The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - INSTANT REACTION: Ravens Hold Off Bengals In A “Quarterback Clinic”, TNF Is Actually GOOD, Sharp Or Square - NFL Week 10 Betting Advice!

Episode Date: November 8, 2024

Colin reacts to an incredible Thursday Night Football game in which the Ravens beat the Bengals 35-34! He breaks down the importance of high level quarterback play, why Thursday Night Football has actually become a GREAT product and why divisional rival games tend to be so close (3:00). Then, Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network and host of “The Favorites” podcast, joins Colin for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice for week 10 of the NFL slate. 21:30 - Bucs vs 49ers 24:00 - Cardinals vs Jets 26:30 - Broncos vs Chiefs 29:30 - Texans vs Lions 32:00 - Titans vs Chargers 40:30 - Rams vs Dolphins 43:30 - Bills vs Colts 47:00 - Steelers vs Commanders 51:00 - Saints vs Falcons (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements.) Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates!  #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.

Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.

Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast.

From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84 was big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s.

84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th.

You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifers Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to the Clifford show on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes,

follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to Learn the Hardway with your favorite therapist and host, Kear Games. This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing.

How many men carry a suit or armor? It signals to the world that you're not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen and learn the hard way on the IHard radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. The volume. All right, basketball season is here, and there's only one place to go for tickets, and you know where that is. Game Time. They have a new feature called Game Time Picks. Filters out the fluff to show you only incredible deals on great seats,

so you don't have to waste time searching through. thousands of tickets. When I want to go to a basketball game, football game, concert, comedy show, just click on the event. You want to attend. Game Time gives me a seat preview, offers me a great deal. I get the best bang for my buck. GameTime also has the lowest prices guaranteed, or they will credit you 110% the difference. So take the guesswork out of buying tickets with Game Time picks. Download their app, GameTime app, 90 seconds, create an account. Use the code, Colin. That's me, C-O-L-I-N, 20 bucks off your first purchase. Again, terms apply. Redeem Coates, Collins, C-O-L-I-N, 20 bucks off.

Download game time today. What time is it? Game time. All right. Instant reaction on the Baltimore win over Cincinnati, 35 to 34. Another great Thursday night football game. One of the best games of the year. This is, I had the Bengals plus six tonight for this very reason.

These are great rivals, two of the best quarterbacks on display. Defense is, you know, this is why Kansas City should be favored to win the AFC. those defenses need a ton of work. In fact, let's talk about going for two. I would have gone for two. Baltimore had scored on four straight drives. Defenses, you know, if you have an average defense, Cincinnati's defense, first half, a lot of energy,

guys are feeling great, they've got momentum, but eventually a bad defense gets more tired, it gets more beat up, you'll lose a couple of players who get banged up, and by the end of the game, you know, Cincinnati's defense, was gassed and they get exposed. A lot of defenses have a really good first quarter. A lot of defenses, you know, when they've got great energy, they're aggressive. Offenses and big games can be a little tight, restrictive, conservative, but over the course of a game, these are not great defenses, and both Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson just lit the defenses up. I would have gone for it.

First of all, I think aggressive wins. I'm usually a goal. for it. Teams that go to overtime generally historically don't play well the next week, the extra 15 snaps or whatever it is. So I think Zach Taylor made the right call. But, you know, I want to talk about something is one of the things the media does that really frustrates me that they don't consider how society adapts. They overreact to things. I could give you multiple examples. I was listening to a podcast recently and the guy was talking about, you know, 100 years ago, or, you know, or more, you know, people thought we were going to run out of food. But, you know, things happen. Fertilization, society adapts, technology adapts. And now more people die of obesity than starvation,

right? You know, I remember when I was a kid back in the late 80s, 87, 88, rural roads allowed you to go from 55 to 65 miles an hour. And now it's, it can be faster than that. But there was this, you know, sense from the media, it was car deaths, we're going to explode. And they did increase initially on rural roads. But over the course of time, there's technology advances and manufacturers make better cars and sturdier cars. And society adapts. And the media has to do a better job, in my opinion, of constantly overreacting to stuff. I'll give you another example. During COVID, college football media is like myocarditis. You can get it. an infection through a virus.

It's going to kill college football players. Well, first of all, on average, it's treatable. And on average, the person that gets myocarditis is in their mid-40s, not 19 to 20 years old, in elite shape. So again, it's the overreaction to things that either somebody writes a story in the media and then everybody jumps on board and copies it out of just apathy or laziness. Or they don't do their homework or they're just overreacting and not. considering there's just a lot of smart people out there, whether it's on the processing of food,

the creation of food, whether it's manufacturing better cars, whether it's safety measures and vaccines during COVID. People figure stuff out. And the reason I bring this up, we had another great Thursday night game. We've had multiple great Thursday night games. This is one of the best games of the year. Minnesota and the Rams was a good Thursday night game. San Francisco and Seattle. Tampa Bay Atlanta went to overtime. Fantastic game. As good as an NFC South game can get, Baker, Mayfield, and Kirk Cousin is showing off. I remember about four years ago, and the media was going through a weird time. There were some cultural changes. It's when the word woke started being used a lot. And, you know, it can be overused and it was overused, but it does exist. And the media was just on this thing, that Thursday night football, it was unfair to players. And it was like, I talked to NFL players. And they liked Thursday. night football. You didn't hit that week. It was a real light week of practice. And then, you know, you're off after the game until like the following Wednesday or Tuesday. So a lot of

guys, it's like a second buy. A lot of guys on the West Coast would go to Hawaii or Mexico. A lot of guys in the East Coast would go to the Bahamas. They treated it as a second by week. And so this idea that it was too much for NFL players, these are 25-year-old world-class athletes that spend six and seven figures. on their bodies. They've got great training staffs around them. They're going to be okay. And I think, again, today, did these teams look fatigued and tired? Did they look overwhelmed by playing a Thursday night football game? Of course not. And again, it's just, and I'm part of the media, and I've overreacted before, but I thought what you saw tonight, well, these Thursday night games,

they like to get these divisional rival games that are close. They don't have to travel too far on a Thursday. They want the game to be regional or divisional. And this was a perfect Thursday night game. Great quarterback play. Two teams that know each other. Two, you know, I mean, I think Zach Tater is a smart, clever offensive coach. And I think John Harbaugh is great. And the teams, you know, clearly Baltimore looked a little off early. But, you know, they adapt. They're pro athletes. I thought it was a classic illustration of basically Zach Taylor and Joe Burrow having to overcome a terrible defense. And I mean, Baltimore isn't great either, but through the years it has been pretty consistently solid. Now, the Ravens have really poured more money into their offense.

Lamar Jackson, Ronnie Stanley, they just went and got Deontay Johnson. So they're pouring more of the money in offense, which is where NFL teams should spend their money. But I never worry about Baltimore being cheap or trying to save a nickel here or there or Cincinnati. That's the Brown family's history. So I just feel like, you know, Joe Burrow, this is not the NBA. He's not going to demand a trade. But I do think he's been perpetually pissed this year because he's putting up numbers like tonight. I mean, Jamar Chase had 250 yards and three touchdowns.

I mean, they did everything they could possibly do. I thought there was a penalty, obviously in the two-point conversion that was uncalled, not called, which is unfortunate. And I, you know, I'm not going to blame that. Listen, when you give up the points and the yards that Cincinnati did tonight, you were hardly perfect. Officials can miss calls. And I've always thought in the NBA or in the NFL, at the end of games, officials are best served swallowing the whistle. I mean, one of the things I noticed in the NFL, and I'm sure you've notice this is over the course of the last eight to 10 to 12 years, the amount of contact that is allowed on the perimeter is insane. You could call pass interference on every play. And I think

maybe it's the Belichickian influence on the sport where, you know, the Patriots just, they were physical, they grabbed, they touched, they'd wear the same color gloves as the team they were playing's uniform. And they were just, it was constant conflict and touching. You're not going to call past interference in every play. And so the reasoned, and so there were, reality over time, it's been normalized on the edges that you just, you get a grab. Now, you can't put your arm around a guy, but you can call pass interference constantly in this league. And Baltimore was flagged for it tonight several times, personal fouls and pass interference. On a play like that, good luck on the road getting that call. And again, it's not like Cincinnati

played flawless football. Their defense was a mess. Their tackling was bad. I do love this about Lamar Jackson. And I've said this before and I'll say it again. The guy was two and I'm two 90 yards for touchdowns, trailed by 14 and the third. One of the things I love about Lamar, and this is certainly the case with a Josh Allen and to Patrick Mahomes, you just don't know when they're trailing. If you watch them play, they don't play any different when they're trailing and when they're leading. And I've always thought the line in this league, the difference between the haves and the

have-nots in quarterback play is the average quarterbacks in this league press when they're behind, when you know they have to throw, Gino Smith, good player, but they don't feel the same. You're watching Lamar Jackson, down by 14 at half, in the third quarter, excuse me, it doesn't matter. You can't tell. He doesn't care. Totally unaffected. Doesn't change his body language, his composure, his aggressiveness. He's just such a special all-time athlete. And this nonsense that he's not a pocket quarterback, which thankfully, people have moved away from that. He's exceptional. He does a really good job, too. He's got a little bit of a different throwing style. So did Philip Rivers. You know, some guys just have a little bit

of a different, you know, Justin Herbert looks like he could be the NFL logo. He's got that perfect stance. You know, like Jerry West was the NBA logo, the late Jerry West. Justin Herbert, if the NFL ever did a player logo, it would be a quarterback. And Justin Herbert literally could be the logo. He's got the perfect long stride. But a lot of these guys have kind of different deliveries. Aaron Rogers sometimes throws off his, he's not even on the ground. So Lamar's got a little bit of a different It's a little bit more of a flip. I think Kyler Murray's got one of the prettiest throws, throwing motions in the league.

But it just works. And he has an ability, Lamar has an ability to, I think it's body confidence that he can stare all over the field and then just in a quarter second suddenly look over to the sideline where they camp a guy

and make a beautiful throw of eight to 12 yards. He's just, he's really got a sense of composure and self-awareness and accuracy. And, you know, he and Joe Pearl, Joe Burrell put out of a clinic tonight. It was an absolute clinic from both quarterbacks. And again, these Thursday night football games, they're just fantastic. And the only thing I don't like about Thursday night football, two of the top five quarterbacks in the NFL won't play Sunday. And that's the downside to, you know, if you do Thursday night football and you do

Monday night football. So, you know, Monday night, Tua and Matt Stafford are playing. And Thursday night, it's Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrell. So four of probably the 12 best quarterbacks in the league are not playing Sunday. You know, so, you know, I can only take so much Will Levis. Sorry. That's the only knock to me on these Thursday night football games. Seven years ago, these games, six years ago, the games were awful. I mean, it was like you felt like you were getting Jacksonville and Steelers were wearing bumblebee uniforms. Now they, you know, they're putting up an almost every Thursday night football game this year. I think it's the best Thursday night schedule. You've got a star quarterback. Tonight you had two. And, uh, If you didn't enjoy that, I don't, you know, I like defense occasionally, but if you didn't enjoy that, like, it's not your, it's not your sport. That was just great. Great. Also, had Cincinnati plus six, I didn't know if I was going to win that at one point, but I don't think less of Baltimore because it's close. These division rival games, you get, you get four, five, six points. If you have a capable quarterback in a division rivalry game, take the points.

Joe Burrow is one of the, I think he's five and oh this year. as an underdog against the spread on the road. This year, Joe Burrow. He's a great, he's now 17 and 3 as Joe Burrow as a three-point or more underdog as an NFL quarterback. 17 and 3 now. So congratulations to those who followed me on Draft Kings. Now, let's play some sharper square.

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Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app,

Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media.

Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for Raw, filtered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose,

and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me, or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes. Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of Tontons and Wampas on the Ice Planet Hot.

or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do a little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast.

I'm Sam Jett. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84's big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack all day, but just so y'all know. I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack, so I'm starting to see that there's a through line.

We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Hard Way with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of mental health awareness month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking, Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark, Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it. And we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes about wins and losses.

Steve Burns, Dustin Ross, because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on Earth. Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. person. Join me, Keir Gaines, as we have real conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, Learn the Hardway. Open your free Our Heart Radio app,

search Learn the Hardway, and listen now. All right, I am feeling good about my picks this week. I've had a couple of weeks I like. I've also three of the last four weeks had good college bets, by the way, we don't do those here. Chad Millman, co-host of the favorites, all odds provided by Draft Kings. You don't get a freebie very often, but I feel like I'm getting one this week. Tampa Bay, short week, all beat up against the Niners team off a by, in a bad mood, Christian McCaffrey getting back.

I mean, all the things you'd want. Short week, overtime, other team off a buy. This feels like the rare, thank you, draft kings. I'll make the deposit. I'll buy some jet skis tonight. Sharper Square. Totally sharp. The wise guys have loved this one.

It was at five and a half, got up to six, got up to six and a half. Now it's settled in around six. I will not be surprised if this gets up to six and a half. What's interesting about this game is, you know, we talk all the time about the pro Joe split, right? The professionals on one side, the amateur is on another. Normally, what you get is the Joes, the amateurs, like the big, fancy favorite. In this case, the Joes have liked the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who have actually been winning amateurs, a lot of bets this season.

And because they look so good in overtime against the Chiefs and the Niners have struggled, the Joe's have been coming in on the box. And the wise guys, for your point, they like Christian McCaffrey coming back. They like the Niners coming off a buy. They like having to fade the bucks, traveling back home in a short week after overtime to play a really physical and healthy San Francisco team. And there's a couple trends that are worth looking at and a couple of matchups that are worth looking at. Number one, the past decade. Favorites on the road off of a buy, 60% against the spread.

favorites of five and a half or more off a buy on the road, 70% against the spread. What that tells you is that when a team is good and they're off the buy and they go on the road and their favorites, they tend to overperform. And then you got the matchup. Everyone loves this Bucks team, but they are terrible against the run. And if Christian McCaffrey is back, all of a sudden you've got a much bigger advantage against the weakest part of the Bucks defense. wise guys are with you, Simon. Simon. Wise guys are with you, Colin.

I was thinking about my BFF, Simon, 100% on the Niners. Another game I like a lot is Arizona Cardinals plus one. Now, usually a star quarterback with extra time to prepare would put me in a good mood. But I think extra time helps for excellent coaching staffs, you know, dynamic offenses in their prime. The Jets have an interim defensive coach. They're on their second play caller. There is no proof that extra time means anything to this team. And Arizona at home now getting a point, I think people, I know what you're thinking.

People are getting really high on Arizona. This team beat San Francisco and Santa Clara. They got really good offensive players. And this is getting to the point in the year when defensive players, I mean, the Jets defense isn't that good. It's just not that good. I'm going to take Arizona plus one, sharper square. All right. Well, it's square.

And let's not use the Niners win as a barometer of what this team is, right? Because the Niners in that game, they didn't have a kicker. They literally could not kick a field goal when they were in the red zone. They had to keep running it. And one of those times, even though they were ahead, their running back fumbled the ball, and it sent the Cardinals towards a win. in which they had about a 5% chance of winning the game in that exact moment.

The Cardinals have won three in a row. They're in first place in the AFC West, ahead of the Rams, ahead of the Seahawks, ahead of the Niners. There is a lot of glow on this team right now. And it is a team, to its credit, it has come back from double-digit downs in a couple of games, and then it destroyed a Bears team,

which you and I both know, like, they were primed to be destroyed. I know I listen to your show. I know how you feel about Ibrough Fluse. I know the stat you've been drumming about him on the road. I agree with you as a Bears fan. Terrible coach. That was the exact spot for the Cardinals to look dominant, right?

The Jets with a mini-buye getting healthier, no pressure on Aaron Rogers. I don't mean shoulders. I mean the Cardinals cannot get any pressure. They are the worst in the league. That is tailor-made. for Aaron Rogers to bring this team back down to Earth. The wise guys like the Jets.

The line is moved. The Jets were underdogs. The Jets are now favorites. Okay, you're not getting the best of the number. I like the Broncos seven and a half plus seven and a half against the Chiefs. So Kansas City short week overtime. Kansas City is not a team that blows people out. Denver, meanwhile, faced what teams do and they realize it's a tsunami.

Oh, let's go to Baltimore. and play an Angry Ravens team. They hammered last year the Niners, the Lions, like teams that were healthy at the time. Miami, going to Baltimore, shouldn't even count. It'd be just like not any other place in the league. Nobody, no team humiliates more teams than Baltimore in a bad mood at home. It doesn't matter.

San Francisco. I mean, McVeigh lost last year. I thought it was this best coach game of the year when they lost at Baltimore. I thought that was when I bought the Rams. It's like, oh, they didn't get crushed. Okay, so don't just wipe that away. Denver's not a terrible team. Kansas City is not a great team. Division rivals. One team's humiliated. One team on a short week in overtime. I thought it was a gift at nine. I still like Denver seven and a half, sharper square. It was a gift at nine. It was a gift at nine and a half at eight and a half. Seven and a half, that's where you stop. Take it at seven and a half. Do not take it at seven. of course the wise guys are going to be on a huge, and in this case seven is huge, division road underdog, those tend to favor in terms of ROI playing the underdog.

The Chiefs, when Patrick Mahomes is a favorite of three or more, he has a losing record against the spread. They're not the kind of team, and I know you've talked about this as well, they're not a blow-em-out team right now. Maybe they're going to get there with Deion. Andre Hopkins with Travis Kelsey getting more into the flow and them understanding who they are offensively now. But they are not there yet.

And in this 14-game win streak, they're beating teams by five or six points a game, right? So they are not the kind of team. And especially in the second half, they slow it down. They get leads in the first half and then they slow it down in the second half. The Broncos have a great defense. And you can say everything you just said about the Ravens, all the wise guys believe as well. They went on the road. They got throttled.

the first play of the game, Bo Nix throws an interception off of a receiver's hands, and everything sort of went wrong for them the rest of the day. But this is a team that continues to grind and play to the whistle and play to the end of the game. I know there's cliches, but in this case, they're true because Bo Nix is being treated as if he's a third or fourth year quarterback, not a first year quarterback. So the expectation is that the Broncos will stay in this game and keep the back door open, and the chiefs will allow them to keep the backdoor open. Also, one thing I would say, past 20 years, teams that are off of a 20-plus blowout loss,

which the Broncos are, 57% against spread. So there are times when I just don't think teams are going to play perfect. I'm getting three and a half Texans at home against the Lions. And Detroit has, this is not a game that you have circled as a Lions fan. You have big games coming up against, you know, in division teams. This is kind of one of those weird. Hey, we got to go on the road and play the Texans. For the Texans, they look at Detroit and think,

this is like playing the Chiefs. This is, we got to get right. Three and a half. I think you come out of a divisional game with Green Bay. You really are feeling it. I think Detroit's better, but the better team doesn't know is when. Sometimes it's the home team where you feel like there's real urgency to make a statement. I like the Texans plus three and a half here, Sharper Square.

Yeah, the numbers move from four and a half to three and a half. And I think that the wise guys are with you here, but three will be the tipping point. If it gets to three, the wise guys will come in on the Lions. And we've talked about this. The beauty of the Lions is that their strength is in their offensive line. And for lack of a better term, physical travels. in football. Yeah.

Right? Running backs can have a bad game depending on the surface. Quarterbacks can play better outdoors than indoors. Offensive lines, all you're doing

is lining up across the guy in front of you and beating him up. And the lions do that better than any offensive line in the league. I think that is why, you know,

last week, all the professional betters were all over the Packers against the Lions. They thought The lions are going to be outside. Jared Goff has a bulky ankle. This is the spot where you're going to fade a team that everybody had been making money on,

even as big favorites, because they thought we thought we'd see the letdown spot in a really physical game. It didn't happen. Like the physical travel. So I do worry about the Texans being able to out physical the lions, especially we don't know what's happening with Will Anderson. and in that Jets game against the Texans, when Will Anderson went out,

the Texans were dominating. As soon as he's out, the Jets took that game over. So it is, it's the right side. The wise guys are playing it. It's not my favorite, though. Here's a game where I understand the hook, and so people won't bet this side. But there are teams that I think get healthy or get right

and the market's not quite adjusted. I think the chargers are going to be a problem at this point forward. When you looked at that receiving court last week and all of a sudden, you're like, oh, it's not a huge weakness now. It's actually okay with the development of Quentin Johnston, Ladd-McConkey, Palmer, Disley, Hearst, J.K. Dobbins. You're like, oh, shit, they're kind of right now. I think they're going to start reeling off some kind of punishing dominant wins. Herbert now is healthy. I think the Chargers, even at 7 and a half, are a little undervalued.

I really do. I know it's not sharp. I would take the Chargers comfortably over the Titans for the record. When we've seen the Titans play good teams, it's fools gold. Like they can hang with bad teams. I've seen them overwhelmed together. against well-coached teams. I know it's square,

Chargers 7 and a half, what say you? Yeah, it's totally square. The only side to take here is the Titans. Either don't bet it or take the Titans. I'm not betting this game. I'm a huge Chargers backer. Last week, everybody was saying

the Browns are cresting. You got to get the Browns right now. James is back. And I looked at that game, and we talked about this on the favorite, several times because it made no sense to me. The Chargers were two-point favorites on the road. And if you break down that handicap,

chargers should have been two-point favorites on the road. They have the better quarterback who doesn't turn the ball over. They have a really good physical offensive line. We just talked about the Lions. I see the Chargers built in the same mold as the Lions as we build the next 12, 24, 36 months with what Harbaugh is trying to do there. I love this Chargers team.

I think seven and a half points is too high. There's too much quirkiness that can come into play in these games when the number is that high. And there's a hook involved. Let's talk about something really, really important. If you're ever injured, check out Morgan and Morgan to America's largest injury law firm. And they are there for you. Over 100 offices nationwide. Think about that.

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This is a paid advertisement. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. Yep, that's me. Clipper Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skisks.

hits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger.

So if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to The Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars. fan so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes. Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of taun tons and wampas on the ice planet hot, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the Iheart radio app, Apple

podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with a little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jek. And I'm Alex English.

Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because of crack. I'm doubly talking about crack all day. Yeah, yeah, literally. But just so y'all know. I mean, at this point,

this is the second episode where we've discussed, correct, so I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now, so. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people.

Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast,

Learn the Hardway with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of Mental Health Awareness Month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking, Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark.

Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it, and we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes a ball. wins and losses.

Steve Burns, Dustin Ross, because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on earth? Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Kear Gaines, is we have real

conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, learn the hard way. Open your free, our heart radio app. Search, learn the hard way, and listen now. Okay, here. There's a game, and I hate to do this because I really, really like the Rams and their young defense a lot.

It was plus two and a half, and I really liked Miami at two and a half. Now it's down to one. So I think it won I would take the Rams, but there's a game every week where I'm like, tell me what to bet. I really, I think the Rams are so talented defensively. defensively. They have not missed on a draft pick, a defensive draft pick in two years. One of their safeties is an undrafted rookie from Tennessee, the volunteers. He has four picks. The other kid from Miami is a pick six kid. I mean, like they're hitting on everybody

versus the two Florida State guys, young. I mean, everyone, they all, Kobe Turner from Wake Forest, they all are good. They're all better than their draft spot. I want to take the Rams so bad, but that number's moving around. It tells me the sharps were on Miami, right? The wise guys have been all over Miami. And I'll tell you, you know, you and I, when we did our Sunday show at ESPN, we always had a pick where we went against the wise guys and we called it the executive decision. And you just nailed the game that is the executive decision for me. I love the Rams. I feel like the Rams. I bet the Rams last week as favorites against the Seahawks, a miracle cover.

But Matthew Stafford, there are quarterbacks in the NFL. You think about, okay, it's the end of the game. I need this guy to get me the cover or I don't want to be against this guy if I bet against him. Matthew Stafford, Joe Burrow, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen,

those are the people that you don't want to be against. I don't want to be against Matthew Stafford. Ever, if I can get Matthew Stafford, basically at pick, at home, when his team was won three in a row. You mentioned verse, Brandon Fisk, the other guy from Florida State. He had a great game last week. And don't forget, Sean McVeigh, who I think is brilliant, obviously, it's not like, you know, I'm revealing a secret.

His offense, as magical as it is, as much as we talk about Cooper Cup and Puka Nakua and going downfield, it's a motion offense that is basically predicated on the running game. And Kyron Williams is a brilliant running back, probably a top five all around running back in the league right now. And that Miami Dolphins defense is not very good against the run. So I'm getting a physical team. The defense is up and coming. I love that defense. They've been lights out playmaking.

I'm with you. I don't see it. I don't see why the wise guys are on the dolphins. If you want to exact decision this, I'm with you 100. percent. Okay, you know I love the number four, bills minus four at the Colts. You know, if this is a division game, it's different. I do worry about this. Quarterbacks off concussions, Tua was better in the second game. Remember, the first game was Arizona. We talked about this. Okay, better in the second game. Joe Flacco, first game, pretty ugly. Now it's the second game. So it tells me you're not,

People now look at Buffalo and they look at the Colts and think, you know, Flacco's old and washed. No, old quarterback coming in second game. I love minus fours. I take favorites. Something tells me the Colts is really, really one of the better sharp sides of the week, sharper square. Huge sharp side this week. It was at four and a half for a hot minute, went to four, a lot of three and a halfs out there now.

The wise guys have been piling in on the Colts. Two different scenarios here, both of which the wise guys like the Colts 4.1. It's a buy low, sell high. The bills are 7 and 2. They just came off of a huge high profile win, 61-yard field goal division rival. They basically have the AFC locked up the first week in November. Huge, huge sell high situation. The Colts, big deal, Joe Flacco starting for Anthony Richardson, that gives us a better chance to win.

They go into Minnesota in prime time. They can't even get past the 20-yard line, right? They cannot score. So all of a sudden, you've got to buy low. So that's one scenario in which the wise guys feel like it's overinflated because of what happened in national television for the cult. And then you've got to look, the cults have a dominant run blocking unit. that is to the detriment of the bill's rush defense. So in a lot of different metrics, whether it's yards per play, yards or expected points on the rush,

total rushes of 10 plus yards, which is sort of an explosive metric, the Colts are top five. The bills are not very good defending against the run. So there is an advantage there. And the Colts rush defense has been getting much better. We saw that against the Vikings with growth. over Stewart and Brensen Buckner. So there is an opportunity here against what is the strength of the bill's defense or offense to stop them. So the wise guys are huge, huge fans of the culture.

Every week, there's a game I miss. It's usually egregiously bad to watch. Chad Millman, co-host of the favorites, all odds provided by draft kings. What's the game I miss? Does it include Jacksonville? Well, it doesn't this week. Normally it would, but, you know, with Mack Jones playing, I will say like the line jumped from about four to seven, seven and a half.

I still don't think that's enough. That's how bad most people think Mack Jones is. So I'm not even going to ask you to do anything with that game. I will say the wise guys have been on the Giants against the Panthers in the game in Munich. I won't ask you to talk about that game. I'm a little surprised. Like you brought up all the games that are most interesting to me. One game, there's two games we didn't discuss.

One is a little high profile. I'm surprised you to bring it up, which is the Steelers and the commanders. So every week there's a game I want to watch. I just go watch it. I think it's a fascinating game. There's an argument to be made that Steelers have the best defense in the league. They've really figured out, by the way,

how to use Russell Wilson. Like Greg Hosell told me today, I said, it reminds me a little of the Seattle Seahawks, power run, defensive culture, one too good way. weapons, a tough place to play at home. He goes, but that's exactly what the video tells you. It's a poor man Seahawks team. I kind of like Pittsburgh here, right? Getting points?

Yes, you do. What's scary is you can't get the three anymore, right? Because it was at three. When it got to three, the wise guys, they immediately bet the three. And it went down to two and a half. And it's just sort of sitting at two and a half. I would still play the two and a half. Two is a key number in the NFL now with all the extra points being missed or teams going for two more often. So I wouldn't be afraid of the two and a half. But this is really the best defense you just noted that Jaden Daniels has faced. Yeah. From two defense events who can really rush the passer.

And because Alex Highsmith was out for most of October, their rush metrics are not as high as they normally are. But he's been back and this is really a stellar defense. It's also a R-R-R-R-R-R-M-Tomlin spot. Yes. Mike Tomlin. A great under. He's the best underdog coach.

Burrough is the best underdog quarterback, I believe. Yes. And I believe Tomlin getting two and a half points here against Washington's the best underdog coach. Colin, the numbers back you up. The Mike Tomlin, 61% against a spread as a dog on the road in his career. He is the most profitable coach as an underdog against the spread. this generation. In the history of data that we have tracking all this stuff, going back about 20 years, the most profitable coach in this situation. Also, 25 and 5 straight up against rookie QBs.

Everyone is looking for the moment to sell the commanders because they've been so extraordinarily good. The Steelers off a buy with these two defensive ends and Mike Tomlin as the coach might be the time to do it. But I didn't give you the gross game. All right. Can I interest you in the New Orleans Saints plus three and a half against the Atlanta Falcons? No, you can't at all. We are playing the dead cat bounce. We have a team that has a new coach that got rid of the guy who, by all accounts,

and we've been hearing this for more than a year, they hated Dennis Allen. How many points are they getting? They're getting three and a half. They were, here's the thing. The Saints are getting three and a half. They were getting four. It's down to three and a half. So you know the wise guys are on them because the public is betting the Falcons.

So we got a pro Joe split here. This team played so badly last week, their most popular player, Cam Jordan, apologized on Twitter. And if you look at the games Derek Carr started, look, they've lost seven in a row. Four of those games are with Derrick Carr. One of those games, Kansas City, they lost 2613. But it was closer than the score. The other three games, they were by three points, two points, and one point, including one of these games against Atlanta. So I know, like, the receivers are out.

They just traded Latimore to the Marshall and Latimore, the cornerback, to the commanders. But this is the spot to back the Saints. You just got to hold your nose and do it. You might not bet them again the rest of the year. It's like, we bet the Panthers when Andy Dalton. came in because you knew there'd be some kind of change. Derek Carr, second game back, new coach, this is it. This is the whole ball of wax.

And this Atlanta team had generally been mediocre. Like, they're not blowing teams out. They're getting really lucky. It's a situation where the number is a little bit inflated because the Falcons have been doing so well and the public sentiment on the Saints is so low. so the wise guys are on the scenes. And the Marcus Lattermore trade, he wasn't playing anyway. So it's not like they're pulling out a guy who's used like pro bowl level corner.

He's been struggling. He's got a hamstring issue. So good stuff. With it. Do it. Do it. Come on. The volume.

Thanks so much for listening. If you've enjoyed the podcast, take a moment, rate and review. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends, me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform?

We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential.

Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at a Podcast. For 1979, that was a big moment for me.

big to me. I'm Sam Jay and I'm Alex English. Each episode we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it with our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important

year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me, Clivert Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey,

or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Cliford Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to The Cliford Show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network.

on TikTok. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to Learn the Hardway with your favorite therapist and host, Kear Games. This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that it's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing. How many men carry a suit or armor? It signals to the world that you're not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen to learn the hard way on the IHard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. This is an IHart podcast. Guaranteed human.