The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Hoops Tonight - Best Of: KD gets hurt, Joker puts up 61, Risacher making noise
Episode Date: April 5, 2025He starts with the news of KD getting injured and how that will impact the Suns the rest of the season, the huge night from Joker where he had a 60 point triple-double, only the be ruined by Russ, and... how the number 1 pick in last years draft is finally playing like the number 1 pick. #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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The Volume.
Welcome to the best of Hoops Tonight, featuring my top takes from recent shows.
Let's move on to Zachary Rousache in the Hawk.
So he drops a career high 36 in a dominant victory over the bucks.
So the third game this year, he scored over 30 points.
Zax played 27 consecutive games.
In those games, he's averaging 50.
point two points per game. He's shooting 52% from the field,
43% from three on over five attempts per game. He's showcasing a little bit more of a quick
release against the bucks hit a couple of no dip jumpers. Those are where the ball is
already caught in the pocket and you flow immediately into the shot instead of having to catch
somewhere else and then dip down into your release and like kind of restart your
chain of energy from the floor up to the top of the shot. He's showing a lot of really high
level scoring. I want to talk about this concept for a minute because I think it's a really important
part of team building moving forward in the NBA. Scoring is the ultimate complement to playmaking.
I've been thinking a lot about this concept this season. When you have elite playmaking on your
team, guys like Trey Young, guys like LeBron, Luca, Nicola Yokic, these really, really high-level
passers, you need elite play finishing to pay those sequences off. Whether it's a vertical
Spacer like Aaron Gordon alongside Yokic or Derek lively alongside Luca or Jackson Hayes alongside
Luca or a deadly spot-up guy, someone like Kyle Corver back with LeBron when he was with the Cavs
or Malik Beasley playing with Cade Cunningham, guys that can pay off these sequences from your playmakers.
But one of the manifestations of that type of player that I've been talking a lot about this year,
I've been referring to it as the weak side scoring forward.
This is why I went into detail about the strong side corner help thing that we talked about earlier.
This same concept is built into pick and roll coverages too.
There's a reason why they don't offer low man help out of the strong side corner.
They offer low man help out of the weak side corner.
Why do they do that?
So that for the same reason on an ISO drive, if a guy is getting downhill and a ball screen,
the opening for him as a playmaker is across the court and across his body.
That's the goal.
You want to make it across the court and across the body,
across as many help defenders as possible to make that pass difficult, right?
But that is ultimately the opening.
and all of the best playmakers in the league
consistently capitalize on those openings.
We've talked about this concept a ton,
making reads in pick and roll.
What are my reads?
Big man steps up,
I'm making a read based on the roll man
or the weak side corner based on what the low man does.
If the low man steps over, I'm skipping it.
If the low man stays home,
excuse me, I'm throwing the lob.
If the big man drops back and the guard is chasing,
my read is to shoot in the mid-range.
My read is to get as close to the basket for as high percentage of a shot as possible.
Those are the pick and roll reads.
And so when these teams, the majority of teams are bringing their big up to the level
and bringing the low man over, that skip pass is open.
And those skip passes are going to be made, especially by Trey Young.
In these sorts of situations, there's a bunch of different ways that you can look to score, right?
It's not just hitting spot-up threes.
It's running your lane in transition as an athlete.
driving closeouts. It's, oh, they switched a screen, or we ran in transition and got a cross-match
and now there's a guard on this Ford. You need that forward to do a lot more of this high-level
scoring. These are professional scores, but primarily in an off-ball context. Examples are like
Michael Porter Jr., O'G. Annan Inobie, Ruey Hachamura, D'Andre Hunter, Lori Markinen is kind of a high-end
version of that for the jazz. Deni Avdia, even though he's been doing more on-ball stuff as of late.
Kyle Kuzma, PJ Washington. This is becoming an extremely important archetype in the NBA.
Zachary Rissachet has been doing some of the best weak side scoring work you'll see out of a
rookie forward. Starts in transition. I was watching the Rockets-Hawks game from about a week ago.
You can find them on my Twitter feed. I shared some clips. But Zachary Rissachet was amazing in
transition in that game, just literally outrunning everybody up the floor.
Didn't matter if the rebound was captured and he was on the baseline.
He was sprinting and it was so visually jarring that I clipped these examples and I put
them on my Twitter feed for you guys to see. Watch these three clips. Watch the way Zachary
Rissachay runs. Watch when he gets his head of steam how it literally looks like he's moving
a different speed than everyone else on the floor. He's a gazelle. It's crazy. It's crazy.
and he'll get two or three wide-open attempts at the rim every game just by running the floor.
And that pairs perfectly with Trey Young, who's one of the best hit-ahead passers in the league.
I had to coached my last year in college at Arizona Christian University.
Shout out to Jeff Rudder.
They just won their conference tournament on a buzzer-beater, crazy buzzer-beater,
and then they made it to the final four before losing in the NAA tournament.
But he used to say to all of us that you can manufacture.
for 12 points a game just by getting a transition layup running the floor,
crashing the offensive glass, and getting to the foul line once per half.
Such a simple way to produce in a basketball game.
And even if you take the foul line part out, because obviously there's some out of your
control stuff there with the whistle, if you just crash the offensive glass and you just
run your lane in transition and you get one bucket a half each, that's eight points.
Right there, you're one bucket away from double figures.
It is such a simple way to produce in a basketball game, run every time, crash every time.
And he presents such a massive passing target for Trey because he's so athletic, so rangy and long.
He caught a behind-the-back lob from Trey in the Bucks game where he dunked it behind his head
because it's just a massive passing target.
Then in the half court, as we talked about, when they load up the strong side, in those skips,
it's just like King of the Court when you're playing with your buddies.
On short closeouts, you need to knock down threes.
He's starting to do that at a really high level.
In this 27 game span, he's at 43% on over five attempts per game.
Now, what's going to start happening,
if he can maintain that level of shooting for a substantial amount of time,
he's going to start getting chased off the line.
And that's where I think he has a ton of potential as a score.
He has downhill burst attacking closeouts.
He had a dunk against Shangun in the Rockets game,
where he drove a closeout off the left wing
and just hammered it with his left hand on Shangoon's face.
A wildly athletic play.
He has good footwork on like spins and euros.
He had a bucket against the nets,
driving a close out against Nick Claxton in the left corner.
He jabbed, got back to it deep in the corner with a hesitation dribble,
crossed back over, got into the lane, pump faked,
pivoted over his right shoulder on his step through for a left-handed finish.
That's a really high-level scoring move.
He had won on Hardin.
off the left wing, jabbed left, drove right, snatched back to the left,
drove high gather through Zubach and finish at the basket.
These are really high-level scoring moves attacking with an advantage
in those King of the Court situations.
He had a left-to-right euro against Zubach a couple weeks ago
where he drove out of the corner.
Like left-to-right Euro is one of the most complex footwork pieces you'll see for a right-handed player.
Most guys don't know how to do it.
and he still has a ton of growth in front of it.
Shooting hot for a couple of months is not the same as being an elite shooter.
We've all seen it.
This guy's shooting 43% from three over his last whatever games.
You got to do it for a long stretch of time before teams game plan for you in that way.
That will take a few years probably.
But that will be what truly unlocks his off the dribble game.
Because I don't think, like as good as he is in the open court as an athlete,
His start-stop quickness isn't quite as impressive as his athleticism in the open court,
which is going to make it so it's a little harder for him to beat people off the dribble unless his jumper comes around,
which, again, will take some time, but that's part of his development.
He still needs a lot of improvement on the defensive end too.
His athleticism has not translated yet as like a really high-level off-ball defender.
He's often a bit behind the play on his help rotations, which prevents him from having an impact.
That's about processing speed.
That's about learning the actions so well that you know what's going to happen as it's developing so that you can be there a step earlier.
And again, as we talked about it starts stop quickness isn't as good.
That's why that processing speed is going to be so important for him because he's going to need to be there sooner in terms of the way he's reading these plays.
But the bottom line is he's a rookie that projects to be one of the best people at his particular job in the NBA,
which is being that weak side scoring forward, which is very exciting for hockey.
fans. I think it might officially be over for the Suns. They got absolutely smacked by the Rockets last
night. Shangoon was cooking all their bigs again. Jalen Green poured in another 33 points.
Ema Udoka in the second quarter brought out that zone defense that he's been using a bunch
for the last month or so, and they immediately sparked a massive run in that second quarter,
and they never looked back. It was a complete and total physical domination by Houston.
They out-rebounded them by six. They forced 19 turnovers. They scored 30.
34 points off of those turnovers. They won the fast break points battle 32 to 8. Houston scored 40
points in transition in total in this game. But I want to focus on Phoenix here for a second because
we're going to hit Houston in tonight's show as they play the Lakers again. We're going live on
YouTube tonight after the T&T slate. What did I say about Phoenix a month ago? I said they struck me as
the stereotypical older veteran team that knows deep down that they don't really have
a chance to win anything this year.
And the way that that's going to manifest is in these short, week or two long bursts where
they compete and they look decent.
They defend, they rebound, they do their jobs, but that they inevitably let go of the
rope because they can't sustain it because they don't believe.
And that's exactly what just happened.
They won five out of six, some quality wins versus the calves and the bucks.
They were defending and rebounding, top ten in both.
I think there might have been top five in both over that span.
but the NBA schedule does not let up.
Boston came to town without Tatum and kicked their ass.
Then it was Minnesota.
Then it was Houston.
A couple of these big, strong athletic teams
that were going to truly test Phoenix's commitment to the work.
And instead of hanging on to the rope,
they just completely let go of it.
137.4 defensive rating in the last three games,
they gave up an offensive rebound
on 35% of opponent's misses.
That's damagingly bad.
And now KD has an ankle sprain.
Anthony Davis is back and the Mavs are climbing in the standings.
We talked before the year that there was going to be a team that had dead serious
championship aspirations, but that would miss the playoffs entirely.
And no matter who that would be, it would be a catastrophe.
And it looks like it's going to be the Sons.
I keep watching them and thinking that it's not a Kevin Durant and Devon,
or problem.
But at the same time, I do think it's worth mentioning that neither of those two guys can really
leverage their physical gifts on the game.
Katie has length and he has mobility that helps him on defense, but he carries a massive
offensive load so he can't devote too many resources to that end.
And he's not very strong.
He can be pushed around, which is very, very dangerous quality for a front court player
defensively.
on the glass, duckins, things along those lines.
It's tough to do that job outside of like rangey rotating and rim contests.
There's just a limitation when you can't win the ground battle.
And again, it's just one of those things where you watch these other teams.
It's like watching Houston.
Jalen Green can leverage his athleticism to get to spots.
Shangoon is bullying these dudes.
When you watch these teams that have these players where it's like,
I can inflict myself physically on the game to assist my team in these key areas that they need help,
Devin Booker and KD are not necessarily as capable.
This is why, like, I still believe it's worth exploring the idea of keeping those two.
They still give you such a high offensive floor in terms of shot quality.
I would still just look to find every discount bruising.
I can find at every position group and try to breed that culture around them.
Because regardless of what direction you go this summer, even if you do choose to get rid of
Kevin Durant or Devin Booker or both, you still need an organizational identity.
I talked about this concept after the Celtics win against the Suns last week.
I talked about it with Colin Coward last night on his show.
You need an organizational identity that is separate from your stars.
And so regardless of what direction you go, you need to begin the process of establishing that.
new owner, new coach, you need to start establishing a basketball culture.
This season was a massive step back.
And so that's the thing.
Unless you think there's some magical trade that's going to just solve all your problems,
which I don't think there is, you need to begin the process of changing that culture anyway.
And so from that standpoint, if you tweak things enough around those two, that's where Kevin Durant and Devin Booker's upside can actually start to lift you to where you want to go.
But this is a team that is completely let go with the rope.
And I think I would be stunned at this point
if we got to see them play meaningful basketball here
in a couple of weeks.
Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers.
And guess what?
We have some big news.
What's the news, huge news?
We created our own podcast called,
Hey, Jonas.
We invented a podcast?
Well, we didn't invent it.
We just contributed to a...
We're the first people to do podcasts.
Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts.
We're starting a trend.
But this one's extra special.
So how do we actually
come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys.
I honestly don't remember.
I think it was on a call about what we should call it.
Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band.
Before Jonas Brothers was...
This is how you guys remember it going down?
Yes.
I have a very different memory of this.
We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast,
where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas.
And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas,
Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast.
But thanks for remembering that, guys.
Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcast.
Just listen. We don't care where you hear it.
Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy,
not quite.
Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends.
Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman
help make you funnier.
This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel.
Help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.
Where does your group perform?
We do some retirement homes.
Those people are starving for banter.
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The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis.
And I know firsthand because I competed there myself.
I'm Renee Stubbs.
And on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris.
Every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on clay.
Genschen win.
I mean, she went down at three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted.
She's an outsider to win the French for me.
And she likes Clay.
Listen, Lena Rubakina is arguably the best player in the world right now.
And I actually can win on any surface.
Because if she's serving, well, good luck.
Consider this your court side seat to the French Open.
Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports.
Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged.
It's the enhanced games.
Some call it grotesque.
Others say it's unleashing human potential.
Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all,
embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year.
Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.
I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.
Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app,
Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
All right, let's talk some Denver Nuggets.
So Yokic goes for 61, 10, and 10 against the wolves the other night.
Just an absolutely wild game.
It was dogfight for the most part.
And then the Nuggets finally pulled away in the fourth quarter.
They ended up going up by 10.
But then Anthony Edwards just went absolutely berserk.
And this has become a kind of a recurring theme with Ant.
As the game was unfolding, I was thinking to myself,
Aunt really hasn't hit kind of a hot jump shooting streak yet.
And that felt like a factor that would come into play at some point down the stretch.
did and he just started rising like and it just has this ability to rise up at a spot on the court
and he gets such great lift on his jump shot that he can really get to it whenever he wants
and he's become such a great jump shooter that it's kind of just like a let's cross our fingers
and pray he misses kind of thing and he just wasn't missing down the stretch of that game and it
allowed the wolves to get back into control the it felt like the wolves had that game won at multiple
points. But Denver just did a good job of doubling the ball out of Anthony Edwards's hands.
Minnesota looked like they'd never seen a double team before as they just pissed down their
leg and get a terrible shot over and over again in those situations. The wolves led in the
final minute of the fourth quarter of overtime and double overtime yet still needed that
insane Russell Westbrook sequence at the end in order to win. Table that Russell Westbrook thing.
We'll talk about that here in a minute. But there was another reason. In addition to Minnesota's
poor execution that Denver was able to consistently come back and almost win that game.
Yokic in crunch time had 14 points, four assists, and zero turnovers.
In the clutch portion of this game spanning the end of the fourth quarter and both
overtimes.
He was completely indomitable throwing Gobert around and getting an easy floater in the lane.
He had a nasty turnaround left shoulder fade away over Julius Randall.
He hit one of his patented above the break threes at the top of the key.
hit another nasty left shoulder hook over Julius Randall again,
all while being doubled and hounded and grabbed and scratched and clawed everywhere.
He'd often take a double team, have to get rid of the ball,
sprint back up to flash to get the ball back,
and then quickly turn away from the double to try to get a bucket before the double came.
It was just remarkably high degree of difficulty,
and he was just crushing these dudes.
I talked after Yokic's 30, 20, 20, 20 game a few weeks back.
that it probably wasn't even a top five performance from him this year.
These are all now Yokic stat lines from this year.
61, 10, and 10, 56, 16, and 8, 48, 14, and 8.
41, 18, and 9.
This one's crazy.
37, 18, and 15.
36, 22, and 11.
35, 12, and 15.
Here's another crazy one.
35, 22, and 17.
The 31, 21, 22 game.
Earlier this year, he had a 23, 20, and 16 as well.
He's averaging 30, 13, and 10 on 66% true shooting for the season.
This is the greatest offensive basketball player to ever touch the court.
Conversations get way more complicated when you factor in defense,
like Yokic is having legitimately a really bad defensive season.
And I've seen a lot of talk about people wanting to vault Yokic up the all-time list for what's happening in this regular season.
I think that's a little more complicated because it's been a two-sided coin with Yokic at times this year.
But I have never seen a basketball player produce at this volume with this variety, with this level of efficiency, with this complete level of unstoppable.
You literally cannot stop Yokic from either getting a great shot for himself or for someone else.
You can tilt it towards a lesser teammate to make a shot.
Denver's margin for error has shrunken a little bit over the years as the supporting cast has lost a little bit of that firepower.
But you just about never see Nicola Yokic look visibly uncomfortable on a basketball court.
there have been these brief moments here in time, like for instance, against Minnesota in the postseason last year he had his moments, but he also had like game five of that series where he just ripped through him like tissue paper for one of the greatest playoff performances I've ever seen.
As good as Steph Curry was offensively, and he's up there, he never had the physical imposition that Yokic brings to the table.
Oh, you leave me in single coverage.
I'm just going to get a shot right at the rim with zero variance, guaranteed two points.
guaranteed two points.
Like, Steph never had that.
As good as LeBron was offensively back in 2018,
like he could get high percentage looks.
He had sky high efficiency and volume,
but he still never had that go-to move
against any type of defender
that he could hit 60 plus percent of the time,
Yokic does.
The three-point shot was the variable
that put him over the top for me.
Last year when he couldn't shoot,
it felt like you could do more with double teams and crowding him on pick and roll in particular
when he was like rolling into that short roll area you can do more of that kind of stuff to lessen his
impact you guys might remember the tail end of the timber wolf series where he kept popping above
the break to avoid that traffic jam on those rolls and he just couldn't hit that shot he had six
of them against minnesota on tuesday that's the thing that makes him completely unguardable
i'll just say from personal experience as someone who is actively rooted against this guy
in a playoff series, three times,
I can confidently state I've never been more scared
of an offensive player on that end of the floor
in any sort of big spotlight in the game
than I was scared of Nicole Yokic.
And I hope to the basketball gods
that I don't have to do it again this year.
I want to talk about Westbrook for a minute.
I want to set aside the reality of Westbrook's fit
and how things have gone in total with the Nuggets just for a minute.
I think we can all agree, including Laker fans,
that Russell Westbrook is a much better basketball fit with Denver
than he was with either of the L.A. teams, right?
So let's just take that piece and set it aside for a second.
When Russell Westbrook signed with the Nuggets,
you Nuggets fans will probably remember what I said.
I said that he undoubtedly has a higher ceiling.
than Reggie Jackson.
There's no way that Reggie Jackson could ever do the things on a basketball court
that Russell Westbrook is capable of doing.
But I also said that he has a much lower floor than Reggie Jackson.
And a lot of people interpreted that as like, oh, like he'll have games where he doesn't produce.
That's not it at all.
It's strictly mistake making.
Russell Westbrook is incredibly prone to mistakes,
regardless of the surrounding circumstances of the game.
Doesn't matter if it's the first quarter
or the final possession of a big game.
He is mistake prone.
He plays with a lot of energy and a lot of passion,
but it's not very refined.
And I would argue when it comes to like game plan discipline,
attention to detail,
he's one of the worst players I've ever seen in those categories.
And so what ends up happening is Russell Westbrook will make all these good plays over the course of a game and bring all of this positive impact.
But he just has a tendency to make these mistakes that undercut that success.
So like, for instance, everyone's going to focus on the final sequence.
I want to set that aside for a second as well.
The overtime possession where he makes the post entry pass to Yokic and then he cuts through the lane and then he just throws Nikiel Alexander Walker.
to the ground with a swim move.
Right in front of the ref.
Easiest offensive foul call in the league.
They're going the other way.
Just turn the ball over for no reason.
In a big spot in overtime.
In second overtime,
Nuggets up by one.
He's guarding Anthony Edwards, the only guy
who's been torching your ass over clutch time.
He's guarding Anthony Edwards out up at the top of the key,
and he just goes catatonic.
And he's just standing up there like 20,
feet from the basket and just back cuts right behind him.
Easy pass.
I think it was from Julius Randall, if I remember correctly.
Easy pass on the back cut.
Lay up now Minnesota has the lead again.
Forget about like just that split second decision making at the end of the game.
There were two other situations in that same overtime sequence where Russ either tricked
off an offensive possession or gave up a bucket because he's just mistake prone.
He just makes mistakes.
And like a lot of these people were like making Laker fans out to be jerks for just pointing out these like basic things that we learned from rooting for the guy.
I still vividly remember in big spots many times, fourth quarters, two, three minutes left, huge possession,
Russ, forcing it in transition when there was nothing there in smoking a layup.
You guys saw it again last night as they blew a game to the Spurs in a big secret.
went slate down too as he smoked this crazy reverse layup and it led to another layup going
out the other way. That happened to me, two other Laker fans rooting for him many times over the
course of the year and a half that he was there. I still vividly remember a game against the Brooklyn
Nets in L.A. Stanley Johnson signs with the Lakers like Dea does an incredible job picking up
hard in like full court all game. It's this really important game for the Lakers too as they're
trying to float in the standings.
And one of the biggest possessions of the game late in a one possession game,
Russell Westbrook is guarding Patty Mills.
What's your job guarding Patty Mills?
Gameplay and discipline, attention to detail.
He's the best shooter on the court.
You got to track him.
He was ball watching just like that play I was talking about with Aunt Pat Mills,
relocated to the left corner, Hardin hit him.
He hit the dagger.
The game was over.
I've been there, guys.
I wasn't trying to like talk shit for the,
sake of talking shit. I wasn't trying to be personal. I wasn't trying to be a dick. I, like,
I rooted for the guy for a year and a half. It was in my best interest as a fan for him to be good.
And he just repeatedly undercut his successes with that mistake making. And then there you go. And a big
possession late, Anthony Edwards turns the ball over. You're up one with the ball. You don't take a shot
unless you are 100% sure you are going to make it.
And instead, it's another one of those reckless transition pushes.
Then he compounds the mistake after missing the layup
by getting back into one of those no man's land
kind of floating around situations around the right elbow.
And next thing you know, there's a skip pass,
and he has to throw a reckless close out,
and he fouls a three-point shooter,
and he literally turned a win into a loss.
And like, look, Nicole Yokic after the game,
excellent leadership, says,
this kind of shit happens sometimes.
And he's not wrong.
I literally just watched LeBron do it the other day.
I watched LeBron the other day,
lose a shooter in the weak side corner,
and then turn the ball over on the baseline.
Here's the thing.
I've been watching LeBron his entire career.
That was fucking weird.
That was highly unusual from LeBron James.
I watched Russell Westbrook this entire phase of his career.
That is something he is absolutely prone to doing
in these sorts of spots.
And so, like, again, it's, there's, there are some realities, right?
Like, Jamal Murray's healthy, Russell Westbrook's probably not out there, right?
There are ways for Mike Malone and the Nuggets to shield against this sort of thing by keeping him out of the game in those spots.
But the problem is, is like, there is some reality to the fact that there is an opportunity.
There is a, there is a potential outcome here where the Nuggets are in a big game four, down to one in a series.
on the road at, you know, one of these big Western Conference teams.
And it's a late third quarter stretch where the nuggets are up by two.
And Russ could take over the game and win it for you.
And you could go into the mid-fourth quarter stretch up by 12th.
That's the high ceiling.
But there's also a version of that where he has two or three bad turnovers,
two or three missed layups, two or three bad three-point shots and a couple of bad defensive
breakdowns and suddenly your two-point lead turns into a 10-point deficit.
That is also an available outcome because of the wild oscillations of that Russell
Westbrook experience. And the only reason I'm saying any of this is because at the start
of the year, when I pointed this out, I wasn't trying to be a dick. I was just being honest
about my own personal experience rooting for the guy in relaying a message that every Lakers
fan will tell you. Even Clippers fans will tell you that this was a reality.
it's not a big deal they're going to be able to cover for it they should be able to keep him out of these sort of high leverage situations but keep an eye on it in the postseason for a big bench stretch and a big quarter there he's mistake prone and it could be something that ends up costing you a game you could really tell in the early part of the game that neither team knew how they wanted to attack each other and so there's a lot of standing around a lot of passing the ball around the perimeter a lot of really ugly offensive possessions from both teams and some of those possessions for jimmy bububble
Butler manifested. I thought LeBron was doing this too early in the game where he had those two
back-to-back turnovers where he's driving into the lane and no one's helping. So he's in a one-on-one,
but he's like trying to force some pass to a guy that's guarded. It's like, no, you need to be
looking to score. You're leading a unit without your star on the floor. Same thing goes for Jimmy
Butler. In those situations, like, they need him to look to be aggressive. You're not going to get,
you know, eight made threes out of Brandon Podemski every single night. They're going to need more
production out of Jimmy in that spot. But overall, I thought he made a bunch of big plays late.
I thought that corner three he made a late was big. He had three steals in the game.
Was beating the Lakers to a bunch of loose balls in some key situations. Really, really impressive
performance from the Warriors top to bottom. I thought Steph, two, last piece I'll say on the
Warriors before we get to the Lakers, you know, Steph has been fantastic since the Jimmy Butler
trade. He's at coming into tonight, he was at like 28 points per game on 66% true shooting over
his last 23 games.
On a court that had Jimmy Butler,
that had LeBron James,
that had Luca Donchich,
that had all this star talent on the floor,
I thought Steph was the best player on the floor.
And even though LeBron statistically performed really well,
I thought Steph was able to consistently break down the defense.
I talked earlier about how both teams didn't really seem to know
how they wanted to attack each other in the early portions of the game.
It crystallized for Golden State.
they found out, you know, they're about halfway through that second quarter in that second quarter.
They found out, it's like, actually, let's just get Steph out into space against Luca.
And we'll have him drive by Luca sometimes.
We'll have him look to attack immediately off the catch off of some off ball screening action.
There was one late, the big three he hit late where Draymond fell down.
Like, he had Luca on a switch, but then Draymond just sprinted into a ball screen.
I talked earlier today when we were talking about Jared Allen and the cat.
When you sprint into actions, it makes you that much harder to guard.
Draymond sprinted into that ball screen and LeBron was too far back.
And LeBron was late.
It was bad defensive possession from LeBron.
And a big part of that was Draymond sprinted into the ball screen,
got Steph another clean look at basically a drop coverage possession off the left wing.
But this is, Steph is heating up right in time for what they're going to need him to be in this
postseason run.
And I thought he just came in here tonight and kicked the shit out of the Lakers and badly outplayed
Luca and set his team up to be in a really good position in the standings as we come down the
stretch here. On the Lakers front. As I always say, I don't really look at the scoreboard when I'm
thinking about the postseason. And one of the main reasons why is because there's just so much
noise in the regular season, whether it's from the schedule or it's a random role player doing this
or a random guy being out of the lineup for whatever reason. There's also a lot of noise
relative to the postseason where you'll see, oh, you know, the Phoenix Suns beat the Timberwolves
every single game last year. And they had this awesome game plan for like how to beat the,
the Timberwolves. But then they get into a playoff series. And it's like, oh, actually none of
these guys can guard ant and they're being super physical on defense and we can't even like dribble
the ball of the floor without losing it. So like everything shifted and changed, right? So what I'm
looking at is are there any things from tonight that translate?
to a potential postseason series between these two teams.
And the first one that screams off the screen to me is their struggles with switching.
Ever since Luca came over to the Lakers, and again, I've broken this down before.
I'll do a very short version of it here.
But the short version of it is against drop coverage, against traditional coverages.
Luca is so good at making all the natural reads.
He can, if you don't pick him up going downhill, he's just going to get into that, like,
right around the block where he can shoot that little seven,
bank shot that he's going to make like 60% of the time. If you do step up with your big man,
he's throwing a lob to the center for a dunk. And if you tag the roller, he's skipping it to the
weak side for a wide open three. And it's just, he's so surgical with it that it's just,
it's a death sentence. Like there's literally nothing you can do. And every team, for the most part,
that has run that coverage against the Lakers this year with Luca Donchich has gotten torch.
And for the most part, they've had a couple of good games, but for the most part, against
these teams that just switch with their fives or switch generally everywhere on the floor,
they've really struggled to score.
And one of the big reasons why is when LeBron was healthy earlier on, Luca was bad.
And then LeBron goes out.
And during the phase that LeBron was out, Luca was very good.
His shot making bounced back in a major way.
But they just didn't have that additional defensive rebounding presence in the front court
over that span because Rui, LeBron, and Jackson were all out.
now everybody's back
but LeBron is still kind of getting back
into form and here goes Luca
again into another
kind of like spiraling type
of sequence. Luca has shot below
50% from the field in five of his last
six games. He has
absolutely no touch on his short range
shot making. Before
tonight he was just 28
for 88 on
floaters and
or excuse me on
on jump shots inside of 17 feet.
So all those like jump shots that he was hitting nonstop in the playoffs last year,
he made three of them per game last year in the postseason at 46%.
He's shooting just 32% on him this year and he's barely making one a game with the Lakers.
He has like no touch on his short range shot making 0 for 6 from 3 tonight,
bizarrely ineffective, Luca Donchich.
And like the thing is, is there's a version of this where the Lakers can theoretically be very good
against switching, but it's going to require the LeBron James that was there before he heard his
groin and the Luca Donchich that was there last year in the NBA playoffs.
And so it's one of those things where like, I've talked a lot about this.
The Lakers have arguably the largest amount to potentially improve between now and May 1st.
The Lakers could be dramatically better by May 1st, just simply from LeBron and Luca
getting back to form and some team chemistry stuff and regaining their defensive identity,
which we'll talk about in a little bit.
But the reality is,
it's also possible that they just don't.
And I'm just going to be perfectly frank with you guys.
If Luca plays like this in the postseason,
they're going to get beat.
They're going to get beat in the first or second round.
Like, they're just, there's no going the distance
if you make a trade with Anthony Davis for Luca Donchich
and you get this type of performance out of Luca.
in a big game. And I mean, strangely enough, the Lakers have dominated the middle tier of the NBA
since Luca came. Every Houston, Minnesota, you know, Phoenix, every team that's in that,
you know, kind of like just outside the top tier of contenders, the Lakers are kicking the shit
out of those guys. They've faced two of the teams that I said that I would consider as the top
tier contenders. Boston, who's been there all year in Golden State, who I said I would add
when we do our contenders list with San Vasini right before the start of the postseason.
And in those two games, the Lakers pretty much got out played wire to wire,
and Luca Donchitz looked really, really bad in both games.
And I am, I am, here's the thing.
Early on, after the trade, I wasn't worried about it.
I was just kind of like, give Lucas some time, he'll be fine.
He's one of the greatest players that we've ever seen at his age in this league.
But here we are, guys, it's, it's been months now.
It's been two months.
And he's going in the wrong direction.
So I don't know what's going on with him.
Part of the thing that I'm seeing, too, is like he's,
he's not even trusting himself in the short range.
Like, he's pump faking nonstop in that 10 to 15 foot range
and just looking to grift for fouls instead of looking to take and make the shots
that he was hitting half of at decent volume when he was in the postseason last year.
So I'm again, I'm hopeful that Luca will figure it out.
I'm hopeful that this will all come together.
But guys, like, we've already, the hoops tonight staff,
we've already gone over our schedule for the week of the playing tournament.
Like, this shit is right around the corner.
It's here.
It's like here now.
There's no like, let's give Luca a runway and see what he can do.
Like, there's a chance you're facing the clippers, the timber wolves,
hell, the warriors in three weeks.
Like this needs to be, this.
These problems need to be resolved yesterday.
And so I'm starting to get a little bit concerned
about whether or not the Lakers are hitting
at the right type of level they need to be hitting at
to go on the run that they need to go on.
The defensive struggle was speed.
A lot of missed rotations tonight,
a lot of missed defensive rebounds
where they're slower to the ball.
In this sort of situation,
I want to at least account
for some of the fact that the Lakers are kind of not in the same defensive rhythm that they were in in the past.
But the reality is there was only a very brief stretch there where they were good defensively with Luca right after the trade.
There's been a pretty large sample now after that where they've been pretty bad defensively with Luca.
And teams are looking to attack him out front over and over and over again.
We did see an example in the second half tonight of a pre-switch, meaning where they brought Lucas man up into his screen,
and then LeBron went instead of Luca.
But that was the only time I saw it.
And for the most part, they were just conceding that switch.
And if they're going to concede that switch,
then they're just going to have to be better in their rotations than they've been being.
If they defend like this behind Luca,
who's been giving up triple penetration the way that he has,
I think they could get cut pieces by a good offensive team when they get in the postseason.
I talked a lot in other games about the idea of leveraging your strengths,
to hide your weaknesses.
There's no doubt that all this stuff is connected.
I'll give you guys some examples.
Luca plays better from the start of this game.
Immediately starts kicking ass, punishing mismatches,
drawing double teams, spraying out beautiful kickout passes to shooters.
Now the threes that Dorian gets,
the threes that Gabe gets, they're cleaner,
they're more in rhythm.
now instead of those guys going one for 10 from three,
they have much better shooting nights.
Now as a result, the team is able to set their defense more.
Now that they're setting their defense more and they're in control of the game
and they're not trailing by 10, they're more invigorated,
they're more motivated, they're flying around, they're making plays.
See how, like, you can imagine a scenario where these things are connected.
You can leverage your strengths to hide your weakness.
is. The part that gets scary for me there is, as I said, like, we're on almost a two-week
stretch there where Lucas just hasn't been as good. And so it's just a little concerning from the
standpoint of right now, I haven't seen the Lakers put together a consistent stretch of, like,
great basketball since LeBron came back from his injury. And so I'm definitely a little bit,
I'm a little bit concerned there. That said, there is time. And, you know, if they do get a
favorable first round matchup and they end up getting a win,
they could have until May to get some of this together before they face a more serious team.
Similar to what I talked about was Jonathan Caminga,
I did think we saw one clear advantage for the Lakers tonight,
and that's that the Warriors can't guard LeBron.
LeBron did exactly what I was just talking about Luca needing to do.
He consistently, methodically found mismatches against guards,
where he liked his size and he liked the spacing of the floor,
and he was able to get downhill,
and he was able to consistently compromise the defense for kickout passes.
and for layups right at the front of the rim.
That is to me a translatable thing to a series between the Lakers and Warriors.
And so in an event where the Lakers beat the Warriors in a playoff series,
it will require LeBron to continue to leverage that and for Luka to meet him at that level.
And that really is the advantage there.
If the Lakers are going to leverage their size,
it's got to be LeBron and Luca together punishing them all over the floor.
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