The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Colin Cowherd's Blazing 5: 10/20/2018

Episode Date: October 20, 2018

After Colin's first losing week of the year he tries to rebound with his Blazing 5 picks and RJ Bell of Pregame.com and Fox Sports Radio tells him which ones the wise guys in Vegas agree and disagree with. Plus, Colin releases a bonus pick not in his Blazing 5. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise,

breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to Sports Slice on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Sliced Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok.

Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter.

Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on. 10 pounds. I was having trouble

stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Life is full of hurdles, so how do you keep going? On Hurtle with Emily Abadi, we're talking with the most inspiring women in sports and wellness

from professional athletes, coaches, and Olympic champions about the challenges that shape them and the mindset that keeps them moving forward. At our level at this scale, being able to fail in front of the entire world. I can do anything. I can do anything.

Listen to Hurtle with Emily Abadi on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHart Women's Sports. Hi, everybody. Welcome to our Saturday morning podcast, R.J. Bell in a second, blazing five in a second, too. But first, there are things in sports that are smart moves and things that are not so smart moves. Like calling a timeout to set up a final touchdown? Brilliant. Calling a timeout with none left.

Not so brilliant. Same when you're hiring people. Job sites that overwhelm you with tons of the wrong resumes. That's not smart. But posting a job on ZipRecruiter and letting them find the right candidates for you, I think that's smart. They have powerful matching technology. They scan thousands of resumes and then they identify the people with the right education, skills, and experience, and they actively invite them to apply. It's rated a number of numbers. It's rated a number of one by employers in the country based on a trust pilot ratings of hiring sites. So right now, my listeners, you can try it for free. ZipRecruiter.com slash blaze, B-L-A-Z-E, like Blazing 5. ZipRecruiter.com slash blaze. ZipRecruiter is the smartest way to hire.

With that, here's my Blazing 5. That's a hot one. Blaze it up. Fire it up. It's Collins, blazing fire. Panthers and Eagles. Listen, this is all about the number. I don't bet teams, I bet numbers.

The number's too rich here. Carolina's getting four and a half. They have a real running game. Now, with Cam Newton, they've always had a real running game. Yards per game, yards per rush. Vegas loved that number. They're top six with both. But Cam's also got four straight games with two plus touchdown passes.

Do you know that's the first time it's ever happened the longest streak of his career? Norv Turner and Cam are working together, plus a dynamic running game, and the Eagles defense on the back end is suspect. I'm not sure who wins, but the number's too big. How about this? Carolina upset 2726.

Bills at Colts. This could be the bed of the year. Indianapolis is one in five, and you think they're terrible. They're minus seven and a half. I think it's going to be a route. The Colts have the best pass rush in the NFL that nobody talks about. They have 19 sacks. That's third in the NFL. You wouldn't have guessed that. And they're starting Derek Anderson at quarterback. He's 35. They just signed him eight days ago.

And he's not great. And he's been in camp eight days and Andrew Luck's tearing it up and they're at home. And the Colts have been in all the games they've lost. Right now the Bill's offense this season, you name a stat they're last. Points, yards, third down. It doesn't matter. They're last in everything. And I like Sean McDermott and their staff. But it's a tweener year. They drafted a rookie. He's over a season. head. He got hurt. Derek Anderson. 35 years old just came out, and Andrew Luck is going to rifle through this thing. The Colts can score

and their pass rush against an immobile Derek Anderson. 3310. Colts go on to win. Saints and Ravens. Like it, I love it. I'll take the Ravens at home minus two and a half. Ravens been on the road a while. They come home.

Baltimore's always good at home. By the way, number one defense in the league is not the Bears. It's the Ravens. But you say, Colin, the number one offense is the Saints. Yeah, it is, but it doesn't travel as well on the road. And Baltimore's offense is sneaky good. First of all, on defense, they're number one in everything. Points, yards, sacks, yards allowed, they're number one in everything.

And it's even better at home. And the Ravens have a sneaky good offense. Third down this year, their third down offense is almost 50%. They can run the ball, they can throw it deep. Those two tight-in rookies can play. I like Baltimore to win this game. Don't be a sucker on this. Don't fall in love with Drew Brees.

They don't travel as well. Baltimore's coming home. Ravens win it, 2824. Cowboys and Redskins. Dallas is the tale of two teams. Cowboys are at home, they demolish the Jags. Cowboys on the road, they get demolished. Washington only has to give up one and a half points. I really like Washington here.

I mean, look at the numbers. Cowboys at home are 3 and 0. Cowboys away are 0 and 3. Cowboys at home average 29. Cowboys on the road average 12. Turnover differential. Great at home. A mess on the road. By the way, the Redskins don't give the ball up. Second fewest giveaways in the NFL. They're good at home. They have a veteran quarterback. I told you, the next six weeks, Washington look at their schedule. They'll be favored in all their home games. They're favored here. Everybody's paying attention to Dallas.

Washington wins this by over a touchdown 2820. Giants at Falcons. I love this. Okay, everybody's... Giants can't play. They're terrible. Giants are terrible. Giants are getting five and a half points

against an Atlanta team that's pathetic defensively. By the way, the Giants only lost to Carolina because a guy booted a 60-something-yard field goal, and they had the Houston Texans beat. The Giants are all over the map, but they've proven they can go up against good teams. Houston's got a fearsome pass rush,

and Carolina can play, and they gave both of them trouble. By the way, the Falcons are last and everything defensively. It's not the coach. They lost three starters, and they're all banged up again this weekend. And by the way, running backs who can catch, they've given up Atlanta the most running back receptions in the NFL, and Seekwon Barclay leads all running backs with 40 catches this year. New York, New York. So nice we say it twice. The Giants take the five and a half. They beat them out, right? 24 to 23. All right. And with that, we bring in our

R.J. Bell, the founder of pregame.com. They are the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press, and RJ now is hosting on a weekday basis. Three to four Pacific, six to seven Eastern, Fox Sports Radio, the first ever national network radio show covering sports betting. Are you ready to roll? Absolutely. All right, here we go.

Panthers plus four and a half at the Eagles. First of all, I feel like Carolina feels desperate. And I thought Cam Newton played mostly well last. week. They're getting healthier. And this is a spot where I think Philly may win. But four and a half seems very rich to me. And I'm going to take the Panthers plus four and a half. What are the wise guys think? That is a reasonable handicap, but you've got a disagreement on this game. And I think it's all about Philadelphia's health. We're looking at the season and we're considering the games without wins. And the reality is,

is though the Super Bowl Nick Foles played was amazing. Let's give him credit. He's not Carson Wentz. And Carson Wentz wasn't Carson Wentz early in this comeback, meaning he wasn't as mobile, he wasn't

as confident, but each game you can see Wentz getting better and better. Also, when you have a home favorite that gets above a field goal like Philadelphia, oftentimes the value of the underdog is on the favorite not being totally focused. But the Eagles need this game too. I mean, you look at their record,

they can't take a loss here either. One last thing. I think Carolina has an underappreciated home away split, meaning they are so much better the Panthers at home. They are yielding 27 points per game on the road. So their defense is given up 27 a game on the road. Only 20 at home. To me, that makes a difference. And lastly, the health of the rest of the Eagles has improved. Eagles are picked, disagree with the Panthers. I don't do this very often, but a one in five Colts teams minus seven and a half at home against Buffalo. And I'm going to, I'm going to lay it here. I'm going to take the Colts minus seven and a half. I still believe in their division, they think they can be a playoff team. They've been beat up physically. But if you go back to that Jets game last week,

very much in that game. So I don't think they're a good team. But I think with Derek Anderson starting, Buffalo is going to be an utter disaster. In fact, I think Indie wins going away. I'm going to lay the points here. It's a lot. But I actually think it could be an ugly blowout win for the Colts at home. What are the wise guys think?

Well, you know what else doesn't happen? This is the first time ever a 1 in 5 team in the NFL is favored by more than touchdown versus a team with two or more wins. So it's the team with only one win favored by over a TD. That said, surprising agreement on this game. Here's the concept, Colin. What do you think the line would be if you were quarterbacking the bills? Right?

Would it be 30? Would it be 40? That's kind of the point. Derek Anderson, though, in his day was a fine quarterback. He had four passes last year he attempted. I mean, so it's not even like, oh, he retired, now he's back. And plus, he's been with the bills for what, a week, eight days? So how much of this offense could he understand?

So this is such a desperation move. It trumps everything else. It trumps everything else. And by the way, we had Josh Allen as the worst starter in football. Peterman was one and a half points worse than him, and we think Anderson is even worse than him. This is one of the worst starting quarterbacks, Anderson in this case, we've seen in memory. By the way, last thing, we talked about motivation with the Eagles. The Colts are one in five.

Even though they're laying over a touchdown, you know they're going to be motivated. Agreement on the Colts. All right, best game of the day. Saints at the Ravens. I'm going to take the Ravens minus two and a half. In fact, this seems obvious to me. First of all, the Ravens have been on the road for a while, so they come home. They are really good at home, and I think their offense is sneaky, good in the red zone.

It's not Kansas City fun, but I think Baltimore is the best defensive team easily in the league, little homecoming, okay, and they're pretty damn effective in the red zone when they get opportunities. I feel incredibly comfortable betting against Breeze here. I'll take the Ravens minus two and a half. What do the wise guys think? Biggest agreement of the week here. You know what? I want to hear this because this one seemed,

this was the first game I looked at and went, oh, that's an easy one. And I'll be honest with you. And I say this sincerely, it's a sign of you understanding how wise guys think. All right. Typical home field in the NFL is three. Ravens actually have a sneaky good home field advantage.

Maybe the 7th, 6th, 7th, 8th best in the NFL. Saints are one of the teams that rely on their home field more than any other team. So you've got that dichotomy advantage Baltimore. Number two, what is typical home field advantage? Three, we're at two and a half. You might say, RJ, that's only a half a point. Consider this. If a spread is around three, the favorite wins by exactly three almost.

10% of the time. In that case here, you win instead of push if we were laying three. Another important thing. Lastly, I don't think people appreciate how good this Ravens defense is. They've played six games this year. So in the second half of those games, there's been 12 quarters, right, six times two. They've given up the Ravens 15 points in 12 quarters. I mean, this is, in 2018, that is stunning. There may be weather. in this game. And last thing, Fadzic, who you know and he's been on your show in

this pod, we've been picking in the super contest gold. That's $5,000 entry. Winner take all 650K the winner gets, right? He is 6 and 0 on the picks that he contributes. And by the way, Colin, we're two games out of first and win

$650,000. I might miss that Friday if we win, by the way. But that said, his best That's bad of the week. He's going for 7 and 0 is the Ravens. All right. Cowboys at the Redskins, this is real simple. Average quarterbacks can fool you by playing good at home. But average quarterbacks, the Andy Dalton's, don't play good in big games or often road games. And so, Dak Prescott, to me, is an average quarterback.

Redskins only have to give up minus one and a half. They already beat Carolina. They already beat Green Bay. Again, I'll take the Redskins minus one and a half against the Dallas team that hasn't proven to me they can go on the road against a decent team and win. What do the wise guys think? Let me ask you a quick question because I listen avidly to your show

and I can tell you you didn't like DAC initially, you know, way back when and then you had to come around. Yeah. But you don't want to seem gleeful, but you really like that it looks like it's doubling back to your initial thoughts. Yeah, which is

I thought it was, yes, yes. I'll be honest with you. I don't was root for being right, but my instincts were he's a better thrower than Tebow, but there's a lot of Tebow here. He's got a run to win in this league. No, I hear you. And I'm going to give you slight agreement on this Redskins. First, I'm going to tell you why I agree and then my concerns. First off, at what point do we give Dallas credit for dominating Jacksonville? I get it. It might be Jacksonville's got a problem we don't see. But Cowboys are an emotional team. You talk about Tomlin and the Steelers.

I think that momentum helps this team. One. Number two, the line. We talked about home field is three. Are we really saying Dallas is clearly the better team? So to me, in that case, the idea that it's only a one or one and a half point spread, it's all about the value. So, you know, to me that, and then lastly, when it comes to the pro-caboy stuff, well, I'm sorry, check that pro-Washington stuff.

Dallas just doesn't play well on the road this year. They don't. No. 17 points better at home this season. Here's my two concerns real quick that makes me, yeah, I give you a slight one. Cowboys have won four straight against Washington. And what does Dallas need to do? You just made the point they got to, yeah, against Washington,

those four games, they've had over 600 yards rushing. All right, so unless Washington fixes that, that's a problem. Also, by the way, let me just say this. Dallas is front seven defensively, it's good. This is not, if this was two and a half points, I'm not sure I'd lay it. I think it's a low scoring game. I just like 20 to 17 Washington, but Dallas's defense is good up front. Oh, hey, the third least points allowed in the NFL this year, the Dallas Cowboys,

and you're right, the total in this game, 41 and a half, which is very low for the NFL. So I'm going to give you a slight agreement on the skins. I won't be betting this game. All right, two more picks, but let me say this. if you travel for work and you're looking for, you know, the small comforts to make your trip better, and I am, I want you to check out the Perth Performance Pullover. I've got one from Peter Millar. It'll be your new favorite travel partner.

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You'll definitely thank me. Go to petermalar.com slash heard. And be sure to use my link and you'll receive complimentary shipping and a free half. Okay, so use my link. That's Peter Millar, M-I-L-L-A-R.com slash heard. Peter Millar. Dot com slash heard. I'm wearing their slacks.

Now it's a little too cold. I live by the beach. to wear their shorts. We're getting into October. But I wore their slacks yesterday and I wore the pullover all the time. Peter Milar. All right, let's go to my final blazing five picks. So I have three to one agreement. So I'm good with agreement. Again, the Giants would look terrible. But let's not go crazy here. They didn't move the ball against the Texans. They moved the ball against Carolina. It took a 60-yard field goal to beat him. I'm getting five and a half with the Giants as they're getting beat up by the press at Atlanta.

Atlanta is a disaster right now defensively. Again, maybe Atlanta wins at home. But I think the Giants have shown when the matchup works up front, they move the ball in the Texans. They move the ball in Carolina. I'll take the Giants plus the points, five and a half, what are the wise guys say? Agreement, this is a classic pros on the Giants,

Joe's on the Falcons. The Joe's are looking saying, man, homefields three it's just barely above that give me the falcons and a lot of of the joes don't want to bet Eli I mean some are saying worst quarterback in the NFL but boy the falcons defense I mean it's been banged up it's banged up and it's bad and it's not getting better sometimes those second teamers start to gel you're not seeing that freeman's out now and then ridley and sinews banged up. So even on offense, the playmakers are banged up.

The only concern here, other than Eli, let's be honest, the only concern is this is the fifth home game in seven weeks for Atlanta and they've scored more than 30 points in all four. They love that dome. If this game, typically if you did a six point switch home to home,

I would much rather have the Giants laying, let's say, two or one at home than getting four or five on road. That said, the pros really agree with you a ton on this one. I'm a little more apprehensive agreement. So four to one agreement. Or a bonus pick only for our Jay Bell and only for our audience here. I would take the Bears Plus three against the Patriots, New England off a wild, I mean, listen, we know it's New England and they're consistent. But that was the game of the

year in the NFL. That was the best regular season game in the NFL in about three years. I think a little letdown. The weather is getting a little choppy now. And Trubisky in the last two games with Matt and Aggie kind of chopped it up. Been okay. So I would take the Bears plus three in a mild upset. What do the wise guys think?

I tell you, there's disagreement on this one from me. I'm going to say not the wise guys. This is an RJ disagreement. Fesick actually likes New England or likes the Bears agrees with you, likes the Bears. Here's what I'm feeling very strongly here quickly. Is

if you look at Nagy with the Bears, it feels like his elite coaching is so important to the Bears, and especially Tribisky. Well, is he going to out-coach coach Belichick? That's the thing. Nagy might have a coaching edge, a scheming edge in so many other games, but I don't think he does against Belichick and consider this.

And one of our new guys at pregame, his name's Mackie, he came in with this and it was like, it blew me away. Who did New England play last week? They played Andy Reid. Well, who's Andy Reed? The mentor of Nagy. So you're telling me that whatever game prep that the Patriots did, now they get to like a chess game. Now Nagy's going to look at that. Think they got something figured out. You need to give Mackie a raise. You know, hey, shh. Hey, it's enough. It's enough. But it wasn't good at feedback because Belichick's the chess player and against anybody. against Nagy, I want to go with the chess player. Patriots, RJ says, go with him. By the way, RJ, follow him on Twitter. I do at RJ in Vegas, founder of pregame.com,

the exclusive odds provider to the Associated Press. He has a daily one-hour show, three to four Pacific, six to seven Eastern, Fox Sports Radio. Good, good gaming stuff. Good talking to you, bud. Thank you. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where SportsSlice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline.

And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to SportsSlic on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slices Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite.

Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the I-Heart Radio app,

Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Life is full of hurdles, so how do you keep going? On Hurtle with Emily Abadi, we're talking with the most inspiring women in sports and wellness from professional athletes, coaches, and Olympic champions about the challenges that shape them and the mindset that keeps them moving forward. At our level, at this scale, being able to fail in front of the entire world.

Like, I can do anything. I can do anything. Listen to Hurtle with Emily Abadi on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHart Women's Sports. This is an IHart podcast. Guaranteed human.