The Herd with Colin Cowherd - What's Wright - Best Of - Shedeur Sanders BLEW IT, NFL Playoff Predictions, Bengals will MISS PLAYOFFS & FIRE COACH

Episode Date: August 31, 2025

Nick Wright reacts to Shedeur Sanders' disappointing preseason performance against the Los Angeles Rams and the impact it had on his competition for the Cleveland Browns' backup QB role with Dillon Ga...briel. Later, Nick shares his win total predictions for the AFC North including why he believes Joe Burrow, Ja'Marr Chase, and the Cincinnati Bengals will miss the playoffs for a third straight year... and this time fire Zac Taylor because of it. Lastly, Nick goes through several NFL teams revealing his favorite bets to make or miss the NFL Playoffs. #VolumeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.
Starting point is 00:00:12 We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Tired and sick.
Starting point is 00:00:26 Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you. you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel. Help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the ice.
Starting point is 00:01:00 Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where SportsSlice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear.
Starting point is 00:01:28 Listen to Sports Slice on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slicelife 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Winning on Clay is an art. The rallies are relentless. And at the French Open, only the toughest survive. I'd know. I competed there for decades. Join me, Renee Stubbs, on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast for no nonsense breakdowns of the biggest matches, the toughest players, and the moments that define Roland Garris.
Starting point is 00:01:55 Jen, she's an outsider to win the French name. and she likes Clay. Listen, Leonard Rabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now, and I actually can win on any surface. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Welcome to the best of the week for What's Right with Nick Wright,
Starting point is 00:02:18 the best takes and moments from this week on the show. Enjoy. Yeah, so Chador's final preseason game was a little shaky. He threw from 14 total yards. Took five sacks, and now Shadour fans are coming out and saying that the team and Kevin Stafansky are conspiring against him. But also, Kenny Pickett just got cut. So, you know, the landscape might have changed up a little. Kenny Pickett traded to the Raiders.
Starting point is 00:02:42 Traded. So the landscape might have changed up over there a little bit. What's the situation looking like for Shadour? All right. Well, listen, he was, he started camp fourth string. He stayed fourth string. He's now third string because one of the strings is on the Raiders. and I'm going to give you the very sober analysis of this, then we're going to talk bigger picture of it,
Starting point is 00:03:06 and then honestly, we are not going to talk about the Cleveland Browns and the quarterback situation again, God willing, for months. Shador could not afford the type of performance he had in the third preseason game. It is as simple as that. When you are a late round pick rookie, you can't have a disastrous performance. You can't. And he did. It was not the coach's fault.
Starting point is 00:03:42 It was not the offensive line's fault. It was he had a bad game flatly. And the reason it is extra concerning is those of us that were scorn. skeptical that he was ever truly a first round talent, we were worried that his bad games would look a lot like that. Like trying to do a little too much with his legs, overestimating his escapeability, and taking those big, deep, long sacks. Shador needed to thread a perfect needle, and he was, by the way, early on in camp. he needed to play well in practice. It looked like he was.
Starting point is 00:04:29 He needed Dylan Gabriel to struggle in practice. He was. He needed to play well in the first preseason game. He did. He needed Gabriel to struggle in the first preseason game. Gabriel didn't even play. So all of that was going best case scenario for Shador to achieve what was the only realistic goal for him this offseason.
Starting point is 00:04:53 season, which was past Dylan Gabriel in the death chart. He was never going to be the Brown starting quarterback in week one. It was always the Brown's plan very clearly was one of the veterans is starting, and then the kids are backing him up. And all of it was going according to plan. Shador then suffered a slight injury, which made him not able to play it all in the second preseason game. Gabriel, then after some really bad practices, played quite well in the second preseason game.
Starting point is 00:05:27 Then in the third preseason game, Gabriel played quite well again, and Shador had a disastrous performance, and that is now that, as far as the quarterback competition goes. That is not conspiratorial. That is not unfair. That is not unjust. That is life in the NFL as a late round draft pick. that is what happened here also Shador fans need to recognize
Starting point is 00:05:55 there's not a team in the league he'd start for not one you're on the team with arguably the worst quarterback situation and he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback okay that is where we're at now is that a death knell for his career no
Starting point is 00:06:17 is do I think he has more potential than Gabriel because of size and pedigree? I do. But if I had to, from what we saw in those preseason games, if in week one, Flacco goes out, you would have to be more comfortable putting Gabriel in. That is what it is. That's not ridiculous. That's not unfair. that's not a vast conspiracy. That is what it is.
Starting point is 00:06:51 The reason I find this story interesting is the reason I find a lot of things interesting is when they are symbolic for a greater problem or issue. And the Shador Sanders commentary to me is a, case study in what has in what is currently ailing so much of our discourse surrounding sports and other things which is either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors churning the outrage mill to create engaged and controversy that then the current actual media feels obligated to treat seriously because well it's what people are talking about and then it becomes a valid real story and so you have folks that absolutely know better saying things like Shador was out there with the fifth string offensive line when such a thing does not exist.
Starting point is 00:08:28 It's like, oh, there's not? That offensive lineman was 10th on the depth chart. Well, there's, yeah, I kid it. But there's five offensive linemen that play at a time. And so there is, first of all, there is no such thing as a fifth string offensive line. You have people who know better saying, oh, color me shocked. Those offensive linemen on the field with Shador were cut shortly after the game. No shit, man.
Starting point is 00:08:58 You're at a 90-man roster in your third preseason game. 37 of those guys aren't making the team. Guess who doesn't make the team? Guys playing at the end of third preseason games. And there is just. just a kernel of enough validity to the conspiracies because is it likely true that the head coach didn't actually want Shador and the owner told him to draft him? Yes, probably is true. Is it likely true that the head coach wanted Dylan Gabriel to win that competition because that's the quarterbacking?
Starting point is 00:09:45 he wanted and Chador is the quarterback the owner wanted. Yes, that is likely true. Does any of that mean Chador was put set up to fail, couldn't succeed, nah man, throw the ball away. Don't retreat back 25 yards. Don't make the types of mistakes that some of us were worried you would make. And it's not, again, you're a fifth round pick. It's fine. But and because the owner wanted, you on the team, you're likely going to get to play at some point this year. Because the owner said both rookies are going to need to play. So the way this probably goes is the Browns start the season, they're bad. Third of the way into the season, they pull the plug on Flacco, they go to Dylan Gabriel.
Starting point is 00:10:37 They're still quite bad. Gabriel, as in my opinion, an overdrafted third round pick. He doesn't look like the guy And five, six games later They give Shador a try And Shador is a slightly underdrafted But still not ready fifth round pick He doesn't look like the guy
Starting point is 00:10:56 And next year the Browns used the pick They got from the Jags and their own pick To draft their actual quarterback That's probably how this thing's going to go But it is The folks out there promoting the idea league-wide code red
Starting point is 00:11:17 the whole league was told don't draft him and then the Browns were told to draft him and then internal Browns Code Red only call the bad plays Kevin and then also the same folks and I didn't understand the Tyler Huntley signing
Starting point is 00:11:37 I said that from the beginning I didn't understand Tyler Huntley playing that two-minute drill But the folks saying Chador was set up to fail with that terrible offensive line aren't the same folks saying and how dare you not put him in in the two minute drill? It's not that complicated, guys. And this isn't fair to Chador. He did not do this to himself, De Manzay, but here is a reality of it. This entire conversation and media maelstrom is one of the.
Starting point is 00:12:12 the reasons he fell in the draft. Because he's not a stud player. And no other team is having to answer questions about their deep end quarterback competition. And it's the only things to Fanski's had to deal with. So it's just, that is what it is. And the Raiders needed to take that game. I think it was super obvious. why Gabriel was ahead of him.
Starting point is 00:12:43 I don't think anybody should be calling for a conspiracy. Like you saw it. I mean, that's the thing. And that's what's to me so disheartening is we saw the game. And people still are like, nope, that does not jive with my priors. That does not jive with what I wanted to be true. And there is an element of, have you ever watched the, this is a bridge. too far, but I don't, I don't care. Have you ever watched the flat earth documentary?
Starting point is 00:13:17 Oh. You should watch it. It's really a truly fascinating 90 minutes. Okay. And these aren't bad people and it is really interesting. But the culmination of the documentary is one of the group of flat earthers saying or spending a ton of money into getting the equipment i'm going to get this a little wrong the the optical equipment you would need to prove the that all right we're going to set up this pole and light here um i've seen we're going to set up another uh poll here and if the earth was flat the light will shine at this place. And if the earth was flat, the light, or the light will shine at this place.
Starting point is 00:14:12 And we're going to prove it. And they do it. And the light shows up where it would show up if the earth were round. And the reaction initially is, huh? Let's try it again. Then they do it again. And it is a brief questioning is the equipment. broken and then it immediately goes to wow the conspiracy's even bigger than we thought they've
Starting point is 00:14:49 somehow hacked lighting and there is an element yeah of that with some of the shador stuff which was illusion denial right it was he's clearly better he clearly should be the guy he's clearly not getting the opportunities. They're clearly, if he and Gabriel were both playing and then they play a game, Gabriel looks good, Shador has a really, really tough performance
Starting point is 00:15:19 and instead of it being like, oh, okay, that's why he was ahead of him on the death chart. It was wow, these sons of bitches will go to no win to stop my guy. And it's
Starting point is 00:15:35 a little canary in the of some of the bigger issues we have right now with what is truth and what is not. And so I find it interesting. I do. I know that my favorite NFL podcast, Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily, which I'll be on later this week, actually, you know, they have done, they have tried to do a, they have done a really good job of like not leading with. the topic every day that, you know, the shows like the TV shows, like mine lead with. The juiciest thing, because they're, like, really giving you the news and information and stuff. And I respect that entirely.
Starting point is 00:16:20 But there is a deeper element to some of the Shador stuff that I find fascinating. Just like there's a deeper element, actually, to some of the Mika stuff that I find fascinating. That's actually about Jerry Jones and power and things like that. But at the end of the day, Shador had a chance. If he looked better anyway. ways? Like, why would they want to make him look bad? It would be in their best interest for Shadour to look great by the end, even if they didn't plan on keeping him. Of course. Of course. Guys who want to keep their jobs, want their quarterback, want to put the best
Starting point is 00:16:52 quarterback on the field. Yeah. I mean, there's most of, most conspiracies, DeMonze, fall apart at the first or second question. Most. Like, and you just asked the first question, which is the wait why again explain it to me just like the the the chiefs the you know league rigged for the chief's conspiracy it's like hey remind me again who is the league the 32 teams so why again are the chargers in on this like some explain that to me so most of them fall apart instantly um but but so listen, he had a chance to pass Gabriel. And if Gabriel, the nicer way to frame it is, Gabriel after that injury and watching Shador in preseason game one
Starting point is 00:17:49 was under real pressure. And Gabriel responded. And so shout out to him, the rivalries, the marching bands, the upsets. Saturdays just got way more fun. College football is back. You think you know the game? Put your college football knowledge to the test with Drafking Sportsbook and turn your picks into big payouts. From live betting during the game to rivalry week odds, boosts, and so much more.
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Starting point is 00:20:11 What's the news, huge news? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts.
Starting point is 00:20:21 Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down?
Starting point is 00:20:45 Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:21:37 Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves. Their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear.
Starting point is 00:22:01 The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real. From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context, and ask the questions everybody wants answered. Sports Slice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to Sports Slice on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slices Life 12 and the TikTok podcast. network on TikTok. The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis, and I know firsthand because I
Starting point is 00:22:34 competed there myself. I'm Renee Stubbs, and on the Renee Stubbs Tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris, every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on clay. Jen she went. I mean, she went down to three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lennar Rabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now,
Starting point is 00:22:59 and I actually can win on any surface because if she's serving, well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Then we move to a division. I have strong feelings on a lot of these teams, but only one win total that I want to bet.
Starting point is 00:23:25 And that's the AFC North. So Ravens de Monzae, over under 11.5, juice slightly to the over. I am not betting it, but you cannot, you can't pick a Ravens under until proven otherwise. And so to me, they are in over when Lamar, like last year it felt like they lost a ton of dumb games. they still won 12. And I like the moves they made this offseason. I think they will continue to be a regular season juggernaut. With that said, the reason this is not a bet for me is the slight concern that
Starting point is 00:24:16 we saw the last great Derek Henry season. And if that's the case, I could see them only winning 11 games. But it wouldn't shock me if this team goes 14 and 3. It would shock me if this team goes 10 and 7. So because of that, I'm an over. I imagine you, DeMonse, are a strong over for Bolton. Yeah, definitely. The best team in the NFL right now.
Starting point is 00:24:45 Best team in the NFL. I mean, easily top two or three. But yeah, so that's good. Listen, a lot of people think the best team in the NFL. Meena Kimes got very mad at me because I did not. But I certainly think they are set up for massive regular season success. I also think that when you were talking about the Patriots schedule, the Ravens schedules in the other direction, it is brutality for the Ravens.
Starting point is 00:25:16 Now, what does that mean for them? they typically have a tough schedule. This year, to me, if you want to hear... It's not terrible, actually. It's not that bad. I mean, obviously, you got the divisional games, but then outside of that, like, you got the Rams. You got the...
Starting point is 00:25:36 You have the... You have the division... Yeah, that's what... Yeah. You have the divisional games plus the NFC North, plus the other... I have it right here. What's the other division that they play?
Starting point is 00:25:52 Sorry, I had it, and now I closed it. But regardless. I think that, and the AFC East. So the AFC East is not brutal. But it's certainly not an easy schedule. But listen, they win 75% of their games in the regular season with Lamar. They would be an over. It's not a bet for me.
Starting point is 00:26:14 Here is our first bet. the Bengals under 9.5 wins at minus 1.15. Why is the defense going to be better than last years? And if the answer is Lou Anarumo was an inside agent for the opposition, so be it. But I disagree. And so they did get Drey Hendrickson back. That does matter. I'm not dismissing that.
Starting point is 00:26:45 However, they had him last year, and he led the NFL in sacks. I think the offensive line could be a real problem. And because of that, DeMonsay, I think, listen, Burrow, Chase, and Higgins are going to be great. Are they going to be as good as they were last year? I don't know. And because of that, to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games. They miss the playoffs, and they fire their.
Starting point is 00:27:15 their head coach. That is my major Cincinnati Bengals prediction is this is Zach Taylor's last year there. And here's the other thing with the Bengals. When you look at their schedule, you like to say, oh, it opens soft at Cleveland, home for the Jags. They start every year so terribly. I don't know that I want my easy games early. Last year, they started against New England and found a way to lose. I also think Miles Garrett could wreak some havoc in week one against them.
Starting point is 00:27:51 I just, again, I'm not saying the Browns are going to beat them. I think the Bengals aren't under, and that is a bet. This next one, DeMonse, is such a disrespectful number. Yeah, I was thinking about it. The Brown's total set
Starting point is 00:28:07 at four and a half, minus 1.45 on the over, plus 120 on the under. It's an absolute stay away, but I will if I have to pick, I will pick over.
Starting point is 00:28:22 I mean, four and a half wins when you get 17 games now. Now, it is given the fact that they were a last place team, you look at the schedule and you're like,
Starting point is 00:28:40 where are the super easy games? And then you realize, like, one of their strength of schedule last place games is the Niners. Like, that's unlucky. The Titans is a last place schedule game, but they get the Titans to Monzae late in the year. Cam Ward should be better. So, you know, that's a bummer for them. They get the... Yeah, honestly.
Starting point is 00:29:07 Yeah, you don't see. Those Ravens, Packers, lions. Right. Well, no, they start. Unbelievable. Bangles, Ravens, Packers, Lions is how they start. Like, give me a break. And then, but I don't think the Steelers and Bengals are going to be great.
Starting point is 00:29:25 And the numbers, four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half. And so I will go over four and a half. But it's not a bet for me. And then we get the Steelers who cost me a ton of money last year. I faded the Steelers left and right, and they somehow found a way into the playoffs. Their total is 8.5. They are minus 115, minus 105. I am an under for Pittsburgh, but it is not a bet.
Starting point is 00:30:02 I said this two months ago, and I will stick with it. I think that we have Mike Tomlin's first losing. season as Aaron Rogers final season. That was a take I had before they signed Rogers. Brew then made it his own take, but then he flip-flopped it, so I took it back. And so I know doubting that Tomlin can get to nine wins has only ever been a losing bet, or doubting that he can get to 500. He did go, what, 8-8 and 1-1 year or something?
Starting point is 00:30:39 He's never been below 500, obviously. It happened at some point, right? I wouldn't think so. And I just, I think they will have a good, but not overwhelmingly dominant defense. I don't think the Rogers D.K. Metcalfe fit is a smart one, like one that makes sense. And so because of that, I am going to go under on the Pittsburgh Steelers, which also means through two divisions, I only have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and a half. I am also skewing towards unders.
Starting point is 00:31:17 The only, I have under for bills 12 and a half, Dolphins 7 and a half, Jets, 6 and a half, Bengals 9 and a half, Steelers 8.5, over Browns 4.5, over Patriots 8 and a half, and over Bengals, I'm sorry. Ravens. And over Ravens 11.5. Thank you. Ever sign up for a phone plan thinking, wow, amazing price. Then a few months later, surprise.
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Starting point is 00:32:20 will pay $25 a month as long as they remain active on the boost plan. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, new? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented
Starting point is 00:32:36 a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember.
Starting point is 00:32:51 I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast
Starting point is 00:33:09 where people could call in and say, hey Jonas. and then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy,
Starting point is 00:33:30 not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smigel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and Headwere writer Street or Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform?
Starting point is 00:33:47 We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending,
Starting point is 00:34:03 opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise. Breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real.
Starting point is 00:34:25 From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context, and ask the questions everybody wants answered. Sports slice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to Sports Slice. radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slicelife 12 in the TikTok Podcast Network on TikTok. The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis. And I know firsthand because I competed there myself.
Starting point is 00:34:56 I'm Renee Stubbs. And on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris. Every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on clay. Jen Chinchewen. I mean, she went down in three to Rabakina. But I'm delighted. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay.
Starting point is 00:35:15 Listen, Lernerabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now. And I actually can win on any surface. Because if she's serving, well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. All right, demands a make-miss playoff. bets, which involve a bunch of redundancy to my other, to my over-unders, which I'm fine with.
Starting point is 00:35:50 Last year, I made the mistake by bifurcating them to try to minimize losses. This year, I'm going with the ones I truly believe in and betting them in multiple spots. Instead of doing like multiple units on a win total, we'll do it like this. first one, go ahead and tell the audience, you can make fun of me. We've got the Jags at plus 180 to make the playoffs. I've got them too. I'm Ryan with you on that one. Okay, yeah.
Starting point is 00:36:20 And listen, I'm being, I think, conservative because I'm not having them win the division. I'm having them make the playoffs at plus 180. It's the biggest year of Trevor's career. I think he comes through. I then de monse the next one is probably the most juice I've ever laid on this show but I don't care go ahead yeah the chiefs to make the playoffs at minus 380 was that money laying on the ground why don't I pick it up you can you can say you're going to lay yeah I am I'm going to lay minus 380 and you can be like Nick what if what if Patrick gets hurt I got bigger problem
Starting point is 00:37:04 then the damn chiefs make the playoffs bet if Patrick gets hurt. I'll tell you that much right now. And so the, that's, yeah, the chiefs. And so that means I'm going to have to risk the way these, I should have made this clear for our new listeners. All of our plus bets, unless otherwise specified, all the plus bets we put one unit on, all the minus bets we put enough,
Starting point is 00:37:34 it's minus 140 we put 1.4 units on it we put enough to win one unit so the chiefs i'm putting 3.8 units to win one but that's fine this one here however like i said unless otherwise specified this next one is a half unit bet and the one following it is a quarter unit bet go ahead you got the raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340 yeah i mean i've talked a ton of about the Raiders in a bunch of spots. I just like the value at plus 340. This one's going to shock people, I would imagine,
Starting point is 00:38:12 but I'll explain it in a second. On people. Giants at plus 500 to make the playoffs. All right. So the producer's wondering, if I believe the Giants can make the playoffs, why not also bet them to win at least six games?
Starting point is 00:38:28 Because here's the deal. I don't actually think the Giants are going to be really good. However, there has to be the shock playoff team. I have cast my lot with it being the Raiders. Is there an argument that Russell Wilson channel something, that D-line, Malik Neighbors continues on the Ascent, a soft NFC East because maybe Jaden misses time or something? Yes.
Starting point is 00:39:02 So I will, I think the Giants check a few of those boxes. and at 5 to 1, I'm good with it. So that's where I land. And then last but not least, and you're going to see this team all over my gambling card this year. You got the Bucks at minus 170 to make the playoffs. Yeah. I mean, they're going to win the division,
Starting point is 00:39:25 but maybe Pinnix is unbelievable, and the Falcons with that schedule end up somehow winning the division at least, but the Bucks will, the only way, the Bucks are going to, going to win 10 games. 10 games will get them in the playoffs. At least 10 games, I should say. So I just want to have action on the bucks all over the place. So my make the playoffs bets are Jags, Chiefs, Raiders, Giants, Bucks, with again, half
Starting point is 00:39:56 unit on the Raiders, quarter unit on the Giants. Now, the always popular, miss the playoffs bet. You love putting this team here. You got the Steelers to miss the playoffs at minus 140. The Steelers and the Steelers two years ago, the Jags ruined me. Last year, the Steelers ruined me. So I don't, it's, I don't have, if you remember, the Steelers are not one of my win total bets. Because maybe Tomlin's, you know, going to somehow create enough magic to get to nine wins.
Starting point is 00:40:29 I don't think they're going to make the playoffs. I'll take them under 140. This next team is the team. I've been fading throughout the show. Go ahead. You've got the Colts minus 260 to miss. Yeah, I just don't see any scenario where the Colts find their way into the playoffs with Daniel Jones and the AFC. So I don't mind laying minus 260.
Starting point is 00:40:50 And in fact, you're going to see them somewhere else as well in one of my very few this year parlays. Next. You've got the Broncos to miss at plus 130. Yeah, I just like the. It's plus money. You guys know that I'm not a believer in the Broncos the way other people are. And what is really unbelievable about where the Broncos stand is they could, it's unlikely, don't get me wrong,
Starting point is 00:41:25 but they could hit their over for win total and miss the playoffs. They could go 10 and 7 and still miss the playoffs. Again, it's unlikely. 10 wins in the 17, I'm sorry, in the seven game playoff field should get you in, but it's possible. I still, I don't have to spend more time on it. I'm actually going on the radio with my friend Mark Schlerath in Denver tomorrow because everyone wants to yell at me and that's fine.
Starting point is 00:41:52 I'll take the Broncos under nine and a half. I'm sorry, I'll take the Broncos to miss the playoffs. Go ahead. You got the Cowboys to miss at minus 210? Yeah, I almost did this instead of their total. but I decided to double down on Cowboys skepticism this year. I just think a coach I don't necessarily believe in a drama with the best player on their roster. Yeah, terrible offseason.
Starting point is 00:42:18 I'll take them to miss. You've got the Vikings to miss at plus 100? Yeah, and I'm actually, this is the first one I'm doing like this, and this is going to sound odd. I'm going to throw two units on this one. I just think that it would, in that division, it would be shocking to me if the Vikings somehow find a way into the playoffs. I know they did last year. I know they won 14 games.
Starting point is 00:42:49 And I do like Kevin O'Connell, but I am going to fade the Vikings to the tune of betting they're under and a two-unit bet. And then last but not least, again, go ahead. You've got the Cardinals to miss at minus 140? Yeah. The only reason, my only trepidation there is, what if Stafford does miss a bunch of time and that division feels wide open for everybody. So that is, that's the extent of my real concern there.
Starting point is 00:43:21 I also am going to do one, not multiple like last year to Monse, one, missed the playoffs parlay, And folks, we're going to go, we're going to put two units on this. It is. We'll tell the audience, it's minus 135. Tell the audience who it is. It's minus 135. We got New Orleans, the Jets, and Cleveland all to miss the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:43:51 I mean, geez. Hold on. You're leaving one team out. Oh, in Indianapolis. I'm sorry, the Colts is. Yes. Yeah. If you, without the cults, it's like minus four,
Starting point is 00:44:00 or something. I needed to have, I mean, New Orleans, the Jets and the Browns to miss the playoffs feels, it feels to me. Now, listen, a lot of bets have gone to die this way. This is not sound gambling advice. And again, gamble for recreational purposes, don't bet more than you can afford to lose. But adding New Orleans to miss the playoffs or Cleveland to miss the playoffs to any preseason bet you make just to give yourself a little extra juice is not a again it's not sound gambling advice except it feels like impossible to lose i the team that i am most worried about here blowing this up is actually the jets that the jets that if just you know they run the hell out of the ball aaron glen gets more out of the defense than solidate if those things happen that they would
Starting point is 00:44:54 be my concern but i don't really have any concern i think these are four Last place teams. Okay. Four teams that I would be very surprised if they didn't finish the last place in their division. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin.
Starting point is 00:45:09 And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. Nice. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts.
Starting point is 00:45:19 We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL, late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier.
Starting point is 00:45:46 This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened.
Starting point is 00:46:13 That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo, and every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves. soccer room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear. Listen to SportsSlice on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Sliced Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Winning on Clay is an art. The rallies are relentless.
Starting point is 00:46:43 And at the French Open, only the toughest survive. I'd know. I competed there for decades. Join me, Renee Stubbs, on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast for no nonsense breakdowns of the biggest matches, the toughest players, and the moments that define rolling. She's a good to win. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lernerabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now.
Starting point is 00:47:04 And I actually can win on any surface. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcasts on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHart Women's Sports. This is an IHart podcast. Guaranteed Human.

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