The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish - #14 Morgan Housel: Reading, Writing, and Lifelong Learning

Episode Date: October 24, 2016

Financial writer Morgan Housel and I discuss reading, writing, filtering information, admitting error, important qualities to have in friends and so much more.   Go Premium: Members get early acces...s, ad-free episodes, hand-edited transcripts, searchable transcripts, member-only episodes, and more. Sign up at: https://fs.blog/membership/   Every Sunday our newsletter shares timeless insights and ideas that you can use at work and home. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/   Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to the Knowledge Project. I'm your host, Shane Parrish, the curator behind Farnham Street, which is an online intellectual hub of interestingness. We cover topics like human misjudgment, decision-making, strategy, and philosophy. The Knowledge Project allows me to interview amazing people from around the world to deconstruct why they're good at what they do. It's more conversation than prescription. On this episode, I'm proud to have Morgan Housel. Morgan's a columnist at The Motley Fool and a former columnist of the Wall Street Journal. His work has also been published in time, USA Today, World Affairs, and Business Insider.
Starting point is 00:00:44 I mean, you name it, he's been there. Simply put, he's one of the shining lights of the business press. More than that, though, he's one of the few people that I read all the time. And as I've gotten to know him over the years, I can also tell you, he's an exceptional person. I hope you enjoy this conversation as much as I did. Morgan, thanks for coming on the show. You're one of the very few financial people, very few writers in general, that I read all the time.
Starting point is 00:01:17 Shane, I have a hard time believing that. Well, first, thank you, but you read so much. I have a hard time believing that. I just don't read the same person all the time. Well, thanks. I'm happy to be here. Awesome. So I've had a question I've always wanted to ask you, which is like, what was your first job? And how did you get into the space that you're in now? And maybe you can tell people a little bit about what you do. Well, my first job wasn't very exciting, but I can move on from that. My first job, I was a host at Denny's. And I worked there for a couple weeks, and I wasn't very excited about it. And then I moved on to, I worked as a valet at a hotel in Lake Tahoe. It was a nice, fancy hotel in Lake Tahoe.
Starting point is 00:01:57 valet I always thought even before I did it would be the coolest job and it was it was such a cool job so I started that in Tahoe and then I moved to Los Angeles where I went to college and I kept doing that so I was a valet for many years is it true that people go enjoy rides when they're yes yes it's true it's it's totally true uh I mean nothing nothing too nothing too bad but if you come in in a nice car and you give it to a 20 year old you you know what's going to happen You know what the probabilities are, right? Right, right. But it was a cool job.
Starting point is 00:02:33 I really love doing that. But how I got interested in finance, I always knew that I wanted to go into finance. And when I look back, you know, when I was a teenager and I was excited about finance, I don't think I knew why. I think it was probably finance is attractive to a lot of, especially young men in their teenage years, because it has the impression of money and power and prestige. And I think when I look back, that's what attracted me to it. And what's funny is that my current job now doesn't have a lot of that because I didn't
Starting point is 00:03:03 really go into finance. I just sort of write about it. But all throughout college, my plan A, B, and C was investment banking. That's what I wanted to do. That was I didn't have any. That was what I was going to do. I was going to be an investment banker. And I got an investment banking internship in my junior year.
Starting point is 00:03:21 And it was clear from day one, from the first hour of the, of the business. first day that it was not going to be for me. Investment banking has just an incredibly intense, competitive, almost combative culture that is the opposite of my personality. They had this saying that they told us on the first day, and it was kind of a joke, but it wasn't. And that was the culture in investment banking was, if you don't come in on Saturday, don't bother coming back on Sunday. Oh, wow. And it's, you know, it was just a really intense culture that wasn't, it just didn't fit my personality. So it works for some people. If you're just ultra type A and you just need the most intense work environment, that's good for some people. It wasn't good for me. So after I
Starting point is 00:04:03 ended that after a couple months, it was an internship. I got a job in private equity. And I really enjoyed private equity because it's kind of, you know, you're kind of in the trenches, digging deep into finance and researching companies and buying entire companies. And then you own the company outright so you have a hand in its operations. I really enjoyed private equity. But this was the summer of 2007, and credit markets started blowing up all over the world. And when you are in a business like private equity, which requires you to borrow lots of money to buy companies and credit markets are blowing up, things got pretty tight. And they came to me, and it was one of the funniest lines of my career. They came to me and they said, you're not fired, but you can't work here anymore.
Starting point is 00:04:47 And I said, okay, that's fair enough. I'm pretty sure that's called being laid off. But okay, fair enough. So I needed to do, so I needed to find something else to do. I was one semester away from graduating college. I knew I wanted to go into finance, but I didn't know really what I wanted to do. And I had a friend who was a financial writer, and he was writing for the Motley Fool at the time. And he said, hey, you should come do this.
Starting point is 00:05:08 You're interested in finance. Why don't you come do this? And I had never really written much of anything. I studied economics in college, which doesn't require a lot of writing. It's a lot of math and whatnot. So I had no writing background whatsoever. but I gave it a shot without thinking anything of it, thinking maybe I'll do this for six months until I find something else. And that was nine years ago. And I just stuck with it and I've been
Starting point is 00:05:30 writing about finance ever since. And you seem to love it. I mean, it comes across and you're writing that you have a passion for it. You developed one, I guess, even if you didn't have one to start. When I started doing it, there was no, it wasn't like I'm passionate about this and I want to do it. It was, I'm going to try this and see how it goes. But instantly, once I started doing it, it was clear that I really did enjoy doing it. I think writing is a great process for anybody in any field because it really helps you solidify your thoughts. I think in any field, no matter what it is, a lot of people have ideas in their head that they just can't really put their finger on. They know it's there. They can kind of like feel the idea floating around, but they can't, they just don't really
Starting point is 00:06:12 know what it is. And if you sit down and force yourself to write about that topic, things really start crystallizing and solidifying. And I've really found that true for fun. There are a lot of topics that, you know, I think I have this idea about behavior or psychology or my, but I can't really figure it out. And once I sit down and force myself to write it, then it's like, okay, that's what I meant to say. I think writing is a really good process for anyone in any field to go through. Do you think writing about finance and not being a practitioner in this sense of, well, what are your personal investments? Do you do that still? Are you? Oh, yeah. Yeah, so I'm an active investor.
Starting point is 00:06:49 Most of my, so how I invest is basically every month, I dollar cost average into index funds. So that's my, that's the core of it. And then on top of that, rarely, but it is a portion of my portfolio when I come across an individual stock that is attractive to me for whatever reason, then I'll buy that too. So the core of my portfolio is index funds, but I still have some individual stocks on the side. So I guess some people call that index plus. Do you think that the writing about the finance gives you a bit of an outsider's perspective,
Starting point is 00:07:24 which gives you an advantage? I think there are two sides of it. One is, without a doubt, there are parts of the investing field that I don't understand because I'm not a practitioner, that someone who is a financial advisor or a mutual fund manager or a hedge fund manager could very rightly look at me and say, you don't understand X, Y, and Z. And they're right about that because I'm sitting at the comfort of my desk from an outsider sort of Monday morning quarterbacking. That's absolutely true.
Starting point is 00:07:55 There is another side that I think that this I think is true for every field too, that it is impossible to think objectively about a field that you get your paycheck from. And I think that's really true for a lot of professional money managers, mutual fund managers, hedge fund managers, that no matter how hard they try, it's very difficult. to look objectively at your field. And that's where I think if there is an advantage that journalists and financial writers have, it's the ability to think a little more objectively
Starting point is 00:08:27 about both the upsides and the downsides of the financial world. So it's balancing that advantage with the inevitable downside that it's impossible to understand what it's like to manage money for other people until you are actually in the trenches doing it. So how do you define success?
Starting point is 00:08:47 for writing about finance? Like, what for you, what are the measures that you kind of gauge? I've always thought, like, there are three types of writing, especially financial writing. There is just providing information, which is, I guess, what like Reuters and Bloomberg were due, just breaking news, just putting out the objective facts, end of story. And then, so that's one type. A second type is sharing opinions, which is a lot, most of what's out there, where you're, you know, there's some facts involved, but it's very clear that this is my opinion.
Starting point is 00:09:21 And some people might disagree with this, but this is my opinion. That's the second type. The third type of writing is, I think, when you are challenging the reader to think differently themselves, where you are trying, you're not necessarily giving your opinion, and you're not necessarily just giving facts, but you're just giving them a different framework to think about a topic. And that's always what I've tried to do, whether success. successfully or not, that's what I've tried to do, is rather than saying, this is how I think about something, or rather than saying, here are some facts for you to think about. It's putting out a framework to say, here's a different way to think about this. But you need to go think about this yourself. But here's a different way to think about it. So that's always the style of writing that I shoot for. And I guess that would be my measure of success. And I think it's extremely difficult to measure or quantify this. But at the end of the article, does the reader think about their own life, their own finances?
Starting point is 00:10:17 their own investments differently than they did at the beginning of the article. One other thing that I think is that I try to do is I've always had this idea that if an article is relevant today but not relevant tomorrow, then it's not relevant at all. So whenever I write an article, the litmus test I try to ask is, if somebody reads this article one year from now, will it still be relevant? And for a lot of articles, I think the answer is no, because it's heavily news-based. It's what does the market do today? What do the market do this week? You know, what did GDP do this quarter?
Starting point is 00:10:51 And that's valuable, but I've always thought that the most valuable content comes from things that are more or less timeless. So that's another measure that I try to hold myself against. Okay. I'll have so many questions to dive into this just a little bit. Like, at the end, how do you distinguish? Like, how do you get the feedback that the reader has a different framework for thinking now?
Starting point is 00:11:11 Like, how do you know that somebody has thought about it? Is it like, it's not something as simple. is the number of shares? Is it the number of people who email you afterwards and say something? Or is it just a gut feeling that you get or comment-based? First thing I say, there's no good answer for that because it's extremely difficult. I do, of course, I get feedback from readers through emails and comments. But you have to be careful with that because this is true for any like product reviews. You get huge skews between people who really like the article or people who really hate the article. Not a lot in between. I think feedback is only relevant if like a reader is forced to give it.
Starting point is 00:11:48 So you get the biggest, the widest swath of opinions. But most feedback is going to be from the tiny skews on either end. People saying, I love this article. It's great. Or you're an idiot. You have no idea what you're talking about. So the emails, the comments you get from readers can be valuable. But I think you have to take all of them inevitably with some grain of salt. And then we have lots of meetings, conferences by the Motley Fool. So I meet a lot of our members and our readers face to face. And what's good, too, I like about it is that I really enjoy when people are brutally honest and people come up to you and say, hey, I really disagreed with this last article. I really didn't like when you said this. I really didn't like when, you know, I think you're
Starting point is 00:12:30 missing this point. I really like that because I think there's a sense, in person especially. People will say anything online. But in person, there's a tendency for people to bite their tongue. and say, you know, just be polite and be civil about it. It's also true that in the comment section on articles, I think every writer, blogger knows this, tends to descend into, it just, it kind of, it's a magnet for the lowest common denominator. But once in a while, you get some comments from people who are critical, but you read it, and you're like, hey, you know, this is actually, I really appreciate this person pointing that out. They did it in a very civil and rational way, and they pointed out how I was wrong, but you know what?
Starting point is 00:13:13 I need to step back and say, you're right about this. So, I mean, to answer your question, it's extremely difficult to really know what you're doing as a writer. Are you changing people's opinions? Because even when you get feedback, you never know if it's the full picture. And you can have an article that has tens of thousands of readers, and you might get 20 emails from that. So it's such a small sample size that you really don't know what you're getting. That, to me, I think, to be honest, has bothered me as a writer, that you never really know exactly what you're doing. Whereas I think if you are, say, a doctor or an engineer, it's pretty easy to measure the impact of your work.
Starting point is 00:13:51 And that as a writer has always, and I think it's true for every writer. I think you're never going to fully know what you've done either for better or worse. So do you read all the comments on every article that you write, or do you give it like five days and then kind of go through them and then, I give every comment a quick triage. And there's sometimes where I can read the first sentence and say, okay, I'm done here. So the second category that you had mentioned was kind of like sharing opinions. And you know what came to mind for me there is how are we in a world of financial opinions and so much noise to distinguish between the people who know what they're talking about at a deep, fluent level, and the people who just pretend to know what they're talking
Starting point is 00:14:41 about. I think the hardest thing with that is that everybody, to some extent, suffers from confirmation bias. What do you believe today? And then you're going to go out and try to find someone who shares that view. And that is especially potent in the field of opinion, whether it's political opinion or financial opinion. If you're bullish on the stock market, you can go out and find a qualified credentialed rational commentator who agrees with you. And in your mind, that is going to be the person whose opinion you should listen to. And I think this is true for a lot of psychological biases, that it's really difficult to understand that you yourself suffer from them. So everybody knows what confirmation bias is and they can tell you what it is. But I think most
Starting point is 00:15:26 people would say, oh, well, that's something that other people suffer from, but I don't. That's a really natural tendency, but I think everybody does. So everybody's opinion, or I should say everyone's definition of whose opinion should you listen to is probably going to be, well, the person who I agree with. I think what I try to do, but it's incredibly difficult, is to find, for any topic, whether it's politics or investing or whatnot, find someone who you disagree with, but at the same time you can say, okay, this person really sounds rational. I disagree with their views, but I don't think this person is crazy. Once you find someone like that, I think you should cling to them with everything you have, because those are really going to be the people that can help change
Starting point is 00:16:12 your views or really challenge your current views. And there are people like that that I read about a lot about in investing whose opinions I don't agree with, but I can at least really respect them as an analyst as a commentator. And when I respect them, I can say, okay, I don't agree with this, but I'm still going to read it. And I'm really going to try. to measure it against my views, to see where there might be holes in my views that I can, you know, to see if there's something that I'm missing, that I can plug in your views in with mine to make sure that I'm getting the fullest picture. But I tell you, Shane, that is, it's a very difficult thing to do no matter what anyone
Starting point is 00:16:50 says or how hard they try. It's incredibly difficult to take someone who you disagree with seriously. But I think you will see that trade among a lot of the best investors and the smartest thinkers is that they take people who disagree with them more seriously than people who do agree with them. Who is that person for you? One is John Hussman. If you're an investor, you probably know who he is.
Starting point is 00:17:14 He has been bearish on the stock market. So actually, he's a mutual fund manager. He's been bearish on the stock market since 2009. And not only bearish, but betting against the market since 2009. And you can imagine what that has done to the performance of his fund. But at the same time, he is an incredibly smart guy who has some great insights about market history and market volatility and valuations, different ways to value the market. There are some bears, people who are bearish on the market, who you just read and you're just say, well, you're crazy, or you're just mixing your politics in with this, or you're just ranting, you're the end of the world conspiracy theorists. But there are some people like John Hussman who is bearish, but at the same time, it's like, you know, this guy might be.
Starting point is 00:18:00 be on to something. And maybe he's seven years early, which is indistinguishable from being wrong, I think. But still, when I read his stuff, it's like, you know, he might be on to something here. He has some good data and some good thoughts that challenge how I view the market. Do you remember reading something by one of these people who you read, but you don't necessarily agree with, but you have some sort of deep respect for that you changed your mind on an opinion you had and how that felt? You know, it's something that I really liked. There's an economist named David Rosenberg.
Starting point is 00:18:36 He's pretty famous. He's on TV a lot. And he's a really smart guy. And he was very bearish on the economy, and I believe the stock market, 2009, 2010, until, I think, 2011, 2012. And I really disagreed with him back then. But then he came around. I don't know the exact date.
Starting point is 00:18:56 I want to say it was probably 2013, where he just kind of flipped the switch and more or less said, you know, I was wrong and now I'm bullish. And I think a lot of people, there's a tendency to look at that and say flip-flopper, change your mind, you're blowing with the wind. But I so respect people who can do that, who can look objectively and say, you know what, I was probably wrong about this and I'm going to change my opinion. Change your mind when the facts change. there is so little of that among economists and investors and pundits that when I see it, it's really refreshing. So that's someone who, you know, I have so much respect for him now. And I'm willing to take his opinions more seriously now because I saw his ability to be intellectually flexible, which is a trait that is incredibly rare, but extremely powerful and important among people
Starting point is 00:19:46 who are analyzing the stock market in the economy. It's hard enough to do that in the privacy of like your own head, let alone, you know, coming out and sharing with the world that you were wrong. And it must be orders of magnitude harder to do that than just admitting to yourself, which is already, you know, a degree of difficulty that most of us would rather avoid. Yeah. And I can't think of anyone who I can think of it does. But I'm sure there are there are analysts and economists who cling to positions that they know are wrong.
Starting point is 00:20:18 They know in their head are wrong. But because of their career liability, their professional. reputation, they don't want to change their mind out of fear of looking like a flip-flopper or out of fear of admitting that they were wrong before. So they cling to ideas that they know are probably not true. Yeah, I think you're absolutely right. I mean, there must be so much pressure and there's so much money involved on some of these ratings and recommendations that I can't imagine a system that is non-corrupt and somehow allows people to actually speak their mind and freely have opinions. Sure. And if you're an analyst and you have a good job and a good
Starting point is 00:20:55 salary and a mortgage and some kids in school and you fear that changing your opinion is going to threaten your job, threaten your career, then no matter how intellectually honest you want to be, you're probably going to make a decision that backs up your personal conflicts. And I don't think you can, I think what's difficult is I don't know how much you can blame people for doing that. We all want our analysts and our pundits and our commentators to be as intellectually honest as possible. But I think it's just a very real practical reality that the intersection between intellectual honesty and career stability conflict for a lot of people. And so I think when I hear stories about people in these situations, I really feel for them. it's one thing to point at them and saying, well, you're being intellectually dishonest and you shouldn't do that, which is true. That's the right thing to say. But I do have sympathy for people who really struggle with a balance between professional security and intellectual honesty.
Starting point is 00:22:02 So speaking of learning from others, who's the best teacher you've ever had and why? This is probably a cliche answer, but I think Charlie Munger has done a better job than anyone alive at taking really, really, complicated topics and explaining them in a way that is simple and entertaining. I think a few people have done it as well as he has. And I think that is the biggest skill, the biggest benefit that you can do as a teacher is taking something complicated and explaining it in plain terms. And that it's such a rare trait, particularly among academics who are, these are our teachers, literally are teachers. And I think there's such a tendency in academia to complicate and use bigger words than you need to
Starting point is 00:22:54 in an attempt to come off as knowledgeable. But in practical reality, you are not teaching as effectively as you can than if you just explain things in simple terms, simple examples. And people like Munger and Buffett have done that so incredibly well. I think someone else who has done that incredibly well in the world of finance is Jason's Weig of the Wall Street Journal, who has better than I think any financial journalist in history taken the complexities and the volatility of financial markets and explain them in a way that anyone can understand.
Starting point is 00:23:31 So he was incredibly helpful and influential to me early on when I was learning about finance because I just felt like everything I read, it was simple and easy, but at the end, end of it, there were so many of his columns and books that I read that at the end of it, it just fundamentally changed how I thought about the topic. But it didn't require me to really rack my brain about what is he saying here. I don't understand these words. It was presented so cleanly and simply that it's just easy to pick up instantly. So anytime someone can take a complicated topic and explain it simply, I'm going to be a fan of that person and try to learn as much from that person as I can. Well, that's what you're trying to do with your writing, right?
Starting point is 00:24:11 So how do you hone your ability to do that? This, I think, is cliche, too. Everyone says it. But the best writing is a simple writing. And there is so much tendency, especially among new young writers, to use the biggest words and the longest sentences that you possibly can.
Starting point is 00:24:28 But what's strange about is that everyone knows the best writers over time, whether it was Mark Twain or Ernest Hemingway, use small words in small sentences, short phrases, quick, you know, seven-word sentences with simple words that a 10-year-old can understand. That's what makes the best writing. I think it's so hard to wrap your head around that concept as a writer, and it's so easy to pretend and to convince yourself that you're going to gain more credibility by trying
Starting point is 00:24:58 to sound smart. And if you look around at the best financial writers today, Josh Brown, Barry Ritholtz, Michael Badnik. These are people, too, who use short sentences, small words, and just try to make it easy to understand. And I think so much, there's so many times when I read a white paper by a college professor. And you can tell by reading the abstract, you're like, there's some, there's some cool data in this. There's some, there's a big point here. But you start reading the paper and you just have to stop and say, what am I, what is, what am I reading here? I don't, I have to go back and read this paragraph four times to try to figure out what you're trying to say. I just find that so unfortunate.
Starting point is 00:25:38 The people who can add the most value to not only journalism, but just the most value to learning in general are the people who can kind of decipher the complicated research and explain it to anyone. And the litmus test that I always try to think about is, would my mom understand this? And my mom, my mom's a smart lady, but she has no interest in finance whatsoever. So I always ask myself, after I write a paragraph, would my mom get that? And the answer a lot of times is no, and then you kind of try to go back and simplify it. But not simplified in the way that you're taking away any of the essence of what you're trying to say,
Starting point is 00:26:13 just taking something complicated and explaining it in plain terms. So switching gears a little bit, what does your typical day look like? Like what percentage of your time are you reading? Do you schedule time for digesting and kind of chewing on what you're reading, or is it all moving from one task to the next? So I think most writers, I think there's even actually. academic research on this. Most writers do most of their work and their best work, their best writing early in the day, early in the morning. And a lot of famous writers would wake up and head
Starting point is 00:26:44 straight to the typewriter, straight to their computer, and just start cranking out two hours of writing. I've never been like that. And so when I wake up, I read newspapers for maybe two hours. And then I read, you know, some articles online. I'm always on Twitter. Read research reports. and anything I can get. So I read from this at the time I get up until about four in the afternoon. And then most of my writing is done between about four and seven p.m.
Starting point is 00:27:13 So that's kind of like my peak. That's when I do my writing. And I don't really know why, but that's always, maybe it takes me until four in the afternoon before my brain's awake and I can actually sit down and do some writing.
Starting point is 00:27:25 And then the other thing is I walk a lot. I go for probably at least two, sometimes three walks during the day. And that's kind of my digestion time of what did I read this? What have I read lately? And how can I tie it together? And always what's going through my head as a writer is what am I going to write about next? That's always like the struggle and the stress of someone who writes full time for a living is what am I going to write about next? What's my next topic? So my digestion when I go for a walk is just thinking about
Starting point is 00:27:52 what have I read lately and how can I turn that into a topic for my next article? And it's tough. I think there's a paradox in that most fields, the more you do it, it the better you get and the easier it gets. I think writing, especially writing about a single topic like investing, it's the other way around in that. So I've written 3,600 articles now. So the low-hanging fruit is long gone. And it's this weird thing that like the more you do it, the more experience you have, the harder it gets because you start running out of ideas. So I, so I would say probably three years ago, like 2012, 2013 was when it was easiest for me to think of ideas. and it's gotten progressively harder for me.
Starting point is 00:28:36 And it's made my walks when I'm digesting what I read more difficult. You feel like you have to dig a little bit deeper and think a little bit harder about what to ride next. Do you have a specific process that you use when you're kind of digesting this material and trying to formulate an answer? Or is it just kind of churning it over in your mind? What's definitely true, and I've heard this from other writers too, is that when you sit down and try to force yourself to think about a topic, you're never going to get it. If you sit down and say, okay, I need to think about something. What am I going to write? If you try to force your brain into that, it doesn't work.
Starting point is 00:29:10 Where I think the, and I've heard this from other writers too, I think you get your best ideas just randomly. You're walking through the grocery store. You're in the shower. You're just kind of zoning off. And then it's like, pop, you get an idea in your head. And you're like, oh, I got to go to my computer right now and write this. Like, they just come to you kind of sporadically for specific ideas like that.
Starting point is 00:29:31 so I try to not actively think in my head what am I going to write about next even though that I need to think of a new topic I try to push out the idea of actively thinking about a new topic so instead I just try to think about what have I read lately and what does that what does that mean what do I think about it what's interesting how can I tie it into something else that I've read lately what did I learn from this book that ties into something else I learned from this book without actively trying to think of a new topic, just trying to stay as curious as I can about the topic and hope that new ideas come to me naturally that way. And are you always filtering the information that's coming into you?
Starting point is 00:30:10 Are you getting rid of sources of information and what's your process for that? Or is it always just kind of additive? I think the few sources that I've gotten rid of, it hasn't happened very often. But the only times I think it has happened is when someone just becomes overtly political in their writing. that's something I have almost no tolerance for is mixing politics and investing and there's a lot of it because the two fields are kind of cousins, right?
Starting point is 00:30:36 But that's something that I just see almost no good about mixing politics and investing. So those have been the only sources that I have cut loose. But what I really enjoy are link aggregators for people who I trust. So people like the website abnormal returns,
Starting point is 00:30:55 it's basically a link aggregate of, you know, this investor named Tadas Visconta, who reads maybe more than anybody, and he links out every day to here are the 10 most interesting articles he's read. Those people, I think, add tremendous value because they kind of serve as your filter. You know, Tadus is not going to link to anything that is low quality or misleading. He has a very good filter himself. I love that one too, yeah. Yeah, he's amazing.
Starting point is 00:31:23 So that is, I think, a good way for people to have a filter. is to pay good attendance and use those sites as sort of their daily reading list. Josh Brown also does it. Barry Ridtholst does it. So that's a lot. And then I have other people, including you, Shane, who I kind of use as my resource
Starting point is 00:31:40 for books to buy. You are, I am convinced, read more books and just about anybody I know. And I have, I can't think of a time when you have written about or recommended a book that I was disappointed in. Maybe I haven't finished them all, but I've learned something from almost all of them.
Starting point is 00:31:58 So I think it's really important for anyone, whether you're doing this professionally or you're just interested in finance, to have some filter. And the best way to have a filter is to find someone who you trust and let them be your filter. I think that's an interesting point, especially in the world of kind of algorithmic curation.
Starting point is 00:32:16 And what you had just mentioned was people, right? And you're trusting somebody to filter, disseminate, that knowledge for you, actualize it perhaps and perhaps link it to something else, but you're actually trusting a person at the end of the day versus trusting a machine. Right. I mean, the amount of financial content that is published every day, for one, I think, is orders of magnitudes more than it was even six or seven years ago. But, I mean, it's just so much that there's no possible way that you can just jump blindly into the world of financial content and try to learn something. You're drinking
Starting point is 00:32:54 from five fire hoses if you try to do that. So I think it's more important than ever and becoming more important to have some sort of curated filter in place for what you're doing. But this again, sort of the devil's advocate about that is it gets back to confirmation bias. If you're only reading something from one person, curated from one person, you're probably going to get a single point of view, not necessarily a single point of view because I think you and Todd us do a good job of having a wide range of views. But I think you and Tadas also do a good job of making sure that those views come from qualified, rational, sane people. Try to, anyway.
Starting point is 00:33:34 So what book would you say, like, dramatically influence the way that you think? Like, that's had a big, it doesn't have to be a finance book, but it's had a big effect on your life. I think the three books. So there's a historian, he was sort of an amateur historian in Frederick Lewis Allen. who wrote three books, one is called The Big Change, one is called Since Yesterday, and the other is called Only Yesterday. And they are about how America changed from 1900 to 1950, how it changed culturally and politically.
Starting point is 00:34:11 So all three books just kind of go through in incredible detail what life was like in America in the early 1900s, the 1920s, and the 1930s. What was everyday life like? What was work life? What was politics like? What was culture like? What was food like and transportation like? And he wrote the books, I believe in the 1940s and 1950s. So he was looking back, but still early enough that he really, you know, because he lived through these periods, he really understood it. And he's one of the best writers I think I've ever come across. And the books just absolutely captivated me just showing how different life was like. You know, not that long ago. The 1930s were not that long. ago. We still kind of think of that as recent history, but how incredibly different life was like during that period. And not only that, but how much life changed during that period. I think the difference in how life in America changed from 1900 to 1950 was an order of magnitude greater than how it changed from 1950 to 2000. From 1900 and 1950, you had, you pretty
Starting point is 00:35:17 much started the century with horse and buggy. And by 1950, we're talking jets and the early stages of the space race. Just incredible change during that period. And it was just fascinating to see how people and businesses adapted to that change. We're during that period every year you just had monumental changes, whether it was the automobile or TV or electricity or the Great Depression in World War II. And he just explains an incredible detail how. people adapted during that time. So those three books are my three favorite books of all time and had a big influence on how I think about adaptation and change among just everyday life. And do you reread them or is it something you've read once and you've just chewed on a lot?
Starting point is 00:36:03 I think I've read both of them twice. Also, so I do all my reading in Kindle and I highlight passages that I think are interesting. So I'm constantly going back and reading stuff that I highlighted from those books. Just little anecdotes, little facts, little, short stories about what life was like back then do you find the second time you're reading do you draw your attention to different things yeah I think that's definitely true I think a lot of people I think really intense focus reading is difficult and a lot of times when people are reading they have something else in their head they're zoning off they're falling asleep in bed as they're reading and because of that yeah when you go back through and read something a second time
Starting point is 00:36:43 I definitely find things that I didn't pay that much attention to the first time because maybe the first time I read it, I was thinking about work or I was falling asleep in bed. So I'm definitely a fan of reading things again. I'm definitely a fan of highlighting passages that you think are interesting that you can go back to and read a second time. And that I think is by far the biggest benefit of something like Kindle, that you can archive things much better than before. I like everybody miss holding a physical book and the smell of a book, but I'm 100% Kindle now just because I can search and archive things so much better. What's your process for kind of reading, I guess, and then going back and reviewing and
Starting point is 00:37:25 kind of arch or not archiving, but organizing the information so that it becomes accessible when you need it? So, you know, I try to Evernote for a while, which is what I think a lot of voracious readers do, kind of a way to archive their notes. I never, for whatever reason, I never really got into it. So I don't have a structured process for going back and reread. reading things. Books that I think I really got excited about, books that I finished through the last page, which is increasingly rare. I think most of those books, maybe a year later,
Starting point is 00:37:58 two years later, I'll reread them again. And, you know, just when I'm trying to think about something to write, I'm just trying to spur thoughts in my head, I pretty frequently go back to books that I read in the last six months or the last year and to see what I highlighted, to just try to spurs my idea, spurs some thinking. So I do that, but there's really no structure to it. I just kind of go back randomly and see what I read and what I highlighted in the past. And there are a lot of times, too, where I try to remember, you know, I'll remember reading something in a book, but I can't really remember exactly what it was.
Starting point is 00:38:31 And that's when I enjoy the ability to search on Kindle. I can just go in and say, you know, there's this topic, and I remember these couple of words, this name, this place, and search for it and try to reread that specific thing. I do that quite a bit as well. And do you incorporate any other technology into that process, or is it all, it's all kindle for you now all the time? It's all kindle all the time. I'm also, I'm probably clinically obsessed with Twitter, probably to an unhealthy amount,
Starting point is 00:38:58 but that's where I get so much of my, when I'm reading articles or research reports, almost all of those come from Twitter now, following people on Twitter who I trust that are going to be good sources that link to good content. So that's where a lot of my daily reading comes from now. Yeah, I want to switch gears a little bit here. I'm going to ask you some questions that I was, that got emailed to me that readers want me to ask you. That are more personal than I've typically gotten into, but I think you're game for that. Yeah, definitely.
Starting point is 00:39:31 So what indulgences would you enjoy if there were no consequences? That's an amazing question. I'm probably more, I'm not confrontational whatsoever. I dread any sort of confrontation, whether it's at work or, you know, with a clerk at the checkout, I just, I absolutely dread confrontation. And I were, I wish, I guess that, okay, so here's one way to explain it. There's a hedge fund name called Bridgewater. It's the largest hedge fund in the world. and they have a pretty firm rule there for employees that you have to be 100% honest to everyone.
Starting point is 00:40:14 You cannot talk about people behind their back. If you're in a meeting and you need to say something about something, they call that person into the meeting and you need to say it to their face. It is just a culture of 100% blunt-forced honesty with everybody. And it seems to work for them, but I just think in the real world, almost no one can do that. everyone to some extent is biting their tongue to avoid confrontation as I do a lot. So I guess if there was one indulgence that I wish I could have, it would be the ability among myself and other people to just be brutally blunt-forced honest with people. Because I think people would learn and change so
Starting point is 00:40:54 much faster and efficiently if we could do that. But I just, I mean, it's never going to happen. Do you think that's true, though? Like, I mean, the last time somebody was really bluntly honest with you with no kind of agenda, did you walk away from that changing? Or did you, I mean, you might have, but I think most of us would become defensive and dismissive. Well, I think there's a difference between being honest and being rude. We have one, there's, I have one coworker here at the Motley Fool who I think has mastered this really well, the art of being honest while not rude. And he will shoot down your ideas in two seconds, but he doesn't in a professional way
Starting point is 00:41:31 that you are not offended by. Whereas I think other people, even if they know your idea is bad, they might just nod their head and say, okay, yeah, that's interesting. We can talk about that. Whereas I have this coworker who will just instantly say, here's why you're wrong, here's not what you're thinking about, here's why we're not going to do that. But he does it in such a clean, honest way. And I think he would tell you that he got that from his time in the Army where there's really no room for BS.
Starting point is 00:41:58 If you're out on the field with your troops, he was a captain in the Army. there's there's no room for being polite or to BS with people it's here's the truth here's what we're wanting it here's what we're going to do thank you goodbye i wish there could be more of that in in the world but balanced in a way that people who are on the other side of that are not offended just pointing out people's flaws and saying hey this is the reality of what we're doing right now and and here's something you should think about i think i i definitely don't do that enough and i think a lot of people don't and you're absolutely right that you can take it too far and just start, you know, you start getting really defensive with people. But I think if
Starting point is 00:42:36 you can do it in a way that is just sticks to the facts without much opinion and does it in a way that is professional and courteous, that is such a huge benefit to how people learn and change. I think that's one of the reasons why Bridgewater, the hedge fund that demands that has been so successful. Okay, next question. Would you rather be a big fish in a small pond or a small or a small fish in a big pond and why? I would much rather be the big fish in the small pond.
Starting point is 00:43:07 I used to write for the Wall Street Journal. I used to write a column for the Wall Street Journal. I think in there I was a very small fish in a big pond and it was more difficult. I think why I didn't like that. Well, actually, I have nothing bad to say about my experience. Wall Street Journal.
Starting point is 00:43:22 It was a great experience. I really enjoy and respect the editors I worked with. But it is very difficult to be yourself when you you're a small fish in a big pond. It's much easier to, I guess, write your own ticket, for lack of a better word, when you're the big fish in the small pond, and to be yourself and to be unique and to stand out when you're the big fish in the small pond.
Starting point is 00:43:47 You know, there are benefits to being in the big pond. You have more leverage, maybe more resources, maybe more help. But I think the key to success in so many fields is your ability to stand out. And I think you stand out when you're the big fish in the small pond. Maybe I'm wrong about that. But that's the answer that pops in my head the quickest. I think that was really insightful in the sense that you can live, I'm paraphrasing here, but a more meaningful life because you can live more in line with the way that you really want to be
Starting point is 00:44:17 if you're a big fish in a small pond versus the other. What qualities would you say are most important to have in friends? In friends. that's, I think, and this is true for spouses I see in relationships, is the ability to understand that people have bad days and say things that they don't really mean, the ability to understand that people, that everyone is human and everyone has emotions, and everyone has the same ups and downs in life, and that almost everyone you see on the street probably has something bad going on in their life that you don't know. And that's true for your friends too.
Starting point is 00:44:57 So I guess the trait that I would look for is empathy. I think that's one of the most important traits in work and life. And it's a rare trait that's hard to have. But the ability to look at someone going through a tough period and empathize with what they're going through. That to me is probably the most important trait to have in friendships and with significant others as well. How do you develop that? I think it's rare. And I think it's one of like a lot of things that are kind of, you know, I,
Starting point is 00:45:27 I'm loath to say that something that you're born with, because I don't think it is, but I think it's something that you have to get lucky with that you had an upbringing that developed that, whether it was parents who really forced empathy on you, or it was some experience you had in life. Maybe when you were a kid, you had a friend who was, maybe you were wealthy and you had a friend who was really poor, and it really showed you how other people live in the world, and it made you just empathize with their situation better. I think it's difficult because most people when they're growing up and learning and really developing these traits that are going to stick with them for life, sort of by default, surround themselves with people like them, and people in their same socioeconomic class, people who look like them and sound like them, people who work in the same jobs, go to the same schools.
Starting point is 00:46:14 And I think it's tough to develop a lot of empathy in that situation because then when you find someone who is in a totally different situation from you, it doesn't make sense because your whole life you've been surrounded by. people who are just like you. And that is, I think, something that if you weren't raised with a lot of diversity, I think it's hard to accept a lot of diversity later on in your life. Well, in so many ways, we're becoming less diverse, right? Neighborhoods are becoming, you know, income-specific, and you're not seeing the diversity you talk about in order to develop empathy, so you end up losing touch with, I would say, reality for the vast majority of people, if you're in one of the more fortunate areas. And I think, and this is something I think about as a new parent.
Starting point is 00:47:02 Nobody wants to send their kids, well, I don't, I was going to say no one wants to send their kids to a diverse school. They want to send their kids to a good school. And maybe that's the wrong way to put it, because of course I want my new son to experience as much diversity as possible. But I want them to go to a good school. I want them to go to the best school in town. And I think almost by default, when you start doing that,
Starting point is 00:47:24 The best school in town is probably not going to be the most diverse school in town. It might be the other way around that the most diverse school that he could go to is the worst school in the poorest neighborhood. But of course, I don't want him to do that. So it's a big challenge, I think, to expose your kids to diversity while at the same time giving them the opportunities that you want in life. Something that I think I've really looked up to that I'd like to emulate with our new son. I have a coworker here at the Motley Fool whose son is, I think, 10 years old, and he's been to at least 30 countries, and he's 10 years old. He's just, this coworker is just constantly taking his, his whole family to all corners of the world. And not, not at five-star hotels in London, but going to Oman and Saudi Arabia and Brazil and, you know, countries that most people don't take, you know, don't consider vacation destinations.
Starting point is 00:48:22 that I think if you can really pull that off so his son is 10 years old and has seen dozens of different cultures and different experiences that I think is something that can only gain can only teach you and gain you empathy later in life to tie this back to the original topic we're talking about anything else that you have in mind like how you plan on developing empathy
Starting point is 00:48:43 in your son as a parent I think actually here's a side question to that It's like, what things do you want to pass on to your son that you are crafting his life to try to develop? I want him to understand that most people in the world do not live like he's going to live, which is to say anything about our quality of life. But he's going to grow up an educated white male in America. And I want him to understand from a very early age that 99% of the world is not that.
Starting point is 00:49:21 And I think that's probably the most important thing that I want him to understand and to get back to it, to try to teach him empathy about other people's situation. Because I think that lack of empathy is the cause of a lot of problems in the world today. Just one side not understanding the other side's point of view. And you see, I think you see that with Brexit recently. You see that with wealth inequality in the United States. It's just a more, a greater segmentation of understanding among different social economic groups. And it just causes kind of a close-mindedness no matter what segment you're in, whether you're in the top 1% or the bottom 1%. You don't understand the other side.
Starting point is 00:50:05 And I think that leads to almost nothing but problems. And the more that I can open his eyes to different ways that the world lives, the better he'll be. But again, the hard thing about that is I want to open his eyes to new. cultures while at the same time giving him the best opportunities that I can. And those things sometimes conflict. I want to send them to the best school, but I want him to understand that not everyone who goes to the best school is going to come from the same background as everyone else. So it's a really tough thing, Shane. And I don't have the clearest roadmap, but I'm going to do the best I can. Are there people you look up to as parents and try to learn from
Starting point is 00:50:45 in terms of like now you as a new father probably see the world differently, things as simple as putting food in your child's mouth has a whole different meaning than putting food in your own mouth. I've been surprised. So our son is eight months old, is our first son. And I have been surprised at how new stories affect me now that wouldn't have in the past. Anything involved with violence or terrorism or mass shootings affects me. way more now than it would have eight months ago. So I think becoming a father has just made me
Starting point is 00:51:21 more sympathetic and just have a greater touch on life in general. I mean, that's kind of a philosophical kind of fluffy thing to say. But it's made me much more in touch with suffering and pain in the world. I think whenever someone comes into your life that you love and want to protect and teach now, you become more understanding of how incredibly sad and dangerous it is to put people in danger, whether it's something like terrorism or shooting. So that's just one observation of becoming a new dad is that things like mass shootings just affect me a lot more and just make me more emotional than they would have eight months ago. Has becoming a father changed how you live when you're not with your son? Well, we don't sleep very much anymore.
Starting point is 00:52:09 So I guess that. And the truth is, too, I read probably half as much as I did before he came along. And of course, I wouldn't trade him for anything, but I miss the amount of reading that I could do. There's no such thing as a Saturday sitting on the couch with a book anymore. I have other duties now. So I definitely miss that. But I think it's probably, and this is, I think almost every parent would say this, too. I think it's just made me more focused on priorities now.
Starting point is 00:52:38 Because as soon as you become a parent, it's not about you anymore. Everything's about the other person. So it's made me much more focused on what are our goals as a family and okay, no BS, cut the crap. We've got to go out and do that right now. Whatever it takes, we've got to go do it. I think that's something that almost every parent would say. That's awesome.
Starting point is 00:52:55 Two questions left. I'm conscious of the time here. What's on your nightstand right now? What are you reading that you're liking? So there's a book, so there's an author named Sadatha Mukarjee. He wrote the book called The Emperor of All Malities, which was like the history of cancer. I think he won the Pulitzer Prize for it. He recently wrote a book called The Gene, which is the history of the gene. Oh, cool. And it's just fascinating. I mean,
Starting point is 00:53:20 it sounds like kind of a boring topic, but he's, I mean, he's, he's one of the best science writers out there. And that's why his first book on cancer did so incredibly well. But he, and this gets back to what we were talking before, he can take something incredibly complicated like cancer or genetics and explain it in a way that anyone can understand without stripping out the essence or the complexity of the topic. So I'm reading the book right now on the history of the gene, and it's just absolutely fascinating. And what's fascinating to me about it is how incredibly wrong the top scientists were about
Starting point is 00:53:56 genetics 100 or 150 years ago. And up until the mid-1800s, maybe the late-1800s around that time, just about the time that Darwinism started picking up. So, you know, not that long ago, maybe 150 years ago, the main theory for how human creation works was that inside the sperm was a fully formed human that grew inside the uterus. But there was a fully formed miniature human inside of sperm that grew in. That was the main scientific theory 150 years ago. And it's just fascinating to me to see how incredibly wrong we were about something that's so important.
Starting point is 00:54:39 And when I read something like that, what I start thinking about is, what do we think today that we are that wrong about? Because there probably is something that is that fundamental that we are that incredibly wrong about. And what are we going to read? What is it going to be the book 150 years from now that we are going to look back at and realize that we were as wrong as we were about, genetics 150 years ago. Do you have any insight into what that would be? No, I think that's the impossible question to answer. But there is, I think at every point in history, there has been something, there have been two things, something that we were totally 100 percent completely wrong about. And at the same time, a sense that we have figured everything out and, you know,
Starting point is 00:55:24 science, you know, we figured out, we figured out everything that's fundamental. Like, those two things have always coexisted. And then so I think it's inevitable. but impossible to answer that 20, 50, 100 years from now, we will look back and say, can you believe that in 2016 we believed X? Something fundamental about science. Right. That we will have just,
Starting point is 00:55:45 and I think in a way is that's what science is. It's just like a field of study that tries to break down things that we believe now. Just through experiment in theory, what do we believe now that is not true and how can we prove otherwise? That's kind of the basis of what science is. So that I think is fascinating, but I think it's almost by definition impossible to say what that
Starting point is 00:56:06 might be today. We're going to have to check out of that book. I'm fascinated by learning about genes right now. It's great. Okay. Last question. What's on your bucket list? What's on my bucket list?
Starting point is 00:56:16 I have and have had for a long time a burning desire to become financially independent. And I'm not quite there yet, but I have laid out. How can I become totally financially independent so that I can start? spend my life just kind of reading and thinking and learning on my own time, at my own free will, on my own schedule, on my own clock. So I guess that's my ultimate bucket list, is this getting to the point in life where I can just rely on only myself so that I can just be kind of a full-time learner. And I think, Shane, you're pretty much at that point.
Starting point is 00:56:56 Just a full-time learner. So I guess on my bucket list has become Shane Parrish. That's kind of where I want to get to. Oh, gosh. Listen, Morgan, this has been a fascinating conversation. Thank you so much for taking the time. Really appreciate it. We'll have to do it again.
Starting point is 00:57:15 Thanks, Shane. This is fun. Hey, guys. This is Shane again. Just a few more things before we wrap up. You can find show notes at Farnham Street blog.com slash podcast. That's F-A-R-N-A-M-S-T-R-E-E-T-B-L-O-G.com slash podcast.
Starting point is 00:57:37 You can also find information there on how to get a transcript. And if you'd like to receive a weekly email from me filled with all sorts of brain food, go to Farnham StreetBlog.com slash newsletter. This is all the good stuff I've found on the web that week that I've read and shared with close friends, books I'm reading, and so much more. Thank you for listening. I'm going to be able to be.

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