The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd's Blazing 5: 10/06/2018

Episode Date: October 6, 2018

Coming off a 2-2-1 week Colin talks about his Blazing 5 picks with Fox Sports Radio Host and founder of pregame.com RJ Bell who tells him which ones the wise guys in Vegas like and dislike in this exclusive podcast. Plus, Colin reveals and extra bonus pick not included in his Blazing 5. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise,

breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to Sports Slice on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Sliced Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok.

Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter.

Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Life is full of hurdles. So how do you keep going? On Hurtle with Emily Abadi, we're talking with the most inspiring women in sports and wellness from professional athletes, coaches, and Olympic champions, about the challenges that shape them and the mindset that keeps them moving forward. At our level, at this scale, being able to fail in front of the entire world. can do anything. I can do anything. Listen to Hurtle with Emily Abadi on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHart Women's Sports. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to learn the hard way with your favorite therapist and host, Kear Games. This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing. How many men carry a suit or armor? It's a

signals to the world that you not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen to learn the hard way on the IHare radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. All right, we'll get to RJ Bell in a second. First of all, though, in sports, there are smart moves and not so smart moves. Like giving the ball to a fullback on third and one at the goal line, smart. Handing the ball to your kicker on third and one at the goal line.

Not smart. This is true with hiring. Do not go to job sites. overwhelm you with tons of the wrong resumes. Not smart. But if you go to ZipRecruiter, they find the right candidate for you. They have powerful matching technology. They scan thousands of resumes, not only identifying people that need work, but people with the right skills, the right education, and the right experience for your job. And then they actively invite them to apply. So you get qualified candidates fast, which is why it's rated number one by employers in the United States based on trust pilot rating

hiring sites with at least 1,000 reviews. It's legit. Right now, my listeners, go to ZipRecruiter for free. All you have to do, free. ZipRecruiter.com slash Blaze, B-L-A-Z-E. It is the smartest way to hire ZipRecruiter.com slash Blaze. All right, here we go. Saturday podcast, first, my Blazing Five. Let's Blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins. Braco's a Jets. All right. Jets, minus one and a half. I love the New York Jets here. By the way, this is pick them in some places, so you could even get a better number than I have. First of all, they've had 10 takeaways this year, and their defense is only allowing 5.2 yards of play. That's top six in the NFL. And that counts that god-awful performance last week in Jacksonville when they were terrible. This is a real defense. In Denver, when they have to go east and play an early game, They're old for their last six, allowing 30 points a game. They're not the same team.

Denver's really bad going east. And again, the Jets were terrible. Todd Bowles is getting a lot of heat. They bounced back, played their game of the year. The Jets win 26, 21. Raiders and Chargers. This is a home game for the Raiders, and I get five and a half points. It's not officially a home game, but it's a home game.

It'll be all Raider fans. And I get right now an offense that is absolutely humming. The Raiders' offense is second in the NFL. They have two legit backs. Marshawn Lynch, Doug Martin, a great tight end. Three legitimate wide receivers. And the Chargers' defense without Joey Bosa has been awful. They're 30th in points a game.

The Chargers' defense, their offense is fine. Their defense is shaky. And I really feel like John Gruden saved the locker room in Oakland, a little bit of a renaissance here with them. I'm going to take the Raiders. I get five and a half points. I think they win outright. I think they win outright.

Raiders win 27 to 24. Vikings and Eagles. Upset alert. Minnesota plus three. I'm taking the Vikings. First of all, if you watch the Eagles secondary, it's been lit up by good receiver. Julio Jones, lit it up. Deshawn Jackson, lit it up.

Vikings have two world-class wide receivers. By the way, Carson Wentz is not 100%. Joy and I talked about that about three weeks ago. He's not 100%. You can tell he's not 100%. And their coordinator, offensive coordinator, Frank Reich, is now the head coach of the Colts. We've seen this before.

When a great coordinator leaves a city, the offense isn't the same for a year. All right. And Kirk Cousins at Lincoln Financial, he played better there in Philly than any other place in the NFL. 12 touchdowns, three picks. upset alert. Philadelphia is not right.

They're not right right now. I'm going to take the Vikings to win 24, 23. Cardinals at 49ers. I get Arizona plus five and a half. Like it. I love it. The 49ers last 12 games that Jimmy Garoppolo did not play are 1 and 11. This has also been a series where the underdog does very well,

getting points, and I get 5.5. The Cardinals have lost their last two games by a combined five points. Here's the thing. Nobody was watching that whole Josh Rosen game last week because they were watching Baker Mayfield. Josh Rosen looked great. Arizona's offense had its best game with points, yards, passing yards, and rushing yards. And San Francisco's a mess on the offensive line. I think I'm getting the better team. I'm getting the better young quarterback and I'm getting five and a half points. Arizona goes on the road. Upset win 27, 26. Redskins at Saints. I love getting teams off a buy, especially when they have a veteran quarterback.

Veteran quarterbacks, they get healthy, they get an extra week. Washington and Alex Smith come off a buy. And the defenses in this game, total mismatch. The Redskins defense is excellent. It's excellent in points, yards, pass defense, and opposed or passer rating. Remember, Washington's defense was good last year until every single guy got hurt. Washington got a pass rush. They've got good corners.

and the Saints defense is absolutely atrocious. Now, you think it's pretty good because the last week in the Giants, it's bad. I'm going to go with the upset. Washington spoils Drew Breeze's night. Off a bye wins 28 to 27. And with that, we bring in RJ Bell Founder Pregame.com, which is the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press. Little update, RJ is now hosting the first ever daily radio show

in a major national network focused on sports. betting weekdays every day. Monday, dude Friday, 6 to 7 Eastern, 3 to 4 Pacific on Fox Sports Radio. All right, here we go. All fired up. Now, last week was 2, 2, 2, and 1. I got a lucky in a Raider cover, and the Seahawks, Arizona was a push.

So it could have been a bad day. It was 0.4 at one point, I thought, but it was 2, 2 and 1 at the end. So let's start. Broncos at the Jets. All right, so the Jets were awful. Absolutely awful. Todd Bowles is getting heat in New York. and I think they're going to come back at home and play really strong with a Denver team

that is not a good road team playing early. I'm going to take the Jets minus one and a half. What do the wise guys think? You've got agreement here and it's even pick them in some spot so you could get even more value. Listen, Denver has not covered a game this season, the only team. They won two coin flips at home early. Typically, Denver at home early dominates. And they were lucky to win game against the Raiders, game against Seattle, both of them.

Now they're on the road. Last 11 road games for Denver, one in 10 straight up, one in 10 against the spread. And Denver is off Monday night football, so a short week on the road. And a 1 o'clock Eastern start for a mountain team, mountain time zone team. They last won a 1 o'clock Eastern start in 2016. They're 0 and 5 straight up since, losing by 17 points per game on average. Only one thing, though, causes me pause here, Colin. Last week, the Jets were plus three in turnovers, net turnovers against Jacksonville.

Last 30 seasons, there's been about 1,000 teams that's been plus 3. 90% of them win when they're plus 3 in turnovers. So the Jets lost, okay, they're part of the 10%. But not only did they lose, the Jets were the first. plus plus three turnover team to lose by more than 18 points in the last 30 years. So you could say a thousand teams had the advantage of being plus three and the Jets had the worst performance. Now maybe that was a fluke or maybe it's a sign other than the Lions, this Jets team has

not looked good. All that said, I do still like the Jets. All right, one and O an agreement. All right, Raiders plus five and a half at the L.A. Chargers. First of all, it's a home game for the Raiders. it'll be 90% Raider fans. Secondly, I don't like the Chargers defense. I've watched every snap of their season.

Without Joey Bosa, they don't get the pass rush. I think they've been very disappointing on the defensive side of the ball. They've been surprisingly good at wide receiver. But this, to me, I feel like I'm getting right now, Raiders home team, five and a half, two. And by the way, the Raiders offense is clicking. I'm going to take the Raiders. What are the wise guys think? All right.

So most wise guys are going to agree with you. but there's one wise guy that matters the most. Who? R.J. disagrees on this one. Now, listen, we've been debating this with his home field. Let's agree a majority of the fans are going to be the Raiders. And that is one part of home field advantage. There's three other parts.

One is being familiar with the field, the surface, the sight lines, all that stuff, the wind. Number two, you sleep at home. You're in your routine. And number three, you don't have to travel and stay in a hotel or whatever. So, yeah, I get it. Raiders have one advantage, but certainly not like a home game. Now, another thing that backs up your pick, and a lot of the, and I'm going to say in quotes, wise guys, agree with you, is this is an underdog series. Last 17 games between these teams, 14 and 3, the team getting points, the underdog, has covered.

Wow. Now, that's a real thing. That's a real. I didn't know that. That's great. No, no doubt. But let me ask you a question. Two quick ones here.

One, are the Raiders enthused like, oh, we won our first game, now we got momentum? Or do you think it's more relief? It was like, oh, man, we didn't know. I feel like it's more relief that they didn't want that big zero hanging around their neck. Do you agree with that? Or you think, oh, there's some momentum. It's a theoretical question I don't have an answer for. You know what I feel when I watch the Raiders?

Don't you, hold on, don't you spend a career talking theoretical questions? I feel like I feel like, I feel. like Gruden because he's different and he traded Khalil Mack, he has to keep, he has to maintain the locker room. And I think that win maintain the locker room. So right, because I, when you traded Khalil Mack, boy, you can lose a locker room. And then you start losing games in the fourth quarter. I thought that win was a, it resonated amongst his players. All right. Last thought here. And this is probably the most important. Chargers were the third favorite in the AFC to win the Super Bowl entering the year. Literally, it was Patriots, Steelers, and Chargers.

Third, they've only lost two games this year. One was to the Rams. One was to the Chiefs. We have them ranked one and two in VIII. The two best teams, the NFL, the Chargers have lost to. So there's been this re-evaluation of how good they are, except they've kind of lost games in hindsight. They should have lost, and they look pretty good against the Rams. You could make the case they play them as well as anybody in this line. Let's just say that home field for the charges is only a point when you add up all the different factors. Well, the line's only five. So you're telling me raiders and charges are only four points difference. I just think this line's too low. I'm in conflict with many, but you're getting a disagreement. All right, Vikings Eagles, I'm not into revenge. There could be a little

Viking revenge here. They were humiliated in the NFC championship game. And I also think when I watched them against the Rams, I was like, this is a real good team. This was a real good team. And right now, Philadelphia's offense, they lost Frank Reich. It's not the same offense. It doesn't look the same. I'm going to take the Vikings in a field goal here. What are the wise guys think? Oh, clear agreement here. Agreement. This is one of the best situational spots of the year for any team for the Vikings. They do have playoff revenge. And I agree. Every game you lose isn't revenge. But this is a big one. This ended the season.

Remember, the Vikings were favored in Philadelphia by three points in that game. They were thinking Super Bowl at home. It was going to be a home game. So very disappointed there. And this is a must win pretty much for both teams. But the Vikings are even in a worst spot record-wise if they lose. And they're off two straight losses. And they have 10 days rest to prepare for this.

Now, Zimmer, I consider him. the third best. I don't know if McVeigh second or Zimmer second. I think Belichick, McVe, Zimmer, and it's an Andy Reid, are the top four. Check this out. Zimmer started coaching in 2014. So five seasons. There's only three teams since then that are better than 57% against the spread if you just play them every week. Zimmer is 67% in his career as a coach of the Vikings against the spread. 45 and 22. Belichick is 63% the last five years.

Andy Reed is 59%. That's the only three teams. So this is, Zimmer has overperformed the Vegas number better than any coach. You've got a Wence who still is off an injury. Yeah, maybe it is about the O.C. Or maybe it's about the playmakers have been injured for Philly. Or maybe it's Wences not 100% yet or some combination.

But Philly doesn't look the same. agreement Vikings plus three. All right, two to one agreement so far, we're just halfway home. I've got to tell you, I've been on a Casper mattress for a long time. High quality, affordable price. I got five in my house. Cool and comfortable, unique combination of foams. I get pressure relief and alignment.

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Casper.com slash column. Terms and conditions apply. All right, two to one agreement. Cardinals plus five and a half at the Niners. I actually love this game. First of all, without Jimmy Garapolo in their last 12, the Niners are 1 and 11. And I thought Josh Rosen looked really good, but here's the thing.

Nobody watched him. We were all watching Baker Mayfield. And only Seattle and Arizona got this game. I think Arizona with Rosen. can win games. I think they're the better team, and I get five and a half, I got to get agreement on this, right? Why is guys have to like this? Oh, this is a classic agreement. Yeah, I knew that this was the one I knew I was going to get agreement. I'm not sure how successful your career's been, but if you want to be, that handicap could get you on

Saturday morning TV, I think. I'm telling you right on, you mentioned Jimmy G in the drop off there, no doubt about it. Now, listen, Betherd looked pretty good last week, but it's one game. last 13 times the 49ers have been a home favor. They've covered zero times. Zero of the last 13 for the 49ers. They're favorite here. Also, you've got to wonder about motivation for a team like the 49ers who kind of lost their season when they had high expectations. But you don't have to wonder about Arizona.

The last winless team wants to win very badly to get that off their back. And by the way, the Cardinals that beat the 49ers six straight games. And I loved as part of your handicap, Rosen looking good, a few drops that maybe makes the stats not look as good. You have the film guy saying he looked good. And it wasn't a game people were watching. Nobody saw it. Nobody saw that game outside of Phoenix in Seattle. Agreed. Last thing on this one. Up at pregame.com, you can see the ticket counts and the cash counts on every game.

This game has one of the biggest splits. There's 64% of the tickets of the bets on Arizona, but there's 86% of the cash. So much more of the cash, that shows you the bigger bets are with you on Arizona. All right. So I'm going to get in agreement week. Finally, we got two more picks, one a bonus in my blazing five. I'm going to take Redskins plus six and a half. First of all, they're off a buy.

And I got to tell you something is that this division, Alex Smith wins games. and we don't like Alex Smith because he doesn't throw the long ball. But everywhere he goes, San Francisco, Kansas City, and now Washington, the team looks better and he's a smart veteran. They look better immediately. I think this is a gift. I'm getting the significantly better defense, a veteran quarterback on the road in six and a half.

What are the wise guys think? You've got agreement here. To me, this is a simple handicap. We'll keep it simple. This is one of those saving the season performances off a buy for Washington. They lose this game. Looks like middle of the road at best. They win.

This could catapult them to the playoffs. So you know the motivation is going to be there. Yeah. I also think you've got to question a few things about the Saints. One, the Giants made their defense look pretty good. It's not. But the Giants can do that. This defense, the thing that made the Saints different last year,

the offense has been great for 10 years, but they've had seven and nine years because the D's been so bad. How good is the D? I think that's an open question mark. One last thing, it's a little counterintuitive here. Ingram's back. I think for the season, that's going to be very, very good. Is it potentially, though, the transition?

This is the first game he'll play this year from going to what they've done for four games to integrating Ingram into the lineup might not be so smooth in week one. Now, only caveat, home field advantage for the Saints on nighttime games with a crowd enthusiasm is very good, but you do have agreement on the Redskins. So 4-1 agreement, blazing five.

Okay, the bonus pick every week. I may just make this a Baker-Mayfield pick every week because everybody's so fascinated. You know, Browns are getting three. Boy, they're creating a lot of turnovers, almost living off them. I love the Ravens, but I do think the Ravens are in a weird spot. They're off a highly emotional win on a standalone game against a rival, and they've been dominating Cleveland for years. Do they come in and not match the Brown's intensity?

I wouldn't bet this. I'd probably go, hell, I don't even know. Who do the wise guys like? I don't even know where I lean on this. I mean, I like, God, Baltimore's got. Well, listen, we got to lock you in. You had. I'll go Cleveland plus three.

This is why it's not my blazing five. Yeah, it's on the border. Listen, there's a type of handicapper, wise guy will say in quotes, I call him the duct tape on his shoe guy. He's a guy literally you've heard of perhaps if you follow this industry, but he doesn't make very much money. So his shoes, he has to duct tape him to keep using them. All right.

And he likes the Browns here. I like the Ravens here. I'm going to give you a disagreement. Mayfield has a ton of potential, no doubt. But rookies against the complex Baltimore D struggle. In Harbaugh's career, rookies against him are only five and 11 straight up. up with over one interception per game. So that's one factor.

Number two, though, turnovers have fueled the Browns. They're plus seven this year, which is the best in the NFL. But, hey, against the Ravens, you're probably not going to get that. By the way, the Ravens defense, they've allowed nine points in the second half. Not last week. The entire season, eight quarters have been in the second half, right? Four games, two quarters in the second half. They've given up nine points in eight quarters.

And Jimmy Smith back. Jimmy Smith's back, and the film guys say Flackos throwing the ball better. CoSell actually was one of them on your show this week than he has in years. I don't love it, but if I have to bet it, I'm disagreeing going with the Ravens. All right, RJ Bell, founder pregame.com at RJ in Vegas, the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press. He's now hosting the first ever daily radio show on a major national network on sports betting. It's great.

Six to seven Eastern, three to four Pacific Fox Sports Radio. Yeah. Baker Mayfield's interesting. I'm not sure if he's going to win, but I'm really captivated by his story. RJ, great talking to you. Thank you, Colin. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where sports slice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves. Their locker room stories, their reaction. in the moment and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to SportsSlic.

On the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slicel Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform?

We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Life is full of hurdles. So how do you keep going? On Hurtle with Emily Abadi, we're talking with the most inspiring women in sports and wellness from professional athletes, coaches, and Olympic champions,

about the challenges that shape them and the mindset that keeps them moving forward. At our level, at this scale, being able to fail in front of the entire world. Like, I can do anything. I can do anything. Listen to Hurtle with Emily Abadi on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. I'm Michelle McPhee, and I've been unraveling the strangest criminal alliance I've ever reported on. A Mormon polygamous and an Armenian businessman.

Multimillion dollar house. Ferraris and Lamborghinis, private jets, a billion dollar fraud. But how long can this alliance last? Tell me what you know. Is somebody coming after me? Listen to Kingdom of Fraud on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an IHart podcast. Guaranteed Human.