The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Sharp or Square - FINAL NFL WEEK 15 BETS - Bills-Patriots, Packers-Broncos, Vikings-Cowboys, Lions-Rams, Chargers-Chiefs and more

Episode Date: December 14, 2025

Kickoff approaches for NFL Week 15, and betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter are here to deliver their final five against the spread contest bets. After all their picks and predictions this week, they deliver their very best bets. All of their picks are entered into their SHARP OR SQUARE PRO FOOTBALL PICK 'EM CONTEST, visible now at https://sharporsquare.thevolume.com/ as our audience competes for a fabulous grand prize trip to South Florida, courtesy of our sponsor Hard Rock Bet! Our hosting duo looks at a thrilling matchup as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills face Drake Maye and the New England Patriots. Plus, the Kansas City Chiefs struggle towards a playoff spot as Patrick Mahomes leads his team against the LA Chargers and quarterback Justin Herbert. Simon and Chad bet on a game featuring Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens against Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals, as well as Shedeur Sanders and the Cleveland Browns against Caleb Williams and the favored Chicago Bears. We hear their take on Jared Goff and the Lions in a NFC showdown vs. Matt Stafford and the LA Rams. And of course the guys make a bet on the Green Bay Packers visiting Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos, as well as the Miami Dolphins on Monday Night Football against Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers. All their final and official betting picks, all in one fast-paced episode! #Volume 0:03:00 - START 0:04:10 - LA CHARGERS VS. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 0:06:49 - BUFFALO BILLS VS. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 0:10:40 - DETROIT LIONS VS. LA RAMS 0:14:50 - GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. DENVER BRONCOS 0:22:27 - MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. DALLAS COWBOYS 0:26:20 - CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 0:28:05 - WASHINGTON COMMANDERS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS 0:30:20 - FINAL NFL WEEK 15 CONTEST PICKS -- All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet  Subscribe to Sharp or Square for gambling advice, best bets, and predictions from sports betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter.  Follow on all platforms: https://www.instagram.com/sharporsquare/ https://x.com/SharporSquare_See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.

you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Hey, I'm Deanna Maria Riva. And on my new podcast, How Hard Can It Be? I call on my Gen X squad from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate Midlife's most fantastic BS. Unfiltered conversations from night sweats to fupas to scheduling sex. Wait, what sex? Is it just me or does every woman my age want to look at Pinterest instead of having sex sometimes? They say we can't polish a turn, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter. Listen to How Hard Can It Be with Gianna Maria Riva on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, fam?

It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm C.J. Toledano. It's our favorite time of the year on our podcast point game, the playoffs. We're digging into the biggest surprises of the season. And I'm looking back on some of my greatest playoff moments. If we didn't talk ever again, I was harmed. You just understood. That's how personal it got.

Wow. Then after that game seven, Marquis'i keep coming to. He's like, you know I love it. You know, it's all love. This was just playoffs. This was just basketball. So listen to Point Game on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. You think you're in control until you realize you're not. As they're having this gun battle, thousands of feet up in the air, many of the bullets start to puncture the aircraft. I thought we were going to die then.

The Knife is a podcast about the moment ordinary lives take an unexpected turn. Real people, real stories, and the split second that changes everything. New episodes drop every Thursday on the Exactly Right Network and the IHeart Podcast Network. Listen to The Knife on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Just like great shoes, great books take you places. Through unforgettable love stories and into conversations with characters you'll never forget. I think any good romance, it gives me this feeling of like butterflies. I'm Danielle Robeye, and this is Bookmarked by Reese's Book Club from Hello Sunshine and IHeart

Podcast, where we dive into the stories that shape us on the page and off. Each week I'm joined by authors, celebs, book talk stars, and more for conversations that will make you laugh, cry, and add way too many books to your TBR pile. Listen to bookmarked by Reese's Book Club on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Brought to you by Cotton, the fabric of our lives. Welcome to Sharper Square presented by Hard Rock Bet. We are part of the volume podcast network. This is the show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise guys pay attention. I am Chadman. I am joined. As always. By my BFF, my companion, my confadre, my co-host professional better, Simon. Eddo, Simon. Chad, how we doing, brother? Dude, I am so ready.

This is the stripped down in the room, eavesdropping version of Sharper Square. Everyone's going to get to hear us debate. The final five we want to put into our contest now that injuries have been reported. Lines have been moving. Don't forget, you can see the dynamic contest lines. Simon and I are playing at the free Sharper Square. Pro Football Pickham Contest, if you've signed up to play at Sharper Square. volume.com. You can track us in the contest. Chat at Simon BFFs. Are you ready, brother?

I'm ready. Okay. These are the games we had zeroed in on the other day. First one up. Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs. The Chief's number has moved from three and a half early in the week to six. It is going to be frigid, frigid, frigid, frigid, frigid in Kansas City. In the contest, the line is five and a half. Because the contest lines open on Tuesday and as I just said, they are dynamic. If you like some lines, it's always better to put your picks in early. I did. We got Kansas City minus four and a half.

I think we love the luck factor here. Kansas City has just not been getting lucky. The Chargers got very lucky against the Eagles. We love the weather factor. We love the anti-chargers O line factor. At least I do. We haven't spoken since Thursday, so I have no idea if you're still with me. No, I'm still with you.

This is the game where I thought the public and professionals bail over the Chargers, and it's been the opposite, honestly, as the week's going along here. The public is kind of taking our view as well, where it's like, you already wanted to bet the Chiefs because it's such a desperate spot against a Chargers team that's banged up on a short week out in the elements. But the fact that the pros have come in so heavy and moved this number, like you said, for four and a half all way to six, that's crazy to me. Because that's, now it's like, okay, if you have the opportunity to get six and a half in our contest before kick, how do you not throw a little on the charges at that?

Yeah, right. To me, if you're seeing that five and a half a hard rocker like us, you can get five and a half or four and a half in the contest. Still love the chiefs. We're really just playing the situation. We don't not think the chiefs are a six point better team than this Chargers team. It really is what you talk about. This is the out and the elements with the one-handed quarterback. And, you know, this Chargers team, they,

They've always found a way, especially Herbert in this exact spot, but you can only overcome so much. So I'll be interested to see how this Chargers team tries to take advantage of a Chief's banged-up offensive line. Like we've talked about this year, they don't really have guys on that Chargers front. They're really scary to get the pass for us. So you think Mahomes would be in a good spot here. And like we talked about that, number opened at three and a half. All the early money was on the Chargers, and it kept going the other way. And as the week has gone along, and people have seen what we've been.

we talked about on Tuesday, which was predicting there might be bad weather here, it's just gone the other way. So you're like me, we're kind of, we're locked in in our picks and our five, mostly because we have such a good number. This is one of those games. So the four and a half, if you were able to get on the chief side, that's a really nice spot to be in like we're in right now. The Buffalo Bills are now one point favorites at the New England Patriots, Simon. This is going to be a rock and a hard play's bed of the week. presented by hard rock bet. I'm in New England.

It's 20 degrees snowing, supposed to let up a little bit. Our hero, Josh Allen and his beautiful bride, Haley Steinfeld, announced this week that they are expecting, leave it to Josh Allen to figure out a way to make sure he and his wife have a baby during the offseason.

guy can do no wrong he is just brilliant at everything one of the many reasons why we have continued to bet on the buffalo bills at minus one minus one and a half but we're not getting consensus from the professional community and that's why it's our rock and a hard place yeah a lot of pushback of this one it's just it's been fun the last couple days talking about i mean this week obviously all the games are so great there's been a lot of discourse right there's no all the pros are lined up on these three or four games together in unison it's just a ton of back and forth and a lot of opinions because it's so many games that are dictating the one seed the two seed playoff divisional games it's just all happening this week it's you can't ask for much better as you head in

December so this matchable you talked about i get the love for the patriots i'm just i'm happy to pay and lose money on the bill as simple as that like i make number three i get the public sediment with this picture team if the it's honestly the truth chat if they had a fully healthy offensive line, this Patriots team, and they had a fully healthy defensive line. Yes. I could have been talked into that, right? But they might be down their best end, New England, and, you know, looking at that offensive line, can they be exploited by Buffalo?

It's to be determined, right? With this Buffalo defense, they've had games or they've really done well-pressure in quarterbacks, right? You saw it in that Pittsburgh game. You saw it against the Chiefs, and there's other games that's just not there, right? It's lackluster and it kind of disappears. So we do believe this type of game you can take advantage of. of it. And there are some defensive formats that we've seen may struggle with that I'm

interested to see if the bills kind of attack, right? We've seen it when some teams, they only rush two and they drop everyone back into coverage. He struggles with it and he likes to pull it down. If he doesn't see clearly open or, you know, single cover safeties, he tends to pull it down and runs with it, which I honestly think in this type of game, the bills are going to try to attack. So there's a lot to love for this game and the biggest one is just the number. So I'm happy to pay for it. And this is one of the best games of Dave. Just because if New England does win this, we've talked

about it, this is basically they win the division. So the Drake May sleep a wink last night? I don't know. It's going to be interesting how this kid handles this type of game. Because not that they've been on cruise control here, but this is their first test in what feels like two, three months. So I'm really excited for this game. Drake May is in the

middle of bake miss in his house. He is eating so much sugar. I don't know how the guy is able to function. I don't know how he's able to sleeve. He could be incredibly lethargic all day today because he's busy eating chocolate chip peppermint Christmas cookies. He's busy eating, you know, rice crispy Christmas treats. Like, the guy has a lot of sugar going on in his house right now. On the field, the one thing I would say, the reason why I really like this game, New England's rush defense has just been getting

worse and worse as the season's going on because of the injuries. And we know that the bills, they're going to want to run the ball. That is who they are. They're a physical run the ball team. give me the bills championship pedigree they know this is their shot if they lose this game it could flip the deck the division for a decade so that's why i think the bills need to cover this game Detroit at the los angeles rams line is currently six we got out at five and a half in the contest uh it's a sneaky you had to be listening to understand that simon loved this game on Tuesday at five and a half. Still true.

Still true. I am shockingly, as people can tell from this contest, have we started so far, I'm very chalk heavy this week. Yeah, we are. It's weird. Yeah, a little bit. We're, I mean, obviously we talk all the time. At least we have some dogs we're forcing this week. But that's just how we ended up on Tuesday. And like you said, you locked in a lot of these picks on Tuesday. And this is one of those games you locked in. So we have the better number. Obviously, we wish it was the five. We got the hook.

It's the five and a half, no problem. Which we're going to get in the contest. They don't do, we're not doing flat numbers. It's always going to be a hook. Yeah. And it was interesting to see what the summer was going to do just because there was a possibility Devonti Adams was going to miss this game, right? He has been not practicing because of a hamstring.

And you've kind of seen these last couple weeks. He's not really been the threat he was before. They're kind of just using them in their packages when they get to the red zone, which I think is smart. You use the young kid puka while work in the middle of the field. When you get to the red zone, you take care and use the vet there. So we talked about this matchup. The lines, if you're trying to allow to yourself or just not a lot of yourself, but even find a way to spin it and find a success,

how can you back the lines here? We gave out that number right. Goff, Campbell, 17 and 3, as a dog greater than 4. My pushback, which me and Chad have talked a little about this season is, a lot of these might be Ben Johnson stats. And I'm interested to see with this type of matchup that this is going to have to be all on golf in this offense. They're going to have to keep up in some way because

you've just seen it. They're secondary. It's too many injuries to overcome. Now you're down, you know, both your safeties, you're down corners. It's a lot to ask against the MVP who's in cruise control right now in Stafford, playing against his former team, which he can say it doesn't mean a lot, but they've played two times now. And every time after the game, he says it means a lot. So to me, nothing's changed there.

And, you know, I look at this line's matchup, and it's going to be interesting if the way they win this game will be by running it. We've seen this Rams team. The only teams they all lose to are. teams that can run the ball and ball control. And, you know, that fluky loss against Carolina where, you know, Bryce Young threw for 350, yeah, those things can happen. But just going back further, their past losses, which mainly has been to the Eagles,

it's when the Eagles can run for a ton of time and ball control, keep Stafford off the field, never letting me in rhythm. The lines do have that. They have, you can argue, top two, top three running back of football renowned Gibbs. So there is a lane for it. I just, I can't see it. And I think this number should probably be seven. and seven and a half.

Like this is just priced as if this is Detroit of the past. And the public street in that way, right now as we sit here, most books, bookmakers I've talked to, most books I've seen, it's been pretty heavy Detroit money. And we always talk, it's pretty noticeable when a ton of money is coming on one side, especially the dog. And the number, like we said, gone for four and a half to five and a half and out to six.

So I'm confident of this ram side, but I definitely want to see what's going on with Demonte Smith. If you have not, DeMonte Adams, if you've not bet this yet, if he is out, maybe you get lucky and drops back down to five and a half five, but I don't mind taking this Rams of the six if that's the only number you can get. Lions incredibly beat up on the offensive line. Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball,

Stafford is brilliant against Mann, which is what the Lions have played basically every game. We saw them play zone against the Cowboys, but Stafford is even better against zone, whether it's their success rate in the running game, which is the best since 2000. 2018, when the Rams were awesome in success rate in the run game, whether it's 13 personnel, which Sean McVeigh has been using nonstop this year.

If it's Devante Adams, Pooka Nuku, they've just been at every level in every scheme so unstoppable offensively against a really beat-up Detroit Lions secondary for sure. Green Bay at Denver, another chalky one for us, this was Chad's choice. Little concerned because it had been two and then it had gone up to two and a half. Over the past 24 hours, it's gone down to one and a half. And honestly, there are some places where this line is Green Bay minus one. So I'm seeing the tickets come in on Denver. Obviously, that's professional money coming in on Denver too.

worries me a little bit. I think it's the worst number we're getting in the contest because in the contest we got it a two and a half. Yeah, it honestly feels like it's the Josh Jacob movement. The guy didn't practice all week, which again, not a big to tell me he's a vet, but he did pop up and it did come out that it's like, okay, it's not a guarantee he's going to play in this game.

They're going to work him out before the game and see how he's feeling. And we talked about it last week. Like when he's going with that offense, they're unstoppable. He's just such a game changer, especially when they get down to the red zone. So I'm not going to lie to you. That worries me a little bit. But what we, what we're saying still holds true. I still think overall this is a better Packers team and this is

a unique spot for this Broncos team that they have been tested in certain matchups this year. But when they've played really good defenses, you've seen they have struggled and especially Bo Nix. And that Houston game, I still think we handicapped that right. Bo Nix just got very lucky that CJ got knocked out and he was able to come back in that game against Davis-Mills, who just had and played with the ones all season. So another matchup here, we're really, as much as we love, Jordan Love, and we're depending on this offense, how to show up against great Broncos defense, it's really about this Packers defense.

Can they shut down Bone Nicks and stop this Broncos team? And, you know, the Packers defense, they've been up and down this year. This feels like a really unique great match for them to test themselves and the fact that it's a true great playoff team. And, you know, we've seen a time again, Parsons. People have probably been seen this clips all week. He's just basically being held nonstop these last couple weeks. weeks. And that's exciting to me, though, because that shows whatever was happened early in the

year. I remember he had some type of injury. I forget what it wasn't. Back injury. He was getting shots in his back. And it was like, okay, the Cowboys fleece the Green Bay team, they're getting damaged goods here. And he's been nothing but great for them, this home stretch here. And he's been one of the better defensive players in the season. So we're really heavily rely on the screen base defense to show up on the flip side. As good as those Broncos defense is to a lot of people, I think the Packers have so many ways to attack. them offensively. And you've seen it since Watson's been back, that wide receiving core, he's been such a

game changer of them. And Reed. And Reed. Yeah. And Reed. So the Tucker Kraft stuff scared me, Chad. But I've come around on Green Bay's offense since they've gone back to those two stud receivers.

Also, Jordan Love has just been great against pressure. And we know that the Broncos don't necessarily need to bring blitz pressure. They usually go with five men because they can get past certain on the corner who can basically take away half the field. You don't have to bring the extra guys. but Jordan Love has just been great against it all season. So I think we're betting more on the Packers defense here to contain Bo Nicks than we are on the Packers' offense to beat up on the Broncos defense. Right now, we have four games that we love, all chalk on the other side of this break from Hard Rock Bet.

We're going to have to figure out who the final game is, and we've got some underdogs that we are very excited. excited to talk about. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet. You want to know where I bet on sports during the holiday season? It's Hard Rock Bet, not just because it's the presenting sponsor of our show, but because they make it easy to bet on my favorite teams, players, and leagues in just a few simple taps, especially with their brand new For You page that recommends picks based on my favorite picks and who I like to bet on. I open the app, go to my 4U page, find a bet I like, and then bam, my bet is placed

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Hey, it's us, the Jonas brothers. And guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, Nick? Huge news. we created our own podcast called Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it.

We just contributed to a... We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers.

This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys.

Listen to Hey Jonas on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm CJ Toledano, and our podcast Point Game is about defying the odds. Like LeBron heading into the playoffs

without Luca and Austin Reed. And finding ways to win no matter what. He's the smartest player to ever play the game. His IQ is at a level that we've never seen before. And he knows without Luca and Austin Reeves, I got to manipulate the game. We get a player's perspective on the challenges of the playoffs. I think Joker's going to be exhausted this series

because when they don't have Rudy in the lineup, he has to really guard guys like Nas Reid. He has to guard Julius Randall. Then he has to give us everything he gives us on the night-to-night basis on offense. And when IT's friends stop by, like Quentin Richardson, we dive into some playoff history too. Steve Nass would get that thing. That man, hell get the flying. He run up the court, licking his fingers why he got the ball.

Like, after you go through a training camp with that, Isaiah, you figure it out real quick. Get your ass up and down the court, and you're going to get the ball. So listen to Point Game on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Jared Adano. You might know me as that loud guy who yells out, help on the internet. Help! Somebody!

Please! But there's so much more to me than me. I'm an actor. I'm a comedian. And recently, I've become quite the helper myself. And on my new podcast, hope from a hypocrite, I'll be changing lives,

helping people in need with my sage advice and thoughtful solutions. Sike! I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, and recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to man.

If I'm calling you, even if you're on your phone, let it ring twice. One ring is too scary. Cream a chicken suit. Hey, cream a chicken suit. This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to Help from Hypocrite as part of the Mike Cultura Podcast Network available on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,

or wherever you get your podcast. Will Ferrell's Big Money Players And IHeart Podcasts So I'm Leigham. This is my best friend Janet. And we have been joined at the hips since high school. Absolutely.

Now a redacted amount of years later, we're still joined at the hip. Just a little bit bigger hips, wider. This is a podcast we're recording it as we tailgate our youth soccer games in the back of my Honda Odyssey With all the snacks and drink. Sidebar.

Why did you get hard seltzer instead of beer? Oh, they had a bogo. Well, then you got it. Do you want a white color? Up here. Just a second. Oh, what are y'all doing? Microphones? Are you making a rap album? Oh, I would.

Come on. I would buy it. Cuts through the defense like a hot knife through sponge cake. That sounds delicious. Oh, you're lucky. I'm not a drug addict. You're lucky I'm not an alcoholic. You are. You're lucky I'm not a killer.

I love this team and I'm really trying to be a figure in their lives that they can rely on. Oh. Oh. Listen to soccer mom. on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Deanna Maria Riva, actress, mother, lover, and a Gen X woman walking through life one hot flash and hormonal crying jag at a time. You ladies know what I mean.

I'll bet you a perimenopausal chin here you do. So let's talk about it. Join me on my new podcast. How hard can it be with Deanna Maria Riva, where I call on my Gen X squads from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate midlife's most fantastic BS. All of a sudden, I'd had hanginess happening on my own. I was like, what the hell is that? I was married when I had her, so I didn't even consider how empty that nest was going to be.

Mood swings, night sweats, fupas, sex drive. Wait, what sex? Dating at 45. How high can it be getting naked at 50 with the new guy? That one's kind of hard. Well, that's lighting. They say we can't polish a turd, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter,

and dive into it unfiltered and unbothered and ask, How hard can it be? I cannot believe I'm about to say this out loud in public. Listen to How Hard Can It Be with Diana Maria Riva as part of my Cultura podcast network available on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, let's talk about some underdogs. First one, Minnesota, five and a half point underdog against Dallas. There are sixes out there.

It was six and a half early in the week when we talked about it. Hopefully people were able to get that. Look, it's a tricky game. I don't think we're betting on J.J. McCarthy here. I think it's another one where we're betting on the Cowboys, on the Vikings defense to be able to contain the Cowboys in some capacity and Kevin O'Connell to come up with some game plan that puts J.J. McCarthy in the offense in an advantageous position

against a Dallas defense that has been bad. They've been better with Quinn and Williams. they're getting Trayvon Diggs back, but they have been bad. So we're kind of betting on the bigger number here. Yeah, and it's a tough week, honestly, for me with the dogs. Like, there's four dogs I bet on, and this is one of them. And, you know, you had the option to put any dog you wanted,

and this is the dog you chose, Chad. So this is the dog I'm going to happily support you with. So I like it. I like the number. And like you said, the Cowboys, this feels a little inflated for what they're going to be facing here just defensively for this Minnesota team. in, you know, the fear for me would just be, can JJ keep up if DAC is on one? And that's going to be the issue.

So, yeah, like, this is simply us playing the number. Obviously, we wish we had gotten the six and a half, six, which I know a couple of people in a contest have because this did touch six of hard rock and a couple other books. But I got to wish you had the five and a half. It's, this number should be three and a half. So we're going to quickly find out pretty early here, Chad. We'll know quickly if JJ's on script here with KOC, at worst, first two drives, we go 10, right?

Field goal and a touchdown. That's usually a nice sign that JJ's in a rhythm with KOC in this team. And we're going to need it. Like we've seen these stats as Cowboys defense is atrocious. But their offense, especially after losses, tends to show up, right? It's a juggernaut. Pickens has been hearing, you know, last two weeks how he's been quitting on route being terrible. So expect to bounce back here.

But just a bad spot, we would think, for this Cowboys team, this Vikings defense. They are great against veteran. quarterbacks. And, you know, we've seen Dak as great as he is. He does struggle against these type of defense, especially with Brian Flores at the helm. So, yeah, the interesting game here that another game, talk to bookmakers, all Dallas money, all the teasers, all the parlays. I know people don't believe, but you have to throw a little. If you're a hater, a contrarian, like I am, you have to throw a little on Minnesota's money line. I know it sounds crazy, but this is just going to be such a hammered game, so should be in the prime time Sunday night game.

The other game that really, it came down to Minnesota and Dallas and Carolina and New Orleans. And now Carolina's in the driver's seat with Tampa Bay's loss the other night to win the NFC South. We love the Carolina Panthers. But two and a half, New Orleans, two and a half was your Simon says on Tuesday. The line is basically touching three at a lot of places. We're getting two and a half in the contest. On Thursday, you were leaking confidence. I was too, which is when I would have put in the picks, and it's why I put in Minnesota.

Are you still leaking confidence? No, it's just like the Minnesota thing. I believe in it, but I see the avenue of me just getting just crushed, stomped out here because, again, we're backing two gross dogs after they just had two really big wins. So I'm interested to see how the Saints team bounces his back. You know, we've talked. It's a unique team in New Orleans. They've actually been much better on the road than I've been at home. They've been putrid at home, surprisingly.

But this is, to me, a game that's all on Carolina and Bryce Young and how he handles and then mounts a pressure he hasn't felt since college. Like this is an insane unique spot to be in that if he wins this game and then his next week against the bucks, they've won the division, which is something that's insane to think about this Paralana Panthers team, especially not just this season, but going back these last couple years. They just, is Bryce young the guys, he left for dead now. Fast forward, they might be

stealing this division from a buck's team that's collapsing down the stretch here. So, I still love this Saints team. It just feels like you're getting a unique spot of the Panthers. We've talked about it. They've been favored 11 times now since, what is it, 22, and their own 11 against the spreading straight up.

So can they break the curse? This is their moment to live up to it. I have to keep fading it here. And back is Saints team that once again, undervalued by the public. It's another just like that Minnesota game. Every bookmaker I talked to, they couldn't wait to get me to bet some Saints money

because they desperately needed it. And I bust their balls. I'm like, well, if you need it so bad, why not bust it to the three? Like if you guys are acting like you desperately need Saints numbers, push it to the three. You're going to get a ton of money. And like Chad said,

a bunch of books half hit the three. But the most entries are one of me is the two or three biggest public books have held at the two and a half. And they are taking the most amount of Panthers money. So I'll stand with the books here. I'll back the Saints. But I get why you chose Minnesota over the Saints.

It's a tough call. But I would say with the bigger number on this Minnesota team, it's more comfortable to taking that number there. That was really the deciding factor to me was the bigger number and a really good deal. They at least have one unit we know we can count on. All right. So to me, it's right now it came down. I'll just say one more game.

I would have forced you in. Just go, we'll get out real quick. It was just the commanders. I still think it's two and a half. This game should probably be closer to a pick. So it's two and out, hard rock, but plenty of two and a halves out there. The Giants are just so bad. And once again, everyone's just piling up on them.

I get it. They do have a more complete team than the commander, especially, you know, look at the defense, the commanders are just so bad. But I think Marriota, if he's got, if he's got, you know, Debo, he's got Terry McLaren, he's got Rodriguez, the running. back. That's a pretty potent offense. Washington's bringing to the field here. So I'm shocked. It's not moved to a pick. I still think the two and a half is a good number. So that and the Saints, those are the two really ugly dogs I like this week, including Cincinnati. But again, all those

three, I think we're never going to get there because of the number. Do we want to put Washington in? Like the only question in the contest at this point is we lose the four and a half on Kansas City. We'd probably get five and a half. So everything else would stay the same. Do we want to put Washington in instead of Minnesota. I wish I had the foresight here. The thing is just scaring me off, which I'm sure you have the same exact feeling right now, is that we were on four favorites, which it never, never works out for us. But I think we're in unique spots here, especially that Green Bay and Buffalo game,

where those are two chalk favorites that are actually honestly not getting that much public love or professional love. So I don't know. I get why we maybe make a move here, but I'm trying not to overthink it. Like you said, we have good contest lines. The only bad number we have is Green Bay, but I don't think that's bad enough to move off. I don't think the two and a half is going to affect us that much.

So I don't know. If you want to step up and say something, Chad, and have a game you want to play it and say this is the one I want to put in, I'll support it. But as we sit here right now, the only one I really want to take out is honestly in Minnesota. And it's like these other dogs, it's no different. I'm not that much more confident these other dogs either.

So it's a weird week, honestly. Well, I agree. Like, Minnesota is the one I'm most uncomfortable. with have been all week. Yeah. But I don't, I don't love New Orleans. I don't love Washington. I don't love Cincinnati.

Those are the other ones that I've looked at. So I guess we're just- Let's not change it. Let's not change it. Let's not overthink it. That's what we always do. And then we make a mistake. So our official contest picks,

Kansas City minus four and a half. We got that early in the week. Minnesota plus five and a half. We got Buffalo minus one and a half. We got the Rams minus five and a half. We got Green Bay minus two and a half. That's what we're running with today, Simon. This has been Sharper Square, part of the volume podcast network.

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