The Herd with Colin Cowherd - FantasyPros - The BEST Fantasy Football Value Picks of 2025 (Ep. 1628)

Episode Date: July 26, 2025

Join Seth Woolcock, Pat Fitzmaurice, and Derek Brown as they highlight four of the best value selections that you can make in your 2025 fantasy football drafts! Timestamps: (May be off due to ads) Int...ro - 0:00:00 Tet McMillan - 0:00:49  Tony Pollard - 0:05:01 FantasyPros Draft Assistant - 0:08:28 Drake Maye - 0:09:16 George Pickens - 0:13:28 Outro - 0:16:35 Helpful Links: Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator – Our Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator lets you complete a mock in minutes with no waiting between picks! Customize your league settings to match your league’s exact format. Premium subscribers can test trade scenarios by mocking with their traded draft picks. Prepare for rookie drafts AND dynasty startup drafts in one place! Use the Dynasty Rookie Draft Simulator to dominate your rookie draft today at fantasypros.com/simulator! Draft Assistant - Get live support during your fantasy football draft with the Draft Assistant. Connect the Draft Assistant to your draft and get real-time suggestions based on expert rankings, team needs, and positional scarcity. Get the most value out of every pick in your fantasy football draft with the Draft Assistant. Learn more at fantasypros.com/assistant or download our Fantasy Football Draft Wizard app on Google Play or App Store. Discord – Join our FantasyPros Discord Community! Chat with other fans and get access to exclusive AMAs that wind up on our podcast feed. Come get your questions answered and BE ON THE SHOW at fantasypros.com/chat Leave a Review – If you enjoy our show and find our insight to be valuable, we’d love to hear from you! Your reviews fuel our passion and help us tailor content specifically for YOU. Head to Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever else you get your podcasts and leave an honest review. Let’s make this show the ultimate destination for fantasy football enthusiasts like us. Thank you for watching and for showing your support – https://fantasypros.com/review/ BettingPros Podcast – For advice on the best picks and props across both the NFL and college football each and every week, check out the BettingPros Podcast at bettingpros.com/podcast, our BettingPros YouTube channel at youtube.com/bettingpros, or wherever you listen to podcasts.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.
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Starting point is 00:00:30 you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. We're balling on a budget. That's right. It's our favorite 2025 fancy football value picks. Welcome into Fantasy Pros. I'm your host Seth Wolcock. And today I'm joined by both Pat Fitzmorest and Derek Brown in this video. We'll help you make the most of your draft capital this season with four players who are going way too low in drafts. And before we jump in, just want to shout out everyone who's watching on the Fancy Pro's YouTube channel or listening on the podcast feed. Thank you so much for hanging out with us. As always, the easiest free way to support us.
Starting point is 00:01:06 Give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this type of content. Also, make sure you subscribe if you're new. We got a lot of content coming for you in season and a whole lot more in between now and then. And let's pop the top off with Fits' favorite or second favorite value pick for 2025. What do you have for us, my friend? My second favorite value pick for 2025, Seth, is Teteroa McMillan, the rookie wide receiver for the Carolina Panthers.
Starting point is 00:01:31 ECR is wide receiver 28, 59 overall. I have him at wide receiver 2146 overall. Wow. I think McMillan is being undervalued because people are always hesitant to invest too aggressively in rookies who have blank NFL resumes. And in this case, there's probably also some baked in hesitation to trust Bryce Young, even though he was playing quite well by the end of the 2024 season. And I just, I hope our viewers and listeners will take advantage of the malaise toward Teteroa McMillan.
Starting point is 00:02:03 Like, he is a truly outstanding prospect. He was drafted eighth overall and averaged 108.8 yards per game over his final two college seasons. He's an advanced route runner. And, oh, by the way, Tederoa McMillan is 6'5. There is some touchdown upside there. The Panthers other receivers are Adam Thielen, who's about to turn 35. Xavier Leggett, who was pretty awful as a rookie, and Jalen Coker, who, like Dibro, I'm actually pretty fond of, but let's face it, I mean, Coker is an undrafted former free agent from Holy Cross. Useful supporting cast member, not someone who's going to siphon a lot of targets away from soon-to-be leading man, Teteroa McMillan.
Starting point is 00:02:46 Carolina just doesn't have much pass-catching firepower at tight end either. Panthers are probably going to have one of the worst defenses in the league this season. and if Carolina is trying to keep up with high-scoring opponents, they're going to have to be passing the ball at a higher than average rate. I think it's very possible. Teteroa McMillan finishes top 10 in targets as a rookie. And if that happens, we're going to look back in utter astonishment at his ECR of wide receiver 28th. Man, I'm completely in with you. And I just got Snype trying to pick Tetero-McMillan and Scott Fishbowl here in the past week.
Starting point is 00:03:21 So still a little bit bitter. and Debrough, I know as a prospect you like Tet quite a bit. Do you still like him with the question marks that surround this Carolina Panthers offense under Dave Canales? I'm emphatically nodding my head the entire time Fitsy is just walking us through this because I cannot agree more with him. I've got Teddera Roe McMill in his wide receiver 1738. Wow. He's a wide receiver too, man. He's through and through.
Starting point is 00:03:49 And I think for everything Fitsy lays out, this is a case of people, Tedroa and McMillan getting too much shade, people just wanting to shade that wide receiver class as a whole. And people talking out both sides of their mouth saying, okay, well, he's too slow to be a top 10 pick, but then he is. And then saying, well, but we want to comp into Drake London, but oh, he's not that good, but he is. And the part about the offense that are really want to illuminate here,
Starting point is 00:04:16 that gives the upside for Tet, outside of the pathway for him to be the unquestioned wide receiver one alpha in this offense is also that Carolina last year, it's really going under the radar, guys. They were fourth in red zone passing rate, 12th in passing rate inside of the 10 yard line. If this offense takes another step, if Bryce Young can be the guy he was in weeks 12 through 18, Tedaro McMillan, I've already bet the over for his receiving touchdowns at betting pros right now. He has double-digit touchdown upside in his range of outcomes, unquestionably. Wow.
Starting point is 00:04:55 Okay. A couple names I just want to throw out. Would you rather here for you, Pat and D-Bro? Tyreek Hill or Tederoa? It's Tyreek Hill for me. Terry McLearn? That's really close. I think I have them.
Starting point is 00:05:14 I've got McLaurin ranked higher. I think that I have them back to back. Yeah, I mean, I've got Ted at 17 and McLaren at 18. Some of the holdout, hold in stuff could sway that. Like right now in a vacuum, I'll take Ted. DJ Moore? Oh, it's easy to it. Not even close.
Starting point is 00:05:31 I do have McMillan ranked higher. Okay. All right. Dbro, you're heading to Nashville for your second favorite value. What are you seeing value-wise? down there on Broadway. Tony Pollard. He's standing on Broadway and he's saying, come on, love me.
Starting point is 00:05:46 Love me. Why do you not love me? He was a top 24 running back last year and everything about his situation improved. And yet, right now he's 66 overall. He's the RB 26 in ECR. He's my 52nd overall player. I have him at RB19. And so yes, I'm expecting him to take a step forward.
Starting point is 00:06:09 He is the guy, like one of the guys you can get in those middle rounds where it's just, it's talent and it's also volume. So he's the perfect RB2 for regardless of however you're building your teams or flex play. This guy, everything around him got better. They made additions to the offensive line. We know the coaching for that offensive line is going to be good in Tennessee. Cam Ward hopefully is directing a better offense. And I know people are like, oh, what about Todd Spears? Dude, Pollard proved last year, again, that he can be a workhorse, he can be a bell cow.
Starting point is 00:06:41 He was ninth in Snapshare, Opportunity Share, and weighted opportunities. And I know people say, well, if Spears is more, is healthier, does that come down? Pollard's the unquestioned leader of this backfield. Maybe a snap share goes from like 75% to 70% in the high 60s. He's still going to be the leader as far as when they get into the red zone and as far as volume. Again, RB22 in fantasy points per game last year. He was top 20 and both explosive run rate in sixth and yards after contact per attempt. So that per touch efficiency is back for Tony Pollard.
Starting point is 00:07:15 He was the RB 15 and expected fantasy points per game. So because of bad quarterback play, everything just flaming out around him, he didn't even produce to the level that he should have last year because of all those circumstances surrounding him. Dude, that comes back this year. I mean, Tony Pollard could be a top 15 running back based off a volume and an improved situation. So you're telling me I get them at RB3 price tags. That is a crazy value. I'm also back in on Tony P here.
Starting point is 00:07:42 And like you you kind of mentioned ninth most weighted opportunities, not the most efficient running back, but at the same time, still 15th in explosive rating as well. And in addition to that, he saw a light front on only 54.2% of his carries. That's 37th among running backs. I think you, yeah, you insert cam Ward. You insert at least a better group of supplemental pass catchers. on the outside as well. I think that should help. Fitz, are you also in on Tony Pollard?
Starting point is 00:08:10 You hand holding with Debrough and I? I'm a little more lukewarm. Okay. Pollard than you guys are. He averaged 5.1 yards per carry and 6.3 yards per target over his first four NFL seasons over the last two, 4.1 per carry, only 4.4 yards per target. He just, he hasn't looked like the same guy he was in Dallas early in his career. And I actually do like Taije Spears. I know Spears was kind of a non-factor last year, but I'm giving him a mulligan in a season where he had two concussions, an ankle issue, a hamstring issue. Like, Spears was really electric in his first year and real quietly caught 52 passes as a rookie in 2023. And now Brian Callahan is talking about wanting Spears to get more involved in maybe even having this be
Starting point is 00:08:56 like a shared backfield. So not quite as warm on Tony Pollard, but not totally out on him either. Before we keep it moving, I wanted to tell everyone about the fancy pros draft assistant. Draft Assistant helps you spot values like this live. It connects directly to your draft and provides both real-time pick suggestions and estimations on which players might and might not make it back to your next pick. Draft Assistant fully integrates your customized cheat sheets and suggest picks based on your rankings, team build, ADP, and other factors. dominate your draft in real time without the guesswork with draft assistant at fancyprose.com
Starting point is 00:09:36 slash assistant or always on the fantasy pros fantasy football draft wizard app. Let's keep the picks coming with Fitz's favorite value in all the land for 2025, taking us back to the quarterback position. Who you got, man? It's Drake May, whose ECR is QB 16, 108th overall. I have Drake May, QB8, 89th overall. I think he's this year's, J. Daniels.
Starting point is 00:10:00 Wow. May, Drake May started 12 games as a rookie. He left one game in the second quarter with a concussion and in meaningless week 18 he played three snaps before he got pulled. In the other 10 starts, Drake May averaged 17.4 fantasy points per game, which would have ranked QB 13 among quarterbacks who made more than one start. Now, if we exclude that week 18 game when May was pulled after one series, he averaged
Starting point is 00:10:27 I think it was 37.2 rushing yards per se. Wow. And that projects to like 632 rushing yards over a full season. But I would contend that we just saw the tip of the iceberg with regard to Drake May's rushing potential. Nearly all of that rushing yardage came on scrambles. There were very few designed runs. Alex Van Pelt, the Patriots OC last year, said he limited the design runs for May to protect
Starting point is 00:10:52 him. Now Josh Daniels is running the Patriots offense. Yes, sir. A few months ago, Nate Tice of Yahoo went back and looked at the design runs that McDaniels drew up for then 31-year-old Cam Newton when Cam was starting for the Patriots in 2020. And there were a lot of them. And they were effective. Newton ran for 12 touchdowns that year. Now, Drake May had two touchdown runs last year, but when he was playing his college ball at North Carolina, made 16 touchdown runs in 26 starts.
Starting point is 00:11:21 And as a sophomore, May had 698 rushing yards and 14 games. and college QBs get sack yardage deducted from their rushing total. May lost about 200 yards in sacks that year. So he was really closer to like 900 rushing yards in 14 games. And as for the passing end of things, made a bad offensive line and a bad group of wide receivers last year and still managed to complete 66.6% of his passage and average a respectable 6.7 yards per attempt.
Starting point is 00:11:53 So now the Patriots have shorted up the offensive line. And the receiver core is still not great, but Stefan Diggs and rookie Kyle Williams should help things. Like, May should not be going behind Justin Herbert's who's stuck in a run heavy offense. May should not be going behind Dak Prescott and Jared Gough, who had no rushing value. And I would contend that May should be going ahead of Justin Fields because he's in Fields class as a runner and Drake May is a better passer than Justin Fields is. Yeah, so I have May ranked QB8s. I really do believe he's going to be a top 10 quarterback this season if he stays healthy. And I'm trying to get May at around quarterback 13, basically after everyone in my 12 team league is drafted at a starter.
Starting point is 00:12:35 And I'm sort of using Justin Fields as an alarm clock for Drake May. When Fields gets picked, I want to take Drake May in the next round or two. I think that's so smart. And like, if I don't get one of those big five quarterbacks this season and the way drafts have been going, I likely will not be. and likely have to punt the position. And if that's the case, those are my two targets. This is Justin Fields and it's Drake May. As you mentioned, he did only take 30% of the snaps in week eight before leaving
Starting point is 00:13:02 with that concussion. But since taking over the starting job in week six, QB12 overall, QB14 points per game, that's the floor, in my opinion. And with the impritive offensive line, better pass catchers as well, plus a capable coaching staff, I'm in on Drake May as well. Derek, are you also high on the Patriot signal caller? Yeah, man. Like, I moved them up in my ranks.
Starting point is 00:13:25 I'm not nearly as high as Fitsy, but like, you know, so I love Fancy saying it with his chest. I think there's a definitive chance that May is a top 12 quarterback this year. I mean, just in our projections on the site, to Fitsy's point, May is eighth and rushing yards in our projections in 10th of rushing attempts. Wow. And again, like for everybody contextualized projections, a lot of those are median outcomes. Like, you're not going to see projection sets. that are putting out like the high end outcome so like correct if he best this he's going to be he could
Starting point is 00:13:53 be top five in both of those metrics this year so especially looking at the context of the offense around him so drake may could easily be a top top top quarterback i love the call derrick brown round us out with your favorite value who's already making waves at cowboys training camp as we speak dude it's george pickens he is inappropriately priced i mean he's 71st overall in eCR wide receiver 32 i feel like these rankings are living in yesterday year. I have George Pickens as a top 20 wide receiver. He's my wide receiver 16. Wow.
Starting point is 00:14:26 People could be surprised to hear that, but you're telling me on a Dallas Cowboys offense that we know is going to be top 10 in passing attempts. Where's the ball going outside of Cedley Lamb and Jake Ferguson and George Pickens? It is a consolidated
Starting point is 00:14:42 target share. You saw last year with Pickens in weeks one through 13 before he picked up the hamstring. He was producing as a top 24 wide receiver. He was 18th in separation. He was eighth in yards per route run. 25th in route win rate. Again, he goes from the Pittsburgh freaking Steelers, Seth, you know this pain well, that threw the ball at the fourth lowest rate. They had the fourth fewest passing attempts last year. He's going to the Dallas Cowboys with freaking Cooper Rush playing half of the season. They were third in passing attempts. And we don't
Starting point is 00:15:14 think that George Pickens can be a top 24 wide receiver. That's not where he's ranked. We're living in yesteryear. He's going to go up the ranks in the process, like as we get training camp clips, all that kind of stuff. He's a wide receiver too. I'll say that with my chest. He's going to be a wide receiver too with the volume that he's going to see. And if you don't believe any of the other stuff that I've said in this, money talks. He's in a contract year. Sure. So Pickens wants to get paid. Jerry Jones, I'm not a Jerry Jones believer, and I'm not going to talk well about Jerry Jones and probably any other show, but Jerry Jones has dealt with diva wide receivers pretty well throughout the entirety in Dallas. We can point back to Des Bryant, Terrell Owens, and a whole other
Starting point is 00:15:57 slew of guys. George Pickens, if he keeps his head on straight with the passing volume and the talent that he has, he's a wide receiver two this year, and he's being drafted and ranked as a wide receiver three. It's wrong. He's an awesome value. Fitz, where do you have GP rank? I'm in line with ADP and ECR. I've got him at wide receiver 32, but I also know I'm too low and I need to move him ahead of a couple guys I have ahead of them right now, like Zay Flowers, for one thing.
Starting point is 00:16:23 I would much rather have pickens or rather have pickens. I know people are going to be scared off by CD Lamb hogging targets in Dallas. Debrough lays out the case for that not being the thing we should look at. The higher passing volume for Dallas and the fact that Dallas is deep. defense might not be very good this year. It might force back Prescott to be real pass heavy. So, yeah, like, plus maybe some lesser matchups or lesser cornerbacks that Pickens is going to be facing now that he's the number two and, you know, defenses throw a lot of attention at Lamb.
Starting point is 00:16:57 So I like the call. And we're not discussing them here, but does anybody think considering the constitution of that running back room that they're going to be run heavy? No. Yeah, exactly. Yeah. All right. Well, that's going to do it for us today on fancy pros.
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