The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Rams Bury The Niners, Belichick One And Done? Sharp Or Square - Betting NFL Week 15!

Episode Date: December 13, 2024

Colin reacts to the Rams outlasting the 49ers in a sloppy, rainy Monday Night Football game! He points out that Brock Purdy proves to be just “a guy” when the Niners don't have their full compliment of weapons to injuries, and when contrasted with Matt Stafford… doesn’t have the same franchise quarterback appeal (3:45). He also shovels dirt on the 49ers season and explains why the team needs a rebuild. He explains why he believes that Bill Belichick will only coach one year at UNC after it was revealed his contract buyout is only $1 million dollars after year one (10:45). Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network and host of “The Favorites” podcast, joins Colin for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice for week 15 of the NFL slate plus a look ahead at college football! Then the pod goes completely off the rails with some UFO talk! 22:15 - Bills vs Lions 25:30 - Steelers vs Eagles 28:30 - Broncos vs Colts 32:00 - Packers vs Seahawks 34:00 -Bears vs Vikings 36:00 - Titans vs Bengals 38:00 - Browns vs Chiefs 45:00 - Ohio State vs Tennessee  47:45 - Belichick’s outlook at UNC 55:00 - UFO Theories Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates!  #Volume #Herd  See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.

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you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy. Not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel. Help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the ice. Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where SportsSlice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to Sports Slice on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slicelife 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged.

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All right. Instant reaction. We have all sorts of stuff. I'm going to give you about 12 to 15 minutes on the Rams, Niners, and some Belichick thoughts. Something was uncovered tonight that's fascinating. Chad Millman. Sharper Square. We're going to also talk Belichick and UFOs. You know, why not? So the Rams beat the 49ers 12 to 6. So the first thing is, I stayed away from this game. I wouldn't touch it. I could have done a draft king's bet. And I said, there's too many injuries, weather shaky. And the Rams just played a flawless football game against Buffalo. Then you got to get on a plane Wednesday, fly to your rival division game. Like, added no. I just, I knew the Rams we're going to be off.

You cannot play a game against a team like Buffalo, a high-stakes game, and be flawless. Even with men, this isn't college, but to go on the road against your rival, Green Law's back, Bosa played, so they won and you have to be healthy. But they won, and you have to be happy. But here's the thing. So all these wide receivers, do you know Tyree Khill, Jemar Chase, and Debo Samuel's record this year? 17 and 23. Top five rushing teams are all right now in the playoffs.

You've got to be careful with diva wide receivers. Debo wants the ball. Oh, Debo can't catch the ball tonight on an underneath route where he had a chance to peel off a huge play, potentially a touchdown, and they settled for a field goal. You could clearly see the Niners trying to appease Debo and get in the ball and force it. I like him better as a running back than a receiver anyway.

I think his yards after the catch and his running ability is much greater than his separation ability. I think he's become sort of a banged-up poor man, Dan Kwan Bolden that doesn't separate, but he's physically tough and a nice player. But this is, so you have young Brock Purdy, you know, doesn't want to lose Debo. Iyuk's already out for the year. Trent Williams, Christian McCaffrey hurt. So Debo picks the worst time to, you know, be high-maintenant. Because, you know, Purdy's young. He doesn't have Iyuk. You know, Kittle is tremendous. But a lot of teams now are taking him out and spending a lot of coverage on him. So they force

the debo, and this is what you get. Biggest game of the year for the Niners, 197 total yards. You know, and Brock Purdy in 13 starts, everybody talks about him getting paid big money. It's a big mistake. I don't buy it. I never have. Doesn't have Christian McCaffrey, doesn't have Trent Williams. In 13 starts this year, 15 touchdowns, nine picks. And you want to pay him $55 million? The minute you take away as best players, he is a guy. He didn't get passed by everybody in this draft. You know, during Tom Brady's run, there were more sleepers. You'll find occasional sleepers, but scouting departments now are much more sophisticated. You know, in Brady's era, you didn't have all the YouTube stuff. You didn't have the ability to see some.

of these college games. They're all on television now. It's just really hard to hide people. Staffs are bigger. Scouting departments are bigger. There's just more sophistication. You know, Brock Purdy dropped to the seventh round. He's small. He doesn't have a big arm. He's athletic, but not special. Hands are a bit small. You know, and you're watching a guy that when you lose people, what do you get? And conversely tonight, Matt Stafford, very, very rough first half. I mean, it was like the Niners defense had the Rams playbook. They knew where he was. He was just trying to beg him to throw an interception.

And yet, he showed exactly why he's a real franchise player on those big drives late third, early fourth quarter, using his feet two or three times, ducking out of stuff. Really big third down throw. I wrote this big third down throw to Colby Parkinson late. Whereas pretty previously in the fourth quarter had a really, really ugly. end zone pick. You saw the real separation here. Rams short week of a highly emotional game on the road division rival. Neither team has their fastball. Stafford in the second half after a shaky first really made all the big throws. And because the coaches are both great, the offensive lines are good, not great. And that's the separation between the two. Yeah, I'm looking at this. Two big

drives, Stafford in the second half, that's the ball game. And people think I'm anti-Purty. No, but somebody's got to pop the balloon on this nonsense. I think Purdy is a less athletic Dak. Now, Dak, after his second surgery here, is going to be even less athletic. He lost mobility after his first surgery. He'll be less athletic. You're seeing what it's doing to Aaron Rogers. You're seeing what it's doing to Kirk Cousins. He's younger, but he won't be the same. And this is what holds the Cowboys back. They're paying a B quarterback A plus money. If you pay pretty A minus money, he's a B quarterback. You just don't want to get into that space. Pittsburgh will probably pay Russell Wilson. They're going to pay him B quarterback money. Darnold could be franchise tag for

$40 million, $41 million, but that's B quarterback money. And I've said this. I wrote the Niners obituary three or four weeks ago. I don't think this is a tweak. I don't think it's a tweak. I think both Iyuk and Debo are now pretty verbal. Neither seems terribly happy. Kittles terrific, but he's a tight end. He is aging. Trent Williams doesn't have much left on the tires. So I think they have to rebuild both offensive lines.

And conversely, the Rams are really well coached. I said outside of the Lions, I'm not sure there's a team in the league that has a better offensive head coach, quarterback, star running back and two elite receivers. And they're doing it without Tyler Higgsby, their top tight end, who is coming back soon. So as the Rams offensive line has gotten healthier

over the last month, Stafford's been exceptional. You noticed that tonight he had better protection. Now they're getting their tight end back to go along with Colby Parkinson and David Allen. So all of a sudden now, the Rams are healthy down the stretch. And I think they can play with anybody.

Now, their defense, they're a little like the Packers. They feel like they're a tad young. The Packers are young on offense. The Rams feel a little young on defense, and they still need a number one corner in the draft. But this is a real Rams team, and I think they solidified their playoffs tonight. It's a quarterback coach league, and nothing against Shanahan, but he's got Purdy, and Stafford and McVeigh are another level. So congratulations. So I want to add this because this came down tonight.

So Chad Milman and I talks in Belichick. but I didn't have this information. So I made the prediction today on FS1. I said, my take is Bill Belichick, easy schedule Carolina, is going to win eight or nine games and maybe get to the playoff, but get to a big bowl. But I don't necessarily think he'll coach in that bowl. I think Belichick is going to get irritated.

His coaching and his structure and the personnel with Mike Lombardi will be fine. I don't think those guys are long-term fits at the college level. They've got a very Charlie Weiss field, but even more blunt. And Belichick's got so much power. And because Lombardi's his friend, Lombardi's got power. I think it could be pretty rough. They're pretty terse, blunt, you know, outspoken guys, both very, very talented. I know Mike Lombardi is very talented guy.

And I wish I'm both well. But it comes out tonight. Belichick's deal has a buyout of only $1 million. and he can leave after June 1st this year. Now, he's not going to, duh. Nobody hires a coach after June 1st, obviously. But I said today, I think he's going to coach one year and go back and get an offer in the NFL. And I think he's going to hand it over to his son.

So there's some things that will come out in the contract. And I do think Bill wanted the bear's job. They're not interested. I think he's really interested in the Jacksonville job. They're not interested. Mike Brabel, by the way, and I talked to Mike Brable for about 15 minutes this morning, and I'm not going to give out a lot of details of that. But, you know, one of the things I told Mike, I said,

you're now the number one candidate. I'm just not sure there are any jobs worthy of your coaching ability. I think next year is a much more interesting year. If you look at Zach Taylor, Cincinnati, I think he'll retain it. his job. I'm not sure if he'll retain it. If the Bengals have another season like this, keep your eye on that. I think Mike McCarthy will keep his job potentially, and so will Brian Dable, but both the Giants with a Shador Sanders at quarterback and the Cowboys could have openings. I think the openings this year, too many impulsive, odd ownership executive areas, jets,

bears, Jacksonville. But Belichick, say it again, I set it on the air today. I think he'll stay one year and bolt. His contract, he could bolt after June 1st this year. He's not going to, but my prediction, he'll leave after one year. And Bill Parcell's twice did broadcasting, bolted, told people, I'm going to stay bolted. Bill's a coach. Sean Payton stayed for a year. Loved it. I mean, Sean really loved working as an analyst. He left. Bill Belichick's coach. And I do think he'll, I mean, I saw and talked at length today about the schedule at North Carolina. The ACC is so bad. I mean, it's, he gets Clemson at home. There's not another game that he can't win. Syracuse on the road could be a little dicey. But, so it's just interesting. In order for that to be in the

contract, Bill Belichick demanded that it was in the contract because as I told you, Jimmy Sexton, the top agent in college football, he's not sending his top clients there. And Belichick's not represented by Jimmy Sexton. So this is not a very highly coveted. job because the push and pull between kind of academics and football, the chancellor, I think it's always been a little bit of a sleeping giant, but it's had some good years with Mac Brown the first time and Mac Brown the second time. But to get that in the contract, you wanted it in the contract and demanded it be in the contract. Okay. I've never seen a contract stipulation like that that he could leave basically after June 1st. And again, he's not leaving

this year. That's never what I said. But I do my prediction, will leave after one year. He would deny that, obviously, but college football is, I mean, you're seeing on a weekly basis, guys that love college football, young coaches, talk about how frustrating the portal, the lack of regulations, and the NIL is. I still contend the NIL should have about an $18 million salary cap. NFL's got one. Otherwise, you're going to get a separation of Texas ban, 40 million and Purdue spending three. I just, it will be, it will be, you know, even the disparity between the top and the bottom will be even greater than it is now. And it's pretty great now. So that's the latest. Congrats to the Rams.

Gutty win, Stafford and McVeigh. That's why you pay him the big bucks. Belichick's deal. That is a very interesting clause. One that he wanted or he wouldn't have fought for it. and one that North Carolina agreed with. North Carolina is telling you, hey, just bringing you on campus, getting the publicity, elevating our NIL from $4 million to $18 to $20 million, adding a professional structure to our program, hey, we appreciate it. We need that. The world's changing, and we're not ready for it. And if you're willing in one year, give us at least one full year. And I think, even though that's in the contract, I think it's understood Bill wouldn't bold. second. Nobody's higher on coaches then. All right, Chad Milman, here we go. Well, it's the most

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Bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources, see dkng.com slash B-ball. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news? Huge news. We created our own podcast called Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast?

Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts. We're starting a trend. But this one's extra special. So how did we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember.

I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Oh, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas,

and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, Not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends, me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier.

This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. The morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where SportsSlice comes in. I'm Timbo.

Every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real. From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, We break it down, give you context, and ask the questions everybody wants answered. Sports Slice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them.

Listen to Sports Slice on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Sliced Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Jacob Kingston grew up in an isolated polygamous sect. We were God's chosen kingdom on earth. He felt destined for greatness. So when a swaggering Armenian businessman catapults Jacob into an extraordinary world, he doesn't look back. Ferraris and Lamborghinis, private jets, meeting the president of Turkey. I'm Michelle McPhee, and this is one of the most shocking criminal conspiracies I've ever come across.

When Jacob met Levant, this went to a billion-dollar fraud. But with two kings from entirely different worlds, just how long can their empire survive. The largest tax investigation in American history. You need to tell me what you know. Is somebody coming after me? Jacob told Levan, you're ruining my life. Listen to Kingdom of Fraud on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. All right, time for another edition. We release this on Thursday night and a YouTube channel or Friday on the podcast Sharper Square. Chad Millman co-host of the favorites, all of our odds provided by Draft Kings. So last week, a lot of favorites were in favor for me and didn't necessarily do well.

I'm still surprised how the Rams played perhaps the most flawless half to game of offensive football by any team on the season. I was just watching some clips of it today, and they did everything right. Nobody dropped a pass. Ball never hit the turf. No holding. It was a thing of art. And it's interesting because now this week, you get the bills getting two and a half at the Lions. And I like the bills here because they're getting Kincaid, the tight end is healthy.

They're getting Coleman back. It was almost as if it was this sandwich game, even though it's McBay and Stafford. You know, Buffalo travels west. They know half the stadium is going to be theirs. They're looking at that Detroit game. game, even though it's not an AFC or a divisional game. And they had a couple of guys on the cusp that could play or not, and they elected not, and they got caught flat-footed when the Rams played a flawless game.

So I like Buffalo plus two and a half now, Sharper Square. Well, the line has moved from one and a half Detroit to two and a half Detroit. and I will tell you that the majority of betting tickets have been coming in on the Buffalo Bills. So when you see a line move that goes in the direction of one side that is opposite of where the betting tickets are, that's a reverse line move. And that size you the professional betters are on the lions. And they've been on the lines at one and a half and two. At two and a half, you start to see the pressure point.

you'll find an equal number who's still like the Lions at two and a half and they take it up to three and you'll find the number of wise guys who are coming in at two and a half on the bills and like the bills because they like Josh Allen. I will tell you, I'm a Lions backer in this game. I bet it at one and a half. I bet it at two. As healthy as the bills are starting to get with players coming back, this may be the healthiest the Lions have been in eight weeks. They could get a lot of guys back on the defensive line that has just been decimated over the past three to four weeks. Also, the Lions haven't played on the road

since November 24th at the Colts. They haven't played period for 10 days. You talk about the bills, they just had a gauntlet, right? They had the Chiefs. They had the Niners. Those were massive games for them, getting over huge humps.

They go on the road, have an intense, nearly perfect games. that just isn't perfect enough against the Rams. Now they've got to go on the road again against what might be the best team in the NFL and they could face them in the Super Bowl. So, you know, you're not wrong by betting the bills at two and a half. But if you said, I like the Lions, you'd be on the sharp side too. It's a pretty even split at this number, just at this number.

Okay, Steelers getting five and a half at the Eagles. And the reason I like this is because Pittsburgh's mostly been a pretty good team against the run. If you look at what the Eagles have decided to do since the buy, it is throw the ball less. Green Bay is doing this too. They are a run first team, as they should be. Their best player is Seque One. Their second best player is A.J. Brown. I think Pittsburgh can have some vulnerabilities against the pass.

But I don't think Jalen hurts from the pocket. I mean, A.J. Brown's not happy. He's only getting six and a half targets. Mike Tomlin is the best underdog coach in the league. four and a half points, these two don't play very often. It feels like a lot of points to a very good roster. Even if Pittsburgh lost, if Pickens plays, they have enough big play ability to backdoor cover. The line seems out of whack.

I'll take the Steelers Sharper Square. Yeah, it's sharp. And this is what we talked about on the Favorites podcast was, why isn't this number three? why isn't this number three and a half when the number is so out of whack, you either are being asked to do something that is too easy, which the books never do, or you feel like you're missing something. I don't know what we're missing here.

You just mentioned Tomlin is the best underdog coach in the league. Tomlin is the best underdog coach in a generation. Let's put this in perspective. You win 53% of your bets, you're an incredible sports better, right? That's what you're looking for. So when we talk about trends and we talk about analytics on certain opportunities and metrics and betting, if we can find a trend that is 56% against the spread over in historically relevant period of time,

you tend to want to play that if all the other factors are in your direction. Tomlin, he's 60 plus percent in just about every category as an underdog. You say, all right, between three and seven, two key numbers. 67%. You say on the road as a dog, 64%. Like you can't name a category where he's not 60 plus percent. And then if you look at the matchup too, you mentioned Sequin, right? The Eagles are the only team in the NFL that is running the ball at a higher percentage than they're passing the ball. And I would not think, oh my God, Jalen Hertz and A.J. Brown, there's, you know, strife and now they're getting along again. It doesn't mean that Kellan Moore is going to change this offense

and all of a sudden try to make it so AJ Brown is getting more and more touches. This is who they are. Jalen Hertz is throwing the fewest passes in the NFL this year. So I would expect a low-scoring game. Wise guys are expecting a low-scoring game. That plays to the advantage of the team

that is more than a field goal underdog. So, yeah, that's the sharp side. I like the Broncos minus four, both teams off a buy. I think Denver's got a really good defense. Now, again, James Winston, I think you can beat it down the field. That's not really what the Colts do. I think, I think there are ways to score on virtually every team in this league. And I think Cleveland is one of those weird, bad teams that can be highly productive throwing the ball down the field. But it should be noted in that game. Denver eventually got pick sixes and turn the game around with their defense. I think Anthony Richardson is struggling with Shane. Stiken. Look what Shane Stuyken did with Gardner Minshu.

Okay. Shane Stuyken, as a rookie with Justin Herbert, set records, made Jalen Hertz an MVP-level player, and he's pretty average from the pocket. That passing game is limited, and I think it's limited because Anthony Richardson may not be a pro-starting quarterback. I get an experienced coach, an excellent defense, at home against the dome team, You know I love the number four. It's probably square, but I like Denver here. Give me Sean Payton, Shanahan, McVeigh, Reed, extra time, sharper square. Yeah, you know the answer.

It's totally square. Wise guys love the Colts here. It's been bet down. Was it four and a half? It's at four. It'll probably go down to three and a half. If you want to bet the Colts, get it now because it's only going to go in their direction. you're right about the Broncos coming off a buy,

and there is a lot of public sentiment on the Broncos right now. The last time anyone saw them, they were winning in dramatic fashion against the Browns, right? They were getting two pick sixes. They were covering with a miracle and interception in the end zone. The Broncos are covering by five points per game. Historically, teams that are covering by five points per game over the course of the season, once we get past week five,

only covered about a 44% clip against the spread. So there's one trend to help the cause of the cults. But also, I don't know that wise guys agree with you about Anthony Richardson. I think there's a little bit of Bryce Young sort of in the way he's come back from being benched since he's come back. Eighth rated passer, according to Pro Football Focus. fourth in big plays, according to pro football focus. Big play throws, according to pro football focus.

So it's not as bad as you would think. And I do think there's something key here. Remember what happened with the Browns against the Broncos in that primetime game. They didn't have Riley Moss a quarterback. They had William Vance. William Vance, he might still be giving up touchdowns to Jerry Judy as we speak.

Like he was getting torched in that game. Riley Moss is the only guy who didn't practice this week for the Broncos. So if he's not playing, I think that's a severely diminished defense, and it impacts what they can do all across the board. So there's trend reasons. There's inflation reasons. The line is just too high. The wise guys think.

And there's some matchup reasons. Packers Seahawks is a really interesting game. Packers like the Eagles have taken passing attempts away from Jordan Love in the last month. they're now a power run team that makes far fewer mistakes. But Green Bay is like a younger version of Philadelphia. They have just decided we're a power run team. We do have weapons over the top, but we're not going to let our quarterback throw more than like 22 to 24 times and we're going to reduce the errors. And when Green Bay does reduce the errors, they're really, really good football team.

I like Seattle. I still don't think they're an elite team. I think they're a playoff team maybe in a. OK division. I think Green Bay is absolutely a playoff team in an excellent division. I like Green Bay minus two and a half sharper square. A hundred percent sharp at two and a half. If it gets a three, it's a pass.

And if it gets to three, you know, the wise guys will probably want to bet on Seattle. But at two and a half, it's 100 percent the Packers for the reasons you just stated. And the most important thing, it's like playing SEC and the Mac. Right. The Packers are losing really close games and winning really close games in the best division in football. They are battle tested every single week. The Seahawks, they're winning a fluky game against the Cardinals a few weeks ago. Then they're getting the Cardinals in a class at Kyler Murray game last week. And they won a miraculous game against the Jets, which they should have lost, but they got Leonard Williams running a pick six back for, you know, 90-something yards. So they're a much better team since the buy and credit to their coaching staff and everything they've done and they've improved their defense significantly and their offense,

by the way. You know, Zach Charbonnet and what he did last week was a great match for how they want to build their running scheme. But the wise guys like the Packers here. It's just a, it's a better team. And by the way, Matt LaFleur is a wizard when it comes to covering the spread. It's very possible in 15 years of Matt LaFleur is still coaching the Packers. He's got Mike Tomlin-like stats as a favorite and as an underdog covering the spread. Okay, a game I want you to tell me where to go is Bears plus six and a half at the Vikings. So Minnesota is a really good team, but that game with Atlanta was tied going into the fourth quarter. I've seen them against teams like the Jags go 0 for five in the red zone.

It's a good team with a quarterback having a great year. But six and a half is a lot. It's a divisional game. And the Bears, before that disaster in the Bay Area, which was probably, easier to predict than I would have admitted. I do think they'll get back on track. I do think they have a very good roster. This is again, seems out of whack. Six and a half. I mean, I think it's, I honestly see it as a go-either-way game in the fourth quarter probably take the better coaching staff. But sharper square bears plus the points. So the bear, it's the sharp-ish play,

only because, and we talk about this all the time on the show, you want to get the best of the number. 24 hours ago, this game was 7 and a half. And then it went down to 7. And now it's down to 6.5. That alone tells you, Colin, that you're on the sharp side. If you're betting the Bears, the number has been moving in their direction. The line is way too inflated. And you're getting a very by-low on the Bears, sell high on the Vikings spot.

The Bears were a train wreck. They couldn't have looked any worse. They were out of it against the. the Niners in the first half, right? They had four total yards and they had five punts and the Niners had 319 yards. Whereas the Vikings, you're right, that game was tied and they really blew it open in the fourth quarter because of a couple bad plays and turnovers on the part of the Falcons, not because of anything magical that the Vikings did to run away with it, even though Sam Donald had an incredible game. But they have had their hiccups. Brian Flores' defense has not

been as good in the second half of the year as it was in the first half of the year. So yes, You're on the sharp side, but it's a caution. Know that if you're playing this number, you've given away some value. So I think the Titans getting four and a half with the Bengals. My prediction is that's the ugly game. I ask you every week for a game that I've missed. My guess is the Titans, a pretty good defensive team at home playing with pride. Against the Cincinnati team, you can just move the ball.

I mean, if not for a gaffe by the Cowboys special teams, we're going to over. time against a very mediocre Dallas team with Cooper Rush. Is Tennessee plus four and a half the side here? Is that the game I'm missing? Well, certainly it's a side. Like, it was at five and it's come down. So that tells you the wise guys are betting on the Titans because certainly the public isn't going to be betting on the Titans. It's a really tricky game. I haven't touched this game. A hundred percent, the value is on the Titans. It's not the game I was going to talk to you about. But the challenge here, you've basically got a one-dimensional bangles team, right? All they can really do is throw the ball to Higgins and Chase.

Joe Burrow Higgins, Joe Burrough's Chase. That's their game plan. They can't really run the ball. They don't have a screen game. They don't really have play action to speak of. All of those things that could slow down a better-than-average defense in the Titans, and they have no defense to speak of. The problem is, Will Levis, he's not any better than Cooper Rush, right?

He's got a better arm. Maybe he can fling it downfield further, but he couldn't even beat up on the Jaguars at home last week, despite so many opportunities. So you're kind of banking on the fact you're hoping that when there's an opening, Will Levis can convert. You're going to take the Titans because if you're a better, that's what you do. You bet the number. But know that you're playing with fire here because you're not just betting the number. Betton Will Levis. All right, tell me the game I missed.

You didn't talk about Cleveland and Kansas City. This number is dropped from six and a half to four and a half. So the Browns are the side. The Browns have been the side. The Browns are the side until it gets to about three and a half. And this one, you know, in the betting community, there's two things that are sort of scary right now. It's the frequency and regularity with which you can count on fading Patrick Mahomes when he's a favorite of more than three, and the frequency and regularity with which you can count on betting Mike Tomlin as an underdog.

I said, percentage-wise, if something is happening six out of ten times, which is basically what is happening with both of those categories, Tomlin is a dog, Mahomes is a favorite of more than three. it means that four times those bets are going to lose. This year they haven't been losing at all. And so wise guys know in this spot, the spot is to play Cleveland. But it's a little bit scarier because you keep waiting for the other shooter drop. A lot of guys, including myself,

thought it would happen last week against the Chargers. No J.K. Dobbins, no Ladd-McConkie, and it looked like it was going to. And then again, the Chiefs kind of fell apart because they have no protection in the offensive line. So the Browns pressure the ball, pressure the quarterback more than the chargers and are better at it. And meanwhile, the Chiefs, now they're signing guys off the street to play in the defensive backfield. And if you want to talk about a quarterback who could have a good time slinging it against a wonky defensive backfield, let's talk about James.

Now, are you potentially going to suffer a pick six that can ruin it for you? Sure. but the wise guys are willing to literally make that bet so they're playing Cleveland. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, name? Huge news.

We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys?

I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should. you'd call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this.

We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, people could call in and say, Hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or where, you get your podcast. Just listen.

We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day

and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends. on the IHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves, their locker room stories,

their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real. From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context and ask the questions everybody wants answered. SportsClyce brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to SportsClyce on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slicleaf 12 and the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not. not only legal, but encouraged.

It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts,

or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Heart, with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games. And in recognition of Mental Health Awareness Month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking.

Tripp Fontaine, Ryan Clark. Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase that we don't realize that we are in possession of the thing. And we're still chasing it, and we don't know when we've done enough. Because people scoreboard watch.

Life becomes about wins and long. Steve Burns, Dustin Ross, because you find it important to be a good person while you hear on earth? Or are you a good person because you're afraid? Because that's two different intentions, bro. Absolutely. And that's two different levels of trust. I want you to just really be a good person. Join me, Kear Gaines, is we have real conversations about healing, growth, fatherhood, pressure, and purpose on my new podcast.

Learn the Hardway. Open your free, Our Heart Radio app. Search Learn the Hardway and listen now. You know, I know the game. a couple of weeks away, but I think it's really interesting. The Ohio State hosting Tennessee first round playoff game to me is one of the more fascinating games ever. So you take a warm weather team from Knoxville. And everybody's having to wait for the playoff to start. That means the weather's getting uglier. My wife was in Chicago today and she's like, it is cold.

So you take a warm weather SEC team up to a superior roster, I believe, in Ohio. State, you get an Ohio State team that's got a little insecurity and lack of identity off a historically bad loss. So they'll play with incredible intensity and focus. You know Ohio State really is coming with their hair on fire. Yeah. And now, Ohio State's O line is the weak unit on their roster and the D line for the volunteers is the strength of their roster. The weather could play a factor. Ohio State's great asset is their vertical nature on the perimeter. It could be 38 degrees and windy. I looked at the forecast. Now it's 14 days out or 12 days or 10 days. I looked at it about four days ago and I'm like,

oh, it's going to be 41 degrees and wet. How does the betting community or have they looked at that game? Well, right now the number is seven and a half. People have been talking about it. I think there's a lot of circumstances still to go. I'm looking in the app. I'm looking in the right now, not a ton of action on the game at this point. And like this is so early, you can't really take anything of it. Majority of money and tickets are on Tennessee. I also think a weak spot for Ohio State is their quarterback. Like he's not sort of an elite passer who can take advantage of the talent they have the elite talent, you know, top round, first round draft pick talent. they have at Ohio State.

You and I have talked about Ohio State a lot, and Ryan Day. The AD came out today and said he supports Ryan Day. He wants Ryan Day to be back as the head coach. I think there's so much tension inside that community right now about not just beating Tennessee, but having to advance that his teams have shown up and played tight. In big games, they play tight. So if you're seeing the early numbers come in on Tennessee, I think it's partly a fade of Ryan Day's ability to have his team play loose

and take full advantage of the talent that they have on their roster. Let's talk about Belichick. I saw today an incredibly weak schedule next year. They have Clemson at home and then Syracuse on the road, but it screams 10 wins. They don't have a quarterback. The O-Line's a bit of a mess. he's bringing in Mike Lombardi to be like his GM.

They're going to use a pro model. I don't think high school recruiting will be, I don't even think they're going to fake it. I think it's going to be an 80-20 transfer portal team. I don't even think they're going to fake it because I don't really think this is a long-term proposition. In fact, I wouldn't be shocked if after a year Belichick moves back to the pro league and his son takes over. I really don't see this as a long-term proposition. I think the administration, the transfer portal, the fluid NIL, the needy donors, clueless administrators, angry lacrosse coach who's not getting attention.

I could see Belichick after a year saying, guys, I got nine wins, 10 wins, I'm back to the NFL. Over under six and a half, I thought was like, and generally I bet unders on future bets. Like this year, I took Denver and the over. the last year I took Rams in the over. I think there's about one gem. Three years ago, I took Minnesota. They became 13 and 3. So I got those right.

I also like Washington. But generally, there's about one great over a year. And then I just bet unders. Is the betting community reacting to all? Six and a half seems in a really, really weak conference seems weirdly low. Well, look, we're hours into this. There's no real reaction. if we're talking about North Carolina season win totals at six and a half because of Bill Belichick.

I agree with your theory. I agree with your premise. The one thing I would say is I think it's fascinating that he's doing this and the way he's talking about it as a treating it like a professional program. Yes. And bringing GMs in. He's basically getting the old band back together, right? from the Patriot circa, you know, 2005. I think it's fundamentally brilliant

because he's going to run it the way he said the other day on McAfee. Like he's going to run it like it to professional organization, which is what's driving a lot of the college coaches out. So this is a huge advantage for him. He's managing a salary cap. He's trying to bring in the best possible talent that are free agents within the college football

community. Like, this is what the guy has been doing for years and he will be able to do it in a way that at least for a year or two will have the shine of Bill Belichick, greatest coach ever. And there will be so many people who are high profile players who are going to be interested in seeing what that experience is like. Can he bradify anybody? I think it's great. So as a fun flyer, for sure, I would take over six and a half. You know, it's what's really interesting about this transfer portal. Dion Sanders, Brian Kelly, and Lincoln Riley have found this out. You could improve the talent in your roster, but it's very hard to improve chemistry when you're basically hiring one year to the pro players. Oregon, what's really interesting, Oregon got away with it,

but almost lost to Idaho and Boise State early. Now, by, and this is a program with excellent high school recruiting and a great staff. But if you go back to the first two games for Oregon, they were awful because they were moving around offensive line pieces. They, just on sheer talent, got away with it, LSU, and USC did not. Colorado did not eventually. So the transfer portal, even for the teams that win with it, I mean, Ohio State, Will Howard's not as good as they thought. He was passing against Big 12 teams. What do you know? Big Ten Defend. defenses are better. Big 10 stadiums are louder. Big 10 defensive coaching staffs are better. Will Howard looks really ordinary. He didn't at Kansas State. I watched them and thought it was a

great pickup. So it's interesting. The transfer portal, Belichick, though, has dealt with pro athletes. And that's essentially like Ole Miss, they just went and bought a pro team. And Lane Kiffin, by the way, that's why it's worked because he's got pro experience. So my guess is the personnel and coaching will work. I think that. the personality fit. You know, he's kind of a terse, northeast, confrontational guy. And, you know, these colleges,

forget the word woke, you know, they're a little PC and people, they're very tribal, people have their territory, and you walk in, it's not just the professors who are tenured, you have decade-old administrators. He does not care about that. He's not going to any volleyball gala.

He doesn't care. So I can see that really wearing him and UNC out in 18 months. So Seth Wickersham, who you've had on your show a lot, he's great. Brilliant writer at ESPN. He's a great story on ESPN.com today with a little bit of insight and insight info on the process and what the NFL was thinking about Belichick. And he did an amazing story when Belichick didn't get any jobs about it seemed like

GMs and owners were kind of dancing on Belichick's grave a little bit. bit and the fact that he didn't get any offers and the Falcons saying he wasn't even in their top three of candidates at the end of the day after the interview process. So to me, this feels like, and he pointed out, Belichick has a reverence for teaching. And, you know, the book that Haberstam wrote, David Haberstam wrote about Belichick and Seth wrote all about this. I'm just cribbing from his story was called the education of a coach. His dad was essentially, his professor, right? And so I do think there is something for Belichick

about going to college and being able to shape people from the beginning. Remember, he was drafting guys that he could turn into Super Bowl champions. Chuck Knoll. The Chuck Knoll way was draft guys who you can mold, who can turn into the players you want them to be,

who don't have bad habits, right? I wrote a whole book about this, about the Steelers and the Cowboys rivalry, and Chuck Knoll was brilliant at this. So Belichick going to college, even if he's getting guys from a transfer portal, if you're going to play for Belichick, you want a certain style of coaching

and you want to know what it takes to get the NFL, you are going to be listening to what Belichick and whoever he puts on staff with him will be sent. You will be moldable, you will be coachable. And I think if you're North Carolina, you know what you're getting, and you're staying out of the way. And if it's a year,

if it's two years, whatever it is, you're not going to get gruff from tenured professors. You're not going to get gruff from people who don't care about football and are annoyed at the attention he's getting. You know what you're getting with Bill Belichick and you're going to suck it up and accept it. And he's going to bring you victories and shine to your football program until he decides to go back to the NFL and get down Shulahua's record. By the way, before we go, there's been a lot of UAP and UFO sightings in New Jersey. So I have, I always have, I don't believe in UFOs. What I do believe is that our government lies to us, often to protect us from adversaries or to hide, suppress information to hide technology. They did this with a stealth for years.

So I basically think these are super drones that we're experimenting with. Our government is experimenting with and they put them in a high, you know, a location with a lot of media. media, by the water, and to see the reaction from people and see how they look, how people react. They're super drones, drones that our government's been working on, and they probably 150 miles offshore, probably release them. You know, one of our, you know, giant jets goes out there, government jets, and releases 10 into the sky. And they, you know, they play around for a while. And then they come back, go back offshore. That's my guess. guess on what it is. If you had to guess, is the world ending or is it some international or

government program? Dude, there's a lot to unpack there. And believe it or not, I have so many theories on this. I think about this so much. Number one, I am essentially a P. Dumer. I do believe that there is a point in the not too distant future, 100 years, 200 years, I don't know, in which the world will come to an end because of some catastrophic, whether it's technological, environmental moment, right? Number one. Number two, I also agree the government, oftentimes will be screwing around with us in some kind of program. I'm not like a, you know, deep government, dark government conspiracy theorist. I don't believe there are people who are actively trying to manipulate outcomes and all those kinds of things, I am, I 100% believe

there is alien life and there is intelligent life that is working at a higher capacity with more intellectual capacity than humans. And for all we know, they could already be here. It could be sharks, right? How arrogant do you have to be to, to, not think that there could be somebody higher on the intellectual food chain than us. We have explored so little of the galaxies to understand what intelligent life is. And like, Carl Sagan is one of the most brilliant people who ever lived. He believed that there would be some form of intelligent life and that there is some form of intelligent life outside of known humanity, if he believes that I believe it.

But how do we know they're smarter? I think there's something out there, but how do we know they don't have the IQ equivalency of like the Jersey Shore cast? Well, number one, don't discount those Jersey Shore folks because they have made a killing. Like, they have really figured out how to be bankable. Number one, number two, we don't know that. But then you have to ask the other question, how do we know they're not? smarter. I think it's a better story that they're super geniuses. I think it's, I think it's a better story. Well, it also could be true. Like, we want to believe, like, that you're right, the narrative, the science fiction of it all is that they're out there, they're smarter, they're going to come

to Earth, they will attack us, they will destroy us, they will use us as puppets, you know, all the independence day philosophies, all that kind of stuff. stuff, here's what I'm saying to you. Are they here already? That's the question. Why are we so arrogant is to believe that they're not already here? How do we know they're not sharks? I don't, I don't think it's arrogant. I think if we saw them or we had things that led us to believe they were here, that we would believe it. But I think there are so many, there's so many gryptors on the internet that are bored out of their mind. And there's been so many obviously inauthentic or fake UFO videos that most people are appropriately cynical. I think I'm appropriately

cynical. There are more videos now than ever. I have seen some in the last two or three weeks. There was the Panicom video, the TikTok based TikTok basically over the Pacific, which is, you know, it's hard to explain. And those were really genuinely perplexed fighter pilots, you know, and they're up in the sky. So that stuff's, you know, that's obviously something. It could be China. And this stuff in New Jersey, I mean, you can tell when somebody's faking it, and you can tell

when it's a husband and a wife having a margarita, and they're like, what the F is that? And they're just laughing. You know, you can tell when it's real and when it's posers. But I tend to go back to, I think it's a government. plane, 150 miles offshore, releasing super drones and just looking for the reaction, how visible, how does our government track them? I think our government does a lot of testing. Our military does testing. The Pentagon does testing. And they just don't tell us. Yeah, but I agree it could be super drones and things like that. I don't think it's because they're trying to test for a reaction.

I think they're probably trying to test for whatever militaristic use there is for something like this and how they can be deployed. That is separate from. there is some kind of alien life probably living among us right now. I just, I believe it. And if it's not here yet, it's out there somewhere and it could be more intelligent than us. It might not be. I don't mind listening to your theory and subscribing to that either. But I'm telling you, we're not alone.

Colin, we're just not alone. And I'm okay with it. I'm totally okay with it. I'm like, there's plenty of room. Like, I don't subscribe to the theory that they have to be after us and they want to be controlling us. We can all peacefully coexist. I love love. Why can't we all just get along?

Listen, I was, there's a man that has died three separate times and come back to life. He's all over the internet. You know, and he goes against the grain and says there is no hell. I've experienced it three times. What you do is go through the most. of your life and your bad interactions and when you were rude and when you were mean. And that is the hell that you have to revisit those situations when you were unkind and unwelcoming. There is no fiery pit. It's a series of confrontations looking back at yourself and the moments you

misstepped. And that is punishment. And it's painful. And I hear that and I think, now that seems much more realistic to somebody who's died, been unconsciously. three different times and come back to life. So one of the things I've always thought about, if there is life beyond us, I think they would enter, I think they would enter and house themselves in the water because it's the one part of this planet. First of all, it's the largest part. It's the most unexplored part. There's not as many telescopes facing down is up. And it is basically uninhabited. It's easier to hide. And you can travel very well. You know, submarines everywhere. So I always thought if there was another society, that's where you'd hide. And that's so when I see

videos, they're often near the water. You don't see, you see them so often on coastlines and Virginias and New Jersey's and California's in Mexico. And it's like, what's the theme? You don't see them in Ottawa. You see them near water. You don't see them in, I mean, you really don't. You don't see them in Kansas very much. So that leads me to believe there is some water connection. I got two things to say to you. Number one, that guy in the internet who's talking about hell, died three times, 100% an alien. Number two, I'm telling you, underwater, I agree, it's the sharks. I'm just saying, the sharks, they could just be alien. life forms.

I'm going to have to sleep on that one. Okay. Get back to me. Sharper, sharper square chat. Millman, could see anybody. All right, brother. I'll talk to you later. The volume.

Hey, guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it, but, you know, tired and sick, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.

Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel. help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes.

Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports

and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source the athletes themselves. Their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to Sports Slice on the Iheart Radio app,

Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Sliced Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. others say it's unleashing human potential.

Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Michelle McPhee, and I've been unraveling the strangest criminal alliance

I've ever reported on. a Mormon polygamist and an Armenian businessman. Multi-million dollar house, Ferraris and Lamborghinis, private jets, a billion dollar fraud. But how long can this alliance last? Tell me what you know. Is somebody coming after me?

Listen to Kingdom of Fraud on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human.