The Herd with Colin Cowherd - The Favorites - Super Bowl LIX Prop Bets

Episode Date: February 4, 2025

The popularity of Super Bowl props and exotics has exploded in recent seasons. To dive into the tens of thousands of available bets and select some of their favorites, Action Network NFL experts Chad Millman and Simon Hunter welcome two of the best NFL player projectionists in the business: their colleagues Chris Raybon and Sean Koerner. Together this foursome goes through the best markets and juiciest prices at bet365, ahead of Chris and Sean's Super Bowl Prop-A-Palooza live show at 6pm ET on Wednesday, only on the Action Network YouTube channel. So listen closely and tail along! #Volume #herdSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Welcome to the favorites, the podcast, presented by Bet365. We are part of the Volume Podcast Network. I am Chad Milman of the Action Network. Today is our Tuesday, Super Bowl 59 Props episode. We are welcoming in our very special Action Network colleagues. Two of the best in the business, might be the best in the business. Prop betting experts, Chris Raybon, and Sean Curner.

They are two of fantasy pros, top ranked NFL player projectionists. You can hear them every week on the must listen fantasy flex podcast. They'll give out some of their favorite Super Bowl props with us today after Sean and Chris. Producer Matt Mitchell is going to go through the best submissions from our Bet365

Super Bowl prop contest. At the very end, announced the contest winner and have that person join the show. As a reminder, sharp calls, big balls, biggest bet, scutte roulette, all going to come on Thursday, our final episode before the Super Bowl, very exciting week, plenty of stuff to discuss live. From our Tommy John home studios, I'm joined as always by my co-host, my companion, my compadre, my BFF professional better, Simon, hello Simon. Dad. Happy Super Bowl week, my man.

We made it, brother. A little melancholy. You know, we got Raybon on today. You know, I love listening not only to the Fantasy Flex with him and Curner, which I listen to every week when I'm prepping for our show. I also listen to the Action Network pod with Raybon and Stucky in the Sunday six pack. And when I listened to it this week, they had the show post last night. And Raybon at the end was like, it's our last show of the season.

You know, six years. Years, Raybon and Stucky have been doing that. I love the six-pack. And I was a little bit, a little bit sad, a little bit teary-eyed that we're coming down to our last two episodes before the Super Bowl. Yeah, it's sad that it's over, but I mean, that's how we love and appreciate the season. Brother, it's got to end so we can enjoy what it starts up again next year. That's just part of life.

Don't be sad that it's over, Simon. Just be happy that it's happened. reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet365 and now new Bet365 customers get $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5. Sound up using promo code favorites. Deposit $10. Place a bet for $5 to get $150 in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, and more.

Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary at Bet365 must be 21 or older and present in, Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or 18 and older in Kentucky. Gambling problem called 1,800 gambler or 1,800 bets off in Iowa. Terms, conditions, restrictions apply. Mr. Sean Kerner, Mr. Chris Raybon, both of you dressed in Eagles gear, which worries me a little bit as someone along with Simon, who on the two episodes last week,

it often described how into the chiefs. we were and and Raybon I'm going to ask you specifically about your side later in the show. Just explain to me and to Simon and to those watching on YouTube. Kerner, why are you in your Eagles hat, which always makes me nervous? Yeah, don't get nervous, Chad. It's not that big of a deal. I would say all three of my props involve Eagles players in some way, shape, or form. Last week, most of my props involved Chiefs players, so I was wearing a Chiefs hat.

That's why I'm rocking the Eagles had today. Got it. All right. Raybon, give me the reason for your Eagles gear. Your Randall Cunningham throwback jersey. During COVID, I had a lot of disposable income. I didn't know what to do with it. So I bought a bunch of jerseys.

And really, this is the only time I can wear them. All right. We're going to get to it then. Kerner and Raybon last week did the first version of their prop-up Palooza pod. They will do the second one on Wednesday. And last week's version, remind me if I'm wrong or correct me if I'm wrong. Kerners prop, one of them, was Drew, Tranquil, under seven and a half tackles. It's currently minus 160. Also, there was violence inflicted upon me. I mean, who wants to, who wants to own it, Ray Bonn?

Hey, you know, Sean was explaining who Drew Tranquil was and I just said, I'm not Chad Milvin. I know who Drew Tranquil is. This is not convinced me. For the record. For the record. I'm fully aware of most starters on NFL teams. But it's when you bring out your fucking, let's go bet John Beck under half the reception. Ah, don't, don't.

Traumatic experience. It's John Bates. It's John Bates. There you go. Andrew Beck. Andrew Beck is the other. There you go. That's what I mean.

Hybrid. When you bring it out first-ding receivers that don't even average a catch a game, that's when I might not get it. Okay? So, current liked Drew Tranquil. Raybon liked under eight and a half total pass catchers for Kansas City. I think Raybond like no-miss kicks up to plus 175. Criner liked most tackles and assists is a long shot, Orham Burke's.

plus 320. Am I missing anything from that one, fellas? Yeah, it was so long ago. Those are last week's props, bro. Let's get on this. We got some new ones for you, Chad, today. I know. This week, you each have three brand new props for me and Simon, some of which I imagine is previewing prop-a-paloozer.

Maybe these are all special ones. Raybon, kick us off. Give us your current best prop. All right. Well, I'm not going to kick us off, but we're going to go with field goals over one and a half for Kansas City at minus 125. I would bet this up to about minus 150. So I think that the Chiefs are going to struggle in a red zone. That's kind of what's been the history of Patrick Mahomes going up against Vic Fangio defenses. He's been able to move the ball, but really struggled in the red zone. And Kansas City this year, just number 26 and fourth down attempts. And they've only got to

for it twice all year on more than fourth and one with Mahomes starting. So Andy Reid will take the points here. Harrison Bucker, 15 of 15, the last two post seasons. Eagles have allowed multiple field goal attempts in all three playoff games. The Chiefs have made two or more in 11 of 18. Mahomes starts two or more in seven of eight against Fangio defenses with Mahomes and six of eight playoff games over the last two postseason. So I think there's a high likelihood that you get at least to Harrison-Butner field goals.

I don't even mind laddering, you know, three, four as well because I do think that the Eagles are going to be able to get some stops down in the red area. Simon, you got any thoughts on that? I mean, I hope he's right. I was going to say, I'm heavy on the under, so that that would be pretty nice for me. And I totally agree that, you know, the few defenses that they give them issues, I mean, even this season, though, we've seen their number. is what, but they round 22nd this year, Chris, and Red Zone efficiency? Exactly.

Yeah, this season they've already struggled with it. So I think it adds to it the fact that, you know, they've struggled against his defense and their kicker. Before his injury, he was automatic. Even since he's been back, he's been pretty good. And then the fact that they're in a dome, it only adds to me liking these kicker props even more. Yeah, look, we love the kicker props.

We love when Sean and Raybon talk about the kicker props. So I'm glad Raybon is euphemistically. kicking it off with a kicker prop because I was going to ask them if there were any up that they liked, so that's good. Curner, give me your Eagles prop. Well, I'm three of them, but the first one is

it's definitely a juicy one. It's Sequin, Barclay, to have the most rushing attempts in the game at minus 350. This is one, I would kind of bet to any juice. But, you know, Barclay's a massive favorite in this market, rightfully so. But the price should be a lot higher.

I mean, his Russia attempt prop is around 21 and a half right now. The next closest is Cream Hunt at 11.5. Then you have Jalen Hertz at 9.5. Mahomes and Pacheco are both around 6. Unlike yards where any given play, a player can pop off for 50 plus yards. It's a wide range of outcomes. You know, a player can only get one rush attempt on any given play. So the distribution of these props is much tighter.

So in my simulation, I'm showing like a 96% chance. chance. He has the most rush attempts. But then you have to factor in, you know, the chances of him getting injured. He would have to get injured before getting like 15 rush attempts. If he has 15 rush attempts and he gets knocked out of the game, he'll probably still take down this market. Or like the ideal game script where the chiefs get up early, to a big lead early, Kreme Hunt ends up, you know, rushing the ball 20 plus times. Eagles have to get in a passive game script. Factoring all that in, I'd say a very conservative projection to be about 85%.

So like minus 560 for Barclay to lead the game in rush attempts. So I think even though it's juicy and pricey at minus 350, I still think there's some value here. That one doesn't correlate exactly to what I would like

to happen in the game. But it's interesting. Yeah, it's true. I mean, it's interesting that Delta. I know, you know, you know, Raybon and Stuckey, Raybond jump in here because I know you and Stuck talked a little bit about Sequan's rushing total prop. And this market was so inflated before the NFC title game opened up, I think, a little bit more reasonably for the Super Bowl, but has still been

coming down. Do you have any thoughts on his rushing total yardage prop? Yeah, so I think it's still about five yards too high, which you can expect that in a game like this. But one thing that's interesting, it kind of goes with what Sean is saying, is that Sequin Barkley's been busting off these explosive plays almost every game. If he doesn't, they're inversely correlated, his yardage and his attempts, right? Because if he doesn't bust off a 70-yard or on one carry,

he might need, you know, eight carries, 10 carries, you know, a whole drive worth of carries, whatever that may be, to get that same amount of yards, multiple drives even. So that's how you kind of have to think about the attempts. So just if you want to fade Saquan Barclay or back Saquan Barclay, it's not as simple as just going like over attempts, over yards. I think attempts would indicate he'd probably struggling a little more than just necessarily, okay, the Eagles are in a positive game script.

Like they're going to run the ball no matter what. Like up down, they'll run the ball as long as they can, especially now. So I think, you know, that's something to keep in mind is that his, his yardage is going to be a little inversely correlated with the attempts. He also does tend to disappear sometimes. There are, there are parts of the game where either they've got Gainwell in there for extended looks or he just sort of is one yard, two yard, one yard, two yard.

And then he would probably do that. Yeah, how did he not? Like he didn't even clear his, um, his yardage prop last in the chest. Yeah, the injured game. And the first run he got like 60, 70 yards. So yeah, that kind of. Well, he was dealing with that calf injury, right? Like he was out of the game.

He did. Yeah, he did miss the plays. Yeah. I think if he was healthy, I don't think game well plays more than just a handful of snaps. I think that had to do with Berkeley just like actually being injured. Yeah. But I mean, he's also, when you guys get to that volume level, like you almost got to project like a half a carrier carry for the backup just because it's so hard to stay healthy for that man. any snaps. Like we've seen Barkley leave a few games now where they're giving him like all the

carries. I think even the week one, he had a he missed a couple of plays, but it's happened a few times. But yeah, I agree. I don't think gang will get much time. Maybe some third down pass blocking stuff. Yeah, I think people just got unlucky, right? The guy had 15 carries and it was on a blowout. And basically, Siriani's just been talking about saving him for this exact game. So this game, I can't see him saving for anything, right? It's the off season. So to me, I would be shocked to a game while getting many touches. What's your next prop, Chris? All right. So speaking of which, I'm going with both teams combined rushing yardage under 285. You can get that at minus 115 at Bet 365. I think this is way too high.

I have these teams projected to combine for just under 260 total rushing yards. So number one, Kansas City, they've been struggling to run the ball since they moved Joe Tuny to left tackle from guard. 99 carries for the running backs, 3.57 yards per carry since they made that moves. And this is the top two run defense in Philadelphia. And on the other side,

we've heard it all, you know, all week. Kansas City, they haven't allowed 100-yard rush. Now, I think they've had a very easy schedule of opposing run offenses as the chiefs, but I still think they're a good run defense because of Steve Spagnolo. Remember, last two Super Bowls against Philly

a couple years ago, they had a top five running offense. he holds them to 3.6 yards of carry on 32 carries. San Francisco comes in last year, top three rushing offense. Christian McCaffrey, how are we going to stop him? Kansas City's one of the worst run defenses. Number 27, they hold them to 31 for 110, the Niners total for the game, just 3.5 yards per carry.

So Spagnol is going to kind of switch into front's weight in the down and kind of confuse them that way and, you know, make Jay one Hertz, make some checks and things like that. that. So they'll find a way to slow them, slow Barkley down. I don't think he'll pop off quite as much as he has the last couple games. And if you just look at the numbers, Philadelphia combined rushing yards over this number in 12 and 19, but Kansas City games hasn't happened all year. So you look at the two teams combined. That's just 12 of 38, just 32%. So and that's, you know, that's kind of what you're expecting here, which is why I think this market is massively inflated, as you'll see for most of just

offensive numbers to deal with yardage and touchdowns. But yeah, I think this is about 25 yards too high. So it can be combined rushing yards under 285 and a half for both of the teams rushing. That does feel insanely high going completely against expectation for the chiefs, who the last, what, three or four games we've seen since Isaiah Pacheco came back, he's not being used in the same way. He's not getting as many carries. It's really much more about Kareem Hunt,

Kareem Hunt banging it up the middle. Kareem Hunt 5, 6, 7, 8 yards at the most, except when, you know, we have under 10 and a half yards for his longest carry. Oh, he does that, you know, once in a four-game span. It just happens to be the game that we bet it. But generally, like, this is not a big rushing team.

And with Joe Tuny at left tackle, like Caliendo has not been the same player. Oh, he's been terrible. Right. So they both have, like, they would both rank like bottom five, you know, if they had their PFF run blocking grade over the full year since Tune went to tackle and Caliando went to guard. It essentially made their run blocking worse at both spots. So, yeah.

Right. The only difference is now maybe my homes is a little bit more protected at left tackle. Yeah, but he also has like these negative 10-yard kneel downs that Sean knows very well. So that's another way that. you could like get like an out to get under this number even if you're kind of sweating it. You know, maybe it's hanging around that 280 mark. You know, if Mahomes have to take some kneel downs, you're definitely going backwards. Also, you even talk about them.

Both these teams bleed clock. So even if the run game's not working, both teams will still run it. That's who they are in the second half. So that's even better. It could be a lot of 308, 307s that they ran it two times. And both teams don't care. If they pick up the first town, they'll probably run it twice again if either team has a lead. Like they just, both teams, their scripts all season have been,

leaning on the run heavy in the second half, it just bleeds clock. So like you said, even if both teams are successful, they're still going to keep doing it and still keep eating away at that clock, which plays even more to this prop going under. It's a really good point. Croner, fire away. All right. Well, you know, I already gave out minus 350 props.

So let's go with a long shot here. Let's go. The first sack of the game is going to go to Nolan Smith. at 16 to 1. Smith was their first round pick. Last year didn't do much as a rookie, but he's really started to break out over the final few weeks of the season

and into the playoffs. He actually leads the Eagles and pressures since week 15 with 23. He now is a sack in each three rounds of the playoffs so far. So if he gets a sack in the Super Bowl, he'll be the first player ever to have a sack in four playoff games. So he's just on five.

right now. He might be going up against, you know, right tackle Juan Taylor for most of the game, who's allowed a team high 41 pressures. So I love the matchup. You know, love his upside here. He actually has my, he's tied for the second highest sack projection in this game. So, you know, I show a fair price for the first sack closer to plus 850. And we're getting 16 to 1 on this. This is offering too much value. It's also a fun sweat, too. I mean, who knows when the first sack's going to be? But this is the market I haven't bet on before. I haven't I'm seeing a price for this yet. But yeah, 16 to 1, Nolan Smith sign me up for that.

That does seem like fun. But as soon as you wrote it down, I'm like, that's every single time Kansas City drops back, there's going to be a super, super exciting sweat happening with Nolan Smith. Evan is reporting that this is, what, five to one? Got it. Okay. No, no, no. saying this is basically five to one every book and the one Sean's giving out, go get it at

Bet365 because it's insanely great value. Ah, got it. All right. And just to reiterate what he's saying, Nolan Smith has already set the record for most sacks in Eagles history in the playoffs. That's how impressive this kid's been. He's gotten four sacks. Yeah, I know it's crazy, but it was Brandon Graham at three and a half and he just broke it

by getting his fourth sack. So when you really go through it, this kid every week, like Sean's breaking down, he's gotten better. This is the type of game where they've been watching film on. someone for two weeks, they're going to set them up. Like they're going to know a move that's going to work on this guy. And like, like Sean's saying, I love the, at those odds, that's a great price for a guy to be waiting two weeks.

First, first drop back, he could set this guy up for a little, you know, knock his arms down, whatever, swinging on them. Like there's just a bunch of things you go into when there's really good pass rushers against subpar tackles. They know their weaknesses by this game and they know which is going to work. So I love that value, especially the fact that it's 16 to 1 right now. That's insanely high. Well, you know what's interesting about having the two weeks, and I think this goes for all three of you, really, is it's no different than Andy Reid, Spagnolo, Van Gio.

You've got two weeks to game plan for your weaknesses and to game plan for another team's strengths, right? So let's say, Cuner or Raybon or Simon, Cernor, start with you. over these two weeks, how much do you have to incorporate the idea that someone might be looking to defend against a trend that you've been identifying that is on the upswing? What do you mean exactly? So, let's say on a week-to-week basis, there's only so much game planning someone can do to improve their weakness against a team's strength. But over two weeks, there's a lot of time to try.

try to figure out what that answer is. Right? So you're basing this based on models that are identifying what you think are opportunities or deltas in numbers, whatever the case may be. But coaches are probably looking at that and thinking, okay, that's a tendency we need to fix. So don't you have to account for that when you're modeling? Yeah, for sure. And I think, like, you know, I'm going to use math for, you know, 99% of the way to get there

and then kind of incorporate that. And it kind of goes back to what we're saying. with Sequin Barclay. Like obviously the chiefs are going to have a couple weeks to game plan. Like how do we slow down Saquan Barclay? And I think they have the scheme and coaching staff to do that. So I'm probably a little bit lower on Barclay than most in the market. Kind of going with what you're saying is like the extra planning to, you know, slow down somebody that's been unstoppable like Barkley. I think it's more likely to be able to do that with extra week for sure. Yeah. And Chad, I think what you're getting at is, you know, Stucky and I talked on the on the pod about

how a lot of times when you have these pass rushes and, you know, you're just going to get the ball out quick. And that's what's kind of been happening with Mahomes and, and even hurts, you know, got the ball out quicker in a championship. However, I like Sean's bet because the Eagles are a lot more predictable sack wise, pass rush wise, because Fangio already got burned with the blitz. He's probably, he usually does not blitz Mahomes. It just doesn't really work. And so you're going to you're not going to get as many disguised pressures and guys coming from every which way like you are with Spagnola, who I think on the decisive play of that Bill's game, I think he sent one of the corners. I think he said it was either, I think it was McDuffie or somebody. Yeah. So yeah, it's like that's with the Eagles, you're not going to get as much of that. Now, of course, you could. It's the Super Bowl. You're going to try to break tendency. But they're going to play it a lot more straight up just because they have that kind of talent. And, you know, they've tried it the other way and it hasn't really worked. So it's easier. I think it's a little easier to bet their sacks. and predict them and model them than it is for the chiefs. Also, sometimes there's nothing you can really do.

Like, these teams are so great. They're such at high levels. Like, my favorite thing ever was talking to GM, you know, years ago after Mahomes came into the league. And it was like, yeah, well, guys know, the book's out on them, force them to his left, right? So overload the right side. And obviously, Andy Reid, they knew that the chiefs. He came in the next year.

He was perfect going to his left. So now teams don't want to do that anymore, right? It's all about getting up the middle on Mahomes. So it's just funny where it's like, I'm with you, Chad. there's definitely moves these guys will make to just pieces right but at the end of the day it's like the eagles run maybe four or five plays honestly running the ball all season and no one can stop it like that's how dominant they've been so i agree with you there's going to be things they're going to try to do and adjust and different looks but at the end the day it's like you know you just can't stop greatness all

you hope to do is slow it down a little bit so that that's interesting part of this one it's like they already knows spaggs knows he can't stop the seaggo's rushing team if he can limit them in the red zone that's going to be the key to this game. Well, let's hope that the Eagles and Chiefs combine for less than 285 and a half rushing guys. Simon, the upcoming Super Bowl reminds me of an old parable. The story of the scorpion and the frog who sit at the bank of a river. The scorpion asks the fraud to carry him across, but the frog resists,

fearing the scorpion, will sting him as they cross. The scorpion argues he'd not. never do that since it would doom them both. So the frog agrees and begins swimming across the river with the scorpion upon his back. But sure enough, midway across the river, the scorpion does sting the frog, spelling disaster for them both. Philosophers argue about the lesson of this tale as they grapple with the nature of good and evil. But to me, the takeaway is simple. Neither the frog nor the scorpion were able to make rational decisions nor operate in their own best interests because they have never experienced the breathable, policeable comfort of our beloved sponsor, Tommy John.

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Tommyjohn.com slash favorites. That's Tommyjohn.com slash favorites. Simon, the inevitable question is, which one of us is the scorpion and which one of us is the frog. I'm probably the scorpion. I think you are too. Yeah, let's be honest. I think 100%. I don't even think there's a question. That Mitchell is killing it with these.

He is on a roll. I just look forward to these. Honestly, that gave me a view into what I've been like you reading me a bedtime story chat. And I don't know. I don't know how I feel about it. Really? I feel like, you know what? when I was reading it, I did feel like I was reading it in sort of the voice tone and temper that I

used to read stories to my kids. And I felt like I was killing it. The stage is set for Super Bowl 59 and all the bets to come. That means now is the perfect time to upgrade to an action pro subscription. It's the only way to get real-time pick alerts from our experts like our guests, like our guests, Chris Raybon and Sean Kroener, plus all the tools you need to turn a profit betting in 2025. Right now, new subscribers can get $40 off a year of ActionPro at Actionnetwork.com slash SB. That's $40 off for the full year.

So you'll be covered for the Super Bowl, March Madness, baseball, NBA, and even next college football and NFL season. Don't wait, visit Actionnetwork.com slash S-B to get $40 off. Action Pro. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, name?

Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to a podcast. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys?

I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. We were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas.

And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and Friends.

Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Jared Adano. You might know me as that loud guy who yells out, help on the internet.

Help! Somebody! Please! But there's so much more to me than that. I'm an actor. I'm a comedian. And recently, I've become quite the helper myself. And on my new podcast, Hope from a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with my soul.

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Cream a chicken suit. Hey, cream. Cream a chicken suit. This is help from a hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to Help from Hippocrat as part of the Mike Coultera podcast network available on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Will Ferrell's Big Money Players and IHart Podcasts presents soccer moms. So I'm Leanne.

Yeah. This is my best friend Janet. Hey. And we have been joined at the hips since high school. Absolutely. Now a redacted amount of years later, we're still joined at the hip. Just a little bit bigger hips, wider. This is a podcast.

We're recording it as we tailgate our youth soccer games in the back of my Honda Odyssey. with all the snacks and drink. Sidebar. Why did you get hard seltzer instead of beer? They had a bogo. Well, then you got it. Do you want a white color or something here? Just take it.

What are y'all doing? Microphones? Are you making a rap album? Oh, I would. Come on. I would buy it. Cuts through the defense like a hot knife through sponge cake. That sounds delicious.

Oh, you're lucky. I'm not a drug addict. You're lucky I'm not an alcoholic. You are. You are. I'm not a killer. I love this team, and I'm really. trying to be a figure in their lives that they can rely on.

Oh. Listen to soccer moms on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Here's a prop. I'd like everyone's opinion on this. Here's a prop. Nick Giffin raised when he was on with Simon and I last week and then also discussed on Propa Palooza Part 1 that he did with Grant Nefer. And I know like in the touchdown projections,

Kerner, Xavier Worthy, has consistently been undervalued. So what about a Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown, plus under five and a half receptions, which Nick Giffin loved when we were discussing it last week? Yeah, anything Nick Giffin does, I approve. I love the idea because, I mean, Worthy can score a touchdown with a design rush attempt. So he already has a clear path to do this.

But I think, yeah, his reception prop is also a bit high. He's explosive. So, yeah, I think it makes a ton of sense. And of course, Nick came up with that. That's a genius idea. Yeah, it's completely contrary, right? Because also there's a lot of conversations. Like, Xavier Worthy is going to be Simon.

I don't even know if you've noticed this. Like Xavier Worthy is going to be one of those players who people want to bet on MVP that isn't Jalen Hurts, Saquan Barkley, Patrick Mahomes. right? Because that's what always happens. You want to bet on that receiver, you know, who has longish odds, who's the recipient of all the passes as a contrarian play to the quarterback who is most likely to win it. Could be. Also, I don't hate it just because we've already seen the Eagles as good as they are. They do have some guys that are young and experienced. And you saw that with Terry McLaren, right? One miss tackle and he broke it. And the same could be same. He's

here with Worthy. It's like the type of defense that, yeah, if you make one guy miss the way the Eagles play aggressive, especially with their safeties, he could easily break one. But we've seen the Eagles, they have some really great corners. So, you know, if they put Quine on Mitchell on him, his night might be over. And then you're good to go, though. You got the one catch rate touchdown and this comes through. So I definitely love the mind game of this one where it's like, Anya Reed will find a way to get this guy the ball, but it's all about the matchup. So he gets the wrong corner on him. He just won't get the touches. So yeah, that feels a little hot to me, honestly, having him over five and a half receptions.

It's the attack the Eagles, you attack the middle of the field, right? We've seen that with the tight ends these last couple weeks. So interesting that that's that high. That was at about 4 to 1 last week when Giffin talked about it on the show. Ray Bonn, you and Stuckey talked a little bit about Dallas Goddard on the Action Network podcast on the six-pack. Stucky's been making bank on Dallas Goddard during the playoffs. Do you have any thoughts on his reception? totals, which are getting kind of

high and on his yardage totals, again, he's been a guy who throughout the playoffs, every winner to action has been betting. What do you like or not like about his current prices? So I think his reception prop is

too high. Like, you're betting him to get five catches. There's a lot of ways that that could backfire, you know, Eagles explosive plays in either facet that are not Dallas Goddard. Eagles to just have one of those games where they pass on their, you know, like 25 times, which is a very common thing for them.

There's a lot of ways that could go wrong. So I would rather go with the yardage because I think the chiefs, they've given up the most yards to tight ends. Like that's, they struggle with tight ends. Gaudert's the most likely to get a matchup on the weakest chiefs defender on the fields, whoever that might be, Bolton, you know, whoever in coverage. So I think the yardage is better. but and going back to the worthy thing, I think what's interesting with Worthy is,

and the reason why his reception number is higher is because Andy Reid loves screens in the postseason into two games, Worthy's had five screens thrown to him total. Those are usually free catches, but he's actually only caught three of the five. Usually you're expecting him to catch five of the five. So I think that's why the books are, you know,

at that five and a half number for Worthy, but five, six catches is a lot. It's easier to get when you get screens, but Goddard to get five is that's kind of a stretch. You know, I think the median is closer to four. But so I would go yardage if I'm trying to back Goddard at this point. Yeah. What's interesting about those screens and it speaks to what you talked about earlier, Raybon, is what the chiefs have done is turn themselves into a quick passing screen,

long handoff offense. Maybe it's because of how they're being. been played downfield, but also because I think Andy Reid is just trying to account for that that is offensive line. Yeah. It's just completely trash. There's nothing else he can do. Yeah.

And he has some speed now. He has some speed at the receiver positions with Brown and Worthy. So now they can make it work. I mean, if you think about their receiving core, Hopkins, Juju and Markey's Brown, like, they're kind of like afterthoughts. But like these guys are all like 1,000 yard, you know, former number one receivers, not even that long ago. And then we're these kind of the key cog.

So they have enough pieces now to kind of make it work with the quick game. Yeah, but when you name all those players, Hopkins, J.J. Brown, and you compare them to A.J. Brown, Devante Smith. Like, there's so many places in this game where the roster is overwhelmingly talent-wise in favor of the Eagles. the only thing the Chiefs have happens to be the two most important things, Andy Reed and Patrick Mahomes. Yeah, because even Spags, Spags and Fangio. I mean, Fangio is no Spags, but he's up there. He's up there.

Oh, no. Listen, to me, this game is about Spags, Reed, and Mahomes. That's why you bet on the Chiefs at the end of the day. I want to get into the sides and the totals a little bit, you know, at the end before we get out of here. but Krenner, give me your next best prop. Yeah, so I'm going to go with this. Will any player have 100 plus rushing yards? I'm going to go with no at plus 210.

And obviously, Sequin Barkley is a serious threat to this prop. I'm pretty much in line with his rushing yard prop. I have it around 110. I agree with Raybon earlier saying, you know, it could be a little bit high still. But at the end of the day, I'm giving him around a 50. 58% chance or, you know, minus 140 to clear 100 yards. But if he stays under that, like, who the hell else is going to clear this number?

Both quarterbacks have rushing upside. But neither one has cleared 100 yards of the season. The last time either one has cleared it was Jalen Hertz back in week 12, three seasons ago, back in 2022. You know, Cream Hunt might need 30 plus carries to clear 100 yards. So I'm showing about, you know, a 5% chance. chance a non-Barkley player clears 100 yards. But if you think about it, like that 5% of the time,

most of the time, like, Barclay is also clearing 100 yards. So, you know, in that situation, you'd have two players clear 100 yards. So in my SIM, I have it closer at about, you know, 61% chance. We do see a player probably Saquan Barkley clear it. So I have the fair price of no player closer to, you know, plus 155. to not clear 100 yards. So I'm showing quite a bit of value on this no at plus 210 right now. I am not surprised at all that the pattern we are seeing develop here is lower rushing totals,

which is in line with expectations the chiefs are doing something to put the Eagles in a disadvantageous position where they have to come back. Ray Bonn, what's your last bet? So I actually think that the theme is just offensive numbers in general are inflated. So for this one, I'm going with combined passing touchdowns for both teams under two and a half at plus 150. And this may seem scary, but if you look at the Eagles playoff games, under two and a half passing touchdowns combined has hit in all three. They've had two exactly in each. Kansas City even had a playoff game where they only had one combined passing touchdown in that Houston game.

So four out of the five playoff games between these two teams thus far, you've gone under this number. And then you look at it for the season. And Kansas City, about 7 of 18 and the Eagles 11 of 18. So it's about a 50-50 shot. So I think this should be a lot closer to even money. I have it at about plus 125 fair odds. So I bet this to about plus 130 here. But just going off to pass data, it's about even money.

And if you look at Hertz, one or fewer passing touchdowns, 11 of 18 starts. He has no three touchdown game. So Mahomes has about four. So he could ruin it. But there's a very good chance that with the Eagles red zone defense strength and, you know, the way the Eagles like to do, business with the touch push and whatnot, that you stay under its number. And I think it's being undervalued here because who wants to bet under two and a half touchdowns with passing touchdowns

with my homes, but nobody. So yeah, give me under two and a half combined passing touchdowns at plus 150. Well, also, this is perfectly correlated to your first prop, which is over one and a half field goals by the chiefs. If you believe that the chiefs will kick more than one and a half field goals, then part of you has to believe the Patrick Holmes is not going to throw multiple touchdown passes, which makes this a perfect combination. And he could also run. He's running a lot more. You know, he showed he'd even, you know, take a designed run around and go on.

So there's a lot of different, a lot of different outs. But yeah, in general, I think offensive numbers are are inflated in the market. And, you know, probably waiting to closer to the end of the week, some of the other prop shows will do to do some player props because those are going to keep going up. but that's kind of the theme for, I think both of us is just kind of finding these inflated offensive numbers pass or run. I love this play too because both these teams play a certain style on offense, which is super conservative and safe.

And we know the deal. When you get in the red zone, that literally can kill the game, right? If you make a red zone turnover. So one of my favorite bets are correlates with this is Eagles over one and a half rushing touchdowns. It's minus 130, a lot of books. I'm seeing Beth 365 is already up to minus 140. I still love that price for that prop, just because.

I think Eagles, you've seen it time and time again, like it can be second and eight, third and eight, and the Eagles are running on that down. If they can just get it to two yards and they usually think the defense will drop back. So I think there's a lot of opportunity to play in that. And I agree with Chris that, you know, both these teams, when they do get down there, they do play conservative. Like they just don't want to turn the ball over. That's just both been their ammo because they just believe in both their defenses. So I do love this play. And there's a lot of ways to correlate it with a lot of other props. Well, look, these are all props that, are tending towards a game in which we expect it to go under.

And that under now is anywhere from 48.5 to 49 and a half. Most places 48.5, that 365 is still at 49.5. I guess in any other game, it makes sense. But if you look at the past Super Bowls, the second half, four, five, six touchdowns scored with the Chiefs. all in games other than that Bucks game, where I think they were losing by a touchdown, by 10 points. How do we factor in the explosive nature of sort of unexpected outcomes in a Super Bowl?

Simon. I mean, it's tough to say. Like, a lot of the players that talk about it say it's because of the halftime, right? They're not used to going from 10 minute half time to 30 minute half time. And that's just, you know, the human element of that, that's a big deal, right? That's a lot of really high adrenaline, especially heading to the game, the first half. And now you're just relaxing for 30 minutes. And to me, both these teams should know how to handle that right.

I mean, they were literally played against each other just two years ago. And like to your point, the Chiefs, they've been the best team. I mean, maybe, I mean, I guess Tom Brady was great at it too, but they're incredible second half. I mean, every time Mahomes is down, you know, 10 points or whatever going to halftime in the Super Bowl, he comes out on fire. And even that Eagles game, you go back and watch it. I think he scored three straight touchdowns and then kicked a field goal at the end to win it all.

So yeah, that's an interesting point you bring up, Chad. It's clearly affected the defense is more so than the offense. We've seen both teams usually come out on fire in the second half rather than the first half. The first half total right now, I'm just checking here in the Action Network app, is 24, 23 and a half

or 24 and a half depending on where you look. Does anybody have an opinion on the first half total knowing there might be some kookiness in the second half? And for the record, like luck rankings,

Kroener, we had Nick on, there is no advantage luck rankings-wise in this game for the total or the side for that matter. Yeah, yeah, I do tend to lean towards the under here. We've been talking about it.

Both teams play pretty methodically. They run the ball a ton. Maybe we won't see a Sequin-Barkley 60 plus yard rushing touchdown here, and it actually takes them, you know, seven or eight more plays to score if they do. But yeah, I'm leaning towards the under. That's an interesting take to just take the first half down under. I might consider that, especially, you know, a number like 24. If you can get that key number, I think that makes a ton of sense.

but I think if anything, yeah, I'll be on the under here. All right. Well, that's what was going to be my next question. Raybon, I know where you stand. Tell the listeners, tell the viewers your opinion on the side, total, winning team, whatever it is. Yeah, I think the chiefs are the right side. I think the Eagles have the better roster. I do agree with that.

But I look at the way Spagnolo has been able to skis. against top rushing attacks in the last two Super Bowls. Just, you know, like those are bad Kansas City run defenses that he used, you know, kind of disguises. And he just kind of pulled different things out of his hat. You keep thinking he's going to, you know, run out of ways. And he keeps figuring it out. And I think the real key match up here is, like, I think Sequin will get his, you know,

like as he has old year. Like, you're not going to fully stop Seqon. So, but I think the key for Spags is he can do a lot of things pre-snap that just makes Jaywin Hurt's thing. you know, a lot of different looks, blitz is from all over the place, switching into different fronts in the run game and, you know, coverage-wise, that you're going to challenge Hertz to make checks at the line of scrimmage over and over. And he's gotten better at that, but still, I wouldn't say he's, you know, up there yet.

So I think that's really the key. And on the other side, I think we saw that the, even the commanders move the ball against the Eagles. It was just the turnovers they couldn't overcome. You know, you're not going to probably get that with the chiefs. I would be surprised if the chiefs turn it over more than maybe once, if that. And so you're going to be able to just kind of dink and dunk and you'll probably have to kick some field goals. But at the end of the day, I trust fags and I trust my home.

So rolling with the chiefs minus one and a half. And if you want to take like an exact, like the last two Super Bowls have been exactly three points in favor of the chiefs too. So you can you can take like an exact or, but I wouldn't, I wouldn't, hesitate to kind of take something in that real like chiefs by one to six or something like that too turner uh you you hinted under give a strong opinion about anything uh well i tend to i'm gonna have like you know 15 to 20 props so i kind of see what what i'm going to be rooting for and what correlates and whatnot but um i'll probably pass on you know the side but i think yeah the under

uh waiting to see i'm curious do you guys think it'll go back up go down, but I feel like waiting on the under would make sense because you're going to get more money to come in towards the end. So just trying to time what the best number would be. Maybe like you just recommended looking at the first half, but I feel like when you're waiting for the under, you can just kind of see if the market will go up once we get a little bit more public money in on the over. Yeah, Simon, I'm curious your thoughts on that. Yeah, and I'll just start with Chris's point. Either team to win by exactly three right now on Beth 365. Yes. is plus 400.

So that's a nice exact deal bet. And, you know, we've seen Mahomes, you know, other than that crazy overtime, usually likes to win these games by three, right? That's their MO. They play the clock. They let it run. And they kick the field and they win. Or if they're up by three, they'll just run the clock out.

So, yeah, it's a pretty good number right now over at Beth365. Yeah, my view of a chat was I was with Sean. I thought I could be patient on this total. And, you know, I'm having a good time where the. weekend I get a message that some respected money was coming in on the under and a lot of books were about to move it. I had to run around try to find as many 49 and a half so I could and it's gone. Like I know you just said you think it's at Beth 365. I think it's just a glitch on our app, but I'm looking at their book right now. It's 49. So. Oh, really? Okay. If you could still find

the 49.5, I'd definitely grab it. It is a key number. But it's pretty insane. The books took a stand on this just because Sean just broke it down. Like all the money, right? now early is on the over that's gonna be four times the amount come Sunday like the Joe public betters they haven't really bet this game yet they're they're just you know waiting until that next paycheck come on Friday and they'll lay it into this Super Bowl year so to me if you missed a 40 and a half be patient like the books yeah they might move it through the key number of 8 48 and a half but i would be shocked just because they have no need to like the amount of money pouring in right now in the over it just has to offset this professional money that is coming on

under. So yeah, I would say if you miss the the 4.9.5 be patient. I do believe we'll go back because right now it's it's overwhelming the out of money right now on the over. So the fact they have moved at a couple 48 and a half to a couple of respected books. It is pretty shocking. All right. So many more Super Bowl props from Raybon from Cronner from Nick Giffin from Grant Nefer for our final two pack of Super Bowl prop live shows. is tomorrow, February 5th, there'll be another tandem of 30-ish-minute live shows on the Action Network YouTube channel.

Try to catch these lives. The numbers get crushed. They just do. Like, I couldn't watch live last week. I was traveling. By the time I could listen to the show, trying to get some of these numbers, not that easy.

So listen live if you can and good luck if you can't. Just like last week, part one will be at 4 p.m. Eastern with Nick and Grant, Part 2 with Raybon and Curner at 6 p.m. Once again, Wednesday's Super Bowl prop shows, 4 p.m. Eastern, 6 p.m. Eastern Action Network YouTube page. Want to make extra money daily from your sports betting? Simon knows I'm always trying to find ways to take sports betting to the next level. That's why I'm excited to tell you about Edge Boost,

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They've got built-in tools. to help you stay responsible, and there are absolutely no hidden fees or minimum required balances. Stop leaving money on the table. Visit edgeboost.bet today to learn more and sign up. That's edgeboost.com. I got to say, I used it, used it this past week. Not only was it super easy, but then I did get the cash back in my account. It was great. I was so excited. Hey, it's us, the Jonas brothers. And guess what? We have some big news. What's the news?

Huge news. We created our own podcast called Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special.

So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast,

where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy,

Not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends, me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Joe Dono. you might know me as that loud guy who yells out,

help on the internet. Help! Somebody! Please! But there's so much more to me than that. I'm an actor. I'm a comedian. And recently, I've become quite the helper myself. And on my new podcast, Hope from a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with my sage advice

and thoughtful solutions. Sike! I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff rant and recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to man. If I'm calling you, even if you're on your phone, let it ring twice. One ring is too scary.

Cream a chicken suit. Hey, cream. Cream a chicken suit. This is Help from a Hypocrat, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to Help from Hypocrat as part of the MyCultura Podcast Network available on the I-Hart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. What's up, fam? It's Isaiah Thomas. And I'm C.J. Toledano and our podcast, Point Game is about defining the odds. Like LeBron heading into the playoffs without Luca and Austin Reed.

And finding ways to win no matter what. He's the smartest player to ever play the game. His IQ is at a level that we've never seen before. And he knows. Without Luca and Austin Reeves, I got to manipulate the game. We get a player's perspective on the challenges of the playoffs. I think Joker's going to be exhausted this series because when they don't have Rudy in the lineup, he has to really guard guys like Nas Reid. He has to guard Julius Randall.

And then he has to give us everything he gives us on the night-to-night basis on offense. And when IT's friends stop by, like Quentin Richardson, we dive into some playoff history too. Steve Nash would get that thing. That man, hell get the flying. He run up the court, licking his fingers why he got the ball. Like, after you go through a training camp with that, Isaiah, you figure it out real quick. Get your ass up and down the court, and you're going to get the ball. So listen to Point Game on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. We had announced after the conference championship games that we were doing our Super Bowl 59, get your prop on the board at Bet365 contest.

This is a contest that I started back in my ESPN days when we were doing the Behind the Betts podcast with bookmaker Bob Scootie who ran all the Boyd Gaming casinos. as the bookmaker back in Las Vegas, and he was the regular co-host for the show, both when I was at ESPN and in the early days of the favorites here with action. And Scooch would open it up. We'd have listeners send in their quippiest, yet bedable props,

and Scooch would put him on the board, Bet365 carries on the tradition. We had so many entries. Matt Mitchell, you're going to give us some honorable mentions and the finalists. Stick around and you'll get an interview that me and Simon did with the winner of the contest. Matt Mitchell.

Hot damn. This is fun. Thank you, Chad. I will note before I begin this that this began so long ago, I can remember listening to these episodes at my normal, terrible 9 to 5 human job. And I would submit every year. And mine might have been the worst of all. So like I do want to stress that my selections here of what I, what I liked and what I submitted to,

uh, to bet three, six five is not a judgment on those that did not make it. I'm sure they were far better than the ones that I did 10 years ago. Okay. First of all, I want to call out to that played into the hands of our sponsor, Tommy John,

who again is in no way affiliated with this, but it was good pandering and I, and I love good pandering. Uh, the first is Sam householder who's, Prop was big sacks, total sacks over under three and a half. And our beloved super fan, Chloe, Chris Acopoulos, give me that D, which was Devante Smith, D. Andre Hopkins,

and the big D himself, Dallas Goddard, all over their receiving yards. That is outstanding. Yep. So no big sacks or give me that D. You're free to bet those yourself under whatever title you'd like. Okay. Oh, good. So now here are the official honorable mention.

So these were ones that just missed the cut of being submitted to Bet365. Also from our friend Chloe, go go Goddard. Dallas Goddard, five or more catches, 60 or more yards, a touchdown and Super Bowl MVP. This one from Peers Eaton. This is Big City Lights. One touchdown reception each for Hollywood, Brown, Dallas, Goddard, and Paris, Campbell. little play on the three of their names. That's fantastic. Yeah, pretty good. Pretty good way. It's a shame that Paris Campbell's like non-viable entity in the playoffs, but it's very clever.

Points for being clever. Michael Freeberg had two that play into the storyline that it is both Saquan Barkley and Cooper Dijin's birthday on Super Bowl Sunday. First is the Eagles birthday bash, Sequin, two touchdowns, and a Cooper interception. And this one, which I found, very clever. Seekwans, 28. Seekwan to record 28 rush plus receiving yards in each quarter. Ooh, that is good. Yeah.

We have a, oh, this was Gideon Martin. I'm sorry, Gideon, that you did not win, but you did submit two that I really enjoyed. First is winning Hertz, losing Hertz. Eagle's money line, Hertz does not win MVP. And one of my very favorites. a return from whence ye came, Carson Wentz to attempt a pass. Oh, well, look, that was a big one.

Raybon and Stuckey had a long conversation about, you know, would someone other than a quarterback attempt a pass? I feel like we should have gotten, maybe we can get Bet365 to do an alternative one just for that, because that's pretty good. And that's going to be one that I think a lot of people would be interested in. Dave, health. submitted fail to the Chiefs. The Eagles win on a go-ahead score

with under 13 seconds remaining in regulation. Ah. All special fuck you to me, the person reading it. So thanks Dave. It's true. Stephen Contreras, another great one. Obi-Wan Mahomi and Kwan Solo, Seqwan and Mahomes to combine

for 400 plus passing rushing and receiving yards. Well, that one feels really interesting. Kerner and Raybon, can you do top of your head projections? Saquan, you both have between 105 and 110 rushing. Mahomes, I don't know what you have for his passing yardage. About 240, 240, 250. So that would be about 360.

It's Mahomes plus Berkeley? Yeah, and then you have about 30 rushing for Mahomes. That's 390. and then another like 10, 15 receiving for, yeah. So I guess the median would be around 400-ish. That's incredible. I wonder how much research, because, you know, it was fun about these back in the day.

People would send research. They would send spreadsheets. They would send images about how they were doing it. So I wonder if this guy went back and did a lot of research because people usually do that. It's fascinating. Oh, I still got 9,000 page emails with people showing me their math. And I want to be like, I can't stress this enough.

Bet365 will do the math. You don't need to do the math. They're not going to take your word for on how this should be priced. I love it. It's great. This one is very important. Before I get to our six finalists, I do want to congratulate longtime listener, Brian Goldberg and his son, Gerald, who I think of every time I let one of you use extended profanity. Sorry, earmuffs, Gerald.

But I want to thank you because your submission allowed me to go on this quick, rant. This one was called pick licks, L-I-X. Will there be a pick-six in Super Bowl L-I-X? And I just want to say that probably the simplest example of the decline of American sports in general and our descent into academic and artistic malaise more specifically can be found in the NFL's treatment of their beloved Super Bowl logo and what used to be our annual national embrace of Roman numerals, because we used to have original designs for each of these Super Bowls. Everyone on this show is old enough to remember those. They were incredible.

They were bright and they were original. They represented a time and a place, which is kind of what the Super Bowl is. Every season's its own thing. But then because the NFL is, you know, a multi-billion dollar organization run with the artistic vision of a Connecticut law firm, it's now delivered like a decade and a half of the most soulless paint by number monstrosities. of a logo, but worst of all, they've encouraged the use of normal non-Roman numerals throughout the media, which you'll never see in the description of one of these podcasts. And people will complain,

well, I don't know Roman numerals. That's the whole goddamn point, is every year you get a brief lesson on Roman numerals, your dad explains them to you, or a trusted adult or a Roman, and you learn a little bit about it, and we say, isn't that kitsy and fun? And then we go back to using regular ass numbers for everything else. So I just wanted to thank you, the Goldbergs, for letting me go on that free frame. Yeah, thanks, Goldbergs. That was really great.

Okay, now, who are six finalists? These were submitted to Bet365, and their trading team selected the winner. Number one, Damien Glick, who was one of at least 40 people to submit a prop called Hertz So Good, aka the Mellon Camp. This one was Jalen Hertz,

250 plus yards, 50 plus rushing yards, 2 plus passing touchdowns, a rushing touchdown, Eagles Money Line, and Hertz MVP. So basically the Hertz so good is the Jalen Hertz career game.

The second most common title is from Pierce Eaton, who had the best version of it, which is all Barclay, no bite, Sequin Barclay, 15 or more rush attempts under 100 yards rushing,

no touchdowns, which I felt like a very Sean and Chris style prop. Yes, totally. They basically just gave that. Yeah. Number three, from John Revy, O'Say-Quan UC,

Sequan rushing yards versus the National Anthem length in seconds, as Seyquan's total is currently at 1, 15 and a half, somewhere around there, and national anthem is somewhere around 120, 120 seconds. So a very good prop, very cleverly named.

Number four, Ray Hogan, the three-peat three-fer, the chiefs to three-peat by exactly three points on their third successful field goal in the last three minutes of regulation. Big time play. Look at this. Unbelievable. Number five from someone just called Lestief.

This is the three cheat, Philly to have three or more accepted penalties than the Kansas City Chiefs. Ah, I get it. I get it. The favoritism. Indeed. Indeed. All right. Our last one, which will be revealed in full in the interview you're about to hear between Chad and the winner, Jason Seidey, I will tease, but we'll tell you that as a reminder, to find this winning submission and bet it yourself.

just go to Bet365 and look under Super Bowl 50 specials. You will find this bet and loads more just like it. Again, Bet365 under Super Bowl 50 specials. And now I'll turn it to you, Chad. All right. It's time to reveal the winner of our Get Your Prop Up on Bet365's Super Bowl Big Board contest. I feel like this prop. I don't want to reveal it yet.

But I know that. this prop and its name is something that you can appreciate. I'm hoping it's Eagles related then. It will be Eagles related. Let's bring in, let's bring in the winner of the prop contest. His name is Jason Seidy from Claremont, Florida. He is a control systems guru at Universal Studios in Orlando. Jason, congrats. Welcome to the show, brother. Hey, guys, thank you. I'm happy to be Here. Where does this honor rank, do you think, in sort of your history of awards and accomplishments? Let's see. Besides the birth of my daughter and marrying my wife, it is right behind that at number three. Those are barely two things that Mike qualify as being better than this. I do want you to reveal the name of the prop and tell people what it is. And then I want to get into how you thought of it and all that kind of good stuff. But let's reveal the name of the prop that people can go bet at Bet365 right now.

Yeah, so the prop name is always runny in Philadelphia. And the prop is for the Eagles that have over 280 rushing yards. Which would be a Super Bowl record, right? Which would be a Super Bowl record. And right now at Bet365, I think you can get that. I think it's a plus 1,600. You can get that at Bet365. Simon, an always sunny prop.

That might be the most apt prop we've ever had for this show. If life pushes you down, you've got to push back. If you're dealt a bunch of lemons, you've got to take those lemons and stuff them down somebody's throat until they see yellow. Especially where that's an amazing record. I had no idea it was that many rushing yards. So I definitely love the play. 16 to 1, come on. Give us 20 to 1.

Better get us better odds to you. But yeah, I love that play. You know, it's funny. We felt like those were pretty good, given the circumstances. Jason, how did you think of the prop? Well, so, I mean, a good problem. really needs three things, right? You need the catchy name. You need something you can't really bet as like a normal bet. Third thing, you need to have something that's, you know, it's probably

going to have plus odds because, as you both say, the book is not your friend. They are here. That is true. I'm definitely going to be betting this because that's the best way for the Eagles to win right now is for say it wanted to be running. So I'm being happily going to be making this bet chat, especially at those odds. As you and I have both said for the past couple weeks, we're on the chiefs year. So the best way to invest in the Eagles at a high return with relatively low investment is a bet like this because it does mean the Eagles are dominating the game. Jason, do you have a betting interest in the game? I have a Super Bowl ticket on the Eagles, so I will be rooting for the Eagles. One thing with this, so I was looking at the Eagles box

scores this year. They've hit this number twice, first time in the regular season against the Rams and then they hit it again in the playoffs against the Rams. I'm hoping the chiefs also can't stop Sake Juan. How long you've been betting? I've been playing poker for a long, long time. And so, you know, a sports gambling, you know, was right along with that. So, you know, since I was a kid, probably. Awesome. Well, listen, we're thrilled you submitted it. There were great entries. This was the runaway hit. Matt Mitchell, you know, he's the arbiter of all these things. And it takes a to make Mac Mitchell laugh a little bit and be tickled. Do you think it would kill you to say good job, Matt?

So Jason Seidy, Claremont, Florida, always runny in Philadelphia, plus 1,600 on Bet365 right now. Thanks for listening to The Favorites. Thanks for playing the contest. I hope this cash is. I hope you make bank on Super Bowl Sunday. Thank you, guys. I appreciate it. As a reminder, the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet365.

And now new bet 365 customers get $150 in bonus bets when you bet $5. Sign up using promo code favorites. Deposit $10. Place a bet for $5 to get $150 in bonus bets. Those bonus bets can be used on spreads, totals, player, props, futures, and more. Whatever the moment, it's never ordinary at bet 365 must be 21 or older and present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or 18 and older in Kentucky, gambling problem called 1,800 gambler,

1,800 bets off in Iowa. terms, conditions, restrictions apply. Simon and I will return with our next episode of the favorites on the Action Network YouTube page 11 a.m. Eastern Thursday to talk our Super Bowl best bets with Brandon Anderson. Download us from Spotify, Apple Pods. Wherever you get your pods, rate, review, subscribe. Leave us five stars. Say whatever you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time, love you. Action Network reminds you. Please gamble responsibly.

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We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to our first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.

Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes.

Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-HeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. I'm Joey Dardano, and on my new podcast, Hope from a Hypocrite, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with thoughtful solutions. Sike, I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant,

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