The Herd with Colin Cowherd - The Favorites - Super Bowl Betting Review

Episode Date: February 16, 2022

The confetti has fallen, and the Los Angeles Rams are Super Bowl champions. But bettors of the Bengals +4 are the ultimate winners from last night's game, with Joe Burrow and Company giving it everyth...ing they had to cover the spread. Chad Millman and Simon Hunter recap all the bets they made on the big game, and reflect on what the game said about both teams now and moving forward. Plus, we get a sneak preview of Super Bowl futures bets to make for the 2022 NFL season, and so much more. Learn more about your ad-choices at https://www.iheartpodcastnetwork.comSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.
Starting point is 00:00:23 Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.
Starting point is 00:00:42 Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to Learn the Hard Way with your favorite therapist and host, Kear Games.
Starting point is 00:01:10 This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that it's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing. How many men carry a suit or armor? It signals to the world that you're not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen to learn the hard way on the AHA radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes.
Starting point is 00:01:47 Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of Tontons and Wampas on the ice planet, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, Singles, do you feel like a tourist in your own town? Too busy to enjoy all your city has to offer? Events and Adventures organizes up to 30 unique gettogethers around town each and every month. We do all the work, so you have all the fun. Get started by visiting events and adventures.com today. We just can't seem to catch a break, huh? So many runs.
Starting point is 00:02:24 fire seasons, but we made it through, and now there's another risk. All that charred soil and burnt vegetation can lead to floods and mud flow. I know, but you've got this too. And one way to get this is to get this flood insurance. There's no rest for the West, but with flood insurance, you can rest assured that you're ready for whatever else nature throws at you. Protect the life you've built at floodsmart.gov slash wildfires. At Shefit, we know the fitness industry makes a lot of empty promises.
Starting point is 00:02:57 We're done with shortcuts and quick fixes. No woman should be let down or held back, especially by her clothing. It's time to experience the only sports bra that's as strong as you are, available in the widest range of sizes, easy on and off, with 50% less bounce than the Nike Pro. It's time to feel real support from SheFit. Save $10 today at Shefit.com slash 22. The Favorites podcast is presented by Fandual Sportsbook.
Starting point is 00:03:24 There's no better place to make every moment more during the Super Bowl than with Fanduel. And new users can bet $5 to win $280 in cash on either team to win. I love Fanduel because it offers great promos for both new users and existing users like me with an app that's safe, secure, and easy to use. Plus, I love combining multiple bets from the same game to build same game parlase. So if you're new, just download the Fanduals Sportsbook. app to get started and sign up with promo code favorites so they know I sent you. He must be 21 and over in present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee,
Starting point is 00:04:00 Virginia, West Virginia, or Louisiana. New users only $10 first deposit required must wager in designated offer market max bonus $280. Bonus for Tennessee users fulfilled in psych credit within 72 hours. Tennessee site credit expires 14 days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook. gambling problem. Call 1-800 next step or text. Next step to 533442 in Arizona. 1-800 gambler or visit fanduel.com slash RG in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, and Virginia, 1-88-7-8-8-8-9-7-77 or visit c-cpg.org-slash-chat in Connecticut, 1-800-2707-1-1-7-1-1-7-1-1-1-7-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-Gabler-net for
Starting point is 00:05:02 to the favorites from the volume podcast network. I am Chad Milman, chief content officer of the action network. We're 16 hours removed from an epic, incredible, intense, glorious Rams, Bengals, Super Bowl. Rams won 2320. The final spread was four. The total was 48 and a half.
Starting point is 00:05:31 My BFF. companion, my compadre, the man I want in a foxhole, especially when it comes to betting on the NFL, professional better, Simon Hunter. Dude. Matt Mitchell, hit that music, my guy. Chad, buddy, what a way to end it. We fucking crushed. Crushed.
Starting point is 00:05:58 This is the quietest my Twitter feed's been with haters all season. I mean, it's no joke. I look back through our record, buddy. You technically only had two losing weeks because you went with Sinai. see last week. We've only had three losing weeks since the first week of November. It's February 14th. Three losing weeks out of 17 weeks, 16 weeks.
Starting point is 00:06:20 Buddy, it's been a hell of a way to close out this year. And just that amazing season. The playoffs especially had been bonkers. We've been especially, I don't want to say hot. I hate when betters talk about being on cold streaks, being on hot streaks. It feels amateurish, honestly. It just does.
Starting point is 00:06:38 Like you're being more consistent. If you're making the right decisions every single week, then it all evens out. You're never going to win 70%. You're not going to lose 70%. If you make the right decisions, you're going to win like 53 to 60% of the time. That's what's supposed to happen if you are thinking about markets, if you are thinking about underdogs, if you are thinking about systems. There's a reason why.
Starting point is 00:07:07 Some people do it consistently, right? And those last say since November, but then during the playoffs especially, holy fuck, did we just nail it? And, you know, I bet 11 props. I made 11 bets yesterday. I went 8 and 3. I lost the Stafford under 5.5 rushing yards, which could be regraded. We're going to talk about that.
Starting point is 00:07:35 For those who weren't paying attention, Stafford had seven rushing yards and on the last play of the game was a kneel down. It looked like he kneeled down two yards back, but he never handed the ball to the refs so it didn't get placed. So he's officially graded as one. Some books are beginning to talk about offering refunds on that bet or grading it as a win. So that's still out there. I lost Joe Mixon over 24 and a half receiving yards and Cooper Cup longest reception 28.5.
Starting point is 00:08:04 but thanks to you, Simon. I won T. Higgins over 70 and a half receiving yards. And I got to tell you, first play from scrimmage coming out a half time. I'm sitting with buddy, his kid. I'm sitting with my kid. And I say, perfect time for T. Higgins to go 75 in a touchdown. And he did it. The screaming that came out of my body, I almost like, I don't think I've ever shown my kid that kind of emotion.
Starting point is 00:08:34 like literally up and down jumping, yelling all of us. I'm grabbing his face. I'm telling him how much I love him. Like it was just. It was a different kind of visceral feeling. And then, of course, thanks to you and convince me. And your favorite long shot bet being Odell Beckham Jr. first touchdown anywhere from eight and a half to 10 to one.
Starting point is 00:08:58 And then, you know, we both had the Bengals. I had a couple of Bengals bets. We had an under 24. I had a Joe Mixen. to lead the game in rushing a plus 120. Just a glorious, glorious day. Yeah, buddy. I mean, it's, we talked before we came on the show,
Starting point is 00:09:17 if Stafford, who was on the one yard line, if he would have ran that touchdown in, I mean, it would have been easily a six-figured day for me personally on top of what I won. And between the clients and the show, I mean, the fan base of this show, which we joke all the time how big this show has gotten. I could not believe when I logged on to a website we can't say an app,
Starting point is 00:09:41 and the line had moved from Stafford 150 to 1, two touchdowns to 20 to 1, just because of the fans of this show. Again, no one else is telling people to bet that. This was the only show talking about it. So that was like, again, I know how big our show is, but just to see how much we can affect lines and stuff on the show was amazing. So that Stafford won't hurt just because you, touched on it, Chad. I gave out Rams first half, minus two and a half, nailed it, gave out the under.
Starting point is 00:10:09 They missed extra point. We made it by half a point, nailed it. Full game under. Bangles, full game, four and a half. And it's a good feeling, too, when we talk literally after the AFC championship game or NFC championship game. So it's, what was that, 10 o'clock or 11 o'clock, Sunday night. I'm out of it, kind of. But even in my instincts, I was just like, this is an ugly, a team that just plays ugly. Like the Bengals play ugly. We have to take these points. And even you were just like, yeah, we'll take this points and we'll break it down as a week goes along. So that was the rare time where the gut,
Starting point is 00:10:43 that's what our gut already liked. And then we ran the numbers and it gave us the under, gave us the side. And like you talk about this, playoffs, my system has been, I mean, again, I'm, I am good at this, but it comes down to having a system. Like, that's what, because people who watch the games, not that they're full of but you heard so many guys out there being like rams by 14 Rams blowout. This matchups terrible for the Bengals. And it's like those are people that don't have systems.
Starting point is 00:11:10 They just watch football. And they're like, no, I know what I'm watching. I know what I see. It's like, no, you have to look at the numbers. So I think the final tally for me on sides, I believe it was 11 and 4. And then on totals, I believe it was 12 and 3. So just an incredibly profitable playoff run for me. And then like you touched on the props, man, that was.
Starting point is 00:11:31 like that Odell one was huge but it's like we joke all the time you do these parleyes and these different things in the Super Bowl and like having a 9 to 1 Odell parlayed with you know the bangles four and a half that paid like 23 to 1 if I'm betting a grand it's 23k right there did did you bet a grand on that yeah I mean dude everything yeah maybe of course I did every little thing you could think of it just adds up like I joked about that McPherson him being my biggest bet over one and a half field goals it was because I eventually counted up all these tickets I'd having runners bet and different things like that. I'm just like, wow, I have a stack here of like 40 bets on this kicker and it's all going to be like, you know, a thousand to win 500,
Starting point is 00:12:12 1,000 to win 750. It was like a ton of those bets because again, they limit props. That's what sports books. They were getting beat up. Like again, we didn't even touch on it. Like, having a random punter missed the snap on that extra point. He ended up throwing that ball. That counted as a pass. So we'd already hit that stupid prop we had done, which I had, thought about Odell doing the Philly Special. A couple of plays later, Joe Mixon goes back, throws a touchdown to T. Higgins. We hit our over two and a half passing touchdown passers,
Starting point is 00:12:41 which is like 11-01. So again, we put in the time and the research, you got to get lucky. And we got very, very lucky this past Super Bowl. Yeah, you know what's interesting? You make all these bets. The other one we didn't talk about that Sean Cernard loved all week, talked about it in the proper paloosa podcast that came out Monday
Starting point is 00:13:00 of Super Bowl week. First, when he talked about, Kevin Huber, over 52 and a half yards for the longest punt. And he looked terrible. He looked terrible. And then it was, I think,
Starting point is 00:13:13 his last punt, second of the last punt or maybe the first punt in the first half. And it's interesting, through the first half, or like even after the T. Higgins play, I felt like so many of my bets, I was kind of trending in the right direction
Starting point is 00:13:27 because I was heavy on the Bengals, Joe Mixen. Camakers couldn't do anything. Joe Mixen was having a really good game, so I was feeling good about that one. I didn't feel good about Cooper Cup and I thought I had lost Stafford. So after T. Higgins, like, a lot of my sweats were over because I was invested in like a lot of things that already cashed, right, or had no chance of doing it. Huber was the only one that I was waiting on. And I remember thinking, all right, I did the math in my head. When he kicked it, what was the line of scrimmage? Where the guy caught it, what was the line of scrimmage? I looked at my buddy's kid, my buddy's kid. My buddy's kid is 18 as a senior high school. I looked, I'm like, he was the only one in the room with me, like everyone else because they weren't betting punter props had left the room. I'm like, dude, did he just kick it 54 yards? Did we just win our fucking punter prop? And he's like, we won our punter prop. And we were jumping up and down screaming. And after that, like the rest of the game was gravy. It felt great. Like every combination, it's like we did get lucky and on the right side of things. And a lot of the things we needed happened earlier.
Starting point is 00:14:29 in the game so we weren't sweating anything at the end of the game. And that was also funny to where it's like, don't you, people kept messaging me. Like, aren't you word you're betting like chalky things where it's like, again, I don't want to be fragadocious that we set the market, but it's like people listen to our shows. People are going to take things we say and talk about it on their own shows or vice versa. It's like people are going to have the same idea. It's just one game. So a lot of people are going to be on the same stuff.
Starting point is 00:14:51 Sportsbooks hang bad lines. It's like there's nothing they can do. They have to take the money. They have to hang the number. They live and die with it. It's like, if Joe, Borough would have drove that field at the end of that game and scored a touchdown and the bangles would have won outright and hit the over. I've seen some like bookmakers. So like that
Starting point is 00:15:07 would have been like a 30 million, 40 million flip for them. Personally, that was people can complain about that game. That was such a Stars and Scrubs game where it's like every guy in the world was on that T. Higgins, you know, over yards or over touchdowns prop. He got two touchdowns, 100 yards. Everyone was on Cooper Cup to get a touchdown. A lot of books that they had more money on him to score any time touchdown than either side of the spread. So I love how much gambling is growing because it's just changed so much where like that number, I guarantee you would have been seven, seven and a half a couple years ago, like that bangles number. But now because there's so many books and so many professionals doing this and just so many
Starting point is 00:15:47 line movers, they can't take that big of a risk. Like that money line, they couldn't hang out, you know, if they would have hung a plus 300 on the bangles in that game, they would have got. swarmed with Bangal's money because I just feel like the public's smarter to it at this point. So that was, I know people are going to complain because it was kind of an ugly, sloppy, slow game. I loved it. I thought it had a really exciting moments. All the stars showed up. And as someone that bet the under and a dog, it's like those are the games we dream about, like ugly, sloppy, stuck in the middle of the field, getting one yard runs with Cam Acres.
Starting point is 00:16:24 Like it was just, it was just a really, really, really great game to bet on. I don't know why anyone would say it was a bad game to watch in any way. It was glorious. It was a great capper to the end of the playoffs. As we know, I am, listen, I love love. I root for narratives. I love that Aaron Donald got a ring. I love that Eric Weddell got a ring.
Starting point is 00:16:51 I love that Whitworth got a ring. I love that OBJ got a ring. I love that Matthew Stafford got a ring. Like all these guys who, I love that Von Miller got another ring. I love when teams go all in and say, fuck it, fuck anything else. We know how precious an opportunity we have is. You don't just keep perpetually building, building, building. Like, you got to fucking go for it.
Starting point is 00:17:17 And they went for it and they put it all on the table and it worked. And I think that's an amazing story. I love that story. Something we've never seen in the history of football. They've done, they literally did something that no team has ever tried before. It's like not money ball, but it's NFL's kind of version of it of stars and scrubs.
Starting point is 00:17:39 Like obviously you have to draft right. You have to find arguably the best receiver ever, Cooper Cup in the third round and use a first round pick on Aaron Donald, who's arguably the best he tackler ever play football. But they filled out that team right and they had the coaching. And yeah, Chad, you're right. It's like, it's, Again, we might never see anything like this, again, where Tom Brady moved to the Buccaneers won a Super Bowl first year.
Starting point is 00:18:02 Stafford moved to a new team in L.A. Rams won a Super Bowl. But again, we're living in an era where not that I believe all the media hype beforehand, but we had rumors McBay was going to retire after this game. We had rumors that Aaron Donald was going to retire after this game. So it's like it's so much to even, again, I'm not. I'm not trying to project out their future. But whatever happens after this point, said they both to retire, worth it. The Rams, like, who cares?
Starting point is 00:18:34 Like teams, we talk about Detroit Lions, like they, you know, since the NFL has existed, no Super Bowl, all these different teams that have never won a Super Bowl. Again, we're going to talk about Cincinnati in a second here, about heartbreak, but for the Rams, I just am so happy that it worked out because I loved what they did.
Starting point is 00:18:52 Like, I think one of the most overrated things is draft picks, because you have to hit on the draft picks. Like look at the first round picks they gave to the Jaguars and see who the Jaguars drafted with those picks for Ramsey. Again, Ramsey wasn't incredible last night, but he didn't make plays down the stretch that kind of flipped that game. So to me, it's going to be cool to see what happens the next 10, 15 years because I do think other teams are going to try to go up for this model of if you hit one or if you hit
Starting point is 00:19:18 on one or two of these draft picks on a superstar, you just go for it for the next like three, four year window. You literally, you sell all, you sell it all. You just go for it that on that little run. So I'm with you, Chad. I love that it worked out for the Rams team just because it's something we've never seen before. You do have to get so lucky because, look, if Eli Apple, who was just getting, like, I didn't realize the animosity in the NFL towards Eli Apple. This morning, like, Twitter.
Starting point is 00:19:54 Twitter feeds were being lit up with players just sort of trolling Eli Apple. He gave up the game when he touched down to Cooper Cup, critical holding call. It was a great game, a clean game. And then in the last drive, it's almost like the, look, a buddy of mine who doesn't watch the NFL, stop watching the NFL five years ago, texted me. He said, I'm watching this game because he and I caught up in the morning. He goes, I'm watching this game because you and I just spoke. He goes, I'm glad to see the fix is still in because like those calls at the end after 59 minutes of not making any penalty calls.
Starting point is 00:20:35 All of a sudden, three penalty calls when a team is driving inside the 10 yard line and they clearly are having a hard time. Like I feel bad for Eli Apple. I didn't realize how much like people didn't like Eli Apple in the NFL. Yeah. Honestly, like I'm trying not to be so. negative about it and let it ruin it for me, but I get the Bengals fans really bitching about it because it's ridiculous. They were letting everything go that whole game. Like we saw way worse. I mean, way worse. We saw Jalen Ramsey literally nearly have his head taken off by T. Higgins on
Starting point is 00:21:09 that touchdown. Yeah, which again, you could, and it wasn't Vernon. Like he didn't mean to do it. Obviously. No, no. It still. Who knows. Yeah, exactly. It rules, rules. So I, I hated it because it was such a bad call. Like if it was the right call, if he really did hold him, that was fair. My man's hands were just on him. He wasn't, there was no grip. There was no pulling or anything like that. It's the fourth quarter final three minutes of a Super Bowl. All these guys have heavy legs. They're all exhausted. Like these refs all of a sudden calling it like it's super tight. Where these guys' legs are just shot. Like you're just seriously running on 10% at the end of the game. Like you've had a long day. Your emotions have been high the whole day. You would
Starting point is 00:21:50 arguably one the greatest halftime shows ever. And these reps are calling this in the final three minutes. I just don't want to be so angry about it because obviously worked out for us and who knows. But it's it's the worst. But as someone that doesn't want to bitch about it, it's like Joe Burrow got the ball back with a minute 20, two timeouts. And they did they again, their Achilles Hill, the entire game was one yard. They just couldn't fourth and ones, third and ones. they blew it in multiple ways in that game. So I would love to hang my head on those penalties, but they had the opportunity,
Starting point is 00:22:28 they had the chances to make the plays to come back to win the game. And they didn't. But yeah, obviously me and Chad as fans of teams, I think anyone that has a real fan base rooted for Cincinnati. Like that Super Bowl means a thousand times more to that city than it does to Los Angeles.
Starting point is 00:22:46 Like, do you see people going crazy last night in Los Angeles, Chad? Do you see any clips of it? haven't heard of one, but I do know in Cincinnati, every kid is off of school today. Exactly, brother. So that's the heartbreak for me. And not only did I want to make money, but I love the Sinci storyline. And I want Cincinnati fans to remember this when I'm saying or not how nice I'm being,
Starting point is 00:23:06 because I'm going to talk shit about your team for the next year. And I'm sorry, but that's just the gambler in me. Just know, I loved your team. I loved the story. And it was truly one of the more magical runs I've ever seen. Fanduel Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NBA. And with Fanduel, same game parlay, you can turn little bets into big paydays tonight. I'm considering the New York Knicks Money Line, the over, and Julius Randall rebound.
Starting point is 00:23:35 Over. I love betting a Fandwell because I get my payouts in as little as two hours. It's easy to use, safe and secure. Plus, if you're a new customer, you get a risk-free bet up to one. Imagine an Olympic. where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque.
Starting point is 00:23:52 Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the I-Hard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. A win is a win.
Starting point is 00:24:16 win is a win. I don't care what you're saying. Yep, that's me, Cliver Taylor the 4th. You might have seen the skits, the reactions, my journey from basketball to college football, or my career in sports media. Well, somewhere along the way, this platform became bigger than I ever imagined. And now I'm bringing all of that excitement to my brand new podcast, The Clifford Show. This is a place for raw, unfiltered conversations with some of your favorite athletes, creators, and voices that not only deserve to be heard, but celebrated.
Starting point is 00:24:44 One week, I'll take you behind the scenes of the beach. biggest moments in sports and entertainment. And the next, we'll talk about life, mental health, purpose, and even music. The Clifford Show isn't just a podcast. It's a space for honest conversations, stories that don't always get told, and for people who are chasing something bigger. So, if you've ever supported me or you're just chasing down a dream, this is right where you need to be.
Starting point is 00:25:07 Listen to the Clifford show on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more behind the scenes, follow at Clifford and at TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes. Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away,
Starting point is 00:25:32 such as the biology of tauntons and wampas on the ice planet hot, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to Stuff to Blow Your Mind on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Do you remember when Diana Ross double-tap Little Kim's boobs at the VMAs? Or when Kanye said that George Bush didn't like black people. I know what you're thinking. What the hell does George Bush got to do with Little Kim?
Starting point is 00:25:58 Well, you can find out on the Look Back at it podcast. I'm Sam Jay. And I'm Alex English. Each episode, we pick it here, unpack what went down, and try to make sense of how we survived it. Including a recent episode with Mark Lamont Hill, waxing all about crack in the 80s. To be clear, 84 is big to me, not just. just because of crack. I'm down to talk about crack on day, but just so y'all know.
Starting point is 00:26:22 I mean, at this point, Mark, this is the second episode where we've discussed crack. So I'm starting to see that there's a through line. We also have AIDS on the table right now. Thank you finishing that sentence. Yes. I don't think there's a more important year for black people. Really? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:26:38 For me, it's one of the most important years for black people in American history. Listen to look back at it on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get Your podcasts. $1,000. Make every game feel like the finals all season long. Download the Fandual Sportsbook app or head to fanduel.com and sign up using favorites to bet the NBA today and get your first bet risk free. You must be 21 and over and present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Louisiana,
Starting point is 00:27:11 permitted parishes only, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. First online, real money wager only. Refund issued as non-withdrawable site credit that expires in 14 days. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandul.com. Gambling problem. Call 1-800 next step or text. Next step to 53342 in Arizona.
Starting point is 00:27:35 1-800 gambler or visit fanduel.com slash RG in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, and Virginia. 1-888-789-77777. Or visit C-CPG.G. org slash chat in Connecticut, 1,800-2707-1-1-7 for confidential help in Michigan. Call the Tennessee Red Line 1-8009-9-9 or visit 1-800-Gambler.net in West Virginia. We just can't seem to catch a break, huh? So many rough fire seasons. But we made it through.
Starting point is 00:28:09 And now there's another risk. All that charred soil and burnt vegetation can lead to floods and mudflow. I know. but you've got this too. And one way to get this is to get this, flood insurance. There's no rest for the West, but with flood insurance,
Starting point is 00:28:25 you can rest assured that you're ready for whatever else nature throws at you. Protect the life you've built at floodsmart.gov slash wildfires. The more we learn about COVID-19, the more questions we have. The biggest question now?
Starting point is 00:28:41 What's next? What will COVID bring in six months? A year. If you're feeling anxious about the future, you're not alone. Cal Hope offers free COVID-19 emotional support. Call 833-3-3-3-1-7-4-6-73 or live chat at calhope.org today. The more we learn about COVID-19, the more questions and worries we have. Cal Hope can help with free COVID-19 emotional support.
Starting point is 00:29:11 Call 833-3-3-3-4-6-73 or live. chat at calhope.org today. Shout out to Chris Raybon of the Action Network podcast, who all week was telling us to bet Samaji P. Ryan under 14 and a half total yards. And until the last two plays of the game, I think he was in like the first series. And I think inexplicably, Samaji Pryan was the guy who they were looking to get them one yard. Joe Mixen hadn't lost yards the entire day as a runner. He had as a receiver. Had to lost any as a runner. They don't give it to your, you don't give it to your best running back.
Starting point is 00:29:59 You bring in a guy who maybe played 10 snaps the whole game. I don't remember seeing him in anything more than one or two. You try to get him. And still, when Joe Burrow was lofting it into the air on the last play of the game, he was going for Somagy P. Ryan. And when it was in the year, I was thinking to myself, this is the broken play that will get Samaji P. Rine over 14 and a half total yards. And I'm going to be so upset. It would be the one thing that didn't go our way that went close. Like, you know, Stafford obviously is a tough one. But shout out to Rebant because he nailed the Samajie P. Ryan under prop. Number one. Number two, last thing I want to say about this because I do want to get like very quickly, obviously futures are out. We're going to go just so people
Starting point is 00:30:48 know as we get through the next few months. We're going to go deep on NFL futures. We're going to go deep on NFL draft. Like between now and May, that is going to be a consistent theme in the podcast that Simon and I are talking about. NFL betting doesn't end. And between free agency and the draft, the futures market is wide open. So the QB carousel that we're about to have. Exactly. Right. And so like you're looking at Denver. You're looking at Carolina like last year. How can you predict where Aaron Rogers is going to be and where Deshawn Watson is going to go and all these kinds of things. I want to get to that. The one last thing I'll say about Cincinnati.
Starting point is 00:31:25 It was weird to me, because you mentioned this, the night of the NFC and NFC title games, we got on the podcast, we did a quick video, a live video and then, you know, cut it. And talked about how we liked Cincinnati. We didn't understand why the line was moving up. It made no sense. Cincinnati, I think only in three games this year,
Starting point is 00:31:47 lost by more than three points. People would say, well, it's fluky, the way they keep winning in the playoffs and whatever, whatever. It's not fluky if it keeps happening. It's part of their makeup. It's part of their offense. It's part of why they are who they are. They get down early.
Starting point is 00:32:00 They're explosive. They make the right play one at a time. Joe Burrow has, you know, it's not magic. It's a skill. When things break down, he's seeing things more slowly. That's why they were the right side. It never made sense to me that this number kept growing up and the money kept coming in on the Rams.
Starting point is 00:32:15 That's the last thing I'll say about it. Yeah. And again, it's, it did. We talked about it, it made more sense to me once I hung out with other professionals. And I just found how much they just love that Rams team where it's like, okay, because we talk all the time. We said all week, we made the line three. I thought the Rams should be minus three. They were the better team. They, not more consistent, but there was just more there to believe in than there were on the Spangles team. But like you talked about, the pros, they thought they had a good number. They bet it up to four and a half. half. We saw a touch five at a couple of books for a little while, which was crazy. But we talk all a time about the key numbers. And a four, four and a half, that was truly never in doubt. Like,
Starting point is 00:32:59 even if they had made that extra point, we were still going to cover that half a point anyway at the four and a half. So I want people to remember this. Like, again, that's my whole reason for being on here, is there's little tips and tricks I'm giving out. That's just when we talk about all the time. We don't know how we get there, why it ends up the way it does. But, But three and four, for some reason, Super Bowls always end up on these numbers. They rarely ever end up on one and two. And I've heard all the fans coming back to me about Matt Mitchell's Bill's team playing the Giants. Yes, that game did land one.
Starting point is 00:33:32 But my whole point was about historically just does not land on one or two. And that's why I bet the minus two and a half from the Bengals, which was looking like a genius until the final two minutes of that game. So just something for people to remember in the future, it's like, We had a guy on. We did a call on Twitter. I don't even know what it's called. Twitter Spaces. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:33:53 So it's like someplace where like a bunch of people can talk. I don't even how to describe it. It's like everyone can talk, but only one. People know what Twitter. You're the 80 year old on this call. People know what Twitter spaces. All right. So people know what it is.
Starting point is 00:34:06 So basically you can have people come on and say things. And we had a guy come on and say he was taking the Rams, just money line. And I was trying to batch him. I just said it's not a smart bet to take the minus 200 where if you're scared, you just take the Bengals. You take the points at minus 110. And that's why long term, that's how you make money. You don't make money taking, bet in 200 and winning 100.
Starting point is 00:34:26 You win money by betting 200 and win in 190. So that was my whole point. It's like if you were scared enough to take the Rams money line, you should just be taking the Bengals at four and a half. And that's something I want people to kind of remember for next year. It's like, you like the dog like I do, I take the spread. And instead of taking the money line, I take the minus two and a half. It's not, I'm not reworking the wheel here.
Starting point is 00:34:46 It's very simple, but it works for me long term. As you would say, Simon Hunter, scared money don't make money. Amen, brother. All right, listen, before we get out of here, real quickly, future is already out. Chiefs seven and a half to one, Bill's seven and a half to run, Rams 10 to one, Cowboys 14 to one, Niners 14 to one, Bengals 14 to one, Packers currently 16 to 1. And then there's a, you know, a quartet.
Starting point is 00:35:16 of teams in the 20 to 22 range, Ravens, Broncos, bucks, Titans. Have you made any futures bets immediately? Oh, yeah. So people, my, my biggest rule for making futures bet is you never bet less than 20 to 1. Okay. If you, if you're betting less than 21, you were giving sports books free money because you're kind of taking away your own value. I'm betting that number.
Starting point is 00:35:41 Like last year, perfect example. At this point last year, I believe the 49ers were 14 to 1. If you just waited, you could have got them 20 to 1 heading into the playoffs, which we were like literally one play away from them making a Super Bowl of 49 or so I never bet future is less than 20 to 1. So immediately right when the market opened, Pittsburgh Steelers, love, love, love Pittsburgh Steelers, love that they are going to be one of these teams in the market for a quarterback. They have the defense.
Starting point is 00:36:06 We already know that right now in Fandle, they're 70 to 1. 70 to 1 get this Pittsburgh team, which we know is one of the better defenses. All that's missing is a quarterback. They have great weapons on offense, too. So that, if they can get Watson, if they can somehow get Rogers at the NFC and bring them to the AFC, it's like that's an immediate boost. You're not going to be able to find my other favorite bet is right now, which, I mean, you could take the Ravens if you wanted to at 21 to one, but I love this Ravens value
Starting point is 00:36:36 coming to the season because you're still going to have people that are going to like the Browns. And now Cincinnati is going to have all the hype coming to the season. So if we're getting the third. seed in the NFC North and it's the Ravens, you know I'm going to love that, Chad. They were the most injured team in football. You're going to get really good value on a team that just will not have that same injury
Starting point is 00:36:55 history next year. They'll be healthier. They're much better than their record showed this year. So that's one of those who need to be in a lookout. But right now, most books, legal books at least, they're only going to have Super Bowl future. So if I'm just going to throw a shot in the dark, 70 to 1, Pittsburgh, I like that number. That's a really good price.
Starting point is 00:37:15 and then I hate to do it to us again, Chad, but we're simply just playing value here. Atlanta Falcons, 60 to 1. Who's to say they're not the best team right now in the NFC South? Okay? We know the Bucks don't have a quarterback. We know Carolina. Sure I saw doesn't have a quarterback.
Starting point is 00:37:31 So right now, 60 to 1 for a team that could win their division to get home field. I'll take that in Atlanta. I feel like that's good value as we sit here a day after the Super Bowl. So Atlanta, Pittsburgh, it's gross. It's ugly, but 70 to 1, 60 to 1. That's great value. All right.
Starting point is 00:37:48 There you have it. We've run down the Super Bowl. We've recapped our season. We've confirmed our love for each other. So happy Valentine's Day. Happy on Valentine's Day. And now we have already kicked off the race for Super Bowl 57, putting futures on the Ravens, the Steelers,
Starting point is 00:38:10 and we're still in Atlanta Falcons podcast. We began the season as an Atlanta Falcons podcast. We end the season as an Atlanta Falcons podcast. This is the official bow we're putting on the 2021 season. Simon Hunter, you're the best. You'll be with us all through the offseason. We're going to talk more and more. Matt Mitchell, you're the best.
Starting point is 00:38:33 They'll continue producing the best, biggest sports betting podcast in the world. I am Chad Millman. This has been the favorites from the volleyball. You and Podcast Network. Download us from Spotify, from Apple Podcasts. Wherever you get your podcast, rate, review, subscribe. Until later this week. Love you.
Starting point is 00:39:01 We've all felt left out. And for people who moved to this country, that feeling lasts more than a moment. We can change that. Learn how at belonging begins with us.org. Brought to you by the ad council. What does the chicken say? Uh, dog.
Starting point is 00:39:23 Dog. Cat. Giraff. Giraff, really? Giraffe. You're not going to get it all right. Just make sure you know the big stuff, like making sure your kids are buckled correctly
Starting point is 00:39:34 in the right seat for their age and's eyes. Get it right. Visit nhtsa.gov slash the right seat. Brought to you by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and the Ad Council. Look for your children's eyes and you will discover the true magic of a forest. Find a forest near you
Starting point is 00:39:54 and start exploring. at Discovertheforest.org. Brought to you by the United States Forest Service and the Ad Council. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk
Starting point is 00:40:09 to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an acapella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter.
Starting point is 00:40:25 Humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged. It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth.
Starting point is 00:40:55 Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, what's good, y'all? You're listening to Learn the Hard Way with your favorite therapist and host Kear Games. This space is about black men's experiences, having honest conversations that it's really not safe to have anywhere, but you're having them with a licensed professional who knows what he's doing. How many men carry a suit or armor. It signals to the world that you're not to be played with. And just because you have the capability that does not mean that you need to. Listen to learn the hard way on the AHA radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Hey, this is Robert from the Stuff to Blow Your Mind podcast. Joe and I are both lifelong Star Wars fan, so we're celebrating May the 4th with a brand new week of fun, thought-provoking Star Wars-related episodes.
Starting point is 00:41:43 Join us as we tackle science and culture topics from a galaxy far, far away, such as the biology of tauntons and wampas on the ice planet, or the practicality and corporate business sense of the Sith rule of two. Listen to stuff to blow your mind on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.