The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Best Gambling Show Ever & Moneyline Monaco ft Geoff Schwartz & Arash Markazi
Episode Date: February 11, 2023Liv Moods and Alex Monaco are LIVE on radio row for Super Bowl LVII sharing their betting insight and best bets for the matchup between Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jalen Hurts and t...he Philadelphia Eagles. They have their preferred prop bets for Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes, discuss which songs they think Rihanna will perform during the Super Bowl halftime show, and much more! Monaco is also joined later by Geoff Schwartz & Arash Markazi. #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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The volume.
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All right, everybody.
Live Mood's here with my partner in crime, Alex Monica.
We are here on the Fandul set.
And it is incredible.
We're at Radio Row.
Incredible.
Arizona, Super Bowl.
Monica, how are you feeling?
I mean, I'm pitching myself.
Look at the set.
We're on the best set ever.
Shout out of live.
Fan duel, let's go.
I'm fired up.
We're on radio,
Ro.
Couldn't be in a better mood.
Right?
We are feeling super excited.
Super Bowl is here.
I've talked with a lot of people
while we've been in here about how they feel.
It feels like the public is leaning with Philly.
And listen,
when you have joined the gambling space and you've been in it for a minute,
these are the things you start to think about, right?
Like, it's not just about the matchup anymore.
It's not about the QV.
It's not about the defense.
it's like, damn, the public money.
The public money is on Philly.
How are you feeling about that?
Well, it's, I'm nervous, but here's the thing.
This line movement, Livin, we talked about this on the best game week show ever, of course, on Amazon Amp,
the opening line of Chiefs minus two and a half, for the line to flip that fast and multiple lines,
and I did do some serious research on this.
There's been 18 times in the previous Super Bowl is where lines have moved.
If you follow the line movement, you're 14 and 4.
against the spread, 16 and 2 straight up.
So in this case, you would follow Philly and you would be to the bank.
Well, then let's go to the bank, baby.
That's one element to look at it.
Yes.
But again, we talked about it too.
It's the narrative of best player versus best team.
Absolutely.
And that's exactly what I was going to say.
We've got Patrick Mahomes, who is the best quarterback in the league without a doubt.
There is no doubt in my mind.
He is the greatest quarterback that we have in this league right now.
And the narrative just keeps being the,
the Eagles are the better team, but they have Patrick Mahomes.
And that is how I feel.
Truly, Patrick Mahomes could go out there and do what he does,
which is be a magician and do things that we haven't seen before.
So you have to be prepared for that.
Now, we do have the bum ankle.
Right.
Is there some concern for you there that the ankle may be an issue for him?
I mean, I got a B-minus joke laugh out of you with Mahomes ran for what,
four or five football yards last Super Bowl behind the line of scrimmage.
This is such a filthy front four.
I hate the word filthy.
It's going to be a long day.
And especially with Asan Redick of what he did,
Wiley, the right tackle for the chiefs,
it's going to be hands full for them.
And I'm just, I've watched this defense.
Decimate the Giants and Niners.
And Liv, I know the narrative is,
oh, they've played no one.
What else do you want them to do?
Right, right.
No, I've heard that.
Who they have in front of them.
I've heard that narrative before.
That sounds a lot like the,
TCU Horn Frog final chapter.
They've played nobody. They're in the big 12.
Oh, shush. It doesn't matter. They're doing
what they need to do, okay? But we're here
and I want to talk about the ground game because we touched on
it a little bit last show for the best gambling show ever, on AMP,
all over. We talked about the
ground game and just how important that was going to
be here. And I absolutely agree.
Who's got the better ground game? Who are you backing on the ground game?
Because I really do think that will be the deciding
factor in this matchup.
all year you got to go Costco sample Philly.
This team, collection of backs.
Yeah.
Boston Scott will find a way to get in five, six times a year.
Gainwell has out, he was the number one back last week,
and he had over 100 against the Giants.
And of course, we know Miles Sanders, plus Hertz's are running back in his own right.
Right there, right there.
The answer is easily filled.
I love.
I'm loving Gainwell, by the way, for a prop over rushing yards on Fandt.
Okay, you're not the only person that said that today.
I asked about a little hot take.
anytime touchdown, and I got Gainwell today.
I did.
So that is something to consider.
I will tell you, Jalen Hertz on the ground in this game to me is going to be what helps the Eagles,
not even what helps, what quite literally wins the Eagles their Super Bowl.
Right.
Little same game parlay that I am flirting with right now, just in case you care, just in case.
Oh, I want to hear.
I'm going to say it.
Three legs.
You're going to tell me if you like it, love it, hate it.
All right?
Here we go.
Philly Money Line.
Love it.
First leg.
Second leg.
Jalen Hertz over on rushing yards.
I think it's flirting around 49 and a half right now.
I'm behind you on that.
And then Jalen Hertz to run it in the end zone for an anytime touchdown.
Three-leger, how you feeling?
This is over 5 to 1?
This is cash.
I'd have to check.
I'd have to double check just so I'm not giving fake news, but I like it.
And you know what?
I was live on AMP last week and we talked a little bit about, you know, same game parlays.
What do we like?
somebody threw out there a little Patty Mahomes, Jalen Hertz, anytime touchdown.
And it was a sweet little plus 989.
You still love it.
You know, listen, obviously the ankle is something to think about.
But these are two do-or-die quarterbacks, are they not?
This is a Super Bowl.
To me, we saw Patrick Mahomes in the game against the Jags.
Before he got hurt, he was pretty mobile.
He was used in his leg, especially in the red zone.
So is there a world or we could see that plus 98 cash?
Look, I love getting funky in the Super Bowl.
Speaking of which, non-quarterback touchdown, which is a fun prop.
We know the Philly Special Cashed Burton of Foles.
Now, they're not going to let Jalen Hertz go flank out and be wide open like Sir Nick the other year.
But I like a trick up Siriani sleeve.
Do you think there's a world where on Fandall?
There's a little prop we can fire on a non-quarterback?
For sure.
Yeah.
We can flirt with it.
I think so too.
To me, I like the running backs in this game.
I like the ground game.
I like Hertz.
How do you feel like the over-under?
I haven't had a pulse on it the whole week.
Me either.
Usually I am pretty good about totals in terms of like, okay.
You're mine.
I really like totals, especially this season,
and I don't think I liked them last season.
But this season, I have really liked totals.
I don't have a read.
Well, for those out there listening,
we talked about this on AMP as well.
Carl Under Sheffers.
The ref.
That's right.
My guy, like, 11.
11 and 1 on 12 playoff game unders, averaging double digits on the under.
So it's not just going under a little.
The last one he did was Bill's bangles and that went under comfortably.
But he's rough two of the last three Super Bowls.
And this total's pretty high.
It's a high high, what, 51 and a half-ish?
So maybe we, maybe we lean under here.
But again, it's not like a, it doesn't feel.
It feels like a Philly wins live.
It goes under.
If the Chiefs win.
It goes over.
It goes over.
Is that, is that decent thinking for this?
kind of the game. I think that's great thing. I think that's the play. I love it. Okay, do we want to come up with a little
best gambling show ever right here on AMP, right here on the Fandall stage at Radio Row?
So, honor that we could be here. Do we want to come up with a little same game parlay before we wrap?
Sure. I mean, yours is incredible. So what are your favorite legs out of, we both like Philly?
We both love Philly. Can I get you to join me on a Philly double result?
Philly win the half. They have been dominant in the first half, haven't they?
They are the most dominant team.
I would like to talk historically.
15 caches out of 19 on first half wins,
one half point line.
You go a little bit of juice on the money line.
But this team is, it was 28-0-0,
excuse me, 28-7 and 21-0
in the respective two games by halftime
between the Giants and the Niners.
Wow.
Okay.
So I love a double result.
So we just stick Philly first half
and Philly Money Line
in the same.
game parlay.
I mean, I love
Hertz.
I love both of those.
So.
You like his rushing
or you like the touchdown
better?
I like the touchdown.
I like Hurts getting
in the end of it.
I do too.
I love it.
I love it.
Okay, so let's go
Philly first half,
Philly Money Line.
Jalen Hertz,
anytime touchdown.
What else we sprinkling there?
I know a little gain well over rush yards.
I think it's hit.
Let's do it.
Gainwell over rush.
I went 9.2, I think,
a carry against the Giants.
Let's go.
Highest rush yards for any of the running
backs against the Niners.
Let's do it.
It's criminally low.
Criminally low.
It's disrespectfully low.
All right, you guys heard it here first.
We're going Philly first half.
Philly Money Line.
Harts anytime touchdown and gain well over on rushing yard.
That is the best gambling show ever.
Same game parlay.
Lock it in.
We'll make a graphic.
It'll be out in the universe.
Everyone will be sweating it, tailing it together.
Any final thoughts before we wrap here on this wonderful?
First of all, thank you, Fandall.
Thank you, Fandall.
Thank you, Fandle's sport.
our partner for everything this season.
We have had such a fun time creating same game parlay,
sweating them out with you guys.
You guys can catch any bet we talk about.
It is in the Fandall Sportsbook app.
So thank you Fandall for allowing us to use this space.
Shout out to Brittany.
She made a few calls.
We were here on the ground.
We made it work.
We made it happen.
So thank you Fandul.
But outside of that same game parlay,
you got any final thoughts?
Fly Eagles fly, but what else?
Fly Eagles fly?
I got a weird feeling purple Gatorade.
Purple Gatorade?
Weird feeling.
Over under for a national anthem.
I'll go under.
Heads or tails?
Heads.
Tails.
And then final, which song will Rihanna sing first?
Who, umbrella.
Ooh, I'm going to go.
Wow.
That's a good one.
Wow, that's a good one.
Probably not going to be the first one, but, you know.
Wow.
I'm going to have to come back to that one, you guys.
Stay tuned on my Twitter at Live Moods on all socials.
I will let you know which Rihanna song I think is coming first.
Where can they find you on socials?
Moneyline, Monaco.
We're here on AMP talking all things gambling.
We're all over the place.
Make sure you follow at the volume sports on all things social.
At Fandul on all things social.
Thank you, Fandul once again.
Thank you, Volume family for tuning in.
Happy Super Bowl.
Good luck.
Happy betting.
And Monaco.
It's been a pleasure.
It's been a pleasure.
Happy Super Bowl.
Thank you, Fandululul.
Welcome to the Moneyline Monaco podcast, Alex Mono.
I go, chill her with my man, Jeff Schwartz.
We're in frame.
Barely.
We're on Radio Row.
We made it happen.
My guy, the homie, he's been on multiple times.
We're at Radio Row feeling great.
How are we doing?
It's good.
It's a fun week.
You know, it's starting getting a wolf crazy on Thursday.
We get the celebrities here.
I saw Joe Montana with Herlacker.
Dion's making the rounds today.
They're stuck with me.
Dude, you're the man.
And a well-rounded officianto in the world of betting.
Yes.
This is a fascinating line, Jeff.
I just spoke on this.
So the line movement.
how often, and do you remember in the Super Bowl history,
does Vegas hang, and I don't want to call it an incorrect line,
but as far as keeping the Eagles as the favorites,
they lay Chiefs minus two and a half,
and then they correct it.
What are your thoughts on it?
Yeah, it was mostly circled it there, right?
Circular put out two and a half early.
I was surprised by that,
but I think by kickoff, it's going to be even money
or Chiefs will be a favorite.
Yeah, I think there'll be a lot of Chiefs money coming in
because that kind of tells you where everyone kind of sat on that.
And that's really to me just like a Patrick Mahoney,
tax, right? It's like if you look at where the Eagles are roster-wise, they're better than
Chiefs, but that doesn't discount. The Chiefs guys have their own all-pro offense alignment,
their own all-pro defense alignment. And their secondary is better than we get them careful.
They've been better throughout the season as their young players have gotten more reps.
So I think this is more of like, I think it'll correct itself back to maybe pick them,
to Chiefs maybe a slight favorite by kickoff. I think a lot of Chief's money will come in on Sunday.
I do have a random trend for line movement. So 18 times it's happened.
where the, if you follow the line, which would be following it to the eagle side,
you're 14 and 4 against the spread, 16 and 2 straight up.
18 times there's been line movement like this in the Super Bowl.
Dude, the Eagles plus 2 and a half?
So because the Chiefs were the favorite, and then now the Eagles are?
But what number?
It doesn't really matter.
It doesn't really matter. It's just overall following that's the correct side.
Does that make you look at it any differently?
Not really.
The trend thing is interesting because, like, you can almost find trends,
just anything?
That's true. That's true. To find your argument.
But look, look, I think if you told me I could get Eagles plus two and a half, I would
take it in a heartbeat too, though. I think that's a good number for the Eagles.
I think a lot of people looked at said, oh, two and a half, yes, I'm up for that, right?
And so I'm not surprised they got hit really hard. If this game, if it opened up at even money,
all the people hit the Eagles is hard. Because I think the plus money with Eagles was after
after what we saw this past weekend and the way they played this year, there was just an extreme
value in grabbing that right now.
So I think that's, you know, if the line was laid differently,
like if the line opened up at Eagles minus one.
Right.
Is there as much Eagles money right away?
No.
You're going to Casey all day.
Probably, plus.
Yeah.
So I think that part of it just was where the line opened up is why it ended up being that
fury to get that plus Eagles money.
Now, you're on Fox Sports Radio.
You make your way TV, National.
I always like listening to the sports radio, sports TV talk around the games to try to take
it all in to make my gambling decisions.
The narrative around this week is Philly's played nobody all year.
They played nobody in the playoffs.
Sure.
I don't know if you buy into that,
but what is your takeaway on this week's storylines around the radio row?
So, fair.
If you want to make the argument, you can make that argument.
The Chiefs have also played no one after week 13 to the playoffs.
Week 13 to 18 was like the Broncos twice and Texas,
and they almost lost half those games anyway.
They always do that, right?
But here's the thing.
If you only put the teams in front of you, right, on your schedule,
the Eagles kicked the ass of the teams they played.
So, like, if you're a good football team, you beat bad football teams, and you beat them by a lot.
And the Eagles did that.
So you can say, sure, they played Daniel Jones twice, they played backups and whatnot.
Yes, Pat Mulham is the best quarterback anyone plays all the season long.
And the chiefs are the best offensive played by far an entire season.
Fine, great.
But they've also kicked the ass of bad football team, which is what you do if you're a good football team.
So I don't discredit it quite like that because also the defense line is good.
So it will show up this weekend.
So that's why I think it's a little,
that narrative is a little overbought.
We spoke about this at the volume party, actually.
You said Andy Reid's going to have everything covered.
Yeah.
Of course we know Andy Reid-Opa-Bai historically is an all-time cover.
Knowing the coaching edge probably goes to the Chiefs here,
anything from a schematic game plan side of things defensively,
Philly can do to prepare for this Chief's offense?
Yeah, I mean, I think you really want to, obviously,
have eyes to Travis Kelsey, and you say, look, man,
anyone but Kelsey, right?
Like, who's not beating us.
And so that opens up the opportunity now,
if you're looking, especially for crop bets for anyone else.
But the thing with the Chiefs, though, is that, like,
there's never a go-to-wide receiver since Hill left.
And that's a good and a bad thing, right?
It's good because Mahomes gets the ball off quickly.
Boom, boom, boom.
And anyone's available.
Bad if you're gambling.
You still know who's going to be that guy that week.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Also bad because they kind of miss, I think, that guy, like,
go get the ball type of guy.
So you look at kind of who's up this week, right?
MVS, you know, him having a big week and be great.
there is Tony, but how do you bet on Tony?
He broke his own ankle this pastime.
He hurt himself.
So I think you look at the fringes.
I think Noah Gray is the backup tied end.
He's number two.
The Chiefs run a ton of 13 personnel.
He'll be part of the stream.
He's 12 and a half receiving yards.
Like to me...
That's cake.
To me, like, I think that's a place to look.
About Pacheco receiving yards, maybe?
The Checo receiving yards, I think, is a place to look as well.
So, like, it's just...
The Chief props to me are always hard because of how they spread the ball around.
Like, Eagles, you know, Brown and Smith
are going to be, like, kind of their...
guys. Yeah. The chief could be
MVS. Maybe it's a juju game. Maybe
that's 100 yards. Maybe Watson
is active this week. He has 50 yards.
Good point. You just don't know
who is each week for the chiefs.
Outside of Kelsey.
Alex Monaco, chill moment of Raj Marcosi.
We've worked together in the betting space.
Had to bring them on a radio row special moment,
man. New York to Phoenix,
Los Angeles, Miami. And we've been
everywhere together, man. I can't. This is a thrill.
It's a thrill. And of course, from a
betting perspective, everyone's talking about
the line movement, what's the narratives, and it's Patty Mahomes,
and Golver say Eagle team has played nobody. Have you settled in on your pick yet?
I have. I love Philadelphia. I love Philadelphia in the conference championship game.
Even with the injury to Brock Purdy, I did not think that would be a close game. It was not a
close game. I don't think this could be a close game. I think this could be a blood or at least
by 10 to 14. Here's where it comes down to line of scrimmage. I think Pat Mahomes is not 100
I think the pressure that Philadelphia will put on him will be too much for him to handle.
And Philadelphia can score.
Philadelphia can score.
Kansas City gives up a ton of yards.
Listen, I like Philly and I like them big.
When it comes to breaking it down the game from a betting perspective, you mentioned the trenches.
Yeah.
Philly far and away is the best offensive line in the league.
I think outside of San Francisco, which I think last week, last game proof, Philly's there.
Yeah, right?
I've never seen both sides of the trenches this dominant.
But we're falling in love with,
which is why I love talking to you,
the sports radio narrative.
Exactly.
Mahomes being the best,
Philly playing no one.
Have you bought into that storyline for a second?
Or if you not,
you've allowed it,
you've allowed yourself to stay on Philly.
From a betting perspective,
the reason I love Philadelphia here is I would have loved them if the line
was six, six and a half.
The line is one,
one and a half could be pick a,
I mean, it's moved a little bit.
I like Philadelphia at least by a touchdown.
They are the superior team.
They have been all year.
If Patrick Mahomes was 100%.
I may be having questions, but he's not.
He's not 100%.
And again, Casey's defense is not that great.
And again, you know, I don't want to go into this,
but, you know, Cincinnati really probably should have won that game.
Casey's a fantastic team.
Right.
I really just think when you look at the line of scrimmage,
you look at the offense, you look at the defense,
it's hard for me to like Casey in this game.
Now, we know Andy Reid off a buy is vicious.
Yeah, exactly.
Coaching-wise, you probably give the edge to read in his staff.
Is there anything from a coaching perspective that is given you cause for concern
to take anything less on the Eagle side, maybe prop-p-wise or anything?
I mean, I do think there will be a lot of points scored.
Do you leaning over?
Yeah, I will do that.
I'm going to lead on the over.
But what I will say here is that I think this game will be closer than it would be if it was a one week.
You know, this was week 12 to 13.
Right.
I think Philadelphia by at least two touchdowns, I really do.
I think because of that, it'll be a closer game.
But the lines one, two, at that point, give me Philadelphia.
Now you've been to several radio rows in your past experience when one team or one group of radio row people,
are on one team more than the other.
To your memory, do you remember that working out well?
Because I always like to say the public.
But when it comes to the whole sports broadcasting world,
do you like to ask around?
I do.
Check the temp.
Listen, I think if you like Casey,
you like Patrick Mahomes,
you think he's closer to 100% than some people think.
You look at Andy Reid.
You look at their track record.
I think it does mean something for a team to be in their third Super Bowl.
that means they're used to media day.
They're used to the attention.
They're used to all that stuff.
That being said, with this team, with this game in particular,
my hope is that it's a close game.
With the spread being what it is,
like even if I think it won't be a close game,
it's a one two point spread.
Basically, people are thinking it's a pick-um.
I don't think it's that close.
Now, MVP, we haven't seen two non-quarterbacks
go back to back since the Oos,
I believe, 0-3-0-4.
Four.
Cup won it last year.
Thoughts on Hertz being the guy if it is still.
I'll be the quarterback.
I think I think Jalen Hurst would put up enough numbers.
You know, but yeah, I mean, I could see a situation where we have like a pick six or we have a crazy defensive play.
That being said, generally speaking, again, it's the media voting, right?
So, you know, we kind of have to place our votes in like late third quarter, like early fourth.
I like the quarterback.
looking at the fun props.
Yeah.
Philly special happened, Aras.
A Super Bowl, I believe on our shop Fandle, it's plus $2,200 for a non-quarterback to throw a touchdown.
What are our thoughts on another rabbit out of the half from Syrian?
As sort of like a late kind of game play, I don't think it's going to happen.
Obviously, not the same coach and things of that nature.
I don't think that that happens.
I love those props, by the way.
From a writer's perspective, you got the Kelsey Bowl.
Yes.
You got Andy Reid versus X team.
What do you think the most juicy storyline is here?
By the way, Kelsey's mom who has been here a couple of times on the road talking to the media,
showing up at the opening night with some cookies.
I love that.
I love that storyline.
And I love Andy Reid.
I'm from Los Angeles.
He's from Los Angeles.
We can't forget about that.
Can't forget.
Right.
So I love those two things.
But the Kelsey brothers, by the way, they're made for this moment.
They have their own podcast.
They have a career host or Hall of Fame.
playing career. Those guys are fantastic.
Now, get you out here with this. I would love your
keys to the game for those out there listening.
This is on the herd feet. So this is going to a lot.
It's going to a lot of listeners.
Let's convince anyone out there
who's on, they might be on Philly, but they also might be on KC.
What do you think the keys to the game are for the Eagles to fly?
Really, it's the line of scrimmage.
It's the pressure you're going to put on Patrick Mahomes.
I mean, look what they did to Brock Purdy.
I mean, Brock Purdy was looking like the second coming.
Tom Brady, this and the other.
Right.
Listen, he got hurt, but that's because of the pressure.
I do believe Patrick Momes will get pressured.
I don't want him to get knocked out of the game that that would be terrible.
But they're going to put pressure on the quarterback,
line of scrimmage, defense, line of scrimmage on the offensive side of the ball.
Philadelphia could in this game run for more than six yards of carry.
And if that happens, it's going to be a long night for Casey.
Again, Alex, well, line of scrimmage, we're getting very simplistic here.
Love defense, love the line of scrimmage.
It's Philadelphia, and I don't think it's close.
Don't you love that Hertz is the son of a coach and he doesn't care how he wins.
He just wants to win.
We'll get you out here with a Fandual ad real quick.
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