The Herd with Colin Cowherd - What's Wright - Nick Wright’s 2025 NFL PREDICTIONS, win total OVERS/UNDERS + SLEEPER picks

Episode Date: August 27, 2025

Nick Wright is back for his annual preseason gambling show! Nick breaks down all 16 AFC team win totals and weighs in on which side he’s leaning toward, including his official picks. Will Patric...k Mahomes' Kansas City Chiefs continue their dominance in the AFC West over the Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, and Las Vegas Raiders? Are Josh Allen's Buffalo Bills and Lamar Jackson's Baltimore Ravens safe bets to repeat as division champions? #VolumeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is an IHeart podcast. Guaranteed Human. Hey guys, it's us. The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin. And I'm Nick. And guess what? We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas.
Starting point is 00:00:12 We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions. Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it. But, you know, tired and sick. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you.
Starting point is 00:00:30 you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the ice. Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Starting point is 00:01:04 Winning on Clay is an art. The rallies are relentless. And at the French Open, only the toughest survive. I'd know. I competed there for decades. Join me, Renee Stubbs, on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast for no-nonsense breakdowns of the biggest matches, the toughest players, and the moments that define Roland Garris. She can win.
Starting point is 00:01:21 She's an outsider to win the French fame. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lina Rubakina is arguably the best player in the world right now. And I actually can win on any service. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the Iheart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Imagine an Olympics where doping is not only legal, but encouraged. It's the enhanced games.
Starting point is 00:01:46 Some call it grotesque. Others say it's unleashing human potential. Either way, the podcast's Superhuman documented it all, embedded in the games and with the athletes for a full year. Within probably 10 days, I'd put on 10 pounds. I was having trouble stopping the muscle growth. Listen to Superhuman on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome in. What's Right with Nick Wright, episode 359.
Starting point is 00:02:15 This episode, as always, is brought to you by Boost Mobile. Back in the States, after a great trip through Switzerland, Italy, France, and Monaco. where a few random with my wife and my wife's grandparents who are travel with us in the summer it's great time the show de monsee sad to report very very unpopular in switzerland the like the now nobody stopped you out there i mean could not have been more anonymous like the over for over the country. As we moved south in Europe, a little more and more.
Starting point is 00:03:07 And then by the time we got to Monaco, I had Eagles fans accosting me. Oh, and how about this? Real quick. Before we get to, by the way, this is one of my favorite shows of the year. There's the first half of our gambling show, gambling preview show.
Starting point is 00:03:19 It's our full. We do all 32 over under, so we have a lot to do. This show could be five hours long. We can't have to be five hours long. So it's a lot going on to be clear. But oh gosh, oh yeah, so I'm in because, well, let me set the table further. I'm, I text my poker buddies because I'm in Monte Carlo and I know there's great poker in
Starting point is 00:03:43 Monte Carlo, but you can't find it. Like you've got to like be invited. I played in a card game in Switzerland. I played in a card game in Italy. I played in card games in France elsewhere. But Monaco, I didn't know where to go. So one, that text did not lead me to a card game. It did lead me to end up challenging Helm Youth to this $5,000 a person survivor contest,
Starting point is 00:04:09 which I then, you know, I'll be honest if you saw that long video. A few cocktails in posted me and the Helm Youth Challenger. By the way, that's open to everybody. Splash Sports is hosting it. Anybody can join it, but it's $5,000 a person. It's a lot of money. Um, that then the next morning, de Monza, I had a little like, I don't know what the word is. Regret. I'm not sure. Fear. I was like, do I look like an elitist? I was like, I, I just posted because it's like a $5,000 a person contest. So then I was like, I think I have to start a new contest. So now there's also a $25 a person contest, um, that, uh, that I'm going to be a part of. And so like, you can follow me on Twitter. Uh, it's a
Starting point is 00:04:58 damage control right when we did the um it's the same people at splash sports that we did the uh march madness survivor pool with that i talked about uh it's just you know it's it's it's a version of run your pool those different things except to me they're the best hosting site um but so all so all that is going on i then go into the casino and monte carlo and these three guys like start hitting each other like like pointing at me but they're clearly not american and so i kind of give them a nod and they come over and this is what they say nick we've been watching you for 10 years from slovenia oh wow they were like you hell yeah they called out my luka tweet about saying you should go number one in the draft oh my god ago or
Starting point is 00:05:58 whatever it is. So that, so that was really cool. So it was a great time. Uh, so that was a great trip. And then, and then we'll get to the actual news, but I'm going to do something to Monzee that I am not really, um, equipped to do here, which is an unboxing. Oh, wow. Yeah. When I, when I, when I, yeah, when I, yeah, I don't know how to do it. I don't even know how to show my tattoo on camera. How am I going to unbox something? And it's big. And I'm not sure exactly how it's going to work. But when I got back to the house Sunday night waiting at the doorstep was, it was wrapped, obviously. But hold on. Look at this.
Starting point is 00:06:39 Was this? I don't know if you guys can see what that says. But that says 1587 Prime. 15 is Patrick Mahomes. 87 is Travis Kelsey. And their steakhouse is opening very soon. So I'm going to open whatever they sent me. a cool name for the steakhouse 1587 that's tough 1587 prime uh from the visionaries
Starting point is 00:07:06 wow at noble 33 and kansas city's own hometown heroes patrick mobs and Travis kelsey um all right i can't there's a there's a password on the bottom there which i can't do but now we're going to try to unbox this thing all right let's see if i'm any good at this i really should have gotten your mom involved at this yeah hold on oh yeah We also, oh, look at this. Hold on. Hold on. Oh, you got one of the personal.
Starting point is 00:07:34 Invitation. You're invited for a collaboration between NFL icons, Patrick Mullen, Travis Kelsey, in partnership of Novel 33. We're in a modern twist to an American steakhouse in Kansas City. I don't think I want to, hold on, let me look at this, make sure. That's the official invite. I'm going to set that there because I don't want anyone to pirate it. And then a certificate of authenticity.
Starting point is 00:08:00 Oh, look at what. Hold on. Look at what's here. Sorry. Then we'll get to the real business at hand here. Uh-oh. This is, oh, no. See, I'm not good at this.
Starting point is 00:08:14 This is why we're a audio and visual medium, so you guys can laugh me. But this is pretty sick. Hold on. Oh, holy question. 1587 Prime official old school football. Yeah, I was going to say. Signed by Patrick and Travis. Did I just break the case?
Starting point is 00:08:33 Maybe. So there we go. So, okay, all right. Well, let's go ahead and set this down. Thank you. That's awesome. So my guys. I thought there was going to be a state in there.
Starting point is 00:08:47 A state. Oh, that was going to be a stake in there. Invited to the grand opening. Shout out Patrick and Trev That's really cool How far is that going to be from you Like where you're at? Oh wait, it's a Kansas City
Starting point is 00:09:02 Yeah, never mind Yeah, so I mean it's not close A little far I'll say It's gonna be a flight But you know what? For my guys, it's the least I can do All right, on to the actual show
Starting point is 00:09:16 How'd that unboxing go? Give me out of 10 I'll get six out of 10 You could have done like a little bit more like flipping it up like a little bit higher but for the moment we saw it all and you needed to protect the you need to protect the envelope so honestly it's exactly yeah i mean this okay you upgraded me look at that certificate of authenticity how cool all right time for the show uh that we are in the show by the way uh like subscribe review five stars thumbs up bells all of that um now straight to voicemail
Starting point is 00:09:46 brought you by voice boost mobile um terry mccloren gets a real contract three years ninety six million dollars trey hendrickson gets a race this is difference here tray hendrickson didn't get an extension didn't get extra years guaranteed he did get you know tray hendrickson was really mad dray hendricksson felt disrespectful trade hendricksson wanted to get you know have the team appreciate what he had done for them and they said well how about instead of all of that we just give you an extra 14 million dollars and he's like okay deal Like, you know, you know what, 14 million will make it work. And then next year we'll go through all of this all over again.
Starting point is 00:10:32 Eurobasket starts tomorrow. And this is where Demonsay, I am going to reveal how uncool I am. Justin Herbert and Madison Beer are dating. And this is where I tell you, I have no idea who Madison Beer is. None. Yeah. I've heard of her a few times. I think she's probably an actor.
Starting point is 00:10:57 But yeah, I'm not big on that. We're not that I'm, first of all, couldn't be more proud that you're as ignorant on this topic as me. I'm sure she's lovely. She is beautiful, obviously. I don't know why she's famous. She's probably like being in a teen community. I was going to guess TikToker. Can any, do any of our producers, is singer?
Starting point is 00:11:19 I could have looked it up. I know it was big news. She's a singer. singer-songwriter. Oh, okay. All right, sweet. Again, I am not trying to be the, the, the, I don't really have a take on the leg sleeve. Well, he's a pro athlete.
Starting point is 00:11:35 It's probably some type of recovery thing. Yeah, I mean, would I wear a leg sleeve? No, I'm not a pro athlete. Like, I'm not, um, but, uh, and by the way, there was no shade thrown at Madison beer there. And I, I, I just truly was unfamiliar. with why she was famous, but she was super, like, super famous, evidently, because she posted, someone posted a paparazzi picture of her.
Starting point is 00:12:03 And Herbert was like in the background. And Charger fans were like, I think that's Justin Herbert. And then they revealed the whole thing. All right, let's get to the show, DeMonze, before we get to our all 32 team over unders. We have news on the Browns quarterback competition. Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news, name?
Starting point is 00:12:25 Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts. We're starting a trend.
Starting point is 00:12:38 But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. And we were thinking I'm originally calling it. One of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers was... This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes.
Starting point is 00:12:59 I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, Hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Starting point is 00:13:19 Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes.
Starting point is 00:13:43 Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the I-Heart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in.
Starting point is 00:14:02 I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves. Their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs,
Starting point is 00:14:18 the moments that never make the highlight real. From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context and ask the questions everybody wants answered. SportsSlice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them.
Starting point is 00:14:33 Listen to Sports Slice on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slices Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis. and I know firsthand because I competed there myself. I'm Renee Stubbs, and on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris,
Starting point is 00:14:57 every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on Clay. Jenchian went. I mean, she went down to three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lena Rubakina is arguably the best player in the world right now, and I actually can win on any surface. Because if she's serving,
Starting point is 00:15:16 well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. Yeah, so Chador's final preseason game was a little shaky. He threw for 14 total yards, took five sacks, and now Chador fans are coming out and saying that the team
Starting point is 00:15:42 and Kevin Stefansky are conspiring against him, but also Kenny Pickett just got cut so you know if the landscape might have changed up a little or can he picket traded to the Raiders traded so the landscape might have changed up over there a little bit what's the situation looking like for Shadoor all right listen he's he was he started camp fourth string he stayed fourth string he's now third string because one of the strings is on the Raiders and I'm going to give you the very sober analysis of this then we're going to bigger picture of it and then honestly we are not going to talk about the Cleveland Browns and the quarterback situation again God willing for months um shouldora could not afford the type of
Starting point is 00:16:30 performance he had in the third preseason game it is as simple as that when you are a late round pick rookie you can't have a disastrous performance you can't And he did. It was not the coach's fault. It was not the offensive line's fault. It was he had a bad game flatly. And the reason it is extra concerning is those of us that were skeptical that he was ever truly a first round talent, we were worried that his bad games would look a lot like that.
Starting point is 00:17:16 like trying to do a little too much with his legs, overestimating his escapeability, and taking those big, deep, long sacks. Shador needed to thread a perfect needle, and he was, by the way, early on in camp. He needed to play well in practice. It looked like he was. He needed Dylan Gabriel to struggle in practice.
Starting point is 00:17:42 He was. He needed to play well in the first. first preseason game. He did. He needed Gabriel to struggle in the first preseason game. Gabriel didn't even play. So all of that was going best case scenario for Shador to achieve what was the only realistic goal for him this off season, which was past Dylan Gabriel in the depth chart. He was never going to be the Brown starting quarterback in week one. It was always the Brown's plan very clearly was one of the veterans. is starting and then the kids are backing him up.
Starting point is 00:18:20 And all of it was going according to plan. Shador then suffered a slight injury, which made him not able to play it all in the second preseason game. Gabriel, then after some really bad practices, played quite well in the second preseason game. Then in the third preseason game, Gabriel played quite well again and Shador had a disastrous performance and that is now that as far as the quarterback competition goes that is not conspiratorial that is not unfair that is not unjust that is life in the NFL as a late round draft pick
Starting point is 00:18:58 that is what happened here also shadore fans need to recognize there's not a team in the league he'd start for not one you're you're on the team with arguments the worst quarterback situation and he is fairly right now their third best option to be a starting quarterback okay that is where we're at now is that a death knell for his career no is do i think he has more potential than gabriel because of size and pedigree i do but if but if i had to from what we saw in those preseason games if in week one flacco goes out you would have to be more comfortable putting gabriel in that is what it is that's not ridiculous that's not unfair that's not a vast conspiracy that is what it is
Starting point is 00:20:02 the reason i find this story interesting is the reason i find a lot of things interesting is when they are symbolic for a greater problem or issue. And the Shador Sanders commentary to me is a case study in what has in what is currently
Starting point is 00:20:33 ailing so much of our discourse surrounding sports and other things which is either totally uninformed actors or outright bad actors churning the outrage mill to create engagement and controversy that then the current actual media feels obligated to treat seriously because well it's what people people are talking about and then it becomes a valid real story. And so you have folks that absolutely know better saying things like
Starting point is 00:21:29 Shador was out there with the fifth string offensive line when such a thing does not exist. It's like, oh, if there's not, that offensive lineman was 10th on the depth chart. Well, there's, yeah, I get it. But there's five offensive linemen that play at a time. And so the, there is, first of all, there is no such thing as a fifth string offensive line. You have people who know better saying, oh, color me shocked. Those offensive linemen on the field with Shador were cut shortly after the game. No shit, man.
Starting point is 00:22:09 You're at a 90-man roster in your third preseason game. 37 of those guys aren't making the team. Guess who doesn't make the team? Guys playing at the end of third preseason games. And there is just a kernel of enough validity to the conspiracies because is it likely true that the head coach didn't actually want Shador and the owner told him you draft him yes probably is true is it likely true that the head coach wanted dylan gabriel to win that competition because that's the quarterback he wanted and shador's the quarterback the owner wanted
Starting point is 00:22:59 yes that is likely true does any of that mean shouldore was put set up to fail couldn't succeed no man throw the ball away don't retreat back 25 yards. Don't don't make the types of mistakes that some of us were worried you would make. And it's not, again, you're a fifth round pick. It's fine. But and because the owner wanted you on the team, you're likely going to get to play at some point this year because the owner said both rookies are going to need to play. So the way this probably goes is the Browns start the season. they're bad. Third of the way into the season,
Starting point is 00:23:43 they pull the plug on Flacco, they go to Dylan Gabriel, they're still quite bad. Gabriel, as in my opinion, an over-drafted third-round pick. He doesn't look like the guy. And five, six games later, they give Shador a try.
Starting point is 00:24:00 And Shador is a slightly under-drafted, but still not ready, fifth-round pick. He doesn't look like the guy. And next year, the Browns used the pick they got from the Jags and their own pick to draft their actual quarterback. That's probably how this thing's going to go. But it is the folks out there promoting the idea league-wide code red. The whole league was told don't draft him. And then the
Starting point is 00:24:33 Browns were told to draft him and then internal Browns code read only call the bad plays Kevin and then also the same folks and I didn't understand the Tyler Huntley signing I said that from the beginning I didn't understand Tyler Huntley playing that two minute drill but the folks saying Shador was set up to fail with that terrible offensive line aren't the same folks saying and how dare you not put him in in the two minute drill it's not that complicated guys and this isn't fair to shador he did not do this to himself to monse but here is a reality of it this entire conversation and media maelstrom is one of the reasons he fell in the draft because he's not a stud player and once and all
Starting point is 00:25:31 and no other team is having to answer questions about their deep end quarterback competition. And it's the only things Defansky's had to deal with. So it's just that is what it is. And the Raiders needed pick. Yeah, that he wasn't ready. Why Gabriel was ahead of him, I don't think anybody should be calling for a conspiracy. Like you saw it.
Starting point is 00:25:58 Well, that's, I mean, that's the thing. And that's what's to me so. disheartening is we saw the game and people still are like nope that does not jive with my priors that does not jive with what i wanted to be true and there is an element of have you ever watched the this is a bridge too far but i don't i don't care have you ever watched the flat earth documentary you should watch it it's really a true fascinating 90 minutes. Okay.
Starting point is 00:26:34 And these aren't bad people and it is really interesting. But the culmination of the documentary is one of the group of flat earthers saying or spending a ton of money into getting the equipment. I'm going to get this a little wrong. the the optical equipment you would need to prove the that all right we're going to set up this pole and light here um and we're going to set up another uh pole here and if the earth was flat the light will shine at this place and if the earth was flat the light or round the light will shine at this place and we're going to prove it and they do it and the light shows up, where it would show up, if the earth were round.
Starting point is 00:27:34 And the reaction initially is, huh? Let's try it again. Then they do it again. And it is a brief questioning. Is the equipment broken? And then it immediately goes to, wow, the conspiracy is even bigger than we thought. they've somehow hacked lighting and there is an element yeah of that with some of the
Starting point is 00:28:08 shador stuff which was in denial right it was he's clearly better he clearly should be the guy he's clearly not getting the opportunities they're clearly he if he and gabriel were both playing and then they play a game gabriel looks good should door has a really, really tough performance. And instead of it being like, oh, okay, that's why he was ahead of him on the depth chart. It was
Starting point is 00:28:37 wow. These sons of bitches will go to no when to stop my guy. And it's a little canary in the coal mine of some of the bigger issues we have right now with what is truth and what is not.
Starting point is 00:28:56 And so I find it interesting. I do. I know that my favorite NFL podcast, Greg Rosenthal's NFL Daily, which I'll be on later this week actually. You know, they have done, they have tried to do a, they have done a really good job of like not leading with
Starting point is 00:29:17 the topic every day that, you know, the shows like the TV shows like mine lead with. The juiciest thing because they're like really giving you the news and information and stuff. And I respect that entirely. But there is a deeper element to some of the Shador stuff that I find fascinating. Just like there's a deeper element actually to some of the Mika stuff that I find fascinating. That's actually about Jerry Jones and power and things like that.
Starting point is 00:29:43 But at the end of the day, Shador had a chance. If he looked better anyways, like why would they want to make him look bad? It would be in their best interest for Shador to look great by the end, even if they didn't plan on keeping him. Of course. Of course. Guys who want to keep their jobs, want their quarterback, want to put the best quarterback on the field. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:30:04 I mean, there's most of, most conspiracies, de Monzae fall apart at the first or second question. Most. Like, and you just asked the first question, which is the, wait, why again? Explain it to me. Just like the, the, the chiefs, the, you know, league rigged. for the Chief's conspiracy. It's like, hey, remind me again who is the league, the 32 teams. So why again are the chargers in on this?
Starting point is 00:30:40 Like some explain that to me. So most of them fall apart instantly. But so listen, he had a chance to pass Gabriel. And if Gabriel, and the nicer way to frame it is, Gabriel after that injury and watching Shador in preseason game one was under real pressure and Gabriel responded and so shout out to him
Starting point is 00:31:07 all right before we get to the mic and stuff and then our over unders um the rivalries the marching bands the upsets Saturdays just got way more fun college football's back put your knowledge think you know the game put your college football knowledge to the test with drafting
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Starting point is 00:33:03 Void in Ontario. Bet must win to receive reward. Minimum minus 500 odds required. Bonus bets expire 168 hours after issuance. For additional terms and responsible gaming resources, see dkng.com slash audio. Hey, it's us, the Jonas brothers, and guess what? We have some big news.
Starting point is 00:33:19 What's the news, name? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to... We're the first people to do podcasts.
Starting point is 00:33:30 Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts throughout there. But this one's extra special. So how did we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. Well, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band. Before Jonas Brothers was... This is how you guys remember it going down?
Starting point is 00:33:53 Yes. I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,
Starting point is 00:34:11 or wherever you get your podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends, me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier. This week, my guest, S&L's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel,
Starting point is 00:34:31 help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind.
Starting point is 00:34:50 Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened. That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise. Breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves. Their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments that never make the highlight real.
Starting point is 00:35:14 From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context and ask the questions everybody wants answered. Sports Slice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to Sports Slice on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. And for more, follow Timbo Slic Life 12
Starting point is 00:35:35 and the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis. And I know firsthand because I competed there myself. I'm Renee Stubbs, and on the Renee Stubbs' tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening. at Roland Garris. Every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on Clay. Jen she went. I mean, she went down at three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted.
Starting point is 00:36:01 She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lena Rubakina is arguably the best player in the world right now, and I actually can win on any surface, because if she's serving, well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open. Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the Iheart Radio app. Apple Podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. All right, DeMonse, let's do the Cowboys here.
Starting point is 00:36:30 Again, a kind of bigger picture thing, and then we're going to get to our over-unders. Yeah, so things are getting spicy in Dallas. Not only has Mike Parsons not agreed on a new contract extension, but he was seen everything was sleeping on the tent at the last preseason game. On the training table? So things are so bad in Dallas. you had them last and last place in your predictions week. You also somehow connected Micah's situation to the alleged chiefs to suspect.
Starting point is 00:36:57 Do you mind explaining both of those? Sure. I'll start with the Chiefs one real quick. And I'm so mad it took me this long. I had this like Eureka moment. Because listen, I scroll Twitter. I see the other shows. I see.
Starting point is 00:37:13 And so many folks are chiefs are vulnerable. Chiefs are on the down. turn, Ravens and Bills have gotten better. Chiefs have gotten worse. Like, you know, Chiefs are fairly, you know, still really good, but they're not the caliber of those other teams. That,
Starting point is 00:37:30 those takes are it's not straw, man, those takes are very common this offseason. But then I realized during the Mika conversation, so many of the people
Starting point is 00:37:46 who are currently arguing, the Ravens are the best team in the AFC. The bills are the best team in the AFC. When the subject of who should trade for Micah Parsons comes up, you know what I haven't take I haven't seen? Well, Kansas City
Starting point is 00:38:07 better do it. In order to bridge the gap between them and Baltimore. If they want to stop, the best quarterback in football, Josh Allen, if they want to slow down, the most dynamic, dual threat we've ever seen in Lamar Jackson. The chiefs need to go all in and trade for Michael Parsons. No one's had that take. You know what take you here every effing day? If I'm Baltimore or Buffalo, I get on the phone with Dallas right now. So finish the thought. Why? Who in that
Starting point is 00:38:39 scenario where Baltimore or Buffalo are trading multiple first round picks and giving out a record setting contract to get a past rushing edge defender? Who? is it that they're acquiring that to beat? Not, of course, the Chiefs, because those teams, they're already better. They've already, they've already, they've already ascended. I was watching and I'm like, oh, you all told on yourselves. You all are claiming you think Buffalo or Baltimore or better, but then you're also saying, uh, they might need to add the league's best defensive player because they need to get over the hump. What's the hump we're talking about? So that's how connected to the chief situation i'm 100% right everyone knows it now here's the dallas thing uh and this is
Starting point is 00:39:25 what i find fascinating and the reason i want to talk about it jerry jones has broken the rules and nobody but mike florio seems to care he is not allowed to negotiate directly with micha parsons he not he knows that he does not care and he not only did it but his stances it's a binding negotiation. And he is fine with saying to the world at large, yeah, there's nothing more to negotiate. I negotiated it with him. And it is so brazen.
Starting point is 00:40:04 Brazen? Brazen? Brazen. And credit to Dorel Revis and I think Matt Schaubb are the two people who have come out and said, the NFL PA needs file a grievance. Of course they do. If a player has an agent, you are not allowed to negotiate with the player directly. And Jerry is now saying, we negotiated, it's done. And if he doesn't agree to it, we have him under contract this year and can franchise have him in the next two years.
Starting point is 00:40:35 So I think this has gotten far uglier than the DAC situation. And I don't think it is going to be quite as simple. as, oh, the day before the season, they re-sign him? Maybe they do. And Jerry just sacrificed having Mike it full strength for week one for months worth of headlines. And maybe that's a good trade-off for him. If I were a Cowboys fan, I'd be livid. All right.
Starting point is 00:41:02 Now, we do need to get to the gambling show. But first, a couple reminders. One, like rate, subscribe review. The other one, you ask us questions in the dock. It is roster cut down day to Monze, but there's no big. roster news as of yet today. Yeah, man, his agent's going to be so bad. And the U.S. Open is going on.
Starting point is 00:41:28 I am going tomorrow night. So we will have a tennis corner update, fresh off a few honey deuses, Thursday morning on the show. But before we get to our all 32 over unders, let me talk to you guys about my friends at Boost Mobile in. you know what i'm just calling it this is the boost mobile studio i don't even know if they paid for that but we look around here this is what's right live from the boost mobile studio send that over to them paul they'll love it they deserve it they got the signage everywhere we got this light up and running after a little delay it's great ever sign up for a new phone plan thinking wow great price few months later surprise your bills higher boost mobile you made twenty five dollars a month
Starting point is 00:42:11 forever unlimited talk text data starting at just twenty five dollars a month. No price hikes, no contract forever. Plus, Boost Mobile is now a legit nationwide 5G network. They've invested billions building 5G towers across the country. Visit BoostMobile.com or head to your local boost store today and get unlimited talk, text, and data for $25 a month forever. 5G speeds not available in all areas. After 30 gigs, customers may experience lower speeds. Customers will pay $25 a month as long as they remain active. on the boost unlimited plan. All right, DeMonse, set us up on the gambling show and how we do it.
Starting point is 00:42:54 Favorite time of the year? So it is time to break down the win totals for the 30s to NFL teams. You're going to give your picks, and we were going to tell us which teams you're intended to stay away. So last year, you went six and two on your over-unders, even though you didn't bet these, you went 12 and 7 on your stay-aways. It looks like, are you trying to stay-to-on-on-your-on-on-on-on-on-on-on-on-on-on-on-on. On your liens or stairways.
Starting point is 00:43:18 Yeah, let me, so overall last year, I went 20 and 12 total, okay? 20 and 12 overall. I made eight actual bets. I was six and two on them. So the, we're going to give you all 32 teams. This year, there are 10 actual bets I'm making, but I will. give you the actual like you know I will tell you which way I'm going on all 32 but I'm only making 10 actual bets but last year if you just bet every single team that I said over under it would you would
Starting point is 00:44:01 have had 20 wins 12 losses um and all as always all lines and odds courtesy of draft kings lines and odds subject to change so here's the deal and we'll go over the full recap of last year's gambling show on Thursday show. Demonsie, I forgot this, absolutely crushed in the preseason gambling show. Demonsie made five bets and was plus nine units on the bets because they were all big plus odds. You crushed on those. I believe in you. The over-unders are important that you incorporate the Vig on it.
Starting point is 00:44:42 You can't incorporate the Vig on the record, but on your. your bets you obviously can incorporate profit loss we're going to do this division by division i'm going to roll through them and demands that you and i will discuss them i'm telling you right now in the a fc east there is not an over under that i am betting but we'll go through them and i'll tell you which one i'm leaning so the bills are being listed in most places as an over under of 11 and a half. But there's been so much action on the over that it's minus 175 Vig at the 11.5. So the total for the bills that is truly their updated total is 12.5 because the the Vig on 12 and a half is plus 125 over minus 150 under. That I feel like the bills are our.
Starting point is 00:45:42 a 12 and 5 team. I don't think they're getting to 13 wins. I could see 11 and 6. I think that the so this would be to me at 12 and a half laying minus
Starting point is 00:45:58 150 a slight under. Sean McDermott seems a little concerned about their defense DeMonsei but Josh is too good and they have have such an advantage of that division and owning it the way they do,
Starting point is 00:46:17 that it feels like their floor is 10 wins. I think there are 12 and 5 team. I would go under just barely. And any of these demands say that you have a big issue with or want to add to just do it. There's a bunch of those. Yeah, I definitely lean under on 12.5 for the bills. I want to the schedule. I see some.
Starting point is 00:46:38 I wouldn't feel comfortable going over on 12 for the bills issue. And so, and the other thing is how good do we think the AFC East is going to be? And this is where it gets tricky. Dolphins total is seven and a half. They win, win to a play. And by the way, the Vig is almost exactly even minus 105, minus 115 over under. The vibes with the dolphins seem to be wretched, right? They also win when to a place.
Starting point is 00:47:11 And they have a very good D line. but Tyreek doesn't seem to want to be there. This feels like the perfect number. I am going to, gosh darn it. This is why I'm not betting these. I'm going to buy the slightest of margins, say under. I definitely can see them going eight and nine, but I will say it's a seven and ten dolphins year,
Starting point is 00:47:40 and I will go slightly under. It would not shock me. if the dolphins start off hot and it looks like, you know, the dolphins from a couple years ago, but over the course of the season, I just can't trust them. And it seems like the team might be souring on Mike McDaniel a bit or at least not taking them as seriously. I'm a slight under. Aren't those things kind of reverse, though? Harry Kill wants to be there and the team also isn't souring on McDaniel?
Starting point is 00:48:12 No, correct. Oh, you were just saying in that case. Okay. Yes. And so, no, it could. That's why I'm saying I'm a little anxious about it, but I will go slight under. This one shocked me. Patriots over under eight and a half.
Starting point is 00:48:28 When that number came out, I thought it was way too high. The juice is even on both sides minus 110. And yet, despite that, DeMonze, I'm going over. Wow. I believe in Mike Brable. I, they get the dolphins in week 18 in New England. You love that for them. It'll be zero degrees.
Starting point is 00:48:53 They get two games against the Jets, who I'll get to in a moment. Drake May will be better than he was last year. I think the Patriots win nine or ten games can make the playoffs, and I will go over on the New England Patriots. The schedule's bad. You meaning easy or hard? Easy. Like the schedules.
Starting point is 00:49:17 Oh, yes. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that's a huge piece of it. A huge piece of it is who they ended up drawing schedule-wise. Jets six and a half with heavy juice on the under. I still have to go under because all of the reports out of Jets training camp de Monse are that that offense is in real, real trouble.
Starting point is 00:49:41 I like Aaron Glenn. I think he's trying to build something. I think he'll build it in the mold of Dan Campbell and Detroit. But Dan Campbell's first year in Detroit, it was not good. I think it will be similar with the Jets. And again, I'm not betting it. But for the AFC East, Bills, Dolphins, Jets, all unders, Patriots, overs. And then we move to a division.
Starting point is 00:50:04 I have strong feelings on a lot of these teams, but only one win total that I want to bet. And that's the AFC North. So, Ravens de Manze over under 11.5, juice slightly to the over. I am not betting it, but you cannot, you can't pick a Ravens under until proven otherwise. And so to me, they are in over when Lamar, like last year it felt like they lost a ton of dumb games. They still won 12. And I like the moves the moves they made this offseason. I think they will continue to be a regular season juggernaut.
Starting point is 00:50:50 With that said, the reason this is not a bet for me is the slight concern that we saw the last great Derek Henry season. And if that's the case, I could see them only winning 11. games but it wouldn't shock me if this team goes 14 and 3 it would shock me if this team goes 10 and 7 so because of that I'm an over I imagine you de monse are a strong over for Baltimore yeah definitely yeah the best team in the NFL right now best team in the NFL I mean easily top two or three but yeah so that that's good well listen a lot of people think they're the best team in the NFL. Me and a Kimes got very mad at me because I did not.
Starting point is 00:51:41 But I certainly think they are set up for massive regular season success. I also think that when you were talking about like the Patriot schedule, the Ravens schedules in the other direction. It is brutality for the Ravens. Now, what does that mean for them? They typically have a tough schedule. this year to me, if you want to hear it real quick. It's not terrible, actually. It's not that bad.
Starting point is 00:52:15 I mean, obviously, you got the divisional games, but then outside of that, like, you got the Rams. You have the Chiefs, you got the Bills. You have the divisional, yeah, that's what, yeah. You have the divisional games plus the NFC North, plus the other, I have it right here. What's the other division that? they play. Sorry, I
Starting point is 00:52:37 had it, and now I closed it, but regardless. I think that, and the AFC East. So the AFC East is not brutal. But it's certainly not an easy schedule. But listen, they win 75% of
Starting point is 00:52:53 their games in the regular season with Lamar. They would be an over. It's not a bet for me. Here is our first bet. The Bengals under 9.5 wins at minus 1,15. why is the defense going to be better than last years? And if the answer is Lou Anirumo was a, you know, an inside agent for the opposition, so be it.
Starting point is 00:53:19 But I disagree. And so the, they did get Drey Hendrickson back. That does matter. I'm not dismissing that. However, they had him last year. And he led the NFL in Sacks. I think the offensive line could be a real problem. And because of that, DeMonsay, I think, listen, Burrow, Chasingh, are going to be great.
Starting point is 00:53:45 Are they going to be as good as they were last year? I don't know. And because of that, to me, the Bengals have a carbon copy year of last year. They win nine games. They miss the playoffs, and they fire their head coach. That is my major Cincinnati Bengals. prediction is this is Zach Taylor's last year there. And here's the other thing with the Bengals.
Starting point is 00:54:11 When you look at their schedule, you like to say, oh, it opened soft at Cleveland, home for the Jags. They start every year so terribly. I don't know that I want my easy games early. Last year, they started against New England and found a way to lose. I also think Miles Garrett could wreak some havoc. week one against them. I just, again, I'm not saying the Browns are going to beat them.
Starting point is 00:54:39 I think the Bengals aren't under, and that is a bet. This next one, Demons, is such a disrespectful number. Yeah, I was thinking about it. The Brown's total set at four and a half, minus 145 on the over, plus 120 on the under. It's an absolute stay away. But I will. if I have to pick I will pick over
Starting point is 00:55:06 I mean four and a half wins when you get 17 games now now it is given the fact that they were a last place team you look at the schedule and you're like where are the super easy games and then you realize like
Starting point is 00:55:28 one of their strength of schedule last place games is the Niners. Like, that's unlucky. The Titans is a last place schedule game, but they get the Titans DeMonsay late in the year when Cam Ward should be better. So, you know, that's a bummer for them. They get the, yeah, honestly, the, yeah, you don't see. You would think, right. Well, no, they start unbelievable. Bangles, Ravens, Packers, Lions is how they start. Like, give me a break. Um, And then, but I don't think the Steelers and Bengals are going to be great. And the numbers, four and a half, I've got to go over four and a half.
Starting point is 00:56:16 And so I will go over four and a half. But it's not a bet for me. And then we get the Steelers who cost me a ton of money last year. I faded the Steelers left and right. And they somehow found a way into the playoffs. their total is eight and a half. They are minus 115, minus 105. I am an under for Pittsburgh, but it is not a bet.
Starting point is 00:56:46 I said this two months ago, and I will stick with it. I think that we have Mike Tomlin's first losing season as Aaron Rogers' final season. That was a take I had before they signed Rogers. Brew then made it his own take, but then he flip-flopped it, so I took it back. And so I know doubting that Tomlin can get to nine wins has only ever been a losing bet or doubting that he can get to 500. He did go, what, 8-8-1-1 year or something? He's never been below 500, obviously.
Starting point is 00:57:25 That's what happened at some point, right? I would think so. And I just, I think they will have a good, but not overwhelmingly dominant defense. I don't think the Rogers D.K. Metcalfe fit is a smart one, like one that makes sense. And so because of that, I am going to go under on the Pittsburgh Steelers, which also means through two divisions, I only have one bet. The bet is Bengals under nine and a half. But I am also skewing towards unders.
Starting point is 00:58:01 The only, I have under for bills 12 and a half, Dolphins 7 and a half, Jets, 6 and a half, Bengals 9 and a half, Steelers 8 and a half, over Browns 4.5, over Patriots 8 and a half, and over Bengals, I'm sorry. Ravens, right? And over Ravens 11.5. Thank you. Also, in the least shocking news ever, we are only going to do this. the AFC today because we're not going to get through 32 teams in 30 minutes. This is exactly what happened last year where Tuesday's show I tried to do some actual news
Starting point is 00:58:38 then all 32 teams and then what we ended up doing was some actual news 16 teams and then Thursday we do the NFC and all our other bets. Remind me in 2026 guys. Just format it as such. but in the meantime, we still have half the conference to go through. And we have one, two, three, five bets we are making from the AFC South and the AFC West. But before we do that, I got to tell you guys, I am so excited. It's finally here.
Starting point is 00:59:14 Tomorrow night, I am going to the U.S. Open. And that's why I want to shout out our great sponsor of today's show, Seatge. 28 million app downloads seat geek the number one rated ticketing app there are more than 70,000 events listed on seat geek including concerts sports festivals and more with the NFL season just around the corner and MLB playoffs approaching now is the perfect time to get to a game you guys know I love using seat geek and I'm just to show you exactly how it works so you I already open the app I go to the US open I am not going today I am going to go Wednesday so Wednesday I'm going to go to the night
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Starting point is 01:00:44 section row a uh you love a good row a amazing deal wednesday night seven o'clock louie armstrong you US Open honey deuces you love it my friends at seekeke and don't forget uh again big green dot good little red dot find a different ticket every ticket's backed by their buyer guarantee and if you guys could help me out you can use code write 10 W RGHT 10 for 10% off your next set of tickets at CEEK 10% off any tickets with promo code right 10 click the link in the description of the show download the app have the code automatically added to your account so you use you use it later. Thank you to my friends at Seat Geek.
Starting point is 01:01:29 Hey, it's us, the Jonas Brothers, and guess what? We have some big news. What's the news? Huge news. We created our own podcast called, Hey Jonas. We invented a podcast? Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it. We're the first people to do podcasts. Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts.
Starting point is 01:01:44 We're starting a trend. But this one's extra special. So how do we actually come up with a name Hey Jonas, guys? I honestly don't remember. I think it was on a call about what we should call it. And we were thinking, I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band before Jonas Brothers. This is how you guys remember it going down? Yes.
Starting point is 01:02:07 I have a very different memory of this. We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast, where people could call in and say, hey, Jonas. And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas, and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast. But thanks for remembering that, guys. Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast. podcast. Just listen. We don't care where you hear it. Another podcast from some SNL late night comedy guy, not quite. Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends. Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you
Starting point is 01:02:39 funnier. This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer, Streeter Seidel, help an a cappella band with their between songs banter. Where does your group perform? We do some retirement homes. Those people are starving for banter. Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends on the I-heart race. radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Last night, a blown call changed a game. This morning, the internet lost its mind. Highlights are trending, opinions are flying, and nobody's telling you exactly what happened.
Starting point is 01:03:08 That's where Sports Slice comes in. I'm Timbo. Every episode, we're cutting through the noise, breaking down the plays, the controversies, and the stories behind the headlines. We go straight to the source, the athlete themselves. Their locker room stories, their reactions, the stuff nobody gets to hear. The laughs, the drama, the triumphs, the moments. moments that never make the highlight real.
Starting point is 01:03:27 From viral moments to historic games, from buzzer beaters to controversial calls, we break it down, give you context and ask the questions everybody wants answered. SportsSlice brings you closer to the action with stories told by the people who live them. Listen to SportsSlice on the Iheart radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Starting point is 01:03:45 And for more, follow Timbo Slices Life 12 in the TikTok podcast network on TikTok. The French Open is one of the toughest tests in tennis, and I know firsthand. because I competed there myself. I'm Renee Stubbs, and on the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast, I'm breaking down everything happening at Roland Garris, every match, every upset, and what it really takes to win on Clay.
Starting point is 01:04:08 Jenchian went. I mean, she went down at three to Rabakina, but I'm delighted. She's an outsider to win the French for me. And she likes Clay. Listen, Lina Rabakina is arguably the best player in the world right now, and I actually can win on any surface. Because if she's serving, well, good luck. Consider this your court side seat to the French Open.
Starting point is 01:04:29 Listen to the Renee Stubbs tennis podcast on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Presented by Capital One, founding partner of IHeart Women's Sports. All right, Damase, now to the AFC South. We have the Texans, nine and a half wins with minus 130 on the under. So Vegas favoring the under for the Texans, I will go, this is a lean, not a bet, but a lean. I will go by the slightest of bits and over for the Texans. I like, don't love, I like the quarterback. I really like the coach.
Starting point is 01:05:16 I love the defense. I think the Texans defense has a chance to be the best defense in football this year. They certainly should have the best pass defense, past rush plus secondary in football. They could be vulnerable against the run. I'm worried about the offensive line. I'm worried about some of the receiving options and the injuries of running back, I think, are a real thing. But I like CJ. I think he needs a bounce back year.
Starting point is 01:05:48 I don't think they're a dominant team. I don't think they're a Super Bowl contender, but I think they can get to 10 wins. So I'm getting plus money on it theoretically, even though I'm not betting it. So I'm a slight over for the Houston Texans. You were very high on the Texans last year, DeMons. Have you cooled a bit?
Starting point is 01:06:05 How do you feel about CJ in Houston? I thought CJ was kind of dealing with some shoulder stuff. Yes, he is. Earlier this offseason. Over, over nine and a half. I'm honestly going to go under nine. and a half i just don't want them to do that i've got a bet that i probably can't disclose now i know but but yeah that was just oh one of your bets that you're going to talk about on thursday yeah
Starting point is 01:06:28 100% okay all right but i mean they can still go over but yeah i the defense is nice honestly like logically i'd say over just nine and a half is a little low for the texans but but yeah hopefully you're going with your i understand and nine and a half's not necessarily low for the texans like I think that's I think it's a fair number. The next team listed, it's the Indianapolis Colts. Their number is seven and a half. It is the same slight juice minus 130 on the under. And this is a bet.
Starting point is 01:07:03 And this is a bet that I love. And I am taking the under on the Colts. I am so dismayed by how they continue to handle the quarterback situation. Yeah, how do they not get the balance treatment on the over under? Well, because Stuyken always finds a way to win games. Like, where they do deserve credit is they rarely bottom out. I mean, yeah, I mean, they, they, so they, last year they won eight games, the year before
Starting point is 01:07:38 they won nine games, the year before that, they won four. That's how they ended up drafting Richardson. but then before that 9 11 7 10 like you know what I mean they have been and under stuyken they've been they've been in the mix I think that ends this year I do not like their weapons I do not like their defense I do not like Daniel Jones and I think it is on the board that the calls are the worst team in the league I think that's possible I think that there's let me put it like like this. There aren't, if we did a worst team in the league draft,
Starting point is 01:08:19 there wouldn't be five teams I would take before them. And the, the other piece of it is, listen, I'm not going to act like I think Anthony Richardson's going to be good. I don't, my bet would be he's never good. I also, though, think if you take a player that raw fourth overall and he has less than one season's worth of
Starting point is 01:08:55 starts and you throw in the towel for Daniel Jones after Daniel Jones has a mediocre at best preseason I just think that process is so backwards that you should not be rewarded for it and I think that they are going to have a very, very difficult season. And Daniel wonders if they start slow, should they trade Jonathan Taylor? I am also not sure Jonathan Taylor at this point will be as, you know, continue to be as good as he's been. I just, I do not believe in this team. They are a heavy under for me. I think that number, their win total should have been six and a half,
Starting point is 01:09:42 and I still probably would have taken the under. At seven and a half, I love the under, almost as much as I love this over. We are so back, baby. We are so, so back. Jags over seven and a half minus one 25. Oh my God, I love it. I love it so much. Better coach.
Starting point is 01:10:09 Two legit receiving threats. a real commitment this offseason, I felt, to getting some of the fundamental things that were wrong with the team last year, most notably the lines better. I think Travis Hunter is going to make a legitimate and quick impact. I think that the two new offensive linemen are significant. don't mind that they lost Kirk and Gabe Davis because I didn't think those guys were substantial players for them. And I just think that Trevor also understands this is the last year. Anyone cares about where he was drafted.
Starting point is 01:11:00 And the fact that I can, they could be below 500 and I win this bet is just remarkable to me. and so Jags over seven and a half at minus 125, I am all over that one, buddy. I am all over that one. Do you think I'm crazy? I think the train rules off. No, I think that this has got to be the year. It's got to be the year for Trevor.
Starting point is 01:11:29 Well, I would, one would hope. If it's not, listen, if it's not this year, then if it's not this year, then I just have to admit defeat. Yeah, you got to be done. You know what I mean? The five years end, If it's not this year, I have to admit defeat. And the last one, Titans over under six and a half, plus 110 on the over, minus 130 on the under.
Starting point is 01:11:49 It feels like a slight, slight, slight under. My hesitancy is as bad as I think the cults are going to be. Do I think they're going to get two wins against the cults? And then all of a sudden, you know what I mean? You're right there. But even if you believe in Cam Ward, I don't know that I believe in the coach. I don't know if I believe in the infrastructure of the team. It also feels like a 6 and 11 season would be like, okay, step in the right direction,
Starting point is 01:12:20 and that would still be an under. So slim margin, I'm an under for the Titans. Now, to my division that I'm all over. Yeah. Just absolutely all over. The AFC West. The Denver Broncos. Nine and a half.
Starting point is 01:12:44 Never has a team that last year beat two quarterbacks all year that are currently starters in the league. When 0 and 7 in its games against playoff teams, unless you include beating the Chiefs backups as a playoff team, gotten this much preseason smoke. under nine and a half gets me plus one 10. I think it is more than on the board that this team goes 7 and 10. Let me put it like this. They are more likely to go 7 and 10 than 10 and 7.
Starting point is 01:13:28 I will take the Broncos and fading Bo Nix, who again was good last year. I don't doubt that he was good last year. I do doubt that he is going to have similar success this year. I will take that. And here is the thing that I say on the front end of that, Demonsi. They start the year off with four straight games against teams. I don't really believe in.
Starting point is 01:13:58 I think there is going to be a lot of Broncos folks. I'm planting my flag on this. I think there is a chance the Broncos start like four and two. And I'm dealing with a lot of chirping because they go Titans, cults, Chargers, Bengals, Eagles really tough,
Starting point is 01:14:20 Jets, Giants, Cowboys. How many games that? Was that eight? That's eight games. So I think they, you know what?
Starting point is 01:14:29 I think they might be able to even start six and two. Don't care. Is this Sean Paz in second or third year? Is this a second? Third year. Third year. Third year. You don't think that, I mean,
Starting point is 01:14:43 him and Boenix just connected. They got, they got 10 wins last year. You're that confident in the under on the nine and a half that, like, I've seen some good stuff with Bonix in the preseason. Listen, everybody loves him.
Starting point is 01:14:59 I get it. And everybody loves Sean Peyton. Everybody loves Sean Payton almost as much as Sean Peyton love Sean Payton. I think they could start the year off quite strong. And then come November, when it goes, Texans, Raiders, chiefs, commanders, Raiders, Packers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Chargers. I think they'll just lose them all.
Starting point is 01:15:25 A significant, well, no, obviously not lose them all, but a significant down swing that leaves them under 500, and on the outside looking in on the playoffs. Everyone loves the Broncos this year, but me. And they better start off super strong. But I am here saying, I expect de Monza, a big topic in September and October on the show to potentially be, Nick, ready to admit you are wrong about the Broncos. And when I tell you guys, no, I am not.
Starting point is 01:16:04 Now, to the easiest bet every single year, the Chiefs hitting their over. Under Andy Reed, it has failed to happen one time, and they made up for it that year by winning the Super Bowl. The Chiefs win total, getting even money over 11.5 wins, that's an easy one. I will take over 11.5 every day with Kansas City, 12 and 5. would disappoint me. I expect 13 and 4 or better. They are not going 11 and 6. The chiefs, we don't need to spend more time on it.
Starting point is 01:16:45 Everyone knew I was going chiefs over because it is the right bet. I am going over with the Kansas City Chiefs. And there is that. Now to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders. total is six and a half. It is minus 1.45 on the over. I like Gino.
Starting point is 01:17:12 I love Pete Carroll. I believe in the Raiders. I am going over with the Las Vegas Raiders. It is six and a half. I think the schedule is soft. I think Genty will be a force. I think Brock Bowers is going to have the best statistical season of any tight end. I believe in the Oakland Raiders
Starting point is 01:17:33 100% as far as being able to win seven games. I think they can do better than that and we'll talk more about that on Thursday's show but I am in on the Raiders. Any objections there to Monza? No, no, 100%. I like the Raiders too this year, all the new stuff.
Starting point is 01:17:51 Yeah. And then last but not least, the Chargers. Numbers 9. 9.5. This number to me is just about correct. I will lean under, but it is not a bet. I think they probably go 9 and 8 and just miss out on the playoffs, but it's a lean under on the Chargers.
Starting point is 01:18:12 The Rishon Slater injury is enough to tip me over to the underside if I had him at 10 wins before. So, to recap, we have the Jags over 7 and a half, the Chiefs over 11 and a half, the Raiders over 6.5. We have the Bengals under nine and a half, the Colts under seven and a half, the Broncos under nine and a half. Thursday, we will do the NFC, we will do our make-miss playoff bets, we'll do our division winners, the Super Bowl exacta, and DeMazze's top five bets, which were again, plus nine units on five, one unit bets last year. One of the more underrated features of our show last season. It's a great show.
Starting point is 01:18:57 to run. Save our questions from today's show for Thursday. I have to go. We are late for everything. I can't believe football's finally here. Like, rate, subscribe review, do the whole thing. Talk to you guys soon. Thank you to volume, draft kings, Blue Duck, Boost Mobile,
Starting point is 01:19:14 seat geek, and who else am I for getting here? I think I got everybody in. If I didn't, I apologize. Talk to you. I think I said volume on the front end. Talk to you guys all later. What's right. Hey guys, it's us
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