The Herd with Colin Cowherd - The Favorites - Best Bets NFL Week 14

Episode Date: December 9, 2022

Are the Chargers the side to back this week? Is Detroit really the better side vs Minnesota? Together Action Network hosts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter debate their final picks for the NFL Week 14 slate, and narrow down their potential contest selections. We get their Big Balls Bet of the Week, an underdog moneyline round robin parlay, and plenty more. #Volume #ColinCowherd #HerdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter.

Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. It's the favorites podcast presented by Fanduel. It might be cold, but the sports calendar is heating up and there's no better place to get in on the action than Fanduel. I love betting with Fandul because their app is safe, secure, and easy to use. And when I win, I get paid fast. And Fanduel is now live in Maryland. So use promo code favorites and download the Fanduel app today to make every moment more this football season.

Must be 21 or older. And in select states, call 1-800 gambler. or visit fanduel.com slash RG in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia. 1-800 next step or text next step to 533342 in Arizona. 1-888-789-7777. Or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut. 1-8009 with it in Indiana. Visit KSgamblinghelp.com in Kansas.

Call 1-877-750-70 stop in Louisiana. 1-8778, Hope and Y, or text, Hope, NY, 467, 369 in New York. Tennessee Redline is 1-800-889-9-9-7-8-9. Call 1-800-2-2-470 in Wyoming or visit www. www.1-800 gambler.net in West Virginia. Welcome to the favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Millman, Chief Content, Officer of the Action Network. I am joined as I am for every episode by my co-host, my companion, my compadre, my BFF,

professional better, Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon. How you doing from New York, brother? Brother, listen, we did this on Tuesday. We recorded the podcast from our, I'd say, 70% complete studio in our new office in New York City. Doing it again today, for those who are going to see some of the videos, today I'm in front of the big screen and we got our favorites logo up behind me, which is super exciting.

The good news is I can sit here right now. I can do a podcast. The sound is great. Pretty soon we'll have real lights up and we'll be doing live shows from here, live podcast or podcast from here. You'll be here. It'll be amazing. We can't.

I don't know about that last part, but we'll say. What's in a while? You and I together will arrange because you're two hours away. Yeah, I do. I hate New York, though. You know I hate New York. I don't like coming to New York. You like New York.

Dude, I lived in New York. You love fine dining. You love the posh life. I will tell you. Not for nothing. Last night, I did go to a ramen place that is so cool, doesn't have a sign on the door. There was a link starting at 5 o'clock. I don't even know what it's called.

I don't even know how, I wouldn't know how to get there. You got to know somebody to go there, huh? Like someone had to lead me there. They had the guidance to get in there. But I went to bed early, we got up and did the row or in the hotel because you know what? I'm dedicated to the lifestyle.

Well, while you were gallivanting around New York City, you know, I was getting to chat, a lot of questions from the fans of the show. More questions than usual. I feel like I shouldn't have admitted that I do check my DMs every now then because now I've opened the flood gates a little bit. Luckily, he wasn't crazy Miami fans this week, though. Seems like they kind of ate their soup last weekend. They're a little quiet now,

but I think a lot of these questions, me, Chad, maybe we'll talk, we'll talk about the off season. I'll just stay off the top. I'm not here to tell you who to follow and who to bet. To me, Action Network has a bunch of other football shows. I'll recommend them to you because I work for this company. I do think they have good talent on them. But in my can go out of my way and bash other people and other shows, I won't, but I'll post stuff every now and then I just find funny. And I try to stay away from Twitter because it's just not it's not a good place because I disagree with a lot of what people say. And that's just, that's kind of how I view a lot of life. I've always been that way. I'm kind of a, I know I'm a

little different, but I'm definitely one of those people that I always view things, view things differently than other people. So Twitter's not the best place for me because it's kind of a place where everyone wants to agree together. So I would say, yeah, if you're asking me what people to follow Sunday Sixpack, it's a show that the action ever puts out, Stucky and Chris, it's a good show. They're giving you good info. Are they going to win every week? No, they're not frauds.

They're going to give you real bets every week. So people are asking me all these questions like, is this guy fraud, is this guy a fraud? You guys know my view. I told you 99% of these people giving out picks do not do this professionally. And what I mean by that is, do you make your living, that is, do you make your living that because that's different than being in media giving out picks where in media is that's how they're making their money, not making their money by their bet. So that would be something to look out for. But am I going to bash people?

No, I just would be wary of these Twitter people, especially people selling picks on Twitter. It's just it's a risky world. So I got a lot of questions about that. And I just try to point people to action. We're giving out free info every week. Hell, I'm giving out a written article every week that's free. Dude, it's like 30 and 12. Like, it's just been winning crazy.

And that's not on purpose. I'm just giving out good info every week, but that's what I mean. There's free stuff out there. So to me, all your questions about who to follow, what people to bet, as long as it's free, I don't care, do whatever you want. But the minute someone starts charging you online and they're not hitting above a 55% clip, that's my biggest issue. So just be weary on Twitter of these people selling picks.

That's my biggest advice to people. I'm really glad you're saying that. We didn't script that at all. No, I just got a lot of questions. I don't remember what I even said on Tuesday, but. I don't know what you said either. I just speak sometimes. I can't remember anything after last night.

You're referencing Chris Raybone and Stuckey on the Action Network podcast, and they will do the Sunday, which is sort of the anchor of that show, Mitchell produces it. It's a brilliant show. It's one of my favorites, religious listening for me. I highly recommend it.

I reference it often on this show because it's that good. And it's free. And it's free. That's the key. We're not asking you to pay for this stuff, folks. Yeah. We believe in the product we're putting out. We believe in the value of the information.

We believe in giving you the advantage. We believe in the data and the research we have at Action Network. And the rigor that everybody on our team puts into making the decisions they make. They're not just sitting down at a computer saying, hey, who do I like tonight that I can sort of say, all right, it's going to get a little bit of action from people watching me on social media. All right, listen. reminder.

Foxhole, Broncos plus nine and a half. Simon says Giants plus seven. Chad went with the Lions minus two and a half in the exact decision. We owe people a big balls. We owe people scooch roulette. Before we get to any of that, let's get to Sharp call. Hello, who's there? I'm talking.

Ring, ring, telephone ring. Somebody said, baby, what you doing? Yeah, and a week. of sharp calls of just a lot of disagreements. It feels like a lot of guys on different sides. There's a handful of games that we'll talk about right now that a lot of guys were aligned on. I was just shocked at all the split decisions. And that's kind of how it goes. And there's a bunch of teams on by weeks and you're getting so late in the season that people really get staunch on their decisions and their positions are playing. So the guys last week

who hit on the Vikings, they liked the Vikings again this week. And they've been taking the two and a half. And when it touched three, just for a little bit, a lot of books, they grabbed it right away. So that's one of the more split games this week where I felt really good about the lines. We talked about that already. A little bit of a pause. Still, I just will break it down. That's one of those games that where it's like, I see where the split decisions are coming from because this is an interesting match between two teams that match. We'll get deeper into it. Yeah. So that was one. But for the three that we all read upon, really smart group I know, came in heavy on the Broncos, no shocker.

To me, that's a game. We'll dive into more, but that just made sense. As soon as that number came out, the look at it might have been plus four. The fact that it shot all up to nine, nine and a half, just I just knew that the pros would be on it. We already talked about the public is going to hammer the chiefs. This is going to be the most seven point teased game of the week. So no surprise there.

There's a very specific trend developing that I never have. actually thought of before that is coming to light this week that I do want us to get into when we talk about the Broncos, and I bet we'll talk about this other game too, but I'm sorry, I cut you off. One that's probably going to be in our big balls bet, the Chargers, a little foreshadowing. The pros love that game. That's a game they're going to hammer all week. A little disappointed a split game this week, the Giants Eagles. I thought they'd be all over that Giants number. I felt like that was a great number. That's a split game. I know a really smart group that came in heavy on the Eagles as soon as they touched six and a half.

Well, it's still sitting there at a bunch of different books. It's six and a half. So interesting, interesting number this week, that Eagle is Giants game. And then the consensus last one for a game the pros love that Chad was actually the other side of, or I don't even remember if you even picked the side on it, but Arizona, really smart group came in heavy on Arizona. I don't know if I can do it. I really don't.

It's like, it's just that Kingsbury effect of him in December, him at home, all the bad juju with Kyler, but I get exactly what these guys are talking about. The struggles of the Patriots versus running quarterbacks and the fact that they are healthy. Marquez Brown is about is playing. I mean, Hopkins, since he's come back, he's been incredible for that. So the fact that Kyler has both his receivers are coming off a buy. You expect Connors to be back, the running back. I get it.

I get the love for Arizona. I just, if me and Chad are going to make our five picks this week and play our five, I just, even if Chad was all in on Arizona, I just don't know if I could be talking to it, even though I do know a really smart group is that on it. I'll tell you what, we generally like to avoid Monday night games just because of the weight is. Yeah, right. Unless we feel like we got it.

Unless it's, you know, unless it's the Niners against the dolphins like last week or the Cowboys against the Vikings a few weeks ago, I don't think we're going final five on that. Yeah. We loved the Cardinals for the same reasons you just talked about against the United States. the Chargers a couple weeks ago. And the Chargers won that game on a two-point conversion at the very end. Right. But we were all over the Cardinals as underdogs because Hollywood Brown is back.

Because DeAndre Hopkins is playing so well. Because they were finally fully loaded offensively, mine as Eckert. So I don't mind the Cardinals in that spot. I do totally get it. I definitely want to talk about the Lions for a second. Let's talk about the Broncos and the Chiefs. because they love that number. Yeah, hit me with the trend you heard.

Yeah. So what's funny is like you do these shows on AMP and people are listening now. We know that we have an audience that likes betting. We know that when you listen on AMP, you like betting even more. So what was interesting was that game when we started talking about it on Tuesday

was at nine and a half. Before I was done talking about it, it was at nine. Now it's been, been bet bad up, back up. Yeah. Of course, I got... That could be part of the sudden injury, right?

I think Sutton got put out. So a couple, yeah, that could be part of it. Could be. But of course, I got nervous on Tuesday. As soon as I saw it at 9, I hit it at 9. Now it's a 9 and 1 half. So I'm kidding a book, which sucks. I think the same is true of the Giants and the Broncos.

They're playing teams that have been so dominant this year that you get to the end the year and the flaws are pasted over a little bit. And so you know the inflation is going to be so high from the books that you almost automatically have to bet the other side because the books are expecting the public to come in. And I think with the Broncos specifically, we talked about this, Patrick Mahomes is so dominant at the end of the year. The numbers get so big, they become impossible to cover. And that's what's happened to him. Like he's under 500 against a spread, you know, so in this spot.

And so I still love the Broncos. Yeah, and this is a game, sadly, I've been losing sleepover. I just like, I woke up when I swept the other night about it. I almost had a really weird intentionary, but I literally woke up and just was just like, why am I bet in the Broncos? And it's the same thing I had last week, but it's the right spot to take it. So the game doesn't really scare me as much as that the fear is going to be, will the Broncos be able to move the ball?

And I believe they will. I think the Chiefs, they can still be run on. And that's what the Broncos is able to do. Yeah. Am I worried that sudden's out? That's kind of a big deal. But at the same time, he hasn't really done that much this year. How much can they get?

Right. So to me, Jerry Judy, he's been the weapon. So felt confidence that the fact that the pros were on. I knew they'd be on it, though. It's a divisional home dog, bigger than a seven. Yeah, I'm with you, Chad. They're not as bad as they've looked. But Russell Wilson actually might be.

He really might be this bad. So this is one of these bets where I'm kind of betting mainly on the defense and trusting this offense. We'll be able to start moving the ball against a Chief defense. It's just young. They just had young pieces in the secondary. We've seen teams when I run the ball in them of late. So one of those games where if Russ had just shown me anything the last couple weeks,

this would be one of my bigger bets, but it won't be just because of that. So for this week, if me and Chad play five, this would be one of the five. No doubt, no-brainer, automatically locked in kind of game just because I have to play this spot every time and have to take this number every time. And I feel like Chad, he touched on a little bit, but the Mahomes against the numbered thing is real. If he's under a three, I get the math. Like we went against the last week, taking the bangles. But historically, that's when you want to back Mahomes.

So these big numbers, Pat just doesn't cover. Like they're just playing these close sluggish games. And that you expect in a divisional game. So I don't want to hear shit from you, people. We get burned on this one. You just have to do it. You have to make this bet. This is what it's like, betting on it's professional.

We're not going to win every bet. But over time, like this number is, you will win. You will profit. So this is one of those 60% opportunities, 55% opportunities where you just play the number. Don't even think about it. Don't even watch this game if you can't handle it because I'm not, because I can't handle Russell Wilson anymore.

But just trust the number. Here's what I would say. we were super smart. I didn't lose a wink of sleep or we're betting the Rams last week or betting the Broncos last week. And what we didn't... Do you know why that is, Chad?

Because I lose sleep over other things because I'm running a goddamn operation here. Put six figures on Broncos and then see if you sleep well. Let me know how that goes for you. All right. Well, maybe I'll do that this week. Yeah, it won't.

You won't because you won't be able to sleep. It's a horrible feeling. It's a horrible feeling. You got to be wired a weird way to be okay with it. But whether it's $6 or $6.5, we didn't put it up. That's fair. We separated.

We separated. You know, you were really smart last week. I'd give you credit. You came after me and said, as the season goes on, you got to change your thinking on these teams. And we use that to say, yeah, we're going to bet the Rams. We're going to bet the Broncos because of the number in the city. situation they're in. Right.

We're not betting the Texans, even though it's a similar situation, or not bet in the Colts, right? We made the choice on the two big dogs we were going to bet. So we did the Broncos. We're going to do it again this week. The Giants, I still think you made the best point on Tuesday. Jalen Hurst just isn't the same quarterback on the road. And then, you know, talking about Action Network Pod and Stucky and Raybon,

Stucky had a really good point this morning. Since 2020, the Eagles on the road are the worst team in the NFL against the spread. And that's when Jalen Hertz became a starter. in the year. So this is a team you look back at their schedule. Their only good win on the road is against the Lions in week one. Barely beat the Colts, Cowboys Cooper Rush, Carson Wentz led Washington. They beat the Texans, but they beat him by double digits, but it was a late double digit sort of front door cover. Yeah, they didn't cover. Was it for it? That's right. The Texans covered. That's right. That's right. So just not a very good team on the road. Yeah. And that was,

see the part of it and the other part of it was just the fact that we talked about. That's lines inflated because they just beat the crap out Tennessee. Like four and a half five just made sense for this divisional matchup. Yes, the Eagles are superior team. But in divisional games like this, especially in December, teams really just know exactly what each other want to do. And that's going to be what the Giants are going to be so well preparing for this game. It's like they've played against a scheme now with Siriani for two years now or three years.

So they or I guess two years. but they just know exactly what the scheme is going to do. So looking at the game, I love it at seven. The six and a half does definitely give you pause because that's moving to another key number. I'd still take it. But you have sevens out there. So just make sure you grab that. We talked about it.

That's why I gave it this time and says I just thought the pros that eventually bet it. I was just shocked to hear that the pros didn't love it as much as I did. Again, they love that Broncos way more. They love the Chargers game way more. I love those games too. I just thought this was a really good number, just an inflated number and a matchup of I get it. The Giants, they have struggled down here. Teams have kind of figured out what they do. But Daniel Jones is still able to produce. Like, he's still able to make those runs on third down.

Like, they've kind of figured out what works for them and he makes it work. Same goes with the Barclay stuff. So I get why people are like, well, if it drops down to six, would you flip to the Eagles? I really wouldn't because I do make this number four and a half. So that's one of those. Even if it drops down to six, I'll still be on it. I just want you to get the good value right now with seven. All right. The Lions, I'm not sure why anyone's back in the Vikings right now. It just, the Lions are a better team. They just are.

Yeah. Look at the numbers. They're just a better team. They're a better team getting less than a field goal at home. My first pause was I just, this is why I try to stay away from social media. But a little piece of me would die every time when someone tweet, Did you see the lions who are 5 and 7 or minus 2 against the 10 and 1 or 11 and 1 Vikings, whatever the record is, the Vikings?

And I get where these people are coming from, outsiders that are looking at the sports betting landscape. But that's always bad when people are talking about these things. And then it's getting hyped up even more. And now the public's like, well, obviously, because Detroit's a better team right now, like what you were just saying. And that's my fear is that the Vikings have not been playing well and they've been winning. they're going to start playing well. Eventually they will start clicking.

They will start putting good games together. They sure as hell stole that game last week. I think we all can agree on that one. And the New England on the week before that, felt like they stole it. So I'm still with you. I think Detroit's the better team. We have the indoor factor,

which is a big deal to me. You get golf indoors. He's a totally different player. Swift is getting healthier. I'm on St. Brown. It's crazy to say he's playing at the same level as Jefferson. If you need a guy to get open, like Jefferson can get open. I'm on St. Brown.

It has the footwork and the speed to get open. So I love this matchup so much. And I'm just, I'm not going to budge. I might be a little stubborn here, taking the line still because I know a really smart group that came in on the Vikings. But I feel like you, Chad. I feel like the Vikings are just way, way too lucky and been very fortunate a lot these last couple weeks.

So it could get caught and they could put up a great game against a Detroit Day. It's probably coming off their best game with the season. I mean, they flat out dominated the Jaguars last week. defensively and offensively, but I have to do it. I just, it just feels like this offense, fully healthy Detroit is what we envisioned in August. They have a good offensive line. They have really good weapons on the school positions. They can move the ball.

The Vikings can't stop anyone. The Jets punt in the ball one time last week. So we might be walking into a chat, but I can't avoid it. Like something might change by Sunday, but I can tell you right now. I've already bet this number. I'm locked in on Detroit. I will say that one thing that worries me, this line would, at one and a half on Tuesday morning.

It was at two and a half and Tuesday afternoon. It's back down to one and a half. So clearly, whatever group you're talking about is moving this number back in the direction of the Vikings. And if it makes you feel better, they didn't even take the number. They just took the money line. Because if you've looked at historically,

Minnesota this year, they don't cover close games. They win close games. So they're one of these teams that if they're going to lose, they're going to get blown out. like the eagle to blew them out, Dallas blew them out. That's the kind of team they'd been this year. So it was interesting. They didn't even take the two and a half.

They just took the money line. There are, let's talk about the Chargers for a second. And then there's two teams in similar point spread ranges that have similar sort of personalities, right? But let's talk about the Chargers plus three and a half. And that's a big pros Joe's game with all the money on the Dolphins. What are people saying about the Chargers? Why?

It's going to be my big ball is better the week if you're with it, brother. Big balls, better the week. I mean, Chargers are just left for dead right now, but it pretty much feels like everyone. They're just a team that they weren't what people expected they would be coming into the year. Herbert, which what I thought coming here, he was just an inconsistent quarterback.

He's still that inconsistent quarterback, but now I'm starting to think more along the lines of it. It's just bad coaching because I see it time and time again every week. He keeps being put in these bad positions where if it's third and five, they draw up a play as if it's third and 12th, and it doesn't work. And then when it's third and 12, they draw up a play that it's like third and 20, and it does work. It's just a very bizarre ran offense.

I look at this game on the sense that Miami is just clearly overrated. We saw that they're overrated, that they've prospered playing bad teams. And it feels like the same exact thing when we took the bears against this team, Miami, a bunch of weeks ago, where we knew the bears were going to put up points. We knew fields were going to move the ball against Miami defense. I had that same feeling here with the Chargers. I just have no doubt the Chargers were able to move the ball against this Miami defense. And for the offensive side, yes, I know the charges have struggled against the run,

but I can see them be able to get pressure against two in this game. And you factor in Waddle might miss this game as well as their Armstead at the tackle position. Two major injuries. Those are two Pro Bowl players for this Miami team, two guys that are the reason they have their record they do now. So, man, if both those guys are out, this would be a no-brainer play. but already love it. If you're getting the three and a half, you just have to grab it.

It's a big home dog. Number should be closer at two or one. It's just going to be inflated just because the chargers have disappointed people so much this year. People expect to him about Miami to bounce back. This kind of feels like not for their season, but it does. I think it's for the Chargers season.

Chargers know they can't drop this game. I believe they're 500 right now. They need this game to stay in that wild card contention. So both teams equally as desperate. Give me the bigger dog at three and a half. Reminder for people, just because I love using it. I'm in a legal state.

I went into the Action Network app. I picked the Chargers plus three and a half. Quick slipped it directly to Fandual, opened up a bet slip for me. I put my bet in. I tap, done. It took me 15 seconds. Didn't have to decide what game I wanted to bet.

Open up Fandual. Go to the NFL tab. Scroll for the game. Eliminated four steps by using QuickSlipp through Action Network. Love it. right now the Jags are plus four against the Titans the Panthers are four and a half against the Seahawks. Two teams similar sort of not good middle of the road, low expectations, bad losses as those four point underdogs on the road. wise guys are on both the Jags and the Panthers.

What do we think of those games right now? Yeah, the Jaguars, I don't really understand whether they're hitting that number. I know a really, really smart group that took that number in the sense that they think will be a close game. So how the hell do you bet that without knowing what the hell is going on Trevor Lawrence?

No one knows what's going on Trevor Lawrence. I know you guys don't. So weird bet. Maybe they're just taking a position and they'll buy out if it's a bad number. But I feel like that's when you take Tennessee and then you buy out if he does play, whatever it is, because you could have got three and a half

and we gave it out on Tuesday. Now it's four. Still don't hate grabbing it just in case he is out because I could see a big movement. I mean, as much shit as people want to give Trevor Lawrence, he's been actually playing really well this year. So to me, I look at that game where, yeah, I wish I could be on the Jaguars,

but it's just there's too many things pointing me towards this Titans team. And the next one with Caroline, I know you were probably going to love Carolina too. and I want to back it. My fear is a Sam Darnold on the road against his 12th man. He's just, he's a different quarterback when the lights get bright and the pressure is on him. I know she'd take him at home at 1 o'clock in Carolina when it's all good and easy, but this is a tough spot to play. Seahawks, they've struggled down the road here.

I mean, Rams, they almost stole that game last week. And we just talked about the Rams a little bit ago, Chad. They are banged up and terrible. That is they fear right now that the Seahawks, they've kind of turned into the team. We all thought they were going to be coming in the year, right? They were going to be one of the worst teams on football. What's held them up is Gino. Gino Smith, he's playing it at a top five quarterback level all season.

I mean, you go through all the numbers. He's leading NFL in a lot of categories. So, yeah, just looking at it, it's a game where I'm just going to keep trust in Gino back in the Seahawks. But not when I throw into our contest. It's just there's too many smart guys I know in Carolina. It's a little split. No real feel for this one, but I just like the Seahawks defense matched up against Sam Darnold. Well, I'll tell you right now, this is one of the biggest pro-Joe discrepancies we have.

Looking at the splits, 91% of the money right now on Carolina, 54% of the bets on Seattle. I'll tell you this much, it's not all pro because it's number one from three and a half to four and a half of a lot of books. There's clearly a smart group out there hitting the Seahawks team. Yeah, no, that's right. And it was a big move going from three and a half to four. And that's what like Kenneth, Kenneth Walker might be out. Like they might be down both running backs. That's why I don't get why.

I mean, I guess people are taking the same position you are. It's the same darn old thing, I think. Yeah. I don't feel like, like, look, if we're putting five in, we said on Tuesday we might be doing the buy. And then we said at the end, I don't know. You never know. I kind of love some of these games. Like, I feel great about the Giants.

I feel great about the Lions. I feel great about the Broncos. I feel great about the Chargers. One more game I want to talk about. Browns are now plus six and a half. So the number's going up since we declared our love for the Browns against the candles. Yeah, we're going to lose money.

It's another game we have to take the Browns. I mean, we don't have a choice that's just a big inflated number in a divisional game. I just, the factor I hate is the watch. Watson factor. He looked so horrible last week. He looked so rusty. I mean, his underthrows, you just, man, he looked like a guy that didn't play football in two years. So, yeah. So that's, that's a thing. It's like, I don't know if I let Chad talk me to taking them on Sunday just because of that whole Watson factor where, like, I know that I know the Browns are the right play here. This is a great number in a divisional game. They are not that much worse than this, this Cincinnati team is.

this line's inflated just because Cincinnati right now is a darling NFL. I mean, Joe Burrow, he's what, top three now on MVP votes? He's just the hype is hitting that point. So just looking at this matchup, it's like, yeah, you have to take the Browns. But my issue is Watson. I just, I do not know what I get from. And he sure as hell is not getting two defensive touchdowns in a kick return this week against the Cincinnati's defense. I mean, they're good.

So, yeah, don't really know what to do it, Chad. But I already bet the six. I'm going to have to bet the six and a half now that's hit. six and a half, but it's hard to convince myself to put this as one over five. But I would just because it's a shorter week and it's like we don't have that many options. Right. That's what makes it tricky. I don't know that we'll find, you know, an hour comes down to the Arizona Cardinals.

That's what I mean. That's like tough. Yeah. It's like I hate them both for so many reasons. We might only find the four games. And if so, we're taking a buy. That's how we live. We got to make smart decisions, keep money in our pockets.

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in West Virginia. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds.

I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. All right. Well, you won Scoot Roulette last week, and I did not. So why don't you make your choice? When all hope is lost, all this left is relief. Let's play Scooch Roulette. All right. I got two I love. Because it's three and a half I got to do. Give me the chargers, three and a half. Oh, my God. Wow.

I just hate them going to get to Miami two weeks in a row. for scooch i'm going to i can't believe i'm saying this do it this is how much i love this game do you know what i'm going to do i don't broncos plus nine and a half there you go yeah you got to do it that was that was that was a two i was in between you know why they're both the most inflated lines they're the most inflated lines and you know what even if i don't have six figures literally on the I want to lose sleep with you on this game. So you and I will both be losing sleep on Saturday night thinking about the risk and the opportunity to lose more than just money.

Luce Fiske's in Scute-Fruillette on the Broncos. Who's our money line around Robin? Let me see. Let me see. Hold on. My Homes, he won't cover that game, but he's not losing it. He just doesn't lose back-to-back game, especially when he's on the road for the second one. I mean, we got to do the Chargers.

No-brainer. Browns. He's never beat the Browns, so he's got to throw the Browns. Chargers, Browns. Giants. Got to go Giants. Giants. Vikings?

Yeah, did you? I didn't want to put that juju out there just because we're all in on the lines. But you know what? Why not emotionally hedge a little bit? No, we can't do it. Matt Mitchell will get mad. out of us. Let's go Ravens. Oh, yeah, we forgot about the Ravens.

Yeah. Well, honestly, that was one of those. We're on the wrong side, apparently. The pros love Pittsburgh. We love the Ravens, so it's just like, fuck it. I don't want to mess with that game. But I'll take the money line. I love that. All right, last one. Let's make it the Monday nighter. Yeah, the Cardinals.

No, wait. How good you feel about your Panthers? Nah, fuck. You want to go Arizona? I'm just looking at a good number for the Panthers, but, yeah, you want to just go Arizona? I like the number for the Panthers. But I would not bet on Sam Darnold to win outright. Yeah. All right.

Let's go Arizona then. All right. Our money line round Robin, I'll go slow. So Matt Mitchell can put it in the chat for those listening live. The chargers, the Browns, the Giants, the Ravens, the Cardinals. Final run through. Foxhole. Broncos plus nine and a half.

Simon says Giants plus seven. Exact decision. Lines minus two and a half. half. Big balls, chargers plus three and a half. Scooch roulette, chargers plus three and a half for Simon. Chad, Broncos, plus nine and a half. Simon, we've done it all, brother. We have done it all.

For producer Extraordinary Matt Mitchell, for professional better BFF, Simon Hunter. I am Chad Millman. This has been the favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. download us from Apple Podcasts from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. Please rate, review, subscribe, leave us five stars, say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Reminder, listen all the way through.

That's really important for the Apple rankings. Until next time, love you. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. Last week, my guest, S&L's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes.

Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.