The Herd with Colin Cowherd - Sharp or Square - FINAL WEEK 16 BETS - Bucs-Panthers, Chargers-Cowboys, Jaguars-Broncos, Patriots-Ravens, Jets-Saints and more

Episode Date: December 21, 2025

Sunday kickoff approaches for NFL Week 16, and betting expert Chad Millman and professional sports gambler Simon Hunter deliver their final five against the spread contest bets for their SHARP OR SQUARE PRO FOOTBALL PICK 'EM CONTEST at https://sharporsquare.thevolume.com/  as our audience competes for a fabulous grand prize trip to South Florida, courtesy of our sponsor Hard Rock Bet! Our hosting duo looks at a thrilling matchup as Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills face Shedeur Sanders and the Cleveland Browns. Later, our hosting duo looks at a less-than-thrilling matchup as Brady Cook leads the New York Jets to the Big Easy to face Tyler Shough and the New Orleans Saints. Plus, the Kansas City Chiefs struggle without Patrick Mahomes versus the Tennessee Titans. Simon and Chad bet on a game featuring Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens against Drake Maye and the New England Patriots, as well a thrilling AFC showdown as Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars face Bo Nix and the Denver Broncos. We hear their take on Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions matching up with Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers, as well as Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Bucs looking for control of the NFC South against Bryce Young and the Carolina Panthers. And of course the guys make a bet on Philip Rivers and the Indianapolis Colts hosting Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football.  All their final and official betting picks, all in one fast-paced episode! #Volume 0:03:10 - GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. CHICAGO BEARS REACTION 0:08:00 - TAMPA BAY BUCS VS. CAROLINA PANTHERS 0:10:45 - BUFFALO BILLS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS 0:14:00 - JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS. DENVER BRONCOS 0:16:40 - PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. DETROIT LIONS 0:19:25 - NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS 0:26:00 - MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS 0:28:10 - SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS VS. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 0:32:00 - OFFICIAL WEEK 16 CONTEST PICKS --- All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet Subscribe to Sharp or Square for gambling advice, best bets, and predictions from sports betting experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter. Follow on all platforms: https://www.instagram.com/sharporsquare/ https://x.com/SharporSquare_See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.

you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm C.J. Toledano. It's our favorite time of the year on our podcast point game, the playoffs. We're digging into the biggest surprises of the season. And I'm looking back on some of my greatest playoff moments. If we didn't talk ever again, I was harmed. You just understood. That's how personal it got. Wow. Then after that game seven, Marquis keep coming to. He's like, you know, I love you, dog. You know, it's all love. This was just playoffs. This was just basketball. So listen to Point Game on the I Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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fuzzy adaptations, book talk drama, and celebrity love stories with hot takes and sharp guests. Each episode digs into what these stories reveal about desire, fantasy, identity, and how we love now. Listen to the Radio 831 podcast on the IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Joey Dardano. And on my new podcast, Hope from a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian.

I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to me. This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest, people you know. Listen to help from Hippocrite Wednesdays on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to Sharper Square, presented by Hard Rock, we are part of the Volume Podcast Network. This is the show that makes the square sharper and makes the wise guys. Pay attention. I am Chad Milman. I am Joy. As always, by my cook. My BFF professional better. Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon.

Dad, what a day yesterday was for both of us. I'm gobsmacked. This isn't what happens to the bears. We're the team that double doinks. We're the team that gets fourth and one from the two and snaps it over the head of our seventh round, five foot five running back. We are not the team that comes from 10 down

in the final two minutes, recovers an onside kick and then throws a bomb where the quarterback is so casual about it, while the ball is in the air, he stuffs his hands into his hand warmers because he knows he just dropped it into the basket. We're the team that trades up to get Mitch Trubisky and passes over Patrick Mahomes. This is just not, this is not the bears. Yeah, but they had us for about three quarters there. It was the same old bears.

And I know you're in the same spot as me. I was just cursing their name. I couldn't believe I walked into it, even though I said a million times I wasn't going to. But I just fell in love with this Bears team all year because of what happened in the final two minutes. This whole year, every time I bet on this team,

they leave me scratching my head for three quarters and all of a sudden that magical fourth quarter comes around. And I think it's an NFL record, right? Now they've won six games. They've been trailing in those two minutes. left in the game. They've won six of them. It's crazy. It's a crazy identity. It's like we always talk about all the time. In NFL, there's the talent, the talent level is so high. Just the coaching can make the biggest difference in everything overall. And the biggest to me is just the Ben Johnson belief.

These guys consistently believe in themselves. So can't believe it on the other side. If you are, Green Bay, talk about having horrible injury luck, season from hell, just everything rolled into one. Green Bay totally outplayed the Bears for three quarters and, you know, with their backup in there. And it just totally fell apart there by the seams. Their secondary is just so banged up. You're waiting for Caleb to get away with these deep ball throws. And they just couldn't find it. And eventually, like we said, the game kept going.

And that throw in the overtime, like everyone keeps saying ice in his veins. It was incredible. It really was. Like, as someone just sitting there as a fan did not see that coming. Really did think it was a handoff. I was just like the defense. I bit on it. And he had the perfect read, right?

The safety bit. I think they said it was 0.6 inches or feet maybe or something insane like that of separation between DJ and the cornerback, like tight, tight window. Oh, yeah. Just all-time throw by Caleb. So, yeah, everyone,

even only people weren't screaming we're Green Bay fans. Anyone that's a football fan. You were going absolutely crazy. That was an all-time moment. It also is just an indication of how much penalties make a difference in this game. Don't forget.

Bears had a third and 20 and they were sacked, and they weren't going to even be able to kick a field goal. And Caleb, the defensive lineman for the Packers, pulled on his face max as he was going down, and the Bears get a first out, and they kick the field goal, and all of a sudden they're only down seven, and they get the downside kick.

Like, it just these penalties, and that was not a penalty that shouldn't have been called. It just goes to show you how every single little mistake has a huge, huge, huge impact on the game and how it can swing momentum. What a crazy 48 hours of football from Thursday night football to Saturday night football. You and I were reeling at the end of that Bears game because we had been on the commanders. That was a tough beat just with Marriota going down. They looked like they were going to be able to be competitive in that game. Josh Johnson comes in,

no longer the case, but we got to move on to Sunday, brother. Let's get to it. This is the semi-stripped down in the room eavesdropping version of Sharper Square. We're going to make some regretful, utterly human decisions and get to our final five. You can see the dynamic lines that Simon and I are playing at the free Sharper Square Pro Football Pickham contest if you signed up to play in the contest. That was Sharper Square.thevolume.com. we are Chad and Simon BFFs. We're six and four on the year in that contest since it started.

Are you ready, brother? I'm ready. All right. So these are the games that we had zeroed in on the other day. I think we're still debating where we're going to land. First one up, Tampa Bay at Carolina, Carolina plus three and a half. I feel like we've been waiting our entire lives together to bet Carolina as an underdog with the hook at home with a chance to play meaningful football.

Here we are. Are we sticking with it? Oh, yeah, no doubt. This is a spot that's been good to us all year back in Carolina, especially after a loss, right? I think they're 6-0 against the spread, 5-1 straight up. So it's been a team that tends to bounce back off season.

On the flip side, this Bucks team, even at their fully healthy height of their powers to start the year, Baker playing out of his mind, that kept squeaking out wins, right? Every time they'd win, it would be by a handful of points. had a couple blowouts this year, but it's really been few and far in between. I gave that crazy stat. They're six straight weeks now. They haven't covered. So seeing the professionals and the public alike coming on the bucks is not that surprising, right? They are due. They are,

they did get all their guys back. They are healthy at this point. But we keep talking about Bryce young and this Panthers team, they play possum, right? They played dead the following week. All of a sudden, Bryce Young just can't miss guys. And their run game is just out of their control. It's just so up and down this team. And the bucks, they've been a questionable. defense all season. We've talked about that. Like anytime they need their defense to get a stop, they cannot get a stop. And it reared its ugly head last week. And I know they're trying

to say it's all good. They're working through stuff. And, you know, Mike Evans says, you know, I was just emotional at the time. Clearheads have prevailed. A guy like him walking off the field yelling, third and 28, multiple times as he walks through, heads in the locker room. I don't know if the vibes could be any worse

for this Bucks team. They're just reeling in so many bad ways. So I know the Panthers, it's crazy. especially the hard rock, like they've moved off the three. There's tons of threes out there. I'm all on on the threes. And, you know, if you're forced to take two and a half, I wouldn't let it scaring me off.

But this just feels like such a number spot for this Panthers team where this should be a pick. But the general public just, you know, what we think, it's just like this Bucks team, we're waiting for them to be this dominant playoff team. They've been these last three years and they just have not been that team. So I'm interested to see where this number ends up. Like you said in the contest, we have three and a half.

I wonder if people can still play that now. I think this is going to keep heading. to two and a half. So if you can't get a three and a half, I'd lock it in now. I think this will be two and a half by kickoff. Bryce Young, the most fourth quarter overtime touchdowns since 20 or a comeback wins since 2023.

And this is when he does it. As an underdog, the final minutes, Dave Canales makes risky calls. Bryce Young follows through. That's what we're betting on today with the Carolina Panthers. They are in. Buffalo bills, minus 10 and a half at the Cleveland Browns.

Simon, this is going to be our Rock in a Hard Place, bet of the week presented by Hard Rock Bet. Surprise, surprise. We're going against all of our instincts. We are going against everything we have ever done. We are doing something that is so anti this show. We are betting against the huge home underdog. We are betting against the dominant defense.

We are betting against the dominant defense. at home with the generational Hall of Fame player who was on pace to set a single season sack record, Miles Garrett, the Cleveland Browns. We are fading the dog pound, the energy, the will of the fans in Cleveland, or Bet and Josh Allen, with the hook at 10 and a half.

Rocking on. Yeah, I love this game. It's by far one of our more public players of the entire season. It doesn't get more public than this, like you just said. It's a huge road favorite. Everyone you've talked to, they're all in on this, Bill's team right between the parlays, the money lines. Everyone's just piling on it. It's for a good reason.

Like we've talked about it, it's a unique spot, right? Josh Allen tends to do really well against really dominant defenses. And, you know, to me, this feels like a price from a month or two ago, right? This feels like the number they're giving this Browns team is their home field advantage from what we were betting. You know, a couple months ago that just has not been the same, especially this past month, where their run defense has been suspected. and very, very poor against great teams. And, you know, even bad teams, I should say. But against really good teams, like you saw with the Bears last week,

teams that have good run schemes tend to dominate this Cleveland team lately. So try not to ever think this one, right? I have it at a model of 13. If you're back in the Browns here, right, you really need to lean into the elements and all these things that bounce your way where I just can't see it, right? It's Josh Allen. This is, he's used to playing this type of weather. He's not going to be scared off by Lake Effect type of weather.

defensively as many questions we do have about this bill's team can shodore sanders in that run game really take advantage of it i don't know if they can right it's it's going to be an interesting game that's that's really the matchup we're both can be worried about right how does this bill's defense do because they've had games where they've just totally laid down and you know even that patrick's game and i don't want to say they laid down but there was a there's a minute there was just like oh my god they can't stop the pass or the rush like what can they what can the bills take away from a team right now so i'll be interesting how they bounce back here but offensively I just, this feels like the exact game where Josh Allen, you know, maybe thirst for 150,

but the run game runs for 200 with him and Cook. So I love this matchup. Yeah, this is really a bet against Shador Sanders in this Brown's offense, being able to score enough points to keep it close. We just haven't seen the evidence that they can do that on a consistent basis. There's more games like what they did against the Bears than what they did in desperation against the Titans a few weeks ago at home. So we're going with the Buffalo Bills, the publicly, publicly, publicly,

play the season for us. Jacksonville plus three and a half at Denver. We're on the Jags. You and I were talking before we came on the air. There's a couple games where this thing had been sitting at three, and now all of a sudden we're starting to see professional money move it to three and a half. and this is one of those games. We're taking the other side.

We're betting Jacksonville. I can't believe we're betting Trevor Lawrence. Like, it's Bono-Nex Trevor Lawrence. We don't like either of them. So all of a sudden we're taking the hook with the quarterback that I guess we're going to live with. Like, are we betting on Jacobi Myers here? Like, what are we doing?

Yeah, we're really playing the number. And I think we've seen a little bit of a theme here these last 48 hours like we talked about. these really good teams and playoff teams when they play each other this late in the season, there is no letdown or give up in either side. And these teams play to the final whistle. It's been incredibly close games. I mean, if the Bears had gone for two, which I thought they were going to,

that would have been another one-point game, just like that's Seahawks rain game. So this is another game that I feel like is going to be incredibly close. Could mean you get blown out here by the Broncos because they do have such a dominant defense. Sure. But I don't know if they face the time. type of offense where the Jags are running here, which, you know, the Jags have just been playing in another level. You can say, well, they've had easy competition. Yes, but they've put up over 40 points in back-to-back weeks. They've been dominant, and it's been really impressive. And we've

talked about it. This run scheme they've had there, it's really opened up the pass offense. And your guy, Myers, you just got a big payday, he's changed the offense. He's what they thought Travis Hunter would be for them in offense, right? He opens up the doors for so many different players. and you know you just look at this scheme-wise I just think this Jaguar seemed could be in this game competitively the entire way on the flip side the Broncos I know Bo Nix has been playing really well but we've seen him have these up and down games and this feels like another spot where we could easily have a low game and a Jack's team that like I talked about they haven't given up more than 75 yards rushing this season so it's going to be

on Bo Nix he's going to have to beat them with his arm and it's going to be interested if he's going to be able to do that back-to-back weeks because last week he had a lot of throws. I feel like he got away with it. And, you know, that's what we said. We got Bo Nix last week. We're doubling down. We're saying there's no way he's going to do it to us again.

So I really, really it is about the number. If this is two and a half, I wouldn't have really forced us to take this one. But at three and a half, I can't avoid it. And we've seen a move, right? Every book we talked Thursday was three. It's three and a half everywhere. So like Chet said, the pros have come in. They've taken up this on Denver.

I think they're taking it a bad number. I think they should be two and a half too. Pittsburgh at Detroit. we're taking Detroit minus six and a half. I know we wanted to not fade Mike Tomlin and we feel sort of burned by not having done it a couple weeks ago against the Ravens in that spot. I think we both come to believe this is a little bit

of a different game and a different scenario for this Pittsburgh team and that their defense just isn't playing as well as it has been, and this is a good opportunity. Detroit is minus seven, by the way, at Hard Rock right now. It's six and a half in our contest. So anyone who's been playing it has been getting six and a half. But the opportunity for the Lions to dominate in the run game here,

I think is what we're really leaning into. Yeah, they have been good for us, these lines and the bounce back spot this year, just like Carolina. And they have a little bit more history on their side with this, in this exact spot, right, the Lions after a loss. We know the numbers. Campbell is 14-1 against the spread, right? He usually gets his guys up to bounce back.

And this is another game where I am honestly shocked. It's not up to minus seven and a half on this Lions team. It is seven and a half in the contest, by the way. It's just moved to seven and a half. Which just seems right, right? This morning I expected a lot of public money to be coming on this line team. Even though, you know, if someone's going to tweet out, most likely the number one bet on underdog this week is the Steelers Money line,

that to me makes sense, right? I know pros who are taking a position on the Steelers' money line here because of what Chad just said, like Tomlin, in these type of spots, he tends to have some voodoo type of tricks, but we've talked about all the things for the Lions here, right? This is an indoor game. They don't have the elements like the Steelers kind of need.

This is going to me a track meet. So can the Steelers' offense keep up? That's what it's going to come down to me. It's like, can they keep up with this lion's offense, which this season, shockingly, they're going to be in the number two, number one team for yards and points most likely at the end of the season.

They've just been on an absolute tear. It's just the defense and injuries that flood them down. So Ken Rogers take advantage of it perhaps. But me and Chad, once again, we have an amazing number, especially the minus six and a half. And there is one very public book out there still with a six and a half, which is pretty interesting.

But yeah, we know this Lions team, the bill's probably getting me the two most bet on numbers and sides for the general public. So very public plays here, but it really is all about the number. And yeah, the six and a half, I just can't avoid it. I love the lion.

We're going to have to make a call because if the line is six and a half in the contest and there's something that we want to be, or seven and a half in the contest, if there's something we want to be planned, we might want to have to evaluate because now it's seven and a half. I say that because we talked about New England and Baltimore this week. New England was three and a half in the contest, and we liked New England. This was Chad's choice and a lot of professional money coming in on the Ravens in the past 48 hours. So that's making me a little bit nervous about sticking with the sticking with the New England Patriots. Yeah. And we kind of knew this though, Chad. This is probably going to be the biggest public dog this week, right? It's just I think the general public is just like us.

The bills have not passed any type of eye test this entire season. And it's just something that's off with Lamar. There's questions for me with Lamar and he did use his legs more last week, but I really felt like that was a Joe Burrow gave them that game away. Like they were in that game in every way their defense was getting stops and he just totally messed up in multiple positions.

He kept getting in Lamar short fields and eventually that run game took over. The Patriots variable, they've been stout against the run. So I guess the Patriots are due for a really bad letdown game this season. They haven't had it since what, week one against the Raiders. Like it's just...

They did have a letdown in the second half against the bills. I mean, they completely... That's who they are, though, right? You gave their stats, Chad. I mean, that's who they are. They're a team that dominates first half and totally get outplayed technically,

what? I think three or their... Three or their four close losses this year have come and they just have not played well at all in the second half and got outpaced. So, you know, it's what we talked about, a limit on Thursday, though. I think the pros are looking at this.

It's been there, done that, proven team. I gave you that style Lamar. I never lost. You're 60 and 0 in these two weeks, week 15 and 16. It's crazy. Like that really is one of the more impressive stats you can give a guy for being that dominant in the month of December. So, you know, we'll go back to the well, our variable well.

I know it's the biggest public dog this week, but I think the public's right on the street. Like this, the Ravens could win this game, but to me, by more than a field goal, they're going to need so many things to bounce their way and so many things go wrong for this team. So we know New England has a ton of injuries, but Drake May playing from behind in that run game, I think they're always going to be in this game. So we'll take that hook with a plus three and a half. Let's do a quick word from Hard Rock and then we're going to finalize where we're at. Want to know where I bet on sports during the holiday season.

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cheer plus hard rock bet fills your your stockings with new promos daily. So whenever you're listening, just open the app and check out what you've got any day of the week. Download the Hard Rock Bet app and make your first deposit today. Payable and bonus bets, not a cash offer offered by the Seminole Tribe of Florida in Florida. Offered by Seminole Hard Rock Digital LLC in all other states must be 21 or over and physically present in Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Indiana. Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, and Virginia to play. and conditions apply.

Concerned about gambling in Florida, call 1-833-playwise in Indiana. If you or someone you know is a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-9 with it. Gambling problem, call 1-800 gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, new? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember.

I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Oh, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band. Before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas.

And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Hey, I'm Jared Adano. You might know me as that loud guy who yells out,

help on the internet. Help! Somebody! Please! But there's so much more to me than that. I'm an actor. I'm a comedian. And recently, I've become quite the helper myself. And on my new podcast, Hope from a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with my sage advice and thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian.

I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to man. If I'm calling you, even if you're on your phone, let it ring twice, One ring is too scary. Oh, cream of chicken suit. Hey, cream. Cream a chicken suit.

This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to Help from Hypocrite as part of the My Cultura Podcast Network available on the IHartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. The story I've told myself about love or relationships can then shape my behavior, and that can lead me to sabotage the possible. of connection. This mental health awareness month, tune into the podcast deeply well with Debbie Brown and explore the journey of healing, self-discovery, and returning to yourself. We explore higher consciousness, emotional well-being, and the practices that help you find clarity, peace, and self-mastery in a world that can feel overwhelming. The world is becoming lonelier. We're not becoming more social and connected. We're becoming more individualized. But

We actually meet people in connection. If you've been searching for a soft place to land while doing the work to become whole, this podcast is for you to hear more. Listen to deeply well with Debbie Brown from the Black Effect Podcast Network on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.

Hey, I'm Deanna Maria Riva, actress, mother, lover, and a Gen X woman walking through life one hot flash and hormonal crying jag at a time. You ladies know what I mean. I'll bet you a pyramid of podcast. Pazil chin here you do. So let's talk about it. Join me on my new podcast. How hard can it be with the Adameneira Riva, where I call on my Gen X squads from Ohio to Hollywood as we navigate Midlife's most fantastic BS. All of a sudden, I'd had hanginess happening on my own. I was like,

what the hell is that? I was married when I had her, so I didn't even consider how empty that Ness was going to be. Mood swings, night sweats, fupas, sex drive. Wait, what sex? Dating at 45. How hard can it be getting naked at 50 with the new guy? That one's kind of hard. Well, that's lighting. They say we can't polish a turd, but we're sure going to try. So let's get blunt with laughs, tears, or tears of laughter, and dive into it unfiltered and unbothered and ask,

How Hard Can It Be? I cannot believe I'm about to say this out loud in public. Listen to How Hard Can It Be with Diana Maria Riva as part of my Cultura podcast network available on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Will Ferrell's Big Money Players and IHeart Podcast presents soccer moms. So I'm Leanne. This is my best friend Janet.

And we have been joined at the hips since high school. Absolutely. Now a redacted amount of years later, we're still joined at the hip. Just a little bit bigger hips, wider. This is a podcast we're recording it as we tailgate our youth soccer games in the back of my Honda Odyssey. With all the snacks and drinks. Sidebar. Why did you get hard seltzer instead of beer?

Oh, they had a bogo. Well, then you got it. Do you want a white collar or something? Here, just a second. Oh, what are y'all doing? Microphones? Are you making a rap album? Oh, I would.

Come on. I would buy it. Cuts through the defense like a hot knife through sponge cake. That sounds delicious. Oh, you're lucky. I'm not a drug addict. You're lucky I'm not an alcoholic. You are.

You're lucky I'm not a killer. I love this team, and I'm really trying to be a figure in their lives that they can rely on. Oh. Oh. Listen to soccer moms on the. IHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. All right. So the one game we've loved all week, Simon says it was the New York Giants plus three against the Minnesota Vikings.

And it's not in our contest play right now because in the contest, it's been two and a half. Do we want to take anything out? Are we moving away from the Patriots? Is that making us nervous? Is there a Jacksonville play that would want us? make us want to take out, is there a, do we want to take out Jacksonville and put in the Giants? We're not getting as good of a number, but are we nervous about any of these plays that makes us want to put the Giants in?

No, it's really, it's really about the number. If it was three and a half, honestly, I could be talked into it because then we're really in business there, just like a couple of these other games where it's like, you know, looking back, yeah, should we probably have switched to England out, but I was never going to get there. Like, they got me with the hook. It's just too good to be true. or so this one's so much more that this is, but I talked on Tuesday,

I knew this was going to be a pro spot, right? The pros are going to come in on this. It's a unique team in Minnesota that, you know, they're not an outdoor team. They're not great in the elements. It's not that bad, honestly, here in Jersey. It's not really like it's freezing cold. No, it's fine.

No. It's fine. It honestly is. That's not something you really hang your hat on, but it is a unique spot in the fact that it is JJ out in the elements in a game that he's going to need to be passing in the swirling winds of that field. and we've seen that this this giant's team identity is using their legs, right?

Either darts legs or the running backs. They don't really want to be passing the ball too much downfield. They've been that way ever since they lost the number one receiver. So it's a game I do like Chad. There is one game we've not talked about that I do love. And, you know, this Giants game, I have thrown the blender of a bunch of games that I was hoping you'd come in on. Like I was hoping you'd come in and be like, well, Tennessee, three and a half, we have to take it.

That's gone. It's two and a half everywhere. I thought maybe you'd be on Dallas. but now that Dallas has nothing to play for, I can see you're probably not too excited to be betting big money on a Dallas team that no one really knows how they're going to play that game. So there's a lot of games we did like that are kind of fallen by the wayside here. But the game we have not talked much about that I think is probably the sharpest line this week.

It's got to be that Colts 49ers game. Colts 5 and a half. I know it's throwing a little wrench in the Mad Metro Pry didn't see it coming, but this is the definition of a rally in the spot. of this Colts team, the flip side, the Niners, how do we not want to fade them? This is a team that hasn't played a legit team in a month. I mean, people probably forget.

The last thing they played that was legit was L.A. They lost 42 to 26. This is not, Colts' office is not going to anywhere close to L.A.'s offense, but they can run the ball. So they're basically coming off a four-win streak of Arizona, Carolina, which that Carolina game was very fluky, in my opinion. That Cleveland game, which we always said, that was a very special teams game.

And then they beat Tennessee. Like this is, to me, the peak of this Niners team. Like, I think they're going to lose this game. I think the Bears are going to beat them. Wow. I know. I think it's all about the fall apart for this Niners team. And it really comes back to I've talked about these injuries to this defense.

I have no doubt about the Niners' offense. The defense, I think they're dead last in sack and pressures this season. Like, they can get away with it against these bad teams. But against good teams, the Colts to me are still a good team. They've just had some really bad luck, obviously, with all these injuries. And I know sauce is going to play either. a big deal. But I think the Colts, they have this scheme to keep this game close and kind of keep the Niners off field, never letting that offense get into rhythm. And it's, it really comes back to

that Jonathan Taylor scheme. So, you know, it's a, there's a bunch of stupid stats if you want to dive, we don't have to dive too much into it, but this Colts team, they've actually owned this Niners team throughout the years. If you go back all the way to, what is that, 2013, they've won four straight against the Niners. Doesn't matter who their Niners coaches have been, who the scheme has been. They've always kind of dominated this matchup. And if you go back and look, I think the last night I played was 21. I love the way Shane Stike and his scheme is against this type of solid defense. And you go back and watch, again, that wasn't that dominant of a team in 21. It really is about the run game. And there's just, there's something this Colts team can do that gives solid's

defense's problem. So I know it's a tough sell. I don't know if I'm going to get us in there because we could have had six and a half earlier in the week, but I want people to know, don't let this five and a half scare you off. It could get the six, but I think their pros will keep. keep in this one. This feels like a really bad spot in a match with the signers team. So if we take something out, because we've entered the contest, I put my picks in, our picks in on Tuesday because I want to get the best of the lines on some numbers, and that included six and a half on Detroit. So if we're going to go back in and put this in for say New England, then we're going to have to go to seven and a half in Detroit. Is it worth it? Do we like

three and a half for New England better than five and a half for Indy with Philip Rivers. Like I said, Chad, I can't get talked out of the New England one because it just, I think it's such a good number and it's such a good variable spot. But I'm hoping you're the clear mind here. And you'd be like, no, Newland's got injuries. We got to switch them out. The Colts are this of the spot. But, you know, we got the six and a half too on the lines. It's just, I can't get there. I feel like we should just leave it as is. Yeah, I don't want to put the Colts in and Philip Rivers because maybe everything you're saying is right. And it probably is you may have turned me around.

Maybe I'll bet the Colts on Monday night. Not a man, you got to do it. But I love Vrable. Like, in the same way, I'm betting on Ben Johnson. I'm betting on Mike Vrable, especially betting on Mike Vrable after a collapse, like last week. They know what their issues have been. They're smart enough to figure them out in the second half.

They've seen it all season. Now they've got tangible evidence. they didn't get to sneak by against a bad team. Like, this is something they got to fix. I think they're going to do it. So let's leave the Patriots in there. All right, let's do it. All right.

So then our final five is going to be Tampa Bay at Carolina. We're going with Carolina plus three and a half. Buffalo at Cleveland. We're going with Buffalo minus 10.5. Jacksonville at Denver. We're going with Jacksonville, three and a half. Pittsburgh at Detroit. We're going with Detroit.

It's seven and a half. now, but we got it at six and a half in the contest. New England plus three and a half in the contest at Baltimore. That is it. Our last one's out. It feels like our last one's out are going to be really Minnesota at the New York Giants plus two and a half. We also had a couple conversations about Arizona, but it's a two and a half in the contest. The Raiders at 14 and a half. We didn't get to it. We're going to be watching it. At least I am because I did bet the Raiders 14 and a half at Houston. Okay. This has been Sharper Square, part of the volume podcast network. We're going to be back on Sharper Square YouTube tonight after the late afternoon games. Tune in live. We'll answer

your questions. We'll review all the misery and heartache of the day. Watch or listen on YouTube at Sharper Square. Like the video. Subscribe to the channel. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods, wherever you get your pods. Rate review, subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is the gift. Until next time, love you. Hey, baby. Hey, baby. We're going to be here all day. We're going to be here all day, baby. I like this kind of party. I like this kind of party, baby. Hey, guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas. We invented a podcast. Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to a first people to do podcasts.

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