The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Cowboys Win Ugly, Giants “A Quarterback Away”, Sharp or Square - NFL Week 4 Bets

Episode Date: September 27, 2024

Colin reacts to the Dallas Cowboys ugly win over the New York Giants on Thursday Night Football! He breaks down why things aren’t hopeless for the Giants, why they are a quarterback away from being competitive, why the Giants would be far better than the Cowboys if they traded quarterbacks and why the Giants are in prime position to draft their quarterback of the future next year (3:00). Then Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network, joins Colin for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice week 4 of the NFL season! 23:30 - Jets vs Broncos 25:30 - Steelers vs Colts 28:15 - Bears vs Rams 31:00 - Packers vs Vikings 33:15 - Seahawks vs Lions 35:00 - Bill vs Ravens 41:45 - Commanders vs Cardinals 45:30 - Jaguars vs Texans 46:30 - Chargers vs Chiefs (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements.) Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates!  #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.

Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.

Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Diana Maria Riva,

and on my new podcast, How Hard Can It Be? I call on my Gen X squad from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate Midlife's most fantastic BS. Unfiltered conversations from night sweats to fupas to scheduling sex. Wait, what sex? Is it just me, or does every woman my age, want to look at Pinterest instead of having sex sometimes? They say we can't.

polish a turd, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter. Listen to How Hard Can It Be with Deanna Maria Riva on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. The story I've told myself can then shape my behavior, and that can lead me to sabotage the possibility of connection. This Mental Health Awareness Month, tune into the podcast deeply well with Debbie Brown. If you've been searching for a soft place to land while doing the work to become whole. This podcast is for you to hear more. Listen to deeply well with Debbie Brown from

the Black Effect Podcast Network on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. If you're watching the latest season of the Real House Vice of Atlanta, you already know there's a lot to break down. Gorsha accusing Kelly of sleeping

with a merry man. They hold K. Michelle back from fighting Drew. Pinky has financial issues. On the podcast, reality with the King, I, Carlos King, recap the biggest moments from your favorite reality shows, including the Real House Wise franchise, the drama, the alliances, M&T,

everybody's talking about. To hear this and more, listen to Reality with the King on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. The volume. Football seasons here, there's only one place to go for tickets, and that is Game Time.

You know I love Game Time. They have a new feature called Game Time picks makes getting tickets for your favorite live events easier. It filters out the fluff to show you only incredible deals on great seats so you don't have to waste time searching through thousands of tickets. You want to go to a football game or a concert. Just click on the event. You want to attend and game time gives you a seat preview and offers you the super deal. So I get the best bang for my buck and that's what I'm looking for. Game time also has the lowest price guarantee or they'll credit you 110% of the difference. So take the guesswork out of buying tickets with game time. Right. Download the

GameTime app doesn't take long, create an account. Use my code, the redeem code, Colin, C-O-L-I-N for $20 off your first purchase. C-O-L-I-N. Terms apply. Download game time today. What time is it? Game time. All right, little instant reaction on the Cowboys, 2015 when God, that was ugly. Dallas had 11 penalties. You know, I wanted to start with the New York Giants because if I said there's a team in the state of New York, Brian Dable's on the offensive side, single terries, one of the running backs, good left tackle, serviceable O-line, one great weapon, really strong defensive front. No, that's not the Buffalo Bills. That's the Giants.

And if you gave Josh Allen to the Giants, we would talk about them in the Super Bowl bubble. The Giants have a lot of components that Super Bowl teams have outside a quarterback. They need to draft a running back. They need more juice in the backfield, which the bills did for years. until they drafted James Cook. They had Devin Singletary Who, who just doesn't have a lot of breakaway speed. But for years, you know,

once they got Stefan Diggs, it was good defensive front, capable coach, Dable in the room, Singletary it back, good left tackle, serviceable O-line, excellent defensive front,

one great weapon. So I don't think the Giants are hopeless. They just, Brian Dable is coaching his butt off. I mean, Daniel Jones tonight, they dominate time of possession, with no run game and an average quarterback below average. They literally dominate time of possession.

Daniel Jones goes 29 to 40 until the very end didn't have an interception, no touchdowns. He's not throwing interceptions anymore. And they go against Dallas with no deep down the field threat. They're getting the ball to neighbors. He had 12 catches. But the Giants with no run game and a mediocre quarterback, dominate time of possession against Dak Prescott, pretty good quarterback. And Mike McCarthy, a Super Bowl winning coach. I think Daibald is, you know, he would never win, like, even honorable

mention coach of the year, but because their record won't be good. But it's not like the Giants are hopeless. They're just hopeless at quarterback. And so that's where an owner interfered. And a general manager and a coach are doing the best they can, but they're a little bit trapped because, you know, they're going to have dead cat money if they move off Daniel Jones. He is serviceable now. He could certainly on the market, somebody would come after him. He's serviceable. He probably wouldn't be good elsewhere because he wouldn't have neighbors and he wouldn't have Daible.

But there's pieces of the giants that Super Bowl teams have. Really good defensively up front, above average left tackle, great weapon, dable on the offensive side, if they had the quarterback right. So people look at the Giants and think they're hopeless. If it was a great quarterback class, this is a six-win team, five-win team, you'd get one of them. It's not. There's a couple of guys. Even the Georgia quarterback now with Georgia's O-line beat up looks pretty average, right?

Like against Kentucky couldn't move the ball. Quinn Ewers may be number one. Cam Ward, I like those two. Shoulder Sanders worries me a little, you know, I wish he would be a little more chill. but he can play. So you'll have three or four quarterbacks in the first round. They probably have to draft one. If I was a Giants, I would draft one.

Because I don't think they have a ton of needs. You can get running backs. I was just talking to a general manager last night. History tells you, analytics tell you the running backs. You can get your running backs third, fourth, fifth, six rounds. Don't draft them in the first two rounds unless you get like a Sequin or an Adrian Peterson or a Z. You know, you don't need to.

So it's, you know, Giants will draft a quarterback. They considered it this year. and, you know, if the kids, you know, the offensive line now is more than capable, but Brian Dable's excellent. He's doing a great job to dominate time of possession. And until the end, again, Daniel Jones didn't have an interception more than capable. I mean, the guy threw for, you know, 200 and some 75, 280 yards with really no deep balls and no run game. They just got to get the quarterback right. And again, Quinn Ewers is an NFL quarterback. Shadur Sanders is back from Georgia and Cam Ward.

You're going to have four first round quarterbacks. I think Riley Leonard, late first, second. He's a little wild. You know, great athlete, big size, not great in the accuracy. Can you teach him to do that? You know, NFL people probably could. Josh Allen was wild. People still like Anthony Richardson, and he is 49% completion percentage.

So I know you think that the Giants, I know JMA probably thinks all is lost with the Giants. They just got to get the quarterback right. dable, left tackle, neighbors, good defensive front, they got pieces. They got pieces. The Dallas Cowboys, meanwhile, what was 11 penalties? Jesus, if you took C.D. Lamb out of this team, there is nothing there. I mean, there's just, their fullback is like a weapon.

You know, I like their field goal kicker. You miss one at the end. damn it. But, you know, neither team really had to run game tonight. I just think, you know, again, let's talk about this. Oh, if the New York Giants hit on a quarterback next year. Let's say the Patriots aren't going to draft the quarterback because they have Drake May. Carolina probably would, right?

Tennessee, if they're bad, probably would, although I think they figure out a way to win four or five, six games. But a lot of the bad teams have their quarterbacks, right? They're going to give them a shot. So the Giants win five games. You know, they're not going to beat Dallas, five or six wins. They'll probably have the fifth sixth pick. And a lot of the bad teams just got their quarterback. So they're going to get one of these quarterbacks.

I like their future. I like Daimel more than Mike McCarthy. I like the Giants defensive line more than Dallas. I like their left tackle more than Dallas. They both have good weapons. Owner, I'll take the Giants, I guess. The Giants just need a quarterback and pick up a running back in the fourth or fifth round. They've got a lot of components. Dallas is kind of trapped.

They're paying CD a fortune. They'll pay Micah, who I like, I don't love, a fortune. They're paying DAC a fortune. Owner, vain, more about, you know, getting attention than and being remarkably interesting and talked about more than I think really winning titles, despite what he says. their offensive line is just okay, no juice in the backfield, average a tight end, very cD lamb, and he's great, but very cd lamb-centric. I don't see this great future, and they're stuck with Dak, who's good, B-plus. It's like having Kirk Cousins in his prime. It's good, B-plus.

You wouldn't get to the playoffs. But if the Giants next year, let's say they have the fourth pick in the draft, and, you know, Travis Hunter from Colorado goes number one. and let's say somebody likes Cam Ward. He goes to and the Giants move up a spot, give up some draft picks, and they get Quinn Ewers, and he's good. Brian Dable is really good with quarterbacks. He's made Daniel Jones now that he has one weapon

and a more serviceable O line capable. Not special, capable. So it's like who would have the better future? If you got Quinn Ewers or back, and you establish pretty quickly, guy can play, A little bumpy for sure. I can play. Whose future do you like?

Dabers, dable, weapons. You can get a running back every year. Just draft them. They're out there. I don't know. I know Dallas dominates this series, and I know everybody thinks, you know, ooh, Dallas, Dax.

You know, the star in the helmet is very influential. But, you know, you're stuck with McCarthy, at least for the rest of this year, 11 penalties. He's always been penalty plagued. I mean, tonight, Mike has heard, Demarcus Lawrence banged up. I don't know.

Maybe I'm being just overly negative. Laker fans feel the same way, but I said this day on FS1. You know, family owned and operated just felt better 20 years ago. I think now you can have a deli like that, but in tech, I don't want a family owned and operated tech giant. You know, maybe that's what Larry Ellison has with Oracle. Maybe that's it. But by and large, I like the staying cronkey of the world. I like, you know, the Allen family in Seattle, York family in San Francisco.

Big money. Something beyond just the team. I don't think Dallas's future is bright. I really don't. And it's not a shot at Dak. I mean, God, if you put Daniel Jones on the Cowboys and Dak on the Giants, Giants are a playoff team. Absolutely.

Cowboys are bad, bad. I mean, you wouldn't even have to get a great quarterback with Daible and the Giants' defensive front and neighbors and their left tackle. You wouldn't need a great quarterback. You'd need Dak. You'd be a playoff team every year. Hell, Eli Manning wasn't a great regular season quarterback, but he was great. Always arrived, always healthy, always playing, two-minute drill, and good in the playoffs. Think about this.

DAC is 24 and 4 against Washington and the New York Giants. That's not going to continue. Davele's getting his quarterback next year. Washington has there. It was like Big Ben for years, eight on Cincinnati and Cleveland. Then Burrough showed up, Baker showed up, and didn't feel the same. And so when you get that eight, nine-year window with a big franchise, a Dallas or a Pittsburgh, and you have the lesser halves or the have-nots in your division,

and you're just dominating it for like nine years, you've got to get multiple playoff wins. You got to show up in a conference championship. You got to show up in a Super Bowl. Pittsburgh did it. You know, Pittsburgh, Tomlin, they get to a couple of Super Bowls. Okay?

They beat in Arizona. They beat Seattle. They got theirs. It didn't end like you'd like in Pittsburgh, but they got theirs when Cincinnati and Cleveland were, you know, not great, didn't have star quarterbacks. Well, Washington and New York, since Eli left, have been a mess.

What's Dallas have to show for it? 24 and 4. It's just 2-0 every year. Nothing to show for it. They beat the New York Giants last year by 72 combined points. The Cowboys did it. Tonight, they needed a guy who can kick long-field goals. So I, and Davele's getting his guy in this draft.

They're going to have a top six-seven pick, and there's four quarterbacks. And Travis Hunter's going to be one of the top guys taken. Will Johnson, that corner for Michigan, is going to be one of the top guys taken. So there's a tackle at Texas price. going to be one of those guys taken. There's a defensive tackle for Kentucky's probably going to be one of those guys taken. Giants are getting a quarterback. Maybe the second choice for Dable, but they're getting somebody. So is that too negative? I just, I don't know. I, I, you know, DAC has over 40% of his wins on the Giants and Washington. But now that Jaden Daniels is cooking,

and he looks like he can really play. Now that James, he's, Daniels is cooking and the Eagles are always going to have players with Harry Roseman. I think the days of getting fat on Washington and the Giants are over. And the Giants are going to get in our quarterback next year. And Daible's really good with quarterbacks. This was not Daible's quarterback. He wouldn't have drafted him. He's not his guy.

They didn't want to give him the extension. Don't blame Daible for this. That's upstairs. That's Mara. He'll get the quarterback he wants next year. Dable knows quarterbacks. He'll have the influence. He'll have the call with Joe Shane, the GM.

They'll get somebody. Cam Ward can play in the NFL, Quinn Ewers can play, Shadour can play, a little bit too much personality for anybody can play, and back at Georgia. So that's four, that's four guys. And somebody will emerge over the next six to seven weeks. And I know it's easy to beat up on teams like the New York Giants right now, but I see a lot of good pieces.

With Dallas, I see a lot of big contracts. And one great player in Cedley Lamb, that's all I see. Blazing 5 tomorrow on FS1. Let's listen to Chad Millman, Sharper Square. TD, Tuddy, taking it to the house, in for six. Whatever you call a touchdown, one thing's for sure. TDs matter more at Draft King Sportsbook, an official sports betting partner of the NFL.

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I don't have referendums or declarations very often, but officially I will never bet Trevor Lawrence again for the rest of my adult life. And I'm going to stick with that one. The number of times I have made those kinds of declarations and then the very next week, gone on to bet the exact team or player I said I would never bet again, including, by the way, last week when I bet the Carolina Panthers, because Andy Dalton was the quarterback, after I had sworn off the Carolina Panthers. So be careful what you say, because you might have to walk it back.

All right, this is an interesting week. So I usually feel first couple of weeks, I'm kind of feeling it out. I never used to feel that way, but because nobody plays anybody in preseason, fewer padded practices. I kind of feel like the Jetson week one offensively are awful. Then all of a sudden you watch them and you're like, wow, they lead the NFL in third down percentage. Like stuff happens fast because either Sean McVe, fewer padded practices. I'm not going to play any starters.

But I do feel like I have, I kind of feel like I have, I got my feet beneath me on the league. But this is an instructive moment. And I'll tell you, I want to start with this because part of why I like doing Sharper Square, I like teaching myself stuff and the audience. So I really liked the Jets early in the week at minus six and a half. I think it's a bad spot for a rookie quarterback, traveling, going back. I get a veteran extra rest. This is a bad spot for Bo Nix.

I thought Tampa I picked him in that week. That was a good spot. And with rookie quarterbacks, it's a lot of where you land and how the schedule looks. Same with rookie coaches, New England on a Thursday, night, bad spot-off and overtime game. So I liked the Jets a lot. And now it's seven and a half. And I don't bet teams. I bet numbers in this league. So now I like Denver. And just because of a point swing. So just as a point of instruction, how do the wise guys view that game? Well, they're going to bet Denver at seven and a half. And that's sort of what they've been

waiting for. What you're doing naturally because you've been watching football and thinking about this for a long time is looking at the number seven. It's a key number, right? And key numbers mean that's the number, that's the delta between the two scores that a lot of games land on in the NFL 7, 4, 3, 2, with the extra point changes, the past past couple years, those are now the key numbers, and those are the ones that wise guys want to get on the right side of. So you liked New York at six and a half because it was on the right side

of that key number of seven. You like Denver on the seven and a half because now you're on the right side of seven for Denver. So that is the delta, by the way, and that is the very, very thin line between success and failure. We're talking about a half a point. in your logic. But that is the difference between winning and losing in so many of these games. So another point I'm going to reflect on this, because this week I don't have as strong as a conviction on games, but I'm fascinated by why a number is.

So about once a week, there is a number I don't understand. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Will Ferrell's Big Money Players and IHart Podcasts presents soccer moms. So I'm Leanne. Yeah. This is my best friend, Janet. Hey.

And we have. been joined at the hips since high school. Absolutely. Now a redacted amount of years later, we're still joined at the hip. Just a little bit bigger hips, wider. This is a podcast. We're recording it as we tailgate our youth soccer games

in the back of my Honda Odyssey. With all the snacks and drink. Sidebar. Why did you get hard seltzer instead of beer? Oh, they had a bogo. Well, then you got it. Do you want a white collar or something here? Just take it. What are y'all doing? Microphones? Are you making a rap album? Oh, I would.

Come on. Can you imagine? I would buy it. Cut through the defense like a hot knife through sponge cake. That sounds delicious. Oh, you're lucky. I'm not a drug addict. You're lucky I'm not an alcoholic. You're lucky I'm not a killer.

I love this team and I'm really trying to be a figure in their lives that they can rely on. Oh. Listen to soccer moms on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, fam? This Isaiah Thomas. And I'm CJ Toledon. in our podcast Point Game is about defining the odds. Like LeBron heading into the playoffs without Luca and Austin Reed.

And finding ways to win no matter what. He's the smartest player to ever play the game. His IQ is at a level that we've never seen before. And he knows without Luca and Austin Reeves, I got to manipulate the game. We get a player's perspective on the challenges of the playoffs. I think Joker's going to be exhausted this series because when they don't have Rudy in the lineup,

he has to really guard guys like Nas Reed. the guard Julius Randall. And then he has to give us everything he gives us on the night-to-night basis on offense. And when IT's friends stop by, like Quentin Richardson, we dive into some playoff history too. Steve Nash will get that thing. That man, hell get the flying. He run up the court, licking his fingers why he got the ball. Like, after you go through a training camp with that, Isaiah, you figure it out real quick.

Get your ass up and down the court, and you're going to get the ball. So listen to Point Game on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey everyone, it's Ryder Strong and Wilfredel from PodMeets World. And now the Podmeets Twirled podcast. We're two men who were completely clueless to reality TV, who now have covered Dancing with the Stars, traitors, and we're gearing up for the season finale of Survivor. So yeah, now we're experts. I know we annoyed a lot of our listeners by our severe lack of survivor knowledge. That is the point of the show. I'm just going to remind you, I have watched some Survivor. I obviously haven't watched enough.

Did people not like it? Like what was... Yeah. Just because we... Yeah. We'll be recapping the big conclusion in the 50th season from the final attempts at gameplay

to the desperate pleas of finalists to a bunch of... Ha, hoo. Ha ha, ooh. Again, we are experts. So make sure to tune into PodMeets Twirled for all our Survivor 50 takes. Listen to PodMeets Twirled

on the IHeard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Real talent is defined by what people can do. not where they learn to do it. So by stopping at the education section of a resume, you might throw away the perfect hire. Skills first hiring helps you see talent others miss, like more than 70 million stars,

skilled through alternative routes. Let their story unfold and gain a competitive advantage because hiring managers who start with skills are 60% more likely to find a successful hire. Hire Skills First. Learn why at tear the paper ceiling.org. Brought to you by Opportunity at Work and the Ad Council. Last week it was Seattle and Miami.

I had a winning week. I didn't get the number. Skyler Thompson against Mike McDonald's defense. That felt like a blowout to me. It's a hard place to play for Tua. Miami doesn't play well West or North usually. They're just a different team. So the Steelers minus one and a half going to be four and O, best defense arguably in the league, against a quarterback who is in a T-bow level, 49% completion percentage. I talked to an executive this week. He said his tapes as bad as a thrower as anybody he remembers. So I look at it and I think, that number doesn't make sense. It should be Steelers minus two, two and a half to three. I would take Pittsburgh, but the market's confusing me. Explain the line.

The market is confusing you because the Steelers are undefeated. They opened as two-point favorites, and the line has moved in the direction of the Indianapolis cults. And what's more, what you can see in a lot of places and most operators offer this, Draft Kings does as well, you can usually see the betting tickets and the betting money. Tickets means that the squares are coming in on a side. Money means that the professionals are coming in and aside. The delta on this game is squares on the Steelers, money on the professionals. The line usually moves, I mean money on the cults, professionals on the cults. The line usually moves in the direction of the money. That tells you what the professionals are doing. The reason, that's happening in this game is because, A, Mike Tomlin is historically great as a road underdog and historically bad as a road favorite. They are also not believing in Justin Fields right now. They love the Steelers defense. They know if the Steelers get up that TJ Watt is going to slam the door closed and that's when he's amazing. But it's not like they're dominating team.

And if you even look at that Chargers game, it's 10-10 with a one-legged Justin Herbert, and it doesn't become a Steelers win until Justin Herbert is out of the game. Now they're going on the road in a game that should probably be pick based on the talent levels. And the strength of the Colts is not going to be Anthony Richardson throwing or trying to evade T.J. Watt. it's going to be what this offensive line, which is one of the top-rated run blocking and top-rated pass-blocking lines in the league, can do to get Jonathan Taylor free in the open field. So that's why the wise guys like this matchup. They're getting a home underdog and an overvalued favorite. Okay, let's get into my picks. This line initially, I felt like Chicago was the play. It's now up to plus three. It's a coach quarterback league. It wasn't, the Rams won this game. basically on special teams.

But now they have both their tackles back. The interior offensive line is now played together for three games. So have these receivers. So the Niners were missing elements. But I don't trust Iber Fluse or Shane Waldron. I'm not giving up a field goal to just a winning culture to one that's trying to find their way. Bears are getting better, but I'll play the number Rams plus three sharper square.

Yeah, at three, it's sort of in the middle. We just talked about key numbers. If this game gets up for three and a half, the wise guys will play the Rams, but it opened at one. And the wise guys played the one, the one and a half, the two, the two and a half, and half, and now it's at three. And their logic here is very much by low, sell high, right? You just talked about last week with four minutes and 57 seconds left in that game

against the Niners. The Rams had a 5% chance to win that game. They needed every single thing to go right in that game, and it did. The Niners could not advance the ball, deeper into the ram's side of the field. They missed a 55-yard field goal. The Rams scored in three straight plays. The next series, the 49ers can't advance the ball. They punt. The Rams get a great punt return. They get three penalties on one play, including a 28-yard pass interference. They win the game. The Bears, meanwhile, couldn't have played worse. Caleb Williams was confusing Colts defenders for Bears receivers.

They were truly terrible. They had no running game, right? 25 seconds left in the third quarter. They're still down 7 to 3 when the Colts scored a touchdown to go 14 to 3. Five minutes left in that game, they're still down 14 to 9. they had a chance to keep winning that game. Their pass rush is elite. Their defense is getting better and better.

You have to assume in this game that the bears are not as bad as they were, which is what the wise guys think, and the Rams cannot replicate that kind of luck no matter who's back on the field. All that said, your statement about Sean McVeigh and Matthew Stafford versus Iber Fluse

and Caleb Williams is the one reason. I've talked about this game all week. It is the one reason why I have heard wise guys saying, I'm kind of hesitating. Those who are in are in, but those who are hesitating are hesitating because of that exact reason.

All right, I'm going to take the Packers minus two and a half at home against the Vikings. The Vikings are playing really well. But they've always been a little better at home than on the road. Also, Green Bay is winning without Jordan Love. the team is gaining confidence. Jordan Love is a massive step up. I also think Green Bay this year, for the first time in recent memory, is kind of a ball hawking

defense that's creating turnovers. Sam Darnold historically will give you opportunities. So at minus two and a half, Green Bay at home, I don't think people quite understand the coaching job winning with Malik Willis and looking good with Malik Willis. These aren't fluke wins. I would swallow the two and a half take Green Bay Sharper Square. Yeah, this is a really, tricky one because there is just universal split on this one. It went to two. It was at two. It got up to

two and a half. It got up to three. The wise guys took the three, bet it down to two and a half. You'll see it bouncing around back and forth. Everybody has an opinion on this game and they are very strongly on Minnesota, very strongly on green bat. I can't give you a definitive answer. You could be right. Wise guys could be right. What's interesting in this game, I agree with you. Matt LaFleur has been a genius in this scenario, and you have to credit what he has done with Malik Willis. You also have to credit Kevin O'Connell what he has done with Sam Darnold to make him look like an MVP-worthy-worthy-worthy quarterback to get his team undefeated. You have to credit Brian Flores, whose team is number one defensively in DVOA and make Brock Purdy and C.J. Stroud look mediocre to bad in two upsets for this team against quarterbacks who are really good against the Blitz. Then there's one stat that keeps sticking in my craw.

Teams that are short home favorites in divisional games, 45% against the spread since 2016. So I am completely torn on this game. I lean Minnesota. I'm hoping it gets back to three. I like Seattle plus three and a half at the Lions. Lions are missing their top center, Byron Murphy, the really, really good defensive tackle, number one pick for the Seahawks,

has elevated a defensive front. I think one of the things about Seattle, I think they're one of the best coach teams in the league right now on the defensive side. I don't quite feel like they finally figured out their offense last week with Detroit, 35 carries, Montgomery, and Gibbs. But you're not going to run like that on Seattle. Seattle has been playmakers. Detroit's always susceptible if you can block Hutchinson.

Detroit's always susceptible to big plays. Three and a half's too big of a number. Gino completes 74% of his throws. This is a highly competent offense. Efficient, competent, and occasionally explosive. I don't trust the lions here. Sharper Square. Yeah, wise guys still like the Seahawks here.

If you can get the hook, that's what they're playing. The line has moved in their direction, even though it's Detroit at home inside when they are historically great against the spread. It went from four and a half down to four. Now it's at three and a half. All the things you said, there is some sort of hesitation because who of the Seahawks really beaten, right? Right. Like they beat up Skyler Thompson and Tim Boyle.

They beat up Jacoby Brissette. And by the way, the past played tough in that game. And if you look at the spread, it was a push. They beat up Bo Nix in his first game. And by the way, the Broncos came back at the end of that game and it was a push. So I'm not fully bought in on the Seahawks. They have been one of those teams. Professional betters have liked since before the season began.

The number play is the Seahawks. But it's not like a slam dunk for me. And finally, there are games sometimes I just like to watch. Bill's getting two and a half of the Ravens. Bill's in a short week. I said this. The Ravens are a toe. away from just having one really bad loss

and crushing Dallas and beating the chiefs. I like Baltimore. They had to replace a coordinator and some offensive linemen. I think that stuff, especially on the O-line, takes time. I think the Ravens cover here, sharper square.

Totally sharp. Wise guys are on the Ravens. That's the play. It's scary, right? You're going to be betting against Josh, who is wicked right now and is now the odds on favorite to win the MVP after what he did to the Jags on Monday night. I mean, he was fierce, right? His passes were pinpoint. He was running

through the middle of that Jaguar's line. But I do think that the value is on Lamar Jackson, who's 21 and 7 as a short favorite or an underdog. It's a really good spot for the the Ravens. Their defensive backline against the rush, they're getting a little bit better. I think the big fear is like, what are they going to do when Josh Allen is scrambling and improvising? They haven't proven to be able to really defend against that right now. We saw the Cowboys come back, but Ravens are definitely the right side. Okay, we do this every week. I have a game. I just want your opinion. So the commanders plus three and a half at Arizona, commanders probably the side. but I will say this.

I don't think, and I've had this sourced, I don't think Kyler Murray watches a ton of film. I think he's just sort of an instinctive player that's really good. And I think he can be beaten by very good defensive coordinators or secondaries that manipulate him.

But against bad secondaries that you can coach up to certain levels, he can embarrass them. Commanders are not good in the back end. They're really, really bad on the back end. They're coming off a short week. Arizona's one of the, it's a little tougher to play there than people give it credit for. Niners and Rams will tell you Seahawks. It can be a tough place to play. Kyler plays very well at home. I know it's telling me to take the commanders.

Short week, rookie quarterback, tend to be high and low in spots. I think I'd like Arizona, but I know it's not the play. What are they telling you? It actually is the play. Your instincts are right. It's totally to the sharp play. You said something really smart off the top, which was because of the preseason and people not playing, players not playing as often as they have, what used to be sort of the week three get right spot for a lot of professional betterers, like that's when you've got two games to see what teams are like. You've got a pretty good read on what their system is and their style.

More importantly, you've got to read on the psychological makeup of betters so you know what the bookmakers are trying to lure the betters into doing, that's happening now after week three and into week four. And you have some key buy-low cell. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.

Listen to Superhuman on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm C.J. Toledano, and our podcast Point Game is about defying the odds. Like LeBron heading into the playoffs without Luca and Austin Reed.

And finding ways to win no matter what. He's the smartest player to ever play the game. His IQ is at a level that we've never seen before. And he knows. Without Luca and Austin Reeves, I got to manipulate the game. We get a player's perspective on the challenges of the playoffs. I think Joker's going to be exhausted this series

because when they don't have Rudy in the lineup, he has to really guard guys like Nasree. He has to guard Julius Randall. And then he has to give us everything he gives us on the night-to-night bases on offense. And when IT's friends stop by, like Quentin Richardson, we dive into some playoff history too. Steve Nash would get that thing.

That man, hell get the flying. He run up the court, licking his fingers, why he got the ball like, after you go through a training camp with that Isaiah, you figure it out real quick. Get your ass up and down the court, and you're going to get the ball. So listen to Point Game on the IHeart Radio app,

Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Will Ferrell's Big Money Players and IHeart Podcast presents soccer moms. So I'm Leanne. Yeah. This is my best friend, Janet. Hey. And we have been joined at the hips since high school.

Absolutely. Now a redacted amount of years later, we're still joined at the hip, just a little bit bigger hips. wider. This is a podcast we're recording it as we tailgate our youth soccer games in the back of my Honda Odyssey. With all the snacks and drink.

Sidebar. Why did you get hard seltzer instead of beer? Oh, they had a bogo. Well, then you got it. Do you want a white collar or something here? Just a heck it. What are y'all doing? Microphones? Are you making a rap album? Come on.

Can you move? I would buy it. Cutts through the defense like a hot knife through sponge cake. That sounds delicious. Oh, you're lucky. I'm not drug addict. You're lucky I'm not an alcoholic. You are. You're lucky I'm not a killer. I love this team and I'm really trying to be a figure in their lives that they can rely on. Oh.

Listen to soccer moms on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey everyone. It's Ryder Strong and Wilfredel from PodMeets World. And now the PodMeets Twirled podcast. We're two men who were completely clueless to reality TV, who now have covered Dancing with the stars. Traders. And we're gearing up for the season finale of Survivor. So yeah, now we're experts. I know we annoyed a lot of our listeners by our severe lack of survivor knowledge.

That is the point of the show. I'm just going to remind you. I have watched some Survivor. I obviously haven't watched enough. Did people not like it? Like what was just because we? Yeah. We'll be recapping the big conclusion of the 50th season from the final attempts at gameplay

to the desperate pleas of finalists to a bunch of. bunch of ha, who, ha, who. Again, we are experts. So make sure to tune into Pod Meets Twirled for all our Survivor 50 takes. Listen to PodMeets Twirled on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Real talent is defined by what people can do, not where they learn to do it. So by stopping at the education section of a resume, you might throw away the perfect hire. Skills first hiring helps you see talent others miss, like more than 70 million stars, skill through alternative routes. Let their story unfold and gain a competitive advantage

because hiring managers who start with skills are 60% more likely to find a successful hire. Higher skills first. Learn why at tear the paper ceiling.org. Brought to you by Opportunity at Work and the Ad Council. High spots this week. We talked about the Rams and the Bears. We're also talking about the Cardinals and the commanders. This is exactly, this line was five and a half before.

the commander's game against the Bengals. Twelve hours later, it was three and a half. That is because of what they did in prime time. You, of course, want to fade a rookie quarterback who goes bananas in prime time and then is on a short week going on the road against a team that actually, while their defense is not very good, has been playing a lot better than people are giving them credit for. They are a tough out. And this is a really good chance for them to get a win and to put themselves, you know, to have some momentum behind what they're doing as a relatively short home favorite.

So, yeah, the right side here is Arizona. Okay, so my instincts for right. Okay. Now there's a game, often an ugly one that I have missed completely that you think is a strong play. It's usually involving Carolina or some drag hole that I have to watch. some just egregiously gross oh it's just awful it's terrible it's so it's

I don't even like to talk about them like what asking you to do these things I could say to you yes you want to play the Jags against the Houston Texans okay so tell the audience the line it's Houston favored by six and a half right at home?

Houston is six and a half the reason I'm not going to tell you is because I do think this line could get to seven the Jags were so bad on Monday night. And because the Texans are becoming such a public team and again, education for people,

public teams are the ones that are so popular. They get an outsized number of bets and bookmakers know they can make them bigger favorites because people are going to bet them no matter what, right? You're talking about teams today. It's the Texans.

It's always the cowboys. It's always the Steelers. It's going to be the Eagles. It's going to be the chiefs, right? Now it's going to be the bills too. So you know, the number on the Texans is going to be a little bit higher. I think it might get to seven by Sunday.

If it gets there, you're going to see a lot of wise guys coming in. The truth is, Colin, you hit the games that I'm most excited about. The game that I'm most excited about is the Colts and the Steelers. That just, to me, feels like the right play on the right team. So the culture at home, and they're getting a point in a half. Yes. I want to play the home underdog in that spot. But actually, I don't want to play the Panthers this week at all.

Like, to me, it feels a little trappy. People do want to play the Panthers. They want to play Andy Dalton. They want to fade the Bengals. That one feels a little bit scary to me. I'm looking at my notes right now. But, like, we basically hit them all. Like, Arizona, Chicago.

The one I will say. And it's terrible. Los Angeles Chargers. Okay. Give people the line. the seven and a half point underdogs at home against the Chiefs. So the Chargers getting

with Olympi Justin Herbert and no offensive tackles seven and a half against KC. Maybe Olympi Justin Herbert or maybe Taylor Heineke. Like we don't even know, right? We don't know what it's going to be. But matchup-wise,

what the Chargers really want to do is run the ball. We've seen this with Jim Harbaugh. Like this is his gift, right? Jim Harbault, The reason he can come in and turn teams around so quickly is because he speaks to the primal nature of all football players, which is we're going to go beat the crap out of the opponent. And that is what he gets these guys to be good at really, really quickly. And he's got a predator natural gift for identifying offensive line talent.

So obviously there's challenges here because Joe Al is out, Rashan Slater is out. But I do think this team is going to be able to run the ball against the chief's day. defense that just hasn't been good against the run. And look, we saw that against the Falcons, right? When the Falcons had all of their alignment on the field, they were going to win that game going away by running Bijon Robinson. And then they had to completely change their game plan. So I do think the Chiefs are going to, or the Chargers are going to lean into the Chief's running game, or the Chiefs running defense, and try to keep this game the clock running and keep it low scoring. And you do get an advantage when you are playing a very large division.

Underdog and Patrick Mahomes because he's always a big favorite. Yeah. Has a harder time covering the spread when he's a big favorite. Chad Millman. All of our lines, draft kings, fingers crossed, good to see anybody. Good to see you, too. Always fingers crossed. Always.

The volume. Thanks so much for listening. If you've enjoyed the podcast, take a moment, rate and review. Another podcast from some S&S. Late Night Comedy Guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier.

This week, my guest, S&L's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged.

It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app,

Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Deanna Maria Riva, and on my new podcast, How Hard Can It Be? I call on my Gen X squad from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate Midlife's most fantastic BS. Unfiltered conversations from night sweats to futas to scheduling sex. Wait, what sex? Is it just me or does every woman my age want to look at Pinterest instead of having sex sometimes? They say we can't polish a turd, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter.

Listen to how hard can it be? Deanna Maria Riva on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. The story I've told myself can then shape my behavior, and that can lead me to sabotage the possibility of connection. This Mental Health Awareness Month, tune into the podcast Deeply Well with Debbie Brown. If you've been searching for a soft place to land while doing the work to become whole, this podcast is for you to hear more. Listen to Deeply Well with Debbie Brown from the Black Effect Podcast.

Podcast Network on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. If you're watching the latest season of the Real Housewives of Atlanta, you already know there's a lot to break down. Gorsha accusing Kelly of sleeping with a merry man. They holding Kay Michelle back from fighting Drew. Pinky has financial issues. On the podcast, Reality with the King, I, Carlos King, recap the biggest moments from your favorite reality shows, including the Real House Watch. franchise, the drama, the alliances, and the T everybody's talking about. To hear this and more, listen to Reality with the King on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. This is an IHart podcast.

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