The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish - Chris Davis: Three Generations of Wealth
Episode Date: March 5, 2024Most families who obtain immense wealth squander it by the third generation. But Chris Davis comes from a family whose grandfather and father all became independently wealthy of each other, and Davis ...has done the same. How does that keep happening? In this conversation, we find out. Shane and Chris discuss life and investment lessons he learned from his father and grandfather, why writing is more important to clarify one's thinking no matter who's reading it, and the surprising benefit of reading physical newspapers and wearing ties to work. Davis also shares his value-investing philosophy, what he learned from working with and meeting Charlie Munger, and what parents can do to raise kids who aren't entitled. Davis talks about his alcohol drink tracker and why it's important to him, why he never puts himself in situations where envy can grow, and the insights from Warren Buffett's key letter about why investment managers underperform. Chris Davis is on the board of Berkshire Hathaway and The Coca-Cola Company. Davis is Chairman of Davis Selected Advisers-NY, Inc., an independent investment management firm founded in 1969. Davis joined Davis Selected Advisers-NY, Inc. in 1989 as a financial analyst, and in 1995, he became a portfolio manager of the firm’s flagship funds. Watch the episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/theknowledgeproject/videos Newsletter - I share timeless insights and ideas you can use at work and home. Join over 600k others every Sunday and subscribe to Brain Food. Try it: https://fs.blog/newsletter/ My Book! Clear Thinking: Turning Ordinary Moments into Extraordinary Results is out now - https://fs.blog/clear/ Follow me: https://beacons.ai/shaneparrish Join our membership: https://fs.blog/membership/ Sponsors: Eight Sleep: Sleep to power a whole new you. https://www.eightsleep.com/farnamstreet (00:00) Intro (03:20) Life lessons Davis learned from his grandfather and father (26:24) The importance of writing things no one reads (36:55) Davis' experiences through financial crises (52:31) Why Davis loves managing a mutual fund (55:49) Why Berkshire Hathaway operates with margin (01:01:05) What is risk? (01:04:02) On low interest rates and their future impact (01:14:46) The mismatched timelines between CEOs, companies, investors, and policy (01:22:19) How Davis and Munger met (01:30:20) Lessons learned from Munger (01:41:29) Why avoiding weaknesses is the ultimate recipe for success (01:55:46) How to raise non-entitled kids and avoid lifestyle creep (01:16:10) On happiness (02:27:00) Good vs. bad board meetings (02:31:34) Three generations of wealth (02:37:15) On success Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
I just think you have to think about how do you position.
You have no idea if you're going to be sailing through a storm.
Be prepared for that and have redundancy, have resiliency.
But, you know, imagining there's some tropical island where you can go and drop the anchor and just wait it out, that's not an option.
There is no safe harbor.
Welcome to the Knowledge Project, a podcast about mastering the best of what other people have already figured out so you can apply their insights to your life.
I'm your host, Shane Parrish.
A quick favor to ask before we start. Most people listening to this podcast on Apple or Spotify haven't yet hit the follow button.
And if you can hit the follow button right now, I would appreciate it.
The more people who follow the show, the better the guests I can get.
Thank you so much and enjoy the conversation.
If you'd like access to the podcast before everyone else, special episodes just for you,
hand-edited transcripts, or you just want to support the show you love, join at fs.
combe log slash membership.
Check out the show notes for a link.
Today, my guest is Christopher Davis.
A member of the board of directors of Berkshire Hathaway and the Coca-Cola company
and the chairman of Davis Select Advisors, an independent investment management firm
founded in 1969 that oversees about 20 billion in client assets.
If you recognize the name, this conversation needs no introduction.
Just dive right in.
And if you don't recognize the name, you will love this conversation.
It's not just about investing.
We talk so much about life and living.
Oh, it's just fascinating.
Tom Gainer introduced us, and it was like finding this older brother you never knew you had.
Our conversation was supposed to go for an hour and ended up being nearly three hours.
I almost missed my flight.
We discussed topics such as risk, including unique insight from his front row seat on the board of Berkshire Hathaway,
why retirement has no appeal, the value of writing, resiliency, raising kids in an environment of privilege,
cultivating a long-term mindset, assessing management quality, how he sees the market,
how to change your mind, and so much more.
This is the most honest and raw I've ever heard Chris in a conversation or seen him before.
I really hope you enjoy it.
It's time to listen and learn.
Today's episode is brought to you by 8 Sleep.
8Sleep's pod cover is redefining sleep, leveraging both data and technology to improve health.
The pod cover will improve your sleep by automatically adjusting your bed's temperature based on your
individual needs.
The cover can be added to any bed like a fitted sheet and allows you or your partner to cool
or warm your side of the bed as low as 55 degrees if you're crazy and up to 110 degrees if you're
also crazy.
I use innate sleep every night.
I find this thing is amazing.
Not only at adjusting temperature, some nights, you know, you're just cold and you want
to warm up.
And some nights you're really warm and you want to cool down, it's remarkable.
how consistently awesome my sleep is and how much the eight sleep affects that.
You can go to eightsleep.com slash Farnham Street and get $200 off plus free shipping on the
pod cover by eight sleep. That's eightsleep.com slash Farnham Street.
I want to start with your grandfather. And if I understand correctly, when you were
14 and or no, 15 and 16, you were working for him up in Maine as a cook and a chauffeur.
and that really cemented your relationship with him.
I want to talk about some of the lessons you learned from him.
He was in many ways a great man and in many ways a very difficult and very flawed person,
which I guess just makes him human.
And I think it was within our family system,
he was sort of viewed as this very aloof, very unloving, sort of distant,
and even sort of pompous, you know, it was, and almost sort of a caricature.
And so we had to kowtow and be polite.
And I just remember my father, you know, always making sure we had good manners at the table.
But, you know, he was not popular among the grandchildren.
And I think that my grandmother, his wife, was just this incredibly warm human and just so full of love.
I used to say, if you averaged them together, you'd get normal.
And that was true in a lot of dimensions.
And I think that that summer that I worked for them, I was able to sort of see much more of him, see him outside of the context of this sort of patriarch.
And increasingly, I became interested in just the breadth of his knowledge.
I mean, it was amazing how he was just reading all the time.
He was curious all the time.
It's almost like he didn't have time for antics.
And I think sort of a switch went off then when I realized sort of people in general,
but in particular, there was so much more than this very narrow view of looking at him
within our family system.
And I became sort of curious about why there were always people coming to visit at the house.
You know, why Kissinger would come or Cap Weinberger or, you know,
executives from companies or heads of colleges. And, you know, what was it that people wanted to
see him? You know, this man that as kids, we thought, was so boring or pompous. And it was
just at that moment in adolescence, in essence, when you're able to sort of see an adult. And it was
a little bit like a switch went on. We developed a very peculiar relationship. I was sort of
his chauffeur. I would drive him, you know, to the airport on Monday mornings at 5.30 or 6 in the
morning so he could get back down to New York. And, you know, those car rides, I saw a different
sense of him. And it just flipped a switch in our relationship. They really lasted all the way
until he died. And it allowed me to see a lot more nuance and a lot of complexity. I think of the,
you know, the old expression, no man is a hero to his valet. Well, that's probably
true with kids and grandkids, too. They have a very narrow way of judging people. And, you know,
when Churchill said that shows the limits of the valet, not the man, well, that was sort of the light
that switched. I realized that, you know, maybe I was looking at this person with the wrong
context. And that was a big changing point. I'm glad you asked about that. And you were sort of
going in a different direction, your grandfather being a capitalist. And at the time,
you were sort of exploring veterinary school and theology.
You know, I threw myself into whatever vocation was sort of at the top of my mind, I threw myself into.
I could really imagine that sort of life.
And so in that sense, I was very curious.
I never, at that stage, I was young enough that I didn't think about capitalism or communism or industry.
I always viewed my father and grandfather as somehow doing research.
of studying businesses and it was a very, so it wasn't that I assumed that what they did
was boring. It just seemed narrow. And, you know, I think, yeah, as a kid, I wanted to be a vet.
You know, the James Harriet view of all creatures great and small, and it just captured me.
I never, we didn't have dogs or anything growing up. I grew up right in New York City.
And so I was obsessed with the idea of animals.
I was a dog walker.
I had every kind of rodent known to man as a pet, unfortunately, for my mom.
And gerbils and hamsters and mice and one cat that grew larger and larger by eating my rodents over time.
But, yeah, the idea of being a vet, it had this fantasy of everything that living in
New York City in the 1970s wasn't.
I have to say, I love New York now.
I really, I've loved being here since I moved back in my 20s, but I hated it as a kid.
It was just such a filthy, dark, almost post-apocalyptic time.
I mean, New York in the 70s.
People try to imagine some romance about it.
It was just, it was dirty and scary and dysfunctional.
There was a garbage strike.
You know, the power blackout in 1970s.
out in 1977, it was like there were riots. I mean, it just, you know, I carried mug money
going to school in the morning because the crazy theory of Upper East Side parents was that
if you got mugged, it might be good to have a little money to give them so that they didn't get
mad. Well, you know, I'm no expert on Pavlov, but I think it's a really stupid idea to give
little skinny kids a bunch of money to carry around with instructions. Just give it to
anybody when you get mugged. But I just remember thinking it was, you know, it was what I wanted
this sort of image of the, of the, you know, British countryside and sheep and cows and
farming and horses and animals. That just was a complete vision of Oz to me. And so being a vet
was sort of how that vision or that desire to live a different life manifested. And so,
And I was quite serious about it. I worked at the Humane Society in New York for two summers. I worked at the Bronx Zoo as an intern, which was a crazy job to take the subway out to Tremont Avenue in time for early morning feeding. And, you know, mostly I cleaned cages is what I did. But I cleaned cages all over the zoo. So I worked at the camel barn and the elephant house. But I also worked in.
the world of darkness with other nocturnal animals.
I worked in the reptile house, even in Wild Asia, which is an area where,
theoretically, the visitors go by monorail around the top and the animals are free.
Well, of course, they're not free.
There's a whole series of pens, but that was an amazing experience and an amazing place to work.
So I was very serious about it.
And as a friend of mine told me much later, it was actually a priest that I worked for said,
I was confusing loving animals with wanting to be a vet, and they are very, very different things.
And I definitely learned that.
Was this driven by your father saying go get a job, or was this all self-driven?
Well, I give my parents enormous credit.
There was a rule from about the time we were 13, which was, you know, you were allowed in the house, you know, three weeks without a job.
So that sort of got you through, you know, Christmas break or spring break.
But the assumption was you were going to work.
in the summer. And that was sort of the assumption all the way through. But to their credit,
they felt like, you know, if it was an internship at the Bronx Zoo or whatever or working at
Humane Society, that was fine. And they would pay you for that if the job didn't pay you.
Everybody had summer jobs and it would never have occurred not to. I think I was a little bit
more obsessed with the idea of, you know, I don't want to make it sound like, you know, I came out of
the womb an entrepreneur or something. But I loved the freedom of having, you know, of having
money. And so, you know, I started a dog walking service when I was probably in third grade or second
grade. And my parents rule was I couldn't cross streets with dogs, but I could go around the block
many times. And so, you know, and it was a way of getting a pet without having a pet. And, you know,
when the mayor passed the pooper-scooper law, I mean, again, going back to New York in the
70s, you just can't imagine the amount of dog crap that was everywhere. I mean, it was just
part of walking down the street. There were songs about it. It was just, it was just everywhere.
And so, you know, this law was passed that you had to clean up after your
dog. Well, people couldn't imagine it. Like, they really couldn't imagine. Now, by then, I had
worked in the humane society. I'd cleaned a lot of animals' cages. It was not something I was at all
squeamish about. But, boy, people would pay you anything to clean up after their dog. And there were
all sorts of strange inventions, you know, with, you know, things that looked like sort of hedge
clippers, but they would have a bag on the bottom or you'd try to get it under your dog before they
when nobody had any idea, and nobody had signed up for it.
So, in fact, there were some tragedies where people, dogs were jumping off the top of apartment buildings
because what happened was people were so appalled at the idea of cleaning up after their dog
that they would go to the roof of their building, where, of course, it couldn't be policed,
and they'd let their dogs crap up there.
And so there was a period of a few months where dogs were jumping off of buildings.
And, you know, it was, when I say New York was chaos.
in the 70s, just, that's a sense of the chaos.
There are dogs coming out of the air.
There's dog shit everywhere.
I mean, it was really, and I think just as a, you know, 10-year-old kid or whatever,
the sense of chaos was just, it was sort of overwhelming.
But the point is that if I had been happy to charge 50 cents a walk, that law came into
place, and I could charge $5, $10.
People would pay me to come twice a day.
And, you know, all of a sudden.
and, you know, I'm making, you know, 100 bucks a week. It was just, you know, I liked that feeling. I liked that feeling of having the independence of money and having so. So it did sort of take off then.
Does your father or mother give you an allowance growing up?
They did. It was a little unreliable. My parents were divorced. And so, of course, that allows kids to, you know, I don't know if you ever fish.
But, you know, in fishing, there's this thing about fishing the seam, you know, where you find two bodies of water moving at different rates.
And in that seam between those two bodies of water, there's often a lot of marine life.
And so I think children of divorce are very good at fishing the seam.
And so, you know, my father would put up some policy about doing chores and collecting kindling.
And, you know, he had moved out to the country.
commuted. But, you know, we were there every other week. And so, you know, yes, we had an
allowance. It was sort of, as I say, regularly, sort of not uniformly enforced, which I think
probably reinforced the idea of liking having my own funds from. And of course, interest rates
were very high then. And so, you know, I remember my brother and I both being struck that we had
put for a few years money we had gotten at Christmas or our birthdays into the local savings
bank. The idea that all of a sudden, I mean, I remember going to get the money out and being
given a $50 bill plus a $2 bill and then some change. Because what seemed like I had put in
only $10 or $15, and all of a sudden there was $52 and change, it felt like the most money I had
ever held. And so, yeah, I think very early, you know, I give my father especially enormous credit.
We were a very financially numerate household. That was, you know, sort of a language that was just
part of it. Savings, what interest rate meant, how money could compound. He was very good at
object lessons for those sorts of things. What were your dinner table conversations like growing up?
Stellist lenses do more than just correct your child's vision.
They slow down the progression of myopia.
So your child can continue to discover all the world has to offer through their own eyes.
Light the path to a brighter future with stellus lenses for myopia control.
Learn more at SLOR.com.
And ask your family eye care professional for SLOR Stellist lenses at your child's next visit.
You know, particularly with my father, we would be out there on every other weekend.
And so, of course, that would begin on a Friday, which meant that Wall Street Week was on.
And my father is very anti-television.
And not even in a sort of fanatical way.
He's just not interested.
He just finds it an amazing waste of time.
And it is one of the things that I really admire about him.
But Wall Street Week was an exception.
I mean, I felt like Lewis Rue Kaiser must be a relative or something
because he was in the dining room, you know, a little TV watching Lewis Ruekeiser speak.
It's funny when I was near the end of Lewis's life, I went on the show,
and he made this comment that he had had all three generations my family on his show.
and which my grandfather had been on independently of my dad and then I had been on.
And so that was sort of a nice thing.
And I think given the idea of how important that show was growing up, there was something nice about that.
But, you know, I think my, I think there was a lot of banter.
You know, I was generally the sort of the table provocateur.
Sure. But my dad's a great sort of storyteller. His breadth of information, like what he knows about and his ability to describe businesses as stories, you know, it's funny. We don't know if we'll get to this. But I was just with, who was I with that was talking about how humans think in stories. And it makes sense. If you think over the course of evolution, how wired we are to live.
learn by storytelling and story listening. And I've always argued that, like, if we really want
kids to get excited about STEM and, like, learning science, you know, throwing a bunch of
formulas at them and calculus, it just, it's going to work for some whose minds really can see
that. But I sure wish every freshman in high school or every sophomore in high school was taught
the biography of science. You know, think of the movie Oppenheimer. You know, Oppenheimer will
probably draw more people into physics, you know, than STEM funding in high schools will.
It's this idea that, you know, we're wired to sort of have heroes and to admire them.
You know, the whole story, Homer, everything, you know, it's how we learn.
We imitate, we study, we lionize people, we vilify people, and we affect behavior that way.
And I would wish that we told more stories about scientists, about what it was like for, you know, Heisenberg, you know, pacing around this island in the North Sea, trying to, you know, coming to terms with the math of quantum mechanics and losing his sanity because it couldn't be right.
It couldn't be right.
It was such a disturbing implication.
But going all the way back, I would say my father had an amazing.
ability to turn businesses into stories. And so every day when, you know, he would get off
the train excited, he would, you know, we'd pick him up at the station and we'd come home and
we'd have dinner. He just always had stories about what's going on. I mean, I was just thinking
of it the other day because it was the anniversary of Apple coming public. It must have been
the 40th, I think. But anyway, I'd heard something about it. And I remember my father telling the
story about these hippies in his office at fiduciary trust company, you know, in downtown
New York, respectable trust bank. And he said, this guy shows up in sandals, in sandals. He couldn't
believe it. He said, how can a guy show up trying to raise capital for a business and show up
in sandals? He's like, I'm not going to invest with any damn hippie. But, of course, he was trying
to teach us a story about, you know, about respect and knowing, you know, who.
who you were meeting with, but also this sort of the craziness of the idea that these young
hippies were raising money for some crazy computer company.
And, you know, he had been very close at the founding of Intel.
So it was an area that he was interested in.
But he just thought, these guys, you know, Steve Jobs, these guys seem crazy.
But that would be a good example of what we would talk about at the dinner table, him talking
about how some guy showed up in his office in sandals trying to raise money for an
IPO of a tech company. And it's an enormous strength of his. It's just that, you know, passionate
curiosity and his enthusiasm was infectious. Are there any particular stories that stand out about
moral lessons or businesses that still stick with you today that you try to pass along?
I mean, the list of business lessons is sort of endless. I mean, in other words, that was just
sort of constant. I mean, just going, I'm not sure how much it was stream of consciousness for him
versus here's my lesson plan of trying to shape my kids.
And, of course, it's six kids and everybody got different things out of it.
There were ways in which the business stories really resonated.
I don't know if I've ever thought of that question in that way.
I would say one story that really struck me in that I was remembering the other day
was about a man who, as he described it,
one of his inventions. He was a brilliant polymath businessman, inventor. And he invented the
yellow tennis ball. I remember him telling that. And he was telling us this story because the man
had been bitten by a bat and had done nothing about it and had died of rabies, this enormously
successful person. And I remember it being so out of left field.
You know, the idea of somebody dying.
And he said, you know, the point is this guy that was so brilliant, you know, it just, but it never occurred to him that, you know, he could die of rabies.
So I don't know how much my father intended that lesson to be a lesson about hubris or about domain knowledge or, you know, about the closeness of tragedy or just about we were in the country now.
And so if we got bitten by anything to be sure to tell them, I just remember that being something so out of left field and being so different than anything that we had ever talked about.
It seems really interesting because like when you would have guests over or your parents would be talking about business, you were at the table, which I would think is different in that generation as well, where kids were supposed to be seen and not heard and sort of like go to your room and, you know, the adults are talking.
That is true. I mean, again, because my parents were divorced, I had the gift of being exposed to two very different households and both very admirable in some ways and very dysfunctional in some ways. And I would say that my mom was from an old Boston family and her mother was Australian. And there was a lot more formality there. And my dad is struck.
structural informal and structurally inclusive and that more the better.
And he was very comfortable with us being included in that.
He felt like he didn't want that all to be a mystery.
I never viewed him as some businessman that went to an office where I didn't know what happened there.
He, you know, every one of his kids understood and can do a pretty good impression of him on the phone with the trading desk.
And, you know, what the hell is going on and, you know, or listening to him at the other end of conference calls when we were trying.
traveling his kids. He was very much always comfortable being a remote worker before that was
fashionable. My dad was out of New York State for six months a year from, really, I think,
from the late 70s on. And so that meant he was working. I remember the first cell phone,
you know, the big thing that looked like almost a crate that he would carry around. And it's not
that he was short-term trading. He just wanted to make sure he never missed a conference call or
earnings release or, you know, he used to say, you know, you call 10 companies, you learn one thing,
you call 20, you learn two. And, you know, so it was sort of a numbers game. And so we were
always hearing one side of that conversation, whatever it was. And that was, you know, from the time
we were little kids on. So one of my favorite anecdotes, I'm going to fast forward a little bit here
to you going through sort of exploring the veterinary option, theology.
You start out in banking.
You end up working for your grandfather.
And he has you writing the insurance letters.
You ask, why bother when nobody's reading them?
And he had a really interesting response to that.
Yeah, which is, as you write it for yourself.
And shade, it's so amazing that you say that.
On the walk in, you know, I've been a fabulous book on AI is called The Coming Wave.
written by one of the co-founders of Deep Mind.
And I was listening to it this morning, and it was talking about, you know,
obviously the ability of the AI models already to do very good writing.
And so that exact anecdote was on my mind as I was walking over here.
Because I was thinking about how strongly he said, you know,
the writing is not about the product for the client.
It's about what you learn by writing for yourself.
It is. And so it didn't matter that we sent out this insurance letter. I don't know. We probably sent out a couple two, three hundred copies a week. By the time I was working for him, he was probably already in his 70s. So a lot of his peers had long retired. And I wasn't sure anybody was reading this. And I mentioned that to him. And he said, well, we write it for ourselves, you know, the discipline of every week going through, you know, reporting on any company that had reported earning.
What was happening with inflation?
What was happening with investment returns?
Was there any specific company news?
What had been the performance of the indices, which we would calculate by hand?
There was no.
And, you know, were there new, you know, were there demuteralizations happening, whatever?
But I was realizing in this, you know, coming wave of AI, you know, the idea of being alienated from your work, not realizing
You know, I was interviewing some interns, potential interns at our place.
And they were obsessed with this wanting to work remote, you know, this idea that, hey, you know, I want work to kind of be not interfere with my lifestyle and, you know, and it's interesting because they all had been in college during COVID.
And so I said, so, you know, tell me about COVID and college.
And, oh, it sucked.
It sucked.
And I said, why?
And they're like, well, one, you didn't learn anything.
Two, you didn't develop any relationships.
And then three, and this was really powerful, is everyone cheated.
They felt so degraded by the experience.
And I said to him, so why do you think work is different? Like, what is it that makes you think that work should be different than college? So you got your degree with a lot less effort. So you got the outcome. Why are you so unhappy? And of course, you're unhappy because you were alienated from the experience. Well, how can't it be the same at work? If you really think the goal of work is to invest as little as you can in order to get as much payment as you can,
Of course, it's going to suck.
And of course, everybody's going to cheat, and you're not going to have friendships,
and you're not going to learn anything.
But this idea that that is how we're wired, that that's what we really want, is so demonstrably false.
You know, we crave competence.
We crave, it is just, you know, it's been our superpower as a species, you know,
stories is part of it.
But we love getting better at stuff.
We're tinkerers, you know.
We want to improve.
We want to learn.
We work together. We turn little things into competitions. You watch the way kids play, you know. And so this idea that somehow the fact that I can push a button and AI could write my annual report or write a reference letter for somebody that I care about for something that they care about. Well, I have no doubt that that can happen. I think that then I'm alienated from that product. And for me, the process
of creating that annual report, which is probably read by six people nationwide, probably five of
them are probably in our compliance department. I think back to his comment that you do it for
yourself. Well, he meant you do it in a very puritanical way because you're learning. And I appreciated
that. I mean, he was very intense that way. But I also think we do it because we develop meaning
out of that sort of thing.
And this idea that, well, you know, I have a favorite nephew that, you know, wants me to
write a letter because he wants to go to some college or something like that or a co-op board
or whatever.
And I really want the person reading that letter to know about this kid because I really like
this kid.
I love him.
And so, you know, for me, instead of spending, you know, four minutes on the prompt and, and
getting something in, you know, to spend two or three hours, you know, I feel like I know him a little
better at the end. I feel proud to send it to him or to his parents. But I also feel like, you know,
I don't think it will be more effective. I mean, I think that, or if it is, it's only because
I still have a little lead on AI, but it ain't going to last for long. And so, but I do it
because I derived this satisfaction from it.
You know, there was, ever read a short story?
Who the hell wrote it?
It called the Leviathan.
It was, you know, written at a time of sort of the mechanical revolution.
So it was in the industrial revolution.
And it was sort of a futurist.
And it was about the fact that it was based on the idea that there was a ship that had been created that was so big that it would, the bow and the bow.
the stern would never simultaneously be in the trough of a wave. And therefore, it would move
sort of absolutely fluidly through the ocean from crest of wave to crest of wave. And of course,
it did not work at all. The ocean is much bigger than that. But this guy wrote a short story
sort of saying, you know, that this is the future, this incredible floating palace of luxury.
and the short story takes place on the deck of this boat
when they see some lunatic in a little sailboat
and he's about to get run over
because, of course, the great ship is on autopilot
and can't possibly move.
And this guy is scrambling and trying to get out of the way
and, you know, bringing the sails around
and just narrowly escapes being run down
and all the people on the deck are saying,
what a moron, what a stupid.
Here we are living this life of,
luxury and, you know, eating our caviar and that lunatic is getting, you know, wet and the waves are
washing over and he almost died. And there's this moment where as he sort of recovers himself,
he waves to them. And they all feel enormously uplifted. They wave back and, you know, and they
feel this sort of, and they were acknowledged by somebody who's really living. And it was a very,
I mean, I read it in high school. I can remember the title. I can't remember who
wrote it. In fact, I'm going to look it up after we're done because I haven't thought about it
in so long. And it does seem peculiarly relevant. But it was this idea, a little bit like
brave new world with the man beating himself, the primitive. And they think, you know, that is,
but it's this idea that living this completely alienated life, it may not be a source of
happiness after all. Something is definitely lost when you outsource that sort of thinking and
writing. And you actually, it's weird because I think you convince yourself you're smarter than
you are. And then in investing, you would take unwarranted risks, risks that you wouldn't be
compensated for because you can't see them. Yeah, it's, you know, it's a little bit like that
sort of hard form. I love that joke about the efficient market theorists where, you know,
they're walking down the street and there's a $20 bill. And one says, are you going to pick it up?
He says, no, because if it was real, somebody would have already picked it up. And this,
idea that sometimes by taking that shortcut, you just become, well, of course, I'm an old
newspaper lover. And so I'm heartbroken at how few newspapers I can read in their traditional
format. And so I have to get better at reading on a screen. And I'm not very good at it.
And it's a real handicap. But what I loved about reading a newspaper is I wasn't always sure
where my eye was going to go, what I was going to focus.
focus on. And it was often the case that something might have caught my eye in a way that it doesn't when I'm scrolling on this tiny little screen. It's actually one of the reasons I'm fairly optimistic that whatever replaces this shitty little, you know, five inch rectangle that we all carry around in our pocket. That is a very, very poor way to get information, this tiny little screen. And, you know, when you think about VR and AR,
Of course, there'll be much more satisfying ways to take in information and that will be the functional equivalent of what that big newspaper page was, which if you think about it, it's like the IMAX of computer screens, you know, open up the old, you know, the old Wall Street Journal, our Financial Times, how big it was.
It's actually sort of amusing.
If you were to look at a paper from 20 years ago versus today, even a print paper like the journal or, you know, it's probably.
40% smaller, maybe 50%.
You don't realize it's happened a bit at a time, but just how big a newspaper used to be versus
what it is now.
I want to come back to writing a little bit.
You write memos to the board.
Take me behind the scenes in terms of what you were saying and the conversations you were
having and what you were thinking sort of through the crises that you've been involved in
from the 1999, 2001, great financial crisis, COVID, and today.
Every crisis is different.
I mean, that is for sure.
I feel like in this very vicarious way, the bare market of the 70s, to me, felt like the big crisis.
Now, I was a kid, right?
So I only experienced it through my father.
But somehow, he had started the fund in 1960s.
So, sort of at a high.
And basically, the market was back to where it was in 66 in 1981.
And so to me, what happened in the 70s felt like it was the big crisis.
Now, you're looking through a kid's lens, so my parents got divorced, you know, things were upended.
You also had the hostage crisis.
You had, you know, this crazy inflation.
You had the 73-4 bare market where it was just calamity, you know, and my, I just, I view that as this sort of epically transcendent sort of test of, you know, of, you know, the largest American crisis.
Now, I don't know how much that's demonstrably true and how much was looking through that lens.
But I think of that as sort of the first economic crisis that I felt aware of.
And, you know, it's just being in this time when everything seemed to be going wrong.
You know, the sort of the chaos and the streets and the divorces and the oil embargo and the lines for gasoline.
And, you know, are you an odd number played or an even number played?
and, you know, riots in Los Angeles and New York and cities on fire and the loss of American
sort of preeminence and the Olympic boycott and Soviets invade Afghanistan.
And, you know, it just, it felt like it was a time where everything was sort of hanging
in the balance.
And as I say, it was probably through this childhood lens.
And then, you know, you really fast forward to the late 80s and you had the S&L crisis.
And I think because I was coming into business then, that felt like opportunity.
Now, here it was one of the greatest commercial real estate crises.
And, well, you'd probably have to go back to the 30s.
You know, all these look through office buildings and the collapse of these big financial institutions,
Bank of New England and things like that.
But nothing about that felt scarring to me.
It all felt like opportunity.
But, of course, it was where I was in my career.
I had nothing to lose.
I had nothing to lose.
I could come in and it reminds me of, you know, the fact that, you know, I described that 73 for chaos.
And because I remember my father and just the, my father was 30% cash in 1975.
And so the fund dramatically lagged in one of the best market years of a decades, 75.
And market went up 30% or something like that.
And, you know, the fund probably went up 20 because it was a third in cash.
As he said, he was just beaten down.
He'd just been wrong day after day after day.
My grandfather had been living overseas.
He was ambassador from 68 to 75 in Switzerland.
And he comes home and he's like, this looks great.
Now, his net worth was down 80%.
You know, a huge loss.
But he hadn't experienced it very.
viscerally. So he just came in and he went on margin and he levered up and he probably had one of the
best stretches of his entire career starting in 75. And so, you know, obviously sort of the degree to
which you're scarred in the trenches during the process. So, you know, I missed that in the late 80s.
So that became very formal. And similarly, when you got to the late 90s, it, you know, all of that
excess of lagging this crazy roaring bull market, you know, it was corrected so dramatically
and so quickly. And we were so well positioned for that. It wasn't like, you know,
in 2000, the market went down 9%. If I remember, right, maybe 9, 9.5. And it wasn't like
managers like us who had stuck to sort of a discipline, you know, went down to and the market
It went down nine. It's like, we were up nine or ten. There were managers we admire. They were up 20 or 25 with the market down 10. It was such a, so that also didn't feel scary. Now, you throw 9-11 on top of that, and then all of a sudden, that's very visceral, right? We had offices in the trade center, and that was, you know, that was had this sort of disorienting fear.
It had sort of a shockingly mild economic impact, but it was so visceral to us as individuals.
And it was so visceral to us as Americans, too.
You just, you know, the whole country was so shaken that there you had a crisis where the economic impact and the psychological impact were sort of mirror images of each other.
Well, then the funny thing is you roll into the great financial crisis.
And that was the opposite.
You know, what we saw in the front row of that was the whole system about to collapse.
Did you see that before it happened?
No.
No.
I felt smug because of what we had chosen not to own as the excesses got wretched.
So, you know, if you think of the six horsemen of the apocalypse in the financials,
crisis, you know, Bear Lehman, Fannie, Freddie, WAMU, Countrywide, you know, we didn't own a share
of any of them. And yet here I am running a financial fund, running a fund that I had 40% in
financials as well. So I felt very well positioned going into that. I felt like, oh, there's
excesses and we're not anywhere near them. And then the storm hits. And, and,
And that was this, you know, I really felt flat-footed.
And I think this is one where, I mean, I think what happened at AIG was so primal for me
because my grandfather had been, you know, an IPO investor in AIG.
Hank Greenberg sat in our family pew at my grandfather's memorial service.
I mean, that's how close we felt to that organization.
His offices were in 70 Pine Street, which was the AIG building.
And you had a company with $100 billion of net worth, $80 billion of tangible net worth,
probably had, you know, it probably had $17 or $18 billion of earnings that had nothing to do with financial markets.
And it couldn't go illiquid because.
to get your money out of an insurance company, you have to die or crash or have a claim.
You can't just...
There's not really a run.
You can't get a run on an insurance company.
So the old saying I sort of grew up with, which shows you a very strange upbringing,
was, you know, banks go illiquid before they go insolvent and insurance companies go
insolvent before they go illiquid.
And yet here was AIG going illiquid.
It didn't make any sense.
And I couldn't.
So I just kept thinking, no, it's going to be.
okay, it's going to be okay. And then, bam, one day, we're down 90% diluted in a single day.
And of course, you couldn't recover. And by the way, what it was all fully said and done was
probably more like 95%. And so I would say what happened in the financial crisis was so
disorienting to me. I felt we're well positioned, we're well positioned. And then, you know, it was, you
know, the Tyson, you know, everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.
All of a sudden, I was punched in the face.
And it was, and so we muddled our way through, but it was, I don't, I give myself low marks for just the way psychologically I was so disoriented in that 2008-9 period.
We lived to fight another day.
We, you know, in many ways, one of the things that we had done in that period was we had said, look, there's a possibility that even a company like Wells Fargo could be nationalized.
If they can do it to AIG, they'd do it to anybody.
And so we de-risk the portfolio.
Now, I had studied my dad enough to know that going to 30% cash was not the right thing to do.
But it may have been, you know, selling some wells and buying Nestle, that ensures that if the crisis,
gets worse, we're going to own businesses that have got to the other side. And if the thing
stabilizes, well, Nestle is going to go up a lot too. It'll just go up a lot less. So in essence,
we planted the seeds of a long stretch of underperformance relatively from that. We built wealth,
and we felt like that was job one. We had to get to the other side. But that was a, but that,
you know, we're only just now beginning to sort of claw away out of, you know, a long stretch of relative
underperformance. And it started with that. And then, of course, it culminated in some of this crazy
free money stuff. But when COVID came around, that was the crisis for which I think we were the
best prepared. It was one that sort of, it was like 9-11 in the sense that it took over people's
psyche. It was so visceral, so real, the fear was real. And yet even at the time, I think we felt
very convinced that the economic impact would be transitory. We didn't know how,
bad it would get. But we had a lot of conviction that we owned companies that would get to the
other side. We weren't worried in that way that we had been in the financial crisis or something
like that. And so that was one where I felt we stayed very steady. And I think of all of the
crises I've been through, that was the one where I felt the greatest resolve that we were on the right
course, that we were cognizant of risk, but we were not in the sense of the financial crisis,
derisking the portfolio at the wrong time. We weren't letting the emotional fear that came from
having your physical safety in question undermine our focus and our discipline around the portfolio.
And so that was one where I felt we sort of got better.
Three distinct rabbit holes I want to go down there.
The first one is that you use the word position.
multiple times. Talk to me about the difference between positioning and predicting and why you chose
that term. I think it's important. One of the great gifts of ages, to me, I feel like there are some
things in life that feel totally predictable. Like, as you get older, you're like, well, that, I knew that
marriage would never work, or I knew that was a bad idea. But you also become overwhelmed by how many things
were totally unpredictable.
And I think it's that focus on the second bucket makes me think a lot about positioning,
about preparation versus prediction.
And it is just amazing, this sort of prediction industrial complex, is just it,
nothing seems able to stop it because people want to believe.
You know, they want a crystal ball and they've wanted that since,
you know, ancient Greece, and people have been willing to, you know, look at chicken guts
and look at, you know, M2 supply or look at, you know, they'll just come up with some thing
that will retrospectively have been predictive, but of course, it's a correlation, not a causation.
And so I think just as a firm, we think enormously about that idea of positioning and preparation
versus prediction.
And so we tend to think of characteristics like resilience, adaptability, durability versus
optimization versus it's not an optimizing sort of approach.
There will always be people that are doing better.
In the short term.
So it's not optimized for short term, but it is by definition, it's probably the most effective
long-term strategy because you can't predict the future.
So eventually, you get a string of whatever you're,
your return is, but you multiply by zero, whereas somebody's always outperforming you if you're
not maximizing current returns, but you're maximizing longevity, but in the long run,
you actually outperform them.
Well, the absolutely optimal outcome will be achieved based on luck.
In other words, it's, you know, somebody will buy that lottery ticket and we'll get a nearly
infinite return, you know, a billion to one payout or whatever. And so, you know, I do think
there will remain people, and you're right, in the very long term, it should be the case that
if you avoid the blowups, you make progress when the sun is out, but you don't sink, that over
time, it will just be a war of attrition. And it's something that my friend Tom Gainer and I talk a lot
about is it's just staying in the game. And, you know, it's funny watching the, you know,
the collapse of SBF and all of that. But, you know, it was such an insane theory to think that,
you know, the theory would say bet it all every time that you have an advantage. And if everybody
did that, you would get a better outcome net. But of course, it's an insane theory because you're
certain to end up at zero. It's just a matter of when. And so it was such a disconnect in terms of
this sort of mindset of, you know, just the complete disregard for that Kelly criteria and for
that idea of living to fight. And I think it's one of the, you know, goes back to one of the
reasons I love that we manage a mutual fund. I mean, I love that what we do ultimately ties to a very
specific individual, you know, that is going to retire or not or is going to send a kid to
college or not.
Because it does make us realize one of the really deep, dark, dirty secrets of money
management is that, you know, if you were faced with the choice of, you know, you return 10%
a year for the next decade and the market does 12,
or you are zero in the market's down two.
Every money manager takes the zero, but every client would take the 10 because that is going to determine, you know, 10 years of zero return is not going to help them achieve their goals, but you will be one of the largest money managers on Earth if you do that, right?
And so this asymmetry of incentives, I think it's one of the things that we never want to lose track of.
That ultimately, you know, achieving 10% is way, way better than achieving zero.
And that we want to beat the index over time.
We want to beat the competition over time.
You know, if you have 5,000 competitors, you're going to have to go a very, very, very, very
very, very long time to eliminate luck being at the very top of that. But it doesn't matter to us.
What matters to us is, you know, that person being able to afford their retirement. And so the zero
versus the negative two, that, you know, we'll take the 10 and we'll run the portfolio for that.
And as I said, in the financial crisis, that meant that we de-risk. And I can't look back in, I can
look back and say that that was wrong in terms of what happened. But in terms of what we knew at
the time, I feel it was right. Or I give us some scope around that. I think in COVID, it was, I think
it's one of the reasons, you know, some of the people that, well, I think we had a great
advantage in that of, for example, not having an insurance operation because I think what was
really scary for investors that had insurance operations during COVID is they had no idea
what was going to happen to their liability side. And so that also terrified them at a time
when the assets were going down. Whereas for us, we felt, one, we were absolutely amazed at how
well, investors behaved then. You didn't see big redemptions. You didn't see people running to cash.
And so that allowed us to stay very steady, too. And to look at this, you know, horrible,
terrifying thing, but to be able to look at it with some dispassion around the economic implications.
Wendy's most important deal of the day has a fresh lineup. Pick any two breakfast items for $4.
New four-piece French toast sticks, bacon or sausage wrap, biscuit or English muffin sandwiches, small hot coffee, and more.
Limited time only at participating Wendy's taxes extra.
You sit on the board of Berkshire Hathaway, which is probably the company that comes to mind when I think of who's well positioned, no matter what the future, sort of what happens in the future, whether it's positive, negative, stays the same, $160 billion on balance sheet.
like they're going to exist.
They're passively stable almost.
How do you think about that in terms of positioning and in terms of the risk management from the company?
Well, you know, there was a beautiful last interview with Charlie that Becky Quick did.
I give her enormous credit.
Now, of course, she was recording that for his 100th birthday in January.
It's amazing that it was like two weeks before he died.
And it gave me so much pleasure to watch that.
I mean, because he was just so lucid and engaged.
If I'm remembering right in that interview,
but if not in that one, over the years,
it's something that he goes to over and over,
is this idea as Berkshire has run with the idea that from the very beginning
that the people that were invested in Berkshire
had 100% of their net worth in Berkshire.
And that really does shape the culture there.
So it is, it's not that it's afraid of risk, but it will not, the sort of risks it takes
are risks that are manageable on the income statement.
You know, the idea of Berkshire really, really being built to last, that is profoundly
true. And I think that, you know, I was saying to somebody that, you know, being on the inside
versus the outside of Berkshire, I mean, you know, I'm going to Berkshire annual meetings since
1989 or something and read everything that they've ever written and all the back to the
partnership letters. And so it's not like there's a big surprise on the inside versus the
outside. And if somebody was to ask me, well, was there any anything that seemed different or any
change in nuance or emphasis? The one thing I would say is how profoundly and deeply warn things about
risk and thinks about how important it is that Berkshire can withstand just about anything, just about
anything. And I think, you know, publicly they talk about that. But to see, you know, publicly, they talk about
that. But to see in the inside what that really means, how much they, and so, you know, it is,
it is a, it is really been built with the idea that this is somebody's only asset and it needs
to be built to last. And, and yet amazingly, I mean, Charlie in that interview talked about how
they, without taking much risk, they could have added a lot to returns by having a little more
leverage, but that, you know, that's not who Warren is. And that's not what he wanted. And the
amazing gift, and you know who I would put in this category is Seth. Carlman, a bow post.
You know, what's so amazing is that the investors in bowel, but I haven't looked in a number of
years. But if you were to look over the long term, you know, the cash, if I remember right,
rightly at bow post is sort of average between, you know, 15 and 40 percent for sort of the
whole time.
I don't think there's ever been a time when it's gone, maybe below 15.
I could be wrong, but I'm pretty.
So even in times of chaos, and if you're in efficient market, cap M, you know, efficient
frontier, rather efficient frontier, quant, you'd say, well, that was an enormously costly
decision. Because you carried the cash the whole time, you never really ran it down, even when
there was chaos. So the idea that, oh, it's good to have a reserve in case bad things happen.
Well, and yet, the investors in Baupost have paid nothing for that insurance policy. Yes,
there's a theoretical charge because you could say, well, if you didn't have that and we impute
the rest of the return. But in a way, you've gotten this incredible performance over an incredible
long period of time and have carried that. And I feel in many ways, Sordberg sure has been
like that. It's been run in this incredibly conservative way, but you haven't paid any price for
that as an investor, except some weird theoretical, suboptimal outcome. But the fact is that you got
your cake and you got to eat it too. You got to have long-term wealth creation, long-term
outperformance and this incredible durability and resiliency. And I think that's not a terrible way
to live. How would you define risk? What is risk? I mean, if I define risk as an investor,
I'll always start with the client work backwards. When I speak to a client, I think, you know,
for them, the risk for them is ultimately, it's ultimately becoming beholden on somebody, right?
They don't want to be beholden on the government.
They don't want to be beholden on their relatives or their kids.
You know, they want that sort of financial independence.
So you think very much, you know, you have this sort of responsibility where, you know,
I sometimes joke, you know, risk is having to being forced to change your lifestyle.
There's a lot to that.
You know, I think a lot of people, particularly people that are savings and investments.
Right. You know, you have to recognize that there's a huge amount of people living hand to mouth and paycheck to paycheck. So I'm going to define risk in terms of the investing public. And I would say in terms of the investing public, you know, everybody who invests is making a choice not to consume now in order to be able to consume in the future when they aren't producing.
And so, you know, obviously for them, risk is about that somehow that decision having been mistaken, right?
In other words, they should have consumed now because they ended up with less.
And so, you know, I do think that, you know, I joke that risk is about, you know, a lifestyle change.
It's one of the things we often, when we spend so much time with financial advisors and financial advisors that are thinking about how to manage client behavior.
And I always say, you know, the number one is if you can get them to spend less, that has just a huge benefit, right? Because it's not that they spend less, which means that they have more to save, you know, more to invest for next year or the year after. That's true. But what really matters is that you're annuitizing a lower rate of spending. You're sort of creating expectations. But I do think at a deeper level, I mean, the risk, the financial risk that people
fear the most is this idea that somehow they lose their financial independence. And there is
real dignity in that. There's dignity in financial independence and there's a loss of dignity
in becoming beholden and becoming dependent. So I often think of risk around those things. And
of course, at an individual investment level, risk is about the permanent loss of capital in that
investment and really over a course of a portfolio, because you can be taking a risk of 100%
loss in an investment, and it can be a very rational risk to take. You better size it right.
We mentioned earlier free money. How do you think about where we are today? We've just gone
through probably the lowest interest rate period. In human history. And we've printed more
money. How do you think about this? The scale of what we've gone.
through is really unprecedented. And I hate that word because everything is unprecedented that's
never happened before. Money has a cost for reasons that are totally obvious when you just think
of the structure of what it is. Going all the way back to Babylon, which is I think some of the
first recorded interest rates had to do with, you know, somebody has a herd of goats and you want
to borrow a couple of goats for a while, right? You then, you had to return to them the lost
productivity, that what they gave up the milk or they gave up the kids or whatever it was
from those goats. So in order to use their goats, you had to pay them something. Otherwise,
why would they give them to you? And so interest rates is really about you taking the productive
asset from using a productive asset that belongs to somebody else and therefore needing to
compensate them for their loss of that. So, of course, for all of human history, money has a
cost, right? Because it wouldn't make any sense if you were providing a productive asset to
somebody for free. So the idea that we actually created that environment and that we created this
environment by driving down rates and then at simultaneously printing so much that normally
would have caused rates to go out, would have created a lot of inflation. But we created an
artificial suppression mechanism by buying all that in. Well, that was like pulling back on a
slingshot. And nobody has any idea where this is going to end up. I mean, it is the idea that
we're done, some of the euphoria that people feel.
today. That's nuts.
I mean, talk to me about that because it looks, you know, from the outside in a little
way. And, I mean, you do this for a living. There's been no consequence or very little
consequence considering the scale, magnitude, and duration of what's happened.
Yeah. Well, I think it's going to play out slowly. But it is a massive sort of turning steamroller.
And I don't really see any easy way out of it.
In other words, I don't see the solution.
Now, I'm going to put AI on a side burner because, of course, what has historically happened is that in some ways, technology has often created a bailout.
We will need something like that.
I mean, certainly inflation will have to, the only way we can repay the debts that we've incurred is going to be by, you know, devaluing the currency so we can pay back.
And you could do that gradually over a long period of time with three, four percent inflation and let that roll through and that chips away at it.
And you can do that provided there's enough discipline to stop growing it.
I don't think either one of those things are particularly sure bets.
So I think we're still in this idea that, well, there's a fabulous investor who came out of T-Roe Price, who talked recently, I heard him speak about a 2021 versus 2023 mindset.
And the 2021 mindset is still that there's free capital, that you know, you grow,
you'll always be able to get bailed out. And there's still a lot of that if you haven't been forced
to the table. Now, owners of office buildings are finding that there is no access. And so you're
seeing things beginning to change there. We saw some of the chaos at First Republic and Silicon Valley,
saw it in the UK pension plans. You know, you've seen these real cracks in the dike that were quite
dramatic, but very, very narrow. I think everything else is sort of rolling through as things
reprice. So, you know, private credit, private equity, you know, venture capital. There's a lot
of stuff that is going to take some time to play out. And as I say, this sort of wildcard
is that if you read the annual report of our own government, you would not finance them at three or four
percent. There's just no chance. And so one of the risks of de-globalization, there's so many risks.
I mean, the idea that we could be giving up on one of the most powerfully constructive trends in the
history of humanity. I mean, it just, it wins at every level. It's not perfect. But it is so
important and that we could be willful. Well, one of the risks of that is if, you know,
if China ends up with fewer dollars, then we have fewer buyers for the debt that we're issuing.
And so there's a lot of ways it could go wrong. I'm, you know, my grandfather said,
you always sound smarter if you're bearish. You know, I just listened to, you know, one of the
great investors of the last 50 years, Stan Druck and Miller. I made a note of his comments
because what came to my mind at the end was Woody Allen's talk to the graduates when he says,
you know, on one side, we face calamity and extinction. And on the other side, we face, you know,
total ruin and, you know, and obliteration. Let us hope we have the wisdom to choose correctly.
you know and you know you create these scenarios where there is no it's hard to see any way out
and so going back all the way to your question about positioning i think you say well if that's the
future what do i do right well i could own some shiny metal i could own some bits and bites in the
form of bitcoin i sure as hell don't want to own any sort of fixed income instrument um and so it
Real estate scares me. I mean, I listened to the head of one of the largest real estate companies last week, talk about, you know, they were seeing some unbelievable opportunities to buy buildings with, you know, 8%, 9% cap rates.
Well, what's so good about that?
I mean, yeah, the risk adjusted return on that is pretty small.
Yeah, I could buy Capital One at a 14% after-tax earnings yield. I mean, what's so great? I don't understand.
understand this real estate mindset that still thinks that a single-digit cap rate compensates
them for the risk that they're taking. As I said, you buy that at a cap rate. I'm not sure
you could finance it at that, but who knows? I'm no expert in real estate. So I take real estate off
the table. Venture capital, well, of course, there can be fortunes made. Private equity, I think
there's one hell of a reckoning should be coming. But I feel.
that in a puritanical way and it never seems to come. They seem to get away with it. When the government
tries to pass laws on carried interest, it just seems so obvious that even a friend of mine
in the private equity space was like, well, it was good. Well, it lasted. Even he couldn't believe
that they're still getting away with it. It's just so, you know, I'm jealous of the fees. I hate
the accounting. I was arguing with the head of a very major.
your private equity firm recently. And I was like, it's just despicable that you show your
returns, but you don't adjust them for leverage. Like, benchmark them to the S&P with the same amount
of leverage. With all of that, said, well, it seems to me in that world, owning Berkshire seems
like pretty fabulous. And, you know, when I look at the portfolio, the positioning of our
portfolio, I think owning Google feels pretty good. Owning Amazon feels pretty good. Owning meta feels
pretty good, but sure, so does Capital One, so does Wells Fargo, Bank of New York, you know,
tech industries, you know, the largest copper mines in the world. Whatever you believe about
electrification, a lot of copper is needed, and they have the longest lives, some of the lowest
cost deposits in the world. So I just feel like I can't predict, you know, Stan creates a picture
where I can't find any way out of it.
But having said that, what am I going to do?
Well, I'm going to own businesses that are resilient, that can adapt, that have pricing power.
Don't have too much debt.
Don't have too much debt.
Have global, have cash, current cash that allows them to reinvent?
I mean, one of the dangerous things about, you know, the most aggressive type of growth investing is it just posits.
a huge amount of cash in the distant future. And it really underestimates all of the risk
adjustments you should be making because there's uncertainty that you will get that. But there's
uncertainty about what the discount rate should be when you get there. And I can perfectly easily
see a world where rates go down to two or three percent for a couple of years. And then they're
eight, you know, four or five years from now. I just don't know how to handicap that. And to be
fair, I've never met a rich economist. So I don't think it's really, I just think you have to
think about how do you position? You know, you have no idea if you're going to be sailing
through a storm. So just be prepared for that and have redundancy, have resiliency. But, you know,
going, you know, imagining there's some tropical island where you can go and drop the anchor and
just wait it out, that's not an option. There is no safe harbor. Do you think there's a timeline
mismatch between policy and citizens and also investors and CEOs and companies?
Yeah.
You know, I think Brian Roberts is now in the top five CEOs in the S&P for a tenure.
And, you know, in thinking about that, I think that the median tenure, something like three
and a half or four years, whenever you get cycles that are in conflict,
Obviously, we have an election cycle that is totally different than the policy cycle.
It's one of the things that we should all, I mean, this jingoism and this anti-China sort of mindset is so dangerous because we stop learning.
China has done some things magnificently well, including lifting almost a billion people out of near starvation, poverty in a generation.
But one of their great strengths has been this enormous long-term focus.
And, of course, that's been part of what's created businesses like Berkshire and Markle.
I mean, I highlight Capital One because it's still run by the founder, right?
He created that company, I think, in 1986 or 87, still the CEO.
You know, the tenure of CEOs can really, really matter.
You know, the old saying in nepotism is that, you know, a good farmer farms for his children.
I remember Freddie Heineken saying to me very early in my career.
making a comment that, you know, pointing at this little kid that was playing by a swimming pool
and saying, you know, I make decisions for him. That's my grandson. What a huge advantage,
right, versus the average sort of. And by the way, you know, private equity loves to tout that
they are great managers. They are always looking for the exit, you know. And that is. It's interesting,
right, because Berkshire Hathaway was able to do what it did because Buffett owned so much
he wasn't worried about somebody else coming in and sort of usurping control.
Like, if you scale the numbers down a lot and you take 160 billion, a private equity fund would see that and be like,
oh, we're going to buy it, divot in the cash out.
But you can't do that because structurally...
Well, that's true.
I'm not a total belief.
I mean, people have used that rationale to create AD stock and things like that.
ad and controlling stock. And I have mixed feelings about that. To me, it is curious that Amazon
never needed that. They didn't create super voting shares where you could own a tiny economic
interest and yet. So, I have mixed feelings about controlling stock. But on the other hand,
I do not have mixed feelings about the idea of how long-term investment,
get screwed by short-termism creeping in.
And I'll give you a good example, Costco had a classified board,
which meant that only a certain number of directors
could be elected each year.
And that operates as a fairly effective poison pill,
because what it means is if you wanted to get control of that board,
it would take you three years.
By and large, as investors, we don't love that sort of poison pill.
I think it. However, in the case of Costco, we really supported it. And we supported it because we said, Costco, we want them to have an incentive to report earnings exactly as they are or put differently. We don't want them to have a disincentive for doing that.
And so, you know, one day and I forget what year it was, probably 15 or more years ago now, maybe 20 years ago, Costco closed at 41, had been.
can come down from 45. It was a momentum growth stock darling. They reported a bad quarter that
stock opened at 27. We amazingly bought 17 million shares that day. It was one of the great trades
in my whole career. And you could talk about how much I screwed it up that we still don't own
those shares, which we don't. And so that was a terrible mistake selling it over time.
and one that Charlie was always willing to point out.
But, you know, when we bought it, we had high conviction that it was worth over 40.
And so, but it would have been easy if, theoretically, for some sort of private equity firm to jump in and say, hey, we'll bid 34 for the whole thing.
And people say, hey, well, that sounds good.
The stock's at 27, you know, 34 sounds good.
So, that idea of private equity being able to take advantage of volatility means that you create for, if you want to represent long-term shareholders, you may have an obligation not to have negative surprises.
And if you have a negative obligation not to produce, you're going to have negative surprises.
So what means is you're creating an incentive system of hiding those or smoothing them out.
And so I do not have an answer on whether control stock is.
is good or not.
Obviously, before the creation of the B shares,
there was no super voting stock at Berkshire or anything like that.
You could argue there still isn't.
The A shares have more vote, but anybody can own them.
But you could argue that it was a good thing
that Meta had that people, Mark did not have to worry
about being forced out because he controlled the company.
But I do tend to like when control is simply because you own more shares rather than you somehow have a separation of your economic interest from your controlling interest.
But I'm not certain on it.
I've got there's so many good examples on both sides.
There are examples of, you know, Hershey was an example where controlling, you know, shareholders, you know, force them to do absolutely suboptimal things for long periods of time.
and there are lots of examples of family businesses that have that second or third generation really screwing it up.
But there's so many success stories too.
And you look at some of the Graham family and things like that.
And so I'm torn.
I'm not sure I really welcomed it for companies like Google and meta.
I didn't like it.
I didn't like the way venture capital firms were convincing founders to do this.
And at the same time, I mean, I actually had this argument with a very prominent venture capitalist publicly at a conference where I said, have you ever invested in any company where you haven't asked for a seat on the board and been, and the answer was no. So why do you think that somehow your equity is more valuable that you should have a seat, but no other owner should? And especially after you've sold out.
So, they would go and, you know, sort of create this view that, oh, well, you know, let us be your backer because we'll ensure you're always in control.
And it drove me crazy, but that's okay.
They made a lot of money.
So, hats off to them.
You mentioned Munger a few times.
How did you guys meet?
Oh, God.
It's such a great story.
My grandfather built this fortune.
I mean, it was amazing.
He started, borrowed $100,000.
When he died, it was $800 million.
And it was held in a trust as long as my grandmother, his wife, was alive.
And when she died, it was $2 billion.
But 100% of that money, 100% was marked for charity.
That was his belief he told us all from the beginning.
My father's done the same thing, unfortunately.
And so they've really sort of followed what I'd call the Carnegie Buffett School versus the munger school, where I think
Charlie said on that same podcast that half of his net worth had already been transferred to
his kids and he has fabulous kids. I was working for my grandfather and it was clear that the
capital of his firm was all going to go to charity. And so it couldn't function as an operating
business anymore. And he had this business that was called a stock loan business. I don't know
how familiar you are with securities lending or in its simplest form. It would be if you were a short
seller and want to sell shares short in company XYZ. The person who buys company XYZ
from you is not interested in the idea that you're short. You need to deliver them some
shares. So what you do is you go find an owner of XYZ and you say, hey, can I borrow your shares
for me to deliver in? And the guy says, well, what are you going to give me for collateral?
do you say, well, I'll give you a 102% of the value of that short position.
And I will give you that, but you've got to pay me interest on that money.
And so there is a very, very thin profit margin that is basically tied to the relative credit of the borrower versus the lender.
And you make a tiny little crumbs of spread.
So, my grandfather's firm had this portfolio of appreciated stocks, the best example of all is
Berkshire. And Berkshire, for many, many years, had a charity program where if you owned
a share of Berkshire, each year, you were given a dollar amount per share that you could
assign to any charity of your choice. And companies have this tax incentive, and usually
the CEO decides and gives it to whatever.
his or her favorite charity is. But at Berkshire, they said it's much more democratic to let each person
vote. So, for many years. But in order to be able to do that, you had to own the shares in your
own name. It had to say your name on the stock certificate. So very little few shares were
held in street name. And because there were very few shares in street name, if you wanted to short
Berkshire Hathaway, it was really hard to find any shares to borrow. And so my grandfather, having a
brokerage firm, having a big position in Berkshire. And all of these people that wanted to short
Berkshire, well, there was a big thing in the 80s, particularly, that this argument, oh, Berkshire is
just a closed-end fund selling at a premium. So there was an obvious trade that all these really
smart people would talk about, which was basically short Berkshire, buy some Coke, some Cap Cities,
some Freddie Mac, you know, buy the public companies. And you
pick up a nice risk-free arbitrage. Well, of course, the shorts got killed for decades,
but of course, they still wanted to keep doing it. Short sellers are often convinced that they're
right. You think of the Tesla short sellers over the years. They just didn't want to look at the
facts. And so my grandfather loved this because he could make an extra one or two percent a year
by lending out Berkshire to these crazy short sellers. And it sort of delighted him because he thought
that they were completely wrong, and yet they were going to pay him. So, anyway, he had a guy who
ran that operation. And the guy gradually said, well, how about if you pay me 20% of the profits that
I make lending out stocks? And my grandfather said, great. Well, next thing, you know, he's got,
you know, 10 or 15 employees in the securities lending operation. And they're acting, not just
lending out his own securities, but acting as what's called a broker finder, you know.
And it was sort of out of control.
And so my grandfather, who was 80s or said, Jesus, Chris, I, you know, I don't know what to do.
I said, you got to get out of this business.
I mean, we're doing a couple of billion of footings a day, and I don't even know some of these
counterparties.
There's this one here I've never heard of, you know, in Greenwich, long-term capital.
Oh, I mean, I don't know.
So, a miracle.
So I'm like, I'm going to get us out of this thing.
So I decided I'm going to try to sell it.
I'll try to sell this operation because we're going to have to close it down when he dies anyway
because the charity couldn't operate that business.
So I was thinking of who would be a good buyer.
It needs to be somebody with a really strong balance sheet, a big portfolio of appreciated securities,
you know, great credit and credit rating.
And so I thought Berkshire.
I'm like 26 years old.
And a guy named Bob Lensner, who was somebody I knew in New York, who was a friend of Sandy
Goddessmans, I think, and he knew Charlie.
And so I said to him, hey, do you think you put me in touch with Berkshire?
And he said, sure.
So he put me in touch with Charlie.
And Charlie said, well, I'm going to be in New York for, I think, either Costco or a Solomon
meeting, and I'll have breakfast with you.
So, I show up at 8 o'clock at the Millennium Hotel downtown in New York.
And I pitch this stock loan business.
I throw it right out there.
I have no idea.
Charlie stops me after like four minutes.
And he goes, I have no desire to own a business run by seven guys named Vinnie.
And, of course, it was the perfect, we literally had seven guys named Vinny.
I mean, it might have been Vinny, Tony, Mikey, but it was really a back office, slightly shady operation.
And he said, but I'm very curious about how you pick Berkshire and how you got where you are, and what are you doing.
And we got talking about the insurance letter and this, my grandfather.
And we stayed at that table until lunchtime, which was almost four hours.
And it was, it changed everything for me.
I mean, it was.
And at the end, he said, you know, young man, anytime you want to, I'll make time to see you,
anytime you come to Los Angeles and I enjoyed our conversation.
And so I just started ginning up an excuse to go there all the time and would call on him.
And I just, I can't, I can't even put into words how much I just admired his incredible depth
and breadth and, and, you know, it's funny, the Venn diagram of what I admired about Charlie and
what I admire about my father don't have a huge amount of overlap. They're very, very
different. But there's something in my admiration of Charlie that has this real, real depth.
And that was how I met. So I met Charlie long, quite a bit before I met Warren.
Grocery shopping, cha-ching. Ordering food?
Chaching.
Filling up on gas?
Cha-ching.
Commuting.
Ch-ch-ch-ch-ch-ch-ch-ch.
Using streaming services.
With your RBC Ion Plus visa,
earn three-tri-time points on groceries, gas, dining, and more.
Cha-ching.
Then, redeem your points on gift cards from over 200 brands.
Your idea of rewarding happens here.
Conditions apply.
Visit RBC.com slash Ion cards.
But just the sheer breadth of his knowledge and is,
is the speed and the processing speed and what would come in and what would come out of left field.
It was just breathtaking, a really incredible human being.
Talk to me about some of your favorite stories or lessons you learned from him.
Well, it would be a book.
If I was to think of like a couple of the things that mattered, there were things that mattered personally in a way that was very surprising.
You know, in my personal life, I went through an unexpected divorce.
and I was having dinner with Charlie and he was saying, you know, I generally am not a fan of divorce
because people don't tend to do better. It's, you know, they, they, it tends to be about a fantasy
and it tends to reflect sort of a lack of, you know, realism. And all of the things he said about
marriage over the years are so interesting about, you know, trying to, you know, be deserving of the
partner that you would like to find and so on.
But in, you know, just in this moment where, you know, I could feel, you know, Charlie was a
tough critic and there was, he never held back telling me when he thought I was, you know,
foolish or stupid. But I felt so deeply supportive to that, you know, that he was, it was coming
from the, it was like the hardest teacher you've ever had. You know, the hardest teacher you
ever had as a tough critic. But you feel they're rooting for you. Like, that's part of what makes
them your favorite, you know. I felt like that with Charlie, but at one point, Charlie said,
well, you know, it's very hard to be blamed for someone else's unhappiness. And that, just those
words, and in this moment that was, for me, you know, quite a low point in my life and a time
when it felt quite traumatic. Just the grace of that phrase, you know, that it's very difficult to be
blamed for someone else's unhappiness. And, you know, there can come a time when it's just too
much. And he said, it's particularly hard if you're wired in a way that you love somebody and you
want to help them. You know, you're trying to make them happy. You're doing, you know, and so he said,
it can get to a point where that's just too much. That was something that I wouldn't know how to
described that in any other format. It wasn't an investment lesson per se, but it was one that was
very, very helpful to me. The story now is out. It was something that he had said to me when I was
asking him about his happiness and how he owed his debt of happiness. And he said he owed it
to his wife's first husband. But I'll give you one that was also amazing, which was around Costco.
You know, we were talking, we talked so much about Costco over the years and we owned it for, you know, 14 years, I think.
So we had a long run with it.
And it just, the valuation kept going up and up.
And it was a mistake to have sold it, not because the valuation went up, but because the reach of the business got so far beyond what we thought was possible.
And so it was a real mistake.
But Charlie made an interesting comment once because I was challenging him on this idea that there's a certain number of customers that would go to a Costco if they didn't have to be a member.
And so I said, let's say the membership fee is 2% of revenue.
If you raised prices 2%, you would still be lower cost than anybody else.
And yet you would have more customers.
And because you had more customers, you'd have higher revenue.
And so it would seem to me that keeping customers out of your store that would otherwise be there is a mistake.
And Charlie's insight, I mean, there's a long answer to that.
But one of the shortest answers is he said, think about who you're keeping out.
Think about that, the cohort that won't give you their license and their ID and get their picture taken.
Or they aren't organized enough to do it or they don't can't do the math to realize how they're, he said that cohort will have 100% of your shoplifters and 100% of your thieves.
And now it'll also have most of your small tickets.
And that cohort relative to the U.S. population will probably be shrinking as a percentage of GDP relative to the people that are able to do the math that are responsible enough.
So, going all the way back to insurance, you know, somebody's credit rating is a great predictor of whether they'll crash their car.
Well, because they're responsible and they tend not to cheat.
So is being an Army officer, right?
USAA doesn't need to know anything else about you, just that you're an officer in the United States Army and they can offer you a lower price because they know you're not going to cheat.
And the difference in fraud, of course, there's a lot of fraud in auto insurance.
So, if you don't have to charge for that fraud, you can charge a lower price.
But the question is, how do you keep the fraudsters out?
Well, Army officers is a good shorthand.
Government employees used to be a good shorthand, which, of course, was what Geico stood for,
government employees insurance company.
We'll just insure government employees and we'll just, we don't need to know anything else.
Just your government employee, you have a lower risk.
And so this ability to Charlie's phrase was the intelligent loss of sales.
He said, you're young and you just think more is better, more is better. More is better. But more is not necessarily better. It's who do you keep out? Who do you keep out of your company? Who do you keep? And, you know, in running our own firm, we, you know, there's so many lessons of Charlie's that are captured in, including having a board of directors made up of people that I don't want to disappoint. Well, in the mutual fund industry, that's very unusual. But we have a board of people that I really admire and I don't want to disappoint. Well, Charlie said you should because they're the face of your client.
And so have people on that board where you would feel a little sheepish to do lousy.
And then you'll work harder.
That's a good lesson.
But, you know, have things that make it hard for people to trade in and out.
Now, when we had the mutual fund trading and all of those scandals, you know, we were in a wonderful position of that because we never let them in in the first place.
He's like, well, why do you want, you know, that sort of investor?
Like, set their expectations.
Keep them out.
Like, you don't want to be the biggest.
You want to be the best.
And so that means you're going to have to keep a lot of clients out.
And your life will go better if you keep out.
He said it's one of the reasons he gave up being a lawyer because, you know, being a lawyer,
he said it's tough because your best, your most profitable clients are going to be people
that you don't respect very much because they're always operating right on the line.
They always need a lawyer.
They're always trying to get around it.
But, you know, your best clients will be your worst customers.
Well, that's a tough, that was part of Charlie giving up the law, you know.
And so those are, you know, examples that, you know, had very personal impact on me in terms of how we structured our firm, how I think about businesses and think about, you know, that loss of sales about, you know, having, you know, setting, you know, putting, you know, I have Charlie's bust behind me in my desk.
You know, he just said having physical reminders. Reminds me a little bit when I was doing my degree in theology that, you know, C.S. Lewis was somebody admired a lot. And C.S. Lewis was very old-fashioned in certain ways. And one of them is he believed it's a good idea to get on your knees when you pray. And that's, you know, I thought that was really sort of reactionary. I mean, you know, you can pray anywhere. You just.
sort of, you know, talk to the greater being, whatever it is, you know.
And his, C.S. Lewis's point was, well, we're animals.
And boy, there is nothing like, you know, being on your knees with your head down to reinforce in your brain that you are very vulnerable.
And that gesture changes your mindset.
That's why I still, I'm going to be the last guy in New York wearing a tie.
But I always felt it was respectful, going all the way back to Steve Jobs and fiduciary trust
and my dad thinking, who is this hippie in sandals with his long hair and won't even get a haircut?
But, you know, we have clients, you know, who come to visit us.
And, you know, if they're coming from the Midwest and I'm wearing a golf shirt, it feels disrespectful.
So part of it is about communicating respect to them.
But it's also, it makes me feel like I'm ready for work.
now. It's why I'm a believer in school uniforms. I think kids behave a little better when they're
in a school uniform. I'm also a believer in that. Was it your father or your grandfather who used to
run down this street too? My grandfather. Because he was like, what if somebody saw me? I know.
And it is an area where my dad and grandfather were so different. And again, both admirable, but in very,
very different ways. But yeah, my grandfather always sort of had this sense of, you know, he was a great
man and it was important that he. And, you know, Ben Franklin did the same with a wheelbarrow
in the streets of Philadelphia. In his autobiography, which is, you know, 80 pages, there's a
section about borrowing money. And he says, you know, when you borrow money, it's very important
that you do certain things. And one is that you need to reassure your creditors that you're
trustworthy. And so he always advised to paying the interest a day early. But another thing,
he said, is he would load up these, you know, big printing blocks and type things and he'd have a
wheelbarrow. And he would be seen pushing this wheelbarrow. And he said, it's important that they
know I'm industrious. And so in the book, he says there were times he didn't need to do it.
He just, you know, he was managing his brand, you know. But in a way,
that he felt it was important. Well, my grandfather had had that. He felt, you know,
interestingly, Charlie always talked about dressing conventionally, you know, wearing, he said he's
so eccentric in other ways that by wearing a suit and tie, people assume that he's more conventional
than he is, and that serves him. So, but yeah, it was my grandfather that would hold his jacket
and shuffle. And whereas my father is, there are ways that he doesn't care what anybody else thinks. And
He is much more, just dispositionally, much, much lower profile than his father.
We talked a little bit about avoiding customers, which is like a form of inversion.
What do I want to avoid?
One thing I've heard you talk about in the past is avoiding your weaknesses.
You tell the story of Tiger Woods.
I'm wondering if you can tell us that story and also relate that to your life and how you've learned this lesson.
The story, which I believe is true, was about Tiger Woods' first British Open.
forget which course it was going to be held at. But whatever the course was, it was notorious for
those deep pot bunkers. And apparently, the weakest part of Tiger's game was his sand game
coming out of bunkers. And so as the press was following him around, they kept badgering him
about what is he doing to improve his sand game because that could really be the linchpin in the
British Open. And he had said that he was working on his drives and his irons. And they said,
why? And he said, because I want to avoid the sand. And then I believe played the entire British Open
without going into a bunker once in the whole open, which was at the time unprecedented and
people talked about. So now, if you were to tell me that that's not true or it's apocryphal,
I believe you, but it's such a good story. And it does get at this very deep truth. And you
said, it certainly was a Charlie truth about inversion. And, you know, so much of Charlie's mind was
about and, you know, think about the causes of failure and try to avoid them. And in fact,
in our research department, we have a letter that Warren wrote in 1965, I think, that or 66,
that lists the reason that he believes most money managers, institutional managers,
managers tend to underperform. And we frame that letter and put it on the wall in the research
department because we said what we should do is just try to avoid these five things. And to the extent
that we avoid these five things, we will, over time, be above average. You know, one was group
decisions. That was number one. Number two was the desire to conform your portfolio on policies
to what other large, well-regarded firms are doing. Three, was the asymmetric.
of risk and reward, obviously better to fail conventionally than succeed unconventionally.
Four was over diversification, and five was inertia.
And it's funny, we just did the reviews of our whole research team, which is one of my
favorite times a year, just to really sit and go in depth with each person about, you know,
how to help them get better and, you know, how to be learning machines, how to, and every once
And once in a while, there's a theme that will run through each one. And inertia was the theme that really ran through it. We just said as a firm, we really still struggle with being held captive by our past decisions. You know, we're held captive. If we've chosen not to own something and it's gone up a lot, it makes it so hard for us to revisit that. If we own something and it's gone down, it makes it very hard for us to let go. What are the ways in which inertia?
Anyway, all a digression back to this idea of framing that letter was, of course, from Charlie saying, you know, trying to avoid things that will lead you to fail.
And I think at a personal level, really doing your best to try to figure out where those blind spots are.
And so for me, I have, you know, I have the motherload of all ADD.
I mean, you can fritale.
It's very hard to keep me on topic.
And that's one of the reasons I love this business. Everything's interesting. Everything's relevant. No matter what article I read, it has some tentacles back that have investment implications. And so, you know, for me, the question was, well, how do I structure my life in a way that allows me to make sure I get things done that I don't really want to do or that are easy to put out of my mind? And so for me,
for example, physically being in the office matters hugely.
I do not work well remotely.
I don't do Zoom well.
It just doesn't work for me.
And knowing that, I really try to structure my life to avoid that.
And I show up in person.
If I'm working on a weekend, I just come to the office for half a day.
It's like a very relaxing time to be there and I can get more done in a few hours.
But if I'm at home, you know, trying to work and, you know, the kids are there or the, like, it's not that it's just I want to be with them, you know.
And so physically putting myself in a different location, it didn't matter to my dad at all.
He could tune out everything, work anywhere.
But for me being that's sort of an easy, concrete example.
You know, I mentioned that I dress differently when I go to work.
again, even if it's a Saturday, I just feel like it's, you know, I'm in a different mindset.
When I was at university, this is going to sound very reactionary in old fashion,
but I was at a university where even as undergraduates, you could wear a gown, you know, a robe,
an academic robe, and you're required to wear to certain things to chapel or to a debate
or to big university functions, but you could also choose to wear.
And, you know, it was quite warm, and it was the East Coast of Scotland, so, you know, you didn't mind wearing your red robe.
Originally, I'm sure it was to make sure that undergrads weren't, you know, getting drunk in the streets or something like that.
So it was a little like a school uniform, like we were saying.
But to me, you know, wearing a tie is a little bit like that.
It just so granny's rule, work before play.
That's probably the strongest.
You know, I joke that, you know, that is, you know,
in our family, six kids, that people will say that over and over and over, work before play.
That was my dad's favorite expression, work before play.
Well, it suits me.
I just, if I, and it suits me whether it's, you know, going to work or whether it's going to exercise.
You know, there's one thing on earth I love, I love a sauna.
And so, you know, I only give myself a sauna after I work out.
Like there's no other way I can get a sauna.
And so it's amazing how effective that is in manipulating myself into doing something I don't really feel like doing, which is, you know, going and exercising.
So there's all sorts of those sorts of influences of trying to look at ways things that would normally sort of bring me down.
And a big part of it is also the choice of friends.
I don't mean you should choose opposites.
I don't think that really works.
Charlie once said, you know, the saying opposites attract, they don't.
I do think having, you know, colleagues especially that, you know, fill in the areas where you're weak.
And, you know, by understanding the areas you're weak, you don't keep sort of, you don't end up in a Peter principle sort of effect.
And it's a big part of how we try to manage the team is, you know, to keep people away from the areas they're weak in or at least take those away.
from being, you know, completely destructive.
What had St. Augustine said for many abstinence is easier than perfect moderation.
And, you know, for some people, that is the case.
I'm very lucky that way.
I'm very good at moderation in most things.
But I've watched addiction destroy people's lives and people that I love.
And so that's an area where, you know, I keep a journal of every alcoholic
drink, I have a week. Because I love alcohol. You should be clear. I mean, I just think it's
such a wonderful gift. I don't think it's a coincidence that Jesus' first miracle was turning
water into wine. It is every culture on earth, you know, 152 countries or whatever it is,
you know, invented alcohol independently of each other in many cases. I mean, it's just amazing.
So I love alcohol. I would hate to have to give it up. And I mean, I mean,
such a believer that it will destroy your life if it gets out of control. And I'm a believer in
what Charlie said about the bonds are too light to be felt until they're too strong to be broken.
I'm a believer. It can absolutely take you by surprise. And so, you know, for me, just keeping
track of the drinks I have over a course of a week is a way of it, you know, ensuring it never gets
how to hand. You know, I'm not weight obsessed. As my children like to say, I'm sort of threatened by the shower drain. Looks like a manhole cover. I've always been very skinny. But I do, you know, I do weigh myself probably once or twice a week. So that if I end up, you know, a couple of pounds above where I was, I just try to deal with that right away. And where I can all be in sort of moderation where I don't have to go to an extreme. So that those are.
examples of some sort of self-manipulation as well.
That's interesting.
How long ago did you start the drinking thing?
Oh, a long time ago.
Okay.
I mean, you know, probably 20, let's see.
You know, probably in my, I was probably 40, I would say, somewhere in there.
It was around that age where I started seeing it begin to take some people down.
You know, the kids that have been college buddies and always a lot of fun.
life of the party and every time you're with them you drink too much and and you know but it's always
a great time and there was somewhere in the late 30s or so where you know it it stopped being so
funny and you realize they couldn't stop and that's when I was like ooh this can I don't want to
be in that position this can get away and you know it's a so that's interesting because that's
It's been something I've been thinking a lot about recently, too, in terms of, like, watching people and then also, like, loving wine.
And at the same time, like, how do I prevent myself from being in that position, which I don't want to be in, and yet not having feedback on, especially during COVID, right, where it was so easy to.
So easy.
And wine's the most dangerous of all, because the portion sizes grow and the alcohol content has grown.
So, you know, you end up with wine now that is being drunk out of much bigger glasses, and the wine itself is 20 or 30 percent more potent than it was.
I try, that's a good example of something where you can do the opposite, which is smaller portions, you know, smaller glasses, you know, I love cocktails. So, you know, I will craft some beautiful, spectacular work of art. But I serve them in very small glasses, which in the 50s was often how things like martini's were served was in these very much, much smaller glasses. Even recently, feel I've been trying to craft. I, I, I've
not succeeded in a no alcohol cocktail that's any good. I would say there is good no alcohol
beer, the athletic club. I mean, that's, by the way, that's a company that probably's got
probably worth over a billion dollars today or two billion dollars, a couple of guys in
Connecticut. Just how do we make really great non-alcoholic beer? Where it's not an afterthought,
where it's our mission. That stuff's amazing. I mean, what a great gift. So, but I spent a
whole weekend with a friend of mine. We bought every one of the fake spirits.
We tried all different combinations.
And where we landed was we developed a very good low alcohol, where it was basically making a Manhattan using fake bourbon, but real Amaro or real vermouth.
And then chili bitters.
And the chili gives it that bite that gives you the little burn.
And there's some psychic connection with that.
The Amaro has alcohol, so it gives you this.
But, you know, the total cocktail probably has 20% of the alcohol of a Manhattan, but probably 80% of the satisfaction.
But, you know, you think about, I love what Hemingway said, you know, it's not finishing the bottle that gets you in trouble.
It's opening another one.
And there's a lot to that, too.
I agree with that.
Most of my, I'm always like, if I wake up and I'm like a little groggy, not hungover, but, you know, you're just mental fog.
It's like, man, that second bottle of, you know, that should have kept that one closed.
Oh, that after dinner, that is a, yeah, but those are good.
And so, I mean, I always had a glass of wine with Charlie, and I enjoyed that.
That was one thing that surprised me.
It was fortunate enough to be in his presence a few times and have dinner with him.
And I was surprised the first time I saw him with a glass of wine.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And by the way, there's one other thing, which I never, ever got to ask him about.
but he never seems to go to the bathroom.
Well, you'll be sitting with him.
100%.
That breakfast, when he got up at noon, because he said he had to go to a lunch, I ran to the bathroom.
But I kept thinking at the time, he must have been, you know, he was probably only 60 now that I think about it, which is sort of hard to believe.
Maybe he was a little older.
Maybe he was probably 65.
But I remember thinking, I'm not going to get out.
Like, as long as he wants to sit at this breakfast table, I'm staying here.
But it almost killed me.
And so just over all the years, it's sort of amazing.
I don't know what his trick was on that.
No idea.
Talk to me about raising privileged kids.
How do you raise kids in a world where, I mean, you're the third generation of this in a way.
Your grandfather is very successful.
Your father was very successful.
You're very successful.
But you live in a different era where I know a lot of my friends are sort of struggling with,
Like, how do we raise kids in an environment where we have affluence?
Well, I like what, you know, Charlie said that money doesn't ruin kids, you know, parents do.
And I would add genetics can too.
I mean, you know, you can look at siblings from the same family that make totally different
choices.
They've had roughly the same home life, roughly the same genetics, and something is different.
Maybe it's peers.
It's just some nuance in the one or the other.
But I feel like for me, that was an area that, you know, I could get pretty emotional about it
because there are a lot of people that I know who are very successful investors.
And their basic view was, thank God I married somebody that could, you know, raise my kids right.
That was not me.
I actually married a woman that had a four and five-year-old when I was only 28.
And then we had a child together.
We actually, you know, functionally adopted a boy in there as well.
That, to me, was, you know, maybe the greatest source of joy in my life.
I mean, I talk to almost all my kids, almost every day.
I don't think I was ever a helicopter parent.
In fact, their line was I somehow managed to turn every activity into a helmet sport.
And there's some truth to that.
And but I just loved raising kids.
And I've actually got three grandchildren now.
And it just, you know, COVID, I had all of my children came and lived with me and my grandchildren and my mother.
And it was a glorious time.
I mean, I just, so I've always loved kids.
I've loved little kids.
So, you know, I would say that I think having grown up in New York and really not been a part of that, I think we felt a little bit like outsiders growing up.
And I think, you know, the 70s, everybody was an outsider.
So there was probably some of that.
But I look at my kids and I'm so proud of them and they all worked through, you know, we did have the same rule like three weeks without a job as long as you're in school and then three months without a job, you know, is how long you can live at home.
And, you know, my parents were very straightforward about that.
And so, you know, and I look at Charlie Munger's got great kids.
He took a different approach, right?
He gave a lot of money to his kids.
He gave money to his kids, but they, you know, they're just, they're good citizens.
You know, on balance, that's swing a cat through the Munger clan and you're hitting above average people in their value system, in their intelligence and IQ.
So, you know, I would say, I don't know the secret.
I know what doesn't work.
What doesn't work? What doesn't work is giving your kids a lifestyle where they will feel like a loser if they are unable to maintain that lifestyle on their own merit.
I just think that if you do the Southampton, Palm Beach, Aspen, like, you're creating kids that either you're going to have to leave them a hell of a lot of money to maintain.
that lifestyle. But even then, even if they maintain the lifestyle, they do so purely because
they can brute afford it, not because they are interesting or substantial people. And I think
surround them with a lot of, I think, unhappiness. I will, you know, both sides of my family. I was
very lucky that we never, to this day, I like to brag that I've never been east of Bayshore
on Long Island, and somebody would have to be a New Yorker to know what a humble brag that is.
But, you know, basically, east of Bay Shore is where the Hamptons are.
And, you know, I've been a lifelong New Yorker.
I've never been to the Hamptons.
I've never.
And, you know, my father once made a very off-color comment, but I'll share it because he said,
you know, I don't go to strip clubs because if I don't like it, it's a waste of time.
If I do, it's going to be very expensive.
And, you know, why do you want to create an environment where, you know, you would have to endow?
I mean, think of what that lifestyle would cost.
And maybe you endow it for the next generation.
But then they can't do it for their kids and they can't do it for their kids.
You know, sooner or later, you're creating people that feel like failures.
And I feel like, you know, so for me, you know, we have a falling apart farm and upstate
New York. And I live a fabulous life. But I just think, I don't think we raised our kids in an, and you know, Charlie talked a lot about not having sold his house. And that was very much true with me. I mean, what my kids would describe as our family home, I bought in 1993 or 1994. And it is not a fancy place, but it's sort of a farmhouse about an hour and 15 minutes north of New York. And it's got, you'd roll a marble through the house. And it's a very, you'd roll a marble through the house. And it's a very,
very gracious, beautiful place, but it's a farmhouse. And that feels very realistic. I mentioned,
you know, I have this old wooden sailboat that we jokingly call the Wasp Winnebago. But it is kind of
like a Winnebago. I mean, it's 50 feet. And you sort of drive it to campsites and you pump out the
toilet. We sleep all in two little rooms. And so I feel lucky that way. I definitely, and I had a good
group of kids that I grew up with and we all raised our kids together.
So I think we also had a peer group of friends that achieved different things in different ways.
So, for example, we do a trip every 18 months.
The same group of friends does a trip together.
And we've done it since we were teenagers because we would spend some time together in the summers,
but then everybody lived.
So we would always have a weekend where we all got together.
And the way we pay for that trip is it used to be that, you know, whoever, what friends,
who's a teacher, you know, that he would dictate the amount of the trip.
But, you know, as I said, how many times do we need to canoe down the Hussatonic?
Can we do something more?
And so we all decided we would contribute one week's pay.
So it was, you know, sort of, you know, from each according to his ability.
And so everybody made an equal sacrifice.
And then that was the trip kitty.
But I just think having a group of friends that has persisted from childhood, in fact, three of us were baptized together as infants.
I mean, that's one is a partner at work.
We've been partners for 30 years.
He runs all of our client's side.
But there are people that I admire and they're truth tellers.
And so we raised our kids all together.
I think that helps a lot.
I just think this idea that you make a lot and then you begin to separate yourself, separate
yourself more and more. I think that that's the message that you're sending your kids is that there's
no continuity or they're more special than their cousins who didn't do so well. I think it's a,
how do you avoid that lifestyle creep from sort of like setting in? Well, it's going to be whatever.
I mean, of course, one of the great things about making money is you can sort of have what you want.
And I think the question is, how do you try to do a good job deciding what you want?
You know, obviously, I mean, and you know them.
I mean, one of the great gifts to humanity has been Morgan Housel.
And, you know, the psychology of money is like the perfect reminder that what we really want, you know, what kids crave is time with their parents.
And, you know, you end up in the Hamptons on the cocktail circuit and, you know, biking.
your Lycra with all your private equity buddies.
I mean, can you tell I got a chip on my shoulder about that stuff?
But, you know, and all your business school buddies.
So, I just think, you know, I've had a, I'll give a good example.
We grew up loving skiing.
And my dad is a fabulous skier.
And so my grandparents were good skiers.
But they were so worried about spoiling us.
So that it grew up skiing in upstate New York.
York in a town called, well, by the snow mountain was called Snow Ridge. It's in Boonville, New York,
or near Boonville, New York, which is, you know, it's just a farm hill. But, you know, as we were
doing better, my dad wanted us to ski in nicer places and so on. And we went to all different places,
but we always stayed in a pretty modest way. He would, you know, make a big deal out of buying our
ski equipment, you know, secondhand at the end of the season so that we would have. But we ended up
in Taos, New Mexico. Now, there were some other reasons we ended up out there. We had an office in
Santa Fe for various reasons. And Taos, New Mexico is a very old school kind of place. It's
steep, it's technical, but it is the opposite of Aspen. And so, you know, for me, it was this sort of
idea, well, I could just keep going to Taos. My kids are going to be great skiers, but it's going
to be a place that they could likely afford for generations. We've got a condo with orange shag
carpet, and my daughter met her husband is from Taos. And so it feels like a family spot. Whereas
if we ended up with in Aspen, I just think the total cohort would change. And then what? How
How the hell are my kids or my grandkids going to afford all afford to have homes in Aspen?
So, they're going to instead end up going to a place like Tauson feeling like failures.
Whereas my kids feel like Tauson is the greatest place on earth.
Well, they've never been to Aspen to try just as well.
And so, going back, I'm very prone to envy in myself.
I'm not proud of that.
It's a, you know, I can be a very competitive person.
And so a big part of checking that weakness in me is not to get in that pool.
And so, you know, I don't go to Southampton, not because I don't think it would be lovely
and not because there aren't some amazing, interesting people that I admire hugely that live
there and they live beautifully there.
It's because if I got there, I would feel like, I want to be here.
I got to do this.
And, you know, and I got to get a big house here.
And then, you know, now what?
Now my kids are all trying to figure out, well, can we get?
So, you know, instead, we have, we literally have a campground in Maine, you know, little cabins.
And it's a place that we're very happy because it feels sustainable.
So, but my going, not going to Aspen is not because I don't think I would love it.
I know I would love it.
And, you know, and, you know, Southampton, Aspen, you know, Palm,
Beach. I'm sure I would love it. Look, people are not crazy. If people go to Palm Beach,
it's because it's pretty great. And they pay a lot of money to go there. It's probably
pretty great. I just feel like, why do I want to get on that trolley? I feel like Crystal
Meth is probably pretty great, too. I just think I better not to get started.
I've been thinking about it a lot. I mean, I went with my kids who were 13 and 14. They
We were 12 and 13 at the time to Europe last summer.
And we rented this dingy Airbnb without air conditioning.
And I was like, you know, I want to sort of like, I want them to be able to be flexible,
no matter where we're staying.
And I remember lying there trying to sleep and it's like 33 degrees.
I was like, the only problem with this is like, I have to suffer with them.
Well, you know, this is a trick.
I don't know how well this would work for your kids.
But we had that with airline travel.
Because, you know, my grandfather famously wrote his will, and the beginning words of it, say, I'm writing this myself on, you know, TWA Flight 323 Economy Class, underlined.
So, you know, first class was always an absolute no-no.
It was like ordering filet mignon on a menu.
Like, it would still, I could still feel my dad's blood pressure going up if any one of us tried to order a steak at a restaurant.
But, you know, it got to where traveling coach, you know, today is a lot worse than traveling coach 30 years ago.
But I hated the idea of having my kids in business class.
It just felt like it didn't feel right either.
So I hit on this idea about when they were your kid's age of I'll split the difference with you.
Like, I literally will write you a check.
You can choose.
Like, we'll get you a seat in business class.
or you get $700.
And it is amazing how into that they were.
They even started with this view of,
what if we find a cheaper flight?
I was like, no, no, no, no.
But I think it is okay.
And again, going with the, like, travel is a huge gift.
And slumming it isn't necessary.
It's trying to find that line of what you feel is reasonable.
Like, what we all want to be is at the high end of value.
You know, David Brooks wrote a beautiful article about traveling in Africa, eight or nine different places.
And he asked his kids at the end what their favorites were.
And it ended up not just to be not correlated to the amount that the place cost, but to be inversely correlated.
And he said, the reason is the nicer the place, the more they tried to isolate you.
Like, oh, you're in our private villa bungalow out here with the private.
Whereas the lowest end place was one where the kids ended up playing soccer with the people that worked in the kitchen and running around in the scrub and the dirt and sort of having a great time.
And he talked about there was a Yiddish word.
And of course, I don't remember what it was.
But he talked about that's what people really crave.
They crave connection.
And so it's not really about the luxury.
it's about the connectedness.
And so, you know, staying in a very luxurious place that feels very simple and connected,
fabulous use of funds, you know, staying in the four seasons where your children are given
a butler and a ski valet, probably not as good.
We got upgraded once just because I fly a lot.
So I have like crazy status on the airline and they're like, hey, you guys got your
seat changed. And I went up with, my mistake was I went up with the kids. And she's like,
oh, you're all going to be in, like, business class. And the kids were, like, so excited.
And I was like, oh, God. And now, from now, you know, one of my sons is, like, lying back
there. It's like, more ice cream. He's like, why haven't we flown this way before?
But, of course, being able to love and cheer that. You know, it's not going to be perfect.
I mean, that's one again, where Charlie says, if you want your kids to be as ambitious and as
hardworking. It's unlikely. But Barry Diller tells a great story. I don't think he'd mind my
telling it. You know, Barry grew up in relative privilege, he would say. And he had a friend that was
from one of the wealthiest oil families in L.A. And the parents made him sleep in like the
servants wing of their mansion. And he just talked about how deranged it all seemed. Like it was
signaling to the kids that you don't love them or that they're not trustworthy. So I've seen
just as much damage done by wealthy families trying to build character as I've seen the opposite.
I would say my father had a very difficult relationship with his own father. And I think a big part
of that was his own father was so puritanical and would make him carry his skis and walk up the hill
for the first in order to get a lift ticket or they're going to build a pool. And so they had to get
out there and dig for two weekends until their hands were sort of bloody. And the grandfather was
always trying to teach them a lesson. And it had felt false. It felt false to my dad. And so they
ended up really not close. Whereas my dad just loved life. And so he embraced. And it's true, we didn't
stay. You know, I remember going to Switzerland and, you know, in Stad, there's a very famous
hotel, the palace, it's up on this hill. And my grandfather, even when he was the ambassador of
Switzerland, used to brag that he would never stay there because it's a terrible hotel for
skiers. He stayed at a little place called the Arkonsiel because it was right at the base of a lift.
And he said, this is a skiers hotel. Well, he was not suffering being slopside, but it made sense.
And so I think that's sort of the idea.
It's that, you know, putting your kid in the servant's wing versus, hey, kids, we got upgraded.
We got upgraded because I worked my ass off.
And isn't this amazing?
You know, and letting them savor and laugh and enjoy that.
You know, it's, that's.
Well, they weren't so happy on the way back.
But, you know, there's a lot of opportunities to have that conversation.
But it was Charlie who told me.
I had never thought of it this way.
He said, you get into a lot of trouble when you want your kids to live a different
lifestyle than you're living.
Yes.
When you're getting a chauffeur to drive you to work and you're telling your 15 or 16
year old to go get a job at McDonald's, he said, that's going to create a lot of resentment.
Yeah.
I think that's the real truth of it, is that your kids are going to imitate you.
And it's maybe the most important thing you can do as a parent is model happiness, not
desperation, not greed, not need for other.
people's approval, not, you know, just try to model happiness and whatever that means in
how you live. And, you know, if there are people that develop money and it really makes them
happy to have that big house, well, chances are that, you know, that they may have a view with
their kids that I want my kids to have everything. You know, I can't think of anything better
than my children living in a mansion that I produced for them. And, you know, if it's sincere,
and happy. I don't think you've created a miserable child if you're a happy, engaged human
being. And so that's why I think the formulas. I think the, you know, the falseness is what kids
sniff. When are you happiest? Well, I, you know, I've had a lot of experience with depression
and others.
And some growing up and some through marriage.
And it's a little bit like insomnia.
Like if you, I have almost a sleeping superpower.
It's like I'm not even supposed to say that out loud because I have my closest friend who's
also my partner at work.
And as I say, we were raised together since infants.
And he's a hugely important person in my life.
And he has a terrible time sleeping.
And it's like I've learned that my talking about how I can fall asleep, like, if you
told me I can lie down here and have a nap for 15 minutes, I would have a nap for 15 minutes.
Like, I'm really good at sleeping.
It helps me with jet lag.
I can, like, you get anywhere you say it's time for bed.
It's like, I'm ready for bed.
And yet I have, even though I can't physically, I haven't experienced insomnia.
I have a deep visceral sense of what hell that must be.
And similarly with happiness and depression, I see people that are depressed and I feel so lucky that I'm just dispositionally have a tendency towards happiness and contentment.
And it certainly came from my dad had it.
My grandfather had it.
My grandmother.
I mean, I just feel I grew up very, very lucky that way.
My sister, my closest friend has that.
we talk about it a lot.
It's like it, and so I know enough about unhappiness and depression to know that it's, you know,
saying, well, why don't you just change your attitude does not, is not going to work.
And so I've learned enough to just simply not take it for granted, but just feel deeply
grateful that I tend to wake up reasonably content.
You know, there's a, this is a little bit strange thing to say, but
But there's a psalm. And by the way, I should say I'm actually quite agnostic. I'm not I'm not a deeply religious person. I always admired the church as an instrument of social improvement. I think that the fundamental message and its danger in our society of victimhood, I think, is a dangerous message versus the empowering message of the degree to which you have agency for your life. And I feel like,
that is a message of Christianity historically that I really admired, especially in Protestantism,
you know, this idea of taking, being accountable for your choices and for your life.
Anyway, all to say that, you know, this, I do think that it is very often the case that people do not have control over their happiness.
But having said that, what I was going to tell you is there's a psalm that begins, behold, the day the
the Lord has made, rejoice and be glad in it. Well, that's not a terrible way to start each day.
It's just to say that, you know, just this is the day the Lord has made, rejoice and be glad in it.
And I feel like I get, I've had such a super abundance in my life like it is.
and that tomorrow, you know, the phone could ring and somebody could say it's malignant or they could say there's been an accident and everything will change.
And I don't want in that moment to regret that I didn't appreciate just how lucky I had it today the day before all that changed.
And so that is sort of a driving part of my mindset.
You know, I had, believe it or not, I had an English nanny growing up.
I had a very strange upbringing in some ways.
So, this is, you know, my dad had us out trying to gather kittling.
And, you know, my mom's, you know, had this English nanny named Ellen Wigglesworth.
And Ellen Wigglesworth was born in 1898.
And she lost her fiancé in World War I.
And that's when she came to the States.
and she ended up being my mom's nanny in the 30s.
And, you know, she was in my life, she died at about 86.
So she died and, you know, I was out of high school.
I was probably already in college when she died.
And but she would tell stories about World War I.
And to this day, like I can even feel my heart rate going up as I'm saying it,
how terrified I was of that idea of the guy blowing the whistle and going up and over
the top and in the mud and the rain and the machine guns. And I used to say as a little kid,
I would sort of, you know, when you say your prayers at night, I would sort of say, you know,
I hope I would be brave, but please don't ever test me. Like, I never want to be tested. And
I feel like that about, you know, health, about depression, about contentment, about sleep.
You know, I feel like I'd like to think, you know, Charlie was so powerful about handling suffering and his stoicism, you know, this opportunity to behave well. That's what suffering is, an opportunity to behave well. And I always feel like, I hear you, Charlie, but please don't test me. I just don't want to be tested. And but of course, life doesn't give you that option. Sooner or later, we're all going to be tested. It's a matter of whether it's sooner or
or later. But so I feel like dispositionally happy so much of the time. Like if you were to ask me
what are those moments in a year, it's like there's so many. You know, I love the people I work
with. I can't tell you what a privilege it is to really love your colleagues. Like just to be
curious about, you know, what they're up to in their lives. We have, you know, a small team.
They're eight of us on the research side. But they're in every decade.
One colleague in 60s, a couple of us in our 50s, some in their 40s, some in their 30s, and some in their 20s.
And it's like the island of misfit toys.
I have no idea how we could have found each other otherwise.
I think our average tenure together is something like 14 years.
But there are people that I've worked with for 30 and 25 and 20.
and the newest one is probably been less than a year.
And so it's a very gradual turnover process.
But, you know, there is turnover and there has to be because, you know,
we have a responsibility to have the best team on the field and that is the worst part of my job.
But it's not, it's almost never the case that it's not because that person doesn't deserve success.
It's just that they're doing the wrong thing.
I mean, if they have that credential and that work ethic and that,
level of IQ and processing speed and communication skill and, you know, value system. And
they aren't succeeding. They're just in the wrong job. Like, you know, in fact, we had one guy
that it's actually become a little bit of a sore spot in the company because it was that sort
of situation. And we worked like hell. And I was like, you'd be so good in the corporate finance
function of a company because, you know, you're not good at predicting how things could change,
but you have a deep understanding of investing in capital allocation and, you know.
And anyway, he ended up very early at Facebook and has done great.
You know, he's like, I wish you had fired me sooner.
So everybody, the company's like, fire me next, you know.
But so it's, you know, there's an expression in sailing that a bad day at sea beats a good day at the office.
That's not true.
one, a bad day at sea is really scary.
And two, a good day at the office kicks ass.
I mean, it's just fabulous.
It's exciting and you're watching things come together.
So, you know, that whole column of life feels great.
And then I've got this group of friends from baptism to today that I love.
I've got this experience of being on corporate boards of some of the greatest businesses on earth.
And I never thought I would love that as much as I do.
I mean, it's just, I've loved watching how, you know, the Washington Post evolved.
I mean, it was one of the great, great examples in all of corporate history of fiduciary leadership and servant leadership of the Graham family to make the decision to sell the newspaper that it needed to be in safer and better hands.
And it was just incredible thing to be able to sit at a table with people of that caliber.
and then watch a process.
Imagine the gossip of the Washington Post is going to be sold.
The grams are going to be sold.
Imagine that taking six or seven months and imagine it never leaking.
I mean, just that unbelievable character, the people involved in that.
So, you know, and then, of course, Coke and Berkshire.
I mean, so that part's amazing.
And then, you know, I've got a family, I've got two living parents that are amazing.
You know, they do totally different things.
And then I've got this group of kids where we've been able to transition.
I'll say the most dangerous thing of the world with a 12-year-old is to try to be his friend.
But, you know, the worst thing with a 40-year-old is to try to be their parent.
You know, you've got to figure out how to transition that relationship to being, you know, a person that you care about and admire and want to help.
And, but that there appear at that point, you know.
Take me behind the scenes of no particular company in general, but a board meeting.
And what makes for a really good board meeting versus a really bad board meeting?
Well, the board meetings, I mean, I've been, I think that a lot of average company's board meetings are basically the lights go down, the PowerPoint comes on.
There is a focus on pageantry process.
and, you know, sort of checking the boxes, and I'd rather shoot myself in the face.
I just, I mean, going back to the ADD, you know.
And but the first board I ever came, and I do think that's the way a lot of corporate boards work.
And I think it's gotten even more so because I think investors are discouraged from going on boards by the regulations.
I think the SEC makes it, I think it's a terrible mistake to discourage money managers,
especially long-term investors, from getting involved in the governance of the companies that they manage.
And it's, it's, the compliance issues are real because you've got to be very careful about
disadvantaging your clients or if you're burdened with inside information.
But I think the importance of having owners of the businesses represented on the boards versus
academics and lawyers and politicians. You know, you want people that have a real skin in the game
and are advocating and representing their investors, their clients. So it's a very, but it ain't easy.
I mean, we're in a world where often regulation is for its own sake. And so I was very lucky
that the gateway drug, it was like starting, you know, at the absolute top, which was, you know,
the Washington Post. So, you know, there.
Harris Warren was on that board and Ron Olson, I mean, to Barry Diller at the time, Melinda Gates.
I mean, and of course, the Graham family.
I mean, it just, and so they had a tradition where the night before the board meeting, there's a dinner.
The dinner was held at the CEO's house and nobody else is invited, just the directors.
And you sit and you have cocktails and you talk and you sit at the table and you talk about business and you talk about the world and you develop a deep culture of trust.
You also develop an environment where you talk about the real issues.
And then what happens at the board meeting becomes much more.
Now, perfunctory is not the right word.
But to me, it was a way of orienting a board that your focus is really on.
the long term, do we have the right people running the business? Are we able to stop them from overreaching? Are the shareholders getting the information they should have to make an informed decision? Are the records being presented honorably, transparently? And then to weigh in on the big strategic decisions. Then the rest is whatever hygiene needs to happen. So that tone got set there at Graham. And of course,
I would expect that that was always the case at a place like Berkshire where there's so much candor.
Certainly, that's been my experience.
And then at a place like Coke, I would say that, you know, there have been different phases in Coke's histories.
And you can read some of the things Warren has said about sitting on those boards in the past.
And they're not always super complimentary.
But I think that, you know, one of the ways that I try to contribute or be.
part is to try to bring that Graham culture to these big company, you know, to a big company like
Coke. And it's been fabulous. It's a great group of people. It's a great board. They've gone
into this, you know, having a small dinner of directors only the night before. And it's just
amazing how important that is. And the degree to which you get trust and accountability and
candor. And Jamie Diamond famously said, the bigger the group, the better the news. So, you know,
that is. Oh, that's interesting. I've never heard that before. Yeah. Isn't that a good expression? And so smaller functioning boards, you know, people being, you know, you look at what happened at places like Hewlett-Packard and, you know, Intel for that matter. I mean, these companies, you know, it's quite a well-known expression that, you know, a great board can't make a great company, but a bad board can ruin a great company. And, you know, I would sort of.
I certainly argue that both Hewlett-Packard and Coke, the board's had a lot of accountability
for decades of bad decisions.
And it was bad decisions on what is the board responsibility, which is who's in charge.
Talk to me about the third generation of a family business.
Usually the expression is like-
Shirt sleeves to shirt-sleeze.
In three generations, and yet you're an exception to that in part.
What are the lessons that you've learned of having that success?
You've all created your own success in a way.
Well, I don't think there was any sense of a family business.
You know, when I joined the mutual fund company was called Venture Advisors.
My father had a partner.
He had a firm called Davis Palmer and Biggs, but he sold it in the 70s, really pretty near the bottom.
That was another opportunity for me to learn differently.
like we're we want to we want to get through we want to build something and stand for something and
and you know my grandfather you know it was so clear that everything was being given away anyway
that so i don't think we ever grew up with a sense you know if i look at you know my dad has
six kids and you know two or one one's a medical doctor one's a psychiatric practitioner
You know, by and large, they're good parents, like good, but they all live differently, do different things.
And I think you'd be glad to have any one of them as your neighbor, you know.
I give him a lot of credit for that.
And the way that you all made money was really different.
Like, your grandfather was 50% margin for most of his career.
Dad had a lot of margin, too.
And how do you think about that now?
Well, it's terrible.
I have to say, do you have a lot of money?
No, and my father to this day thinks I'm the biggest sucker on earth.
He just, and that is often the way.
You know, the generation, you know, what happens is, you know, if you started with nothing,
you had to be such a risk taker.
And then I think what happens is that propensity to risk falls over the generations,
but often so does the corresponding ability to build wealth.
And that did not happen with my father.
I think partly because of the rivalry with his father.
So they both went through life with a lot of margin calls and a lot of, you know,
I took on quite a lot of debt to buy, you know, to buy out the partners of the management company.
So in that sense, you could argue I was on margin.
And as my father said, nothing focuses their mind like a little debt.
I was like, oh, you know.
And that was in, you know.
Well, we're all on margin.
Mortgage is a margin.
Yeah, that's true.
That's true.
Although, believe it or not, I didn't even have a mortgage, because I always wanted this
idea of just having a very stable and never wanting to go back to go.
And going all the way back to the dog walking and like, how important it was to me to have
money.
And so my father would say that I should be embarrassed at how conservatively I've run my financial
affairs.
And that, you know, I would have a dramatically different net worth if I had been willing.
By the way, not just to be on margin, but not to have my money in the funds.
Because it being in the funds meant that I was running my portfolio as theoretically quite a high net worth individual
that would be willing to have 40% in a single stock easily.
Wouldn't it wouldn't make me nervous at all?
I can't run a fund that way.
I felt I couldn't.
And so what that meant is that if I had simply bought each stock that I ever bought for the funds in a personal account and held it, then I simply never would have sold simply because something was getting too big.
Whereas in the funds, I do that all the time.
And it's been a terrible mistake.
So, if I had never done that, you know, Costco would be, you know, whatever, 40% of my worth, Amazon would be 40%.
You know, Google would probably be, you know, 20%, and, you know, Berkshire would be 20%.
You know, there would be pretty much everything in there, you know, those four or five positions.
But I felt it was the right thing to put the money in the funds.
And so the result is I have this enormous tax inefficiency.
I'm selling things and realizing gains that I wouldn't do in my own life, but I'm doing it going
back to the idea that, you know, we have a client where that's all they have.
They can't take.
And by the way, they might have gotten in the day before.
So, you know, if I say I bought something at a 4% position and now it's 40 and it goes back
to 20, I'm still fine.
But the person that got in that day before isn't fine.
But I feel intellectually at peace that that was the right way to do it.
But, of course, I still have my father's voice in my head saying, what a sucker.
You know, you should have, you know, as I say, my father is giving away a scale of fortune every year that's just mind-blowing.
And it is incredible the impact that he's had on a lot of kids' lives doing that.
I will have less ability to do that relatively, probably, in all likelihood.
But that's okay.
I've liked doing it this way.
And I think I've ended up with great colleagues and great clients and a great board.
as a result of all of those things being aligned.
That's a great segue into the question we always end with, which is, what is success for you?
Well, I mean, for me, that is one where Charlie shaped that from the beginning.
It's just living your funeral backwards and thinking about, you know, well, I'll give you an image that was true image.
I talked about this recently, but this idea of, you know, I came up to this house after being out,
for a dinner and all my kids were there and and I you know it was glowing on the inside it was like
courier and eaves you know it was so beautiful and and I saw all my kids at the dining room table
with their significant others and laughing and it was this moment where I felt like I didn't even
need to go in and so that you know in that dimension of life just this just the intense love and
admiration I have for them. And my curiosity at how it's going to play out. And the fact, I mean,
one of the things I love is that my daughters are friends, even though they're 13 years apart.
And it's a very, very unlikely friendship. You know, one is that Princeton kid running a big
residential real estate operation. And like, you know, and the other one has invented a, you know,
the founder and CEO of a what is a can only be called a sex toy company.
You know, I just, but she is just, she is just a crazy exuberant kid living in a totally different world than one that I can grasp.
But, you know, so there's a lot there.
And then, of course, I love having, you know, building a place where the people that have invested their careers there have felt like they've made a difference and that they've lived meaningful and substantial lives.
because I'm with them every day, I feel.
And then finally, where, you know, the clients that come along there feel like they were treated well
and that they, you know, the advisors got a little better at their jobs because of how we did things.
And, you know, it's just, it's, there was a, I'll end really quickly by saying there was a man who ran one of the big accounting firms.
I can't remember which one.
And he died very young.
While, in fact, he died within becoming a year or two of becoming the managing partner of the firm.
I can't remember if it was Ian Y, maybe.
And he wrote a book called Chasing Daylight in his last year.
He only lived for a year.
It was a bad brain cancer.
And he wrote this book about shutting down his life.
And it was very unusually positive.
It's not a great book, but it was very emotional.
I knew him a little bit.
And he talked about these concentric circles.
So he's like, you know, when he first found out, he's like, okay, I've got to get the firm
secure. And then, you know, I've got to work on these, you know, relationships that I left
hanging in different ways and I want to make peace with these things. And it sort of got smaller
and smaller and smaller down to his immediate family and then just to his spouse. And, you know,
I think that's sort of the right mindset to think about is these sort of concentric circles.
And, you know, in some ways, the outer circle, you think it's the biggest, it matters the most.
I have a feeling the end it may matter the least, but you still want to get it right.
So I think about him in those circles in that chasing daylight idea.
That's a beautiful way to end this, Chris.
Thank you so much for your time.
Are you kidding?
I was so glad to be here.
This was just a complete pleasure.
Thanks for listening and learning with us.
of episodes, show notes, transcripts, and more, go to fs.bos.blog slash podcast, or just Google
the Knowledge Project.
The Fernham Street blog is also where you can learn more about my new book, Clear Thinking,
turning ordinary moments into extraordinary results.
It's a transformative guide that hands you the tools to master your fate, sharpen your
decision-making, and set yourself up for unparalleled success.
learn more at fs.blog slash clear
until next time