The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - NFL Week 6 Picks and Betting Breakdown, "Fake Questions, Real Answers" on Gruden and Kyrie

Episode Date: October 15, 2021

First, Fake Questions, Real Answers on Gruden's shocking stupidity, why the Nets deserve blame for the Kyrie drama, and the NFL's most underrated coach (3:00). Then, The Action Network CCO Chad Millman tells Colin whether he's a sharp or square with his NFL Week 6 bets, including Cardinals/Browns (11:00), Bengals/Lions (14:00), Seahawks/Steelers (16:00), Rams/Giants (21:00), Cowboys/Patriots (24:00), Chargers/Ravens (27:00), Packers/Bears (29:00), Vikings/Panthers (32:00), Bills/Titans (33:00), Raiders/Broncos (34:00), Dolphins/Jaguars (36:00)... then Colin "The Magnificent" wows Chad with a magic trick.Make sure you subscribe NOW follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates and check out FanDuel for the best wagering and daily fantasy action! Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The volume. This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.

Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to Humor Me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential.

Either way, the podcast's superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th.

You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifers Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to the Clifford show on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok podcast network on TikTok.

On the Look Back at it podcast. From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84's big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it with our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people.

Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. If you love to be remembered as the person who gives the best birthday gifts, I'm here to tell you that 1800flowers.com is your ultimate birthday gifting destination. 1,800 flowers has thoughtful and artfully created options that are guaranteed to deliver the best birthday surprise. Stop thousands of unique gifts at 1-800flowers.com for exclusive offers and great values. To order today, visit 1-800flowers.com slash tune-in. That's 1-800flowers.com slash tune-in. The Colin Cowherd podcast brought to you by Fandul. It's never been easier to play fantasy on Fanduel, whether you love basketball, golf, soccer, or any fantasy sport.

There is a contest for every fan. Fan duel, more ways to win. Hi, everybody. Welcome to the Friday morning podcast. Chad Millman, square or sharps, around the corner. First, though, time for fake questions. Real answers. I got things I want to talk about. I don't want to wait for you to ask me the question. Dear Collin, I bet you have more to say in the John Gruden situation, don't you? Yeah, I do. It really showed how arrogant and dumb Gruden is. I always say this about bank robberies. There's a lot of crimes. But a bank robbery, is especially stupid. You have to plan it, set up the car,

circle the bank for a couple of weeks to figure out surveillance, when's the best time, figure out your escape route, have to grab a partner, multiple meetings. There's a big difference from a convenience store, had too many cocktails in the moment grab a twinkie and make a run for it. But a bank robbery takes thought and planning, and no time during the process,

you don't think, wow, I could go to jail. These usually don't work. It's the same with John Gruden. The stuff he said for seven years in that email, when you're sending an email, you think about what you're going to say. That didn't bother him. You phrase it, you type it, you send it. That didn't bother him. It's a multi-part process.

At many points, you could stop and say, this is egregiously, outrageously racist. It's unbelievable. John Gruden, frankly, not only a bad guy, he failed a basic IQ test for seven years. Dear Colin, don't you feel the Brooklyn Nets deserve some blame here for getting themselves into the Kyrie business to begin with? Listen, I said this about a month, two months ago. Kyrie Irving, and I said this last year too, is the only star in my life in the NBA that I would trade for bench players. there's much more value getting out of something bad early than seeing what you can eventually rescue from it.

Kyrie disappeared last year from the team for two weeks. That should have been the end. Darry, GM Sixers, I like him. Ben Simmons and Embed did not work two years ago. He wouldn't work on his shot in the offseason. Stop trying to win trades. and focus on retaining the value of your locker room. You do not have to be great to get to the conference finals,

but you almost always have to have a workable and functional locker room. Kevin Durant and James Hardin, Blake Griffin, Patty Mills, that's good enough to get to the finals, not saying it will, but it's good enough. What are you waiting for with Ben Simmons? Same with the Browns and Odell Beckham. It doesn't work. There's data.

Pivot off it. He doesn't fit the city or the Brown's future. Dear Colin, I enjoyed your interview with Cardinal GM Steve Kime yesterday. Lots of interesting moments. He said that he considered free agency fools gold. What did you think of that? Well, if you go and Google it, that works. Only about 33 to 35 percent of free agents are deemed successful.

Now, there are certain positions that are more successful than others. But I look at it. it like I like at buying a used car. You don't really know the odometer, right? The people that know the car bought it and owned it. So there are little secrets to any house that you've purchased, little secrets to any car that you've purchased. It's the same when you draft a player. You scout a player for years. You draft a player. He's in the system for five or six years. Free agency, generally, you should always seek value because the hit rate like the draft is so low. There is real value in bargain shopping for anything that's used.

A car, a house, a particular employee. There's just certain things you don't know about a player you didn't scout and draft. So the key is the bargain shopping. Make sure you get free agents at the right price. And that usually means wait for about a week and get the secondary free agents. They're always better value. Dear Colin, who's the most underrated head coach in the NFL? You know, it's strange to say he's underrated, but I think it's Andy Reid, and let me give you an example.

Belichick without Brady and Pete Carroll without Russell Wilson. They'll both wear a gold jacket. They'll go to Canton. Defensive-minded coaches, even if they're brilliant like Belichick and Carol, are very quarterback dependent. If you look at Belichick's record without Brady and you look at Pete Carroll's without Russell Wilson, You have a combined under 500 record and coaches fired three times. Andy Reed never had a great quarterback like Russ or Brady until Mahomes. He had Alex Smith, Donovan McNabb, Michael Vic, Nick Foles.

Reed's career record with Mahomes is 78%. But without Mahomes, his record is 183 and 122. Reed just became the only coach ever to win 100 games with two teams. Sean McVeigh got Jared Goff to a Super Bowl. Matt Nagy got Mitch Tribesky to the playoffs. The perfect combination for Super Bowls may very well be great defensive coach, Tony Dungee, Belichick, Mike Tomlin, Pete Carroll, with a Hall of Fame quarterback. But I would argue an offensive-minded coach, if he's brilliant, McVeigh, Andy Reid, Sean Payton,

will win you more games and be less reliant. on the great quarterback. And that's why I think Andy Reid has to be considered in the same breath with the Bill Belichick's. Belichick without a star quarterback, fired and a losing record. Pete Carroll without a star quarterback. Fired twice and a really bad record. Andy Reid without a star quarterback wins 60% of his games. Got to a Super Bowl and five NFC championships.

All right, Chad Millman every Friday, chief content. officer of the Action Network. I went three and three last week on my blazing five. I had my biggest bet of the year was the Rams over the Seahawks. My second biggest bet of the year was Bills over Kansas City. And then I swam around and I refused to bet the dolphins the rest of my life. Jesus. I've been burned this year, but the lions twice and the dolphins twice. My bad. That's on me, honestly. You get to a point where that's on me. But let me start with this moment. I'm going to give you the games I like. I do not like the lines this week. I don't think they're great. I really do not like the lines at all this week. And my instincts on this,

When I don't like the lines, I haven't had a great deal of success. And I've loved the lines this year and I haven't had success. So I don't know what to make of this, but I'll start with a game I like. The Browns outplayed the Chargers, a very good team in Los Angeles. A bad PI call really is the reason they lost. They're now, only a three-point favorite at home. Arizona gets to go outside, gets to go on the road. Kyler didn't participate in all the practices this week.

I think San Francisco gave them a little example of how to play Kyler-Marie as they bracketed in with a strong pass rush. Browns have the same ability to do that. I think the Browns win. It's Arizona's first loss. I'm comfortable saying it. I think Cleveland's a pretty good football team that really outplay the Chargers for a big chunk and we all love the Chargers. I'm taking Cleveland minus three, sharper square. Sharp side.

Very interesting game. Before we get to that, let me just say one thing. Love the Lions this week. Loved the Lions. So do I. I love the Lions this week. I do too. It's one of my favorite bets.

Plus 3 and a half loved them. It's now at 3. I would take the Lions on the Money Line. Honestly, this team is knocking on the door. They're so much better than I thought they would be so much more physical. They don't know how bad they are. And so they keep themselves in every game. I think this is a great spot for them against a team that is probably overinflated in the Bengals.

But that's a bonus game for everybody. 100% the right side on the Browns. And this is a really interesting game. At 7.30 last Sunday, as the cards struggle to finish off the Niners, and as the Browns lost that thriller to the chargers that you just mentioned, this line was Cleveland minus four and a half. It got beat down really, really heavily, down to three, right? On Monday, it got down to two and a half. And then professional betters started buying it back in. And I heard, I heard that a professional group, you know, a lot of, there's a lot of groups that bet, a lot of people that bet as groups as professionals in Vegas. And they pull their money, they pile in on a side. They're known as

syndicates. Bookmakers know who they are. Nothing illegal about it. They just, that their big name betters in Vegas in the other than country, right? They move the number back up to three. And so this has been a sentiment that the Browns are the best. better team with a superior defense, a running game that is playing, and better defense and better running game that is playing at home. To get them at less than a field goal or even at the field goal is great because you are getting the team that a lot of people think is better to basically win the game on a kick. Now, layer in, probably going to be 20 mile per hour wins in Cleveland. layer in that Kyler Murray has some shoulder, has some shoulder injuries.

Layer in that this is a running team and the cards are allowing more than five yards per carry, 31st in the NFL. I think you're on the right side here. The Sharps agree with you. Another game I like. So I'm going to acknowledge, I like the Lions plus three and a half at the Bengals. It was my second favorite bet. I've been burned by him twice.

I think Dan Campbell's speech, I think they're actually playing pretty good football. I think they had an excellent Baltimore team beat. This is not a terrible team. They have holes in their defense, and I don't think the Bengals physically, I don't know if they physically match up. I think Detroit's a really physical football team. I think they're going to win this game outright. You know, it's funny. As much as I like Cincinnati, they've had some good fortune this year, and they will score.

They have a trio of excellent receivers. Jamar Chase is the real deal. But Cincinnati, you saw it multiple times with Green Bay. they're not there yet. They're just not there yet. They had that game won twice. They couldn't win it. So I'll just say this. Detroit, plus three and a half, money line. I agree they win. Why do you like them? I like it because of everything you just said and there's overinflation on the bangles, right? A lot of the time when you're betting, you're thinking about what am I seeing on the field? What are the matchups like? And certainly, like you mentioned, the line's very physical team, their defensive line against a, Cincinnati Bengals offensive line that is one of the reasons why they struggled late in the game against the Packers. And it's one of the reasons why their games are closer than they

should be when they have someone like Joe Mixing who's playing great. Joe Burrough is playing great. Three receivers who are outstanding, right? Their offensive line is still patchwork and not playing very well and they give up a lot of pressure and that challenge Joe Burrow. I think that at the end of the day, you're talking about the market conditions here indicate that you were getting value on the Lions at plus three and a half. It's been bet down to three. I still like the lions at plus three. Like you said, we both like him on the money line. Cincinnati is benefiting from beating Minnesota, being competitive in a high profile spot against the Packers, a big win against the Jaguars in a comeback spot on Thursday night in a prime time game. So I think

there's just the value to be had. All right. One of my favorite bets, one of my few favorite bets I like, I like the Steelers minus four and a half. So what you're asking Gino Smith to do, who his career completion percentage, under 60 percent, losing quarterback, you're asking him to carry a horrible defense on the road over a Pittsburgh team that's offensive line and running game appears to be sinking up at least a little. With Russell Wilson, this is a winnable game. You cannot ask a backup and not a great backup, not a top five.

backup with a terrible defense to travel cross country against an excellent defense, this is a bad spot for Seattle. Now, Russell Wilson and the Seahawks do very well traveling to the Eastern Times Zone. They always have. Gino Smith couldn't win when he lived out east. This is way too big of an ask. I like Pittsburgh to win by a touchdown.

So I did not know Gino Smith was still in the league until he took the field a week ago. Okay? And also, you're 100% on the right side. the Sharps bet this game at four and a half. It's now at five and a half. Is there still value at five and a half? Probably for everything you just said. The Steelers have looked washed a couple times this season offensively and especially Ben Rothesberger, right? He has just looked old and even this past weekend in a win against the Broncos like he was banged up. He was wincing. He was holding his arm, his hand, whatever. They did one thing really well this week. They ran the ball. Like you just

set and it wasn't just running the ball well. It was running the ball with a physical offensive line that was getting one-on-one matchups, pushing people off the line of scrimmage. Naji Harris averaged 1.7 yards per carry before contact, right? So this wasn't the zone blocking that they had been working on the first few weeks of the season. This was smash mouth in your face run blocking. So I think even in five and a half, the Steelers are still the right side because the Broncos are a lot better than the Seahawks and the Steelers will be able to manhandle this defense. And, and Gino Smith doing well, getting a little hype coming off the bench in sort of trying to lead that team down the field is one thing. Doing it against a pressure raid defense like the Pittsburgh

Steelers, Gino Smith is not going to be able to handle that pressure. College football seasons in full swing. You can make every moment more with Fandul's sportsbook right now all customers, all of them get a $10 parley bet bonus. Just place a $20 parley bet, $20 parley bet, get a $10 bonus win or lose. I like Texas to win and cover the spread against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys offense is weak. Texas will score points. Miami at Carolina, I like Carolina to cover.

I think Miami's in disarray as a program. Alabama bounces back, beats Mississippi State, even though they're on the road, covers the 17-and-a-half-point spread. College football, how good has this year been? Just unbelievable. Build your parlay bet, any way you like with spread. money lines over and unders. Pick two out of three. Fan dual sports book, easy to use. There's live betting. It's easy to place your bet faster in a game.

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Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the iHeart rate. app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying.

Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Cliverts Show isn't just a podcast, it's a space for honest conversations,

stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me, or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim?

Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a here, unpack what you? went down and tried to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack all day, but just so you all know.

I mean, at this point, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack, so I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now, so. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Hard Way with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of Mental Health Awareness Month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests.

I'm talking, Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark. Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, We get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it. And we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes about wins and losses. Steve Burns, Dustin Ross, because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on Earth.

Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Keir Gaines, as we have real conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, Learn the Hardway. Open your free iHeartRadio app, search Learn the Hardway, and listen now. In Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Michigan, Jersey, Tennessee, and Virginia, or West Virginia refund issued as non-wadruable site credit that expires in seven days.

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the all-in-one commerce platform I love to start run and grow your business. Shopify gives entrepreneurs the resources once reserved for big business. So upstarts, startups, and establish. establish businesses alike, can sell everywhere, synchronize online, and in-person sales, and effortlessly stay informed. I love Shopify. Have for years the tools and resources that make it easy for any business to succeed from down the street to around the globe. Shopify is more than a store. Connect with your customers. Drive sales. Manage your day-to-day. Reach customers online with an ever-growing suite of channel integrations and apps, including Facebook, Instagram,

and Pinterest and more. More than a store, Shopify grows with you. Go to Shopify.com slash Colin, all lowercase, Shopify.com slash Colin for a free 14-day trial, full access at Shopify's entire suite of features. Shopify.com slash C-O-L-I-N. What grows in the forest? Trees? Sure. Know what else grows in the forest? Our imagination, our sense of wonder, and our family bonds grow too. Because when we disconnect from this and connect with this, we reconnect with each other. The forest is closer than you think.

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exploring at Discovertheforest.org. Brought to you by the United States Forest Service and the ad council. I don't like big favorites. There are exceptions. If I get a really good coach off a buy or an extended week. So I get the Rams minus nine and a half of the Giants. They played on Thursday extra time. The Giants are falling apart physically, almost all on the offensive side. Generally speaking, the Giants are a better road cover than a home cover. This is the rare nine and a half point favorite. I didn't like it at like 10, 10. 10 and a half, but at 9.5, McVeigh has never lost a game when leading at half 40 and 0. 10 days.

So what you're going to ask potentially is if Glennon plays a backup coming back against a really good pass rush. That's what we could see here. Backup, trailing, excellent defense. I think I think I like the Rams to win in cover here. So it's not a sharp play. It's never going to be a sharp play to bet a good team getting 80% of the money as a is a massive road favorite.

That is like not just a not sharp play. That is the definition of a square play. But and for that reason alone, the wise guys are basically just passing this game. They don't know who's playing quarterback. You don't know who's playing running back. You don't know what's happening with the wide receiver core. I mean, what happened were the Giants.

I love the Giants this past weekend against the Cowboys. And then before the first half was over, you lost your starting quarterback, you're starting left tackle, you're starting running back, your number one wide receiver, and you're already down your two and three wide receivers. So you don't know what you're getting with this team. You don't want to bet a road favorite at nearly double digits.

So it's largely a pass. I understand why you're doing it, but you're not going to get any sort of support from the sharp betting side. Okay, now I go to my dogs because my favorite plays were the Browns, the Lions, and the Steelers. Now I go to my dogs and I want to test the market. So I would take New England plus four or plus three and a half.

Here's why. So they're losing at home, but they're losing close. Mack Jones is efficient, completing 72% of his throws. They were missing four to their five offensive linemen against the Texans. They actually scored, I think, on three drives in a row at the end. So they come back healthy. Dallas is the only team in the league that is not played poorly. everybody has a game when they pull back.

This is your classic pullback team. I don't know if New England wins, but if you can get four points to me, this feels like a little bit of a coaching mismatch. New England is now healthier. Every game for Mack Jones, he feels a little more comfortable. And the Dallas defensive line is still hit and miss and banged up. I think I'd take the Patriots plus four, even at plus three and a half. totally the sharp side in this game. It opened at four and a half. Wise guys hit it pretty hard. It got bet down to three and a half. 80% of the bets coming in on the Cowboys right now. All the signals are lining up to say bet the Patriots. What I would say is now that it's a three and a half, you might want to wait until Sunday because while the wise guys are hitting it at four,

You're probably going to get a chance to see if it gets there again when the public comes in even harder on Sunday before this game. And bookmakers have no choice but to move the line up to four. So that way the wise guys can come in and take it at three and a half because the liability for bookmakers, I know it's complicated, but they want their money spaced out, right? And if there's too much money coming in on the Cowboys at three and a half, they're going to have no choice but to move this line up to four just to balance it a little bit. Bookmakers don't mind making bets.

They like having a winning side. It's how they increase their handle, but there'll be two overloaded on the Cowboys at three and a half. They'll have to move it up to get some balance. This is the all overrated, all overinflated game, right? Cowboys, 5 and O against the spread. The pros basically have this power rated at three, so there's still a little bit of value here. But this Cowboys team, like the turnover differential is due for aggression. Their success on first and second downs is due for aggression.

The Cowboys run defense still not very good. Bottom five in pressure rate, right? The one thing that Mack Jones has a hard time handling as a rookie quarterback is pressure. So you've got a run defense against a team that likes to run the ball. You've got a defensive line that can't pressure the quarterback against a quarterback who doesn't struggle when he's not getting pressure. So yes, Patriots are the right side. All right. Here's another one. Chargers plus three at the Ravens, I would take Los Angeles, here's why. The Ravens were outplayed for about three quarters against the Colts. Now, the reason Lamar, one of the reasons Lamar had so much success playing from behind is the Colts secondary was a mess. Well, the Chargers, not only did they have Derwin James this year, but Assante Samuel is playing at a Pro Bowl level. So you forget, the Colts really controlled this game in Baltimore for two hours, for two to two and a half hours. the Chargers secondary playing with a lead is pretty darn good. You have a good pass rush.

You have a great rookie corner. You have maybe the best safety in the game. I also think the Ravens shorter week coming off a dramatic win, standalone win dramatic style, slightly overvalued. I take the Chargers and the points. So the Ravens are the sharp side here. A couple different reasons. A, it's a really good team.

with a really good defense playing at home. And similar to the Cowboys, there's a little bit of overinflation on the chargers. There's also a little bit of expected regression for the chargers. Like, the chargers have been living on a success rate of third and long of 58%. Okay? On fourth down, they're eight for eight in certain situations. Like, this is not sustainable.

especially against a defense like the Ravens that can get pressure. It can get pressure when it's blitzing. It can get pressure when it isn't blitzing. And the chargers consistently go for it when they're on third and long and fourth and long. And I don't think that's going to fly with a Ravens team that knows how to get out of those third and long, fourth and long situations. But also think about this. And this is where it gets very specific. This is a three-point spread, right?

the the understanding is that this is going to be a close game in a close game do you want a kicker on the chargers who not only is struggling to make field goals is struggling to make extra points versus a kicker for the ravens who's one of the greatest kickers in NFL history so you have special teams disadvantage you've got a home team as a short favorite you've got a really good defense and and the ravens do have a really good running game and the chargers are terrible at stopping the run. That's good. All right, Bears plus four and a half, I'd take him.

It's not one of my favorite bets, but Bears plus four and a half has value. So now Justin Fields is getting all the snaps. I mean, I think we've come to the point with Green Bay. They were outplayed for a half at home by Detroit. They were outplayed for much of the game by Cincinnati. They were blown out by the Saints. They are totally dependent on Devante Adams, overwhelmingly dependent in their passing game on one player.

Well, the Bears get a pass rush. Bears playing better. There's a juice with Justin Fields and an unpredictability. When quarterbacks are young, you may have a limited package, but their ability to disrupt the defense by going off script and running, Trey Lance did it a couple times against Arizona. It was a very limited package. It can be difficult to defend. And I think at this point, Justin Fields is way better than Trey Lance.

I thought this was one of the easier dog plays. It's not popular. But Green Bay is really not thumping anybody. They needed two great passes to escape San Francisco. They were outplayed at home by Detroit for a half. I think the easy side here is Chicago plus four and a half. It's icky. That's the problem.

And betting means doing icky things sometimes because this is a bear's team that two weeks ago, Matt Nagy look like one of the most obnoxious, ill-equipped coaches in the NFL. And then all of a sudden, Ergen Meyer and John Gruden, you know, change the game and made him just look like a bad coach, right? But this Packers team is the only team in the league that is 4-1 and has a negative point differential. That's hard to do. By the way, last year, last year, we've seen this with them. Last year, despite their glossy record, their point differentials very, it was just like one of the lower ones. Cleveland, by the way, last year got to the playoffs. I think they had a negative point differential. It does mean something.

Oh yeah, they're a good reputation. They're not a good team. Okay. And also their defense is terrible against the rush. 29th against the rush. The past two weeks since Matt Nagy gave up play calling and gave it to Bill Laser, the offensive coordinator. The bears are running the ball 65% of the time in the past two weeks and they are max protecting fields. So what you're getting is a quarterback who all of a sudden isn't getting the crap beat out of him. He's getting supported in a running game. And then on top of that, the bear's pass rest is pretty fierce, right? They're leading the league in sacks against a Packers offensive line that is still not whole because they've got some injuries. So it's a icky one to do, but you kind of have to take the Bears at plus four and a half. I don't have a feel for this game. I'm terrible at pickum games or one point spreads. What would you do with Vikings at the Panthers? I don't have a feel.

You know how in the past couple weeks you brought up games like, you know, the Raiders and the Bears. And I'm like, please walk away. And then you brought up the, I think it was the cults and the dolphins. I'm like, there's 8 million games to bet on. Why would you bet on the corner TV game? This is kind of one of those games. Like, this is one of those games.

Like, there's no consensus. The wise guys are like the American people here. Like, they cannot agree on anything. And like, the truth is... Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential.

Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win.

I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated.

One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment. And the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your

podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tapped Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam J.

And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because, of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so y'all know.

I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah.

For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your Podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Hard Way with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of Mental Health Awareness Month,

I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking, Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark. Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing.

And we're still chasing it. And we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes about wins and losses. Steve Burns, Dustin Ross, because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on Earth? Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro.

Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Kear Gaines, as we have real conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, learn the hard way. Open your free, our heart radio app.

Search learn the hard way and listen now. Make whatever decision you want to make because you can find the numbers to back it up. Do you take a short home dog with a really good defense in Carolina? Do you fade a spotty QB and Sam Darnold who is starting to build, bring back the old habits? Can he's thrown five picks in the past two games? Do you want to bet on a Vikings team that has consistently found ways to put themselves in a position to lose? Like against Sincy, almost against Detroit, against Arizona. So to me it's a pass.

Like any way you look, you're going to find an opportunity to find the answer you want. I'm all about betting miserable. I'm all about being uncomfortable. Do yourself a favor. Walk away from this one. All right. Give me the game we did this last week that I haven't touched on that you find fascinating. I think, let's see here.

The Raiders. Bills at Titans, Titans plus five and a half? Titans plus five and a half. That's a really cool game. It's interesting. You know, we'll do the favorites. I'll do it with Simon Hunter. He's a professional better.

And every single Thursday, we will do a segment called sharp calls. We'll do the podcast on Tuesday. We'll do it again on Thursday. Between Tuesday and Thursday, Simon gets calls from all his wise guy buddies. And they'll say, you're right on this game, you're wrong on this game. You're crazy on this game. He talked about liking the bills. He got all these calls from the professional betters.

You're crazy. The Titans are the right side here. Five and a half point underdogs, right? 80% of the money on the bills, a huge road favorite, overinflated in every sense of the word. I'm against Simon on this. I'm with the other wise guys on this. The Titans to me are the right side in this game. There's been a lot of conversation about that.

How can it not? It's a high profile game, a primetime game with the bills who right now, they're the number one power rated team in the NFL. And other than the bucks, they're the only team with Super Bowl odds that are less than six to one. The other game that is really interesting to me, Las Vegas Raiders, three and a half point underdogs against the Denver Broncos, how do you not bet the Raiders in this spot? The game is really power rated in a much different direction. Like there's about two and a half points of value on the Raiders in this game. The Broncos have proven to not be as good as we thought they were.

They were beating up on bad teams early in the year. There is a lot of evidence to tell you when you want to bet a team, it's when they've just fired their coach and they're in a rally spot. So to me, betting the Raiders, it's worth a little bit of a taste if you've got the stomach for that kind of thing. Hey, pet parents. Have you heard of Just Food for Dogs? Since 2010, we've been helping dogs everywhere live healthier, longer lives through the power of fresh whole food nutrition. Our meals are formulated by an in-house team of veterinarians. and we only use human grade meats and veggies with zero preservatives.

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Brought to you by the United States Forest Service and the ad council. If I could be you. And you could be me for just one hour. If you could find a way to get inside. Each other's mind. Walk a mile in my shoes. Walk a mile in my shoes. Walk a mile in my shoes.

We've all felt left out. And for some, that feeling lasts more than a moment. We can change that. Learn how it belonging begins with us.org. Brought to you by the ad council. Walk a mile in my shoes. Yeah. So, well, I told you, I have three games I love.

I love the Steelers to win in cover. I love the lions. I love the Browns. I don't have, and I probably will go pay. I said I like the Patriots. I would wait to try to get a better number. So I don't have a fifth game for Blazing Five. So what I may say is I kind of like Tua coming back playing for the dolphins, minus three at the Jaguars.

I don't know if the Jaguars have quit. You know, it's funny. I heard a line the other day. I thought it was very interesting. They said Urban Meyer didn't lose the locker room because Urban Meyer didn't have the locker room. And it's like Miami's offensive line is struggling, but the Jags don't get a pass rush. do they get a little infusion with Tua coming back and playing? Do you take the dolphins to win and cover the spread?

Where do you land on that? This is one of those games where historically you bet on the Jaguars. And you and I, we've been talking about betting in some capacity, television, radio, podcasting, whatever for 10 years. I'm willing to bet if someone went back and logged every single conversation we've ever had. more often than not, I would say the wise guys like the Jags in this spot because they're always going to be undervalued because they're always a bad team and there's always going to be inflation on whoever they're playing. So the game opened to 3 and a half. It's been bet down to 3.

I'm off the Jags. Like every indicator, every stat is that you should be on the Jags in this game. The Dolphins in both rushing and passing defense on both sides. add to the ball, and offense and defense, they're in the lower quartile of the league in every statistical measure. Tua is not that much better than Jacoby-Bissette. And the truth is, James Robinson has probably been one of the better, more efficient backs in the NFL this year. And the Jax aren't terrible at running the ball. So if you can get by Urban Meyer, never having the locker room, and not really being able to coach at the NFL level, and Trevor Lawrence guaranteed to make one, two, three mistakes that a rookie is going to make, then you bet the

jacks here. But even I don't have the stomach for this at this point because this game will be disgusting. And even though the Jags are the right side, the Urban Meyer factor, I think actually it overwhelms the precedent. Well, my take has always been, so let me connect the dots of my childhood. Okay. This is why I struggle to bet bad teams. Now, I'll bet the lions in the first a couple of weeks because I don't know how bad they are. So when I was a little kid in school, my teacher, my favorite teacher, Mrs. Blum, she had a had a crush in her redhead. I married a redhead. I should have known in an early age I like redheads. By the way, so did I first crush Redhead. So she said in one of my early report cards, he's a great student, but he's not

efficient with his time. He's a time wester. And that always stuck with me. I'm wasting time. And then years and years later, I had a friend in Portland named Michael Goldman. And he never ate snacks. And I said, why do you do that? He goes, you're wasting calories. So I am, I'm really, I'm not good at doing things. I'm good at not doing things or stopping things. So the point in both of those discussions is why waste time?

So what is interesting, Chad, if anybody knew me, I am really as an adult, very time efficient. I mean, my schedule is just stacked, stack, stack, stacked, and let's go on vacation. So my point being is between the calorie comment and Mrs. Blum, who I had a crush on, I don't like wasting time. And I feel like betting on shitty teams forces me to watch junk and I'm wasting time. So that is why I struggle, like when you would push the Jaguars on me, I couldn't bet the Jets two weeks ago, even though I knew it was a great play, is that my blind spot is a gambler. And I'm not a professional, obviously. I'm a total square. I would say I'm a square with an occasional sharp tendency, but I'm a square.

Everybody's got a blind spot, right? Belichick can't draft skill people. Everybody's got a blind spot. My blind spot as a gambler is I just can't bite on praying a crappy team even if the number is right. I bet the Giants that week in one because I don't think they're bad. I think they're well coached. I do not think they're a bad football team. I can't bet the Jets.

I can't bet the Jags. And that's why I think I'm betting the Lions this week. I don't think they're a terrible team. I think they're a rebuilding team that has a great deal of physicality and belief in their coach. So that's my point in the Jags. I struggle to bet on off because I have to watch and root for a lousy team. That's my blind spot. All right.

That's fair. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.

Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement

to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment. And the next, we'll talk about life,

mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be.

Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking.

What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s.

To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so you all know. I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you finishing that sentence. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really?

Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Hardway with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of mental health awareness month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking. Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark.

Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it. And we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes about wins and losses. Steve Burns, Dustin Ross.

Because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on earth? Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions. bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Keer Gaines, is we have real conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, Learn the Hardway. Open your free Our Heart Radio app. Search Learn the Hardway and listen now. Thank you. If you ask my kids right now, what do I like more than anything else? They would say efficiency? and competency. There's no romance. That's just what I appreciate in people and in my life

more than anything else. Efficiency and competency. The flip side of this is, because you're right, I'm not betting on efficient teams, I'm not betting on competent teams. But there's also a satisfaction in uncovering what is efficient and competent in what is otherwise something that is incredibly ugly and then being able to be right about that. And I think at the end of the day, this is what's surprising to me is like, you like to be right. You like to stir the pot. You like to prove your point. There is no better measure of proving your point than betting on the teams no one else wants to bet on and making money off that. That's the ballgame. And like, that's not a waste of time to watch those teams. That's the investment you put in. So,

in a week when you know it's the spot to smash the lions, you feel good, you can talk about it on Blaz and Five, and people are going to be like, Collins, right? This week, we did a clip of our podcast, of the podcast that we're doing right now, where you talked about loving the bills plus three, right? Love them. Loving them. And for three days before that game, more than any comments, I don't know if you've worked more than you've gotten, but more than I've gotten about doing this podcast, it was people coming after you and hating your take on the bills. And even after people are still, I'm still getting like tagged in comments about how much they hated your take on the bills. But you were fucking right. Spot on. And so that's why you put in the time. That's where

the gratification comes. That's why it's not a waste. That's when it feels good to be right. By the way, I'm noticing as I look at us on camera, I look like a magician. Look at this dark. I look like a, don't I? Do I look like a magician? No, I was actually noticing, I think you got a haircut and it looks fantastic. Oh, thanks. Yeah.

Let's do a magic. You want to do a magic trick? Okay, let's do it. Let's do it. Think of a number between one and 50. Okay. I don't care what the number is. I got it.

Double it. Okay. add 22 got it cut it in half okay take away the very first number you thought of from what you currently have okay and you have 11 no way no way hold on i'm circling it so you can see it can you see that Cowherd the Magnificent. Colin the Magnificent in his super duper magician shirt just wowed me. That's incredible.

Well, it's something. Nothing, no time wasted there, my friend. That was pure entertainment. Okay, you, Millman, you have a great weekend, buddy. All right, brother. Talk to you later. All right, I got to find my fifth pick for the Blazing Five. Great stuff.

Check us out on the YouTube channel, Volume Instagram, the Volume Sports. The Volume Sports. It's great. It's fun. It's every week. Got a big week coming up, too. At the Volume, Instagram, rate review, subscribe. Don't forget, Saturday morning, Prime Cut. See you then. Volume. What grows in the forest? Trees? Sure. Know what else grows in the forest?

Our imagination, our sense of wonder. And our family bonds grow too. Because when we disconnect from this and connect with this, We reconnect with each other. The forest is closer than you think. Find a forest near you and start exploring at Discovertheforest.org. Brought to you by the United States Forest Service and the Ad Council. Adoption of teens from foster care is a topic not enough people know about and we're here to change that.

I'm April Dinnwit, host of the new podcast, Navigating Adoption, presented by Adopt U.S. Kids. Each episode brings you compelling real-life adoption stories told by the families that live them commentary from experts. Visit Adoptuskids.org slash podcast or subscribe to navigating adoption presented by Adopt U.S. Kids. Brought to you by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Administration for Children and Families and the Ad Council. And we're live here outside the Perez family home just waiting for the... And there they go. Almost on time this morning. Mom is coming out the front door strong with a double-armed kid carry.

Looks like dad has the bags. Daughter is bringing up the rear. Oh, but that's... diaper bag wasn't closed. Diapers and toys are everywhere. Ooh, but mom has just nailed the perfect car seat buckle for the toddler. And now the eldest daughter, who looks to be about nine or ten, has secured herself in the booster seat. Dad zips the bag closed and they're off!

Ah, but looks like mom doesn't realize her coffee cup is still on the roof of the car, and there it goes! Oh, that's a shame. That mug was a fam favorite. Don't sweat the small stuff. Just mail the big stuff. Like making sure your kids are buckled correctly in the right seat for their age and size. Learn more at NHTSA.gov slash the right seat. Visit NHTSA.gov. Slash the right seat.

Brought to you by Nita and the Ad Council. Get right to the romance and find the way to wow this valentines with 1-800 flowers.com. From classic roses and bouquets to decadent chocolate-covered berries, gourmet treats, and more. Surprise your Valentine with 1-800 flowers. Flowers.com. Right now, get the 18-stem enchanted rose medley for $3999 or upgrade to 24 red roses for $10 more. Go to 1-800flowers.com slash tune in. That's 1-800flowers.com slash tune in. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smyl and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest,

S&L's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged.

It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast is. Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast. From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84's big to me. I'm Sam J.

And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it with our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people.

Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me. Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media.

Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to The Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast.

And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok podcast network on TikTok. This is an IHeart podcast, guaranteed human.