The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL Week 11 Bets: Seahawks-Rams, Bucs-Bills, Lions-Eagles, Ravens-Browns, Cowboys-Raiders and more

Episode Date: November 16, 2025

Kickoff approaches for NFL Week 11, and betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter are here to deliver their final five against the spread contest bets. After all their p...icks and predictions this week, they deliver their very best bets. Our hosting duo looks at Monday Night Football, with Dak Prescott and the Dallas Cowboys visiting Sin City to take on Geno Smith and the Las Vegas Raiders. They also argue about the lowly Cleveland Browns against a banged up Lamar Jackson and his Baltimore Ravens and the AFC West matchup between Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos hosting Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. And who could resist betting Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions visting the Philadelphia Eagles led by Jalen Hurts?We'll hear a quick word about the big game taking place in the desert between Mac Jones and the San Francisco 49ers versus Jacoby Brissett and the Arizona Cardinals, plus Baker Mayfield taking his Tampa Bay Bucs to Buffalo to take on Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. We also feature an intriguing divisional matchup between Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks and Matt Stafford's LA Rams. All their final and official betting picks, all in one fast-paced episode! #Volume 0:03:00 - START 0:04:05 - CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. PITTSBURGH STEELERS 0:05:50 - HOUSTON TEXANS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS 0:08:10 - TAMPA BAY BUCS VS. BUFFALO BILLS 0:10:34 - SEATTLE SEAHAWKS VS. LA RAMS 0:12:31 - BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS 0:15:55 - DETROIT LIONS VS. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 0:19:45 - DALLAS COWBOYS VS. LAS VEGAS RAIDRS 0:27:31 - OFFICIAL NFL WEEK 11 CONTEST BETS -- All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet Subscribe to Sharp or Square for gambling advice, best bets, and predictions from sports betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter. Follow on all platforms: https://www.instagram.com/sharporsquare/ https://x.com/SharporSquare_See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.
Starting point is 00:00:12 We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.
Starting point is 00:00:30 you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. I'm Joey Dardano. And on my new podcast, Hope From a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to me. This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to help from Hippocrite Wednesdays on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, it's Edwin Castro, also known as Castro 1021. And I'm Conky, his best friend and business manager.
Starting point is 00:01:11 And we've got a new show called The 1021 Podcast. I'm taking you behind the scenes on how I became one of Twitch's most popular streamers. We also love sports. And with the World Cup right around the corner, we'll be breaking down the biggest storylines ahead of the big tournament here in the USA. Listen to the 1021 podcast on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Why are we all so obsessed with romance?
Starting point is 00:01:42 On the radio 831 podcast, join us, Sanjana Basker and Tyler McCall, as we unpack all the trending tropes, fuzzy adaptations, book talk drama, and celebrity love stories with hot takes and sharp guests. Each episode digs into what these stories reveal about desire, fantasy, identity, and how we love now. Listen to the Radio 831 podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm C.J. Toledano. It's our favorite time of the year on our podcast point game, the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:02:16 We're digging into the biggest surprises of the season. And I'm looking back on some of my greatest playoff moments. If we didn't talk ever again, I was calling it. You just understood. That's how personal it got. Wow. Then after that game seven, Marquis keep coming to. He's like, you know I love you. dog you know it's all love this was just playoffs this was just basketball so listen to point game on the i heart radio app apple podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts welcome to sharper square presented by hard rock bat
Starting point is 00:02:44 we are part of the volume podcast network this is the show that makes the squares sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention i am chad milman i am joined as always by my co-host my companion my bff professional better, Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon. Chad, how we doing? We got a glorious morning in which we get to watch football all freaking day. This is the strip down in the room, eavesdropping version of Sharper Square. We're going to make some picks.
Starting point is 00:03:18 We're going to nail down the final five that we love based on the latest news and information and how lines have been moving, some corkiness happening out there. Are you ready, brother? I am ready. All right. First game up, Cincinnati at Pittsburgh. Five at Hard Rock Bet,
Starting point is 00:03:38 five and a half everywhere else. I bet into it at five and a half. I'm a little surprised it hasn't moved to five everywhere else because it looks like the money is coming in on Cincinnati. I still really like it at five and a half. Are you with me? I'm with you.
Starting point is 00:03:59 I'm a little weird of it, but I'm going to join you. I just, I never understood this number all week. Like I always said, the books aren't giving us extra free points, but it feels like in this game they are. So yeah, it's really a bet on Joe Flacco in this offense
Starting point is 00:04:12 and just how they match up. And we're both the same boat. We do not trust this defense. We're worried they're going to burn us here. But the hope is Flacco will always have us in the opportunity to get this back door. So once again, this number. I don't know what the books are doing here, but they really believe in this
Starting point is 00:04:29 Pittsburgh side. I just can't get over the fact that overrated this Pittsburgh defenses. Yeah. I mean, we just have not seen any evidence from either defense this year that they can stop anybody. And this isn't even about Aaron Rogers against the Chargers last week, because those are always going to happen. And then there will be bounce back games. And if you're ever going to get healthy and look right again, it's against the Cincinnati Bengals defense. To me, I am a hundred percent betting against the Steelers defense and betting on T. Higgins, Jamar Chase, being able to find ways to get downfield against a really, really, really bad Steelers defensive backfield right now. Cincinnati Bengals. Plus five and a half, if you can find it, which you should be able to.
Starting point is 00:05:16 We're on the Bengals. Houston at Tennessee. We had said early in the week, get Houston. Right now the line is five and a half. We had said get Houston once it gets under seven. I got a bad number. I bet Houston minus six and a half. Even though I knew Davis Mills was going to be playing, I'm a little surprised it went further from six and a half to five and a half. Does this give you pause with the Texans?
Starting point is 00:05:41 I mean, the biggest part gives you pause. I'm sure it gives you pause as well. It's been never-ending amount of money right now coming in on this Houston side. And the number has dropped like Chad just. said from seven and a half it's open to now five and a half, which we always say is such a key number. So the books are kind of telling us they think Tennessee has a way bigger chance of winning this game than I gave them any type of credit for.
Starting point is 00:06:07 I still don't get how they're going to move and score against this defense and how they're going to stop Woody Marks and their run game of Houston. So I always say there's certain games I'm just missing and I'm overreeding. There's things I'm not looking at right. And this must be one of those games. But I'm with you. Like I'm betting Houston, taking a position on Houston, just a little nervous that there's something here I'm missing because clearly the books and professionals have taken a stand on this Tennessee team here. Yeah, I don't get it either.
Starting point is 00:06:34 What about this offense all of a sudden makes them think they're going to be able to move the ball down the field? I just keep thinking about that Chargers game two weeks ago when they covered the game. But that's because they got a pick six in the first quarter and then a punt return. in the first quarter. And the Chargers had every chance to still cover that minus nine and a half. And they gave up, you know, the backdoor field goal at the end. This is a bad offense. It cannot move the ball.
Starting point is 00:07:07 And it's going against probably the most elite defense right now, the most complete defense in the NFL with Pastor Tain out for the Broncos. So it's really, really hard. I know it's Davis Mills. but even Davis Mills against this defense has a better chance to me than Cam Ward against the Texans defense. So yeah, we're still on the Houston Texans, and I guess we like it even more now at five and a half. This one's tricky, Simon. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who we have been trying to figure out all week,
Starting point is 00:07:45 why aren't we going all in on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers? And then in the past 24 hours, this line has moved from five and a half to six. And that makes me glad that, like, I haven't bet the Buccaneers. You noted on the show on Thursday, Baker Mayfield not really running the ball as much the past few weeks. And that is to the detriment of that offense and his playmaking ability. I noted that without Bucky Irving, there have just been a different team. team and it impacts Baker's ability to use play action. Why do we think this line is moving from five and a half to six in the past 24 hours?
Starting point is 00:08:23 Is this public? Is this the wise guys? What's your take? I think the public and the wise guys have been betting Buffalo for the most part. And, you know, this is really about the number, right? At five and a half, that's definitely a bill's number. And you've seen the resistance of the six. Like we did our show, I believe it was Thursday's show where the number it hit six.
Starting point is 00:08:43 The brand of our show at a couple of books. And then literally by the time we posted it, all then we're back to five and a half. So there has been resistance all week to the six. But like you said, you woke up today and a ton of books are showing six, something even six and a half. So I don't know. Guess the pros are finally coming on the bills. And like I told you,
Starting point is 00:09:02 I feel like we have a lot of missing information right now in Baker and the bucks and what kind of injury he abstained in. I don't know what to do with this one, Chad. It's another game where I was like you, very confident Sunday. on the bucks and every show we've done, it's gotten less. I ended up not taking a position. I did take a position on them, but not as big as I thought when I really started diving
Starting point is 00:09:24 to the Baker stuff. And I haven't bet a dollar more in this game. I honestly thought today I'd flip and maybe get to the bills. And I'm still not there. I still just want to bet on Baker, especially now that's at six. So maybe not a game of playing the contest, but personally I will be on the box.
Starting point is 00:09:41 I have not bet a dollar on this game. Like, I want to be on the box. Maybe I'll just wait, you know, I'll wait and see if it gets to six and a half, but like with the way the money is moving, it may get there. But I've been hesitating all week and I feel like if there's something holding me back, there's no reason for me to pull the trigger because I get antsy on Sunday. Seattle at the Los Angeles Rams, the Los Angeles Rams are three-point favorites. This was our brass balls, bed of the week presented by Hard Rock Bet. We're both on the Rams here. here's what's making me nervous.
Starting point is 00:10:17 And it's got nothing to do with anything we talked about on the field. It's only because Matthew Stafford is just getting glazed this week. Like every single day there's something new about how Matthew Stafford is playing at an MVP level, how he's getting all the accolades and attention that he should have been getting for years, so much media love. I feel like we've been jinxed. It could be. It's our biggest public play of the week.
Starting point is 00:10:45 but I think you guys stick to what we love. We love this matchup for them. This is a great match with us all offense. Defensively, it's going to be interesting how Sam Darner reacts to a really tough defensive front and, you know, a defense that can't be passed on. If San Darno has the games he's been having, yeah, Chad, we might get burned here,
Starting point is 00:11:02 but one, we're getting a great number. Still getting the three at Hard Rock, and a lot of books have moved to three and a half. And us personally, for our contest, it's two and a half. So I don't know how we can avoid it. It's great numbers. We love the matchup. And the only negative thing I can think of is just feels like it's very public.
Starting point is 00:11:19 Like the public is all over the ramps. But so are the pros. But I really thought the Seattle Sealks would be the public darling of the week. But it looks like it's going to be Detroit, taking that dog that the public really loves. So it's interesting watching the line movement. Like we talked, Thursday's show. It was three at Hard Rock. Three and a half got touched at a bunch of books, including Hard Rock, and they immediately got bet down.
Starting point is 00:11:43 So we talk all the time. There's some really sharp groups that use Hard Rock. They clearly are taking a stand at Seahawks at three and a half. They feel like that's too much. We love them at three. Even better. We get a two and a half in our contest. So I don't know how we avoid this one.
Starting point is 00:11:56 I really love this number. All right. Los Angeles Rams. We're on them at three. Baltimore at Cleveland. This was Chad's choice at eight and a half. It's at eight at Hard Rock. Still a lot of seven and a halfs out there,
Starting point is 00:12:13 which is surprising to me. I thought by now we'd start seeing a lot more money coming in on the Ravens and pushing this number back up to eight and a half. I've loved it all week. Haven't found a reason not to love it. It's the right spot. We've talked about the Browns at home. Just a reminder since the beginning of last season
Starting point is 00:12:35 where there's been a tremendous split for the Browns at home and the Browns away. 20 points at home, 20 points per game at home, 30 points per game on the road. They give up about 30% fewer rushing yards at home than they do on the road, about 10% fewer passing yards at home than they do on the road. It's just a different defense at home. And this is a big number. So, you know, I'm still, for better for worse, I'm still all in on the Cleveland Browns.
Starting point is 00:13:04 Yeah, and Cleveland, though, there's a lot of dogs this week that Cleveland feels like it's the same one where we see, just like you people, we see a thousand different ways. mean check and easily get burned on this bet. Of course. That's life when you're betting really bad quarterbacks with bad teams. But like we show at the time, we're just trying to play the number. Situationally doesn't feel like it's a great spot for the Ravens, on the flip side for
Starting point is 00:13:25 the Browns. They've been on an absolute role of being just terrible on the road. Now they're finally back home in a great match for them. So it's really about the number. If this was down to six and a half seven, maybe we could talk ourselves out of this. But like Chet said, it's up to eight now at Hard Rock. you know we're suckers for anything over seven and a half especially with the hook um i wish i could still use this stat which we had been using all year which is basically home dogs greater than seven
Starting point is 00:13:53 points through the first nine weeks it's like 80% clip they they hit at but unfortunately chat it is week 11 that's that no longer matters so can't use it but the the thought process doesn't change here right it's an undervalued home dog going against an overrated team on the road Usually these spots really work out for us, right? The biggest worry here is who is healthy for Cleveland in that running backfield? Who's going to be carrying the ball here? Because we're not going to win this on the quarterback's arm. We're going to need a really staunch run game against a Ravens' defense as suspect against the run.
Starting point is 00:14:26 So love this match for them. Lamar, I said I was never going to trust their coach. I was going to wait to do what the B-Wrider said about him. Apparently he was fully go in practice. It was just a rest day, giving him some days off because he took so many hits, I guess, in that Vikings game. So nothing to worry about if you are back in the Ravens and worried about a little more. But on the flip side for us, I still think he's not moving quite like he was before the injury.
Starting point is 00:14:50 Like even going back watching that Vikings game, he never feel like he fully went full speed because he just does not trust that hamstring. So in this type of match against Miles Garrett and that defensive front, I just, I love it for us in so many different ways. So yeah, there's an eight out there like Chats at a Hard Rock. I don't want to be scared off if you would get the seven and a half. I don't see this landing on eight. I think seven and a half is plenty of points in this matchup. All right.
Starting point is 00:15:14 We're in on the Cleveland Browns. I love them when we get funky like that. Detroit at Philadelphia. Philadelphia is a two and a half point favorite. This Simon is our rocking a hard place. Bet of the week presented by hard rock bet. Look, you just talked about Detroit is becoming the public dog for the week. it's probably what's been tamping down this number and keeping it at two and a half at hard rock
Starting point is 00:15:48 it's starting to move to three in some other places that tells me that the professionals are finally coming in full force on philadelphia here lots of reasons to like the eagles lots of reasons to like the lions i'm going to go with what we've been talking about all week i know people are saying And there are stories every day that there are problems with this Eagles offense. To me, they are different than the problems last year. The problems last year seemed like Jalen Hertz was lacking confidence. Jalen Hurst does not seem to be lacking confidence this year. Jalen Hertz seems to be playing a very conservative type of football
Starting point is 00:16:29 where he is doing what he needs to do to get his team in a position to win. That puts them in a position to win a close game against a very good team by a field goal. The flip side, the Lions have so many injuries. again on defense, that it's going to be hard for them to execute as they normally would against still a very, very good Eagles offense. So we're on the Eagles. Yeah, and this should be a get right spot for this Eagles offense. Chad just talked about their whole secondary feels like it's out for Detroit.
Starting point is 00:17:03 And now you have backups in one-on-ones against AJ, a guy I view as a top-five receiver, and DeMonte Smith, the guy I view is a top 10, top 15 receivers. So if Hertz can't get it right here with the O.C, this is, this is a gun. Eventually, I'm going to say it's going to start becoming a problem because it's, it's November at this point. Like it doesn't matter in September, October, you're working through stuff. It's getting a little late here. And I know, I gave him the dry air excuse last week in the cold.
Starting point is 00:17:30 Yeah, that was crazy. It's true, though. Again, if you played sports, you know it's hard to grip a ball and dry cold air like that. And I feel the same here where it's like, it's nice weather here in Jersey. It's going to be football weather. I don't know. It's not going to be in the 20s or in the teens like it was in Green Bay. So I don't know if Hertz's going to have that excuse and the flip side, the lines,
Starting point is 00:17:50 offensively, I just think that offensive line, I still have so many questions about them. And the injuries they've had this season, this is going to be a real test for them against this Eagles defensive front that was just flying last week. Is that going to carry throughout the season? Look, we've seen with Fang's defense, once they get rolling, once the guys are comfortable in the defense, like last year, they become unstoppable. And that's why he's such an important piece to that Eagles team that being a defensive coordinator.
Starting point is 00:18:16 So love this matchup. Like we talked, the pros, the ones that I can talk to there on the lines. This is to them a lion spot, right? All the trends, all the numbers point to it. Eagle is super dysfunctional right now. On the flip side, it feels like the lines are rolling, but I still think people are viewing this Lions team
Starting point is 00:18:32 as if it is a Ben Johnson run team offensively and that their defense does have healthy guys right now. I just, they just don't feel like the same team that people are building up to be right now, Detroit. So again, no district like Detroit. I just don't think they're a top two, top three team, NFC, which this is what people are acting like they are right now. They can't believe they're a two and a half point dog against this Eagles team. So it's not shocking to see the public love for them so much. But like Chad said, I am shocked.
Starting point is 00:18:58 This number hasn't at three. Maybe it will by kickoff. But I just think there's so much public love for the lines. Even when people hear this, I believe you'll still be able to get the two and a half. By the way, I don't think the Eagles are dysfunctional. I think this is exactly functional for the Eagles. This is just how they operate. Dallas at Las Vegas, this is a Monday night game.
Starting point is 00:19:19 It was three and a half. This was Simon says. It's moved down to three. I think you were a little nervous about it on Thursday. You're probably feeling better about it today. But the question is, when we get to the other side of the break, will this be one of our first? final five. If you have something you like better, you can throw it in. I mean, I'm with you. It's not
Starting point is 00:19:42 great having two Mondays in a row in our contest. It's, uh, it's always weird going to sleep and waking up and having another sweat for the show on the Monday. But just about the number. I love the number here. I'm happy to see it came down because I could understand. Again, why the public are betting the Cowboys. I did not know why professionals reacting like two guys coming off injured reserved and joining the Cowboys defense was going to save this team in such a big upgrade. So I, I was just worried there was something I was missing. And luckily, like Chad said, the number has come down. Don't buy it here, though, if you're buying the Raiders.
Starting point is 00:20:14 There are so many three and a halfs. Don't just take the plus three. Get the hook. We need the hook with Gino Smith. So shop around five or three and a half. But, yeah, there's a couple games this week that could have gone either way. Luckily, I didn't give out the wrong one, right? The Broncos, they're up to four and a half now.
Starting point is 00:20:32 Like, that was the game I was wavering on. J.K. Dobbins on IR. there's some other issues going on there so it's been moving yeah and just again i i feel like i feel like i dodged a bullet there going the raiders over that because it's like man if you're sitting here right now and the raiders for plus four and a half i would have felt like an idiot given them out on tuesday so luckily we've we've given out the best of the number hopefully people got it and um matchup wise we know dallas is going to get theirs i just i think chip kelly this raiders offense this is the exact spot you bounce back after extended rest of that
Starting point is 00:21:01 denbrey team against a putrid dallas team that just cannot stop The run can't stop passes up the seam. And that's literally all the Raiders want to do. Like I'm not here to shit on Chip Kelly, but if you watch his offense, there's not much imagination to it. He really does what Gino's strength is, which is just pushing the ball downfield,
Starting point is 00:21:19 up the middle of the field. So I still love the match for them. The biggest issue is I know you just do not like this Raiders team. You have not been betting this Raiders team. So I'll try to convince you on the other side, but I get why you're hesitant about betting it. All right. Let's do a quick message from Hard Rock Bet
Starting point is 00:21:34 and we'll come down to our final five. Today's show is brought to you by our new presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. It's that time of year when every day feels like a big game day. You've got Pro Football, College Football, NBA, College Hoops, Hockey. It's all happening in a Hard Rock bet. There's always something to bet on. If you haven't tried your first bet on Hard Rock bet yet,
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Starting point is 00:23:27 Call 1-809 with it. Gambling problem. Call 1-800-gambler. in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, name? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast?
Starting point is 00:23:46 Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts. We're starting a trend. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember.
Starting point is 00:23:59 I think it was on a call about what we should. call it and well we were thinking i'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas brothers was this is how you guys remember it going down yes i have a very different memory of this we were talking about a thing a bit for the podcast for people could call in and say hey Jonas and then i wrote down on my little note pad hey Jonas and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast but thanks for remembering that guys listen to hey Jonas on the iHeart radio app apple podcast or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Hey, I'm Jared Adano. You might know me as that loud guy who yells out, help on the internet.
Starting point is 00:24:40 Help! Somebody! Please! But there's so much more to me than that. I'm an actor. I'm a comedian. And recently, I've become quite the helper myself. And on my new podcast, hope from a hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with my sage advice and thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to man. If I'm calling you, even if you're on your phone,
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Starting point is 00:25:29 network available on the I-FartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. The story I've told myself about love or relationships can then shape my behavior, and that can lead me to sabotage the possibility of connection. This Mental Health Awareness Month, tune into the podcast deeply well with Debbie Brown and explore the journey of healing, self-discovery, and returning to yourself. We explore higher consciousness. emotional well-being and the practices that help you find clarity, peace, and self-mastery in a world that can feel overwhelming.
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Starting point is 00:27:43 Join me on my new podcast. How hard can it be with Deanna Maria Riva, where I call on my Gen X squads from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate midlife's most fantastic BS. All of a sudden, I'd had hanginess happening on my own. I was like, what the hell is? that? I was married when I had her, so I didn't even consider how empty that Ness was going to be. Mood swings, night sweats, fupas,
Starting point is 00:28:08 sex drive, wait, what sex? Dating at 45, how hard can it be? Getting naked at 50 with the new guy. That one's kind of hard, you know? Well, that's lighting. They say we can't polish a turd, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter, and dive into it, unfiltered and unbothered and ask,
Starting point is 00:28:25 how hard can it be? I cannot believe I'm about to say this out loud. Listen to How Hard Can It Be with Diana Maria Riva as part of My Cultura Podcast Network available on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, buddy. Let's talk about what we do like and what we agree on. We do like the Rams. We're going to play them. I think in the contest is two and a half.
Starting point is 00:28:50 We've both been betting them at two and a half and three. We clearly like Cleveland as an underdog. Seven and a half, eight, eight and a half. That is in. we like the Eagles minus two and a half. We're going to play that one. So we got three games that we know we like. We got one dog, two short favorites at home.
Starting point is 00:29:13 Cincinnati plus five and a half. And just so people don't freak out, Eagles are minus one and a half in our contest. Oh, got it. Even better. If it lands on two, don't worry. I'm not winning the ladder, Ralph.
Starting point is 00:29:27 I'm losing a ton of money if it lands on two. I just want to make sure people know it's one and a half. Good to know. Good to know. Cincinnati plus five and a half, and it is five and a half in the contest. Yeah, if you want this to be your baby, Chad.
Starting point is 00:29:40 You want to get it in there. I got no issue with it. Just checking the weather report. Sinci, Pittsburgh. I mean, we can talk about all the games affected by the lake effect wind,
Starting point is 00:29:49 but it's basically just what we saw with that Green Bay game against the Eagles, right? It's 15, 20, Parano, Stained wins. 30-30-Parmaro Gust. So, you know, this is the type of game where it might not be a lot of kick-in field goals. We don't really care. We're expecting a lot of touchdowns.
Starting point is 00:30:06 So pretty interesting. The win is going to be like that, where I honestly think that benefits Sinci. Like that makes more randomness that I think will help Sincis' defense, hopefully, in some ways. So I don't hate it. I just... Well, look, I think it's... We got three to choose two.
Starting point is 00:30:22 Sinci plus five and a half, Houston minus six and a half. The Raiders plus three and a half. If you feel that strongly about the Raiders, We can go with it. I have no opinion on it. And I'm, I have more of an opinion on the other two games. But you don't seem to have an opinion on Cincinnati. Whereas I think we both feel like the Texans are the right side.
Starting point is 00:30:47 They are. I think it's just, it's about the line movement. And our contest is seven and a half. Oh, forget it. I didn't know that. I thought it was six and a half. Like, that's a Tennessee line. I'm having a tough
Starting point is 00:31:02 tough go out this week because I do love the dogs and we're both kind of grossed out by those dogs like again I'm I'm not here to force in Denver because Denver is three and a half
Starting point is 00:31:16 in our contest it's now four and a half I'm not going to force that one in Cardinals is an interesting game it's up to three and a half now a party's first start Jacksonville I'll have to look to see what that number is
Starting point is 00:31:28 that number has a budget all week. Like, there's a couple numbers like that that are just like, man, as a, as a professional, it's like I, I feel like I have to take these numbers. Like you said, we just, we don't love them. That's the harsh part about trying to get them
Starting point is 00:31:41 as our five. It's like, I haven't bet into them like that to make them one of my five where the Raiders, I can take that stand, I guess, even though I hate it. But I bet it's the, I bet into it really heavy and it's a good number. I'm going to check right now for us to make sure it's three and a half in the contest
Starting point is 00:31:57 because at two and a half, like we talked, about it's a it's a not it's not in a contest or a conversation well i wouldn't imagine that it is because it's kind of been three and a half from the day we started talking about it so yeah it is three numbers all right so this is what i put in chat i'll just give you what i put in for us after a thursday show i put in eagles minus one and a half cleveland plus eight and a half uh la minus two and a half i put your cincere in at plus five and a half and then i had carolina in a plus three and a half Now, I still like Carolina, but like, you can tell I'm not as confident as I was on Thursday show. I just don't like stuff I've read and seen from Bryce Young out of practice this week,
Starting point is 00:32:41 but I still think it's such a huge number for an Atlanta team. I just do not believe in to be favored in it. I got to tell you, I like the Panthers more than I like the Raiders. Okay. So you want to do that, then just keep it as I had it on Thursday? Yeah, I mean, we didn't talk about the, yeah, we didn't talk about the Panthers on the show. at all just now, you and I both got a little bit scared off because we did see some movement that worried us, I think, in some places this line has moved up to four, right?
Starting point is 00:33:09 Yeah. So we were betting against the number that we talked about on Thursday, and I think you've probably been hearing some stuff, and I didn't like what I was seeing in the number. I don't know. I mean, I just don't have any faith in the Raiders. I can see Brock Bowers going for 10 in 150, but. Like the way we're set up right now, if you did Carolina, we would have two 1 PM games. Both would be road dogs, which I love.
Starting point is 00:33:40 And like I said, Arizona, a team I like, it's two and a half. So like that's not going to force in there. And obviously Denver plus three and a half. I'm not going to force in. So yeah, I'll put it up to you if you want to do Carolina over the Raiders. Let's do Carolina. I can give you shit for not believing the Shraders team once again. I can't wait.
Starting point is 00:34:02 All right. So our final five are going to be Sinti plus five and a half. The Rams are two and a half in the contest. We still like them at three. If people are only able to get three, we've bettered at three. The Cleveland Browns plus eight and a half in the contest, there's mostly seven and a halfs. We still like it at seven and a half. it's Philadelphia minus one and a half in the contest we have been betting it at two and a half
Starting point is 00:34:30 go ahead we are not uncomfortable with that and then Carolina plus three and a half which you've been going back and forth on but those are our final five we're going to be back later on tonight to review everything we've done today all the misery all the angst all the worry will be on Sharper Square YouTube, 730-ish, as soon as that last afternoon, late afternoon, game ends. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square all of the time, like, and subscribe to the channel. You can download some Spotify, Apple Paws, wherever you get your pods, rate, review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want.
Starting point is 00:35:17 Feedback is a gift. Until next time. Love you. Hey, let's be careful. Hey guys, it's us The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called Hey Jonas.
Starting point is 00:35:42 We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it.
Starting point is 00:36:04 are we all so obsessed with romance. On the Radio 831 podcast, join us. Sanjana Basker and Tyler McCall, as we unpack all the trending tropes, fuzzy adaptations, book talk drama, and celebrity love stories with hot takes and sharp guests. Each episode digs into what these stories reveal about desire, fantasy, identity, and how we love now.
Starting point is 00:36:27 Listen to the Radio 831 podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Joey Dardano, and on my new podcast, Hope From a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, and recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to me. This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to Help from a Hypocrite Wednesdays on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, it's Edwin Castro, also known as Castro 1021.
Starting point is 00:37:07 And I'm Kunky, his best friend, and business manager. And we've got a new show called The 1021 podcast. I'm taking you behind the scenes on how I became one of Twitch's most popular streamers. We also love sports. And with the World Cup right around the corner, we'll be breaking down the biggest storylines ahead of the big tournament here in the USA. Listen to the 1021 podcast on the IHeart Radio app. Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:37:39 What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm CJ Toledano. It's our favorite time of the year on our podcast, Point Game, the playoffs. We're digging into the biggest surprises of the season. And I'm looking back on some of my greatest playoff moments. If we didn't talk ever again, I was hungry. You just understood.
Starting point is 00:37:54 That's how personal it got. Wow. Then after that game seven, Marquis come in to you, he's like, you know I love you, dog. You know, it's all love. This was just playoffs. This was just basketball. So listen to Point Game. on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:38:09 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.

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