The Herd with Colin Cowherd - What's Wright - NFL Season Reaction: Chiefs NIGHTMARE, Broncos STUNNING surge, Bears & Jaguars SHINE | Nick Wright

Episode Date: January 31, 2026

All lines provided by Hard Rock Bet.  Nick Wright recaps his NFL gambling season including his preseason division winners, over/under win totals, and make/miss playoffs bets. Nick breaks down what went, like his belief in Trevor Lawrence's Jacksonville Jaguars & Caleb Williams' Chicago Bears, as well as what went wrong, like Patrick Mahomes & the Kansas City Chiefs' disaster season and Bo Nix's Denver Broncos winning the AFC West. Later, Nick shares his favorite Super Bowl prop bet as well as whether he will be taking the Chiefs to win Super Bowl 61! #VolumeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

This is an I-Heart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey, guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Tired and sick.

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And for more, follow Timbo Slicalife 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Winning on Clay is an art. The rallies are relentless. And at the French Open, only the toughest survive. I'd know. I competed there for decades. Join me, Renee Stubbs, on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast for no-nonsense breakdowns of the biggest matches, the toughest players, and the moments that define Roland Garris.

She's an outsider to win the French fame. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lernerabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now, and I actually can win on any surface. Listen to the Renee Stub's tennis podcasts on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Welcome in, What's Right, episode 422.

This episode of What's Right in the Gride, as always, is presented to you by our friends at Boost Mobile. We are nine days out from the Super Bowl. and this is where we will recap our preseason betting show because all those bets have now settled. All our futures, season win totals, make miss the playoffs, make miss the Super Bowl, all of it. We now know. So we will go through all of those. A reminder to you all, please like, rate and subscribe review.

And another reminder, all lines are from Hard Rock bet. But before we get to any of those, these were Nick's, picks from last week, as has been the story of this postseason, I did very poorly. DeMonse did very well. Denver plus five and a half against New England was a winner. I had it. So did DeMonse. The Rams plus two and a half at Seattle was a loser. I had it.

DeMonze had the other side. And here's something DeMonsei I didn't share with you guys. but I am where I'm watching Patriots Broncos with Pony and Danny and it is 7 to 7 no it's either 7 to 7 or 10 to 7 and the snow is starting to come down bad and I live bet under 20 six and a half. Because I'm like, all right, there's just not going to be, it was 10.7

is what it was. And I was like, there's just not going to be 10 more points. It's like, I'm very comfortable that there's not going to be 10 more points in this game. Either it's going to be field goals or one team gets a touchdown. It's not going to be 10 more points. And I won that. And then I did something I never do. But I was like, you know what? I think the Rams are going to move the ball at Will against Seattle.

And so I put together a little touchdown score parley, where I had Kyron Williams, who scored their first touchdown, Devante Adams, who scored their second touchdown, and Puka Nakua, who scored the touchdown after the taunting penalty. Nice. Well, it's funny you say that because in my head, I was like, if I'm right on all three of these, obviously the Rams will win. And so I also had the Rams money line, which made it a nice 20 to 1 that after the Puka

touchdown, I was being offered six to one on the cash. out. But of course, I'm never cashing out. Alson's screenshots to Kevin Wilde saying they're begging for mercy asking me to cash out. And so this shirt was made on your

quote in the back of it literally says, we never hedge bets. I'm not hedging. So that Stafford 4th and 4 in completion was a real, because all my guys already scored touchdowns. At that point, I don't care who scores

a touchdown. The Rams scored three touchdowns in that game. It was the three guys that I said, and we have a loser anyway. So that's not great. Here's the other thing. I am making an executive decision when we show that, you know, DeMonsei lost his teaser. The executive decision is this. DeManzi's teaser record for the season is not 11 and 10. It is 11 and 7. because we are not counting the playoff teasers that he didn't want to do. And instead, he picked every playoff game in his 8 and 4. So your official, because there are a lot of these playoff teasers, you wouldn't have done.

You would have simply not had them. And so, DeMaz's playoff teaser this week was the Patriots plus 2 and a half, the Rams plus 10 and a half, and Seattle Rams under 55. But that's not something you would have done. So I'm just, we're not counting it. So you're 8 and 4 picking games, these playoffs, 11 and 7 on teasers, a wildly profitable year.

We will see how your preseason bets did in a moment. I did pick Kyron Williams anytime touchdown plus 125. Whoop de damn do. All right. Today's show is brought to you by our presenting sponsor, Hard Rock Bet, Florida's Sportsbook. big game matchup is set. Can't wait to see Pat Seahawks.

Hard Rock Bet has all the different ways you can get in on next Sunday's action. I've told you guys all week. I like JSN anytime touchdown minus 115. I also have my favorite prop bet that I'm bringing to you guys shortly in this show from Hard Rock Bet. If you haven't signed up with Hard Rock Bet, there's never been a better time. This week, they're launching a break. brand new welcome offer for new customers. Plus, Hard Rock Bet is kicking off. It's $7 million big game bonus party available to all users. You're definitely not going to want to miss that. And if you're

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In the regular season, DeMonsei, I went a dead even 44-44-2. However, with the Vig, that means I lost a little bit of money. Because we are honorable gamblers, when we are calculating our preseason profitability, we are including whether or not the bet was plus money or minus money, because that really has to be factored into whether or not it's a good bet. So it's not just, so as a four instance, show the overs. I went three and three picking overs this year, but that means I lost a little bit of money because of the VIC.

So here were the winners we had. Jags over 7.5, they won 13 games. That is a stone, great winner, great pick. Felt awesome about it basically all year. Bears over 8.5. They won 11. games, 12 games, doesn't matter. That hit, not early, but

they were pacing towards it. Basically, they lost their first two games of the year, then were a really good team the rest of the way. Atlanta, over seven and a half, DeMonte, we got a little lucky. Yeah. That team was four and nine, and

won four straight at the end of the year to save the day. But the flip side to that is our three losing over, one of them. So for our over bets, three winners, two locked early and were great, one very lucky. For our losing overs, two dead early, one somewhat unlucky. The unlucky one was Tampa over nine and a half because they just absolutely collapsed at the end of the year. The two other losers were the Chiefs over 11 and a half, they won six games.

And even if Mahomes, the game Mahomes got hurt in, had they run the table from there, they would have won 10. So that was bad. And the Raiders, obviously, listen, they got the number one pick and I bet they're over. There's no getting around it. Bad situation. All right. So now, again, so three and three there, and I'll give you the full recap on, you know, profitability. at the end. Now we go to our unders, where once again, we went three and three.

And I feel like once again, we had two stone winners, one lucky, and then two stone losers, one unlucky. Cincinnati, total of nine and a half, that under was in great shape every moment of their season. Dallas under eight and a half, a little lucky because they did win eight games. That tie came through for us. Minnesota under nine and a half stone winner all year long. Colts under seven and a half, they did their damnedest to get it for me by falling apart at the end of the year. But that one, we were on the wrong side of. Denver, under. nine and a half, that one they got the number one seed.

So I bet the over for an AFC West team that got the number one pick and the under for an AFC West team that got the number one seed. Not great. You deal with it. And the Niners under 10 and a half, they won

12. That's the one that I feel like I got a little unlucky on in this regard. I thought they would well, I just thought they were going to the deal one because they always do everyone's like oh they'll be healthy this year i'm like why will they be healthy this year and they weren't their quarterback missed half the year and they won it they did what they did anyway all right now the make playoffs we did poorly

the miss playoffs we did well but i do have to remind people some of the important details on this we had the jags plus 180 to make the playoffs. Okay? We had the Chiefs minus 380, which is a disaster. Losing a minus 380 future is a

disaster. The Bucks minus 170 again, I'd make that bet again. They absolutely collapsed at the end of the year and even despite that, they would have made the playoffs oddly if the Falcons hadn't won their

final game. And then you're seeing on the screen, the Raiders to make the playoffs at plus 340, that was a half unit bet. And the Giants to make the playoffs at 5 to 1, that was a quarter unit bet. Those were our long shot, smaller. You know, we had a few double unit wagers and a few smaller unit wagers. Those were them. So the make the playoffs I did poorly, the miss the playoffs de Monzae, I did quite well. Yeah. Pittsburgh minus 140 to miss the playoffs got wrong.

And that one again, final week of the year, we could have won that one if your stupid Ravens had their shit together. The Broncos plus 130, dead wrong on that all the way. The cult started 8 and 3 and missed the playoffs anyway.

That's a winner. Dallas never had a shot. That's a winner. Minnesota never had a shot. That was a winner. Arizona fired their coach. Never had a shot. That was a winner.

Hey, it's us, the Jonas brothers. And guess what? We have some big news. What's the news? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey, Jonas. We invented a podcast?

Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to a first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts. We're starting a trend. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it.

Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys.

Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel. Help an Acapella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform?

We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo.

Every episode, we're cutting through the noise. Breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real. From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context and ask the questions everybody wants answered. SportsSlice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to SportsClace on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slic Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok.

The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis. And I know firsthand because I competed there myself. I'm Renee Stubbs. And on the Renee Stubbs Tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris. Every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on clay. Jen Chinchin win. I mean, she went down in three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted. Yeah, she's an outsider to win the first.

French, mate. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lena Rubakina is arguably the best player in the world right now. And I actually can win on any surface. Because if she's serving, well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal but encouraged.

It's the enhanced games. Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHard Radio app, Apple Podcasts,

or wherever you get your podcasts. So that was our miss the playoffs, was our most profitable section, especially when you consider the only parlay I made was a four-team missed the playoffs parlay of Saints who were D-O-A, Jets, D-O-A, Browns, D-O-A,

and the cult's where I got a little lucky at the end, I will admit it, but they did fall apart. And that was a two-unit bet from the preseason. It's not on the screen there, but it was. sadly de Monzae this is where my winners end because my division winners it's a nice one to end on yeah here were my division winners chiefs to win the aFC west stone loser bucks to win the nFC south they were both minus 115 should have won but didn't and then i guess like

a little lucky i did a division winner parley de monsee of the ravens and the bills and i say are lucky because i missed them both so i'm glad i parlayed them instead of betting them separate uh and i do in hindsight the one bet on the screen that we have shown that was dumb was if i was going to bet the chiefs to win the a fc south at minus one 15 i did didn't need to also lay minus 380 for them to make the playoffs. I could have just bet a little bit more on them to win the division. And that minus three, that, that 3.8 units that that bet cost me, you're going to see what a disaster that was.

Now, we also do Super Bowl exactas. And it was Chiefs versus Tampa and Chiefs defeating Tampa. at 55 to 1 and 110 to 1. Now, I do full unit bets on those, but those are wild long shots, obviously, every year. Came really close three years ago to hitting it. When it was Chiefs, I had Chiefs over Niners, and the Chiefs won the Super Bowl,

and the Niners lost in the Conference Championship game. But because I do that, De Manzay, I basically start the season down two units. You're going to do two. So the total accounting for it is my winning bets accounted for 14.95 units won.

My losing bets accounted for 21.05 units lost. For a grand total of down 6.1 units. which is really bad. But here is, again, not making excuses, just explaining the math on it. I said my one giant mistake was that Chiefs minus 380 to make the playoffs, a little greedy there.

If I hadn't made that bet, then I finished the preseason down 2.3 units, which again, when you're betting two full units on 55 to 1, and 110 to 1 Super Bowl exactus, that's about the mean outcome, is you're going to lose about two units. So take my lumps, not a profitable regular season, but we scratched a 500,

not a profitable preseason. You only made five bets. Yeah. This in the preseason, and this is a real testament to how much, The VIG matters. Yeah. Because all your bets were plus money vets.

So you never had to lay anything substantial. So go through what your five preseason bets were. And then all go through the accounting on it. So I had the Jags to win the AFC South. That was the only winner at plus 300. So that right there. So you hit a plus 300. and if you're only making four other bets,

you're damn near in, you know, you have now guaranteed the most you could lose is one unit. Just by making that bet and hitting it. Now tell us your other ones. Some make sense or some look, you look back on and it's like the process. Other ones not as great, but go ahead. We got Cincinnati to lose in the divisional round at plus 425.

I think that's probably one. one of them. And then we got that was just such a specific prediction that you made. I didn't love it. I'm not going to lie to you, but go ahead.

I saw it very clearly, but I did not. Ravens to win the Super Bowl at plus 600. Yeah, I would do that. That's fine. That's your team. It's fine.

It's bad year. And then we got Bejohn Robinson for most rushing touchdowns at plus 1,100. And the guy on my teams beat him out of for that. But good. So that's a little unlucky because what you were saying is Bejohn's going to have a monster year. And he did.

He's a finalist for offensive player of the year. He just only had eight rushing touchdowns or seven rushing touchdowns. Just a lot of long ones. Yeah. Right. That's a bummer. So then lastly, we got Joe Burrow for the most passing yards at plus 450. So, and Burrow got hurt, so it was dead.

Yeah. So, but still, those four losers were one unit each, so you're minus four on those. The one winner was plus 300. So you're plus three units on that. So you lose one unit. That's not a disaster. You hit the one and you were good. The Prince came through for you.

All right, before I give you my favorite early Super Bowl prop. But that's the final accounting of our preseason. We got to be accountable. We got to be like, hey, we put it out there. I had a losing year. It is what it is. We try to do better next year. Before we get to my favorite Super Bowl prop, reminder to you guys,

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So switch now for unlimited wireless at a price that will never go up only at Boost Mobile. After 30 gigs, customers may experience slower speeds. Customers will pay $25 per month as long as they remain active on the Boost Unlimited plan. All right, DeMonsei, set the audience up. My favorite Super Bowl prop coming in. Go ahead. Yeah, we'll get to the Super Bowl picks and props. You teased a prop earlier that was under five.

And, yeah, what is it that's catching your eye on hard rock bet? Do you want me to say this? Or are you going to say it? This is crazy. You say it. And then I will explain it. Trayvon Henderson under three and a half reception yards at minus 120. So here's the deal.

Trayvion Henderson, as the year has gone on, they flatly do not have him in on passing place. They don't trust him. They don't trust his blocking. He's the, you know, potentially one day star running back who has had a really rough postseason. So Trayvion Henderson in his last five games has a total of two catches for seven, total yards. In the playoffs, he ran the ball nine times for 27 yards in game one,

12 times for 25 yards in game two, three times for five yards in the conference championship game and had no targets. Travion Henderson is not going to be on the field when they're throwing the football. They don't trust his pass blocking. That's what kept him off the field. early in the year. They are not going to use rookie Travion Henderson in the Super Bowl like that. So now this,

the downside to betting under three and a half yards on anything is the bet is never locked. You are sweating at every play of the game. Overs at some point you can hit and just be like, all right, even if they lose a bunch of yards, it's fine. But Travion Henderson, under three and a half receiving yards at minus 120 is my early Super Bowl prop of the week.

Thanks to our friends and Hard Rock bet. You're just not going to be on the field when they're throwing the ball. No, if he hasn't been in the last games, they're not going to ramp it up in the Super Bowl. I like the logic there. And I just want to see how many snaps he's even been playing. I'm pulling that up real quick. this year because football

reference is a great job of showing us that. So in the playoffs, in the last game, De Manze, you know how many offensive snaps he played in the conference championship game? Times he was on the field. Four times.

He was on the field four times. And three of those four, he got the ball. He was running. Via handoff. Right. And the first round of the playoffs, he played 26 snaps. The second round of the playoffs, he played 25 snaps.

I just don't, I do not see. There was a period in the year when he was getting the bulk of the touches. They have gone away from that. And I just, yeah, under three and a half receiving yards. All right, DeMond. let's do the offer. All right, last week, you didn't even really want to hear the offer.

So the producers had to cook up something extra convincing for you. Our friends are Harrowock put together Super Bowl 61 odds, and the Chiefs are at plus 1,500. Are you ready to jump on the early bandwagon? I shouldn't call it Baylorian. Listen, I'll definitely bet the Chiefs at 15 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. I definitely will bet the Chiefs at 15 to 1. Here we go.

I also, gosh, same old Nick. I guess. There are two other bets I would look at. I think the Seahawks, let me put it like this. I do not, I will not be betting the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl next year. However, I believe two weeks from now, the number will be worse than its current 9 to 1. so I think that there might be a little bit of value there and I think the Jags at 20 to 1

with Travis Hunter coming back the second year under Liam Cohen what I think could be a tough off season for the Texans I think that there is some value there at the Jags at 20 to 1 but of course my real bet is the Can't Seas Chiefs at 15 to 1. It's insulting that they're,

they have, they have worse odds than the Rams, Seahawks, Bills, Patriots, Ravens, lions. They're still the Chiefs, guys. I'm sorry they couldn't make a fourth straight Super Bowl. And they're sixth in the last seven years.

They're going to be fine. So yeah, the Chiefs at 15 to 1, but those other two I would take little tastes on and is there any super long? I wouldn't bet this and I don't anticipate it happening? No, right division though. The commanders at 60 to 1, if you think Jaden's going to be back healthy, that the Eagles are going to continue, you know,

the trend late in the year, don't believe in Dallas. Like that's, no, it's not plus 600. No, I would not like Sue, not like on the screen says plus 600. I, I, 60, but plus 6,000. But plus 6,000. I think that is, you know, if you believe in Jaden, that is worth a little something. All right. Great job, DeMonze. Next week is Super Bowl week. Got a ton to do. Remind everybody, like, rate, subscribe review to the show. Huge thanks to volume and Blue Duck. And of course, our great sponsors, Hard Rock Bet, and Boost Mobile. Talk to you guys on Tuesday. What's right? Hey, guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called Hey Jonas.

We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We get to ask other people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it, but, you know. Tired and sick. Tired and sick.

Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert. Myrtle and friends, me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an acapella band with

their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind.

and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where SportsSlice comes in. I'm Timbo, in every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the biggest moments in sports and giving you the real story behind the headline. And we're going straight to the source, the athletes themselves, their locker room stories, their reactions in the moment, and the stuff nobody gets to hear.

Listen to SportsSlic on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slical Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. Winning on Clay is an art. The rallies are relentless. And at the French Open, only the toughest survive. I'd know. I competed there for decades.

Join me, Renee Stubbs, on the Renee Stubbs' tennis podcast for no-nonsense breakdowns of the biggest matches, the toughest players, and the moments that define Roland Garris. Jench won. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lennar Rabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now and I actually can win on any surface.

Listen to the Renee Stubbs Tennis Podcast on the I-Heart Radio app. podcast or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed human.