The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish - Keith Creel: Lessons from Life on the Railroad

Episode Date: November 29, 2022

Keith Creel calls on nearly a decade of experience working with the Canadian Pacific Railway to discuss his strategies for leadership and how he’s turned the company around over five years in charge....   We discuss all you need to know about the rail industry and how it affects our daily lives, what changes he sees coming in the future for the industry, how he thinks about leadership in times of change, and how Canadian Pacific secured a $27 billion deal to take over its rival, Kansas City Southern.   Creel became the President and CEO of Canadian Pacific in 2017, giving him executive control of one of the largest Class I rail systems in North America, with more than 13,000 miles of rail network stretching from the Atlantic to the Pacific. In 2021 he helped broker a deal that marked the first major merger in the railroad industry in the U.S. in two decades and created the first freight rail network linking Canada, the U.S. and Mexico. -- Want even more? Supporting Members get early access, hand-edited transcripts, member-only episodes, and so much more. Learn more here: https://fs.blog/membership/   Every Sunday, our Brain Food newsletter gives you a mental edge in 5 minutes with timeless insights you can use. Add it to your inbox: https://fs.blog/newsletter/   Follow Shane on Twitter at: https://twitter.com/ShaneAParrish   Our Sponsors:   MetaLab: Helping the world’s top companies design, build, and ship amazing products and services. https://www.metalab.com   Aeropress: Press your perfect cup, every time. https://aeropress.com   House of Macadamias: Nourish your daily routine, and nurture your lifestyle. https://www.houseofmacadamias.com/TKP Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 In your career, you're going to work with a lot of managers that want to do things right, but very few that want to lead and leaders do the right things, even when they're not the comfortable thing to do. You know, often change threatens people. You've got to be able to articulate why you need to change and how you need to change and stick with it, even if it's not comfortable. Those lessons, you know, to me I think are universal and I think they're undeniably true. And I think they lead to success in any business and most specifically in our business. Welcome to the Knowledge Project. I'm your host, Shane Parrish. This podcast is about mastering the best of what other people have already figured out,
Starting point is 00:00:54 so you can apply their insights to your life. If you're listening to this, you're missing out. If you'd like access to the podcast before public release, private episodes that only appear in your feed, hand-edited transcripts, including my personal highlights, or you just want to support the show that you love. You can join at fs.blog slash membership. Check out the show notes for a link. My guest today is Keith Creel, the CEO of Canadian Pacific Railway.
Starting point is 00:01:21 For those of you that don't know, Canadian Pacific is one of the large Class 1 rails in North America. it has over 13,000 miles of rail network, 11 ports served on both the West and East Coast, and over 100 transload facilities. Keith has helped Canadian Pacific go from one of the worst operated rails to one of the best in the world. While trains are such an important part of our supply chain, they remain misunderstood and underappreciated. I wanted to talk to Keith to learn more. We discuss common misunderstandings about rails, the symbiotic relationship between trucks and trains, self-driving technology and how it changes the landscape, high-speed rail, reshoring, and the role
Starting point is 00:02:01 that rail plays, leadership, and some of the lessons he's learned from legendary railroader Hunter Harrison. And also from investor Bill Ackman. We also discuss the $27 billion acquisition of Kansas City Southern. He walks us through step by step revealing awesome details that I don't know have appeared anywhere else. get to talk with and learn from so many amazing people. And conversations like this one with Keith remind me of why the Knowledge Project is so important. I love sharing this stuff with you. It's time to listen and learn. Everyone knows about Rails, but we misunderstand so much. I think the best place to start is with
Starting point is 00:02:50 the question, what do people misunderstand about Rails? I think they misunderstand or they lack of understanding that if the rails don't run, the products that we all enjoy consume and that establish or define our quantity of life just doesn't happen. I think that's probably came more to bear or maybe more apparent to folks over the last year, year and a half with all the supply chain challenges that we've experienced and inflation we've experienced. But certainly it's the backbone of the economy in so many ways. Why are they so much more efficient than trucks which take advantage of sort of public infrastructure? They're way less in capital and intensive, they're not unionized, and yet the rails still are the lowest cost to move a ton of
Starting point is 00:03:31 freight. It's all about size and scale. Obviously, when you have trucks and highways, there are limitations on how far they can haul things with manpower as well as how heavy they can haul things depending upon truck weight and size, bridges, public infrastructure. You have to share the roads, obviously on a truck, whereas on the rail, it's a dedicated asset that you own, and you could haul many, many more cars with the use of technology and efficiency, and the cars carry a lot of weight compared to what a truck can carry. There are classes of business where trucks have an advantage over rails? Yeah, and this is part of probably why, in large terms, why rail has diminished in importance
Starting point is 00:04:18 and even the freight that's moved in America today, and that's because of rail. liability. So just in time, inventories, manufacturing facilities, product lines where they need to make sure that they know, the transportation manager knows that the product's getting to the shelf or getting to the assembly line. Trucks have played a big role in that because they've been much more nimble. And obviously, back to your point about infrastructure, you know, we only run where our rails run too. Trucks have the benefit of the nation's interstate systems and highway systems and road systems. So they're much more agile and flexible than a rail network is.
Starting point is 00:04:56 So that agility and flexibility, coupled with historically railways have not always been the most reliable when it comes to a schedule, providing what I call a truck-like reliable service. I think that has led to the demise of the freight that's hauled by rail. And that's exactly kind of the narrative that we've tried to change. try to create the benefits of scale that a railroad brings with the reliability of truck that Trump brings. It's kind of a hybrid model.
Starting point is 00:05:27 That's the way we operate our railway to try to make ourselves more attractive to our customers. And how do you think about driverless trucks? Eventually it be inevitable. I think that there's obviously a big social hurdle. I know myself, I try to put myself, to be a human all I can. Obviously, when I'm out on the streets, if I were to see an AT2 weather going by me, they make me nervous as they are. passing me on an interstate, or perhaps when they're not paying attention, but they make a mistake, you know, they can pretty much demolish a vehicle. I can't imagine looking up and seeing no one there.
Starting point is 00:06:02 It's something I'm not personally comfortable with yet, and I would suggest that society's not comfortable with yet. But eventually, in time, change occurs. We all have to get comfortable with the uncomfortable. I think it's inevitable. Does that change, sort of the equation between rails and. trucks? I think it could. I look at it as how it could complement, you know, from my perspective of the railroad that I run, because, you know, we are consumers of truck capacity as well. So I look at it from that perspective, but the reality is the competitive advantage from a labor
Starting point is 00:06:37 standpoint that, you know, a driverless truck might have if the technology catches up and the society issues catch up is inevitable. So we're going to have to look and continue to to look at ways in the rail industry to innovate, to become more efficient ourselves, always fitting safety first. But it definitely in time will require that we evolve and we change as well to be able to maintain our competitive advantage. Why don't we have driverless trains? It seems like that would be the place to innovate because we have a closed track, basically, that's fully controlled by a company. Well, actually, in some locations of the world, they actually do. But again, it's in a location where probably not as exposed to the societal issues, so you might have a piece
Starting point is 00:07:21 of track that runs across a terrain that's not complex, flat terrain, point A to point B without road crossings in between. There are situations like this, perhaps in Australia. There are other countries in the world where in very limited fashion it exists, but the reason it doesn't occur here locally, specifically. Again, it's that change word. It represents huge technology challenges. It also represents huge societal challenges. And when I say societal in our definition, it's the workforce that we work with. We're heavily unionized workforce in the rail industry, heavily regulated. So the regulations would have to change and the will for our employee base that are unionized would have to change. So again, that's eventually in time, perhaps. The technology is not there. The real
Starting point is 00:08:17 change is not there at this time. Why don't trains move faster? Not only freight trains, but like, why in Canada and the U.S. don't we have high-speed rail? And why aren't the freight trains moving faster? Why are they limited in terms of the speed? Again, we're on a closed network. I'm just asking from an outsider looking in. Well, you're mixing apples with the largest, so it's important to start from basic understanding. When you talk about passenger rail, they can move faster. And obviously there are numerous examples and locations where they do. But if we look at the Canadian example and the preponderance of the U.S. example, those faster trains are running on free rails. It's not often that you have a dedicated passenger network. So when you intermix the two, the complexities and the needs
Starting point is 00:09:09 the traffic track infrastructure for the two creates a disconnect. So a freight train is heavy. You're limited by tons and weight. So we go back to that scale question, you want to run long, big, heavy trains that are safe and efficient. Well, they're not going to move as fast as a pasture train, which can accelerate quickly, can decelerate quickly, just all of those scientific facts of pasture trains conflict with freight trains.
Starting point is 00:09:38 So if you try to create an infrastructure that allows both, you get into safety concerns. And I've experienced this. It Canadian National, actually, in my history, I remember several derraments that I went to, and it was created because of a disconnect between the two. You have to super-elevate curves. So for a passenger train to go fast around a curve,
Starting point is 00:10:00 which the curves are out in the geography, you elevate the outer rail and you drop down the inner rail, and it's sort of, you know, as inertia carries you around the curve, you use that geometry to be able to accomplish that speed safely for passenger. But if you mix that with a freight train that by nature has to move slower around that curve, you're putting a ton of weight on that low rail, and that low rail effectively will open up the gauge and allow a train to drop in. So there's a balance between the two, and that's the reason a lot of conflict occurs
Starting point is 00:10:33 between passenger, mixing passenger in freight. You've got to find that balance. Otherwise, there are safety issues and capacity issues because a passenger train, given its nature, moving so fast consumes a tremendous amount of capacity because it gets from point A to point B so much faster. I never thought about it in those details. Thank you for that.
Starting point is 00:10:55 Wendy's most important deal of the day has a fresh lineup. Pick any two breakfast items for $4. New four-piece French toast sticks, or sausage wrap, biscuit or English muffin sandwiches, small hot coffee, and more. Limited time only at participating Wendy's Taxes Extra. You mentioned long, big, heavy trains. Is that the backbone of precision railroading? That's part of it. When I say long, big, and heavy, you know, I've got to be careful in the definition because never when you have, you know, safety limitations, you have technology
Starting point is 00:11:25 limitations, and then you've got to make sure you've got the track infrastructure limitation satisfied. So a true PSR railroad, you run fewer trains, which means you have to run longer trains, but you also have to add the infrastructure to be able to accommodate the size of that train. And historically, non-PSR railroads just traditionally in the industry, until PSR started to evolve, a normal railroad would be built every 10 or 11 miles you had a 6,000 or 7,000 foot siding. And the sidings for those that don't understand railroading, that's where two trains meet, as opposed to having, you know, a two-lane road, you have a one-lane road with a siding every 10 or 11 miles so they can pass. And when you get into the terminals,
Starting point is 00:12:13 the terminals receiving arrival and departure tracks match the siding links. So historically, terminals would have six or seven thousand foot arrival and departure tracks. Well, PSR says that you run bigger trains, but you have to match. that with arrival departure tracks in their terminals that can arrive and depart those trains efficiently, as well as instead of every 10 or 12 miles, the perfect design, or at least in my 30 years of experience doing this, is having a 10 or 12,000 foot siding every 15 miles. That allows you the right spacing to be able to sequence trains, run long trains, make train meets, and still be efficient. When you say PSR, what do you mean? Precision scheduled railroading, it's an
Starting point is 00:13:00 acronym that has been coined by the industry to truly define an operating model that Hunter Harrison, who was a legendary railroader, that I had the honor and privilege to mentor me and work with and for for over two decades, pioneered in the industry. And essentially, it's a people in process business. And it really is just defining a process for every process within the movement of freight from point A to point B, and that's the drain movement process, that's the mechanical process, that's the locomotive process. It's defining the process and then applying the right number of people in measures to create a service that your customers want to buy. So it really is.
Starting point is 00:13:48 I liken it to lean manufacturing. It's all about define the process, what does good look like, what should the process look like, and then managing to that outcome. And then you end up in our industry, which is heavily capital intensive. You have a great service product that allows people's freight or customer's freight to move from point eight to point B efficiently. You move a lot of it back to the scaled question. And you do it in a scheduled manner back to the truck like a lot build question. That's truly what PSR is.
Starting point is 00:14:22 And it sounds like that actually makes the rails less capital intensive as well. Fewer sightings, fewer maintenance, the yard switch. is that change at all? No, you're exactly correct. At the end of the day, you're able to do more with the less. You're able to run the railway more efficiently. And listen, this is a capital-intensive business. You know, I think about, I'll give you a great example.
Starting point is 00:14:47 It's CP where we implemented precision-schedged railroad back in 2012, 2013. We were running with 1,500 locomotives in service a day. today we're moving more freight with about two-thirds of that so a thousand to eleven hundred well if you think about in simple turns 500 additional locomotives well just in capital expense alone they cost two to three million dollars a piece and then you've got to have two or three mechanics per locomotive to maintain them you've got to have repair parts and then if you apply that that thinking not just to locomotas but to rail cars to track infrastructure or to switches and trap, the facilities. I mean, you get into this virtuous cycle of inefficiency if you don't really right size and optimize your assets. So it's through that process, again,
Starting point is 00:15:41 it's just the right way to run any business. I think you can apply it to any manufacturing business. You could apply it to the airlines. You can apply it to the trucking lines. You can apply it to the simply plant. Again, it all goes back to process refinement in executing what good looks like through people, through culture. How do you think about getting the next sort of advantage out of sweating those assets?
Starting point is 00:16:07 So PSR took CP from, I believe, the worst performing Class 1 rail in North America to the best. How do you think about what comes next? I call it a journey. You never really arrive. And again, if I stick to the process definition, there are so many processes in running a railway. and I would suggest to running any business, and they're executed by people. So you really never get to that perfect state where you've perfected every process, or you've perfected every human, which is impossible as a side go,
Starting point is 00:16:43 but you have people that are trained given their best effort, because in a world like we live in, and I think about CP terms, there are 13,000 employees. Well, 10, 11,000 of those 13,000 are the men and women that actually do the work day in and day out that are executing those processes. Well, naturally, they're going to trit out. They're going to retire. They're going to leave the industry. So you're always having to retrain.
Starting point is 00:17:14 So when you retrain, you have to make sure the training and people develop and is a four fundamental of being able to sustain your success. I think that's key. and then the process piece. I mean, I look at it something like track capacity. We have a very robust five-year plan, three-year plan, one-year plan, monthly plan. We look at our capacity, our line capacity, and our total capacity. And we have a menu of what I call a shopping list of capital projects that allow us to create more capacity. And every year, you know, based on, and I do it as simple as trade,
Starting point is 00:17:52 lays an impact to our train velocity and our asset turns, you know, these are the top 10 that causes us the most pain. Well, once you fix those top 10, well, guess what? There's 10 below it to move up. So, you know, it's a virtuous cycle of continually define what good looks like through the process, measure it, because if it matters, you've got to measure it and understand how you're doing reference what good looks like and constantly tweaking and finding through processing people to create a better product, create more capacity to create
Starting point is 00:18:28 a tighter cost control to create a better service for the customer. So again, it's a process that never ends. It's a journey you never really get there. It's just this constant pursuit of operational excellence that allows us to produce what we produce. There's a couple of rabbit holes I want to go down there. One is how do you think about the tradeoff between efficient and resilient? I think there has to be a balance. You know, you can create so much resiliency or redundancy that you go out of business. I think about a church, and Hunter said this to me one day 20-something years ago, and it resonated with me. He said you can't build a church for Easter Sunday.
Starting point is 00:19:08 If you do, you go out of business the other 51 weeks out of the year because you can't pay to sustain it. So you can over, I guess to over-engineer something, spend more money that is necessary. and the business won't allow you to sustain your existence in a long term. So I think it's important that in your pursuit of efficiency, you understand there's some redundancy built in. You've got to have some, what I call guardrails. You don't want to cut to the bone. There's a tension, and I speak to this as well.
Starting point is 00:19:41 There's a constructive tension where if you get beyond it, then you're going to be damaging your ability to produce the product. And that's, again, I liken it to the way we manage our capacity in our network. I get extremely down to the brass tax involved in large contract negotiations because of scale. It's not because of money. Money matters, obviously, but most importantly, it's because of what the demand to serve the customer will or will do to my network. I don't want to oversubscribe my network because I understand there's only so much redundancy in the pursuit of efficiency and end up causing an entire network to melt down. If I allow my aspirations or eagerness to grow revenue to
Starting point is 00:20:25 exceed my ability to be able to produce a product, I not only destroy trust with that particular customer, I destroy my business model. And there are many, many cases I could suggest where people lose sight of that, and you end up not satisfying anyone or being able to execute for anyone, and you fail everyone. And that's not what we're in the business to do. So there's a balance there that has to be pursued and has to be respected. Are there any examples that come to mind that you can share? Yeah, contract examples. We just recently went through a contract negotiation with a customer that because their
Starting point is 00:21:04 current service provider is not providing them an ability to grow in their markets and satisfy their existing customer's needs, they came to us with a big opportunity and they would have a love for us to take all their business. That said, I know my network can't handle all their business and still satisfy all the commitments that we've made to all of our other customers. So we sat down with the customer and said, listen, number one, and I was involved in these discussions, I can't service all your business. I'm just going to set you up to fail and set myself up to fail.
Starting point is 00:21:36 However, if there's business lanes that I can help you and you can help me and we have capacity in existing train starts, that I'm more than happy to entertain those lanes. So we literally went through, with a fine-tooth call, every OD pair. So every origin destination. So if it's coming into Vancouver, and it needs to go to Chicago,
Starting point is 00:21:59 if it's coming into Vancouver, it needs to go to Montreal. We pick and selectively worked with the customer to customize the lanes that we served, and that's the business that we bid on, and that's the business that we want. And so I've not jeopardized my ability to meet any existing commitment. And I've created a superior product that allows this customer to at least sort of de-risk their total business mix,
Starting point is 00:22:24 not having all of their freight with one provider. They have their freight with us. And the way I see that, not only is it good for us, it's great for them. It's good for a long-term relationship. Because at some point, if I want to spend additional money to handle more of their business in partnership with that customer, I've established trust. And I can say, okay, if you want us to handle these additional lanes, we need commitment on assets, we need you to build this, we need you to commit that,
Starting point is 00:22:52 and in turn, we're willing to match. And that allows us to bespoke our network to grow with our customers in a very unique way that's not replicable by our competition. At what point do you walk away from customers? And there are probably classes of customers you can't walk away from, even if it was unprofitable business. And I'm thinking like sort of grains and sort of chemical transportation, things that are just necessary to run over rails from a scale perspective.
Starting point is 00:23:20 Yeah, I think we start with a common legal understanding in the rail industry. We have a common carrier obligation to provide rail service to any customer that comes to us. It's, you know, the negotiation, the terms and the service expectations, it really sort of determines those customer relations. So I would suggest that, you know, if there are no barriers, then cost doesn't matter, service doesn't matter, capacity doesn't matter, we could never walk away. However, you know, there are customers as well that in normal business, that quite frankly, I don't want to say they're bad customers, they're just a bad fit.
Starting point is 00:24:01 You know, they care more about price than they do service. And that's a value proposition that we provide our sales zone at our railway. We provide a different outcome. We provide a better service. Not because I say it, but because we have in a world where capacity has been constrained. Customers have not been able to get their products from point A to point B. Because of the way we were on a railroad, we've not been perfect. You're never going to be perfect.
Starting point is 00:24:30 But our service experience for our customers is uniquely different than our competitors. And that's kind of the magic recipe. If I go in and tell you I'm going to do it, I'm going to do it. But there's some customers, again, that's called service. That's really what service is. It's not always getting something from point A to point B faster than your competitor or faster than a truck. It's about doing what your say you're going to do and being a reliable service provider. So if I go in and tell the customer that, that's our service offering.
Starting point is 00:25:01 They'll choose me and it often pay more for our reliable service than they would. a service provider that's not. And again, I'll use an analogy. This is the way I try to communicate this vision with our team at Canadian Pacific. I compare the service of U.S. Postal versus UPS. And if it's my product and it's my letter or it's my package or my gift that I want to make sure it gets there tomorrow the next day for my family member for my business commitment, I'll pay a premium to UPS to get it there versus putting a post-a-stamp on it and opening gets there in six or seven days.
Starting point is 00:25:42 So I liken to try to create that kind of service experience. Some customers aren't willing to pay for that. Some customers only care about price. They think that they're doing their job by getting the lowest rate rate. They don't understand that six months from now, they might have had the lowest rate, but if their product can't get from point A to point B, because you've engaged with the railroad that oversells their ability to produce, because they've oversold their rail network.
Starting point is 00:26:10 And I would suggest after a whole lot of pain and suffering, and maybe if you're a transportation manager, you might have even lost your job over that decision. People understand that you don't have a business if you can't get your product from point A to point B and the railroads dependent upon to get it there. So service doesn't matter. How do you think about volume variance?
Starting point is 00:26:30 Like I'm thinking, you know, an auto company that knows how many cars are going to sell every month. That works for PSR really well. But something like Grain, where the variance might be, you know, 20, 30 percent on any given year and you're expected to carry all of that capacity. How does that work? Whenever you get two key points. Number one, any customer that can give us accurate forecasting as much as they can, the more information we have, the better we can plan the way our models work. But some things like Grain, and that's a great example, and especially relevant in Canada, their ebbs and flows.
Starting point is 00:27:06 there are peaks and valleys, you know, there's droughts and there's peak harvest. So what we have to do is size our network. You know, we look at five-year averages, three-year averages, you know, the big swings, they're quantum swings sometimes, but historically and generally, they're not. They're within a range. So again, back to my principal, we can never build a railroad for Easter Sunday. I could never build a railroad that says I can handle a 40% peak in one year because the next 10 years I've gone out of business.
Starting point is 00:27:42 So what we have to do is keep some surge capacity, and we do by nature our railroad because we operate in Canada, winter requires search capacity as well. You just can't run trains as long and as large in the wintertime as you can in the summertime because of mechanical limitations. Air going through a train line. It just physically can't do it. So by nature, we have some latent capacity or surplus that we design. Back to your point about that trade-off between efficiency.
Starting point is 00:28:19 We have to make sure that we protect that. But again, there is a limitation. You know, we can't do something that's so unhealthy for the company to satisfy one customer's, you know, 10-year or 100-year harvest. that puts us out of business so we're not there three or four years from now. In simple terms, I don't want to oversimplify, but in this business, that's kind of what it is. We do our best. We work closely with our customers. We have some search capacity, but there is a limitation.
Starting point is 00:28:48 It seems like over the past 40 to 50 years, the network has evolved in such a way that it's designed to take things from ports inland. So I'm thinking Los Angeles, Vancouver, going to Toronto, Chicago, How do you think about how the rail network evolves with onshoreing or reshoring of certain capacity, which might be the trend of the next 20 years, and how that changes the network? Well, I definitely think it's not an opportunity. I think it's occurring, and I think it will accelerate when it comes to near-shoring or, you know, the last six months since Russia invaded Ukraine, you know, the topic of ally shoring is, is, just as prominent is an impactful. So I think over the future, that's going to occur. I think
Starting point is 00:29:40 that supply chains have never been more important than they are today. I think that partnership between government, as well as our customers and industry, and even with each other, to invest and to work out best practices, you know, I'll go to our transaction that's very, that's very real in these moments, you know, what we are going to create with this extended network that takes out, eliminates handoffs, and takes away interchanges and unnecessary work events for cars, all of that in and of itself is going to create a lot of capacity. But in turn, that has to be matched to really optimize it with investment that works, requires coordination between governments, as well as with customers. And I'll give you a great one
Starting point is 00:30:31 that we're working on now that is being developed as a result of our transaction that's going to be enabled, assuming we get this thing approved. And that involves Mexico, and it involves the U.S., and it involves Canada. We look at ports. You know, ports have been a very topical topic of probably paying and suffering for a lot, given the supply chain challenges, the West Coast ports. We have a lot of product that we consume as Americans, and it's Canadians and as Mexicans that comes into the Fort of L.A. Long Beach. I'll back up a moment for the question you asked me about, you know, how do you plan for these peak grain harvest? Well, it's not just the railroad. You know, we're in partnership with the ports at tithe water that
Starting point is 00:31:20 load that grain in Canada's example to export to feed the world where, you know, it does no good to create a whole lot of capacity in the middle if the book cans can't handle it. So partnership with ports, which often are owned by governments, to make sure that they're matching your investment so that your capacity you create matches the capacity that they have at the port to get it on the ship or get it out the ship. And then going back to investment inland where you create the product. And in this case, I'm going to talk about potash, you know, Canada, which is, you know, Canada is the world's largest producer potash. We've got Kampotex, which is the worldwide exporter of potash. They export potash for nutrient as well as mosaic. You've got K++S, which is a German producer of potash.
Starting point is 00:32:15 And soon, you're going to have BHP, 25, 2026. It's common knowledge that they're building a potash mine and Jansen. So with all that said, all that capacity and all. that investment, you need more tithe water to export too. So with our network, with this combination, creating a seamless, single-line move that goes from a potash mine in Saskatchewan all the way to a new terminal that will be developed, in this case Port Arthur, Texas, requires investment, requires the combination to have the economics, and to create the scale. When you start to do that as the world evolves, and as we near shore and we are,
Starting point is 00:32:59 high shore. Those kind of things move the needle. So again, our combination uniquely provides the landscape to create the infrastructure that in partnership, we can't do it alone. We don't own the terminals to load it. We typically will not own the terminal to offload it at Thai water and to load it onto the ships. So it requires a combination and coordination between the rail, the customer, and government to be able to make all this happen for our nations. Why don't the rails own the terminals? It seems like a logical, vertical integration for you guys. It is.
Starting point is 00:33:36 You know, sometimes it's a government-owned entity. Sometimes it's a private entity, and there's now willingness to sell it. I can give you a couple of cases in point in Canadian soil. There's a couple of terminals that if I had control to your point about vertical integration of the port, I could control throughput. but I would argue that we could probably be a bit more efficient because there's so many complexities in those handoffs, even with the port operator, the terminal operator, doing their very best and the railroad doing their very best,
Starting point is 00:34:13 when there's not one voice of command and control and coordination, complexities introduce inefficiencies. So I would suggest to see that the government owes it, they don't want to sell it because it's an asset to be used by all modes of transportation, not just Canadian Pacific, but Canadian National or the other railroads on the U.S. standpoint, indoor. It's individually, privately owned, and they understand the importance of that piece of the supply chain, and it's a revenue string for them, and it's not for sale. You mentioned earlier having five-year plans, three-year plans,
Starting point is 00:34:48 one-year plans, and monthly plans. What's your system of execution internally at CP? Well, we have a very unique position that was created actually when I took over as the CEO because I'm so sensitive about matching capacity and not oversubscribing our network. So we have an individual, the team that sets between literally myself and marketing. So when it comes to pursuing business, securing business, there's a very methodical approach to it so that we're matching. track capacity, yard capacity, people capacity, locomotive capacity, and car capacity. So this one particular group, I call them, they maintain the tension in an organization.
Starting point is 00:35:37 They're not about harmony. They're about doing the right thing. So they have to assess the marketing opportunities. And in turn, they sign off on we have the capacity, whether it's track people, physical assets, terminal assets, before we sell the product. So it's truly a triangle where you have the marketing, you have this capacity or asset utilization piece in the middle,
Starting point is 00:36:03 and then you have operations, and we all together collectively make decisions. And to me, that's been a recipe for success, eliminating the silos that most organizations have, or you have marketing going out and selling a product, and then operations, they're told to deliver it. Well, marketing doesn't even understand if operations can or can't really deliver. So they're overcommitting the company.
Starting point is 00:36:28 Operations, they're doing their best to try to deliver, but because they've overcommitted, they've exceeded capacity or they've complicated the delivery of the product, you know, trying to like it at Tabasco Robbins. You can't have 52 flavors. You know, pick the few that you're good at and have really, be really good at them. That's kind of the simple approach to business. And that recipe has allowed us to sustain, to outgrow the industry, to do it efficiently because we're turning assets that naturally controls your cost. That produces a good margin.
Starting point is 00:37:04 It's an outcome. It's not the focus. And at the same time, it's a great service because, again, it's schedule. It's more truck-like and reliable. And our customers can depend on not only just the service, but also the capacity. so that not only can we do what we've told them we're going to do, when they commit to their customers to grow, there's a clear path of what that growth looks like,
Starting point is 00:37:26 whether it's investment, whether it's we tweak our service. It's not done, you know, it's not guesswork, I guess. There's a science to it and a very structured approach to it. You mentioned working with a legend, Hunter Harrison. I'm curious, what are the top two or three things that you learned from working with him over the years? accountability, leadership, the importance of leadership,
Starting point is 00:37:49 picking the right people, creating the right culture, delivering results. I mean, he's always, he told me from the very beginning as a leader, your never one job is to produce results. And you're only going to do it if you have the right people in your team
Starting point is 00:38:05 and you create the right culture and give them the right motivation to succeed. And as a leader, to me, that's what leadership's about. You have to create a vision. You've got to tell people what's important and why it's important. You've got to hold them accountable, and you've got to motivate them.
Starting point is 00:38:26 And if you do that, most people, I think God made us in a way that we all want to be part of something successful. When we allow people to contribute to something that's bigger than themselves, they feel a sense of accomplishment and a sense of pride and a sense of satisfaction. and it creates success and it breeds success once you experience it and we all have experienced it are live whether it's on a sports team or whether it's in a local organization or the company you work for once once I find that people enjoy that and it's more than the money it's an emotional connection that creates this virtual cycle of success and he fundamentally taught me all those things. I know working for him, probably the most challenging individual I've ever worked for in my
Starting point is 00:39:18 life, but at the same time, the most rewarding. Because we achieved so much for so many people, not just ourselves, we are serving a bigger cause, not serving ourselves, seeing the success we created for customers, you know, at an individual level, seeing families that were positively impacted, seeing employees, seeing jobs grow, seeing people enjoy a better quality of life that I know in my experience I never would have dreamed possible, that means a lot to me. So to be able to accomplish more with people than I could ever do myself, you know, it really gets my gears going and that's really what drives me day in and day out. And he was wired the same way.
Starting point is 00:40:02 He loved, loved serving people and serving a bigger cause more than himself. It seems like one of the common themes from studying great leaders, whether it be sports or business is that they set a bar that is higher than other people think is possible. And then they challenge people to reach that. I'm wondering, are there any stories that stick out in your mind of when Hunter did that with you? Because you mentioned he was the most challenging person you worked for. There's probably moments where you wanted to quit or give up. Yeah, I've got so many of them.
Starting point is 00:40:34 I'll tell you, though, he was a master at doing that. He would raise the bar so high that even if you didn't make it all the way, you were accomplished a whole lot more than anybody else was. Because he caused you, he created a world where you had to stretch. You had to really understand your business in every detail and drill issues to the root cause and define what good looks like in a way that you don't know what you don't know and you don't think it's possible.
Starting point is 00:41:02 And I'll tell you this one situation. Back when I first really was learning the way he thought, In my mind, I've worked in the other railroad for four years before I joined the Illinois Central where I first met Hunter. And my first job, I worked by way up from a frontline operating position. I pride myself in being an operating officer. And I thought I knew a little bit about running trains from my previous four years of experience. I went to Memphis, Tennessee.
Starting point is 00:41:34 I was in a tower, and in our terms, a tower train masters were like an air trafficker. control. You've got a yardmaster that's directing trade movements and you're in the background overseeing the priorities and the coordination, connecting all the dots, building the train plans. So I remember we had a train design, which was kind of new to me, but it prescribed all the blocks. And precisioned scheduled railroading means you run the same train every day at the same time. And there's a sequence to everything. So there was a particular train, it was called M-E-N-O, Memphis, New Orleans, was the train, and it left at 3 o'clock in the afternoon every day.
Starting point is 00:42:17 Well, you sequence your day knowing, you know, there's a train that leaves at 1 p.m. This train leaves at 3 p.m. You had to make connections. You're switching your cars to make these blocks that make up this train. In that particular day, it was a big train, I think, 140, 135 cars. It was, you know, full-pin train optimizes 100. 50 cars for the IC bottle. And again, that goes back to image size of the drain,
Starting point is 00:42:44 link the terrain to size of sidings, all those things that I described earlier. So, you know, we're at 135, 140 cars. I think we did a great job. 2 o'clock in the morning, my phone rings. As you can imagine, the phone ringing all the time. You're hitting a speaker phone all the time. You're on the phone with the dispatcher.
Starting point is 00:43:00 You're talking to the yard master. You're talking to crews. It's managed chaos. You've got radios in the background. And I hit the speaker phone. you know Keith Krill I see Tower and you hear this deep
Starting point is 00:43:13 barito voice and it's not hey this is Hunter Harrison how are you doing it's why did you leave 10 cars off M E&O and I said excuse me
Starting point is 00:43:23 he said this is Hunter Harrison and I hit mute and I'm my yardmaster's there and I'm like somebody's playing a game this isn't Hunter it's 2 o'clock at the morning and he immediately turned his eyes
Starting point is 00:43:34 elected me he said Keith that's Mr. Harrison rival. You better pick the phone up. So I did. And I went through 30 minutes of an understanding because in my mind, I left 10 cars. But it is mine as he explained to me. It's not the 10 cars. Yes, those 10 customers will get their traffic a day later, but it's all the unintended consequences. So think about the 10 today. What happens when you get into the later cycles of the business, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, the way customers release cars, that's when your business builds up. You have more cars coming in the terminal because historically they didn't work
Starting point is 00:44:12 weekends. They come back in on Monday. They load the cars that were spotted that have sat there for two days unused. Then they release them and by the time you pull them back in your terminal, you've got no cars Monday, Tuesday, a lot of cars, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday. Well, if on Tuesday, I miss 10 cars, well, on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, that pressure builds up and I have more trains than I have capacity, more demand than cars. that I have trains to move it on. Going back to what I said, one train a day, it's all defined on the business that you have.
Starting point is 00:44:45 And I've created an unnatural outcome where by Saturday or Sunday, I've got a train worth of extra cars and I've got an additional train start to run, which leads into all kinds of other hit efficiencies. Now I've got in balance. I've got to run a special train. It doesn't have a train max to bring the crew back.
Starting point is 00:45:05 So I've got a deadhead cruise. I've got a deadhead local mutters. There's all kinds of inefficiencies that in four years of experience, I never thought about all those unattended outcomes. Well, with him, he was so in tune with all the nuts and bolts of the way scheduled railroading worked
Starting point is 00:45:21 that to survive those phone calls, I had to learn it too. So he required that level of knowledge and that level of deep dive, like no person that I've ever met before or no person that I've ever met since. it creates an environment that not only if you get it right you get to keep your job in his terms he was big on accountability you got to produce results it goes back to his number one i don't
Starting point is 00:45:46 care how much i like you if you don't do your job there's somebody else that's going to come in to do it for you i've got that responsibility uh but when you do that and you understand that level of detail you can start optimizing those processes and that leads to that's better service product that lower costs, that better asset terms. Those kind of lessons for 20 years, and I never quit learning from Hunter. He was always teaching. And if you listened, you know, he was, some would say he's controversial. He was a visionary, and I would suggest that most pioneers and visionaries are, because they're, you know, trying to get you to do something different than what society or history says you should do. Change is not comfortable for anyone. But he was a change
Starting point is 00:46:31 agent. He did the right thing. And that's that's the one other key thing he taught me. He said, Keith, in your career, you're going to work with a lot of managers that want to do things right, but very few that want to lead and leaders do the right things, even whether or not the comfortable thing to do. And that was his point about driving change. You know, often change threatens people. You've got to be able to articulate why you need to change and how you need to change and stick with it, even if it's not comfortable. And that leads to great. That was kind of the way he was wired, and I learned a lot from that. My style's a bit different, but those lessons, you know, to me, I think are universal,
Starting point is 00:47:09 and I think they're undeniably true. And I think they lead to success in any business, and most specifically in our business. You said leaders do the right thing, even when it's not the most comfortable thing or the most offendable thing. Are there examples or an example that comes to mind that you're thinking of when you say that that you've done? Yeah, absolutely. This is a sensitive word.
Starting point is 00:47:29 you think about discipline, and we haven't gotten this all right, and in fact, I remember one of the first things I dealt with is the CEO. There was an article that came out in a Canadian publications, and it was about this culture of fear that had been created at Canadian Pacific. As a human being, I believe, in treating people with respect, and some of the examples that I read made the hairs in the back of my neck stand up. So after that, I went in. I went in. pulled probably three years of discipline records and I spent days reading investigations. And effectively, an investigation is just the formal contractual requirement to sit down and sort of get to what happened and why it happened.
Starting point is 00:48:16 And employees have an opportunity to explain their story and you sort of developed the facts and determined if something a rule was broken. So I read through all that. and we got a lot right but we got a lot wrong and you know it was all in the spirit of trying to do the right thing because the reality of the culture that we inherited was a culture of permissiveness and in our industry I'll go back to the point of not a bad person but a bad fit if you allow people to create their own culture and execute work practices day in and day out, especially moving freight cars and locomotives.
Starting point is 00:48:57 There's not a lot of room for error. These cars weigh hundreds of tons. These locomoters, you know, your life can be taken in a matter of ventures. You know, you can be one inch in the foul of a locomotive, and it hits you and grabbed your sleeve and dragged you down the track, and you die. You know, the consequences are severe. So I've always understood that and prided myself. and creating a state work environment to protect people.
Starting point is 00:49:26 But to do that, you have to go through this discipline process. And if you have officers that don't understand how to be fair and impartial, then you can get it wrong. So oftentimes what happens in our industry, people just look the other way because they don't want to get into that tough discussion or that conflict. and that's what I define as permissive management. So they look the other way. Well, when you look the other way, if someone's violating the rule, then not saying something says a lot.
Starting point is 00:50:04 You're the officer. It's like you're the police officer. If I'd speed by an RCMP or a state trooper every day and they never turn the lights on them, I'm going to do what I think is safe for me and I might end up killing myself or killing somebody else. Well, in our physicians, it says that you've got to do the right thing. So if you see somebody violate, you've got to go have that uncomfortable conversation.
Starting point is 00:50:29 You can't look the other way. And that's a very simple example. But some people, if you're not a right fit, that intestinal, I guess that churn it creates, this stress it creates inside of you is not meant for everyone. So a manager might go the other way. They might want to have a safe work environment. They might want to run an efficient terminal. but if they see an employee engaging in an unsafe act that could derail a car or kill themselves
Starting point is 00:50:55 because they don't want to deal with that conflict, they walk the other way, they turn the other way. A leader does the right thing, they step into it. I'll give you one other case in point. This one resonates with me. I've always preached that. I believe the leader sets the example. You don't ask her people to do anything you're not willing to do yourselves. And I've always said, I'm not going to apologize for running a single.
Starting point is 00:51:19 for a railway so we have to follow the rules you can't pick and choose which ones you comply with and again i liken this to an analogy um and i used to speak to people this way when i was driving this change in the culture at a field level i'm like all the rules matter um which one that you don't follow leads to you taking your life or somebody else's uh when i get on an airplane for example and i see the pilot going through his checklist and i've got my family with me i want him to make sure he checks every box before he takes me up in the air because I want to come back down safely.
Starting point is 00:51:54 So every box matters. So with that said, when you go out in the field, especially as a senior officer, you've got to know the rules because if you see something and you don't know what you've seen and somebody's violated a rule,
Starting point is 00:52:10 especially as a senior officer, not only does that employee think that what they've done is okay, you validate the bad behavior, all of the officers that work, for you. I think the same thing. So I remember, like it was yesterday, I took this trip in preparation for my new CEO. This is after Hunter retired and Clove took over as the CEO. He wanted to come out in high rail. And we were high rail in between Hamilton, Ontario, and our terminal
Starting point is 00:52:39 in Toronto. And we were inspecting the railroad in a high rail truck. And it's literally, you know, it's a put an SUV with some railwheels on it. you go down the track inspecting the track and we came upon a crew outside of hamilton the crew was switching local industries and you know we pulled up and we wanted to stop and talk with them engaged with and we got up a locomotive you know we checked the rule books we talked them about safety we talked to them about the work they were doing getting some positive feedback very very engaging crew very respectful we had a good karma between everyone talking about the business and then as I started getting down out of the locomotive there been one of the crew members I called
Starting point is 00:53:18 it out of my right eye, he was smoking a cigarette. Well, we can't smoke cigarettes on locomoters. You've got to respect other people. It's not a safe environment to do that. It's not allowed by rules. But some people would say that's trivial. You know, I'm not going to ruin a good conversation because the guy was out there smoking a cigarette. Well, I saw it as I stepped off the locomotive. There were several people following. We got on the high rail. We started to pull down the track and just in my head I said I saw that I can't not deal with that so I asked the team that I was with us and stopped the truck and they said what's wrong and I said well I don't know if any of you saw that gentleman smoking but I did so back the truck up I've got to engage it I've got to let
Starting point is 00:54:05 him know that what he's did what he's done is not what good looks like and what I expect in the future so that his behavior can change because if I don't his behavior is not going to change I've told the other crew members that he worked with that, you know, you can pick and choose what rules you comply with. I've said I don't respect their health and welfare because I'm allowing somebody to smoke on a locomotive. And I've told everyone of you that I don't expect you to enforce and require employees to work safely and efficiently. And none of that's true. So that to me, you had to step, you had to get uncomfortable in a lot of ways I had to admit that I was wrong. I had admit that what happened had to be addressed and then we had to take the time to go address it.
Starting point is 00:54:50 So to me, you know, it would have been easily just to roll away from it, but doing the right thing meant going back and dealing with it. That's a powerful example. Thank you for sharing that. You were brought in to CP with Hunter, shortly after Hunter, through an activist investor. I'm curious what you learned from working with Bill Ackman in those early years. You know what? I've learned so much about business, good business from Bill. You know, not knowing what I was getting into, you hear all these things about active investors and all they care about is making a profit, turn it a buck, and, you know, short money versus long money, all those things.
Starting point is 00:55:27 You know, and Bill obviously had a reputation, and I'm not going to suggest any of that was true, but certainly he was an activist investor. He drove change at Canadian Pacific. So going into it, you know, I had my own preconceived notions about what might be. be true, but what I learned is Bill takes a long view, not a short view. And I don't care how you define his fund. He cares about sustainability and the long-term success and profitability of a company. So, you know, that's what he said, but more importantly what he did, as we navigated, and I had an opportunity to interact with Bill and Paul and the CP board as it evolved.
Starting point is 00:56:09 All the decisions that we made, it required, again, back to what I said earlier, you have to invest in the infrastructure to really create a true PSR railroad, we've never spent more in the company's history. So you think about an active investor. If he's really there to make a quick buck, he wants you to make things efficiently, spend the least amount money as possible, you know, show some success, and then they take their profit and they leave. And what you're left with perhaps is not an ideal physical plant and infrastructure sustained long-term success. Well, Bill was the exact opposite of that. You know, every issue we came to with Bill, and we said, okay, you know what?
Starting point is 00:56:49 I'll give you a case in point. Part of our optimizing the railroad, I tripped into this from experience. I had a whiteboarding session on potash. Podash, back to my point earlier, we moved more than any country in the world, so effective supply chain for potash matters. Well, I got to Canadian Pacific, and in Canada, the podcast, lines are dual served. So Canadian national serves them, CP serves them. And often, you know, we come in one side of the terminal, they come in another side, or we share the same access in
Starting point is 00:57:21 and out. But when you get to your rail line, you go your own way to Vancouver, which is where most of this potash is exported from. Well, I learned at CN when CP got into some trouble before Bill came along, as part of what drove to that opportunity. They were, you know, they were weren't meeting Kampitex's expectations, and they were committed to 100% of the business. So at CN, we were asked by Kampotex to help them get product to Tiber, because seeing CP couldn't get it there. So when we did it, I measured. Back to my point about measurement, I said, well, okay, let's, let's measure the asset turns. We're coming from the same locations, going to the same location. How fast did we do it versus how fast CPs doing it? Well, at CN, then we did it about a week
Starting point is 00:58:06 quicker, and I'm like, how does that make any sense? We're starting at the same place to end at the same place. Well, one of my first exercises at CP, I said, okay, let's go through the potash supply chain. I don't understand how CN is that much better than CP is. Well, what I found is that at those lines that are in northern Saskatchewan up around Saskatoon that have all these potash lines, CP was running the traffic east to go down the Lattigan sub down to Regina across the main line back to Vancouver. So we were taking it out of route several hundred miles each way. And I said, well, if you do that, you're going to have more locomotives, more cruise, more cars.
Starting point is 00:58:52 And it takes well over. That's not what good looks like. So why do we not go west out of Saskatoon, go over to where we connect to South of Babington down the Calgary, then to Vancouver? That's a quicker route. It's a shorter route. Well, we just don't do it that way. I said, well, we're going to do it that way. That's the quickest way. So we started to do it. And I'm not proud of saying this, but we derailed two trains.
Starting point is 00:59:18 And I, in my mind coming from where I came from, if the track is there, it better be safe to operate on or it shouldn't be in service. So I never, that equation never entered my head. Well, I immediately, I said, send me pictures of the tide condition. I want to see the railroad. So I had sent my chief engineer out. He sent, sent you. pictures and I saw track additions and this was in my first two, three months on the property, so I hadn't had time to get out on the railroad yet. I said, that's not safe to operate on. No way in the world we're going to send another potash terrain that way, but we're going to have to get it fixed. So I went into the board meeting and I said, we have an issue for me to optimize my service. I've got to run west out of Saskatoon, not east, but I need $100 million to spend on
Starting point is 01:00:07 rail and ties and ballast. And that was not playing for at all. And Bill was the first one to say, you need $200 million. Whatever you need to make sure the railroad's safe to operate and operate efficiently, you're going to get it, Keith. Well, I would say by definition, most activist investors would never be defined by that act.
Starting point is 01:00:27 But he demonstrated that then and continued it to the time he left. He was always focused on the long term, never on the short term. So I learned a tremendous amount about business from Bill and just in that one example, but so much more that, you know, the mentorship and the respect that I have for him and the way he has taught me fundamentally how to be a better business person combined with my real knowledge has enabled me to effectively be setting where I'm sitting today. It had helped me even navigate in large part the way I thought about it
Starting point is 01:01:00 approached our transaction. I want to talk about Kansas City Southern in a second. I just want to make a point on what you said there. There's so much advantage that can be gained just by lengthening the timeline for success in a world that operates on a very quarterly or weekly basis. There is. The challenge is as a publicly traded company, you've got to do both. You know, so you've got to show momentum and success quarter to quarter. And listen, our business is ebbs and flows. We had, I would suggest, the worst quarter financially than I've ever had any relevant experience with the first quarter of this year at CV for a lot of reasons. And we were able to explain those reasons and duplicate, you know, we came out and said
Starting point is 01:01:46 the second quarter matters. We got to do better and we will do better. And we've created the credibility and the results to do that. But I'll tell you, market short term and long term, you've got to mix of long term investors and short term investors. You've got to figure out how to maintain a balance to satisfy both voices. But again, back to your trade-off point, you can never trade off your ability to successfully and safely operate the railroad for a short-term gain. You just can't sustain this business that way. So you can't be so conceived in the short term that you forget the long game, because
Starting point is 01:02:21 this is especially in the railroad business, with the backbone of being, you know, the economy's backbone of commerce, it's a long game. So you've got to understand that and protect that. Speaking of the long game, can you take us behind the scenes of the Kansas City Southern decision from sort of the idea of being floated to signing the deal? What does it look like? How did you make a $27 billion decision? Well, it goes back to sort of my history. You know, I've said this, you know, a man's heart pursues this path, but a Lord determines his steps. And I went through 20 years before CP that gave me an issue. experience set where I kind of understood whiz and losses and what reach means and service offerings. I worked at Canadian National when we had a lot of reach and we benefited from that and we expanded
Starting point is 01:03:18 and grew the network to create more reach through the transactions and the integrations that we successfully achieve in my experience there. And then I came to Canadian Pacific and I had a very origin-rich network. but it was destination poor. It was destination poor. I was disadvantaged in Canada because I didn't reach as far east as my competitor did. And I was disadvantaged in the U.S. And when I say I'm disadvantaged, that means my customers are disadvantaged too
Starting point is 01:03:47 because I didn't reach markets south of Kansas City or south of Chicago. So I knew in time as we grew the company, you know, we pivoted to growth in 2017 team when I took over as the CEO, you know, the first four or five years of my experience at CP was get the engine fixed, you know, implement PSR, fine-tune the assets, make sure we've got the right culture, make sure our terminals, processes, all those things that allow us to produce a great service product at a low cost. We're created, we did that, but then we, because of that, we had a lot of capacity of the network. So the mandate was grow. So we protect the engine, We grow with our customers, but you get to a point where without reach, you're limited.
Starting point is 01:04:37 So I always sat in the back of my head at some point where we're going to have to expand the reach of this company, somehow, some way. So I've got to make sure that I keep the company financially stable so that when that opportunity comes, we can afford to invest, and then we can take advantage of it. So that's what we focused on. We grew for several years. we got to a point, though, the C&Q transaction, that happened in 2019, I think we closed down it in 2020. You know, we didn't go east of Montreal, and I was
Starting point is 01:05:09 disadvantaged at a lot of contract discussions because if I can't serve all markets, you know, I might be able to help you in one, but if the competitive option hurts you and the other and it offsets the gain you get by the one I can help you, and you don't get to play in a game. So in the CMQ
Starting point is 01:05:25 transaction, which you know, CP used to own, they sold out a financial weakness because they couldn't make money on it. It gave us an opportunity to go to St. John. So in 19 and 20, again, it was kind of a warm up for what was going to evolve and to happen. We saw the power of that additional reach. I was blown away by, you know, what was a $40 million railroad and all the customers out there that needed solutions. And it was like the doors opened. And as soon as we got out there, we sold our product and we matched it with investment to make sure that infrastructure could safely and efficiently move it, it's like these
Starting point is 01:06:05 opportunities just kept coming. You know, we had invested in the Port of St. John. You know, we grew from 40 million this year. We're on the track record of 200 million of revenue and much more attractive margins that allow you to invest in the physical plan. So it was just a smaller scale, an amazing success towards. so that gets you get you into a place where financially we're doing well the pandemic happens i think our company and our employees allow this to be true we created success like no other rail did
Starting point is 01:06:39 uh in a very unique way and then all the sudden i'm looking and i'm thinking about okay the timing has got to come when we're going to grow this network well PSR was being implemented across the entire industry uh and then having done it It takes some experience and knowledge to be able to do it the right way. And I, in my mind, felt that without the lack of knowledge, there'd be some stumbling because we didn't get it all right in our experience either. There's going to be some growing things. And there's one railroad that I've known from 20 years previous that if we could combine
Starting point is 01:07:17 the two, we could extend our networking in connect markets in Mexico and the Texas markets. That was true in Canadian Nashville. and that was absolutely true Canadian Pacific, even more so true at CP because of the knee and the unique way the network's created with no overlap. But again, I thought about it, and I said, you know what, KCS is trading at a multiple. It's really expensive. They're doing a good job. They're creating some momentum here.
Starting point is 01:07:47 There's going to be some chapters in their story of PSR that, you know, they're going to have to manage it going up and going down. You've got to manage the cycle to really be effective at it. So there's going to be some, what I thought or deemed as execution risk. And if they stumble a little bit, then that multiple is going to come down. And that's probably going to be the right time for us to make a move. So that was in the back of my head. But the problem was they kept creating some success, you know, and the price kept going up.
Starting point is 01:08:15 So we had this board meeting in July of 2020. And myself and a couple board members were talking about it. And we came to this point in our mind, it's probably not going to get any cheaper, and that's a whole lot of risk. So, you know, maybe we can't afford it at that multiple. It doesn't make sense. But let's at least go explore and see if they're willing to maybe do a merger of equals. You know, again, physically I knew that we connected in a very unique way. And I also had a very good understanding of the regulatory backdrop in the history of problematic history of transactions.
Starting point is 01:08:53 and combinations in the U.S. rail industry, I kind of lived through the last two decades of them. So with that said, I said, you know what, there's nothing wrong with going and talking and having some hypothetical discussions. So I went to Kansas City. I contacted Pat, and I said, let's have lunch. And I floated this concept to him. I said, listen, Pat, at some point, you know, you're destination rich in origin four. I'm origin for in destination. I'm origin. a rich in destination for. It's an end-end combination, very little complexity. There's no customer that loses competitive alternatives.
Starting point is 01:09:34 From a regulatory standpoint, having experienced CPs fell to tense with NS and with CSX in my CP history, I knew it was important that we had to have a friendly transaction. And I said, so if we both see the value in this, I really think this could be something special. and pat said you know what that's interesting let me think about it and long story short you know he went back and floated the idea eventually with his bore but right after that meeting this was the trigger to it all that was on a Wednesday on Friday I remember it like it was yesterday I was with my wife and my son we'd go somewhere for the weekend and we're going to do some hiking and I got off the plane and my phone blew up
Starting point is 01:10:23 And it was people texting, did you see KCS a stock price? And it appears somebody's trying to buy them. And, of course, I looked at it, and their stock just, I thought it wasn't affordable. When I went down there, I was like, holy smoke, it just went to the roof. And what I found out quickly is there was an investor, a fund, that was looking to buy them. So that sort of triggered a process where, you know, we had to decide if we're going to be in the game or not of the game. So we ultimately engaged after a series of twist and turns and competed against private equity. And ultimately, that's what resulted in our merger agreement or announcement back, I guess it was March of 2021.
Starting point is 01:11:10 We had defeated the profit equity investment opportunity. Our value was much superior. Our deal could be done. Pat had a very strong commitment to creating long-term value. for his stakeholders, not just being consumed of our private equity and perhaps just, you know, being sput off again 10 years from now or five years from now, being part of a bigger entity to create long-door value. So we had two common visions, the numbers made all the sense in the world,
Starting point is 01:11:42 we agreed to combine, and we made our announcement. And we got really excited about it. I'm a throttle-laid guide. Throttle-late is a railroad turn for, that's full throttle on a locomotive. I like to do things fast, and I like to create momentum and hit the grab running. So immediately, you know, I engaged with Pat. I went down to Kansas City. We engaged with the employees.
Starting point is 01:12:06 We engaged with the officers. We engage with customers. And the sense of energy around these opportunities exceeded my expectations even, you know, going and interacting with their customers. And hearing them ask me in a town hall, you know, Mr. Krill, can we do this? You do this in Canada. You know, the grain model is a great example. That's something we innovated at C-P-Pee in Canada.
Starting point is 01:12:29 We changed the model from, you know, the 112-car grain train to now it's an 8,500-foot train set that was matched by investment at both bookends, ports as well as, you know, the grain elevators where you load them. Can you bring that to the U.S.? I said, absolutely, you're willing to invest with your grain elevators, and we can get a port to send them to you that can offload them. we can replicate that and create tons of efficiency for the railroads and for you as a customer
Starting point is 01:12:56 in market advantage because you'll get more freight, more grain to tidewater to lower cost. So I was super energized about it. Everyone was energized about it. We had our AGM. I flew to my, not much real, I flew to Calgary and I landed about 4 o'clock, 5 o'clock in the morning.
Starting point is 01:13:19 And I had this, you know, suspicion in the back of my head or this feeling, I knew that if anyone was going to try to come over the top from a competitive response standpoint, it had to be the railroad most threatened. And having worked there, I understood and knew that Canadian National, you know, a more competitive CEP was a threat to them because of breach and network, all the things I talked about earlier. So I expected to the back of my head that at some point they would have to likely put a ring in the way. the hat. What I didn't expect was how strong they jumped in the game. So I remember landing in Calgary. I had 514 number come up, and given that I worked there for 17 years, I knew it was JJ. I answered the phone, and he told me what they had just done, and obviously my phone was blowing up. And I heard the number, and he told me, and I said, well, JJ, I said, I appreciate the phone call. I said, but good luck, because we're going to fight for this.
Starting point is 01:14:19 And I said, you know, we'll talk soon on the phone off. And immediately, I went to the office. And in the meantime, I called Pat. You know, and obviously Pat had a contractual obligation with us because we had a merger agreement at that time. And he said, Keith, I saw the number. I didn't know what it was. It went to voicemail.
Starting point is 01:14:40 And I said, well, it's JJ. And obviously, I know you've got to produce your response to only to talk to him. And I said, but so go ahead and have your discussions. And we'll talk later. and I went to the office and his luck had it and I think his fate had it and again I lead to my faith I think this happened for a reason that was the very first board meeting post-COVID during COVID when I was there with my chair of the board Isabel Corvel she had literally flown to Calgary for that meeting that was her first one since COVID started in person and we had our AGM so I went to to the office, I went in. And because of what I said earlier, trying to be prepared, thinking that they might be coming, we literally, my team, are financial advisors and the people that
Starting point is 01:15:33 negotiated to deal with me, a very small group. We spent the weekend prior to that phone call on Monday doing what if scenarios, what if C-in comes in, what can they afford to pay, what can we afford to pay. So we modeled a lot of this stuff out. sort of knew where it doesn't make sense pointless. And I also knew in my mind how I would attack their bid. And Bill said this to me at one point in the process. You know, any deal, it depends on certainty and value. Those are the two key fundamentals that have a board of directors have to take a new account. And I said, well, to me, the only way to defeat them is not with the balance sheet because they have more spending power. It's got to be with the facts. And it's got to be
Starting point is 01:16:18 with their ability to get the deal approved through the regulator. So I went into the office in Calgary, our board meeting was about to start. They obviously had read all the press releases. I walked in and I said, listen, I need a little bit of time. I've got my team organized next door. Give me till noon. Continue without me, and I'll let you know how we're going to respond. So we dotted the eyes, crossed the T's, formalized our response.
Starting point is 01:16:44 I went back into the board meeting, and I briefed the board, I said, you know, we're going to address the facts. And I had one particular board member that, again, is a very influential member to me. He's been a great mentor and a voice of reasoning within the board. You know, he said, bottom line, Keith, you've told us all that, but how are you going to do this? And I said, well, what do you mean? He said, well, how are you going to approach this on your call tomorrow morning? Because we literally had to do a call the next morning.
Starting point is 01:17:13 And I said, you know what? I haven't quite figured it out yet, the strategy. and he said, well, let me say one thing, too. He said, you've got to fight. And I said, okay, I appreciate that. I'm going to think about that. And I went home that night. And I went to bed.
Starting point is 01:17:27 I liked to get up early in the morning with a clear head. Went to bed thinking about it. And I woke up about 3 o'clock in the morning. And I said, we're going to fight with the truth. And I got my team, and I wrote this email, and I said, this is what we're going to do. And I said, I'll see you at 6 o'clock, and we're going to put all this together. So we came together that morning. We had our public call that we had to go through how we were going to respond.
Starting point is 01:17:56 And I think we might have even been an earnings call, too. There have been so many meetings since then. The earnings were sort of a side note. It was all about how we're going to respond to the CNN. And I just attacked it with truth. I remember right before the call, I wrote out the 10 truce, you know, the things that are good about our deal, the things that are bad about their deal. And I went through and wrote all the points of strengths
Starting point is 01:18:19 and how we could get the deal approved and what were true about our value creation and all the things that were the real truth about theirs. And from that point, that's the strategy we approached it with. It was all about, you know, we're not going to overpay. You get to a point where you destroy your ability, destroy the company. It's not worth that. There's a line here drawn in the sand. I knew where it was.
Starting point is 01:18:43 I knew we never won that fight, so I was going to get into a bidding war with them. I was going to fight their ability to get their deal approved, and it all boiled down to the trust. You know, KCS, their terms of the deal, they wanted to get their money for their shareholders up front. We took the risk of getting the deal approved, whoever the successful bidder was, and that meant putting the company in trust, which is a model that had been used in the rail industry. So it meant, though, that the trust had to be approved by the regulator. That was sort of the trigger in the whole thing. And I knew on my mind this regulator, I believe, to be true then, which turned out to be absolutely true, if it didn't serve public interest as defined by creating more competition, then the chances
Starting point is 01:19:30 of getting approved are slimmed by none. And I bet on none. So that's where we put our chips on the table. And we got to a point that we were just going to wait a way to. on the trust to be ruled on, but CN and their aggressiveness moved up their date for their shareholders to vote on it in the absence of the trust approval, because the trust decision and I came out by the SDB. So they sort of put their shareholder vote ahead of the trust decision, which would have meant that had that shareholder boat going through, that KCS would have been married to
Starting point is 01:20:09 CNN. CN yes would have taken all the risk of the trust, but they would have gone into that transaction locked up, not knowing if it would or would not be approved. And there were provisions in that contract that said that even if it got turned down, they would have had to stuck with CNN for a six-month period where CN could try to get it overturned. It could appeal the trust decision. And then you get to a point where, you know, play it all out. At that point, C's going so far, they still have balance sheet. They might just put more money on the table, make it more even out of reach. So it was so unpredictable.
Starting point is 01:20:50 We just said at that point, now if we're going to get back in the freight, now's the time. So that's when we came out and figured the best way to do it is file on their proxy. So we had our own proxy filing. We met with, and I think I met with 60% of KCS. the share orders. I did one-on-one meetings virtually. I flew to New York City. I sold them our deal. And my cell was, number one, you can't replicate our value on term. CN doesn't have the network to do it or the team to do it. And number two, you're locking yourself into the uncertainty of a trust, and why vote now when you can wait? The SDB, by that time, it said, where they're going to
Starting point is 01:21:35 rule by, a date? And I said, just wait two weeks. And if I'm wrong, If we're wrong, the deal's still there. Take the deal. But don't let the boat go through. Don't go forward with the boat. And that's what happened. They took a pause. They didn't vote.
Starting point is 01:21:51 They put it in advance. The SDB came out. They turned down CN's trust 5 to 0. And the words they used were so undeniably true that, you know, KCS board directors I knew would be faced with. You know, there's a lot of money on the table, a lot of value be created. And for this additional money, I'm taking a home. whole lot of risks that might not never be realized.
Starting point is 01:22:13 So they canceled their deal with Canadian National and sign back up with CP. We paid a little more money, yes. It's still a great deal. It's still a great value for our shareholders and theirs as well. We didn't overpay. We certainly didn't underpay, but we've created an opportunity that's going to allow these two companies together to not only create huge value for all stakeholders, for employees and job growth for shareholders and money they'll make for the commerce that gets created
Starting point is 01:22:44 and had I never knew then how much this transaction would be needed. I never knew and could have predicted the supply chain meltdowns that the industry's gone through. I never could have predicted how much more near-shoring and ally shoring would matter more so today than I ever would have envisioned in 2020. So so many things have happened. sense then that say, you know, not only is this a great merger, this is a necessary combination for the good of, maybe this is a bit ideological, for the good of mankind, for the good of the free world. I truly think, back to my point about serving something greater than yourself, we're going to be serving a whole lot more than just our shareholders and our employees in the communities. We're going
Starting point is 01:23:30 to be serving nations and creating an ability to get the products that we produce like potash, like rain, the products that our three nations produce exported to the free world in a time that's never been more needed. Being someone that cares about serving the cause greater than myself, and I think working with a team of railroaders that are wired the same way, both KCS and CP, that's going to be a motivation that keeps us going for a long time. Way exceeds the financial benefit of anything we might be doing. Thanks for taking us behind the scenes there. I'm really excited to see what you guys can do with it.
Starting point is 01:24:19 And thank you so much, Keith, for taking the time today. Well, again, it's been my honor. It's always a pleasure to talk about our company's stories. And in my journey and in my family's journey and the role that God's played in it, anytime I get an avenue at an opportunity to do that, it's an honor to be able to share them. Thanks for listening and learning with us. For a complete list of episodes, show notes,
Starting point is 01:24:50 transcripts, and more, go to fs.blog slash podcast. Or just Google the Knowledge Project. Until next time. Thank you.

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