Tech Brew Ride Home - OpenAI Grabs OpenClaw’s Creator
Episode Date: February 16, 2026OpenClaw’s creator is joining OpenAI, but the OpenClaw project lives on. The AI-caused memory shortage might delay the next Playstation. Is the Pentagon about to cut ties with Anthropic? And Vitalik... Buterin is growing concerned with the prediction markets. OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger is joining OpenAI (The Verge) Peter Steinberger Chose OpenAI. The Code Was Never the Point. (Implicator.AI) Rampant AI Demand for Memory Is Fueling a Growing Chip Crisis (Bloomberg) ByteDance to curb AI video app after Disney legal threat (BBC) Exclusive: Pentagon threatens to cut off Anthropic in AI safeguards dispute (Axios) The hidden infrastructure crisis in mortgage and real estate finance that only tokenization can solve (Crypto.news) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to the TechBrew right home for Monday, February 16th,
2026. I'm Brian McCullough today. OpenClaught's creator is joining OpenAI, but the OpenClaught
project lives on. The AI-caused memory shortage might delay the next PlayStation. Is the Pentagon
about to cut ties with Anthropic, and Vitalik Buteran is growing concerned with the prediction markets.
Here's what you miss today in the world of tech. Peter Steinberger, the creator of OpenClaught,
is joining OpenAI, quote, to drive the next generation of personal agents. OpenClaught itself will
remain open source. Quoting the verge, Sam Altman announced on X that Peter Steinberger,
the man behind the trendy AI agent OpenClaugh was joining OpenAI. He said that Steinberger has,
quote, a lot of amazing ideas about getting AI agents to interact with each other, saying
the future is going to be extremely multi-agent. He also said that this ability for agents to
work together will quickly become core to our product offerings. OpenClaw, previously known as
Multbot and Claudebot, exploded on the scene earlier this year and became the darling of the
tech world. Its rise was swift, but not without its bumps along the way. Earlier this month,
researchers found over 400 malicious skills uploaded to Claw Hub. It also launched Maltbuk,
a social network where AI agents went to complain about their humans, debate the provability
of consciousness, and discuss the need for a private place to exchange ideas. And then it was
immediately infiltrated by humans. In a post on his personal site, Steinberger said that joining
OpenAI would allow him to achieve his goal of bringing AI agents to the masses without the headaches,
of running a company. He explained, quote, I could totally see how OpenClaugh could become a huge
company, and no, it's not really exciting for me. I'm a builder at heart. I did the whole creating
a company game already, pouring 13 years of my life into it and learned a lot. What I want is to change
the world, not build a large company, and teaming up with OpenAI is the fastest way to bring this
to everyone, end quote. And this is from Implicator.a.I., quote, Mark Zuckerberg needed 10 minutes.
He was finishing code. Peter Steinberger had called Zucker
on WhatsApp without scheduling anything.
I don't like calendar entries, he told Lex Friedman last week.
Let's just call now.
Zuckerberg asked for a brief pause, then picked up.
The first 10 minutes devolved into an argument about whether Claude, Code, or Codex
was the better programming tool, the CEO of a trillion-dollar company squabbling with a solo
developer from Vienna over IDE preferences.
That was two weeks ago.
Zuckerberg ran open claw on his own machine afterward, gave feedback that was blunt and specific
calling features great or shit in real time.
used it until it broke and then sent notes on what to fix. Steinberger called it the biggest
compliment because it shows they actually care about it. Steinberger has been losing money on
OpenClaw since November, $10,000 to $20,000 a month by his own count. He routes sponsorship revenue
to the developers who maintain his dependencies rather than keeping it. The project hit 196,000 GitHub
stars and pulled two million visitors in a single week while its creator subsidized everything
from savings. He doesn't need the money. He spent 13 years building PSP,
PDF kit into a PDF tool company worth over $100 million before selling it to Insight Partners.
Three years of what he described as soul searching followed. Therapy, ayahuasca, 43 failed projects,
then OpenClaw caught fire. His negotiating edge came from something no check could replicate.
Both meta and OpenAI made concrete offers reportedly valued in the billions. VCs lined up.
Steinberger told Friedman he didn't care. I don't give an F were his exact words.
When you've already sold a company and your next project goes viral by accident, the dynamics
flipped completely.
He wasn't selling.
They were auditioning.
Steinberger told a Y Combinator podcast this month that AGI is the wrong goal.
What can one human actually achieve?
Do you think one human being could make an iPhone or one human being could go to space, he said?
As a group we specialize.
As a larger society, we specialize even more.
His vision runs on specialized agents collaborating, not one God model that handles everything.
Opening I's entire corporate identity rests on achieving artificial general intelligence.
The name says it.
So does the $500 billion valuation.
Steinberger just joined a company whose stated mission he publicly rejects.
Ignore the ideology for a second.
The logistics explain everything.
Steinberger does not want to run a company.
13 years of it was enough.
He wants to build agents everyone can use.
That means compute, APIs, and 300 million people already opening chat GPT every week.
This is pragmatism dressed as alignment.
Meta offered something different, more personal, in fact.
Zuckerberg's hands-on engagement impressed Steinberger.
Steinberger recounted it on Friedman's show, acting out the reactions.
Mark basically, oh, this is great, oh, this is shit, oh, it needs to change this.
He noted the contrast with Open AI.
I didn't get the same on the OpenAI side.
He chose Open AI anyway.
Zuckerberg Codes gives real feedback and clearly cares.
None of that ships a product to hundreds of millions of users.
for a builder who once reach without management overhead that settled it.
Steinberger drew the comparison himself.
OpenClaw would follow the Chrome and Chromium model,
a foundation to hold the open source project,
a corporate partner to build the commercial version.
I think this is too important to just give to a company and make it theirs,
he told Friedman.
He's describing a pattern with a known ending.
Google open source chromium.
Chrome is what everyone downloads.
Android AOSP is open.
Google's Android with Play Services runs the play.
planet. My sequel went to Oracle. The community forked it into MariaDB. MariaDB survives. My
SQL still owns the market. Every foundation arrangement in tech follows the same gravitational
pool. The corporate version gets full-time engineers, marketing, distribution, and the daily
attention of the person who created the project. The open source twin gets volunteers and good
intentions. Gravity always wins, end quote. Sources tell Bloomberg that Sony is considering
pushing back the debut of its next generation PlayStation console to 2028 or even 2029 because of
the AI boom fueling huge memory chip shortages.
Quote, Sony is now considering pushing back the debut of its next PlayStation console to
2028 or even 2029, according to people familiar with the company's thinking, that would be
a major upset to a carefully orchestrated strategy to sustain user engagement between hardware
generations. Close rival Nintendo, which contributed to the surplus demand in 2025, after its new
Switch 2 console, drove storage card purchases, is also contemplating raising the price of that
device in 2026, people familiar with its plan said. Sony and Nintendo representatives didn't
respond to requests for comment. Since the start of 2026, Tesla, Apple, and a dozen other
major corporations have signaled that the shortage of DRAM or dynamic random access memory,
the fundamental building block of almost all technology, will constrain,
production. Tim Cook warned it will compress iPhone margins. Micron technology called the bottleneck
unprecedented. Elon Musk got to the intractable nature of the problem when he declared Tesla is
going to have to build its own memory fabrication plant. We've got two choices, hit the chip wall or
make a fab, he said in late January. The resulting price spikes are starting to look a bit like the
Weimar Republic's hyperinflation. The cost of one type of DRAMs soared 75% from December to January,
accelerating price hikes throughout the holiday quarter. A growing number of retailers and middlemen
are changing their prices every day. Ramageddon is the term some used to describe what's coming.
We stand at the cusp of something that is bigger than anything we face before, Tim Archer Chief
Executive Officer of Chip Equipment Supplier Lam Research said at a conference in South Korea this month,
what is ahead of us between now and the end of this decade in terms of demand is bigger than anything
we've seen in the past and, in fact, will overwhelm all other sources of demand.
What's worrying about the trend is that prices are soaring and supplies are running dry even before
the AI giants really get going with their data center construction plans. Alphabet and Amazon
just announced plans for a construction blitz this year that could reach $185 to $200 billion,
respectively. More money than any company in history has poured into capital expenditures in a single
year. Mark Lee, a Bernstein analyst who tracks the semiconductor industry, warns that
memory chip prices are going parabolic.
that will bring lavish profits to Samsung, Micron, and S.K. Henix, the rest of the electronic sector will
pay a painful price in the months ahead. Right now, we're kind of in the middle of a storm that we are
dealing with hour by hour and day by day. Steiner Sons-Tobi, CEO of Norwegian IT firm Ettea
ASA, told analysts in February, it's actually wiser to hold off doing business today as prices
are almost certain to be hired tomorrow, said Sue Young-Huan, who runs three DIY PC shops in Seoul
and frequently does business with stalls at Sunen Plaza.
Unless Steve Jobs rises from the dead to declare that AI is nothing but a bubble,
this trend is likely to persist for some time, he said, end quote.
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10 for ages 10 and up. Bight Dance says it respects IP rights and we have heard the concerns regarding
Seed Dance and it plans to strengthen safeguards around intellectual property and copyright.
This comes after Disney and others made legal threats against Bight Dance, quoting the BBC.
On Friday, Disney sent a cease and desist letter to Bight Dance accusing it of supplying seed
dance with a pirated library of the studio's copyrighted characters, including those from Marvel
and Star Wars. Disney's lawyers accused.
ByteDance of committing a virtual smash and grab of their intellectual property, including
superheroes from Marvel, Star Wars, and various cartoons. On Monday, BightDance told the BBC that the
company respects intellectual property rights, and we have heard the concerns regarding
Seed Dance 2.0. We are taking steps to strengthen current safeguards as we work to prevent the
unauthorized use of intellectual property and likenesses by users. BightDance did not respond to
questions asking for details on the safeguards it plans to implement. Like other, generative AI tools,
Seed Dance can create videos based on short text prompts.
Many of Seed Dance's clips are based on real actors and shows,
and some have gone viral since the launch of its latest 2.0 version on February 12th.
The BBC has found clips online said to have been generated by Seedance
showing Star Wars characters Anakin Skywalker and Ray battling with their lightsabers
and Spider-Man fighting Captain America on the streets of New York.
The company has not disclosed what data it used to train Seed Dance.
Byte Dance had previously said the product had already paused the ability for users to
upload images of real people. The company also said it respects intellectual property rights and
copyright protections and it takes any potential infringement seriously. Disney last year struck a $1 billion
deal with the maker of ChatGTPT and video generation tools SORA, OpenAI, giving the platforms
access to 200 characters from its franchises including Pixar, Marvel, and Star Wars, end quote.
Various Trump administration officials were saying over the weekend that the Pentagon may sever its
ties with Anthropic over Anthropics' AI safeguards.
Anthropic says only mass surveillance and fully autonomous weapons are off limits for its partners to use.
Quoting Axios.
The senior administration official argued there is considerable gray area around what would and wouldn't fall into those categories and that it's unworkable for the Pentagon to have to negotiate individual use cases with Anthropic or have clawed unexpectedly block certain applications.
Everything's on the table, including dialing back the partnership with Anthropic or severing it entirely, the official said.
But there will have to be an order.
quarterly replacement for them if we think that's the right answer. An Anthropic spokesperson said the
company remained committed to using Frontier AI in support of U.S. national security. The Pentagon is
pushing four leading AI labs to let the military use their tools for, quote, all lawful purposes,
even in the most sensitive areas of weapons development, intelligence collection, and battlefield
operations. Anthropic has not agreed to those terms and the Pentagon is getting fed up after
months of difficult negotiations. The tensions came to a head recently over the military's use of
Claude in the Operation to Capture Venezuela's Nicolas Maduro through Anthropics' partnership
with AI software firm Palantir. According to the senior official, an executive at Anthropic
reached out to an executive at Palantir to ask whether Claude had been used in the raid.
It was raised in such a way to imply that they might disapprove of their software being used
because obviously there was kinetic fire during that raid. People were shot, the official said.
Beyond the Maduro incident, the official described a broader culture clash with what the person
claimed was the most ideological of the AI labs when it came to the potential dangers of the
technology. But the official conceded that it would be difficult for the military to quickly
replace Claude because, quote, the other model companies are just behind when it comes to
specialized government applications. Anthropics signed a contract valued at up to $200 million
with the Pentagon last summer. Claude was also the first model the Pentagon brought into its
classified networks, end quote. Finally today, Vitalik Buteran, who, it should be noted, is an investor
in Polymarket, says he's, quote, starting to worry that prediction markets, quote,
seem to be overconverging to an unhealthy product market fit.
Quoting Crypto News.
Writing on X, Buterin called the trend Corposlop and argued platforms feel pressure to embrace
dopamine-driven content that lacks long-term societal value.
Buteran proposed redirecting prediction markets toward hedging use cases, including a system
where personalized prediction market baskets replace fiat currency entirely.
We do not need fiat currency at all. People can hold stocks, eith, or whatever else to grow wealth and
personalized prediction market shares when they want stability, he wrote. Boutaren identified three
types of actors willing to lose money in prediction markets, naive traders with incorrect opinions,
info buyers running automated market makers to learn information, and hedgers using markets as insurance
to reduce risk. The industry currently depends on naive traders and creates what Boutterran
called a fundamentally cursed dynamic. Quote, it gives the platform the incentive,
to seek out traders with dumb opinions and create a public brand and community that encourages dumb
opinions to get more people to come in. This is the slide to Corposlop, he wrote. Buterin questioned whether
an ideal stable coin based on decentralized global price indices is the right solution. What if the
real solution is to go a step further and get rid of the concept of currency altogether, he asked.
The proposed system creates price indices for all major categories of goods and services,
treating physical items in different regions as separate categories. Each user maintains a local
large language model understanding their expenses, offering personalized baskets of prediction
market shares representing future spending needs. Users could hold stocks, ETH, or other assets for
wealth growth while holding personalized prediction market shares for stability. The system removes
fiat currency dependence while allowing customization for individual expense patterns.
Implementation would need prediction markets denominated in assets people want to hold,
interest-bearing Fiat, wrapped stocks, or ETH. Non-interest-bearing Fiat carries opportunity
costs that overwhelm hedging value. Quote, both sides of
of the equation are likely to be long-term happy with the product that they are buying,
and very large volumes of sophisticated capital will be willing to participate,
Boutterran concluded, end quote.
You know that thing online that people have been talking about,
about how you blow days of your life,
setting up AI bots to do things that really don't really amount to much in the end,
but you spend all your time trying to get them to do whatever you're trying to do,
and so the effort is basically the whole game,
and then you're not actually gaining any time
because you're spending all your time managing the bots.
Well, this weekend, that was me.
My wife and I went to see the Stranger Things play on Broadway.
They were filming it for a Netflix special.
And the whole time I'm sitting in the audience
just waiting to get back home to make sure my bots didn't break.
Talk to you tomorrow.
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