The Herd with Colin Cowherd - What's Wright - Best Of - Brock Purdy & 49ers SUPER BOWL bound? Stafford vs. Maye MVP, NFL Week 18 Picks

Episode Date: January 4, 2026

All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet.  Nick Wright breaks down the Matthew Stafford vs. Drake Maye MVP debate, and what's wrong with it, after the New England Patriots' second-year QB became the favorite over the Los Angeles Rams veteran following Week 17. Later, Nick shares his thoughts on Brock Purdy's hot streak and whether the San Francisco 49ers are a serious Super Bowl threat besides an injury-plagued defense. Next, Nick shares his best bets for Week 18 of the NFL season. #VolumeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.

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Have a great day. Hi Heart Radio. Hey, it's Edwin Castro, also known as Castro 1021. And I'm Conky, his best friend and business manager. And we've got a new show called The 1021 Podcast. I'm taking you behind the scenes on how I became one of Twitch's most popular streamers. We also love sports. And with the World Cup right around the corner, we'll be breaking down the biggest

storylines ahead of the big tournament here in the USA. Listen to the 1021 podcast on the I. IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the best of the week for What's Right with Nick Wright. The best takes and moments from this week on the show. Enjoy. All right, so Bejohn rolled through the Rams last night in the upset. Stafford messed himself up a little bit, dropped to number two in MVP.

He's at plus 300. Drake Mays now at minus 450 after his three interceptions. How do you think last night impact? the MVP race. So I think last night, Drake May won the MVP, and I do not like that at all. And it is not because I don't like Drake May. I said on this show and on the TV show two months ago that there aren't five guys in the league. I'd rather have it quarterback than Drake May.

And that's not just moving forward. That is right now this moment. I think he is, I've been. telling Wilds all year how legit, how much I do believe in Drake May. And he is having an unbelievable season. And it is not as if him winning MVP, I would find it to be a travesty or an outrage. That's not my issue at all. My issue is MVP has slowly started.

started to turn into December player of the month amongst the MVP candidates. And I don't like that. We saw this, there have been, listen, 2018 MVP Mahomes was a no-brainer, he ran away with it. 2019 MVP, Lamar was a no-brainer, he ran away with it. 2020, it was a two-man race, Rogers and Mahomes. I thought it should have been Mahomes. Rogers won it.

There was no issue with that. That was two great candidates. You know, Mahomes rested at the end of the year. Rogers won it. Fine. 2021, Rogers and Brady. It was a legitimate argument. Rogers won.

And 2022, Mahomes, ran away with it. There was no question. Those MVP's were relatively easy. 2023 was the first year I saw this phenomenon happen, which was there wasn't a clear-cut favorite throughout the year. And then in December, two MVP, there were, there were, games amongst the MVP candidates, Dak, Purdy, and Lamar. And if I have it correct,

and I'm going to double check to make sure, Dak law, I thought Dak, you know, I thought Christian McCaffrey had the best argument for MVP that year, but it doesn't really matter. Like, that's not the point. Dak played poorly in a December game to Buffalo. And people were like, well, he's out. now it's between Lamar and Brock Purdy,

and then Lamar and the Ravens annihilated the Niners in Purdy. And it was just like, oh, okay, Purdy's out, now it's Lamar's MVP, that's that. And we ended up that year giving MVP to a guy. And again, this is not anti-Lamar, I promise, because if we didn't get, Lamar had a better case last year than he did the year before. But Lamar in 2023 was 15th in the NFL in passing yards and 11th in the NFL in passing touchdowns. And while he had an awesome passer rating, it was fourth in the league.

He did not have MVP numbers, but he had the MVP December, and so he won it. And then last year, Lamar had been the MVP really all year long, but Josh Allen had the moment against the Chiefs, the six touchdown game in a loss to the Rams, and he had the finishing surge, and because of that, he was the MVP. And this year, from start to finish, Matt Stafford's been the MVP of the league.

If we look at, if you take this season to Monse and put the 16 games each guy is played, and you reorder them randomly, and you do that 100 different times with 100 different orders as far as the order of the games, and then stack up the MVP seasons. I think Stafford wins MVP, 85 out of 100 of those reordered seasons. But because week 17, Drake May throws five touchdowns, and week 17, Stafford has one of his two bad games that he's had all year, It's now going to be betting wise, it's over. And conventional wisdom wise, Drake May won the award.

Even though Stafford is thrown for more yards, has thrown for 12 more touchdowns, has taken 25 fewer sacks. They have the same number of interceptions. Now, Drake may is a slightly higher passer rating. He's got one more game too. No. They play the same number of games. No, I'm saying, okay, yeah, fair enough.

What do you mean? I guess they've both played their week 17 game. I was going to say they've got one more game. It's not locked up. But going into the T yesterday, I would have easily given it to Stafford. The pigs makes it confusing. No, I mean, they both have a,

they both have a week 18 game. By the way, do my lights just get really weird? Oh, like Jesus. Okay, can I fix that? I don't know how the hell that happened. I'm going to keep talking to you guys. Oh, now it's better. I don't even know what I didn't even touch anything

I don't know what just happened that was really weird I looked like I was glowing for a moment the bright lights is not a good look for me I need the very just regular warm lighting um no I I just don't it feels to me like MVP is slowly moving towards

who's hottest at the end of the year and I don't love that and I just think Stafford and this is where I do think when it comes to league MVP, it's totally fair to pick NITS. I think the fact that Stafford has done it in the league's toughest division against a brutal schedule where they have played Houston, Philly, the Niners, Jacksonville, the Niners, Seattle, Seattle again, those seven teams, and that's just me listing the teams they have played that have locked into the playoffs, not including games at the time that we thought were big, like indie, Baltimore, Tampa Bay, Carolina, where he didn't play well, Detroit.

Drake May just had his five touchdown game against the Jets. And again, he still, he was, I'm not going to neck that game. He was perfect in it, and I think he's an awesome player. But I just don't love that it feels to me, this is, I guess, my general take. It feels the last three years, this is the way the MVP has been done. The first three months of the year are to determine who the absolutely. actual candidates are. And then the award is given based off who has the best December.

And I don't love that. And it feels like we are. And by the way, Stafford, Thursday night against Seattle, Stafford was unbelievable. That was his second most recent game. They scored 37 points. He threw for 457 yards. He had three touchdowns against that defense.

And now the team blew it at the end. My lights just did that thing again. I don't know what's going on. We're just going to, I think it's a camera thing. They also now drop two in a row. Yes, but I know they dropped two in a row, but one of them was, one of them was a 38, 37. win or 38 37 loss and so i just it is very difficult for and i know drake may had the

great comeback against baltimore i just don't it doesn't sit right with me that it feels like it's becoming a glorified december player of the month so that's where so right now my vote would be for matt stafford uh i don't think you he's going to win it. And I also think we've talked about this all year that, man, it is crazy how thin these margins are in sports. But is there an argument that not tackling Rashid Shaheed on the punt return in the fourth quarter last Thursday night is going to cost Matt Stafford a spot in the Hall of Fame. Maybe.

Because if they win that game and they are sailing to the one seed, I happen to believe if they win that game, they come out more ready to play last night because they know we control our destiny for the one seed rather than being locked out of it as they knew they knew going into last night that they were locked out of the one seed and I think you saw that lack of attention to detail early if they're the one seed and Stafford has the exact same numbers but in a win he is going to win MVP and maybe and they are the huge favorites at that moment to win the Super Bowl now and this now impacts. The Rams are now

DeMonsing in a very interesting spot in this regard. And this impacts whether or not we want to bet them this weekend. Here is the situation for the Rams. If the Niners beat Seattle on Saturday night, the Rams are the six seed, locked into the six seed no matter what they do against Arizona. The six seed means you either going to Chicago or to Philadelphia. Cold weather, January road playoff games.

That is if the Niners beat Seattle, the Rams are locked into the six. If Seattle beats the Niners, then the Rams can be the five seed if they beat Arizona. and so whether or not they have anything to play for will be will depend on what happens Saturday night I still think on a neutral site I like the Rams better than any team in the league but McVe has not and his Rams teams have not been great in cold weather against good teams and their road just got so much harder over the last couple weeks. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet, Florida Sportsbook and the official sportsbook partner of your favorite Florida teams like the Jags, the Jags,

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I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band. Before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast,

where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. This week on Crimless, we're joined by our first ever guest.

Sorry, our first ever human guest. I don't think I could be in the same room with Shamrock the parrot. I'd be too nervous. That's right. The very funny Will Ferrell joins Rory Scovel and me, Josh Dean, for an episode dedicated to the many crimes committed by people also named Will Ferrell. They called to his fellow officer for the nippers. What are the nippers? Very good question. No, I was thinking, would that be a good name for like a salad dressing, simple assault? And it's a play on words, salt?

Maybe not. I say we invest and we see. There's only one way to know. This did not amuse the cops. By the way, normally the cops are amused, but this did not abuse the cops. Will even comes clean about some of his own crimes. I didn't get caught. You know why?

If you don't want to be suspected of anything, you whistle as you walk. Listen to crime lists on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast, or wherever you get your podcast. Keith Giamanka seemed like a might. mild-mannered suburban dad. But secretly, he became someone else, a master of disguise who went on a crime spree. At the time, did it seem like a crazy idea? It seemed very crazy.

But I felt so desperate that I felt it was the quickest, easiest way out. Did you allow yourself to think about how it could go wrong and what that might look like? No. I didn't want to manifest that. I was trying to manifest success. Every family has its secrets. But what happens when you discover that your dad has been living a double life?

That is not the look of an innocent man. This is going to change my life and my family dynamic forever because everything that had existed prior in my reality is now untrue. Listen to Deep Cover the Family Man on the iHeart Radio app, Apple Podcast. or wherever you get your podcasts. Hey, I'm Joe Dono. You might know me as that loud guy who yells out, help on the internet.

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Party, he's peeking 300 yards, three touchdowns without all his guys. He had five touchdowns in the game before. You were going to end the party debate after Back Jones came in earlier in the season, bawled out, you know, assistant quarterback stuff. How close are we to reopening that conversation? I got to say Brock Purdy's looked amazing. He's looked great. Listen, there is no argument.

I mean, he's had back-to-back five touchdowns. Because he had three touchdowns through the air. and two hundred. He's moving out there. He's running. He's been awesome. I, it is maddening to me that we are somehow, I'm just in an endless loop of me making statements that seem unprovable about the Niners quarterback situation, they then get proven and folks still saying I'm wrong. Like that, which is this, the Jimmy, the original statement, Jimmy Garoppolo don't care that he wins, he's not very good. Oh, but look at how he wins. They went to a Super Bowl with him. My statement. I think if you dropped any starting caliber quarterback,

back in his spot with that team, they would perform at that level. You think Matt Jones in the last, in the last two games would have, okay, my back, go ahead. Just hold on. Just wait a second. They then put literally the last pick of the draft in Jimmy Garoppolo's spot. He performs at an even higher level. They go back to a Super Bowl and people are like, see, Nick, you were wrong.

Like, wait, what? Didn't we just saw it? then Brock Purdy has this run prior to this season. They go to the Super Bowl. We were like, give him more credit, Nick. I'm like, I, listen, he was underdrafted. He's clearly a starting caliber quarterback. He might even be good.

But I think most of the credit should go to the Avengers on the team. They're like, well, what do you want? You want to see him do it without those guys? I'm like, well, he probably won't ever have to. But yeah, if he did it without those guys. They then have a season where all those guys are hurt, the team goes in the tank. And I'm like, see, the thing that we didn't think we'd be able,

this is the second time. The thing we didn't think we'd be able to test, we tested, and I was right. We were like, no, it's not fair. This year comes out. He's out for two months. A guy that everyone agrees is not. a good quarterback. Mac Jones steps in. Looks awesome. The team wins. I'm like, oh, another test. And then Purdy comes back is better than that guy and people are like, see, Nick, you're an idiot.

I don't know what people want me to say here. Now, do I think Mac Jones is as good as Brock Purdy? Obviously not. Do I think Mac Jones could have done what Brock Purdy did the last two weeks? No. Do I think Brock Purdy is proving himself to be a pretty good NFL quarterback? And does that surprise me? Yes. All of those things. But all the folks arguing with me two months ago when I said, see, this is why I wouldn't have necessarily paid Purdy $53 million, when you can get that level of production from

Mac Jones, we're quietly agreeing with me, which is why they stopped arguing. with me and now he's on this heater and certainly if he's playing at this level he's worth 50 million dollars i don't think this level is sustainable but he's been great but my biggest thing is is and i know people and i've done it to myself so i'm not whining look at me as a purdy hater. But the other way to look at it is I just want the right people to get credit. And the story of this Niners season is not a Brock Purdy story. He has played half the games. The story of this Niners season is about two people more than anybody. Kyle Shanahan and Christian McCaffrey. McAfrey, who has been a

available and used like a pack mule all year, and Shanahan, who has been in his bag to even by his standards, an insane degree. That's the story of the Niners season. Now, the story of the last two weeks is Purdy has been utterly brilliant, and I give him credit. But I don't, I can't, I, I can't I feel like I'm in a time loop on the Niners quarterback arguments, and I keep throwing out there things that I believe, but I'll never be able to prove, and then somehow we get real-life samples of it. Replace Jimmy Garoppel with Mr. Irrelevant.

See what pretty looks like without his star players. See if you dropped Mack Jones in the Niners' offense, what it would look like. And every single time it looks exactly like I say it would, and then people are like, Nick, you're still wrong. I just, I'm going to lose my mind. All right, go ahead with some follow-ups. You think that Shanahan should win coach of the year at plus 150 at number two and CMC at offensive player of the year at plus 275.

They're both number. Yeah, who's number one for both of those? Because those would be my picks. I think Shanahan's been coached of the year. Oh, you know, Christian McCaffrey should win offense play of the year over JSN. As good as JSN to be. Christian McAfre is the most important non-quarterback in the league. year and brave will favor for the other one no i would give it to shanahan and christian mcalfrey um

the niners they're playing for the one seat on saturday how alive uh for a real run at the title do you think they are and do you think this game should have been a sunday night football game no i'm i'm fine with the win and you're in game being sunday night football the they want raven's steelers rogers lamar it's fine it might not be lamar I think we're going to. It's not, I mean, yeah, we'll get to that. We'll get to the Lamar stuff. Oh, Nick's a hater.

Nick doesn't know what he's talking about. Nick's making things up. I told you so, guys. But let's stay here for a minute. Dude, he's hurt. The, okay, we'll get to it. We'll, we'll get to the Lamar stuff. I don't think the Niners defense should be good enough to win a Super Bowl,

but with the way the offense is playing and the, with the way the offense is playing, and if they win on Saturday, getting the buy and having all the games come through Santa Clara, obviously they've got a great shot at it. I'm shocked by that. and that speaks what I was saying about Shanahan and McCaffrey and how well party's been playing.

All right, let's talk Bears just for a second. After it, Bears, after Atlanta defeated the seat. No, no, no, oh yeah,

on the bear, I'm sorry, I was like what? On the bear side, Caleb had a shot to win at the end, but he came up short. Is this a team that you feel comfortable with bed money on in the playoffs?

Listen, I think there's been a great year for Chicago, and I think that if they win against Detroit and get the two seed, I think they'll beat the Packers in round two in round one. Their defense has just as many questions as the Niners. And while Caleb, I think, was awesome in that game. I don't, I think they're probably a year away from real contention. Now, it doesn't mean they can't do it, but it would surprise.

me. And so if they, now, if they fall to the three and they have to play one of those NFC, either the Niners again, obviously they can win that game, but that would be tough. Or the Rams, I don't think I'd like them. I certainly wouldn't pick them against the Rams, and I might not pick them against the Niners. But this is a great year for Chicago no matter what. The NFC playoff field, just the three NFC West teams, Chicago, and Philly. It's a tough feel. By the way, if you're thinking about upgrading to the all-new iPhone 17 Pro designed to be the most powerful iPhone ever, but you're also thinking about the traffic on your way to the store or transferring all your data. Good news. When you order a new phone online with

Boost Mobile, they'll send an expert to your home. How about that? Or home or work to deliver your brand new iPhone pro and get you set up on Boost Mobile within minutes, no hassle. So I was that you get the new iPhone it comes right to you and a tech comes in get all your stuff transferred get you set up on the network visit boost mobile.com to get started delivery available for select devices purchased at boost mobile dot com terms of course do apply all right damon say five games i'm betting let's go all right riding with your riding with your boy first game you got Tampa bay minus two and a half at carolina or versus Carolina sorry Baker just can't go out like this.

They just can't go. Carolina has been better. Tampa's been one of the worst teams in football for two months, but they're at home. They're laying less than a field goal. To have any chance of making the playoffs, they obviously have to win, and then they have to root for the Saints the next day.

I just don't think Tampa's going to go out this sad. I'll lay the two and a half with Tampa. next Seattle minus one at San Francisco? I don't think the Niners defense, and it's 32nd in the league in sacks, it's going to be able to impact Arnold the way the Rams have been able to get to him at times this year, the way we've seen him when he has struggled. He didn't play well against Carolina, by the way. I think Seattle's better.

I think it makes more sense for Seattle to be the one seed. Seattle, they played early in the year, and Seattle had the ball in week one, had the ball inside the red zone with a chance to seal at the end. Darnal fumbled. I think they get back. I think Seattle gets the one seed. I think Seattle all lay the point.

I think they went. Next. Next, you got Vegas plus five and a half versus Kansas City. They've had to get them every week since the guy's gone down. just, you just can't, I didn't bet against them last week. The, they were, I teased against them, but and they're pushing, but the, the chief's offense right now just can't be five and a half point favorites against anybody. And I'm not saying this is how the chiefs will operate, but what I am saying is this.

The chief's ability to cost the Raiders, the number one overall pick to prevent the Raiders from being able to fix their quarterback problem is legitimately valuable. So it's less about the chiefs improving their draft status and more about the chiefs being able to screw the Raiders where the Raiders, with a loss, get the number one pick. And even if the, I just don't think the Chiefs right now can beat anyone by a touchdown. They can't run the ball. They can't pass the ball.

They can't move the football. And they're on the road. They're not going to have the juice of Arrowhead from last week. I'll take the Raiders plus five and a half. Next. Miami plus 12 at New England. Bavvy. It's just a lot of points.

Mike McDaniel's trying to save his job. And there's usually one week 18 big favorite that needs the game, that all of a sudden it's tied in the fourth quarter. It feels like it might be this one. I know Mike McDaniel has all these awful cold weather. stats, but are those Mike McDaniels stats or are those two of stats? I'm getting 12 points. I'll take Miami plus 12.

And last, we're going to go out on our shield on this one, even though I'm so mad at Aaron Rogers. Next. Pittsburgh plus three and a half versus Baltimore. I don't really care who's playing quarterback for Baltimore in this game, to be honest. A banged up Lamar or Huntley that we saw last week, I'm just like Pittsburgh getting the points. this game is going, someone's winning this game by three.

I don't know who. I'm getting three and a half points. So I'll take Pittsburgh plus three and a half. We know all the Tomlin getting, Tomlin getting points at home divisional games. I mean, I don't know if he's ever lost. So my five picks this week are Tampa, minus two and a half against Carolina,

Seattle, minus one against the Niners, the Raiders, getting five and a half against, Kansas City, Miami getting 12 in New England, Pittsburgh getting three and a half at home against Baltimore. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin.

And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We get to ask other people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions.

Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Every family has its secrets. But what happens when you discover that your dad has been living a double life?

That is not the look of an innocent man. Is everyone lying to me about who they are? I felt such desperation. I felt it was what I had to do. Listen to Deep Cover the Family Man on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Someday into right now with Buddy by Jake Radio, nonstop workout music and expert tips 24-7. Hey, head over to iHeart.com. Search Body by Jake Radio and stream it for free right now. Awesome health and wellness tips 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

Remember, stick to the fight. When your hardest hit, it's when things seem worst that you must not quit. Don't quit. by Jake Radio, where hope meets momentum. Search Body by Jake Radio and stream it for free. Have a great day. I heart radio. I'm Joey Dardano, and on my new podcast, Hope from a Hippocrat, I'll be changing lives, helping people in need with thoughtful solutions.

Sike, I'm a comedian. I'm not qualified to give good advice. Join me and my comedian friends as we riff, rant, recommend some of the most legally dubious advice known to me. This is Help from a Hypocrite, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know. Listen to help from Hippocrite Wednesdays on the IHart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.

This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.