Tech Won't Save Us - Electric Vehicles Are Driving a Mining Boom w/ Thea Riofrancos
Episode Date: September 15, 2022Paris Marx is joined by Thea Riofrancos to discuss how the push for electric vehicles is driving governments in the United States and Europe to onshore mining after decades of doing the reverse, what ...that means for companies in the sector, and how movements are pushing back against this resource-intensive vision for a green transition.Thea Riofrancos is an Andrew Carnegie Fellow, an Associate Professor of Political Science at Providence College, and a member of the Climate + Community Project. She’s also the author of Resource Radicals: From Petro-Nationalism to Post-Extractivism in Ecuador. Follow Thea on Twitter at @triofrancos.Tech Won’t Save Us offers a critical perspective on tech, its worldview, and wider society with the goal of inspiring people to demand better tech and a better world. Follow the podcast (@techwontsaveus) and host Paris Marx (@parismarx) on Twitter, and support the show on Patreon.The podcast is produced by Eric Wickham and part of the Harbinger Media Network.Also mentioned in this episode:Thea wrote about the push to onshore mining activities and what it means for climate justice, and recently published an academic article on the “security-sustainability nexus” relating to lithium onshoring.EV raw material costs doubled during the pandemic, forcing many automakers to raise prices.A lithium mine in Portugal was scrapped after local opposition, but other projects continue to move ahead.The US Inflation Reduction Act included many benefits for mining companies and tied EV tax credits to mineral supply chains.Support the show
Transcript
Discussion (0)
It's not necessarily the case that there's a big difference between the types of communities
affected by mining in the global north and the global south.
Absolutely, there are major inequalities that separate the north and south.
But when we get to that local level and we look at who is harmed by extraction, those
communities might have more in common with one another than with their respective kind
of governments or with the corporations that are headquartered in those places.
Hello and welcome to Tech Won't Save Us. I'm your host, Paris Marks, and this week my guest is Thea Riofrancos. Thea is an Andrew Carnegie Fellow, an Associate Professor of Political Science at
Providence College, and a member of the Climate and Community Project. She's also the author of
Resource Radicals from Petronationalism to Post-Extractivism in Ecuador. I was so happy to
have Thea back on the show. The last time she came on was episode 24, all the way back in August of
2020, more than two years ago. It's
hard to believe it's been that long. But then we did talk about how we need to think about the
resources and supply chains that are in all of the electronics that we use, but in particular,
the electric cars and the batteries that are going to be fueling those and driving those into the
future. And a lot of that conversation focused on what was happening in the global south and in
Latin America in particular. But in this conversation, I wanted to shift our focus a bit
more to the global north because yes, while a lot of extraction, even the majority of extraction
that fuels our electronics and that will fuel this growth in electric vehicle production into
the future will happen in the global south, there's also an ongoing push to onshore some of that extraction, some of that production, to have it happen in the
global north. And there are governments in the United States and in Europe, in Canada, who want
to ensure that they have secured their supply chains, that they're not dependent on China for
many of their minerals that will be necessary to build these batteries and these electric cars. And that is prompting a new set of policies and a new focus on ensuring
that there is domestic mineral production, but also that any other production that they require
is within countries that they have particular agreements with or supply chains with or who are
their allies. And so there's a really interesting kind of development that is playing out here.
And so I was really happy to have Thea back on the show to dig into the implications of
this, how we should understand it, and why a green transition that is so focused on electric
vehicles and doesn't consider how much mining that will require is not the transition that we should be
pursuing, but rather we should be recognizing that there are alternative means that we can
transition that will be far less resource intensive, that will require less extraction,
and we should be pursuing those as much as possible. And there are social movements and
workers and other groups who are organizing to try to make that a reality. So needless to say,
I really enjoyed this conversation.
It's very much in my wheelhouse,
a topic that I'm very interested in.
And so I hope you enjoy this conversation as well.
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a supporter. Thanks for listening and enjoy this week's conversation. Thea, welcome back to Tech
Won't Save Us. Thank you. It's a pleasure to be back. I'm really excited to chat with you again.
Obviously, you know, your work is on a topic that I'm incredibly interested in and that I think is
incredibly important, right? Especially as we consider what it's going to require to respond to climate change and how that is being framed
by governments, by corporations, by a whole load of people and what they think is the best way that
we should respond. The last time we talked, we discussed a lot about what is going on in the
global south with lithium production and mining and the way that those
supply chains are really key to these transitions. But recently, your work has been looking a lot at
attempts to onshore these minerals and this mining as well as the global north, like the US and the
EU, seek to build out their own supply chains of these minerals and to protect those supply chains.
And so that is going to be a key part of our conversation today. But I want to start by
talking about scale, because I think that's going to be really important for listeners to get an
idea of why this is so important. We're beginning this supposed green transition to address the
climate crisis. And a big focus that among governments in the global north is the shift
to electric vehicles. You know, your work focuses on mining, its politics and its impact.
If this is the transition that we pursue, how much mining will be required and what will be the consequences of that?
Yeah, that is a great question to begin with.
And, you know, what I'll say at the outset is that there is a big range in predictions, right, which should always alert us to the fact that predictions are based on models
that have all sorts of different assumptions about them, but also to alert us that, you know,
these are ultimately political and social choices to be made, right? There's no amount of lithium,
copper, cobalt, nickel, graphite, et cetera, you know, rare earths that are needed for a
decarbonized society. There are different ways to decarbonize and those involve different quantities or volumes
of minerals. I think what all the predictions share though, is that there's more needed and
the direction is upward, right? In terms of demand and ultimately supply, right? And so the most kind
of eyebrow raising predictions have been on the part of the International Energy Agency, which
has said that there will be 42 times as much lithium
demand if you compare 2020 to 2040, right? So that's a 4,200% increase. And it's kind of a
number that's a bit hard to... It's just kind of a mind-boggling number, right? There are other
predictions of we'll need 50 times as much, we'll need 10 times, 5 times. And really,
every agency that studies this stuff, and every analyst or World Bank, everything, they each have their own predictions.
I think what's important is that the predictions are for a lot of more mining and should also kind of raise the question of, is there a way to have a less mining intensive energy transition?
And I guess I'll just add one or two other things. I do not at all want to downplay, and this is sometimes a response to my work and similar, you know, the work of similar
scholars that comes up. I do not want to downplay that the fossil fuel system involves a tremendous
amount of mining too, right? Coal and oil and gas, right? You know, these are all extracted
from the earth. But, you know, what we're looking at is a system that shifts away from extracting fuel from underground and shifts
towards extracting metals from underground, metals that are necessary for the infrastructures and
technologies that allow us to harness, distribute, consume renewable energy.
I think that's a really important point to make. And I feel like often when we have these
discussions about electric vehicles, often there needs to be some caveat in there that, you know, we're not talking
about protecting the internal combustion vehicle in the fossil fuel industry, but rather drawing
attention to an aspect of the green transition that's being positioned for us and why there
are issues with that.
And it could be done in a much better, more ethical way.
You talked about some of those
minerals there, and I mentioned that we want to talk about onshoring, but can you give us an idea
of the current distribution of some of these key resources, lithium in particular, you know,
where they tend to come from and how governments in the United States and Europe would like to see
that change? Yeah, absolutely. So, no, I think it's important always when we're talking about mining and extractive sectors to distinguish between what's underground and then where it is produced and exported from.
Right. I think that sometimes we think that, you know, minerals only exist in the places that they're currently produced and exported from.
And that's not true in the case of lithium, for example, it's actually a relatively abundant mineral. That doesn't mean it's always easy to access or the deposits are equally high quality,
but it's relatively abundant in the Earth's crust.
But that is in stark contrast to the pretty extreme geographic concentration of the places
that produce and export it, which are really four main places.
We have Australia in first place right now, Chile in second place, though those have been
swapped in the past, but that's where they stand at the time being. Then we have Argentina,
and then we have China, which is primarily producing for its own domestic needs. It's
not an exporter of lithium, but it uses that as an input for its own domestic lithium supply
chain. So those are the top four, and that's a pretty concentrated supply chain of this so-called
critical mineral. And I'm sure your listeners know chain, right, of this so-called critical mineral.
That's and I'm sure your listeners know, but just so that it's clear, lithium is the most essential and non-substitutable component of lithium batteries.
And lithium batteries are what's going to power the EV revolution, but also grid scale storage for renewable energy grids. So it comes from these four places primarily.
And the European Union, the European Commission, specifically in the US government,
as well as other governments throughout the world, have looked at this distribution of the
so-called critical mineral and have also been aware of the fact that supply chains have been
particularly vulnerable over the past few years, for reasons your listeners are well aware and have said, this is not tenable. We need to diversify. Maybe sometimes the language is
actually to deglobalize, to redistribute kind of where lithium along with some of the other
critical minerals comes from so that we have so-called supply chain security. I think that
that's kind of the most neutral way to put it. There's actually a lot
more geopolitically and also in terms of corporate and investor strategy going on behind kind of
these statements in terms of why governments are suddenly so intent and also corporations
degree are so intent on changing or expanding or diversifying where lithium is extracted from.
But certainly there is a desire among governments of powerful countries and among some powerful firms, especially the auto companies, to have more places to buy
lithium from or to extract it from than the current kind of four main producers.
No, I think it's a really important point to talk about some of the things that are driving this,
right? And in particular, ensuring that access is there and that you're not just relying on these few key players who dominate much of the market right now, much of this production, much of this extraction that fuels the consumption and that fuels society in the global north.
And now, because of this transition, because of this desire they have this dependability as they seek to undertake this transition?
Yeah, I'm going to step back one level before answering that great question, just to kind of set up a little bit like why this is surprising.
Because sometimes things happen and they get normalized so quickly, right? And then we kind of lose our critical kind of traction on that,
right? But I think this should seem surprising. You know, whether we like this move or not,
I'll leave that to your listeners to decide. And I'll share my own views on it, of course. But
I think it should register as novel, right? As you just said, very clearly, for really the past
century or more, there's been an offshoring of mining
away from the US and Europe, mostly to the global south, but not exclusively, right?
A lot of mining happens in Canada and Australia.
But a lot of this is also in Africa and South America as well, right?
So there's been this relative kind of offshoring away from at least the US and Europe towards
other places in the world.
And that was seen as good by policymakers,
by the captains of industry, right? The idea is we have globalization, the places that have the
most comparative advantage in mining, whether because their deposits are so such great quality,
or whether it's because their labor or nature are deemed cheap or, you know, disposable,
you know, whatever the reason is, it should just go where it goes, where the market dictates. And
this was sort of unremarked upon. And, you know, there are a couple of other reasons
why it should be surprising, in addition to that long duray kind of economic trend, that there's
this desire to onshore or reshore, depending on the sector, mining to the US and Europe. And that's
two other things. One is that mining, as we discussed a lot in the last episode that we did,
is environmentally impactful. It's a very environmentally consequential. It can involve contamination of water and soil. Socially, it's sort of best for this to happen overseas, right? For the
environmental harm, the conflict to happen elsewhere, and sort of behind closed doors in a
way and for consumers of the final products to not think very much about the most upstream extractive
nodes of their production. And one other reason that it should surprise us, which is economics,
like, you know. For sure,
mining companies can be very profitable. But in terms of when we're talking about supply chains
and the broader networks of economic production, mining is the raw material. It's the very beginning
of the stage of production of a finished good, which means necessarily that it's the least
value-added part. Because as those inputs travel to the ports and then to the factories
where they are integrated in with other components and materials and then become the electric vehicle
or the battery or the cell phone, at each stage, there's more capital and technology applied,
and there is more value add in terms of the profit, right? And so it's not immediately obvious why
the US would want to onshore an environmentally harmful,
socially contentious, and low economic value stage of production. But they do, right? Or the U.S.
government starting really with Trump, but much more conservatively under Biden. And the EU
Commission for a similar time period has really sought and started to apply real kind of policy
muscle behind this. And so that now I'll kind of turn to your actual question,
but I wanted to just set it up a little bit.
So we could broadly say,
and this might be a term that you've explored
potentially with other guests,
but we could broadly say that governments
are using a paradigm called industrial policy
in order to attract this node
of marine technological production,
the attractive node to their borders, right? And they're doing something similar with the other nodes of production too.
I don't want to downplay that. There's also a deep desire on the part of European and American
officials to produce battery cells and modules and electric vehicles and so forth. But mining is
definitely central to their vision. And so, you know, when we think about industrial policy,
what it means is a broad policy toolkit that
governments have at their disposal to encourage the development of entirely new economic sectors
or markets, right, to set up shop, you know, within their jurisdictions. And so this can be
part of a vision for, you know, if we're talking about, for example, so-called developing countries
or third world countries or global south countries, depending on the time period or the, you know, the term that you like, there might be desires like we
want to industrialize, right? We want to play catch up, right? And this is something that China
has done amazingly, but also like in previous periods, South Korea, Japan, Brazil, Mexico have
used industrial policy to create totally new economic sectors, right? And so what's interesting
is that the sort of like kind of most powerful or affluent
countries in the global economy are now kind of using these industrial policy tools to encourage
resource extraction. But they're not using the most, I think there's a range of what states can
do when they want to create new industries. And what's interesting is that there are some tools
on the table that are not really being used by the U.S. and Europe, which would be things like nationalization or direct state ownership or more kind of like interventionist ways of kind of telling corporations version of industrial policy, which might sound a bit
like contradiction, but I think that it's the best way to describe it, which is that
they are ensuring that investment is attractive in lithium mining, for example. They're making
sure that to the best of their ability, that investment financing will flow into lithium
and some of these other sectors. And they're doing
that by lucrative tax incentives, for example, by sometimes directly subsidizing investment,
by making investment less risky, which is called de-risking, right? Sometimes by themselves
directly investing, by governments directly investing in the earliest stage of extraction,
but with the idea that companies then kind of take off and do the rest and gain the most profit out of it.
So they are all of these different tools that are within the industrial policy toolkit,
but involve less in the form of kind of state ownership or like state planning,
and more in the kind of sense of like corporations, if we sweeten this deal for you,
you will set up shop within our borders. And the last way I'll sort of frame corporations, if we sweeten this deal for you, you will set up shop within our borders.
And the last way I'll sort of frame this, and I'll turn it back over to you. I know that Amazon is a
corporation you probably discussed a lot on your show, right? And the reason I bring this up is
not because Amazon is involved in lithium onshore, at least not yet. But because, you know, I think
a good way to think of this kind of neoliberal or very corporate friendly, I'll use a less
jargony term than neoliberal, very corporate friendly industrial policy that the US and EU are pursuing right now to onshore lithium. An
interesting way to think about it is like, what do municipalities in the US or states in the US do
when they want to attract an Amazon warehouse, right? They give them tax abatements, they give
them tax credits or tax cuts, right? They do the workforce training for
them, right? They offer all of these kind of incentives because they're competing with one
another, municipality A and municipality B, to attract that Amazon warehouse. What's kind of
interesting and maybe almost surprising is that like the wealthiest governments of the world
are kind of using these tools that like resource-starved municipalities might use to
attract, you know, because corporations are global, they're globetrotting, they have many places potentially
that they could extract lithium because there are a lot of lithium deposits in the world.
And so in order to attract them, they are just making their investments a combination of more
profitable and less risky. That's so fascinating. And I really appreciate you outlining it in such
depth and giving us that kind of introduction to set up that answer as well, because I think that's really important. And I think your comparison to Amazon and how governments pursue Amazon and how that looks similar to what, you know, national governments, I guess, are doing in order to, or even state governments, I guess, to try to attract mining projects is really instructive.
I do want to go back to, you know, how you set that answer up, right? And you were talking about
how there are a lot of drawbacks to mining, which helped to explain why this was offshored in the
first place. And then how there's a real kind of industrial policy reason in trying to attract
these new businesses to grow these new sectors for why
the United States, the European Union, other countries are trying to attract this kind of
investment, this kind of industry back into their countries, their jurisdictions. But what else is
driving this attempt to onshore minerals? You know, why are these existing supply chains no
longer perceived as being dependable as they
were in the past? Yeah, it is a very good question because for me, it took me very much by surprise,
this onshore move, partly because I've really for a long time studied extraction in Latin America,
and I think had a sort of very global south perspective on the dynamics of extraction.
So I was surprised when the policymakers I started interviewing in
the EU and US were so intent on attracting mining rather than just importing it. And so I began to
kind of dig in, no pun intended, into like what the history is here. And it's a recent history,
but it goes a little further back than we might think. I'll come to the pandemic in a moment
because absolutely the pandemic has reshuffled how policymakers and corporations
think about supply chains. But the process of this shift starts a little bit before the pandemic,
such that when the pandemic happened, it was kind of already, to use Milton Friedman's term,
like an idea lying around that then kind of had its moment to shine, this idea of insecure supply
chains. But it starts a bit earlier. So what I found is that it was really
during the last commodity boom. So the period of very high prices for raw materials between roughly
2000 and 2014, that was driven in large part by rapid industrialization in China and the need for
raw material inputs to create the commodities that Chinese factories produce. So in that time period,
you had really elevated prices for everything from soy to copper to oil. And actually, this commodity boom is part of what insulated raw material
exporters from some of the worst effects of the financial crisis, right? Because they still had
large markets, you know, as the US and Europe were kind of suffering the financial crisis,
like some Latin American economies were actually booming, right? And so we have this commodity boom.
And what it did, though, in the global
north, at the same time that, you know, as I said, the global north was kind of grappling
with this financial crisis and already starting to think like maybe our economies are in decline,
like China is taking off while we're in the midst of this historic recession.
And so they were already kind of like thinking about the stature of the global north in the
global economy, vis-a-vis China, but also other emerging economies like Brazil and India and so forth. When the commodity boom really took hold and
prices for some of these primary products became quite astronomical, and also simultaneously,
China's kind of national level planning of its economic sectors made it clear that they had
a head start in making sure that they could secure inputs for their
industries. It suddenly kind of became apparent to policymakers in the US and Europe that,
wait a second, these primary commodities that were totally used to getting on the cheap,
right, because their environmental and social harms are totally externalized, right? So they're
very cheap, artificially so, in a way, we might say. We're also used to them being available,
you know, regardless of the price. But it's actually Chinese firms in concert with the
Chinese government are like locking in their supplies of these with long-term contracts,
with these long-term deals in Latin America, Africa, elsewhere for critical raw materials
for their industry. And all of a sudden, it seemed like, wait, we can't just rely on the
ever-flowing kind of cheap commodity
by normal global market mechanisms. We need a strategy to secure the most, quote-unquote,
critical of the minerals and other inputs that we need. And it was even in that moment, in 2008,
2010, that plan started to be laid for what more secure supply chains would look like,
starting from the mine, going all the way
down to all the other nodes of production. And interestingly, specifically focused on energy
technologies and other advanced and computing technologies, right? Because those were seen,
rightfully so, as the kind of industries of the future. So those were the sectors where it was
particularly crucial to ensure access at an affordable price to the mineral inputs.
And so it was in that moment that this conversation began. But at that point,
it was PDFs, it was blueprints, it was discussions, right? It wasn't like real
policy measures, let alone financing being put behind it. It wasn't really till the pandemic
hit and supply chains were scrambled from a number of directions that global North governments
started actually, in some ways, looking at what China had done and think like, well, actually, supply chains were scrambled from a number of directions that global North governments started
actually, in some ways, looking at what China had done and think like, well, actually, we need to
make sure we have supply chain security. We need to focus on those raw material inputs. And we also
need to just think about the geography of economic production, right? And the fact that, you know,
maybe it was not the best decision to just kind of allow all of this economic production to be
concentrated in China, right? And so it was the pandemic kind of accelerated a process that was already underway. And then it's
like each thing that has happened since the pandemic, each kind of new conflagration in
the global economic and political scene has just added fuel to this kind of on-shoring fire, right?
So after the pandemic you have, or during, you know, while the pandemic is still ongoing,
you have Russia's invasion of Ukraine, right? You have this inflationary situation, you have all of these things happening that further either make supply chains vulnerable, sometimes take certain supplies, like completely off the market, sometimes through policy measures are decoupling economies from one another, i.e. like, you know, the sanctioning of Russia, or are just making goods so expensive that they become inaccessible, even if they're technically on the market,
they're just rising, the raw material costs are making the cost of final goods more expensive.
And that's absolutely happening with batteries and electric vehicles. So you get the idea.
There were a series of events that really shifted the thinking away from just a orthodox acceptance
of neoliberal globalization and market integration
being the way that we produce and procure goods to more emphasis on supply chain security,
self-sufficiency, nationalism, industrial policy, these other paradigms that aren't per se at all
like anti-capitalist, but they're a different way of thinking about the role of states in
managing or shaping where economic production takes place. It makes a lot of sense. And it's also really fascinating to think about
how that transition occurs, right? How we get to that moment when there's this greater attention
to it and how further global events have really helped to move it along, I guess, and just further
entrench that as a policy goal. And it does
certainly feel, and maybe it's just the moment that we're in, maybe this will change, but it
does feel like supply chain disruptions and undependable supply chains are going to become
more of a thing that we can expect rather than just expecting the whole kind of global system
that was built up over the course of a number of decades just to keep working smoothly into the future. You mentioned the price aspect of this, right? How there was the commodity boom
in the past and that made resource prices really high, but how there has also been this idea for
quite a while that all we need is to get battery production to reach scale and then the prices of batteries will
naturally fall over time because production has reached the necessary scale. But how increases
in commodity prices have kind of called that idea into question and how at the same time,
as the U.S. and the European Union look to bring more of that extraction and production onshore,
that doesn't necessarily mean that they will be able to produce more cheaply than other parts of
the world than China or the global south, and that they will need to kind of brand their production
in a different way to justify their higher price. So how do you see this playing out
as part of this onshoring push? Yeah, it is really
interesting. And all the factors that you just laid out are relevant. So I'm going to just give
a little context for listeners that have not been closely following the price of batteries or the
dollar per kilowatt hour of how much lithium batteries cost. Absolutely. Over their lifetime,
and this is something that you, of course, address in your book and that other podcast episodes that you've done have addressed.
Like when we look at electric vehicles over the course of their lifetime, they can be cheaper than traditional vehicles because the maintenance is much lower cost.
And also because they don't require you constantly filling them up with gasoline. Right.
Which can sometimes skyrocket, as we've seen recently. But their upfront cost currently
is still higher than a traditional vehicle, you know, comparing vehicles in a similar class,
right? And so when we look at like working or middle class consumers, that kind of sticker
shock is still kind of an impediment to buying an electric vehicle, which is part of the reason why
subsidies from China to the US to Europe, subsidies have played a big role in electric
vehicle adoption, right? And we
can talk about that separately if we want, but I'll just sort of put that there for now. And so
what observers of the lithium battery, which by the way, is the most expensive component of an
electric vehicle and the electric vehicle industry have kind of been eyeing is like, when are electric
vehicles going to reach what's called price parity with traditional vehicles. Like when will it be that they cost the same, right? And the kind of magic number that's often floated around is that
when batteries cost $100 a kilowatt hour, then roughly speaking, you know, comparing in the same
vehicle class, they'll be the same price. And we were like on track, we sort of globally were like
on track to get to that magical price point in the past
year. And we kind of almost got there. I don't remember if it was like 115 or something like
that was the latest. And that's for the cheapest battery chemistry. What's important about this,
because I know this all sounds quite technical, is not just like consumers, you know, when will
they buy EVs? How can we propel the EV revolution by EVs being cheap enough for mass consumption?
That's one important thing.
But the other is just like this broader kind of theory of change, we might say, in which
like goods just get progressively cheaper and that this is going to happen with green
technologies.
And it's going to make the transition to renewable energy easier politically, economically,
socially, in all sorts of ways.
And we could see this in terms of like an eco-modernist
faith in just like technologies being ever more cheap to produce, more efficient to manufacture,
cheaper to consume, just like this kind of onward march of progress in which everything becomes
cheaper and easier. I sound very dismissive, but I do want to say there's something to that. There's
a kernel or a partial truth there, which is that absolutely
that as goods are produced at more mass scales, there are economies of scale, it gets cheaper per
unit. And there are also discoveries made like, oh, it's cheaper to manufacture it in this way
than that way, because there's more experience and iterative learning over time in the manufacturing
process. And I think the research shows that Chinese factories can be thanked for that. I
mean, it's really China that massified EVs as well as e-bikes and other forms of electric mobility. And it's Chinese factories that have really perfected making these more much more volatile pricing in the commodities markets.
And those commodities, those raw materials are crucial components of making an electric vehicle,
as we've already discussed. And actually, interestingly, or paradoxically, in a way,
as you make gains on the manufacturing part of the vehicle or the cost curve, let's say,
the raw materials actually are a bigger proportion of
what your overall costs are. And if those are getting more expensive, or if they're just
volatile and unpredictable, which is as bad almost as them being more expensive, then you're not
going to see this sort of really neat secular decline in the price of a battery and therefore
an EV. And lo and behold, we've reached that like 115, 114 battery watermark, and it's
sort of plateaued since then. I'm not at all saying, and I'm not trying to be a weird doomer
about battery prices, which is not something I'm invested in doing, but they may continue their
downward decline. But what I think is instructive about the moment we're in is that the gains made
in producing batteries more efficiently and more cheaply kind of intersected
with this moment of commodity volatility and with this moment of kind of geopolitical volatility
that is very related to raw material extraction and production to produce a situation in which
we can't reliably say batteries will just get cheaper and cheaper every year.
They may plateau.
They may get a little more expensive.
They may get cheaper the next year.
But your energy transition plans should not rely on ever-cheapening technology.
There need to be other ways that the transition is ushered through that involve other types of
government support, planning, policymaking that don't just depend on the market constantly
producing cheaper goods. Yeah, I think that's really well said, and I think you've outlined it
really well in that
answer, right? And certainly during the pandemic or during the past few years, we have seen the
prices of many electric vehicles having to go up as a result of these higher commodity prices and
what that has meant for battery prices, which are such a key component of electric vehicles.
I do want to switch and talk about some concrete
things that we've seen in various countries that you are obviously observing and doing research in.
But before we get to that, I have one final question, I guess that's at a more broader scale.
And, you know, obviously the states are pushing this particular approach to the mining industry,
to onshoring mining. And when I say states, I mean, you know, the United States, the various countries in Europe,
or at least the more powerful countries in the European Union.
But what will this mean for the companies that are involved in this production, whether
it's the mining companies or, say, the automakers who are hoping to rely on these minerals or,
you know, battery production companies, things like that?
Are they poised to profit from
this transition? And are they aligned with government efforts to onshore production
and secure supply chains in this way? Or does that have risks for them and how they would like
to see this transition occur? It is a very good question because I think it gets to the heart at
some of the stuff I brought up earlier that, you know, this industrial policy paradigm in which governments are trying to encourage particular economic activities for
particular strategic goals, in this case, dominating green tech supply chains or countering
China's dominance, so-called, those are the goals that they have in mind. So this industrial policy
framework necessarily involves the kind of imbrication of states and markets, of governments
and firms, right? It's like literally that nexus of where these two categories that we often hold as binaries or
separate kind of entities, like the state versus the market, actually really overlap and intersect,
right? And so that means that, you know, on both sides of that equation, actors are thinking
strategically about, you know, what the other actor is doing. And in this case, you're asking
me like, what do corporations think about states getting more involved in the supply
chains that perhaps previously were more just directly mediated by market interactions rather
than by state involvement, right? And it is very interesting and very telling, I think,
what corporations, you can actually learn a lot about the content and the sort of politics
and ideological orientation of the
industrial policy tools being used by the response of corporations, right? What that response is,
is a mixed one. I would say overall skews positive, but not entirely. So corporations
at various points in the supply chain, and I'm going to focus on the most upstream node, which
is lithium extraction in this case, and the most downstream node, which is the production of electric vehicles. At both of those nodes, definitely
corporations stand to benefit from a lot of the policies that are used to encourage onshoring.
So let's start with mining companies. They directly benefit from any tax subsidy benefit,
R&D investment, de-risking, any of those tools directly basically
encourage more investment in the mining industry by making it, as I said, more profitable and or
less risky to do so. And this is important in mining in particular, any company likes this,
but I'll just say why with extractive sectors, this is especially welcome for two reasons.
One more general, which is that since
the end of the commodity boom that we were discussing earlier, since the crash or the
bust or whatever you want to call it, there has been declining investment in mining exploration
and extraction. That doesn't mean that there isn't a lot of money floating around in extractive
sectors. What it means is that companies have been prioritizing payouts to shareholders, right?
This is another thing that will sound familiar from your other podcast episodes. There is more
capital discipline, shareholder discipline, these are synonyms, rather than using that money to
invest more, quote unquote, productively in exploring for new mines and extracting.
And there's also been more kind of in some ways risks associated with mining. And that's in part
due to something we may talk about, but we also talked about last time, which is a lot more consciousness on the part of local
communities about the effects of mining and much more pushback and skepticism. And so anyway,
the whole thing is that anything that makes investment and exploration and extraction
flow more freely is very welcome on the part of mining companies who have had trouble convincing
investors to do exactly that, right? Now let's go to the other end of the supply chain to electric vehicle companies.
They're not benefiting directly from the onshoring tax credits and things like that,
though they benefit from other tax credits for sure. But what they're interested in is kind of
similar to what governments are interested in, which is security of supply. They want to make
sure that when we have a new model of Tesla,
or the Ford electric trucks coming out, or Rivian, whoever they are, they want to make sure
we have 5, 10 years guaranteed supply of lithium, of cobalt, of nickel.
Like car companies, it's very capital intensive, right? Investing all of that,
it's a huge sunk cost, creating new models, new manufacturing facilities, etc. If they can't
dependably have the raw materials that they need, it's going to really mess with their production
lines. And we already know, again, something you've covered in your show, that these production
of EV has already faced serious delays for a variety of reasons, right? And so both ends of
the supply chain, like anything, that encourages more mining and more geographic diversity of where mining comes
from. Those are positives. What is a little bit more mixed or might even be less welcome or
negative on the part of industry in terms of what the state is doing is anything that creates
more onerous restrictions. So I'll give a couple of examples and we'll get into this more when we talk about
maybe even more recent policies, but anything that requires a car company to only use minerals
like domestically sourced, that's going to be a problem. Like they would love there to be a
domestic mining industry. So they have that option, right? But they don't necessarily want
to be tied to using any particular origin in terms of the source of their minerals. They like the flexibility for obvious reasons. And so anything that kind of limits sourcing, I think, is a problem potentially sourcing point, but a little more specific, to restrict, for example, companies from doing business with China. So any measures that decouple are pretty hard for
companies to abide by because supply chains just are complex. They're hard to disentangle,
and a lot of them run through China. So anything that requires decoupling, which there have been
some recent policy initiatives to do, and obviously with Russia and the sanctions, that's already been
the case. And then the last I would say that is less welcomed by companies that you kind of hinted
at in an earlier question is anything that requires mining to be more sustainable or ethical.
Because something that I haven't talked about a lot yet, despite you bringing it up in a question,
is that it's not just onshoring for supply chain security that Global North policymakers are
advocating for.
It's also this claim that we can do it more ethically, more sustainably, more responsibly
in the West versus China or versus like the global South. Those are like the two kind of
contrasting cases usually. And anything that puts the burden on companies to be more quote
sustainable about this supply chains is generally
not welcome, especially if it's like binding and enforceable, right? And so, you know, you get the
sense, I think, that there's a mix of incentives and constraints of sweeteners and, you know,
carrots and sticks, right? And it's pretty obvious that anything that is a carrot, companies are
going to like, and anything that is a stick, they are more concerned about. And that's where you see, I think, really interesting dynamics
between states and capitalists in terms of how industrial policy actually plays out on the ground.
Yeah, they're totally on board for anything that's going to benefit them. But when it
restricts what they can do, they might not be as happy to see those sorts of
restrictions or rules or
regulations come into force. I want to talk a bit before we close up our conversation about what's
happening, you know, on both sides of the Atlantic. You were recently in Spain and Portugal, where
there's an ongoing effort to expand lithium production. What did you observe over there?
There's just so much to say, because yes, as you noted, like there are simultaneous
processes that are pretty similar, but have their contextual differences in the U S and Europe.
And last year I was in Nevada in the U S which is on the precipice of an enormous lithium mining
boom. If everything goes according to industry plans, at least. And then more recently I was
in Spain and Portugal witnessing something similar, which is a big lithium mining boom being planned on the Iberian Peninsula.
Right. And I think it's noteworthy when we think about Nevada and we think about Spain and Portugal, like what kind of positions those places hold within the larger polities that they're a part of.
Right. Nevada has long been a kind of like resource periphery within the U.S.
There's a very long history of mining. The specific places in Nevada that mining is planned to take place are places that directly
affect indigenous communities that have also similarly been harmed by that longer history
of both mining, but also nuclear testing and all sorts of extractive activities that have happened
in that state. So it's kind of an internal frontier or periphery, right? And I say that to kind of call to listeners' attention that it's not necessarily the case that there's a
big difference between the types of communities affected by mining in the global North and the
global South. Absolutely, there are major inequalities that separate the North and South.
But when we get to that local level and we look at who is harmed by extraction,
those communities might have more in common with
one another than with their respective kind of governments or with the corporations that are
headquartered in those places, right? Similar with Spain and Portugal, the places that I was
visiting, Extremadura, Galicia, and then the Borussia region of Portugal are really peripheral
zones of Spain and Portugal, but also of Europe as a whole. Of course, listeners are familiar with
the debt and economic crisis in Europe and the austerity that was inflicted on Spain and Portugal,
as well as Greece and other countries in Southern Europe. So there's kind of already
animosity in many of these communities towards the EU or European plans, right?
And so to have the EU saying, now we're going to use you as a sacrifice zone to mine lithium for electric vehicles that are being produced elsewhere, like in Germany or maybe some of the more industrialized and also wealthier parts of the country.
And maybe those jobs are kind of better than the jobs in mining or certainly like the effects of mining on those communities could be pretty severe and disconnected from where some of the benefits of
electric vehicle adoption or consumption are taking place, right? So, you know, you started
talking about scale. And this is another way to think about scale, not just like the volume of
production, but also like these different places and scales of political economy, right? Thinking
about where things hit the ground locally versus like what plans are devised in corporate headquarters or in capital cities or in Brussels, the capital of the EU, right?
There can be real disconnects between what's experienced in Portugal and some of the harms there versus, Portugal, where there's been an enormous amount of conflict over plans to mine lithium in a community called
Covas do Baroço. And excuse my bad Portuguese pronunciation. But it is a place where, you know,
it reminded me in some ways of my travels and research in Latin America, in terms of there's
a pre-existing agro-pastoral livelihood. It's pretty low income, and it's a place that's also suffered a lot of economic dislocation
over the years and less and less economic opportunity for young people in particular.
So there's been out-migration, but the people that remain there are very dependent on the
land and on the water and the soil for their livelihoods.
There's a lot of farming and livestock raising and other kind of place-based livelihoods that are important and are how people
earn a living. In addition to that, there is like a lot of pride and collective identity around
communal land ownership, which is really interesting to see and something that I think
we sometimes associate with like pre-capitalist time or something, but there is communal land ownership in terms of a kind of agricultural and forested commons that people in the community share and use for grazing, for collecting water, for collecting wood.
And some of that land is directly potentially threatened by these plans to mine lithium, right?
So I guess what I'm saying in short is that lithium mining, like all mining, is a very site-specific and place-based activity, right? So I guess what I'm saying in short is that lithium mining, like all mining,
is a very site-specific and place-based activity, right? You mine where the deposit is. And that
means that other place-based activities, other types of livelihoods, it's very hard for them to
coexist with mining, both because literally the land footprint maybe can only support one of those,
but also because mining can contaminate and pollute and render the soil
less productive or make the water less usable for agriculture or human consumption. And so
there's a real fear among the people that I talk to that basically their livelihoods are at stake.
It's very existential for them. And I think it's easy to sit in an armchair or whatever and say,
oh, we should have lithium mining here or there. Why do people protest it? Are there just NIMBYs?
And there are hard questions too. Those those are dismissive ways to talk about
it. But I think there are difficult questions for the left about where is best to mine. I often come
away from visiting places where there's planned mining or ongoing mining and like, feel like,
well, that's not the right place to mine because the community totally opposes it. And this
biodiversity is at risk or this livelihood is at risk. But it does raise the question of where should this be done?
And you can talk about that if you want.
But I do just want to impart that, you know, for people that live there, it's not just
some simplistic, not in my backyard thing.
Like they feel, I think, with some reason that the way that they live their lives is
incompatible with a large scale lithium mine, with a mine being touted as would be the largest
lithium mine in Europe and would supply, you know, UV supply chains within the region.
And that is a real reckoning that needs to happen.
I think if Europe wants to onshore, there is going to be increasing pushback.
And I think the commission and local governments and national governments could do a lot better
to consult and get consent and incorporate communities into forms of participatory
planning rather than just declare that mining is going to happen here and just see what communities
do to respond. I think that's really important to outline. And I want to come back to it in just a
minute to close off our conversation to get a bit more insight on that point. And I just want to
reinforce what you were saying about much of this mining, even in the global north, happening in peripheral areas of these countries by saying
that the same is true in Canada, right? A lot of the manufacturing jobs for automobiles, like
electric vehicles, will be around the southern Ontario area, really kind of built up part of the
country, the industrial belt, so to speak. But a lot of the mining that is being proposed to feed much of this production is obviously in remote areas of the
country near indigenous communities. That's where these projects are being proposed. And so we see
that as well. Just to back up your point, the United States recently passed the Inflation
Reduction Act, which has some implications for this transition.
There are new measures for mining companies and mining sourcing requirements on the electric
vehicle tax credit. What will this mean for the future of this in the United States?
Yeah, it's really fascinating. And it's one of those situations where, you know, I have been
viewing this onshoring trend for a couple of years now, actually, since 2019, I've been
working on this angle. And every year it picks up steam. But I would not have predicted,
even though I've been looking at this closely, that when the US passed its kind of first really
major climate investment legislation, as it just did, and I'm not saying I love this legislation,
and we can have a whole other episode on the failings of this legislation, but also what it
does do and whatever. But I would not have predicted that the U.S. passing its first major climate investment legislation would have involved such kind of stringent onshoring requirements to the point where there's been a lot of discussion in industry over whether these requirements are feasible or not, or whether they will actually dampen EV adoption rather than encourage it as ostensibly
as the policy's goal. So what are they? I mean, let me start before I get to the onshoring with
some of the sort of sweeteners or financial incentives that I was talking about earlier
to just encourage the entire supply chain at every node, mining, processing, refining,
and then production of battery cells and modules. So at every node of that supply chain, there are really lucrative tax breaks. These are tax credits, but they basically
amount to a subsidy in terms of the way that they get paid out. So these are large tax credits.
In the case of, for example, mining companies, they just get an across the board 10% tax write
off if they produce critical minerals. And then at every other
stage of the supply chain, there are similar decently sized tax breaks for producing or
refining or processing battery chemicals, and then for producing battery cells and modules.
So that's the kind of sweetener. That's the part that industry really likes. The part that industry
is a little bit more concerned about, and that also might be interesting for us to analyze, are more like the
sticks or the constraints or requirements, which is that in order for an EV to get the consumer
rebates, so what I just laid out were what manufacturers or mining companies get. There's
also consumer rebates of $7,500 for purchasing an EV, which makes EVs
much closer to affordable with traditional vehicles than they currently are. Though,
as we already discussed, the raw material increases kind of wipe a little of that out.
But regardless, it's a subsidy for EV adoption. But in order for a vehicle to qualify for that
subsidy, it has to be produced with increasing quantities of critical minerals that are produced
either in the US with a trading partner or recycled within North America, right? So those
are the different options. And at first in 2024, 40% of the critical minerals need to be sourced
in one of those three ways. By 2026, just around the corner, it's 80%. And there's a similar set
of requirements for the battery components, not the minerals, it's 80%. And there's a similar set of requirements for the
battery components, not the minerals, but the rest of the sort of technological components
need to also be sourced like in the US, North America, where we have a trade agreement, etc.
So it's basically a mix of what we've already discussed as on-shoring and what's called like
ally shoring or more kind of silly friend shoring. But basically like if we can do it within our borders,
the second best is in our allies borders, right? In these dependable, responsible,
you know, partners like Australia or Canada. And so that's the idea. This is going to be
challenging. I don't know how challenging it will be because a lot of it depends on like
the devils in the detail, like how exactly the treasury, which interestingly is important in enforcing this, how they interpret this, whether there are waivers given, whether those
timeframes are deferred a bit. There's past examples of kind of made in America requirements
getting waivers or exemptions. So that might happen here. And so that lobbying game is going
to be very important, but also the bureaucrats discretion of how language is interpreted is very important, right? What exactly is 40%, right? You can actually weigh the materials in different ways,
right? To get super technical about it. But just to give an example of like what that 40%
means exactly in practice is definitely open to interpretation. But regardless,
we can't do this now. Meaning in the US, the supply chains to make 40% of those minerals
from one of those three sources or 50 40% of those minerals from one of
those three sources or 50% of the battery components from one of those three sources
does not exist. If those restrictions weren't there, more vehicles will qualify than if they
do. And so again, it'll all come down to how lobbying works out, how bureaucratic interpretation
works out, and also how quickly supply chains can begin to be re-engineered really. And also how quickly supply chains can begin to be re-engineered, really, and also the
cooperation of our trading partners in deviating supplies that would have gone to one place
and instead sending them to the US.
So you get the idea.
It's a very kind of unpredictable mix.
And the jury is really out on how this will play out.
But it certainly makes, compared to a pathway in which there were no supply chain security
kind of requirements,
it definitely makes the EV adoption slower than it would have been. On the other hand,
and this would be what proponents would say, or what Senator Manchin, who was very keen on having
these requirements in, would say, is that it also speeds up the development of a domestic supply
chain, right? And so we can see that there is a bit of a tension between building a domestic supply chain, right? And so we can see that there is a bit of a tension between building
a domestic supply chain on the one hand and ensuring the fastest and cheapest green technology
to consumers on the other hand, right? Those are projects with some tension. And that also is
reflected in, as we've discussed, the some degree of tension between governments and corporations
about how to embark on this transition. And so you can't
have it always. If you want to prioritize a secure domestic, like bordered supply chain,
then you're going to slow down EV adoption and vice versa. And so, yeah, I'm fascinated to see
how this will play out. I'll just throw out one or two other things that have happened really
recently. So this legislation was signed into law, you know, just this past week. In the days after
it was signed in, we already got a lot of announcements. And I know, law, you know, just this past week, in the days after it was signed
in, we already got a lot of announcements. And I know Paris, you're really used to this from the
tech industry, all of these like announcements of new investments, and they're kind of speculative,
and who knows if they'll play out in reality. Yeah, absolutely.
Definitely like a speculative and maybe real, who knows, we'll see boom happening already as a
result of the IRA. So the Inflation Reduction
Act, the law that I was just describing, and multiple green technology and clean energy
supply chains, but also fossil fuels and CCS and these more nefarious parts of the bill,
like lots of investment is starting to be unlocked, right? So we've already seen announcements of new
battery plants in the US, of new mines, right? Of mining companies, of one of the mining companies
that is planning to mine
in Nevada, Lithium Americas and its subsidiary, Lithium Nevada, has already said, floated the
idea of we're going to do a second mine. Their first mine hasn't broken ground yet. There's a
lawsuit against it. There's been activist protest camps against it. I mean, it's still like up in
the air of whether that mine will move forward. And because of the deal sweeteners in the IRA
and this idea that,
yes, policymakers are committed to a domestic supply chain, they have now announced that they
are looking into a second lithium mine in the U.S. before their first one has gone into anywhere
near into production. So it's very interesting to observe how this form of industrial policy
can pretty immediately trigger investor interest. And it's not at all the case that more
state intervention in the economy is always a negative from the point of view of corporations.
I think increasingly in a sort of long durée sense in just where we're at with global capitalism,
corporations actually increasingly depend on various forms of state support, subsidy,
profitability, de-risking in order for their
operations to be economically feasible. And I think that the IRA is an example where there's
that mix of constraints and incentives, but ultimately it is a signal from government that
these sectors will be profitable and corporations are responding to that. What that means on a
deeper level and from a sort of left and social
and economic justice perspective about what types of supply chains are built, who is affected,
who benefits, who captures the profits versus the social benefits. I think those questions
are very up in the air and will really depend on the on-the-ground conflicts between communities
and mining companies, between workers' unions representing auto workers and
auto companies, right? At each node of the supply chain, you have different types of
class conflicts and social struggles taking place. And it's really there that a lot of,
I think, how equitable this whole transition will be, will be hashed out. Because for now,
it's really been a more elite kind of state corporate design transition.
But I don't think that at all means that other voices and other visions and strategies and
campaigns may not emerge to kind of, I think, bring other perspectives onto the table about
how the energy transition plays out.
I appreciate you outlining that in so much depth, right?
To give us this perspective on what's going on with that bill and the responses
to it. Just a really brief follow-up before I ask my final question. You know, Joe Manchin is someone
who is very invested in the fossil fuel industry, and we know that there were things in this bill
that were beneficial to the fossil fuel industry, even though it was framed in some ways as a kind
of climate bill. Is there any sense that these mineral requirements
and these kind of battery requirements are beneficial to the fossil fuel industry in any way
in kind of trying to delay or reduce the amount of support that exists for people to buy electric
vehicles? Or do you think that's a concern that's misplaced? There are two or a couple of different
ways that the critical mineral sourcing requirements and other sourcing
requirements could be beneficial to the fossil fuel industry. Remember that, you know, when we're
talking about mining companies, these are the same companies in some cases, right? When we look at
some of the main coal miners in the world who are facing the most kind of proximate phase out,
obviously recently there's been some rebooting of the coal industry in response to the energy
crisis in Europe, et cetera. So I'm not trying to say that like the industry is over. But overall, the coal
industry has been in decline. And coal mining companies, you know, might and have and there
are cases of them moving into thinking about critical minerals, right. So one is that there's
actually overlap in terms of what mining companies might be involved in hydrocarbons and also might
be involved in these, you know, metallic minerals. And so that's one way that they can benefit.
And I'm absolutely sure that fossil fuel companies are seeing the writing on the wall in terms of
what are the extractive sectors that might be phased out and what are the extractive sectors
that might grow. In fact, in Nevada, one of the companies that I researched and one of the
projects I researched that has a lithium mine in a pilot stage there is Schlumberger, which is a French oil and oil services company,
right? And so they're looking at their assets and diversifying in all sorts of ways,
including into renewable energy, but also into these upstream attractive ends of green tech.
So that's one way fossil fuels might benefit if they're strategic about their investments.
It is interesting that you bring up because, you know, sometimes when I get into conversations with EV advocates and more
mainstream climate advocates who are very pro-EV as the kind of solution to how to decarbonize
transportation, and sometimes I'm bringing up more like, let's focus more on mass transit,
and I've sort of gotten into interesting debates with folks, they will sometimes bring up like,
you know, aren't you just playing into the fossil fuel companies hands because fossil fuel companies want to slow this transition to EVs
because it doesn't benefit them. So they're really happy for people like me to point out
some of the downsides of mining or the harm of mining. Right. And yeah, I definitely get that
too. So yes, I, right. And it's, it's interesting because there are examples of it that I've come
across where fossil fuel companies have directly or indirectly kind of paid for like anti-EV propaganda.
There's absolutely examples of that. Right. But I don't know if it's so much in the interest of fossil fuel companies to draw scrutiny or critical attention to the harms of mining.
Because as I said earlier, fossil fuels are also mined, right? And while the climate impact of fossil fuel burning is much higher than anything else, the localized impact of mining for oil or gas or coal bears harms of cobalt, nickel, or lithium mining, right? Because you might then think, well, what about the harms of
coal, gas, and oil extraction and mining, right? And so I don't know, but let me just take your
question on a more sort of objective market dynamic level, less whether there's machinations
on the part of fossil fuel companies to delay EVs and more like, would they benefit? I think that if EVs continue to be unaffordable
to working class and middle-class consumers, as they basically have been until now, both
unaffordable and also just literally inaccessible because you have to join oftentimes these long
wait lists to get an EV at this point. If they remain relatively unaffordable compared to
traditional vehicles, absolutely the fossil fuel industry,
and also specifically like the gas refiners and the sort of that part of the supply chain
will benefit from that. And I think the two main things right now that are holding back the
affordability of EVs are, just in the very proximate term, are the raw materials, which
really increased in price over the past couple of
years during the pandemic. I think raw materials for associated with batteries have like overall
kind of doubled in price, right? So that's a big increase. So raw material costs are making EVs
less affordable than they would have. And in some cases, canceling out the value of that subsidy.
And then on the subsidy end, anything that reduces the applicability of the
subsidy will also make cars relatively more expensive. And that will, yes, benefit the
interest behind gasoline and the fossil fuel industry and all of that. But I think that the
trend is still towards more EV adoption and also relatedly towards more government support for EV
adoption. I think fossil fuel companies are
extremely aware of that. And the smarter move, not the move I prefer, I would have other plans
for what I would prefer to happen to fossil fuel businesses than for them to diversify and survive
the transition. But it very much seems like they are intent on diversifying and surviving the
transition through a combination of carbon capture and claims around that and
investments in that, and through diversifying their assets into renewable energy and also
into critical minerals. Yeah, I think that makes a lot of sense. And I think you broke it down
really well. I appreciate you giving me your time to discuss these issues. And I want to end with
this question that I think is really important to considering the response to this, but also is really important to your work. You know, you talked about workers and organizations
who were organizing throughout the supply chain, and you've also written about how social movements
are pushing back on these efforts to expand mining and to have a very resource-intensive
transition. Can you explain how they're responding, you know, what they're demanding,
and how they're building international solidarity?
Yeah, sure. I mentioned earlier that oftentimes there's this dismissive view of communities or movements that resist mining projects as like NIMBY, not in my backyard.
And I really don't think that that captures what's going on.
One set of reasons I already said, which is that it's not like a
backyard that's at stake or something or like a view, right? I think that sometimes more affluent
opposition to like wind farms, that's about, I don't want my vacation home view. I mean, I'm
all for critiquing NIMBYism, which I might actually properly call NIMBYism. But when we
look at communities that, you know, depend on the land for their livelihood, for their cultural meaning,
right, for their existence in many ways. I don't think NIMBYism captures that. But let me just
mention another reason why I think NIMBYism, and this speaks to your question, why NIMBYism isn't
a good way to think about it. It's because these movements aren't best thought of like isolated
local movements or just like local reactions to like local phenomena. They're
really part of what is a more and more networked proliferation of anti-extractive or anti-extractivist
movements around the world. And it was really interestingly, like Latin America, and we talked
about this in our other episode based on my book, Resource Radicals, Latin American movements and
communities have really been at the forefront of this more militant opposition to extractive projects. And as part of that,
seeing them as part of a bigger system that they call extractivism, which is kind of like,
in a way, like the flip side of capitalism in the global South or in its sacrifice zones,
like the way that capitalism appears in these peripheries of the global economy
is as an extractive operation,
right? As something that takes and doesn't really leave very much behind other than environmental
harm and poverty, right? And so in those parts of the world, there's been this growing critique
of extractivism and more and more militant and creative and innovative tactics to resist it.
And those tactics really flourish during the commodity boom that we already talked about.
So this episode is all kind of coming together, right?
So, you know, in this moment of really high prices for commodities, there was a lot of
projects became profitable.
There was a bigger footprint of mining around the world and especially in Latin America.
And there was a lot of resistance to it.
And those communities formed their own networks within Latin America, across countries, right,
joining different regions
of the Americas. And now a lot of those movements are now in direct conversation with movements in
Europe and the United States that are resisting onshoring, right? So as the geography of mining
shifts, as it's happening and continuing in Latin America, absolutely. And I want to make it
abundantly clear, and I haven't said it yet this episode, so I'll say it now, which is on-shoring does not at all mean less mining in
the global South or less mining in Australia or Canada or the sort of global North areas where
there's been a lot of mining. It just means more mining overall, right? It's a diversification of
where mining takes place and an overall increase because of those deal sweeteners and inducements
to mine. So we're not talking about shutting down shop in Chile and
moving to the US. The Chile operations will be ongoing and they'll be alongside that parallel
operation. So what that means is that there's a really planetary mine, to use that term,
and there is an increasingly transnational and even global networks of communities and movements
that are seeing similar patterns, similar ways that companies
deal with communities, similar ways that governments do not properly consult them,
right? Similar harms in terms of water and soil and livelihood threat, right? And they are in
conversations with one another. I mean, one can find these gatherings and convenings on the
internet now, especially because of the pandemic, right? There's been all of these virtual conferences
and convenings between activists sharing knowledge, sharing tactics. Sometimes they're
resisting the same company. It's different assets or projects that are in different,
you know, sides of the world. So I think that, you know, NIMBYism, whatever you want to say about
whether or not communities should resist mining or whether it's within their, you know, whatever
normative evaluation you take of this, it's absolutely true that it's not a purely
localist phenomenon. It is something that is increasingly happening in a way at the scale
of global capitalism itself. And it's not through one kind of homogenous global movement,
but rather through a networking of movements at different scales and a lot of strategy sharing
and mutual learning. So that's a quite interesting development that mining companies are very aware of and are themselves,
you know, making moves to mitigate or preempt that form of globally networked protest.
It's a very interesting moment. And I think that as much as these corporate and government
policies and strategies are shaping supply chains,
they are also going to be shaped from below and including in their kind of geographic contours,
like will onshoring work or not, in part depend on how communities in the global north in Europe
and the US respond to onshoring, which also depends on their alliances with their comrades
in the global south, right? So it is a really
interesting kind of multiscalar phenomenon. Yeah, that's such an important point. And,
you know, I think looking at what these movements, how they're networking together,
what they're doing to oppose these things to present alternatives is so important,
especially when we think, you know, what the response to this should be.
Thea, thank you so much for taking the time to dig through all of these important questions and topics with me. Thank you so much. Thanks for having me. This was a great conversation.
Thea Riofrancos is an Andrew Carnegie Fellow and an Associate Professor at Providence College.
She's also the author of Resource Radicals from Petronationalism to Post-Extractivism in Ecuador. You can follow Thea on Twitter
at at T Rio Francos. You can follow me at at Paris Marks, and you can follow the show at
at Tech Won't Save Us. Tech Won't Save Us is produced by Eric Wickham and is part of the
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