The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - NFL Week 9 Picks and Betting Breakdown, "Fake Q's, Real Answers" on Rodgers Vaxx Fallout and OBJ Dad Drama

Episode Date: November 5, 2021

Colin does Fake Questions, Real Answers on how the Green Bay media totally botched the Aaron Rodgers news (3:00), why he didn't like OBJ's dad getting involved in his son's drama (6:00), and why he do...esn't want Cincinnati in the College Football Playoff (8:00). Then The Action Network's Chad Millman tells Colin whether his NFL Week 9 picks are "sharp" or "square". They make picks for Vikings/Ravens (11:00), Patriots/Panthers (14:00), Browns/Bengals (21:00), Falcons/Saints (23:00), Bears/Steelers (26:00), Packers/Chiefs (28:00), Chargers/Eagles (32:00), Cardinals/49ers (34:00), and Broncos/Cowboys (36:00).Make sure you follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates and check out FanDuel for the best wagering and daily fantasy action! Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The volume. This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.
Starting point is 00:00:28 Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th.
Starting point is 00:00:46 You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfills of conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but self. So let's get to it. Listen to the Clifford show on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok's podcast network on TikTok. On the Look Back at it podcast. For 1979, that was a big moment for me.
Starting point is 00:01:18 84's big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Starting point is 00:02:56 Fan duel, more ways to win. Hi, everybody. Chad Millman will be joining us in 10 minutes. First, though, fake questions, real answers, things I want to talk about. But I made up the questions so I got to talk about him and not wait for you to ask me him. Dear Colin, how the hell did all the reporters in media in the Green Bay area not know that Aaron Rogers was unvaccinated? Well, it's a great question. Are you doing journalism or advocacy? Are you there to report or there to protect? How do people in the Green Bay media? Not one didn't know he had to miss some quarterback meetings. did they not find out he was following protocols for unvaccinated players? The advantage to being local media is access, right? That's the difference between local and national. You're there every day. There's a certain responsibility to have things get it right and be journalists, not advocates. Years ago, I was very critical of Aaron Rogers based on two to three sources that had played for them.
Starting point is 00:04:05 I got great pushback from the Green Bay and the Wisconsin media. Have I not been right? The one thing local media should always beat us on is these day-to-day stories where you have access because you're at practice because you have relationships with players. How did nobody know in the Green Bay media? You're at every practice. You have conversations with players daily. This is not always the case in Philadelphia. Talk radio.
Starting point is 00:04:41 Local TV stations, the Philadelphia Inquirer are constantly breaking stories on the Eagles, positive and negative. It's not the case in Dallas. Between the Dallas Morning News and the Fort Worth Star Telegram, the local television reporters in Dallas are sensational at breaking cowboy news. Sometimes I think the smaller the market, the more collegiate the coverage, and that reporters are afraid of losing a press pass or access if they're negative. Let's get out of advocacy and get back into reporting. Dear Colin, did you like Odell Beckham, Sr. getting involved in his son's business by posting those videos of his son being wide open?
Starting point is 00:05:23 No, I always think it's a problem when the family gets involved. I mean, let me ask you, when's the last time a family member got involved and it really worked out well? Aisha Curry, Steph's wife. blaming the refs during the 2016 NBA finals. Lovar Ball in the Lakers. Colby Rasmus' dad blasting Tony LaRouca and the Cardinals for trading him. Listen, my wife's not on social media. There is a reason my wife is not on social media.
Starting point is 00:05:50 Patrick Mahomes family in recent weeks. It's a really bad look for Patrick Mahomes. I don't like what Odell Beckham Sr. did. I think it was really poor judgment. and my guess is, OBJ, asked him to do it, to force his way out, and the Browns didn't cave. Dear Colin, LeBron is expected to miss a week with a slight injury. Seems like he's getting hurt more and more often. How concerned should the Lakers be?
Starting point is 00:06:20 Listen, we all know the Lakers championship with LeBron and A.D., they got a huge pandemic break. Brittle A.D., and old LeBron got a nearly four-month hiatus. in the middle of a season. If you look at the last four years of Anthony Davis, he can't make it through a season. He certainly can't make it through a season plus the playoffs and the intensity there. We also know LeBron is now well into 60,000 minutes of playing.
Starting point is 00:06:51 Usually the point where athletes start to get more injuries is 40 to 45,000 minutes played. LeBron's at 60,000 minutes. I don't believe LeBron is, LeBron and A.D.'s championship days have any tarmac left? I think they got a huge break during the pandemic and the bubble and a big hiatus in the middle of it. I think they'll be good. But folks, the resumes are clear. LeBron's old. Ad. D.'s brittle. Dear Colin, you're getting a lot of pushback for saying you want one loss Alabama in the playoffs, but you don't want unbeaten
Starting point is 00:07:29 Cincinnati getting in. What do people so wildly failed? understand about college football. Here's what I always hear. It's not fair. Can I ask you a question? Is it fair that Cincinnati, the Bearcats, play on the road in front of 35,000 people, and Alabama has to play on the road in front of 80,000 to 100,000 people? Is it fair that Alabama goes on the road in the SEC and regularly faces teams with a dozen NFL players on the roster? And that Cincinnati often faces teams with none. Is it fair that the coaching staffs in the SEC are the highest paid? And you often get the very best coaching staffs as opponents week in and week out.
Starting point is 00:08:13 And that it's very possible that Luke Fickle is easily the best coach in the conference he's in. And not only that, they may never face a coach in their conference that is good enough to be a head coach in the SEC. That's not fair either. There are certain truths in America that people just don't want to hear. Like, rich people are mostly smarter and work harder. You do realize they're not born into it. 79% of millionaires did not inherit any money.
Starting point is 00:08:45 16% inherited more than 100 grand, but only 3% received an inheritance above a million dollars. Smart and hard work is generally how you get rich. People love to defend mom and pop stores, but Amazon, Starbucks are simply more efficient at getting me a product at a better price than a local bomb and pop store. Do you really think Cincinnati is one of the best four teams in the country? Do you really think they would beat Alabama head to head? It's not fair. They get their schedule, and Alabama has theirs. How's that for fairness? Okay, Chad Millman, CCO Action Network. So I went three and two on my Blazing Five last week. I had Buffalo. I called
Starting point is 00:09:32 the Patriots over the Chargers, and I had the Saints giving Tom Brady, once again, he's their kryptonite trouble. So we had a good week, and I thought I had a great pick in the Colts over the Titans, but a left-handed pass from the end zone screwed me, and that's life, and that's Carson Wentz, and he's reckless, and he basically torpedoed the season. But nonetheless, I'm in a great mood. So let's, let just, that left-handed pass just, and then in overtime, he made it an even more regrettable throw.
Starting point is 00:10:00 and I'm like, oh, God, it's some of these players. He's darned with more talent. You're just going to get one of those throws a weekend. It's just the way it is. When he goes back, because look, you were invested in the cult. I was invested in the cult. Loved the cults last weekend. A couple of flu plays there, right?
Starting point is 00:10:16 The guy getting the interception, running it back, grabbing his hammy, falling to the ground. The Titans get the ball back. They drive. It's 1414. But in that overtime, when Carson Went to drop back, I thought to myself, this terrible. And as soon as he did that, it was picked. I'm like, that's it. And that was probably like, for me, one of my biggest bets of the year. It hurts so much. Like everything about that was lined up right. And even more than the Vikings, which was also pretty painful. But you know
Starting point is 00:10:47 what, Colin, you live and learn and you move on to the next week. We're professionals. That's what we do. So I like the Ravens minus six this week. Here's why. My theory is always been well-coached, talented teams that get humiliated, especially at home, play well the next week. The Ravens got thumped by the Bengals. They've been very focused. And Minnesota, let's be honest here, I think there's a little turmoil inside this organization. Mike Zimmer, I don't know if he's long for the job. Kirk Cousins just got beat by Cooper Rush.
Starting point is 00:11:24 I don't know if there's buying in the locker room. the Ravens now are in a dog fight for the playoffs. Pittsburgh playing better than we thought. Cincinnati just thumped him. I'm going to take the Ravens with extra time to prep to thump the Vikings square or sharp. It's completely down the middle. And I don't like to equivocate on these because I like to give you a direct answer. But I have heard both sides of this and the way the number has moved has shown that it's on both sides.
Starting point is 00:11:54 What's interesting about the NFL now, Colin, is that the number six has become as much of a key number as the number seven. Remember, it used to be games they tend to land on three, seven, and ten. Now they land on three, four, six, seven, and ten. Because of the extra point, because of the two-point conversion, those things come in to play much more often. So six is where this number has been bouncing around. It was at five and a half. It went up to six. It went up to six and a half.
Starting point is 00:12:24 The wise guys bet the Vikings at six and a half. They bet it down to six. Now it's back at six. And so everyone's been bouncing around. I'm with you on the Ravens. I think for all the reasons you said, the one thing that everyone says the Vikings should be able to do is defend against a running quarterback like Lamar Jackson. But this is a team that everyone keeps saying the Vikings should do X.
Starting point is 00:12:49 The Vikings should be X. and all we see them do is lose in really, really bad situations that are advantageous to them. That last second loss of the Cardinals, that last second loss to the Bengals, that lost this week to the Cowboys. Like, there's a pattern there where they're having a hard time figuring out who they are and closing out games on the road against a rested team that has something to prove. I'm going to go with the Ravens. You're sharp. I'm going to take, and the number is three and a half, and Christian McCaffrey is practicing, but I'm going to take the Patriots minus three and a half. It's not one of my favorite bets at all,
Starting point is 00:13:29 but there's something to remember. This is why I took the Patriots over Justin Herbert. How old is Darnold? Under 25. In fact, he's like 23, and Belichick owns quarterbacks under 25. McCaffrey may play, but here's an issue with the Panthers. Carolina does not have a single receiver. And I talked to this recently with Greg Olson. Robbie Anderson's fast. They don't really have a receiver.
Starting point is 00:14:04 They have to scheme all of them open. And so it makes it difficult for Sam Darnold. This is not a team where people are open. Sam last week was efficient, not specifically. But if you look at the four or five times, Belichick has faced Donald, and I've told you cognitively, I think the game moves too fast for Sam. New England is healthy. They're not making mistakes. They're winning time of possession. I do not trust Donald. It's not a great play, but I'm betting momentum in the Patriots and I'm betting against Donald in this space.
Starting point is 00:14:43 And you're betting like a square. 100% betting like a square. This is the game that every single professional better is targeting. This is a really good defense. The Patriots are taking advantage in the market. They are inflated in the market because they beat a Chargers team that has a really, really, really bad defense. The week before, they beat a Jets team that has a really, really, really bad defense. the teams they've lost to, the dolphins who still have a good defense, the saints who have a
Starting point is 00:15:25 great defense, the cowboys who have an opportunistic defense, the bucks who have an opportunistic front four, all right? The Panthers are better than all of those defenses. And what the Panthers can do that a lot of other teams can't do is they can rush the pasture without having to blitz. And what that's been doing is making their defensive backfield one of the best defensive backfields in the league. And we saw it get even better with Stefan Gilmore coming back last week. And by the way, I don't know that Darnold is going to play because of the concussion protocols. And so you might get PJ Walker. If you get PJ Walker, I'm fine with that because the Patriots linebackers are not very athletic. So you've got an opportunity to get a running quarterback who can get outside
Starting point is 00:16:16 the pocket and probably find an edge against some linebackers who can't keep up with him. One more thing, Shaq Thompson coming back, another legitimate weapon on defense. This might be one of the most challenging fronts that Mack Jones faces all season, that he's faced up to this point in the season. I'm getting the Panthers at three and a half. Like, come on, I'm getting a home team and the hook and all the bets coming in on the road team that is overinflated, calling me no better. Okay.
Starting point is 00:16:52 This week marks the halfway point to the NFL season. There is a big Sunday afternoon matchup. Packers, Kansas City, Fanduil Sportsbook, about to make it even bigger. They're giving new customers 30 to one odds on either team to win. You can win 150 bucks and a $5 bet. The current line is Packers plus seven and a half. I trust Jordan loved to keep it close.
Starting point is 00:17:17 I don't think Kansas City's that good. I would take the Packers plus seven and a half. I even think Aaron Jones will rush for over 100 yards. The number one rated sportsbook app, it's Fandul. Sign up now, promo code Colin. Packers take on Kansas City. When 150 on a $5 bet, use the promo code Colin exclusively on the Fandul's sportsbook app. I like the Packers and I like Aaron Jones to have a big Sunday.
Starting point is 00:17:44 21 plus and pro. Imagine an Olympics where Doe's. Hoping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year.
Starting point is 00:18:02 Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me,
Starting point is 00:18:20 Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement
Starting point is 00:18:34 to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind,
Starting point is 00:18:46 the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast, it's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford Show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network,
Starting point is 00:19:16 on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tapped Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush
Starting point is 00:19:27 got to do a little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jay. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it.
Starting point is 00:19:39 Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84's big to me, me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so you all know. I mean, at this point, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line.
Starting point is 00:19:57 We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you
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Starting point is 00:23:51 Brought to you by the United States Forest Service and the Ad Council. My favorite bet of the week is Bengals must two and a half. Bengals minus two and a half. Major distraction. Major distraction week for Cleveland. Cincinnati, embarrassed losing to the Jets. The Brown's defense is, I think underrated still because we pay so much attention to the offense, but they don't take the ball away.
Starting point is 00:24:22 And I look at a very focused Bengals team. I think they have an edge of quarterback. I think they have a significant advantage at skill positions. And I think Cleveland's offense is broken. I mean, ask yourself, they have a top five defense, maybe the best offensive line, one of the top running games. and they can't score. Their offense is broken. Cincinnati's not. I like Cincinnati minus two and a half to win by about a touchdown, Sharper Square. Here's what's interesting about sports betting. Every single week, there's probably six, seven, eight games that everyone who knows anything about sports betting
Starting point is 00:25:06 zeroes in on, right? We just talked about a couple of them. We talked about the Panthers. I bet we're going to talk about a couple others later. This is one of those games. And so, as you know, when we do the favorites podcast with professional better Simon Hunter, we'll do it on Tuesday. And then on Thursday, we'll do the segment called Sharp Calls where I will say to Simon, okay, you got calls from your wise guy buddy this week and all of his buddies. And by the way, like, he gets legit calls.
Starting point is 00:25:36 Like if I mentioned the betters that call him, you would know all of them. They are like, and not because they're famous. It's because you're connected to Vegas. You would know who these guys are. They're running big money. They always call them and say, this is what you're getting right. This is what we think. This is what we agree with.
Starting point is 00:25:53 We love the Bengals. Simon and I both. It makes perfect sense. This was the game that most people called them and said, we love the Browns. I'm with you. I'm with you. This makes perfect sense. A short home favorite that just came off of a bad spot.
Starting point is 00:26:09 that has the better quarterback, that has more talent on the outside, it makes perfect sense. The reason the wise guys, some of the wise guys like the Browns is because they do like the pass rush, and they do like the fact that Kevin Stefanski basically said, O'Dell Beckham, we're done with you, you're not good for the team, I don't care how talented you are. And that gives people confidence. But it makes zero sense to me that you're betting on a team that isn't as talented as the home team that is getting less than a field goal. You're sharp. I'm sharp. Simon is sharp.
Starting point is 00:26:43 All right. I like the Falcons plus six at the Saints. It's a division rival. Michael Thomas will not play. Now you're using, now we've seen video of Trevor Simeon. Tassum Hills coming off a concussion. These guys, by the way, maybe sharing snaps. Neither's good enough to share snaps. This is a pop gun offense and a great defense. I think it's a close game. I think the Saints win, but I think six is way too many points to give the better quarterback division game. Now, without Calvin Ridley, it's not the same offense. I like the under on this, but six points in a division rivalry with a competent quarterback feels like way too many points here. Well, now I just feel like I'm talking to a wise guy.
Starting point is 00:27:23 A couple things. Number one, the under. This is a really low total. It's 41. And that doesn't correlate to having a number as high as plus six. So it doesn't make any sense. The bookmakers are basically telling you they're over-inflating on the side because they really think this is going to be a close game. And this is a massive, massive letdown spot for the Saints.
Starting point is 00:27:47 Number one, you just mentioned it, Tayson Hill, Trevor Simian. Who's it going to be? Does it really matter? Should the Saints with either third string or four-string quarterbacks be six-point favorites to anybody at this point? Probably not, right? And so that's number one. Number two, the Saints in these spots with Sean Payton are not very good. All right?
Starting point is 00:28:13 Over his career, 22, 32, and 1 against the spread in this spot. That's 42% right. This is a team in New Orleans. They closed it as five-point favorites against Seattle. They won by just three. Against Carolina, they were favored by more than a field goal and loss. Is the market overreacting? to Ridley being out and a really ugly loss to the Panthers, possibly.
Starting point is 00:28:39 But to me, this is like power rated at about four. You're getting two points of value here. So yes, yes, please, the Falcons plus six. I like the Bears Plus Six. By the way, sorry about that. Huge Pro's game. The public loves the Saints. The pros love the Falcons.
Starting point is 00:29:00 I'm going to take the Bears plus six against the Steelers. despite Pittsburgh's win at Cleveland, you come off a big emotional divisional rivalry game and a big win for the Steelers. Natural letdown, you go home against the Chicago Bear team. And as Greg Kosell told us this week, Justin Fields is getting there. This is a good bear's defense. This remains an anemic Pittsburgh offense. This is simply too many points. This game has a 2420, 2320 feel to it.
Starting point is 00:29:29 I think there's value on the bear's side. I think they're defense. I think you have two excellent defenses. and two offenses struggling to find an identity. That's just too many points. I like the Bears and the points. Yeah, this is a pass basically for everyone I spoke to about this game. Like there's no edge.
Starting point is 00:29:46 If you like this game, it's because you decided you're buying it on Justin Fields. As a Bears fan, my one issue with this is that I don't think the Bears coaches are very good play callers. I don't think that they're going to put him in a position to succeed. and I do think that the one thing he has been terrible at is playing against the pass rush. And that, to me, is the biggest fear because the Steelers have a pretty fierce pass rush. And when Justin Fields has people coming to his face, he just has not been making good decisions. So for me, and I think for the wise guys, there's no real edge here. And even in the market, the way the numbers are shaping up, you're not seeing anything.
Starting point is 00:30:23 Literally, the bets are 50-50. So you're not seeing anything that indicates one edge over the other. I like the Packers. Fandle has it at seven and a half at Kansas City. Nobody has seen Jordan Love. He is Bigfoot. We have grainy footage about a year ago. So Kansas City's got a bad defense and has no idea what they're getting. There could be RPO elements. Nobody knows except Green Bay. This is a very good running game. Devante Adams is back. To me, I think you have to be fairly tentative, not aggressive, when you face Jordan. love. This is a wild card game. Green Bay, missing 11 starters, I know they had Aaron, went to the desert and pushed around Arizona. I think they went in the trenches. Seven and a half is too much. I like Green Bay, Sharper Square. Sharp play right there, Colin. I think there's been an overreaction
Starting point is 00:31:17 in the market to Aaron Rogers being out. What you're seeing is basically a nine point swing in the point spread. Quarterbacks are always going to be worth more than any else. If you've got a player other than a quarterback who's worth one, one and a half points, that is a massive move. You've got quarterbacks. You're going to get Aaron Rogers. You're going to get Tom Brady. We saw it with Russell Wilson and Gino Smith. The lines move seven to ten points. So this is a nine point swing. You got to take the Packers here. It's too much of a move in the market. And I think the wise guys are all going to look at this and they're going to say,
Starting point is 00:32:02 I've got to do it. We talked about it today and the favorites. Like you're just going to have to take the Packers. You're going to have to hold your nose, take the Packers because that's where the value is. Everybody has something that drives them crazy. Right. And, you know, like I could never date a woman that was a chain smoker. Like, I can't do it.
Starting point is 00:32:22 I couldn't do those smoke. That's not a personality question. The only personality quirk with guys that is a non-starter for me is needy or high-maintenance guys. I can't do it. You're a grown-up. I'm not here. Get a therapist. Like if you have a crisis, I'm there for you, but you can't have one a week.
Starting point is 00:32:43 Can we be honest about this? Aaron Rogers is really high maintenance. Jesus, every week it's something. So this brings it all together. Aaron Rogers, the year began. They said, the media asked him, are you vaccinated? He said, I'm immunized. Nobody pushed him on it. Nobody said, are you vaccinated? They just sort of let it go. To this day, is he vaccinated? Is he not vaccinated? What does it mean to be immunized? I feel like that's a singular question that got pushed under the rug because he felt like he could play
Starting point is 00:33:27 everybody and nobody pushed him on it. And now we're looking at Aaron Rogers, who's going to be out for at least one game, possibly two games, impacting his team, impacting people who bet the Packers to have the best record, impacting people who bet the Packers to go to the NFC title game. There's like major ramifications here. Oh, huge. No idea what the real story is there. Well, he will come back at the earliest on Saturday before facing the Seahawks. That's a tough ask. If they lose to Kansas City and Seattle, this is the heart of their toughest portion of their schedule, they could lose home field advantage to the Rams, Arizona, or Tampa.
Starting point is 00:34:13 I mean, forget the momentum that has potentially been punctured. the idea that you go from playing at Lambo in January to playing in Tampa, a warm weather team having to go, dome teams don't do well in January in Lambo, Arizona, Los Angeles. Warm weather teams don't do well in Lambo, Tampa. You have three warm weather teams or dome teams would have played in Lambo. Like, are we, do we understand what happened here? It's big.
Starting point is 00:34:47 It's big. By the way, Dallas, mostly a warm weather franchise, plays indoors, go up to Lambo. Though you couldn't have picked teams outside of maybe Atlanta that would be less prepared to the weather disadvantage than they possibly were going to gain. Selfish. So I want to take the Chargers minus one and a half at the Eagles. The Eagles are a wildly inconsistent team. Whereas the Chargers are actually fairly consistent but limited. We look at them and we think how they lost to the Cowboys.
Starting point is 00:35:23 Well, that's a pretty good team. Well, else they're Patriots. Well, that's a pretty good team. I think the Chargers are a more talented team, but they're a flawed team. I don't think Philadelphia. One of the things to know about Philadelphia, opposing quarterbacks are having really good Sundays and Thursdays and Mondays. a passer rating, one of the highest passer ratings in the league are quarterbacks facing Philadelphia. So I think the Chargers minus one and a half of a disappointing loss is the play here,
Starting point is 00:35:54 sharp or square? I would have said sharp, except there were some reports yesterday that just... Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year.
Starting point is 00:36:21 Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me. Clipper Taylor, the podcast.
Starting point is 00:36:40 forth. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast.
Starting point is 00:37:14 It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tapped Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs?
Starting point is 00:37:40 Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jett. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill,
Starting point is 00:38:01 waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because. of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so y'all know. I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you finishing that sentence.
Starting point is 00:38:21 Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your Podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast,
Starting point is 00:38:38 Learn the Hard Way with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of mental health awareness month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking, Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark.
Starting point is 00:38:52 Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it. And we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch. Life becomes about wins and losses. Steve Burns, Dustin Ross,
Starting point is 00:39:11 because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on earth? Are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Kear Gaines, as we have real conversations about healing,
Starting point is 00:39:27 growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast, learn the hard way. Open your free, our heart radio app. Search learn the hard way and listen now. Justin Herbert's hand is injured. There were more reports today from inside the Wise Guy Whisper Network that the injury is potentially more debilitating than is being reported. And so a lot of wise guys started betting on the Eagles today.
Starting point is 00:40:00 The line had gotten up to two and a half. and by midday it had been bet down to two. I'm looking right now, there are some places now where it's down to one and a half. So you're starting to see even though there's a preponderance of bets on the chargers, almost 80% of the bets are on the chargers, you're seeing the line move in the other direction. That tells me that the wise guys are coming in on the Eagles. And that could be because there's some speculation or concern about, Justin Herbert's hand.
Starting point is 00:40:34 All right. What's the game I haven't mentioned that you have a strong feel for? That's always a fun one, right? We talked about the Browns. We talked about the Chargers, Panthers, San Francisco 49ers. How have we not talked about the San Francisco 49ers? You know, I love Kyle Shanahan. I know you think highly of Kyle Shanahan as a coach. Right now, the Arizona Cardinals still the team that everyone thinks, is the one to beat. But don't forget, like, Cliff Kingsbury as a coach generally falls off the freaking cliff when it comes to November. He did it when he had Patrick Mahomes as his coach at Texas Tech. So now all of a sudden, you've got a Cardinals team where you've got DeAndre Hopkins, who is
Starting point is 00:41:23 nursing a hamstring injury. You've got AJ Green, who's in the COVID protocols. You've got Kyle Murray, who's walking around in a walking boot. And has not practiced. Has not practiced. You've got George Kittle coming back. You've got the 49ers, as healthy as they have been all season. You've got an Arizona run defense that is second worst in the NFL on yards per rush at 4.9. J.J. Watt was their best rush defender. He's done. This line opened it one. It's been bed up to one and a half. It's now in some places, the Niners are two-point favorites, and all of the bets are coming in on the Cardinals. That tells you that the Niners are the right side from a sharp perspective for all the reasons I just listed. Get right to the romance and find the way to
Starting point is 00:42:16 wow this Valentine's with 1-800flowers.com. From classic roses and bouquets to decadent chocolate-covered berries, gourmet treats, and more. Surprise your Valentine with 1,800flowers.com. Right now, get the 18-stem enchanted rose medley for $3999, or upgrade to 24 red roses for $10 more. Go to 1,800flowers.com slash tune in. That's 1,800flowers.com slash tune in. If I could be you,
Starting point is 00:42:46 and you could be me, for just one hour. If you could find a way to get inside, each other's mind. Walk a mile in my shoes. Walk a mile in my shoes. Walk a mile in my shoes. We've all felt left out. And for some, that feeling lasts more than a moment. We can change that.
Starting point is 00:43:04 Learn how at belonging begins with us.org. Brought to you by the ad council. Walk a mile in my shoes. And we're live here outside the Perez family home just waiting for the... And there they go. Almost on time this morning. Mom is coming out the front door strong with a... double-armed kid carry. Looks like dad has the bags. Daughter is bringing up the rear.
Starting point is 00:43:29 Oh, but the diaper bag wasn't closed. Diapers and toys are everywhere. Ooh, but Mom has just nailed the perfect car seat buckle for the toddler. And now the eldest daughter, who looks to be about nine or ten, has secured herself in the booster seat. Dad zips the bag closed and they're off. Ah, but looks like Mom doesn't realize her coffee cup is still on the roof of the car, and there it goes! Oh, that's a shame. That mug was a fam favorite. Don't sweat the small stuff. Just nail the big stuff. Like making sure your kids are buckled correctly in the right seat for their age and size.
Starting point is 00:44:05 Learn more at nhtsa.gov slash the right seat. Visit nhtsa.gov slash the right seat. Brought to you by Nitsa and the ad council. Now, you know I don't like big favorites, but I took the Buccaneers against the Bears. I was right. I took the bills against the dolphins. I was right, albeit barely. The one big number I was interested in this week is Dallas minus nine and a half hosting Denver.
Starting point is 00:44:30 Denver makes a big trade. I think that has a negative effect on the locker room. When the Texans moved off Mark Ingram, look how bad the Texans looked against the Rams. Part of me thinks that Vaughn Miller move is a seasons done. I would take Dallas here minus nine and a half. I know it's a big number, but I still think they're undervalued. Two teams in the NFL. Last 20 bets, chiefs are 5 and 15 against the spread.
Starting point is 00:44:59 They're overvalued. We can't unsee their spectacular nature the last two years. We also can't unsee Dallas disappointing us for 15 to 20 years. They've hit, what are they, 7 and 0 against the spread. I think Dallas blows them out. That's probably the big game I'd go with, Sharper Square. It's really hard to get. sharps behind a big number. It's really hard to get sharps behind a Dallas Cowboys team that has
Starting point is 00:45:27 yet to lose against the spread. And by the way, they didn't lose against the spread when they went from being about two and a half point favorites to being three point underdogs. Like they still covered against the spread. This is a great stat for you. Since 1990, there are, have been two teams that have started the season, 8 and no, against the spread. 2007, New England Patriots, 2021, Dallas Cowboys, 8 and no. Kansas City, 2018, went 7 and 0. Tennessee, 2008, went 7 or no. So you have to ask yourself, does Dallas continue to have these sort of opportunistic moments, or is there a regression to the mean? And really, is there a regression on
Starting point is 00:46:19 them continuing to cover against the spread. If you're a good team, the expectation is you go like 10 and 6, this year 11 and 6 against the spread. The Cowboys are trending so high against the spread that you almost have to start bending against them just because there's going to be that kind of regression. I know, but it's a different year. It's a totally different year. And it's just these guys, it's target practice out there for quarterbacks and receivers. And the Cowboys actually are playing incredibly well on defense. And so from a sort of chase the ball perspective, right, from a creating turnover's perspective. And even then, the Broncos have been anemic offensively. So I can't hate on it. I'm just saying it's not like a sharp play.
Starting point is 00:47:10 That was pretty good. These are Fandul numbers, by the way. Am I supposed to say that or not? I don't even know. I really don't know. Sometimes we got a lot of people. I got a lot of people, a lot of mouse to feed. You do. You do. What happens? You know, today, though, I got home, I worked out, and I went and bought a dozen cigars. And I do this about once a week. And I make myself once a week smoke a cigar, contemplate life, and be grateful for my life. And it was today, as I said to myself, you had a winning, blazing five week. Things are going well. The stock market's up. And so I'm very grateful. I will be more grateful if I have another winning week on Blazing Five. But I got to be honest with you. Right now, despite the fact that
Starting point is 00:48:05 your son broke his leg, in a weird way, that means he may not have as much fun as a freshman in college. And you could be actually, the positive spin on this is you may have gotten him out of trouble. Listen, I don't know if it was possible for anybody to be having more fun. I feel so bad for the kid that like he's being taken out of his social life for the next four, six, eight weeks, whatever it is. But my question is, don't you say to yourself every day how grateful you are? Like today, today I had to go to the doctor's office, right? And I had an appointment and she was taking my blood pressure. And she said, how you do? And I said, I'm great. And like she goes, I go, how you doing? She goes, I got a job. My car started. I got a house. I'm like, it doesn't
Starting point is 00:48:55 take that much to be happy. Like, how could you not be grateful every day? You should be doing this at least once a day, not once a week. Well, it's funny. This is, you know, I've said this before. The media covers plain crashes, not plain landings. So the media by and large is pursuing and seeking bad news. Yep. And I do think it's important. And sometimes I just shut my phone off. And the media is, nobody cares about plane landings. So I do think there is value sometimes turning off the news and social media. And it does make me happier.
Starting point is 00:49:33 You ever lose your phone for like six hours? And you're like, oh, life was fine. I really got through it. I had a cupcake. I napped. And it's like, you know, I didn't look at Drudge Report for six hours or Huffington Post. I'm good. Listen, I could go for hours on how irresponsible I feel like the headlines have been.
Starting point is 00:49:55 And I am not a media basher in any way. But I do think the coverage of COVID, the coverage of politics, the coverage of just about anything that is not hard news. That isn't something that is a fact that is verifiable and proven. in, right? But the way things are perceived about COVID, the way things are perceived about politics, you read a headline, it is specifically designed to incite you. And I don't care if it's in the New York Times or Fox News. They're both guilty of it. And they both do it and they both play to their audiences. And I know they can say we're fair and balanced. I know they can say,
Starting point is 00:50:38 you know, that's not how we play it. But you read the headline and then you read the story and that's what happens. And it's astonishing to the point where I can't even read the news anymore because it's so frustrating to see how everything is framed. All right, buddy. Good seeing you. See you, brother. That's Chad Millman.
Starting point is 00:51:03 At the Volume Sports, please go to our YouTube page and subscribe. We really appreciate it if you subscribe. There's a lot of good stuff on there. Also, Instagram, rate review, subscribe. Follow us on Twitter too. I want to thank everybody who supports the volume. Jay Boy, Jenkins and Jones, Chris Mannix, John Middlethoff, all had record months. You don't care about that. I do. But I do appreciate you following us. I got to tell you something. I'm going to sleep on that. Bingles Browns pick. I'm going to sleep on that. I really love the Bengals.
Starting point is 00:51:41 and I think Millman just talked me out of it. God, I hate when he does that. Talk soon. Volume. Get right to the romance and find the way to wow this valentines with 1,800flowers.com. From classic roses and bouquets to decadent chocolate-covered berries, gourmet treats, and more.
Starting point is 00:52:16 Surprise your Valentine with 1-800flowers.com. Right now, get the 18-stem enchanted rose medley for $3999, or upgrade to 24 red roses for $10 more. Go to 1,800flowers.com slash tune in. That's 1,800flowers.com slash tune in. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier.
Starting point is 00:52:46 This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving. for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast. From 1979, that was a big moment for me. Eighty-four was big to me. I'm Sam Jay and I'm Alex
Starting point is 00:53:12 English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it with our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. I mean, it was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win.
Starting point is 00:53:38 I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Cliver Show. This is a place for raw, unfills of conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it.
Starting point is 00:54:01 Listen to the Clifford show on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential.
Starting point is 00:54:21 Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.

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