The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - NBA Finals Bets, Early NFL O/U’s with Chad Millman, Fake Q’s

Episode Date: June 2, 2022

First, Fake Questions, Real Answers (3:00), including if the Celtics should be the Finals favorites, how Steph winning 4 titles would differ from LeBron’s 4, the most underrated Finals of all-time. Then, The Action Network's Chad Millman and Colin discuss the best single bet for the Finals (12:00), which team the sharps are loading up on to win the series (15:00), if Steph could win Finals MVP (26:00). Then, Millman tells Colin if he’s Sharp or Square with his NFL Over/Unders for the Vikings (31:00), Cowboys (38:00), and Chiefs (40:00). Make sure you follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates and check out FanDuel for the best wagering and daily fantasy action! #herd  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.

Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.

Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win.

A win is a win. I don't care which I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifers Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes,

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From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84's big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians,

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Hi, everybody, and welcome in to our Thursday. Day Morning podcast. Now, Chad Milman, the best props, the best bets of the NBA finals is joining us in 10 minutes. But first, it's time for another edition of fake questions, real answers. There's stuff I want to talk about, but don't want to wait for you to ask me. Dear Colin, ESPN has metrics that say the Celtics have an 86% chance of beating the Warriors in the finals. What say you? Well, I said before the playoffs, there are no great teams, and that health could be the deciding factor. If Robert Williams, the center for the Celtic, stays healthy, that's a huge edge because he has not been healthy on a consistent basis.

Remember, he missed a game against Miami and Bam, Otabayu, averaging 10 points, scored 31. But the Warriors are not a team that scores a lot of points inside. No player averages on the Warriors currently over seven points a game inside while the Celtics have three players averaging eight. Translation, Boston will get more easy baskets in this series than the Warriors. That's why I think many of the games will be close. If Robert Williams is healthy, they'll get even fewer. So I think the size and the health of Robert Williams are two huge factors. I'll take Warriors in six.

I don't foresee any blowouts. It's hard to blow out a great defensive team like Boston. Dear Colin, if Steph wins four titles, is that the same as LeBron winning four titles? Well, I mean, I guess historically, that would be true. But these are two different arguments. LeBron is being argued as the greatest player ever. I think with Steph, you're arguing he could.

created the best basketball culture ever. Offball movement, three-ball shooting, constant in-motion offensively. LeBron has created briefly some cultures and then left them. Miami, Cleveland, twice. That's not what Steph's about. Steph has built the greatest basketball culture in the last, what, 20 years. And they both matter. Talent. with no culture is the Brooklyn Nets. Out in the first round the last two years. Good solid talent with great cultures, the Miami Heat. Got to a Game 7 and a Jimmy Butler jumper of getting to the NBA finals.

You need both. There's an argument, though. Culture trumps talent overall. And that's what Steph's all about. Dear Colin, what was the most underrated NBA final? of all time. Well, I'll give you two teams and two finals, the Chicago Bulls and the Utah Jazz in 1997 and 98. I think people sometimes forget how close those games were and often how Michael Jordan struggled to get his 30 plus points. Listen, the Bulls and the Jazz were both super

successful. I think Utah's arguably the best team to never win a championship, but the games were tight and low scoring. There were three games decided by four points or less. And then the 1998 finals were even closer. Five of the six games decided by five points or less. And a majority of games in both finals were simply decided by Michael Jordan hitting a big shot with one to two minutes left. The Utah Jazz in back-to-back finals, especially the second, gave the great Michael Jordan and that bull's offense fits. His shooting percentage dropped,

his efficiency dropped. And I think it was viewed as potentially a disaster for NBC. Small market, Utah Jazz, not a lot of glamour. It ended up being the highest-rated NBA finals ever.

David against Goliath, and if you asked Jordan privately, he would probably acknowledge the toughest finals are his life were those. Utah, Stockton, T. Bailey, the coach Jerry Sloan, Carl Malone, Brian Russell, a deep bench. They were a handful, much more than people romanticized this series to be about Michael in the shot. Back-to-back years, the Jazz gave the Bulls fits offensively. Dear Colin, what do you make of Aaron Donald saying he's at peace with possibly retiring

for the Rams. He's got three years left. He's not retiring. When people say publicly, this issue is not about the money. It's about the money. People say publicly, I am not bothered at all by criticism. They're bothered by criticism. And when they say, I could retire tomorrow. They don't really want to retire tomorrow. Aaron Donald's best year was four years ago. And Interior your linemen age much quicker than quarterbacks. I don't think he's the most important ram. I think McVeigh's 1, Stafford 2, Cooper Cup 3, Aaron Donald and the GM less sneed, probably 4.

But there's a price on what I'd pay for Aaron Donald. He doesn't want to quit. Just signed a deal for shoes with Kanye West, hard to sell shoes as a retired athlete. He'll play and he'll get paid. Dear Colin, you are very much in favor of people wearing masks and now you've backed off. What's wrong with you? Well, I'm glad you asked.

Listen, I never try to go too deep or get too embedded in anything. Sports opinions, life opinions. Because if new information arrives, I'm going to pivot to the right side. Initially, I thought masks mattered. But if you look at data, it suggests that mandates with masks have not. I just got back, as many of you know, a week vacation in Europe, Italy. On the airlines, both there and back, you didn't have to wear the mask if you were having a cocktail or drinking water or going to the bathroom or eating. that constituted roughly 40 to 50% of my trip.

It felt like to me, and my wife and I talked about this at length, it was mostly cosmetic theater. I'm not somebody willing to stubbornly stay on a side if new information presents itself. What's the point? Don't you want to be on the right side? There's a lot of things about COVID initially. Even epidemiologists were guessing on.

Now, there's also people out there that are overly cautious. We've all worked with them. We have them in the family. There's some people that are going to wear masks forever. That is certainly they're right, and they shouldn't be mocked. I just don't happen to be one of those people. Dear Colin, listening to Adam Carolla and Bill Marr talking about Elon Musk going from a Democrat to a conservative. And Bill Maher says, how can we stop brilliant people?

from flipping sides. Mars a liberal. My takeaway is a lot of people over the course of a lifetime change sides. Now, for instance, in California, almost all my friends, in fact, all of them are social liberals. But it's a highly regulated state, and they make it hard for small business. So they tend to be fiscal conservatives and have from time to time voted for conservatives. Generally speaking, I agree with Democrats on important things to me like, control and the environment. But if you put Bernie Sanders up against Mitt Romney, I'm going Romney. Because he doesn't demonize wealth. That's a big deal for me. Don't tell me I'm bad for society. Doesn't mean I'm great every day. I'm certainly not hurting it. I'm flexible. Based on the candidate.

You go too far left or right? I'll go to the other side. And I think there's more people, though you'll never see it on social media, like me and like that, then you think. All right, Chad Millman, CCO Action Network, all odds provided by Fandul. All right, so I'm just going to, I'm not going to waste any time here

because I'm going to tell you the single best bet in the finals, NBA finals right now. And I feel so good about it. I may bet some of my real estate on this, and I am a bit of a tycoon. when it comes to that. So here we go. Celtics plus one and a half in the first half of game one. If you look at overly rested teams, which the Warriors are, and they're inserting Peyton returns,

Otto Porter returns, Andre Igwadala returns. So they add three players. They have this extended period off. I'm not betting the game. Boston will come in. Boston got enough day. Boston. off. It's mostly a young team, guys going into their prime. Boston leaves at half game one. Strongest bet of the entire finals, I will not hear any dissension on this, but what's your thought? I love that you and I did not discuss this before we started the podcast. I have made two bets on the finals so far, and both of them will give you an indication of which way I am leaning, which, by the way, is the opposite of what a lot of model. are doing right now. I have made a bet on Steph Curry at plus 420 on Fandual to lead the series

in average points and threes. And I have made a bet on the Golden State Warriors minus one and a half in the first half of game one. Not great. Not great? Well, it depends. Like, you could be right or I could be right. You. You You're a real estate tycoon. You're a media tycoon. You are ascendant. I'm a guy who, you know, has already sold his business that is based in sports betting and, you know, spent my life doing this. So we can let the listeners decide which way to go.

But I feel like I like the, look, I like the Warriors in game one overall at minus three and a half. I do worry late in the game. There is too much foul shooting variance. Whereas in the first half, I like the Warriors to win. in this game. There is less foul shooting variance in the first half. You're just not getting the fouls at the end of the first half. It's playing sort of the way the game is supposed to play out. I like the Warriors coming out strong, having had the rest, knowing the experience, knowing the importance of getting out early in games like this, also knowing that what they do in the third

quarter dictates how they do in a game. And I know they don't want to go into the third quarter, needing to have a massive burst the way they have had in other games because the Celtics are a better team. They're their teams they've played, so it will be harder to make that comeback. So I like the Warriors in the first half minus one and a half. Yeah, you know, Celtic fans are saying, listen, we won back-to-back game sevens. But Milwaukee and Miami, essentially, you defended one guy. There was one elite score on both teams. I was talking to, who was it the other day, an executive in the NBA,

and he said, you know, the problem facing Golden State is that because of their ball movement and players off the ball, a lot of your defensive strategies just don't work. So, and he said, Jordan Poole, Steph Curry, you know, Peyton, Wiggins, they have a lot of guys that can have quick first steps that can beat you off the dribble. He says, so they're hard to trap because they have a lot of guys. I mean, God, Draymond. average is six assists a game. He's a catalyst. And he was just saying, you know, a lot of things that work against everybody else, you know, and his point was, look at the gap between Golden State

and Phoenix. And we thought Phoenix was excellent. And you can really defend them. And there's real limitations. And Phoenix doesn't play well from behind because they don't shoot threes. He's like, it's hard to marginalize the warriors. They do everything well. They're experienced. They manipulate the refs. They manipulate your traps. And that to me is the series. I said this. I think Boston could out play the Warriors in four games, and the Warriors win the series in five games. I have, I like the Warriors in six.

I liked the Warriors, and I said this on the Favorites podcast and the Volume Podcast Network. I had two guys on, Jason Timph, who hosts a podcast on your network and one of our action analysts for the NBA, and they were both on the podcast telling me about why they thought the Dallas Warriors series could be more competitive than it was. All great logic, great reasoning. And when it was over, I'm like, this is great. It's Warriors and Five. And as soon as the series for the Celtics and Warriors was settled, I thought to myself,

Warriors and Six. And what you're getting a lot of chatter about right now is that a lot of models like the Celtics, I've spoken to two or three guys, professional betters who have the models like in the Celtics. I've spoken to more professional betters who are looking at the Warriors at minus 160 to win the series and loading up. Just thinking, how are people, how are the Warriors not minus 200 in this? Because if you look at the Celtics offense, it's not as coordinated as you would think. And it's a lot of bull rush the basket. It's a lot of perimeter shooting around, you know, perimeter shooting from the three.

And while defensively, they're amazing, what you just said holds true. It's really hard to adjust against a constantly fluid warriors offense. But also, like, I think there's recency bias on the Celtics winning game sevens and people giving them more credit for that. Instead of recognizing, dudes, if not for a Jason Tatum miracle last second layup against the nets, you might. not perform so well in that series. If not for Chris Middleton going out, you might not win that series. If not for Jimmy Butler getting hurt, you might not steal a couple games. So

I am not looking at the Celtics thinking what you did in these multiple game seven wins is heroic. I'm thinking you kind of let these teams stick around and didn't do what you needed you to close them out and might have gotten some lucky breaks. So that's why I like the Warriors. Yeah. You know, they also, Steph went to college three years, Clay three, pool two, Draymon four, Wiseman played three college games. He struggled to adapt, is that when you look at the college and pro experience, Steve Kerr is able to do so many things on both ends of the floor. The IQ of this team for the Warriors, it like, it rivals all-time teams. I always thought the Heedles between Bosch and Badiye and Allen and Wade and LeBron and Edanus Haslam and you're like,

that's a pretty smart team. There's a lot of games there. The playoffs are here. You can make every game feel like Game 7 on Fandle's Sportsbook, an official partner of the NBA, Fandul's hooking you up free bets through the playoffs. Free bets. Doesn't matter if you're a new customer or already have an account. Be sure to check out the app. Exclusive weekly same game. parlay promos, Fandul's got so many ways to play. Best of all, when you win, you get paid

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Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win.

I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show.

This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me, or you're just chasing down a dream,

this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. When I look at Golden State, it's very rare that a dynasty is underappreciated. But if not for falling apart physically against the Raptors,

and if not for one jumper by Kyrie, what does this dynasty look like? Now, the Patriots dynasty, you can argue they could have lost every Super Bowl except the Rams. Or they could have won every Super Bowl. The Warriors have actually gotten terrible breaks in the finals. Bogot gets hurt. Draymond suspended.

Curry hurt. Caves win. I mean, I've never seen a team in a series fall apart like they did against the Raptors. So I think sometimes we look at this team and I mean, they really invented the three ball avalanche, small ball. Intellectually, they're kind not to be, it sounds so California smug, but they're kind of way ahead of everybody. And I think when you go into a series, I mean, they completely discombobulated Dallas's offense. And Dallas at the end of that series felt significantly better than Phoenix. And Dallas felt lost to me.

I don't think Dallas ever figured out Golden State. I felt, I thought, I thought they could have swept them. And Dallas is mostly young. So I just think there's a bandwidth with the Warriors. It's very New England. You could literally, you know, Damien Woody always tells the story. When he was in New England, we practice a trick play for 14 weeks. He was every effing week at practice.

And then we used it in week 14. And it was one of those, oh, he's like, a lot of teams practice it. They can't shelve it for two weeks. Like they got to use it. And he's like, we were just playing. He goes, we were just playing a different level. He goes, we had card tricks. Other teams didn't have and we could use them at any time because our team was so smart.

And that's a long winded way of saying, I think if these games are close, I don't think it's close. I think one team has the ability to really limit the other. trick the other and manipulate the other. So you and I both agree, it sounds like, we like the Warriors to win this series. So here's a couple things to think about as a better. If you like the Warriors to win the series, then you got to think about, do you think Steph has the best opportunity to be the MVP. He's never won it before. The MVP, as much as

anything, is a narrative award. It's a great topic, right? You talk about this, like, you are better than anybody at creating a tree of what a topic is going to be and then letting branches come off it. MVP in the NBA is a narrative award. People love to talk about it. And really smart people think about who the voters are, right? There's the TV contingent. There's the West Coast contingent. There's the beat writing contingent. There's the people who have social media following.

There's the people who are hardcore beatwriters. There's, you know, all of that kind of stuff. So a lot of sort of MVP watchers think about the voting blocks when they're thinking about MVP. Same holds true for NBA finals. It's a narrative award. Steph has yet to win the award. Now, the truth is, Steph in the finals has. had a really hard time, right? Because people key on him defensively. And look, Draymond on the podcast

has with you, has talked about like how important Steph is and the double teams he would get that allowed, you know, Kevin Durant to sort of blossom in the finals. If you believe the Warriors are going to win, then you have to believe Steph will have a dominant series and that he wins the MVP. Steph's odds unfandle right now to be the MVP. They were at plus 120. Now they're about plus 105. So if you like the Warriors to win the finals, you could just as easily bet on Steph at plus 105 to win MVP and get better odds than bet in the Warriors at minus 160. What do you think of that? No, I think you're right. I also, who would he compete against in that space? Let's say Jason Tatum. But what the Warriors can do is send Draymond and Wiggins at Tatum.

Marcus Smarts to inconsistent of a score. So I think the Warriors think let Jalen Brown beat us. We know Horford's not going to beat us. Marcus Smart's not consistent enough to beat us. Tatum, if you lower his efficiency, like Lucas shot 48% against the Suns, 41 against the Warriors. So Spencer Dinwiddie, had he shot well in the series, could have been a problem. So I think the Celtics are like, Jalen Brown's going to have a really good series, and that will take some of the steam out of Jason Tatum. because I think Wiggins is so undervalued because he's really the rare number one talent. I mean, really is an incredibly twitchy athlete. But in this culture, he's not an essential core player.

But yet, he was very disruptive to Luca because he can just go, you can put him right on Tatum and just say, he's such a twitchy athlete. He doesn't buy your pump fakes because he's so quick. He's so quick vertically. He doesn't buy your fakes. And so he just, he's in your face when you shoot. He lowers your shooting percentage. And so the other thing that helps Steph is his primary rival in the MVP, Williams doesn't score, smarts inconsistent. Man, up being Jalen Brown. And if it's close, nobody's giving it to Jalen Brown. Steph's going to win it because we want Steph to win it. But also you got to like, it's also two different teams, right? If the Celtics win it, Jalen Brown could be a good bet. If the Celtics, it's going to be the whoever, wins it, the player from that team is going to win. If the Celtics are going to win the series, Marcus Smart has to be perfect because he will, for the most part, the Celtics do switch a lot

and the Warriors will try to get him into switches, but he will have to be on Steph. And if the Celtics win the series, it's going to be because they stop Steph from getting hot, right? And that's Mark is smart. So you could see a Mark is smart at something like 30 to 1. It's dropped from 45 to 1 because people are coming in and playing a little bit of the narrative game and sort of the matchup game that you and I are doing right now. I think on the warrior side, if it's not going to be Steph, the other guy to think about is Draymond. Because A, there's a great narrative. There's nobody more accessible than Draymond. Dremon during the finals will come on his podcast, We'll come on your podcast.

We'll go on the TNT show. We'll say something in a post-game press conference that will elevate his status and make him a centerpiece of a conversation that complemented with the way he controls the pivot and gets the Warriors in the right position with his passes plus his defense and rebounding. If the Warriors win and it's not Steph, I would put your money on Drayman. I want to pivot to something, Millman. I want to do some over-unders. Now, I love over-unders. Love them. And it's not, some of these I would wait a little while based on injuries in camp.

But I have my favorite over of the NFL season. So what the Miami Dolphins did in the off season was as a franchise pivot to the offensive side of the ball. They spent their money on offense. They got rid of a defensive coach who didn't get along with two. So my first takeaway is I have, and I use that as an example with Tua, who I don't think is as good as Kirk Cousins. So Mike Zimmer did not get along. Flores and Zimmer were essentially fired because they didn't get along with their quarterback. We know that Flores can coach and we know that Mike Zimmer can coach.

The Vikings over under is eight and a half and here's my sales job. Detroit's Detroit actually has some nice. offensive pieces, but with Kirk Cousins, let's say he has a 10 to 15% elevation in numbers, reasonable considering they have now the McVeigh system. The Packers, by the way, they open with the Packers. Aaron not at OTAs has struggled with rookie receivers and new parts for years, and they have four new wide receivers, either drafted or acquired. I think it's five.

So that opening week game for Minnesota is one of my favorite. It's my favorite bat in the opening weekend, take the Vikings. Green Bay started slow last year. Green Bay's had some ugly September games. Aaron Rogers, brand new pieces offensively, a new right tackle. It's like, interesting. So Minnesota, offensive coach, Packers kind of guessing what the Vikings are doing offensively, cousins elevated.

They're over under is eight and a half. I think they'll be the most improved team in the league. We still don't know what Chicago is. We kind of know what Dan Campbell is. The laundry coaches, the limitations become clear. Minnesota, over eight and a half. I'm generally an under better. I have four other unders.

The one over I love is the Vikings over eight and a half. Milman, what do you got? I don't hate it at all. I do think that we all go into every season thinking the Vikings are undervalued. We love in years past, we've loved what Mike Zimmer can do with the defense. We've loved how Mike Zimmer, in theory, can make his defense better as the season goes on. We've loved how they would always end a year. And so we're excited about what they can do in the next year.

So I think we're all sort of have a bias to the Viking because I think also in the media, a lot of us believe Kirk Cousins is a good enough quarterback that he doesn't, he gets, he gets too little credit for being good and too much blame for not being great in the highest profile moments when everyone sees him. But if you're betting, you know week to week he can deliver and he can put this team in a position to win. So I don't hate it. The Vikings for what it's worth, according to our.

projections have the eighth easiest schedule in the NFL next year. So I don't hate it at all. Would you like to guess on the team that started getting the most, the most overaction on their season win totals? You know what I'm going to guess? Bears. Right. It's the right, say, cohort of really terrible teams. But, uh, New York Jets. Oh, God. I don't think Salah can coach. I don't think he's a head coach.

The Jets are number one in tickets and money at Fandual and several other books. We reported a few weeks ago, less than two weeks ago, the market is all about the Jets, said Fandual spokesman, Kevin Hennessey. It's not close. But this is why sort of, it's why the over-under totals, the wind totals have become such public markets. This is entirely based on people deciding Zach Wilson is ascendant. They've decided that the Jets, because they did the right thing and drafted talent and players in positions of need, and they fell into their laps in the draft because they were so bad they had high draft picks, they're going to be amazing because rookies always turn out great because that's what happens every time, right? And so people love betting the over on the Jets right now. Half their games last year, they looked unprepared.

Unprepared. Not a single time in McVeigh's first year that I think that team's unprepared. I think solid, listen, we know 75% of coordinators don't work. I think he's over his skis. I think he's a great DC. I think he's over his skis. It's interesting. Look, I've heard your rant of.

about Sala before, don't disagree with it entirely. I think it's a little early to tell on him. What I disagree with you is Dan Campbell, where maybe I'm being blind or maybe I'm just being emotional because I love the way he coaches. I think he can turn this team into winners. Not this year, but I think eventually. I'm a buyer on the lines. Yeah.

Yeah, I'm a buyer at six and a half on Detroit. First of all, their offensive personnel, Hawkinson, D'Andre Swift, Penaiseul left tackle, cough's good enough, Amaran St. Brown. I think their offensive personnel, it's pretty solid.

Now, their problem is a lot of stuff over the top, give up a lot of big yards in the back end. But I think in that division, we don't know what Chicago is. I've said, I think Minnesota wins their division. I have real reservations about Green Bay. I mean, to give you an example of Aaron Rogers' trust issues, Amari Rogers, the slot receiver from Clemson, had four catches last year. I mean, this is a guy that had family trust issues, personnel trust issues, executive front office trust issues.

That's Aaron's personality. He struggles with that, right? Like, he really does. So, okay, so let me give you my favorite under. So the Cowboys are at 10 and a half. I love the under here. So the early schedule, what do we know about Dallas? Season ended on a very iffy play call, quarterback draw, can't get up in time.

So Mike McCarthy enters the season on the hot seat. They open with Brady and Burrow. Then they've got to go on the road and face Philadelphia and the Rams. So right now that tells you these are better teams and teams with momentum at the end of last year. There's a chance they have three or four or five early losses in the first eight games, and you're going to have a completely divided locker room. Now, the schedule's got the Giants twice, and it's got Washington twice. But I think Washington and Philadelphia are absolutely better.

And frankly, because Daibel and Daniel Jones, the Giants will be better. Not great, but better. They had a pretty good offseason. So 10 and a half to me, you could almost bank in coaching disadvantages throughout the early portions of the season. McCarthy's getting ripped. We know the edge rush, run game, an O line isn't as special as two years ago.

Dallas under 10 and a half on a team that's always over bet feels like a really solid play. A hundred percent with you, for everything you just said, plus pull back and look at sort of the macro perspective, the cowboys are, their win total is always inflated because they're the cowboys. So the bookmakers know they can take a Cowboys team that shouldn't have more than nine wins on the board that they might not see as being better than nine wins in a season.

They can make them 10. They can make them 10 and a half because they know there are so many Cowboys fans out there. They're just going to bet the over no matter what the line is. So it's a great way for them to bank against some. liability on the other side because there's a lot of public sentiment in the favor of the Cowboys. All right. This week's gold medal performance goes to one of the most underrated athletes we've ever seen. Steph Curry's headed to his six NBA finals in eight years and now on the verge of joining some

elite company with a fourth ring. I've never understood the Steph Shade. He's not in the goat discussion, but he's the most influential player ever. He gives you styles and the brand. But most importantly, Steph has always been the same. about winning. This week's gold medal performance sponsored by Legacy Precious Metal. The uncertainty in the world is leading to market volatility. My friends at Legacy Precious Metals are here to work you through why gold is the way forward through these unsteady times. Legacy Precious Metals can

advise you how to roll your existing retirement account into a gold IRA and provide steps to take should you want to hold physical medals in your home. Call Legacy Precious Metals at 866-674. or herd. That's 866-674, HERD, or download your free investors guide at legacy pminvestments.com. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was, having trouble stopping the muscle growth.

Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football,

or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand-new podcast, The Clifford. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment,

and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast, it's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes,

follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Any of these other over-unders in front of you? I'm close to betting under on Kansas City 10.5. I think it's going to be hard to win 11 in that division. I don't. To me, that's the most interesting one. I'm glad you mentioned it because I'm looking at it right now. that is a terribly hard division. Chargers,

chiefs, Raiders, Broncos, like any one of those quarterbacks can win a game no matter what the score is in the first half, no matter what the position is for them in the final two minutes. All these teams, Raiders elevated their pass rush. Khalil Mack, Chargers elevated their pass rush. Randy Gregory. Totally.

So they will face three elite pass rushes. You could go, I mean, if you go three and three in that division in your Kansas City, I think everybody's going to do it. I think this is the first time that I remember liking the Raiders. I couldn't tell you the last time I liked the Raiders. I think they're actually, Jesus, Hunter Renfro is arguably the most talented slot in the league. Devante Adams, top two to three sideline receiver, Darren Waller after Travis Kelsey, top six running back.

I've always loved car, solid left tackle, Colton Miller. It's like two edge rushers. What they have is they have the right, the important positions in 2022 football, left tackle quarterback, two receivers, edge rushers. I mean, the Rams and Bengals had bad linebacking cores. Rams had injuries at safety. The interior of the O line for the Bengals wasn't good in the Super Bowl. like there are positions now that matter a lot and the Raiders have a lot of them covered

for the first time since I can remember I think Denver's the best team in the division I think Kansas City is a wild card team I know it's it just goes against everything we believe but I don't love their defense I think Tyreek Hill is kind of a field tilter I'm not sure if you can replace that

I don't think they're quite as dynamic I think you can defend them differently and I don't think they can make, I think they have the weakest pass rush in the division. Feels like a 10 and 17. Yeah, I agree with you. I like the Chiefs under. Incredibly hard schedule.

I don't know if I like the Raiders better than, I don't know if I like the Broncos better than the Chargers. If you're betting on someone to win that division that isn't the Chiefs, because I do think the Chargers have a little bit, higher ceiling in terms of talent. Their defensive line is just better than the Broncos. I think they match up receiver-wise with anybody else in the division. And I think Justin Herbert, just by virtue of having a third year now, is going to be that much smarter and more effective. And I also think

they learned a lot from sort of the very cavalier way. They treated their possessions and not trying to get points at times when they should have been getting points. And I think that for Brandon Staley, the coach, who all of a sudden, like last year, you know, we saw it in one of those games against Kansas City kept going for it on fourth and goal when getting points would have been the smart thing to do. I think he's going to recalibrate his play calling a little bit, having learned a lot in that first year and sort of what happens to your detriment if you don't get some points in specific spots. Yeah, I didn't love all that. You know, I like my analytics. to a degree, but, you know, I don't know.

And be... I like my analytics unless it's costing me a side that I need, either in a total or in a cover. And in that game, the chargers were by far the right side at like plus three and a half. And they ended up losing in overtime and nobody covered. And it was just, it was hurtful. It was genuinely hurtful. All right.

So right now we're going into summer in West Hartford, Connecticut for you. summer in Los Angeles for me. I had a lot of good summers running around the reservoir. What's on the town for the Millman family this summer? I'm going to Switzerland and in August with my wife. We are going to Italy for two weeks, which is going to be amazing. Me, my wife, are two kids, one of whom's in college, and did say, so you're expecting me to go on the trip, right, as if that was going to be optional because he wants to be with us so little. And then my sister, her husband, and their three kids. There's going to be nine of us through Florence, a part of Tuscany and Rome. My wife loves Florence. My wife would absolutely spend springs in Florence, great walking city.

It's amazing. It's truly transcendent. All of Italy will be great. I'm really excited about that. Here's something that you would find interesting. My wife and I had COVID last month. We have a 15-year-old son who lives with us because the other one's in college. The 15-year-old son, it's proof of how little your teenagers want to spend time with you and can ignore you. He never got COVID. Both of us in the house, full COVID, he found a way to ignore us often enough that he never got COVID.

Yeah, kids I think my kids like me But there's no proof of it Yeah I think your kids like you too And they will never show you proof of it I assume my kids like me But

They're kind of assholes sometimes And you know They're expectations of what is to be Like Of of how we are supposed to give to them without them having to give back are very high. Well, my wife said, you will love your kids

more than they will love you. And your kids' kids will love their kids more than they love them. That's just, you've got to come to terms of that that's the reality of being a parent, regardless of generation. How many kids will go with you on your trip to Switzerland? Oh, none. It's just the two of you. Well, now that I've been to Italy with my wife and I am her Italian lover. We don't have time for kids. You know what I'm saying? Yeah.

So the way we look at it is we give them a summer vacation. We're going to Turks and Kikos this summer, Nantucket next summer. We always give them one big vacation together. They can bring friends. And then we get our vacation, May and then late August. And we're not guilty about it. I'm not guilty at all about it. You shouldn't be guilty about it.

You've earned it. You're a tycoon. You vacation where you want a vacation. when you want a vacation, how you want a vacation. Thank you. That's how I feel about it. And I want to go to Lake Lucerne. You've earned it.

And I don't want to have some Gen Z brat all over my ass, you know? You don't want someone who's like, you know, holding their phone up and TikTok in the whole thing or Instagramming the whole thing. Like, you can do that. Or telling me they want their job to have meaning. The hell is that mean? Meaning. Don't even get me. I know.

Don't. don't even. You know what I want? I want for my kids to have a job that pays them. Yeah. That's the meaning. Yeah. That's it.

Yeah. I'm not even going to get into this. I'm going to get people in trouble. That parenting thing is. People in your family, meaning you? Me. Exactly. That is a lot of work.

All right, Melman. It is. It is a lot of work. All right. I'll see you later. The volume. Make sure to check out the Dramon Green Show. I brought Dramon Green into the volume because one of the more entertaining voices in sports, unique perspective, understands behind the rope.

Also, chops up with guests like Gary Payton, Zach Levine, Tracy McGrady. Make sure download the Dramon Green Show wherever you get your podcast, only on the volume podcast network. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not. Quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, S&L's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform?

We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.

Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win.

A win. A win is a win. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it.

Listen to The Clifford Show on the IHeard Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. On The Look Back at it podcast. For 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84 was big to me. I'm Sam J.

And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to Look Back at it on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcast.

or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed human.