The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - Sharp or Square

Episode Date: September 20, 2024

Colin’s joined by Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network, for a round of “Sharp or Square,” to help provide Colin with the sharpest betting advice for Week 3 of the NFL! They ...also try to make sense of Titans coach Brian Callahan chewing out quarterback Will Levis publicly and who truly made the decision bench Panthers quarterback Bryce Young. 3:00 - Bears vs. Colts 5:30 - Vikings vs Texans 7:30 - Eagles vs Saints 9:30 - Broncos vs Bucs 11:30 - Falcons vs Chiefs 14:30 - Cardinals vs Lions 17:00 - Cowboys vs Ravens 26:15 - Chargers vs Steelers 26:45 - Titans vs Packers 28:15 - Jaguars vs Bills 30:00 - Panthers vs Raiuders 31:30 - Browns vs Giants 33:30 - Brian Callahan rips Will Levis 37:00 - Did David Tepper demand Bryce Young’s benching? (Timestamps may vary based on advertisements.) Follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates!  #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.
Starting point is 00:00:23 Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.
Starting point is 00:00:42 Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast.
Starting point is 00:01:06 From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84 was big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s.
Starting point is 00:01:22 84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th.
Starting point is 00:01:41 You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifers Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to the Clifford show on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes,
Starting point is 00:02:06 follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to Learn the Hardway with your favorite therapist and host, Kear Games. This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing.
Starting point is 00:02:25 How many men carry a suit or armor? It signals to the world that you not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen to learn the hard way on the AHA radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. The volume. Football seasons here.
Starting point is 00:02:46 Only one place I go for tickets. And it's game time. You know that. Game time has a new feature called GameTime Picks makes getting tickets for your favorite live events even easier. Game Time Picks filters your favorite live events even easier. out the fluff to show you only incredible deals on great seats so you don't have to waste time searching through thousands of tickets. Just click on the event. You want to attend and Game Time shows
Starting point is 00:03:10 you the super deal and I get the best bang for my buck. Easy. Take the guesswork out of buying tickets with Game Time. Download the GameTime app very quick 90 seconds. Create an account and use the code Colin for 20 bucks off your first purchase. Terms apply. Again, create the account. The Redeem code is C-O-L-I-N for $20 off. Download game time today. What time is it? Game time. All right, time for Sharper Square, my buddy, Chad Milman, C-C-O- Action Network, all of our odds provided by Draft Kings. So I'm going to start with one of my strongest plays. There's a difference between struggling, but competent and struggling. The Bears plus one and a half at the Colts. I had a general manager this week in the league told me he looked at Anthony Richardson's film and said, Colin, it's as bad as
Starting point is 00:04:02 anything I've ever seen from a starting quarterback. Greg CoSell told Ross Tucker on his podcast, and he's not prone to hyperbolic statements. He's missing high school throws badly. The bears have been close. The bears have had moments. The bears have a quarterback who is a franchise quarterback. We don't know yet with Anthony Richardson. If you're struggling with Shane Stuyves, to the point, can't hit stuff in the flat. You know, once Keenan Allen comes back, I think the Bears will be much better. Anyway, I think Bears plus one and a half is the play here against a wobbly Colts offense, sharper square. So it is the sharp side.
Starting point is 00:04:43 The line has moved in that direction, right? It started at two is now down to one and a half. So the wise guys have been coming in on the Bears. For me personally, it's not going to be a spot. Everyone I talked to, clear division on this. Not because of the Bears and not because of Anthony Richardson, but because of the spot for the Bears and the spot for the Colts. Anthony Richardson at home has been better than Anthony Richardson on the road. True.
Starting point is 00:05:16 The Colts got smacked by the Packers and their run game. Everybody knew that's what they were going to do. and everybody knows, that's what the Colts cannot stop. The Bears don't have a run game at all. And the Bears defense, meanwhile, they are great in past coverage. They are great rush in the past. They are top five in both, according to pro football focus. They are terrible against the run.
Starting point is 00:05:43 And that is what the Colts will need to do in order to win this game. And by the way, they are desperate for a win right now. I do think that Shane Stuyken is a better coach than Matt Eberfuss. I do think that what he can draw up for Anthony and Richard is better than what the bears can draw up for Caleb Williams right now. So it's a very tricky game. The wise guys took the two. It's down to one and a half.
Starting point is 00:06:05 You're sharp. But it's not like there's a boatload of confidence on this sharp play. We talk about regression to the mean. I love Sam Darnell, but I do not believe he's an MVP of this league. The Texans only have to give up two. They are two and oh and haven't played particularly well. they're a young team. Young teams tend to get better. I'm going to take Texans minus two. The Vikings slow down a little.
Starting point is 00:06:31 At some point, no Jordan Addison, T.J. Hawkinson banged up. They'll pay a price for that sharper square. Yeah, and this one, you're totally square. Like the wise guys have been all over the Vikings in this game. It's moved off of a key number. I think they've been really impressed with what Brian Flores has done. Defensively, C.J. Stroud has not been as great. good on the road as he has been at home. We even saw it in some of the struggles that he had in week one against the Colts where they needed some help covering that game. So I think the challenge here is people are trying to figure out, is Sam Darnold for real? And I have been saying this for about a year. I don't think Kevin O'Connell is getting enough credit as being a really good
Starting point is 00:07:20 coach. You know, we go back two years, three years, when he and Dayball were both rookie head coaches. Dayball gets all the credit for being a great coach. He wins coach of the year. He goes on the road to Minnesota. They beat Kirk Cousins in the playoffs at Minnesota. Kevin O'Connell sort of has looked at as, well, why didn't he beat Brian Dabal? Brian Dabon might be better. And then last year, Kevin O'Connell has these quarterbacks that he is rotating in and out after Kirk Cousins gets hurt and keeps this team in contention for the playoffs. Now all of a sudden he's got Sam Darnold and this guy has looked all world, the first two games. You've got to give a lot of credit to Kevin O'Connell here,
Starting point is 00:07:59 which is another reason why the wise guys are backing the Vikings. I had a rant today. If you look, we always think quarterbacks are the most valuable people in the league, and they are. After that, I always thought Christian McCaffrey and T.J. Watt felt like they really helped their teams win. Numbers, however, this morning presented to me about A.J. Brown are stark. Jalen Hertz wins at a Mahomes level with him, a Mahomes level, 28 and 8.
Starting point is 00:08:26 Without him, he's a slightly better version than Justin Fields. A.J. Brown is out. The Saints are for real. It's a coordinator story. Philadelphia is on a short week. I do not trust the back end of that defense in a close game. I just don't. I think Kirk Cousins, I mean, it was honestly, it looked so easy.
Starting point is 00:08:50 medial for Atlanta. I would swallow the two and a half and take the saint sharper square. Well, not at two and a half. It's not very sharp at all. And we've talked about this. There's an old axiom in betting. You got to get the best of the number. You are not getting even close to the best of the number right now. In fact, you're getting the absolute worst of the number. You could have had the Saints at plus two and a half plus three on Sunday night. There's basically been a six point swing in this game. So there's a couple factors here. Number one, you're going to get the Saints who are way, way overhyped so much inflation on the Saints right now. But you're also getting a team when the numbers flip, when a team goes from an underdog,
Starting point is 00:09:47 to a favorite. Historically, the new underdog is going to cover about a 55, 56% clip. So the percentages are better betting the Eagles right now, despite what you're seeing on the field. So the Broncos have had a tough open on the road for a rookie against Mike McDonald's defense and maybe the loudest stadium in the league. And then they face the Steelers, maybe the best defense in the league. Tampa now, they're getting six and a half. Tampa's beat up. Vita Via's out. Six and a half.
Starting point is 00:10:23 I mean, for, you know, Sean wants to win these games. These are the richest owners in the league. It'd be great to get a year to go three and 14, but he needs some doubles. This number just seems off to me. I'm going to take the Broncos plus six and a half against the buck sharper square. Now you're walking into, it's a field of knives.
Starting point is 00:10:42 It's so sharp. Colin, you better watch yourself. Because, yeah, the Broncos are the side here. And we have this thing called the luck rankings. I've talked about it on the show before. It basically gives you indicators of if all things were being equal and you took out sort of turnovers, fourth down conversions, lack of ability in the red zone.
Starting point is 00:11:06 The bucks are the luckiest team in the NFL. The Broncos are one of the least lucky teams in the NFL. And the Broncos have also faced some pretty good defenses up to this point. A lot of people are going to look bad against the Steelers defense, right? The Bucks, you look at that Lions game, sure, they beat the Lions at home. The Lions were one for seven with touchdowns in the red zone. They aggressively outgained the Bucks in yardage, yards per play. Jared Gough had a terrible game, but he was still moving the ball up and down the field.
Starting point is 00:11:45 just couldn't get it in the end zone. So you combine the challenges that the Bucks have defensively with their injuries with some of the factors that have inflated this line because the Bucks have looked good while also looking a little bit lucky. And that's why you get a wise guy play on the Broncos. I'm going to call for my big upset of the week. I'm going to take the Falcons plus three and a half against the Chiefs. Kansas City is missing. When I think one of the most underrated players in the league is Isaiah Pacheco. I think he is so vital to them as they're rebuilding this receiving core and Travis Kelsey is aging. He can disappear. They need a vibrant running game. And Isaiah Pacheco runs as hard as almost anybody in this league. I think Atlanta's for real. Atlanta's
Starting point is 00:12:30 offensive line against Philadelphia was decisive. This Atlanta team, you know, we sometimes because Kirk Cousins is, you know, he's as vanilla as sort of, you know, an envioling. Lope. He's just there's nothing, you know, he's a really proficient NFL quarterback and behind a good offensive line. This is the best of a line he's maybe played behind. It's pass and catch. And I just think they'll give him time without Pacheco. It's an uneven receiving cord, Hollywood Brownout. They don't quite know what worthy is. He's sort of a gadget player. Travis Kelsey has been invisible for the entire year. That number screwy. Falts. Alkins plus three and a half sharper square.
Starting point is 00:13:14 Totally sharp. The wise guys have been moving this. It was at four and a half, then to four, now to three and a half. Would not be surprised if it gets down to three. Two sides of the coin both telling the same story, which is Fade the Chiefs. On the one side, Patrick Mahomes as a favorite of more than three points, historically, he is under 500. Now, of course, Patrick Mahomes is almost always a favorite and oftentimes a favorite of more than three points. So there is some, you know, take that with a grin of salt, but it is the fact.
Starting point is 00:13:47 Number one. Number two, this offensive line is in trouble. They have injuries. They are sitting starters. They have guys who are causing too many penalties. Like you said, there are still some questions at the receiver positions where she rice, great. But outside of that, what is your downfield threat? We haven't seen it for more of the other than some really cool trick plays. Pacheco, I think, is a massive problem being out. And the whole, hasn't looked that good, right? You look at the Chiefs, the Ravens, a shoe-toe away from being in that game and tie-in that game. You look at the Bengals, a fourth-down pass interference against a rookie. The Chiefs could easily be one-in-one or oh-and-two, right? So that's number one. Number
Starting point is 00:14:34 two, their rush defense, as great as Chris Jones is, their rush defense is amongst the worst in the league. we know the Falcons can run the ball. We just saw them do that against the Eagles, and even better than that, their right side of their line, especially their interior center and right guard, they are as good at run blocking as anybody in football. So now we're going to get the possibility
Starting point is 00:14:57 that Kirk Cousins could use some play action as he was able to do against the Eagles if they can set up Bejohn running against a pretty bad rush defense. You are correct with the white. Guys, Atlanta, plus three and a half. A team, and we sometimes, I sometimes am slow to acknowledge, I get confirmation bias. I make picks and I want to stick with them. I'm watching Arizona play.
Starting point is 00:15:25 They went to Buffalo, and for big chunks of the game, outplayed Buffalo, and I think Buffalo's pretty good. And then I watched them dismantle the Rams. Rams were beat up. But if you really look at their pieces, McBride, Marvin, Harry. Harrison, Connor, Kyler. They've been pretty good at pass blocking.
Starting point is 00:15:45 Detroit's not playing well. You know, there's the old saying strike when the iron's hot. Ben Johnson's not off to a good start. I've never trusted situationally in close games, Dan Campbell. I think he's a culture builder. I don't think he's schematically good.
Starting point is 00:15:58 He's a little like Mike McCarthy. There's things I like about him. Don't trust him in close games. Arizona's getting at home a field goal. I'm going to take Arizona, sharper square. Sharp-ish. You know, it's like the line is sort of exactly where it should be.
Starting point is 00:16:14 So there's no huge advantage. If the line had been at three and a half, you take it. If the lines at two and a half, maybe you play the lions. The big hesitation for the professional betters on this is the Cardinals defense. Everyone agrees what you just said about the offense. They think they can play with anybody, right? And we did see a lot of this against the bills in week one where they were blowing the bills out, right? but the defense slowly but surely let the bills back in the game.
Starting point is 00:16:43 And nobody looks at the bill's offense and says, oh, yeah, this is a powerhouse offense right now. It's Josh Allen. The problem with the Cardinals is if they make one mistake, how do they recover? We saw that with the bills. That, to me, is a better indicator of what this team is than what they did this past week against a completely beaten up Rams team. They made a mistake. The bills capitalized.
Starting point is 00:17:07 And then the bills ultimately really ran away with that game. I worry that the Cardinals don't have the defense that can recover against a mistake that the Cardinals' offense makes. And the Lions, while they are struggling, are still incredibly talented. And they are in a get right situation. So the wise guys like the home underdog almost always. But it's not like they're rush into the counter. Okay. There's always a game I want your opinion on.
Starting point is 00:17:35 and I sort of want you to talk me into it. So I like the Ravens against the Cowboys. You could say, well, Dallas was humiliated. Losing to the Raiders at home, Baltimore was humiliated. There are a lot of similarities with Dak and Lamar. They both have Super Bowl winning coaches, highly compensated, high profile. They win their division multiple times. The difference is Lamar is really good against good teams.
Starting point is 00:18:05 in the AFC against playoff teams in his career, he's 19 and 14. Dak and his career against the weaker conference against playoff teams is well below 50%. In fact, 40% of Dak's wins in his career. This is remarkable, are against the Giants in Washington. He's 23 and 4. In these big games, it's going to come down to two competent coaches. Both rosters have holes. I like Lamar in spots like this,
Starting point is 00:18:35 not Dak and Mike McCarthy, Sharper Square. This is a tough one. This line has been bouncing around, telling you that there's money coming in on the Ravens and then there's money coming in on the Cowboys. I can't give you a consensus. There is no consensus. If I looked at Action Network right now
Starting point is 00:18:54 and we have the split of number of tickets, like the amount of bets on a game and the amount of money on a game, you would see 50, 50, 50, 50, 50. Like, it is completely down the middle. And that's why the, that's why the game is lined at Ravens minus one. Everything you said about Lamar is true also. I think against the NFC, he is something like 20 and 1. Something like that. He's, he's great in this spot. There's no doubt about it. I think you've got two teams that are suffering from massive identity crises right
Starting point is 00:19:27 now. Defensively, the Ravens kind of don't know who they are, you know, without Mike McDon't without, I mean, Mike McDonald without Patrick Queen. Their secondary isn't as good as it was last year. They're struggling with their offensive line. Their run game, even with Derek Henry is is-ish. The Cowboys backfield, offensive backfield, might be one of the worst in the league. CD Lamb banged up has a bad ankle. What are the options if you don't have CD Lamb?
Starting point is 00:20:00 Their defense has no depth. Mikea Parsons is talking about he felt like he was in a maze against the Saints like it's a fun game to watch why do you have to have an opinion on it? You know what I mean? It's just a hard one to it's a really hard one to handicap. TD, Tuddy, taking it to the house,
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Starting point is 00:21:45 Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.
Starting point is 00:22:09 Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care which I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football,
Starting point is 00:22:26 or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated.
Starting point is 00:22:45 One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment. And the next, we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger.
Starting point is 00:23:01 So if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes. Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of tauntons and wampas on the ice planet hot, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two.
Starting point is 00:23:41 Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tapped Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to? do a little kill. Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam J.
Starting point is 00:24:03 And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but yeah, yeah, yeah. But just so y'all know.
Starting point is 00:24:22 I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS. on the table right now. Thank you for finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really?
Starting point is 00:24:37 Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to my new podcast, Learn the Hardway with me, your host, and your favorite therapist, Kear Games.
Starting point is 00:24:53 And in recognition of mental health awareness month, I'm bringing over a decade of my own experience in the mental health field and conversations with so many incredible guests. I'm talking. Trip Fontaine, Ryan Clark. Sometimes when we're in the pursuit of the thing, we get so wrapped up in the chase
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Starting point is 00:25:54 Okay, and then finally, there's always a game I miss that you really have a strong opinion about. I love this part. I feel like I'm learning something. I do like the Chargers. I think they have currently a better offensive coach and a better quarterback. And I think their offensive tackles are the best hand in the league and will keep T.J. Watt quiet. But I'm not sure the Chargers can run the ball on Pittsburgh. So I just like the under.
Starting point is 00:26:17 I think it's going to be the lowest scoring game of the weekend. But is there a game I missed? So many. Really? Oh, my gosh. I mean, the problem is, like, they're so gross. You know, and it's like, I almost feel bad. talking about it. The Titans to me are fascinating. We don't know what Jordan Love and his status is
Starting point is 00:26:40 going to be. He did practice yesterday. I don't know if that's some kind of like the decoy, because that would be a pretty aggressive recovery for the Packers, especially when they have an important game in the division coming up the following week. But they had the perfect game plan against the Colts, you cannot run that same game plan against the Titans. Their defense is just, it's really good. They're good in the defensive backfield. They're good up front. They are really good against the run. I think they would cause problems for Malik Willis. I think when you have a team that's 0 and 2 and has not covered the spread as they have not done with the next game, they are 60% against the spread. I think it sets up really well for the Titans. My biggest
Starting point is 00:27:29 concern is what is Jordan Love's status. And because of that, this line has moved, right? It was at three. The wise guys were betting the Titans down to two and a half. Then it got down to two. And since Jordan Love has been seen practicing, it got down to one and a half. That is my fear. So I would say, if we can get some certainty about Jordan Love, you want to take the Titans if he's not going to be playing. I do like the Titans a ton in this game. I also like the Jacksonville Jaguars. I looked at that game as well. So did I. You know, I mean, I just think, and that's another one. Tell the audience what the number is right now. The line has been moving. It was it five and a half. It's down to five. Actually, I think it was at six, got down to five and a half,
Starting point is 00:28:12 now five. The wise guys are also betting on this game. It's a huge pros Joe's game, right? In gambling parlance, the pros are the professional betters. The Joe's are, you know, the guys like you and me who don't know anything, right? And so the pros are showing that they're all on the Jaguars. The Joes are showing that they're on the bills. But this is another really good spot, a winless team. Talk about luck. Talk about the factors that have led to the Jaguars being 0-and-2. Trevor Lawrence has not played great,
Starting point is 00:28:44 but they outgained the Browns in that game. The Browns had a great opening series. Everyone is like, okay, Deshaun Watson might be better. I'm not so sure. I'm probably going to be in the Giants this weekend. But secondary. that game, the Browns go three for three on fourth down conversions. The Jaguars go one for four for touchdowns in the red zone.
Starting point is 00:29:06 Like, they're going against the Bill's team that also has terrible injuries. Yes, yes. We talked about the bucks. Terrible injuries. Forget about Matt Milano. Now Matt Milano's replacement. Now guys in the defensive backfield. We still don't know what this team is, other than Josh Allen is a really good quarterback who can do everything.
Starting point is 00:29:27 but the Jaguars do have really good aggressive playmakers on both edges of the defensive line. So a lot of Wise Guy love for the Jaguars. All right. Give me one more. All right. So we talked about Minnesota. We talked about the Jags. We talked about Atlanta.
Starting point is 00:29:43 We mentioned the Titans and the Broncos. There's two games. They're so gross, Colin. Like, I hesitate to do it. The Wise guys love the Panthers this week. Oh, God. I know nobody wants to talk about it. I can't.
Starting point is 00:29:58 This is the corner TV game. I'm not even going to go into why. I'm just telling you they have been betting on the Panthers. Like the line moved from seven to five and a half as soon as Andy Dalton was announced as the starter. It is now moved down to five. There's a lot of reasons to like Andy Dalton as the starter over Bryce Young. And there's a lot of reasons to now want to play the Panthers. Their offensive line has been playing great.
Starting point is 00:30:25 The challenge for them has been Bryce Young is just so inaccurate. So can you get better offensive production of Andy Dalton? Yes. Are you going against a team that actually isn't playing as well as the scores would indicate? Yes. Will the defense for the Panthers potentially improve if the field position is better because they're getting better opportunities to move the ball down the field or at least close to their own 50 so they can punt it, you know,
Starting point is 00:30:51 and get it further into the opponent's end of the field? because I think the opponent's starting field position for the Panthers has been at there at the 39-yard line. Just hard to win games. It's hard to defend when that's the case. So they're on the Panthers. I won't try to convince you. They're also on the Giants. Giants isn't a bad bad.
Starting point is 00:31:12 Yeah, I mean, Daniel Jones was actually pretty solid. They like the Giants. They're just not sold on to Sean Watson at all. And the Browns still have some injury questions on the offensive line. The giant strength is the interior of their defensive line. Best interior defensive linemen in the NFL. So there is some sentiment that the giants are the right side. And, you know, I feel bad.
Starting point is 00:31:36 I'm just giving you gross, disgusting things to think about. But we're getting at that point of this season. Yeah, there's no way I can – I'm just staying away from the Packers. I stayed away during the Colts game. I'm staying away during the Will Levis, who is in the Bad Judgment Hall of Fame. I'm just – I'm not touching the Packers until everybody's health. but Sharper Square, all odds provided by Draft Kings. Good stuff, my friend.
Starting point is 00:32:00 How great was that Brian Callahan video of him just losing it and then actually just owning it the next day in the press conference? Okay, so that's my, so my theory is that if you look at coaches with young quarterbacks, even when they're awful, they're almost apologetic and defend their young quarterbacks, why is Callahan shredded him twice publicly? He doesn't like him. He's trying to humble him. And this is my knock. I've told the story. I called an NFL coach who I have a relationship with. And he asked me about all the quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:32:38 And I said, Will Levis, the gun show? I said, that's just bad judgment. And I said, he showed bad judgment in college. He makes really bad throws. I said, he's got a little hitch in a swing. he will not manage will's about will he will not manage a game he is he plays hero ball and i said brady managed mahomes manages about 80% of this game is we've got a lead get out of here let's get on the plane and get back home brian callahan is trying to humble will levis and
Starting point is 00:33:17 you do that when your quarterback isn't humble because most of these pro athletes that i've dealt with these young quarterbacks. Strong dads, coached hard. They've been in a very disciplined quarterback lifestyle since they were nine years old. Most of these kids come in, humble as hell, even the talented ones. Their dad was often like a pro athlete. They know the game when they come into the NFL. You're going to get coached hard.
Starting point is 00:33:39 You've got to practice hard. You've got to work hard. And so I think most coaches feel kind of lucky when they get these young quarterbacks. I mean, C.J. Stroud had success. Lamar Jackson had success. Lamar's an incredibly humble guy. Herbert's incredibly. humble for as big a story as Mahomes is, for a coach to rip somebody publicly, he doesn't like him.
Starting point is 00:34:01 It's personal to me. That feels very personal. That's the most obvious thing ever that he doesn't like him. Here's what's challenging if you want to be an NFL coach. There's only so many jobs. You can always ask yourself, why does Dave Canales take the Panthers job? You don't have to be an NFL coach and study every single. second of the all 22 of every play that Bryce Young played to know that he wasn't going to be the guy.
Starting point is 00:34:28 Kudos to him for dumping him and benching him and deciding, okay, we got a chance. I like what I'm seeing. That's what that says, by the way. I'm not flipping to canals, but there's a connection here. When he benches Bryce Young, two games into the season, what he's seeing on film is the offensive line is playing great. receivers are getting open when they're not so discouraged, they don't run their roots. We've got a chance to be a better team if we get this guy out and give everybody else a little bit more confidence. But between him and Callahan, you're stuck because you have to take an NFL job if you want to be a head coach.
Starting point is 00:35:08 And you know if you're getting that job, you probably have a crappy quarterback. And there's nothing you can do about it. So, like, you're in, like, the weirdest rock and a hard place because you're getting your dream job and you don't even know if you can succeed because the guy who is quarterback in the team just can't get it done. And you're not getting that job unless there's a quarterback who can't get it done. And Canales was a hot coach. So was Ben Johnson. Ben Johnson said, no, I'm not going to take it. And Detroit has looked like a little off center.
Starting point is 00:35:38 So the old saying, strike when the iron's hot, strike when the iron's hot, Ben Johnson was hot. he doesn't take a job. You come back this year and are like, Jared Goff doesn't look as good. So, I mean, it's all situational and seasonal. Yeah, yeah. I mean, even defenses, great defenses, disappear the next year because defensive players get hurt more often. And so you can have a great defense. The Jets had a great defense last year. You look at this year, like, they don't tackle well. They're bad in space. Like, Solas defense. And now they're injury riddle. CJ Mosley, the guy who's calling plays. So it's like when you're an assistant, like Canales, you say, why would you take that job? Because if Baker Mayfield had a crappy year this year, then you're not a prospect.
Starting point is 00:36:21 Yeah. It's true. It's so difficult. We're going to hand you the best job in the world. But by the way, you're also going to have to manage the worst quarterback in the NFL. With the most impulsive owner. Oh, my God. I'm not so sure he didn't make the call on Ryshow, to be honest with you.
Starting point is 00:36:40 it would be true to form, right? Everything we've heard is that Bryce Young was not the guy they wanted to draft, but the owner made them draft him. He has not been a guy who has had a great reputation amongst fans and people in the media so far during his reign. It's funny you mention that because when I heard that he was being benched, I thought, that is a ballsy move from a brand new coach with an owner who is known to have strong opinions and metal. It didn't even occur to me that he would have pulled the trigger on that. It feels too strong, impulsive, and decisive for a young coach known as a quarterback whisperer to bail and go to an old past his prime Andy Dalton.
Starting point is 00:37:37 It doesn't feel like the move you'd make. You'd make that in week six or seven, maybe near the trade day. deadline, dangle Bryce Young as a trade piece. Week two? You lost to the Chargers. They look excellent. You lost to Jim Harbaugh. It's okay. See, Colin, this is why you are a savvy inside media player. You think the next level? I'm just a guy sitting in my office in West Hartford trying to figure it all out. And I just thought, good for Dave Canales. Good that he decided to bench this guy. I like his courage. Hard to
Starting point is 00:38:14 It's easy to have courage when the owner says Bench that guy Exactly All right my man All right brother I'll see you later The volume Thanks so much for listening If you've enjoyed the podcast
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