The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Moneyline Monaco - NFL Week 17 Best Bet - Packers-Vikings, Buccaneers-Panthers, Jets-Seahawks, Steelers-Ravens, Commanders-Browns

Episode Date: December 31, 2022

Alex Monaco shares his sports betting insight and gives you his final bets heading into Week 17 of the NFL season including Aaron Rodgers and the Packers fighting for their playoff lives against Justin Jefferson and the Minnesota Vikings, Tom Brady and the Bucs trying to stay alive against the Carolina Panthers, Geno Smith facing his old team the New York Jets, the Steelers going up against division-rival Baltimore, the Commanders hosting the Browns and much more! #Volume #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The volume. It's sports gambling with Moneyline, Monaco, presented by Fandul. It might be cold, but the sports calendar is heating up, and there's no better place to get in on the action than Fandul. The app is safe, secure, easy to use. Fandual always has exclusive offers, boosts, and more. When you win, you'll get paid incredibly fast. Fandual has tons of ways to bet. You've got the spread, the money line, over unders, team totals, player props, and so much more.

Jump into the action at any time during the game with live betting. You can also combine multiple bets from the same game in a same game parlay and even try out the same game parlay plus combining multiple bets within multiple games. And Fandual is now live in Maryland. So use promo code Monaco and download the Fandul app today to start making every moment more. And welcome in to another episode of Sports Gambling, with Moneyline, Monaco. I'm your host, Alex Monaco. It's after Christmas before New Year's, the best week in my humble opinion of the year. Week 17 in the NFL, I am on the road. I am from

New York to Southern California as I hit your podcast ears. So if I sound a little different, I'm standing. I am in a room that is not mine, standing up for a five-pick podcast that we absolutely have to cash. Don't forget to subscribe, rate review all things where you get your pods. Hit the subscribe button on the thriving volume sports YouTube channel. Tone of amazing content and shows there. You can enjoy at your leisure. All my picks on Action Network. You know, we're working our way. A winning weekend on the podcast last weekend. Headed out from New York, home alone with it, got out, got three wins in the comfort of the Ron Burgundy, San Diego land where I reside. Look, we knew what we were doing with the dogs last week. This week,

a little bit trickier, a little bit trickier. I tried to find meaningful matchups, matchups that we have to watch the best version of these teams come out. Playoff implications, divisions on the line. Let's get right into it. It is another episode. 20 line, Monaco. Let's get our five in. Okay, I'm going to start.

I'm taking the pirate ship down to Tommy Tampa land. And I'm hammering. Hammering the bucks minus three. That's the line right now on Fandu, our home book. I love it at that exact number. I've seen the hook come in, Captain Dustin Hoffman, and I've seen them leave.

get it in at minus three right now, a defense in this Tampa Bay team going against a Panthers Club that is looking. Who oh, by the way, want to know this year against TB to sweep this club on the pirate ship at their place for the first time since 2017. It doesn't work that way in division. Not when you got Tommy Tampa, TB 12, 4. and one against the Panthers since joining the Bucks. Four and one.

1,400 passing yards, eight tugs, one mistake. Oh, by the way, five and one against the spread in those six outings against the Panthers. We know in that division, I talk about the food chain in divisional outings all the time. You have to put betting a divisional dance in a different category. I've been right on a lot of them this year in particular. I love this spot for the bucks. Look, Carolina, Darnold Baker, PJ Walker, P.J. Walker, it doesn't matter.

Matt Rule, Steve Wilkes. They're one in nine in their last 10 road games. One and nine, averaging 19 per in their last five, a little more prevalent of a stat. This game, you got to take the under. The under's the play. The unders hit an 11 of the Tampa Bay last 15 outings. and they danced for 24 combined points earlier this season.

It's going under. But remind yourself what Carolina did last week that they won't do this week in this matchup in particular. Because as anemic as the Bucks offense looks for 57 minutes, they still have Tom Brady, who has proven numerous times as a 45-year-old Benjamin Button adult. He can still do it with your neck on the line. He's done it two times in the last three weeks.

All right, forget about it. What the Panthers will not do on Sunday is run for 320 like they did against the Lions. Hubbard and Deontay Foreman went for over a buck 30. This is a top five bucks, Rushdie. All right? What Carolina did against Detroit and I threw Carolina in a pick on Action Network. I love that took a lot of dogs last week. You know me.

I'm a chalk guy. They ran for 320. They three for 250. That hasn't been done against an organization since 2012. Yes, I've called the Lions out. Two weeks ago in my Packers route to the playoffs, I'll bring them up in a bit. But what I'm saying is if you have Tampa,

who's put up 21 or fewer in seven of their wins, they're coming in. We know their game plan. Defense, stop the run, which is actually a filthy Hubbard Foreman 1-2 with a pretty serviceable offensive line. and make Sam Darnold beat you. And Sam Darnold, who has taken very good care of the football,

has to go against, again, a top five defense in almost every statistical category. The Bucks are in this spot because of their defense and their opportunistic offense. And I cannot tell you enough. The odds of a Carolina inept team, inept, good defense, but still susceptible to allowing me to have Jared Goff put up 25 fantasy points against him in a win. They're not an untouchable defense. The odds of them beating the bucks twice with a divisional bout on the line. Last thing I'll say is I keep it pushing.

Divisional bout on the line. This is playoff football, baby. You back in Sam Darnold, who's never been in the dance? Or are you taking Tommy 12? You're taking Tommy 12. We're taking the bucks or swall in the three as our first pick of the game. I got to be honest. The second pick makes me sick to my stomach.

Sick to my stomach. I got to take the Jets and back White Lotus under center at minus 126 on Fandall. Taking the JETS across the country to the PNW, the one in four in their last five New York Jets dancing against the one in four in their last five Seattle Seahawks. And I have to do what I have to. do. You saw me take the Jets over the Jax, take a massive cross-country flight L, sat next to a five-year-old who didn't speak anything as she fell asleep and kicked me as I watched Trevor Lawrence kicked me all 60 minutes back in the Jets last Thursday night. But Stifler's mom's boyfriend

is gone and White Lotus, the hottest show since succession is under center. Let's not forget Mike White put up 22, should have won against the Vikings. He had 370. 69 passing against him. The last start he had when he got rocked in the ribs. They also ran for 90 yards with night that game. They moved to the football. Mike White, all right? Shout out Ned Sneebly.

If you know that reference, I love you. He went for three talks, 315 in the best passer rating against the Bears just a cupcake four weeks ago. He's capable of moving the chains. And here's the exciting thing for this Jets team. They haven't run the football at all since Mike. White left and Zach Wilson came back. This Jets team is 1 and 20 since 2020 when they rush for less than 90 yards. It's a 14-game losing street.

One in 20. Seattle has the second worst defense in the league. They're giving up 155. If this team with Knight, who's serviceable in Carter, who's deece, if they can't run the ball for 90 yards, the magic number to get them to win here. I don't know what to tell you. One 55, Seattle gives up. We're back in the better defense. Okay. We're backing a better defense. And in my opinion, this is a, this is a Hawks team that hasn't won a game, not against the Rams since November 6th. And that was against the Cardinals. They haven't beat anybody.

They haven't beat anybody. I'm going to take a team that, listen to this, that has improved defensively, 10.8 points more than last season. It's the second largest season to season improvement. Defensively speaking, double digits in production in the last 40 years. C.J. Most, sauce gardener, the Williams brothers. It's disgusting, this Jets defense. And Trevor Lawrence is that good.

I'm telling him, he's that good. And he moved the ball on them all game. I'll tell you who's not going to move the ball on him all game. Gino Smith. I love him. Look, the critics wrote him. They didn't write back until late December. Jets on the month line.

This might be my favorite pick of the week. Everyone called me crazy. My co-host, Liv Mood's called me crazy. I was told, stop it, end it. Get off the cheesehead bandwagon. I watched old school for the 17th time. I was reminded of the Vince Vaughan cheese line and reminded myself,

Aaron Rogers became re-engaged, as Colin pointed out, on the national TV win against the Rams. And when you're a leader of men chooses to be re-engaged, it has a trickle effect. And we take a Packers team coming in with momentum, swallowing minus three. The hook is come in, the hook is left.

You have to take it at minus three. going against a Vikings club that I can't wait to make fun of right now. Took the Giants on the pot with the points, zero schfits, even when they were down 10. This is a Vikings club. For the ninth time, ninth time this season, down in the second half, came back to win. Most wins in the second half comeback.

Most wins for a season, second half comeback history. in the history of the league. Nine times this team has come back in the second half. They haven't. Can't wait to tell you this. Won a double-digit game. All single-digit wins since the Packers in week one. Zero double-digit wins.

They muck it up. It's disgusting. Their defense is unwatchable, and no one wants to have the conversation. I've gone over this multiple times. You've never seen the double digit team. Less than plus five in points for and points against in the history of this league. You've never seen it.

Why? Because it's anomaly. Kirk Cousins, again, celebrating like he's done something. In my humble opinion, he's done something, but something to me worthy of, all right, maybe we don't tempt the football gods like this because we're playing with that. absolute Scotty van Bhabby fire. And we humble this. And we stop celebrating in the air.

Get on our Southwest Airlines. Apologize. Just kidding. And say, Dob's not done. But no. This Vikings team is cocky. His Vikings team thinks they're going places. Kirknawn Primetime Cousins.

Only won 10-plus games second year ever in the league. Let me remind you what Rod. is against the Minnesota Vikings, it will hurt your grown man feelings if you are backing the Vikings this weekend. Aaron Rogers hasn't thrown more than an interception, more than an interception in his last 22 starts against the Vikings, longest streak, any quarterback versus any team. Last three outings, Aaron Rogers against the Vikings, seven touchdowns, no picks, through for over 290 and 288 and two of those three.

Coming in with a Green Bay defense, that has at least one takeaway in his last nine games. Longest streak in the league, nine turnovers, the Green Bay defense. And it's the longest streak in Packers' recent history since 2017 when they won 11th straight. It's a combination of another Vikings team. Let's remind us.

Remind us. Got spanked by the Cowboys. An insane game against the bills prior to that. An improbable comeback against the Colts. And what do they do? They make another exhausting performance against the Giants. There's got to be a letdown spot at some point. I was on the Packers 10 days ago,

if you follow me on Money Line, Monaco, to make the playoffs at plus 880. They're under plus 200 to make the playoffs. I told you the commanders are losing, the lions are losing, the Seahawks are losing. They all lost the Packers won. Yes, I'm emotional at times. That was absolute gold I gave you. They continue the streak.

You can still join me for them to make the playoffs. I will be contributing a fourth of Manhattan rent if this team does in the month of January. And I think for a guy that's 56 tugs to eight picks in 28 games against the Vikings, nothing changes. Okay. Last thing I'll say on this game, this is the last time the Vikings have had five more wins than the Packers. Eight and seven, verse three and 12. 1991, I was in Tommy Pickles, Typers. The Packers won 27-7.

This is the luxury of the Green Bay Packers versus everyone in the division. They're going to mop the floor with the Vikings. They're going to hurt the Lions feelings in the Lions then to wrap up the season. I'm out of here with the Packers minus three. Next pick two to go, rapid fire. Steelers plus two and a half, try to wait on plus three at the Ravens, dance just a calendar less than month ago. Ravens won 16, 14. Okay.

The Steelers, since the Ravens two point loss, four and a. Okay, that one, 16, 14 Ravens, I had it as well. Huntley versus Mitchie True Biscuits. Luke Wilson, this is Mitchie Palooza on the bench, Kenny New Jersey picket under center, who just came back brilliantly against the Raiders. We had it as well. This team, Pittsburgh, lives for points on the road against Baltimore. They've won four of their last five.

Now, again, Ben Rathesberger contingent stat, this is Kenny's first time going to Baltimore. Let's hope he doesn't get South Parked. But four and one since the Ravens lost. is a Ravens offense. Fourth consecutive outing, 17 points or less. It's the third longest streak ever in franchise history. Fourth consecutive game, seven points, 17 points are fewer. And yes, Lamar's out. Not going to overreact. But I'm talking about it being relevant to this pick. The last few wins, 17 versus the Falcons, 10, 9 versus the Broncos. You'll lose 133 to the unwatchable Cleveland Browns. One of the worst, worst.

Offenses I've seen from Cleveland in a very long time. I'm very disappointed that Cleveland's doing anything right now. They're completely mediocre. Yes, I said it. This team in Baltimore is not moving the football easily. And I'm looking at this Pittsburgh team that just sent Derek, you can drive my double R to the pine. they hurt Derek Carr so bad.

Three picks, 174, and zero points in the second half. They're starting Jared Stidham at center, under center this weekend. The Raiders are against the Niners. Oh, my goodness. Could not be more laugh out loud embarrassing. But this is what Pittsburgh's defense does. And Baltimore's do for another letdown and they're going against a familiar foe. and these AFC North dances are always one-off.

So, again, this is Pickett v. Huntley. We have a better quarterback. We have a better, in my opinion, right now, better momentous team, even though the Ravens are winning games. They're winning games in improbable ways. Again, the fourth consecutive outing, 17 or fewer, let's not forget they put up three points against the Browns.

Steelers plus two and a half. hope you get plus three. Last but not least, Carlson went to the building. Commanders. Yes, S. Money line minus 130 on fan duel. 7.7 and 1 verse 6 and 9.

I just spoke to you about this Browns team. I'm back into commanders D that was top six in the league before Brock Purdy put 37 and the most in the league on them last week. Huge trap game. Huge trap game. But you saw what Ronnie Rivera did. put Wens and he castled him right back again on the chess table and did what he needed to do. Because Carson Wentz is a gamer when he needs to be a gamer and he can mince you magic you to a

victory. Let's not forget this man flew, flew off the rails starting the NFC East. Come back win against the Jags week one, four tugs, three tugs the next week. He had seven tugs leading the NFC East and touchdowns the first month of the season and he got, then he got can't. But this is what I'm backing. A Washington defense, a Washington defense, gave up 20 to the Giants twice, 13 to the Falcons, 10 to Houston. They held Phillies unbelievable offense on that ATV to 21 and a W. This is their last seven weeks of work defensively.

No one's putting up more than 20 points against them is what I'm saying. And this Brown's offense is anemic. It's unwatchable. Again, this team is stealing wins, 27 points against the Texans, six points of offense in that outing. 10 verse Sincey, embarrassing. 13 versus Baltimore, pedestrian, and 10 versus the Saints, zero in the second half.

The Saints were down 10-0. Nothing. That was a gift from the Christmas with the cranks. Got on Christmas Eve. The Saints live all the way up to six and a half. Wentz is just going to have the game managed. This team is number one in time of possession, Washington. They're going to host this game at home.

They just need to run the ball, play tough physical defense. Their front seven is filthy. full of pro bowlers, arguably the best front seven, arguably in the NFC East, not named the Cowboys and Eagles, L.O.L. But an unbelievably capable defense. I love the call to Ben Chineke. You got them as a great capable backup out of the pen. I think it's a move. I have to take the commanders. The Browns are playing for chemistry in next season. I've said this already twice now in the last couple weeks. Washington all day. We wrap up the pod. Bucks minus three. Jets on the money line, Packers minus three, Steelers plus two and a half,

Commander's Money Line. We get you out of here. With a no sweat first bet. Looking to get more out of this NFL season. Well, now is the perfect time to download Fandul, America's number one sportsbook because new customers get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000. That's free bets back if your first bet doesn't win. Download the Fandualsportsbook app, safe, secure, super easy to use.

You can bet on everything from the money line to touchdown scores. to over under yards. Obviously, you know what my favorite bets are this weekend. I just gave them to you, but you have a phenomenal ability to go same game parlays here. Combining the spread, the mindline, the total. You can add passing, receiving rushing yard, touchdown, scoring props, and mix and mingle as you please. Fandul even lets you combine your bets for a chance at a bigger payout with same game parlay plus combining multiple outcomes within games with other games parlayed.

Fandul's now also live in Maryland. and Marylanders. Make sure you get in on the action with great offers just for you. So don't miss the chance to get your no sweat first bet up to $1,000 in free bets when you join Fandul with promo code Monaco. Make every moment more with Fandle an official sports betting partner of the NFL. All right. California, Monaco out of here. I'll see you when I'm shh, fitting in negative something back in New York. Five picks. We'll be throwing them up on MoneyLine Monaco on Action Network. some value. Hope we cash some Ws. Only two losing weekends out of 16 on the volume sports weekend pod. The volume.