image resolution, and the image token count, has a substantial impact, while the vision language connector design
Starting point is 00:08:00 is of comparatively negligible importance, they said. This suggests that continued scaling and refinement of the visual components of the multimodal models will be key to unlocking further gains. Surprisingly, the largest 30 billion parameter MM1 model exhibited strong in-context learning abilities, allowing it to perform multi-step reasoning over multiple input images using few-shot chain of thought prompting. This points to the potential for large language multimodal models to tackle complex open-ended problems that require grounded language understanding and generation, end quote. Remember, a lot of people believe that getting models to do actual reasoning as opposed to just what in a reductive way to put it has just been glorified pattern matching so far, is the next
Starting point is 00:08:45 big breakthrough for AI. Rumors have swirled that reasoning will show up in GPT-5, or that a range of startups we've been talking about recently, have made a breakthrough in doing reasoning, at least to some degree. Maybe Apple is hinting at something similar. Meanwhile, as Elon promised, XAI has open-source the base model weights and network architecture of GROC 1, a 314 billion parameter mixture of experts model under the Apache 2.0.0.2 a license. Quoting TechCrunch. In a blog post, XAI said the model wasn't tuned for any particular applications, such as using it for conversations. The company noted that GROC 1 was trained on a, quote,
Starting point is 00:09:31 custom stack without specifying details. Some AI-powered toolmakers are already talking about using GROC in their solutions. Perplexity CEO, Arvin Srinivas, posted on X that the company will fine-tune GROC for conversational search and make it available to its pro users, end quote. More details from Venture Beat. Parameters refers to the weights and biases that govern the model. The more parameters, generally the more advanced, complex, and performant the model is. At 314 billion parameters, GROC is well ahead of open source competitors such as Meta's Lama 2 at 70 billion parameters and Mistral 8X7B at 12 billion parameters. GROC was open sourced under an Apache license 2.0,
Starting point is 00:10:13 which enables commercial use, modifications, and distribution, though it cannot be trademarked, and there is no liability or warranty that users receive with it. In addition, they must reproduce the original license and copyright notice and state the changes they've made. Grok's architecture developed using a custom training stack atop Jax and Rust in October 2023 incorporates innovative approaches to neural network design. The model utilizes 25% of its weights for a given token, a strategy that enhances its efficiency and effectiveness.
Starting point is 00:10:43 Grok was initially released as a proprietary or closed source model back in November 23, and it was until now accessible only on Musk's separate but related social network X, formerly Twitter, specifically through the X Premium Plus paid subscription service, which cost $168 per month or $168 per year. However, GROC's release does not include the full corpus of its training data. This doesn't really matter for using the model since it has already been trained, but it does not allow for users to see what it learned from, presumably user text posts on X. The XAI blog post states it opically as, quote, base model trained on a large amount of text data, not fine-tuned for any particular task, end quote. It also does not include any hookup to the real-time information available on X, which Musk initially touted as a major attribute of grok over other LLMs.
Starting point is 00:11:32 For that, users will still need to subscribe to the paid version on X, end quote. Hey, look at this. Some non-AI news. Respond and EA have postponed the North American finals of, Apex Legends after an unknown user hacked to the game and gave pros hacks like aimbots during the event. Quoting Forbes, Reespon and EA have postponed the North American Finals in the wake of the competitive integrity of the game being compromised. This involved a wild situation where someone was giving the players hacks like aimbots and wall hacks as they were playing in the finals event,
Starting point is 00:12:16 effectively ruining the entire thing without anyone actually attempting to cheat. Players are now starting to potentially worry about their own accounts and the overall safety of the game. What's unclear is the extent of the breach. There is some concern that it might not just be for messing with the pros at the finals, but a larger security issue with the entire game that could affect the wider player base. Some creators are claiming on social media that they've scanned their PCs and are finding viruses, though there's so much panic going around. There's no evidence that that has to do with this hack. But if the hack could breach a pro match, it would seem to be something that could breach normal players, even if it's not actually doing so right now.
Starting point is 00:12:54 Many believe this is the work of one hacker Destroyer 2009, who has previously been hacking pros, and this was an RCE remote exploit using their PCs, but none of that has been confirmed. It's hard to underestimate just how unprecedented something like this is in a major e-sports event. A finals event getting put on ice because someone breached the game to give players hacks is simply something that does not happen. This has led to a mass of complaints about Apex's anti-cheat systems, which clearly failed in a massive way for this situation. But it also speaks to just how advanced cheats have become, as this is a private lobby for pros playing in an e-sports final. Not that this is necessarily related, but respawn was just hit days ago with 23 layoffs,
Starting point is 00:13:37 including Apex Legends developers, some of whom were longtime veterans. Though, if anything, this shows that EA needs to beef up Apex's security team to some extent as something like this requires all hands or more hands on deck than they currently have now, it seems, end quote. And finally today's sources are saying Sony has paused PlayStation VR2 production to clear unsold inventory. Sony recently confirmed that it was testing PSVR2 PC support in what looks like an attempt to get creative about broadening the platform's appeal. quoting Bloomberg. Sales of the $550 wearable accessory to the PlayStation 5 have slowed progressively since its launch and stocks of the device are building up, according to the people who ask not to be named, as the information is not public. Sony has produced well over 2 million units of the product since launch in February of last year, the people said. PSVR2 shipments have declined every
Starting point is 00:14:38 quarter since its debut, according to IDC, which tracks deliveries to retailers rather than consumers. The surplus of assembled devices is throughout Sony's supply chain. the people said. Still IDC's Francisco Geronimo sees a recovery for the product category in coming years with the help of Apple's entry. We forecast the VR market to grow on average 31 and a half percent per year between 2023 and 2028, he said. Alongside Meta, Sony has been one of the leading purveyors of virtual reality gear, but both have struggled to attract enough content and entertainment creators to make their platforms compelling. A similar problem stalks Apple's much pricier Vision Pro headset as it made its debut without tailored apps from key entertainment platforms like Netflix
Starting point is 00:15:19 and YouTube. Tokyo-based Sony last month announced its shutting down its PlayStation London Division, which was focused on making virtual reality games. That move was part of a wider set of layoffs that also affected in-house studios like Gorilla Games, which had worked on creating a PSVR2 exclusive game in its popular Horizon Series Horizon Call of the Mountain. The high price of VR hardware acts as the main hurdle for its expansion, said an analyst. Currently, there are limited games that support VR devices, and that will also lead to lack of motivation for players to purchase VR hardware. This limited content also has a reason the development cost for VR games is substantially higher than normal titles, end quote.
Starting point is 00:15:58 I'm sure there are Harvard Business School case studies on this, but it's wild the degree to which AR VR VR still suffers from the chicken and egg platform and developer problem. Like, think back, Apple flipped the switch, just turned on the app store with the iPhone all those years ago, and everyone immediately started building for it, and use cases were immediately apparent to both users and developers, even though for the first few years, there wasn't the user base on the App Store that we assume today. What I'm saying is wild is even all the hype in the world, at least as of this moment, can't seem to convince enough people to buy and use VR devices or to convince developers to make things for them, and actually vice versa. I'm sure tons of people
Starting point is 00:16:42 will quibble about this, but there sure still doesn't seem like there's a killer app to kickstart the VR industry, a spreadsheet equivalent from the PC era, or even an I-Beer equivalent from the early app store era. Always running late, but boy, I'm on time for you. Woke up with that in my head, so song lyrics. Talk to you tomorrow.

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