The Herd with Colin Cowherd - FantasyPros - Joey P's Undervalued Players That YOU NEED on Your Fantasy Football Team in 2025 (Ep. 1602)

Episode Date: July 6, 2025

Join Joe Pisapia, Andrew Erickson, and Jake Ciely as they run through Joe’s must-have players for the 2025 fantasy football season! Timestamps: (May be off due to ads) Intro - 0:00:00 Dolphins-S...teelers Trade - 0:00:38 Terry McLaurin - 0:03:17 Chuba Hubbard - 0:09:13 Courtland Sutton - 0:15:06 DraftKings Sportsbook - 0:21:00 TreVeyon Henderson - 0:22:15 Tet McMillan - 0:27:15 Kaleb Johnson - 0:33:52 Mark Andrews - 0:38:35 Microsoft Challenger Segment - 0:38:41 Stefon Diggs - 0:45:09 Cam Skattebo - 0:47:38 Tre Harris and Jayden Higgins - 0:49:52 Kyle Monangai - 0:55:08 Justin Fields - 0:56:07 Outro - 1:00:17 Helpful Links: DraftKings Pick6 – Download the DraftKings Pick6 app NOW on Google Play or the App Store and use code FANTASYPROS. This offer is for new customers to play $5, get $50 in Pick6 credits. Only on DraftKings Pick6. The crown is yours.  Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Help is available for problem gambling. Call 888-789-7777, or visit ccpg.org in Connecticut. Must be eighteen plus, age and eligibility restrictions vary by jurisdiction. Pick6 not available everywhere, including New York and Ontario. Void where prohibited. One per new customer. Bonus awarded as non-withdrawable Pick6 Credits that expire in thirty days. Limited time offer. See terms at https://pick6.draftkings.com/promos. Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator - Our Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator lets you complete a mock in minutes with no waiting between picks! Customize your league settings to match your league’s exact format. Premium subscribers can test trade scenarios by mocking with their traded draft picks. Prepare for rookie drafts AND dynasty startup drafts in one place! Use the Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator to dominate your rookie draft today at fantasypros.com/simulator! Discord - Join our FantasyPros Discord Community! Chat with other fans and get access to exclusive AMAs that wind up on our podcast feed. Come get your questions answered and BE ON THE SHOW at fantasypros.com/chat Leave a Review – If you enjoy our show and find our insight to be valuable, we’d love to hear from you! Your reviews fuel our passion and help us tailor content specifically for YOU. Head to Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever else you get your podcasts and leave an honest review. Let’s make this show the ultimate destination for fantasy football enthusiasts like us. Thank you for watching and for showing your support – https://fantasypros.com/review/ BettingPros Podcast – For advice on the best picks and props across both the NFL and college football each and every week, check out the BettingPros Podcast at bettingpros.com/podcast, our BettingPros YouTube channel at youtube.com/bettingpros, or wherever you listen to podcasts. Microsoft AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ -⁠⁠⁠  Microsoft’s AI solutions empower you to take bold steps and make informed decisions, sparking new ideas to help drive your business forward. With Microsoft as your trusted partner, you can navigate your journey with confidence, finding innovative solutions and reaching new possibilities. Visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠microsoft.com/challengers⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to learn more.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.
Starting point is 00:00:12 We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.
Starting point is 00:00:30 you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy Football Podcast. It is me, Joey P. Joe Pee, Zerpia. And today we're going to look at my favorite things. That's right, everybody. I have a say for once, finally, in telling you all of my favorite players. And I may or may not get roasted by these two guys on either side of me here. We've got Jake Sealy here from the Athletic again and Andrew Erickson. I'm going to tell you my favorite players in 2025 in terms of underrated values that I think that you absolutely 100% need on your rosters this year. And these guys will tell me if I'm wrong.
Starting point is 00:01:07 Or maybe, maybe I might be right. Gentlemen, it's great to see you as always. Before we get going, just a quick shoutout, too. We had a crazy little trade happen. Unexpected here. The Steelers acquiring Jalen Ramsey and Jonu Smith from the Dolphins in exchange for Minka Fitzpatrick. Jake Sealy, I don't think a lot of us saw this one coming. So Arthur Smith gets John Hsu Smith back.
Starting point is 00:01:29 Is that what's going on? He just, he missed his long-lost brother. Is that what's going on here? But let's talk about this from the fantasy end of it. John News Smith now as a Pittsburgh Steeler, your thoughts. Now, should I just make the sound again? Like, whatever. Yeah, I think that was the best way to put it.
Starting point is 00:01:45 Like, he went from being inside my top 10 to just inside my top 20. It's also a tight end. So knocking off 20 fantasy points will make you go that far. But really what it comes down to is, yeah, it's Arthur Smith and he's going to run two tight ends. but even if you give John Hughes, Kyle Pitts share from when they were splitting that, and you saw about 160 targets go to each of them. And I know that was a bad year, quarterback for the Falcons, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
Starting point is 00:02:08 but it was still 530 targets on the season. So even if, what, 17% target share, but I don't see him getting that. I think it would probably be more like 15, and at 15, it's not a top 10 tight end for me. Maybe if he gets 17, 18%, and maybe if he's like a solid number two and all the wide receivers failed to take a step forward alongside DK. Metcalfe, like Roman Wilson, Calvin Austin, and all the rest. Maybe he's back inside the back end top 10, but I'm not going to risk it because unless his ADP gets down to about 18 to 20 range at tight end, I'm just not going to do it.
Starting point is 00:02:41 Erickson, give me the other side of this. John Newsomith gone from Miami, and a lot of people liked him as a sleeper tight end. Oh, yeah, it's such a good year last year for the Dolphins. Well, that's gone. So now what remains here? What are the adjustments that you might have to make around this? Dolphins offense. Well, I think it means that Jaylon Waddle, bounce back season.
Starting point is 00:03:00 It's happening. It's going to happen, people. So I'm really excited. I think that this means that, all right, we see the Dolphins offense through Mike McDaniel, be very concentrated around usually two guys. Most of the time it's been Hill and Waddle last year, it was A. Chan and Johnny Smith. So now it seems like of the big three that's there, Tyree, Jalen, and A. Chan, well, two of these guys are probably going to be hits in this potential offense.
Starting point is 00:03:22 And if I'm put sure my chips on two players, it's going to be the running back. and Jane LaMaudle. All right, everybody. So quick take on that trade. And remember, make sure you subscribe to Fantasy Bros. YouTube channel. Drop your comments below. Again, we're trying to get to 300,000 subscribers this year, and we can do it with your help.
Starting point is 00:03:37 All you got to do is subscribe and like this video. It's a very easy thing to do. We appreciate all of you hanging out with us talking football. And let's start talking about some of my favorite things. That's right. I'm like Oprah today. I'm going to give you all my favorite things. And number one, my first favorite thing here.
Starting point is 00:03:52 We're going to talk about some guys that are going currently in the top 50. of picks. I'm not going to take guys, you know, in the top 25. Most of them are pretty good. But I want to highlight somebody, ECR 38, wide receiver 18, is Terry McLaren because he is one of my favorite things. Why? Because he is incredibly consistent. One of my favorite bets last year, Andrew knows this. I smashed the over. It was 925 and a half on the receiving yards from last year. This is a guy who gets 1,000 yards receiving every single year with some of the worst slap nut quarterback play you'll ever get to see in your entire life. And then he finally got jaden Daniels last year and wouldn't you know it he had one of his best seasons or probably his best
Starting point is 00:04:27 season ever uh he now has five straight years of a thousand yards receiving he was wide receiver six and half ppr last year and now he's being ranked as wide receiver 18 i don't understand this i understand if the touchdowns regress a little bit he had 13 last year maybe it goes to nine or 10 i actually think there's a world where jaden daniels doesn't have a sophomore slump or even gets possibly better so i think the value proposition here for terran mclorin is a completely by Jake Sealy. Talk to me about your thoughts on Ter McClorn because he is one of my favorite wide receivers this year at value and I think he's being grossly undervalued in all of the early ranks.
Starting point is 00:05:04 Yeah, I'm with you. Honestly, even if you look at fancy points per game and include Rashid Rice and Chris Godwin miss in the big chunks of their seasons, he's at worst wide receiver 16. So if anything, you're just going off points per game last year. He's still undervalued. And I would still take him at 14. And even if you brought up the projection type situation and like, I don't have them for 13 touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:05:25 I have for 8 at 1100 and change yards. That puts them about 203 fancy points. Most years, that puts them as a fringe wide receiver 1 around 203. Worst case, probably Y receiver 15, which I feel like I'm with you. It's the floor, in my opinion. I'm at 14. I'm taking in front of Adams as the number two. I'm taking in front of, and this is going to sound crazy to a lot of people,
Starting point is 00:05:46 but I'll take them in front of Ladman-Conkie. Like, I just think that if everybody's expecting Jane Daniels to take another step forward and what you bring in with Debo Samuel, like it's the corpse of Debo Samuel at this point. Not even that one year that we can kind of throw out that happened at San Francisco with all the rushing. Like, we just know that's never going to happen again. Even if you take the best years just receiving wise of Debo Samuel,
Starting point is 00:06:06 it'll be better than anything they had running out there is the number two. But if anything, that's just going to help free up Terry McLaren downfield more, which is what we love to see. So I'm with you. I think Terry McLaren's solidly inside the top 15 wide receivers. So so far, I am not coming for you. you or trying to roast you. Who, man, I'm relieved.
Starting point is 00:06:25 Let me tell you that. Andrew Erickson, I want your thoughts on McClorn because, okay, maybe he doesn't have the flashy explosiveness of the guys in the very top. That's fair. But he also has the durability of a guy you can count on every single week. And I think that is very important and sometimes underappreciated. What do you think? So I'm not as high on McClorn.
Starting point is 00:06:42 I'm more in line with where the consensus has him. So I haven't been at wide receiver 19. I don't think that either brought up the fact that this guy hasn't showed up to OTAs and he's holding out for a contract. So that's, and that may be baked into his rank here a little bit because we saw last year a lot of the guys held out besides Jamar Chase, who did start the season really badly. It didn't work out for a lot of those guys that held out. So that's something to keep in mind that this could obviously change as we get closer to the start of the season, but he is holding out for a contract. So I think that does matter.
Starting point is 00:07:10 And then the second thing, and Jacob, I'm kind of interested to see what you have. What did you have for his target share in this offense? Because Tara McClorn's never really been this major target share earner, even when he's played with, or he's been the clear established number one. Even last year, I don't think that he really had more than, I think he had a 21% target share last year, which was 37th in the NFL.
Starting point is 00:07:31 And there wasn't a lot of target competition last year. So yes, it is the corpse of Debo Samuel that's coming into this offense, but he's still a little bit more of an upgrade from what they had there last season. So I see it where he is more in the middle teens of receiver. And I will also say that he got to goes in a range in the drafts
Starting point is 00:07:48 where you can poke a lot of holes in a lot of guys. I like the point that Joe made that he has that high floor, right? You're going to get your 1,000 yards. So even if he's not necessarily, in my opinion, the best pick that you can make in the middle round, I think that he does offer a decent floor assuming that his contract gets all solved. Do you want to jump me in or just set me up for the question again? Yeah, yeah, yeah. I was asking Joe, he's hosting the show.
Starting point is 00:08:11 No, yeah, yeah. I mean, I was staying out of your way. I like when you guys fight instead of being Jake fighting for a change. Well, so I think that comes down to what sites did. data too because if you go to like true media they have 23.2% for his team target share last year. So whatever. Anyway, point being to answer your question for me, I am at 22.6. Which is, I don't think aggressive and I don't think it's too low. But I'll go back to that puts him in at 119 targets. Last year was 117. The years before that, 1.30, 120, 130, 120. So it's in his
Starting point is 00:08:42 wheelhouse. Honestly, don't have him going up or down. I actually just have him almost replicating last year as a project without the touchdowns. And it's so crazy that I, Joe brought up with that touchdowns is because even if you take those away and just replicate everything else, which I think would be his floor at this point, it's still a wide receiver top 20 at minimum. And that's assuming he's not going to be better on a per catch basis or a per target basis with Jane Daniels on year two and the addition of Debo Samuel. So that's where I'm going with it. I think you could see better efficiency and better per target outcomes for him this year, even if the touchdowns reel back in. I think we should also maybe assume that Jane Daniels could be
Starting point is 00:09:20 better and I understand that everything we've seen in the past, again, it was almost in spite of his quarterback play. So look, I understand typically we look at touchdown regression and things like that year over year. But I think McLaurin is a very interesting case study because this is a player who has typically had zero help. Now he's got a rookie quarterback last year who really help him break out. And who knows? I think there's actually opportunity for everybody to actually come to this table and actually feast a little bit more. Next guy on my list is a running back at 46 of the ECR, RB 18, Chuba Hubbard. Last year finished as RB 15 in the half PPR.
Starting point is 00:09:57 He had 1195 yards, 10 touchdowns, also caught 43 balls. And I'm a big proponent of follow the money. And remember, he did all this and he missed the last two games of the season two. So he's going to be healthy going into this year. I think that people continue to dismiss Erickson, the Carolina Panthers. Rightfully so. They've been awful for quite some time. But I think last year, if you were.
Starting point is 00:10:20 paying attention, and I know we were, you really saw a different version of them, that latter part of the season, where things really started to click for this offense a little bit more. And I think that it's time to take advantage of a Carolina Panther here. And I got two of them on this list. So this is the first one here with Chuba Hubbard, who I think is a really solid back for your fantasy team that I think people are really, if you just take away the team, maybe take away the name and just look at the raw numbers from last year, it's a pretty valuable player that I think is being undervalued.
Starting point is 00:10:47 I think that he's being more closely valued. So I will push back here a little bit. I see this backfield being more of a one-two punch because you look at the splits last year with Chuba Hubbard, especially down the stretch when there really was no one else in that backfield taking on any type of workload. Miles Sanders got hurt and Jonathan Brooks was coming back from his injury. But what you include when those guys were healthy in the offense,
Starting point is 00:11:09 or excuse me, Chuba Hubbard was the RB-19 in terms of points per game. That's how productive it was. When those guys missed time and it was clearly Chuba Hubbard, he was seeing close to a 90% snap share as a full-blown workhorse, that's when he was the RB4 and points per game. So that was the ceiling outcome. So I think that the backfield, there's more behind him than it was last year between Rico Dowdell and the Trevor E.T. and who they drafted in the fourth round, who can offer a little bit as a pass catcher. And the only thing that concerned with Hubbard is I don't think that he's a dynamic receiver.
Starting point is 00:11:38 I know that he can catch jump off passes, but his yards per route run was really poor last year. So I think that he's more, again, I have him in the back end RB2 range. And it's more of a value proposition for me where, you know, RB2, I'm not trying to put a priority on that in my fantasy drafts. I feel like I can get that later on in my drafts where I want to prioritize some of the receivers and other running backs, especially he goes in the range with a lot of these rookie running backs, where if I take Chuba Hubbard, that means I'm probably not going to get R.J. Harvey or Trayvian Henderson. So that's kind of the opportunity cost I'm looking at. And I think I can replace Hubbard's production a little bit farther down the line than one of
Starting point is 00:12:12 these rookies that could really have a big second half surge. Yeah, but we've also seen Chuba Hubbard actually contribute, where the other guys is still theoretical. And I will say, too, five of the last seven games that he played in, he finished as an RB1. I think that's also something we should think about. And when the Panthers offense was better is when Chuba was getting the lion's share of the workload. So Jake, I'm going to put it to you with Chuba Hubbard. I feel like he's part of the secret sauce that turned this offense around last year.
Starting point is 00:12:36 So it's not trying to put him in a timeshare again. It's trying to make sure that he is healthy for the season and ready to rock and roll and ready to be that lead back. And I don't look at some of the guys of this roster is legitimate threats. to eating into too much of his workload, do you? I don't, and I promise at some point I'm going to disagree with you. So, so far... No, I'm enjoying this.
Starting point is 00:12:54 They were doing the same page? Yeah, I mean, I like when you actually support me for a change in life. I know, you like that? Here's why. So it's not just projections, because projections only has him as RB18 in points, as in, that's what he would have been last year. I have for 208, that would have been RB18. And that'd be RB18 on most years.
Starting point is 00:13:12 What we have to include here and why we have ranks versus projection, and why some of mine will skew differently. I actually have them at RB15 because I think there's fewer questions. So, no, RB 18 at 208 doesn't sound as appealing as RB15 and what we're trying to argue for Hubbard. But when you say Hubbard in front of James Connor, injury risk, Hubbard in front of Trevion Henderson, who, you know, you just brought up Erickson, but is he definitely the guy?
Starting point is 00:13:37 I'm a huge Trevion Henderson fan, huge. But is he guaranteed to be the lead? Is he guaranteed to see 50% of the work, 55%? Is he guaranteed to see goal line work? DeAndre Swift, I'm higher on the most. Questions there. Marion Hampton, questions there. It's just the fact that I know Hubbard is the lead back for the Panthers.
Starting point is 00:13:57 Even if it's not the same near 20 touch per game rate that it was towards the end of the season that you're referencing, Joe, it's the good part here is, you know, he's going to be the one. I am not afraid of Rico Dattle. I brought this up in the comments for one of the videos that we did a few weeks ago. the Dallas Cowboys who just had Rico Daddle do RICO Dattle thing said, you know what, we saw that. We're not even going to offer you $2.5 million. Instead, we're going to offer $3 million to a dude's knee who might not even exist anymore. Like, that's how much they were kind of like, we don't care. Goodbye, Rita Dahlio for your one year, two and a half million dollars.
Starting point is 00:14:31 That tells me what the NFL thinks of Rico Dattle, which is different from fantasy, is that I don't think he's a threat. I just don't think anybody. And I'm a Trevor E.T.N. guy. I just don't think he's a threat. I think Hubbard's going to be one of the few running backs who has 260 plus touches this year. And everybody behind him in my rankings have more questions. You know, I might just end the show here because Jake has agreed with the first two players right out of the gate that I've selected.
Starting point is 00:14:57 I'll give you a hint. It's number three. This would be a good time to end the show because I'm about to disagree with you. I feel like I'm pushing the envelope here. But maybe Erickson will agree with this next one. Again, look, I like the rookie running backs, Henderson especially too. I think he's that big play guy that they have lacked in that offense. for some time. But Remandre Stevenson is still there, and we don't know what that workload.
Starting point is 00:15:16 I mean, it could be eight, nine weeks into the season until we see Henderson even take that over completely. You just don't know, but I know what I saw from Chupalbubbard last year. And again, I'm following the money. They signed into a contract extension last year, which a lot of us kind of went, wow, that's odd. That's interesting. And then at the end of the season, we went, yeah, that made a lot of sense. It's a good thing they did that because Jonathan Brooks isn't playing maybe ever again. And what they were able to bring in wasn't great. So last guy on my list of the top 50 and I just snuck him in here. Number 49, Cortland Sutton. He is wide receiver 23 right now in the ECR, despite the fact that he was wide receiver 13 last year, 81 receptions,
Starting point is 00:15:51 135 targets, over 1,000 yards, eight touchdowns. Now, I know we all hope and think that Evan Ingram is going to contribute, and it seems to make a lot of sense on paper. A lot of people like Marvin Mims or some other talent there, you know, people are excited about RJ Harvey. The only thing that I know is that Bo Nix can find Cortland Sutton. That's all that I know about the Denver Broncos, that I feel good as investable, that I am looking at it in fantasy and saying, yes, I know that's the number one guy in this offense, and I want him. And I think you're getting a huge discount on Cortland Sutton this year.
Starting point is 00:16:25 So I'm going to ignore Jake Seeley because I have a bad feeling about this and instead go to the original OG Cortland Sutton guy for some support. Andrew Erickson, what say you? Well, he was wide receiver 23 in points per game. So that's, I think the fact that he played all the games mostly last year kind of is bumping up his final stat line. And I think Evan Ingram is going to make a difference. I mean, last year, Colton Sutton really had no target competition. It was a bunch of rookie receivers.
Starting point is 00:16:53 You had Marvin Mims entering the second year still in the doghouse. But now all these young receivers are now taking another step forward, another year in the Sean Payton system. Marvin Mims entering year three, Troy Franklin entering year two. They drafted Pat Bryant. They brought in Evan Ingram. We don't know exactly who the Joker is in this offense, but it's not Corton Sutton Sutton. Like we feel pretty clear about that. So even though you pointed to, yes, we feel good about Bo Nixon and this Sutton connection,
Starting point is 00:17:17 but I think that might have hit its peak potentially last year. Sutton was gobbling of all the high value opportunities, everything downfield, everything in the red zone. And I just think that the Broncos, they want to run the football. They tried to do it last year, again, to point to Jake's point about Javonte Williams. They had a guy without an knee, essentially, leading the backfield, and it wasn't working out really that great. So I think they run the ball a little bit more
Starting point is 00:17:37 with the dynamic running back with J.K. Dobbins, with R.J. Harvey. I think Evan Ingram is going to become Bo Nix's favorite checkdown target in this passing game. I think that's going to negatively impact Cortland Sutton. So, I mean, last year during his second half tear when he was basically, it was after that Saints game where he said he got no targets on Thursday night football
Starting point is 00:17:55 and Sean Payton publicly apologized about for Carlton and then we got to get this guy of the ball. He dominated production from that point on. and no one else in the offense had a 12% target chair or higher. I just don't think that's going to be the case this year. So I'm a little bit lower. I've met wide receiver 28. Yeah, it's interesting, though.
Starting point is 00:18:12 You're dingin my guy, Cortland Sutton here because he played every game. And instead, we're going to think that Evan Ingram, who could barely get on the field last year, is somehow going to be a savior in fantasy. Jake, I like players who play football. That's what I like. The guys who show up every week is, you know what? The guys that don't, you know, fantasy points per game is important. I always talk about that in the blackbook, too.
Starting point is 00:18:32 But playing games every week is also important. Guys who get on the field, guys who are available and produce at a high level when they are on the field. And I'm looking at Cortland Sutton. And to me, I look at these, he are. And I see, you know, guys around him that have some more questions than answers. I mean, I know Devont de Smith is after him. Jameson Williams had a nice season. I can understand making the case for him.
Starting point is 00:18:56 But, you know, we're still talking about Xavier Worthy, Chris Olav. I'll take Cortland Sutton are both of those guys. And they're all in that same grouping. So one is I'm higher on a lobby than a lot of people, so it won't get me on that one. I can see the case. I actually have a sandwich. Well, that's a whole other show because. Yeah, I know.
Starting point is 00:19:10 I have a sandwiched right between. I want to know why about that, but I'm not going to ask you that today. That's that we don't have the time for that one. He's actually, you brought up to, he's sandwich between Jameson and Devonthe Smith for me at 27. And it really comes down to, there's not a lot what you said that was wrong. It just comes down to what do we believe for this season. I feel like they have for the first time Erickson are on the same page. And maybe the question should actually be, when is Ericson.
Starting point is 00:19:32 when is Erickson going to agree with you? Because he's come after you for all three so far. But the biggest thing here is I look at it in Evan Ingram in the Joker role. It's not even just Evan Ingram. I've said this a lot on these shows. And I would bring with Sean Payton's creating his Saints in Denver. It's not exactly the Saints. It's not Drew Brees.
Starting point is 00:19:49 He doesn't have a Marquis Colston or Michael Thomas. But he has some similar weapons. And if you look back at like the Jimmy Graham years, the number one wide receiver for that team averaged about 112 to 115 targets usually. and I'm not afraid of Eminem getting 130 targets. I'm actually mostly not drafting Evan Ingram. It's just that Sutton with everything and it was his highest team target share since his second year, which back then with Joe Flacco had nobody else on that team to throw to.
Starting point is 00:20:15 But if you look at it, you go down this list. It's like there are weapons. There's Devon Vili, who a lot of people are giving credit in this all season that might step up as the number two. And nobody's even brought up his name, including Marvin Mims and Pat Bryant, who they drafted, who I think plays that kind of Marquis's role to my first. Michael Thomas role on the team, which somebody said, well, maybe he's more Lance Moore. And I think that makes sense too. But then the RJ Harvey and everything in the back field, JKD, like there's just weapons
Starting point is 00:20:41 galore where I find it hard to give Cortland Sutton more than 115-ish targets, which is why I brought that up. And it's not, again, referencing the Jimmy Graham seasons to say that's why. It's just, I just don't see where he's going to get back into 130 plus targets, which I think he needs to get inside the top 20. But you are right. he is one of the safest like fringe wire receiver two three is for me like i feel very good about him if i took a dice roll on my wire receiver two i would agree as a number two i love it and you can get him just
Starting point is 00:21:11 about as a three in a lot of leagues and you make a good point yes there's a lot of talent around this roster now however it's a lot of it's theoretical i want to add that word theoretical maybe maybe maybe maybe maybe maybe jk dauben's knees hold up maybe maybe courtland sutton i know what i'm getting and I'm taking it. All right, let's move on to the next grouping here, players 51 through 100. Before we do, quick shout out because nothing beats relaxing on a hot summer day and just chilling out by the pool and watching a little baseball along with it. Of course, Fantasy Pro's MLB is there for you for all your baseball needs. And the simplest way to get it on the action while you're watching a little Fantasy Pro's MLB is to download the pick six app from Draft
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Starting point is 00:22:53 What's the news, new? Huge news. We created our own podcast. called Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to... We're the first people to do podcasts.
Starting point is 00:23:03 Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it.
Starting point is 00:23:26 down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, Hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast.
Starting point is 00:23:40 But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends.
Starting point is 00:23:55 me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, S&L's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app,
Starting point is 00:24:16 Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.
Starting point is 00:24:40 I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Next on our list here coming in at number 64, we kind of mentioned him already. Trevion Henderson. Now, I do believe in the talent here. I also believe in new regimes.
Starting point is 00:24:59 And when a new regime comes in and starts taking guys, pay attention because they don't necessarily want the guys that were there before. And Travion Henderson, I'm sure you've heard it. Oh, I don't know. Somewhere between one and about 5,000 times that he's also good at pass blocking. Do you guys know that Travion Henderson is good pass blocking? It's all anybody wants to talk about this summer already is Travion Henderson's pass blocking, which is great.
Starting point is 00:25:18 Let's talk about the explosiveness. Let's talk about the speed. Let's talk about the lack of playmakers, Patriots have had, and Trevionn Henderson fits a Josh McDaniels offense very well. So before I get to Mr. Patriot, because I think I know where he lies on this one, I want to start with Jake Seeley. Jake, Travion Henderson right now currently, I'm looking at him as RB 24. I think that is being very low on Trayvion Henderson and what his upside could be.
Starting point is 00:25:44 I understand you mentioned before, we're not exactly sure how things are going to work out, but what I do know is Mike Vrable's come to town and losing is over for the Patriots. They got a much better schedule. And I think Trevon Henderson is going to be a big part of what they do offensively in 2025. What do you think? So two thumbs up. If I had more thumbs, if you could AI my hands, I'll give you more thumbs on too. Because I hate to make you count to 21.
Starting point is 00:26:09 It's the worst. It is really difficult. It comes after 13 at some point, right? Before 70. I don't know. Somewhere in there. Trevion Henderson. Let's get back.
Starting point is 00:26:20 Trevion Henderson, the draft comp I even threw out was, people remember if I said this, remember the little wheel cars that you pulled back with the spring and it just like the, Oh, yeah. And then you let go, that's Trevionne Henderson. And that's why I like him so much. I also brought up why in my breakout running back article, why he can do it even without getting 60% because you go back to something you just brought up, which was kind of buried in there, is James White is one of two running backs in the last 10 years to finish as a top 20 running back
Starting point is 00:26:48 and not touching the ball at least 210 times. Why? Because of the receiving game. Oh, by the way, who did he do that with with the Patriots? And under that Josh McDaniels offense is that Trayvion Henderson can do it on a 200 target. I want to be 200 targets, 200 touches. That would be impressive. 200 targets.
Starting point is 00:27:10 200 touches. That'd be nice. I know. Number one running back overall. Screw you, Ashton, Gentie. Really, because that's here's the 200. touches for Henderson that I believe is in play whether or not he like to go back to my point when we're talking about Hubbard is if he is the lead or not. It's okay because I believe in
Starting point is 00:27:28 what he can do on a per touch basis. Maybe the touchdowns aren't high enough to push him as an RB1, but I am at RB 18 in front of another rookie running back in a Marion Hampton. And if you tell me talent versus talent, I'll take Hampton every single time. But I like the situation for Henderson mostly because of how much I think he'll get value in the receiving game as well. Yeah. And James White was, I believe, a fourth round pick if memory serves, right? A little bit more draft capital in Trayon Henderson and a little bit more need to really just remake this offense. Erickson, I think where Jay Kazim at 18 is good. I think he's easily you could see him by the end of the year, especially in PBR League's cracking top 15.
Starting point is 00:28:05 I think that's a thing. I'm looking for that playmaking ability, pass catching ability, all that in there where, man, like the fantasy points, I think, are going to be a lot of Trevion Henderson from that backfield. What do you think? I agree with you guys. I think that he's a great pick where he's going. I think that he's undervalued. And as more teams in the NFL follow a running back by committee type of offense, because that's where a lot of the league is going,
Starting point is 00:28:29 especially with the two high safeties. You need multiple running backs. There's not as many bell cows as there once was. So how do you find the running backs in the committees that still can be productive? It's guys like Trayvon Henderson, who are built to operate on all three downs, catch pass out of the backfield because they can also operate an elite. No, you're not giving him enough credit. He's elite.
Starting point is 00:28:47 in pass pro as a rookie. He's elite. That's what I heard. So we got to give him more credit. We got to wax more credit about his past protection. And he's super explosive. So my comp for him coming out was Tony Pollard. And we saw with Pollard where he needed Zeke in that backfield to be uber efficient and be productive.
Starting point is 00:29:03 It is when they overloaded him with touches when he broke down. And we saw it with Henderson at Ohio State. This guy was constantly banged up. So he needs Remandre. He needs Intrino Gibson to take the in between the touch tackles to help him stay fresh for a 17-game season, so he can still deliver on all the juice
Starting point is 00:29:19 and all the explosive plays he can have as an outside runner, out of the back field, catching passes. So that's why I think Henderson is just when you're looking at the archetype of player, he's a good bet to make on,
Starting point is 00:29:29 especially as a rookie in this year's class that's so loaded with talent, I think that he's a great pick. And Mike Rable, he knows a couple things about Ohio State, okay? I think he has the intel
Starting point is 00:29:38 about how good of a Henderson, how good of a prospect, how good of a player he can be in this office. I think he's going to be put in positions to succeed. He's not going to be asked to do things
Starting point is 00:29:45 that aren't going to help him put up up stats. So sign me up. All right. Sign me up for the next guy here. Teteroa McMillan, another rookie. Wide receiver 34 and ECR at 74 right now. And, you know, it's funny because last year, Brian Thomas was, I think, the wide receiver 46, from where I'm looking at Fantasy Pro's Consensus ADP last year.
Starting point is 00:30:05 He was an overall 109. Now, I'm not saying he's going to be Brian Thomas Jr. But I will say this. He's clearly the best number one target in terms of wide receiver at that right he is the guy they spent the big draft capital on correct he also comes into a situation where the offense was improving and oh wait the defense still sucks which means at the end of the day they're still going to have to throw the football a ton and trying to stay in these games that's good for fantasy maybe not so good for the panthers win loss record but it's good for me in my fantasy
Starting point is 00:30:36 equity and and ted mcmillan i believe it was i know jake was on that show i don't remember who else was in this discussion with us jake we were talking about the fatigue of like ted mcmcgrill is really good And then eventually we got tired of just saying it and we were trying to poke holes and figure it out. Well, I'm not trying to poke any more holes. In fact, I'm trying to just pick Tedroa McMillan on my fantasy team. So, Erickson, let's start with you on this one because you were, by far, the guy leading the pack last year. If you watched any of the shows, it was Andrew Erickson all Brian Thomas all the time. And he was 100% right.
Starting point is 00:31:09 So I'm not saying this is copy and paste. I am saying it's eerily familiar and I want to take advantage of it, Andrew. Well, if Jake had been on more shows last year, we would have been handholding for Brian Thomas Jr. Well, who can rape Frank Jones Jr. I don't even know who has to sign football from Brian Thomas sitting next to him. I don't know. Not you. That's for sure.
Starting point is 00:31:29 Don't, don't. All I got is the winning ticket. You know what? I can buy a lot of footballs that ticket. Exactly. But doesn't kind of like harking back a little bit where it feels like a little deja vu to you right now? I think I wouldn't say it feels the same because I think Brian Thomas, Jr., he just got undervalued because he was the second fiddle to Malik neighbors when it was also a
Starting point is 00:31:50 generational wide receiver talent. And that's kind of why he got knocked, even though there was clear opportunity in the Jacksonville Jaguars offense for him to vacuum up targets after they lost Calvin Ridley. Gabe Davis was part of that offense. We know he's never commanded targets at a high level. So now with T-Mack, I think that this is such a good spot for him. I think that stylistically he fits really well with what Bryce Young does really well. He can work the intermediate level of the field.
Starting point is 00:32:14 and you look at this Dave Canales offense in terms of who's been operating as that wide receiver won at times. They've been really productive for fantasy. I mean, Adam Thielen had over 100 catches, 1,000 receiving yards during Bryce Young's rookie season. Adam Thielen is no spring chicken, okay? He's an older guy, but he's been able to produce
Starting point is 00:32:30 in this office with Bryce Young. Last year, if you look at the number one receiver in this offense between Deonti Johnson and Adam Keelan at times, they were pacing for over 1,100 yards, over a 17-game sample size, 33% first read target share. and in Adam Theon's last six games when he came back from his injury,
Starting point is 00:32:48 again, at 34 years old, he was averaging nearly 15 fantasy points per game and half PBR. That would have been top eight among all wide receivers last season. So the Panthers told us exactly what they want to do. Like you said, Joe, they have one of the worst defenses of the NFL.
Starting point is 00:33:03 And what do they do with their first pick in the draft? They draft the wide receiver. That's right, my friend. We need to get Bryce Young offensive pieces. And they thought that Tetereo Mcmillan was that special of a guy that despite all their needs on defense, like, nope, we cannot pass on this guy. We have to get Bryce Young an alpha wide receiver.
Starting point is 00:33:18 I think that could be him. So he's firmly inside my top 24. I was so shocked that his ECR is as low as it is as outside the top 30. Jake, were you surprised, too, that McMillan's value is where it is currently? I mean, that might change by the time we get into the thick of draft season as more and more, you know, fantasy analysts are talking up people. But right now, especially early on, I just think it's way under where it should be, which is good.
Starting point is 00:33:42 don't get me wrong. I want to take him there. But I just see the floor being higher and maybe even the ceiling being higher than people expect. I think the ceiling is higher. I don't know what the floor is. I think there's the one where I'm going to kind of come down on. I think the ECR is about right. I am at Y- Receiver 34. I think because there's questions like, and this is coming from somebody and not to be like, hey, look at me because I can certainly be wrong about this. This is not happening. And so like I am on the, let's look at Bryce Young at the end of last year for those last five or six games and say, oh look at how well he played under pressure. Look at how well he started to look like the quarterback from Alabama.
Starting point is 00:34:16 Let's talk about the improvements he finally made, and maybe that carries over this year. But carrying that over to this year still has to go further than just the way that he played, including the rushing touchdowns for us and fantasy, is that there was still completion percentage concerns, as in the completions that he left on the field, as in being off target at times. So what I come down to is,
Starting point is 00:34:37 does Teterona McMillan have 60-61? completion percentages are rookie or does he push up to like the 68 70% which he's capable of doing but does it come down to Bryce Young's play because the biggest to come back the next level from that the biggest factor is I have him for about 125 targets 130 140 is probably what we want to see to get them in that wide receiver one territory but a big difference between catching 60% of the balls and 68% of the balls on 12025 targets is going to be the difference when you're in this conglomeration of wide receivers that like it's one point per game. difference from about wide receiver 22 to about 32.
Starting point is 00:35:14 So the range of outcomes for McMillan is quite large. Like you could be right at the end of the year just by other wide receivers taking a slight step back or falling off. Or I could be right just because other wide receivers stepped up and finally hit their season. So I have him in this range mostly because he's alongside names like Joanne Jennings and Calvin Ridley and himself and Xavier Worthy and stuff like that where I'll take him if he's in this range as the Y receiver,
Starting point is 00:35:41 but I'm just not going to take him at the top of this tier, which is probably like the only difference we have. I'm in on him. I just would take him more at his floor than his ceiling. Fantasy pros projections. You can go look right now on the website. 66 receptions, 878 yards, five touchdowns. I think it's more like about 80-something receptions.
Starting point is 00:35:59 I think we're getting closer to 1,000 yards in his rookie season. I honestly do. And I think we're looking at maybe seven to eight touchdowns. And I think that is a difference in perspective. I'm at 74, 9, 4.4. 41 and six. Well, if that happens, I've got to say, once again, Chris Olavé, who's had concussion issues, who has no quarterback play, that team is a complete disaster, they're going two
Starting point is 00:36:20 picks away from each other. Sorry. Like, I'm going to take Ted McMillan every single time there. Another rookie here, a lot of rookies in this area, but that's kind of what you're getting outside of that top 50 to 100 range of the guys that are under value. There will be a veteran here, I assure you. Caleb Johnson is next on this list. And, you know, once we get into the, uh, oh, the leaves start to fall in Pittsburgh, you know, and all of a sudden it gets a little chillier.
Starting point is 00:36:45 I just think Caleb Johnson is the perfect fit here for what the Steelers want to do, which is run the football. And I'm a little tired of all the Jalen Warren hype. He's at three years and not one of them as he finished as an RB2. So can we just stop with the Jalen Warren stuff? Like, yeah, okay, he does some fun things. And yeah, he's had some injury issues. Caleb Johnson, I think, is the perfect fit for the Pittsburgh dealers, the perfect fit for this offense, what they want to do. They're going to have to support Aaron Rogers because he's 1112 years old, and that's important with a run game.
Starting point is 00:37:12 And he is going to be the guy at the goal line. He is going to be the guy that you get those fantasy points in those standard leagues and those half-PPR leagues, those touchdowns are going to matter. I think Caleb's going to be that guy there. And personally, I'm looking at Caleb Johnson right now at RB29 and ECR-75 as a pretty darn good value. Jake, what are your thoughts on Caleb Johnson? I know we've had this discussion before, but do you see him as that same kind of undervalued player that you kind of need on your roster as well, especially if you are an early wide receiver builder kind of a manager. I would say yes, value. I need only because I think there's plenty of
Starting point is 00:37:49 running backs kind of in this range that could go either way. I'm at 25, so I'm ahead on consensus on this one. And it comes down to something you said in there. It's like, we can stop with Jalen Warren at this point. The Steelers have told us they do not want Jalen Warren to be the lead. Like, pay attention to these teams. They tell you a lot of things. And like we can sit back and play armchair quarterback. That's hell. That's our job right now. And sit here and be like, oh, we should, why don't they do this? Why shouldn't they like give this more touch? And then the teams don't do it. Well, oh, surprise. Maybe sometimes these teams know. Lamar Miller, but give them more touches. Give them more touches. Give them more touches.
Starting point is 00:38:20 They give them more touches on a new team. And guess what happens? He's Lamar Miller putting up the same damn numbers at a worse efficiency actually to bring up the Tony Pollard thing that Erickson said before. It's like, sometimes these teams know. Who are they replacing Najee Harris with? Not Jalen Warren with Caleb Johnson. And this is coming from somebody who got attacked during the draft process for calling Caleb Johnson, Tyler Algier. Like, that was a bad thing. Let's go back to Tyler Al Jir's rookie season when the Falcons had nothing else.
Starting point is 00:38:45 And it was like, hey, let's see what Tyler Al Jare can do. Only 210 carries. He was inside the top 20 because he was very effective. And some of those games wore volume. But Tyler Al Jir is not a negative for Caleb Johnson. And if he had those 250-ish about touches as a rookie, which I think is certainly in play, then RB25 might be low, honestly. So I think he's more likely to also be the goal line option than Jalen Warren.
Starting point is 00:39:10 So I'm with you is like, do I have to get him? No, but if I'm in this range and saying, who am I more likely to take? The lead running back on the Steelers or the backup timeshare running back on the lines who were just assuming everything's going to be gravy and good when Ben Johnson's gone and it's just going to be David Montgomery's glorious days all over again. I'd rather take Caleb Johnson to David Montgomery. All right.
Starting point is 00:39:32 Andrew Erickson, how do you feel about the Caleb Johnson experience in 2025? Absolutely love it. Sign me up. I got him right where Jake hasn't ranked so I have him at RB 24. And to me, it's such a great system fit. And I think it's kind of telling that a player like Caleb Johnson, who I think that if you were projecting his draft capital, we thought that he would probably be a round two pick. He ended up falling all the weight to round three.
Starting point is 00:39:56 And the Steelers really rolled the dice because they didn't have a second round pick because they traded it to get D.K. Metcalf. So for him to fall, because I think that there were things you could poke in his profile based on his running style, very boomer bust type of rusher where he could have been a massive bust, I think, on a lot of different teams, where he just wouldn't fit what they look at stylistically. I know when we talked about him really early, the offseason, I got him to Derek Henry. I thought he was a mini Derek Henry. He just runs so stylistically.
Starting point is 00:40:22 He needs time to build up speed, build up that acceleration, and then he hits the home run. Well, Arthur Smith knows how to work with a Derek Henry type running back. Like, he's done it before. So it's the perfect fit. It reminds me so much of when McDaniel drafted A Chan two years ago. It's so perfect for what this head coach wants or what this office coordinator wants to do and run their offense. So I love it here. Jalen Warren, yes, a nice back at times, but not a three-down rusher.
Starting point is 00:40:47 I think that he'll be a good compliment to Caleb Johnson, especially in pass protection, catching pass out of the backfield. But the fact that Aaron Rogers is back there, I think Caleb Johnson is still going to catch a couple passes on early downs, even if that's not really his claim to fame. So when this offense has opportunities to run out games in the second half, play strong defense, I think Caleb Johnson is going to be the guy they're feeding the ball to 20, 25 times potentially in some of these games. So I'm on board. The next player on my list at 82 in the ECR, tight end six is Mark Andrews.
Starting point is 00:41:15 And he's also the topic of today's chasing challenger segment brought to you by Microsoft, just like the athletes who push boundaries and redefine what's possible. Business decision makers today are turning challenges into opportunities. and Microsoft meets you where you are with tools and guidance to help you make an impact with safe, secure AI solutions. So whatever challenges you're facing, Microsoft empowers you with the expertise to say, bring it on. And in this segment, we're going to talk about Mark Andrews.
Starting point is 00:41:40 Why? Because the first six weeks of the season were not good for Mark Andrews. Just ask Andrew Erickson. He knows. He knows a thing or two about the pain of the drafting of Mark Andrews last year. And maybe the pain of those people who dropped him or traded him away because from week seven on, Mark Andrews was tight in four. four overall and half PPR, and he led all tight ends in touchdowns with 10 over that span.
Starting point is 00:42:02 But nobody seems to care. And there seems to be a negative stigma attached to him. Why? Because at the end of the year, he had that terrible drop and a really tough catch in Buffalo in the cold, backpedaling, and he couldn't hold on to a touchdown that might have sent the Ravens eventually to a Super Bowl. Well, things happen sometimes. And I think we also forget that Mark Andrews also was involved in that car accident in the summer last year. And maybe that had something to do with the slow start to the,
Starting point is 00:42:25 slow start to the season for him. So yeah, Isaiah likely still floating around, but Mark Andrews is still the go-to guy in the red zone for Lamar Jackson. And that's why I'm taking him this year, once again, where you have to take some tight ends really early like McBride and Bowers. I like the value I'm getting on Mark Andrews. And that, my friends, is this week's chasing challenges segment. Remember Microsoft AI solutions empower you to take bold steps and new ideas to help drive
Starting point is 00:42:50 your business forward with Microsoft as your trusted partner. you can navigate your journey with confidence, finding innovative solutions, and reaching new possibilities. Visit Microsoft.com slash challengers to learn more. So, Andrew Erickson, what was the Mark Andrews experience like for you last year? And are you letting that impact your decision making this year? It's like going on a roller coaster that you didn't realize how big the drop was and you want to get off, but you're already halfway up the thing. And you're like, I want to get off the roller coaster, please.
Starting point is 00:43:21 It was not a fun ride. And I know that I was with a lot of people because I recommended Mark Andrews. He was my tight end that I wanted on all my teams. And just watching that week one game against Kansas State Chiefs just in my memory ingrained. And it was not a fun time. For me, I'm not trying to get emotional about it, but I'm not going back to Mark Andrews. I can't do it after last year. And this is the overall vibes around him so far this off season.
Starting point is 00:43:46 When you talk about he's been thrown out in every single trade room where you could talk about when teams have been asked about Mark Andrews. entering a contract year, whereas Isaiah likely, I know you mentioned him as well, they've talked about extending Isaiah likely. So what's more likely to happen? Is it Mark Andrews going to run back the second half of last year? He's going to score a bunch of touchdowns, even though Lamar Jackson through 41 touchdown passes last year, something that he's never done before. Is he going to throw 40 touchdowns again back-to-back seasons, maybe? Or more likely that Andrews probably isn't catch as much touchdowns he did last year. You have other guys in this offense that can also
Starting point is 00:44:17 eat Zayflowers entering year three. He could catch more touchdowns. He didn't catch many touchdowns last year, Rashad Bateman, if he's healthy. Obviously, Derek Henry, we know he's going to score a double-digit touchdown. So if I'm making bets on Isaiah likely an ascending player that the coaches talk about as this guy could be an all-pro versus Mark Andrews. They're like, yeah, he caught a lot of touchdowns last year. That's how they talk about him in the building. So for me, I'm just, I feel like I can get better value elsewhere.
Starting point is 00:44:42 I rather have guys like a David and Joku who could be the number one on his team in terms of total targets. Tucker Kraft is an up and ascending explosive playmaker who can make yards after the catch. Andrews is touchdown or bust, and I feel like I can get that later, and I'm not going to take that at tight end six. So I think that he's overvalued. If you score a touchdown in a week, you're a tight end one. I think we all know that. That's pretty much what it is.
Starting point is 00:45:02 And Mark Andrews scores touchdowns. And I don't want to oversimplify it, but we're talking about one of the best, if not the best offensive ecosystem there is in the Baltimore Ravens. And I think this is a great way to get a piece of it at a position that has a lot of questions. And they just took another hit today when John Hussmith went to the Steelers. So let's not forget we just lost, let's pour some out for our homie, Johnny, who's not here anymore and you can pour a little bit out here, you know. He's still here. He's just not in the Miami.
Starting point is 00:45:28 Is he? Is he? Is he? He's not in the ranks? Solo. But Jake, look, it's the NFL. The younger guy's always eventually going to take your job. But this is a contract year as last year.
Starting point is 00:45:40 I think you'd churn and burn him and you ride into the sunset one more time with Mark Andrews. If you're Lamar Jackson company, what do you think? I think it's fine. I'm not actually Honestly, that's how I feel. It's fine with Mark Andrews because you can poke holes and you can speak positively about him. So I'm kind of like fine either way because you can say almost 22% of his targets were in the red zone.
Starting point is 00:46:01 And it had an end zone target rate that was almost pushing Mike Evans. Now, does that carry over? You could say like, why wouldn't it? Because he's that guy for the team. But then you say, okay, Lamar Jackson, he's going to throw 41 touchdowns again. What if it's only 35, which doesn't sound like a huge number. it's a big difference when you're talking about that target share even carrying over and what if that target share comes down a little bit. But then you can spin it the other way.
Starting point is 00:46:25 You can bring up what you said. He was a nothing factor to start the year. He was injured, which could possibly play a part of it. So I say all to say, like why my answer is he's fine is because I think in this range, you're kind of getting the fine value for him because would I rather take him than Evan Ingram and hoping that he's the Joker for the Broncos? probably because I feel like last year it might even have been it sounds like this is crazy to say because the touchdowns were so high but like worst case on the receiving
Starting point is 00:46:52 side only like take out the touchdowns the targets receptions yards is that the worst case of Mark Andrews is it possibly going to get better it could if you want to say I'll take them over in Joko I'd be like okay fine you know I just comes down to titans in this range I'm just usually not taking anyway mostly because if I don't get the top three
Starting point is 00:47:11 I'm just throwing a dart in the last round anyway because I feel like they're so replaceable. So that's why I say it's fine. This is the one where I'm not really on your side and I'm not really coming for you. I guess that's why he's tight in six then, right? He's right there in the middle of all of them. All right, let's move on here to the next grouping here.
Starting point is 00:47:27 And then I'm going to give you a bonus guy and the pick that I'm going to plant my flag in the hill that I'm going to die on this year. So take around for that in the show. Some late round guys that I want to smash here and take every single chance I get. outside the top 100. Let's start with Stefan Diggs at 101.
Starting point is 00:47:45 To me, he looks pretty good in a lot of the footage I've seen early on, way further ahead than I thought he would be. I do still expect that he's going to be a little slow in September, but I do believe that you are eventually going to get Stefan Diggs kind of with something to prove and a chip on his shoulder and already kind of had to kind of get his ship pointed in the right direction, not to mix metaphors here for a second there, but I think that's already happened with the coach and the player.
Starting point is 00:48:10 and I think that's a good thing that it happened now and not during the season. So for me, there's a lot of the line here for Stefan Diggs and a lot of money on the line too. And again, I always come back to following the money. I think Stefan Diggs could be that number one guy for Drake May and you could see a real breakout season for May because of it. Jake Seeley, share with me your thoughts on Stefan Diggs and this outside 100 value he's going at. Another one that I'm fine with mostly because it comes down to how healthy is he? Are we talking about this is an injury that carries into halfway through the season? and he's just miserable for the first couple weeks.
Starting point is 00:48:44 Here's what I'm going to say is why I'm fine with it now is because you're drafting him as a non-starter. So you don't even have to worry about it. If you are drafted, like if this is positive news, positive, and then we get to the middle of August and all of a sudden he's going as a wide receiver three or four, I'd be out because I don't want to have to put him in my lineup. I want to be able to be a hundred percent with what you're saying. I think that's exactly true. This is very early value kind of thing. Andrew, do you agree with that sentiment? Is it three for three to when it comes to Stefan Diggs?
Starting point is 00:49:10 This is the value if it raises to a price where it becomes a little bit more dangerous, then that's the time to be realistic and realize it is a player coming off an ACL. We don't want to rely on him too much, especially early on. Yeah, I think that he's appropriately valued. No, he's an older player coming off to an ACL, right? I know that he can look good in these offseason clips, but until he's actually on the field, you know, with the flying bullets, I'm just concerned about how much time it will take him to get back up to speed.
Starting point is 00:49:37 And, I mean, the Stefan Diggs, that was the number one wide receiver in fantasy. like that guy's not coming back. No, that guy wasn't in Houston. So, I mean, this is a third team and third three years. But even last year, it was a wide receiver three in financing points per game. Yeah. And he was on pace for a pretty good season too last year. Statistically speaking, with an awful offensive line around C.J. Strout.
Starting point is 00:49:57 And let's not forget, I'm the guy that was telling you two years ago when he was at Buffalo that I was fading Stefan Diggs. And people thought I was nuts until that second part of that season rolled around. And I say, look, he's an older wide receiver. It's going to start to catch up. But now, now the value. changed considerably, and I think he's got a lot to prove. Cam Scadaboo at 122, R.B. 42, R. B. 42, 42, I just see so much upside here. I think the first time he trucks over some linebacker, MetLife Stadium is going to erupt and go crazy, and it is
Starting point is 00:50:25 going to be just vibes, as the kids like to say, it really is. And look, the argument of, like, well, Cam Scaddle played Arizona. You didn't play, like, go watch the tape against Texas. All those guys basically got drafted in the NFL. He played an NFL team, and he kicked a crap out of them in that game was unbelievable to watch he can catch the football he can score touchdowns he brings an edge of a toughness that the giants sorely lack they've had none of that in the last few seasons that's why jake sealy left town on the giants and just turned his back on that organization Andrew ericsson cam scadaboo undervalued or uh just a i don't know a gimmick to you what do you think it's a little undervalued i mean he would be my bet to take over the backfield i think
Starting point is 00:51:05 that he has the three down skills i think tyrone tracy is a better compliment to what he does as a lead back versus the other way around with Tracy as the lead back to Camp Scadaboo. So yeah, he does everything and you're just concerned about how many touchdowns, how many opportunities are there for the Giants in this offense that we definitely have question marks about. But look, if this team is down and I need to generate some plays, you know, just give the ball to scataboo. Just keep giving them, to feed him the rock. So I'm not going to be pushing back against many of the rookie running backs as values. And Tracy last year, Jake did struggle with fumbleitis a little bit. That's also not going to endear you to coaching staff, especially one that is on the edge of
Starting point is 00:51:39 extinction the way the giants are. The one that also bench Tracy, despite how good he looked for the corpse of Devin Singletary and Evan Gray and all the rest of those jokers back there. So Eric Gray, sorry. Like, I'm with you. Like, it's going to be a scatibu over Tracy. It's not that Tracy can't be a factor, but this is perception that comes into the NFL and fantasy.
Starting point is 00:51:58 It's like, oh, Tracy was undervalue. And I mind you, this is coming from somebody that pumped up Tracy last year. Like, but the perception was, oh, we got shocked by how good Tracy was. And then everybody's like, oh, good, we found this running back. We need him in fantasy and blah, blah, blah. Well, he still has a ceiling. And I think that's what we need to pull back perspective-wise. He is, like Erickson said, he's a Jalen Warren.
Starting point is 00:52:19 He's a better compliment than he has a lead. All right. Two more guys here in this grouping, both also rookies. Trey Harris at 164 and ECR wide receiver 64. And Jaden Higgins, wide receiver 70, ECR of 181. I think Higgins is fascinating because he's the first guy ever to get a fully guaranteed contract as a second round pick. I think that matters. I think the void is there and I think the need is going to be there for Jaden Higgins this season is when you don't have Stefan Diggs there anymore
Starting point is 00:52:46 and you don't have tank Dahl. Higgins is going to have to step up. And I just don't know what Christian Kirk is at this point in his career. I just, I feel like he's the insurance policy, but Higgins is the guy that they want to emerge. So it might take a little patience. And Trey Harris might also take some patience. But what I saw last year was a lot of moments, a lot of Charger games, Jake, where Quinn Johnson had opportunities to really break open some games, and he let them literally slip through his fingers. And I just don't think Tray Harris is going to do that. Again, both these guys might take a little time in the pressure cooker, but I think at the end, we're going to be guys that you want to have on your roster and draft. So, Jake, are they
Starting point is 00:53:22 undervalued in your mind? And if so, who do you prefer Higgins, Harris? You're on the clock. Who do you take? Well, they are vastly undervalued. And I will take Higgins every single time, but that's no slight to Trey Harris, and mostly because Higgins, I think, can step in. I compared it in Marvin Jones, but Dame Bruegler over the athletic, my colleague actually said Nico Collins, which if you're telling me I'm getting two Nico Collinses,
Starting point is 00:53:44 well then, are we worried about Christian Kirk? Is that the plural? Is it Collins'-E? Kellons eye? Yeah. I don't know. I don't know how it works. But I think both of them are stepping into number two situations.
Starting point is 00:53:55 I'm big on Higgins. There's a world, of course, if Kirk can stay on the field. Kirk has proven to be good when on the field. So I'm not saying he's definitively Higgins walking into 22 target percent, but it's possible. And I would take Higgins. But I don't think Harris is that far behind because are we going to stop with this at this point? Quentin Johnston, I thought he could potentially have an NFL career.
Starting point is 00:54:15 As you said, it's slipping through his fingers. And that's pun intended. I know that Erickson is a Keandre Lambert-Smith fan, but I don't think he's on Tray-Harris's level. I think that's more of the number three wide receiver for this team, which can we stop with Mike Williams, by the way, at this point? Like, we're really conservative. Oh, please. I know, exactly. See, you're already on. I keep forgetting he's on the team still. We'll even be there on day one, but I say, and then we were looking at the tight end situation.
Starting point is 00:54:39 We're talking about Gadsden as a rookie who I like, but a rookie tight end is very rare to actually hit. And so if everybody's waxing poetically about Justin Herbert bouncing back this year, it's not only going to be Ladd-McConkey. There's going to be somebody else, and it's going to be Trey Harris. Yeah, I think both are grossly undervalued. Do you have a preference? They're kind of close in the ECR. Higgins. Actually, no, Harris is actually still 20 ahead almost of of Higgins. I'm almost kind of crazy. Yeah, like that's where I have them too, Jake.
Starting point is 00:55:09 What are your, what's your opinion, Andrew, when you're looking at these two guys? Do you have a preference here? Would you rather wait for Jaden Higgins or do you want to take Harris in his scenario? I prefer Jaden Higgins. I'm just concerned about the Chargers offense as a whole at points with Greg Roman. And do you really ever need to have the number two receiver in a Greg Roman offense? Like that's something that's just kind of like holding me back from being all. Like, I don't know exactly.
Starting point is 00:55:30 I'd have to look historically to see what that guy has been, but I have to imagine it's probably not great having a number two guy in Greg Roman's offense. So I think that Trey Harris definitely fits with Justin Herber again as a downfield weapon. I think Johnston just, he might be annoying where he's still running routes, not necessarily commanding a high target share,
Starting point is 00:55:47 but annoying enough where maybe Trayor is a Marks, Mikey guy. He's running a lot of straight lines. Yeah. He's a lot of straight lines. So I prefer Higgins. I mean, I feel really confident about this Texans offense, bouncing back.
Starting point is 00:56:01 And I actually wanted to ask you guys a question when it comes to, because it seems like neither you were really confident in Christian Kirk. So shouldn't Jaylen Noel get some love now too? Because if Higgins is now competing with Nico Collins and Jalen Knoll, but Higgins is the redundant asset to Nico Collins, wouldn't that mean no would be in a pretty opportunistic role as the slot vertical receiver in this offense if Christian Kirk is like totally dust? I think he's really undervalued. I think both rookie receivers are undervalued.
Starting point is 00:56:28 I think the answer to that is maybe. I think if I felt better at the offensive line, I'd feel better about more ride receivers and a lot of people being able to feast. But I just think that, like, I don't want to bite up more than I could chew with the Texans, Jake. That's my point of view. What's yours? I could also see that. I mean, the big thing is C.J. Strau getting back to 4,000 plus yards and hopefully pushing 30 plus touchdowns for us in fantasy. But even if that's the case, like, I think to your point, Erickson is more of if I didn't think as much as I do of Higgins.
Starting point is 00:56:55 Like, if you were talking about Quentin Johnson actually who could catch. And I'd be like, okay, he's talented enough to be a wide receiver three on a lot of teams. So that doesn't necessarily mean he's going to be the teams too. I'd be like, there's a threat that the slot option ends up being as if not more valuable. But I would still say as much as I also like Noelle. I think Noelle is clearly a threat to Kirk. But I don't think Noelle and Higgins are close as that. Like I think Kirk and Noel are close.
Starting point is 00:57:23 I'd still put a gap between Higgins and Noel. And I might be wrong about that. All in the end to say, your question is still valid. of like take a flyer at Noel at the end of the draft. If Kirk gets hurt and Higgins as a bus, I mean, it wouldn't be a shock that he's a bus as a rookie like these things happen.
Starting point is 00:57:38 Noelle could certainly be in play in the tankdell role. One more guy I'm going to give you post 200. So if you're in deeper leagues, I'm just going to have this guy because I feel like we're just going to end up spending fab on him in September anyway. So I just want to draft Cal Monong guy, RB 68, ECR 235, Rutgers product. It reminds me a bit of David Montgomery,
Starting point is 00:57:57 a guy who's going to fight for you. And I got to tell you, you know, once again, Ben Johnson's the new guy there. This is the guy that he specifically wanted. And I know Rochon's there theoretically is number two in the depth chart, but I just think that Monong guy becomes the David Montgomery, basically, in this offense sooner than later. And that means he's going to be the guy that gets a touchdowns. And what do we always say every single year about DeAndre Swift? Man, oh man, he doesn't really have as many touchdowns because guys typically don't
Starting point is 00:58:25 trust him in the goal line and other scenarios. And no matter where he goes. Somehow, somebody else ends up kind of eating around him a little bit. And guess what? I know a lot of people might think it's Rocheon. I don't. I think it's Kyle Minan guy. So that's your late round sleeper that I got to have on all my teams.
Starting point is 00:58:41 And finally, last but certainly not least, the hill that I'm going to die on. And I know that I'm going to die on it again. I'm comfortable with it because I was ready to die on this hill last year. And I feel like I was right. But Mike Tomlin was just wrong. And now Mike Tomlin has to deal with the year of Aaron Rogers because he couldn't just be patient and let Justin Fields play. You couldn't do it, could you?
Starting point is 00:59:02 You had to just push the kid and replace him with an old fart instead of trying to see if you had maybe a franchise quarterback at 26 years old that you could play. No, no, let's go play with Russell Wilson so we can get Alston from the playoffs in the first round again. I was a big supporter from last year. Jake knows this in those Superflex leagues. I was already ahead of the curve there. I was taking Justin Fields and people didn't think he was going to even start.
Starting point is 00:59:24 Guess what he did? And it was pretty good. And in fact, I think things could be even better here with the Lions, former passing game coach here, Tanner Eggstrom, taking over as the offensive coordinator. I think that's really good. I think the continuity there and the communication is going to be really good with the head coach, having worked together in that building for quite some time. And I think we also have to remember that Justin Fields was QB six last year in fantasy points.
Starting point is 00:59:49 QB6 for the first six weeks of the season. And that was just kind of learning a new offense. I was going to have to learn no offense again. But I think he is set up for success there with the Jay. and I'm ready to die on this hill. I'm ready to have him be my QB1 in a single quarterback league. If I'm waiting on quarterback and in Superflex, I'm willing to be aggressive and even, you know,
Starting point is 01:00:06 take a chase or a Jefferson or a Bijon in the first round and see if I can come away with Justin Fields in the second round because I think I'm still going to possibly get a top 10 quarterback. So Jake Sealy, is this a hill I should be dying on two years in a row? Can I resurrect myself here in 2025? Oh, I also want to chime in on. I love that running back. You can do both.
Starting point is 01:00:28 I think he's Zach Moss, which I don't think DeAndre Swift is going to be a massive, massive touch option for this team. So I think that that's a great option to take McNata guy that late. I'm with you on that one. Also, by the way, Eric Bienamee has a little tie to the record situation with Isaiah Pacheco, who by the way is the offensive coordinator. Just throw that out there. Just keep an eye on McGahn. He doesn't miss with seventh rounders. Yeah, he just loves it.
Starting point is 01:00:52 So I like the Monontaguy. He had all of the. map already with all the threats going. The whole thing from Charlie Day. Charlie Day. Is that that what is? And then you know this and that's why you set it up. I could not be more with you on Justin Fields. I actually have him at QB7. I'll draft him as QB7, mostly because you brought up the QB6. And if you go back to that season in 2022 when he threw 2,200 yards and 17 touchdowns, what the flipping do? Oh, by the way, QB6 and fancy points per game. And that year in his points per game would have been QB6 and fancy points per game last year because he's,
Starting point is 01:01:26 going to run if he starts 15 games. He's going to run for a thousand yards and six, seven, eight touchdowns. It's just going to happen. Oh, by the way, the only two games that he scored over 20 fantasy points last year that you're referencing, Joe, and I know you know this. You know how many combined touchdowns he threw for in those two games? One, because we don't need them to throw to be good. Yeah, I don't need it to be pretty, Erickson. I just needed to be productive. That's all I'm saying. I just love that last line from Jake. We don't need him to throw to be good. It's the best. Just use his legs.
Starting point is 01:01:59 Yeah, I also have met QB7. So, yes, I'm there with you, Joe. I do have a question, though, Joe, for you as we close out here. Would you, so in a 15 round draft,
Starting point is 01:02:08 you draft Justin Fields, your QB1, are you riding? Like, he's your only quarterback your draft. Would you draft another quarterback just in case? It's a good question.
Starting point is 01:02:16 It's not just in case. It's a, I would draft down the quarterback because of the style of play. Because when you do have a quarterback that runs as much as Fields do, you're opening yourself up to more injuries. I'd rather have a Herbert or a golf
Starting point is 01:02:26 or something. somebody like that that I feel, you know, like, okay, God forbid things go wrong here. He pulls a hamstring. He gets lit up, you know, trying to, you know, run the middle of field. I think because the style of play, I want to back him up. But that is a good question, I think. And I think one, everybody has to ask themselves here. If you do take fields, are you going to take somebody else? I think you do because you have to understand there's risk involved. And it's also New York. And it's a different environment, too. But I think it's an environment he's going to succeed in. But what do you think? What is the hill you're dying on? Drop your comments below. Who is
Starting point is 01:02:56 that player for you. I want to know the player that you are absolutely planning your flag on in 2025 fantasy. Drop those comments in there, subscribe to the channel, like the stream, and go try to draft some of these guys right now with the draft simulator. It's free, it's fun. Sink your leagues at fantasypros.com and go to fantasypros.com slash mock or just download draft wizard today and start your mock draft preparation for 2025. It's never too early to begin. That'll do it for us, but the story of the game goes on for Jake Sealy and Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey Pee. We'll see you next time, kids. Thanks for listening to the Fantasy Pros
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