The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Coaching Carousel, Best Candidates For Alabama, Patriots, Chargers, Commanders, Falcons

Episode Date: January 12, 2024

Colin breaks down the craziest coaching carousel in years! He picks his favorite candidates for the job openings in Alabama (4:00), New England (5:45), Los Angeles (7:45), and Washington (8:30). He also chooses his favorite landing spot for Bill Belichick (9:15) and identifies a dark horse candidate for the Atlanta Falcons job (11:00). Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network, joins Colin for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice for the NFL Wild Card weekend! 16:15 - Browns vs. Texans 19:00 - Chiefs vs. Dolphins 21:30 - Packers vs. Cowboys 23:45 - Rams vs. Lions 26:15 - Eagles vs. Bucs 27:45 - Bills vs. Steelers (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements.) Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates! #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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terms and responsible gaming resources. All right, everybody, welcome in, Chad Millman. Gonna come up with Sharper Square, the CCO of the Action Network in about 10 minutes. So, you know, I talk a lot and speculate a lot about who I would hire for all these college and NFL jobs. Two sources confirmed to me a couple of days ago that Greg Byrne, the very sharp athletic director at Alabama, had been monitoring and doing some diligence on Washington Husky coach Kalin DeBore since September. That does not mean Kalin DeBore is going to get the job, but two different sources.

None of my sources are agents trying to promote people. It's not where my sources are, said that Greg Byrne was under the understanding that Nick Saban in the next couple of years could be moving, could be retiring, and that he wanted to do, like all athletic directors, have a list, and that Kalin DeBore was near the very top of it. I would have, if I was Greg Byrne called Sark first, reportedly he did. Sark said no. I would have said no. I think Texas is a great job and a great place to live. But I think Kalyn DeBoer is on a short list of who I would have hired next. I have been told if Kalin was offered the job, he would accept the job.

But, you know, a lot of these things all go through Jimmy Sexton the agent, and he's going to put one candidate against the other. And you look up, and pretty quick, you, instead of making $8 million, you're making $9.7 million and you get an extra year. So there's a lot of gamesmanship behind this. Jimmy Sexton is a central figure on all these hires. He represents all the biggest names. But my sources were excellent on Kalin DeBore, and he is now the betting favorite to get the job. He is a better coach than Dan Lannning.

Dan Lannning is a tremendous recruiter. Some of that is simply Oregon's collective. Spearheaded by Phil Knight has more money than anybody else in the Pac-12's collective. So they do a really good job. cleaning up on West Coast recruiting. And he inherited Mario Cristobal's recruits. Mario as a game coach, as a recruiter, top-notch. So Lanning really hasn't proven to me over the course of time that he can win with his own guys.

He can't beat Kalin DeBore with his own guys. He's 0 for three. And I like Dan Lanning. But DeBore's the better coach. So I suspect if Kalin DeBore doesn't get the job or does, he's one of the top two candidates. Again, I would have called Sark first, and then it would be Kaelin de Boer and Dabo Sweeney. Those would be my top candidates. Now, in terms of the NFL, where do I think the perfect landing spot for each of the jobs is? Well, let's start with New England, because Belichick's the legend.

I think they have to hire an offensive coach with no connection to New England. Gerard Mayo, linebacker coach for the Patriots, Belichick's system is all. knows. Mike Vrable, former Patriot, again, he couldn't get the offense right in Tennessee. The defense at New England is okay. It's not great. It's okay. What you need is to do sort of what the Detroit Lions did. You've got to bring in the top personnel guy in the market they did from the Rams. Then you bring in a new coach. Then you get top coordinators. And you just bring in a new worldview. So I think Ben Johnson would be an excellent hire for New England. He has no connection. He has no to all the New England people. He's an offensive guy. My guess is he may give Mack Jones

another year, trade down. You could get a bevy of picks because I think New England has many issues. I think if you get the quarterback right, it doesn't solve a lot of your problems. So he may, Ben Johnson may just say, hey, you know, we got the third pick. Let's get the third best quarterback. I can say him trading down six or seven spots, getting a Michael Pennix or a Boe-Nix and five other picks. New England needs lots and lots of pieces. They need two receivers. They need to get another tight end, another pass rusher. They were light on corners at the end of last year. They don't really have a number one running back, tight-end wide receiver. There's a lot of work and a quarterback. So Ben Johnson, to me, if I was Robert Kraft, feels like, and you've built

so much equity up with your fan base, if Ben doesn't work, you go out and get another guy. You know, when you're the Red Sox, when you're the Celtics, when you're the Patriots in New England, you don't have to hit on every coach. If it misses, you get another try, getting their stab at it. Your fan base is not selling their season ticket. So Ben Johnson, Patriots, works for me. Jim Harbor, the Chargers, works for me. The Chargers. need a face of the franchise. Justin Herbert is very reluctant. He quarterbacks, doesn't want to be a star, doesn't have any interest, kind of hides, and that's okay. He has no interest getting caught up on social media and advertisements. He'll do one or two subway commercials, but I think Jim Harbaugh

gives the Chargers a much-needed face of the franchise. I think he's the best coach on the market, and because they've gone with assistant coaches multiple times, I don't think Ben Johnson has the Gravitas or the fit needed. So Sean McVeigh's in the same building, you got to go big. You got to go big. Harbaugh the Chargers. If I was Washington, I'd be very interested in Mike Vrable. I would prefer offensive coaches, but they have a ton of cap space in Washington. Mike Vrable knows the league. He could go buy an offense. Draft a quarterback with that early and then go buy an offense and upgrade your defense. Vrable to Washington, they would be a significantly better team tomorrow. They've already got a couple of good de-linemen up front

between the cap space and Mike's ability to draft and personnel. Plus, he's not Harbaugh or Belichick where he demands that he has control of personnel. He'd like a say. He doesn't need to have final say. So I think Ben Johnson to the Patriots, Harbaugh to the Chargers, and Mike Vrable able to Washington is what works for me. Bill Belichick, where? Well, it wouldn't be my first pick, but I think Philadelphia, if they lose to the Buccaneers, is a very interesting landing spot. He would not get ultimate power because Howie Roseman runs the show. So Belichick could want power. He would not get ultimate power over Howie Roseman. And when the other jobs dry up, Belichick, who still wants to coach, is not going to have the leverage or the say he would have

if he was the top candidate. He's not. Harbaugh is. And Mike Frable is. And Ben Johnson, for a lot of teams, is. So I think Philadelphia, with Howie Rosebin running personnel for Belichick, the weakness of the Eagles right now is the back end of their defense. Belichick's the best ever at drafting and developing corners and safeties and linebackers. He's great at that. Then no offense, especially skill people. They've already got their quarterback. They've got some culture. They're not a desperate franchise. Bill Belichick moves to the NFC, Philadelphia, if Nick Sariani can't beat Tampa. My feeling is they will, and that will save his job, but they are reeling and falling off a cliff. And Philadelphia has shown they're not impulsive. They just have high standards. There's a difference.

You know, Andy Reid was there for, I think, like 14 years. Chip Kelly was there three. Doug Peterson was there, I think, four, five, four and a half five. So they're not impulsive. They're not Carolina. But they are impatient with people who are mediocre or struggle. So that would put Belichick in Philadelphia, potentially. I don't know what the best fit for Atlanta is. I will tell you, I think Kalin DeBore in the NFL works for me. Kailen DeBore, his temperament, his ability to elevate offense, You know, draft Michael Pennix. Go down to Atlanta with those top seven offensive line. Great running back. Great young receiver. Good tight end. The defense needs to be cleaned up.

But I could see Atlanta drafting, maybe reaching a little for Michael Pennix. I think Kalin DeBore has to be considered for Atlanta. I think he's that good of a coach. Not all college coaches struggle. I've been told about Kalin DeBore. Temperament A plus. IQ AA-A-A-plus. Doesn't love to recruit.

That's the one knock on him as a college coach. Doesn't love to recruit. So if I was Kalin-de-Bore and I was given the opportunity of NFL or Alabama, NFL is very interesting to me. I mean, it's a better league than college football. It's got a better coaching pension. You don't have to deal with the nonsense of the transfer portal, crazy donors and boosters, NCAA. I would just say as a wild card, keep your eye on DeBoer with the Atlanta Falcons.

Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.

Listen to Superhuman on the IHard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show.

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Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking.

What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jette. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84's big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack all day, but just so y'all know.

I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you for finishing that sentence. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history.

Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Off another winning week, three and two, blazing five. For the record, 13 to the last 15 weeks, or is it 14 of 16, I was 500 or better, 63% after my disastrous, opening two weeks. So we had a very good season of Blazing Five, Sharper Square, Chad Millman, CCO Action Network, all odds provided by Draft Kings. You know, the game that I talked myself, you and McIntyre talked me out of was the Texans. And so, you know, the numbers, it did feel like a Colts play. But one of the reasons I think that the consumers, fans, had one of their best years ever. Because increasingly over the last two years, it has gotten so quarterback-centric.

Last year, seven of seven playoff teams in the NFC had offensive coaches. This year, it's 11 of 14, was 12 of 14 for most of the season. And I think C.J. Stroud, listening, watching those who either cover him or watch him or judge his film, I think we're looking at a deep ball thrower that is one of the best in the league. Accuracy, seeing the field. So I know the Browns have a better roster, but Joe Flacco's story has actually been better than his quarterbacking. His passer rating has been 90. The story's great. His quarterback plays been okay. I would take CJ Stroud at home plus two and a half. Don't think they have the roster. I know rookie quarterbacks don't do well in the playoffs, but I think we're looking at a special player,

sharper square. Yeah, the way you're describing it is similar to how wise guys have been describing C.J. Stroud is that he's Neo from the Matrix, right? There's something about him that is unicorn-esque, and he defies all the expectations. He breaks all the models. He changes the rules for what we expect. We shouldn't want to bet on a rookie coach with a rookie quarterback, against the best defense in the NFL in the playoffs, and yet that's what we want to do.

And if you break this game down a little bit further, the Texans were six and three at home this year, six and two playing with C.J. Stroud, one of those games he missed. It happened to be the game in which Joe Flacco and Amari Cooper had a career day against the Texans in Houston. When he was at home, C.J. Stroud threw for 2,500 yards. he threw for seven yard no nine yards per completion through for 17 touchdowns when the Cleveland Brown's defense was on the road they gave up 30 points a game they had eight road games

nine holding games in those eight road games they gave up 112 more points than they did in the nine games at home everything about their defense is different when they're on the road so the wise guys are on the Texans at two and a half. This game actually opened it to two, got that down to one and a half. The public came in and wrote it back up to three. Wise guys took the three,

now it's settled the two and a half. Personally, I'm waiting, hoping that it gets back to three sometime before kickoff. A lot of lines have been moving aggressively before kickoff, so I'm hoping it gets back to three, but the wise guys are with you, Colin. Okay, we're

not getting the best of the number, not even close. But the Chiefs minus four and a half. I think, you know, it's all better off. Zero degrees. I mean, Tua under like 40 degrees has been a different quarterback. Tua in December and January is a 500 quarterback. He's a Hawaiian kid who plays in Miami and then in Alabama. This is a whole.

He's just not, it's just like taking a surfer and saying, here's Anchorage. Take your shirt off. Good luck. It's just different. So I think I also think the chiefs rested people at home. They're used to it. It's just a weather advantage. I would take the chiefs to cover.

The number was at like one and a half at one point two. So it's not the best of the number. But I think I'd still take chiefs sharper square. Well, it's square at four and a half because of what you just said. Look, if it was chiefs one and a half, it was chiefs two, two and a half, even chiefs three, then the wise guys were playing the Chiefs. But as soon as it got to three and a half, and then all of a sudden it's a four and four and a half,

you're just playing a bad number. And long term, you might win this weekend, but long term it's not the right play, right? And so there's a couple things that have made this number run. I think, one, the weather. People already believe the narrative that the dolphins can't play in the cold. Two, the injuries that the dolphins have suffered,

suffer defensively, I don't know how they're going to rush the passer. Are they only going to be able to rush the passer by blitzing? And if you blitz, you don't win against Patrick Mahomes. But here's the flip side, and here's why the wise guys like the dolphins in this spot. One, these aren't the chiefs of years past, right? They really don't have any reliable downfield targets. So the dolphins can bracket Travis Kelsey coming off the line at tight end, double-team him. And then you've basically put Jalen Ramsey on Rishie Rice and you've taken away all the weapons that Patrick Mahomes has. And the flip side is the Chief's defense is better than anything Patrick Mahomes has ever played with. The Dolphins, what's their MO? While they're a great

downfield passing team, they're a really great running team. Don't forget, Mike McDaniels, he's a running game coordinator, right? Rahim Mostard, limited practice. I would expect him to play. Devon A-chan, brilliant out of the backfielders are running back this year. I think this will be a closer game than people think. So that's why the wise guys are taking the four and a half. Personally, I took the under 44 and a half. I'm not taking a side in this game.

Okay, Packers plus seven and a half would be the side at Dallas. Dallas is going to score points. Joe Barry's defense has been a sieve most of the year. But Green Bay is a live dog. Four different receivers I like. Good tied-in. Jordan loved playing well. If Dallas went seven and a half for a Green Bay team,

I mean, if I told you they scored 27, you'd be like, yeah, I can see that. I mean, Joe Barry's defense looked good against Chicago. It's not good. So I think it's a 33, 27, 3328 fun game to watch. Seven and a half feels way too heavy. I'll take Green Bay Sharper Square. Totally nailed it. Wise guys are all over Green Bay here.

It's really interesting because this number probably, should be power rated at six. The line should be about six for this game. You have two defenses that you say Joe Barry and the Packers defense is very good, but look, the Cowboys defense gets more credit than it deserves. It does. It's pass rushes middle of the road. You've got Micah Parsons, who's, you know, an all pro had more sacks this year than he's ever had. And you've got a defensive secondary with George Blan, who had more pick sixes than ever. led the league in interceptions, between those two spectrums, it's a lot of sizzle, not a lot of steak.

And so this is a pass rush that is middling at best. So I wouldn't expect them to be a team that puts Jordan Love on his heels. And by the way, they play a lot of man. Jordan Love's passer rating is 13 points higher against man that it is against zone. And what you're doing against Jordan Love right now, don't forget, Dak Prescott led the league in touchdown passes. Jordan Love was number two. Jordan Love, since November, has just been lights out, elite as a quarterback.

And I think it speaks to a coaching advantage for the Packers, Matt LaFleur, just a better coach than Mike McCarthy. We've seen it. Mike McCarthy is not great in late game situations. He is not great in managing the clock. Very good chance the Cowboys put themselves in a very bad position with bad decision-making. Late in the game, 100% agree with you. Yeah, this is the easy one. Rams plus the points, three and a half at Lions was four at one point.

I get a coaching advantage, a quarterback advantage, a health advantage. And I think people are forgetting just how good the Rams draft was. Their first three picks, a left guard, a defensive tackle who should be the rookie of the year defensively, an outside linebacker who is relentless. And in the fifth round, they got the steal of the entire draft in Pooka and Akua. Their special teams are dubious. So that's what scares me. I don't think they win the Super Bowl.

But it's a healthy team, coach quarterback upgrade, and they have young players. We all know Puka, but they have nailed this draft. This is a team runs the ball, can throw it deep, can rush the passer. They're not a great team. They're a little like Detroit. They can score a lot. You can beat them over the top. But there's no way.

I'm giving over your field goal to the Rams. The Rams could easily win this game. Rams plus three and a half, sharper square. Totally right. It's another live dog, by the way. If you're putting together a money-line parlay, you could do worse than putting together a parlay with the Rams and the Packers.

Because I agree with you 100%. The wise guys agree with you as well. They're going to be on the Rams at three and a half. They did bet it down from four, almost immediately on Sunday night. It was the first game that the wise guys started pounding when the wild card games were announced, and you didn't even mention, Colin,

Kyron Williams. This has been a different team since Kairn Williams came back from injury. Matthew Stafford, when's the last time? Matthew Stafford wasn't sort of the focal point of the offense. Didn't throw for 4,000 yards this year, played in every game, but this team was accelerating towards the playoffs when Kyron Williams came back. Great coaching season by Sean McVeigh.

It's curious to me that you think he's, that much better of a coach than Dan Campbell. I don't see the difference in this game being on the sidelines. To me, the real difference might end up being the fact that Sam Leporta isn't playing. Because he's a guy who this past season, second most first down receptions on the Lions, finish the season with the most receptions ever for a tight end, tied for the most touchdown receptions. I think the books are discounting how important he is to the Lions.

Jared Goff's comfort. This is a line game. If the Eagles are minus three and a half, I probably go bucks, but I think it's a close 27, 24 game. I'll take the Eagles minus two and a half, much better personnel. I mean, Tampa down the stretch, maybe Carolina a couple times. I think, you know, it's a little like the Joe Flacco story. The story is better than the reality. I don't think Tampa's very good.

They don't have really a home field advantage. Half that stadium will be Eagles fans. I'd take it two and a half the numbers to me a Philly number uh sharper square it's totally sharp if you're playing two and a half if it's three and a half the wise guys are going to play the bucks that's it's it like that's how it's going to go so check your local listings figure out what you want the number to be and play the half point on either side the greatest advantage that the bucks really have could be in the middle of the field with kate otton if you want to be taking a player prop you might want to think about playing his

over reception yards, keep it under, say, 23, 24, if you can find that. But the other advantage has been Baker-Mayfield and Mike Evans this year. You know, Mike Evans tied for the league lead in touchdown receptions. But if it's going to be terrible weather and there's going to be weather all up and down throughout the country, then, and it might be torrential rain there, that's going to limit Baker's ability to get the ball downfield to Mike Evans. So it's a really, really tricky game. to bet. If you have to pick aside, you got to play the number. And finally, the Bill's game could be moved. There's so much snow. Buffalo's a much better team. T.J. Watch's not playing. I, Mike Tomlin getting 10 in crappy weather. It's like,

that's a stayaway game for me. Talk me into the side the wise guys like. Well, look, the wise guys are sort of thinking the same thing as you, right? Don't forget. This game opened at 7.5. It lasted for about 30 seconds and got that up immediately to 9.5.10. I unfortunately, and the sucker who looked at it on Tuesday and was like, screw it. I don't care what the number is. The bills are going to destroy this team. I bet it at minus 10. And then 48 hours later, I'm getting reports of the winter apocalypse coming into Western New York. So that scares me quite a bit. But if not for the weather, I would tell you, yeah, you take the freaking bills and you eat the number and you don't care because the Steelers forget about the fact that they're going to have a first playoff game quarterback in Mason Rudolph, which is never a good scenario. C.J. Stroud accepted. Without T.J. Watt, this is just a different team in terms of they're a bad team. So you cannot bet on the Steelers if they're not going to have TJ Watt.

The problem is the weather, which is such a mystery and X-Factor right now. If you haven't bet it yet, don't bet it. And finally, before we let you go, we'll bring in you on for a few more weeks. All the coaching changes are interesting. You're closer to the New England part of the country. I have said I would clean it out. I would go Ben Johnson. I would consider trading down and getting – they need so many things on offense.

They need two receivers, two tight ends, a better left tackle. I mean, I could argue quarterback. They need everything. And I think if you could get Bow Nicks at 12, trade down to 12 and get four or five more picks, I'd love to see Mack Jones with an offensive-minded coach, Ben Johnson. That's the fit for me. I like Braybill, but he couldn't get the offense right in Tennessee. McVeigh would struggle rebuilding this offense in two years.

So would Shanahan. They just don't have any players. So I would just say, hey, listen, we're just going to go Ben Johnson. We're going to go buy an offense. The defense has some players. Is there, when you look at all these openings, is there, for instance, would you give Pete Carroll another shot? Yes. Okay.

Now, look, I don't think Pete Carroll's ready to quit. don't forget at his at his press conference the other day he was acting like he was getting ready to go back into the room start prepping for the draft get to minning camps and get into training camp and like play another season with gino smith and by the way he just had two winning seasons with gino smith he's the guy who first recognized that russell wilson might have been cooked and made the hard decisions to jettison russle wilson and take the heat for that like If I'm David Tepper and I'm already not proving myself to be a very good owner, and I've got a bad rep, and I've made bad decisions, and I'm firing my GMs,

and I'm throwing drinks at fans, and I'm forcing my team to draft Bryce Young. I go out and get Pete Carroll, and he teaches me how to be a football owner and also how to enjoy the experience of having a football team. What do you make of the Atlanta job? I threw out, I'll throw it. So before this in my preamble, I talked about coaches. I said, two sources told me this week that Alabama A.D. Greg Byrne has been watching Kalin DeBore for two, three months.

And he is the betting favorite now. So I had two good sources on that. If he doesn't get the Bama job, I would consider the Atlanta Falcons and Kalin DeBore. he has kind of an NFL temperament. They have good offensive pieces. Oh, lines, top six or seven. Good offensive pieces. He knows pennics and Bo Nicks better than anybody.

He's faced Bo Nicks three times. He's had penics. Those guys are not top six, seven picks. So he would know where to go on that. He would get the quarterback right. The offense is ready to go. The division's wonky. And he is a detail maven.

He is a brilliant detail guy. That's my like, what, huh, wait, Kalin DeBoer to the Falcons. I don't like it. So that's my take. Okay. I don't like. I'm not like, look, if you want to get an offensive guy in there, obviously,

but I would want to get a guy who is going to be able to figure out who has had the coaching experience in the NFL. As much as Kalin DeBore is a genius in what he has done, in college. It is a rough transition. Pete Carroll is the exception, not the rule. And we've seen how well certain coaches who have been coordinators at the NFL level with a certain type of experience have done if we're talking about Shanahan, if we're talking about Stefansky, if we're talking about O'Connell, right? Even Brian Daibor, you know, at Buffalo was the Buffalo Bill's offensive coordinator. So give me a guy who has been a guy who has been.

been running a system at a high level in the NFL. And then I also feel like the Falcons, as good as their offensive line is, and the right side of their offensive line could be as good as any in the NFL. And when they were all healthy earlier in the year, the Falcons running to the right were better than any team. And that was a surefire bet was to bet on the Falcons being able to run to the right. I don't know if they're going to be able to keep all those pieces, right? They don't have any quarterbacking. And sure, you can say in their draft slot, do they want to get Bo Nix? Do they want to get Michael Pennix? Do they want to go trade for Justin Fields? And what are you going to have to give up to get Justin Fields? Well, you have to give up a second round player and an important piece of your

offensive line. So I think there's interesting scenarios there. I don't want a college coach in my team if I'm an Atlanta Falcons fan. Finally, Belichick, where should he go? That's really interesting. In my heart of hearts, I would love to see Belichick doing TV. I think he'd be amazing at it. But look, he's 14 games away. Can you imagine Belichick with the Chargers turning that defense into something that doesn't collapse at the end of every game and ruin what could be an amazing career for Justin Herbert, an amazing career for Keenan Allen? Like, he's good enough offensively, obviously. We saw how he developed Tom Brady over those years. Tom Brady's a different cat, right?

He is a true unicorn. We can agree he's the greatest of all time. What he did for himself, separate from Bill Belichick, turned him into the greatest ever. But what Bill Belichick could teach Justin Herbert about recognizing coverages could just make him a better quarterback. You and I both agree. Like Herbert, he didn't regress, but he didn't reach the next level this year, a lot of injuries, there is too much talent on that team being wasted. I'd love to see Bill Belichick

coaching a team that has historically underachieved when always having an amazing roster. All right, Chad. Cross our fingers. Sharper Square Action Network, all odds provided by Draft Kings, buddy. Good seniors, as always. Dude, hold on. Hold on. I need to give you some stats. Because we went through a 48-hour cycle. Nick Sabin, Pete Carroll, Bill Belich. check. These are legendary coaches. There have been 48 NFL and college football title games since 2000. They coached in 22 of them. Forty-six percent of the overall title games in pro and college football they coached in. And if we're going to talk about betting, these guys deserve their own wing, 55 percent against the spread in their careers combined. But here is my

favorite stat, okay? You and I talk about this all the time. You want to fade big favorites, teams that are a touchdown or more. Doesn't matter who they are. We're doing it this week. We're going to fade the Cowboys at seven and a half, right? These guys broke every single rule when it comes to betting big favorites. Bill Belichick, 54% against the spread as a big favorite, or more. Nick Saban, 56% against the spread. Pete Carroll, 55% in college, 53% in the pros. As favorites of seven or more combined, these guys were 55%. You got to win 52.3 to be in the money. You win 55%. You are a world-class gambler. If you had spent $100 just betting on these guys, you would be up $5,000.

So what does that mean when 13 of the last 15 weeks I hit 63%? What does that mean? What kind of gambler am I? Colin, your world class at everything. You don't need me to tell you that. What it really means is if you had taken all of your money and just started betting your blazing five. You'd be so rich. You know what, though? Is that I still consider myself a square, which I am because I'm not a professional, and I still have a lot of bad picks.

For instance, I had Atlanta last week. That was terrible. So did I. But everyone did. Like, that wasn't terrible. That was just the right side. And look, it's so funny. we did this contest for the favorites for my podcast in which we had 12,000 people sign up

and we gave away $120,000 in prize money. And there was a season long pick-up contest. You picked five games against the spread every single week. And top place got $40,000. Second place got $10. Third place got five. And then we had week to week we were giving away money, right? So first place, $40,000.

he made a commitment to himself that no matter what happened in the last week, as right as the side was, as good as the number was, he was not going to bet Carolina, he was not going to bet Atlanta. He said to himself, I am not losing $40,000 on the Carolina Panthers and the Atlanta Falcons. And the guys who came in second and third, they both had the Atlanta Falcons and the Carolina Panthers. So you're not wrong, but sometimes it's just not right. Good seeing you, buddy. See, buddy.

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