The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd Podcast - 'Sharp or Square' March Madness Bets and Russ MVP, Broncos Super Bowl Futures with Chad Millman

Episode Date: March 11, 2022

Colin does "Fake Questions, Real Answers" (3:00) on who's to blame for the Colts botching the Carson Wentz situation, why the Seahawks are in the beginning of a prolonged downturn, why the Cardinals should extend drama-Prone Kyler Murray, and why Westbrook isn't made for the megawatt spotlight of L.A..Then, the Action Network's Chad Millman tells Colin if he's sharp or square with his NCAA Tourney title pick (18:00) and which teams the sharps are targeting. They also run through NFL futures, including Russell Wilson MVP odds, Broncos Super Bowl futures (31:00), and if there's betting value with the Commanders after adding much maligned Carson Wentz (34:00).Make sure to Subscribe and follow Colin and The Volume on Twitter for the latest content and updates and check out FanDuel for the best wagering and daily fantasy action! Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The volume. This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.

Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to Humor Me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential.

Either way, the podcast's superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast. In 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84 was big to me. I'm Sam J.

And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care what I'm saying. Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but the show. celebrated. So let's get to it.

Listen to the Clifford show on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok podcast network on TikTok. It can be dangerously easy to steal your identity during tax season because so much sensitive info was altogether.

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Get started now. Sign up promo code Colin so they know we and I sent you. The Colin Coward podcast presented by the Fandulul's Sportsbook. Hi, everybody. Welcome in. Chad Millman's going to have some Mark madness intel you should like and some NFL intel regarding Russell Wilson. He's a sharp. He'll join us in 10 minutes. But first, fake questions, real answers.

Stuff I want to talk about, but don't want to wait for you to ask me. Dear Colin, please give us more on why you think the Colts butchered the handling of Carson Wentz. I like Chris Ballard. I like Frank Reich. But as an NFL general manager told me about a year ago, We're all flipping burgers. Our owners run the show. Jim Ursay is a volatile personality and impulsive. And because he's been promising things and we're going to get another Super Bowl. And the whole Andrew Luck retirement has sort of put the franchise on edge and a little bit in a hole.

They went big on the Carson Wentz contract and pursuit. And they landed him. And they're upset because he lost to the Jaguar. which, by the way, Josh Allen and the bills lost to the Jaguars. If Derek Carr doesn't make the best throw of his career to Hunter Renfro, Colts make the playoffs. Instead, they're going to move off a quarterback with a three and a half to four to one touchdown to interception ratio in a bad quarterback class in a quarterback dependent league. It's a bad move. What you do now, there's a lot of stories coming out about Carson Wentz.

He's crazy. It's bad locker room guy. That's what you do when the owner's freaking out to protect the brand. Really? You think Frank Reich would have brought Carson Wentz in if he was a horrible locker room guy with a massive ego that nobody could stand? No, now they have to protect the Colts brand. So you're seeing all sorts of leaks to make Carson Wentz look like a schmuck.

Carson Wentz is not Tom Brady pre-snap. He doesn't have Stafford's arm. He can't move like Kyler Murray. But he's a 6-5-238-pound quarterback that can move with a big arm who had 27 TD seven picks in a bad quarterback room. He's never had a number one receiver in this league. He now inherits a number one receiver with Washington, Terry McLauran. He's really good. But all this is now is dump on Carson Wentz. He's a wacko. He's zany. He doesn't relate to people. He's toxic. Then why did you go pursue him a year ago when your head coach had a close relationship with him? This is just trying to bail water on the brand because Jim Ursa is volatile.

Chris Ballard's not a rash decision maker. This isn't his call. Frank Reich next year goes into a year on the hot seat. You think he wants to this morning have no quarterback? Dear Colin, I know you're from Seattle. You've been very objective about the Seahawks, who we know you love. Are the Seahawks screwed now? Well, thanks for the question.

I try to be objective. The answer is very. According to one gambling site, the team being bet the most when the NFC isn't the Rams, it's the 49ers. 29 and a half percent of the money being bet on the NFC champs is being bet on the 49ers. That's why trading Russell Wilson borders on idiotic. Okay, now you have to compete with the two best young offensive minds in football, Sean McVey and Kyle Shanahan.

Shanahan's even seven and four against McVe. And now he finally gets a real athlete at quarterback in Trey Lance. Listen, he made a Harvard tied end of Pro Bowl at fullback for the Niners and his six-round running back Elijah Mitchell a star. He made Jimmy Garoppolo get to a Super Bowl. Tray Lance is going to work. Seattle in the toughest division in an increasingly quarterback dependent league has no quarterback today. Now, Pete Carroll's history when Lane Kiffin took over USC.

I was told this by somebody in the program. Lane felt he had to clean the program out. There were eight, nine really bad guys, toxic guys in the locker room. Pete didn't care. Pete was about recruiting guys who could run. recruiting guys who are ballers, let somebody else worry about the chemistry. So I think they'll go aggressively, aggressively after Deshawn Watson.

But don't forget, the Seahawks owner, Jody Allen, is not David Tepper, the owner for Carolina. She doesn't even long-term know if she wants the team. She's not a sports fan. Tepper is now the first or second richest owner in the sport in Carolina. he's in place, he's got his sights on Deshawn Watson, and my take is they'll land him, not the Hawks. Dear Colin, you've said Arizona should pay Kyler Murray,

but it sounds like you don't really love him. What's your take? Well, you're very perceptive, that's a great question. I don't love Aaron Rogers or Kyler Murray. I think they're both high maintenance and needy, not into those sort of personality types, but they are unique talents, I would sign both. The truth about Kyler Murray, he's too small to play quarterback.

A source that faced him on the defensive line told me two years ago, he'll go back to baseball. He does not like being hit. Certain roles require a certain body type for the part. You see this in TVs and movie. There's an author named Lee Child. He created a character named Jack Reacher, made a ton of books about him. The character was described as 6'5 and 250.

About 10 years ago, they made a Jack Reacher movie with Tom Cruise. Look it up. He's 5'7. Fans and the critics said it should have been, you know, like Schwarzenegger or a big, daunting figure. Even Lee Child himself admitted Cruz was wrong for the part. And that the size of the actor mattered. Yes, Amazon is now rebooting the series, and they chose an actor who's 6-4-235. Yes, Tom Cruise could play the part, but it wasn't ideal, and critics hated it.

Yes, Kyler Murray can play quarterback, but the ideal size is 6-3, 6-3-5, 225 pounds, a little pudding, a little thick, with some mobility. Manning, a big man, big man, big man, Elway, a big man, Troy Akeman, a big man, Brady a big man, Rothlessberger a big man, Terry Bradshaw a big man, Dan Fouts a big man, Joe Montana bigger than you think. Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray are outstanding. It's not ideal. That's why he's been hurt twice in three years. And I also think his personality is not ideal. But like Tom Cruise, he can play the part, but it's not perfect. The drama. and the size, it's not perfect.

That's why I wouldn't give him my home's money. Dear Colin, what do you think of Russell Westbrook complaining about people calling him Westbrook? Well, it's funny, whenever young broadcasting people, young men and women

ask me, oh, I want to work at Fox Sports or ESPN. I always tell them if they're 24, 25, go beat the bushes, go work in Midland, Texas, go work weekends in Toledo. make a lot of mistakes. Find a style before you go to the bigger stage.

Get your style down. Make some mistakes. I didn't find my style until I was 32 or 33. I was just bits and pieces of other broadcasters. Russell Westbrook wants to get the big money and be on the big stage with the Lakers, but it's the biggest brand easily in the NBA. It's the Yankees of baseball. And not only are the Lakers the most watched franchise historically, they're the most discussed

franchise. You'll get Laker topics on ESPN and Fox Sports in the off season. People don't talk NBA off season. They talk Lakers off season. It's like Kanye West. His music is a topic. Kanye West is a topic. So when Westbrook was struggling in Houston or Oklahoma City, that's a

one thing. When you struggle with the Lakers, you get an avalanche of criticism. And Russell Westbrook wants the money, wants the shoes, wants the adulation. Bro, you pitch for the Yankees. You coach the Ohio State Buckeyes. You play for the Lakers. We talk about every turnover. And all these years of agitating the press, all these years of missing shots and being a turnover machine, Now that you're out of your prime, it's come back to haunt you because we all see it and discuss it all week. Dear Colin, what's a word that has caught your attention lately? Well, that is a very interesting and perceptive question. It's rotational player.

I hear that all the time in the NBA now. You used to be called a bench player. But stars, especially aging stars like Carmelo Anthony, don't want to be called bench players. So now they call them rotational players. It's like the word crispy. You ever notice that? They don't say fried chicken sandwich anymore. Mmm, delicious crispy chicken nuggets.

Delicious crispy chicken sandwich. Words matter. People don't want to hear fried in 2020. too. Unless you're in California, you get up and wake and bake in the morning. But the NBA, which has become, as you know, very much a player league forever. But increasingly, you're seeing aging stars being told, they're important rotational players. Carmelo Anthony, ladies and gentlemen, comes off the bench. He is a bench player. Nothing more, nothing less.

Don't be fooled. And it's a fried chicken sandwich. Not crispy. College basketball championship season is approaching and there's no better place to get in on the action than the Fandual Sportsbook. It's where I bet. New customers place their first college basketball bet risk-free up to $1,000. Bet college basketball any way you like. I like the same game parlays.

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Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win. I don't care which I'm saying.

Yep, that's me, Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show.

This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the biggest moments in sports and entertainment, and the next we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream,

this is right where you need to be. Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes. Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of Tontons and Wampas on the Ice Planet Hot, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts,

or wherever you get your podcasts. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim? Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jett. And I'm Alex English.

Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so y'all know. I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack, so I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now, so. Thank you for finishing that sentence.

I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah. For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. And old sportsbook app today, sign up, promo code Colin to get your first bet risk-free, up to $1,000. That's promo code Colin. That's me.

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Shopify.com slash C-O-L-I-N. And we're live here outside the Perez family home just waiting for the... And there they go. Almost on time this morning. Mom is coming out the front door strong with a double-armed kid carry. Looks like Dad has the bags. Daughter is bringing up the rear. Oh, but the diaper bag wasn't closed.

Dipers and toys are everywhere. Ooh, but Mom has just nailed the perfect car seat buckle for the toddler. And now the eldest daughter, who looks to be about nine or ten, has secured herself in the booster seat. Dad zips the bag closed, and they're off. Ah, but looks like mom doesn't realize her coffee cup is still on the roof of the car, and there it goes! Oh, that's a shame.

That mug was a fam favorite. Don't sweat the small stuff. Just nail the big stuff. Like making sure your kids are buckled correctly in the right seat for their age and size. Learn more at nhtsa.gov slash the right seat. Visit nhtsa.gov slash the right seat. Brought to you by Netsa and the right seat.

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All right let's bring in Chad Millman Chief Content Officer Action Network, Sharper Square, all numbers according to FanDuel. So before we get into football, which we will, the difference between casual sports betters and sharps to me has always been college basketball. The really sharp guys can feast on it because there's thousands of games. The sportsbook can't watch and monitor all of them. There's money to be made. So here's the depth of my college basketball.

I've watched Kentucky play four times. Okay, four times. Really, really good offensively. They're Gonzaga offensively, but more force. They have more physical. So offense wins a lot in this tournament. There are teams. We see these that just over the course,

you have to win this tournament. You need six games. You can't go dry for a game. You've got to have scores. That's why Gonzaga has so much damn success. They don't play real defense. They're never physical. They're just really slick offensively.

They score 95 a game. They get to the tournament. That goes down to 85. That's why Gonzaga keeps winning. It's not because they're the best athletes or NBA guys. They score. They've got a system. So this is a real offense for Kentucky.

I know they're not a dark horse. They're plus 800. But that's my – Calipari wins his second title. Is my hot take going into March Madness? What say you? Look, it's really an interesting take. And you think about the fact that Kalapari has only won once. All these teams over the year,

whether it was, you know, UMass or with Marcus Camby or Memphis with Derek Rose and now Kentucky with the years and years of all Americans and sort of the one and done talent he has had. The fact he's only got one is actually astonishing. And it's not a bad choice. Like, not just because at eight to one look. Like, no professional better is going to say to you, yeah, take the. eight to one number because they like odds that are longer. That's just how they like to play the game. But what's really interesting about Kentucky is they're playing in the best conference.

Yes. The SEC by far. That is where you're getting battle tested, right? Like Gonzaga is not getting battle tested. Gonzaga is at about three and a half to one right now. Auburn and Alabama this year, both really good. Alabama, Tennessee, Auburn. Those are four teams that can beat anybody, as they have proven all year long.

Obviously, Arizona is about six to one, right? Like the PAC 12, that's not scaring anybody. So then you got Kentucky. And then after that, like, it gets really interesting because Duke, no one's really buying Duke. Baylor has been injured all year. Kansas has had issues. Auburn, while great, has then been inconsistent. You start to get down into that mid, like, lower tier.

I do think Purdue is a really interesting team. But it's interesting. We fall in love with Big Ten teams because Big Ten basketball ratings get pretty damn good ratings. They really do. Michigan State Games, Indiana games, Ohio State games. Go look at the history. How many Big Ten teams get to the final four? I mean, even Izzo, total class program.

I think we overvalue, here's why we overvalue Big Ten teams. we watch them more. Secondly, they've got so many great home court environments. In that part of the country, they like college basketball, arguably, more than the NBA. I mean, these arenas are stacked and jammed. So the environment, when you're watching Michigan, Michigan, State, Purdue, and Indiana is out of this world good. And it gets us kind of, wow, this feels big. Big 10 teams, I always feel like they're a little overvalued. When I was at ESPN, I walked into, you can remember this.

There are these multi-purpose conference rooms, right? And when the tournament comes around, they set them up like war rooms. And there's huge screens everywhere and food being ordered and everyone is just around watching the games, kind of working, but mostly watching the games. And I went down there. It was my first year when I had become, I had been at her in chief of the magic. magazine, then took over ESPN.com. And, you know, the people, like, when I took over, there was a divide, right? Like, ESPN.com, that was hardcore.

That was daily. That was hundreds of stories a day, thousands of stories a year. And, like, the magazine, we were dilettons, right? We're coming out every other week. We're, like, got a very precious product, all this kind of stuff. I sat down and I said to the college basketball editor for ESPN.com. at the time who I just started working with. I'm like, Michigan State is a overrated. Like never advanced the way you think they would. Always number one, number two, never really

get to the spot, always underperform. And everyone looked at me as if I was the devil who was coming from someplace that didn't know anything about sports, moving into where they really talk about sports. And it turns out, that might be right. And you agree with me. That makes me feel better. All of these years later, I feel better. Well, the SEC, our immediate image is SEC football. But they have over the last 10 years had more success in the tournament. And that's without Kentucky being as good as we think.

The last great college basketball team was Florida and Billy Donovan. That was the last great college basketball team. How about the run Arkansas had last year? And Arkansas is another one. Like, you're going to be afraid of Arkansas. Like, it's just going to be a team that you're going to have to be looking out for. And you're totally right about college basketball being a professional betters game. When I did the odds, which, you know, featured Alan Boston from Vegas, who you know,

which I tracked these guys who bet on sports for a living, that entire book was about college basketball and about the interplay between bookmakers and gamblers. and how that those moments, the time when bookmakers are setting a line and betters are betting into that line, create a cataclysmic event that reverberates through the entire sports betting world because it is billions of dollars based on these small decisions these guys are making. And it's the bettors like Allen Boston, who at the time was one of the biggest and best college basketball players in the world, has an impact in a way that is much more far reaching in terms of the betting community. than the NFL because the NFL is just harder to win at. Yeah, it's, you know, one of the reasons I like Kentucky is I do think, like Baylor played real defense last year, but they had some NBA players as well. And what made Baylor special is they could muscle gonzagalate, but they had scores on the wing.

You know, I've heard for years, you can defend your way through the tournament. It's six games. You've got to drop buckets. You're going to face NBA players at some point in this tournament. You've got to score baskets. Nobody's stopping at the college. level, a top 10 pick in the NBA. It's why Gonzaga to me that runs a highly, highly efficient offensive system,

it's not they have the best athletes. They really, really know what they're doing offensively. And when I look at Gonzaga this year, I've watched them about 10 times because Mark Fue's a buddy. I still look at this team that can get pushed around. I think they're just offensively. Watson can get you a bucket on the wing. They've got the homegrown, the kid from Minnesota, who weighs about a buck 50. I think you can push them around.

So I think I'm going to sell a little stock even though they're the odds on favorite this year. I think there's I think Baylor gave you and UCLA to a degree gave you a little bit of a roadmap. Get physical. Get in their face. Contest every shot. And Gonzaga gets a little uncomfortable. It's like you drop in Mark Fuse and buddy like on the show that. I know, I did.

I'm listening. Boom. I'm listening to the show. You're like, Sierra came up to me at a super, at a dinner, at a restaurant. What was this at dinner? I'm like thinking, where was he at? Because I saw him the Wednesday of Super Bowl week at his party.

And like, you don't even like to go out that much. Like, no. You don't like the Hollywood scene. So where were you at where you saw? I tell me. So I went to my wife. and a friend, it was a wheels up party. And I fly them three or four times a year. I'm not really a private jet guy. I fly Delta. I like veteran pilots with gray hair, tight pants, shirts that are

buttoned up and pressed. I don't want to go too much private stuff. And preferably military expertise. And they had thrown, they had flown 35 combat missions in Vietnam. Yeah. So I'm a Delta guy. But I go to the Wheels Up thing because I have friends inside the company and I go out a couple times a year. We take our dogs to Utah. Nobody cares about this. So I go to the party and it's a bunch of stars. First of all, Alex Smith, Trevor Lawrence, Joe Montana. Two things became abundantly clear.

I'm a really big deal. The second thing. So Russell comes in and I see Mark Rogers' agent and Russell. And Russell waves, but he's got just getting mobbed. And as I go over to say hi to him, Sierra moves in front and says, oh, God, we love you. I love you. I didn't hear a thing after that. It didn't matter that she said the show.

She's the best looking human I've ever seen. I'm not joking. I just, I was like, okay, well, I'm going to go and have a piece of chicken palm, fall to sleep and dream about what could have been with Sierra. Yeah. And, yeah. So my takeaway is that. That was my Sierra party.

So I don't do this much, but I do think it's important that I sound like a big deal that two times the year I see famous people. The currency you can get from one or two moments. Yeah. Because people extrapolate. And they assume it's Colin Cowherd. He's famous. He's, you know, as Rosillo pointed out in the podcast, like people are buying

cowherd again, like he's done the upswing. You know, he's like, he's a media mogul all of a sudden, like, they're back in. His stock is right. That's right. And so even if like you're spending most nights like me with your notifications turned off at 9 p.m. And you're watching The Gilded Age on HBO Max because you love Christine Bransky. people think it's a mystery because...

Yeah. I watch Manhunt on Acorn. Done. My favorite channel, Acorn TV. If I hadn't already watched Manhunt, I'd probably be watching it. Oh, my God. It's so good. Yeah.

So good. So I get it. I totally get it. Every once in a while, like I'll pop in like, well, yeah, you know, I was at this event and like people are like, he's at, he's at everything, right? And I'm like, I'm not going anywhere. But I could say it once or twice. And, you know, it carries.

I get it. By the way, my wife never walks in when I'm doing a podcast. But since she looks like your wife, Chad, my beautiful redheaded wife just walked in. What can I help you with, honey? She wanted to know if I need anything. Is that the best? She is lovely. No princess.

Good thing she didn't walk in. I was going to say, monologue. Just in time. Woo. All right. let's pivot to this. You and I are kind of forced to be contextualizers. Like, you and I are punished if we're overly emotional. We're rewarded if we take a step back on stuff. So when Russell Wilson leaves Seattle, the initial burst from fans is, dudes washed, bad year. There's a

trend in the NFL where really good quarterbacks with several years left go to an offensive coach. And they pop like Matt Stafford and Tom Brady with Arians. If you look at Seattle's O-line, B-list running backs, seven straight bad drafts, weak at tight end, defense now is regressed bottom five in the league. To me, Russell's been the life preserver for the organization for about six years. He wasn't in the first five. I look at now that Denver lineup of Judy, Patrick, Cortland Sutton, Giovante Williams at running back, I look at it and I think, I know it's a tough division. But Matt Stafford went to the toughest division. It doesn't matter.

Great people want weapons. They don't worry about obstacles. I used this the other day. Jeff Bezos looked at Netflix and said, I want in. Just get me great directors and writers. Great people are not afraid of competition. When Brady went to that division,

he had Sean Peyton Drew Breeze and the Falcons were five years removed for a Super Bowl. He didn't care. He wanted weapons, right? He went to a weaker division at the time. So Stafford said, Same thing. Went to a much stronger division. I'm not going to get too caught up worrying about the Raiders and the chargers.

I think his numbers are going to pop. I really do. He finally gets a progressive offensive coach. I don't know. You know, you start looking at some of these things here in the Seahawks and the Broncos. Broncos plus 1,200. I would bet 14 to one fan duel I saw this week. I'm betting on the Denver Broncos.

I'm betting on MVP odds. I like MVP odds. I feel like I agree with everything you're saying about the Broncos and I agree with everything you're saying about Russell Wilson. I'll put this in a different kind of context. If you want to bet, if you want to bet futures right now, you want to lock your money up for it's the middle of March, you want to lock your money up for 11 months. Let's say you want to put $1,000 down on the Broncos to win $12,000 at 12 to 1.

that's not the risk you want to take. Like give yourself a little bit more of an opportunity. Find yourself a little bit more value. You can find if you want to bet on the Broncos at 12 to 1, you're better off waiting until the fall. Let the Broncos, I don't know what their schedule is. We haven't seen the schedule yet. Let the Broncos lose two of their first four games

if they're on the road at Kansas City. and at the Chargers, and all of a sudden they're two and two, and the Chargers might be three and one, the Chiefs might be four and oh. And then you're getting much better odds on the Broncos to win the Super Bowl. Or bet the Broncos to cover in certain situations, and then you continue to roll that over. You're getting better odds than you would on the Broncos right now. The value is cooked out to use the pun and the sort of term of art with Russ. at 12 to 1 because everyone's been betting into it for the past 48 hours.

So you really want to look at the teams that are 20 to 1 or worse. And there are a lot of really interesting teams that you could bet on at those numbers. That's interesting. That is a really interesting take. I'll throw another one at you. Okay. Jim Mersey is impulsive. Chris Ballard is not rash and does not want to get rid of Carson Wentz.

Frank Reich knows him well. He had him for years, brings him in. And now suddenly all the stories leak. Wence is impossible. Wence has an ego. Wence is difficult. This is Jim Mersay. Making Carson Wents look bad.

Lots of leaks from the organization. All the cult writers, Wensz is bad, Wence is trouble, Wence doesn't work. Interesting. 4 to 1 touchdown to interception ratio and a 93 passer rating is better than the current college market or the current NFL market because he played Geroppel. last year and was clearly the better quarterback when they faced off. He was a better player. So I think Wents is getting so much negative publicity. It won't do anything perhaps to the market, perhaps to the market.

So can I argue, okay, in the Russell Wilson and Denver case, you're right, because we all know it's good. Wentz bet earlier because nobody buys him. And all these negative articles, he's zany. He's a God squatter. He didn't Vax. He's better. Watch after camp.

And the Washington articles come out. Dude, 65, 245. Ron Rivera's like, you win a lot of games with that guy. Then the money changes. That Wentz is better than the market believes today. Russell Wilson is probably being overpurchased. Does that make any sense? No, it's a terrible take.

Terrible, terrible take. You know why? Damn it. Well, here's why. It's not because of the value in the Washington commanders. It's because I would buy it that stories were being leaked if it was the first time it happened. And it was a bad breakup after five years. But we got the same stories on Carson Wentz in Philadelphia. He wasn't a leader, didn't connect with players, was pouty when Nick Foles was making the Super Bowl run. And he was injured. This is now the second time where he has left a team and there have been consistent stories about his lack of leadership ability, his lack of ability to connect with his teammates. So I think Ron Rivera is a great coach, but everyone and I was not a buyer on this, everyone went into last year thinking he's back with the coach that, you know, he was so good

in 2017. team. That doesn't mean you can overcome making really bad decisions in pressure situations, and you can point to the stats that he had. Sometimes the stats are superficial, right? Jeff George is one of the greatest throwers of all time. Doesn't mean he actually won anything. Carson Wentz has unbelievable stats from last year, but he's not a guy you want the ball in his hands at the end of a game when there's pressure situations, and they're always going to find themselves in pressure situations. And that is not a team that is just worth putting your on at 60 to 1.

And by the way, the odds for them basically stayed at 60 to 1 when they signed Carson Wentz. One book put him at 75 to 1. They dropped when Carson Wentz was signed. So, bad idea. Come on. Bad take. Sierra would hate that take. Horrible like that.

Vasil is going to come back on the podcast. He's like, after that take, people are selling coward. He holds me in line. Okay, I got to go have surgery today. I'm not going to get into specific. So if I'm not here forever, it was great working with you. What do I get? Am I in the will in any way?

What can I have? Your wheels up membership? For a year, yeah. Well, think about it. I might want something else. But Rosillo sucked up to me a little bit. He gets a year two on. So it's a three-year membership.

Okay. All right. One more thing before I go, because I got to get all swabbed up. here. I think Aiden Hutchison, Michigan Wolverine, edge rusher is going to go number one. Evan Neal, I had an NFL exec tell me, bad change of direction. He can block the sun with his size. I wouldn't take him one. There's other really good tackles in this draft. There's not another really great pass rusher, and those are needs. He is right now, minus 280. A, explain what that means to the audience. And, I,

I think the people I'm talking to think he is the best college football player at a position of need in the league. So we're talking about Aiden Hutchinson at minus 2Aid. Yes. So to go number one overall, what that basically means is the odds are so overwhelming on Aiden Hutchinson that it costs you double your money to make half the money. If you bet, you know, it's hard to do the math in my head right now on minus 280. but essentially it's one, two, three odds.

Bet $10, win $3. That is not positive, expected value, especially with Aidan Hutchinson, who a week ago, before Cam Robinson from the Jaguars was given the franchise tag, which basically said the Jags are out of the market for drafting a tackle at number one overall,

Aiden Hutchinson was plus $650, which meant if you bet $10, you make $60 and you make $65. So really you don't want to bet this because you've lost the best value in the market. You find other things to bet and I can promise you as you and I talk over the next six weeks. We are going to come up with a lot better things to bet in the NFL draft than Aiden Hutchinson to go number one. Like what? How many quarterbacks will be taken in the first round?

What will be the over-under-draft position for someone like Malik Willis or Kenny Pickett? How many wide receivers will go in the first round? How many offensive linemen? How many defensive linemen? Things like that are where we're going to start. Oh, I like that. Value in the market. A Super Bowl winning GM in the last five years told me Kenny Pickett has a late third-ground, third-round grade for their team.

They don't need a quarterback. Yeah. They don't like him. Look, like, there's nobody who is overwhelmingly great. There is no Trevor Lawrence. There's not even a Mack Jones in this draft, right? And so it's astonishing to me the conversation around quarterbacks and that you could really, like Davis Mills, I saw a story. I forgot who wrote this, think about if Davis Mills had a really good rookie year with the Houston Texans.

And I apologize. Someone wrote this and it was great. I can't remember who. Really good rookie year with the Texans. If he had stayed at Stanford one more year. he might be the top overall pick, right? And so this is just not a quarterback draft. Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer, Action Network, college basketball, NFL stuff. I'm going to have surgery. It's not major. It's not a team of people. It's a local anesthetic. My wife says I'm being very dramatic. It's no big deal. But I'll bleed within the next hour. So that's a big deal to me.

Every day, Colin, you bring joy to so many people. I only want this, even though it's only local, even though you're not going completely under. And when you come home, your beautiful bride is going to take care of you. She's going to make sure you get healthy. She's going to make sure you're back on the air as soon as possible. That's all we want from you. Yeah. And if that comment didn't get me more in the will,

then at least Rosillo, you got to reimagine. Yeah, you're right. I want, as you're going under, think about. Think about what can I leave Millman? That should be the last thing you think about. This is going to be a terrible last discussion if I do die. It would be a terrible last discussion. What did you say to Colin?

Can I get a better will write up? That was the last thing I said to him. it might be terrible for you, but I'm going to have such a good story. Can you believe the guy died? And the last conversation I had with him was, what are you going to give me? There's been a lot of marriages that have ended that way, I think. All right, buddy, good seeing you. All right.

Good luck in your surgery, whatever the mystery is. Yes. See you later. With sports betting taking off, it's important to find the experts you can trust to help you make some money, right? check out the favorites sports betting podcast powered by Fandu only on the volume podcast network. My buddy Chad Millman, pro-better Simon Hunter from the Action Network twice a week here to help you become a smarter football better. Every Tuesday and Thursday, Chad and Simon break down the strategies of professional sports betters, the ones they use to find the right games and the right time to bet.

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Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.

Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. On the Look Back at it podcast. From 1979, that was a big moment for me. 84 was big to me. I'm Sam J. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick a year, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it.

With our friends, fellow comedians, and favorite authors. Like Mark Lamont Hill on the 80s. 84 was a wild year. It was a wild year. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win. A win is a win.

I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me. Clifford Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, my basketball and college football journey, or my career in sports media. Well, now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw unfilled conversations with athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated. So let's get to it. Listen to The Clifford Show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast.

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